Premarket Notes
We entered a new swing trade yesterday in TESLA that is doing excellent, closed the AMD swing trade prior to earnings which was a great call because it lost a lot of value after earnings were posted after market, are trading the Crude Oil move that seen a huge gain after the swing trade alert was issued and today we look at National Oilwell Varco, Trex and Chegg after they had larger than normal earnings price moves.
More swing set-ups / alerts on earnings to continue.
We’re also working on time cycle trades for SPY, VIX, Gold, Silver, DXY, BTC, DXY and more than we will report on soon.
10:30 am
#EIA Crude Oil Trading Petroleum Inventories – Main Trading Room, I will be in attendance.
2:00 pm
FOMC Announcement
Thanks
Curt
Nice snap back trade $TSLA 4 Hour Chart pic.twitter.com/tkLzzNzUu4
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 31, 2019
TESLA (TSLA) trade alert couldn’t have had a better first day, add on pull backs take profit on bounces as you go $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading
Recent Swing Trading and Day Trading Reports (all charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):
Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):
Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:
Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO
Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO
Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO
Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows, what we’re up to with our trading):
Company News:
SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release
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Article Topics: Premarket, Trading, Watch List, Stocks, Commodities, Alerts, Trading Room, Bitcoin, FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY
Friday July 12 Premarket Trading Report.
- Day Trade and Swing Trading.
- Equities, Commodity and Bitcoin Trading.
- Personal Trades and Machine Software Trades.
Premarket Client Notes:
Morning traders,
All reporting will be out this weekend, any delays we credit to accounts – see this link for our policy on reporting cycles and fee credits.
My apologies, the algorithmic models sometimes take much longer to back test than expected. It has happened before. By all, I mean Swing Trading, Trading Results (missing days), Algorithmic reports SPY, VIX, OIL, Gold, Silver, US Dollar, Bitcoin and any other miscellaneous reporting.
It was a Fed speak week and with various other anomalies not only did the models take longer to work but we also didn’t want to take our next time cycle entries without being beyond this specific week. All entries for swinging this cycle and cleaning up the old we want in place between today and Tuesday (some may creep in to late next week, but few). ER will delay some also.
The new oil trade software version is performing well and we will continue to tweak its code toward the 151% per annum target, Bitcoin software is next and then likely Gold but we are undecided at this point:
Profit & Loss: Daily +$473 YTD+$5,412 Projected $85,891 or 86% Oil Machine Trade 100k Account. #Oil #TradeAlerts #MachineTrade #OOTT $CL_F $USO $WTI $USOIL
Profit & Loss: Daily +$473 YTD+$5,412 Projected $85,891 or 86% Oil Machine Trade 100k Account. #Oil #TradeAlerts #MachineTrade #OOTT $CL_F $USO $WTI $USOIL pic.twitter.com/7p2mfdgZNT
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 12, 2019
Near 4 weeks now, one red day (-0.2% draw-down) since new version launch Crude Oil Trading AI software. Current return trajectory 83% per annum. Target 151%. 3 yr history +90% trade alert win rate. Verified P&Ls. EPIC Oil Algorithm #tradealert #OOTT $USO $WTI $CL_F #machinetrade
Near 4 weeks now, one red day (-0.2% draw-down) since new version launch Crude Oil Trading AI software. Current return trajectory 83% per annum. Target 151%. 3 yr history +90% trade alert win rate. Verified P&Ls. EPIC Oil Algorithm #tradealert #OOTT $USO $WTI $CL_F #machinetrade pic.twitter.com/NpS2nBVri7
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 12, 2019
Watch List, Current Trades:
Current Trades – The AMD trade is going very well, we’re 2/3 trimmed on longs at this point but will likely add as we go through the sequence of buying support and selling resistance areas. The Bitcoin trade, first 3/4 were good and last 1/4 not as good, we’re completely out at this point however, we are going to be very active next week forward with new machine trade software development starting. All new swing trades (per above) and reporting on all existing swing trades will be very active over next week.
It’s Friday so don’t try and make up your week today, liquidity in daytrading equities can be weak on Friday’s.
$SGBX at 150%+ in premarket is the big mover, again, caution its Friday and it is a chat room pump, lots of caution.
Bitcoin, not sure at this point, watching the trade within the models close, may be looking at a short term swing entry this weekend, will advise. Still alerting on the swing private feed but new alert feed for BTC in works now.
CXO, DVN, FANG, ECA, EOG, HAL, PTEN, NBL, MRO etc all with down grades this morning, watching the sector close to say the least.
"All News Is Good News" As S&P Rises Above 3,000 While Bond Selloff Accelerates https://t.co/SvLI32fuGV
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 12, 2019
Here's a rundown of your top economic news today https://t.co/NAHUZQ5tiY
— Bloomberg (@business) July 12, 2019
Recent Swing Trading and Day Trading Reports (all charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):
Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):
Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:
Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO
Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO
Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO
Recent Premarket Notes (for more about what we’re up to with our trading):
Company News:
SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release
Subscribe to Learn and Profit:
Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.
Free Mailing List(s):
Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.
Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)
Public Chat:
Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.
Article Topics: Premarket, Trading, Watch List, Stocks, Commodities, Alerts, Trading Room, Bitcoin, $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT
Monday July 8 Premarket Watch List.
- Day Trade and Swing Trading.
- Equities, Commodity and Bitcoin Trading.
- Personal Trades and Machine Software Trades.
Watch List
24 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session $OASM $SGMO $CBIO $AYTU $SYMC $ORN $NTAP $TYME $AAPL $LC $LPL
REVIEW – $AMD +1.3% premarket Ryzen 3000 Review: AMD’s 12-core Ryzen 9 3900X conquers all – PC World
https://www.pcworld.com/article/3405567/ryzen-3000-review-amds-12-core-ryzen-9-3900x.html
NEWS – $SYMC +4.0% pre – Broadcom $AVGO Makes Progress on Symantec Deal With Financing, Savings – BBG
GEOPOLITICAL – $USO Oil steadies as demand concern counters Middle East tensions – SI
ETF INFLOW – Silver $SLV – Silver Sees Largest Daily ETF Inflow In A Year: BMO $SLV #Silver
https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1148041622472540160
SGMO premarket up 20.53% trading 13.75 on results. Daytrading resistance points on chart $SGMO
SGMO premarket up 20.53% trading 13.75 on results. Daytrading resistance points on chart $SGMO
Recent Swing Trading and Day Trading Reports (all charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):
Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):
Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:
Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO
Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO
Recent Premarket Notes (for more about what we’re up to with our trading):
Company News:
SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release
Subscribe to Learn and Profit:
Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.
Free Mailing List(s):
Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.
Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)
Public Chat:
Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.
Article Topics: Premarket, Trading, Watchlist, Stocks, Commodities, Bitcoin, $GMO, $AMD, $OASM, $AYTU, $CBIO, $SYMC, $ORN, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY
Special Time Cycle Swing Trade Report With Set-Ups, Strategies, Alerts, Charts, News. July 7, 2019.
Below are Swing Trade Set-Ups Currently On Watch; S&P 500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY.
Review this Twitter thread as I commented some on each model below;
Working models tonight… that week of Oct 21, 19 time cycle peak… theres an inflection wk of Aug 5, 19 (but not near the size), Oct 21 is massive. Remember one I told u bout in to last Dec 24? This one has fire power potential 2B 2x size $SPY $VIX $USO $CL_F $DXY #timecycles
Working models tonight… that week of Oct 21, 19 time cycle peak… theres an inflection wk of Aug 5, 19 (but not near the size), Oct 21 is massive. Remember one I told u bout in to last Dec 24? This one has fire power potential 2B 2x size $SPY $VIX $USO $CL_F $DXY #timecycles
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 7, 2019
SP500 (SPY) Following our upper price target trajectory scenario near perfect since last SPY report, watch thick red line res test $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SwingTrade #Daytrade
The resistance overhead is key, if trade runs through it you can expect that to be possible support for continued run in to upper price target. This structured model has been quite consistent and is proving to be a decent swing trading guide for positioning of size through a move.
In this specific instance, the peak in to week of Oct 21 is broad global markets, SPY specifically is Sept 9 – Oct 4, so its a little earlier for some reason. VIX is Oct 21 week though.
A strong economy and Fed rate cuts: The stock market wants to ‘have its cake and eat it, too’ https://on.mktw.net/2YAQZk8
SP500 (SPY) Following our upper price target trajectory scenario near perfect since last SPY report, watch thick red line res test $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
VIX The symmetry in previous time cycle peaks is amazing, watch Oct 21 2019 time cycle peak close. #volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #swingtrading
Watch the first time cycle inflection in to Aug 5 week and then the large time cycle based on symmetry in to week of October 21, 2019.
ha one last note, its a wild card note, if $VIX got going it has a peak possible at 58.17 Oct 21, 2019 lol. Unlikely, but just saying, it has that in nitros available in the tank during that time frame, should a wild card scenario play out. #timecycles #volatility
Fed rate cut in question after June jobs report beat https://finance.yahoo.com/video/fed-rate-cut-june-jobs-183234715.html?.tsrc=rss
VIX The symmetry in previous time cycle peaks is amazing, watch Oct 21 2019 time cycle peak close. #volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #swingtrading
GOLD If you’re swing trading Gold use patience and trade the channel (red lines) it’s very clean $XAUUSD #Gold $GLD $GC_F
Of course if you’re using it as a hedge or store of value completely different story, but timing your entries in to Gold is well done with that channel between red lines on Monthly chart below.
Gold has time cycles peaking weeks of Aug 1 2019 (small), Feb 3 2020 (moderate), Aug 3 2020 (peak – large cycle peak). That far out however, you have to check back as we get closer as the timing can shift (a few months out we can nail it down exact) #Gold $GLD $XAUUSD #timecycles
Is The Debt Crisis About To Be Reborn In 2020? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-crisis-reborn-2020-081448073.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
GOLD If you’re swing trading Gold use patience and trade the channel (red lines) it’s very clean $XAUUSD #Gold $GLD $GC_F
SILVER Weekly chart seems to imply a break sometime in advance of Mar 2020 up or down, that’s all I have for you. #swingtrade $SLV $USLV $DSLV #Silver
Silver Sees Largest Daily ETF Inflow In A Year: BMO https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-07-04/Gold-Silver-Precious-Metals-Daily-News-Briefs.html
SILVER Weekly chart seems to imply a break sometime in advance of Mar 2020 up or down, that’s all I have for you. #swingtrade $SLV $USLV $DSLV #Silver
BITCOIN (BTC) One way to swing trade it (there are others in our report) is to long at the bowl trajectory on pull backs $XBT_F $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Using other chart models on our Bitcoin report there are other not so static ways to swing trade the Bitcoin move, however, testing longs anytime price returns to that bowl trajectory seems moderately reasonable.
Oh, and Bitcoin’s time cycle peak is week of Dec 17, 2019. $BTC #timecycles
US Dominates Bitcoin Twitter Discussion, Sentiment Towards Facebook’s Libra is Sinking — Report $FB $BTC #Libra https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2019/07/us-dominates-bitcoin-twitter-discussion-sentiment-towards-facebook-s-libra-is-sinking-report/#.XSKfJRyeeik.twitter
BITCOIN (BTC) One way to swing trade it (there are others in our report) is to long at the bowl trajectory on pull backs $XBT_F $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Crude Oil Weekly Chart is really interesting because 14 out of last 15 time cycles reversed (see previous report) Doing it again. #swingtrading
#Oil interesting because unlike recent time cycles where it was near same as market indices cycles (last Dec), it is off this cycle, Wk of Sept 23, 19 is an inflection with time cycle peak Jan 6, 20. Recent time cycle bottom June 10, 19 per our reports. #OOTT #timecycles $CL_F
Crude Oil Weekly Chart is really interesting because 14 out of last 15 time cycles reversed (see previous report) Doing it again. #swingtrading
US Dollar Index (DXY) Aug 5 2019 Mar 30 202 are the time cycles to watch, still trades around pivot $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/21R9HcKO-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Aug-5-2019-Mar-30-202-are-the-time-cycles/
Thanks
Curt
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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Set Ups, Strategies, Signals, SP500, $SPY, Volatility, $VIX, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Bitcoin, $BTC, Oil, $USO, US Dollar, $DXY, time cycles