Part Two of What They Won’t Tell You and How We Daytrade Crude Oil Against the Machines

Below is another daytrading session disclosure of real-time oil trade alerts from our oil trading room and alert feeds.

Many in the markets will tell you that there are no crystal balls in the stock market (in this instance in commodity markets). Others will tell you that order flow is key, or storage, OPEC or whatever else. And sure, on broad time-frames there are many different indications of oil price direction that provide clues.

But when daytrading crude oil, everything, and I mean everything other than what the machine trading liquidity dominant players are doing is relavent.

Below you will see real time oil trading alerts from our private member feed, and real time guidance I provided to the oil trading room while I was trading and even public faxing tweets from my personal Twitter feed.

Sometimes I will tweet on my own public facing feed in an effort to show the trading world what is really happening to our markets, but cognitive dissonance keeps most bound to what the shiny balls on TV have to say. So I am not sure whether I’ll continue much longer in that because it’s a lot of effort and you feel like you get nowhere.

Anyway, enough of that, I’ll let the real-time alerts and trading room discussions below do the talking.

Take the time to read this carefully and the previous post you can find here: 

What They Won’t Tell You – How We DayTrade Crude Oil Against The AI’s in the Markets, A Sneak Peak. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI

When done think about it, spend some time reflecting on what this means for the future of the markets. Beyond just winning and having the best daytrading oil strategies there are real ramifications here.

Okay, good luck with your $STUDY, let me know if you need anything after you have reviewed the documentation below.

Let’s start here, when daytrading crude oil the most important thing you can do is know where you are in the playing field – the structure of crude oil trade within the dominant time cycle. This is key. If you know the time cycle that the dominant players (liquidity) are trading on then you can then trade along with them. This is by far the best oil trading strategy you will ever find.

From yesterday’s article (part 1) I had shared the one hour crude oil chart model and showed you exactly what the structure was and what the TIMING of the price target the dominant daytrading liquidity was targeting. This is the key to successful crude oil daytrading.

Below is the updated 1 hour daytrading oil chart. Take a look at today and yesterday (in part 1). And then read yesterday’s article closely and you will see that we knew exactly where the price of oil was going to be, in advance.

But first, the oil chart.

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow.

You can see how the machine dominant liquidity has traded very technically toward the price target at 1:00 PM Thursday. What determines if the price target is met? At each decision along the way if retail order flow follows the dominant machines, the machines simply take price to the next decision most efficiently. It’s that simple.

So as you can see in the chart below, the daytrading action in oil has been consistently toward the price target within the chart structure.

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow #oiltradealerts

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow #oiltradealerts

Okay, now that you have “perspective” of the arena or battleground, let’s look at the real-time charting, trade alerts and commentary from the alert feed and oil trading room:

Below are only highlights and snippets of the discussion and guidance I provided to the oil trading room, private Twitter alert feed, charting and even public facing personal Twitter feed. To keep this article as short as possible I provide only highlights of the trade sequence below.

Screen shot of oil trading room lead trade alerting initial trade position in crude oil futures with guidance.

“Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 9:21 PM
Long 16.10 2/10
personal trade will advise
order flow progressive I’m going to go with it, over 16 resistance on hourly model
I don’t like this time of day, but I’m going with order flow over 16.00 resistance on hourly crude oil model, long 2-% size 16.10 #oiltradealerts

Curt MelonopolyToday at 9:44 PM
this trade could easily come back to 15.67 before bullish continuation imo so i’m being cautious, its the 30 min EPIC model that concerns me a bit
but the 1 hour has been so strong i’m going with a possible run up with bulls, basically managing that RR
and on hourly 15.74 is the diagonal TL support
so in short, if it pulls back i’ll hold 2/10 re-hit 15.64 area if it gets there with an add 2/10 if that fails cut the loss, but i’m going to play it for the possible run up in to Thurs mid day
so there’s some risk but possible reward is significant
potential run is about 140 ticks up and risk is 60, so there’s different ways to manage that i suppose
easier to manage this type of trade with CFDs than CL contracts, I may take on CFDs in near futures as an addition to my personal trading for these scenarios.”

Sccreen shot of oil trading room lead trade alerting initial trade position in crude oil futures with guidance #oiltradingroom

Screen shot of oil trading room lead trade alerting initial trade position in crude oil futures with guidance #oiltradingroom

Screen shot of oil trade alerts member Twitter feed of initial entry in crude oil by lead trader.

oil trade alerts, live

Screen shot of oil trade alert member Twitter feed of initial entry in crude oil by lead trader #oiltradealerts

Charting shared to oil trading room.

“I don’t like this time of day, but I’m going with order flow over 16.00 resistance on hourly crude oil model, long 2/10 size 16.10 #oiltradealerts”

I don't like this time of day, but I'm going with order flow over 16.00 resistance on hourly crude oil model, long 2-% size 16.10 #oiltradealerts

I don’t like this time of day, but I’m going with order flow over 16.00 resistance on hourly crude oil model, long 2-% size 16.10 #oiltradealerts

What the trade looks like on crude oil 1 minute chart time frame.

Entries in crude oil futures are the green arrows and the red are when the trades are closed on the daytrading time-frame charting.

What the trade looks like on crude oil 1 minute chart time frame #oiltradealerts

What the trade looks like on crude oil 1 minute chart time frame #oiltradealerts

Another screen shot of oil trading room and the guidance I’m providing to the daytraders as we progress through trade.

Will trim at .30 if we get it here, trading 16.25 —-> Trim 1/10 16.30 hold 1.10
took the trim i want the breathing room
not an easy trade
16.30 is mid range on 1 min machine model and 16.48 is top range on 1 min
My stop on the 1/10 is at entry now
What the trade looks like on crude oil 1 minute chart time frame #oiltradealerts

oil trading room, daytraders, chat

Another screen shot of oil trading room and the guidance I’m providing to the daytraders as we go through trade #oiltradingroom

The intra day crude oil trade as represented on the 1 minute chart.

The intra day crude oil trade as represented on the 1 minute chart #oildaytrading

The intra day crude oil trade as represented on the 1 minute chart #oildaytrading

Oil trading room discussion where I am explaining where I may close this part of the trade intraday.

“I may close 16.47 if we get it, 16.45 HOD so far, don’t like the tight trading here.
Closing 16.45 hold 0
chickened out don’t like the action
20 ticks on the 1/10 and 35 ticks on the 2nd 1/10 isn’t so bad for this time of night i suppose
The intra day crude oil trade as represented on the 1 minute chart #oildaytrading

this is double top on 60 min here
Here’s your 60 min double top test on the 60 minute crude oil time frame #oildaytrading”

oil trading room, trading

Oil trading room discussion where I am explaining where I may close this part of the trade intraday #oiltradingroom

Here’s your 60 min double top test on the 60 minute crude oil time frame.

Here's your 60 min double top test on the 60 minute crude oil time frame #oildaytrading

Here’s your 60 min double top test on the 60 minute crude oil time frame #oildaytrading

Oil trading room discussion explaining the technical levels to watch on a daytrading basis.

“Machines will want that next where two or more trend lines meet price target at 17.41 for a blow through, if retail goes with them that will happen #oiltradealerts

if that happens that will be volatile there
I may re hit a long if price meets 200 MA at 1 min support per chart, doesn’t look like I will get it though #oiltradealerts”

oil trading room, discussion, technical

Oil trading room discussion explaining the technical levels to watch on a daytrading basis #oiltradingroom

Machines will want that next where two or more trend lines meet price target at 17.41 for a blow through.

Machines will want that next where two or more trend lines meet price target at 17.41 for a blow through #oiltradealerts

Machines will want that next where two or more trend lines meet price target at 17.41 for a blow through #oiltradealerts

Another screen image of the crude oil trading room explaining machine order flow buying oil intraday.

“Jeremy is reporting micro programs buying all opportunities at weekness all the way through intra day so far #oilttrading

problem is timing intra day, they only have so much time to move this
I would say that by midnight Eastern it gets more difficult in their code to get where two TLs meet price on that 1 hour price target above.”

crude oil, trading room, discussion

Another screen image of the crude oil trading room explaining machine order flow buying oil intraday #crudeoil #tradingroom

I may re hit a long if price meets 200 MA at 1 min support per chart.

I may re hit a long if price meets 200 MA at 1 min support per chart #oiltradealerts

I may re hit a long if price meets 200 MA at 1 min support per chart #oiltradealerts

I would say that by midnight Eastern it gets more difficult in their code to get where two TLs meet price on that 1 hour price target above.

I would say that by midnight Eastern it gets more difficult in their code to get where two TLs meet price on that 1 hour price target above.

I would say that by midnight Eastern it gets more difficult in their code to get where two TLs meet price on that 1 hour price target above.

okay, here it is, this is their push to force the squeeze intraday in to the price target in the time cycle peak.

okay, here it is, this is their push to force the squeeze intraday in to the price target in the time cycle peak #oildaytrading

okay, here it is, this is their push to force the squeeze intraday in to the price target in the time cycle peak #oildaytrading

You can see how they’re grinding away at each half range tier on the 1 minute oil trade time frame intraday.

You can see how they're grinding away at each half range tier on the 1 minute oil trade time frame intraday #oiltdaytrading

You can see how they’re grinding away at each half range tier on the 1 minute oil trade time frame intraday #oiltdaytrading

Air is thin up here, this is double top on 5 min machine model – see extension arrow.

Air is thin up here, this is double top on 5 min machine model - see extension arrow #oiltradealerts

Air is thin up here, this is double top on 5 min machine model – see extension arrow #oiltradealerts

So on the 5 min timeframe bulls have lost their edge but on hourly I think they still have 20 mins.

So on the 5 min timeframe bulls have lost their edge but on hourly I think they still have 20 mins #oildaytrading

So on the 5 min timeframe bulls have lost their edge but on hourly I think they still have 20 mins #oildaytrading

Here’s your 1 hour time frame view, looks like bulls still have some time, hard to be exact on larger timing.

Here's your 1 hour time frame view, looks like bulls still have some time, hard to be exact on larger timing #oiltrading

Here’s your 1 hour time frame view, looks like bulls still have some time, hard to be exact on larger timing #oiltrading

And on 1 minute yet another half range zone grind through supply for continuation.

And on 1 minute yet another half range zone grind through supply for continuation #oildaytrading

And on 1 minute yet another half range zone grind through supply for continuation #oildaytrading

Excuse me while I kiss the sky, yet another price target in the grid complete, AI power on display.

Excuse me while I kiss the sky, yet another price target in the grid complete, AI power on display #oildaytrading #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Excuse me while I kiss the sky, yet another price target in the grid complete, AI power on display #oildaytrading #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Said climax brings time cycle intraday in to completion, if retail wants it to move now they’ll have to go alone.

Said climax brings time cycle intraday in to completion, if retail wants it to move now they'll have to go alone #oildaytrading #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Said climax brings time cycle intraday in to completion, if retail wants it to move now they’ll have to go alone #oildaytrading #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow.

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow #oiltradealerts

Crude oil price target met on 1 hour time frame, should see our pull back now for final run tomorrow #oiltradealerts

Retail left naked in the time cycle and have no idea why the air just came out.

Retail left naked in the time cycle and have no idea why the air just came out #OOTT $CL_F $USO #machinetradingoil

Retail left naked in the time cycle and have no idea why the air just came out #OOTT $CL_F $USO #machinetradingoil

And on my personal Twitter feed (public facing) sometimes I’ll let the world know we’re trading to show folks how the oil trading room and alerts work.

Below is a link and if you open the link you will find the thread on Twitter, it was real-time also.

As with the charts, live trading room discussion and private Twitter alert feed above, I show only some highlights, there is much more guidance on all than you see here in this article.

“AI school in session

#OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $USO”

“So the game is find the time-frame and use the model they’re using, but it’s all done with machines making those decisions and computer scientists constantly updating code, its a massive war game of techies competing for dominance, that’s oil trade in today’s world #OOTT $CL_F

its a massive game of go on various time-frames with entities competing with various amounts of liquidity all competing for dominant positioning, the dominant teams determine the time frame in play through liquidity, they’re in control,”

“i know, i know, there are no crystal balls in the markets

none of that just happened

#OOTT $CL_F $USO”

And earlier in the day I was attempting to explain to the Fintwit world what is actually moving and controlling oil price day to day.

“Most conventional market thinkers say that you cannot predict the future

what they won’t tell you is there are a select few that do actually predict it with a very high degree of accuracy

but it takes time to confirm and verify

and this is how the mass con keeps you bound.”

“Predicting with a rate of accuracy and trading it are two totally different things

it’s obvious in a machine driven world, with machine instructions that predictability will increase

if you know the rule-set instructions where the majority of machine flow resides.”

I am hoping that with part 1 of this series and this part 2 article of exactly how we are daytrading this next leg in crude oil price from our oil trading room that you can see better how to day trade crude oil with success.

As I said in article 1 of this series:

My goal is to build the best oil trading room and alerts service in the world for traders, it is a large task, but the hardest part of our mission is done, we can trade with the best machines in the world now. The rest should be easier.

Any questions please send me a note via email [email protected].

Thank you.

Curt

Part One of this article here: What They Won’t Tell You – How We DayTrade Crude Oil Against The AI’s in the Markets, A Sneak Peak. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI

Part Three of this article here: BOOOM! Price and Time Exactly as Predicted Days in Advance | Part 3 – How We Daytrade Crude Oil #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

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Article Topics; oil trading room, daytrading, crude, oil, strategies, oil trade alerts

 


An Insider’s Look at Daytrading Crude Oil – Against The Machines | Live Trade Alerts Guidance by our Lead Trader in Oil Trading Room

Tonight when I sat down to my trading desk I didn’t intend to trade crude oil, but I knew that our lead Computer Scientist Jeremy had been tracking some machine liquidity sweepers in oil futures and indices markets since earlier Tuesday April 28, 2020.

So I was ready for anything.

We’ve been watching the crude oil machine order flow in the markets for the last 12 hours or so – since the AI’s showed up in flow earlier on EPIC IDENT software.

The machine programs have been slowly taking hold of the intra-day oil trading structure more and more over the course of the day on each time frame from 15 second micro daytrading charting time-frame through to 1 minute, 5 minute and 60 minute time-frames that I will show you below.

Anyway, when I sat down for my daily market prep $STUDY session I realized the machines were firing long in to some price targets on the 60 minute oil chart time-frame structure. I knew that our software wouldn’t start trade executions yet (it needs a certain amount of machine order flow to support its bias and start triggering).

If you haven’t read the EPIC V3 Crude Oil Machine Trading White Paper yet you can read about the rule-set instructions it fires trades to here: White Paper Updated Dec 29, 2019: How EPIC v3 Crude Oil Machine Trading Outperforms Conventional Trading.

So I knew the machines in crude oil futures trade were / are firing long in to a price target for Thursday 1:00 PM based on the 1 hour oil charting time-frame (from that specific algorithmic model). So I took the trade before I finished my first coffee.

By the way, we trade when the machine flow is in the markets because it becomes unfair for the competitors, in other words, our win rate skyrockets because we have intelligence the average oil day-trader does not have (unless they are employing high-end machine intelligence).

Below is one example, I just closed out the day-trade in crude oil futures you will see here. 

I provide what I can (I can only show you so much) but what you will see below are the screen images from the oil trading room and oil trade alerts feed and algorithmic trading chart models that represent our machine trade for some of the time-frames. The guidance I provided the oil trading room and oil trade alert feed are included.

If you read this document carefully…

You will notice if you read this document carefully that I explained to the trading room what the machines would do in advance of it actually happening. On each time frame of trade we know what the decisions are algorithmically for the machine order flow.

I explained to the trading room what the machines would do in advance of it actually happening.

The charts below from the trade alerts and oil trading room are time stamped in the top left hand corner of the image .

I hope you enjoy the disclosure, here it is;

First the earlier trade set-up strategy commentary and guidance from the oil trading room earlier in the day discussing the upcoming time cycle in crude oil and machine order flow identified in markets.

Crude oil trading structure suggests decision for leg up or down prior to Thurs 1200 EST PM #oiltradingroom

Crude oil trading structure suggests decision for leg up or down prior to Thurs 1200 EST PM #oiltradingroom

Crude oil trading structure suggests decision for leg up or down prior to Thurs 1200 EST PM #oiltradingroom

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified.

JeremyToday at 10:19 AM
That was the strongest progressive order flow in the recent lows we have seen yet, likely machine programs in that rally. Time cycle for Thur 12:00 PM EST looks like the inflection (sometime prior). EPIC V3.1.1 was very close to firing, next rally we would expect programs to start.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:19 AM
Nice, thanks J

JeremyToday at 11:53 AM
Those SPY blocks from this morning you may see on social media people talking about, the machine programs coincide on CL progressive blocks. Same entity(s) likely.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 11:55 AM
thanks J

And one of my best oil trade alerts this week was here;

luisitoToday at 1:45 PM
Looking for a possible bounce from 10.00 area to 13.00s, trading 11.24 and dropping. FX USOIL WTI
@Curt Melonopoly amazing call

Curt MelonopolyToday at 1:45 PM
well thanks @luisito i’ll take what i can lol
we’re just watching this order flow now in to settlement because there were some sweepers in earlier today CL and SPy

luisitoToday at 1:47 PM
Curt: is a 400 ticks call. 100 down, 300 up.

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified #oiltradingroom

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified #oiltradingroom

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified #oiltradingroom

Curt MelonopolyToday at 1:48 PM
ha ya, hopefully the next is better, if we get follow through above the earlier blocks we should see 19.46
have to see if the sweeper push it

Curt MelonopolyToday at 2:32 PM

As expected: Moderate above VWAP in to settlement, reflects market action & order flow, API and EIA then likely reversal to 19.40s, we’ll watch and see if the sweepers return. Should see EPIC (I know I’ve said it last week but structure needs to be there and it seems were there)

Very technical move in crude oil, post EIA should provide exceptional trading opportunity, structure returning fast.

Very technical move in crude oil, post EIA should provide exceptional trading opportunity, structure returning fast.

Very technical move in crude oil, post EIA should provide exceptional trading opportunity, structure returning fast.

If the machine bulls get their way, 19.47 Thursday 100 PM is the mark, 600 ticks, trading 13.56, 1 hr firing clean #oiltradealerts

If the machine bulls get their way, 19.47 Thursday 100 PM is the mark, 600 ticks, trading 13.56, 1 hr firing clean #oiltradealerts

If the machine bulls get their way, 19.47 Thursday 100 PM is the mark, 600 ticks, trading 13.56, 1 hr firing clean #oiltradealerts

Oil Trading Room alerting first trade entry – I’m going to go with this tight stops 1-10 13.59 long. #oiltradingroom

I’m going to go with this tight stops 1/10 13.59 long. Likely fails but I’m going to try and build above 13.56. So I’ll close under go above around that pivot. Quoting FX USOI WTI traded on CL.

Oil Trading Room alerting first trade entry - I'm going to go with this tight stops 1-10 13.59 long. #oiltradingroom

Oil Trading Room alerting first trade entry – I’m going to go with this tight stops 1-10 13.59 long. #oiltradingroom

The one minute support (pivot) I am speaking about (white arrow), but they have to clear 1 hour resistance on previous chart. #oiltradealerts

The one minute support (pivot) I am speaking about (white arrow), but they have to clear 1 hour resistance on previous chart. #oiltradealerts

The one minute support (pivot) I am speaking about (white arrow), but they have to clear 1 hour resistance on previous chart. #oiltradealerts

Hoping my long position sees a bit of a squeeze in oil futures here in to 1030 PM EST time cycle peak on 5 min timeframe #oiltradealerts

Hoping my long position sees a bit of a squeeze in oil futures here in to 1030 PM EST time cycle peak on 5 min timeframe #oiltradealerts

Hoping my long position sees a bit of a squeeze in oil futures here in to 1030 PM EST time cycle peak on 5 min timeframe #oiltradealerts

I marked the price targets for intra day machine route bias to the 19.47 price target Thursday. See chart. #oiltradealerts

I marked the price targets for intra day machine route bias to the 19.47 price target Thursday. See chart. #oiltradealerts

I marked the price targets for intra day machine route bias to the 19.47 price target Thursday. See chart. #oiltradealerts

Screen capture of actual oil trade alert from private member feed – 14.19 is the next resistance trading… #oiltradealerts

14.19 is the next resistance trading 14.05 so i may close 14.18 area and see if we pull back and then go again.

Screen capture of actual oil trade alert from private member feed - 14.19 is the next resistance trading... #oiltradealerts

Screen capture of actual oil trade alert from private member feed – 14.19 is the next resistance trading… #oiltradealerts

Bulls are taking some profit at 14.04 recent double top area of price, so we’ll see how this shapes up or down #oiltradealerts

Bulls are taking some profit at 14.04 recent double top area of price, so we'll see how this shapes up or down #oiltradealerts

Bulls are taking some profit at 14.04 recent double top area of price, so we’ll see how this shapes up or down #oiltradealerts

Based on the first symmetrical extension on the 1 min your new pivot is approx 13.74, so if bulls are firing on 1 min this should hold.

Based on the first symmetrical extension on the 1 min your new pivot is approx 13.74, so if bulls are firing on 1 min this should hold.

Based on the first symmetrical extension on the 1 min your new pivot is approx 13.74, so if bulls are firing on 1 min this should hold.

If your 1 min symmetrical pivot support doesn’t hold then look to 5 min 20 MA for bulls to go or not in to 1030 timing #oiltradealerts

If your 1 min symmetrical pivvot support doesn't hold then look to 5 min 20 MA for bulls to go or not in to 1030 timing #oiltradealerts

If your 1 min symmetrical pivvot support doesn’t hold then look to 5 min 20 MA for bulls to go or not in to 1030 timing #oiltradealerts

Screen capture image of oil trading alert private feed where I close the oil trade for a win and explain decisions #oiltradingalert

Screen capture image of oil trading alert private feed where I close the oil trade for a win and explain decisions #oiltradingalert

Screen capture image of oil trading alert private feed where I close the oil trade for a win and explain decisions #oiltradingalert

Screen shot image captured of actual oil trading room discussion from lead trader and guidance for trade plan #oiltraderoom

I am going to let them go from here without me and on a pull back (likely after time cycle peak) then I will re-enter long for the next leg up.

I got a 58 point move there on that time cycle, symmetrical set-up s I’m happy with that considering time of day.

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don’t make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly.

Screen shot image captured of actual oil trading room discussion from lead trader and guidance for trade plan #oiltraderoom

Screen shot image captured of actual oil trading room discussion from lead trader and guidance for trade plan #oiltraderoom

I got my bullish extension on 1 min symmetrical move as planned, lets see if I get a pull back, still time n to 1030 time cycle for more #oiltradealerts

I got my bullish extension on 1 min symmetrical move as planned, lets see if I get a pull back, still time n to 1030 time cycle for more #oiltradealerts

I got my bullish extension on 1 min symmetrical move as planned, lets see if I get a pull back, still time n to 1030 time cycle for more #oiltradealerts

You can see how the squeeze is occurring in crude oil in to the time cycle at 1030 PM as it did at 730 PM #oiltradealerts

You can see how the squeeze is occurring in crude oil in to the time cycle at 1030 PM as it did at 730 PM #oiltradealerts

You can see how the squeeze is occurring in crude oil in to the time cycle at 1030 PM as it did at 730 PM #oiltradealerts

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don’t make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly. #oiltradealerts

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don't make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly. #oiltradealerts

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don’t make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly. #oiltradealerts

Over 14.19 in crude oil trade on FX USOIL WTI 14.56 then 14.80 are your next intraday resistance #oiltrading #daytrading

Over 14.19 in crude oil trade on FX USOIL WTI 14.56 then 14.80 are your next intraday resistance #oiltrading #daytrading

Over 14.19 in crude oil trade on FX USOIL WTI 14.56 then 14.80 are your next intraday resistance #oiltrading #daytrading

You can see how bulls in oil trade are firing off the trajectory arrow toward the price targets I’m alerting, when it fails watch out #oiltradealerts

You can see how bulls in oil trade are firing off the trajectory arrow toward the price targets I'm alerting, when it fails watch out #oiltradealerts

You can see how bulls in oil trade are firing off the trajectory arrow toward the price targets I’m alerting, when it fails watch out #oiltradealerts

Bulls only have 5 prime minutes left (10 total) and trajectory for 14.56 price target comes in at 1057PM so they need a squeeze #oiltradealerts

Bulls only have 5 prime minutes left (10 total) and trajectory for 14.56 price target comes in at 1057PM so they need a squeeze #oiltradealerts

Bulls only have 5 prime minutes left (10 total) and trajectory for 14.56 price target comes in at 1057PM so they need a squeeze #oiltradealerts

They have 4 minutes left to 5 min candle expiry, at 1035 if price target not hit the advantage goes to bears short term #oildaytrading

They have 4 minutes left to 5 min candle expiry, at 1035 if price target not hit the advantage goes to bears short term #oildaytrading

They have 4 minutes left to 5 min candle expiry, at 1035 if price target not hit the advantage goes to bears short term #oildaytrading

At 103230 they are firing off half time on 5 min candle decision half range pivot support, if it fails they likely fail here #oiltradealerts

At 103230 they are firing off half time on 5 min candle decision half range pivot support, if it fails they likely fail here #oiltradealerts

At 103230 they are firing off half time on 5 min candle decision half range pivot support, if it fails they likely fail here #oiltradealerts

At turn of 1035 PM 5 min candle first signs of break down are appearing #machinetradingoil

At turn of 1035 PM 5 min candle first signs of break down are appearing #machinetradingoil

At turn of 1035 PM 5 min candle first signs of break down are appearing #machinetradingoil

If the break down continues, the first real buy trigger for the bulls again is 200MA on 1 min likely at 1100PM #daytradingcrudeoil

If the break down continues, the first real buy trigger for the bulls again is 200MA on 1 min likely at 1100PM #daytradingcrudeoil

If the break down continues, the first real buy trigger for the bulls again is 200MA on 1 min likely at 1100PM #daytradingcrudeoil

Here’s your 200 MA price hit on the crude oil 1 minute time frame, just below is vwap and 1 min range support #oildaytrading

Here's your 200 MA price hit on the crude oil 1 minute time frame, just below is vwap and 1 min range support #oildaytrading

Here’s your 200 MA price hit on the crude oil 1 minute time frame, just below is vwap and 1 min range support #oildaytrading

And now the pinch between the 20 MA to upside of price and 200 MA support lower than price for a decision #oiltrading #technicalanalyis

And now the pinch between the 20 MA to upside of price and 200 MA support lower than price for a decision #oiltrading #technicalanalyis

And now the pinch between the 20 MA to upside of price and 200 MA support lower than price for a decision #oiltrading #technicalanalyis

I am sure you can see from the trade action in the oil futures markets how it is best to have machine trade intelligence on your side if you are going to trade crude oil.

My goal is to build the best oil trading room and alerts service in the world for traders, it is a large task, but the hardest part of our mission is done, we can trade with the best machines in the world now. The rest should be easier.

Any questions please send me a note via email [email protected].

Thank you.

Curt

Part 2 of this article here: “Excuse Me, While I Kiss The Sky”. Part 2 Insider’s Look at How We Daytrade Crude Oil (w/ real-time alert screen shots from oil trading room).

Part 3 of this article here: BOOOM! Price and Time Exactly as Predicted Days in Advance | Part 3 – How We Daytrade Crude Oil #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Article Topics; oil, daytrading, oil trade alerts, oil trading room, crude oil, futures, trade, strategy


Note to our Traders: Weekly Scheduling Notes in Advance of Trading

RE: Update to Previous Email – Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinars, Live Trading Room Broadcasts, Real-Time Swing and Oil Trade Alerts, Oil Machine Trading, Newsletter Reporting.

Well, the time cycle we are in is starting to heat up and this is the time to be awake, this week should see us start to lean in to our swing trade positioning and I expect a very active trading week in crude oil.

Below are some scheduling and development notes for our members / traders.

Internet Infrastructure.

As a result of the development work we do our small development team is in different countries and I happen to be at the beach void of first world.

When I travel (which is regularly) internet infrastructure has to be prepared and every single time we end up having to re-do what the locals have prepared for us in advance.

In this specific instance I had to change locations for security cautionary reasons due to the Corona lock-down.

I will note also that someday every possibility will be covered off on our internet preparation checklists and nothing will get past us in advance of me arriving to a location, nevertheless once again we are dealing with it.

BUT I am happy to report we have now have a 100% solution at my current location and complete resolution (installed) will be May 10th at the latest and more probably this week. Until then, below is how we will handle our trading services.

Sunday Swing Trade Webinar $STUDY.

I will only do the Weekly Swing Trade Watch List $STUDY by way of newsletter reporting and alert feeds and not live for now (until internet install is complete), working on the current reporting for this weeks trade set-ups on watch now for distribution.

At the end of last week many of the trades and markets started to firm up and themes are starting to develop. As a result the swing trade alerts started to increase in frequency as we neared the end of the week so you can expect this to be a busy week.

Be sure to read the recent swing trade articles and watch the newsletters and alerts flow carefully here.

Soon we will restart Sunday $STUDY webinars live when final internet install is complete.

Live Trading Broadcast Room.

The markets will be active this week so I have no choice but to run with what we have, hopefully they have the install done sooner than later. If we crash in the broadcast room we crash and I will just re-boot every-time.

We don’t have a choice we have to run with it. The time cycle is getting very involved – trades are “in play” and we have to go with it as it is. 

The Swing Trading set-ups are starting to get prime and our Oil Trading Machine Trade software is firing.

I will be in the live trading broadcast room during regular market hours and any other time trade becomes active in overnight futures or in pre or post markets.

Jen will be crediting Live Trading Room member accounts for any down-time.

Machine Trading.

You can expect the crude oil machine trading to be active now that EPIC V3.1.1 black swan and shorting trend updates are complete and it looks as though oil may be getting somewhat structured again after it’s “epic” collapse to negative territory.

The swing trading platform is being coded one set-up at a time as I am updating chart models, with two hundred equities we follow and code this will take time.

Alerts.

All alerts (oil trade alerts and swing trading alerts) will be as normal and will be sent out. Worst scenario we have internet back-up systems, the internet at this point only really affects the live broadcasting in the trading room.

One quick note, very soon I will be taking the swing trade set-ups and moving them down to daytrading time-frames also for intraday positioning as we build larger swing positions in the time cycle trajectory of trade – as such, we will be opening our daytrading alert feed again at that time (within 10 days at most) and swing trade members will get free access to that also.

Newsletters.

The swing trade and oil trade newsletter(s) will go out as usual and will actually be more timely and regular now that the Black Swan event is taking less of my time (time that was needed to understand the event to bias the trading going forward).

More specifically you can expect the swing newsletter flow to start prior to Monday premarket and the crude oil newsletter flow to start sometime Monday (I would like to see oil trade in futures prior to determining my bias on crude oil and invest the time in updating all the chart models also).

But the trade alerts will run live for both, if the trade is there, we’re go time.

Remember, if you need anything please email, if we haven’t responded to a previous just hit us again (it can get busy during market hours to say the least).

Peace and best,

Curt

Above all, keep your bias in check and remember the ranges can be very, very big in to these time cycles.

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1254449744836988928

 

 


Part 2 of 2: Swing Trade $STUDY Review on ARCUS BIOSCIENCES (RCUS) Swing Trade Alert Trading Strategy.

“Down Trending Resistance Trend Line Break-out Swing Trade”. 

Below there are so many secrets to our swing trading success, in this article we look at the following areas of trading discipline for your trading plan:

  • Determining bias according to market time-cycles,
  • How to scan for swing trading set-ups,
  • How to determine price extensions for realistic price targets,
  • Support and resistance diagonal trend-lines, horizontal trend-lines, Fibonacci levels,
  • How to manage execution of the swing trade set-up,
  • How to manage trading stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow trade executions at support and resistance.

Part 2 of this analysis (below) is a Premium Member Only article and Part 1 can be found here;

Swing Trade Alerts Review: Traders $STUDY Guide “Trading Down Trend-Line Break-Out” ARCUS BIOSCIENCES Set-Up (Unlocked – Part 1 of 2)

Determining Time Cycle Bias for Your Trades.

Recently I wrote a few articles on the topic of time cycles in the markets using the Volatility (VIX) structured time cycles, this is a great place to start when determining first your bias of being bullish or bearish. In other words, should you be more focused on swing trades to the long or short side?

You can find Part 1 of the two part article here: How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities, Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.

If the trajectory of market volatility is down (compressed) and you are more confident that volatility will be lower as you approach the next time cycle inflection then in most cases you would be bullish equities – this of course is just one example.

Alternatively you would be bias to the down-side for trading volatility so you may short $TVIX in this instance.

There are many ways to take advantage of the time cycles with various swing trades from Indices, Currencies, Crypto, Sectors, Stocks and more.

Just because the volatility is expected to rise or fall doesn’t mean however this should be the only determining factor when choosing theme trade set-ups, below is an example of just that with the ARCUS stock trade.

First, lets look at how stock scanning works.

How to Scan For Stock Swing Trading Set-Ups.

Good stock technical analysis knows before the news hits more often than not what the likely trade on each stock will be.

Technical analysis knows before the news hits because the stock will start to provide “tells” within the trade action of the stock and various technical points become clear.

So if you can know the TA of a specific stock better than most you have an advantage over other traders at all times because you can usually be ahead of the main part of the move.

Anyone, even the best fundamental traders would do better if they were also experts at technical analysis.

If the technical structure of the chart is suggesting a bullish move for example, you can then start to take small entries and build a position in expectation of a move.

The technical “tells” develop when insiders know something about upcoming news or even as geopolitical narratives are changing.

And then as you start to see specific technical trade patterns set-up in more and more equities you will find that this is a manifestation of the expert traders all beginning to bias their trades toward a theme usually within a sector, whether it be for a technical reason or a geo-political reason or perhaps some other fundamental or market sentiment reason.

If you get in “the pocket” right, you will find many set-ups during a period of time that will be almost identical and will provide excellent returns one after another.

This is what happened with our trading of the technical set-up in RCUS, many others were very similar during this time period in the markets and our returns increased rapidly.

I keep it simple and use Trading View for my scans. 

On any given day, usually sometime after lunch I will open Trading View and click on the fire emblem on top right side of screen – this is your hot-lists of hot stocks on the day (see screen shot of my Trading View below). You can set the scanner in Trading View for various levels and parameters. I scan the running stocks with large gains, the losers and the OTC markets.

scanning, stocks, swing trading

I will open Trading View and click on the fire emblem on top right side of screen – this is hot stocks on day.

Then I simply open each chart (primarily scanning the hot stocks on the day) and I start with the weekly time-frame.

I’m looking for chart history or patterns of trade, chart memory or some semblance of chart history with some order. The simpler the chart patterns the better. Anyway, as you learn all the different set-ups this gets much easier and faster.

Every financial instrument I trade I make sure that it has a structure, some order is required or your trading edge is not increased.

When I find a chart set-up I like I open the chart and take a look at it on various time-frames and consider how to trade the stock, price targets and various support and resistance levels.

Then I look at things like incoming volume, company news, sector themes, geopolitical type things, look at insider buying or selling and various other research.

During the period of time we took the swing trade in ARCUS the trend-line resistance break-out trade was happening regularly and was providing excellent returns for 2 – 6x and even more in some cases wins.

When I Used the Scanner and Isolated the ARCUS Swing Trade Set-Up It Was Yet Another Trend-line Resistance Set-Up That Was Likely to Explode.

Below is the chart I found when scanning, it shows clearly the trend-line resistance set-up. The chart below is from one of the earlier swing trade alerts we sent out to members for this set-up. You can see the spike through the trend-line resistance (which occurred after the original alert). 

You can clearly see the down-sloping trend-line in the chart on the alert.

This set-up was on high alert because this specific trade set-up was hitting one after another, if this was not the case I wouldn’t have been so keen on taking these trades.

you want to be where the wolf pack is

It is the theme that is important, you want to be where the wolf pack is, where all the other winning traders are. Just a winning set-up isn’t enough. Just a news event or a fundamental set up on its own is not the optimal scenario, you want to be where the flow is. This is critical.

Swing trade, alert, review, set-up

This chart swing trade strategy (setup) late 2019 early 2020 was found on scans regularly for big trader wins #swingtradealerts

And then as the trade progressed (after alerting the swing trade sometime earlier) the structure of trade was clear and it was just a matter of trading risk in ebb and flow (see chart below). 

It is important to note that we cannot alert every pull back and add and trim, it isn’t possible, what we do is get our members started in a swing trade and then endeavor to alert the key trades (especially key areas of resistance) as it progresses. Our trader’s platform (automation for alerts) will solve this manpower issue, but really every trader should be planning their sizing and support and resistance adds and trims for profit based on their own account risk, risk tolerance, style and more. If you are just blindly following another trader this will not work for you.

ARCUS BIO (RCUS) in bullish structure, decent action considering market this week, continuation for us $RCUS

ARCUS BIO (RCUS) in bullish structure, decent action considering market this week, continuation for us $RCUS

Charting Price Extensions for Price Targets and Timing.

This can be more art than science and your price extensions and price targets may change as the price or timing of the stock price movements move along.

In the chart below you will see diagonal white arrows (3 of them). The angle is just a reflection of the down-slope (a mirror of the angle). The length of the price extension is simply a mirror of the down-slope trend from previous. So each of the 3 arrows trending up are equal in duration and price.

These are a simple way of taking a shot at the most probable price extensions.

One key note here is that often you will get 1.5 extensions or 3. Why I don’t know. If you look at the chart below that is how I determined my price target from 15.00 to 30.00 and in last weeks trade the price target was hit early.

You will also notice (in blue on chart) I drew in an Elliott Impulse Wave, but I do that more for fun to see if I can tell the exact future of the play, you can see in this instance I was close, but the bulls were more aggressive than I even thought they would be.

Swing trade chart with price extensions, price targets, timing, Fibonacci, support and resistance levels of trade.

Swing trade chart with price extensions, price targets, timing, Fibonacci, support and resistance levels of trade.

Support and resistance diagonal trend-lines, horizontal trend-lines, Fibonacci levels.

In the chart above the diagonal trend-lines (charted in advance of trend-lines being there) are determined by taking the down trending price action of prior and extending the the tops of each lower high as the stock traded down in trend. the angle of the trend-lines was simply determined by historical trade.

The horizontal trend-lines (thin grey ones on the chart) were determined by simply drawing horizontal rays at the highs in the previous downtrend then duplicating to create a grid. These are not that important, I use them to see if there is a grid to be had. Why? Because I’m looking for order or structure.

And then the Fibonacci levels are simply done using your Fibonacci retracement drawing tool between the key support (or bottom of chart) and the price extension top. And then you copy and paste it up for each key leg in possible future trade. I always chart the low and high as horizontal key support and run them straight across horizontally on the chart as grey or green as these represent key areas of support and resistance.

How to Swing Trade It – manage execution of the swing trade set-up: Starter positioning, trading stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow trade executions at support and resistance.

Usually, when price breaks the trend-line resistance to the upside this is your trigger to be at least on watch for your initial entry.

You need to determine how many entries you are prepared to take. Hopefully it is more than one and preferably up to 10. Here is why;

When price breaks out upside the trend-line you want to be able to take at least a starter right away because most traders will wait until price returns to the previous resistance now support for the test of support and then go.

Some will even wait for it to bounce and get higher than the previous candle. All methods are fine but if you’re in it to win it then I would suggest taking 1/10 size at each of those three triggers I just explained. 

Why? Because sometimes price doesn’t come back to you. The stronger the theme, the stronger the market, the stronger the stock set-up the less chance it’s coming back to you and then you’re chasing it.

Now if you’re in 3/10 size or 30% size and your trade breaks down, you’re down on your trade but if you are winning 80% or better you can lose 10% 2 out of 10 times and win 30% or more 8 out of 10 times.

In the ARCUS example price never came back.

I look at every trade like a chess board, the more dot plots or entries and trims of profit the better, this is how we’re coding the 200 equities to trade under the machine trading program and how we’re coding the trader’s digital platform so members of our swing trade alerts will be able to see this real time. Until then, there is myself and three staff managing the numerous trades in various equities along with coding, alerts, newsletter publications and various other duties – hence the reason for coding automation.

Now, in the ARCUS example above you would have taken your starter 10 – 20% in size and it didn’t come back, what it did is it hit the first key resistance and then came back.

AT THAT RESISTANCE you need to trim 50% of your profit and then add to the trade at key supports in bits until it bounces and then continue with taking profits along the way at each key resistance.

Managing your trade size is critical. If you’re only going to be a one hit wonder, taking one entry for the win then you need to learn how to bring your charting down to a daytrading time frame so that you can execute your position on a lower time-frame of charting like a 5, 15 or 30 minute chart. I have an article coming on this discipline but in the meantime if you need to know how I do this ask me for a coaching session and I’ll show you.

Setting your stops is based on many things and this is why I don’t like publishing alerts with stops. This is determined by your experience (newer traders have to take more cuts because they don’t know what a prime set up is) so newer traders have to use hard stops religiously, I don’t because I know I can dot plot my way out of any trade as long as the stock isn’t destroyed by some black swan event.

In a black swan (market wide) I don’t worry because I’m in structured strong set-ups 90% of the time. If it’s not a strong set-up I’ll usually alert that or if its risky etc.

newer traders have to use hard stops religiously, I don’t because I know I can dot plot my way out of any trade as long as the stock isn’t destroyed by some black swan event

All of our trades we are sizing adds at support and trimming at resistance areas. There are many things that determine this also, such as market time cycles, market sentiment, sector sentiment, perhaps the technical set up is no longer being run by the bulls and many other factors.

False break-outs happen so you need to be prepared to take a loss, but when you get better at being able to determine key set-ups for all the reasons above and more you won’t be as concerned about that.

Other considerations technically speaking;

Most traders will wait for the current chart candle to close beyond the down-sloping trend-line resistance so they have a confirmed break-out, but remember, sometimes this won’t happen and a really bullish stock will just leave you in the dust.

Most traders will take their initial long starter position in the trade when the stock price has retraced back near or at the original trend-line, but again, this does not always happen and you can get left behind.

Most traders will set their stop just beyond failure of the trend-line but this can cause a trader’s account balance to be dwindled due to death by a thousand cuts.

The secret here is to not be most traders.

In this game if you are like most you will have like most (at best) returns, around 15% a year if you are lucky.

The traders that consistently post returns of 3, 4, 5 x or more per year are using a strategy that most do not.

What is that?

How did Wayne Gretzky explain how he played hockey? He had a knack at knowing where the puck was going to be so he went there.

“Skate to where the puck is going, not where it has been.”

— Wayne Gretzky

Same thing here.

Below is one of many of my rants on the subject, on my personal twitter feed;

If you get good at what I am describing above you will always know in advance (with high probability) when the price of the stock is going to move that you are trading, so manage the risk between where it is and where it is going like a chess board and you will see returns of 3, 4, 5 x or more per year.

Any questions email me anytime at [email protected].

Thanks

Curt

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

 

Article Topics; swing trading, swing trade review, study, stocks, alerts, set-ups, patterns, break-outs, themes, support, resistance, trendlines, sizing, stops, risk, technical analysis, Fibonacci, price targets, price extensions, strategy.


A Review of a Recent Swing Trade Alert for a Big Win in ARCUS BIOSCIENCES (RCUS) for our Swing Trading Members. Part 1 of 2 (Unlocked). 

The set-up review below is the “Down Trending Resistance Trend Line Break-out Swing Trade”. 

Part 1 is a public facing “unlocked” article that sets the stage for the technical set-up, how it was alerted, the conclusion of the main meat of the trade and some commentary on how to improve your swing trading win rate and return on investment.  

Part 2 explains in depth how to scan for these set-up patterns, how to establish your price extensions for realistic price targets for your trading plan, support and resistance, trend-lines, Fibonacci levels, how to manage your stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow your trade executions at support and resistance and much more.

Part 2 of this analysis is a Premium Member Only article and can be found here:

Protected: Swing Traders $STUDY Guide “Trading Down Trend-Line Break-Outs” ARCUS BIOSCIENCES Set-Up (Premium Part 2 of 2) #swingtradingreviews

First, below is a post to our swing trading (public side) Twitter feed that shows one of the earlier tweets alerting the swing trade (from our swing trade alert service) and also one of the later alerts advising traders to trim profits soon as earnings are this week for the ARCUS stock.

“This swing trade strategy (chart setup) late 2019 early 2020 was found on scans regularly for themed big trader wins.

“Swing Trading Alert to take profit on 2x hit on technical set-up that occurred during time cycle over and over for 2-6x plus hits”

#swingtradealerts $RCUS”

Next below is a post from my personal Twitter feed explaining in a little more detail how traders can $STUDY swing trade alert reviews and catalogue set-ups for their own trading repertoire.

Running with the wolf pack is important in trading, it’s much better than randomly thinking you know it all. If you can find where the pack is and what they’re running (themes) this is the highest probability of arena of trade to be winning consistently.

You just need to be able to “out stick handle” the other traders in the pack so you are the last one holding the bag in the trade.

Technical analysis training helps you know how to manage your swing trade properly and when a trader has themes plus technical analysis on their side they’re a long way to becoming a consistent winning trader.

Then it’s learning how to size your entry, where to add and trim your trade size and how to manage risk and emotion.

“Example of chart structure set-up that when others are locking in on TA themes can produce 2-9x wins over and over, this particular set-up in last time cycle was one of our best winners over and over on our swing trade platform. One for the set-ups trade $STUDY catalogue.”

“For our swing traders (or those in the Sunday $STUDY sessions) I explain how to measure out the price extensions for the move(s) when price breaks out of the pattern and runs. Fantastic set-up to learn.”

“These technical “themes” are identified for swing trades by running daily scans on structured plays, some traders will call them “patterns“, we refer to them as “structures” because we want to be able to establish timing for our price targets and price extensions etc.”

“It also helps a trader stay out of that negative feed-back loop of losses when you are forcing trades, if you spend 9/10’s of your time scanning $STUDY for set-up themes and execute on where the wolf pack is you’re much more likely to see a high win percentage in your trading.”

“Moral of the story is if a trader can identify set-up patterns (TA) themes on scans trading community is driving w/i time cycles, returns (ROI) can soar when you’re “in the pocket” so to speak. It makes up for random forced trades and focuses your energy to where the winning is.”

Swing trade, alert, review, set-up

This chart swing trade strategy (setup) late 2019 early 2020 was found on scans regularly for big trader wins #swingtradealerts

swing trading, alerts, review

Swing Trading Alert to take profit on 2x hit on a technical set-up that occurred during a time cycle over and over for 2-6x plus hits #swingtradealerts

As you can see in the swing trade review above, this pattern can be a very powerful set-up for traders and produces a fantastic win for great returns. If you have set-ups like these to work with then the odd losing trade doesn’t matter.

If you need help with a trade set-up or becoming a consistent win-side trader email me at [email protected].

Thanks,

Curt

Members can expect Part 2 of this article in your email inbox within a few hours.

In Part 2, as noted above, I will explain in detail how we scan for these great themes and patterns, how you establish and measure price extensions for price targets for your trading plan, the support and resistance areas of the charts, various trend-lines, how to chart the Fibonacci levels, how to manage your stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow of trade executions at support and resistance and much more.

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Follow:

 

Article Topics; Swing Trading, Reviews, Technical Analysis, Alerts, Trade, Set-Ups, Patterns, Price Targets, Swing Trade Reviews


Premarket Morning Note

Good morning traders

Bear with us with reporting, there’s a lot of moving parts and we’re exhausted to be honest, it will be nice to get a break for a near day from Friday close to Saturday afternoon haha.

We’re still working with new internet line but have solutions so we’re close, unfortunately only way we can do our development in our work is to be in places where infrastructure requires us to be involved, so it is so.

And the server capacity at Click Meeting and with internet wide is still challenged but areas of the world are opening so this will improve.

COVID has tasked our body limits to say the least, work load is heavy.

Nevertheless, we’re getting there one step at a time.

Now, today is Friday, go easy, we see this inflection and bull most likely running next week, but you have to be in the right themes. I promise you we will have continued reporting out this weekend and it will be substantial (after some rest). We’re going to clean up reporting all current positions and profit loss status and be ready for the new.

Thanks very much again for your support and stay safe out there today.

Curt

Oil Trade Alerts

This time cycle was spot on, too bad I miss executed my swing trade trying to chip in to the turn on the intra-week trade I chickened out, that was an error. However, the EPIC V3.1.1 upgrade is firing with precision in the oil trading room and alerts so this is very encouraging, the code updates we a challenge in this Black Swan event to say the least.

This time cycle alerted in crude oil in this article was in fact the low for the week. Understanding time cycles can help traders position bias on various time-frames #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #premarket #oiltrading #timecycles

A Real-Time Example of How Time-Cycles Work in Crude Oil Trade 🎯🔥🏹 #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL $UCO $SCO #oiltrading #tradealerts 👇

This is what it looks like when the machines abuse humans. Nice upgrades EPIC V3.1.1 Machine SoftwareDirect hitFireBow and arrowDown pointing backhand index

Swing Trade Alerts

And on the swing trading alerts side of the biz things are going well, it’s just a matter of working through positioning (dot plotting) your trade thesis within themes, this takes a lot of work.

The last two cycles were super strong and we expect the new to be also, it does take some time however in the inflection (or the turn of the cycle). This weekend we’ll have a lot more of the set-ups out to our swing trading members and the inflection should start to take hold and clarity in to end of August 2020 time cycle should be in full play (themes of trades).

The alerts this morning to the swing trading alert feed are examples of themes that should be strong.

The ZOOM swing trade alert was a double, that is a great example of a theme type play.

There are others developing now for this time cycle, so we expect each time cycle to be bigger as we go.

swing trade alerts, ZOOM, trade

ZOOM (ZM) trading 175s premarket with outside price target 211s use caution and take profits on the way y’all #swingtrading $ZM

 

Article Topics; Premarket, swing trade alerts, machine trading, oil trading, swing trading, live trading room, time cycles, alerts, crude oil.

 

 


Premarket Commentary: It’s Going to be a Busy Day in the Markets.

Iran, Trump, Oil, #OOTT, $CLF, Swing Trade Positions, Machine Trade Update, EIA

 

Morning traders!

As noted a number of times, we expect an intra-week time cycle inflection here (between last evening and end of Thursday). It seems the bulls in various markets agree in premarket.

Reporting tonight will be focused on swing trades in play and alerts reviews, how to structure the trades going forward and Profit and Loss Statement Reviews for Swing Trading Service.

 

Saber rattling with Iran has begun, oil is on high watch here, also EIA at 10:30 AM today.

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
I have instructed the United States Navy to shoot down and destroy any and all Iranian gunboats if they harass our ships at sea.
8:08 AM · Apr 22, 2020

 

EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil machine trade software was launched last night, it was an upgrade to execute short term swing trades short in crash scenarios (basically piling on during a crash).

Notes below from the oil trading room:

Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:15 PM
@Jeremy i guess we should consider a blow-up protocol update sooner than later take advantage of the party
JeremyYesterday at 2:15 PM
:thumbsup:
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:17 PM
if they hold this it may not blow up considering possible time cycle intra-week
JeremyYesterday at 2:19 PM
i will retrieve exchane data set on negative price protocols
exchange
Curt MelonopolyYesterday at 2:19 PM
k
mind trip the possibilities in negative
JeremyYesterday at 2:20 PM
pending protocols

 

EPIC V3.1.1 oil machine trading software started firing trades this morning alerting them to the oil trading room, which means order flow is turning positive for bulls fyi

 

Google is updating to first page on search results the EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter feed, this is big news and more on this in a separate article.

 

Article I wrote last night on US Dollar strength, very important for swing trading and investing bias, more on this in swing trading articles around theme plays in this time cycle.

How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USD/CAD $DXY #swingtrading #FX

How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3): Theme Trading Strategies – How the US Dollar Should Bias Trade Positioning. $USDCAD $DXY #FX

 

This Thread Shows the Important of Time Cycles in Trading, A Real Time Example of Oil Trade, also article expands on it a bit.

A Real-Time Example of How Time-Cycles Work in Crude Oil Trade 🎯🔥🏹 #OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL $UCO $SCO #oiltrading #tradealerts 👇

This thread shows live oil trade alerts from the oil trading room this morning (Discord) and how the algorithmic charting and time cycles provide an edge for oil traders.

A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade 

#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles Down pointing backhand index

I will be on mic in trading room for any trading today in live trading room and EIA.

Good luck out there!

Curt

 

Other social posts and news articles of interest:

 

 

 

Article Topics; Premarket, crude oil, Iran, EPIC V3, machine trading, oil trading, swing trading, live trading room, time cycles.


Real Time Crude Oil Trade Alerts, How Time-Cycles Work – Crude Oil Day-Trading Strategies April 22, 2020.

Daytrading crude oil is not easy, having an edge helps. Time cycles are an edge and algorithmic models also help considerably.

Below is a documented real-time oil trade I took earlier this morning – alerting the trade, charting and guidance to our oil trading room members with a series of trade alerts.

The actual oil trade alerts, oil trading room discussion, guidance and charting is below.

The charting includes our EPIC v3 Machine Trading 30 minute algorithmic model and the 1 minute daytrading chart model that our software uses.

In this instance this was a day trade intended to develop in to an intra-week swing trade.

This trading set-up and the strategy itself is in play live right now.

Oil traders may find this interesting for Wednesday April 22,2020 trade.

See below.

A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade Direct hitFireBow and arrow

#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles

Curt MelonopolyToday at 3:14 AM
Starting a swing long 1/10 size 11.00 with stop 10.39 (on FX USOIL WTI) traded on CL, entering other side of quad on EPIC 30 Min – Curt Personal intraday swing trade.
Will advise.
obviously a high risk trade

oil, trading alerts, trading room

Screen image of actual oil trade alert on feed alerted to oil trading room members of entry positioning #oiltradingalerts

30 min quad, hoping to get turn up here

If I actually get my way here I will trim 25% at 11.39, 11.62, 11.87 and have stop just above entry hoping the 25% remaining gets the turn up for more.
There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well.

There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well.

There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well.

Full move through the EPIC 30 min quad fast there and the swing trade in crude oil is well positioned in time cycle #oiltradealerts

oil, trade alert

Full move through the EPIC 30 min quad fast there and the swing trade in crude oil is well positioned in time cycle #oiltradealerts

The power of time cycles and algorithmic trading. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts

oil trading room, alerts

Screen capture image of oil trading room alerts and charting with guidance to traders on oil trade strategy #oiltradingroom #tradealerts

Any questions please send me a note via email [email protected].

Thank you.

Curt

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

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Article Topics; Crude, Oil, Trading, Strategies, time-cycles, crude oil trade, oil trading room, #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO, $USOIL, $UCO, $SCO, tradealerts, Swing Trading, daytrading, FX, USOIL, WTI


How to Swing Trade Time-Cycles (Unlocked PT #3)

Theme Swing Trading Strategies – How US Dollar Should Bias Trades in Indices, Commodities, Currencies, Crypto and Stocks.

Below is a copy of a $USDCAD Trading View chart idea I just posted open to the public (unlocked) that shows the time cycle peak for USDCAD in to Jan/Feb of 2021 warning shorts of the potential for significant volatility in to that time period, it is advantage bulls in USDCAD.

Any other investing or swing trading a trader does should take this time cycle and strength of the US Dollar in to consideration.

Time cycle peaks can go either way so it is important to be flexible in your trading bias, however, this particular set-up is unusually strong and it is a LARGE TIME-CYCLE, this is charted on a Weekly Time-Frame which should be given great consideration by a trader in strategic theme trade planning.

The second part to this public facing unlocked post will be part 3B at which time I will unlock the theme swing plays our members will want to consider for swing trading various financial instruments (as listed above in sub title) in to this time cycle peak.

I will also expand on the US Dollar charting and various algorithmic models to consider in the US Dollar (DXY) for trading it and themes surrounding the US Dollar.

For now, a copy of my Trading View Post on USDCAD chart structure is below with some comment.

Very Dangerous for Shorts – USDCAD Time Cycle Peak Jan-Feb 2021 – #USDCAD chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCAD/51QMVLkm-Very-Dangerous-for-Shorts-USDCAD-Time-Cycle-Peak-Jan-Feb-2021/

USDCAD, chart, currencies, swingtrading

Very Dangerous for Shorts – USDCAD Time Cycle Peak Jan-Feb 2021 – #USDCAD chart

Time Cycle Peaks and Inflections

Time cycle inflections can go either way, they are an area of great volatility , but for now this is significantly weighted to advantage bulls as it relates to the time cycle in currency trade for USDCAD #USDCAD $USDCAD.

What makes this potentially even more volatile is the work we do in volatility $VIX timecycles and Oil volatility ( OVX ) etc. They are all signalling this time period as extreme.

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities , Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.

https://compoundtrading.com/how-to-swing-trade-volatility-vix-time-cycles-unlocked-pt-1-achieve-higher-gains-in-stocks-commodities-indices-crypto-currencies-and-theme-trades/

Protected: How to Swing Trade Volatility Time-Cycles (PREMIUM PT 2): Entering Eye of The Storm – Indices, Commodities , Currencies, Crypto and Stock Theme Trades.

https://compoundtrading.com/how-to-swing-trade-volatility-time-cycles-premium-pt-2-entering-eye-of-the-storm-indices-commodities-currencies-crypto-and-stock-theme-trades/

And coming in this series of Swing Trading $STUDY GUIDES (after we review current trade alerts and profit loss statement updates) you will see a series of articles from me to prepare our swing trades that will slowly focus us down deeper and deeper in the rabbit hole of the cycle.

You’ll see review of current trade positions, swing trade alert reviews and on to indices, sectors, commodities, currencies and then themes will start to show themselves in stocks etc.

So now it is all about $STUDY of trade set-ups and watching for inflections, themes, sentiment, trajectory of trade and much more.

This is why the Sunday $STUDY sessions are so important. THEY ARE CRITICAL.

Just following along with our swing trade alerts is fine – we have many traders that do very well with simply just that, but it doesn’t help teach you to learn to fish on your own.

If you are in the Swing Trade $STUDY sessions you can bring set-ups forward, you can then plan your sizing and ebb and flow of trade in advance. This is key to trading success. A plan in advance.

We charge 100.00 for non-members and 50.00 for members for 10 session blocks at 4 hours each held once a week and if you can’t be in session online we email a video copy to you.

You can register online here to the Swing Trade Sunday $STUDY Sessions.

Stay awake, we’re entering the cycle now, it reminds me of being in the two hurricanes on the north shore of the Dominican Republic a few years back, it is an amazing experience.

If you need help with a trade set-up email me at [email protected].

Thanks,

Curt

Look for “Swing Trading Time Cycles Part 4: Swing Trade Alert Reviews – Current Trades” in your member email inbox shortly.

 

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Free Mailing List(s):

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Article Topics; US Dollar, USD/CAD, DXY, swing trading, time cycles, trading, currencies, study, charting, setups, FX