Part 2 of 2: Swing Trade $STUDY Review on ARCUS BIOSCIENCES (RCUS) Swing Trade Alert Trading Strategy.

“Down Trending Resistance Trend Line Break-out Swing Trade”. 

Below there are so many secrets to our swing trading success, in this article we look at the following areas of trading discipline for your trading plan:

  • Determining bias according to market time-cycles,
  • How to scan for swing trading set-ups,
  • How to determine price extensions for realistic price targets,
  • Support and resistance diagonal trend-lines, horizontal trend-lines, Fibonacci levels,
  • How to manage execution of the swing trade set-up,
  • How to manage trading stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow trade executions at support and resistance.

Part 2 of this analysis (below) is a Premium Member Only article and Part 1 can be found here;

Swing Trade Alerts Review: Traders $STUDY Guide “Trading Down Trend-Line Break-Out” ARCUS BIOSCIENCES Set-Up (Unlocked – Part 1 of 2)

Determining Time Cycle Bias for Your Trades.

Recently I wrote a few articles on the topic of time cycles in the markets using the Volatility (VIX) structured time cycles, this is a great place to start when determining first your bias of being bullish or bearish. In other words, should you be more focused on swing trades to the long or short side?

You can find Part 1 of the two part article here: How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities, Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.

If the trajectory of market volatility is down (compressed) and you are more confident that volatility will be lower as you approach the next time cycle inflection then in most cases you would be bullish equities – this of course is just one example.

Alternatively you would be bias to the down-side for trading volatility so you may short $TVIX in this instance.

There are many ways to take advantage of the time cycles with various swing trades from Indices, Currencies, Crypto, Sectors, Stocks and more.

Just because the volatility is expected to rise or fall doesn’t mean however this should be the only determining factor when choosing theme trade set-ups, below is an example of just that with the ARCUS stock trade.

First, lets look at how stock scanning works.

How to Scan For Stock Swing Trading Set-Ups.

Good stock technical analysis knows before the news hits more often than not what the likely trade on each stock will be.

Technical analysis knows before the news hits because the stock will start to provide “tells” within the trade action of the stock and various technical points become clear.

So if you can know the TA of a specific stock better than most you have an advantage over other traders at all times because you can usually be ahead of the main part of the move.

Anyone, even the best fundamental traders would do better if they were also experts at technical analysis.

If the technical structure of the chart is suggesting a bullish move for example, you can then start to take small entries and build a position in expectation of a move.

The technical “tells” develop when insiders know something about upcoming news or even as geopolitical narratives are changing.

And then as you start to see specific technical trade patterns set-up in more and more equities you will find that this is a manifestation of the expert traders all beginning to bias their trades toward a theme usually within a sector, whether it be for a technical reason or a geo-political reason or perhaps some other fundamental or market sentiment reason.

If you get in “the pocket” right, you will find many set-ups during a period of time that will be almost identical and will provide excellent returns one after another.

This is what happened with our trading of the technical set-up in RCUS, many others were very similar during this time period in the markets and our returns increased rapidly.

I keep it simple and use Trading View for my scans. 

On any given day, usually sometime after lunch I will open Trading View and click on the fire emblem on top right side of screen – this is your hot-lists of hot stocks on the day (see screen shot of my Trading View below). You can set the scanner in Trading View for various levels and parameters. I scan the running stocks with large gains, the losers and the OTC markets.

scanning, stocks, swing trading

I will open Trading View and click on the fire emblem on top right side of screen – this is hot stocks on day.

Then I simply open each chart (primarily scanning the hot stocks on the day) and I start with the weekly time-frame.

I’m looking for chart history or patterns of trade, chart memory or some semblance of chart history with some order. The simpler the chart patterns the better. Anyway, as you learn all the different set-ups this gets much easier and faster.

Every financial instrument I trade I make sure that it has a structure, some order is required or your trading edge is not increased.

When I find a chart set-up I like I open the chart and take a look at it on various time-frames and consider how to trade the stock, price targets and various support and resistance levels.

Then I look at things like incoming volume, company news, sector themes, geopolitical type things, look at insider buying or selling and various other research.

During the period of time we took the swing trade in ARCUS the trend-line resistance break-out trade was happening regularly and was providing excellent returns for 2 – 6x and even more in some cases wins.

When I Used the Scanner and Isolated the ARCUS Swing Trade Set-Up It Was Yet Another Trend-line Resistance Set-Up That Was Likely to Explode.

Below is the chart I found when scanning, it shows clearly the trend-line resistance set-up. The chart below is from one of the earlier swing trade alerts we sent out to members for this set-up. You can see the spike through the trend-line resistance (which occurred after the original alert). 

You can clearly see the down-sloping trend-line in the chart on the alert.

This set-up was on high alert because this specific trade set-up was hitting one after another, if this was not the case I wouldn’t have been so keen on taking these trades.

you want to be where the wolf pack is

It is the theme that is important, you want to be where the wolf pack is, where all the other winning traders are. Just a winning set-up isn’t enough. Just a news event or a fundamental set up on its own is not the optimal scenario, you want to be where the flow is. This is critical.

Swing trade, alert, review, set-up

This chart swing trade strategy (setup) late 2019 early 2020 was found on scans regularly for big trader wins #swingtradealerts

And then as the trade progressed (after alerting the swing trade sometime earlier) the structure of trade was clear and it was just a matter of trading risk in ebb and flow (see chart below). 

It is important to note that we cannot alert every pull back and add and trim, it isn’t possible, what we do is get our members started in a swing trade and then endeavor to alert the key trades (especially key areas of resistance) as it progresses. Our trader’s platform (automation for alerts) will solve this manpower issue, but really every trader should be planning their sizing and support and resistance adds and trims for profit based on their own account risk, risk tolerance, style and more. If you are just blindly following another trader this will not work for you.

ARCUS BIO (RCUS) in bullish structure, decent action considering market this week, continuation for us $RCUS

ARCUS BIO (RCUS) in bullish structure, decent action considering market this week, continuation for us $RCUS

Charting Price Extensions for Price Targets and Timing.

This can be more art than science and your price extensions and price targets may change as the price or timing of the stock price movements move along.

In the chart below you will see diagonal white arrows (3 of them). The angle is just a reflection of the down-slope (a mirror of the angle). The length of the price extension is simply a mirror of the down-slope trend from previous. So each of the 3 arrows trending up are equal in duration and price.

These are a simple way of taking a shot at the most probable price extensions.

One key note here is that often you will get 1.5 extensions or 3. Why I don’t know. If you look at the chart below that is how I determined my price target from 15.00 to 30.00 and in last weeks trade the price target was hit early.

You will also notice (in blue on chart) I drew in an Elliott Impulse Wave, but I do that more for fun to see if I can tell the exact future of the play, you can see in this instance I was close, but the bulls were more aggressive than I even thought they would be.

Swing trade chart with price extensions, price targets, timing, Fibonacci, support and resistance levels of trade.

Swing trade chart with price extensions, price targets, timing, Fibonacci, support and resistance levels of trade.

Support and resistance diagonal trend-lines, horizontal trend-lines, Fibonacci levels.

In the chart above the diagonal trend-lines (charted in advance of trend-lines being there) are determined by taking the down trending price action of prior and extending the the tops of each lower high as the stock traded down in trend. the angle of the trend-lines was simply determined by historical trade.

The horizontal trend-lines (thin grey ones on the chart) were determined by simply drawing horizontal rays at the highs in the previous downtrend then duplicating to create a grid. These are not that important, I use them to see if there is a grid to be had. Why? Because I’m looking for order or structure.

And then the Fibonacci levels are simply done using your Fibonacci retracement drawing tool between the key support (or bottom of chart) and the price extension top. And then you copy and paste it up for each key leg in possible future trade. I always chart the low and high as horizontal key support and run them straight across horizontally on the chart as grey or green as these represent key areas of support and resistance.

How to Swing Trade It – manage execution of the swing trade set-up: Starter positioning, trading stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow trade executions at support and resistance.

Usually, when price breaks the trend-line resistance to the upside this is your trigger to be at least on watch for your initial entry.

You need to determine how many entries you are prepared to take. Hopefully it is more than one and preferably up to 10. Here is why;

When price breaks out upside the trend-line you want to be able to take at least a starter right away because most traders will wait until price returns to the previous resistance now support for the test of support and then go.

Some will even wait for it to bounce and get higher than the previous candle. All methods are fine but if you’re in it to win it then I would suggest taking 1/10 size at each of those three triggers I just explained. 

Why? Because sometimes price doesn’t come back to you. The stronger the theme, the stronger the market, the stronger the stock set-up the less chance it’s coming back to you and then you’re chasing it.

Now if you’re in 3/10 size or 30% size and your trade breaks down, you’re down on your trade but if you are winning 80% or better you can lose 10% 2 out of 10 times and win 30% or more 8 out of 10 times.

In the ARCUS example price never came back.

I look at every trade like a chess board, the more dot plots or entries and trims of profit the better, this is how we’re coding the 200 equities to trade under the machine trading program and how we’re coding the trader’s digital platform so members of our swing trade alerts will be able to see this real time. Until then, there is myself and three staff managing the numerous trades in various equities along with coding, alerts, newsletter publications and various other duties – hence the reason for coding automation.

Now, in the ARCUS example above you would have taken your starter 10 – 20% in size and it didn’t come back, what it did is it hit the first key resistance and then came back.

AT THAT RESISTANCE you need to trim 50% of your profit and then add to the trade at key supports in bits until it bounces and then continue with taking profits along the way at each key resistance.

Managing your trade size is critical. If you’re only going to be a one hit wonder, taking one entry for the win then you need to learn how to bring your charting down to a daytrading time frame so that you can execute your position on a lower time-frame of charting like a 5, 15 or 30 minute chart. I have an article coming on this discipline but in the meantime if you need to know how I do this ask me for a coaching session and I’ll show you.

Setting your stops is based on many things and this is why I don’t like publishing alerts with stops. This is determined by your experience (newer traders have to take more cuts because they don’t know what a prime set up is) so newer traders have to use hard stops religiously, I don’t because I know I can dot plot my way out of any trade as long as the stock isn’t destroyed by some black swan event.

In a black swan (market wide) I don’t worry because I’m in structured strong set-ups 90% of the time. If it’s not a strong set-up I’ll usually alert that or if its risky etc.

newer traders have to use hard stops religiously, I don’t because I know I can dot plot my way out of any trade as long as the stock isn’t destroyed by some black swan event

All of our trades we are sizing adds at support and trimming at resistance areas. There are many things that determine this also, such as market time cycles, market sentiment, sector sentiment, perhaps the technical set up is no longer being run by the bulls and many other factors.

False break-outs happen so you need to be prepared to take a loss, but when you get better at being able to determine key set-ups for all the reasons above and more you won’t be as concerned about that.

Other considerations technically speaking;

Most traders will wait for the current chart candle to close beyond the down-sloping trend-line resistance so they have a confirmed break-out, but remember, sometimes this won’t happen and a really bullish stock will just leave you in the dust.

Most traders will take their initial long starter position in the trade when the stock price has retraced back near or at the original trend-line, but again, this does not always happen and you can get left behind.

Most traders will set their stop just beyond failure of the trend-line but this can cause a trader’s account balance to be dwindled due to death by a thousand cuts.

The secret here is to not be most traders.

In this game if you are like most you will have like most (at best) returns, around 15% a year if you are lucky.

The traders that consistently post returns of 3, 4, 5 x or more per year are using a strategy that most do not.

What is that?

How did Wayne Gretzky explain how he played hockey? He had a knack at knowing where the puck was going to be so he went there.

“Skate to where the puck is going, not where it has been.”

— Wayne Gretzky

Same thing here.

Below is one of many of my rants on the subject, on my personal twitter feed;

If you get good at what I am describing above you will always know in advance (with high probability) when the price of the stock is going to move that you are trading, so manage the risk between where it is and where it is going like a chess board and you will see returns of 3, 4, 5 x or more per year.

Any questions email me anytime at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

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Article Topics; swing trading, swing trade review, study, stocks, alerts, set-ups, patterns, break-outs, themes, support, resistance, trendlines, sizing, stops, risk, technical analysis, Fibonacci, price targets, price extensions, strategy.


A Review of a Recent Swing Trade Alert for a Big Win in ARCUS BIOSCIENCES (RCUS) for our Swing Trading Members. Part 1 of 2 (Unlocked). 

The set-up review below is the “Down Trending Resistance Trend Line Break-out Swing Trade”. 

Part 1 is a public facing “unlocked” article that sets the stage for the technical set-up, how it was alerted, the conclusion of the main meat of the trade and some commentary on how to improve your swing trading win rate and return on investment.  

Part 2 explains in depth how to scan for these set-up patterns, how to establish your price extensions for realistic price targets for your trading plan, support and resistance, trend-lines, Fibonacci levels, how to manage your stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow your trade executions at support and resistance and much more.

Part 2 of this analysis is a Premium Member Only article and can be found here:

Protected: Swing Traders $STUDY Guide “Trading Down Trend-Line Break-Outs” ARCUS BIOSCIENCES Set-Up (Premium Part 2 of 2) #swingtradingreviews

First, below is a post to our swing trading (public side) Twitter feed that shows one of the earlier tweets alerting the swing trade (from our swing trade alert service) and also one of the later alerts advising traders to trim profits soon as earnings are this week for the ARCUS stock.

“This swing trade strategy (chart setup) late 2019 early 2020 was found on scans regularly for themed big trader wins.

“Swing Trading Alert to take profit on 2x hit on technical set-up that occurred during time cycle over and over for 2-6x plus hits”

#swingtradealerts $RCUS”

Next below is a post from my personal Twitter feed explaining in a little more detail how traders can $STUDY swing trade alert reviews and catalogue set-ups for their own trading repertoire.

Running with the wolf pack is important in trading, it’s much better than randomly thinking you know it all. If you can find where the pack is and what they’re running (themes) this is the highest probability of arena of trade to be winning consistently.

You just need to be able to “out stick handle” the other traders in the pack so you are the last one holding the bag in the trade.

Technical analysis training helps you know how to manage your swing trade properly and when a trader has themes plus technical analysis on their side they’re a long way to becoming a consistent winning trader.

Then it’s learning how to size your entry, where to add and trim your trade size and how to manage risk and emotion.

“Example of chart structure set-up that when others are locking in on TA themes can produce 2-9x wins over and over, this particular set-up in last time cycle was one of our best winners over and over on our swing trade platform. One for the set-ups trade $STUDY catalogue.”

“For our swing traders (or those in the Sunday $STUDY sessions) I explain how to measure out the price extensions for the move(s) when price breaks out of the pattern and runs. Fantastic set-up to learn.”

“These technical “themes” are identified for swing trades by running daily scans on structured plays, some traders will call them “patterns“, we refer to them as “structures” because we want to be able to establish timing for our price targets and price extensions etc.”

“It also helps a trader stay out of that negative feed-back loop of losses when you are forcing trades, if you spend 9/10’s of your time scanning $STUDY for set-up themes and execute on where the wolf pack is you’re much more likely to see a high win percentage in your trading.”

“Moral of the story is if a trader can identify set-up patterns (TA) themes on scans trading community is driving w/i time cycles, returns (ROI) can soar when you’re “in the pocket” so to speak. It makes up for random forced trades and focuses your energy to where the winning is.”

Swing trade, alert, review, set-up

This chart swing trade strategy (setup) late 2019 early 2020 was found on scans regularly for big trader wins #swingtradealerts

swing trading, alerts, review

Swing Trading Alert to take profit on 2x hit on a technical set-up that occurred during a time cycle over and over for 2-6x plus hits #swingtradealerts

As you can see in the swing trade review above, this pattern can be a very powerful set-up for traders and produces a fantastic win for great returns. If you have set-ups like these to work with then the odd losing trade doesn’t matter.

If you need help with a trade set-up or becoming a consistent win-side trader email me at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks,

Curt

Members can expect Part 2 of this article in your email inbox within a few hours.

In Part 2, as noted above, I will explain in detail how we scan for these great themes and patterns, how you establish and measure price extensions for price targets for your trading plan, the support and resistance areas of the charts, various trend-lines, how to chart the Fibonacci levels, how to manage your stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow of trade executions at support and resistance and much more.

 

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

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Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Reviews, Technical Analysis, Alerts, Trade, Set-Ups, Patterns, Price Targets, Swing Trade Reviews


The Report Below Shows You Exactly How We Day Trade Crude Oil and Win Well Over 90% of Our Trades With EPIC V3.

The thing we have learned using the EPIC v3 Oil Trading Strategy (rule-set for daytrading crude oil) is that it is highly stable, predictable, maintains a high win rate and provides a low stress environment to achieve an excellent return on equity.

Below are the details from today’s trading session, hopefully this will help you improve your trading skill-set.

Included in this Article;

  • Live Oil Trading Room raw video footage (I alert our day trades by voice over microphone),
  • Technical Analysis (Charts) we used to establish the reversal area of trade in oil (most probable low of day price),
  • Oil Trade Alert private feed (Twitter) and Discord private oil trade chat room where we share alerts, guidance, charting and more.

The EPIC v3 system for day-trading crude oil by far provides one of the best oil day-trading system results you will find. We have subscribed to many oil trading rooms and alert services out there (most) and have researched the returns the best funds are obtaining. EPIC’s v3 protocol is by far (as of today’s date) maintaining the best oil day-trading win rate percentage and best ROI we can find.

If you study the system and implement it as intended you will win. 

You have to study the strategies, really know the methods, practice executing the trades and preferably be present in the oil trading room receiving guidance from us as you are trading or at minimum receiving the trade alerts via Discord and/or Twitter private member feed.

Private Member Discord Oil Trade Chat Server (used for alerts, charting, guidance, etc).

Below are screen capture images from the oil chat room server showing you what charts were shared with alert comments. The live oil trading room voice broadcast guidance provides our day-traders with significantly more strategy detail.

First the day-trades as they occurred today:

The trades you see below were executed because we knew that we were near the low of day and that a price reversal was very probable.

You will find that once we know the most probable area of trade on the day that is the low of day then we have a system of trading long in sequence on the 1 minute chart time frame using the other chart models as a guide also.

The five minute charting, 15 minute, 30 minute and 60 minute chart time-frames are all used.

Again, the video from the trading room footage will provide the most detail but the trade alerts, guidance and and charting revealed below will help you along some also.

The key is to not hold too much that you can’t correct your positioning through additional entries and / or surrendering a small loss if required to then enter another long position at the next support (when oil is selling off intra-day).

It is vital that you do not hold a long trade of any significant size in an intra-day sell-off, this will cause significant draw-downs to your account. You can always exit and take another trade if you protect your down-side.

Another key is holding enough in the reversal so that you can slowly release size as the reversal trade is occurring (something we are working on with the EPIC v3 software). 

Curt MelonopolyToday at 7:50 AM
Preferred buys 53.76 trading 54.04 intra day.
Long 1/10 53.75 tight stops
Sell 1/10 53.93 hold 0

Curt MelonopolyToday at 9:50 AM
Long 1/10 53.18 and 1/10 53.35 from earlier test caution tight stops on structured range accumulation trade

oil trading room, alerts, crude oil

Preferred buy area guidance (per chart model supports) and first crude oil daytrade alerts in oil trading room to start the day.

Sold 1/10 53.30 holds 1/10

Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:02 AM
Long 1/10 53.08 add holds 2
Sold 1/10 53.21 holds 1/10

daytrades, crude oil, trading room

Follow-up daytrades in oil trading room as intra-day continues after main sell-off early in the day.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:13 AM
Software has a 52.92 add 1/10 long but won’t hold if this range breaks down. Holds 2/10 long.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:44 AM
Close 1/10 53.23 holds 1

Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:53 AM
Decent structure here

low of day, oil trading, alerts

More day trade alerted within price range on charting as low of day in oil price is being traded.

Close 53.42 hold 0/10 nice win

oil trades, closed, wins

Screen capture shows last oil trade alert for closed trades for successful wins on the day.

Exactly How We Established The Most Probable Low of Day Oil Price for The Reversal Trade To Win 6 out of 6 Day-trades Explained Below.

The technical analysis (charting) you see in the screen shots from the live trading room are oil trading models that are part of our system. Because crude oil is now widely traded by machines the models are highly predictable and structured, there is a system (rule-set) for planning your trade strategy.

In addition to the chart models (conventional and algorithmic) we also use our proprietary order flow software system (IDENT) which is simply a software code that identifies patterns in order flow much like we do as traders in charting.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 11:12 AM

Channel support machine line area on EPIC 30 Minute Algorithmic Model

10:30 time cycle inflection low on 5 minute model and quad wall support

charts, support, low of day, technical analysis

Lead trader explaining by chart example the strategy used to establish the low of day price range for the oil day trades executed in trading room.

Channel support hit on 30 minute model

oil, technical analysis, trading room, charts

Further guidance from lead trader in oil trading room sharing technical analysis to determine price reversal in crude oil.

How The Price Targets Are Established on the One Minute Oil Trading Time-Frame For Long Trades.

Once you have nailed the bottom area of intra-day trade (LOD) with your long trade positioning, the next challenge in daytrading crude oil is determining your price targets for trimming long positions and/or closing your positions all together.

One method we use (and our software is coded to) is symmetry as it relates to structured symmetry on the various algorithmic models on various time-frames. Below (and in more detail in the oil trading room video) I show our daytraders how to use the one minute oil chart time-frame symmetry to determine areas for price target upside extension for long trades.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 11:33 AM
software closed that sequence on 1 min symmetry (see arrow)

Curt MelonopolyToday at 12:02 PM
Video explains the reversal price target extensions based on 1 minute symmetry

price targets, oil trade, 1 minute time frame

Lead trader explains price target extensions (technical analysis) on one minute oil chart for determing trims or closing positions.

Lead Trader Forward Oil Trade Guidance in Trading Room. Technical Analysis Suggests Further Downside Price Pressure Possible on Charting.

After the win it is important to know where you are going next, the trading strategy continues with forward looking support and resistance. Below is some of my technical analysis specific to the daily, weekly and monthly charting time frames.

Daily implies 51.45 low before decent bounce at TL

Weekly channel support 46.21 so lots of caution warranted

Monthly 47.00 area is support, again lots of caution trading 53.19

technical analysis, trading room, oil, daytrading

Lead trader explains with technical analysis further downside price pressure possible on charting and to use caution.

Miscellaneous other lead trader technical analysis in oil trading room and status of oil machine trading software development and alerts.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 1:14 PM
We’re watching 1:30 time cycle for possible mid intra-day time cycle inflection (possible high of day), trading 53.61 and we have possible HOD around 53.80 – .90 Time cycle on 5 min model runs 12:00 – 3:00 EST

Curt MelonopolyToday at 2:15 PM
Short 53.92 1/10 tight stops
Covered 53.87 1/10 still in HF mode, may re short it

Curt MelonopolyToday at 2:32 PM
Nice move through the quad on the daily reversal, slowly teaching the software to gain more of these moves, its a slow process one tweak at a time

developing a low risk trade sequence to gain accumulated size at the intra-day bottoms has been the priority, that was tricky enough, but slowly one step at a time we’ll get the full range coded, software up well today just on the bottom reversal trades so we’re happy, but the range will be a game changer
the larger the account the easier the sequence becomes to capture the whole move also

oil trading room, technical guidance

Miscellaneous other lead trader technical analysis in oil trading room and status of oil machine trading software development and alerts.

Screen image of private member private oil trading alert feed with trades as alerted through the day.

Below are the time stamped trade alerts from our private member oil trading alert feed and screen shots of the feed.

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
10h
Close 53.42 hold 0/10 nice win

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
10h
Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:44 AM
Close 1/10 53.23 holds 1

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
10h
Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:13 AM
Software has a 52.92 add 1/10 long but won’t hold if this range breaks down. Holds 2/10 long.

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
11h
Sold 1/10 53.21 holds 1/10

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
11h
Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:02 AM
Long 1/10 53.08 add holds 2

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
11h
Sold 1/10 53.30 holds 1/10

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
11h
Curt MelonopolyToday at 9:50 AM
Long 1/10 53.18 and 1/10 53.35 from earlier test caution tight stops on structured range accumulation trade

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
13h
Sell 1/10 53.93 hold 0

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
13h
Long 1/10 53.75 tight stops

EPIC Alerts
@OilAlerts_CT
·
13h
Curt MelonopolyToday at 7:50 AM
Preferred buys 53.76 trading 54.04 intra day.

oil trading alerts, private feed image

Screen image of private member private oil trading alert feed with trades as alerted through the day.

crude oil, daytrading alerts

Second screen image of crude oil trade alerts from private member service feed on Twitter.

Live Oil Trading Room Video.

Please note: The video below is a raw feed only of the oil trading room for the whole day-trading session (we run the live video feed from approximately 7:00am to 5:00pm EST). To listen to comments by the lead trader that contain specifics to his/her oil trade strategy / thinking as he/she and/or the software are trading and sending out alerts, look at the time stamp on the oil trade alert, chart, trading room screen capture image etc in this or any other report and correlate that to the video and go to that part of the video.

Oil Trading Profit and Loss.

For September 3, 2019 Profit & Loss Daily +$796 YTD +$13,764 Projected $86,619 or 87% Per Annum. v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Sample Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts

oil daytrading, profit loss

Sept 3 Profit & Loss Daily +$796 YTD +$13,764 Projected $86,619 or 87% Per Annum v3 Oil Machine Trade #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts

How to Use Our Oil Trading Services. Oil Trade Alerts, Oil Trading Room, Oil Reports, Trade Coaching.

If you are struggling with your trading and need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours.

And if you’re really serious about learning how to trade crude oil to achieve our consistent v3 win rate and returns, review this particular oil trading room video from today.

Refer to the technical analysis charting and alerts time stamps and cross-reference the timing with the video time stamp and listen to the guidance in the oil trading room. Specifically the analysis of how we established the low range on the day is important. If a daytrader knows with confidence that intra-day trade is near a bottom then he/she can start to execute long trades in a systematic sequence to build size to garner better and better return on the day.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Best and Peace,

Curt

Other Reading:

NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (ticker symbol CL), the world’s most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract, is the most efficient way to trade today’s global oil markets. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/why-futures/welcome-to-nymex-wti-light-sweet-crude-oil-futures.html

Further Learning:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil is Like No Other. At this link you will find select articles from our oil traders real life day-to-day experience in our oil trading room. Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

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Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

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Article Topics; crude oil, trading, strategy, alerts, trading room, technical analysis, daytrading, machine trading, $CL_F, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, CL


Learning How to Swing Trade with Structured Technical Analysis Provides Better Win Rate, More Confidence in Your Trading and Delivers Higher Rate of Return.

Many financial social media traders comment to our charting as having too many lines or being too complicated (especially on Stock Twits). This is not only a flawed perspective but also why few traders win over time. It is also why we make a living (we being the traders on the winning side of the ledger).

In today’s stock market the number one thing a trader can do to increase their win rate and return in each swing trade (or even intra-day trading) is to first accept the reality that machine liquidity is growing exponentially and then learn how the machines are programmed to trade.

In today’s stock market the number one thing a trader can do to increase their win rate and return in each swing trade (or even intra-day trading) is to first accept the reality that machine liquidity is growing exponentially and then learn how the machines are programmed to trade.

Read: Machines now dominate stock trading and it’s having unexpected consequences https://www.businessinsider.com/machines-dominate-stock-trading-and-its-having-unexpected-consequences-2017-6

And truthfully, it isn’t hard to learn how to swing trade (or day trade) along with the best in the stock market – those that are increasingly controlling how a stock trades (or commodity, currency, etc).

The structure of the trading instrument (in the example below with $SQ – a stock) is the key to success in swing trading.

When you know the structure of the stock (represented on a chart) you then know more than 90% of your competitors (the other traders that are competing against you). Why? Because they are simply too lazy, ignorant of how it works or just don’t treat their trading as a business.

When you learn how to trade with a structured chart this can also be used to leverage returns otherwise not possible for options traders and fundamental trading. Options traders can take advantage of time cycles for example. Fundamental traders can use the charting structures to better time their initial trade entries, closing trades with better precision and it will also help traders with sizing and adding to or trimming trade positions.

It doesn’t matter what your trading style is, every single trader can use structured swing trading to increase their win rate, increase trading confidence and increase returns on each trade. Even traders that use very specific trade set-ups for day trading can benefit from structured trading knowledge.

Below I will use my recent swing trade entry in Square (SQ) as a study example. I publicly traded Square in our trading room and recorded the trade. This is a good example because the stock broke out hard the day I entered my swing trade and there were very specific reasons for my entry point. I explain that below and also explain what my swing trading plan is going forward.

Below is the chart for Square (SQ) and the link to the live chart on Trading View.

Below the chart I explain the technical indicators that determined my entry point in Square for my swing trade, where I will consider adding and trimming my position, where the important support and resistance points are and more.

Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. $SQ Trade Example #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SQ/aUbkSu1F-Swing-Trading-How-to-Swing-Trade-Using-Technical-Analysis-SQ/

how to, swing trade, technical, analysis

Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. $SQ Trade Example #swingtrading

Below is a list of important technical analysis specific to this swing trade and charting:

  • The Initial Long Entry.
    • The initial reason Square (SQ) was on watch this morning that I entered the swing trade is because there was an upgrade to 125.00 by a well known analyst: Why Instinet Analyst Dan Dolev Is So Bullish on Square  https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2018-09-25/why-instinet-analyst-dan-dolev-is-so-bullish-on-square-video
    • The entry at 89.00 was not by random (shown with a green arrow), when price was higher on the 30 minute candle than the previous candle high in a bullish intra-day momentum – this is the primary reason for my entry in this swing trade.  
    • My entry to the trade was above a key support at the mid quad support (I noted an example with an orange arrow on the chart).
    • As mentioned above, trade was bullish intra-day. Long in strength is smart, in an up market trading long in strength is a high probability win.
    • I had to take the initial trade three times before price stuck. The live video from the day trading room shows this.
    • My entry was taken above a trading box area on the chart (shown in yellow boxes on chart). The top of the box will provide decent support.
    • Here is a screen shot image of the actual swing trading alert issued to members: 
      • swing, trading, alerts

        Screen shot of Swing Trading Alerts feed on Twitter alerting the Square swing trade entry at 89.00

  • Price Consolidation.
    • The price consolidation areas are marked on the chart with yellow circles. In both instances marked on the chart, trade in Square (SQ) was consolidating above the trading box (which is bullish because support held). I didn’t add to the trade at the second consolidation area because I was hoping for a larger retracement in stock price
  • Charting Support and Resistance.
    • The important support and resistance areas on the Square (SQ) chart are identified with white arrows – they correspond with the top and bottom of each trading box area on the chart. Consolidation at the top support is a key area to add to your swing trade.
    • The mid area of the trading box is where the mid quad charting pivot is, this is the half way point in trade on the chart in the trading box. This is at times used as key support in trade for continuation of the trend in price.
    • The various horizontal lines on the charting are Fibonacci related. These are to be used for intra-day support and resistance considerations of trade.
    • The various diagonal trend lines (gray dotted) are Fibonacci trend lines. These are also support and resistance areas of the chart specific to the trend in trade.
  • Price Targets. Time cycles.
  • Trading Plan Forward.
    • I am currently awaiting an intra-day wash-out or retracement (also called a pullback trade set-up) that is larger than would be normal – an anomaly (an entry in a wash is ideal because you get the benefit of a snap back in price to secure your add to the trade). This typically occurs in profit taking scenarios. If there is no other reason then time of day or time of week is the best scenario. Typically over the lunch hour trade is soft and tends to come off or end of week late Friday afternoon. However, if trade is really strong in to end of day on Friday this is a strong indication that Monday the following week the stock is likely to run up again. 
    • I will trim the trade each time price approaches the next resistance level at the bottom of the next trading box.

This article’s focus was to how to swing trade the actual chart, but doesn’t explain how to chart the structure on your own.

To learn how to chart technical analysis for structured trading see the links below that provide options for further learning.

The swing trade charting in this article – so that you can swing trade with confidence, can be learned in a number of ways:

  • There are many videos on our You Tube Channel, they are raw video and not packaged as clean presentations, but if you have the patience to sort through raw video from our trading room there is a lot of learning material for free there https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxmgJ3CfWHRBFFMpoHumZ8w
  • We have a master class series of about 20 hours of video that you can purchase for 1499.00 (at this point available only by emailing us info@compoundtrading.com) and you can request the 30% discount code at the time you email.
  • The other way is that we recorded the last Trade Coaching Boot Camp – this video series is about 20 hours and retails for the same price 1499.00 (also available only at this point in time by emailing) and has a 30% discount code also.
  • You can also attend one of trading boot camps, the next ones will be announced soon on our website, there is a one day online boot camp planned for early November specifically for learning how to swing trade also by the way.
  • Our private trade coaching is available (done online via Skype). The starter package is 399.00 for 3 hours
  • Or join our day trading room for 999.00 per month (a serious trading room for the serious trader only).

You can take advantage of our swing trading set-ups the following ways:

Further Reading and Videos:

Investopedia: Introduction to Swing Trading

Compound Trading Group: How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades.

Click here for the mid day swing trading review that has the Square trading plan review https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMFHJ8ki9nY&list=PLTeUfxpy0iabJdqXpy5aBVa3dd1DdGLLz

Anything else I can do to help you swing trade better please let me know.

Thanks,

Curtis