Learning How to Swing Trade with Structured Technical Analysis Provides Better Win Rate, More Confidence in Your Trading and Delivers Higher Rate of Return.
Many financial social media traders comment to our charting as having too many lines or being too complicated (especially on Stock Twits). This is not only a flawed perspective but also why few traders win over time. It is also why we make a living (we being the traders on the winning side of the ledger).
In today’s stock market the number one thing a trader can do to increase their win rate and return in each swing trade (or even intra-day trading) is to first accept the reality that machine liquidity is growing exponentially and then learn how the machines are programmed to trade.
In today’s stock market the number one thing a trader can do to increase their win rate and return in each swing trade (or even intra-day trading) is to first accept the reality that machine liquidity is growing exponentially and then learn how the machines are programmed to trade.
And truthfully, it isn’t hard to learn how to swing trade (or day trade) along with the best in the stock market – those that are increasingly controlling how a stock trades (or commodity, currency, etc).
The structure of the trading instrument (in the example below with $SQ – a stock) is the key to success in swing trading.
When you know the structure of the stock (represented on a chart) you then know more than 90% of your competitors (the other traders that are competing against you). Why? Because they are simply too lazy, ignorant of how it works or just don’t treat their trading as a business.
When you learn how to trade with a structured chart this can also be used to leverage returns otherwise not possible for options traders and fundamental trading. Options traders can take advantage of time cycles for example. Fundamental traders can use the charting structures to better time their initial trade entries, closing trades with better precision and it will also help traders with sizing and adding to or trimming trade positions.
It doesn’t matter what your trading style is, every single trader can use structured swing trading to increase their win rate, increase trading confidence and increase returns on each trade. Even traders that use very specific trade set-ups for day trading can benefit from structured trading knowledge.
Below I will use my recent swing trade entry in Square (SQ) as a study example. I publicly traded Square in our trading room and recorded the trade. This is a good example because the stock broke out hard the day I entered my swing trade and there were very specific reasons for my entry point. I explain that below and also explain what my swing trading plan is going forward.
Below is the chart for Square (SQ) and the link to the live chart on Trading View.
Below the chart I explain the technical indicators that determined my entry point in Square for my swing trade, where I will consider adding and trimming my position, where the important support and resistance points are and more.
Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. $SQ Trade Example #swingtrading
The entry at 89.00 was not by random (shown with a green arrow), when price was higher on the 30 minute candle than the previous candle high in a bullish intra-day momentum – this is the primary reason for my entry in this swing trade.
My entry to the trade was above a key support at the mid quad support (I noted an example with an orange arrow on the chart).
As mentioned above, trade was bullish intra-day. Long in strength is smart, in an up market trading long in strength is a high probability win.
I had to take the initial trade three times before price stuck. The live video from the day trading room shows this.
My entry was taken above a trading box area on the chart(shown in yellow boxes on chart). The top of the box will provide decent support.
Here is a screen shot image of the actual swing trading alert issued to members:
Screen shot of Swing Trading Alerts feed on Twitter alerting the Square swing trade entry at 89.00
Price Consolidation.
The price consolidation areas are marked on the chart with yellow circles. In both instances marked on the chart, trade in Square (SQ) was consolidating above the trading box (which is bullish because support held). I didn’t add to the trade at the second consolidation area because I was hoping for a larger retracement in stock price.
Charting Support and Resistance.
The important support and resistance areas on the Square (SQ) chart are identified with white arrows – they correspond with the top and bottom of each trading box area on the chart. Consolidation at the top support is a key area to add to your swing trade.
The mid area of the trading box is where the mid quad charting pivot is, this is the half way point in trade on the chart in the trading box. This is at times used as key support in trade for continuation of the trend in price.
The various horizontal lines on the charting are Fibonacci related. These are to be used for intra-day support and resistance considerations of trade.
The various diagonal trend lines (gray dotted) are Fibonacci trend lines. These are also support and resistance areas of the chart specific to the trend in trade.
I am currently awaiting an intra-day wash-out or retracement (also called a pullback trade set-up) that is larger than would be normal – an anomaly (an entry in a wash is ideal because you get the benefit of a snap back in price to secure your add to the trade). This typically occurs in profit taking scenarios. If there is no other reason then time of day or time of week is the best scenario. Typically over the lunch hour trade is soft and tends to come off or end of week late Friday afternoon. However, if trade is really strong in to end of day on Friday this is a strong indication that Monday the following week the stock is likely to run up again.
I will trim the trade each time price approaches the next resistance level at the bottom of the next trading box.
This article’s focus was to how to swing trade the actual chart, but doesn’t explain how to chart the structure on your own.
To learn how to chart technical analysis for structured trading see the links below that provide options for further learning.
The swing trade charting in this article – so that you can swing trade with confidence, can be learned in a number of ways:
There are many videos on our You Tube Channel, they are raw video and not packaged as clean presentations, but if you have the patience to sort through raw video from our trading room there is a lot of learning material for free there https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxmgJ3CfWHRBFFMpoHumZ8w
We have a master class series of about 20 hours of video that you can purchase for 1499.00 (at this point available only by emailing us [email protected]) and you can request the 30% discount code at the time you email.
The other way is that we recorded the last Trade Coaching Boot Camp – this video series is about 20 hours and retails for the same price 1499.00 (also available only at this point in time by emailing) and has a 30% discount code also.
You can also attend one of trading boot camps, the next ones will be announced soon on our website, there is a one day online boot camp planned for early November specifically for learning how to swing trade also by the way.
Taking Thurs and Fri for lab work with our team to push out all new algorithm reports, swing reporting, videos, P/Ls and various other important updates to the platform.
Planning for a massive Q4 2018 & Q1 2019 – so all the updates have to be out this week (I have to approve everything prior to distribution to members – so it takes time).
Live trading room will recommence Sun night futures / Monday morning, key day and swing trade alerts will still go out as normal, premarket report and mid day reviews recommence Monday.
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday September 26, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $ALDX, $SQ, $NKE, $SVMK, $DIS, $OSIS, $BLDP, $LEBV, $CRON, $NBEV, $NFLX, $FB, $SHOP, OIL, $EDIT, $BABA, $GTHX, $AGN, $ROKU, $CVM, $XXII, $MOMO, $SPY, $DXY, $BOX, $CARA, $PROQR, $XBIO, $AAPL, $ARWR, $VIX, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Sept 26 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, #EIA report crude oil trading at 10:30, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or when the lead trader is not available.
In final edits for release this week;
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
The Square $SQ trade from yesterday is going well, trading 96.30 in premarket today with a swing trade entry at 89.00 and looking for more legs in this trade (see Square $SQ feature post and video).
Today is EIA Petroleum Report day at 10:30 AM. Looking for a large swing trade in oil (see feature report sent to members last night).
SVMK – SVMK priced its initial public offering at $12 per share, above the expected range of $9 to $11 per share. The parent of SurveyMonkey also increased the size of its offering to 15 million shares from the original 13.5 million, and the IPO’s pricing gives the company a market value of $1.46 billion.
$NKE Per CNBC;
Nike – Nike reported quarterly profit of 67 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. The athletic footwear and apparel maker’s revenue was just barely above Street forecasts. Nike benefited from strong consumer spending in the U.S. market, among other factors, but some analysts are concerned about what they consider weaker than expected profit margins.
$GRPO per CNBC;
GoPro – The stock was upgraded to “outperform” from “perform” at Oppenheimer, based on the high definition camera maker’s new product offerings and what the firm calls appropriate pricing.
Below are some trade position notes from the last week or so if you didn’t catch them;
Still watching the week set-up, I expect a significant oil size trade (swing and intra-day) very near, in a new Disney $DIS trade, the $XBIO set-up was awesome and there’s a number of others we are working on. I don’t see any reason why we won’t be able to push these set-ups out this evening after the markets close. There is so much going on right now in the markets (the ground is moving) that we have to start pushing this stuff out and get ready.
Doing some charting in premarket for $CLRB and $APDN – both very interesting set-ups IMO.
BTW the Bitcoin $BTC trade will be big soon, the charting is setting up, we will be updating members on the inflection move prior. We expect up, but we will be alerting the BTC set-up for both scenarios.
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
The videos this week and the boot camp trade set-up reviews have been right in the flow of the market. We’re working on the rest of the equities we follow now and will have them all out over the next few days. Today in mid-day review I will tackle some more of the set-ups.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:10 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.14, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.75, Gold $GLD trading 1198.21, Silver $SLV trading 14.43, $SPY 291.14 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6378.00 and $VIX trading 11.9.
$TLRY Supreme Cannabis Signs $12M Guaranteed Supply Agreement with Tilray®Supreme Cannabis (SPRWF) and Tilray® enter into a twelve-month guaranteed supply agreement Supreme Cannabis (SPRWF) to supply 7ACRES premium dried cannabis to Tilray®
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
$ALDX Premarket trading 12.60 up 27 percent Alderya’s stock rockets after positive trial results of mesothelioma treatment #premarket
$ALDX Premarket trading 12.60 up 27 percent Alderya’s stock rockets after positive trial results of mesothelioma treatment #premarket
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade trading HOD 114.70 with intra resistance, serious resistance at quad wall (dotted gray) next $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade trading HOD 114.70 with intra resistance, serious resistance at quad wall (dotted gray) next $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
SQUARE (SQ) swing trade alert going well. As trade nears previous highs on candles on 240 expect resistance until break-out. $SQ #tradealerts
SQUARE (SQ) swing trade alert going well. As trade nears previous highs on candles on 240 expect resistance until break-out. $SQ #tradealerts
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
Screen shot of crude oil trading room, lead trader discussing oil trading signals and strategy in chat. #oiltradingroom
Screen shot of crude oil trading room, lead trader discussing oil trading signals and strategy in chat. #oiltradingroom
Screen Shot of Crude Oil Trading Room and the oil trading signals discussed by lead trader.
Screen Shot of Crude Oil Trading Room and the oil trading signals discussed by lead trader.
Swing trade alert at 89.00 on Square $SQ today at market open. Chart shows the incredible trading in Square today. #swingtrade #tradealerts
Swing trade alert at 89.00 on Square $SQ today at market open. Chart shows the incredible trading in Square today. #swingtrade #tradealerts
$SQ opened strong today on upgrade, long 89.00 and we’ll be looking for more size / legs in this one. Closed the day at 95.95. #swingtrading #daytrading #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Swing Trading and Day Trading Alerts with raw video footage from our Live Trading Room premarket and market open on Sept 26, 2018.
Stocks Alerted for Trade: $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.
At 1:20 in the video the Square $SQ trade alert is discussed and the chart set-up, specifically the sidewinder trade set-up with the 20 MA under 50 MA with price above and reason for Square to run on the upgrade in premarket. The video explains the Square trading set-up in detail.
Then in pre-market I review the Disney $DIS chart and swing trade we are in, Advanced Micro $AMD trade set-up, Oil trading strategy for the week and in to the EIA report, Netflix $NFLX looking for ads to position, Facebook $FB and Google $GOOGL looking for a short position, Ballard Power $BLDP trade set-up in to time cycle, Bitcoin $BTC on high watch, and Volatility $VIX on watch.
After a quick break I reviewed the massive opportunities we are seeing in the markets over the next two quarters.
At 6:30 I move $SQ to 5 min chart and consider an entry before open. Reviewed stochastic RSI, MACD and squeeze momentum indicators on the Square chart for members.
At 9:30 in video is near the market open and I review my trading plan for it and move to 1 minute chart.
At 10:40 I discuss the next market inflection we see.
At 11:00 the buy side trade starts coming in to Square and I take my first entry in Square at 89.00 for a 1/10 size with a stop at 89.00.
I explain that I’m looking for a base entry that holds in the Square trade and that I will leg in once I get a base trade in.
A copy of the swing trading alert on our private member’s Twitter feed is here;
$SQ opened strong today on upgrade, long 89.00 and we’ll be looking for more size / legs in this one. Closed the day at 95.95. #swingtrading #daytrading #tradealerts
At 14:40 on the video I start explaining the 5 min candle positioning I am looking for and the times through the week that I will look at adds to the swing trade as “pockets” for optimum timing on adds to the $SQ trade (lunch time, end of day, early in premarket and end of day Friday).
On the swing trading alerts private member feed the trading plan for adds for sizing in to this trade is explained per below;
General idea for legging in to $SQ – when 5 min held previous top of 5 i hit a 1/10 entry long 89 again, i’ll keep chewing till an area holds – for first leg
the next $SQ leg entry long will be on 30 min body holding the previous 30 min but i won’t do that until lunch, late day, premarket (early) or end of day Friday, then next 1 hour same process then 4 hour same process.
Swing trade alert at 89.00 on Square $SQ today at market open. Chart shows the incredible trading in Square today. #swingtrade #tradealerts
Swing trade alert at 89.00 on Square $SQ today at market open. Chart shows the incredible trading in Square today. #swingtrade #tradealerts
At around 53:00 in the video I am explaining my entry, sizing opportunities, retrace support areas, how to trade 5 min candles and how to trade other time-frames for sizing in to the trade.
TRADE ALERTS VIDEO – TRADING ROOM: #daytrading #swingtrading
Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades. Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.
DAY TRADING ALERTS CHAT ROOM LOG
Below are chat entries specific to actionable alerts from the trading room today. Add 2 hours to the chat log times shown for Eastern Standard Time.
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 06:55:27 AM
Running scans and chart set ups now. We may get some opportunity here at open today.
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 06:55:30 AM
brb
OILK September 25, 2018 07:00:33 AM
AMD held key support pivot on chart yesterday, trading up near 2% this morning. I’m long here.
SANDEEP September 25, 2018 07:01:47 AM
Caught that, seems upside target(s) in play if 32.47 is used as support
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:04:15 AM
Mobile Mini $MINI PT Raised to $61 at Sidoti
SHAF September 25, 2018 07:06:18 AM
GOOGl short in play per curt – today best IMO
LENNY September 25, 2018 07:07:15 AM
Momo Watch: JAGX, JONE, CEI, APDN
LENNY September 25, 2018 07:07:44 AM
Short term only – all charts on momo watch are broken garbage.
LENNY September 25, 2018 07:08:11 AM
SQ interesting also on the UG
LENNY September 25, 2018 07:08:28 AM
the GOOGL TWTR FB money could rool some in there
PAUL M September 25, 2018 07:08:39 AM
seems logical len
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:09:04 AM
Advanced Micro Devices $AMD Seen As A Near Term Semi Trend Beneficiary At Northland
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:09:42 AM
Canopy Growth initiated with a Buy at Benchmark $CGC $STZ $STZ.B http://dlvr.it/QlK351
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:11:03 AM
BREAKING: Qualcomm unveils explosive charges against Apple for stealing “vast swaths” of its confidential information and trade secrets for the purpose of improving the performance of chip sets provided by Qualcomm’s competitor Intel
OILK September 25, 2018 07:12:31 AM
They will run oil after EIA
OILK September 25, 2018 07:12:47 AM
significant run imo then
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:14:58 AM
thats a swidewinder setting up on 240 $SQ
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:17:13 AM
On Watch: Oil long (likely not until post EIA or maybe an intr day prior), SQ long on sidewinder set-up, short GOOGL FB, DIS, NFLX adds long, BTC set up nearing, BLDP short is nearing time frame, and VIX near.
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:17:35 AM
I may take an entry in SQ at open.
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:17:37 AM
will see
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:20:32 AM
on mic in 1
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:56:49 AM
when the 5 min held the previous top of 5 i hit a 1/10 entry long SQ 89 again, i’ll keep chewing till an area holds – for the first leg
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:57:00 AM
looks like this may hold
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 07:58:13 AM
the next leg entry long will be on 30 min body holding the previous 30 min but i won’t do that until lunch, late day, premarket (early) or end of day Friday, then next 1 hour same process then 4 hour same process.
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 08:03:00 AM
on mic 10:10 ish re: SQ trade
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 08:10:05 AM
i will be a few mins here
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 08:12:55 AM
on mic 9:13
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 08:12:59 AM
10:13
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 09:05:09 AM
it seems pressure in to weekly reporting has started looking for bottom of EPIC uptrend channel on chart for long positioning other side of reporting EIA
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 09:58:28 AM
on mic 12:05
CURT M_1 September 25, 2018 11:07:08 AM
$NKE earnings on high watch for me later today (when I return from some exercise). Cya later, GL! #freedivetime 9 videos scheduled for members to do tonight, we’ll see if I can get em all done. peace https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1044633980493008896
Oil trading room video of lead trader discussing oil trading signals, alerts, price targets and charts that comprise oil trading strategy leading in to the EIA Petroleum Report Wednesday at 10:30 AM.
#OilTradingRoom #OilTradingSignals #OilTradeAlerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO
Transcript summary highlights:
Sept 25, 2018 12:05 PM Oil trading plan.
I am looking for crude oil trade to come off in price in to the lower channel support on the crude oil algorithm (EPIC the Crude Oil Algorithm), or as near as possible.
I am looking for a significant size in trade of crude oil long if I can get a price entry near the bottom of the channel (the main point of my trading plan).
Below is the crude oil charting from the Sunday oil algorithm report sent to members. The channel (orange up trending lines) corresponds with the charting discussed in the video.
As it turned out, price did have pressure shortly after this video was recorded in the oil trading room and the API report at 4:30 later in the day did show a build in crude oil stocks larger than traders expected. Read a related article here: Oil Pares Gains As API Reports Surprise Crude Build By Julianne Geiger – Sep 25, 2018, 3:44 PM CDT.
In oil futures trade FX USOIL WTI is trading 71.99 off from 72.60 around the time when this video was recorded in the trading room but price has not achieved the lower channel support as of yet (9:15 EST Tuesday evening).
If I get the entry in oil that I am looking for I will stay in the swing trade for some time and I will day trade oil per the oil algorithm trading signals.
Intra-day oil is trading slightly divergent to the high side in the up trending channel on the algorithm model that was published for members in the weekly Sunday report, but that (divergent upside trade) will happen when trade is bullish.
I had expected price pressure in to upside crude oil price in to the swing trading range provided on the algorithm charting (horizontal gray resistance / pivot line).
Tuesday 4:30, Wednesday 10:30, Friday 1:00 price targets reviewed on the oil algorithm.
Trump has had some problem getting the price of oil to come down and it doesn’t look like that scenario is on his side geo politically. There is an article here that does provide a scenario for lower oil prices however.
Also reviewed on the video are the 30 minute candles for oil trade. I was looking for a possible intra-day short position.
30 Minute Candles in Oil Trade that is discussed in video (oil chart from trading room video).
30 Minute Candles in Oil Trade that is discussed in video (oil chart).
Bottom line is that my trading plan for crude oil is a significant long side trade with hard stops and I will re-enter as needed to get my positioning.
Below is a screen shot of the oil trading room chat guidance from earlier today.
Screen shot of crude oil trading room, lead trader discussing oil trading signals and strategy in chat. #oiltradingroom
If you need more help getting on the winning side of your trades then I would seriously consider 3 hours of private coaching. Even the best traders in the world have a coach because a trading coach will keep your psychological game in check as it relates to following the trading of a rules based process. A trading coach is critical to success as a winning trader.
Best with it and let me know if you need anything.
Curtis
Crude Oil Trading Signals Discussed in Trading Room Here:
Learn More About How to Trade Crude Oil / Feature Reports:
Learning to Trade Links on our Site and/or YouTube.
Here we unlock historical member reports at intervals after time cycles have expired for traders that are learning to trade oil. When you clock on link scroll down at landing page on blog section you will be transferred to so that you can get to reports that are unlocked over time: https://compoundtrading.com/category/epic-the-oil-algo-chart-report/
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Sept 25 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or when the lead trader is not available.
In final edits for release this week;
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced in part (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
See the general market news near bottom of this report – the are epic market trading opportunities on the near horizon.
Still watching the week set-up, I expect a significant oil size trade (swing and intra-day) very near, in a new Disney $DIS trade, the $XBIO set-up was awesome and there’s a number of others we are working on. I don’t see any reason why we won’t be able to push these set-ups out this evening after the markets close. There is so much going on right now in the markets (the ground is moving) that we have to start pushing this stuff out and get ready.
Doing some charting in premarket for $CLRB and $APDN – both very interesting set-ups IMO.
BTW the Bitcoin $BTC trade will be big soon, the charting is setting up, we will be updating members on the inflection move prior. We expect up, but we will be alerting the BTC set-up for both scenarios.
Below are some trade position notes from late last week if you didn’t catch them;
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
The videos this week and the boot camp trade set-up reviews have been right in the flow of the market. We’re working on the rest of the equities we follow now and will have them all out over the next few days. Today in mid-day review I will tackle some more of the set-ups.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:43 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.25, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 72.40, Gold $GLD trading 1201.21, Silver $SLV trading 14.30, $SPY 291.83 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6378.00 and $VIX trading 11.9.
$APDN Applied DNA Expands Cannabis Tagging Portfolio to Address Large Growers https://finance.yahoo.com/news/applied-dna-expands-cannabis-tagging-090000755.html?soc_src=hl-viewer&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance
$CLRB: Cellectar’s CLR 131 Receives FDA Orphan Drug Designation for the Treatment of Pediatric Osteosarcoma
Michael Kors takes over fashion icon Versace in $2 billion deal
The Knot parent XO Group’s stock soars after $933 million buyout deal
$FCSC Awarded $1.4M FDA Orphan Grant for FCX-007 for Treatment of Recessive Dystrophic Epidermolysis Bullosa
Fiserv to buy U.S. Bancorp unit’s debt-card processing, ATM services and MoneyPass for $690 million
Aleafia to receive $10 million investment as part of deal to take majority stake in Serruya-led One Plant
$PSTI here is PR: FDA Orphan Drug Designation for PLX cell therapy for the Treatment of Graft Failure
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Elastic sets IPO terms to raise up to $203 million, to be valued at up to $2 billion
$BNGO REMINDER: Analyst IPO Quiet Period Expiration Today for BioNano Genomics
Ticketing company Eventbrite prices IPO at $23 to raise $230 million
Gritstone Oncology sets terms for IPO to raise up to $91.1 million
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Earnings:
Jabil’s stock jumps after profit, revenue beat expectations
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
DISNEY (DIS) trade alert long 112.30, over 112.10 targets 117.38 or 124.27 Dec 14 pending trajectory of trade $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
DISNEY (DIS) trade alert long 112.30, over 112.10 targets 117.38 or 124.27 Dec 14 pending trajectory of trade $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
As the media wars heat up, Chart Master Carter Worth sees one company as a buy: Disney $DIS #swingtrading
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Seems we are on doorstep of the biggest opportunities in my 30 years of market involvement. Gut feeling…. but I think when I look back in a year I’ll be like…. yep. Last time I was saying this was prior to election, that next quarter was epic for us #premarket #trading
Record-beating S&P 500® stock buybacks…yesterday’s preliminary results indicated $190.6 billion of shares repurchased in Q2 2018, up 58.7% compared to Q2 2017… dollar amount displaced previous quarterly record of $189.1 billion, set in Q1 2018
Record-beating S&P 500® stock buybacks…yesterday’s preliminary results indicated $190.6 billion of shares repurchased in Q2 2018, up 58.7% compared to Q2 2017… dollar amount displaced previous quarterly record of $189.1 billion, set in Q1 2018 @SPGlobal
If you’re holding $GOOGL (YouTube) $TWTR $FB and others in to the Trump / Globalist battlefield starting to heat up…. not sure I would. You may want to look at the players on the other side of each key battle. #swingtrading
If you're holding $GOOGL (YouTube) $TWTR$FB and others in to the Trump / Globalist battlefield starting to heat up…. not sure I would. You may want to look at the players on the other side of each key battle. #swingtrading
Liquidity in emerging-markets high-yield debt has dried up steadily this year. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Damian Sassower charts average the bid-ask spreads in the debt and how they’ve widened by 49% so far this year.
Liquidity in emerging-markets high-yield debt has dried up steadily this year. Bloomberg Intelligence's Damian Sassower charts average the bid-ask spreads in the debt and how they've widened by 49% so far this year. pic.twitter.com/1Ycp2TRPgx
The biggest oil producing nations don’t have that much capacity to pump more crude, raising concern that prices could rise if there’s further disruption in Libya, Iran or Venezuela. Here’s a chart of how much OPEC nations could produce less the amount they’re currently pumping.
The biggest oil producing nations don't have that much capacity to pump more crude, raising concern that prices could rise if there's further disruption in Libya, Iran or Venezuela. Here's a chart of how much OPEC nations could produce less the amount they're currently pumping. pic.twitter.com/sbhPTNX4Qf
The trade wars – moderate market concern, the fact that oil is being run up and that the Dollar could rock higher – considerable, Fed – considerable, but if gut is right…. Trump / Globalist show down gonna rock the markets $VIX – my guess… mid Dec thru mid Feb. Just a guess.
The trade wars – moderate market concern, the fact that oil is being run up and that the Dollar could rock higher – considerable, Fed – considerable, but if gut is right…. Trump / Globalist show down gonna rock the markets $VIX – my guess… mid Dec thru mid Feb. Just a guess.
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Monday September 24, 2018.
In this edition: $ARMN, $ACST, $XON, $OSIS, $BLDP, $LEBV, $CRON, $NBEV, $NFLX, $FB, $SHOP, OIL, $EDIT, $BABA, $GTHX, $AGN, $ROKU, $CVM, $XXII, $MOMO, $SPY, $DIS, $SSW, $DXY, $BOX, $CARA, $PROQR, $XBIO, $AAPL, $ARWR, $VIX, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
Sept 24 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
The main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or when the lead trader is not available.
In final edits for release;
New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online)
1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online)
3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced in part (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
As I expected, the trade set-ups from Trading Boot Camp alarmed and we’ve had some great trades since. The markets have some really decent setups still, today may be soft but a turn out of that softness is likely early week or at latest mid next week (see video reports the last few days for set-ups).
We are working on a tonne of charting / trade set-ups right now that will be sent this week to members as ready, here’s the theme;
Trading Theme this Week "inflections":
1. Many charts need rest = target select opportunities, they're there.
2. Range bound, coils etc breaking \ near break = bigger opportunity.
3. Time cycles = knowing what should be on high watch.
Below are trade position notes from late last week if you didn’t catch them;
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
The videos this week and the boot camp trade set-up reviews have been right in the flow of the market. We’re working on the rest of the equities we follow now and will have them all out over the next few days. Today in mid-day review I will tackle some more of the set-ups.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:08 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.11, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 7187, Gold $GLD trading 1199.03, Silver $SLV trading 14.30, $SPY 291.56 (previous close), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6595.00 and $VIX trading 12.4.
Pandora’s stock soars after SiriusXM buyout deal valued at $3.5 billion
BioXcel Therapeutics, Nektar expand research #collaboration into clinical partnership $BTAI $NKTR https://bit.ly/2NDoRv9
Intrexon up 22% premarket on advancement of medical cannabis production https://seekingalpha.com/news/3392365-intrexon-22-percent-premarket-advancement-medical-cannabis-production?source=feed_f … #premarket $XON
Sarepta stock rises after FDA lifts clinical hold on gene therapy program
ymantec’s stock jumps after audit committee completes probe; restatement not expected
Epizyme’s stock soars after FDA lifts hold on trial enrollments
$TSLA Q3 Deliveries Likely to Beat Consensus says Goldman
$ALNY Receives Priority Review in Canada for Patisiran, for the Treatment of Hereditary Transthyretin-mediated Amyloidosis (hATTR Amyloidosis) With Polyneuropathy
$SGYP Synergy Pharmaceuticals Strengthens Coverage for TRULANCE® (plecanatide) with Key New Market Access Wins
AnaptysBio down 8% premarket on mid-stage etokimab data in eosinophilic asthma https://seekingalpha.com/news/3392359-anaptysbio-8-percent-premarket-mid-stage-etokimab-data-eosinophilic-asthma?source=feed_f … #premarket $ANAB
$EIGR Announces FDA Guidance on HDV Phase 3 Study Design: Primary Endpoint Established; D-LIVR Study Initiating Q4’18
$XON Intrexon Announces Advances in Development of its Microbial Platform to Produce Cannabinoids for Medical Uses
#UPDATE Brent oil soared Monday close to $81 a barrel, reaching the highest level since November 2014 after OPEC and other global producers snubbed pressure from US President Trump to dampen prices http://u.afp.com/ounF #BrentOil
#UPDATE Brent oil soared Monday close to $81 a barrel, reaching the highest level since November 2014 after OPEC and other global producers snubbed pressure from US President Trump to dampen prices https://t.co/G8PLVOKw0S#BrentOil
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade any charting set-up decision to decision, when the set-up fails be sure to cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart).
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
US Stocks Weaken, Oil Surges, as China and OPEC Defy Trump on Trade and Energy https://www.thestreet.com/markets/us-stocks-weaken-oil-surges-as-china-and-opec-defy-trump-on-trade-and-energy-14720563 … via @TheStreet
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channeland at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
$ABT Wells Fargo Maintains Outperform on Abbott Laboratories, Raises Price Target to $80 $ABT
Jefferies on $AMRN Model U.S.peak sales could reach $2B, ~$15/share (upside scenario). See M&A potential. Share could trade up into AHA Meeting and sNDA approval.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is currently maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 – time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator.
The goal is to provide oil traders with a signals edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing. You will also find below introduction of our Generation 2 machine trading models.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published Sept 23, 2018.
A Generation 1, Version 6 model (with and without machine trading chart overlays) is currently also available. Per member request we will continue to post both Gen 1 and Gen 2 models (we had previously planned to discontinue including Gen 1 in weekly reporting).
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 72.54 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 65.32 – 68.92 and upper trading range 72.55 to 76.15.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is up as the MACD is turned up on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Sept 24, 2018 1:16 AM EST for the near term (two week swing trade) is bullish in uptrending channels as trade bounced off range support on up-trending wedge charting.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54 and 72.55 to 76.15. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Also, the recent trade coaching boot camp provided for excellent trading on the Friday in oil and also many other charting set-ups.
Sept 24 – Currently in updating by technician, will be added to Discord room when available.
During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days.
Per recent;
7:58 AM update Sept 17:
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart
1 of … Crude Oil Weekly Chart Wedge. Very bullish oil trading signal here, lower trendline held w break to upside. Sept 24 1204 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #oiltradealerts
Daily Oil Chart:
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD re-confirms upward with price above all MA’s Sept 23 1155 PM
Crude Oil Daily Chart. For symmetry to remain intact 67.18 Sept 28 would have to hit. Can’t imagine how. Sept 24 1229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Sept 17: Previous remains signal;
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Significant probability oil hits 79.50 ish Dec 3, 2018 ish. But over that area unlikely unless there is a geo political event. Over 79.50 the shorts would get wrecked. Low 50s most probable by 2022. Early Dec 2018 is likely the highs. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Sept 23 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.
Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back).
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent.
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Overnight oil trade: short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s-72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues (for months). Guidance detail in oil trading room (to expect heat). Live alerts, time stamped, recorded.
Overnight oil trade alert short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues
Overnight oil trade short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues $USOIL $WTI $USO #OIL #Trading #Alerts
Member guidance in oil chat room this morning “i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work – the larger more obvious i’ll alert against downtrend upper channel orange dotted etc”
Member guidance this morning in crude oil trading room – i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work
Member guidance this morning i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT EPIC Oil Algorithm #oil #trading #alerts
Scalp day. 100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live oil alerted, recorded.
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded. #oilalerts
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded. $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT EPIC Oil Algorithm #oil #trading #alerts
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example ‘70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop”.
70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop.
Crude oil trading room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see”.
Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see. FX $USOIL $WTI #OilTrading
Oil trade chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Machines defending the retrace intra day”.
Machines defending the retrace intra day FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL #Algorithm
Trims / close longs 71.39 to 71.71 crude oil trade alert.
Long 71.21 oil trade alert with the one add.
Today’s #EIA oil trade with Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Live alert entries (green) exits (red).
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow.
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow. #oiltradealert #oil
Screen shot of crude oil signals alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance.
Screen shot of alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance. #oil #trading #chat
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade signal alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Final crude oil trade alert signal to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
Final crude oil trade alert to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading signals plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
Winning streak continues. 100% live oil trade alert win rate for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #OOTT #Oiltradealerts #algorithm
Boom “3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up.
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1046 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot.
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1058 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Close up of intra day trading battle.
Close up of intra day trading battle #daytrading Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1105 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did.
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1121 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level.
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1141 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1148 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key).
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key) Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1209 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
Sept 23 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report.
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit, as published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
Trade Alerts. Trade Set-ups Report and Video from Live Day Trading Room September 20: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $CARA, $BLDP, $EDIT, $BZUN and more. #daytrading #swingtrading
#TradeAlerts
Trading alerts and Swing Trading and Day Trading set-ups raw video from Live Trading Room mid-day review Sept 20, 2018. Some of the trade set-ups in this video are from the Trading Boot-Camp.
It has been excellent this week! I had reported last week that I seen an inflection coming early this week and we nailed it! Continued market momentum if very possible in to next week. Many of the set-ups I have been posting the last week are firing trade signals consistently.
ITS SEEMS WE HAVE SOLVED THE BROADCASTING ISSUES WITH HARD WIRED FIBER INTERNET.
BE SURE TO LOOK AT THE CHART DATE AND TIME IN TOP LEFT HAND CORNER OF EACH CHART.
September 20, 2018
Crude Oil Trading Update ($USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO) – I review the crude oil algorithm on the video. Twice this week I took trades that I closed only to have them run after closing (I was away from monitors at each time). Execution of trades at the support and resistance of the crude oil trading algorithm (EPIC) has been excellent.
The weekly oil price targets from the weekly crude oil trading report and the charting provided in the reports have been really predictable lately also.
The crude oil trading alerts feed has been quieter this week because the trading plan in oil was to take the trades at the wider ranges to leg in to the trades, I did however alert the channel support and channel resistance and following through those trades would have been very profitable for oil trading members.
SP500 $SPY $SPXL $SPXS – On the SPY algorithm charting for 60 minute time-frame I have been watching for a break over the test area resistance 291.60 (trade alert on SPY went to swing trading alerts feed). Sept 24 time cycle 288.88 283.77 and uptrend 299.50 would be most bullish scenario. 294.33 resistance intra and main support on SPY intra-day 293.00.
SP500 (SPY) premarket bullish with 294.31 key resistance and one smaller one in between $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
APPLE $APPL – Apple’s stock is over 50 ma on 240 minute chart, trade alert went out on swing trading alert feed for Apple today. Testing the 20 MA, 224.70 resistance, 229.70 resistance, 236.75 is heavy resistance. Support 215.60 area intra-day and 219.02.
APPLE (AAPL) premarket bullish momentum with 20 MA test and 224.60 range buy sell trigger above $AAPL #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX $NFLX – The long side trade that alerted that some members took has been very good at main support on the Apple chart. The trading support and resistance areas are discussed on video. Review of the chart model and video are important to understand the trading signals for Apple. 364.00 362.14 support areas, 395.59 397.90 are resistance areas. Really important to look at the chart and video explanation however.
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
FACEBOOK $FB – One of my favorite trade set-ups, especially for wash-out snap back trades. Facebook is currently under significant government pressure now so I am not expecting the same as previous. The horizontal red and blue support and resistance areas (forming the test area box on the charts) is reviewed and the diagonal Fibonacci trend lines. Here again review of the video and chart is really important. 167.51 mid quad resistance caution here, 100 MA resistance 169.40, diagonal Fib resistance, 173.51 is upside possible, 169.03 downside possible. The trading box is reviewed on the model. Buy sell triggers for trading signals on Facebook are also reviewed.
There is a previous special report on how to trade Facebook on our website.
FACEBOOK (FB) bounce off quad wall in to key resistance (red blue) upside test 20MA 50 MA – key test area $FB #swingtrading #tradealerts
EDITAS $EDIT – The value of structured set-ups with symmetry in the algorithmic stock chart models is discussed here. Examples are $GDX, $BLDP, $NBEV, $AGN, $EDIT and many more. The symmetry on EDIT chart has hit five times and typically you will see it stretched at that point. A trade alert went out today on $EDIT to watch closely going in to this time cycle. The video explains the details.
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) at 200 MA resistance test with peak time cycle Sept 24, careful on other side of cycle $EDIT #swingtrade #tradealert
CRONOS $CRON – I have reviewed CRON chart set-ups many times this week. There is a light sidewinder trade set-up with the 50 MA and 20 MA on the CRON charting. You can expect a fairly decent move when the 20 MA breaches the 50 MA upside. It’s a lower time-frame being on a 240 minute chart, but it still may be enough to get price over that key resistance area reviewed on the chart and video. Pivots support and resistance areas also reviewed on video.
CRONOS – per yesterday’s trade alert and review video over trendline on way to resistance test in premarket $CRONO #tradealert #premarket
NEW AGE BEVERAGES $NBEV – I put out a special report to members today on NBEV and the trade has been fantastic since. The resistance areas and time cycles are reviewed on the video. The testing area (trading box) are reviewed. Also the price extensions (price targets) are reviewed. If price holds and price moves bullish in to time-cycle discussed on video the upside price targets for NBEV are extremely positive and reviewed on video. 9.38 is a very critical resistance and support area in to the key time cycle peak on the NBEV chart.
NEW AGE BEVERAGES (NBEV) testing previous highs, technical set-up here forward for chart structure $NBEV #tradealerts #swingtrading #daytrade
NEW AGE BEVERAGES premarket bullish with trade alert price targets hitting, trim in to each add above. $NBEV #tradealerts #swingtrading #daytrade
BALLARD POWER $BLDP – On the swing trading alert feed today a special alert went out on the fact that the last five time cycle completions in Ballard Power stock charting the price reversed in trade of Ballard. This is a symmetrical stock trade set-up that traders should not ignore. BLDP trading 4.50 up 7.42% intra-day spiking in to time cycle completion Oct 10, resistance 4.50 and the test range on the chart is reviewed.
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
BOAZUN $BZUN – Holding key support intra-day, if it holds a run up in price is possible. Termination of time cycle on 4 hour chart is near so get ready soon. High probability set-up. Details of trade set-up for BZUN reviewed in video. My bias is that this runs up.
ADVANCED MICRO $AMD – key support hit on chart and bounced, Oct 2 price target in bullish scenario is 33.62 and bearish scenario 22.87 in sell-off, mid quad on chart is discussed on video with various price target scenarios like 31.40 range being indecisive price target on Oct 2.
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key support and bounced, targets 33.62 Oct 2 or sell off 28.87, watch structure uoutlined on chart #swingtrading #tradealerts
OSI SYSTEMS $OSIS – trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fibonacci resistance on diagonal Fibonacci trend line, price target 84.21 Dec 28 is possible in uptrend trading. Resistance and support lines and how to trade the chart is reviewed on the model in video.
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
CARA THERAPEUTICS $CARA – I knew this one was going to get going, you don’t get many trade set-ups this strong.
There is a trade coaching bit of advice at this point on the video with reference to trading structured charting and its benefits to traders. Also market inflections and how to trade for your profit and loss and associated sizing in market inflections is also reviewed.
CARA is a great case study, going back to NBEV chart is reviewed on video – how price was getting bullish in to time cycle and how that relates to symmetry and price targets that can be traded.
28.20 is very likely fast in CARA trading if trade gets above key resistance. I put a trade alert out while recording video.
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
ALIBABA $BABA – this is the swing trade that I was under water on, bounced of 100 MA, now back in it’s structure, has a number of tests, 206.85 price target to upside with 237.62 most bullish scenario May 27, 2019. See chart review in video.
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
LEVEL BRANDS $LVEB – anything over 6.00 will confirm an upside trend and if that triggers we’ll structure the charting for you and go from there.
ALTIMMUNE $ALT – hit 50 MA resistance today, alarmed for a breach above the 50 MA and a possible run to 100 MA. Will alert the trade in ALT if it breaches the 50 MA and structure the chart model for members.
NII HOLDINGS $NIHD – up 19% in trading today, aggressive chart, bounced off 20 MA, trading 5.06, good argument 5.60 as a watch area on other side of the bowl, 6.25 is a safer region to look at a possible big run to 9.00. A double upside extension is possible. It is a structured trading chart. I alarmed NIHD for a trade.
$ICCC – trading 9.13 up 20%, swing trading service provider dream, signal long when price is over 200 MA and win almost every trade, you would take the odd cut but the moves would make up any cuts taken.
$VXRT – trading 2.85, terrible chart.
$COE – bad chart.
$KNDI – not a bad chart, testing the 50 MA, over 200 MA you could start to look at it, this will likely go on a run upside over 200 MA, possible reversal setting up on this chart.
$FTNW – bad chart.
$COCP – bad chart.
$LOMA – bad chart.
TRADING ROOM VIDEO Trade Alerts: #daytrading #swingtrading
