Part 1 – Crude Oil Day Trade Strategy For 200 Ticks Win From Our Oil Trading Room – Step by Step Tips on How We Traded It and Alerted it Live

The main question for oil traders reading this and /or watching the instructional video should be, “How did we know that oil intra-day would most likely reverse where it did on the chart?”

The oil trading alert went out at 6:37 AM EST and the one prior to that was at 4:09 PM the day prior (Monday June 8, 2020), so it isn’t that we send out many alerts every day, we send our alerts only out when it is the most highly probable area of intra day trade for a win.

So why then at that time of day? What was happening with intra-day trade, the charting, time of day and with other signals that caused us to trade in size long at 6:37 AM EST today?

In short it was the only trade entry alert of the day, the trade was in size and it happened to be at the low price of trade on the day also.

Below are the secrets of this time tested oil trading strategy.

Important Tips for this Simple Intra-Day Crude Oil Trading Strategy

  • Time of Day is Important – Today’s 200 tick oil day trade was started in the morning prior to US regular market open and after many traders around the world in different time zones (and overnight Futures traders) have finished their trading day.
  • Chart Trend Lines – I teach students to always have classical charting trend lines for support and resistance ready at all times on all time-frames.
  • Key Algorithmic Charting Levels – Not all oil traders have this at their disposal, but this was one key reason for our trade success today..

Time of Day.

Time of day when day trading crude oil is very important. In this trade example it was the time of day where overnight futures traders (as far as USA traders are concerned) usually finish their day as well as some traders from around the world also (depending on time zone) and day traders in the U.S. start their day.

When traders start and stop their trading day is not the only time of day consideration.

There are other time of day considerations such as regular U.S. open premarket, regular U.S. market open at 9:30 AM EST, daily settlement at 2:30 PM EST, weekly inventory statistics from the American Petroleum Institute at 4:30 PM EST Tuesday’s and U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) at 10:30 AM EST on Wednesdays.

Specifically as it applies to this intra-day oil trading strategy, this trade was taken when the overnight futures traders were typically finished “taking profits or losses” on their day trade sessions and the new batch of day trader liquidity was entering the market. VERY KEY. Again, today’s oil trade was first entered and alerted at 6:37 AM EST, in size.

Below is a screen capture image from our Oil Trading Room with the day trade execution at 6:37 AM for 6 contracts entered – adding to existing 6 contracts in the long position sequence of trade.

Also in the image are some of the alerts in the trading room as the trade progressed (this is the private member oil trade chat room in Discord, there is a live charting and mic broadcast room also).

You can also see in the image the lead trader discussing another time of day coming at 9:00 AM and to be prepared to watch the possible signals of oil trade at that specific time. Time of day in oil trading is one of the best signals oil day traders can use in their strategies.

oil trading room, alert for trade

Image from Oil Trading Room with day trade execution for 6 contracts added to existing 6 contracts long #oiltradingroom

Oil trading alerts screen capture of today’s oil trade that was first entered and alerted at 6:37 AM EST, in size.

Below is a screen capture of the actual oil trading alerts feed showing the lead tech alerting the buy in crude oil.

oil trading alert

Oil trading alert screen capture of today’s oil trade that was first entered and alerted at 6:37 AM EST, in size. #oiltradingalerts

The broker platform trade executions by our oil machine trading algorithm are shown (screen shots) in this tweet:

Crude oil trading alert feed today, deep dive early in premarket for a great 200 point rally through the day.

#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL

#oiltradingalerts #machinetrading

Trading Trend Line Support and Break Outs.

In today’s trading action there was a trend line support signal on the charting for the long position at 6:37 AM and the a trend line break later in the day for a break out to continue the rally.

First, below see the initial support area of the trend line chart for the long trade entry. This signal is from a classical 1 hour oil chart with trend lines that included the mirrored fractal trading trend lines. This “mirrored fractal trend line” is where the signal was to enter the trade.

The one hour trading time frame is a significant oil trading signal because it is a larger than say a 1 minute, 5 minute, 15 or 30 minute chart timeline for daytrading. The one hour timing can be used also for intra-week trading signals.

The mirrored trend line fractal is a bit more than basic oil charting 101 in that it takes some technical analysis experience to learn, but not much and if you are an oil day trader it is a good skill to learn because the machine liquidity in the markets use mirrored fractals greatly.

You can see this technical charting skill helped garner a 200 point rally oil trade win today.

Crude Oil Trend line Chart, oil hit key support on the chart and this was one key signal for taking and alerting the trade.

oil trade alert, chart, trading room

Crude Oil Trend Line Chart, oil hit key support on the chart and this was one key signal for taking and alerting the trade #oiltradealerts

And then later in the day came the trend Line resistance break out.

I marked the intra day oil trend line resistance break out area on the chart below with a second red circle.

trendline, resistance, oil trading strategy

I marked the intra day oil trend line resistance break out area on the chart below with a second red circle.

I recently did a video instructional on oil trend line resistance break outs that explains the rules and tips for how to trade intraday break outs above a trend line resistance. It was identical to today’s set up and signals that produced this excellent win.

Here is an excerpt from that article:

Three Possible Trade Scenarios When Price Breaks Out;

1. The break out fails. This is possible so be sure to use stops or reverse your trade if the break out of resistance fails.
2. The break out succeeds and price keeps running without a retest of previous resistance (now support). If price does not come back to test support of the trend line then you have to be prepared to take the trade long and go with price action.
3. And finally, price breaks out of resistance and then comes back to retest the new support (which was previously the resistance of the trendline structure).

You can find Part 1 to the article with video tutorial here:

Simple Crude Oil Intraday Trading Strategy – Trading Bullish Trend Line Resistance Break-Out. #OOTT $CL_F $USO #CrudeOilTradingStrategies

and 

Part 2 for our premium members is here:

Protected: What’s Next? Crude Oil Trading Strategy – Trading Trend Line Resistance Break-Outs (PREMIUM, Part 2) #CrudeOil #TimeCycles #OOTT $CL_F $USO

Trend line break outs, especially on larger time frame charting such as the one hour like with today’s trading are very powerful signals.

I even publicly gave my Twitter followers a bit of a heads up intra-day because I could see the trend line breach set up coming. My tweet went out at 11:30 AM and shortly after noon oil was in break out mode above the trend line resistance.

oil shorties could get wrecked here

In Part 2 of this article we will take a look at how the swing trading strategies played in to this set up for our Swing Trade Alert service members.

In Part 3 for our Pro Oil Day Traders (Oil Trade Subscribers) we will look at the algorithmic charting structures that enabled this successful trade.

The video tutorial for this specific article (Part 1) is below.

As always, any questions please send me a note via email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thank you.

Curt

< Updated June 10 7:41 AM EST >

There is another classical charting reason possible for crude oil’s 200 Point reversal rally intra-day, Fibonacci level 50% was hit perfectly.

Nonetheless, there were strong algorithmic charting reasons for the reversal rally intra-day that I will go in to in more detail for our oil trader members in Part 3. Considering the machine trading liquidity in the oil trading markets I would weigh those indicators / signals much more greatly than the chart below. 

crude oil, intraday, reversal, trade

There is another classical charting reason possible for crude oil’s 200 Point reversal rally intra-day, Fibonnaci level 50% was hit perfectly.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Article Topics; Oil, Trading, Alerts, Oil Trading Room, Strategies, Day Trading, Intra Day, Trend Lines, Break – Outs, Support, Time of Day


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How to Trade an Oil Price Sell-Off in to Futures Settlement at 2:30 PM EST for Reversal.

This Reversal (Snap-Back) Crude Oil Trade Provided a 190 Point Range for Our Oil Trading Room Traders.

One of the best ways to increase your oil trading profit is with reversal trading. Crude oil can be difficult to trade, so knowing where reversals in price are likely to occur (support areas of charting) greatly helps a trader with winning trade signals.

A Warning! In a reversal trade it is important to manage your stops, bias, trade size in accordance to your account size.

The example below is of a 30 contract size (possible) oil trading account used by our software EPIC V3.1.1.

I personally didn’t take the trade because I was tired and I had a few other reasons. But it cost me some excellent profit because the price of oil then reversed and rallied near 200 ticks – it would have been a great win for me.

Some of our traders in our oil trading room did get the win so that was great, so I learned a lesson for next time.

The biggest lesson being that when EPIC V3.1.1 alerts an oil trade and the signal is “in-play” it is best for me to get with it and take the trade because the software has been winning non stop since it’s “black swan” code updates.

The oil charts below are models developed by our trading team that are proprietary to our oil trade alert and trading room members, however, if you know how to properly chart conventionally you can also take advantage of this set-up.

Let’s start with the set-up for the possible reversal trade on the one hour chart model. The one hour oil chart suggests that a turn in price, or a topping, is near (refer to the curved grey arch on the chart).

More specifically to this trade set up, the yellow trend lines (algorithmic trend lines) provide for a possible area on the charting for intra-day support in a possible sell-off scenario in to futures settlement at 2:30 PM on Thursday May 7, 2020.

The alert went out to the oil trading room and trade alert feed as follows;

You can see on the oil chart below that price was crashing at 12:18:17 EST time (or 12:18 PM) so the possible set-up for a bounce after oil settled at 2:30 PM was setting up.

If you’re thinking of swinging crude oil for a bounce, we’re getting closer to support areas.

trade, price, support, oil

If you’re thinking of swinging crude oil for a bounce, we’re getting closer to support areas. #oilswingtrading

Intra-day time cycle on crude oil is 1:45 P.M. for a possible bounce (reversal), careful with expecting VWAP to hit with some funds turning short.

The chart below and guidance provided to subscribers was also that at 1:45 PM a time cycle intra-day was possibly at an inflection point (or peak / bottom) and this was reason to be on high alert.

day trade, time cycle, crude, oil

Intra-day time cycle on crude oil 145 for a possible bounce, careful with expecting VWAP to it with some funds turning short #oiltradealerts

Screen capture of oil trading alert feed telling oil trading room position started.

Then at 2:44, so 14 minutes after crude oil officially settled for the day the alert went out that we were opening our trade position long at 8/30 size at 24.67 and the screen image below shows some of the other alerts and comments as the trade was going well and in a winning position.

Long 8/30 24.67 FX USOIL WTI trade on CL — EPIC.

oil trade alert, trading room, open position

Screen capture of oil trading alert feed telling oil traders position started – Long 8-30 24.67 FX USOIL WTI trade on CL — EPIC.

Screen capture image of oil trading room when I alerted the trade position opened and discussing trading strategies.

One of the things we do in the oil trading room is provide charting and as much trade strategy guidance for our subscribers as possible.

This image below is a screen shot of the Discord room where we’ll chatter and share ideas and there is also a live mic and charting trading room where I walk our traders through the trades on voice broadcast live and share the charts we are using – both run at same time..

oil trading room, trade alert

Screen capture image of oil trading room when I alerted the trade position opened and discussing trading strategies.

If the trade works, the price target would be Friday 3:00 PM EST ish for 29.00 ish.

The guidance provided to the trading room after we entered the trade was the price targets and time of the targets possibly coming in to affect. The chart below shows an arrow that provides our traders with a trajectory of trade should the plan being working.

price targets, oil, trade

If the trade works, the price target would be Friday 300 PM EST ish for 29 ish #oiltradingstrategies #swingtrading

The crude oil one hour chart with symmetry time cycles has been an amazing model, working very well, details on video.

The image below shows the 1 hour algorithmic model and the symmetries in crude oil trade, time cycles and price targets. The reference to “the video” is that we record all trading sessions and make them available to our subscribers for $STUDY and review.

swing trading, time cycles, crude oil

The crude oil one hour chart with symmetry time cycles has been an amazing model, working very well, details on video #swingtrading #oil

The Live Oil Trading Room Raw Video Feed

At 1:12:40 on the video timer is where the oil trade starts, you can see and hear the actual trade guidance for the signals I am providing our traders as the trade sets-up.

There isn’t a lot of trade guidance on mic because much of it was provide in advance in the trading room and on alert feeds, but you can idea of how it works in the trading room on the video. There is also a time stamp at near bottom right of screen in the video on the chart itself.

The Chart Below Shows Trade Long Entries (green arrows) and Take Profit Areas Selling (red arrows).

Crude Oil Trade Alerts dot plotted on 1 minute grid chart of EPIC V3.1.1 trade from oil trading room earlier today.

oil trading room, trade, sequence

Crude Oil Trade Alerts dot plotted on 1 minute grid chart of EPIC V3.1.1 trade from oil trading room earlier today. #oiltradealerts

The trade on the 60 min symmetrical time cycle model (white arrow), long position after sell-off in to daily settlement.

1 hour, oil, chart

The trade on the 60 min symmetrical time cycle model (white arrow), long position after sell-off in to daily settlement #oiltradealerts

The reversal trade works really well for oil traders as long as you manage the trade size according to your account size and be sure to stop out if you are on the wrong side of the trade.

Oil can trend down or up for weeks so staying on the wrong side of an oil trade can cost you your whole trading account.

So if you know your areas of support on the most dominant time frames (in this instance the 1 hour charting) and you execute your long trade after it looks like the sell-off has stopped then it becomes simply managing the ebb and flow of trade according to your personal style thereafter.

BUT IF IT FAILS, my best suggestion to you is to close the trade sooner than later.

I’ve also written other articles on intra-day reversal oil trades – they are more in-depth and a tad technical, but if you want to dig deeper in to this topic here are a few recent articles:

My tweet summarizing the oil trade on my personal Twitter feed (shows alert screen shots);

When crude oil sold off in to 2:30 settlement yesterday, EPIC V3.1.1 machine protocol went in deep long for swing trade, I didn’t follow… EPIC got it Direct hitFireBow and arrow I didn’t – in hindsight, likely cause I was tired. Good lesson.

#OTTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI #OilTradeAlerts

In the tweet below, I was explaining that oil traders would want to be focusing on trades that are on the outside extreme ranges in price.

The reason for this is that oil recently rallied off lows and we have a time cycle and price targets that see oil topping near – term. When oil starts to top or bottom in a wider time-frame it is then best to trade the range of trade on lower time-frames (such as the 1 minute, 5, 15 or 30 minute charting) until the larger trend is formed.

Oil traders, they’ll want to take the trades on the extremes the next two weeks #OOTT $CL_F $USO The whippy extremes will provide the best risk reward for oil traders.

So that’s the reversal snap-back trade in crude oil futures that you can either consider as a day trade or an intra-week swing trade. There are of course many other considerations we use (our software has over 9000 rules in its instructions), but for the purposes of a human trader, the above article should help get you started.

We endeavor to develop the best winning oil trading alerts and oil trading room service for oil traders.

Any questions please send me a note via email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thank you.

Curt

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Article Topics; oil, strategies, reversal, trade, swing trading, day trading, crude oil,  oil trading room, oil trading alerts. 

 


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Post Market Wrap Up Trading Day Comments “The World is Opening Up Again”

#daytrading #swingtrading #oiltrading

RE: Post market report with VIDEO covering trade reviews on day trading, swing and oil trading alert feeds, Volatility, Oil, SPY, GOLD, SILVER, BITCOIN, APPLE, TESLA, AMAZON, TWITTER, FACEBOOK, PAGER DUTY, CHEGG, OVX, GOOGLE and more.

My first post market review on cell phone recorded on YouTube, tomorrow I’ll try the camera on my phone sideways and see if I can get a larger field of view, if not maybe I’ll hobble around with my GoPro in future.

I’ve just been shooting these videos on Twitter but I’ll start to post them to Twitter, YouTube Facebook etc. Show folks where I am in my travels while I do a quick Market Wrap Up each day after our day trading session in the trading room. Sorry about the wind.

So it looks like the world is opening up, Florida was looking normal again, busy place now again.

In my trader premarket trading note this morning could see the run up coming on the day so I sent out a second premarket guidance note before market open.

We had the move dialed in and were ready for a great day of daytrading and swing trade positioning and management of booking profits.

Market Outlook

We got the bounce today we were looking for, we expected markets Monday to be soft and Tuesday to bounce and we got it.

Swing trade alert feed below shows guidance comments Monday morning toward general intra day outlook;

“General market view – I just surveyed the best 10 traders I know, all agreed on equities – watching only (likely pop Tuesday), I am concerned about possible drop in AMZN symmetry and on oil bullish to 25 – 30, trading 22.23 FX USOIL WTI.”

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1257326486056558593

Swing trade, market outlook, alert

General market view – watching only (likely pop Tuesday), concerned about possible drop AMZN symmetry, oil bullish to 25-30 trading 22.23 FX USOIL WTI. #swingtradealerts

Crude Oil

Oil trade is on a tear, we had alerted to the swing trade and oil trade alerts feed we were expecting the next leg up for 25.00 – 30.00 and it hit 26.62 today (so far) on FX USOIL WTI. API is on deck next here with EIA tomorrow.

Crazy bullish run. We seen a few day trade set-ups today, I got one at regular USA market open and the second set-up alerted to the oil trade alerts feed was a prime set-up.

I wrote an article on the oil day trade set-up (click here) based on a 200 MA buy trigger on the one minute chart, that ended up being the best intra-day buy / continuation point in oil. The price of oil rallied 147 points to a high of day at time of writing 26.62 and looks like it is about to break higher. The article has screen shots of the oil trade alert feed and charting and a step by step how to trade the strategy.

Alert from the oil trade alert premium feed below:

“On the 1 min time frame 25.15 200 MA is attractive test for a crude oil day trade pop up scalp – trading 25.68. #oiltradealerts.”

oil trade alert, one minute, strategy

Oil trade alert premium feed 1 minute time frame 25.15 200 MA attractive test crude oil day trade scalp #oiltradealerts

Tech Leaders

Apple, Intel, Twitter we’re doing well in on our Swing Trading Alerts platform (members can refer to the charts).

Facebook, Google and Amazon I’ve sat out. I’ve always done well in all three but Amazon has a symmetry issue for a possible sell off in to beginning of September that I don’t like and the Tech leaders have other geo political black swan potential that I outlined in detail on the Swing Trading Alert Premium feed that our subscribers should review.

I may still take trades in $FB $GOOGL $AMZN but any of the tech leaders I will hold only with hard stops, again, the explanation is on the swing trade alert feed.

Gold, Silver, Bitcoin.

The swing trades, alerts and chart models have been running well in Gold, Silver and Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is stronger because of the BTC specific halving event and the 1200.00 cheques from the Fed.

Silver continues to struggle, I’ve explained to members – I think the most recent explanation for this expectation for Silver was on the weekend Swing Trading $STUDY videos, I go in to an explanation there. Silver is on the first of four videos from that $STUDY session.

And Gold is expected to be moderately strong and continue to trade well within the structure chart model that has been on point for many months.

Again, look at weekend $STUDY videos for details, charts and trading plan(s) for Bitcoin, Gold and Silver.

Volatility $VIX $OVX

Volatility is getting close to support / but triggers, we have a plan to accumulate in to the end of August 2020 that the Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY videos review.

A warning toward volatility surprises between here and election. Volatility, tech leaders and the whole market.

Miscellaneous Other Swing Trades.

TESLA I am shorting at key resistance points. This is my current nemesis.

CHEGG has been a payday swing trade over and over, today was quite a run up.

Pager Duty (PD) swing trade has been decent.

TGTX swing trade paid big on my 10% remaining runner today.

Apple (AAPL) had a big day, we continue to do very well with Apple swing trades, the model is very precise that we use. 

Many more.

Daytrading Alert Feed.

Looking to get that new day trading alert feed rocking because I want maxed out Swing Trading positioning for personal best returns in the next two time cycles in the markets in to end of August, through election and thereafter. Basically I want to be able to size in to themes in to the election and the best way to do that is to have the swing trading models all firing also on a daytrading time-frame for the highest possible return on the trades.

How About that Mortality Rate?

The End of the World Didn’t Happen!

Looks like it wasn’t the end of the world after-all (at least not this round), so I’m going to get some new free diving gear this weekend and start hitting it deep again next week. A pic of my front yard below a friend sent me today.

2020 Trader’s Summit.

The minute we’re all off lock down I will be announcing our 2020 trader’s summit. Don’t miss this event in Cabarete Dominican Republic. This is 3 days of 12 hours a day deep study and trading with myself and our lead trader group.

Members get first pick on the in person seats (10). Price is 1999.00 and current members will be discounted 50%. If you can’t make it you can attend online (25 person maximum).

Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Sessions.

Do not miss these swing trade study sessions, for 100.00 we serve up 10 session blocks of 4 hours of weekly deep trade set-up study. If you don’t 10x 100x or more return on that investment you should quit trading.

Weekly Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinars 7-11 PM.

Prepare for Trading Week Set-Ups (Trades On Watch).

100.00/10 Weeks (40 hrs of study) members 50.00. Video provided if you can’t attend live.

$CL_F $USO $WTI $SPY $VIX $GLD $GC_F $SLV $BTC $USD $DXY

Written reports will be out tonight for the follow up on the Sunday Swing Trading $STUDY session. Also new set ups, chart models and trading strategies coming for other new trades in play.

And don’t forget, pins can be pulled and likely will – stay awake and use stops if need be (see screen shots in tweets below)

Peace and best ,

Curt

Article topics; post market, market, review, trades, day trading, swing trading, oil trading, alerts, Volatility, Oil, SPY, GOLD, SILVER, Bitcoin, APPLE, TESLA, AMAZON, TWITTER, Facebook, Pager Duty, CHEGG, OVX, GOOGLE 

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