How to Day Trade the 1 Minute Oil Chart Using the 200 MA for Support and Symmetry for Resistance.

A Simple Step by Step Intra Day Trading Guide from our Oil Trading Room and Alerts Service.

Below are my top trading rules (steps I take in my strategy) when daytrading crude oil on the one minute time-frame. It has worked for me over the years and I am sure you will find it a highly profitable way to day-trade oil.

1. The Price Trend of Trade is Your Friend.

  • If you are going to day trade oil long be sure oil is in a rally. In this case oil has been rallying for a number of days and today oil price continued to rally. In this instance, the trend is on your side so it is obvious that your highest probability day trades scalping crude oil futures will be long buy entries.
  • Today’s News – Stock market live updates: Dow up 400, oil rallies 18%, Norwegian dives 18% https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/05/stock-market-today-live.html   

2. Price Dropping in to The 200 MA on One Minute Oil Chart.

  • Chart from the Oil Trading Room and Alerts feed shows the set-up intra day for the 200 MA scalp, “On the 1 minute time frame 25.15 200 MA is attractive test for a crude oil day trade pop up scalp – trading 25.68. #oiltradealerts” The white arrow on the chart points to the 200 MA on the 1 minute time-frame (200 MA in pink).

    1 minute, oil daytrading, strategy, chart

    On the 1 min time frame 25.15 200 MA is attractive test for a crude oil day trade pop up scalp – trading 25.68. #oiltradealerts

3. Execute Your Long Trade when Price Hits the 200 MA (Moving Average).

  • The screen image capture of the oil trading alerts feed show oil price bouncing off the 200 MA signal, day trade is now in play.
  • “Nice 40 point move on that crude oil daytrade set up on the 1 minute time frame, I didn’t take it, first extension resistance here. #oiltradealerts”

    oil trading alerts, daytrading, 1 minute chart

    The screen image capture of the oil trading alerts feed show oil price bouncing off the 200 MA signal, day trade is now in play. #oiltradingalerts

4. Take Profit as You – Go Based on Your Trading Plan.

  • Oil trading room live image below shows first price target hit, symmetrical price extensions, and a point to trim profits in your long trade scalping crude oil #oiltradingroom

    oil trading room, daytrading, scalp

    Oil trading room live image shows first price target hit, symmetrical extensions, and a point to trim long scalp #oiltradingroom

5. Technical Analysis Helps Plan Your Oil Trading Strategies.

  • Below is a one minute oil chart with symmetrical price extension price targets so our oil traders know where to trim profits along the way while daytrading oil.

    Technical Analysis, trading strategy, crude oil

    Your 3 steps of symmetrical extension resistance points for this day trade in oil #oiltradealerts

6. Use an Oil Trading Strategy – A Plan.

  • The image capture of oil trading room shows the 3 price targets for our trading strategy with this trade intraday #oiltradingstrategies 
  • At point of writing this article, the move on this oil trade alert intra-day is now 80 points, this is a fantastic day trade strategy for oil traders. Knowing where your price targets are and knowing how to measure the symmetry for price extension price targets will really help your strategy.

    oil trading room, day trade 80 points, strategy worked

    The image capture of oil trading room shows the 3 price targets for our trading strategy with this trade intraday #oiltradingstrategies

Technical indicators or signals really help retrieve more profit in each trade and also help with your winning percentage of trades.

There are many other signals that you can use for any oil day trade, including the trade outlined in this article. Some of the other indicators or trade signals include order flow, time of day, resistance and support on larger time frames such as the 5 minute, 15 minute or 30 minute chart time-frames and many more.

The price extensions in this article are part of a proprietary one minute oil trading grid model that our machine trading uses. There are many ways to set your price targets, some use conventional charting methods and some algorithmic (or proprietary models as in this instance).

Hopefully this tutorial on using the one minute oil chart 200 MA as a signal for day trading (scalping) trades has helped. It is an intra-day strategy that has worked for me in my trading time and time again. 

You should find implementing this simple crude oil intra day trading strategy that your win rate and returns will excel.

If you liked this article there is another day trading oil strategy article I wrote here.

Oh, and by the way, while I am finishing up writing this article oil is getting near the upper price target for this day trade and I just alerted the oil trading room and our alert subscribers to take profits. Nice Trade!

oil trading alert, take profit, daytrade

Third price target (main price extension resistance) now being met, take profits here if you haven’t already. #oiltradingalerts

My goal is to build the best oil trading room and oil trading alerts service in the world for oil traders – obviously a tall order, but we’re getting there one step at a time.

Any questions please send me a note via email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thank you.

Curt

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Article Topics; day trading, crude oil, 200 MA, 1 minute time frame, strategy, chart, symmetry, oil trading room, oil trading alerts, simple, intraday, trading strategy

 


An Insider’s Look at Daytrading Crude Oil – Against The Machines | Live Trade Alerts Guidance by our Lead Trader in Oil Trading Room

Tonight when I sat down to my trading desk I didn’t intend to trade crude oil, but I knew that our lead Computer Scientist Jeremy had been tracking some machine liquidity sweepers in oil futures and indices markets since earlier Tuesday April 28, 2020.

So I was ready for anything.

We’ve been watching the crude oil machine order flow in the markets for the last 12 hours or so – since the AI’s showed up in flow earlier on EPIC IDENT software.

The machine programs have been slowly taking hold of the intra-day oil trading structure more and more over the course of the day on each time frame from 15 second micro daytrading charting time-frame through to 1 minute, 5 minute and 60 minute time-frames that I will show you below.

Anyway, when I sat down for my daily market prep $STUDY session I realized the machines were firing long in to some price targets on the 60 minute oil chart time-frame structure. I knew that our software wouldn’t start trade executions yet (it needs a certain amount of machine order flow to support its bias and start triggering).

If you haven’t read the EPIC V3 Crude Oil Machine Trading White Paper yet you can read about the rule-set instructions it fires trades to here: White Paper Updated Dec 29, 2019: How EPIC v3 Crude Oil Machine Trading Outperforms Conventional Trading.

So I knew the machines in crude oil futures trade were / are firing long in to a price target for Thursday 1:00 PM based on the 1 hour oil charting time-frame (from that specific algorithmic model). So I took the trade before I finished my first coffee.

By the way, we trade when the machine flow is in the markets because it becomes unfair for the competitors, in other words, our win rate skyrockets because we have intelligence the average oil day-trader does not have (unless they are employing high-end machine intelligence).

Below is one example, I just closed out the day-trade in crude oil futures you will see here. 

I provide what I can (I can only show you so much) but what you will see below are the screen images from the oil trading room and oil trade alerts feed and algorithmic trading chart models that represent our machine trade for some of the time-frames. The guidance I provided the oil trading room and oil trade alert feed are included.

If you read this document carefully…

You will notice if you read this document carefully that I explained to the trading room what the machines would do in advance of it actually happening. On each time frame of trade we know what the decisions are algorithmically for the machine order flow.

I explained to the trading room what the machines would do in advance of it actually happening.

The charts below from the trade alerts and oil trading room are time stamped in the top left hand corner of the image .

I hope you enjoy the disclosure, here it is;

First the earlier trade set-up strategy commentary and guidance from the oil trading room earlier in the day discussing the upcoming time cycle in crude oil and machine order flow identified in markets.

Crude oil trading structure suggests decision for leg up or down prior to Thurs 1200 EST PM #oiltradingroom

Crude oil trading structure suggests decision for leg up or down prior to Thurs 1200 EST PM #oiltradingroom

Crude oil trading structure suggests decision for leg up or down prior to Thurs 1200 EST PM #oiltradingroom

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified.

JeremyToday at 10:19 AM
That was the strongest progressive order flow in the recent lows we have seen yet, likely machine programs in that rally. Time cycle for Thur 12:00 PM EST looks like the inflection (sometime prior). EPIC V3.1.1 was very close to firing, next rally we would expect programs to start.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 10:19 AM
Nice, thanks J

JeremyToday at 11:53 AM
Those SPY blocks from this morning you may see on social media people talking about, the machine programs coincide on CL progressive blocks. Same entity(s) likely.

Curt MelonopolyToday at 11:55 AM
thanks J

And one of my best oil trade alerts this week was here;

luisitoToday at 1:45 PM
Looking for a possible bounce from 10.00 area to 13.00s, trading 11.24 and dropping. FX USOIL WTI
@Curt Melonopoly amazing call

Curt MelonopolyToday at 1:45 PM
well thanks @luisito i’ll take what i can lol
we’re just watching this order flow now in to settlement because there were some sweepers in earlier today CL and SPy

luisitoToday at 1:47 PM
Curt: is a 400 ticks call. 100 down, 300 up.

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified #oiltradingroom

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified #oiltradingroom

Oil trading room commentary, discussion about oil strategy call that worked and order flow identified #oiltradingroom

Curt MelonopolyToday at 1:48 PM
ha ya, hopefully the next is better, if we get follow through above the earlier blocks we should see 19.46
have to see if the sweeper push it

Curt MelonopolyToday at 2:32 PM

As expected: Moderate above VWAP in to settlement, reflects market action & order flow, API and EIA then likely reversal to 19.40s, we’ll watch and see if the sweepers return. Should see EPIC (I know I’ve said it last week but structure needs to be there and it seems were there)

Very technical move in crude oil, post EIA should provide exceptional trading opportunity, structure returning fast.

Very technical move in crude oil, post EIA should provide exceptional trading opportunity, structure returning fast.

Very technical move in crude oil, post EIA should provide exceptional trading opportunity, structure returning fast.

If the machine bulls get their way, 19.47 Thursday 100 PM is the mark, 600 ticks, trading 13.56, 1 hr firing clean #oiltradealerts

If the machine bulls get their way, 19.47 Thursday 100 PM is the mark, 600 ticks, trading 13.56, 1 hr firing clean #oiltradealerts

If the machine bulls get their way, 19.47 Thursday 100 PM is the mark, 600 ticks, trading 13.56, 1 hr firing clean #oiltradealerts

Oil Trading Room alerting first trade entry – I’m going to go with this tight stops 1-10 13.59 long. #oiltradingroom

I’m going to go with this tight stops 1/10 13.59 long. Likely fails but I’m going to try and build above 13.56. So I’ll close under go above around that pivot. Quoting FX USOI WTI traded on CL.

Oil Trading Room alerting first trade entry - I'm going to go with this tight stops 1-10 13.59 long. #oiltradingroom

Oil Trading Room alerting first trade entry – I’m going to go with this tight stops 1-10 13.59 long. #oiltradingroom

The one minute support (pivot) I am speaking about (white arrow), but they have to clear 1 hour resistance on previous chart. #oiltradealerts

The one minute support (pivot) I am speaking about (white arrow), but they have to clear 1 hour resistance on previous chart. #oiltradealerts

The one minute support (pivot) I am speaking about (white arrow), but they have to clear 1 hour resistance on previous chart. #oiltradealerts

Hoping my long position sees a bit of a squeeze in oil futures here in to 1030 PM EST time cycle peak on 5 min timeframe #oiltradealerts

Hoping my long position sees a bit of a squeeze in oil futures here in to 1030 PM EST time cycle peak on 5 min timeframe #oiltradealerts

Hoping my long position sees a bit of a squeeze in oil futures here in to 1030 PM EST time cycle peak on 5 min timeframe #oiltradealerts

I marked the price targets for intra day machine route bias to the 19.47 price target Thursday. See chart. #oiltradealerts

I marked the price targets for intra day machine route bias to the 19.47 price target Thursday. See chart. #oiltradealerts

I marked the price targets for intra day machine route bias to the 19.47 price target Thursday. See chart. #oiltradealerts

Screen capture of actual oil trade alert from private member feed – 14.19 is the next resistance trading… #oiltradealerts

14.19 is the next resistance trading 14.05 so i may close 14.18 area and see if we pull back and then go again.

Screen capture of actual oil trade alert from private member feed - 14.19 is the next resistance trading... #oiltradealerts

Screen capture of actual oil trade alert from private member feed – 14.19 is the next resistance trading… #oiltradealerts

Bulls are taking some profit at 14.04 recent double top area of price, so we’ll see how this shapes up or down #oiltradealerts

Bulls are taking some profit at 14.04 recent double top area of price, so we'll see how this shapes up or down #oiltradealerts

Bulls are taking some profit at 14.04 recent double top area of price, so we’ll see how this shapes up or down #oiltradealerts

Based on the first symmetrical extension on the 1 min your new pivot is approx 13.74, so if bulls are firing on 1 min this should hold.

Based on the first symmetrical extension on the 1 min your new pivot is approx 13.74, so if bulls are firing on 1 min this should hold.

Based on the first symmetrical extension on the 1 min your new pivot is approx 13.74, so if bulls are firing on 1 min this should hold.

If your 1 min symmetrical pivot support doesn’t hold then look to 5 min 20 MA for bulls to go or not in to 1030 timing #oiltradealerts

If your 1 min symmetrical pivvot support doesn't hold then look to 5 min 20 MA for bulls to go or not in to 1030 timing #oiltradealerts

If your 1 min symmetrical pivvot support doesn’t hold then look to 5 min 20 MA for bulls to go or not in to 1030 timing #oiltradealerts

Screen capture image of oil trading alert private feed where I close the oil trade for a win and explain decisions #oiltradingalert

Screen capture image of oil trading alert private feed where I close the oil trade for a win and explain decisions #oiltradingalert

Screen capture image of oil trading alert private feed where I close the oil trade for a win and explain decisions #oiltradingalert

Screen shot image captured of actual oil trading room discussion from lead trader and guidance for trade plan #oiltraderoom

I am going to let them go from here without me and on a pull back (likely after time cycle peak) then I will re-enter long for the next leg up.

I got a 58 point move there on that time cycle, symmetrical set-up s I’m happy with that considering time of day.

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don’t make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly.

Screen shot image captured of actual oil trading room discussion from lead trader and guidance for trade plan #oiltraderoom

Screen shot image captured of actual oil trading room discussion from lead trader and guidance for trade plan #oiltraderoom

I got my bullish extension on 1 min symmetrical move as planned, lets see if I get a pull back, still time n to 1030 time cycle for more #oiltradealerts

I got my bullish extension on 1 min symmetrical move as planned, lets see if I get a pull back, still time n to 1030 time cycle for more #oiltradealerts

I got my bullish extension on 1 min symmetrical move as planned, lets see if I get a pull back, still time n to 1030 time cycle for more #oiltradealerts

You can see how the squeeze is occurring in crude oil in to the time cycle at 1030 PM as it did at 730 PM #oiltradealerts

You can see how the squeeze is occurring in crude oil in to the time cycle at 1030 PM as it did at 730 PM #oiltradealerts

You can see how the squeeze is occurring in crude oil in to the time cycle at 1030 PM as it did at 730 PM #oiltradealerts

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don’t make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly. #oiltradealerts

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don't make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly. #oiltradealerts

I may have made the right decision, if 13.94 fails then likely they don’t make the resistance break 14.19 on crude oil hourly. #oiltradealerts

Over 14.19 in crude oil trade on FX USOIL WTI 14.56 then 14.80 are your next intraday resistance #oiltrading #daytrading

Over 14.19 in crude oil trade on FX USOIL WTI 14.56 then 14.80 are your next intraday resistance #oiltrading #daytrading

Over 14.19 in crude oil trade on FX USOIL WTI 14.56 then 14.80 are your next intraday resistance #oiltrading #daytrading

You can see how bulls in oil trade are firing off the trajectory arrow toward the price targets I’m alerting, when it fails watch out #oiltradealerts

You can see how bulls in oil trade are firing off the trajectory arrow toward the price targets I'm alerting, when it fails watch out #oiltradealerts

You can see how bulls in oil trade are firing off the trajectory arrow toward the price targets I’m alerting, when it fails watch out #oiltradealerts

Bulls only have 5 prime minutes left (10 total) and trajectory for 14.56 price target comes in at 1057PM so they need a squeeze #oiltradealerts

Bulls only have 5 prime minutes left (10 total) and trajectory for 14.56 price target comes in at 1057PM so they need a squeeze #oiltradealerts

Bulls only have 5 prime minutes left (10 total) and trajectory for 14.56 price target comes in at 1057PM so they need a squeeze #oiltradealerts

They have 4 minutes left to 5 min candle expiry, at 1035 if price target not hit the advantage goes to bears short term #oildaytrading

They have 4 minutes left to 5 min candle expiry, at 1035 if price target not hit the advantage goes to bears short term #oildaytrading

They have 4 minutes left to 5 min candle expiry, at 1035 if price target not hit the advantage goes to bears short term #oildaytrading

At 103230 they are firing off half time on 5 min candle decision half range pivot support, if it fails they likely fail here #oiltradealerts

At 103230 they are firing off half time on 5 min candle decision half range pivot support, if it fails they likely fail here #oiltradealerts

At 103230 they are firing off half time on 5 min candle decision half range pivot support, if it fails they likely fail here #oiltradealerts

At turn of 1035 PM 5 min candle first signs of break down are appearing #machinetradingoil

At turn of 1035 PM 5 min candle first signs of break down are appearing #machinetradingoil

At turn of 1035 PM 5 min candle first signs of break down are appearing #machinetradingoil

If the break down continues, the first real buy trigger for the bulls again is 200MA on 1 min likely at 1100PM #daytradingcrudeoil

If the break down continues, the first real buy trigger for the bulls again is 200MA on 1 min likely at 1100PM #daytradingcrudeoil

If the break down continues, the first real buy trigger for the bulls again is 200MA on 1 min likely at 1100PM #daytradingcrudeoil

Here’s your 200 MA price hit on the crude oil 1 minute time frame, just below is vwap and 1 min range support #oildaytrading

Here's your 200 MA price hit on the crude oil 1 minute time frame, just below is vwap and 1 min range support #oildaytrading

Here’s your 200 MA price hit on the crude oil 1 minute time frame, just below is vwap and 1 min range support #oildaytrading

And now the pinch between the 20 MA to upside of price and 200 MA support lower than price for a decision #oiltrading #technicalanalyis

And now the pinch between the 20 MA to upside of price and 200 MA support lower than price for a decision #oiltrading #technicalanalyis

And now the pinch between the 20 MA to upside of price and 200 MA support lower than price for a decision #oiltrading #technicalanalyis

I am sure you can see from the trade action in the oil futures markets how it is best to have machine trade intelligence on your side if you are going to trade crude oil.

My goal is to build the best oil trading room and alerts service in the world for traders, it is a large task, but the hardest part of our mission is done, we can trade with the best machines in the world now. The rest should be easier.

Any questions please send me a note via email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thank you.

Curt

Part 2 of this article here: “Excuse Me, While I Kiss The Sky”. Part 2 Insider’s Look at How We Daytrade Crude Oil (w/ real-time alert screen shots from oil trading room).

Part 3 of this article here: BOOOM! Price and Time Exactly as Predicted Days in Advance | Part 3 – How We Daytrade Crude Oil #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO

 

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (Member Charting Reports sent out weekly at times in report form or updated on email regularly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed and Discord Private Server Chat Room).

Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes Weekly Newsletter, Trading Room, Charting and real-time Trading Alerts on Twitter and private Discord Chat Room Server).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Article Topics; oil, daytrading, oil trade alerts, oil trading room, crude oil, futures, trade, strategy


Part 2 of 2: Swing Trade $STUDY Review on ARCUS BIOSCIENCES (RCUS) Swing Trade Alert Trading Strategy.

“Down Trending Resistance Trend Line Break-out Swing Trade”. 

Below there are so many secrets to our swing trading success, in this article we look at the following areas of trading discipline for your trading plan:

  • Determining bias according to market time-cycles,
  • How to scan for swing trading set-ups,
  • How to determine price extensions for realistic price targets,
  • Support and resistance diagonal trend-lines, horizontal trend-lines, Fibonacci levels,
  • How to manage execution of the swing trade set-up,
  • How to manage trading stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow trade executions at support and resistance.

Part 2 of this analysis (below) is a Premium Member Only article and Part 1 can be found here;

Swing Trade Alerts Review: Traders $STUDY Guide “Trading Down Trend-Line Break-Out” ARCUS BIOSCIENCES Set-Up (Unlocked – Part 1 of 2)

Determining Time Cycle Bias for Your Trades.

Recently I wrote a few articles on the topic of time cycles in the markets using the Volatility (VIX) structured time cycles, this is a great place to start when determining first your bias of being bullish or bearish. In other words, should you be more focused on swing trades to the long or short side?

You can find Part 1 of the two part article here: How to Swing Trade Volatility $VIX Time-Cycles (UNLOCKED PT 1): Achieve Higher Gains in Stocks, Commodities, Indices, Crypto, Currencies and Theme Trades.

If the trajectory of market volatility is down (compressed) and you are more confident that volatility will be lower as you approach the next time cycle inflection then in most cases you would be bullish equities – this of course is just one example.

Alternatively you would be bias to the down-side for trading volatility so you may short $TVIX in this instance.

There are many ways to take advantage of the time cycles with various swing trades from Indices, Currencies, Crypto, Sectors, Stocks and more.

Just because the volatility is expected to rise or fall doesn’t mean however this should be the only determining factor when choosing theme trade set-ups, below is an example of just that with the ARCUS stock trade.

First, lets look at how stock scanning works.

How to Scan For Stock Swing Trading Set-Ups.

Good stock technical analysis knows before the news hits more often than not what the likely trade on each stock will be.

Technical analysis knows before the news hits because the stock will start to provide “tells” within the trade action of the stock and various technical points become clear.

So if you can know the TA of a specific stock better than most you have an advantage over other traders at all times because you can usually be ahead of the main part of the move.

Anyone, even the best fundamental traders would do better if they were also experts at technical analysis.

If the technical structure of the chart is suggesting a bullish move for example, you can then start to take small entries and build a position in expectation of a move.

The technical “tells” develop when insiders know something about upcoming news or even as geopolitical narratives are changing.

And then as you start to see specific technical trade patterns set-up in more and more equities you will find that this is a manifestation of the expert traders all beginning to bias their trades toward a theme usually within a sector, whether it be for a technical reason or a geo-political reason or perhaps some other fundamental or market sentiment reason.

If you get in “the pocket” right, you will find many set-ups during a period of time that will be almost identical and will provide excellent returns one after another.

This is what happened with our trading of the technical set-up in RCUS, many others were very similar during this time period in the markets and our returns increased rapidly.

I keep it simple and use Trading View for my scans. 

On any given day, usually sometime after lunch I will open Trading View and click on the fire emblem on top right side of screen – this is your hot-lists of hot stocks on the day (see screen shot of my Trading View below). You can set the scanner in Trading View for various levels and parameters. I scan the running stocks with large gains, the losers and the OTC markets.

scanning, stocks, swing trading

I will open Trading View and click on the fire emblem on top right side of screen – this is hot stocks on day.

Then I simply open each chart (primarily scanning the hot stocks on the day) and I start with the weekly time-frame.

I’m looking for chart history or patterns of trade, chart memory or some semblance of chart history with some order. The simpler the chart patterns the better. Anyway, as you learn all the different set-ups this gets much easier and faster.

Every financial instrument I trade I make sure that it has a structure, some order is required or your trading edge is not increased.

When I find a chart set-up I like I open the chart and take a look at it on various time-frames and consider how to trade the stock, price targets and various support and resistance levels.

Then I look at things like incoming volume, company news, sector themes, geopolitical type things, look at insider buying or selling and various other research.

During the period of time we took the swing trade in ARCUS the trend-line resistance break-out trade was happening regularly and was providing excellent returns for 2 – 6x and even more in some cases wins.

When I Used the Scanner and Isolated the ARCUS Swing Trade Set-Up It Was Yet Another Trend-line Resistance Set-Up That Was Likely to Explode.

Below is the chart I found when scanning, it shows clearly the trend-line resistance set-up. The chart below is from one of the earlier swing trade alerts we sent out to members for this set-up. You can see the spike through the trend-line resistance (which occurred after the original alert). 

You can clearly see the down-sloping trend-line in the chart on the alert.

This set-up was on high alert because this specific trade set-up was hitting one after another, if this was not the case I wouldn’t have been so keen on taking these trades.

you want to be where the wolf pack is

It is the theme that is important, you want to be where the wolf pack is, where all the other winning traders are. Just a winning set-up isn’t enough. Just a news event or a fundamental set up on its own is not the optimal scenario, you want to be where the flow is. This is critical.

Swing trade, alert, review, set-up

This chart swing trade strategy (setup) late 2019 early 2020 was found on scans regularly for big trader wins #swingtradealerts

And then as the trade progressed (after alerting the swing trade sometime earlier) the structure of trade was clear and it was just a matter of trading risk in ebb and flow (see chart below). 

It is important to note that we cannot alert every pull back and add and trim, it isn’t possible, what we do is get our members started in a swing trade and then endeavor to alert the key trades (especially key areas of resistance) as it progresses. Our trader’s platform (automation for alerts) will solve this manpower issue, but really every trader should be planning their sizing and support and resistance adds and trims for profit based on their own account risk, risk tolerance, style and more. If you are just blindly following another trader this will not work for you.

ARCUS BIO (RCUS) in bullish structure, decent action considering market this week, continuation for us $RCUS

ARCUS BIO (RCUS) in bullish structure, decent action considering market this week, continuation for us $RCUS

Charting Price Extensions for Price Targets and Timing.

This can be more art than science and your price extensions and price targets may change as the price or timing of the stock price movements move along.

In the chart below you will see diagonal white arrows (3 of them). The angle is just a reflection of the down-slope (a mirror of the angle). The length of the price extension is simply a mirror of the down-slope trend from previous. So each of the 3 arrows trending up are equal in duration and price.

These are a simple way of taking a shot at the most probable price extensions.

One key note here is that often you will get 1.5 extensions or 3. Why I don’t know. If you look at the chart below that is how I determined my price target from 15.00 to 30.00 and in last weeks trade the price target was hit early.

You will also notice (in blue on chart) I drew in an Elliott Impulse Wave, but I do that more for fun to see if I can tell the exact future of the play, you can see in this instance I was close, but the bulls were more aggressive than I even thought they would be.

Swing trade chart with price extensions, price targets, timing, Fibonacci, support and resistance levels of trade.

Swing trade chart with price extensions, price targets, timing, Fibonacci, support and resistance levels of trade.

Support and resistance diagonal trend-lines, horizontal trend-lines, Fibonacci levels.

In the chart above the diagonal trend-lines (charted in advance of trend-lines being there) are determined by taking the down trending price action of prior and extending the the tops of each lower high as the stock traded down in trend. the angle of the trend-lines was simply determined by historical trade.

The horizontal trend-lines (thin grey ones on the chart) were determined by simply drawing horizontal rays at the highs in the previous downtrend then duplicating to create a grid. These are not that important, I use them to see if there is a grid to be had. Why? Because I’m looking for order or structure.

And then the Fibonacci levels are simply done using your Fibonacci retracement drawing tool between the key support (or bottom of chart) and the price extension top. And then you copy and paste it up for each key leg in possible future trade. I always chart the low and high as horizontal key support and run them straight across horizontally on the chart as grey or green as these represent key areas of support and resistance.

How to Swing Trade It – manage execution of the swing trade set-up: Starter positioning, trading stops, trade sizing, ebb and flow trade executions at support and resistance.

Usually, when price breaks the trend-line resistance to the upside this is your trigger to be at least on watch for your initial entry.

You need to determine how many entries you are prepared to take. Hopefully it is more than one and preferably up to 10. Here is why;

When price breaks out upside the trend-line you want to be able to take at least a starter right away because most traders will wait until price returns to the previous resistance now support for the test of support and then go.

Some will even wait for it to bounce and get higher than the previous candle. All methods are fine but if you’re in it to win it then I would suggest taking 1/10 size at each of those three triggers I just explained. 

Why? Because sometimes price doesn’t come back to you. The stronger the theme, the stronger the market, the stronger the stock set-up the less chance it’s coming back to you and then you’re chasing it.

Now if you’re in 3/10 size or 30% size and your trade breaks down, you’re down on your trade but if you are winning 80% or better you can lose 10% 2 out of 10 times and win 30% or more 8 out of 10 times.

In the ARCUS example price never came back.

I look at every trade like a chess board, the more dot plots or entries and trims of profit the better, this is how we’re coding the 200 equities to trade under the machine trading program and how we’re coding the trader’s digital platform so members of our swing trade alerts will be able to see this real time. Until then, there is myself and three staff managing the numerous trades in various equities along with coding, alerts, newsletter publications and various other duties – hence the reason for coding automation.

Now, in the ARCUS example above you would have taken your starter 10 – 20% in size and it didn’t come back, what it did is it hit the first key resistance and then came back.

AT THAT RESISTANCE you need to trim 50% of your profit and then add to the trade at key supports in bits until it bounces and then continue with taking profits along the way at each key resistance.

Managing your trade size is critical. If you’re only going to be a one hit wonder, taking one entry for the win then you need to learn how to bring your charting down to a daytrading time frame so that you can execute your position on a lower time-frame of charting like a 5, 15 or 30 minute chart. I have an article coming on this discipline but in the meantime if you need to know how I do this ask me for a coaching session and I’ll show you.

Setting your stops is based on many things and this is why I don’t like publishing alerts with stops. This is determined by your experience (newer traders have to take more cuts because they don’t know what a prime set up is) so newer traders have to use hard stops religiously, I don’t because I know I can dot plot my way out of any trade as long as the stock isn’t destroyed by some black swan event.

In a black swan (market wide) I don’t worry because I’m in structured strong set-ups 90% of the time. If it’s not a strong set-up I’ll usually alert that or if its risky etc.

newer traders have to use hard stops religiously, I don’t because I know I can dot plot my way out of any trade as long as the stock isn’t destroyed by some black swan event

All of our trades we are sizing adds at support and trimming at resistance areas. There are many things that determine this also, such as market time cycles, market sentiment, sector sentiment, perhaps the technical set up is no longer being run by the bulls and many other factors.

False break-outs happen so you need to be prepared to take a loss, but when you get better at being able to determine key set-ups for all the reasons above and more you won’t be as concerned about that.

Other considerations technically speaking;

Most traders will wait for the current chart candle to close beyond the down-sloping trend-line resistance so they have a confirmed break-out, but remember, sometimes this won’t happen and a really bullish stock will just leave you in the dust.

Most traders will take their initial long starter position in the trade when the stock price has retraced back near or at the original trend-line, but again, this does not always happen and you can get left behind.

Most traders will set their stop just beyond failure of the trend-line but this can cause a trader’s account balance to be dwindled due to death by a thousand cuts.

The secret here is to not be most traders.

In this game if you are like most you will have like most (at best) returns, around 15% a year if you are lucky.

The traders that consistently post returns of 3, 4, 5 x or more per year are using a strategy that most do not.

What is that?

How did Wayne Gretzky explain how he played hockey? He had a knack at knowing where the puck was going to be so he went there.

“Skate to where the puck is going, not where it has been.”

— Wayne Gretzky

Same thing here.

Below is one of many of my rants on the subject, on my personal twitter feed;

If you get good at what I am describing above you will always know in advance (with high probability) when the price of the stock is going to move that you are trading, so manage the risk between where it is and where it is going like a chess board and you will see returns of 3, 4, 5 x or more per year.

Any questions email me anytime at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

 

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Article Topics; swing trading, swing trade review, study, stocks, alerts, set-ups, patterns, break-outs, themes, support, resistance, trendlines, sizing, stops, risk, technical analysis, Fibonacci, price targets, price extensions, strategy.

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