February 22, 2019

RE: EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm Machine Trading Software Advisory Specific to Trade Frequency Protocol “Throttle” and IDENT Program Description.

We are now near two months of running the machine trading software for crude oil futures contracts (CL).

During the testing phase, which will continue for some time as we adjust code instructions, the execution of trades by the program is “throttled”. Meaning specifically that the frequency of trade was specifically limited to the highest and then was adjusted to a higher win probability threshold.

The result of the initial testing achieved near 100% win side trade accuracy, but less than optimum trade frequency. Increased frequency may (will in our estimation) return a higher ROI – assuming the win rate percentage achieved is high enough. This of course is a complicated calculation within the code that reflects the win side average per trade return vs. loss side average per trade. In short, the loss side is programmed to be less (limited by way of higher frequency executions – tight stop triggers) and when trade is on win side the trade profit is increased via trade size that is progressively trimmed as the trade is in progress. Refer to private Discord oil trade chat server for real-time discussion between developers and traders for more detail.

An article is available at this link that displays some of (actionable by a human trader executing trades manually) the oil machine trading results, much of which was throttled considerably and much of which had human intervention – in other words, had the software been released to execute totally autonomous the returns would have been considerably higher – but we are testing. The highlighted trades returned a 63% increase on the “large account” test for the one month duration. This achievement was specifically to the alerted trades, not the higher frequency machine trades.

The “alerted trades” meaning that which could be considered actionable alerts to our subscribers. The machine software executed many times more trades but our current alert system platform (Twitter private member feed, Discord private chat server, Oil trading room live broadcast) cannot for the most part distribute alerts fast enough for the higher frequency trades to be considered actionable by a human executing trades manually (a trader digital platform is on the team WIP to remedy this). In consideration also is that the higher frequency trade protocols could easily be reverse engineered to expose the proprietary protocols under our IDENT program – this remains a discussion point internally and how the higher frequency trades will be shared is in question (more on that at a later date).

The “throttle” was initially set to approximately 20 x and over the course of fifty days progressively lowered to function near 10 x with less and less human intervention along the way. 20 x for example would result in twenty times less trade frequency than would otherwise be if the software was not “throttled” at all.

Today (Feb 22 at 2:11 AM EST) the code was adjusted considerably to be “throttled” to be less than 10x and will be lowered progressively over the next 7 trade days. The win rate vs. return as it would be calculated over a month is the achievement bar (goal) in focus. More on this objective and other clarification in near future updates.

Market condition will also result in variance of execution frequency as will holiday weeks specific to the model(s) divergence.

The main takeaway: In to next week the frequency of trade will be considerably higher with an objective being to find the most optimum throttle setting to achieve the highest return. The win rate is expected to near 80% and not near 100% and the return on equity on a monthly basis to increase considerably.

The 63% monthly return (monthly return in this instance meaning account equity size increase as it relates to alerted trades only) is a favorable start, however, our team believes 100% + return per month is consistently attainable (on average over a year) and in a perfect machine executed world 300 – 500% being optimally possible. For now our objectives are to achieve consistent wins at higher than 80% with a frequency of about 60 to 120 trades per month with a return averaging 100% per month (the bar).

The IDENT program is a protocol specifically to order flow identification of market participants achieved by way of historical pattern recognition of between 20 – 40 entities that we consider largest and approximately 200 entities that we consider important enough to attempt to track. The entities are prioritized in what we describe as an “alpha” order. The IDENT program is in large part the topic of this recent article at this link that describes the influence of machine trade in the crude oil trade market as experienced by our lead trader and is in large part the reason for the “intuitive like” nature of our software protocol.

The IDENT program seeks to enter trade direction with prioritized alpha order flow and exit in the same fashion. It is a proprietary process and the instruction set within the code architecture will in large part remain private.

For more information on how our development has progressed, refer to this link that will immerse you in a series of articles written from first hand perspective of the day to day trading of our lead trader with crude oil futures.

Thank you.

 

 

 

 

 

 


Crude Oil Day Trading Session From Oil Trading Room – Trading Set-up Short Waterfall Strategy. 

If you want to learn how to day trade crude oil, or if you want to win more often and already are an oil day trader this post with live video from our oil trading room will provide you with insight to how I day trade crude oil.

The planning and preparation I perform prior to every trade (such as reviewing support and resistance on all time frames and charting), the signals I watch for and what the water-fall short trade set-up looks like and specifically how to day trade the price action.

This is a very detailed video and I highly recommend oil traders study it for maximum consistency to your trading gains.

Voice broadcast starts at 1:23 on video.

At start of this video there are announcements about what we are doing (our staff work in progress) and general view of markets and how the trade of equities (swing trades) is affected by nearby resistance on oil charting.

Topics of announcements include the coding updates for the machine trading, status of algorithm reports, the huge month in our oil trading last month (up 63% in one month), trade alerts, digital platform for our clients to watch machine trade real-time, swing trade timing for equity and various algorithm model swing trade positioning in this time cycle, why the machine trading can beat my overall return performance by 10 times, coding of other algorithm models, the publishing of the rule-set modules for oil trading (mechanical human executed & machine traded, intra-day swings, longer term swings and daytrading).

The Pull Back In Oil Trade.

At 9:20 I discuss the trade action in oil as we trade near key resistance in oil. We should see 53 and possibly 52’s and even more down.

Trade Signals to Watch For Positioning Swing Trades, Intra-Day Swings and Day Trading..

When trade hits support for a proper bounce we know when machines are in trade because the trade action becomes really clean within the models. This predictable trade action provides a signal for when to start longer swing trade entries, helps us with intra day swing trades within the EPIC trading model and provides for precise day trading on the one minute model.

Trend Line Support on Watch.

At 10:30 on video the basing trend-line on the 4 hour chart is reviewed as support. Conclusion of this pull back in oil should come soon. I am expecting at latest Monday or Tuesday of next week.

Watch for violent trade up / down (stops taken out), most likely down first so I am positioning my bias for that scenario first. Likely a sharp down and then sharp up and then the mid point between the two points should be the decision area.

Tomorrow is EIA so this could be your timing or likely before end of week is likely for the spike up and down and then the pivot decision goes in to Sunday night futures.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WTICOUSD/kn9o1TRw-4-hr-concept/

crude, oil, chart, base, trendline, support

Basing trendline on 4 hr should conclude soon up or down for new trend in crude oil trade. #oil #chart #support

One Minute Crude Oil Day Trading Model.

At 12:48 I discuss trade on the one minute day trading model. The problem in trade as we get close to key resistance decision is trade becomes sloppy. So I show you how to trade the model if you need to trade and you don’t want to wait for the decision on oil trade trend direction.

The indicators are late so you have to act on price prior.

How to Trade a Key Intra-Day Break to Down Side (Waterfall) or Upside. The Oil Day Trade Starts Live on Video Here.

At 14:00 the intra-day possible break to downside in trade is discussed.

Planning and Preparation for Your Day Trade – Know Your Key Support Area on Charting Prior to Entering a Trade.

  • When trade on the one minute charting looks like a break to downside (or upside) is possible I first go to the EPIC model for key support or resistance. 53.52 is at mid quad on model, so that is support to watch.
  • At 16:24 on video 53.00 is a support on the daily chart (a Fibonacci support on the oil daily chart and the 20 MA support).
  • 51.13 is next support and 57.31 for Feb 20 is the upside scenario.
  • My bias is pull back and then go again.
  • 53.00 – 55.50 is a likely pivot area until a conclusion occurs in this trade area.
  • Daily, crude, oil , chart

    Oil trading room screen shot shows 53.00 support daily chart Fibonacci oil daily chart and 20 MA

  • At 18:00 on the video the weekly oil chart is reviewed.
  • The price extension support and resistance, the 20 MA 57.00 and 200 MA 52.30 (as your broad trading range) and trend lines on the weekly charting is reviewed. 53.26 price extension is serious support and price under that is an obvious short.

Know Where the Price Targets Are for the Machines.

  • Discussed is the end of week and EIA price targets on the EPIC algorithm model. The algorithmic channel and quad support and resistance areas.

Preparing My Short Order Day Trade in Oil Live on Trading Room Video.

  • At 20:00 on video I get my trading execution ready.

The Trade Pattern Set-up (Signal).

At 20:30 on video – When you see this pattern (trade signal) on the one minute charting model be very careful to cut your trade fast if the machines kick in the other direction (long).

Trade When Signals Are Most Predictable.

I prefer trading oil when the trend is clear and the machines are in it. Reports say over 80% of oil traders lose. This is largely why. Trade gets sloppy and then frustrates the trader.

Money in crude oil trading is made in the trend. Near resistance trading can mind mess you.

This is why I close my DWT short swing trade when we got near key resistance.

Winning is Important.

Not only is losing bad for your account but it is even more important for your mind. Your subconscious needs to know it wins. The subconscious is powerful.

Day Trading Model.

Location of trading boxes around three pivot areas of the one minute crude oil day trading chart model.

24:00 on video pivot resistance is discussed.

trading box, daytrading, crude oil

Pivot Resistance on the One Minute Oil Chart Model.

I am short bias to 53, 52.75 then 51.20 is possible.

Indicator Signals.

At 24:45 on the one minute you have stochastic RSI increasing and price that is basing, typically that means down next or even a possible waterfall short trade set-up.

The Risk-Reward (the Math of the Trade) On a Down-Side Break Set-up.

At 25:20 I start to discuss the math of the trade. You can take the short side trade and if price turns on you then you take a maximum cut of 16 ticks on the trade, but if price gets you on the right side and continues to confirm short then your win will be much bigger return.

Short Trade Executed – Play by Play.

At 25:42 on the video at 53.77 my short trade execution is done live.

Location on crude oil chart of short trade entry for day trade on chart below.

short trade, crude, oil

Location on crude oil chart of short trade entry for day trade.

Short crude oil trade alert screen shot of member Twitter alert feed is shown below at 53.77.

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Short crude oil trade alert screen shot of member Twitter alert feed.

At 26.42 on video the buys came in at the Fibonacci support on the one minute model shown (red arrow).

Fibonacci support, crude, oil

Buys came in to oil trade intr day at the Fibonacci support on the one minute model shown (red arrow).

At 26.50 buy side trades are testing the 20 MA resistance on 1 minute chart.

At 28:34 on video trade is over the 20 MA trading 53.83 hit resistance on the pivot on the 1 min just under 50 MA.

Indicators are turning up now. Started to look like a reversal trade but I stayed with the plan because trend on the day was down and I didn’t want to be chopped up.

Trade hit 53.87 before it turned back down (so I was 10 ticks off side at that point). Technically trade got a penny or two over trading box resistance but I held because the bulls needed to have big buys and momentum to kick in to fight the daily trend which was pressure in trade.

At 32.35 the 4 hour chart is reviewed and my target for the risk reward to down side. The reward potential was much better in my thinking.

The EPIC model confirms also.

At 33:40 the weekly chart shows a good risk reward also.

Protecting you capital is key and trading for risk reward on trend for the time frame.

30 minute candle turn timing is discussed.

The pivot test continues.

At 39:13 on the video the technical area of key support for the day trade is reviewed. 53.58 is the next Fib down so you want trade to break under that and hold under 53.58 and if it doesn’t you’re best closing the trade for a scalp. This is purely a math play. You will win 50% and win you do win you’ll either get a decent scalp or a larger 5 x risk reward win.

This is purely a math play. You will win 50% and win you do win you’ll either get a decent scalp or a larger 5 x risk reward win.

At 42:47 volatility VIX is reviewed and how I want volatility to start rising intra-day.

At 45:28 the importance of trading in a zen state vs. frustration is discussed.

At 46:00 trading on bias based on technical set-ups and protecting your capital (accepting it quickly when you are wrong) is key to trading success.

At 48.00 the inverse head and shoulders that technicians on Twitter were talking about is discussed relative to the risk reward on the 30 minute chart price target.

The price target for the short oil trade is shared in the oil trading chat room private server.

price target, oil short, daytrade

The price target for the short oil trade is shared in the oil trading chat room private server.

How I Knew Where to Close the Short Oil Trade for a Win.

At 53:15 on the video is top of the hour with price falling and trade was under the key support resistance 54.59 and we needed it to hold under for staying in the trade short.

The price action here on the video is important to watch close here if you want to learn how to do this.

At 57:00 on video I explain that you could short again here, I didn’t, but price did come off and it would have been a decent short trade.

Trade did not stay under resistance at pivot so I closed the oil short trade for a win.

short, oil, trade, closed

Trade did not stay under resistance at pivot so I closed the oil short trade for a win.

If You Want a Win Rate 90%+ DayTrading Crude Oil – I Highly Recommend Listening to this Part of The Video – IT IS KEY.

I continue to comment on how the trade continues to set up discussing the technical areas to watch.

If you want to learn about specifically where your support and resistance areas are on the one middle model BE SURE TO WATCH THE VIDEO HERE (from 57:00 minutes on video forward).

If you watch the price action and my commentary you will see how precise the machines trade the one minute model – THIS WILL HELP YOU TIME YOUR ENTRIES AND WHEN TO CLOSE. VERY IMPORTANT.

Below is a screen shot of the oil trade alert feed – closing the trade for a win.

trade, alert, crude, oil, short

Closed short trade – oil trade alert screen shot of alert feed.

Below is the Trade Executed Live in Oil Trading Room.

Peace and best,

Curt

Email me with any questions you may have compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

 

Recent Learning Posts and Videos (most are premium member locked posts).

Feb 4 – January 2019 Oil Trading Alert P/L.

Oil Trading Profit/Loss Jan 2019 | +63.05% +63,049.00 41 Wins 3 Losses 93% Win Rate Large Account | Crude Oil Trade Alerts.

Jan 31 – Day Trade Timing Strategies for Crude Oil Trade Around Time Cycles and EIA.

Trading Strategy for Crude Oil Futures | Video | Intra-Day Timing, EIA, Time Cycle, Model Resistance & Support.

Jan 29 – Trading the Main Support and Resistance on EPIC Algorithm Model. How to Post.

100 Tick Move | Crude Oil Day Trading Strategies | Trade Model Support and Resistance.

Jan 27 – Premium Member Private Post (Weekly Reporting & Guidance).

Oil Trade Strategies | Day Trading Crude Oil | Premium Member Weekly Guidance.

Jan 22 – Compounding Gains Day Trading Crude Oil.

Not Just Concept: Day Trading Crude Oil 10K – 1 Million in 24 Mos at 10 Ticks Day (Compound Gains).

Jan 20 – Weekly Crude Oil Trading Strategy Guidance Private Post for Premium Members.

Oil Trade Strategy | Day Trading Crude Oil Futures | Premium Weekly Guidance.

Jan 19 – A detailed inside look at our day traders’ strategies in crude oil day trading room.

How I Day Trade Crude Oil +90% Win Rate | Friday’s 158 Tick Move | The Strategy We Used To Trade It.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, How To, Trade, Oil Trading Room, Strategy, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Large Account Crude Oil Trading Alerts Profit Loss for January 2019.

January Oil Trade Profit / Loss Summary. The profit on our oil trading alerted trades is achieving excellent return for us and our alert clients.

After months of back testing on all time frames and our trading process is now getting locked in for machine trading and manually executed trading for both day trading and swing trading crude oil futures contracts. As such, we will start publishing profit loss reporting for the near term. This will be a series of documents from here forward.

About. We trade many accounts for many different reasons. We are coding software to machine trade on various rule-sets on various time-frames. We are also developing rule-sets (process driven trading) for our traders that have no intention of using our software, that prefer to execute trades manually.

Account Size, Trade Size. Below is the large account profit/loss and the follow up document to this is the small account for the same time period. The large account trades 10 contract size and the small account trades 1 contract size.

It is much more difficult to build a small crude oil futures trading account at 1 contract size than it is to trade and build on a larger 10 contract size account. The returns are significantly different. Studying the two profit/loss statements will help you understand why (small account statement will be released soon). Small accounts have to be traded differently.

Win Rate. Our win side percentage is now consistently well over 90%. Live alerted, recorded in the trading room and permanently logged in our library for members to learn our process of trade and verify, executed live in oil trading room with live voice broadcast and screen sharing with charting, and guidance discussion in the oil trading chat room server on Discord.

Returns. Is it possible to double accounts every 30 days? Review the trade alerts below and decide for yourself.

The Goal is to Provide a Winning Oil Trade Process Specific to Your Risk Threshold and Style. Currently, our focus is assisting our client members with an oil day-trading process and a swing trading process that is easy to learn, reproduce, executed manually that provides a high probability of success.

The day-trading method being used currently is on a one minute time frame chart model that also references the primary EPIC Oil Algorithm model that is a 30 minute chart model and also other time-frame models are used (such as 4 hour, daily, weekly, monthly etc) for consideration to trade size as it applies to key resistance and support areas in the trade of crude oil. Refer to our rule-set (to be published soon) and/or client reports for more detail.

The alerts below can be cross-referenced to the time of day in our oil trading discord chart server and much more learning / data gleaned. There is significant charting of models and guidance to the trades in that server. The learning trader has a massive resource to draw on by methodically studying and cross referencing the data from the alert feed, the server, videos and regular reporting circulars (that will now include rule-set modules).

Our Trade Alerts and Development of The Process is Transparent, Recorded, Time Stamped. The development of the rule-set(s), charting and guidance we provide our trading clients is transparently shared by our staff in our client private Discord oil chart server (the oil trading chat server is included in our oil trading bundle).

The trade alerts below are the whole of the alerts for the month. None have been removed. Various guidance is not included to keep the document as short as possible.

The actual trades are executed by our lead trader and/or software development staff live in our live trading room with live voice broadcast and screen share charting etc.

The oil trade alerts are deployed on a private member oil trade alert Twitter feed (the alerts are provided as a stand-alone service or as a part of the trading bundle with oil chat and weekly reporting).

The various oil trading services are detailed here (click).

Simple Risk Threshold Tool. The intent of producing a profit / loss over view (as you see below) is specifically for our clients to easily determine which method of trade (day trading, short term swing trades (intra day), swing trading, trend trading etc) best suits their trading style and goals.

As such, the profit / loss summary below uses rounded figures (derived with simplicity in mind) for each entry for ease of calculation for trading plan development. Our actual accounts include many more trades, below we only represent the trades we have alerted to our member base – we include below only that which affects the profit / loss of our member clients. Our accounts are private.

Our lead trader (our associate traders) will, at any given time, operate a variety of accounts representing compound trading, swing trading, momentum trading and testing for algorithms and more. This may or may not include cash / leverage accounts, commodity accounts, crypto exchange accounts, paper trade accounts and various algorithmic back testing and simulation accounts and shares the P&L and trade entries and exits in a transparent manner to ensure success (or lack therein) of the algorithms or trade accounts is for the purpose of trader and program development initiatives. https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/

Instruments of Trade. All quotes on our trade alerts are referencing price on FX USOIL WTI and traded on continuous CL futures contracts unless otherwise noted. This is to provide our clients one charting source to refer to as there are many instruments available to trade crude oil. Our algorithm models are developed on and charted on FX USOIL WTI on Trading View (the working models).

Trade Alert Language. The letter “M” denotes a machine trade, otherwise the trade is by our lead trader manually executed. If HFT is noted in the alert, this type of trade (machine executed) can have many high frequency trades in and out of the position. We note this for clients so they are aware but we do not alert every high frequency trade as this would not help our clients on this type of platform. In the near future we will have a manner in which our clients will be able to view the machine trade high frequency trade on a digital platform live.

Trading Style of Lead Trader / Risk Threshold / Goals and Associated Returns. It is important for viewers to know that the lead trader is executing trades with the highest possible probability of win side trade with the lowest amount of risk. A review of the private oil member server discussion will quickly bring to light for any trader that anyone with a slightly higher risk threshold than our lead trader will see returns much higher. Review our feed and determine for yourself, but it is readily transparent that if a trader can accept a 10% loss for significantly higher return trades that much greater return than what you will review below is not just possible but probable – as long as you cut fast when a trade has broken down.

We are a Data Provider Primarily to Serious Retail traders and Private Trading Firms (Commercial Enterprise). We provide service to retail, commercial enterprise (private trading firms) and institutional members. The institutional and commercial enterprise clients primarily utilize our live trading room for their trade alerts. We also provide a direct alert feed for each member client at the commercial / institutional level that also includes per user licensing, training, modified charting structures, support services and more. Our retail clients use our Twitter feed, some use our Discord chat and some the live trading room. Most are subscribed to the bundle service (weekly reporting, oil trading room, Twitter feed as a bundle).

Our Trading Firm Structure. We sell data and we trade our own accounts, we do not trade a fund account of any type or manner or on behalf of anyone or any firm. We are not investment advisers, we are data providers. Many of our commercial enterprise clients do however trade on behalf of their clients or as a part of a fund arrangement. In short, they use our data (charting, alerts and soon machine learning software) to execute trades. We can refer you to any of these enterprises if you are sourcing this type of service.

Proprietary Data. Below we leave out critical direction, methods and process driven explanation as we are entering a new phase in our development. Soon (prior to end of February) we will be contracting our clients to non disclosure, non compete and other forms of contract relations to protect our membership and stake holders on whole.

Price Increases (non existing clients). Price increases will be announced before the end of February 2019. Existing member / client fees do not escalate as we develop our platform as long as the subscription does not lapse. It is our early adopter promise.

Time Zones. The time stamp on Twitter, in Discord, in Trading Room and / or on various screen shots will either be Eastern New York or one hour later (as our lead trader is currently in the Dominican Republic).

Is it possible to double accounts every 30 days – 60 days? Review the trade alerts below and decide for yourself.

Oil Trade Alert #1. High Frequency Machine Trading Alert.

Context for this trade is also on alert feed (not shown here to keep this document from being the size of a book), in the private discord oil chat room server, documented on the live trading room video (that provides more specific detail to each execution than the alert feed below that is missing execution data) and combined with lead trader alerts in alert # 2 below. The coding team advises the clients that HFT alerts are primarily for guidance because there are many trades that cannot be alerted because of the frequency (however, we are coding a digital platform for our clients to view these HFT machine executions live). So in short, until such a platform is developed and deployed the clients can use the guidance to get their trade entry and resistance / supports but not follow the frequency and exact trades. The guidance on the alert feed has been getting better as the month went on (January) and will get more specific as we move forward in time, but it will never be precise (the Twitter platform isn’t built for HFT alerting, the live trading room does work much better however). SO in short, our clients need to use HFT alerts as a guide for their own strategy. The lead trader alerts are easier for the Twitter feed alert subscriber to follow than the machine trades.

Also important to note below, the executions compiled below I have derived directly from the trade account (Jen), so there will be times that the actual execution will be a few ticks different than the alerted price on various media sources of our platform (Twitter, live trading room coverage, oil chat room server, etc). And finally, you will find in some instance data missing from the alert feed simply because the lead trader is busy, but any missing data can be verified on live video log and/or in discord chat record.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

49.41 L trim 49.76 30% = 1050.00

49.41 L trim 49.73 30% = 990.00

49.41 L trim 49.71 30% = 900.00

49.41 L stopped 49.42 10 % = 10.00

Profit / Loss = 2,950.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

49.41 long high frequency program – machine crude oil trade alert for a high frequency program.

crude, oil, trade, alert, machine

49.41 long high frequency program – machine crude oil trade alert for a high frequency program.

M – Machine program will trim 49.79 to 49.86 stops for close 49.42.

oil, trade, alert, machine trading

M – Machine program will trim 49.79 to 49.86 stops for close 49.42. Oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #2. Lead Trader Alerted Long Trade. Manually Executed Trades.

Lead trader was looking for a break of resistance and a squeeze in intra-day trade as described in alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

49.40 L trim 49.59 50% = 950.00

49.40 L trim 49.73 40% = 1320.00

49.40 L stop 49.49 10% = 90.00

Profit / Loss = 2,360.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Long 49.40 for break and squeeze RR high — CURT, lead trader crude oil trade alert.

lead trader, crude, oil, trading, alert, long

Long 49.40 for break and squeeze RR high — CURT, lead trader crude oil trade alert.

Trim 49.59 50% – CURT, lead trader oil trading alert to trim trade.

trim, oil, trade, alert

trim 49.59 50% – CURT, lead trader oil trading alert to trim trade

The remaining executions were alerted in the Discord chat room and live traded in trading room and recorded and available on YouTube for members.

Oil Trade Alert #3. Lead Trader Alerted Short Trade with Possible Reversal. 

This short side trade alert came with an advisory that if it failed and reversed the lead trader would reverse at a certain price.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.21 Short to 51.27 at reversal = – 600.00

51.27 Long to 51.60 = 3300.00

Profit / Loss = 2,700.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Short, crude, oil , trade, alert

Selling 51.21 if it reverses I’m long to 51.64 at 51.27 ish

oil, trade, alert, win, reversal

Trade did in fact reverse and lead trader alerted the closing trade for a win. out of reversal long 51.60

Oil Trade Alert #4. Lead Trader Long Trade With Price Targets. 

Trade # 4 on the month was a long alert with specific price targets at 51.87 then 52.07 from an entry at 51.67.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.67 Long to 51.87 = 1000.00

51.67 Long to 52.06 = 1950.00

Profit / Loss = 2,950.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

lead trade, price target, oil, trade, alert

Long 51.67 to 51.87 price target then 52.07 price target – crude oil trading alert by lead trader.

trim, trade, alert, oil

trim 51.87 50%, alert screen shot to trim the long oil trade

closed, trade, alert, oil, crude

Closed 52.06, successful long trade closed, screen shot capture of oil trading alert feed.

Oil Trade Alert #5. Short Crude Oil Day Trade Alert.

Trade # 5 was a simple 20 point day trade scalp.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

52.45 Short to 52.21 = 2400.00

Profit / Loss = 2,400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

short, oil, trade, alert

selling 52.45 tight, short oil trade alert with tight stops

cover, short, trade, alert

Cover short trade 52.21.

Oil Trade Alert #6. Short Crude Oil Day Trade Alert with Caution.

Trade # 6 was a day trade two point entry alert with a caution to be careful.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size (five each entry)

51.98 Short to 51.87 = 550.00

52.05 Short to 51.87 = 900.00

Profit / Loss = 1,450.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

short, trade, oil, alert

Screen capture of lead trader oil alert – selling 51.98 & 52.05 tight careful – CURT

crude, oil, short, cover, alert

Trade alert to cover oil trade for a profit – covered 51.87 looking for another entry.

Oil Trade Alert #7. Long trade with poor action, closed small profit.

Trade # 7 was quick, trade action was poor.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.97 Long to 52.01 = 400.00

Profit / Loss = 400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alert

Oil trade alert – long 51.97 for tight test

oil, trade, alert, closed, win

out 52.01 taking a break see ya in futures.

Oil Trade Alert #8. Long machine driven trade alert with 50% trim and close.

Trade # 8 was a simple and clean machine traded oil alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.75 Long to 52.04 = 1450.00

51.75 Long to 51.94 = 950.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Machine, trade, alert, crude, oil, long

M – Long 51.75 high frequency program tight stops will advise.

trim, oil, trade, alert

M – trims 50% 52.04

closed, trade, alert, oil

M – closed 51.94. Machine trade alert screen shot of winning trade.

Oil Trade Alert #9, 10 and 11 on one screen capture from feed – small quick trades.

Trades on the month # 9, 10, and 11 were quick scalps intra-day while the lead trader was trying to get a direction of trade going on the day so we have included them in one screen capture below from the live Twitter oil alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

52.14 Long to 52.25 =

Profit / Loss = 1100.00

51.85 Long to 51.94 =

Profit / Loss = 900.00

52.91 Long to 52.92 =

Profit / Loss = 100.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts

Screen capture of oil trading alert feed of 3 quick trades by lead trader.

Oil Trade Alert #12 was a long side trade by the lead trader.

The open long on the trade, the trim, and the closing for a winning trade is on one screen shot below.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.25 Long to 51.43 = 850.00

51.25 Long to 51.65 = 2000.00

Profit / Loss = 2850.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alert, entry, trim, close

This oil trade alert, trim and closing for a win is shown on one screen capture.

Oil Trade Alert #13 Short Trade in Overnight Trading.

Alert # 13 on the month was an overnight futures session trade by our lead trader to the short side. It took some time but it paid off.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.07 Short to 50.74 = 3300.00

Profit / Loss = 3300.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Short, trade, alert, crude, oil, futures, overnight

Selling 51.07 will advise – CURT Overnight crude oil futures alert.

covered, short, oil, trade,

Covered 50.74 for a winning oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #14, 15, 16. Scalp Trades.

Alert # 14, 15, 16 on the month are three trade alerts on one screen image because they were small scalp trades as lad trade was trying to find direction in oil trade intra-day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.15 Short to 51.13 = 200.00

51.18 Short to 51.11 = 700.00

51.90 Long to 51.93 = 300.00

Profit / Loss = 1200.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts, scalps

The next three trade alerts are on one screen image because the were small scalp trades to find direction in oil trade.

Oil Trade Alert #17 and 18. Lead Trader and Machine Trading Software Reversal Trade Win.

Alert # 17 and 18 are a flurry of oil trade alerts that include a reversal for a win with lead trader and the machine trading software alerting executions also.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

51.20 Short to 51.03 = 519.00

51.20 Short to 51.30 = – 700.00

51.30 Long to 51.53 = 690.00

51.30 Long to 51.63 = 990.00

51.30 Long to 51.66 = 1800.00

Profit / Loss = 3299.00

Machine Software Trades Executed.

51.36 Long to 51.53 = 510.00

51.36 Long to 51.56 = 600.00

51.36 Long to 51.47 = 440.00

Profit / Loss = 1550.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts, win, lead trader, machine, software

The next flury of oil trade alerts includes a reversal for a win with lead trader and machine trading software.

lead trader, machine aoftware, crude, oil, trading, alerts

This screen image of the live alert feed shows the lead trader and software executing trades for members.

screen, shot, capture, oil, trade, alerts

Screen shot captured of closing the winning side oil trade alerts.

Oil Trade Alert #19. Lead Trader Pre-market in to Regular Market Open.

Alert # 19 is a series of trade alerts for crude oil in pre-market in to regular market open.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.67 to 52.93 = 1300.00

Long 52.67 to 53.08 = 1200.00

Long 52.67 to 53.03 = 1080.00

Profit / Loss = 3580.00

premarket, crude, oil, trade, alerts

Series of trade alerts for crude oil in premarket in to regular market open.

Oil Trade Alert #20, 21, 22. Daytrading Crude Oil Alerts.

Alerts # 20, 21, 22 is a screen shot of live trade alert feed lead trader trading crude oil day trading snipes to get trend for day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.02 to 54.07 = 500.00

Long 53.76 to 53.85 = 900.00

Long 53.77 to 53.87 = 1000.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

daytrading, crude, oil, alerts

This is a screen shot of live trade alert feed lead trader trading crude oil daytrading snipes to get trend for day.

Oil Trade Alert #23 and 24. A Small Loss and a Day-trade Win.

Alerts # 23 and 24 The first loss on trade alerts is shown here and a small winning oil trade alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.85 to 54.00 = 1500.00

Sold 53.91 to 53.93 = – 200.00

Profit / Loss = 1300.00

Oil, trade, alerts, a loss, a win

The first loss on trade alerts is shown here and a small winning oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #25 and 26. Another Small Gain (flat) and a Day-trade Win.

Alerts # 25 and 26 Next on oil trade alert feed a small gain (basically flat) and a short trade winning day trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.20 to 54.21 = 100.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.66 = 270.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.60 = 600.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.59 = 480.00

Profit / Loss = 1450.00

daytrade, crude, oil, alert

Next on oil trade alert feed a small flat and a short trade winning daytrade.

Oil Trade Alert #27. Clean Win on this Day Trade Oil Alert.

Alert # 27 on the oil trading alert feed a lead trader clean win on a long trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.05 to 52.24 = 950.00

Long 52.05 to 52.27 = 670.00

Long 52.05 to 52.29 = 690.00

Profit / Loss = 2410.00

oil, trade, alert, long, win

Next on the oil trading alert feed a lead trader clean win on a long trade.

Oil Trade Alert #28. Clean Day Trade Win on this Alert.

# 28 trade alert is a long side upside break on 1 minute oil model our traders use.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.06 to 53.31 = 2500.00

Profit / Loss = 2500.00

Daytrade, oil, crude, alert

Next trade alert is a long side upside break on 1 minute oil model our traders use.

Oil Trade Alert #29. Sniping Long Day Trade.

# 29 is a small daytrade snipe long by our lead trader on crude oil trading alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.13 to 53.22 = 900.00

Profit / Loss = 900.00

sniping, crude, oil, alert

Small daytrade snipe long by our lead trader on crude oil trading alert feed.

Oil Trade Alerts #30 and 31. Flat trades with a special report coming for the one.

# 30 and 31 – Next two alerts on the oil feed are flats and the one became high frequency (manually traded high frequency) that a special report is due out on. When the report comes out (it is an intensive video of many trades) I will link that report to this here.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Profit / Loss = 0

two, oil, trades

Next two alerts on the oil feed are flats and the one became high frequency that a special report is due out on.

Oil Trade Alerts #32, 33, 34. 

# 32, 33, 34 –  Next 3 oil trades are post EIA and one is good the others are tight tests on the alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.96 to 52.70 = 2600.00

Long 52.71 to 52.68 = 300.00

Long 52.77 to 52.77 = 00.00

Profit / Loss = 2900.00

oil, trade, alerts

Next 3 oil trades are post EIA and one is good the others are tight tests on the alert feed.

Oil Trade Alerts #35. Small loss on a day trade.

# 35 –  This oil trade alert is for a small loss intra day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.32 to 53.24 = – 800.00

Profit / Loss = – 800.00

Oil, trade, alert, loss

This oil trade alert is for a small loss intra day.

Oil Trade Alerts #36, 37. One loss one win.

# 36 and #37 –  More day trading crude oil alerts with one loss and one winning trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.12 to 52.00 = – 1200.00

Long 52.47 to 52.62 = 1500.00

Profit / Loss = 300.00

One win one lose, daytrades, oil, alerts

More day trading crude oil alerts with one loss and one winning trade.

Oil Trade Alert #38. Two daytrade wins.

# 38 Next are two long daytrade oil alerts both winning trades for snipe trades.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.72 to 52.84 = 600.00

Long 52.72 to 52.88 = 900.00

Long 52.88 to 53 = 1200.00

Profit / Loss = 2700.00

long, oil, trade, alerts

Next are two long daytrade oil alerts both winning trades for snipe trades.

Oil Trade Alert #39. Nice win.

# 39 This was an excellent crude oil day trade alert for a nice win. Screen shot.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.32 to 53.41 = 270.00

Long 53.32 to 53.50 = 1260.00

Profit / Loss = 1530.00

day trade, crude, oil, trade, alert, win

This was an excellent crude oil day trade alert for a nice win. Screen shot.

Oil Trade Alert #40. Clean Day Trade on the Model.

# 40 Another winning oil trade alert. Nice simple gains on intra day trading of the model.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.59 to 53.75 = 800.00

Long 53.59 to 53.91 = 1600.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

trade, alert, oil, daytrade

Another winning oil trade alert. Nice simple gains on intra day trading of the model.

Oil Trade Alert #41. Small win.

# 41 Next trade on alert feed is a small snipe intra day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.24 to 54.29 = 500.00

Profit / Loss = 500.00

oil, trade, alert, intra day

Next trade on alert feed is a small snipe intra day. Crude oil trading alerts.

Oil Trade Alert #42, 43, 44. $XOM Earnings Win, DWT Short Swing Trade Win, Daytrade Win.

# 42, 43, 44 – The next 3 alerts are $XOM long in to earnings that went exceptionally well, DWT close short swing (nearly doubled), long day trade crude oil.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 55.00 to 55.23 = 1150.00

Long 55.00 to 55.22 = 1100.00

Profit / Loss = 2250.00

Short DWT 13.55 to 8.73 @ 1000 = 4820.00

Profit / Loss = 4820.00

Short DWT 13.55 to 8.73 closed, nice trade and it followed the plan for the price target. #swingtrading #crudeoil #OOTT $CL_F $USO $WTI $UWT $DWT

$XOM long 72.60 Thurs in to earnings, Fri HOD 76.49, Closed Session Fri 75.92. #swingtrading #earnings #OOTT #Oil #Gas #TradeAlerts

XOM, earnings, DWT, short, swing trade, daytrade, crude, oil, alerts

The next 3 alerts are $XOM long in to earnings, DWT close short swing, long day trade crude oil.

Remember, for each of these trade there is a process. This process can be learned, reproduced and executed at will. We have a video library on YouTube, private oil chat room on Discord, live trading room, live alert feeds and numerous reports that come out regularly.

There is no fluke in this winning process. It is very systematic and predictable. All you have to do is put the time in to it to study it and practice it and reap the reward. We have done the heavy lifting in advance for you.

Conclusion.

One Month Statistics:

Trade Account Increase = +63.05%

Trade Account Profit = $63,049.00

Wins = 41

Losses = 3

Win rate = 93%

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Crude, Oil, Trade, Trading, Alerts, Profit, Loss, Futures, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Crude Oil Day Trade Strategies (Live Video from Oil Trading Room with Alerts) for EIA, Market Open, Model Resistance, Time Cycles.

This video does not have any high flying trades, what it does have is important lessons for day trading crude oil and understanding how to use the oil trading models to your advantage. It also discusses in detail the time cycles and what to expect in trade action.

#oil #trading #strategies

Voice broadcast starts at 13:30 on oil trading room video.

January 30, 2019 Oil Trading Room Live Session Summary Notes.

13:30 premarket for regular market open comments about important resistance on EPIC Algorithm model and where trade should settle intra-day (at top of quad or mid quad) in advance of EIA petroleum report at 10:30.

14:30 comment to not buying the “pop” in price as I expected crude oil trade to calm in advance of EIA report timing. The resistance hidden pivot (yellow horizontal line on chart) is discussed.

15:00 Comments toward time cycle inflection on global markets (including crude oil) over next 3 or 4 days is discussed. We could inflect up or down on other side of time cycle peak. 55s is very possible (even a blow off in to 56 is possible) as an inflection up over next few days and a double extension up could happen. Time cycle in to mid May 2019 is the main pocket of trade sizing timing. See special report guidance in to May 2019 for crude oil.

Time cycle from end of Dec to now was difficult to trade with swing trade sizing but the next time cycle I can’t miss (the one starting in next few days in to mid May).

18:40 looking for whether price trade can get above pivot and structure a base for a trade on the model.

At 37:37 I comment to stagnant trade not being a surprise in to EIA and that I was looking for a slight short 20 to 30 points in to EIA. Trading 54.00 intra-day.

By 1:13:37 on oil trading room video you can see price did come off as expected.

At 1:17:30 EIA is in just under a minute. The model support and resistance is explained.

1:18:40 the one minute model has resistance in trade just over-head (chart not shown).

1:19:20 I announce the EIA petroleum report results and comment that generally trade should be bullish. At 1:20:00 price hits near top of quad.

For a number of weeks we’ve been targeting 55s Jan 31 to Feb 3 so this could be what finishes the trajectory on that time cycle peak.

Screen capture of oil trading room… “could be final move in to 55s if open is strong.”

oil, trading, room, alert, chart

Screen capture of oil trading room… could be final move in to 55s if open is strong

1:21:40 I am long at 54.24 for a trade above 1 minute support and EPIC model support. Test size trade long crude oil.

EPIC Crude Oil Trade Alert feed screen capture showing trade alerts for trade on the day. You can see that earlier in the day in overnight futures trade that I was actively trading for decent profit.

crude, oil, trade, alerts

EPIC Crude Oil Trade Alert feed screen capture showing trade alerts for trade on the day.

Resistance 54.32 is noted as key resistance for the trade and the top of the quad and a comment to not getting to excited because of the various resistance points nearby.

1:23:27 we get a touch to the resistance. The test of resistance is commented to. 54.59 upside price target discussed if resistance is breached. Price did in fact hit that on the day later.

Resistance at mid point of trading box on the 1 minute model is discussed. At 1:26:00 on video I close the trade for a small gain at 54.29. Wasn’t interested in dealing with the resistance.

Remember at this point I am still holding DWT short from a number of days ago. The entry short was 13.57 and it hit 8s intra-day. Hoping for 7s before closing.

1:28:15 I show on the model the upside scenario and channel resistance being likely.

1:28:40 I discuss the recent sell off in crude oil in to 41s and our call to 55s in to this time cycle peak is discussed and why this area of trade is low risk reward. Also discussed is the type of trade action to expect in to the peak of the cycle in to Jan 31 – Feb 3.

Later in day I reiterate the time cycle peak in crude oil with price target guidance and visual representation of the time cycle and price target on oil chart model for our member strategy.

Time cycle conclusion near term on oil is 55.40 price target from previous reports last number of weeks (could spike in to 56.00) expiring on about Jan 31 – Feb 3. HOD was 54.90. We expect at min a small pull back. FX USOIL WTI
Likely close short DWT (long oil) soon for short term only.
Curt Melonopoly Yesterday at 11:37 PM
Visual representation of the crude oil time cycle

Screen capture from oil trading chat room discussing trading strategies for time cycle peak and price target.

oil, trading, room, price target, time cycle, strategy

Later I reiterate time cycle crude oil price target and visual representation of time cycle and price target.

THE TAKEAWAYS – Main Oil Trading Strategies Learned on Video:

Just because oil was bullish in to the market open and normally that would mean a buy trigger – it doesn’t always mean buy.

– In this instance it was Wednesday and the timing of EIA coming in one hour after open had me hold off my long trade because trade normally softens in advance of EIA. Bulls and bears stand-off. Also, there was a key pivot resistance on the oil chart model in play. For these reasons and more the trade set-up was not ideal for risk reward. It wasn’t a high probability long trade.

Know your resistance and support when trading and get out quick when resistance becomes real like with my EIA trade on this video.

It is highly recommended you review recent reporting, discord room chat (regular guidance is posted in the oil chat room private server) and the various videos that are released on a regular basis.

Recent Learning Posts and Videos (most are premium member locked posts).

Jan 29 – Trading the Main Support and Resistance on EPIC Algorithm Model. How to Post.

100 Tick Move | Crude Oil Day Trading Strategies | Trade Model Support and Resistance.

Jan 27 – Premium Member Private Post (Weekly Reporting & Guidance).

Oil Trade Strategies | Day Trading Crude Oil | Premium Member Weekly Guidance.

Jan 22 – Compounding Gains Day trading Crude Oil.

Not Just Concept: Day Trading Crude Oil 10K – 1 Million in 24 Mos at 10 Ticks Day (Compound Gains).

Jan 20 – Weekly Crude Oil Trading Strategy Guidance Private Post for Premium Members.

Oil Trade Strategy | Day Trading Crude Oil Futures | Premium Weekly Guidance.

Jan 19 – A detailed inside look at our day traders’ strategies in crude oil day trading room.

How I Day Trade Crude Oil +90% Win Rate | Friday’s 158 Tick Move | The Strategy We Used To Trade It.

Jan 18 – By far one of the most important videos for day trading crude oil since our inception;

How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video).

Jan 14 – Oil day traders need to see this article;

Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy | Oil Trading Room Video | Lead Trader Guidance.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Futures, Oil Trading Room, Strategy, Price Targets, Time Cycles, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Day Trading Crude Oil Strategy – Trading the Model Support and Resistance.

Monday we seen a one hundred point move in crude oil (a snap-back reversal intra-day) after a sell-off that started in futures Sunday night.

Below is a detailed description of how to trade the signals for this re-occurring pattern in crude oil intra-day trade.

Voice broadcast starts at 1:40 on video.

The Oil Day Trade Set-Up

Oil was selling off through the day. Intra day price is very near a lower price target and has bounced.

We didn’t catch the sell-off because our team took a 5 hour break in futures.

The trading box example is reviewed at 3:00. Trade action on the 1 minute model (trading box). Trading patterns are reviewed.

Price targets on the EPIC Algorithm Model are reviewed at 4:35 on video. This is an important part of the video to watch. The upper and lower price targets on the model are reviewed. Twelve hours later as I write both targets (up and down price targets) have been in fact hit. The range of the trading quads are reviewed.

Price targets on the EPIC Algorithm Model are reviewed at 4:35 on video. This is an important part of the video to watch.

The price targets in the quad area of the crude oil trading model are shown below. The price target to lower support is shown (trade hit near the price target early) and then bounced to upper price target and resistance on the model.

crude, oil, strategy, price, targets, model, chart

Crude oil trading strategy on model shows sell-off in to price target and reversal in to price target and other price targets.

At 6:20 on the video the 4 hour oil chart is reviewed. We were looking for a little lower on the day in this specific range, support was at 50.89 trading 51.57 on West Texas Oil. The timing at the time this video was recording looked short and it wasn’t likely it would hit (it didn’t). The symmetrical move to the upside and a sling shot move to the downside (opposite) is also reviewed as a scenario. In this down scenario that would bring price to down side of EPIC Algorithm quad trade is in (even lower to a point).

At 9:20 is the 4 hour oil test chart. Support 50.90 on West Texas or 51.10 on FX USOIL WTI.

At 10:20 on the video the weekly oil chart is reviewed. The weekly pivot at top and bottom of weekly candles previous are reviewed. Trade held the area intra-day and bounced.

At 19:00 on the video I review the one minute oil trading chart. A coil is in play which is usually a sign of an intra day turn. Price did in fact turn and run up to the top side quad resistance after this video ended through the rest of the afternoon.

Here, like the sell-off in overnight trade Sunday night, we didn’t catch the move because we were on break for the day. Two missed trades.

The four hour candle expiry is commented to also.

I explained that at the expiry of the 4 hour if it traded to upside that I would trade it, but I didn’t. Should have.

It is highly recommended you review recent reporting, discord room chat (regular guidance is posted in the oil chat room private server) and the various videos that are released on a regular basis.

Jan 27 – Premium Member Private Post (Weekly Reporting & Guidance).

Oil Trade Strategies | Day Trading Crude Oil | Premium Member Weekly Guidance.

Jan 22 – Compounding Gains Day trading Crude Oil.

Not Just Concept: Day Trading Crude Oil 10K – 1 Million in 24 Mos at 10 Ticks Day (Compound Gains).

Jan 20 – Weekly Crude Oil Trading Strategy Guidance Private Post for Premium Members.

Oil Trade Strategy | Day Trading Crude Oil Futures | Premium Weekly Guidance.

Jan 19 – A detailed inside look at our day traders’ strategies in crude oil day trading room.

How I Day Trade Crude Oil +90% Win Rate | Friday’s 158 Tick Move | The Strategy We Used To Trade It.

Jan 18 – By far one of the most important videos for day trading crude oil since our inception;

How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video).

Jan 14 – Oil day traders need to see this article;

Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy | Oil Trading Room Video | Lead Trader Guidance.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Futures, Strategy, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

Follow:


Our Live Documented Journey to Compound Day Trading Crude Oil Futures for Gains That 99% Would Only Dream Possible…

And one of the best parts of our mad journey; we’re now beyond Concept and Theory…

and we’re proving it LIVE (well on our way to… Fact).

We are now Trading Crude Oil to Over 1% Per Day Returns, Live.

We have many other trades that are not live also because we are testing many models).

It’s been a bit of a petri dish. So far.

But as of late we’ve stopped the petri. It was unavoidable (the petri part).

Side thought – In all fairness, only we know what the petri part is (well not completely true because members do know the rules for the most part). The important point being… we’re done petri.

We are now trading crude oil in our process with consistency and ease, real-time live and we’re recording it, we are alerting the crude oil trades on a private Twitter member feed and sharing our work process (including all rules sets, thoughts, charts and more) in chat, and we’re even trading crude oil live in our oil trading room with screen share of our charts and voice broadcast from myself alerting the trades.

0.

The probabilities that our rule-set fails now after hundreds of trades, especially now that we are in minimal discovery and quickly moving to refinement and consolidation phases is… well, near 0.

Maybe.

Oh, and even more reason … our software runs trades near 24 hours a day now (non-alerted at this point), and nearly never loses. When it does, it’s for pennies. Soon we’ll unleash him/her (it) live.

Maybe.

For all intents and purpose, we don’t lose when manually executing trades either. Sure, we do lose sometimes, but very small if we do – very small. And even our manual executions are getting better all the time. And we (I) suck as traders.

Here’s an even better part; 3%, not 1% sees 10,000.00 to 2 Million Dollars in 180 days. And we’re going to do it.

Nobody knows the future! I know, I know.

1 – 3 Hours a Day.

A cool part… we do 1% or more with 1 – 3 hours a day of trade focus. Usually closer to an hour or so. We’re kind of busy with something I never thought I’d be doing…. code, machine learning, science, quantum thingys and other mind places.

Anybody Does Do It.

And better yet; anybody can do it. Why? Because we’re refining the process to its most simplest form. Quantum mind things to simple.

But there’s too many lines! I know, I know.

We have non traders (on staff) starting to use the rule-set and even starting to alert their trades. And the coolest part, they may be better at executing the trading rule-set than the experienced oil traders (initial indications are this could be very plausible).

We Like Tents… Almost as Much as We Love Beaches.

And the near best part (in my little world)… the money ain’t the motivator – I’d be equally happy living in a tent on a beach. Oh wait, I almost do. The shiny floors at the Hard Rock in Punta Cana were never my thing anyway.

And the best part; freedom is near (unless the world ends or something). Not only is freedom near for our staff (that have worked tirelessly day and night) but for our clients and members and their families and their families. Get the drift? This is why I’m so excited.

The Dream Realized. Next!

And we’re near done the first of many (instrument trading processes) we are developing. We’re in the final phases with our oil trading platform, soon it will simply be maintenance updates to the manual trading and machine trading parts of our oil trading services.

Yes, the other algorithm models and swing trading are next.

The Point? 

Sharing our journey. I did promise when we started all this. That I would share.

Selling you on it. So you can join the movement to freedom. So you can help. So maybe you can be a part of it. Maybe you’ll take the next steps? Maybe anything is possible.

Maybe you will be our next donor when our software development needs a few million for the app.

Or maybe we’ll just boot strap that too.

Maybe I’ll inspire you. That would be novel.

Promises.

I also promised our sharing will end soon. It will be this year.

We’ll still be around to chat.

We’ll still have our enterprise.

We just won’t share.

It’s tiring. I just made a promise to share, to a point:)

How is it Done? … the trading up 1% gains or better in crude oil a day.

Members stay tuned for Part 2 of this post. Until then study the most recent report here:

Protected: Oil Trade Strategy | Day Trading Crude Oil Futures | Premium Weekly Guidance.

Non members can visit our unlocked posts here:

Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil.

Non members could also get off their ass and subscribe and learn live. Just sayin.

How Does 10,000.00 turn in to over 1 Million at a Compound Rate in Less than Two Years?

When we first started this crazy venture I posted the post, it has a link to the calculator,

Come to think of it, I wrote it around the time that everyone told me I was nuts.

Fuel.

How $10,000 Turns in to 1 Million in 24 Mths @ 1% Per Day Compound Stock Trading.

Is There a Process in the Madness?

We have tried to explain it in the few moments of rest between days of no sleep and falling asleep in very strange places randomly the last two years.

The Development Process.

We Weren’t Smart Enough to Think This Up.

We suspect we’re using similar ideas…

The mathematician who cracked Wall Street.

There’s my share of the month.

Now go spin it up.

And give EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm a follow.

day trading, crude, oil compound, gains

Day Trading Crude Oil 10K – 1 Million in 24 Mos at 10 Ticks Day (Compound Gains)

Best and peace.

Curt

PS

Members stay tuned for Part 2 of this post.

Follow the Madness:


Day Trading Strategy for Crude Oil Futures Trade the Week of January 20, 2019.

Oil futures open tonight at 6:00 Eastern, below is my battle plan for this week. The regular EPIC Crude Oil Weekly Reporting is taking on a different format this week per below.

My strategy this week for my oil trading is primarily based on the EPIC Oil Algorithm charting model.

The EPIC model is by far the best model we use. This week the model will be completely normalized as we are past the charting anomalies from the holiday period. The updated EPIC charting will be emailed to members after futures open and after the techs have renewed the model to new data (post open).

  • Trading the range of the quadrants and range of the channels.
    • Respecting the key resistance and support areas of the model at quadrant walls (orange dotted), channel support and resistance (orange dotted), mid quad horizontal support and resistance (horizontal line that cuts through mid quad) and the mid channel lines (light gray dotted).
  • Sizing should be considered at key support and resistance of the EPIC model structure. The model can be used to determine sizing bias on tighter time frames on one minute below. Sizing can also be a consideration for short term swing trading the model.

Screen capture of trade moving through EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm range in trade last week.

EPIC, Oil, crude, algorithm, trading, strategy

Screen capture of trade moving through EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm range in trade last week. #crude #oil #trading

The timing of my trades will be based on the one minute chart model.

  • Volume.
    • Wait for volume. Low volume periods have lower predictability in the models.
  • Trend.
    • Determine the intra-day direction (trend) of trade. Strong bias should be considered for long or short positioning based on intra-day trend. Upward trend I will be bias to long positions and down trend intra-day I will be bias to short positions.
    • Determine the trend on the daily chart, some bias should be toward that. Watch the MACD on the daily, although it is a moderately late indicator it does confirm your bias.
    • Check important timing for key global market open hours (inflections in day trend can occur here, especially with New York).
  • Support and Resistance.
    • In an uptrend try and execute on support of the range on the one minute trading box (short term pull back) – the opposite is true in a downtrend.
  • Trade Sizing and Positioning
    • In a predictable structure sizing intra-day should be maximum at entry and trims at mid trading box and top or bottom of trading box – specific to the 1 minute chart model.
    • Trim positions at mid trading box and top of trading box for long positions and the opposite is true in shorting. In a squeeze or sell-off this is more difficult. Typically I trade the break upside at resistance or downside at support breached.
  • Timing Entry.
    • The main trading box on the one minute is the support and resistance of the range (where the red and blue dotted and white dotted are), however, to pin point timing to the second you can use the pivot areas (top and bottom of range) and monitor the coil around the main support and resistance areas and use the smaller trading box around the pivots. Recent blog posts / videos discuss this and I will discuss further in near term video / blog posts.
    • Indicators on the one minute that I use are the Stochastic RSI, MACD and Squeeze Momentum Indicator. The nature of these indicators on a short time frame like the one minute can be deceiving for even the more advanced trader. Use them with caution.

One Minute Model for Day Trading Crude Oil Futures Jan 20 236 PM FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $WTI $USO #CrudeOil #Daytrading

The main trading box range is shown in chart below with purple arrows and the pivot at support and resistance trading box is shown with white arrows (for micro timing decisions).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/lZwOxUBj-One-Minute-Model-for-Day-Trading-Crude-Oil-Futures-Jan-20-236-PM/

trading, strategy, crude, oil, futures, one minute, model

Trade support and resistance shown on one minute chart model for crude oil futures day trading strategy.

I will also watch resistance and support levels on the 4 hour, daily, weekly and monthly chart models.

Beyond using the EPIC Oil Algorithm model for your weekly / daily trading structure and the one minute chart model for timing day trades I also use the daily, weekly and monthly chart models.

The longer the charting time-frame the more seriously support and resistance areas should be considered. In other words, key resistance on the monthly or weekly charts should trump consideration on the daily and 4 hour and so on.

Trading trend, indicators, support and resistance, support and resistance, indicators and more should have bias to your trade sizing and positioning.

Crude oil trading strategy on 4 hour chart model, key areas of support and resistance noted with white arrows.

Although a test chart (for our machine trading), this chart has been responding well to the bounce trend in oil trade so I continue to use it. The key areas of support and resistance are noted, however, all lines are support and resistance levels.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WTICOUSD/HSlDUao0-Crude-oil-trading-strategy-on-4-hour-chart-model-key-areas-of-s/

Crude, oil, 4 hour, chart

Crude oil trading strategy on 4 hour chart model, key areas of support and resistance noted with white arrows.

Key resistance and support for day trading crude oil futures on 4 hour test chart for sizing strategy on machine orders.

And with this chart also, it is responding well but also is a test chart. I’ve been watching it closely as the support and resistance areas on the charting do seem to be in play. Our techs are back testing test charts.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WTICOUSD/mxzmX1jP-Key-resistance-and-support-for-daytrading-crude-oil-futures-on-4/

4 hour, resistance, support, chart, crude, oil

Key resistance and support for day trading crude oil futures on 4 hour test chart for sizing strategy on machine orders.

Key support and resistance on daily crude oil chart is noted for day trading strategy.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/GLKLdhlh-Key-support-and-resistance-on-daily-crude-oil-chart-is-noted-for/

Crude, oil, daily, chart, trading, strategy

Key support and resistance on daily crude oil chart is noted for day trading strategy.

Key support and resistance noted on weekly crude oil chart for futures trade strategy.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/9tWNwSap-Key-support-and-resistance-noted-on-weekly-crude-oil-chart-for-f/

weekly, crude, oil, chart, futures, strategy

Key support and resistance noted on weekly crude oil chart for futures trade strategy.

Other charts are used in decisions for bias toward trade, refer to the most recent Crude Oil Member EPIC Algorithm reporting and private member discord oil trading room for other charting and guidance.

It is also highly recommended that you review recent reporting and videos released.

Jan 19 – A detailed inside look at our day traders’ strategies in crude oil day trading room.

How I Day Trade Crude Oil +90% Win Rate | Friday’s 158 Tick Move | The Strategy We Used To Trade It.

Jan 18 – By far one of the most important videos for day trading crude oil since our inception;

How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video).

Jan 14 – Oil day traders need to see this article;

Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy | Oil Trading Room Video | Lead Trader Guidance.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Futures, Strategy, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Tools You Can Use to Day Trade Crude Oil for a Better Win Rate- 90%+ Is Within Reach.

How to Trade Oil Successfully with the Right Strategies: Trade Alerts, Chat Room Signals, Live Trading Room, Conventional Charts, Time Cycle Knowledge and Algorithmic Models.

My position in this post is simple; if you have the technical data needed to make the right trading decisions on all time frames (your oil trading strategy) provided to you (the oil day trader) in the most efficient manner, you can out trade the general market traders and compete with world class machine oil trading firms.

We endeavor to provide such a trading platform for our members. Below I explain how we are doing that.

But first, a trade coaching session for those learning to get on the winning side of their trading… if you are a pro that only needs the technical oil trading strategies included in this post… skip this rant and scroll down. 

Why do I scream from the rooftops that my win oil trading rate is so high?  Why do I scream transparency and documentation of my trading journey and the development of our oil trading systems?

I scream my win rate (that anyone can review our live recorded and time stamped documentation to verify) to drive home that you do not have to accept what the book selling circle jerk crew tries to sell you, “trade price, nobody knows the future and that a 60/40 win rate is acceptable” – this is a flawed process.

You do not have to accept what the book selling circle jerk crew tries to sell you.

Study our oil trading system development and you will find that trading price doesn’t work in oil and that thinking you can’t know the future (future decisions for up, down or sideways trade and the most probable price targets) is foolish thinking.

We know with high probability where price is going to be on any time frame (from a 1 minute chart to a monthly chart and all between) and we know with high probability how to trade the decisions a trader will face on the way to the possible price targets.

We know the natural trading structure of the financial instrument – in other words, we know the playing field. We play the game with the lights on while the majority of our competition is in the dark.

We know the natural trading structure of the financial instrument – in other words, we know the playing field.

A 60/40 win rate is painful, to accept and use that system you have to take a series of significant losing side cuts to only then take advantage of a winning swing trade trend pattern move. In other words, the problem with their process is that you win big when you win but you have to endure pain to get the big win. I do this myself, but only with 10% of my account.

For example I have been DWT short for a number of weeks in preparation for the reversal in oil trade we are now experiencing. But I do it so that I get the move even when I don’t have time to day trade it.

The problem with their process is that you win big when you win but you have to endure pain to get the big win.

Another problem with the 60/40 idea (and there are hundreds of problems with this thinking) is that oil can trade sideways for many weeks, in this scenario you get chopped up and this causes your brain to be confused and you begin questioning yourself.

The method we are developing, perfecting and teaching (that we have documented live in every fashion available for proof) has a much higher rate of return and win side rate, it allows you to be in cash daily, it is much less stressful (the draw downs when you do lose can be next to zero) and it is the equivalent of Wayne Gretzky on the ice (for example).

You can simply “out stick handle” your competition.

To be a 90%+ oil trading winner takes real work to learn, but on the other side you will have much less stress, you win more often, your ROI and ROE increase significantly, your lifestyle freedom increases and the most important part is it keeps your brain in the frame work of being a winner.

Worst case scenario – you add what you can or what you prefer to use of what we have learned and passed on to you so that your oil trading win rate increases.

The bottom line.

It is critical for your brain to know it wins. When it knows you are a winner it won’t accept losses. This is critical (you would have to do a serious psychological study to learn why this is so important – maybe someday I will write about what I’ve learned).

The bottom line is that your brain develops patterns of habit that manifest in reality. Your subconscious is the leader, and it needs to know when it trades crude oil, that you win.

The bottom line is that your brain develops patterns of habit that manifest in reality.

The only way this is possible (your brain knowing that you win so it won’t accept losing which causes your execution to be disciplined) is to be able to “out -trade” your competition.

Sure, you are competing with yourself – but in reality you are competing against the world’s best when you enter the markets everyday.

The only way to out-trade your competition is to have technical market information and tools they simply do not possess and / or do not have “as efficient” access to and they haven’t defined their trading process and skill-set to the same level you have.

This is what causes one to trade win-side at a rate of over 90%. And anyone can do it.

Lets Get on With The Technical Oil Trading Strategies You Can Use to Day Trade Crude Oil for a Better Win Rate.

Oil Trade Signals: The Strategy / Guidance I Provided to Members at Start of Week.

Crude Oil Time Cycles, Area of Trade, Support, Resistance, Trading Channels.

Note: The time stamps on the Private Member Discord Oil Chat Room Server is showing my time in the Dominican Republic (this time of year it is one hour later here in DR than Eastern Time in New York).

For this post (that focuses on examples from Friday Jan 18, 2019 in our oil trading room) I will start with trade signals I provided to our members at the beginning of the week (and some prior) to provide context for the guidance explained.

Below (3rd image down) you will find a private member server screen shot (to start the week of Jan 14, 2018) I shared with the chat room of a test chart our oil machine trade coding technicians are developing for sizing trades.

In addition to using our main oil charting (the EPIC Oil Algorithm model – a proprietary model based on a 30 minute oil chart) we use many other charts (conventional and algorithmic) on many time-frames to determine back tested and correlated probabilities for oil trade resistance, support, channels, reversals, time cycles and more.

In the instance below (at start of last week) I was signaling the possible channel oil would use for weekly trade – specifically if the scenario played out during weekly trade as it related to the previously provided signals to members (that we seen a time cycle ending in crude oil December 20, 2018).

Prior to this, we had provided members (many weeks in advance of Dec 20) that the time cycle peak / conclusion was for approximately Dec 20 (with allowance for a week either way of Dec 20 because the time cycle was so large as it was based on the weekly time cycle charting).

Then on Dec 26, 2018 oil did in fact turn up in trade and hasn’t stopped trading upward since.

Between Dec 20 and Dec 26 there was one last “flash down” in oil trade which is typical at the end or peak of a time cycle on any time frame from the one minute charting to monthly charting (this is typical of the final stops being triggered and shorts covering positions).

Then on Dec 26, 2018 oil did in fact turn up in trade and hasn’t stopped trading upward since.

Oil hit a low of 42.38 on FX USOIL WTI on Dec 24, 2018 and closed Friday Jan 18, 2019 at 52.38 – less than one month later.

crude, oil, chart, reversal, trend

Oil hit a low of 42.38 on FX USOIL WTI on Dec 24, 2018 and closed Friday Jan 18, 2019 at 52.38 – less than one month later.

Also of note, we predicted the down turn in oil trade at the time cycle peak – the time cycle turn prior to the Dec 20, 2018 reversal.

See this tweet from EPIC Oil Algorithm Public Twitter feed and the post linked to our blog.

“Dating back to 2002, 13 of 14 major time cycles on weekly crude oil chart structure seen trend reversal to some extent or another #Oil #OOTT #TimeCycles FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/F8Z9UE66-Dating-back-to-2002-13-of-14-major-time-cycles-on-weekly-crude/

Back to Strategic Guidance Provided to Oil Chat Room Last Week:

The oil trade signals I alerted to members to assist in their oil trade strategy focused on the trading range our members could expect for oil the coming week. The alerted signals also gave our traders support and resistance areas on the charting and the most probable channel of trade (this is all in addition to the EPIC Oil Trading Weekly Report).

Curt Melonopoly Last Monday at 8:49 AM (7:49 AM EST)
“It’s a machine coding doodle chart for sizing etc so its a mess, but we are looking for channel highlighted in yellow to hold for trend reversal confirmation in crude oil – use proven EPIC model for confirmation for trading”.

oil, chat , room, signals

Oil Chat Room – looking for channel highlighted in yellow to hold for trend reversal in crude oil

Below is a screen shot of the live oil alert feed on Twitter providing the following signal to our members for the week:

“Under 52.16 FX USOIL WTI I am short term bearish, over 52.16 bullish to 53.34 and over to 55.65 – main test areas over head on weekly time frame.”

crude, oil, alert, signal, guidance

Under 52.16 FX USOIL WTI I am short term bearish, over 52.16 bullish to 53.34 and over to 55.65 – main test areas over head on weekly time frame.

The examples above provide context to the guidance we provided our oil members at recent time cycle turns and at the beginning of the week…

Now lets jump to the specific point of this post that involves trade last Friday December 18, 2019 so we can learn how to day trade the opportunities in crude oil.

At 6:40 AM Friday Jan 19, 2019 I signaled the oil chat room that oil trade looked bullish and that our traders could expect a push toward the 53.40 resistance.

You can see on the chart / screen capture below how trade for the week had maintained the channel and that oil trade was following a trajectory (light blue vertical line) that I had outlined in the chat room earlier in the week as a probable upside strategy.

The strategy for the trajectory of the uptrending blue arrow was based on trajectory of time cycle targets on the short time frame assuming oil was bullish (price targets on our algorithmic charting can be assumed at where important trend lines cross, this is consistent through all time frames on all algorithmic models – this takes some time to learn).

The resistance I was alerting our members was at the top of the trading channel so they were aware of where to be aware of possibly trimming positions or at minimum being on watch for intra-day stall in trade.

“They’re pushing for that 53.40 area today (upside scenario), above could cause a significant squeeze”.

Trade, room, signal, alert, crude, oil

Crude Oil Chat Room Signal – They’re pushing for that 53.40 area today (upside scenario), above could cause a significant squeeze.

On this screen capture from the oil chat room I am showing our members that trade intra day was in the bullish scenario on a 4 hour test chart. Reconfirming the bullish scenario for day trading oil upward in Friday’s trade.

You will also notice at the bottom of the screen capture – the noted alert at the bottom of the screen, “53.50 is top of quad ton EPIC model resistance today, trading 52.83 intra” that this set-up coincided with our proprietary oil algorithm charting (the core oil algorithm charting – the core of our methodology, is not included in this post).

The core oil algorithm charting – the core of our methodology, is not included in this post.

crude, oil, chat, room, signals, chart

On this screen capture from the oil chat room I am showing our members that trade intra day was in the bullish scenario on a 4 hour test chart

Earlier that morning Jeremy has posted a link in the chat room to the article and video post covering trade from Thursday’s session and explanation of the one minute trading box set-up. You can study the set-up at the link below;

By far one of the most important crude oil trading articles we have posted since our inception.

Protected: How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video)

Link: https://compoundtrading.com/how-i-day-trade-crude-oil-on-one-minute-chart-trading-signals-alerts-with-video/

Password: ********

At 920 AM right before regular market open I provide chat room a crude oil position signal for preferred long entry point.

I also re-confirm my expectation that probability for the top of the quad area of the oil algorithm in trade gets hit and that my entry signal price target (preferred entry is 52.40) so that our traders could make their own decisions for execution.

Also mentioned here, the one minute trading model (the trading box area) as the preferred entry price so that our members know where I derived the 52.40 entry preference from.

oil, trade, signals, premarket

At 920 AM right before regular market open I provide chat room a crude oil position signal for preferred long entry point.

Crude oil trade alert in chat room screen shot of long execution in to open and other alerts. Long oil at 52.67 with trims at 52.93 and 53.08.

trade, alert, chat, room, long, oil

Crude oil trade alert in chat room screen shot of long execution in to open and other alerts.

Alert in oil chat room that I was closing the oil day trade at 53.03 due to internet issues and reiteration of price target 53.50 for day trade.

Then the price target for the day trade was hit. A 90 tick move so far on the day.

oil, daytrade, close, alert, signal

Alert in oil chat room that I was closing the oil day trade due to internet issues and reiteration of price target for day trade.

Below is screen shot capture of crude oil chat room of posted oil chart images of predictability of 1 minute oil day trading strategy in trading box model (as previously posted above – the Thursday featured blog post the day prior) when crude oil squeezes intra-day.

trading box, day trade, crude oil, strategy

Screen shot of chat room images of predictability of 1 minute oil trade in trading box model when crude oil squeezes intra day.

As the day trading session progressed I provided a number of alerts to impending resistance on all time frames in crude oil trade range expected for the day.

heavy resistance confirming on all time frames, but in a sqz u never know

daytrading, signals, alerts, chat room, resistance, oil,

As the day trading session progressed I provided a number of alerts to impending resistance on all time frames n crude oil trade range expect for the day.

Resistance areas of oil trade for guidance for day traders to consider trimming or closing positions.

Resistance had been hit on two 4 hour charts and the EPIC Oil Algorithm 30 Minute Model at this point of trade intra-day. Other charting time frames had resistance also.

daytrader, crude, oil, alerts, resistance,

Resistance areas of oil trade and guidance for daytraders to consider trimming or closing positions.

240 Min Test Chart Scenarios posted to oil chat room revising the previous so that day trading signals for oil are updated.

signals, daytrade, updated, chat room, crude, oil

240 Min Test Chart Scenarios posted to oil chat room revising the previous so that day trading signals for oil are updated.

LIVE OIL TRADING ROOM VIDEO | HOW TO DAY TRADE CRUDE OIL – STRATEGIES I USE.

#daytrade #crudeoil

Summary Notes for Video:

Note: Voice broadcast starts at 16:25 on video. When I am trading and on mic is noted below (the location times on video).

At 16:25 on video “I am triggering long 52.67 with tight stops because of test on 240 minute crude oil charting, so I may trigger in and out here, we’ll see. Will probably get in to pressure right in to open here but I didn’t want to miss the move. A little bit of FOMO.”

At 19:50 on video “The one minute candle turn in advance of market open is coming here, get ready for some pressure.”

Keep in mind the strategy guidance provided to members in the oil chat room specific to the preferred by trigger at 52.40 (in other words support on one minute day-trading model).

And Then The Internet Crashes! A Work Crew Down the Street Cut The Line.

At 23:00 mins on video I come on mic to announce the internet problem to the trading room (at which time I didn’t know what the specific problem with the internet was).

At 24:50 on video the pressure in oil trade comes (which made sense to me considering the resistance decision but I decided to hold because oil was so bullish through the time cycle). I could have cut and re-entered which may have yielded a better profit by 10 ticks or so.

And then the internet continues to crash intermittently. Had the internet not been crashing I would have been on mic providing our traders guidance.

At 56:40 I announce we are back up on a cellular network and that I am holding the position.

At 1:10:50 On video I announce I am trimming at 53.08 holding 25% – there was significant resistance on the EPIC Oil Algorithm so I trimmed.

In the trading chat room (not on video due to internet issues) I announce I am closing trade due to internet issues even though price wasn’t to the top of the algorithm quadrant and price target for the day, “closed 53.03 may re enter i had to close due to internet.”

Had the internet been restored timely I would have traded right top of quadrant and price target for the day.

At 1:18:00 on video you can see trade hitting the price target for the day (top of algorithm quadrant).

In a normal scenario I would have been trading the one minute trading chart model in the trading boxes and on mic in the trading room announces my trades. But on this day as fate would have it I couldn’t do it because I couldn’t risk the internet crashing while on the temporary cellular platform we were using.

Important note:

Much of the proprietary charting links, member oil reporting, and proprietary algorithmic charting is not included in this post. In 2019 we have started to limit dissemination of proprietary content due to copy cat trading firms. 

Summary Thoughts for Context.

It is important to note that there were many many more trade alerts, charting updates, chat room trades / signals / guidance and trading room live trade coverage for the week.

Our members have much, much more information available to them for crude oil day trading decisions needed every day of the week on all time frames.

Having advanced technical know-how derived from a systematic scientific process that gets fed in to our various oil trading platform services to trading members allows for our members to “out stick handle” the everyday trading community and compete with world class machine trading firms.

My win rate and the oil machine trading win rate was well over 90% for the week and the reason is the combined tools available – available to myself, to our machine trading techs and thus the developed software and also made available to the members in our oil trading service.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Signals, Strategy, Alerts, Trade Room, Chat, Algorithm, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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This Article Covers a Very Important Trade Signal for Crude Oil Day Traders: How to Day Trade Crude Oil Using One Minute Chart.

Trade Alert Screen Shots and Trading Room Video Included Below.

Voice broadcast starts at 0:20 on video.

This is One of The Most Important Articles We Have Published for Oil Trading Traders Since Starting Our Service.

Thursday was a huge day for our development team for crude oil trading signals required for alerting day trading crude oil.

The patterns in crude oil are very important, especially as it relates to the one minute day trade signals because trading oil can be volatile.

Trade can move very fast in crude oil futures so a trader needs signals on the lower time frame (1 minute charting) that he/she can trigger with confidence. This is a very big development for us at Compound Trading Group.

Be sure to actually listen to the video included in this report because the text version does not explain every important detail required for a day trader to completely understand how the signals work for executing trades with precision. 

Crude Oil Trading Rules Based Process

On the video I discuss the importance of the rules based process for trading crude oil with buy and sell triggers (signals / strategies) are reviewed.

Setting Stop Loss When Trading Crude Oil 

The above relates (determines) to the stop loss you set for each oil charting time frame for triggering orders. Time frames being the different chart time frames for 1 min, 5, 15, 30, 1 hour, 4 hour, daily, weekly and monthly.

240 Minute (Algorithmic Model Test Chart)

This morning, trade in crude oil held the key support on the 240 min (4 Hr) chart reviewed.

If the chart structure holds the possible move up on the next extension (and the move lower) is also discussed.

Support and resistance is discussed on the chart structure as is price targets and time cycle completions.

The chart is still bullish. The bearish and bullish considerations are discussed.

Crude Oil 4 Hour Chart (we are testing structure) for Buy Sell Signals.

crude, oil, trading, 240 Min, chart

Crude Oil 240 Min Test Chart Jan 18 458 AM FX USOIL WTI CL_F $USO #algorithm #crude #oil

Machine Daytrading Sizing Test Chart Signals for Trade.

4 HR, Oil, Chart, Crude

Crude Oil Trading 240 Min Test Chart for Sizing Machine Trade Software FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading

Day Trading Crude Oil Signals on the 1 Minute Chart (Pattern on Chart for Entering Positions)

The trade signal pattern for triggering the 1 minute oil chart trades is reviewed in detail.

When oil was selling off earlier in the day trade lost the mid channel line, came back and tested it and then dumped.

Rich in the Discord crude oil private member server had asked if the software was turned on and Jeremy had responded that order flow was the likely reason why the machine trade software did not trigger on the short.

Oil price sold off it traded in to the bottom of the quadrant on the EPIC Crude Oil Trading Algorithm and over shot the support.

Price bounced off a historical support line on the EPIC model (purple horizontal lines).

The challenge for traders executing trade orders on the oil chart is exactly where to enter your trade and the stops that should be set therein.

The 1 minute day trading chart is reviewed. The technical indicators on the charting discussed are;

  • The trading box area on the chart.
  • The pivot areas on the chart.
  • The pattern of trade that is important for triggering your trade.

The trading channel for oil is reviewed on the video (the chart).

I am convinced we have established the chart pattern in crude oil for the one minute signals on day trading time frame. This is a big deal.

The W Pattern (trade signal) on 1 minute chart for day trading Crude Oil.

crude, oil, daytrading, buy, signal

Crude Oil Day Trading – Buy Trigger Trade Signal W pattern in chart confirmed on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm #Crude #Oil #Daytrading

Below is the chart for triggering on the buy signal on EPIC model (30 minute crude oil chart) as it relates to 1 min daytrading signal above.

crude, oil, daytrading, buy, signal

Crude Oil Day Trading – Buy Trigger Trade Signal W pattern in chart confirmed on EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm #Crude #Oil #Daytrading

Is Over 5,000.00, 10,000.00 or even 20,000.00 In Profit Weekly Possible Day Trading Crude Oil on The EPIC Model With One Contract Sizing?

Trading one contract at a time with six – twelve times per week based on the signals provided on the charting (and eventually on the trade alerts) has the potential of returning massive weekly returns. Can it be done? We’re getting close all the time.

Trading the outside areas of the oil trading model (quadrants), the mid line of the channels and the mid quad support and resistance areas can do that. We may not get to 20,000.00 – it could be 10,000.00 or 5,000.00, it doesn’t matter whether it is 5K or 20K. The point is that if we can get the signals perfected to the best possible degree with a high win probability then it is possible.

Our current win rate is high, very high. Review our alert feed on Twitter or in the private member Discord Oil Trading Chat Room.

This is why the one minute day trading signals are so important, because a trader has to be confident in the entry of trade so they don’t get chopped up.

Crude Oil Trade Alert Signals

Below are the screen shot captured of alerts from the private member oil trading Twitter feed. You will notice that I am signaling day trades for the members AND the machine technician is signaling trades on the feed also. 

The First Crude Oil Trade Alert Signaled for The Day – Short at 51.20

crude, oil, trade, alert, signals

Crude Oil Trade Alert (screen shot of alert feed) Selling 51.20 – CURT, will advise #crude #oil #alert #signal

Second Alert (screen shot from Oil Trade Alert Feed) Explains Trade Signal is Based on Support at Bottom of Quadrant on Model.

Crude, oil, signal, alert

Trade Signals for Oil Alert by Lead Trader – Tight stops here, test area at bottom of quad. #crude #oil #signals

Then the machine oil trading technician immediately after my alert signals a reversal in oil trade is very possible.

crude, oil. trade, signal alert, reversal

Then the machine oil trading technician immediately after my alert signals a reversal in oil trade is very possible.

Signal to cover 25 percent of trade – Cover 25% 51.03.

signal, cover, short, trade

Signal to cover 25 percent of trade – Cover 25% 51.03

Here I Signaled on the crude oil trade alert feed that I did in fact reverse the trade – reversed 51.30 tight stops CURT

crude, oil, trade, reversal, signal

Here I Signaled on the crude oil trade alert feed that I did in fact reverse the trade – reversed 51.30 tight stops CURT

Immediately after my reversal trade signal oil alert the machine tech alerts a buy signal… M – HFT buys initiated 51.36 will advise.

oil, trade, alert, machine, trading, signals

Immediately after my reversal trade signal oil alert the machine tech alerts a buy signal… M – HFT buys initiated 51.36 will advise

Then my alert signaling to take some profit on winning trade – Trimming 51.53 25% of the position.

crude, oil, trade, signal, alert, profit, trim

Then my alert signaling to take some profit on winning trade – Trimming 51.53 25% #crude #oil #trading #signals

Machine program signals closing trade for profit in advance of regular market open – after other signals alerted on feed. If you look at screen shot below closely (the feed), you will see the other signaled trade guidance. “M – Machine program closed 51.47 for open timing on software and stops triggered. Set at 8 mins either side. Will advise”.

alert, close, oil, trade, signal

Machine program signals closing trade for profit in advance of regular market open – after other signals alerted on feed.

Next alert in oil trade signaling trims on profit for the day trade. Trim 25% 51.63 CURT.

day trading, crude, oil, alert, signal

Next alert in oil trade signaling trims on profit for the day trade. Trim 25% 51.63 CURT.

Alert signaled to close the winning trade. Close 51.66 will re enter if it gains upper area of quad.

close, trade, signal, alert, daytrade

Alert signaled to close the winning trade. Close 51.66 will re enter if it gains upper area of quad.

I reiterate that it is critical for oil day traders reviewing this article to really listen to the video. If you want to learn how to day trade crude oil with the best signals we have available be sure to study the video. There is a lot of data covered in this video post.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our lead traders that include learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

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Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Trading, Signals, Alerts, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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