PART 1 – K.I.S.S. Swing Trading Crude Oil – Gap filled, now time to watch 200 MA on 4 hour, last time price tested it twice and sold off. #swingtrading #crudeoil

In this short public facing unlocked oil swing trading article, we look at simple indicators oil traders can use to position swing trade bias and trade sizing.  

If price gets under 200 MA on 4 Hr and 20 MA crosses 200 MA with price under, this is a fairly decent signal a trend change is setting in for a considerable pull back. You can run this basic indication on each time frame to get a feel for your swing trade positioning and sizing.

A simple but effective way to gauge bias, sizing, risk, positioning strategy etc for oil swing traders.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/8t3ZjTtF-K-I-S-S-Swing-Trading-Crude-Oil-Gap-filled-now-time-to-watch/

Swing Trading, Crude Oil, Chart

K.I.S.S. Swing Trading Crude Oil – Gap filled, now time to watch 200 MA on 4 hour, last time trade tested it twice and sold off. #swingtrading #crudeoil

Another great strategy for swing trading crude oil, specifically for directional bias is watching the MACD on the daily, currently crossed down.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XRF/3CuFmTAk-Another-great-strategy-for-swing-trading-crude-oil-specifically/

swing trading, oil, chart, MACD

Another great strategy for swing trading crude oil, specifically for directional bias is watching the MACD on the daily, currently crossed down #swingtradingoil

If oil does sell off, the trading support levels noted on the chart would be preferred areas to take profits along the way in a swing trade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XRF/7Ddk5abP-If-oil-does-sell-off-the-levels-noted-on-the-chart-would-be-pre/

swing trading, oil, supports

If oil does sell off, the levels noted on the chart would be preferred areas to take profits along the way in a swing trade #swingtradingoil

In Part 2, we will go in to some Premium Swing Trade Member charting for structured oil swing trading models including time cycles, price targets and more.

In Part 3 for our Oil Trading Premium Members we will build out our oil trading strategy further with Algorithmic Trading Models.

Look for those later this evening.

If you need anything email me at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

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Article Topics; Swing Trading, Crude Oil, Trading, Oil, MACD, Moving Averages, Gap Fill, Support Levels, Sizing, Bias.


Why a Trader’s Winning Percentage Matters: Trader Question & Answer (also discussed time cycles, $VIX, market extremes)

A question and answer on WhatsApp this morning between myself and one of our newer swing trading subscribers.

[10:19 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Hi curt , for VIX , what instrument do you recommend for buying the insurance ?
[10:19 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: we use VXX
[10:19 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Ok thanks , and do you treat it like a normal position size ?
[10:20 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: yes, but you have to consider it insurance on shorter time frames, but yes, none are great trading vehicles but for insurance not so bad, but sometimes you get lucky too on top of insurance haha
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Ok thank you 🙏
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: no problem, just be aware the VIX toward end of XXXX could see XXXXs!
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: could
[10:22 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: nobody knows
[10:23 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: I gather time cycle can be big increase or decrease right ?
[10:24 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: correct, we don’t know which direction, we know where
[10:24 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: but i’m protecting our positions over long weekend, for me, market is too happy, for me thats a potential problem
[10:24 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: same as when market is selling off crazy
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: but like oil selling off haha there is no bottom
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: and there is no top
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: but when things are extreme i like caution, and right now i see extreme, in to a long weekend, imo thats risky
[10:25 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: I find these time cycles pretty fascinating
[10:26 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: yes, the deeper in to it you get the better you will get at reading them
[10:26 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: it is where most of our profit comes from
[10:27 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: the new P&L release will show you in great detail, should be out this weekend
[10:28 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: I gather the general situation for the group is few recommendations until time cycle direction starts to show itself more
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: exactly, our money comes in to and out of the key areas, we still trade in between, but experience show and as you study time cycles, you’ll see why 80% of your ROI will come from being on top of the cycles
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: limits choppy losses too
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: choppy losses have an effect on your winning mind too
[10:29 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: avoiding loss is important
[10:30 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: bottom line, you want your subconscious to only think win
[10:30 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: because it will lead around your brain on a leash
[10:30 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: this is why i dont accept a 50% win rate is okay, even if you win big on wins
[10:31 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: the top goal should be highest percentage of wins
[10:31 AM, 7/2/2020] Trader: Love it
[10:31 AM, 7/2/2020] Curt: a trained mind is most important imo, then everything else follows

As always, if you have any questions reach out anytime compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Peace and best.

Curt

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Article Topics: Q&A, Trader, Trading, Swing Trading, VIX, Time Cycles, Market Timing


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Swing Trading Structured Charting Stock Time Cycles for Predictable Wins and Significant Gains. Part 1.

The STONECO (STNE) Trade Provides an Excellent Opportunity for a Tutorial on How to Swing Trade Stock Time Cycles.

Time cycles are through-out the financial markets, indices, sectors, equities (stocks), commodities, currencies, crypto and in every corner of the financial markets.

  • One of the single most considerable trader “edges” we have in our tool kit are time cycles.
  • Stock time cycles allow for a trader to gain a better probability edge.
  • Time cycles in stock trading allow a trader to better time entries and exits in a trade, time trades and establish appropriate size risk.

The STONECO trade example provides swing traders with a clear idea of how this swing trading strategy works.

In Part 1 we look at the the trade executions, the entries and profit taking areas of trade.

In Part 2 (Premium User) we will look at how exactly traders can replicate our success in this specialized area of swing trading expertise. How to chart the structure of the stock, choosing the best time-frame for the trade, time cycles, advanced Fibonacci Retrace levels and chart modeling, sizing your trade, exits and entries, risk management and more.

Okay, lets look at the trade itself first:

Finding a systematic trading process provides a trader’s edge. The more a trader has, the better. Learn to play the game better, achieve better returns. 

Life is like a game of cards. The hand you are dealt is determinism; the way you play it is free will.

Jawaharlal Nehru

Below is a tweet I sent out today that includes screen shots of the swing trade alert feed of the charting and alerts for exits and entries in this time cycle trade.

What #timecycle #swingtrade looks like on structured model.

Vertical blue lines are time cycle peaks.

Long IN SIZE & added IN SIZE in to time cycle sell off (blue vertical, trading fear) while others panic.

Near double $STNE time cycle trade

Alerts & charting

“Long in SIZE” means that I entered this trade and ADDED to the trade in size. 4/10 sizing (20% on the initial entry and 20% on the adds) for me is massive. This means I was 40% in this trade long of what my maximum trade size tolerance was, most trades

I don’t get above 30% because I am a position trader within the structure of the financial instrument. I need room to get out of the trade if it goes against me.

How? I know where the next support is. If I’m in a trade 30% size I can amp up my size on a very short term at the next support say another 30% for a bounce back to my entry and clear out. If that leg support doesn’t bounce or hold then I need to exit the swing trade. This is how I win a significant percentage of swing trades, I manage size and I know the playing field of trade (the structure of the stock chart support and resistance).

You can see in the swing trade alerts in the above tweet with screen shots that my first entry didn’t hold and the trading price of the stock continued down. This is an example of sizing properly, managing risk and knowing your charting structure to win big.

My second entry, “the adds” were as price was collapsing in to the peak timing of THE TIME CYCLE (see blue vertical line).

The sell off was the COVID fear sell off and we were managing over 60 equity swings so the alerts weren’t the most clear, however, we do and did provide other reporting, swing trade $STUDY sessions and various other subscriber guidance. The screen shots of the swing trade alert feed provided are just some examples.

As the trade started to go my way I started to trim profits and today trimmed profits to the point of only having 5% of my original size left because a key area of the stock structure is where trade was post market today.

You can see in the chart below the time cycles, the key horizontal Fibonacci levels for support and resistance, the diagonal Fibonacci trend lines and the entries (marked in green arrows) and the exit areas of the swing trade (marked with red arrows).

Swing trading, time cycles

STONECO (STNE) closing 50% of profit runner 39.00 from 22.96 Mar 31, adds in to Apr 6 16-19s hold 5% of in size 40% swing trade. #swingtrading #timecycles $STNE

I encourage anyone that wants to learn how to increase their win rate swing trading (or even day trading) and returns on trades to increase your Profit and Loss to learn how to trade time cycles.

The power of these structured swing trade set ups we are working with can’t be understated 

2x – 10x wins with high probability & managed process to protect downside. And we’re coding it too.

Do your DD, review the alert feed and see for yourself.

#SwingTrading $VERI

An example of time cycles in volatility is in the article below, we are currently writing a series of time cycle articles for our swing trade members to learn how this trading strategy can increase profitability significantly.

Volatility Time Cycle Code Break 2020/21 Update (Part 1) $VIX $VXX $OVX $ UVXY $TVIX #swingtrading #timecycles

In Part 2 we unpack exactly how this trading strategy works – technical analysis and charting the structure of the stock, trading time-frames, time cycles, advanced Fibonacci Retrace levels, sizing, exits and entries, risk management and more.

Protected: How To Swing Trade Stock Time Cycles: STONECO Trade Review, Part 2 (Premium) #swingtrading #timecycles

As always, if you have any questions reach out anytime compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Peace and best.

Curt

Current List of Available P&Ls (remaining dates are in progress now to be released soon):

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter, Live Swing Trading Alerts, Study Guides).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

Swing Trading Study Guide Newsletters (After Trade In-Depth Reviews Including Set-Up Identification, Trading Plan, Sizing, Risk Management, ROI and more).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

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Follow:

 

 

Article Topics: Swing Trading, Time Cycles, Stocks, How To, Trade, Alerts, Charting

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