This content is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:


Good afternoon Traders,

As we gear up for another trading week in advance of our larger prep for the fall season I thought it best to provide you a quick update on our plans, scheduling etc. 

We see a significant opportunity (time cycles) from now and in to the late fall 2019 season in Equities, Commodities, Bitcoin etc. The reporting schedule and webinars we are hosting should do well to prepare our members to take full advantage of it.

Reporting Schedule This Week (estimated release dates for premium member reporting, dates are evening of in to next morning).

Aug 18 – VIX (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – SPY (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – Swing Trading (swing trade members will also receive various other time cycle reporting as it comes available).

Aug 18 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 19 – Crude Oil (EPIC Algorithm regular report)

Aug 19 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 20 – Bitcoin (including time cycles)

Aug 20 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 21 – Gold (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Silver (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 22 – DXY US Dollar (including time cycles)

Aug 22 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

The week of Aug 18 and in to fall will also bring various other various swing trade and time cycle reporting to the various services.

Upcoming General Public Free Webinars.

Crude Oil Webinar – Machine Trade Informational. Topics Include; YTD Machine Trade Profit and Loss Performance, Development Process and What Is Planned Going Forward. 7:00 – 7:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Crude Oil Webinar – How to Use Our Platform. Oil Trade Alerts, Live Trading Room, Private Discord Server Oil Trade Set Up Guidance, Algorithm Models & Conventional Charting. 8:00 – 8:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Upcoming Premium Member Only Webinars.

Crude Oil Trade Strategy Webinar – A Review of Oil Trade Set Ups for The Week. 9:00 – 9:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Crude Oil service members.

Swing Trading Set-Ups Webinar – A Review of Swing Trading Setups for The Upcoming Week (including time cycles). 10:00 – 10:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Swing Trading service members.

Members that cannot attend live will receive a video copy and featured report of the webinar.

Trading Profit and Loss Updates.

2019 Swing Trading Status: Our swing trading platform has had an exceptional year, we’re running our regular 100%+ annual returns (over last 3 years) varied depending on the type/ category of swing trade, Jen has a full report in the works for members to review. As mentioned above, with the large time cycle peaks coming in to the fall we expect a bang up fall swing trade season.

V3 EPIC Oil Algorithm Machine Trade P&L Status: We couldn’t be more pleased with the v3 oil machine trade software. It has been running for about 5 weeks and it is exceeding our expectations. The most encouraging part is that its code is still in its early stages of real-world testing – the projected ROI trajectory is expected to continue to turn-up with no additional downside risk – v3 is an extremely stable machine trading architecture. As we near the 8 week real-world running time-line the mathematical probability of it having any notable issues are near zero (at 5 weeks we’re near there now). It took some time, grit and investment, but we’re there now.

“For Aug 15, 2019 Profit & Loss: Daily +$355 YTD+$9,185 Projected $85,958 or 86% Per Annum. v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Test Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts”

Password Access to Trading Rooms, Private Alerts, Discord Servers.

We have been slowly changing / updating passwords and access to various services. If you are a premium member and you are locked out of any service you are subscribed to (trading room, alert feed, private server, etc) or do not receive a report that you see posted to main Compound Trading Twitter feed (that you should be receiving), please let us know so we can rectify.

Promotions.

There is a current promotion running for new member trials, receive 50% off first month of any service list price. Use promo code “TRIAL50” when checking out (if you have issue with the promo code email us and we’ll send you another by email). If you have registered recently at full price and did not take advantage of this email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and she will invoice your next month renewal at 50% off. This is only available to first time subscribers and cannot be used with other discounts. 

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours – it usually books out for the fall so register soon if you’ve been throwing the idea around.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and remember, the webinars listed above require you to register in advance by sending us an email of your interest in attending.

Thanks,

Curt

Subscribe:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Crude Oil Trading Academy: A Selection of Unlocked Oil Trade Strategy Articles from Our Traders:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil Futures Contracts is Like No Other Trading – Having a Rules Based Process Will Help You.

Recent Swing Trade and Day Trading Reports (charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: $VIX Perfect Price Target Hit (on time), So What’s Next? Trading Volatility (VIX) | Premium #VIX #TradingStrategies #TimeCycles

Protected: How to Trade US Dollar Index (DXY) Large Time Cycle in to Week of August 5 #USD $DXY $UUP #tradealerts #swingtrading

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Protected: S&P 500 Trading Strategies. Charting, Time Cycles, Price Targets, Algorithmic Model (SPY) | Premium, July 15 $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows):

Premarket Notes July 31, 2019: FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD …

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Machine Trade, Alerts, Swing Trading, Live Trading Room, Oil, BTC, SPY, VIX, DXY, GOLD, SILVER, Webinars, Promos, Reporting, ROI, Profit & Loss, Time Cycles, Trade Coaching


Special Time Cycle Swing Trade Report With Set-Ups, Strategies, Alerts, Charts, News. July 7, 2019.

Below are Swing Trade Set-Ups Currently On Watch; S&P 500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY.

Review this Twitter thread as I commented some on each model below;

Working models tonight… that week of Oct 21, 19 time cycle peak… theres an inflection wk of Aug 5, 19 (but not near the size), Oct 21 is massive. Remember one I told u bout in to last Dec 24? This one has fire power potential 2B 2x size $SPY $VIX $USO $CL_F $DXY #timecycles

SP500 (SPY) Following our upper price target trajectory scenario near perfect since last SPY report, watch thick red line res test $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SwingTrade #Daytrade

The resistance overhead is key, if trade runs through it you can expect that to be possible support for continued run in to upper price target. This structured model has been quite consistent and is proving to be a decent swing trading guide for positioning of size through a move.

In this specific instance, the peak in to week of Oct 21 is broad global markets, SPY specifically is Sept 9 – Oct 4, so its a little earlier for some reason. VIX is Oct 21 week though.

A strong economy and Fed rate cuts: The stock market wants to ‘have its cake and eat it, too’ https://on.mktw.net/2YAQZk8

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/mHs8Tpj5-SP500-SPY-Following-our-upper-price-target-trajectory-scenario/

SPY, SP500, swing trade, chart

SP500 (SPY) Following our upper price target trajectory scenario near perfect since last SPY report, watch thick red line res test $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

VIX The symmetry in previous time cycle peaks is amazing, watch Oct 21 2019 time cycle peak close. #volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #swingtrading

Watch the first time cycle inflection in to Aug 5 week and then the large time cycle based on symmetry in to week of October 21, 2019.

ha one last note, its a wild card note, if $VIX got going it has a peak possible at 58.17 Oct 21, 2019 lol. Unlikely, but just saying, it has that in nitros available in the tank during that time frame, should a wild card scenario play out. #timecycles #volatility

Fed rate cut in question after June jobs report beat https://finance.yahoo.com/video/fed-rate-cut-june-jobs-183234715.html?.tsrc=rss

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/XBVYpDNr-VIX-The-symmetry-in-previous-time-cycle-peaks-is-amazing-watch/

VIX, swing trading, Volatility

VIX The symmetry in previous time cycle peaks is amazing, watch Oct 21 2019 time cycle peak close. #volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #swingtrading

GOLD If you’re swing trading Gold use patience and trade the channel (red lines) it’s very clean $XAUUSD #Gold $GLD $GC_F

Of course if you’re using it as a hedge or store of value completely different story, but timing your entries in to Gold is well done with that channel between red lines on Monthly chart below.

Gold has time cycles peaking weeks of Aug 1 2019 (small), Feb 3 2020 (moderate), Aug 3 2020 (peak – large cycle peak). That far out however, you have to check back as we get closer as the timing can shift (a few months out we can nail it down exact) #Gold $GLD $XAUUSD #timecycles

Is The Debt Crisis About To Be Reborn In 2020? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-crisis-reborn-2020-081448073.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/JtZbID9u-GOLD-If-you-re-swing-trading-Gold-use-patience-and-trade-the-cha/

Gold, swing trade, chart

GOLD If you’re swing trading Gold use patience and trade the channel (red lines) it’s very clean $XAUUSD #Gold $GLD $GC_F

SILVER Weekly chart seems to imply a break sometime in advance of Mar 2020 up or down, that’s all I have for you. #swingtrade $SLV $USLV $DSLV #Silver

Silver Sees Largest Daily ETF Inflow In A Year: BMO https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-07-04/Gold-Silver-Precious-Metals-Daily-News-Briefs.html

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SILVER/MdA3e6j5-SILVER-Weekly-chart-seems-to-imply-a-break-sometime-in-advance-o/

Silver, Swing Trading, Chart

SILVER Weekly chart seems to imply a break sometime in advance of Mar 2020 up or down, that’s all I have for you. #swingtrade $SLV $USLV $DSLV #Silver

BITCOIN (BTC) One way to swing trade it (there are others in our report) is to long at the bowl trajectory on pull backs $XBT_F $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Using other chart models on our Bitcoin report there are other not so static ways to swing trade the Bitcoin move, however, testing longs anytime price returns to that bowl trajectory seems moderately reasonable.

Oh, and Bitcoin’s time cycle peak is week of Dec 17, 2019. $BTC #timecycles

US Dominates Bitcoin Twitter Discussion, Sentiment Towards Facebook’s Libra is Sinking — Report $FB $BTC #Libra https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2019/07/us-dominates-bitcoin-twitter-discussion-sentiment-towards-facebook-s-libra-is-sinking-report/#.XSKfJRyeeik.twitter

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/Ws3TnAcC-BITCOIN-BTC-One-way-to-swing-trade-it-there-are-others-in-our/

Bitcoin, swing trade

BITCOIN (BTC) One way to swing trade it (there are others in our report) is to long at the bowl trajectory on pull backs $XBT_F $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Crude Oil Weekly Chart is really interesting because 14 out of last 15 time cycles reversed (see previous report) Doing it again. #swingtrading

#Oil interesting because unlike recent time cycles where it was near same as market indices cycles (last Dec), it is off this cycle, Wk of Sept 23, 19 is an inflection with time cycle peak Jan 6, 20. Recent time cycle bottom June 10, 19 per our reports. #OOTT #timecycles $CL_F

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/k8HsOzSN-Crude-Oil-Weekly-Chart-is-really-interesting-because-14-out-of-l/

Crude Oil, Swing Trading

Crude Oil Weekly Chart is really interesting because 14 out of last 15 time cycles reversed (see previous report) Doing it again. #swingtrading

US Dollar Index (DXY) Aug 5 2019 Mar 30 202 are the time cycles to watch, still trades around pivot $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/21R9HcKO-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Aug-5-2019-Mar-30-202-are-the-time-cycles/

US Dollar, swing trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/21R9HcKO-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-Aug-5-2019-Mar-30-202-are-the-time-cycles/

Thanks

Curt

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter and Live Swing Trading Alerts).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics; Swing Trading, Set Ups, Strategies, Signals, SP500, $SPY, Volatility, $VIX, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Bitcoin, $BTC, Oil, $USO, US Dollar, $DXY, time cycles


A Large Time-Cycle in Global Markets is at an Inflection Point, Below Are Trade Set-Ups to Watch.

The Swing Trades (Trends), Investment (Hedge) and Day Trade Ideas Below Reflect Two Primary Opposing Scenarios.

I have messaged this possible development in the markets being near for some time – the time is here-now in my best estimation.

In to December I was messaging a large time cycle to start late December 2018 (saying that it would be the biggest in my 30 years of trading) and that it would last in to the third week of May 2019 and for some financial instruments (such as crude oil) in to the week of June 10, 2019.

The market ran hard from Dec 24, 2018 until early May and then really came off in to the 3rd week of May.

The run was in many ways one of the most significant in modern time. The next is huge and lasts in to 2025 (sure there are time-cycles on lower time frames in between the big). Everything is about to change (if I’m correct).

Going forward…

One scenario has the masters of the global economy using magic money, rates, manipulated media and the like to run markets up and up.

The other opposing scenario sees masters of the globe at war with one another, resulting in market upheaval, whipsaw at best.

One scenario has precious metals to the moon and the other with continued price suppression – look at a long term Gold chart.

One scenario has crypto flying high with Bitcoin at 1,000,000.00 plus and the other with Facebook’s crypto offering at 1,000,000.00 and Bitcoin at tanking to 900.00 (some drama added there).

One has the old guard in tech (social media) giants such as Facebook, Google and Twitter flourishing – avoiding DOJ investigation, suppressing global community back-lash and reigning supreme dominance over upstart threats.

The other sees old guard tech under endless government investigation resulting in possible break-ups in to disjointed parts of the old, global consciousness pushing back against privacy intrusion and new competitors out-smarting and maneuvering them.

One has new tech niche areas of opportunity finding fantastic success in a world that needs more security, more connectivity and more monitoring. More VR, more movies, more me – it is about me after all.

The other has investors supporting ethically driven tech management teams creating new paradigms in corporate global community tech structures.

One has globalists rolling out a continued grand vision of the new world order. And the other scenario finds the likes of Soros picking up pieces of the past, if at all.

I could go on for a week with examples. I’m sure you get the point.

We believe these two opposing scenarios will play out over the next five or so years like a ping-pong game (we’re riding the ball in the game) – extreme opposite scenarios at war.

For one day, a week, a month (or more) everything will run to the moon and then as fast as you can turn your head between monitors the whole game will change.

We see our job to be aware, prepared and awake enough to execute on the opportunities this upheaval will bring.

This will require flexibility in trading strategy, it will demand a lot of study and intensive focus on a daily basis.

Our reporting will reflect this. It will be more regular and include more diversity of trade set-ups going forward.

This will also require an understanding of the structure of the financial instruments on watch. The study and understanding of the structure is required in advance. As the opportunities arise (as markets are inflecting) then these reports (and included charts and links) can be referenced quickly and instruments traded within a few seconds or minutes because the work has been done in advance.

We will look at our standards (Gold, Silver, USD, Oil, SPY, BTC, VIX) in more depth and more often.

We will look to the oversold, over bought, the neglected and undervalued equities. Large, mid, small and micro cap equities. Catalysts within time-frames will be key.

Global market inflections will also be key – in commodities, indices, equities, currencies, bonds, credit, crypto and more. If it is a financial instrument that can be traded and the opportunity for exception risk reward is present – expect our reporting to cover it.

Why? Because there will be opportunity within very specific areas of inflection, but we see a nimble bias with focused intention to be required.

We see turmoil on the horizon, and we don’t expect that to dissipate, we expect it to escalate.

If we are correct, our economic reality will change over the next five or six years in ways that will confuse the pundits and masses.

We intend to trade the confusion, uncertainty, inflections, volatility and hidden opportunity with skill and purpose.

Below are the first of the set-ups.

We will start with some timely standards (to be sure we have the general structure of the playing field) and then over the coming days and weeks we will move more and more in to catalyst driven equities, commodities, currencies, indices etc.

Note: Check the date on each chart to be sure they are current to your time-frame.

Lets consider defensive trades, the hedges, the volatility scenarios.

Trade # 1 – The Trade You Don’t Want to Ignore, AngloGold Ashanti (AU) 

On the weekend we provided a highlighted equity (Gold related hedge positioning play), you can find it here;

AngloGold Ashanti Limited (AU) | Trading Time Cycle Inflection – Part 1 #swingtrading #tradingstrategies $AU

Protected: Swing Trading AngloGold Ashanti Limited (AU) – Part 2 | Premium Report

Be careful with your bias, do not ignore this fantastic risk reward opportunity packed with an opportunity to hedge your portfolio against volatility created within poor equity market sentiment scenarios. I don’t warn often and if you have followed me for any time, when I do I’m normally spot on. One of our skills. Another is time cycles.

Bottom line, the return on investment vs. return within consideration of the hedging bonus makes this play hard to beat. When sentiment tanks long this thing, when sentiment improves trim your longs, rinse, repeat. You are likely to see a better return trading AU than you will trading Gold, Silver and other similar plays.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AU/zYvhJvIN-AU-buy-signal/

swingtrading, AngloGold, AU

AngloGold Ashanti Limited (AU) swing trading weekly chart structure for trade strategies #swingtrading $AU

Trade # 2 – Volatility Itself. VIX. Soon we will look at the volatility within volatility trade, for now, lets look at the structural VIX charting and related instruments for trade.

The simple volatility time cycles on simple structured VIX charting are one of the best timing gauges for equity market moves and sentiment. Overlooked by mainstream financial market media so much I have to assume it is intentional. Lets take a look at what VIX has to tell us.

One my favorites, below are my comments and observations;

  1. I produced this chart in late 2018 telling clients to watch out because that trend-line was coming to an end. That resistance would be gone and a new era in volatility was around the corner. Obviously. What wasn’t so obvious was what structure (form) this coming volatility would take, so I provided three scenarios (review chart below). The scenarios (or possible structures of trade within the instrument) are all playing out in real world trade in 2019. Why do I mention this? Because I know our time cycle and financial instrument structured charting (modeling) hits a high percentage of the time. Why does that matter? Because its our job to be right. To help our clients make money. Check our record with time cycles and instrument model structure. Here’s the problem, people don’t have time so they think / say things like this… if your record is so good then you could alert every trade for me, or trade for me everything you see, or nobody can be right that often and on and on and on. All I can say is check our record in presenting structured models and time cycles. It’s our primary / main / best asset to our clients. We can’t trade every set-up, we can’t alert every set-up, but we can report (like this) and it’s up to you (in large part) to reference previous reporting and check the models. They work, you just have to consider it your library of structured set ups. So I’ll say it again, it isn’t a need to be right for the sake of being able to say we are right. Our job is to be right and remind our clients of where specifically we are typically most right. We are most right in this type of example. Structured time cycle chart models. VIX is a perfect example.
  2. Look closely at the diagonal GANN fanning support and resistance areas, they will help you trade this.
  3. Pay close attention to the vertical red dotted (time cycle) measured time frames for inflections in price. You will notice price to spike in to or out of or dump in to and spike out of each vertical time cycle.
  4. Notice the orange triangle (which was the third consideration when I put out the detailed VIX report), it was the most peaked of the structures and sure enough VIX spiked highest right on time right there.
  5. The horizontal Fibonacci levels are the least of the consideration with trading VIX.
  6. When a time cycle is coming due… think about the equity markets relative to the probability of VIX spiking in to the time cycle (vertical red) or dumping in to the time cycle. If Volatility is in a trend to continue dumping in to the vertical then your equity longs should be your bias. If the trend for VIX in to that vertical is likely to see a spike then you should be thinking in terms of a bias long Bitcoin, previous metals, VIX etc.
  7. Remember, this chart wasn’t just modeled, it was modeled six or more months ago. Think GPS, road map, structure etc.
  8. This is likely one of the best gauges of global market sentiment relative to equity positioning you will find. And mainstream media won’t tell you how simple it is to model it so that you can position your trading properly in to each inflection.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/YCD73AI0-VIX-Forward-Scenario-3-VIX-Volatility-weekly-chart-scenario-thre/

VIX, Volatility, Chart, Time Cycles

Volatility (VIX) Weekly chart structure with simple time cycles is one of my favorite charts to trade $VIX $TVIX $UVXY

So what does the VIX charting and /or structured chart models say about the future now?

1 – Volatility (VIX) MACD may be turning up signalling a long.

The problem is that price is above mid Bollinger nearing upper band, this isn’t a best case long timing, but timing may not be on your side here (review structured model on chart down). The time to short the VIX (you can short TVIX or UVXY ETNs for leveraged exposure fyi) is not until price is above the upper Bollinger. I don’t recommend holding a short position as such over night.

You can day trade and swing trade volatility with UVXY, TVIX and other related instruments of trade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/ZWTwJdzX-Volatility-VIX-MACD-may-be-turning-up-signalling-a-long-but-pr/

VIX, Bollinger Bands, Daily, Chart

Volatility (VIX) MACD may be turning up signalling a long but price is above mid Bollinger nearing upper band. $VIX

2 – If history rhymes, volatility (VIX) will spike in to Oct 21, 2019 and start early in progression. $VIX #swingtrading

Look closely at the price trend in VIX, the progression in bullish behavior of the VIX trade is starting earlier and earlier in to each time cycle peak (the peak represented by the three pyramids). Now, does this mean it will happen again for sure? No, absolutely not. HOWEVER, there is a significant probability that the next occurs on time, the trend continues bullish earlier as represented on the chart and if I’m right, the next spike could be significantly higher than the previous two. In fact, it could extend 50% more without effort. Momentum is building.

The chart below is how I knew that the time cycles for the general markets extended from the week of Dec 17, 2018 (approx) to the week of May 21 (approx). There were some other important chart models in the markets that implied that the week of May 21 could be extended to the week of June 10. The correlation between the key models in various areas of the markets is key.

If volatility spikes in to October 2019, I think 41.00 is an easy price target and 50 – 60 are possible. It is an “if” it spikes scenario however.

Shorting volatility in to this time cycle in to late 2019 would be foolish imo.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/0OaYYgW9-If-history-rhymes-volatility-VIX-will-spike-in-to-Oct-21-201/

VIX, volatility, time cycle, trade, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/0OaYYgW9-If-history-rhymes-volatility-VIX-will-spike-in-to-Oct-21-201/

Trade # 3 – Bitcoin. BTC XBT

When I signaled an alert to long Bitcoin, this was your best clue (that we could provide) that equity market pressure wasn’t far behind. Not that BTC moves can be correlated to equity markets, but a signal to buy Bitcoin after a long consolidation (and likely manipulation) period should be considered as a bearish signal for equity markets. Perhaps a bullish signal for Gold and Silver also, however, Gold and Silver have an invisible hand that BTC does not. BTC is likely to be allowed to live, if not thrive for some time in a scenario in which the likes of Facebook FB are allowed (or directed) to create and grow crypto networks within their platforms.

It was an obvious trade imo (long BTC).

The screen shot of the alert below to long Bitcoin shows the date to be at the end of January 2019. How did I time this trade? Market forces began messaging Facebook’s intent to launch a crypto currency.

Project Libra: Everything We Know About Facebook’s Cryptocurrency

If Facebook is endorsing crypto “they” – the invisible hand are likely to allow BTC to run. If BTC runs crypto enthusiasts become happy preparing the way for the Facebook “better” alternative. Simple manipulation of the masses.

Bitcoin, Swing trade, alert, BTC

Jan 30 2019 BTC alert for buys

Lets look at the structure of the Bitcoin trade now.

Bitcoin trading strategies and alerts. Green arrow buy alert, red arrow trim longs, support and resistance noted $BTC

The one scenario below shows the white arrows trending up and the other with white arrow trending down to what I see as near term support.

Each horizontal Fibonacci line (and diagonal gray dotted) is support and resistance. Size your trades, adds, trims etc according to them. The more important decisions are marked on the chart with white arrows.

The orange box is a trading box. When price is in the box expect large moves. Use the mid point of the box as support and resistance.

The green arrow is when we alerted to our clients to buy and the red arrow is when we alerted to trim long positions.

Over 9575.00 (held) is very bullish. Bitcoin is trading at 7914.00 intra-day. The 6440.00 area is considerable support in my opinion. Anything under that is bearish.

Bitcoin can be traded on various crypto exchanges, on US exchanges you can trade BTC (XBT) futures, there are Bitcoin related equities (in an upcoming post) and there are swap exchanges that enable trade with instruments such as XBTUSD.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/lyqTtKrb-Bitcoin-trading-strategies-and-alerts-Green-arrow-buy-alert-re/

BTC, Bitcoin, Trading, strategies, alerts

Bitcoin trading strategies and alerts. Green arrow buy alert, red arrow trim longs, support and resistance noted $BTC

Trade # 4 – Crude Oil $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT

Daily – measured move extension on Fib structure, could be bottom support. White arrows.

This could be an area of trade that sees a near term bottom. Crude oil is not easy to trade, but if you get the turns on the larger structure right, there are few financial instruments that can return profit to your portfolio like oil can. But you have to get it right.

Crude oil can be traded on regular equity markets using UWT (long oil) DWT (short oil) and with a variety of other related instruments of trade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/xuTzjtsA-Daily-measured-move-extension-on-Fib-structure-could-be-botto/

crude, oil, chart, support

Daily – measured move extension on Fib structure, could be bottom support. White arrows.

Crude Oil Chart Structure.

Below is a large charting time-frame with structured support and resistance areas in a grid to help you with perspective in trade positioning on a wide time frame.

Use the trend-lines and horizontal / diagonal Fibonacci lines for general areas of support and resistance. A channel will develop soon that will help with your trade size and flow.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/DK619aJo-Crude-Oil-Chart-Structure/

crude, oil, chart, structure

Crude Oil Chart Structure

Trade # 5 – Gold $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD

Gold Chart, areas of support and resistance are marked, red triangle, arrows and FIbonacci. $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD.

I am still short Gold but I will have to seriously reconsider if price beaches the red line resistance above. It is in to a time cycle peak for ealy August so I am watching closely here.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/geQaaX21-Gold-Chart-areas-of-support-and-resistance-are-marked-red-tria/

Gold, chart

Gold Chart, areas of support and resistance are marked, red triangle, arrows and FIbonacci. $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD

Trade # 6 – US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading within a structured range, watch for divergent moves going forward. $DXY $UUP

I have been bullish the dollar since its range lows back in January of 2018, however, I’m starting to tilt to the bearish side and looking for a short under the 200 MA on the Weekly Chart (pink line below).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/qkbb8LgW-The-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-is-trading-within-a-structured-range/

USD, US Dollar, DXY

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/qkbb8LgW-The-US-Dollar-Index-DXY-is-trading-within-a-structured-range/

Trade # 7 – Silver $SI_F $SLV $USLV $DSLV

The key to the Silver trade is the squeeze momentum indicator (at bottom of chart) on the Weekly time frame. #Silver

I have watched the Silver trade for years, and this beyond most has been manipulated by an invisible hand for some time. One of the few indicators that works with reliability is the squeeze momentum indicators specifically on the weekly time-frame. When it is deep in red and turns dark red its a buy and when it is red and turns green it is also a buy.

When it turns to a buy next time I will provide the shorter time frame model that is very predictable.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SILVER/h8NlOmVe-The-key-to-the-Silver-trade-is-the-squeeze-momentum-indicator-a/

Silver, chart

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SILVER/h8NlOmVe-The-key-to-the-Silver-trade-is-the-squeeze-momentum-indicator-a/

Trade # 8 – ALPHABET / GOOGLE (GOOGL), FACEBOOK (FB), TWITTER (TWTR), AMAZON (AMZN) and more tech titans.

In the next report (out within days and not weeks) we will dig in deep with technical trade strategies for GOOGL, FB, TWTR, AMZN and more of these that provide downside risk in my opinion. In near future I will also highlight other tech related that I believe are going to do very well.

For now, if you don’t already know what is happening with big tech, the links below will give you an idea of the problems these companies are facing.

I have been alerting for some time that Google, Facebook, Twitter, Amazon and others contain significant downside risk in the upcoming clash of the titans.

Team Trump doesn’t like their bias, censorship or control over the general narrative. If Trump gets his way, these companies will look very different in to 2025.

This past weekend (Friday night) news came out that Google (Alphabet, the parent) is under DOJ investigation.

Read this thread on Twitter about the Google DOJ challenge https://twitter.com/SuperMugatu/status/1134643043225804806

My bias is to short Google and Facebook at every important resistance area (and perhaps Twitter and even Amazon if it sets up properly).

On the flip side, you can see these tech titans also starting to position themselves for the change near. Facebook bought Instagram and Whatsapp because Facebook is obviously in late cycle growth. Facebook may also have a crypto offering and a payments platform very soon.

Facebook Holds Talks With CFTC Over GlobalCoin Cryptocurrency: Report

But Facebook has BIG challenges ahead;

Is Facebook a publisher? In public it says no, but in court it says yes #swingtrading $FB

Below an example challenge for Amazon near term;

Amazon will reportedly fall under antitrust oversight from the FTC #swingtrading $AMZN https://www.theverge.com/2019/6/2/18649375/amazon-federal-trade-commission-ftc-doj-antitrust?utm_campaign=theverge&utm_content=entry&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter … via @Verge

Day Trade of The Day, Sorrento Therapeutics SRNE (May turn in to a swing trade).

Long SRNE premarket 3.00 area for a day trade maybe swing with a 4.75 price target on news. #daytrade #swingtrade

SRNE, daytrade, swingtrade

Long SRNE premarket 3.00 area for a day trade maybe swing with a 4.75 price target on news. #daytrade #swingtrade

The next report, and they will be regular going forward, we will deal with Tech and many other equities.

Thanks

Curt

Article Topics; Swing trading, investing, day trading, VIX, BTC, OIL, DXY, GOLD, SILVER, AU, FB, GOOGL, AMZN, SRNE, time cycles, strategies

Subscribe to Swing Trading Service:

Swing Trading Bundle (Swing Trading Newsletter and Live Swing Trading Alerts).

Swing Trading Newsletter (Weekly Newsletter Published for Traders).

Real-Time Swing Trading Alerts (Private Member on Twitter Feed and more recently by way of Email).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or In-Person).

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics; 

 

 

 


This content is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

1 2 3 13