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Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Friday January 18, 2019.

In this premarket trading edition: Earnings, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $UPL, $GEVO, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:

  • Reporting
    • Jan 18 – The swing trading articles / videos and the oil trading special reports should not be missed by our trading members this week.
    • Jan 16 – New EPIC Oil Algorithm model was published (there is still minor anomalies from holiday but not significant enough to note). Swing reporting will be intensive in to earnings season with a series of mini reports (Post EIA in to Friday). The other model updates will flow and be released throughout the week.
  • Trade Alerts
    • Jan 18 – The trade alerts for oil are picking up (we’re winning) and the swing trade alerts will increase between this afternoon and through earnings.
    • Jan 16 – You can expect swing trade alerts to start between Friday afternoon and Monday morning for this time cycle in to mid May 2019.
    • Jan 16 – You can expect the machine trading in oil to pick up after EIA, the algorithm model is now past the anomalies from holiday.
  • Main Trading Room
    • Jan 18 – I am in session in main trading room today for open, mid day review, during actvie trade.
    • Jan 16 – I am in session in main trading room today for market open, EAI, mid day review, during active trading, in futures.
  • Development Team Work in Progress:

15 RULES to TRADING (inspired via trade coaching session I just completed, there’s more, but here’s 15 for the traders learning). I have to do this, hope it helps someone out there, here goes…

Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.

Jan 18 – By far one of the most important videos for day trading crude oil since our inception;

How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video).

Jan 17 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Video: Trade Set-Ups | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX, $SPY, $VIX #swingtrading #earnings.

Jan 15 – Protected: Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy | Oil Trading Room Video | Lead Trader Guidance

Jan 14 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, NFLX

Jan 10 – DO NOT MISS THIS POST / VIDEO: How I Day Trade Crude Oil: 5 Trades 5 Wins 1.5 Hours 90 Ticks | Trading Room Video | Oil Trade Alerts

Jan 8 – A number of trading strategy posts were sent to members recently that are not listed here. Please review blog list – ask Jen for passwords if you require them.

Jan 6 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | 240 Min Simple Chart Model Structure & Trade Plan

Jan 3 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | Oil Trading Room | Trade Oil Review

Jan 3 – Protected: Gold Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review

Jan 3 – Protected: SP500 SPY Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review

Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ

Nov 29 – Protected: Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part E) Thurs Nov 29 ATHM, ESPR, CALA, APVO, MOMO, GSUM, CLDR, FIT …

Nov 29 – Protected: Trading Strategies: Crude Oil WTI USOIL, Bitcoin BTC, SP500 SPY, Volatility VIX, Arrowhead ARWR …

Nov 18 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part D) Sun Nov 18 NFLX, MTEM, PYX, XXII, PRQR, BOX, GTHX, SSW, HIIQ …

Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…

Oct 30 – The Best Crude Oil Day Trading Signal Available | It Happened Again Today for 153 Tick Gain Intra-Day.

Oct 29 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part B) Mon Oct 29 SQ, AGN, BOX, PRQR, NBEV, PYX, NFLX, BLDP, LEVB, DIS.

Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.

Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.

Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Friday Jan 18 – Mid day review will be looking at Swing Trade entry points. Crude oil has been a great week, don’t miss the post from last night – important details for daytrading crude oil. Same guidance per below from recent.

Wednesday Jan 16 – Holding DWT short in to EIA today. Post EIA expect us to be in active in to time cycle peak mid May now. Positions in swings expected between Friday afternoon and Monday premarket to start. Oil still bullish, was looking for more of a pull back but in oil you never know. EIA report today should set the tone for that pullback or not decision. NatGas trade I seem to have missed executing on. Volatility on high watch here, if oil sells off I will be short OIL, TVIX short and SPY short will all be in play short term. Dollar could spike too so I may long it short term, it is holding its 200 MA. Per previous I would then expect to flip on all those positions. It would be ideal for this to happen now in this timing because entries in equities would be lower in this scenario. We shall see.

Monday Jan 14 – Earnings season starts, looking for my swing trade set-ups to develop as we get in to the season. Machine trade model for oil posted to Discord private member server that has a channel we are watching to confirm possible reversal in trend (up). VIX and $SPY on high watch with earnings season starting. May have missed my NatGas $UGAZ long I was talking about taking. $DXY US Dollar near 200 MA support test on daily, also on watch and VIX near lower Bollinger band, $TVIX on watch.

Citi $C up a bit premarket (reported earnings), but only .65% off in premarket. On watch today per swing trading report released this morning.

See more recent premarket reports for more of my possible set-ups.

Friday Jan 11 –

On watch: Looking for a buy side signal as close to 52.60 (in crude oil) as possible for a price target of 53.52 today. Bullish scenario on FX USOIL WTI traded on CL.

We have been looking for a pull back in oil for a number of reasons (watch mid vids and reporting)… anyway, in classic oil style we have not got much of any pull backs, HOWEVER, if you review the 240 minute model you will see a time cycle peak around Jan 14, 2019 that isn’t huge but big enough to potentially cause a pull back BETWEEN TODAY and next Wednesday. This would give me opportunity to add to the DWT short position (at oil support after pull back), at start of pull back take a long VIX, long Natural Gas, short SPY or QQQ, long dollar, long possibly Bitcoin, Gold, Silver and then when oil bounces reverse all those trades.

The machine trading will now get more aggressive as the EPIC oil model is finally normaliziing after holiday trade anomalies (the software triggers on the chart, so the structure of the chart s important).

Thanks for your patience with the reporting, we’re on it, we just got in deep with the oil anomalies and this possible turn. We need to have a structured oil plan for the rest of the trading in equities ad algorithms to find the core of the move.

Swing trading reports are near done and should be flowing out within 24 hours, EPIC report also and in to next week all the other algorithms.

$TSLA ON WATCH AS $GM’S CADILLAC TO INTRODUCE EV, TAKE REINS AS CO’S LEAD EV BRAND – SI

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:15 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.10, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 52.57, Gold $GLD trading 1286.04, Silver $SLV trading 15.46, $SPY 264.06 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3597.00, $VIX 18.2 and NatGas 3.318.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

Top Most Active Stocks in #Premarket Trading $SQQQ $TSLA $SPY $UPL $NFLX $UGAZ $GLD $HMNY $QQQ $NOK $BIOC $UWT https://marketchameleon.com/Reports/PremarketTrading/

40 Stocks Moving In Friday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/13005824 $UPL $OZK $GEVO $VFC $TEAM $GPOR $SPWH $JBHT $CVS $ACB $PCG $NLS $PRGS $TSLA $NFLX $TIF $AXP $LLY

News:

$TSLA Tesla to reduce full-time employee headcount by approximately 7%.

Square (SQ) Introduces Free Debit Card for Businesses $SQ https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=15017236

$GEVO (+41.7% pre) Gevo & Avfuel Partner to Supply Sustainable Jet Fuel for Business Jets Fuel Green Event at Van Nuys Airport.

CVS, Walmart reach agreement on pharmacy contract after impasse https://reut.rs/2TYvUx7.

$UPL (+58.4% pre) Ultra Petroleum Corp. Announces Favorable Opinion for Company on Make-Whole Litigation Appeal -GN

$TYME (-8.8% pre) Tyme Technologies misleads with cancer drug data release – STAT (2/2)

$IMMU (halted pre) Immunomedics’ cancer treatment fails to win accelerated approval from the FDA – Reuters

Eli Lilly shares slide premarket on news of failed trial for sarcoma treatment.

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Insider Buys Of The Week: Dish Network, Hartford Financial, Medtronic https://benzinga.com/z/12975164 $DISH $HIG $MDT

Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:

Fiserv to acquire First Data in all-stock deal with equity value of $22 billion

Gannett’s stock soars after MNG’s unsolicited buyout bid, valuing the USA Today publisher at over $13 billion.

New Fortress Energy to offer 22.2 million shares in planned IPO, priced at $17 to $19 each.

Aurora Cannabis to buy Whistler Medical Marijuana in a $132 million stock deal.

Slack plans to public via rare direct listing in coming months–WSJ.

Earnings:

Netflix’s stock drop after results despite upbeat analyst calls.

CVS’s stock jumps after deal to keep Walmart participating in PBM networks.

Vans-parent VF’s stock soars after profit and sales beat, raised outlook.

Schlumberger shares rise premarket after revenue tops estimates.

$RYAAY – Ryanair lowers profit forecast

Tiffany & Co. $TIF sees FY EPS towards lower end of its previously-disclosed range https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=15019964 ….

#earnings for the week

$NFLX $C $BAC $JPM $UNH $DAL $WFC $GS $BLK $MS $AXP $AA $SJR $SLB $SNV $INFO $FRC $FAST $BK $PNC $USB $CSX $KMI $BBT $CMA $UAL $TEAM $KEY $CBSH $MTB $VFC $JBHT $SASR $STI $PRGS $FULT $HAFC $HOMB $PTE $RF $OZK $PBCT $WNS $PLXS

http://eps.sh/cal

#earnings season

$AAPL $NFLX $FB $BAC $C $JPM $GE $UNH $BA $DAL $CLF $T $GS $WFC $PYPL $GOOGL $INTC $F $TWTR $MA $V $JNJ $SLB $AA $MS $BLK $AXP $ATVI $ISRG $VZ $XOM $LRCX $PG $GM $CELG $MCD $FAST $SNV $PNC $ABBV $ABT $NOK $INFO $BMY $HAL #swingtrading

A look at Jan #earnings calendar.

$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).

TESLA (TSLA) Watching close premarket as it sells off, would like to see lower for another swing trade #swingtrading $TSLA

TSLA, TESLA, premarket, swingtrading

TESLA (TSLA) Watching close premarket as it sells off, would like to see lower for another swing trade #swingtrading $TSLA

Strong Bullish Structure in Oil Trade.

crude, oil, trading, 240 Min, chart

Crude Oil 240 Min Test Chart Jan 18 458 AM FX USOIL WTI CL_F $USO #algorithm #crude #oil

Oil Trading Alerts Yesterday – Man vs. Machine, Both Winning.

crude, oil, trade, alert, signals

Crude Oil Trade Alert (screen shot of alert feed) Selling 51.20 – CURT, will advise #crude #oil #alert #signal

Crude, oil, signal, alert

Trade Signals for Oil Alert by Lead Trader – Tight stops here, test area at bottom of quad. #crude #oil #signals

crude, oil. trade, signal alert, reversal

Then the machine oil trading technican immediately after my alert signals a reversal in oil trade is very possible.

signal, cover, short, trade

Signal to cover 25 percent of trade – Cover 25% 51.03

crude, oil, trade, reversal, signal

Here I Signaled on the crude oil trade alert feed that I did in fact reverse the trade – reversed 51.30 tight stops CURT

oil, trade, alert, machine, trading, signals

Immediately after my reversal trade signal oil alert the machine tech alerts a buy signal… M – HFT buys initiated 51.36 will advise

crude, oil, trade, signal, alert, profit, trim

Then my alert signaling to take some profit on winning trade – Trimming 51.53 25% #crude #oil #trading #signals

alert, close, oil, trade, signal

Machine program signals closing trade for profit in advance of regular market open – after other signals alerted on feed.

day trading, crude, oil, alert, signal

Next alert in oil trade signaling trims on profit for the day trade. Trim 25% 51.63 CURT.

close, trade, signal, alert, daytrade

Alert signaled to close the winning trade. Close 51.66 will re enter if it gains upper area of quad.

Overnight futures crude oil trading alert Selling 51.07 will advise #Oil #Trading #Alerts $CL_F $US FX USOIL WTI

crude, oil, futures, trade, alert, screen, shot

Overnight futures crude oil trading alert Selling 51.07 will advise #Oil #Trading #Alerts $CL_F $US FX USOIL WTI

Overnight futures crude oil trading alert Covering 50.74 #Oil #Trading #Alerts $CL_F $US FX USOIL WTI

crude, oil, trading, alert

Overnight futures crude oil trading alert Covering 50.74 #Oil #Trading #Alerts $CL_F $US FX USOIL WTI

Screen shots from the Discord private server oil chat room (guidance and alerts I was providing members in chat room).

member, chat, room, crude, oil, trading, alerts

screen shots from the Discord private server oil chat room (guidance and alerts I was providing members in chat room).

Oil trade since late Dec time cycle peak I was on about. $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #timecycles #oil #OOTT

Oil, trade, alerts, trading room

Oil trade since late Dec time cycle peak I was on about. $CL_F $USOIL $WTI $USO #timecycles #oil #OOTT

When @EPICtheAlgo helps you win $CL_F $USOIL $USO $WTI #oil #trade #alerts #OOTT

oil, trade, alerts, crude

When @EPICtheAlgo helps you win $CL_F $USOIL $USO $WTI #oil #trade #alerts #OOTT

Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket

DGAZ, trade, premarket, alert, NatGas, NG_F

Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket

Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading

Gold, swing trading, chart, $GLD

Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading

Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts

oil, trade, alerts

Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts

Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading

I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT

Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT

Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT

Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

Oil, trade, alerts

Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

short, trade, alert, premarket, DWT

We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

Volatility, trade, alert, VIX

Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading

To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO

Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

#5things
-Shutdown solution still seems distant
-Brexit impasse
-Investors get optimistic on trade
-Markets rise
-Tesla tumbles
https://bloom.bg/2FGDCYZ

Futures, Global Markets Surge On Renewed China Stimulus And Trade Optimism

Global oil demand is set to rise by 1.4m b/d in 2019 as a boost from lower fuel prices counters slowing economic activity, the IEA says https://bloom.bg/2FIqO4f #OOTT

Crude has held on to its rally above $50 a barrel for over a week. #Oil #OOTT $CL_F $WTI https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/oil-set-for-third-weekly-gain-as-opec-cuts-counter-u-s-output

BRENT’s front-month futures contract is back in backwardation, as OPEC output cuts and other supply disruptions start to remove the anticipated surplus in the oil market:

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $UPL $VFC $OZK $SPWW $EGAN $ACRX $TEAM $GPOR $DGAZ $STI $CLDX $TRQ $SE $PCG $CGC $SLB $VIPS $UXIN

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $SPB $KMB $CNP $EW $SPWH $VLO $CVX $CNP $CBSH $ACH $MDRX $ANET $FISV $IQV $E $TKC $LXFT

Cronos Group initiated with an Outperformer at CIBC $CRON $CGC http://dlvr.it/QwyZRY

Canopy Growth initiated with an Outperformer at CIBC $CGC http://dlvr.it/QwyZQT

Citi Upgrades Tenaris S.A. $TS to Buy http://streetinsider.com/r/15020283

$NFLX

BOFA reiterated BUY on $NFLX – PT $450

pt raised to $420 from $400 at Citi

pt raised to $415 from $400 @ Canaccord

pt raised to $400 from $380 at Stifel

pt raised to $425 from $410 at Oppenheimer

raised to $450 from $430 at Morgan Stanley

(6) Recent Downgrades: $BVN $KMX $IMMU $PPG $DK $IPG $LN $EEX $CASA $SIG $IAG $KEY $X $NLS $SASR $LKQ $LOXO $ED $KEY

$APTX PT lowered lowered to $18 from $32 at BMO. Maintains Outperform.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Earnings, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $UPL, $GEVO, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Thursday October 18, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: OIL, $PTI, $ECYT, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

  • Oct 18 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress:
    • New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
      • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.

Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Sept 19 – Best Trading Week in Months! Trade Alert Set-Ups: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $BLDP, $CARA, $EDIT, $BZUN and more.

Sept 18 – Trade Alerts (w/ video): $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP

Sept 17 – Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS

Sept 12 – XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to Trade XBIO Snap-back Swing Trade. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert

Sept 10 – Analyzing Bitcoin Chart Patterns: Bitcoin Trade Alert – What to Expect Near Term #Bitcoin #Trading $BTC $XBT $VIX

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

October 18 – I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.

Notes per recent remain:

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Notes per recent remain.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Notes per recent…. this remains.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:

TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.

Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.

Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.

SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.

Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:58 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.65, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.48, Gold $GLD trading 1224.20, Silver $SLV trading 14.53, $SPY 279.56 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6435.00 and $VIX trading 18.2.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: 

25 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12526683 $PTI $YECO $ECYT $TTS $ACOR $PX $AA $STLD $ACRS $SEE $TXT $GPS $LNN $URI

News: 

Tesla signs $2 billion deal with Shanghai government, will open a plant with an annual capacity of 500,000 cars #swingtrading $TSLA

Saudi Arabia and Russia have opened the oil taps, just as they promised. Here’s a full rundown of OPEC+ output in September https://bloom.bg/2yKj7pa #Oil #OPEC #OOTT

A Turkish newspaper accuses a Saudi security official close to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman over the disappearance of #JamalKhashoggi, as Washington keeps up its cautious stance.

Northrop wins $697M defense contract https://seekingalpha.com/news/3398434-northrop-wins-697m-defense-contract?source=feed_f … #premarket $NOC.

InfraREIT’s stock set to rally after merger deal with Sempra Energy’s majority owned Oncor https://www.marketwatch.com/story/infrareits-stock-set-to-rally-after-merger-deal-with-sempra-energys-majority-owned-oncor-2018-10-18?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary.

Endocyte stock pops 50% on $2.1 bln Novartis acquisition.

$APOP Cellect Biotechnology (APOP) Reports Positive Results of Orthopedic Treatment Using ApoGraft on Enriched Stem Cells Derived from Fat Tissues.

$QURE Announces Development of a Highly Potent, Next-Generation Promoter for Liver-Directed Gene Therapies.

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Software company SolarWinds lowers price range for planned IPO to $15 to $16 a share.

Canada’s Aurora Cannabis stock to start trading on the NYSE Oct. 23

Earnings:

Philip Morris shares jump 2.9% premarket after earnings top estimates.

Travelers’ profit, revenue and written premiums all rise, beat expectations.

Blackstone third-quarter profit beats estimates amid market rise –

#earningsseason calendar

$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY

http://eps.sh/cal

#earnings for the week

$NFLX $BAC $GS $UNH $CLF $PYPL $IBM $JNJ $LRCX $DPZ $BLK $MS $PGR $ISRG $SCH $GWW $CSX $AA $ABT $WGO $JBHT $NUE $SLB $HON $CMA $BX $SKX $KMI $PG $ASML $AXP $URI $TSM $URAL $PLD $FHN $ETFC $INFY $PM $STI $USB $TXT $ERIC $BBT $CREE

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401

premarket, trading, plan, crude, oil

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

daytrading, crude, oil ,signals

Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.

Our swing trade that started in premarket yesterday couldn’t have been better timing with SEC mins after then this… $TSLA Tesla’s stock jumps after Elon Musk discloses plan to buy $20 million worth of shares

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

NFLX, stock, chart, premarket, trading, plan

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

SQ, Square, trade alerts, chart

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

FIREYE, stock, chart

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

SHOPIFY, stock, chart

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

TESLA, stock, chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

ARWR, stock, chart

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

Crude, oil, trade, alert

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

SP500 chart

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

FB, trade, setup, swing, trade, chart

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

#5things
-Bonds drop on minutes
-China shares, yuan lower
-No Brexit deal
-Markets mixed
-Data due
https://bloom.bg/2J7W50s

Peak Blockchain and Stablecoin Drama.

#Gold Prices Flat on Hawkish Fed Minutes –

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $PTI $ECYT $YECO $CCCL $JMU $ATAI $ERIC $PX $AA $DWT $DGAZ $HMY $CDTI $AU

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $NTRS $GIII $PTI $GLNG $UAL $USB $UBSH $NKE $NVDA $NTRS $KEYS $TXN $NXPI

Nike’s stock gains after Oppenheimer turns bullish, citing an aggressive move into digital

(6) Recent Downgrades: $WING $YUM $ENLK $GPS $TOL $PHM $NVR $DAN $SEE $NSC $CNI $UNP $ADI $MXIM $TER

Gap’s stock sinks after J.P. Morgan turns bearish, citing sales weakness and margin pressure

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, OIL, $PTI, $ECYT, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC


Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 17, 2018. 

In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $WTI, Earnings, Market Guidance in Trading Plan Section, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC and more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.

Notices:

Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.

Scheduled Events:

  • Oct 17 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 10;30 EIA, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
  • Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
  • What’s New / Work in Progress:
    • New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
    • Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
    • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
    • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
      • 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
      • 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
  • Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
  • Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning. 

Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).

Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.

Real-time Trade Alerts:

Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade: 

#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports: 

See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.  

Oct 15 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.

Oct 8 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.

Oct 7 – Protected: How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.

Oct 4 – Protected: Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.

Oct 2 – Protected: Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.

Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).

Sept 28 – Swing Trading. How to Swing Trade Using Technical Analysis. Our SQUARE $SQ Trade As Example #swingtrading

Sept 26 – Protected: Trade Alerts | Day Trade & Swing Trades (w / video) Trading Square $SQ, $DIS, $NFLX, $AMD, OIL, $FB, $GOOGL and more.

Sept 25 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)

Sept 19 – Protected: Best Trading Week in Months! Trade Alert Set-Ups: $NBEV, $CRON, Oil, $AAPL, $NFLX, $FB, $AMD, $BABA, $BLDP, $CARA, $EDIT, $BZUN and more.

Sept 18 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $NBEV, $TLRY, $CGC, $CRON, $VKTX, $MOMO, $ROKU, $NVTA, $CRC, $THO, $DGLY, $YELP, $XXII, $CVM, $SHOP

Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS

Sept 12 – Protected: XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to Trade XBIO Snap-back Swing Trade. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert

Sept 10 – Protected: Analyzing Bitcoin Chart Patterns: Bitcoin Trade Alert – What to Expect Near Term #Bitcoin #Trading $BTC $XBT $VIX

Recent Educational Articles / Videos:

I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.

Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch: 

Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.

PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.

I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.

This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.

I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.

It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.

Curt

Notes per recent remain.

Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.

Notes per recent…. this remains.

Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.

Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.

Notes from last trading day (Friday) premarket:

TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.

Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.

Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.

SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.

Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.

Market Observation:

Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.09, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 71.48, Gold $GLD trading 1226.09, Silver $SLV trading 14.67, $SPY 280.02 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6431.00 and $VIX trading 17.9.

Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $VTVT $PLAG $UPL $SPEX $OGEN $MNGA

31 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12519204 $VTVT $OGEN $NFLX $WGO $LRCX $MCO $UAL $AAL $DAL $CREE $IQ $IBM $FMS $BLNK $YGYI $TACO

World stocks extend rise after blockbuster U.S. earnings #earnings #premarket

News: 

Netflix has parlayed subscriber growth into huge gains for investors. https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/netflix-crushes-estimates-renewing-faith-after-july-letdown … #SwingTrading $NFLX #earnings

Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:

Recent IPO’s:

Earnings:

#earnings for the week

$NFLX $BAC $GS $UNH $CLF $PYPL $IBM $JNJ $LRCX $DPZ $BLK $MS $PGR $ISRG $SCH $GWW $CSX $AA $ABT $WGO $JBHT $NUE $SLB $HON $CMA $BX $SKX $KMI $PG $ASML $AXP $URI $TSM $URAL $PLD $FHN $ETFC $INFY $PM $STI $USB $TXT $ERIC $BBT $CREE

http://eps.sh/cal

Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:

Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.

TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

NFLX, stock, chart, premarket, trading, plan

NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

SQ, Square, trade alerts, chart

SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

FIREYE, stock, chart

FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

SHOPIFY, stock, chart

SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude, oil, trading, alerts

That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.

crude, oil, chart, trend lines

Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart Reviewed at 950 mins on video.

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

crude, oil, daily, chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

TESLA, stock, chart

TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

ARWR, stock, chart

ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts

Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts

Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading

Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm

This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

Crude, oil, trade, alert

Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

SP500 chart

SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade

$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

FB, trade, setup, swing, trade, chart

FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

VIX, volatility, chart

VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Bitcoin, BTC, chart, wedge

BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart

Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

De-Dollarisation continues. #China has cut US Treasury Holdings for a third straight month. Beijing reduced ownership by another $6bn to lowest level in >1yr.

This chart suggests that S&P500 has to fall 20% as CenBank liquidity will dry up. (Chart via Standard Chartered)

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $VTVT $EARS $NFLX $APHB $NURO $NMM $LRCX $UAL $AAL $ROKU $AKRX $AMAT $DAL $ASML $PLUG

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $PSTG $NTAP $UAL $DAL $ALL $CSTR $WDAY $ANET $AKRX $NMM $LOGI $ANET $DPZ

(6) Recent Downgrades: $LOW $HD $SLCA $CVIA $SND $HCLP $NFLX $WBC $VMC $MLM $CNHI $TACO $SALT $BLK $ACHC $KBH $OC $LLEX $NK $IBP

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly

Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $WTI, $NFLX, $TSLA, $SQ, $ROKU, $SHOP, $FEYE, $VIX, $SPY, $BTC