Swing Trading Report and Video for May 14 / 15, 2018.
In this Issue: $BOX, $ITCI, $SPY, $EEM, $PFE, $BTC, Bitcoin, SILVER, $SLV, $ETH, Ethereum, $EOG, $EDIT, $EXP more.
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The Mid Day Trade Set-Ups Video:
Trade set-ups on this video; $BOX, $ITCI, $SPY, $EEM, $PFE, $BTC, Bitcoin, SILVER, $SLV, $ETH, Ethereum, $EOG, $EDIT, $EXP more.
Mid Day Chart Trading Set-ups May 14 Summary:
Trade set-ups May 14 Mid Day Trade Review;
$ITCI – called it on way down for a turn, it’s turned and it’s been a great trade, cleared 50 MA, swing trade and intra day resistance points. Swing 23.78 above is important resistance. 21.22 22.30 intra. 30.63 is a swing resistance to watch.
$SPY – through price target, in to resistance today, up and over adding. May 18 273.40 target moderate, 283.00 bullish target. 274.50 next resistance. 272.10 support intra.
Bitcoin $BTC – up against resistance (mid quad) very important area. 8870.00 area. Upside target 9880.0 and moderate 8871.00 bearish 7894.00 May 19 approx.
Silver $SLV – buy side alert issued 16.67 area, I’m off a bit but it’s a small starter.
$GOOGL – great trade with it bullish through targets ,trading very technical. 1127.81 resistance 1148.04 1158.09 1166.00 area. Support 1078.58 1103.20.
$EOG – at resistance, trim 119.61 next 128.15 and support 108.91.
$EDIT – 36.45 pivot triggered long over and then came off. Over 50 MA is bullish. Mid quad 37.70 mid qaud resistance. 47.49 is bullish target late Sept.
$HTZ – over 50 MA on hourly we sent alert to trim longs in to the 50 MA, wash-out snap back trade,
$GDX is playing out according to model.
$EEM up against 50 MA on daily, 100 MA above bothers me, MACD is turned up. Soft. Price above all MA’s with 50 breaching the 100 MA and I’d be interested in a play. Moving averages are the issue. MACD looks good.
$PFE 20 MA above on weekly chart not great, stochastic RSI coming down on monthly, MACD not the best, against historical resistance. Very soft.
$EXP 107.90 buy trigger waiting on earnings before execution.
$BOX hit mid quad resistance and came off, excellent symmetry in model, there is a set up post on blog for mailing list subscribers. 20.39 resistance 33.20 bullish target 23.74 bearish target – trade price toward target.
Ethereum $ETH $ETHUSD – up over MA’s, 739.11 resistance 739.55, and main resistance at 825.43 and 906.97 top of channel. Algorithmic model chart resistance at channel.
$BTC Bitcoin under mid channel line. 17690.00 July 4 price target is the most bullish scenario (unlikely of course, but in a bull run that would be the most bullish target for Bitcoin). Trading the channel.
I will re-iterate that a few hours of trade coaching or study on exactly how to trim in to resistance and how to add to your positions on winners and how to cut losses properly and quickly will return huge dividends.
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My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Dec 6, 2016 in Chatroom. $TXMD, $NVCN, $EEM $LPCN $DVAX $DNAI $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.
Welcome to the Tueday Wall Street trading short day session!
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TXMD $NVCN $UGAZ $DEPO $REXX $DRYS $BOIL $ENPH $SAGE $ESEA $P $UNG $HSBC $RBS $EYEG $DB I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List: $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).
From last night’s trading results:
There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Bios coiled hard this morning. Emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT and others are setting up. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS is getting close to resistance. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY will do.
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)
Outlook: As pre previous…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.
My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.
Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
Outlook: Looking for an entry a full levels down 12.2 long.
Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.
My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.
Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)
US Dollar may come off in to downtrend soon – seeing some areas of global markets that are becoming interesting here. Watch emerging markets close too!
Pre previous: Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.
My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:
Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)
Waiting for a long trade confirmation. I am currently in $JDST which wasn’t the best idea considering the are buying the dips in Gold and selling the rips (per post market blog post yesterday).
My Trading Plan for Gold:
I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.
Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)
Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)
Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.
My Plan for Trading Silver:
Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.
Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)
Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)
Crude is trading within its range. Until it breaks its recent highs it isn’t bullish and until it breaks its recent lows – same thing. So I will trade the range if at all.
Outlook: Per previous – trading range.
Trading Plan: Oil equities.
Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT
Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):
I put out a tweet yesterday and mentioned in room it was getting in to resistance and it has come off a bit here – it will be interesting to see if it gets up and over.
Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $TXMD, $NVCN, $EEM ,$LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS