RE: Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3. 

Today we reverted back to the version 3 software and have abandoned the version 4 software.

The architecture for the version 4 software has too much downside risk (it is too unpredictable in varied market action), even with the possibility of ongoing tweaks (updates). There is no guarantee that we would achieve a state of operation that minimizes downside risk to an appropriate level.

As such we will only be running version 3 going forward and discontinuing version 4 development.

Version 3 provided low downside risk with about 83% ROI in real-world testing lasting just over a month (longer duration trading will determine the exact return). In the first month of testing with v3 there was only one day with draw down and it was about -0.2%.

Version 3 also provides for low risk even in unpredictable markets because its architecture does not allow for accumulation type trade positions within a range (it does not accumulate or hold positions), which version 4 did. Version 3 hits key support and resistance with appropriate size and trails out quickly. It is a precision trade architecture design. The version 4 architecture is more designed for positioning within a range, with order flow of entities it identifies as dominant. The two versions are considerably different structurally.

Version 3 will lose sometimes, but will lose very small at all times because it is not an accumulation architecture. This was proven out in real world testing. We estimate that on average over a number of days that about 1 in 10 trading days v3 will see a draw down on average equal to or less than its average day gains.

In early testing version 1 software ran at about 20% ROI, version 2 at 40% and version 3 at just over 80%. All approximate and all short term testing lasting less than 60 days. The v4 software may have reached the ROI goal of 160%, but the road to that goal is too volatile.

Here forward version 3 of the crude oil machine trade software will run and follow-up updates will provide additional information about the architecture of the decisions the v3 software makes to trade so successfully so that our clients that trade manually can use some of the rule-set for their own trading.

And lastly, to the questions I have received about future considerations for v4, the answer is no. At this juncture we would rather enjoy the fruits of our labor as it has been a near 3 year development process (an expensive one) and at some point we must settle in with what we have, what we know works, and what provides the lowest down-side risk.

V3 at approximately 80% ROI per year is world class software and world class is better than good enough.

Again, thanks for being a part of the journey.

Any questions email us compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Curt

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Article Topics: crude oil, machine, trading, software, memorandum

 


Daily Profit and Loss Summary for Personal Day and Swing Trades, Oil and Bitcoin Trades, Machine Trades and Alerts. Includes Live Trading Room Video and Alert Feed Screen Shots.

I recently posted to my Twitter feed that I would start providing daily trade profit and loss summaries and also posted some info on our goals for our machine trading / alert compound gains. Thread is below.

This is the first profit and loss post, this will for now be basic and over time we’ll get more info and more formal (with proper P&L spreadsheets). Below is what time allows for today.

Oil Machine Trades / Alerts

There were four oil trades, all winners, the target (goal) for the day was exceeded by the machine trade.

3 of 4 of the trades were alerted. Alerts went to private Discord server, private member oil alert feed, were broadcast (my voice with charting) in the live trading room. 1 of 4 was only alerted live in trading room.

Personal Oil Trades.

None, however, I will be trading along side the machine trade alerts going forward now that our coding is mostly complete for oil.

Machine Bitcoin Trades.

N/A in development.

Personal Bitcoin Trades.

I shorted Bitcoin at 1/10 size, it went well and I covered 50% of the trade holding half at this point. Looking for a bounce to add to the short or if price gets to the price target I will close the short and re short after a bounce. Members can refer to the alert feed and / email sent out explaining the charting and trading plan for this short.

Personal Swing Trades.

The one swing trade was long AMD, which was a 2/10 size intended as an add to the current swing position (initial position at channel) and the other portion of the 2/10 size was to be a day trade, however, the day trade didn’t work so I am 3/10 long AMD. 

Members can check to the private member swing trade alert feed on Twitter and recent reports for all current swing trades (there’s a new consolidation report on deck coming also).

Personal Day Trades.

As above the AMD day trade, it went against me and the only reason I held it is because I’m in an AMD swing trade and because my sizing is correct. When you have a swing trading plan and you’re also day trading a stock then this becomes an option for a trader. This is why we first start with the larger structure of the financial instrument and put together a trading plan for the swing trade and then perhaps also day trade the stock. You can take any of the swing trade charting in the reports and bring it down to a day trading time frame. If I day trade a stock that we do not have models for I would never hold the trade whether it goes well or not.

Historical Profit and Loss Trading Statements.

Jen is currently reconciling all the trading profit and loss statements for the purpose of review and study. The most recent working document update is available here:

Protected: Swing Trading Profit & Loss Report | Swing Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019

Password: 4321 (if asked)

Take a look at recent premarket note for more about what we’re up to with our trading here:

Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

Trading Room Raw Video Footage on Day:

#OilTrading #BitcoinTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #MachineTrading #TradeAlerts

The video below is raw feed only, to find live trading and trade alerts voice broadcast when lead trader is trading in the room reference the time of day on the alerts.

Live Trading Room Raw Feed $AMD $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $XBT_F

Supporting Trade Alerts and Charting on Day:

If you cannot see a chart below, a link is not available or not showing to the alert and/or chart or parts of the data is blocked with ******, this is because it is a premium member chart or alert.

Crude Oil Trade Alerts.

3 for 3 for machine trade alerts today. Exceeding .6% daily 151% per annum goal. #OOTT FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $UWT $DWT #OilTradeAlerts #machinetrading https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1145164315726684161 …

Machine trade caught the bottom turn today again. #OOTT FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OilTradeAlerts #MachineTrading

Bitcoin Alerts.

Short Bitcoin 10640s for price target 1 at ****** area then possibly on to two other targets in trend noted $BTC #tradealerts

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145671162950799362

50% profit trim 10319.00 $XBTSUSD $BTC #Bitcoin 20 ma support test on Daily #tradealerts

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145708849728540672

BITCOIN (BTC) Short term trading plan, short or long at each arrow, timing on lower time frames $BTC #tradingplan

BITCOIN (BTC) We have met all targets now since buy alert (green arrow), trajectory early, what’s next on deck in new charting and report due later today. $BTC #Bitcoin

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145610739991883777

DayTrade & Swing Trade Alerts.

Long $AMD 31.89 (already in swing, so partial is swing add and partial day trade), day trade partial. Resistance / price targets 32.58 trading box, 32.89 trendline diagonal, 33.64 mid quad, 34.29 trend line diagonal, 34.65 trading box final target. #daytrade #swingtrade #alerts

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145668110147563520

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) up nice from channel alert, trading 31.89 premarket, watch marked areas for resistance #swingtrade #daytrade $AMD

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145665998453952513

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) Nice bounce off channel support and above trading box res, trim in to key resistance add above in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1143884167882727424

If you have any questions about my trading or need help with yours send me an email anytime compoundtradingpfficial@gmail.com and I’ll do my best to help.

Thanks

Curt

Additional Info:

Master Trade Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

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Morning all.

RE: Premarket Note: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion

We’re still in deep with these two reports – BTC and Swing (the BTC report reflects our newer models for the new machine trade development starting in a few weeks and the swing report is a larger than normal consolidation so both are taking longer than expected), they won’t be delivered until later Tuesday night and possibly in to Wednesday.

In the meantime we have the BTC trade in play and you all have that chart / plan.

On the other side of the release of the BTC report my BTC trading will become much more active on various time frames.

We also have the numerous swing trades in play and you all have the charting for those.

If you have any questions about any of the trades send an email and I will help.

Specifically to the new BTC platform (renewed) for the upcoming machine trade development (now that the oil machine trading is mostly compete)…. the new Bitcoin BTC Twitter alert feed, Discord private server and public facing Social channels will be announced with the BTC report coming out later Tuesday night.

As noted, the oil machine trade coding has been complete for a few weeks and this version is doing well. We’re tweaking as it runs through sequences but all in all we’re extremely satisfied.

Previous premarket tells you a little more about our WIP updates (including upcoming Webinars, P&Ls etc):

Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Thanks again,

Curt

Events:

Trade Coaching Webinars. This weekend we will announce 3 different How to Trade webinars. All three to be held Sunday July 7. One each for 1:00 PM Oil, 5:00 PM Swing Trading, and 7:00 PM Bitcoin trading. They will be recorded and available for order on website thereafter. Each will have limited attendee availability so that I have time to work with attendee question and answer during the webinar. Existing members get 50% discounted rates: Retail rates Oil 499.99 (4 hrs), Swing Trading 199.00 (2 hrs), Bitcoin 99.00 (1 hr). Legacy members free. If you want to attend or want a copy of the webinar video email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com prior to promo going out this weekend as these particular webinar formats fill up quick.

Master Trade Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports Here:

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Premarket Notes Here (for more about what we’re up to with our trading):

July 2, 2019 – Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

June 28, 2019 – Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Company News:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Subscribe to Learn and Profit:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.


Premarket: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades, P&Ls, Webinars Oil, Swing, BTC

Morning traders,

Not a day to get bold with geo political events near term.

Equities: We’re looking at new swing entries between now and Tuesday premarket, likely more so closer to Tuesday. Swing Trading reports will reflect the new positions. 2019 has been a banner year so we’re hoping to continue in that direction.

Swing Trading Profit and Loss Statements: Jen is working through consolidation of Swing Trading Alert P&Ls, will take her a few weeks, in the meantime you can view updates as they’re published (on blog), here’s an example of the format she’s using (most recent update).

Protected: Swing Trading Profit & Loss Report | Swing Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019

Password: 4321

Oil Trading Profit and Loss Statements: Also being consolidated are the oil alert P&L’s. We’ve settled in to the most recent version of machine trading software now and we’re tweaking and slowly removing throttles as sequences run through. It has only had one red day since recent version launch at 0.2% draw down so that’s really encouraging. We’re expecting big things here. BTC is next (about 6 weeks or so from our start on that).

We’re currently alerting to the oil trade private member feed from the machine trading and my personal trading and will soon include our top traders to the feed.

Recent example of oil trade alerts:

Software alerting / selling near tops today after accumulation of longs in to open. Didn’t nail the top exact, but close enough on a tight range day. #OOTT FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $UWT $DWT #MachineTrading #Oil

Some Oil Levels On Watch Today FX USOIL WTI:

Levels to watch on EPIC 30 Min Model Today; Resistance 60.76, 60.31, 59.89. Support 59.46, 59.13 down trend TL, 58.92, 58.83, 58.67. Trading 59.52 intra. Caution warranted with G20 and OPEC meetings on deck. Range is compressing in to Geo events last few days.

Trade Coaching Webinars: This weekend we will announce 3 different How to Trade webinars. All three to be held Sunday July 7. One each for 1:00 PM Oil, 5:00 PM Swing Trading, and 7:00 PM Bitcoin trading. They will be recorded and available for order on website thereafter. Each will have limited attendee availability so that I have time to work with attendee question and answer during the webinar. Existing members get 50% discounted rates: Retail rates Oil 499.99 (4 hrs), Swing Trading 199.00 (2 hrs), Bitcoin 99.00 (1 hr). Legacy members free. If you want to attend or want a copy of the webinar video email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com prior to promo going out this weekend as these particular webinar formats fill up quick.

Thanks

Curt

Additional Info:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Join Our Mailing List for Free Trading Periodicals

Subscription Price Tables

 

 

 


The Crude Oil Machine Trading Software Is Complete.

The information below (in advance of the official white paper) provides a summary of the development process to date, the rule-set (strategies) the code executes oil trades to, what the oil trade alerts will look like on your feed, returns expected on accounts traded and what we have planned in future.

June 13, 2019

As noted above, we have now completed the main structure of the coding for our crude oil trading.

We have previously messaged that we were either close or right at being complete only to find ourselves back down another rabbit hole. This time is actually different, we are done the primary architecture coding, we only have updates (tweaks) remaining. We expect the bulk of that to last at most ninety days.

The software includes eighteen structured algorithmic models (representing time frames from 1 minute charting to weekly), specific high probable trade set-ups, trade sequences within set-ups, order flow analysis, trend (channel) structures on each time-frame and range structures on each time-frame.

The trends (channels) and range trade structures are given the most weight within the decision process of the rule-set. The larger the structure (time-frame) the more weight for sizing and stop loss range. The models, set-ups. sequences and order flow have much less weight in the code.

This (the weights) described above will manifest in trade activity in such a way that trade will become more active and in greater size with the larger the structure. For example, the trending channel from late December 2018 to recent would be a considerable structure within the code and as such the code would size in to that channel at the support and resistance widths of range.

The white paper that we will publish soon will detail the rule-set in such a way that our clients will be able to follow along with the machine trade and understand the protocol that it is executing. This is the first stage for the architecture needed for our trader digital dash board we intend to develop soon.

As the days and weeks go on the software will fire more regularly and will begin to size considerably more than right now because it is coded to weigh decisions within trade trends, structures etc. As the trade set-ups develop the code will fire on them. Obviously the largest structures will be at the end of this start up process. The last few days it has been firing on 1 min, 5, 15 and 30 minute structures.

At first we expect the returns to be approximately .5% per day (if averaged over 30 trading days) increasing to well over 1% per day at most 90 trading days in to the launch. We have tested the code in advance and are confident with this. Depending on our success with “tweaks” the returns could escalate to near 3% per day, we are however more conservative and expect 1%-1.5%.

We are significantly more confident with this version of code simply because we have been down the rabbit hole on every time frame, in every structure, every set up, every order flow sequence on all time cycles competing with the best machines in the world.

We have been there, we went to battle in every arena, we know where we can win and where we cannot. The final version of code will only fire in arenas that we expect 80% + win rate. The larger the structure the larger the return as the software fires through the sequence with the structure.

We tested code on every time frame, in every algorithmic model, every order flow structure and so on and so on. We left no stone unturned.

There are areas of trade in the oil markets (smallest time frames) that are so competitive it would dazzle your mind. The AI’s that are firing in the smallest of time frames are doing so in a way that no trader can imagine. Every time we completed a sequence of trade in the most competitive areas (time-frames) we were schooled in the most advanced AI machine trade the world has to offer. It is manifested in a way no trader would ever expect. Here’s a hint, imagine getting beat every time, in a new way every time and every new way you got beat was a structured, logical, mathematically sound way and the ways seem endless.

Our final crude oil trade code is well outside those areas of competition.

The alerts on the Twitter client feed, in the oil trading room and on the private Discord server will continue to have “M” in the alert if it is a machine driven trade and if I (Curt) am trading I will also identify the alert detail as such. As the days go on the protocol (trade set up) detail will get more and more detailed so that our clients can follow along with clarity.

See also:

Press: SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

What’s next?

The next ninety days is for tweaking the code – refining the execution of sequences within structures of trade.

Then near term we will be looking at the trader’s digital platform and API’s etc and then….

AND THEN…. YES, WE HAVE DECIDED to BUILD SOFTWARE FOR BITCOIN MACHINE TRADE. 

This will obviously lead our developers in to other crypto-currencies also.

Any questions send me an email compoundtradigofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

Oil Trading Academy:

If you would like to learn more about how to trade oil, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

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One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: AI, machine trading, trade, software, crude, oil, BTC, Bitcoin, Oil Trading Room, Oil Trade Alerts, Strategy

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April 14, 2019

The subscriber platform updates below are important because we have come full circle on many things and there are big changes on the horizon.

Crude Oil Trade Alerts

In recent months we have been coding our oil software and this has caused most crude oil trade alerts to be machine related. This will be changing starting this week because we are as good as done the code testing for crude oil (see more detail below on this topic). This will allow me to personally execute more crude oil trading on a personal basis.

So starting this week and going forward there will still be machine trading alerts but there will be much more of my own alerts also.

I have spoken to a number of our clients that wish for this to return also (because I have personal trade processes that are time tested and not experimental or high frequency such as when we were developing the oil software).

Swing Trading Alerts

If you have not been following our swing trading alerts and you are swing trading you should be watching these alerts closely.

We have had a blow out year in swing trading – we are hitting over 90% win rate and the swing trading wins have been unusually large ROI.

I expect this to continue as the structure of charting we are using for swing trading is just getting better and better as time goes on. Eventually (soon) we will be coding many of the equities for swing trading also BTW.

Crude Oil Machine Trading / Coding

In short (point form), this is a where we are at with coding the machine trade for crude oil:

  • Time Frames (charting).
    • We initially coded the oil machine trade software for the primary time frames (on charting) and over time found that all time frames were required for the software to trigger properly, this has been completed with the exception of two time-frames – hourly and fifteen minute. We have tested a few variations of the fifteen and one hour time frames that we are not completely satisfied with as of yet. Eleven out of thirteen are complete. This has helped consistency / accuracy of trade execution. The last two time frames will be coded over the coming weeks.
  • Risk Tolerance / Threshold (variance, draw-downs, returns).
    • Recently we had the risk tolerance throttled to a return level of about .25% per day, then we moved it up to .5%. At .25% and at .5% the software executed well with very little possible down-side scenarios. Then we released the throttle to .6%, .75% and .9% and as the throttle was released above .5% the potential draw-down variance escalated to an uncomfortable point by mid Friday trade last week. Now, it is important to note that I am referring to a ten contract size account, on a thirty contract size account this would be different because the risk tolerance variance is different. A few contracts on a thirty contract size account that are in an intra day loss position is not nearly the same as a ten contract account. For the purpose of our current coding structure we are coding for ten and five contract account size. Soon we will code for twenty, thirty and so on.
    • Our experience last week caused us by the end of the week to settle with running the software for a .5% throttle for the next thirty days. This will allow the accounts to build with the potential of very little draw down.
    • This will provide an average return of .5% per day on an average day with opportunity for up to 2% return on better days and .5% or so on loss days. The loss days and higher return days will be anomalies. After thirty days we will reassess and any throttle adjustments will be made in much smaller increments in future.
  • Target Returns.
    • What is possible on paper (or paper trading) and what is reality when put in to practice (as it relates to machine trading) are two different things (you cannot paper trade test this software with great accuracy). There are many reasons for this, but the primary reasons are order fills and tight time frame high frequency trading (one minute time frame or less). We have completely abandoned the idea of HFT on one minute or less time frames. This is highly competitive, we believe most participants are losing in this space, location of servers relative to the exchange and more become variables. On paper HFT offers 100% return per month (the math works) but order fills (especially on lower time frames) are at issue.
    • So what is a reasonable return expectation for the time-frames we have identified as the most consistent time-frames with the lowest risk thresholds? We know .5% per day or 120% per year is reasonable (based on real life experience) and we believe 1% a day is attainable. We have seen up to 2% per day (in real life scenario) but the draw down scenarios are outside of our current comfort zone. Maybe in future (as returns are realized) we will slowly release the throttle toward that goal.
    • For now we are going to focus on .5% per day with opportunity for some better days that we believe over a number of weeks will result in .5% – .7% on average. Any changes to the code will be very small and incrementally slower.
    • The primary target we use is Renaissance Technologies reported returns;
      • Renaissance’s flagship Medallion fund, which is run mostly for fund employees,[8] “is famed for one of the best records in investing history, returning more than 35 percent annualized over a 20-year span”.[5] From 1994 through mid-2014 it averaged a 71.8% annual return. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renaissance_Technologies
      • If we achieve 120% per year we are doing exceptionally well, we have shown over short duration while testing recently that we can achieve this, the unknown is whether our software can achieve this consistently over a quarter, and a year or more.
  • Order Flow (IDENT).
    • Our software triggers on structure (charting time frames), timing cycles, direction of trade (momentum) and order flow (the IDENT program).
    • Specific to our order flow, it is important to note that as the throttle is released the primary cause of variance or risk threshold widening is the IDENT order flow technology we are developing. In other words, if the throttle is opened to a return of 1% per day vs .5% then the draw-down possibility is much greater because the software is weighing order flow positioning greater than say chart structure. In short the software is following position bias and size based on identified machine trading market players. At issue is the size of account (as I noted above). I mention (or give some description) of the IDENT program and subsequent sizing and positioning as it relates to throttle because the stops widen greatly. A throttle at .5% on average will allow about 11 tick stops (often dynamic trailing) but at 1% the field range in play can be up to 40 or more ticks. It is a structured environment that becomes complex to explain in short but I think you get the idea. The bottom line is that it is most comfortable to have a minimum thirty contract size account for this scenario (as mentioned above) so that when up to five contracts are dealing with a forty tick variance it is not as uncomfortable as a ten contract size account.
  • Summary.
    • We will leave the oil machine trade code risk tolerance throttle for now at where we are most comfortable and where we know it works to the highest degree of certainty, at .5%.
    • Any changes will be small and incrementally slow.
    • This will achieve low down-side risk and consistent gains.

Webinars

  • Crude Oil Trade Webinar
    • We recently ran a one day crude oil trading webinar and after it was complete I stated that we would run a series of shorter crude oil trading webinars to complete descriptions of various set-ups that I wanted to be sure the attendees all had. Anyway, I had planned to do these on Sundays in the afternoons immediately following but I have not had time. Soon I will be continuing these short webinars to complete the rest of the set-ups (structures) for trading crude oil.
  • Swing Trading Webinar
    • With our very successful swing trading platform (we have achieved 100% per year every year and the first quarter of 2019 has been outstanding) many have asked me to do a one day webinar and I planned to get one in before the end of April. This is still my goal and I expect to get a notice out this week for the one day swing trading webinar. Also the P/L for the swing trades will be released soon (Jen is on it).
  • Webinars for the other algorithm models will also be scheduled soon, watch for updates.

Going Private, Personal Subscriber Conversations, Alerts, Personal Trading Set-Ups

Over the last number of days I have had personal Skype conversations with a number of our retail trading clients and commercial enterprise clients. All of which have asked that we remain at least semi public and all have asked that I provide more personal trade insight and alerts. Even though I desire to take our platform 100% private and only bring our current clients with us I am going to make the following adjustments to our plans and announcements will be forthcoming.

  • I will be doing more personal trading, providing more personal trade set-up insight and alerts over the coming weeks and forward. I feel an obligation to this and to be honest it is win – win because many of the subscribers become friends and day to day the reciprocation of trading set up ideas is beneficial for me also. It is a win win, so yes I get it and I will adjust accordingly.
  • Second, I will make adjustment to our “going dark” and only make it semi private. The details will be announced. I think a happy medium balance is to have a basic application process at entry. My main objective is keeping the “casino mind” retail traders out of our midst because I don’t feel it is my skill to train that out of a beginner. My skill is after the casino mind has humbled a retail trader. In other words, teaching structured discipline rule-set trading. So I will make adjustments and announcements will be made over the coming days.
  • Over the coming weeks I will be reaching out to every subscriber on a personal basis to touch base (as time allows I will contact each of you and there is no obligation, I just think its important to do this at least once a year).

Reporting this Week

  • Reporting this week likely won’t start until sometime Monday or Tuesday but any pertinent charting will be sent in the meantime. We spent the weekend re-setting the code (as described above) and reaching out to many of our subscribers for input.

Thanks so much everyone for being part of this journey, your patience in our petri dish science approach, supporting our work and sticking with our efforts to develop a platform by traders for traders for a better trading future and associated freedom.

Any questions or thoughts send me an email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Best and peace.

Curt

 


Good morning traders,

Last night we spent the majority of our session trouble shooting the load issues with the 1 min oil model, it’s fixed, loads fast.

The EPIC 30 Min model was also revised and sent to bundle members.

The next on our list is getting the hours of trading vid / blog posts done AND yes, the oil machine trade protocols (review recent premarket notes if you’re not sure what I’m on about).

Swing trade updates are in the pipeline next also.

To the oil trading (which also affects other areas of markets)…. the machine trade in markets is becoming increasingly sophisticated (we have a post coming soon on that, some articles I have posted to my Twitter feed in last week also reference this), anyway…. the time frames the machine trade is operating on is frequently moving to a half and a quarter of the regular time frame traders are used to using on any given chart (they are flipping down and up time frames so it becomes important to know when and what time frame the machines are in so that our software triggers to the right time frame and human traders can trigger to the current time frame also). I mention this to say 1) We’ve back tested this now and we’ve got it nailed down (this will affect frequency of alerts) 2) We will provide more detail soon in special posts to explain how to trade the 1/2 and 1/4 time frames 3) This of course affects the protocol documents, hence the delay. Bottom line, we’ve got it nailed down and now we can start moving along again.

So the WIP will start flowing out to clients as a result.

Have a great day.

Thanks

Curt


Premarket Note and Important Client Updates March 8, 2019.

Good morning traders!

Our Schedule.

Last night we were in coding / trade protocol publication conference all night so there was no live trading for me in the overnight session.

I am scheduled in main live trading room (voice / chart broadcast room) at US regular market open (9:30 EST) and during active trade today. Mid day trade setups review in live trading room will be set off until Monday as we are working on completion of the oil trade protocols (yes, still grinding through it).

Sunday we will return to active trade attendance in overnight trade (12:00 midnight EST).

For those unaware, our trading team is on a daily scheduled break from 2:30 PM to 12:00 midnight EST. We are in attendance from 12:00 midnight to 2:30 PM EST. I am typically in the main live broadcast trading room at regular US market open (9:30 AM EST), mid day review (12:00 PM – 1:00 PM EST), during any active trading and for special events (weekly EIA, webinars, etc).

Link to live broadcast trading room: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

The team will also be in the Discord chat rooms today as usual. If you need a link to access Discord please email us.

Current Work In Progress.

Crude Oil Machine Trade Protocol Document Set:

For those unaware (and for the sake of updating everyone), as noted above we were at it again last night working through the code detail and oil trade protocol publications.

Again, my apologies for being behind on our schedule with this task, unfortunately it happens. The coding work and associated protocols are VERY detailed. With over 8000 instructions in the code it is taking some time to condense those instructions to an easy to reference set of protocol documents for our clients.

We’re close now, while I write this Jeremy has advised me that his final edits are done so I’ll do my last review and send the protocols out to clients this weekend.

The written protocols (rule-set) are a document series intended to assist our clients with being able to reference the trading rule-set (instructions / protocol) our machine trading software is executing trades to.

In other words, when oil trade alerts are sent to alert feeds (private client Twitter feed & client private Discord server chat) marked with an “M” for machine trade, our member will then be able to reference the trade rule-set / set-up specific to that alert. The goal is for our member to know what the trading plan is for each type of alert.

One protocol document (rule-set) for each type of trade set-up alerted to the feeds.

This is another step toward our goal of an intelligent assisted trading platform for our traders / clients. The broadcast trading rooms, Discord chat, newsletter publications, live alerts etc are a start toward that and the protocol documents are the next step. Moving forward near future our developers will be automating the machine trade alerts to the alert feeds, trading rooms etc.

Current Trades.

Oil Trading:

In January we posted over 60% account gains in crude oil trade, February profit and loss statement is above 30% (depending on the account – some less some more, yet to be released – Jen has that on her WIP) and we’re shooting for 100% in March. To get 100% in this environment (see below) is a challenge, but we’re in it to win it. Read on.

Personal Oil Trades – Choppy week for me (personal oil trades) and the machine trading. Yesterday was my first red day in a while.

I AM RETURNING to ONLY THE HIGHEST PROBABLE TRADE SET-UPS after the chop I was in yesterday. You will see less trades from me over the coming days, but the oil trades I do alert will be the highest probable wins and they will be trades I will want to be able to execute in SIZE.

The smaller the account the more chop I experienced yesterday. The larger the account the easier it was to navigate the chop.

Crude Oil Machine Trading – Specific to the machine trading, the protocol document flow due out soon will help our clients understand this better, but for now I will say that the machine trade liquidity in the markets has become extremely advanced, very quickly. And I wouldn’t doubt sophisticated AI manifesting near term.

Machine trade in crude oil liquidity is becoming more advanced literally by the day (we have noticed a substantial recent increase in change). Our timing in this endeavor is really interesting in my opinion.

What am I saying? Well, for example most recently we have noticed the machine traded liquidity in the markets has moved down one and sometimes two time-frames. This means that the machine driven liquidity in crude oil trade is executing trade on half or a quarter minute charting time-frames. Imagine that.

If you can imagine having coded the software (with over 8000 instructions) and written the protocol document rule – sets for over forty set-ups only to find that in sideways consolidated oil trade action that the machine liquidity is now moving from a one minute time-frame in executions to a half or even a quarter minute time-frame. Human traders don’t even have charting for that!

Anyway, that’s what we have found the last ten days in the sideways trade in crude oil (look at a daily crude oil chart).

This has caused us to re-code appropriately, trim our throttle down and down and down again the time-frame that our software will fire trades at and re-do and re-do and re-do the trading protocol documents that our clients will use to reference the trade set-up at each oil trade alert.

I have spoken to our most experienced oil traders (we have some serious veterans in our midst) and all of them had a tough week – and these folks rarely are challenged with trading green.

It was a tough week, but we responded and re-coded, and we’re throttling down the software appropriately so it fires on lower time frames and I am personally adjusting my personal trades to only take the best set-ups with a preference to those that I will be able to size in to.

Swing / Day Trading:

Review all current / swing trades thus far in 2019 and current here (if you need an access code email us):

Protected: Stock Swing Trades On Watch and Current Trade Positions (w/video) | AAPL, GOOGL, NFLX, GOLD, OIL, BABA, ARWR, FB, TWTR, TSLA, MSFT and many more…

In addition to the trades in the document above I am also now in a starter swing trade position in $HIIQ (per yesterday’s alert).

2019 has been really positive in our swing trading platform, the returns have been great and I expect the next time cycle to continue as such. We should see near 100% return on the year if things continue as they are. The first quarter P/L will be out end of month for review.

Just remember to take profits along the way with the winning swing trades and use stops to protect your account equity.

We expect to start the next round of swing trades between now and Tuesday morning of next week.

New Client On-boarding.

Legacy Members:

The only outstanding new client on-boarding are our newest Legacy Members. All new Legacy All Access Members should have received a conference time with myself for this Sunday afternoon or evening. Look forward to connecting with each of you.

New Members:

Before you start executing trades as a client of Compound Trading Group I highly recommend you study and even take a few hours of private trade coaching to be sure you are best set for success in your trading. Too many newer clients to our group start trading way to early in the process.

Study the historical blog posts specific to your trading focus. Examples are the oil algorithm historical posts on the blog, the crude oil trading special articles listed on the Oil Trading Academy page on our website or the Swing Trading historical posts on the blog. Many posts are unlocked over time for public view and if you are a member that needs an access code to a specific post please email us.

You can also study the videos on our YouTube channel. They are raw video feed (so they aren’t packaged for quick consumption sound bites) but if you’re willing to put in the time they will be of great benefit to your trading.

Also of great benefit are the private Discord servers, especially the crude oil server. You can review historical chat and trade set-ups – many new clients have told me this has been of great benefit.

Attendance to the live trading room when I am broadcasting my live trades (or reviewing historical raw video on You Tube) also helps.

And lastly, if you want to take your technical analysis / charting etc to the next level, there is a 20 hour video series available (the Master Class Series recorded last year) for 1499.00. Email Jen at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com if interested. We cover much of the content at each trading boot camp, but only about 20% of the Master Class Series for Technical Analysis, Charting and Trade Set-Ups.

Upcoming Events.

Special Trade Coaching Webinar Series:

Oil Traders Special Webinar Everything I Know About Trading Crude Oil | Special Webinar Event Series | March 24: 10 AM – 6 PM.

Swing Traders Special Webinar: Stay tuned, to be announced. It will be held in April 2019.

Trade Coaching Boot Camp (in-person or online):

Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next Trade Coaching Boot Camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic April 19 – 21, 2019.

Recent Press:

News Release: SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release.

Be sure to reach out if you need any help with your trading.

Have a great day!

Curtis

 


New Personal Schedule to Accommodate Peak Trading Times:

Jeremy and I have resigned ourselves to perform daily oil machine trade code updates until only weekly updates are needed (weekly wasn’t going to do it).

Until now we have found ourselves doing the code updates early morning between 3 am and 7 am (then I prep for premarket).

This time slot for updates doesn’t work.

It doesn’t work because the machine trading (and my personal trading) needs to be firing during this time. The overnight session after midnight and in to early morning are important as the global regular markets are opening – many of the daily moves start there and if we’re updating code there is no trading. It also interferes with my equity day trades in to open because I am not prepared properly and swing trade positioning as needed in the premarket session.

So we’re moving the oil machine trade code updates to the time-slot between 8 pm to 12 Midnight each night because futures are normally quiet in that time slot.

We will always be in the trading room daily from regular USA open at 9:30 AM to 2:30 PM.

From 2:30 PM – 8:00 PM we will be on our personal time break daily.

Mid day trade set-ups will normally take place in the main trading room from Noon to 1 PM daily.

Reporting:

The mid day review today went over all the swing trades for 2019 this year so far. We have done exceptionally well with our 2019 swing trades considering the funky markets. This will be an important video (mid day from today) to review when we send it out. It will include a written report. We will next be adding more swing trade set-ups we are watching over the next few days to our swing trade portfolio for 2019.

The crude oil machine trading protocols will be emailed this evening. Early morning today we completed the code updates for all the protocols and now staff are completing the client documents for review of the protocols.

Machine Trade in Oil Alerts Profit / Loss:

The February P&L will be out soon for those that have asked.

January Oil Trade Profit and Loss is here:

Oil Trading Profit/Loss Jan 2019 | +63.05% +63,049.00 41 Wins 3 Losses 93% Win Rate Large Account | Crude Oil Trade Alerts

Trade Alerts:

As of the next session (midnight tonight) you can expect the frequency to increase (up to 200 per month) for the oil trade alerts. The last few days have been riddled with updates (including today) specifically because we’re tying the actual code to the public side protocol documents – they have to match so that when you the trader see an oil alert you can the reference the trade set-up protocol that the machine or myself are trading with. This will help our clients plan their own trade. Anyway, it was a large undertaking (like most others) than we expected. We’re wrapping it all up right now and the trade alerts will reflect completion and higher frequency in to this evening’s session forward. Thanks for your patience.

Onboarding New Clients:

Most commercial and private new clients have been onboarded as I am writing this. However, specific to the newest Legacy Member Clients we have not done the onboarding. I am working on my schedule two weeks out right now and will contact each of you over the next few days to get you scheduled for the onboarding conference call I need to do with each of you. Because it is a 24 access to my trading station it requires more instruction / preparation than most onboarding scenarios. Your fees will not start until after you are successfully onboarded.

Events: Special Webinar Series and Trade Coaching Boot Camp

We have a Special Webinar Event Series starting March 24 running in to April and May of 2019.

The first webinar up is for crude oil traders, the next will be Swing Trading and then so on. Don’t miss out, it may be the only webinar series we do of this kind.

Everything I Know About Trading Crude Oil | Special Webinar Event Series | March 24: 10 AM – 6 PM

Intensive Crude Oil Trade Training Webinar.

Spend a Day With Me March 24, 2019 – I will be hosting a crude oil trading webinar. I will cover everything I know about crude oil trade in a one-time 8 hour special webinar event.

The webinar will cover my strategies for conventional and algorithmic oil trade and charting, intra-day trading, short term swing trading, longer term swing trading, trade sizing, time cycles, key set-ups and much more.

I will explain in detail how I maintain a win rate of better than 90% in crude oil trade (live recorded in our oil trading room and live alerted to our members).

Limited attendance of 25 persons to allow me to take questions and converse as needed to be sure we cover the trading concepts in detail.

Current member clients of Compound Trading Group receive 50% off. Use promo code: member

Early bird registrants prior to March 11, 2019 receive 30% off (cannot be used in conjunction with other offers). Use promo code: early.

To Register for the Crude Oil Trading Webinar Click Here.

Trade Coaching Boot Camp: 

Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next trade coaching boot camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic April 19 – 21, 2019.

If you can’t attend in person you can attend the class online virtually and take part in question and answer as if you were in the boot camp live.

Register Here: Trade Coaching Boot Camp April 19, 20, 21 2019.