Dear Mr. Cardinal Cash,

My name is Nikki, I represent Compound Trading Group and associated entities.

I will assist with your request(s) as referenced in your video posted tweet copied to @curtmelonoply per below;

“The Cardinal received a professional and personalized letter (tweet) from Mr.
@CurtMelonopoly
(thank you). I look forward to reading over your prospectus. At a +90% win rate, perhaps crude oil should be on my trading radar.”

I reviewed your video presentation and below is answer and question to your assertions and requests.

We do provide trader information services and commercial software deployment.

We do not provide investment opportunities or solicit investment to a fund of any type.

Your comment, “I look forward to reading over your prospectus”.

You are wanting a prospectus for what exactly? Compound Trading Group operates under two primary mandates:

1) We provide opportunity for the trading community to view our live trading room to watch our lead trader and/or senior traders and software engineers develop trading systems by way of executing their trades, alert feeds (Twitter and Discord) that include trade set-ups etc, charting reports for our algorithm models and swing trading, and coaching and,

2) The other mandate being business partnerships as it relates to deployment of the EPIC v3 Oil Trading Software.

Trader Services Inquiries:

You will find a link to menu of services specific to point 1 above (trader services) here https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/. There is no prospectus for that component of our trading group. However, if you are interested in subscribing to one of the services and are wanting to validate the “alert win rate” you reference, we can provide you (as Curt has previously offered) with a tour of all trading videos for every day since inception (raw trading room feeds, over 800 in total), every trade alert (thousands) on a time stamped Twitter feed from inception, every alert and trader guidance in a Discord private server repository since inception and I can also direct you to near 2000 documents on our website that provide reference to our methods.

If your “deep dive due diligence” comment is in reference to one of the services in this category of our services, having at your access for review every trading video for every minute of every day since inception should suffice. If it does not, then we are not the right service for you.

Software Business Inquiries:

Specific to point 2 above (business relationships to deploy v3 EPIC), we provide software deployment to commercial enterprise firms, in which case we do provide audited trading results.

However, after only a cursory view of your online representation and encompassing information it does not seem you are looking for something similar to a business relationship with us. There is however, a public draft white paper document (among others) recently published here White Paper: How EPIC v3 Crude Oil Machine Trading Outperforms Conventional Trading Methods.

If your inquiry is specific to our software business I can defer you to an executive rep in that area of expertise.

Your comment per tweet above “At a +90% win rate”.

Answer: I understand your comment to reference Curt’s tweet as found here;

The win rate referenced on the web site that you copied to your Twitter (your copy image of our website to your Twitter feed) is a quote that references a win rate to prior to the date you reference and including up to that date, not from that date to current day.

If you read it closely you will see. It is a moot point either way as you are welcome to as offered many times review the time stamped alerts and live raw feed recordings of the trading room and see for yourself if our claims of win rate are in fact true or not.

For clarity, the alert win rate you reference is one of many claims, that specific win rate was for a period of trade and we have many other such claims for various periods of time, including various methods, instruments and versions of software development.

There are 2000 documents (many that include claims) you can assess, review and break apart all you like that all have live trading video you can reference to each claim and time stamped alerts.

The Compound Trading Group Risk Disclosure / Disclaimer / Terms of Service that is presented on all pages of our website is here;

Risk Disclosure, Disclaimer, Terms, Conditions, Subscriptions, Use, Privacy and more – Use of This Website and any Associated Service(s) of Compound Trading.

Our development team has since inception operated a number of software build accounts to test, modify, improve methods and software operations that is described below – an excerpt from the risk disclosure of Compound Trading Group.

“Our lead trader (or associate traders) will, at any given time, operate a variety of accounts representing compound trading, swing trading, momentum trading and testing for algorithms and more. This may or may not include cash / leverage accounts, commodity accounts, crypto exchange accounts, paper trade accounts or various algorithmic back testing and simulation accounts”.

Our claims of win rates for periods of time and for specific traders, methods, or versions of software are varied from 60% to over 90% and may even include more – I am recollecting from memory.

We do not run a chat room type service geared toward the mass retail trader, it may be that you are seeing our trading group in that way. A review of our website documentation, videos, alerts etc that is public facing will quickly show you that to be the case.

Our mandate is development of software and algorithmic models that are tested, developed, retested, re-developed over and over until refined under a systematic process. We do have real engineers, real traders, real staff and real world trading. But we are not a retail chat room trading room kind of operation.

Assumptions:

Investment & Prospectus. You reference a consideration of “investment”. Compound Trading Group is not soliciting an investment of any kind for your participation in any way that would resemble an “investment” that would require a “prospectus” as I am assuming the nature of your inquiry to be.

I am assuming that your comment to “investment” is somehow related to a transaction between yourself and Compound Trading Group.

If you are asserting that your “investment” is a subscription fee for a service such as trade alerts then I have offered our disclosure specific to that.

If you are asserting that your “investment” is in reference to deployment of our v3 EPIC software, that is a completely different category of inquiry. As noted above, we do provide audited trading results but that area of the business (business inquiries) is handled via reps at Sovoron.

In that specific respect, we are the software developers and data providers. You cannot however buy the software, buy use of the software or have our software deployed for commercial use without being qualified under a completely different category of compliance. Again, I don’t think this is the context of your inquiry.

If you are asserting that your consideration toward “investment” includes some form of investment in our business at any level, we are not soliciting for investors of any kind. Its seems your video presentation assumption(s) are at least at minimum possibly within this frame of thinking.

We do not solicit funds for investment of any kind to any account of any kind. We do not maintain a public fund of any kind. Yes, Goldman or the like is your best avenue as you stated.

Request(s):

Although Curt (it seems as noted on his Twitter feed) found your presentation amusing, your presentation and/or tweets are an unauthorized use of the Compound Trading Group’s marks. As such, it would be vacant of my fiduciary responsibility to our stakeholders for me not to request that you in future do request permission of use (in advance, in writing) of any mark as it relates to Compound Trading Group and associated entities.

I would also ask that you do not in future represent our corporate marks with images that are not in any way related to our operation (I am referencing the other person images you included in your posts).

I am trying to be of “good sport” within the trading community good spirit as Curt has requested, but it is my professional obligation to the stakeholders that this be elevated and remain within a minimum level of mutual business respect and professionalism as soon as possible.

Further, if you require any other clarity with respect to your submission please contact me direct anytime at compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

In future if you require direct contact information should we need to telephone conference or whatnot I can provide such at that time.

Best regards,

NIKKI, Executive Administrator

Compound Trading Group


Important Premarket Trade Room Schedule / Market Time-Cycle / Alerts / Reporting Notes

Morning traders,

Live trading room will be down until some time later today (internet company has to move our fiber line, they were to be here Saturday but put us off to Monday). Location move delay. The minute the line is in we’ll be up live and I’ll send out an alert to members. ETA 1:00 PM EST today. Alerts and machine trade are not affected. We’re on back-up mobile system until they arrive.

Remember this week is time cycle peak (allow a week either side) and the next is Oct 21. Watch the trend coming out of this week.

Swing trade reporting will consistently increase now outside of Sept 9 week in to next time cycle. It is possible the direction of trade / trajectory of implied models will be completely opposite in this cycle so watch the alerts / reporting closely. Either way, its a significant cycle.

Go easy today, my suspicion is that whipsaw will be the theme during this time cycle peak for about a week.

Any questions let me know,

Thanks!

Curt


Good afternoon Traders,

As we gear up for another trading week in advance of our larger prep for the fall season I thought it best to provide you a quick update on our plans, scheduling etc. 

We see a significant opportunity (time cycles) from now and in to the late fall 2019 season in Equities, Commodities, Bitcoin etc. The reporting schedule and webinars we are hosting should do well to prepare our members to take full advantage of it.

Reporting Schedule This Week (estimated release dates for premium member reporting, dates are evening of in to next morning).

Aug 18 – VIX (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – SPY (including time cycles)

Aug 18 – Swing Trading (swing trade members will also receive various other time cycle reporting as it comes available).

Aug 18 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 19 – Crude Oil (EPIC Algorithm regular report)

Aug 19 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 20 – Bitcoin (including time cycles)

Aug 20 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 21 – Gold (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Silver (including time cycles)

Aug 21 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

Aug 22 – DXY US Dollar (including time cycles)

Aug 22 – Feature Oil Trading Strategy Article

The week of Aug 18 and in to fall will also bring various other various swing trade and time cycle reporting to the various services.

Upcoming General Public Free Webinars.

Crude Oil Webinar – Machine Trade Informational. Topics Include; YTD Machine Trade Profit and Loss Performance, Development Process and What Is Planned Going Forward. 7:00 – 7:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Crude Oil Webinar – How to Use Our Platform. Oil Trade Alerts, Live Trading Room, Private Discord Server Oil Trade Set Up Guidance, Algorithm Models & Conventional Charting. 8:00 – 8:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Upcoming Premium Member Only Webinars.

Crude Oil Trade Strategy Webinar – A Review of Oil Trade Set Ups for The Week. 9:00 – 9:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Crude Oil service members.

Swing Trading Set-Ups Webinar – A Review of Swing Trading Setups for The Upcoming Week (including time cycles). 10:00 – 10:45 PM EST Sunday August 25. Register by emailing compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com. No cost to and access only to premium Swing Trading service members.

Members that cannot attend live will receive a video copy and featured report of the webinar.

Trading Profit and Loss Updates.

2019 Swing Trading Status: Our swing trading platform has had an exceptional year, we’re running our regular 100%+ annual returns (over last 3 years) varied depending on the type/ category of swing trade, Jen has a full report in the works for members to review. As mentioned above, with the large time cycle peaks coming in to the fall we expect a bang up fall swing trade season.

V3 EPIC Oil Algorithm Machine Trade P&L Status: We couldn’t be more pleased with the v3 oil machine trade software. It has been running for about 5 weeks and it is exceeding our expectations. The most encouraging part is that its code is still in its early stages of real-world testing – the projected ROI trajectory is expected to continue to turn-up with no additional downside risk – v3 is an extremely stable machine trading architecture. As we near the 8 week real-world running time-line the mathematical probability of it having any notable issues are near zero (at 5 weeks we’re near there now). It took some time, grit and investment, but we’re there now.

“For Aug 15, 2019 Profit & Loss: Daily +$355 YTD+$9,185 Projected $85,958 or 86% Per Annum. v3 Oil Machine Trade 100k Test Account (v4 period excluded) #OOTT $CL_F $WTI $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts”

Password Access to Trading Rooms, Private Alerts, Discord Servers.

We have been slowly changing / updating passwords and access to various services. If you are a premium member and you are locked out of any service you are subscribed to (trading room, alert feed, private server, etc) or do not receive a report that you see posted to main Compound Trading Twitter feed (that you should be receiving), please let us know so we can rectify.

Promotions.

There is a current promotion running for new member trials, receive 50% off first month of any service list price. Use promo code “TRIAL50” when checking out (if you have issue with the promo code email us and we’ll send you another by email). If you have registered recently at full price and did not take advantage of this email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and she will invoice your next month renewal at 50% off. This is only available to first time subscribers and cannot be used with other discounts. 

If you need some trade coaching go to our website and register for a minimum 3 hours – it usually books out for the fall so register soon if you’ve been throwing the idea around.

Email me as needed compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com and remember, the webinars listed above require you to register in advance by sending us an email of your interest in attending.

Thanks,

Curt

Subscribe:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Crude Oil Trading Academy: A Selection of Unlocked Oil Trade Strategy Articles from Our Traders:

Learning to Trade Crude Oil Futures Contracts is Like No Other Trading – Having a Rules Based Process Will Help You.

Recent Swing Trade and Day Trading Reports (charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: $VIX Perfect Price Target Hit (on time), So What’s Next? Trading Volatility (VIX) | Premium #VIX #TradingStrategies #TimeCycles

Protected: How to Trade US Dollar Index (DXY) Large Time Cycle in to Week of August 5 #USD $DXY $UUP #tradealerts #swingtrading

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Protected: S&P 500 Trading Strategies. Charting, Time Cycles, Price Targets, Algorithmic Model (SPY) | Premium, July 15 $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows):

Premarket Notes July 31, 2019: FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD …

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Company News:

Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Machine Trade, Alerts, Swing Trading, Live Trading Room, Oil, BTC, SPY, VIX, DXY, GOLD, SILVER, Webinars, Promos, Reporting, ROI, Profit & Loss, Time Cycles, Trade Coaching


RE: Oil Machine Trade Software Development Update – v4 vs v3. 

Today we reverted back to the version 3 software and have abandoned the version 4 software.

The architecture for the version 4 software has too much downside risk (it is too unpredictable in varied market action), even with the possibility of ongoing tweaks (updates). There is no guarantee that we would achieve a state of operation that minimizes downside risk to an appropriate level.

As such we will only be running version 3 going forward and discontinuing version 4 development.

Version 3 provided low downside risk with about 83% ROI in real-world testing lasting just over a month (longer duration trading will determine the exact return). In the first month of testing with v3 there was only one day with draw down and it was about -0.2%.

Version 3 also provides for low risk even in unpredictable markets because its architecture does not allow for accumulation type trade positions within a range (it does not accumulate or hold positions), which version 4 did. Version 3 hits key support and resistance with appropriate size and trails out quickly. It is a precision trade architecture design. The version 4 architecture is more designed for positioning within a range, with order flow of entities it identifies as dominant. The two versions are considerably different structurally.

Version 3 will lose sometimes, but will lose very small at all times because it is not an accumulation architecture. This was proven out in real world testing. We estimate that on average over a number of days that about 1 in 10 trading days v3 will see a draw down on average equal to or less than its average day gains.

In early testing version 1 software ran at about 20% ROI, version 2 at 40% and version 3 at just over 80%. All approximate and all short term testing lasting less than 60 days. The v4 software may have reached the ROI goal of 160%, but the road to that goal is too volatile.

Here forward version 3 of the crude oil machine trade software will run and follow-up updates will provide additional information about the architecture of the decisions the v3 software makes to trade so successfully so that our clients that trade manually can use some of the rule-set for their own trading.

And lastly, to the questions I have received about future considerations for v4, the answer is no. At this juncture we would rather enjoy the fruits of our labor as it has been a near 3 year development process (an expensive one) and at some point we must settle in with what we have, what we know works, and what provides the lowest down-side risk.

V3 at approximately 80% ROI per year is world class software and world class is better than good enough.

Again, thanks for being a part of the journey.

Any questions email us compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Curt

Company News:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Subscribe to Learn and Profit:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

Article Topics: crude oil, machine, trading, software, memorandum

 


Daily Profit and Loss Summary for Personal Day and Swing Trades, Oil and Bitcoin Trades, Machine Trades and Alerts. Includes Live Trading Room Video and Alert Feed Screen Shots.

I recently posted to my Twitter feed that I would start providing daily trade profit and loss summaries and also posted some info on our goals for our machine trading / alert compound gains. Thread is below.

This is the first profit and loss post, this will for now be basic and over time we’ll get more info and more formal (with proper P&L spreadsheets). Below is what time allows for today.

Oil Machine Trades / Alerts

There were four oil trades, all winners, the target (goal) for the day was exceeded by the machine trade.

3 of 4 of the trades were alerted. Alerts went to private Discord server, private member oil alert feed, were broadcast (my voice with charting) in the live trading room. 1 of 4 was only alerted live in trading room.

Personal Oil Trades.

None, however, I will be trading along side the machine trade alerts going forward now that our coding is mostly complete for oil.

Machine Bitcoin Trades.

N/A in development.

Personal Bitcoin Trades.

I shorted Bitcoin at 1/10 size, it went well and I covered 50% of the trade holding half at this point. Looking for a bounce to add to the short or if price gets to the price target I will close the short and re short after a bounce. Members can refer to the alert feed and / email sent out explaining the charting and trading plan for this short.

Personal Swing Trades.

The one swing trade was long AMD, which was a 2/10 size intended as an add to the current swing position (initial position at channel) and the other portion of the 2/10 size was to be a day trade, however, the day trade didn’t work so I am 3/10 long AMD. 

Members can check to the private member swing trade alert feed on Twitter and recent reports for all current swing trades (there’s a new consolidation report on deck coming also).

Personal Day Trades.

As above the AMD day trade, it went against me and the only reason I held it is because I’m in an AMD swing trade and because my sizing is correct. When you have a swing trading plan and you’re also day trading a stock then this becomes an option for a trader. This is why we first start with the larger structure of the financial instrument and put together a trading plan for the swing trade and then perhaps also day trade the stock. You can take any of the swing trade charting in the reports and bring it down to a day trading time frame. If I day trade a stock that we do not have models for I would never hold the trade whether it goes well or not.

Historical Profit and Loss Trading Statements.

Jen is currently reconciling all the trading profit and loss statements for the purpose of review and study. The most recent working document update is available here:

Protected: Swing Trading Profit & Loss Report | Swing Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019

Password: 4321 (if asked)

Take a look at recent premarket note for more about what we’re up to with our trading here:

Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

Trading Room Raw Video Footage on Day:

#OilTrading #BitcoinTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #MachineTrading #TradeAlerts

The video below is raw feed only, to find live trading and trade alerts voice broadcast when lead trader is trading in the room reference the time of day on the alerts.

Live Trading Room Raw Feed $AMD $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $XBT_F

Supporting Trade Alerts and Charting on Day:

If you cannot see a chart below, a link is not available or not showing to the alert and/or chart or parts of the data is blocked with ******, this is because it is a premium member chart or alert.

Crude Oil Trade Alerts.

3 for 3 for machine trade alerts today. Exceeding .6% daily 151% per annum goal. #OOTT FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $UWT $DWT #OilTradeAlerts #machinetrading https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1145164315726684161 …

Machine trade caught the bottom turn today again. #OOTT FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OilTradeAlerts #MachineTrading

Bitcoin Alerts.

Short Bitcoin 10640s for price target 1 at ****** area then possibly on to two other targets in trend noted $BTC #tradealerts

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145671162950799362

50% profit trim 10319.00 $XBTSUSD $BTC #Bitcoin 20 ma support test on Daily #tradealerts

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145708849728540672

BITCOIN (BTC) Short term trading plan, short or long at each arrow, timing on lower time frames $BTC #tradingplan

BITCOIN (BTC) We have met all targets now since buy alert (green arrow), trajectory early, what’s next on deck in new charting and report due later today. $BTC #Bitcoin

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145610739991883777

DayTrade & Swing Trade Alerts.

Long $AMD 31.89 (already in swing, so partial is swing add and partial day trade), day trade partial. Resistance / price targets 32.58 trading box, 32.89 trendline diagonal, 33.64 mid quad, 34.29 trend line diagonal, 34.65 trading box final target. #daytrade #swingtrade #alerts

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145668110147563520

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) up nice from channel alert, trading 31.89 premarket, watch marked areas for resistance #swingtrade #daytrade $AMD

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1145665998453952513

ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) Nice bounce off channel support and above trading box res, trim in to key resistance add above in trajectory #swingtrade $AMD

https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1143884167882727424

If you have any questions about my trading or need help with yours send me an email anytime compoundtradingpfficial@gmail.com and I’ll do my best to help.

Thanks

Curt

Additional Info:

Master Trade Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Subscribe:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.

 

 

 


Morning all.

RE: Premarket Note: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion

We’re still in deep with these two reports – BTC and Swing (the BTC report reflects our newer models for the new machine trade development starting in a few weeks and the swing report is a larger than normal consolidation so both are taking longer than expected), they won’t be delivered until later Tuesday night and possibly in to Wednesday.

In the meantime we have the BTC trade in play and you all have that chart / plan.

On the other side of the release of the BTC report my BTC trading will become much more active on various time frames.

We also have the numerous swing trades in play and you all have the charting for those.

If you have any questions about any of the trades send an email and I will help.

Specifically to the new BTC platform (renewed) for the upcoming machine trade development (now that the oil machine trading is mostly compete)…. the new Bitcoin BTC Twitter alert feed, Discord private server and public facing Social channels will be announced with the BTC report coming out later Tuesday night.

As noted, the oil machine trade coding has been complete for a few weeks and this version is doing well. We’re tweaking as it runs through sequences but all in all we’re extremely satisfied.

Previous premarket tells you a little more about our WIP updates (including upcoming Webinars, P&Ls etc):

Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Thanks again,

Curt

Events:

Trade Coaching Webinars. This weekend we will announce 3 different How to Trade webinars. All three to be held Sunday July 7. One each for 1:00 PM Oil, 5:00 PM Swing Trading, and 7:00 PM Bitcoin trading. They will be recorded and available for order on website thereafter. Each will have limited attendee availability so that I have time to work with attendee question and answer during the webinar. Existing members get 50% discounted rates: Retail rates Oil 499.99 (4 hrs), Swing Trading 199.00 (2 hrs), Bitcoin 99.00 (1 hr). Legacy members free. If you want to attend or want a copy of the webinar video email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com prior to promo going out this weekend as these particular webinar formats fill up quick.

Master Trade Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports Here:

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Premarket Notes Here (for more about what we’re up to with our trading):

July 2, 2019 – Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

June 28, 2019 – Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

Company News:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

Subscribe to Learn and Profit:

Click Here for Subscription Service Price Tables.

Free Mailing List(s):

Join Email List for Free Trade Charting Trade Set-ups, Deals, Podcasts and Public Webinars.

Free Swing Trading Periodical Contact Form (Complimentary Swing Trade Set-Ups to Email)

Public Chat:

Visit our Free Public Chat Room on Discord.


Premarket: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades, P&Ls, Webinars Oil, Swing, BTC

Morning traders,

Not a day to get bold with geo political events near term.

Equities: We’re looking at new swing entries between now and Tuesday premarket, likely more so closer to Tuesday. Swing Trading reports will reflect the new positions. 2019 has been a banner year so we’re hoping to continue in that direction.

Swing Trading Profit and Loss Statements: Jen is working through consolidation of Swing Trading Alert P&Ls, will take her a few weeks, in the meantime you can view updates as they’re published (on blog), here’s an example of the format she’s using (most recent update).

Protected: Swing Trading Profit & Loss Report | Swing Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019

Password: 4321

Oil Trading Profit and Loss Statements: Also being consolidated are the oil alert P&L’s. We’ve settled in to the most recent version of machine trading software now and we’re tweaking and slowly removing throttles as sequences run through. It has only had one red day since recent version launch at 0.2% draw down so that’s really encouraging. We’re expecting big things here. BTC is next (about 6 weeks or so from our start on that).

We’re currently alerting to the oil trade private member feed from the machine trading and my personal trading and will soon include our top traders to the feed.

Recent example of oil trade alerts:

Software alerting / selling near tops today after accumulation of longs in to open. Didn’t nail the top exact, but close enough on a tight range day. #OOTT FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $UWT $DWT #MachineTrading #Oil

Some Oil Levels On Watch Today FX USOIL WTI:

Levels to watch on EPIC 30 Min Model Today; Resistance 60.76, 60.31, 59.89. Support 59.46, 59.13 down trend TL, 58.92, 58.83, 58.67. Trading 59.52 intra. Caution warranted with G20 and OPEC meetings on deck. Range is compressing in to Geo events last few days.

Trade Coaching Webinars: This weekend we will announce 3 different How to Trade webinars. All three to be held Sunday July 7. One each for 1:00 PM Oil, 5:00 PM Swing Trading, and 7:00 PM Bitcoin trading. They will be recorded and available for order on website thereafter. Each will have limited attendee availability so that I have time to work with attendee question and answer during the webinar. Existing members get 50% discounted rates: Retail rates Oil 499.99 (4 hrs), Swing Trading 199.00 (2 hrs), Bitcoin 99.00 (1 hr). Legacy members free. If you want to attend or want a copy of the webinar video email Jen compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com prior to promo going out this weekend as these particular webinar formats fill up quick.

Thanks

Curt

Additional Info:

SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

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The Crude Oil Machine Trading Software Is Complete.

The information below (in advance of the official white paper) provides a summary of the development process to date, the rule-set (strategies) the code executes oil trades to, what the oil trade alerts will look like on your feed, returns expected on accounts traded and what we have planned in future.

June 13, 2019

As noted above, we have now completed the main structure of the coding for our crude oil trading.

We have previously messaged that we were either close or right at being complete only to find ourselves back down another rabbit hole. This time is actually different, we are done the primary architecture coding, we only have updates (tweaks) remaining. We expect the bulk of that to last at most ninety days.

The software includes eighteen structured algorithmic models (representing time frames from 1 minute charting to weekly), specific high probable trade set-ups, trade sequences within set-ups, order flow analysis, trend (channel) structures on each time-frame and range structures on each time-frame.

The trends (channels) and range trade structures are given the most weight within the decision process of the rule-set. The larger the structure (time-frame) the more weight for sizing and stop loss range. The models, set-ups. sequences and order flow have much less weight in the code.

This (the weights) described above will manifest in trade activity in such a way that trade will become more active and in greater size with the larger the structure. For example, the trending channel from late December 2018 to recent would be a considerable structure within the code and as such the code would size in to that channel at the support and resistance widths of range.

The white paper that we will publish soon will detail the rule-set in such a way that our clients will be able to follow along with the machine trade and understand the protocol that it is executing. This is the first stage for the architecture needed for our trader digital dash board we intend to develop soon.

As the days and weeks go on the software will fire more regularly and will begin to size considerably more than right now because it is coded to weigh decisions within trade trends, structures etc. As the trade set-ups develop the code will fire on them. Obviously the largest structures will be at the end of this start up process. The last few days it has been firing on 1 min, 5, 15 and 30 minute structures.

At first we expect the returns to be approximately .5% per day (if averaged over 30 trading days) increasing to well over 1% per day at most 90 trading days in to the launch. We have tested the code in advance and are confident with this. Depending on our success with “tweaks” the returns could escalate to near 3% per day, we are however more conservative and expect 1%-1.5%.

We are significantly more confident with this version of code simply because we have been down the rabbit hole on every time frame, in every structure, every set up, every order flow sequence on all time cycles competing with the best machines in the world.

We have been there, we went to battle in every arena, we know where we can win and where we cannot. The final version of code will only fire in arenas that we expect 80% + win rate. The larger the structure the larger the return as the software fires through the sequence with the structure.

We tested code on every time frame, in every algorithmic model, every order flow structure and so on and so on. We left no stone unturned.

There are areas of trade in the oil markets (smallest time frames) that are so competitive it would dazzle your mind. The AI’s that are firing in the smallest of time frames are doing so in a way that no trader can imagine. Every time we completed a sequence of trade in the most competitive areas (time-frames) we were schooled in the most advanced AI machine trade the world has to offer. It is manifested in a way no trader would ever expect. Here’s a hint, imagine getting beat every time, in a new way every time and every new way you got beat was a structured, logical, mathematically sound way and the ways seem endless.

Our final crude oil trade code is well outside those areas of competition.

The alerts on the Twitter client feed, in the oil trading room and on the private Discord server will continue to have “M” in the alert if it is a machine driven trade and if I (Curt) am trading I will also identify the alert detail as such. As the days go on the protocol (trade set up) detail will get more and more detailed so that our clients can follow along with clarity.

See also:

Press: SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release

What’s next?

The next ninety days is for tweaking the code – refining the execution of sequences within structures of trade.

Then near term we will be looking at the trader’s digital platform and API’s etc and then….

AND THEN…. YES, WE HAVE DECIDED to BUILD SOFTWARE FOR BITCOIN MACHINE TRADE. 

This will obviously lead our developers in to other crypto-currencies also.

Any questions send me an email compoundtradigofficial@gmail.com.

Thanks

Curt

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Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: AI, machine trading, trade, software, crude, oil, BTC, Bitcoin, Oil Trading Room, Oil Trade Alerts, Strategy

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April 14, 2019

The subscriber platform updates below are important because we have come full circle on many things and there are big changes on the horizon.

Crude Oil Trade Alerts

In recent months we have been coding our oil software and this has caused most crude oil trade alerts to be machine related. This will be changing starting this week because we are as good as done the code testing for crude oil (see more detail below on this topic). This will allow me to personally execute more crude oil trading on a personal basis.

So starting this week and going forward there will still be machine trading alerts but there will be much more of my own alerts also.

I have spoken to a number of our clients that wish for this to return also (because I have personal trade processes that are time tested and not experimental or high frequency such as when we were developing the oil software).

Swing Trading Alerts

If you have not been following our swing trading alerts and you are swing trading you should be watching these alerts closely.

We have had a blow out year in swing trading – we are hitting over 90% win rate and the swing trading wins have been unusually large ROI.

I expect this to continue as the structure of charting we are using for swing trading is just getting better and better as time goes on. Eventually (soon) we will be coding many of the equities for swing trading also BTW.

Crude Oil Machine Trading / Coding

In short (point form), this is a where we are at with coding the machine trade for crude oil:

  • Time Frames (charting).
    • We initially coded the oil machine trade software for the primary time frames (on charting) and over time found that all time frames were required for the software to trigger properly, this has been completed with the exception of two time-frames – hourly and fifteen minute. We have tested a few variations of the fifteen and one hour time frames that we are not completely satisfied with as of yet. Eleven out of thirteen are complete. This has helped consistency / accuracy of trade execution. The last two time frames will be coded over the coming weeks.
  • Risk Tolerance / Threshold (variance, draw-downs, returns).
    • Recently we had the risk tolerance throttled to a return level of about .25% per day, then we moved it up to .5%. At .25% and at .5% the software executed well with very little possible down-side scenarios. Then we released the throttle to .6%, .75% and .9% and as the throttle was released above .5% the potential draw-down variance escalated to an uncomfortable point by mid Friday trade last week. Now, it is important to note that I am referring to a ten contract size account, on a thirty contract size account this would be different because the risk tolerance variance is different. A few contracts on a thirty contract size account that are in an intra day loss position is not nearly the same as a ten contract account. For the purpose of our current coding structure we are coding for ten and five contract account size. Soon we will code for twenty, thirty and so on.
    • Our experience last week caused us by the end of the week to settle with running the software for a .5% throttle for the next thirty days. This will allow the accounts to build with the potential of very little draw down.
    • This will provide an average return of .5% per day on an average day with opportunity for up to 2% return on better days and .5% or so on loss days. The loss days and higher return days will be anomalies. After thirty days we will reassess and any throttle adjustments will be made in much smaller increments in future.
  • Target Returns.
    • What is possible on paper (or paper trading) and what is reality when put in to practice (as it relates to machine trading) are two different things (you cannot paper trade test this software with great accuracy). There are many reasons for this, but the primary reasons are order fills and tight time frame high frequency trading (one minute time frame or less). We have completely abandoned the idea of HFT on one minute or less time frames. This is highly competitive, we believe most participants are losing in this space, location of servers relative to the exchange and more become variables. On paper HFT offers 100% return per month (the math works) but order fills (especially on lower time frames) are at issue.
    • So what is a reasonable return expectation for the time-frames we have identified as the most consistent time-frames with the lowest risk thresholds? We know .5% per day or 120% per year is reasonable (based on real life experience) and we believe 1% a day is attainable. We have seen up to 2% per day (in real life scenario) but the draw down scenarios are outside of our current comfort zone. Maybe in future (as returns are realized) we will slowly release the throttle toward that goal.
    • For now we are going to focus on .5% per day with opportunity for some better days that we believe over a number of weeks will result in .5% – .7% on average. Any changes to the code will be very small and incrementally slower.
    • The primary target we use is Renaissance Technologies reported returns;
      • Renaissance’s flagship Medallion fund, which is run mostly for fund employees,[8] “is famed for one of the best records in investing history, returning more than 35 percent annualized over a 20-year span”.[5] From 1994 through mid-2014 it averaged a 71.8% annual return. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renaissance_Technologies
      • If we achieve 120% per year we are doing exceptionally well, we have shown over short duration while testing recently that we can achieve this, the unknown is whether our software can achieve this consistently over a quarter, and a year or more.
  • Order Flow (IDENT).
    • Our software triggers on structure (charting time frames), timing cycles, direction of trade (momentum) and order flow (the IDENT program).
    • Specific to our order flow, it is important to note that as the throttle is released the primary cause of variance or risk threshold widening is the IDENT order flow technology we are developing. In other words, if the throttle is opened to a return of 1% per day vs .5% then the draw-down possibility is much greater because the software is weighing order flow positioning greater than say chart structure. In short the software is following position bias and size based on identified machine trading market players. At issue is the size of account (as I noted above). I mention (or give some description) of the IDENT program and subsequent sizing and positioning as it relates to throttle because the stops widen greatly. A throttle at .5% on average will allow about 11 tick stops (often dynamic trailing) but at 1% the field range in play can be up to 40 or more ticks. It is a structured environment that becomes complex to explain in short but I think you get the idea. The bottom line is that it is most comfortable to have a minimum thirty contract size account for this scenario (as mentioned above) so that when up to five contracts are dealing with a forty tick variance it is not as uncomfortable as a ten contract size account.
  • Summary.
    • We will leave the oil machine trade code risk tolerance throttle for now at where we are most comfortable and where we know it works to the highest degree of certainty, at .5%.
    • Any changes will be small and incrementally slow.
    • This will achieve low down-side risk and consistent gains.

Webinars

  • Crude Oil Trade Webinar
    • We recently ran a one day crude oil trading webinar and after it was complete I stated that we would run a series of shorter crude oil trading webinars to complete descriptions of various set-ups that I wanted to be sure the attendees all had. Anyway, I had planned to do these on Sundays in the afternoons immediately following but I have not had time. Soon I will be continuing these short webinars to complete the rest of the set-ups (structures) for trading crude oil.
  • Swing Trading Webinar
    • With our very successful swing trading platform (we have achieved 100% per year every year and the first quarter of 2019 has been outstanding) many have asked me to do a one day webinar and I planned to get one in before the end of April. This is still my goal and I expect to get a notice out this week for the one day swing trading webinar. Also the P/L for the swing trades will be released soon (Jen is on it).
  • Webinars for the other algorithm models will also be scheduled soon, watch for updates.

Going Private, Personal Subscriber Conversations, Alerts, Personal Trading Set-Ups

Over the last number of days I have had personal Skype conversations with a number of our retail trading clients and commercial enterprise clients. All of which have asked that we remain at least semi public and all have asked that I provide more personal trade insight and alerts. Even though I desire to take our platform 100% private and only bring our current clients with us I am going to make the following adjustments to our plans and announcements will be forthcoming.

  • I will be doing more personal trading, providing more personal trade set-up insight and alerts over the coming weeks and forward. I feel an obligation to this and to be honest it is win – win because many of the subscribers become friends and day to day the reciprocation of trading set up ideas is beneficial for me also. It is a win win, so yes I get it and I will adjust accordingly.
  • Second, I will make adjustment to our “going dark” and only make it semi private. The details will be announced. I think a happy medium balance is to have a basic application process at entry. My main objective is keeping the “casino mind” retail traders out of our midst because I don’t feel it is my skill to train that out of a beginner. My skill is after the casino mind has humbled a retail trader. In other words, teaching structured discipline rule-set trading. So I will make adjustments and announcements will be made over the coming days.
  • Over the coming weeks I will be reaching out to every subscriber on a personal basis to touch base (as time allows I will contact each of you and there is no obligation, I just think its important to do this at least once a year).

Reporting this Week

  • Reporting this week likely won’t start until sometime Monday or Tuesday but any pertinent charting will be sent in the meantime. We spent the weekend re-setting the code (as described above) and reaching out to many of our subscribers for input.

Thanks so much everyone for being part of this journey, your patience in our petri dish science approach, supporting our work and sticking with our efforts to develop a platform by traders for traders for a better trading future and associated freedom.

Any questions or thoughts send me an email compoundtradingofficial@gmail.com.

Best and peace.

Curt