I Have Been Down the Rabbit Hole. 

I know my journey (of the last two and a half years) few have traveled. I know this to be so, like I know I breathe.

I didn’t know before I went down that hole, but I know now – how much I did not know before I went down that hole. And it’s huge. I knew nothing. Few know anything.

I can’t imagine many other disciplines in the world as off-side as this. Nothing, and I mean nothing in regular market banter, conventional stock exchange media or social media ever deals with the reality of what is down that hole. They don’t even know there is a hole (most).

Why is this topic of any importance to a trader or investor?

The topic? A human trader cannot beat real machine learning software and that will matter before the humans know it mattered.

A human trader cannot beat real machine learning software and

that will matter before the humans know it mattered.

Assuming the 80/20 rule applies to the markets, then 20 percent win 80 percent of the trades and reap 80% of the reward (ROE). I don’t know what the real numbers are – it was likely closer to 90/10 before machine learning entered the public stock markets. I would venture to guess it’s 97/3 or so now. But I don’t know.

The problem looks like this… what happens when the machines (run by less than .001% – a guess) garner 90% or more of the market return? Is that possible? I know it is, I know it may be true now, and if not it isn’t far away. What percentage of current liquidity is machine learning trade driven? What percentage of that is on the win side?

What does that look like in the future? How far away is that future? I will bet that future is here now and it has enormous effect on your earning potential (as a human trader). And I will put forward right here that it will end the way humans trade in global markets about five years out. It already has, the humans just haven’t accepted reality.

So why then is this so important? We’re here to win. We trade to win. To earn. To see return on equity. Return on time. The path forward is critical for any trader that derives their income from trading.

Early adopters will win. They will win because they will develop relationships with firms that will provide solutions. They will win because they will adopt the technology, relationships, financial rewards before the technology is out of reach (financially speaking). Or perhaps, never available at certain levels of society. Never available is more likely.

Early adopters will win.

The market is already littered with technology built on poor science. It simply doesn’t work. But the firms that have figured it out… have really figured it out. How long does it take them to hit market capacity? Will they share the technology? I say no, they won’t be sharing.

There are many questions.

At minimum, it’s prudent in my view for a trader to cozy up to the developers. This isn’t a sales pitch, we’re beyond selling anyone. We’ve completed our first machine learning software – we don’t need to sell you. So why write this article? Because I want to share something I’ve learned in the process of development that I think is of critical importance to anyone that has followed our journey. I feel a responsibility to share. Share what  you ask?

You can’t beat the machines. It’s not possible. And I know. I’m a damn good trader and I can’t even beat our first generation software with crude oil futures trade. I don’t think it has lost a trade this month (maybe it has but I don’t think so) and we’re near three weeks in to the month. And it’s not that it hasn’t lost, it is more about how it wins.

It knows before I do. It enters before I do. It trims in to positions and exits when I wouldn’t. It knows things I can’t know, I can’t see. It sees every line on every book in the library instantly, while I search for the right book on the shelf.

It sees every line on every book in the library instantly,

while I search for the right book on the shelf.

How you ask? It has intuitive like capabilities (as I do) but it can process the decisions (as if intuitively) many times faster than I. It has systematic approaches to trade (as do I) but it can process the decisions on thirteen time-frames considering the historical structure of the financial instrument and how each time-frame relates to the next and which structure or time-frame should trump various trade execution decisions (the rule-set).

It is simply faster. It can process 8000 rules and how each rule relates to the next in each of the structures on each time-frame instantaneously. That instantaneous decision would take me at least 12 months full time of charting, historical back testing and deep thought to conclude that one decision. The machine executed on the decision and left the trade behind before I glanced over and seen it was over. I didn’t have time to acknowledge it was leaving the scene.

It’s not only faster, but precise. It enters and exits with absolute precision.

Yesterday (President’s Day holiday) it executed on one trade. The biggest move of the day on a slow day and it executed before the move happened. It shorted oil, I sat watching thinking why the heck is it short here? Tick tock tick tock boom, oil dropped about 37 points near instant, on a low range boring holiday trading day. And it covered in a flash before I could process why exiting the trade at that juncture of trade on the chart was valid. It is fast and it acts as if it is intuitive. And it is only first generation software.

Here’s a post that shows the trade;

A trade or two prior to yesterday’s was the same way. I couldn’t believe what I was watching.

Here’s another example, it knows over and over again where the real move in a time frame is before the move.

And an example of how precise it is in comparison to my personal trade executions;

It’s first month (January) it rang up 63% in oil trade account gains and it was yoked to a human at all times that throttled its executions by about 10 to 1. What am I saying? It could have traded up to 10x the return (assuming the same win rate and ROE on each trade would have transpired had it been non-yolked).

It’s first month (January) it rang up 63% in account gains.

Over the last few days we’ve allowed it autonomy – to a point. It can execute with autonomy when it is executing but we still have it throttled to about 5 to 1, this will be slowly adjusted / released. This week is a holiday week so there is issue in the structure of the models so it will be a slower than usual machine trading week for our model, but next week will be a mad house – a slaughter house. I’m not exaggerating. It doesn’t lose. Okay, it does – maybe, but rarely and for next to nothing for loss when and if it does. If it’s wrong… its out and fast.

If you think this is exaggeration, visit our public facing Discord trading chat room (click here) and randomly ask anyone to step forward and tell you I’m wrong (members I am referring to). Or check out the alert feed yourself. I win around 90% of my personally executed trades in oil (yes documented), it (the machine learning software) wins something nearing 100%. But its wins are the real meat of each trade. My trades are choppy. It harvests the move in a way I cannot. The compound return effect on the difference is astronomical. Click here for a recent article I posted about compound trading gains in oil trade.

We have been working day and night for over two years to develop machine trading software that really works. Why do I say “that really works?” Because most is garbage. Below are the reasons why most algorithmic trading is a waste (how ours was developed) and why you the human trader cannot beat real machine trading execution in the stock market.

Take four people (average at any given time in the development process), have them work 60 – 80 hours a week for 2.5 years. That’s about 14,000 hours. If the methodology used is right you then have at least another 14,000 hours to refine the software rule-set along with constant updates etc. We have now completed the first 14,000 hours. What has that experience taught me? Primarily that a human trader will never beat machine software. And that doesn’t consider machine software that becomes intuitive like – AI, Artificial Intelligence.

Here are just a few (and I mean a few) reasons why you will never out trade the machine – specific to the methodology of development we used to develop our first machine trading software for crude oil futures contracts CL. Yes, I am going to tell you how we did it. Why? Because I won’t tell you how our intuitive development is implemented, that is proprietary and always will be. Here’s the nuts and bolts:

  1. ROI – First month the machine garnered a 63% increase in trade account size and that was only the actionable oil trade alerts. Not the machine HFT returns. This means the software executed many more trades than what was alerted. We can only alert what a human can type fast enough to alert that could be actionable for our membership. Next on our list is a real-time feed for our members (automated alerts). In other words, the machine gained much more than 63% on its trading account, but that is private and always will be. What is public is what we alert that is actionable by a human trader executing trades manually. We are judged on what data can deliver as actionable to our clients.
  2. INSTANT EXECUTION OF DEEP TECHNICAL KNOWLEDGE – Take thirteen time-frames of crude oil (the charts) and find the structure of the financial instrument on each time frame (this is not systematic machine trading, this is an intuitive like process). Not to mention the time involved and cost. The human can’t process decisions on thirteen time-frames (both systematic and intuitive like and as they relate to each other, as described earlier in this article).
  3. INTUITIVE EXECUTION, INSTANT – Each time frame structure as it relates to each other. Continuing specifically the intuitive like component of point 2 above… imagine constructing the models for the structure of the financial trading instrument on thirteen time frames, that in of itself is a massive undertaking. Then being able to almost intuitively determine how intra-day trade relates to each and which trumps the other. This is massive.
  4. FAST EXECUTION. The machine can out execute any human with orders in and out and trailing and on and on. Complex structures of entries and exits and more instantaneously. This is critical for return on each trade.
  5. PRECISE EXECUTION. Have you ever watched crude oil trade on the one minute chart? Precise execution with orders that change frequently in a flash of a second increases returns on each trade considerably. You can’t imagine the importance until you’ve been down the hole.

I am not speaking to;

I’m not speaking to conventional hedge fund robo adviser software. Most of it is junk designed to rob the masses taking advantage of the casino mind or lazy investor.

I’m not speaking to high frequency trading that leverages machine speed, order flow or execution locality. That is a form of HFT we have no interest in. We want transferable knowledge as it applies to the natural trading structure of the financial markets. Transferable in that the process used to derive the model for one can be applied to another.

I’m not speaking to run of the mill python code some random developed in his/her basement with 500.00 and an idea of how an instrument trades (the systematic process).

And finally, I am not speaking to the news oriented bots running software trades on intra-day media or geopolitical driven events.

The intuitive like component is artificial intelligence – machine deep structured learning.

The intuitive like component, beyond systematic machine trading is where the magic is, this is where the depth is, where the future is and the success of such an initiative lies. The intuitive like component is artificial intelligence – machine deep structured learning. It is (as it applies to where we are now) the early building blocks of autonomous machine learning trade.

Beyond systematic machine trading is where the magic is, this is where the depth is, where the future is and the success of such an initiative lies.

How did we get intuitive like software to work? What does intuitive like mean to us?

Here’s a glimpse… a real trader with decades of experience traded real-time for hundreds of hours live with software developers that extracted the intuitive like human understanding – real-time, asking questions, engaging in the why and how at each tick in the chart.

We lived together inside the trade, inside the natural trading structure of the financial instrument (crude oil) and then we replicated its nature in to the code. Only now… we have manifold times more horse-power.

We lived together inside the trade, inside the natural trading structure of the financial instrument (crude oil) and then we replicated its nature in to the code.

The new brain – the new trader, the intuitive like software… can execute hundreds of times faster on thousands of times the information second by second. Every tick on the chart is a complete new set of rules that need confronting, they need to be examined from every angle, back tested, related to each time frame, a plan derived and a trade has to executed right now. A series of right now. With precision.

The bullet hits before you hear it.

This is why the human will never beat (real) machine learning trade software. The only question that determines how good the software is, is how good the trader was that the developers used to extract from that created the entity (the software) and what process was used to do that. The cost? 14,000 – 28,000 hours at hundreds of dollars per hour – for a generation one package. And that is just the start.

It is a different world and we’re not by far the first out of the gate. But I know we’re running one of the better models out there. That I do know. Because it wins when it goes in to battle.

Any trader worth their salt will soon, if not already, understand they need a plan to engage this new frontier.

I also know that any trader worth their salt will soon, if not already, understand they need a plan to engage this new frontier. If you don’t you will regret not taking the time to forge your future. Now.

Best and peace,

Curt

Learn How to Day Trade Crude Oil Here:

Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil – real life articles / examples from an expert crude oil day trader.

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About SOVORON™

SOVORON™ offers a unique trading service providing clients with technology application based Machine Trade of personal investment accounts. To explore their unique client service structure click here http://sovoron.com/ or call 1-849-861-0697.

About Compound Trading Group.

Compound Trading Group is a market data provider to retail, commercial enterprise and institutional traders.

Trader Services – Compound Trading Group provides trader data services such as algorithm development, periodicals, trade coaching, trade alerts and live trading rooms. The near term objective is a digital dashboard environment for traders to fully engage machine trade and intelligent assisted trade data offered only at the commercial enterprise level.

Commercial Enterprise Services – Compound Trading Group develops financial instrument algorithm models and provides connect-ability to its proprietary AI Machine Trading software / data (representing various financial instruments) to private trade and institutional firms. Compound Trading Group also provides enterprise trader training, integration services, custom software / data constructs and strategic partner development opportunities.

Learn more at https://compoundtrading.com.

 

 

 


Large Account Crude Oil Trading Alerts Profit Loss for January 2019.

January Oil Trade Profit / Loss Summary. The profit on our oil trading alerted trades is achieving excellent return for us and our alert clients.

After months of back testing on all time frames and our trading process is now getting locked in for machine trading and manually executed trading for both day trading and swing trading crude oil futures contracts. As such, we will start publishing profit loss reporting for the near term. This will be a series of documents from here forward.

About. We trade many accounts for many different reasons. We are coding software to machine trade on various rule-sets on various time-frames. We are also developing rule-sets (process driven trading) for our traders that have no intention of using our software, that prefer to execute trades manually.

Account Size, Trade Size. Below is the large account profit/loss and the follow up document to this is the small account for the same time period. The large account trades 10 contract size and the small account trades 1 contract size.

It is much more difficult to build a small crude oil futures trading account at 1 contract size than it is to trade and build on a larger 10 contract size account. The returns are significantly different. Studying the two profit/loss statements will help you understand why (small account statement will be released soon). Small accounts have to be traded differently.

Win Rate. Our win side percentage is now consistently well over 90%. Live alerted, recorded in the trading room and permanently logged in our library for members to learn our process of trade and verify, executed live in oil trading room with live voice broadcast and screen sharing with charting, and guidance discussion in the oil trading chat room server on Discord.

Returns. Is it possible to double accounts every 30 days? Review the trade alerts below and decide for yourself.

The Goal is to Provide a Winning Oil Trade Process Specific to Your Risk Threshold and Style. Currently, our focus is assisting our client members with an oil day-trading process and a swing trading process that is easy to learn, reproduce, executed manually that provides a high probability of success.

The day-trading method being used currently is on a one minute time frame chart model that also references the primary EPIC Oil Algorithm model that is a 30 minute chart model and also other time-frame models are used (such as 4 hour, daily, weekly, monthly etc) for consideration to trade size as it applies to key resistance and support areas in the trade of crude oil. Refer to our rule-set (to be published soon) and/or client reports for more detail.

The alerts below can be cross-referenced to the time of day in our oil trading discord chart server and much more learning / data gleaned. There is significant charting of models and guidance to the trades in that server. The learning trader has a massive resource to draw on by methodically studying and cross referencing the data from the alert feed, the server, videos and regular reporting circulars (that will now include rule-set modules).

Our Trade Alerts and Development of The Process is Transparent, Recorded, Time Stamped. The development of the rule-set(s), charting and guidance we provide our trading clients is transparently shared by our staff in our client private Discord oil chart server (the oil trading chat server is included in our oil trading bundle).

The trade alerts below are the whole of the alerts for the month. None have been removed. Various guidance is not included to keep the document as short as possible.

The actual trades are executed by our lead trader and/or software development staff live in our live trading room with live voice broadcast and screen share charting etc.

The oil trade alerts are deployed on a private member oil trade alert Twitter feed (the alerts are provided as a stand-alone service or as a part of the trading bundle with oil chat and weekly reporting).

The various oil trading services are detailed here (click).

Simple Risk Threshold Tool. The intent of producing a profit / loss over view (as you see below) is specifically for our clients to easily determine which method of trade (day trading, short term swing trades (intra day), swing trading, trend trading etc) best suits their trading style and goals.

As such, the profit / loss summary below uses rounded figures (derived with simplicity in mind) for each entry for ease of calculation for trading plan development. Our actual accounts include many more trades, below we only represent the trades we have alerted to our member base – we include below only that which affects the profit / loss of our member clients. Our accounts are private.

Our lead trader (our associate traders) will, at any given time, operate a variety of accounts representing compound trading, swing trading, momentum trading and testing for algorithms and more. This may or may not include cash / leverage accounts, commodity accounts, crypto exchange accounts, paper trade accounts and various algorithmic back testing and simulation accounts and shares the P&L and trade entries and exits in a transparent manner to ensure success (or lack therein) of the algorithms or trade accounts is for the purpose of trader and program development initiatives. https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/

Instruments of Trade. All quotes on our trade alerts are referencing price on FX USOIL WTI and traded on continuous CL futures contracts unless otherwise noted. This is to provide our clients one charting source to refer to as there are many instruments available to trade crude oil. Our algorithm models are developed on and charted on FX USOIL WTI on Trading View (the working models).

Trade Alert Language. The letter “M” denotes a machine trade, otherwise the trade is by our lead trader manually executed. If HFT is noted in the alert, this type of trade (machine executed) can have many high frequency trades in and out of the position. We note this for clients so they are aware but we do not alert every high frequency trade as this would not help our clients on this type of platform. In the near future we will have a manner in which our clients will be able to view the machine trade high frequency trade on a digital platform live.

Trading Style of Lead Trader / Risk Threshold / Goals and Associated Returns. It is important for viewers to know that the lead trader is executing trades with the highest possible probability of win side trade with the lowest amount of risk. A review of the private oil member server discussion will quickly bring to light for any trader that anyone with a slightly higher risk threshold than our lead trader will see returns much higher. Review our feed and determine for yourself, but it is readily transparent that if a trader can accept a 10% loss for significantly higher return trades that much greater return than what you will review below is not just possible but probable – as long as you cut fast when a trade has broken down.

We are a Data Provider Primarily to Serious Retail traders and Private Trading Firms (Commercial Enterprise). We provide service to retail, commercial enterprise (private trading firms) and institutional members. The institutional and commercial enterprise clients primarily utilize our live trading room for their trade alerts. We also provide a direct alert feed for each member client at the commercial / institutional level that also includes per user licensing, training, modified charting structures, support services and more. Our retail clients use our Twitter feed, some use our Discord chat and some the live trading room. Most are subscribed to the bundle service (weekly reporting, oil trading room, Twitter feed as a bundle).

Our Trading Firm Structure. We sell data and we trade our own accounts, we do not trade a fund account of any type or manner or on behalf of anyone or any firm. We are not investment advisers, we are data providers. Many of our commercial enterprise clients do however trade on behalf of their clients or as a part of a fund arrangement. In short, they use our data (charting, alerts and soon machine learning software) to execute trades. We can refer you to any of these enterprises if you are sourcing this type of service.

Proprietary Data. Below we leave out critical direction, methods and process driven explanation as we are entering a new phase in our development. Soon (prior to end of February) we will be contracting our clients to non disclosure, non compete and other forms of contract relations to protect our membership and stake holders on whole.

Price Increases (non existing clients). Price increases will be announced before the end of February 2019. Existing member / client fees do not escalate as we develop our platform as long as the subscription does not lapse. It is our early adopter promise.

Time Zones. The time stamp on Twitter, in Discord, in Trading Room and / or on various screen shots will either be Eastern New York or one hour later (as our lead trader is currently in the Dominican Republic).

Is it possible to double accounts every 30 days – 60 days? Review the trade alerts below and decide for yourself.

Oil Trade Alert #1. High Frequency Machine Trading Alert.

Context for this trade is also on alert feed (not shown here to keep this document from being the size of a book), in the private discord oil chat room server, documented on the live trading room video (that provides more specific detail to each execution than the alert feed below that is missing execution data) and combined with lead trader alerts in alert # 2 below. The coding team advises the clients that HFT alerts are primarily for guidance because there are many trades that cannot be alerted because of the frequency (however, we are coding a digital platform for our clients to view these HFT machine executions live). So in short, until such a platform is developed and deployed the clients can use the guidance to get their trade entry and resistance / supports but not follow the frequency and exact trades. The guidance on the alert feed has been getting better as the month went on (January) and will get more specific as we move forward in time, but it will never be precise (the Twitter platform isn’t built for HFT alerting, the live trading room does work much better however). SO in short, our clients need to use HFT alerts as a guide for their own strategy. The lead trader alerts are easier for the Twitter feed alert subscriber to follow than the machine trades.

Also important to note below, the executions compiled below I have derived directly from the trade account (Jen), so there will be times that the actual execution will be a few ticks different than the alerted price on various media sources of our platform (Twitter, live trading room coverage, oil chat room server, etc). And finally, you will find in some instance data missing from the alert feed simply because the lead trader is busy, but any missing data can be verified on live video log and/or in discord chat record.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

49.41 L trim 49.76 30% = 1050.00

49.41 L trim 49.73 30% = 990.00

49.41 L trim 49.71 30% = 900.00

49.41 L stopped 49.42 10 % = 10.00

Profit / Loss = 2,950.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

49.41 long high frequency program – machine crude oil trade alert for a high frequency program.

crude, oil, trade, alert, machine

49.41 long high frequency program – machine crude oil trade alert for a high frequency program.

M – Machine program will trim 49.79 to 49.86 stops for close 49.42.

oil, trade, alert, machine trading

M – Machine program will trim 49.79 to 49.86 stops for close 49.42. Oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #2. Lead Trader Alerted Long Trade. Manually Executed Trades.

Lead trader was looking for a break of resistance and a squeeze in intra-day trade as described in alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

49.40 L trim 49.59 50% = 950.00

49.40 L trim 49.73 40% = 1320.00

49.40 L stop 49.49 10% = 90.00

Profit / Loss = 2,360.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Long 49.40 for break and squeeze RR high — CURT, lead trader crude oil trade alert.

lead trader, crude, oil, trading, alert, long

Long 49.40 for break and squeeze RR high — CURT, lead trader crude oil trade alert.

Trim 49.59 50% – CURT, lead trader oil trading alert to trim trade.

trim, oil, trade, alert

trim 49.59 50% – CURT, lead trader oil trading alert to trim trade

The remaining executions were alerted in the Discord chat room and live traded in trading room and recorded and available on YouTube for members.

Oil Trade Alert #3. Lead Trader Alerted Short Trade with Possible Reversal. 

This short side trade alert came with an advisory that if it failed and reversed the lead trader would reverse at a certain price.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.21 Short to 51.27 at reversal = – 600.00

51.27 Long to 51.60 = 3300.00

Profit / Loss = 2,700.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Short, crude, oil , trade, alert

Selling 51.21 if it reverses I’m long to 51.64 at 51.27 ish

oil, trade, alert, win, reversal

Trade did in fact reverse and lead trader alerted the closing trade for a win. out of reversal long 51.60

Oil Trade Alert #4. Lead Trader Long Trade With Price Targets. 

Trade # 4 on the month was a long alert with specific price targets at 51.87 then 52.07 from an entry at 51.67.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.67 Long to 51.87 = 1000.00

51.67 Long to 52.06 = 1950.00

Profit / Loss = 2,950.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

lead trade, price target, oil, trade, alert

Long 51.67 to 51.87 price target then 52.07 price target – crude oil trading alert by lead trader.

trim, trade, alert, oil

trim 51.87 50%, alert screen shot to trim the long oil trade

closed, trade, alert, oil, crude

Closed 52.06, successful long trade closed, screen shot capture of oil trading alert feed.

Oil Trade Alert #5. Short Crude Oil Day Trade Alert.

Trade # 5 was a simple 20 point day trade scalp.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

52.45 Short to 52.21 = 2400.00

Profit / Loss = 2,400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

short, oil, trade, alert

selling 52.45 tight, short oil trade alert with tight stops

cover, short, trade, alert

Cover short trade 52.21.

Oil Trade Alert #6. Short Crude Oil Day Trade Alert with Caution.

Trade # 6 was a day trade two point entry alert with a caution to be careful.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size (five each entry)

51.98 Short to 51.87 = 550.00

52.05 Short to 51.87 = 900.00

Profit / Loss = 1,450.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

short, trade, oil, alert

Screen capture of lead trader oil alert – selling 51.98 & 52.05 tight careful – CURT

crude, oil, short, cover, alert

Trade alert to cover oil trade for a profit – covered 51.87 looking for another entry.

Oil Trade Alert #7. Long trade with poor action, closed small profit.

Trade # 7 was quick, trade action was poor.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.97 Long to 52.01 = 400.00

Profit / Loss = 400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alert

Oil trade alert – long 51.97 for tight test

oil, trade, alert, closed, win

out 52.01 taking a break see ya in futures.

Oil Trade Alert #8. Long machine driven trade alert with 50% trim and close.

Trade # 8 was a simple and clean machine traded oil alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.75 Long to 52.04 = 1450.00

51.75 Long to 51.94 = 950.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Machine, trade, alert, crude, oil, long

M – Long 51.75 high frequency program tight stops will advise.

trim, oil, trade, alert

M – trims 50% 52.04

closed, trade, alert, oil

M – closed 51.94. Machine trade alert screen shot of winning trade.

Oil Trade Alert #9, 10 and 11 on one screen capture from feed – small quick trades.

Trades on the month # 9, 10, and 11 were quick scalps intra-day while the lead trader was trying to get a direction of trade going on the day so we have included them in one screen capture below from the live Twitter oil alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

52.14 Long to 52.25 =

Profit / Loss = 1100.00

51.85 Long to 51.94 =

Profit / Loss = 900.00

52.91 Long to 52.92 =

Profit / Loss = 100.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts

Screen capture of oil trading alert feed of 3 quick trades by lead trader.

Oil Trade Alert #12 was a long side trade by the lead trader.

The open long on the trade, the trim, and the closing for a winning trade is on one screen shot below.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.25 Long to 51.43 = 850.00

51.25 Long to 51.65 = 2000.00

Profit / Loss = 2850.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alert, entry, trim, close

This oil trade alert, trim and closing for a win is shown on one screen capture.

Oil Trade Alert #13 Short Trade in Overnight Trading.

Alert # 13 on the month was an overnight futures session trade by our lead trader to the short side. It took some time but it paid off.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.07 Short to 50.74 = 3300.00

Profit / Loss = 3300.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

Short, trade, alert, crude, oil, futures, overnight

Selling 51.07 will advise – CURT Overnight crude oil futures alert.

covered, short, oil, trade,

Covered 50.74 for a winning oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #14, 15, 16. Scalp Trades.

Alert # 14, 15, 16 on the month are three trade alerts on one screen image because they were small scalp trades as lad trade was trying to find direction in oil trade intra-day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

51.15 Short to 51.13 = 200.00

51.18 Short to 51.11 = 700.00

51.90 Long to 51.93 = 300.00

Profit / Loss = 1200.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts, scalps

The next three trade alerts are on one screen image because the were small scalp trades to find direction in oil trade.

Oil Trade Alert #17 and 18. Lead Trader and Machine Trading Software Reversal Trade Win.

Alert # 17 and 18 are a flurry of oil trade alerts that include a reversal for a win with lead trader and the machine trading software alerting executions also.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

51.20 Short to 51.03 = 519.00

51.20 Short to 51.30 = – 700.00

51.30 Long to 51.53 = 690.00

51.30 Long to 51.63 = 990.00

51.30 Long to 51.66 = 1800.00

Profit / Loss = 3299.00

Machine Software Trades Executed.

51.36 Long to 51.53 = 510.00

51.36 Long to 51.56 = 600.00

51.36 Long to 51.47 = 440.00

Profit / Loss = 1550.00

Live Twitter Oil Trade Alert Feed Screen Captures.

oil, trade, alerts, win, lead trader, machine, software

The next flury of oil trade alerts includes a reversal for a win with lead trader and machine trading software.

lead trader, machine aoftware, crude, oil, trading, alerts

This screen image of the live alert feed shows the lead trader and software executing trades for members.

screen, shot, capture, oil, trade, alerts

Screen shot captured of closing the winning side oil trade alerts.

Oil Trade Alert #19. Lead Trader Pre-market in to Regular Market Open.

Alert # 19 is a series of trade alerts for crude oil in pre-market in to regular market open.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.67 to 52.93 = 1300.00

Long 52.67 to 53.08 = 1200.00

Long 52.67 to 53.03 = 1080.00

Profit / Loss = 3580.00

premarket, crude, oil, trade, alerts

Series of trade alerts for crude oil in premarket in to regular market open.

Oil Trade Alert #20, 21, 22. Daytrading Crude Oil Alerts.

Alerts # 20, 21, 22 is a screen shot of live trade alert feed lead trader trading crude oil day trading snipes to get trend for day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.02 to 54.07 = 500.00

Long 53.76 to 53.85 = 900.00

Long 53.77 to 53.87 = 1000.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

daytrading, crude, oil, alerts

This is a screen shot of live trade alert feed lead trader trading crude oil daytrading snipes to get trend for day.

Oil Trade Alert #23 and 24. A Small Loss and a Day-trade Win.

Alerts # 23 and 24 The first loss on trade alerts is shown here and a small winning oil trade alert.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.85 to 54.00 = 1500.00

Sold 53.91 to 53.93 = – 200.00

Profit / Loss = 1300.00

Oil, trade, alerts, a loss, a win

The first loss on trade alerts is shown here and a small winning oil trade alert.

Oil Trade Alert #25 and 26. Another Small Gain (flat) and a Day-trade Win.

Alerts # 25 and 26 Next on oil trade alert feed a small gain (basically flat) and a short trade winning day trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.20 to 54.21 = 100.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.66 = 270.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.60 = 600.00

Sold 52.75 to 52.59 = 480.00

Profit / Loss = 1450.00

daytrade, crude, oil, alert

Next on oil trade alert feed a small flat and a short trade winning daytrade.

Oil Trade Alert #27. Clean Win on this Day Trade Oil Alert.

Alert # 27 on the oil trading alert feed a lead trader clean win on a long trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.05 to 52.24 = 950.00

Long 52.05 to 52.27 = 670.00

Long 52.05 to 52.29 = 690.00

Profit / Loss = 2410.00

oil, trade, alert, long, win

Next on the oil trading alert feed a lead trader clean win on a long trade.

Oil Trade Alert #28. Clean Day Trade Win on this Alert.

# 28 trade alert is a long side upside break on 1 minute oil model our traders use.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.06 to 53.31 = 2500.00

Profit / Loss = 2500.00

Daytrade, oil, crude, alert

Next trade alert is a long side upside break on 1 minute oil model our traders use.

Oil Trade Alert #29. Sniping Long Day Trade.

# 29 is a small daytrade snipe long by our lead trader on crude oil trading alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.13 to 53.22 = 900.00

Profit / Loss = 900.00

sniping, crude, oil, alert

Small daytrade snipe long by our lead trader on crude oil trading alert feed.

Oil Trade Alerts #30 and 31. Flat trades with a special report coming for the one.

# 30 and 31 – Next two alerts on the oil feed are flats and the one became high frequency (manually traded high frequency) that a special report is due out on. When the report comes out (it is an intensive video of many trades) I will link that report to this here.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Profit / Loss = 0

two, oil, trades

Next two alerts on the oil feed are flats and the one became high frequency that a special report is due out on.

Oil Trade Alerts #32, 33, 34. 

# 32, 33, 34 –  Next 3 oil trades are post EIA and one is good the others are tight tests on the alert feed.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.96 to 52.70 = 2600.00

Long 52.71 to 52.68 = 300.00

Long 52.77 to 52.77 = 00.00

Profit / Loss = 2900.00

oil, trade, alerts

Next 3 oil trades are post EIA and one is good the others are tight tests on the alert feed.

Oil Trade Alerts #35. Small loss on a day trade.

# 35 –  This oil trade alert is for a small loss intra day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.32 to 53.24 = – 800.00

Profit / Loss = – 800.00

Oil, trade, alert, loss

This oil trade alert is for a small loss intra day.

Oil Trade Alerts #36, 37. One loss one win.

# 36 and #37 –  More day trading crude oil alerts with one loss and one winning trade.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.12 to 52.00 = – 1200.00

Long 52.47 to 52.62 = 1500.00

Profit / Loss = 300.00

One win one lose, daytrades, oil, alerts

More day trading crude oil alerts with one loss and one winning trade.

Oil Trade Alert #38. Two daytrade wins.

# 38 Next are two long daytrade oil alerts both winning trades for snipe trades.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 52.72 to 52.84 = 600.00

Long 52.72 to 52.88 = 900.00

Long 52.88 to 53 = 1200.00

Profit / Loss = 2700.00

long, oil, trade, alerts

Next are two long daytrade oil alerts both winning trades for snipe trades.

Oil Trade Alert #39. Nice win.

# 39 This was an excellent crude oil day trade alert for a nice win. Screen shot.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.32 to 53.41 = 270.00

Long 53.32 to 53.50 = 1260.00

Profit / Loss = 1530.00

day trade, crude, oil, trade, alert, win

This was an excellent crude oil day trade alert for a nice win. Screen shot.

Oil Trade Alert #40. Clean Day Trade on the Model.

# 40 Another winning oil trade alert. Nice simple gains on intra day trading of the model.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 53.59 to 53.75 = 800.00

Long 53.59 to 53.91 = 1600.00

Profit / Loss = 2400.00

trade, alert, oil, daytrade

Another winning oil trade alert. Nice simple gains on intra day trading of the model.

Oil Trade Alert #41. Small win.

# 41 Next trade on alert feed is a small snipe intra day.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 54.24 to 54.29 = 500.00

Profit / Loss = 500.00

oil, trade, alert, intra day

Next trade on alert feed is a small snipe intra day. Crude oil trading alerts.

Oil Trade Alert #42, 43, 44. $XOM Earnings Win, DWT Short Swing Trade Win, Daytrade Win.

# 42, 43, 44 – The next 3 alerts are $XOM long in to earnings that went exceptionally well, DWT close short swing (nearly doubled), long day trade crude oil.

Profit / Loss Summary:

10 Contract Size

Lead Trader Trades Executed.

Long 55.00 to 55.23 = 1150.00

Long 55.00 to 55.22 = 1100.00

Profit / Loss = 2250.00

Short DWT 13.55 to 8.73 @ 1000 = 4820.00

Profit / Loss = 4820.00

Short DWT 13.55 to 8.73 closed, nice trade and it followed the plan for the price target. #swingtrading #crudeoil #OOTT $CL_F $USO $WTI $UWT $DWT

$XOM long 72.60 Thurs in to earnings, Fri HOD 76.49, Closed Session Fri 75.92. #swingtrading #earnings #OOTT #Oil #Gas #TradeAlerts

XOM, earnings, DWT, short, swing trade, daytrade, crude, oil, alerts

The next 3 alerts are $XOM long in to earnings, DWT close short swing, long day trade crude oil.

Remember, for each of these trade there is a process. This process can be learned, reproduced and executed at will. We have a video library on YouTube, private oil chat room on Discord, live trading room, live alert feeds and numerous reports that come out regularly.

There is no fluke in this winning process. It is very systematic and predictable. All you have to do is put the time in to it to study it and practice it and reap the reward. We have done the heavy lifting in advance for you.

Conclusion.

One Month Statistics:

Trade Account Increase = +63.05%

Trade Account Profit = $63,049.00

Wins = 41

Losses = 3

Win rate = 93%

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Crude, Oil, Trade, Trading, Alerts, Profit, Loss, Futures, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Crude Oil Day Trade Strategies (Live Video from Oil Trading Room with Alerts) for EIA, Market Open, Model Resistance, Time Cycles.

This video does not have any high flying trades, what it does have is important lessons for day trading crude oil and understanding how to use the oil trading models to your advantage. It also discusses in detail the time cycles and what to expect in trade action.

#oil #trading #strategies

Voice broadcast starts at 13:30 on oil trading room video.

January 30, 2019 Oil Trading Room Live Session Summary Notes.

13:30 premarket for regular market open comments about important resistance on EPIC Algorithm model and where trade should settle intra-day (at top of quad or mid quad) in advance of EIA petroleum report at 10:30.

14:30 comment to not buying the “pop” in price as I expected crude oil trade to calm in advance of EIA report timing. The resistance hidden pivot (yellow horizontal line on chart) is discussed.

15:00 Comments toward time cycle inflection on global markets (including crude oil) over next 3 or 4 days is discussed. We could inflect up or down on other side of time cycle peak. 55s is very possible (even a blow off in to 56 is possible) as an inflection up over next few days and a double extension up could happen. Time cycle in to mid May 2019 is the main pocket of trade sizing timing. See special report guidance in to May 2019 for crude oil.

Time cycle from end of Dec to now was difficult to trade with swing trade sizing but the next time cycle I can’t miss (the one starting in next few days in to mid May).

18:40 looking for whether price trade can get above pivot and structure a base for a trade on the model.

At 37:37 I comment to stagnant trade not being a surprise in to EIA and that I was looking for a slight short 20 to 30 points in to EIA. Trading 54.00 intra-day.

By 1:13:37 on oil trading room video you can see price did come off as expected.

At 1:17:30 EIA is in just under a minute. The model support and resistance is explained.

1:18:40 the one minute model has resistance in trade just over-head (chart not shown).

1:19:20 I announce the EIA petroleum report results and comment that generally trade should be bullish. At 1:20:00 price hits near top of quad.

For a number of weeks we’ve been targeting 55s Jan 31 to Feb 3 so this could be what finishes the trajectory on that time cycle peak.

Screen capture of oil trading room… “could be final move in to 55s if open is strong.”

oil, trading, room, alert, chart

Screen capture of oil trading room… could be final move in to 55s if open is strong

1:21:40 I am long at 54.24 for a trade above 1 minute support and EPIC model support. Test size trade long crude oil.

EPIC Crude Oil Trade Alert feed screen capture showing trade alerts for trade on the day. You can see that earlier in the day in overnight futures trade that I was actively trading for decent profit.

crude, oil, trade, alerts

EPIC Crude Oil Trade Alert feed screen capture showing trade alerts for trade on the day.

Resistance 54.32 is noted as key resistance for the trade and the top of the quad and a comment to not getting to excited because of the various resistance points nearby.

1:23:27 we get a touch to the resistance. The test of resistance is commented to. 54.59 upside price target discussed if resistance is breached. Price did in fact hit that on the day later.

Resistance at mid point of trading box on the 1 minute model is discussed. At 1:26:00 on video I close the trade for a small gain at 54.29. Wasn’t interested in dealing with the resistance.

Remember at this point I am still holding DWT short from a number of days ago. The entry short was 13.57 and it hit 8s intra-day. Hoping for 7s before closing.

1:28:15 I show on the model the upside scenario and channel resistance being likely.

1:28:40 I discuss the recent sell off in crude oil in to 41s and our call to 55s in to this time cycle peak is discussed and why this area of trade is low risk reward. Also discussed is the type of trade action to expect in to the peak of the cycle in to Jan 31 – Feb 3.

Later in day I reiterate the time cycle peak in crude oil with price target guidance and visual representation of the time cycle and price target on oil chart model for our member strategy.

Time cycle conclusion near term on oil is 55.40 price target from previous reports last number of weeks (could spike in to 56.00) expiring on about Jan 31 – Feb 3. HOD was 54.90. We expect at min a small pull back. FX USOIL WTI
Likely close short DWT (long oil) soon for short term only.
Curt Melonopoly Yesterday at 11:37 PM
Visual representation of the crude oil time cycle

Screen capture from oil trading chat room discussing trading strategies for time cycle peak and price target.

oil, trading, room, price target, time cycle, strategy

Later I reiterate time cycle crude oil price target and visual representation of time cycle and price target.

THE TAKEAWAYS – Main Oil Trading Strategies Learned on Video:

Just because oil was bullish in to the market open and normally that would mean a buy trigger – it doesn’t always mean buy.

– In this instance it was Wednesday and the timing of EIA coming in one hour after open had me hold off my long trade because trade normally softens in advance of EIA. Bulls and bears stand-off. Also, there was a key pivot resistance on the oil chart model in play. For these reasons and more the trade set-up was not ideal for risk reward. It wasn’t a high probability long trade.

Know your resistance and support when trading and get out quick when resistance becomes real like with my EIA trade on this video.

It is highly recommended you review recent reporting, discord room chat (regular guidance is posted in the oil chat room private server) and the various videos that are released on a regular basis.

Recent Learning Posts and Videos (most are premium member locked posts).

Jan 29 – Trading the Main Support and Resistance on EPIC Algorithm Model. How to Post.

100 Tick Move | Crude Oil Day Trading Strategies | Trade Model Support and Resistance.

Jan 27 – Premium Member Private Post (Weekly Reporting & Guidance).

Oil Trade Strategies | Day Trading Crude Oil | Premium Member Weekly Guidance.

Jan 22 – Compounding Gains Day trading Crude Oil.

Not Just Concept: Day Trading Crude Oil 10K – 1 Million in 24 Mos at 10 Ticks Day (Compound Gains).

Jan 20 – Weekly Crude Oil Trading Strategy Guidance Private Post for Premium Members.

Oil Trade Strategy | Day Trading Crude Oil Futures | Premium Weekly Guidance.

Jan 19 – A detailed inside look at our day traders’ strategies in crude oil day trading room.

How I Day Trade Crude Oil +90% Win Rate | Friday’s 158 Tick Move | The Strategy We Used To Trade It.

Jan 18 – By far one of the most important videos for day trading crude oil since our inception;

How I Day Trade Crude Oil on One Minute Chart | Trading Signals | Alerts (with video).

Jan 14 – Oil day traders need to see this article;

Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy | Oil Trading Room Video | Lead Trader Guidance.

If you have any questions send me a note please!

Best and peace!

Curt

PS Remember to protect capital at all cost, cut losers fast and know that when you win you really win. Use the 1 min charting model for entry timing, cut losers fast and re-enter if you have to. Do that until you learn how to be a regular win-side trader.

Further Learning:

If you would like to learn more, click here and visit our Crude Oil Trading Academy page for complimentary oil trading knowledge – posts from our top crude oil traders that includes learning systems, blog posts and videos.

Welcome to NYMEX WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures.

Subscribe to Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

Article Topics: Day Trading, Crude, Oil, Futures, Oil Trading Room, Strategy, Price Targets, Time Cycles, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO

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Our Live Documented Journey to Compound Day Trading Crude Oil Futures for Gains That 99% Would Only Dream Possible…

And one of the best parts of our mad journey; we’re now beyond Concept and Theory…

and we’re proving it LIVE (well on our way to… Fact).

We are now Trading Crude Oil to Over 1% Per Day Returns, Live.

We have many other trades that are not live also because we are testing many models).

It’s been a bit of a petri dish. So far.

But as of late we’ve stopped the petri. It was unavoidable (the petri part).

Side thought – In all fairness, only we know what the petri part is (well not completely true because members do know the rules for the most part). The important point being… we’re done petri.

We are now trading crude oil in our process with consistency and ease, real-time live and we’re recording it, we are alerting the crude oil trades on a private Twitter member feed and sharing our work process (including all rules sets, thoughts, charts and more) in chat, and we’re even trading crude oil live in our oil trading room with screen share of our charts and voice broadcast from myself alerting the trades.

0.

The probabilities that our rule-set fails now after hundreds of trades, especially now that we are in minimal discovery and quickly moving to refinement and consolidation phases is… well, near 0.

Maybe.

Oh, and even more reason … our software runs trades near 24 hours a day now (non-alerted at this point), and nearly never loses. When it does, it’s for pennies. Soon we’ll unleash him/her (it) live.

Maybe.

For all intents and purpose, we don’t lose when manually executing trades either. Sure, we do lose sometimes, but very small if we do – very small. And even our manual executions are getting better all the time. And we (I) suck as traders.

Here’s an even better part; 3%, not 1% sees 10,000.00 to 2 Million Dollars in 180 days. And we’re going to do it.

Nobody knows the future! I know, I know.

1 – 3 Hours a Day.

A cool part… we do 1% or more with 1 – 3 hours a day of trade focus. Usually closer to an hour or so. We’re kind of busy with something I never thought I’d be doing…. code, machine learning, science, quantum thingys and other mind places.

Anybody Does Do It.

And better yet; anybody can do it. Why? Because we’re refining the process to its most simplest form. Quantum mind things to simple.

But there’s too many lines! I know, I know.

We have non traders (on staff) starting to use the rule-set and even starting to alert their trades. And the coolest part, they may be better at executing the trading rule-set than the experienced oil traders (initial indications are this could be very plausible).

We Like Tents… Almost as Much as We Love Beaches.

And the near best part (in my little world)… the money ain’t the motivator – I’d be equally happy living in a tent on a beach. Oh wait, I almost do. The shiny floors at the Hard Rock in Punta Cana were never my thing anyway.

And the best part; freedom is near (unless the world ends or something). Not only is freedom near for our staff (that have worked tirelessly day and night) but for our clients and members and their families and their families. Get the drift? This is why I’m so excited.

The Dream Realized. Next!

And we’re near done the first of many (instrument trading processes) we are developing. We’re in the final phases with our oil trading platform, soon it will simply be maintenance updates to the manual trading and machine trading parts of our oil trading services.

Yes, the other algorithm models and swing trading are next.

The Point? 

Sharing our journey. I did promise when we started all this. That I would share.

Selling you on it. So you can join the movement to freedom. So you can help. So maybe you can be a part of it. Maybe you’ll take the next steps? Maybe anything is possible.

Maybe you will be our next donor when our software development needs a few million for the app.

Or maybe we’ll just boot strap that too.

Maybe I’ll inspire you. That would be novel.

Promises.

I also promised our sharing will end soon. It will be this year.

We’ll still be around to chat.

We’ll still have our enterprise.

We just won’t share.

It’s tiring. I just made a promise to share, to a point:)

How is it Done? … the trading up 1% gains or better in crude oil a day.

Members stay tuned for Part 2 of this post. Until then study the most recent report here:

Protected: Oil Trade Strategy | Day Trading Crude Oil Futures | Premium Weekly Guidance.

Non members can visit our unlocked posts here:

Crude Oil Trading Academy : Learn to Trade Oil.

Non members could also get off their ass and subscribe and learn live. Just sayin.

How Does 10,000.00 turn in to over 1 Million at a Compound Rate in Less than Two Years?

When we first started this crazy venture I posted the post, it has a link to the calculator,

Come to think of it, I wrote it around the time that everyone told me I was nuts.

Fuel.

How $10,000 Turns in to 1 Million in 24 Mths @ 1% Per Day Compound Stock Trading.

Is There a Process in the Madness?

We have tried to explain it in the few moments of rest between days of no sleep and falling asleep in very strange places randomly the last two years.

The Development Process.

We Weren’t Smart Enough to Think This Up.

We suspect we’re using similar ideas…

The mathematician who cracked Wall Street.

There’s my share of the month.

Now go spin it up.

And give EPIC Crude Oil Algorithm a follow.

day trading, crude, oil compound, gains

Day Trading Crude Oil 10K – 1 Million in 24 Mos at 10 Ticks Day (Compound Gains)

Best and peace.

Curt

PS

Members stay tuned for Part 2 of this post.

Follow the Madness:


In an effort to provide trading guidance to our members on a regular basis and in the spirit of operating a transparent trading service, my letter to members below should provide clarity on our goals for 2019 and how we see the markets shaping up for trade.

2017 and 2018 Market Guidance Review.

Prior to the election we signaled bullish on equities and had a fantastic six months post election with huge returns. Then consistently our returns have softened and the last quarter returns have been less than 40% (if calculated on an annual basis) – specific to no algorithm trades. So we went from 400% to 40% since the election (again, if you calculated various time frames based on annual basis).

Late June of 2018 we started signalling a slow down in equities and our alerts and swing trading publications slowed, the market did in fact turn down. However, the end of that time cycle is here now.

Our time cycle work with instrument structure has been by far our highest probability guidance.

2019 Market Guidance Overview.

The list below coincides with our algorithm models and swing trading.

At this point, the time cycle inflection looks as follows;

SPY / equity markets bullish in to early May 2019 (some sectors will do better than others – hence our theme based approach to swing trade reporting and alerts in to 2019) with possibility for more frequent volatility spikes.

Oil bullish in to early May 2019.

VIX bearish in to early May 2019 however (as above) we see probability of VIX spikes very high.

Gold and Silver to hold moderate with likely pressured trade to bearish side.

Bitcoin as with Gold and Silver.

US Dollar DXY to come under bearish pressure.

If the above plays out as we expect then come mid May 2019 there is a high likelihood that the opposite for everything listed above (with possibly the exception being DXY) will be in play.

HOWEVER, IT IS CRITICAL to be aware that the guidance above can flip with the markets. Geopolitical risk is rampant right now. Our reporting depth will be significant for this reason. The instrument structure will be the focus and time frame of trade key to each structure. Stay flexible to the market inflections and trade the instrument structure (support and resistance therein) to your chosen time frame.

Reporting and Trade Alerts in the Next Time Cycle. 

The algorithm and swing trading reports will all be updated and distributed between Tuesday Jan 8 – 15 2019 to allow for two days of market action (this Monday and Tuesday) in to this new time cycle (post holiday).

There will be follow up reporting to approximately Jan 23rd that will focus on instrument structure (trading ranges on different time frames) for the algorithm models and swing trade equities we follow and then intensive thereafter through six month time cycle.

The deep dive we will be doing is for our trading on different time frames (swing trade and day trading) – you will find our trading to be significantly more active than the previous six months. This will include the machine trading in oil.

I should point out here also that the swing trade reporting and trades will be selective / theme based as we see a stock pickers six months next.

2018 / 2019 Work in Progress List.

We do have some team WIP left over from 2018 that will be cleaned up in January (it is nominal clerical type stuff for the most part). Some of the list is below:

  • Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon. This has been difficult to publish because our learning curve has been parabolic (the more you know about how an instrument trades the more you know that you didn’t know prior).
    • Our learning curve is starting to level out now so this will be released soon.
  • Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when API integration complete).
    • For now I will be verbally feeding these in to the live trading room, however, Jeremy is working on the API soon for automation.
  • New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
    • Early in 2019 there will be a price increase on all services (when everything is updated).
  • Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
    • This will occur with the deep dive we are doing over next month in reporting initiative.
  • Trading Profit Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
  • Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
  • Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
  • New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
  • 1 day Boot Camps for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
    • We wanted to do this late 2018 but time didn’t allow, we’re targeting Feb 2019.
  • 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for Feb / Mar ish 2019.
  • Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
  • Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).

2019 Platform Normalization (copied from last member update)

In year one our goal was to simply get lift to our basic trading service platform and that was accomplished.

In year two (2018) our goal was to develop the software for machine trading to the oil model and bring forward various other development and that has been accomplished (it has been much more work than we expected and we are just there).

In year three (2019) our focus will be to normalizing our trading services platform in the first 6 months. Our focus also will be toward trading for profit and building our learning centers for our trading community. In the latter 6 months we will turn our focus back to software development with coding BTC and SPY at minimum. The difference will be that we expect to have staff in each area of the platform so that areas of service are not interrupted (stretched) with a start up staff size.

In summary, this means that we are cleaning up our work in progress from 2018 and going in to 2019 our service will be hyper focused on trading, reporting, trade alerts and the development of learning systems for our membership base.

The time cycle starting in to the new year is significant in size in global markets and we intend to capitalize on the opportunity this brings.

Remaining Discount Codes Expire Tuesday Midnight.

Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use.

Subscribers: read disclaimer.

 

 

 

 

 

 


Some Discount Codes Remain from our December Special 40% Discount Member Only Offer.

In December we offered our clients a one time discount on services, some discount codes remain.

This is now available to our mailing list at large for 24 hours only.

We then will offer the remaining discount codes to the general public to complete the annual discount offering.

Details are below from our previous member offer posting:

It’s that time of year and we’re ringing in the new year with exclusive discounts for our members.

The 40% discount is available on any service listed on the shop page below,

The coupon codes are limited to 10 per item only – when they are used up they become unavailable:

Use promo code: jen40

Pricing / Features / Promos – Pricing Tables (click).

This special Christmas discount is available for Trade Alerts, Algorithm and Swing Reporting, Trade Coaching, and Live Trading Room.

Some conditions apply;

  • The pricing code discount cannot be used in conjunction with any other discount offer code.
  • For existing members that have paid can use this offer to run after existing membership period completes.
  • The 40% off discount is applicable to published pricing per the pricing table link above, the discount does not apply to legacy members that may have special rates.
  • There are 10 coupon codes issued for each item on the pricing table per link above.
  • The sale ends Dec 31, 2018 whether all the coupon codes are used up or not.
  • The discount rate cannot be renewed, so if you want to take advantage of the discount for a longer duration then select a 3, 6 or 12 month option at check out vs one month.
  • Other terms and conditions may apply.

If you have any problems at check out with the coupon code or if you have any questions email Jean at compoundtradingofficial.com

Enjoy your Christmas and lets trade!

Jen, Compound Trading Group


December Special 40% Discounts. Member Only Offer:

It’s that time of year and we’re ringing in the new year with exclusive discounts for our members.

The 40% discount is available on any service listed on the shop page below, the coupon codes are limited to 10 per item only – when they are used up they become unavailable:

Use promo code: jen40

Pricing / Features / Promos – Pricing Tables (click).

This special Christmas discount is available for Trade Alerts, Algorithm and Swing Reporting, Trade Coaching, and Live Trading Room.

Some conditions apply;

  • The pricing code discount cannot be used in conjunction with any other discount offer code.
  • For existing members that have paid can use this offer to run after existing membership period completes.
  • The 40% off discount is applicable to published pricing per the pricing table link above, the discount does not apply to legacy members that may have special rates.
  • There are 10 coupon codes issued for each item on the pricing table per link above.
  • The sale ends Dec 31, 2018 whether all the coupon codes are used up or not.
  • The discount rate cannot be renewed, so if you want to take advantage of the discount for a longer duration then select a 3, 6 or 12 month option at check out vs one month.
  • Other terms and conditions may apply.

If you have any problems at check out with the coupon code or if you have any questions email Jean at compoundtradingofficial.com

Enjoy your Christmas and lets trade!

Jen, Compound Trading Group

 

 


Welcome to the Next Trading Boot Camp Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic!

  • 10 Student Maximum for in person attendance. 25 Student Maximum for online attendance.
  • Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us!
  • New Student 30% Discount (2999.00 – 899.70 = 2099.30) for this session, use code “coach30” at check-out.
  • Returning Student Alumni 50% Discount (2999.00 – 1499.50 = 1499.50), use code “alumni” at check-out.
  • Event price 2999.00 (less discount), includes the training (online or in-person) plus;
    • Attendees receive All Access Membership (1499.00 value) incl for 30 days – click here for detail.
    • Attendees receive Video Recordings of Previous Trade Coaching Boot Camp (1499.00 value).
    • Attendees receive previously recorded 20 Hour Master Class Series video set (1499.00 value).

Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next trade coaching boot camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic November 30 – December 2, 2018.

Register to Trade Coaching Boot Camp Here.

If you can’t attend in person you can attend the class online virtually and take part in question and answer as if you were in the boot camp live.

Location Video for the Trade Coaching Boot-Camp:

Curriculum Outline (customized for the group booked – appropriate to skill-set and requests).

You can find / review details of previous boot-camps and copies of previous trade coaching itinerary details (memorandums etc) at this link.

  • What is a trading plan?
  • Trader Vocabulary
  • Risk Management: Sizing, Risk-Reward Calculations
  • Stock Evaluation: Fundamental versus Technical Analysis
    • Basic Technical Analysis Tools: Price Action, Catalysts, Indicators, Pre-Market/After-Market, Earnings, and others
    • Keyword and News Analysis
  • Putting a trading plan into action
  • Risk Management: Time dimensions, scaling in and out of trades
  • Technical Analysis: Time/Price Cycles, Fibonacci, Elliot Wave, Charting, and others
  • Bringing it all together: simulated trading in equities, commodities and crypto.
  • Real-time trade planning for intra-day and swing traders
  • Technical Analysis: Combining multiple analytic tools, inverses, algorithmic and black box modeling, third-party scripting and widgets
  • Open Q/A. You trade your own account in a live environment
    • Availability of team trading pending on group sizes

Your Instructor.

A rare opportunity to receive trade coaching from a thirty year Wall Street trading veteran, you won’t regret this small investment for a future of freedom. Click here for our lead trader biography and trading disciplines.

Learn how to trade like the pros using technical set-ups only the largest funds have access too. The stock market’s liquidity is exponentially being traded more and more by algorithmic traders and machine trading.

Our trade coaching equips the every-day trader with a serious edge to compete in this new market generation.

The lead trader at Compound Trading is a technical market architect contracted by many funds in the stock market – he knows how to structure your trades to compete.

This opportunity won’t present itself for long as our lead trader is nearing retirement.

Third party professional authority profile of our lead trader.

The Cost.

Pricing is 2999.00 for the 3 days (you pay travel, meals, hotel). We are running a 30% discount for this session, use code coach30 at checkout.

Travel Assistance.

Let us know if you need a hand with hotel recommendations and more! The boot camp is held right at Cabarete Beach (Lonely Planet – Cabarete Link) for coordinating your hotel. We can also refer you to gated communities nearby with packages. Many students come days prior or stay days after the boot camp to trade with our lead trader, other traders and enjoy some of the excursions available on the island!

Any questions let us know!

The Compound Trading Group Team

Register to Trade Coaching Boot Camp Here.

Email: info@compoundtrading.com


A Real-Life Simple to Reproduce, Consistent Example of a Winning Crude Oil Day Trading Strategy From Our Lead Trader.

How Algorithmic Trading Can Help You Win Consistently (from our trading room on Friday). Man and Machine.

Day trading crude oil futures is not easy… but it is at the same time. The most difficult for me is executing trades based on what I know is right – the most probable winning trade set-ups for buy/sell signals as provided by our algorithmic oil trading model.

This is why I always tell our clients to study the rule-set and use trade alerts only for a heads-up and to use your own trading plan based on your understanding, sizing, comfort area etc. Behind the alerts is a real trader too (at least as it applies to my alerts, our machine trading alerts are a different story going forward).

The buy/signals provided by our algorithm provide structured day trading that increases my win rate greatly – but only when I respect the rules of the model.

I have published a number of articles now detailing the basic rules of the model to assist traders with a better win rate. My personal win rate went from (at best) 60% to approximately 90% (it fluctuates between 80%-95% on an annual basis – there is an ebb and flow). All time stamped live trade alerts.

In our oil trading room last Friday I was triggering trades as was our machine trading technician – man vs. machine (again).

The bottom line: the machine (without effort) won (following the rule-set), and I won – that is until I got greedy.

Both the machine trading technician and I were triggering long side positions near the same time in to the Friday regular market open (my long entries were adds to the previous night futures trade I was already in).

The trade worked well and when the trade met its price target area of the algorithmic model structure (resistance) the machine trade trimmed and then closed on some pull-back and I closed completely.

But I started looking for a further break-out above the algorithmic model signal of resistance as provided by EPIC the Crude Oil Algorithm (after I already had a winning trade). This was the error.

But I started looking for a further break-out above the algorithmic model signal of resistance as provided by EPIC the Crude Oil Algorithm (after I already had a winning trade).

So yes, my day was affected negatively (not that bad because I recovered some by trading bounces during the intra-day reversal sell off), but not good because my trading day could have been very positive vs. negative / stressful on the day.

There is a low stress easier way – just follow the rules of the model. The algorithmic trading model provides a consistent, simple, highly profitable structure for day trading (and even swing trading) crude oil.

Below I explain what I did right and what I did wrong, how easy it is to trade crude oil using proven strategies (with EPIC Oil Algorithm) and how easy it is to get greedy – hopefully my real-life experience helps your trading.

#CrudeOil #AlgorithmicTrading #TradingStrategy FX: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO 

The Trade Details (actual screen shots of the alert feed, charting and commentary).

Below is the initial alert (screen shot from our trade alert feed on Twitter) by our oil machine trading technician at 9:17 AM on Friday October 19, 2018. The technician alerted a trade signal long machine buy program in to the regular market open at 69.25 on the algorithmic charting.

Our algorithmic charting is produced on crude oil FX USOIL WTI and this can be used for trading oil futures CL, ETNs / ETFs such as United States Oil Fund (USO), SCO, UCO, UWTI, DWTI and more.

algorithmic, trading, buy, program, oil

Crude Oil Trade Alert (screen shot) – Machine Trade Buy program initiated in to open 69.25 917 AM – 19 Oct 2018.

At 9:20 PM October 18, 2018 in futures trade the night prior (Thursday night) I alerted to the feed a long side trade entry at 68.93 as a test trade for the break of upside resistance area. So at this point I was in at 68.93 long and the technician was in the trade at 69.25 the next morning.

Oil Trade Alert (Lead Trader) Screen Shot. Long test 68.93 tight, break res upside test 920 PM – 18 Oct 2018

Less than one minute later (after the technician alerted) I was alerting adds to my existing trade (we were obviously loading our trades and alerts at near the exact same time).

oil ,trade, alert, market open

Oil trade alert (screen shot) Adds in to open – lead trader (watch open, will close fast if it fails but it does look like it will squeeze possibly).

The Buy Signals Triggering a Long Oil Trade Alert:

On a conventional crude oil 1 minute chart for FX USOIL WTI, the long side trade entry alert signal sent out to members of our oil trading service was based on a number of signals that combined (in momentum and confirmed with the algorithm model) provide high probability to a winning day trade – the signals are as follows:

  1. Intra day trade in to regular market open breached the Fibonacci trend-line resistance (grey dotted line),
  2. Trade breached the trading box to the upside (red box on chart),
  3. The Squeeze Momentum Indicator turned green again,
  4. The MACD turned up again,
  5. The Stochastic RSI had turned back up after near bottom (the closer to bottom the better in most instances),
  6. Trade was above the 200 MA (moving average) having just retested its support (pink on chart),
  7. Trade was above VWAP (orange on chart),
  8. Trade was above the intra-day trend support line (yellow line on chart).
  9. Positive buy flow volume was increasing in to open (volume bars on chart with blue highlights),
  10. The momentum of trade was subsequently on the bullish side,
  11. The algorithmic model was also in agreement (shown below and to understand the model takes some study).
crude, oil, chart, trading, signals

On conventional USOIL WTI chart, trade entry based on Fib, trading box, SQZMOM, MACD, Stoch RSI, 200 MA, VWAP, vol, momentum.

On the crude oil algorithmic charting model the following reasons were in play to confirm the long trade:

  1. The upside price target area on the chart that had a time cycle concluding on Friday at 1:00 PM (see white arrow on chart) was most probable considering the fact that trade was above the mid trading quadrant horizontal support line (thick grey horizontal line). Which in this instance was also a primary support line for the wider time-frame for swing trading oil (which makes it a significant support area on the chart).
  2. In futures trade the night before, oil trade had broke to the upside of the mid quad resistance area (grey horizontal line as described above and shown on chart below).
  3. There was a hidden pivot (not shown on the algorithm charting but highlighted here for demonstration purposes in bright yellow – horizontal dotted yellow line on chart). The idea being that if trade momentum was turned up in to open that this hidden pivot was likely to be breached to the upside and would then become yet another support confirming the bias to the upside target on the model.

The algorithmic charting model price target described above is the “easy” trade signal I refer to in the title of this post. At any given time of trade intra-day we can provide the most probable price target for the coming time cycle conclusions. I won’t go in to detail here (that is a completely different article). You can read our other oil trading posts, become a member, watch our videos on how to use the oil algorithm, get some trade coaching or attend a boot camp for more details to this process.

The algorithmic charting model price target described above is the “easy” trade signal I refer to in the title of this post.

Another thought (off-topic a tad), consider the trading quadrant – there were four or five excellent long and short entry points on the model at the quad wall resistance and support areas. This week our machine trading technician is alerting to the EPIC Private Member Twitter Feed those trades (I will also continue as normal). 

AND if you look at my original long entry the night prior in futures trade, that trade signal is an even easier trade signal – price was breaching the mid pivot on the trading quad of the model (gray line) which is also the wide swing trading support and resistance area of the charting.

algorithmic, trading, crude, oil, alert. chart

On algorithmic oil charting trade was based on momentum in to pivot with most probable price target up.

I then provided our members with the trade strategy (guidance) with price targets at 69.70, 69.78 and 69.80 at 9:24 AM (right after the market opened). The price targets are where there are resistance areas of the algorithm chart provided above.

daytrade, oil, alert

Crude oil trading alert twitter feed screen shot – price targets for daytrade 69.70, 69.78, 69.80 in upside scenario.

At 9:35 AM I provided further trade strategy / guidance explaining that I was looking for a reversal in the recent trend of crude oil trade (I had distributed a 4 hour chart to our membership by email the night before that I reference in the alert).

oil, trade, alert, perspective

Perspective – reversal trade scenario, if it fails extreme caution to next level down 4 hour chart (yellow TL).

At 9:40 I publish the 4 hour oil chart with intra day trade and the two trend line support areas of the chart I was watching. Providing trade guidance that if the current support was lost in trade that we were likely turning down to the next support area on the chart in the 67’s.

oil, chart

If this area fails 67s are in play #crude #oil #tradealerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO.

Below is the 4 hour USOIL WTI chart provided to members that shows the general trend line support area of crude oil trade.

premarket, trading, plan, crude, oil

Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #OOTT.

At 9:42 AM Oct 19, 2018 (25 minutes after the trade alert long oil) the machine trading alert was posted to the Twitter feed with guidance to trim at 69.58 in trade and then possibly add to the long position at 69.58 (obviously if the indicators provided a buy signal).

machine, trading, crude oil, alert, buy

Machine Oil Trade Alert – Trims initiate 69.58 with adds on intra day pull backs 942 AM – 19 Oct 2018.

The reason for the trade alert issued to members to trim long positions on oil algorithm was that trade intra-day was nearing the Fibonacci trend-line resistance area on chart model (trading quadrant wall). Trade was also nearing the peak of the algorithm trading range intra-day (the apex of the model.) These are the same reasons I exited my long trade as provided below in the next section.

Notice on the chart below trade had hit 69.75’s and the trade alert (as above) price targets for the trade strategy for the day in crude oil based on the algorithmic model were published as price targets for day trade 69.70, 69.78, 69.80 in upside scenario.”

resistance, oil, trade, algorithm

Reason for trim trade alert on oil algorithm – Fibonacci trendline resistance area on chart model.

At 9:45 AM I closed my trade at 69.57. Not a bad trade considering my entries at long crude oil at 68.93 with adds in 69.25’s. A 45 tick trade average in oil is a decent day trade (450.00 on 1 contract or in this instance about 4x that).

oil, trade, alert

Oil trade alert – Closed 69.57 will re-renter on pull back in price or squeeze.

At 9:58 the technician trade closed on a pull back (the other half of the trade) at 69.43 – a 26 tick average. A decent trade profit, especially considering it lasted just over 30 minutes and it was low stress. It took me 12 hours to close a 45 tick trade and the tech 35 minutes to close a 26 tick trade – obviously the technician’s use of time was more efficient.

It gets worse for me though, because I thought I’d try and get a break upside primary resistance on the algorithmic oil charting. The technician followed a simple rule-set (wait for trade to prove out and then enter) and didn’t follow me in to my trade (he can’t because he is obligated to a specific rule-set for triggering trades).

oil, machine, trading, alert

Oil machine trading alert – Stop adjusted to 69.43 USOIL WTI CL_F.

The additional trade I entered I won’t detail here with screen shots etc, but I will say that it turned against me almost immediately and I should have exited the trade immediately.

As oil sold off some intra-day I held my position and added on a bounce and sold on the bounce and chiseled my way to a small loss – but a loss nonetheless. It was a waste of time.

The two primary mistakes I made in my second trade:

  1. I entered a long trade at the resistance of the algorithmic trading model. That is not a correct way to position a trade. I closed the previous trade properly but did not start the new trade properly.
  2. When intra day trade went against my position I should have closed for a small loss, but I did not.

There are other details and reasons for the trading decisions that were made, however, for simplicity and to keep this instructional post to a digestible size I will leave it here.

To increase your crude oil trading skill-set we have a number of tools you can use.

  • There is a link below to our oil trading academy page that has a number of links to articles on our site,.
  • You can book private online trade coaching via Skype.
  • Join our live trading room.
  • Sign on to our oil trading alert feed subscription, (alerts are on a private member Twitter feed).
  • Sign on to our weekly algorithm reporting that provides the algorithm model, conventional charting, guidance for the week etc.
  • Attend a trading boot camp (in person or online).
  • Request via email the videos of our most recent trading boot camp or the master class series videos (both sets are approximately 20 hours each). They are available only by email request at this time by emailing info@compoundtrading.com. Soon they will be posted to our shop on website.

Thanks

Curt

Any questions let me know!

Further Reading On Our Website That Will Help You Trade Oil Successfully:

Find more posts like this one on our Oil Trading Academy Page – there you will find links to numerous oil trade strategy reports.

Subscribe to Our Oil Trading Platform:

Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).

Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).

Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).

Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).

One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).

Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.

Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States

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Article Topics: Crude Oil, Algorithmic, Trading, Strategy, Day trading,Trading Room, Alerts, Signals, USOIL, WTI, CL_F, USO