Good morning Traders!

Crude oil topped out yesterday in its run up from lows April 28 – now (at time of writing I see price is spiking in premarket and bulls may take another run at highs). The OPEC pump is on.

We wrote a two part article on the time cycle work we are doing in crude oil trade specifically to the one hour time frame, we called the intra-week top tick almost to the penny and time, days in advance. You can read the article that includes the oil trading room minute by minute with trade alerts here.

It is important for all instruments of trade if you’re going to trade the future markets to understand what the machines are doing, they do drive price along with other reasons of course.

Our machine coding to equities, commodities, currencies and crypto are all rooted in the discipline of the analysis you will find in that article I reference (it is a two part article that is thick and difficult to read but if you put aside an hour you will understand the concept and it will help you in any trading of any instrument for daytrading and swingtrading).

Our timing with the recent profit trims in Gold $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD was excellent in the 1720s. Gold is now trading 1678.00 in premarket and we are looking at adds long at bottom of chart structure in your reports.

Natural Gas is up nicely this morning, we’re looking for adds to the long starter we have, however, I’m not sure where we are going to add, watch the alert feed.

Our profit trims in SP500 $SPY long positioning was executed quite well, we knew there was a high probability of time cycle inflections in to end of week (considering the Thursday afternoon oil time cycle peak) as alerted, so this worked out really well. Here also we’re looking for adds to the positioning, watch the alerts.

The Volatility long trade in to peak last cycle was near perfect with $VIX and $OVX (20s to 330s) and the alert last few days surrounding supports near was also spot on, we haven’t added to our long positioning yet, but it shouldn’t be far out.

The Bitcoin $BTC long positioning and recent trims on resistance are good but it’s still in bull mode this morning at time of writing 8938.00, so it’s an excellent swing trade no doubt, we’re watching for top of structure on model charting you have to see more profit trims.

Silver $SLV as expected is still under pressure and we’re just looking for adds to long positioning at chart model supports (see your reports).

Equities this recent cycle, timing was almost perfect, it was a great start to the cycle. I had called the cycle to start April 10, 2020 and the our models had it about 10 days prior (the models were closer than my call) but it couldn’t have been better. Timing cycles have been fantastic. Market highs we got, the down turn we nailed really hard and now this recent run up has been a good start. And even this week calling an interim rest in the cycle was spot on. Now we’re in $STUDY mode as we took our profits in to last few days.

I’ve received a number of personal notes from our Swing Trading Alerts platform users recently (on email mostly) and I think I’ll be asking you folks if I can post them anonymously to our website as swing trade reviews for other traders looking in to swing trading services. I appreciate hearing from you, it does make the work we do worthwhile when you hear about traders becoming disciplined consistently profitable traders. It will be good to meet as many of our new trading members as can make it out in the near future. Eventually most end up visiting the island.

Don’t miss the Sunday Swing Trade $STUDY Webinar series restarting this Sunday at 7 pm. If you’re not a registrant there are still 4 spots for this Sunday. If you can’t attend live the videos are sent out thereafter. 

I will be in a location this weekend again where high speed stable internet is 100% as we know the area well.

Next week will be very active in the live trading room and we start daytrading the swing trade set-ups on lower time frames also soon (this requires us updating the swing trade charting to lower time-frames for daytrading, coming soon).

EPIC V3.1.1 crude oil trading alerts have been firing very well post Black Swan code updates. Last night taking a short side trade that was almost to the minute perfect. Huge range in that short so it worked out well for our oil traders.

 

Beauty of a short sequence EPIC V3.1.1 started at 100 AM, chart, alert and article that explains why and how we knew the top price and time explained on this thread $USO $CL_F $UCO $SCO $GUSH $XLE

Beauty of a short sequence EPIC V3.1.1 started at 100 AM, chart, alert and article that explains why and how we knew the top price and time explained on this thread $USO $CL_F $UCO $SCO $GUSH $XLE

Themes will be the power of returns in the next time cycles in to the election and beyond, we’re working at these every day and you can expect a lot more swing trade set-ups over the weekend and in to next week.

Today my advice is to go very easy, put your time in to $STUDY, every hour invested in preparation for markets pays massive dividends.

I wouldn’t expect super active trade in the live room today, but you never know. I would however expect such next week to be extremely active as I’ll have my high speed line to work with and there are a number of videos I need to do, like a $STUDY on how to scan for swing trade set-ups, how to trade the one hour crude oil model we’ve recently locked in for our oil traders and various others.

Oh, and I have the most recent time cycle swing trade profit and loss in my hands, I’ll review and add study notes and send out this weekend. This will also help those looking for a current trade position listing. Blow out performance, it’s getting better as we go, which is good of course!

If you want direct access to me on Whatsapp send your request on email and I’ll connect on there with you. It works well as sometimes I am away from my trading desk and if you need a hand with a trade I’m right there right now.

As always if you need anything be sure to email [email protected] and have a great weekend!

Thanks

Curt

 

Article Topics; Premarket, Trading Room, #OPEC, #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO, Gold, Silver, $VIX, $SPY, $NG_F, $BTC, Themes, Swing Trading, $STUDY, Webinar, machine trading, time cycles, positioning, P&L

 


Real Time Crude Oil Trade Alerts, How Time-Cycles Work – Crude Oil Day-Trading Strategies April 22, 2020.

Daytrading crude oil is not easy, having an edge helps. Time cycles are an edge and algorithmic models also help considerably.

Below is a documented real-time oil trade I took earlier this morning – alerting the trade, charting and guidance to our oil trading room members with a series of trade alerts.

The actual oil trade alerts, oil trading room discussion, guidance and charting is below.

The charting includes our EPIC v3 Machine Trading 30 minute algorithmic model and the 1 minute daytrading chart model that our software uses.

In this instance this was a day trade intended to develop in to an intra-week swing trade.

This trading set-up and the strategy itself is in play live right now.

Oil traders may find this interesting for Wednesday April 22,2020 trade.

See below.

A real-time example of how time-cycles work in crude oil trade Direct hitFireBow and arrow

#OOTT $CL_F $USO $USOIL #timecycles

Curt MelonopolyToday at 3:14 AM
Starting a swing long 1/10 size 11.00 with stop 10.39 (on FX USOIL WTI) traded on CL, entering other side of quad on EPIC 30 Min – Curt Personal intraday swing trade.
Will advise.
obviously a high risk trade

oil, trading alerts, trading room

Screen image of actual oil trade alert on feed alerted to oil trading room members of entry positioning #oiltradingalerts

30 min quad, hoping to get turn up here

If I actually get my way here I will trim 25% at 11.39, 11.62, 11.87 and have stop just above entry hoping the 25% remaining gets the turn up for more.
There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well.

There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well.

There, got my profit trims and holding 25% of position with stops above entry #oiltradealerts That worked well.

Full move through the EPIC 30 min quad fast there and the swing trade in crude oil is well positioned in time cycle #oiltradealerts

oil, trade alert

Full move through the EPIC 30 min quad fast there and the swing trade in crude oil is well positioned in time cycle #oiltradealerts

The power of time cycles and algorithmic trading. #OOTT $CL_F $USOIL $USO #machinetrading #oiltradealerts

oil trading room, alerts

Screen capture image of oil trading room alerts and charting with guidance to traders on oil trade strategy #oiltradingroom #tradealerts

Any questions please send me a note via email [email protected].

Thank you.

Curt

Further Learning:

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Article Topics; Crude, Oil, Trading, Strategies, time-cycles, crude oil trade, oil trading room, #OOTT, $CL_F, $USO, $USOIL, $UCO, $SCO, tradealerts, Swing Trading, daytrading, FX, USOIL, WTI


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Premarket Note:

Today is #EIA (oil inventories) in advance of the short holiday week.

We are only managing current positions in equities until after EIA. New swing trade positions are very likely to trigger between EIA and Tues premarket. See recent swing reporting for details.

Since the new office set-up (post draw down), EPIC v3 oil trading software has been firing exactly as the white paper prescribes during draw-down periods and is nearing its return to the 150% ROI. As it progresses further in this cycle you will find it to become increasingly more aggressive and fire more frequently as ROI trajectory is returned to 150%.

Next in its code protocol is to build profit base and then challenge the ROI to upside. When it fails, its next protocol is to limit the next draw down % to less than previous and then rinse and repeat.

This is in effect a notice that trade executions will increase in frequency near term.

We have a report near completion also with reference to price symmetrical extensions and also an update to the white paper to be released soon (reflecting executions during draw down and return to ROI).

Read EPIC v3 Oil Trading White Paper here.

The swing platform has been doing excellent (consistently between 100-400% per annum since we started) and you can expect a report soon on its profit and loss in last quarter along with detailed protocol explanations (how to) so you can institute the methods as you wish in your own trading. The swing trade system has become very refined over the last 4 years so I intend to get a how-to published soon.

I wouldn’t expect any live trading in the trading room until after 10:30 AM EST today so I likely won’t be on mic live until then.

Stay safe.

Curt


Premarket Notes

We entered a new swing trade yesterday in TESLA that is doing excellent, closed the AMD swing trade prior to earnings which was a great call because it lost a lot of value after earnings were posted after market, are trading the Crude Oil move that seen a huge gain after the swing trade alert was issued and today we look at National Oilwell Varco, Trex and Chegg after they had larger than normal earnings price moves. 

More swing set-ups / alerts on earnings to continue.

We’re also working on time cycle trades for SPY, VIX, Gold, Silver, DXY, BTC, DXY and more than we will report on soon.

10:30 am

#EIA Crude Oil Trading Petroleum Inventories – Main Trading Room, I will be in attendance.

2:00 pm

FOMC Announcement

Thanks

Curt

TESLA, swing, trade, alert, chart

TESLA (TSLA) trade alert couldn’t have had a better first day, add on pull backs take profit on bounces as you go $TSLA #earnings #swingtrading

Recent Swing Trading and Day Trading Reports (all charts can be brought down to Day Trading time frame):

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 4 : Premium | $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $USO …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 3 : Premium | $AMZN, $GOOGL, $TWTR, $FB, $JBLU, $OAK, $INTC, $TSLA, $AMD, $SQ …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 2 : Premium July 17 | FACEBOOK (FB) VS AMAZON (AMZN) …

Protected: S&P 500 Trading Strategies. Charting, Time Cycles, Price Targets, Algorithmic Model (SPY) | Premium, July 15 $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Protected: Volatility (VIX) Trading Strategies Report. Premium July 15 $VIX $TVIX $UVXY $VXX #TimeCycles #PriceTargets

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies (Earnings) Part 1 : Premium July 14 | $PXD $TLRY $TSLA $EEM $AGN $AMD $INTC $XOP $MGI $BOX …

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies | SP500 $SPY Volatility $VIX Gold $GLD Silver $SLV Bitcoin $BTC Oil $USO US Dollar $DXY | July 7 Premium #timecycles

Protected: Daytrading Bitcoin (BTC) and Intra-Week Short Term Swing Trades July 7 | Premium $BTC $BTC.X $XBTUSD $XBT_F

Protected: Swing Trading Strategies, Charts, Alerts w/ Video | Premium $PXD $TLRY $TSLA $EEM $AGN $AMD $INTC $XOP $MGI $BOX $FB $PLUG $BTC $LYFT $IOTS $SQ $STNE $TEUM $AU …

Master Trading Profit & Loss Statement (Most Recent – Updated Regularly – Check Blog for Updates):

Trading Profit & Loss Report | Trade Alerts Nov 2016 – June 26, 2019 Day Trades, Swing Trades, Oil, BTC Etc.

Recent Daily Trading Profit & Loss Reports:

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) July 10 “MY ANGRY RANT – WHY MOST TRADERS LOSE”, $AMD, $CL_F, $USO, $BTC, $BTC.X, $XBT_F #OOTT

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 8 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $CL_F, $USO

Trading Profit & Loss Report (Trades, Alerts) for July 3 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 2, 2019 $AMD, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Daily Trading Profit & Loss (Alerts) Report: July 1, 2019 $AMD, $KOOL, $BTC, $XBT_F, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO

Recent Premarket Notes (published as time allows, what we’re up to with our trading):

Premarket Trade Report July 12 | Notes, Alerts, Watch List, Reporting Etc $SGBX, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY, #OOTT

Protected: Premarket Watch List July 9 $CHEK, $OGI, $AZRX, $AMRH, $RHT, $ACIA, $SQ, $AMD, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Premarket Watch List July 8 $SGMO, $AMD, $OASM, $AYTU, $CBIO, $SYMC, $ORN, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY

Premarket Notes: Swing Updates, New BTC Platform w/Machine Trade, Oil Machine Trade Completion $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $BTC $BTC_F $XBT_F #premarket

Premarket Note: Equities, Oil Levels to Watch, Swing Trades/Alerts, P&Ls, Webinars: Oil, Swing Trading, Bitcoin | $USOIL $WTI #OOTT $BTC #premarket

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Article Topics: Premarket, Trading, Watch List, Stocks, Commodities, Alerts, Trading Room, Bitcoin, FOMC, EIA, #OOTT, $USO, $NOV, $TREX, $CHEGG, $TSLA, $AMD, $GLD, $SLV, $SPY, $BTC.X, $VIX, $DXY