Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Tuesday September 11, 2018.
In this edition: $RENN, $IZEA, $IVTY, $CDMO, $TSLA, $PROQ, $ARWR, $FRED, $CLDR, $FB, $BABA, $APPL, $DIS, $AGN, Oil, $WTI, $SPY, $BTC, $VIX and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members.
- Monday Sept 11 –
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- September 6 premarket through September 31 the main live trading room will be open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) for a month of live recorded trading with our Lead Trader Curtis.The exception will be during the Cabarete Boot Camp Sept 14 – 16 (live trading room will be reserved for coaching event).The month of trading will then be posted to YouTube accompanied with highlight posts.
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- Before Sept 14 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 14 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 14 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trade Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Specific to oil near term; In summary so I’m clear on all feeds…. I won’t be long side in any run ups in oil while wedge on weekly is in play. I will sell main resistance areas of model w really tight stops. Bull side imo is way to risky. Implied move to downside if wedge fails is extreme. Would like to be on right side of the main move. Unless something significant gives reason to re evaluate bias.
If the bulls do get going, 68.90 is a major resistance area FYI.
The morning premarket momentum stocks do not at this point look great, but I will watch in to open.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:47 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.15, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 67.68, Gold $GLD trading 1194.55, Silver $SLV trading 14.10, $SPY 287.45 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6253.00 and $VIX trading 14.5.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $RENN $IZEA $IVTY $CDMO
#Premarket Trading Most Active Stocks $NLST $IDTI $AMD $HMNY $IZEA $QQQ $SNAP $SPY $RENN $SONO $EWZ $TSLA $BABA
#Premarket Trading Most Active Stocks $NLST $IDTI $AMD $HMNY $IZEA $QQQ $SNAP $SPY $RENN $SONO $EWZ $TSLA $BABA https://t.co/sNm3XHVbGw
— Chameleon 🦎 (@MarketChmln) September 11, 2018
News:
Invuity $IVTY to Be Acquired by Stryker $SYK for $7.40 Per Share
Your Tuesday morning Speed Read:
– Stock futures dip as China asks WTO to hit US with trade sanctions $SPY $FXI
– .@Playboy names 1st media president, to focus on streaming, video games, virtual reality
– #HurricaneFlorence nears Cat 5, closes in on southeast US $LOW $HD $GNRC
Your Tuesday morning Speed Read:
– Stock futures dip as China asks WTO to hit US with trade sanctions $SPY $FXI
– .@Playboy names 1st media president, to focus on streaming, video games, virtual reality
– #HurricaneFlorence nears Cat 5, closes in on southeast US $LOW $HD $GNRC— Benzinga (@Benzinga) September 11, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Overstock $OSTK CEO Sells 10% of His Stock Holdings, But Says ‘Don’t Be Alarmed’.
While you were at the beach in August insiders were busy unloading…
https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1039480169591971841
Insider Buys Of The Week: Coty, Keurig Dr Pepper, Take-Two Interactive http://benzinga.com/z/12295014 $COTY $KDP $TTWO #swingtrading
Insider Buys Of The Week: Coty, Keurig Dr Pepper, Take-Two Interactive https://t.co/EFvNoBwwAr $COTY $KDP $TTWO #swingtrading
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) September 3, 2018
Recent IPO’s:
Zekelman Industries to offer 41.8 million shares in IPO, priced at $17 to $19 each
Eventbrite to offer 10 million shares in IPO priced at $19 to $21 each
Cancer blood-testing company Guardant Health files for IPO.
Eli Lilly’s Elanco sets IPO terms to raise up to $1.45 billion before options
Earnings:
OCC® Achieves 40.7% Increase in Net Sales and 32.4% Increase in Gross Profit during Fiscal Quarter.
Francesca’s stock plunges toward record low after profit and sales miss, downbeat outlook.
Sonic’s stock rallies after upbeat profit, sales outlook.
$SONO (-16.9% pre) Sonos plunges after first earnings report as public company – CNBC.
#earnings for the week
$ADBE $KR $PLAY $PVTL $SONO $FRAN $TLRD $SKIS $CASY $LMNR $BRC $MTRX $SAIC $EYPT $LAKE $CDMO $COOL $FARM $AGTC $IRET $OXM $PTN $ACET $RLGT $CSBR $PCYG $STRM $ERYP $LOVE (& $MAMS)
http://eps.sh/cal
#earnings for the week$ADBE $KR $PLAY $PVTL $SONO $FRAN $TLRD $SKIS $CASY $LMNR $BRC $MTRX $SAIC $EYPT $LAKE $CDMO $COOL $FARM $AGTC $IRET $OXM $PTN $ACET $RLGT $CSBR $PCYG $STRM $ERYP $LOVE (& $MAMS)https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/wHU5AlivAx
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 8, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
FACEBOOK (FB) On watch for wash-out snap-back trade now, main support and resistance marked on chart $FB #swingtrade #daytrade
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
APPLE (AAPL) If it doesn’t get a bounce here at 20 MA then 212.65 is the retracement point to try for a bounce. $AAPL #swingtrading #daytrading
ALIBABA (BABA) If no bounce at 100 MA that is near it is most probable to bounce in 147 range. $BABA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
TESLA (TSLA) Wash out playing out as expected-alerted, watch Fri time cycle peak for trade of 280. $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
Retracement on this wedge on weekly oil chart is likely 51.80, bulls are likely panicked here, selling any pops now very likely.
PROQ THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) premarket resistance watch at diagonal Fib line overhead and 22.75, above sees 27.55 implied $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade
FREDS INC (FRED) Cleared 200 MA on daily, premarket next major resistance 50 MA on weekly. $FRED #daytrading #swingtrade #premarket
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
CLOUDERA INC (CLDR) Premarket up 6.5% trading 18.75 with 22.00 target. $CLDR #daytrading #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Premarket watching for a snap back wash out trade here, CFO steps down, ELON smokes weed $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Two options for swing trading channels. $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
Thurday Premarket – ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) premarket at top of swing structure, take some profit here at resistance $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
CLOUDERA INC (CLDR) Thursday played out precisely to trade alert, above 18.17 long below short. $CLDR #daytrading #swingtrading
Gotta love stocks with perfect symmetry $CLDR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
Gotta love stocks with perfect symmetry $CLDR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/J3ku1UKdVa
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 7, 2018
TESLA (TSLA) At previous support, on watch for bounce in to 293s then 300s possible $TSLA #daytrading #swingtrading
On the back of excellent August sales estimates, $TSLA gapping-up in pre-market. Anticipating this, UBS issue a strategic downgrade on the stock.
What @UBS don’t tell anyone, is that have a massive short position with $TSLA and need the SP to fall to $185 or they loose $zillions
https://twitter.com/AskDrStupid/status/1037642153743278081
CLOUDERA INC (CLDR) Premarket up on earnings trading 16.51 looking for possible 18.17. $CLDR #daytrading #swingtrading
Weed stocks are going nuts after one of the largest marijuana companies strikes a deal for lab-made THC (CRON) $CRON #swingtrading
Weed stocks are going nuts after one of the largest marijuana companies strikes a deal for lab-made THC (CRON) $CRON #swingtrading – https://t.co/QQ2iFdmRLy
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) September 5, 2018
$BOX weekly leap frog perfectly through targets. #earnings #premarket
$BOX weekly leap frog perfectly through targets. #earnings #premarket pic.twitter.com/1xTDdq2BdY
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 28, 2018
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index https://t.co/JMFbDchqtS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 22, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Hurricane approaches east coast
-U.K. real wages grow
-Tax bill, shutdown
-Markets slip
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2x5Catn
#5things
-Hurricane approaches east coast
-U.K. real wages grow
-Tax bill, shutdown
-Markets slip
-Coming up…https://t.co/tfofuatq6p pic.twitter.com/bve682XtGq— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) September 11, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $RENN $IZEA $NLST $CDMO $SIGA $IDTI $GLPG $ADXS $TLRY $NTNX $WFT $MNKD $CREE $TVIX $SNAP
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$NKE upgraded to buy at Canacord
$DRI upgraded to buy at Goldman.
$CREE upgraded to buy at Roth.
$NVS upgraded to buy at Citigroup.
JP Morgan Raises ExxonMobil Price Target To $93 From $87
Goldman Sachs Raises McDonald’s Price Target To $190 From $179
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Vertical Research downgrades Science Applications https://seekingalpha.com/news/3389300-vertical-research-downgrades-science-applications?source=feed_f … #premarket $SAIC
RBC downgrades Western Digital on NAND headwinds https://seekingalpha.com/news/3389294-rbc-downgrades-western-digital-nand-headwinds?source=feed_f … #premarket $WDC $MU $INTC
JP Morgan Cuts Chevron Price Target To $145 From $152
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Alerts, $RENN, $IZEA, $IVTY, $CDMO, $TSLA, $PROQ, $ARWR, $FRED, $CLDR, $FB, $BABA, $APPL, $DIS, $AGN, Oil, $WTI, $SPY, $BTC, $VIX