My Day Trading Results Re-Cap
Today for me was the “miss the perfect setups trigger day” – but I still ended up on the positive side. For me it’s all about 1% a day compounded (and hopefully someday soon 3% – it’s getting close). If you haven’t seen my compound chart of 1% per day starting w 10k compounds to 1.14MM you should check out https://compoundtrading.com/lead-trader/ and I think I’ll do a full post on it soon. But bottom line is that when you focus on simple 1% days (understanding compounding money principles) it is a way less stressful and more forgiving way to trade. You avoid the hype… the pumps… all the company DD research… the risk… and on and on. You just need to know why equities trigger an intra-day spike (trigger there and watch for 1% or not) and from there it’s pretty easy.
Anyway, I had a number of setups ready right before the bell and missed the better ones (got distracted). So, I am learning that balancing day trading and a live chat room/broadcast startup requires more focus during market hours.
Here’s what happened (my wins and losses), so hopefully it helps your trading.
$UNIS
The first setup I looked at. It was a morning scan MOMO (morning momentum) possibility from a few days ago that I thought will get lift or drop (the 3 day rule http://www.fool.com/knowledge-center/what-is-the-3-day-rule-when-trading-stocks.aspx). For short sellers this is an ideal set-up – but sometimes they surprise and run so I like to watch for that because if the shorts get caught on a 3 day rule and it goes opposite – the win can be really good.
$UNIS pic.twitter.com/KmhREPgdvK
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$UA – Under Armour
Next up was Under Armour. This one had a bad downdraft on earnings / downgrade. https://www.thestreet.com/story/13868610/1/under-armour-ua-stock-retreats-cowen-downgrades-on-outlook.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO
$UA Under Armour pic.twitter.com/0tlEL0ypTD
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
So, another morning play I will use (that normally works well) to get 1% – 3% quick pops is timing the bottom up spike. It got a really good downdraft here at 9:51 and the stock dropped.
$UA 951 AM pic.twitter.com/RuXOXSHztf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
At 10:10 I hit the buy.
Long $UA
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
Added at 10:13
$UA add
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
10:19 I was out for a small gain – I noted it as a small loss on twitter but didn’t go back and do a correction because my day was so hectic (you will find my alerts sometimes distracted lol). Anyway, average buy 32.82 and out at 33.07 for .25 cents on 400 shares / 100.00 – not the 1% I was looking for).
$UA out for now small loss – likely re-enter
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear ETF
Then I posted a perfect set-up with the small cap bear ETF I’ve been watching – around the election especially I’m watching this one like (it should be a hawk) – BUT FOR THE SECOND TIME in less than a week I was distracted and missed my trigger – it was such a nice trade – easy 3% or better. And frankly, there’s no excuse – as easy as taking candy from a baby.
$TZA Small Cap Bear 3x Oct 26 944 AM pic.twitter.com/OyA6RDzAS1
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
And here’s where I would have triggered and it was sooo perfect. Absolutely no excuse – it was a text book trigger on the 1.
$DXY
So when I seen the US Dollar Index at support… that was my first trigger alert for $TZA – because the $DXY is the $TZA killer…
??? $DXY US Dollar Index 945 AM ET Oct 26, 2016 pic.twitter.com/CWxzOSWCUN
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$VIX
Then I was on to the $VIX – which was my SECOND trigger missed – I was looking at a $TVIX or $UVXY intra-day trade – and yup – distracted and missed it. Again… so perfect. I posted when $VIX was threatening resistance and $DXY was at support and $SPY was in downdraft mode… simple simple simple. #distracted ugh.
$VIX 946 AM ET Oct 26, 2016 $TVIX $UVXY $XIV #Volatility pic.twitter.com/j0G2hppqnl
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$SPY
Here was the downdraft in $SPY and the resistance above… and when $SPY is in downdraft till things sort out.
$SPY 948 AM ET Oct 26, 2016 pic.twitter.com/f0Gmsznwvf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$VIX
So here’s where $VIX broke resistance and all I had to do was wait for the back-test and possible consolidation… but ya… nope.
There it is. $VIX 951 AM ET Oct 26, 2016 $TVIX $UVXY $XIV #Volatility pic.twitter.com/NgCDo9AHbj
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$USOIL $WTI
Then came the oil report… my thinking was I wasn’t sure if the upper algo target or the lower was more likely – I didn’t think we were going to see a draw down… but EPIC the oil Algo had the lower alpha algo target as most probable… anyway… almost both targets hit but I wasn’t confident in it so I though I’ll go for the build side of the bet with a volatility play and entered $TVIX with a super-tight stop – a wham – it got hit instantly for a small loss. Not the normal way I’d play the oil report FYI. So I was down .8 cents on 400 shares or (32.00) – so at this point 68.00 up on the day.
9 mins to oil chaos
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
Long $TVIX
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
Out $TVIX lol my stop got wacked so fast
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$OPGN
Then I took scanner alert trade in $OPGN in at 1.16 out 1.22 within mins at 9,000 shares / 540.00 – now I’m up 608.00 on the day.
$OPGN Long 1.166 avg
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$OPGN Trailing out small win – late notice on entries fyi oops https://t.co/wdiuq5Rp5D
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$WTI / $USOIL
Ended up EPIC’s oil calls were almost perfectly spot on.. again I was distracted and was a little confused on my twitter feed posts etc.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/791327284418506753
So there’s the beautiful $VIX trade I missed with $TVIX
$VIX 157 PM ET Oct 26, 2016 $TVIX $UVXY $XIV #Volatility pic.twitter.com/pHeHWaz3fC
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
$UGAZ
Then I went long $UGAZ. This is another algorithm we’re working on that is on-deck. The algo is saying 44% today hit bottom (which means 44 out of 100 times – so the idea is to get a probability from the algorithm so the trader can decide to trigger or not)… anyway… the algorithm is also saying that 46% there is another leg down (or 46 times out of a 100). So I thought I’d take a trade and should have (because yes I had it set-up) entered earlier in day for a better gain. Nonetheless I got a decent little intra-day trade.
Long $UGAZ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
Orange arrow is where I was going to trigger and obviously should have – white arrow I did trigger so we'll see how it hold up. $UGAZ pic.twitter.com/GLLa76aVxV
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
Out $UGAZ for just shy of 2% on a quick intra
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 26, 2016
So my entry average fill was at 34.19 and exit at 34.95 (got real lucky in that time frame exiting snipe – should have been about .10 less) for .76 cents on 500 shares / 380.00 or 920.00 on the day.
I know with many small accounts for US citizens there are certain rules with leverage and 3 trade rules etc. I regularly start a 10k account and build… but I often trade over 10k closer to 16k and sell before the end of the day. The specifics of why my broker in Canada lets me do that I’m not sure and how that works for US citizens – but I’m going to look in to that so I really understand better.
I will put out a pre-market trade plan in the morning!
Stay blessed!
PS Here’s my running win rate.