Trading Strategy Webinar Hosted Nov 28, 2018 with Trade Alerts and Charting

Audio starts at 3:58 on video.

Quick trade strategy review for crude oil, Bitcoin, SP500, Volatility and ARWR trades.

Short $DWT starter position 13.59 trading intra day 13.05 with price target 8.62. We will see how it goes. Trading 13.03 intra-day. Looking for a snap back trade to upside in crude to 50% of recent sell-off.

Daily chart resistance 52.15 area.

In overnight trade now oil is off trading 49.77 on USOIL WTI at 4:50 AM Eastern. The small bounce so far in overnight after the sell off was at trend-line support on the spigot chart our coders are using for legging in to trade sizing.

As for this starter position short $DWT, holding for now, it is a small position so far. Putin is supportive of Saudi Arabia and if there is a cut in production oil will turn up fast. I’m not marrying the trade either way.

Intra day you could short at top of quad area with 52.40 – .50 resistance.

8:25 Bitcoin BTC – we are looking for a turn in to Christmas being aware of the road bump in market time cycles that has a volatility time cycle (monthly) coming due Dec 5. On Bitcoin we are watching the trend-line chart resistance.

9:23 SP500 $SPY – looking for a possible long SPY in to Dec 20 time cycle peak, however, there is a smaller time cycle peak in VIX on Dec 5 we have to avoid, if that wasn’t there we’d already be long SPY. At this point we are watching.

10:43 Volatility $VIX $UVXY $TVIX We covered our volatility short. Went short TVIX 49.35 covered 50% 45.22 and the remaining at 43.28. Watching support near on VIX at 50 MA (20, 100, 200 also under price) and lower Bollinger bands. Will likely be long in to Dec 5 time VIX specific cycle and short thereafter in to Dec 20 SPY time cycle peak.

11:10 ARROWHEAD $ARWR Last number of days has seen a bounce off the 200 MA, we are monitoring our initial position long.

There is a swing trading report due out today.

Thursday Mid day I will review many swing trades (pending market conditions). We expect to enter most swing trades between now and Tuesday next week. End of day Friday and pre-market is typical for me.

Thanks.


Volatility (VIX) Algorithm Chart Model Observations & Report Thursday July 12, 2018 $VIX, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX 

Good day. My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algorithm. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic model charting report for Compound Trading Group.

Volatility (VIX) Charting / Observations:

Buy sell swing trading triggers for $VIX:

23.2

22.4

21.6

20.8

20.1

19.3

18.5

17.7

16.9

16.1

15.3

14.5

13.7

12.9

12.1

11.4

10.6

9.8

9.0

July 12 – Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Structured symmetry on 60 min last time cycle has been awesome. $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/mYfy3Xfn-Volatility-S-P-500-Index-VIX-Structured-symmetry-on-60-min-las/

VIX, 60 min, algorithm, chart

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Structured symmetry on 60 min last time cycle has been awesome. $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

JUly 12 – Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Continued down channel symmetry scenario – watch for time cycle completion however. $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/5c9X3hdR-Volatility-S-P-500-Index-VIX-Continued-down-channel-symmetry-s/

VIX, down channel, scenario

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Continued down channel symmetry scenario – watch for time cycle completion however. $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Structured take-off on 60 minute model in to time-cycle peak. June 25 1108 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/6liZXmRN-Volatility-S-P-500-Index-VIX-Algorithm-60-minute-Gen-1-model/

VIX, volatility, algorithm

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Structured take-off on 60 minute model in to time-cycle peak. June 25 1108 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

Volatility Index (VIX) Charting. Conventional Technical Observations.

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Within Bollinger bands under 200 MA. MACD down. July 12 728 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/qmTwTssP-Volatility-S-P-500-Index-VIX-Within-Bollinger-bands-under-200/

VIX, bollinger bands, chart

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Within Bollinger bands under 200 MA. MACD down. July 12 728 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Above bollinger bands on daily but use caution shorting. MACD up also. June 25 1136 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/gDTJbJ47-Volatility-S-P-500-Index-VIX-Above-bollinger-bands-on-daily-bu/

VIX, bollinger, bands, chart

Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Above bollinger bands on daily but use caution shorting. MACD up also. June 25 1136 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY

$VIX Weekly Chart

Volatility Index (VIX). Nearing completion of time cycle, watch for a possible reversal. 735 PM July 12 $VIX #chart #timecycle

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/hrwxR9wT-Volatility-Index-VIX-Nearing-completion-of-time-cycle-watch/

VIX, Volatility, weekly, time cycle

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/hrwxR9wT-Volatility-Index-VIX-Nearing-completion-of-time-cycle-watch/

Volatility Index (VIX). Weekly chart moving in to next time cycle peak with VIX spiking. $VIX #chart #symmetry

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/QUcTo95U-Volatility-Index-VIX-Weekly-chart-moving-in-to-next-time-cycl/

VIX, Weekly, Chart

Volatility Index (VIX). Weekly chart moving in to next time cycle peak with VIX spiking. $VIX #chart #symmetry

Per recent;

Volatility Index (VIX). Weekly chart suggests mid July time cycle peak could bring long side RR advantage soon. 216 AM June 5 $VIX #chart #symmetry https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/zS0lmIbC-Volatility-Index-VIX-Weekly-chart-suggests-mid-July-time-cycl/

VIX, Chart, Weekly, symmetry

Volatility Index (VIX). Weekly chart suggests mid July time cycle peak could bring long side RR adv soon. $VIX #chart #symmetry

Per recent;

Simple symmetrical time cycle on weekly, Volatility reversal leading in to July 14 – 23 ish probable. $VIX $UVXY $TVIX

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/jJWaV0Rd-Simple-symmetrical-time-cycle-weekly-Volatility-reversal-Notes/

Simple symmetrical time cycle on weekly, Volatility reversal leading in to July 14 – 23 ish probable. $VIX $UVXY $TVIX

Simple symmetrical time cycle on weekly chart, Volatility reversal leading in to July 23 ish is probable. $VIX $UVXY $TVIX #volatility #trading

Volatility, weekly, chart

Simple symmetrical time cycle on weekly chart, Volatility reversal leading in to July 23 ish is probable. $VIX $UVXY $TVIX #volatility #trading

Per recent;

$VIX weekly chart has MACD trending down and structure broke.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/q5FIivkK-VIX-weekly-chart-has-MACD-trending-down-and-structure-broke/

$VIX, weekly, chart, MACD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/q5FIivkK-VIX-weekly-chart-has-MACD-trending-down-and-structure-broke/

Per recent;

$VIX structure on the last bullish move is now all but gone. Likely continued decline.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/ZDViNVKz-VIX-structure-on-the-last-bullish-move-is-now-all-but-gone-Lik/

$VIX, bearish, chart

$VIX structure on the last bullish move is now all but gone. Likely continued decline.

Volatility News:

Wall Street’s ‘fear index’ jumps as stocks slide, could see biggest one-day move in 4 months.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-index-jumps-as-stocks-slide-could-see-biggest-one-day-move-in-3-months-2018-06-25?mod=mw_share_twitter

Fear index VIX jumps by 26% on trade worries w/ S&P 500 fell most since Apr.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algorithm

Article Topics: Vexatious, VIX, Algorithm, Volatility, Chart, Trading, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX

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