Trading Strategy Webinar Hosted Nov 28, 2018 with Trade Alerts and Charting
Audio starts at 3:58 on video.
Quick trade strategy review for crude oil, Bitcoin, SP500, Volatility and ARWR trades.
Short $DWT starter position 13.59 trading intra day 13.05 with price target 8.62. We will see how it goes. Trading 13.03 intra-day. Looking for a snap back trade to upside in crude to 50% of recent sell-off.
Daily chart resistance 52.15 area.
In overnight trade now oil is off trading 49.77 on USOIL WTI at 4:50 AM Eastern. The small bounce so far in overnight after the sell off was at trend-line support on the spigot chart our coders are using for legging in to trade sizing.
As for this starter position short $DWT, holding for now, it is a small position so far. Putin is supportive of Saudi Arabia and if there is a cut in production oil will turn up fast. I’m not marrying the trade either way.
Intra day you could short at top of quad area with 52.40 – .50 resistance.
8:25 Bitcoin BTC – we are looking for a turn in to Christmas being aware of the road bump in market time cycles that has a volatility time cycle (monthly) coming due Dec 5. On Bitcoin we are watching the trend-line chart resistance.
9:23 SP500 $SPY – looking for a possible long SPY in to Dec 20 time cycle peak, however, there is a smaller time cycle peak in VIX on Dec 5 we have to avoid, if that wasn’t there we’d already be long SPY. At this point we are watching.
10:43 Volatility $VIX $UVXY $TVIX We covered our volatility short. Went short TVIX 49.35 covered 50% 45.22 and the remaining at 43.28. Watching support near on VIX at 50 MA (20, 100, 200 also under price) and lower Bollinger bands. Will likely be long in to Dec 5 time VIX specific cycle and short thereafter in to Dec 20 SPY time cycle peak.
11:10 ARROWHEAD $ARWR Last number of days has seen a bounce off the 200 MA, we are monitoring our initial position long.
There is a swing trading report due out today.
Thursday Mid day I will review many swing trades (pending market conditions). We expect to enter most swing trades between now and Tuesday next week. End of day Friday and pre-market is typical for me.
Volatility (VIX) Algorithm Chart Model Observations & Report Thursday July 12, 2018 $VIX, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX
Good day. My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algorithm. Welcome to my new $VIX algorithmic model charting report for Compound Trading Group.
Volatility (VIX) Charting / Observations:
Buy sell swing trading triggers for $VIX:
July 12 – Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Structured symmetry on 60 min last time cycle has been awesome. $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY
JUly 12 – Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Continued down channel symmetry scenario – watch for time cycle completion however. $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY
Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Structured take-off on 60 minute model in to time-cycle peak. June 25 1108 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY
Volatility Index (VIX) Charting. Conventional Technical Observations.
Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Within Bollinger bands under 200 MA. MACD down. July 12 728 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY
Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX) Above bollinger bands on daily but use caution shorting. MACD up also. June 25 1136 PM $VIX #volatility $TVIX $UVXY
$VIX Weekly Chart
Volatility Index (VIX). Nearing completion of time cycle, watch for a possible reversal. 735 PM July 12 $VIX #chart #timecycle
Volatility Index (VIX). Weekly chart moving in to next time cycle peak with VIX spiking. $VIX #chart #symmetry
Volatility Index (VIX). Weekly chart suggests mid July time cycle peak could bring long side RR advantage soon. 216 AM June 5 $VIX #chart #symmetry https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/zS0lmIbC-Volatility-Index-VIX-Weekly-chart-suggests-mid-July-time-cycl/
Simple symmetrical time cycle on weekly, Volatility reversal leading in to July 14 – 23 ish probable. $VIX $UVXY $TVIX
Simple symmetrical time cycle on weekly chart, Volatility reversal leading in to July 23 ish is probable. $VIX $UVXY $TVIX #volatility #trading
$VIX weekly chart has MACD trending down and structure broke.
$VIX structure on the last bullish move is now all but gone. Likely continued decline.
Wall Street’s ‘fear index’ jumps as stocks slide, could see biggest one-day move in 4 months.
Wall Street's 'fear index' jumps as stocks slide, could see biggest one-day move in 4 months https://t.co/3EPDA4r9DO
— Compound Trading (@CompoundTrading) June 26, 2018
Fear index VIX jumps by 26% on trade worries w/ S&P 500 fell most since Apr.
Fear index VIX jumps by 26% on trade worries w/ S&P 500 fell most since Apr. pic.twitter.com/gFQH3se5an
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) June 25, 2018
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Vexatious the $VIX Algorithm
Article Topics: Vexatious, VIX, Algorithm, Volatility, Chart, Trading, $TVIX, $UVXY, $VXX