Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Thursday August 23, 2018.
In this edition: Tariffs, $BABA, $PLCE, $TSLA, Oil $WTI, Bitcoin $BTC, SP500 $SPY, US Dollar $DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Good morning,
I’m working with our team Thurs and Fri to approve and get the weekly algorithm, swing and special report charting processed so I won’t be live broadcasting open or mid day.
Live alerts will still go out as we trade however, and we’ll be in Discord chat rooms of course.
Have a great day and let us know if you need anything.
Curt
Scheduled Events:
- Thursday Aug 23:
- Live Trading Room with lead trader and/or other team members as follows and as available (constant change in the markets).
9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room membersAny other live trading sessions will be notified by email.The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.Link: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetradingPassword: **** (email for access if you do not have it, password changes will be emailed when changed only)For membership access, options here: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/
- Before Sept 1 – New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Before Sept 1 – Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Before Sept 1 – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Aug 25-26, Santo Domingo – Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Multi-User License Trade Execution & Integration (private invitational, institutional).
- Sept 14-16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure:
Subscribers to read disclaimer.
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
If your trading plan is based on flawed process you will continue to fail. Your plan is only as good as your rules based process is predictable. #tradingstrategy #premarket
If your trading plan is based on flawed process you will continue to fail. Your plan is only as good as your rules based process is predictable. #tradingstrategy #premarket
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 23, 2018
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades.
Protected: How to Trade Allergan (AGN) Stock Move (Exclusive) $AGN
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Looking for a long on $BABA over 200 MA on daily.
ALIBABA (BABA) premarket up on earnings beat trading just under 200 MA on 4 hour and daily. $BABA #earnings #premarket
Also looking for sizing in oil long if it continues today and possibly a short on Gold if the Dollar gets upside move here again to recent resistance (watching the support in $DXY). I would long $UUP and short Gold.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 6:35 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.35, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 67.76, Gold $GLD trading 1187.61, Silver $SLV trading 14.55, $SPY 286.03 (premarket), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6414.00 and $VIX trading 12.1.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
24 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12249839 $BABA $LX $WSM $PLCE $SNPS $LTRX $RAVN $HYRE $PAVM $LB $QD $HRL $SMRT
24 Stocks Moving In Thursday's Pre-Market Session https://t.co/RalF39dRD5 $BABA $LX $WSM $PLCE $SNPS $LTRX $RAVN $HYRE $PAVM $LB $QD $HRL $SMRT https://t.co/86nW1YvhEW
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 23, 2018
Childrens’ Place stock surges 7% premarket after earnings blow past estimates
News:
Raymond James Downgrades Optical Name Finisar On Near-Term Pressures $FNSR https://pro.benzinga.com @benzinga
“A competitive threat is arising from competitors such as Applied Optoelectronics Inc (NASDAQ:AAOI) $AAOI pursuing certifications at OEMs, Leopold said.”
$GBT Expands Sickle Cell Disease Pipeline with Worldwide Licensing Agreement for Inclacumab for the Treatment of Vaso-occlusive Crisis
$AVGR Completes Enrollment in SCAN Clinical Study
Backing Elon Musk’s dream, option traders bet on Tesla at $430 $TSLA #swingtrading https://bloom.bg/2o1SfvP
Backing Elon Musk's dream, option traders bet on Tesla at $430 $TSLA #swingtrading https://t.co/J3dOtcnVx1
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) August 23, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
$SRPT CEO buys 16K shares @ avg price: $125.26/share
Weight Watchers 6M share Block Trade priced at $76.00 $WTW http://dlvr.it/QfyXKn
Recent IPO’s:
Aramco IPO on hold
BioNano Genomics to offer 2.45 million shares in IPO priced at $6 to $7 each
GoDaddy’s stock falls after public offering of 10.4 million shares
Earnings:
#earnings this week
$BABA $MOMO $TGT $KSS $LOW $EL $TJX $TOL $MDT $SPLK $SJM $FL $URBN $COTY $PLCE $ADI $LB $DGLY $PSTG $VEEV $JLL $HRL $VMW $ADSK $QD $HPQ $RY $BITA $INTU $NM $GPS $TUES $ROST $NDSN $MYGN $WSM $RRGB $FLWS $PLAB $RGS $TTC $FLY $SAFM $FN
http://eps.sh/cal
#earnings this week$BABA $MOMO $TGT $KSS $LOW $EL $TJX $TOL $MDT $SPLK $SJM $FL $URBN $COTY $PLCE $ADI $LB $DGLY $PSTG $VEEV $JLL $HRL $VMW $ADSK $QD $HPQ $RY $BITA $INTU $NM $GPS $TUES $ROST $NDSN $MYGN $WSM $RRGB $FLWS $PLAB $RGS $TTC $FLY $SAFM $FN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/Sg0MDPbocw
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 20, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
ALIBABA (BABA) premarket up on earnings beat trading just under 200 MA on 4 hour and daily. $BABA #earnings #premarket
Smoking day on the alerts side, even ran after the final alert there, however, our lead tech had a challenging day (a loss) and I had non alerted intra day chop losses. But he alerts on my end are still batting 1000 for months. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts
Smoking day on the alerts side, even ran after the final alert there, however, our lead tech had a challenging day (a loss) and I had non alerted intra day chop losses. But he alerts on my end are still batting 1000 for months. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts pic.twitter.com/oIkcdfujnJ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 22, 2018
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index
Tapped the top of the resistance per below, retraced as predicted below. Move done. Thanks Tony. $DXY $UUP #USD @dxyusd_index https://t.co/JMFbDchqtS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 22, 2018
Missed the top by a penny – hate that. Still batting 1000 for last number of months $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #Trade #Alerts #OOTT
Missed the top by a penny – hate that. Still batting 1000 for last number of months $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #Trade #Alerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/GpJji9I0HO
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 20, 2018
$TSLA hit 288s to 321s here…. good thing fintwitterers and media had everyone in panic. #learntotradefear #hollywallstreet #premarket
Anyone telling ya $TSLA near a structural support? And if it loses that support where it is going to bounce? I know, I know it's Enron. I get it. And there's no crystal balls. Just herds. I get it.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 20, 2018
APPLE (APPL) premarket nearing 212.65 range resistance trading 210.30, trim in to it add above. $AAPL #premarket #swingtrading
Oil sell-off today, EPIC Oil Algorithm buy side oil trade alerts 64.50 buy side at day lows for members. #oil #trade #alerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT #Algorithm
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1029927566403100673
$VIX on daily chart MACD crossing up. $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #VIX
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
PS Dollar trading HOD $DXY 95.47 and if 95,61 breached held it will rip some faces off.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 9, 2018
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
Gold on 50 percent retrace, MACD may cross up here. Aug 9 1243 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD #chart
It bounced and hasn’t looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI
It bounced and hasn't looked back. #swingtrading $AAOI https://t.co/vhSzw9TK58
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading
$TSLA Swing target price hit. #swingtrading https://t.co/AoyhwOjYkz
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 8, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) Closed 177.78 Friday with 181.80 trajectory price target Aug 8 then 195.00 Aug 27. $FB #swingtrade #chart
ALPHABET (GOOGL) Daytrading chart with lower time frame support and resistance levels for daytraders. $GOOGL #daytrading #chart
$BTC 8300’s to 6900’s…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto
$BTC 8300's to 6900's…. always know where that 200MA is. #Bitcoin #premarket #crypto pic.twitter.com/HneG44UaSs
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 6, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Dollar rises on Fed minutes
-It’s PMI day
-Aramco IPO on hold
-Markets quiet
-Tariffs, trade talks
https://bloom.bg/2o3h7n7
#5things
-Dollar rises on Fed minutes
-It's PMI day
-Aramco IPO on hold
-Markets quiet
-Tariffs, trade talkshttps://t.co/pIE29tFsfn pic.twitter.com/r8LwzKQSFt— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) August 23, 2018
Stock Futures Quiet As U.S., China Launch Tariffs: 2 Stocks Near Buy Points http://dlvr.it/Qgr3Dk
Stock Futures Quiet As U.S., China Launch Tariffs: 2 Stocks Near Buy Points https://t.co/Vwx3W6BDMA pic.twitter.com/uijwtimRz0
— Investors.com (@IBDinvestors) August 23, 2018
Tariff Tiff: How Investors Can Cope With A Trade War Escalation http://dlvr.it/Qgqzcs
Tariff Tiff: How Investors Can Cope With A Trade War Escalation https://t.co/MIzvASGrxF pic.twitter.com/jQeZ6TEV7F
— Investors.com (@IBDinvestors) August 23, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $LEJU $LX $VLRX $INNT $MYND $WSM
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Citi $70
RNC $67
Gordon Haskett $64
Loop Capital $65
Deutsche Bank $65
Honeywell raises guidance and says spinoffs of two businesses are on track
Rosenblatt boosts AMD target to new Street high https://seekingalpha.com/news/3385197-rosenblatt-boosts-amd-target-new-street-high?source=feed_f … #premarket $AMD
Williams-Sonoma $WSM PT Raised to $55 at Credit Suisse
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Ulta Beauty $ULTA smashed on pre mkt downgrade
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Tariffs, $BABA, $PLCE, $TSLA, Oil $WTI, Bitcoin $BTC, SP500 $SPY, US Dollar $DXY