Author: Curt Melonopoly

Stock Trading Results Thurs Jan 5 $ETRM, $BCEI, $PRAN, $HEAR, $GNVC, $PIRS, $HALO

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Jan 5, 2107 –  $ETRM, $BCEI, $PRAN, $HEAR, $GNVC, $PIRS, $HALO $JNUG, $NUGT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Charting: TradingView charting is down again – happens every few months. Likely ICE exchange data issue again – so no charts in this summary.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817301300035481600

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded yesterday so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

I did get a morning momo trade on $ETRM that worked well. It happened so fast there was no way to get alerts out (SMS / email) other than alerts in room (and this will happen with trades that are fast morning momos) and I also had a follow-up trade in $BCEI that I think was off by a couple cents. So one nice win one tiny loss today. In fact, I was so busy during that $ETRM trade I couldn’t even get it typed in the chat room but I alerted it on audio of course and we got it on video at least.

The other gainers $PRAN, $HEAR, $GNVC, $PIRS, $HALO I missed but the members are killing anything that moves since 2017 started. Great team there – just one after another. We’ve seen very few losses and any we have seen have been tiny like my $BCEI trade today.

Also, the trading margins for the areas our algorithms are based have widened recently so I’m looking for an excellent two to three weeks around the inauguration. So my focus will be trying to double my accounts over the next two to three weeks. I published the challenge to my Twitter feed. After the inauguration we will consolidate all the trades in to one highlight video and publish it to our You Tube channel. Hopefully I hit the target.

Momentum Stocks Today:
Symbol Company Name Price Change % Change Volume 1-Day
ETRM EnteroMedics Inc. 3.97 +1.88 +89.95% — ETRM
PRAN Prana Biotechnology Limited 2.54 +0.61 +31.61% — PRAN
HEAR Turtle Beach Corporation 1.71 +0.35 +25.74% — HEAR
GNVC GenVec, Inc. 4.10 +0.73 +21.66% — GNVC
CEB CEB Inc. 74.85 +12.95 +20.92% 4,410,519 CEB
PIRS Pieris Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 1.76 +0.29 +19.74% — PIRS
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. 12.61 +1.92 +17.96% — HALO
QTNA Quantenna Communications, Inc. 22.88 +3.25 +16.56% — QTNA
AGI Alamos Gold Inc. 8.56 +1.06 +14.13% 5,228,276 AGI
HLG Hailiang Education Group Inc. 8.50 +1.05 +14.09% — HLG

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO

Looking Forward:

There is a recent post from Rosie the Algo here (public edition) :There’s Gold in Them Thar Hills Boy! – there is also a member’s edition on the blog / in your email inbox.

Per yesterday (and days prior):

I need to exit $DUST and entered it and held because I was convinced USD/JPY would (at minimum) do a major spike up to end the rally – but not so lucky (yet). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds in to spring if necessary – that was the worst case plan anyway.

We are looking to volatility, bonds, metals and possibly bio at this point short / mid term – but the market will let us know.

The market has a tonne of inflection points now, Silver Gold and Miner’s woke up some today so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

We are currently processing the reset calls for all algos for Q1 2017 over Christmas season because the have all now completed their calls from Q3 and Q3 2016 with 90% or better accuracy. All calls fully documented. 2017 Algorithmic Model Charting is complete – we’re just waiting for TradingView ICE Data to come back online to publish!

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817302196295323648

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:28 am Curtis M : $PIRS $CTIC $CEB $KOOL $HALO $GNCA $ETRM $EVOK $SHLD

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:32 am Sammy T : Long $AEZS
09:37 am Curtis M : $ETRM Long 3.73 out 4.36 4000
09:38 am Jack D : Sweet
09:38 am MarketMaven M : Holding $ETRM
09:39 am MarketMaven M : Out $ETRM 4.51 50%
09:39 am OILQ K : Im out to huge win 100%
09:44 am OILQ K : Still like $CBAK
09:44 am Michael P : ya iim in t OILK
09:44 am Curtis M : VWAP
09:55 am Curtis M : Wating for a VWAP test on $ETRM for p[ossible l
09:55 am OILK K : What a trooper
09:56 am freshie s : may not get to vwap curt
10:07 am Greg L : still holding my $JNUG
10:15 am MarketMaven M : $CETX swing rocking
10:15 am OILK K : $SAEX may not run now
10:20 am Curtis M : Crude coming up on resistance
10:22 am Curtis M : Natural Gas Report 10:30 On Deck
10:29 am OILK K : $AMZN hot
10:29 am freshie s : $NFLX ATHs on way
10:29 am Curtis M : NATGAS
10:34 am Greg L : $VUZI
10:36 am Cara R : Long $GPRO
10:40 am OILK K : Long $UGAZ small
10:41 am OILK K : $STLD long
10:42 am Carol B : My $URRE yippie holding
10:48 am OILK K : $UTX 52 week high holding
10:52 am darnel p : $IMNP blocks on micro
10:57 am Greg L : $CCJ long some
11:01 am MarketMaven M : Selling my $OPTT swing
11:01 am MarketMaven M : Great win out 50%
11:01 am MarketMaven M : Thanks Curt!!
11:10 am Cara R : $NVDA short couldnt be better
11:18 am Curtis M : Crude coming very close to end of major time price cycle
11:21 am Mathew Waterfall : Just popping in to say hope you guys are killing it. Closed my $KSS short last night, likely left a bit on the table but cashed big
11:22 am Mathew Waterfall : Also trimmed some $NUGT today as I’m not sold this rally will follow through
11:22 am Mathew Waterfall : Still holding $USLV and and $AUY. Took gains in $IAG
11:23 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT still killing it. Those calls working like a charm. That’s all I go for ya, be back full time Monday
11:24 am Jack D : Hey Mat lots of winning haha
11:24 am Michael P : I dont know if I have seen a loss! hehehehe
11:24 am Michael P : Been strong in here.
11:25 am Greg L : Congrats on you wedding!
11:25 am Curtis M : Hi Mathew – hope ur enjoying! Congrats!
11:26 am Curtis M : $BCEI surprising
11:27 am Mathew Waterfall : Thanks guys and yea you are all smoking 2017 so far. I like!
11:27 am Curtis M : Been good.
11:28 am Curtis M : Oil on watch
11:30 am Curtis M : $XGTI r / g
11:30 am Curtis M : Trading View having issue ugh
11:31 am Curtis M : watch oil close here
11:32 am Curtis M : oil just outside strike zone ugh
11:35 am Curtis M : $ETRM holding VWAP and short float could be used up here
11:40 am OILQ K : Yuuge block on $TEF
11:44 am OILQ K : $DRYS 52 wk low
11:49 am OILQ K : $OREX cover
11:49 am Michael P : $CNV block and yup yuge
11:57 am Michael P : is that volume I see on BCEI?
11:57 am Curtis M : yup
11:58 am Curtis M : Long $BCEI
11:59 am Flash G : nice
12:00 pm Curtis M : It didnt pop ugh
12:02 pm Curtis M : yuk
12:03 pm Cara R : It should go Im in a few here too
12:03 pm Michael P : For sure this aft imo
12:04 pm OILQ K : $CTIC oppin
12:09 pm Greg L : $UGAZ long
12:15 pm Greg L : If $BCEI holds up over lumch its gone later today for sure
12:15 pm John M : yessir!
12:19 pm Curtis M : Its chuning now so we’ll see
12:20 pm Curtis M : time of day is an issue
12:23 pm Curtis M : careful here if long $BCEI
12:29 pm Curtis M : Ill hold until VWAP at 1.55
12:33 pm Curtis M : $DVAX halt
12:38 pm Curtis M : $DVAX company to hold conf call 430
12:39 pm Curtis M : $DVAX to resum 1305
12:45 pm Curtis M : Getting ready to take a loss maybe here its small anyway lol but still
12:48 pm Greg L : $RGLD long
12:53 pm Curtis M : Really churning now – lunch almost over
12:57 pm Flash G : $TWTR add long
01:20 pm OILK K : $TM to tha moooon
01:20 pm OILK K : hahaha
01:32 pm freshie s : $BABA strong here
01:34 pm Cara R : mu $URRE jiggy
01:38 pm OILK K : Big block on $NYRT guys
01:48 pm OILK K : $RADA looks great
01:49 pm Curtis M : ya it and $GNVC
01:49 pm Curtis M : Tradng View having tech issues with charts today
01:50 pm Curtis M : $SHOP $AMZN chatter
01:54 pm Cara R : Noble Drilling Long for a swing
01:56 pm OILQ K : $BCEI going to go now Curt
02:07 pm Carol B : $XGTI HOD
02:11 pm darnel p : $XGTI I bought on Curts alert few days back rocking now thanks big guy
02:15 pm Cara R : scalping $HALO good today – would like to see EOD run
02:19 pm Curtis M : Moving stop to 1.59 ish sooo long bored
02:19 pm Adam G : Is anyone speaking in here today?
02:19 pm OILQ K : Audio when trade by lead traders
02:19 pm OILQ K : That was a reply to Adam
02:20 pm Curtis M : Heres test
02:20 pm Curtis M : Hey Adam yes I do voice in most trades and Mathew on wedding week leave:)
02:21 pm Curtis M : Just no real serious action yet for me today (other than this morning)
02:21 pm Adam G : I’ve had this on most of the day and just hadn’t heard anything. Just curious
02:23 pm Curtis M : Ah yes – been calm day
02:23 pm Curtis M : $BCEI could go finally
02:23 pm Adam G : I’m here for CL. Not such a calm day 😉
02:26 pm OILQ K : $TSLA back to green baby
02:27 pm OILQ K : $URRE swing should get lift
02:27 pm Cara R : $URRE a hold imo
02:28 pm freshie s : $URRE likely gets 50% more upside
02:28 pm Michael P : agree $URRE
02:29 pm OILQ K : they bought that dp on $BCEI
02:30 pm OILQ K : and ya Adam – the oil chart theres nothing to talk about IMO its wthin range of all the updates – sure you can snipe small trades but relatively calm day and all the newsletters give you the parameters
02:30 pm OILK K : $OREX popping
02:31 pm OILK K : ya I agree – why take up the room for oil trade that isn’t more than small snipes within range – theres no change
02:32 pm MarketMaven M : I see it the same way guys – room is for alerts – alerts are for movement – if theres a trade in oil then fine so I agree – today snipes at best
02:32 pm Curtis M : FOCUS plz
02:38 pm darnel p : $EBIO long
02:38 pm Curtis M : sorry darnel TradingView sporadic today
02:39 pm Sammy T : We have computers too haha:) no Prob!
02:40 pm Curtis M : Theres the $JDST LOD
02:41 pm Curtis M : .30 ent jump just like that:)
02:44 pm MarketMaven M : $MSRT on a rp
02:44 pm MarketMaven M : daily rip
02:44 pm Curtis M : Likely bailing on $BCEI soon time of day getting on wrong side soon
02:47 pm Greg L : $NE blocks popping off
02:52 pm Greg L : That was a huge block on $BCEI
02:53 pm Curtis M : somebody dumped 300000 shares
02:53 pm Curtis M : ish
02:53 pm Curtis M : not me I’m in small I got my nice win earlier
02:54 pm MarketMaven M : Selling $JDST off bottom thanks C!
02:56 pm OILQ K : $DGAZ blocks now
02:56 pm OILQ K : $TWTR selling for a nice gain
02:57 pm freshie s : And $F huge blocks
02:58 pm Greg L : Long $CERC
02:59 pm Sammy T : My $IAG nice play so far – may add
02:59 pm Sammy T : $SBUX HOD selling 100%
03:00 pm Curtis M : Man you guys have been nailing everything this year so far – nice! Keep the focus.
03:01 pm Curtis M : Tradingview lol
03:02 pm Flash G : Now that is range wow $NATGASUSD
03:12 pm Curtis M : Out $BCEI tuiny 2 cent loss on small order
03:14 pm Curtis M : Done for the day – will leave room open till 4. Have a good night!
03:14 pm Michael P : Thanks Curt!
03:14 pm freshie s : Ya peace – great day.
03:14 pm Carol B : Same cheers mate
03:29 pm MarketMaven M : Im off cya guys
03:29 pm Sammy T : mee too catch ya in morning
03:35 pm OILQ K : Great day! cya guys!
03:47 pm darnel p : Got our of my $BCSI
03:47 pm darnel p : $BCEI
03:48 pm darnel p : Hopefully it runs in morning Darnel – I’m holding overnight small postion
03:48 pm darnel p : thats on my Twitter lol
03:49 pm darnel p : DO NOT hold $BCEI overnight Peeps!!!!
03:49 pm John M : I seen that message haha – ya holding $BCEI not good in my opinion either
03:49 pm John M : I’m gone for day guys for real ths time
03:50 pm MarketMaven M : $TWTR I am all out now GL longs!
03:50 pm MarketMaven M : John – I am out for reall too now – cya at the pub
03:50 pm Flash G : nite guys
03:55 pm Curtis M : $OREX on watch for morning
03:56 pm Curtis M : Looks like good range wll continue with commodities so I will set for scalping regular between now and Trump on 20th
04:02 pm Curtis M : Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick. Start tomorrow.

Article Topics:  $ETRM, $BCEI, $PRAN, $HEAR, $GNVC, $PIRS, $HALO, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, S&P 500

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PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Thur Jan 5 $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL $JNUG

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 5, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL $JNUG $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Equipment Upgrades: Final upgrades are done and final coding bugs cleaned up as of 12:30 yesterday so SMS / Email alerts are ready for today. HOWEVER, you have to be aware that the SMS / Email alerts are only as we are able to do t (it can be busy in the room) and the morning momo trades can be done before you even get an alerts. So of course most alerts wll be beneficial  but you do need to be aware.

Algorithmic charting / service newsletters: The last of them are being finalized over 48 hours and all new 2017 services on our list will be rolling out.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

Market Outlook:

Lots of news with the Chinese Yuan overnight and it looks like retail numbers from the Christmas season are going to disappoint!

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks: $HALO $PIRS $SYN $GNCA $KOOL $JNUG

Synthetic Bio’s co-lead product candidate successful in mid-stage study; shares ahead 25% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233592-synthetic-bios-co-lead-product-candidate-successful-mid-stage-study-shares-ahead-25-percent?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $SYN

Stanley B&D’s deal to buy #Craftsman from Sears: http://twitthat.com/hBb8i
$SHLD +3.47% at 10.72 premarket $SWK #stocks

$HALO making a $700M market cap move up in premarket

Genocea’s lead product candidate shows positive effect in mid-stage study; shares ahead 21% prem… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233585-genoceas-lead-product-candidate-shows-positive-effect-mid-stage-study-shares-ahead-21-percent?source=feed_f … #premarket $GN…

Kohl’s shares down 15% in premarket trade

Macy’s shares down 9.5% in premarket trade

L Brands shares down 4.5% premarket

#Loxo Oncology prices 3.87m share offering at $31/share.
$LOXO -3.18% at 31.65 premarket

Gartner buying CEB for $2.6B http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233579-gartner-buying-ceb-2_6b?source=feed_f … #premarket $CEB $IT

$CTIC 24% PRE

$ENDP downgraded to Neutral From Buy by Citi. PT $20

$RARE and Kyowa Kirin Announce MAA for KRN23 Filed and Accepted for Review by EMA

$SNGX Receives Positive Scientific Advice from the EMA for SGX942 in the Treatment of Oral Mucositis

Deutsche Bank Starts Commercial Metals Company $CMC at Buy http://streetinsider.com/r/12395512

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $HALO 56%, $PIRS 33%, $SYN 24%, $GNCA 21%, $KOOL 14%, $JNUG 6%, $NUGT $PLX $ALXN $TWLO $GORO $UWT $AUY $UGAZ $UCO I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Watching, watching, watching. $SPY is still having difficulty with the resistance our algo alerted weeks back prior to Fed speak.

Per previous;

The S&P did exactly what we thought it would last year.

We thought Trump would win and that would cause a rally and that did occur. We also expected some rest before EOY and our algorithm called that to the day and almost penny.

Here forward is more difficult to predict – we are going to assess price action as the year turns over and the Trump era unfolds.

I wouldn’t rule out a sell off and I wouldn’t rule out a rally. I think they are both likely in 2017. We just want to catch the inflection right.

$SPY, Intra-day, Fibonacci
Tight Intra-day trading levels. $SPY 527 Jan 3 S&P 500 Trading Chart Update $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My Trading Plan for $SPY:

Per previous;

Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook:

Per previous;

As noted above, we expect volatility.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Per previous;

We are watching $USD/JPY close of course. We are also watching the Mexico Peso and the Russian markets – both could see significant lift early 2017.

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Per previous;

Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

There is a public post from Rosie the Gold algo overnight (click to view) and a Rosie the Gold Algo member’s version on deck.

Gold, Chart
There’s Gold in them thar hills boy! Rosie algo report ondeck! $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Per previous;

As you may know, we called the bottom (if it is) almost to the penny (months in advance) and recently Gold and miners did get lift (which we expected / called). Between now and Jan 20 anything is possible.

It would be most logical that miners would rally and Gold may also.

But you need to remember that Trump has surprised everyone since he started campaigning and a significant Trump rally in the markets cannot be ruled out. If that happens, Gold will obviously most likely see new lows to between 800 – 1000.

So be ready, and lets catch the inflection. I was expecting on last run in USDJPY so be cautious.

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Outlook:

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

I missed a golden opportunity yesterday – once again not trading it because the price action around holidays makes me nervous. But price did get near the outside of the upward trending channel and I should have taken that trade – no excuse. I wont miss the next one.

Crude, Oil, Chart
Missed trade yesterday at support (yellow lines). Crude algo intra work sheet 550 AM Jan 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

My Trading Plan for Oil Related Equities:

When price gets back to a support or outside channel I’ll take a trade.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGASUSD ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Outlook:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NATGASUSD/B3RWPton-NATGASUSD/

Watching very close here. Yesterday at 1:00 PM I just about pulled the trigger on a day trade $UGAZ when I thought Natural Gas was at a support – and sure enough. On high watch again. We’re getting closer to locking the math down.

$NATGASUSD, Chart
Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGASUSD ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Chart Per Previous;

Natural Gas, Chart
NATGAS KISS Chart of the day. Natural Gas.

My Trading Plan for Natural Gas: Watching for confirmation (same as above – new year and Trump phenom make it difficult to future cast).

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $HALO, $PIR, $SYN, $GNCA, $KOOL, $JNUG, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

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Post-Market Wed Jan 4 $BCEI $EVOK – $WTW $CBAY

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Jan 4, 2107 –  $BCEI $EVOK – $WTW $CBAY – $JNUG, $NUGT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded yesterday so all members will now start receiving them for each trade.

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Busy day in the room. Mathew is away until next week for his wedding but we managed. Market looks good so far in 2017. The team banked hard especially on the $BCEI trade. But there were many. The $BCEI trade we were right on top of – the second it went on halt – we nailed the buy near the bottom – scaled out near the top and exited the top almost perfect. The only thing that could have went better was scaling in harder. But a great win along with all the others. I had a small loss trade today to in $EVOK.

$BCEI, Trade, Chart
Anatomy of my $BCEI trade alert and trade in the trading room today for a nice win.

Momentum Stocks Today:

Symbol Company Name Price Change % Change Volume 1-Day
OREX Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. 3.40 -0.05 -1.47% — OREX
EVOK Evoke Pharma, Inc. 2.69 -0.01 -0.37% — EVOK
KODK-WTA Eastman Kodak Company Wt Exp 13 3.64 +0.82 +29.08% 2,332 KODK-WTA
HEBT Hebron Technology Co., Ltd. 5.93 +1.25 +26.79% — HEBT
OIIM O2Micro International Limited 2.38 +0.49 +25.93% — OIIM
MRUS Merus B.V. 25.88 +0.89 +3.44% — MRUS
CBAY Cymabay Therapeutics, Inc. 2.30 0.00 0.00% — CBAY
WTW Weight Watchers International, Inc. 13.40 +2.32 +20.94% 10,676,558 WTW
IMGN ImmunoGen, Inc. 2.49 0.00 0.00% — IMGN
CDNA CareDx, Inc 2.75 +0.45 +19.57% — CDNA

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO

Looking Forward:

There is a new post from Rosie the Algo here (public edition) :There’s Gold in Them Thar Hills Boy!

Per yesterday (and days prior):

I need to exit $DUST and entered it and held because I was convinced USD/JPY would (at minimum) do a major spike up to end the rally – but not so lucky (yet). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds in to spring if necessary – that was the worst case plan anyway.

We are looking to volatility, bonds, metals and possibly bio at this point short / mid term – but the market will let us know.

The market has a tonne of inflection points now, Silver Gold and Miner’s woke up some today so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:15 am Curtis M : Morning! Will watch early momos first at bell then move on to Oil, SPY, Gold, etc. Movers; $CBAY, $BLPH, $EVOK, $OCUL, $PTNR $NVLS $VNR $AKAO $GBT $ECA $SHAK $ASM $DGAZ $REXX $ACHN $GFA $XRX

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:16 am Darnel P : Morning
09:24 am Flash G : $TSLA bidding back up here premarket
09:29 am Tyler H : Like Gold here Curt
09:30 am Curtis M : Watching EVOK at bell
09:31 am Curtis M : Long $EVOK 4.24
09:32 am Curtis M : Correction 3.24 $EVOK 1000
09:33 am Greg L : Long $EVOK 3.32
09:36 am Tyler H : In $REXX
09:37 am Becky b : $BLPH on a nice tear
09:38 am OILQ K : L $CXRX 2000
09:38 am jack d : Out $BLPH scslp
09:39 am Carol B : $CBAY shorting sll pops here
09:40 am Curtis M : $EVOK stop 2.94 was 3.12 but didnt cue
09:41 am Becky b : My $FSNN doing great
09:44 am Curtis M : Stopped $EVOK loss
09:44 am John M : $OREX over 50 MA
09:46 am Carol B : $NVCN on the move $IDGX coming now
09:47 am OILQ K : $OREX VWAP bounce
09:47 am cara r : $IDXG red to green
09:47 am Darnel P : $AKAO rocking
09:48 am Curtis M : I’m setting up for oil at 10:30 fyi
09:48 am Greg L : $IDXG nbanking this morning folks
09:49 am Carol B : $FIT good action
09:50 am Carol B : $GPS short working
09:50 am MarketMaven M : $IDXG 12%
09:51 am MarketMaven M : My $NFLX on the move now
09:57 am Sammy T : In some $DGAZ
09:57 am Sammy T : And some $NUGT
09:58 am Sammy T : And $AVEO for good measure some long
09:58 am John M : $TWTR 16.70 long 2000 shares swing
09:59 am cara r : $BCEI short
10:00 am cara r : Out $PHMD for a win
10:01 am Curtis M : Oil could leave me here lol
10:08 am Sammy T : $LULU momentum
10:09 am Sammy T : $WYNN my friend in again for more swing
10:13 am Sammy T : Yuge $DIS block
10:17 am Flash G : $MRUS 52 Week High
10:20 am Curtis M : dang
10:21 am Carol B : HOD for $TNXP guys
10:28 am Curtis M : watching ol close now
10:32 am Curtis M : Beecause of holdays oil trade is not normal and likely wont be until next week
10:36 am Curtis M : Until it leaves that intra channel I don’t think I’ll look at a trade
10:37 am Curtis M : Going to reset my charts and be back in room in 3 mins
10:46 am Curtis M : $BCEI halt
10:52 am Greg L : $OREX short
10:56 am cara r : %UTI HOD
10:57 am OILQ K : $HST blocks
10:58 am OILQ K : $TRL on move too
11:05 am Michael P : $ACAD spike
11:13 am Becky b : $AMD huge blocks
11:16 am Becky b : Like $VRX here now
11:20 am Curtis M : Taking lunhc back at 12:20 unles alarms go off then back sooner.
11:27 am Flash G : $TLT HOD and $DNAI momo
11:43 am Flash G : 52 Week highs $GFF $VHI
11:46 am Curtis M : Crude on the move wow
11:55 am John M : $TWTR set-up looks good long here
11:59 am OILK K : $BCEI halt news
12:04 pm Curtis M : Long $BCEI
12:04 pm Curtis M : 4500 avg 1.13
12:08 pm Curtis M : Out half
12:13 pm Curtis M : Out 3/4
12:15 pm Curtis M : Out
12:16 pm Curtis M : Nice win
12:16 pm Carol B : Still holding Curt ha
12:17 pm OILQ K : Really? funny me too
12:17 pm OILQ K : But if it fails here oout
12:17 pm Flash G : I’m out $BCEI here not a bg order 2000
12:21 pm Flash G : Nice trade guys
12:21 pm darni m : That worked out really well – in perfect and out perfect
12:22 pm darni m : It may go again
12:22 pm Curtis M : 4500 shares lol should have hammered down hahaha
12:22 pm Curtis M : but 4500 share on that move helps
12:23 pm OILK K : Thanks Curt – paying blls as u state
12:23 pm Curtis M : could go again
12:27 pm Curtis M : Stpid alert didn’t work on that buy – they got the bug out now they say jeez
12:27 pm Curtis M : Technology fark
12:34 pm Curtis M : Techs say they got SMS dialed in lol evil looks helped
12:41 pm darni m : $AXP HOD
12:49 pm Curtis M : NATGAS at support – may not hold but thats support
12:55 pm jack d : $DIS long
12:57 pm Curtis M : I have no excuse for not taking that oil trade
01:03 pm Becky b : $OREX 66%
01:21 pm Curtis M : Blocl $MCIG
01:33 pm Curtis M : $BKLN large block
01:38 pm Curtis M : Momo should start soon – this morning looked decently bullish
01:39 pm Curtis M : Mathew away this week btw
01:53 pm Curtis M : FOMC forgot all about it – 10 mins
02:18 pm Carol B : 52 wk high $BX
02:23 pm Curtis M : BLOCK TRADE: $SPY 502,351 shares @ $225.23 [14:21:52]
02:24 pm Curtis M : $URRE new highs
02:38 pm Curtis M : Thursday EIA NatGas at 9:30 CT EIA Petrol 10:00 CT
03:06 pm Becky b : $CBAK $URRE squeeze plays on deck
03:09 pm OILQ K : $EBIO jiggy
03:25 pm MarketMaven M : Long $TNXP swing
03:28 pm Curtis M : $CARV Volatility Trading Pause. Halt time: 15:27:00.
03:35 pm cara r : $ETRM jig
03:37 pm OILQ K : $EBIO NHOD
03:41 pm Curtis M : BLOCK TRADE: $EEM 1,000,000 shares @ $35.65 [15:40:30]
03:43 pm Curtis M : BLOCK TRADE (Microcap): $GSAT 250,000 shares @ $1.72 [15:42:58]
03:59 pm Curtis M : Good night y’all

 

Article Topics: $BCEI, $EVOK, $WTW, $CBAY, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, S&P 500

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PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Wed Jan 4 $CBAY $NVLS $XGTI $CS $VCEL

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , ,

My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Jan 4, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $CBAY $NVLS $XGTI $CS $VCEL $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Equipment Upgrades: The techs from the local internet company were in our offices yesterday upgrading our systems – good to go now – sorry about the mid day interruption but they insisted there was no way to do it outside of normal business hours – jeez.

Algorithmic charting / service newsletters: The last of them are being finalized over 48 hours and all new 2017 services on our list will be rolling out.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

Market Outlook:

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that. 

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks: $CBAY, $NVLS, $XGTI, $CS $VCEL

S&P +0.2%.

10-yr -0.07%.

Euro +0.26% vs. dollar.

Crude +0.48% to $52.58.

Gold +0.33% to $1,165.85.

MarketCurrents: DCP Midstream Partners to merge with Phillips-Spectra joint venture   $ $ $

Ionis Pharma’s T2D candidate shows positive action in mid-stage study http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233325-ionis-pharmas-t2d-candidate-shows-positive-action-mid-stage-study?source=feed_f … #premarket $IONS

Wall Street set for higher open as investors eye Dow hitting elusive 20,000 mark #BeforeOpeningBell #PreMarket

Amgen prevails over Sanofi and Regeneron in PCSK9 patent case http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233317-amgen-prevails-sanofi-regeneron-pcsk9-patent-case?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $SNY $REGN $AMGN

JPMorgan clients cover their Treasury shorts http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233328-jpmorgan-clients-cover-treasury-shorts?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $TBT $TLT $TMV $TBF

$1,100.00 already. $BTCUSD

MBA Mortgage applications +0.1%, vs -12.1% last week
Purchases -1.4%, after -0.7%
Refis +1.7%, after -23.2%

$APVO Aptevo Therapeutics Resumes IXINITY Manufacturing; Anticipates Re-Entering the Market in the Second Quarter of 2017[+]

$AKAO initiated at Outperform with a price target of $21

Energy Reminder!! – #OOTT API’s today, DoE’s tomorrow alongside NatGas

RedHill Biopharma to present results of the first late-stage study of RHB-105 for H. pylori infe… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233327-redhill-biopharma-present-results-first-late-stage-study-rhbminus-105-h-pylori-infection?source=feed_f … #premarket $RD…

Encana raises 2017 production growth, margin forecast http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233335-encana-raises-2017-production-growth-margin-forecast?source=feed_f … #premarket $ECA #sitifatimah #malaysia #financialplanning

Hilton spinoffs to start trading http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233333-hilton-spinoffs-start-trading?source=feed_f … #premarket $HLT #sitifatimah #malaysia #financialplanning

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: Gainers: $CBAY, $NVLS, $XGTI, $CS $VCEL $DEPO $SCON $NAK $ITEK $DB $GBT $GRFS $GFA $JNUG $AUY $RYAAY $XRX $STZ I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: $IDXG $CASC $NVDA $JDST $STM $RUSL $LPSN $CLVS $MT $TSLA $DWT $CNHI $UNG $DAL $PRGO $FTI I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $CS $MPLX $HTA $CP $HOLX $CNI $GEF $ACM $APO $CBOE $STT $A $EVA $CLNE $NFX $ANF $ON $CDXS $CVX $EOG As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $NAVI $WCG $ANTM $STM $ZBRA $MHLD $LABL $HIFR $AES $ENSG $AEIS $CLNY $NSAM $EPE $SYRG $TBBK $TEL $MSCC $AMG $BLK $APAM $NVO $AAL As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Per previous;

The S&P did exactly what we thought it would last year.

We thought Trump would win and that would cause a rally and that did occur. We also expected some rest before EOY and our algorithm called that to the day and almost penny.

Here forward is more difficult to predict – we are going to assess price action as the year turns over and the Trump era unfolds.

I wouldn’t rule out a sell off and I wouldn’t rule out a rally. I think they are both likely in 2017. We just want to catch the inflection right.

$SPY, Intra-day, Fibonacci
Tight Intra-day trading levels. $SPY 527 Jan 3 S&P 500 Trading Chart Update $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My Trading Plan for $SPY:

Per previous;

Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook:

Per previous;

As noted above, we expect volatility.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Per previous;

We are watching $USD/JPY close of course. We are also watching the Mexico Peso and the Russian markets – both could see significant lift early 2017.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/816250593215848448

Per previous:

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Per previous;

Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Per previous;

As you may know, we called the bottom (if it is) almost to the penny (months in advance) and recently Gold and miners did get lift (which we expected / called). Between now and Jan 20 anything is possible.

It would be most logical that miners would rally and Gold may also.

But you need to remember that Trump has surprised everyone since he started campaigning and a significant Trump rally in the markets cannot be ruled out. If that happens, Gold will obviously most likely see new lows to between 800 – 1000.

So be ready, and lets catch the inflection. I was expecting on last run in USDJPY so be cautious.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/816251457020182528

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Outlook:

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Per previous;

At time of writing crude oil has rallied above resistance and is now trading in the next quadrant. Watch for a back test at support.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/816249888908267521

Trading Plan:

Price did get to upside of resistance but on a backtest it did not hold. We are watching supports to see if they hold to go long or short.

$USOIL, Support
Yellow lines are support Crude algo intra work sheet 808 AM Jan 4 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Chart Per Previous;

Natural Gas, Chart
NATGAS KISS Chart of the day. Natural Gas.

Outlook: NA

My Trading Plan for Natural Gas: Watching for confirmation (same as above – new year and Trump phenom make it difficult to future cast).

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $CBAY, $NVLS, $XGTI, $CS, $VCEL, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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Post Market Tues Jan 3 $IDXG – $APEN $XBIO $BIOS

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Tuesday Jan 3, 2107 –  $IDXG – $APEN, $XBIO, $BIOS – $JNUG, $NUGT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

I had a decent morning momo wth $IDXG – left way too much on the table, but we had internet guys show up which became a distraction.

Short day because local internet provider showed up during market hours to switch out our equipment.

Momentum Stocks Today:

$IDXG Interpace Diagnostics Group, Inc. 7.50 -0.80 -10.67% — IDXG
$APEN Apollo Endosurgery, Inc. 17.25 +5.09 +41.86% — APEN
$XBIO Xenetic Biosciences, Inc. 5.40 +1.10 +25.56% — XBIO
$BIOS BioScrip, Inc. 1.39 +0.06 +4.32% — BIOS
$NIHD NII Holdings, Inc. 2.70 0.00 0.00% — NIHD
$MBOT Microbot Medical Inc. 7.50 0.00 0.00% — MBOT
$CGI Celadon Group, Inc. 8.73 +1.60 +22.38% 861,728 CGI
$KIN Kindred Biosciences, Inc. 5.15 +0.90 +21.18% — KIN
$XRX Xerox Corporation 6.89 +1.14 +19.83% 64,448,857 XRX
$KOPN Kopin Corporation 3.40 +0.09 +2.65% — KOPN

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO

Looking Forward:

Per yesterday (and days prior):

I need to exit $DUST and entered it and held because I was convinced USD/JPY would (at minimum) do a major spike up to end the rally – but not so lucky (yet). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds in to spring if necessary – that was the worst case plan anyway.

We are looking to volatility, bonds, metals and possibly bio at this point short / mid term – but the market will let us know.

The market has a tonne of inflection points now, Silver Gold and Miner’s woke up some today so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:40 am   Curtis M : Gainers: $IDXG , $DGAZ, $VNR, $INVT, $DEPO, $LEI $FNBC $GGB $PLX $SGY $SDRL $UWT $ORIG $MTL $BLDP $MRNS

11:44 am   Curtis M : For those that dont have it here\’s an EPIC the Algo chart – looking at long position when support holds if price gets there https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/9edDLvui-EPIC-the-OIL-ALGO-MEMBER-CHART/

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:21 am Curtis M : DryShips updates revolving credit facility http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233092-dryships-updates-revolving-credit-facility?source=feed_f … #premarket $DRYS
09:30 am Curtis M : Watching $IDXG here
09:31 am Jen F : New 52wk Highs: $BSBR
09:31 am MarketMaven M : $NVLS breakout
09:36 am Sheldon M : $MRNS 10%
09:37 am Curtis M : Long 1000 $IDXG 5.29
09:41 am Curtis M : Out 5.82 $IDXG
09:41 am Tyler H : Nice one Curt I’m still in hahaha
09:41 am Sammy T : Me too I;m holding
09:42 am Curtis M : Crude looking for a pullback throughout day to go long
09:43 am Curtis M : Also watching oil equities main one right now $SGY
09:46 am John M : Out $IDXG 6.59 from 5.30 big win 5000 shares
09:46 am Cara R : I’m out too 6.46 from 5.32 2000 shares
09:46 am Jen F : Me too haha
09:48 am Curtis M : In $IDXG 6.72 2500
09:50 am Curtis M : Whoa I got filled on a stop that was set for 6.72 at 7.01 at the halt – how does that happen? My brokers wow.
09:50 am Curtis M : It’s going to spike after the halt dang
09:51 am MarketMaven M : I’m still in on original and add on $IDXG
09:51 am MarketMaven M : Cost average 4.90
09:51 am MarketMaven M : 4000 shares whoot
09:52 am Carol B : USDJPY comes off a tad and Gold goes up a lot – tells ya something
09:54 am MarketMaven M : $IDXG sold 7.01
09:58 am Cindy L : Wow $IDXG 80%
10:06 am Curtis M : Volume is expanding in crude here
10:07 am Curtis M : $USDJPY testing previous high
10:12 am Sheldon M : $FEYE new intra day high
10:12 am Michael P : Akk out $IDXG hhuge gains thanks Curt
10:13 am Sammy T : Out the last of my $IDXG too for almost 4 per share 7400 shares
10:14 am darni t : Thanks Curt, I think theres ten of us or so that hit that perfect.
10:14 am Curtis M : No Prob
10:16 am Curtis M : Have to reload charts
10:24 am Greg L : 42s42 seconds agoBLOCK TRADE (Microcap): $MCIG 100,000 shares @ $0.200 [10:22:51]
10:59 am Michael P : $IDXG 153% WOWZA
11:03 am Greg L : Healthcare – Top 5 Gainers / Losers as of 11:00 amJan. 3, 2017 11:00 AM ET|By: Mamta Mayani, SA News Editor Gainers: BIOS +21%. CFRX +19%. TCON +15%. TTNP +11%. HLTH +10%.Losers: ITEK -70%. AGRX -16%. VYGR -9%. IMGN -9%. NTEC -9%.
11:09 am John M : LONG $UGAZ
11:46 am Carol B : Looks like price is going to get there Curt
11:55 am Sheldon M : Thats a lot of pressure on crude – it may loose the upward trend channel
11:55 am Curtis M : Volume coming in now
11:57 am Curtis M : price may consolidate here now
12:05 pm Michael P : Long $JNUG heavy here
12:12 pm Curtis M : Crude really close to support zone now
12:13 pm Curtis M : Decent buy risk reward but because of time of year I am going to wait
12:13 pm Curtis M : ButI will likely kick myself
12:14 pm John M : Always the cautious guy in the room
12:14 pm Sammy T : Im going to bite off some $USO here
12:15 pm Sheldon M : Wow $USOIL came off 2,47% in that swipe
12:22 pm Tyler H : Long $TECK 1/5 size
12:23 pm MarketMaven M : BLOCK TRADE: $SPY 500,000 shares @ $224.26 [12:22:19]
12:26 pm Curtis M : Im still trying to find a reason for the violent sell-off
12:27 pm Curtis M : If that was just a sell-off thats not a great sign
12:29 pm MarketMaven M : $WFM long
12:30 pm Curtis M : Gonna grab a quick lunch – could be a volatile afternoon
01:06 pm Curtis M : Room will shut down for an hour guys – the internet techs are here to reset all our systems sorry. Cya in an hour.
01:45 pm Curtis Melonopoly : We’re likely not going to get everyone back in here today – they’re replacing one server at a time and well it had to be done during working hours and they couldn’t tell us what time they were coming. Ugh. Anyway, so I am gonna just trade and if they get everyone back in great – if not oh well – theres tomorrow.
01:54 pm Curtis Melonopoly : While techs are doing there thing I’m going to focus on getting a crude oil entry if it moves – that’s my afternoon.
02:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Hey Rob its just you and me lol
02:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Im going to start scaling in 5000 $USO and see if this holds.
02:07 pm Rob D : where’d everone go? cant get back in?
02:20 pm Rob D : UWT going wrong way
02:22 pm Curtis Melonopoly : out
02:22 pm Curtis Melonopoly : ya this doesn’t look great yet lol
02:26 pm Rob D : ic ouldnt tell from epic chart if you were going to want to short this morning or not……closest red circle and then reversal?
02:28 pm Rob D : ooooh SCYX….long term hold there

Room ended early with tech attending to switch out our equipment for upgrades.

Article Topics: $IDXG, $APEN, $XBIO, $BIOS, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, S&P 500

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PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Tues Jan 3 $DGAZ, $LEI, $ALJ, $DEPO, $ORIG, $UWT

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , , ,

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 3, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $DGAZ $LEI $ALJ $DEPO $ORIG $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

Market Outlook:

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that. 

As mentioned previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks:  $DGAZ, $LEI, $ALJ, $DEPO, $ORIG

$SRPT upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Janney. PT $65

$MRNS Marinus Pharmaceuticals Receives FDA Orphan Drug Designation for Ganaxolone to Treat Fragile X Syndrome

$CLVS $175M offering.

Trump Tweets $GM Crushed premarket.

Shares of Nike (NYSE:NKE) are on watch after the stock is named the best new idea for 2017 at Jefferies.

NKE +2.07% premarket to $51.88 vs. a 52-week trading range of $49.01 to $65.44.

First NBC +15% on asset sale http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233032-first-nbc-plus-15-percent-asset-sale?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $HBHC $FNBC

Nomura selects Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) as its top restaurant pick for 2017.

Stocks gear up for fresh run at Dow 20K http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233030-stocks-gear-fresh-run-dow-20k?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $SPY $QQQ $DIA $SH

2017 starts with a bang; Oil spikes; Techies flock to CES http://money.cnn.com/2017/01/03/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html?section=money_markets&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_markets+%28CNNMoney%3A+Markets%29

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $DGAZ 22%, $LEI 20%, $ALJ 10%, $DEPO 9%, $ORIG 9% $SDRL $IMGN $GGB $MRNS $UWT $SOHU $FCAU $PLX $XIV $ATW $CS $SVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

The S&P did exactly what we thought it would last year.

We thought Trump would win and that would cause a rally and that did occur. We also expected some rest before EOY and our algorithm called that to the day and almost penny.

Here forward is more difficult to predict – we are going to assess price action as the year turns over and the Trump era unfolds.

I wouldn’t rule out a sell off and I wouldn’t rule out a rally. I think they are both likely in 2017. We just want to catch the inflection right.

$SPY, Intra-day, Fibonacci
Tight Intra-day trading levels. $SPY 527 Jan 3 S&P 500 Trading Chart Update $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My Trading Plan for $SPY:

Per previous;

Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook:

As noted above, we expect volatility.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

We are watching $USD/JPY close of course. We are also watching the Mexico Peso and the Russian markets – both could see significant lift early 2017.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/816250593215848448

Per previous:

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Per previous;

Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

As you may know, we called the bottom (if it is) almost to the penny (months in advance) and recently Gold and miners did get lift (which we expected / called). Between now and Jan 20 anything is possible.

It would be most logical that miners would rally and Gold may also.

But you need to remember that Trump has surprised everyone since he started campaigning and a significant Trump rally in the markets cannot be ruled out. If that happens, Gold will obviously most likely see new lows to between 800 – 1000.

So be ready, and lets catch the inflection. I was expecting on last run in USDJPY so be cautious.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/816251457020182528

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Outlook:

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

At time of writing crude oil has rallied above resistance and is now trading in the next quadrant. Watch for a back test at support.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/816249888908267521

Trading Plan:

Watching.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Natural Gas, Chart
NATGAS KISS Chart of the day. Natural Gas.

Outlook: NA

My Trading Plan for Natural Gas: Watching for confirmation (same as above – new year and Trump phenom make it difficult to future cast).

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $DGAZ, $LEI, $ALJ, $DEPO, $ORIG Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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Post-Market Fri Dec 30 $MRNS, $UVXY, $NUGT, $CEMP, $CNAT, $JNUG

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Dec 30 –  $MRNS, $UVXY, $CEMP, $NVLS, $ERIC, $CNAT, $CXRX, $MRNS, $JNUG, $NUGT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

$MRNS was one momo play I had with small gain and $SSH with a wash. Later in day I had four $UVXY snipes that worked near perfect at 3000 shares each and 10 – 12 cents sniped on each.

Mathew and the team had a number of successful long and short trades – impressive group in this room. Talent base for any budding trader to learn from. I’m learning from them.

Momentum Stocks Today:

Momentum stocks were a mixed bunch and there wasn’t anything real noteworthy.

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO

Looking Forward:

Per yesterday (and days prior):

I need to exit $DUST and entered it and held because I was convinced USD/JPY would (at minimum) do a major spike up to end the rally – but not so lucky (yet). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds in to spring if necessary – that was the worst case plan anyway.

We are looking to volatility, bonds, metals and possibly bio at this point short / mid term – but the market will let us know.

The market has a tonne of inflection points now, Silver Gold and Miner’s woke up some today so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

We are currently processing the reset calls for all algos for Q1 2017 over Christmas season because the have all now completed their calls from Q3 and Q3 2016 with 90% or better accuracy. All calls fully documented. 2017 Charting to be released this weekend!

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:39 am Curtis M : Gainers: $MRNS $IMGN $ARWR $ANY $PLUG $HMY $IDGAZ $XXII $NVLS $ALV $CRH $ICON $FRO $NVAX $RUSS $SWHC $GFI

 

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:12 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking for a pullback in the miners today to reload likely on $NUGT. Only real trade I’m looking for. Volume should be light making early morning moves muted
09:15 am Mathew Waterfall : While American investors and traders were sleeping, the combination of a rush of computer-generated orders and low liquidity prompted a 1.6 percent spike in the euro.Coinciding with the start of the Asian trading day, the euro was trading just below $1.05 but quickly soared as high as $1.0653 , which forced dealers to cover positions at losses.According to Bloomberg , the euro wasn’t the only major currency to exhibit a sudden move. The Swiss frank similarly spiked higher by 1.6 percent against the dollar and the Japanese yen gained 0.4 percent at the same time.Within an hour the currencies mostly pared their gains. The euro was higher by around 0.5 percent ahead of Friday’s U.S. stock market open. At the same time the Swiss franc was higher by 0.4 percent and the yen erased all of its gains and was lower by 0.3 percent.The euro/U.S. dollar is the most traded currency pair but the mini-flash crash isn’t necessarily reason for concern.Shigeki Yoshitoshi, head of Japan foreign-exc
09:22 am Mathew Waterfall : $GDX levels I’m watching at the open here are 50 day at 21.92 and fib level at 22.10. Over those with a backtest and I am feeling pretty good about higher. Failure and I get nervous and look for a pullback
09:27 am Curtis M : Momo $CEMP, $NVLS, $ERIC, $CNAT, $CXRX, $MYL, $XIV, $OPHT, $ELGX, $SHPG
09:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Got in a bit of that $OPHT for a long rande pop. Would be nice if it popped sooner rather than later
09:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Legging into $NUGT swing
09:31 am Curtis M : $MRNS Long 1.11 3000
09:33 am Curtis M : Out 1.14 stopped
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Out $NUGT 8.77 to 9.04. Still thinking we get a pullback before EOD so playing tight
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : $GDX over 22.1 and I’ll get back in
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY ramp on deck. This is what had me nervos. Not trying to rush trades here already sitting on $IAG, $AUY, $USLV positions
09:38 am Cindy L : Long $CETX from 7.11 butI dont hink its going to hold
09:40 am Mathew Waterfall : $KSS coming off from an early attempt to run. I hate this stock so much
09:42 am Curtis M : $SSH scaling in as I can
09:45 am Mathew Waterfall : Might not get the pullback here in miners. Expecting some mid day wekaness there with a ramp in usd/jpy and equities. We’ll see
09:47 am John M : My $VBIO coming along well
09:50 am Mathew Waterfall : In a few more $OPXA at .952 after unloading some yesterday at 1.07. Very patient with this one
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : $IMGN getting wild for all you morning momo players out there
09:55 am Jack D : $NVDA weaker than I expected
09:55 am Mathew Waterfall : $GDX clearly over target one of the 50 day. Trying to get over target 2 at 22.1
09:56 am MarketMaven M : In $OVAS small
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : GOLD drop on deck let’s see how far this gets
10:04 am MarketMaven M : Just sold off my $JNUG from yesterday
10:05 am Mathew Waterfall : Good play MMM. I really wouldn’t be surprised to see either a 5 point pop or a 5 point drop in Gold today
10:05 am Curtis M : $SSH I am leavng 1000 shares wash
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY again failing at the 9 day on the 5′. Same level that hammered it down yesterday for most of the day until they ramped it through
10:09 am darni m : Curt $MRNS WINNING! hehe
10:14 am Curtis M : $JNUG what a champ – perfect storm scenario would be a ramp in USDJPY so I can exit $DUST and enter long side of GOLD etc – I can hope
10:15 am Curtis M : Whay to go Darni
10:15 am Curtis M : I thnk i have false hope
10:15 am Mathew Waterfall : Just added back small $NUGT at .92. Still think we see lower here
10:16 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking for entry around low of day/open
10:18 am Mathew Waterfall : Here’s the flush I was after
10:20 am Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT small add 8.6
10:22 am darni m : Short $CETX
10:26 am Mathew Waterfall : Content to sit and see how this plays out at this point. EOY may get a bit weird as well so staying light
10:27 am Curtis M : Im gonna load for volatility lol
10:27 am mar del : THANKS
10:28 am Mathew Waterfall : $TVIX or $UVXY on my radar as well but I don’t like holding those too long. I’m not as confident as you are in those plays Curt
10:28 am Curtis M : Thinking vol $VIX climb here soon
10:28 am Curtis M : 14 min avg hold lol
10:29 am darni m : $VAPEjiggy
10:31 am Curtis M : nice short on $CETX dani
10:32 am Curtis M : $XBIO Resumed 10:30:23. Volatility Trading Pause. (Halted: 10:25:23)
10:34 am gary y : 500K dark pool print VXX 25.31
10:37 am Mathew Waterfall : Added a few $IAG on this pullback
10:38 am Curtis M : thanks gary
10:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Likely done for the day here. Will see how this plays out and keep my nose clean
10:47 am Greg L : Gold going to ramp EOD my guess
10:47 am Greg L : $MRNS banked and watching it for afternoon session
11:03 am Curtis M : Watching volatility and Gold for afternoon session
11:09 am Curtis M : BLOCK TRADE (Microcap): $NOK 400,000 shares @ $4.83 [11:08:18]
11:15 am Curtis M : away for 10 mins
11:18 am Curtis M : Thanks Mat makes sense

Once again our trading platform provider parsed our admin report so we have requested the rest of this transcript from them and will post as soon as it is made available to us. Third time in as many months.

Afternoon for myself was successfully trading in and out of $UVXY four times as volatility increased in the S&P 500.

 

Article Topics: $MRNS, $UVXY, $NUGT, $CEMP, $NVLS, $CNAT, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, S&P 500

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PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Dec 30 $MRNS $XLNX $IAG $AUY $GLD $GDX $JNUG $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Dec 30, 2016 in Trading Chat room.  $MRNS $XLNX $IAG $AUY $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

REVIEW: If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will often be information in that report that is applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

Reporting Status: Another quickie guys and gals! Until all year-end algos are reset this week you can expect these premarket reports to be quick for now!

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Room Settings: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST(definitely looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop but I may not get it)

Market Outlook:

Per yesterday’s Premarket

Today for me is all about metal equities (building list now) and ETF’s confirming and possible entries, watching volatility and the oil report (off a day because of holiday).

As mentioned previous, all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out before Jan 2017 trade.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo:  Early Publication (will update in room)

Per yesterday:

Time to watch the metals close and crude is on the move again! $UWT $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $SLV, $USLV, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK. $IAG, $AUY

Innocoll shares tumble 49% after FDA seeks further data on treatment for post-surgical pain

$INNL downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/innocoll-shares-tumble-49-after-fda-seeks-further-data-on-treatment-for-post-surgical-pain-2016-12-30

$CEMP upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley. PT $3

Friday – U.S. bond market set to close at 2 p.m.

Nevada casinos report drop in Nov. revenue http://seekingalpha.com/news/3232866-nevada-casinos-report-drop-nov-revenue?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $CZR $CACQ $BYD $FLL

$MRNS granted ODD for Ganaxolone for the treatment of Fragile X Syndrome

Xilinx $XLNX PT Raised to $70 at Argus http://streetinsider.com/r/12380126

Premarket: 5 things to know before the bell http://ift.tt/2hvF9Bm #money #market

http://money.cnn.com/2016/12/30/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html?section=money_markets&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_markets+%28CNNMoney%3A+Markets%29

EPIC the Oil Algo firing on all cylinders.

Algo, Target, Oil
Algorithm target in site. Crude algo intra work sheet 154 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:  Early Publication I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 227.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

USDJPY
USDJPY Ignore Fib Calcs – Green arrows significant support and resistance.

Per previous:

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Try and ignore the fib marker’s / mad science calcs we are in the middle of and focus on the green arrows – we see those as significant support and resistance.

Major support and resistance (green arrows) – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Support, Resistance, Gold, Chart
Major support and resistance (green arrows) – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Crude overnight is trading right below a major resistance and right near a MAJOR time/price cycle termination decision.

Per Previous:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: Watching.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Per Previous:

NA – I nailed the alerts in recent weeks with lift but didn’t trade t and don’t expect to anytime soon. Watching.

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $MRNS, $XLNX, $IAG, $AUY, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $SLV, $USLV, $UWT, $USDJPY, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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Post-Market Thur Dec 29 $IAG $AUY $JNUG $NUGT $KOOL $FBIO $TBIO $CETX $TRX $DUST $JUNO $CBMX $GLD $GDX $SLV

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Dec 29 –  $IAG, $AUY, $JNUG, $NUGT, $KOOL, $MDSY, $FBIO, $TBIO, $CETX, $TRX, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Room Settings: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Crude, Oil, Algo, Chart
Algorithm target in site. Crude algo intra work sheet 154 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Momentum Stocks Today:

Some of the note-ables we were on top of today were; $IAG, $AUY, $JNUG, $NUGT, $KOOL, $MDSY, $FBIO, $TBIO, $CETX, $TRX

$KOOL, Stock, Trade, Momentum
$KOOL momentum trade went well but left too much on the table.

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO

Looking Forward:

Per yesterday (and days prior):

I need to exit $DUST and entered it and held because I was convinced USD/JPY would at minimum do a major spike up to end the rally – but not so lucky. $CBMX and $JUNO are holds in to spring if necessary – that was the plan anyway.

We are looking to volatility, bonds, metals and possibly bio at this point short / mid term – but the market will let us know.

The market has a tonne of inflection points now, Silver Gold and Miner’s woke up some today so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:54 am Curtis M : Morning! Gainers: $FBIO $ETRM $SHLD $CAPN $SMI $PBMD $DYN $NAK $DRAM $ANTH $TLK $SSL $NUGT $GFI $AUY $AU $MBLY $DRYS

Member PreMarket Newsletter Thurs Dec 29 $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT https://compoundtrading.com/premarket-newsletter-thurs-dec-29-fbio-etrm-cbk-shld-nak-pbmd-gld-gdx-nugt-slv-uslv-uwt/

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:15 am Mathew Waterfall : You guys are stuck with my screen for the first part of today and I am in some $NUGT at 7.35 pre market. Will let this run for a bit to see where Gold ends up
09:21 am Curtis M : $FBIO $GALT $ETRM are my opening bell watches
09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m watching for a $CNAT bounce as well as a play in $GNRT and possibly $BCEI
09:25 am MarketMaven M : $KOOL $PBMD on my list too
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Just running through a few names there.
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Let’s see what this open brings
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m goig $GNRT long against LOD stop at 4.75. 4.87 purchase price for me
09:35 am Curtis M : Long $KOOL 1000 3.28
09:37 am Curtis M : $KOOL 3.435 3000
09:38 am Mathew Waterfall : $GNRT stop hit. arg
09:39 am Curtis M : 3.532 avg out 4000 $KOOL
09:46 am Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT making highs
09:50 am Mathew Waterfall : Won’t hesitate to get out of $NUGT for a quick win with the way it has been headfaking lately
09:51 am Curtis M : $CNAT $NXTD acion but no play
09:52 am Curtis M : $KOOL I had a hard time moving in with any size and chipping out so caution with volume today
09:53 am Curtis M : Great move in $NUGT but Im not convinced USDJPY done so Im missing out ugh
09:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp I’ve seen the same thing with orders not getting filled
09:53 am Curtis M : Congrats Mat!
09:53 am Mathew Waterfall : I have a 10 cent trailer on $NUGT so it if gets whacked I’m still up large on it
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : I won’t hold it overnight if somehow it doesn’t get hit today
09:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Also likely legging in to some $USLV. Small chunks as we try to find a bottom
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : There’s stop on $NUGT. 7.35-7.77. I’ll take it for a win before 10
09:56 am Sammy T : Buying $CNAT on dips as possible
09:57 am Cara R : $ROX vol
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : $AUy and $IAG on watch here. May start legging in to those as well
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY rejected on backside of fib at 116.82. Good for gold
10:04 am coji j : $NVDA rocket
10:05 am Frank T : Banked on $KOOL cooool thanks!
10:06 am Frank T : $NUGT long
10:07 am Kipp W : scalpng nvda
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Got out of $NUGT a bit early lol. Might reenter on a pullback if we get one
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : In both $IAG and $AUY small to start
10:12 am Curtis M : EIA on deck
10:13 am Curtis M : 11 am
10:16 am Curtis M : See some guys starting to short $KOOL here ummmm mot sure
10:18 am Mathew Waterfall : $KOOL ran on basically a rumor and a large buy. Would be cautious here
10:20 am Curtis M : $TX $IAG $AUY all interesting not as sure about $TRX – good calls Mat
10:23 am Mathew Waterfall : $GV also resuming the uptrend here. Like that name as wel
10:23 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m not getting overly excited about gold and miners here yet but starting to add a few and get interested for the first time in a while
10:27 am Mathew Waterfall : No volume out here for th most part. Other than the two play sposted and small miner swings it doesn’t look like I’m going to get much action
10:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking at a couple swing short tries here. Gone next week though so not looking to load the boat here
10:40 am Mathew Waterfall : $CTXS short try here. This name wants lover
10:41 am Mathew Waterfall : Swing entry so I’m not expecting O/N success. Playing against yearly high and legging in. Will add if it goes either direction most likely
10:46 am Carol B : In $ELGX some
10:46 am Mathew Waterfall : I would like to see $GDX get over the 50% fib at 22.1 beofre I get super confident here. Also has the 5- day at 21.91 and falling to hurdle which should happen about the same time the 9/15 make a bullish cross
10:52 am coji j : $SYRX small long side
10:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Finally getting out rounded top in USD/JPY? What do you think Curt? I say yes but I’ve had these thoughts beofre
10:53 am Curtis M : USDJPY I keep waiting for the finale lol
10:54 am Curtis M : Cost me a lot of money that little stupd bias
10:54 am Curtis M : missed trades
10:55 am Mathew Waterfall : If we can get back over 118.66 Then maybe more upside but this thing has run a lot so my bias is to the downside
10:55 am Curtis M : Ill start trading between fibs
10:55 am Mathew Waterfall : But looking at dec 2015 and jan 2016 you’re one more surprise theory does hold some weight
10:55 am Mathew Waterfall : It faded that jammed it up again in our faces at the end of jan before falling off quickly
10:56 am Curtis M : Kuroda mad man
10:58 am Jack D : All makes more sense now guys!
10:59 am Cindy L : I followed u on those Mat thanks!
11:00 am Carol B : awesome thanks guys!
11:02 am Mathew Waterfall : Totally forgot about numbers in crude this morning. Doesn’t look like we missed much over there as /CL is trying to stay even on the day
11:03 am Curtis M : Crude calm
11:03 am Curtis M : It will be untl machines back from beach
11:06 am Kipp W : $AGI $SYRX nice
11:13 am Curtis M : So when gold at that green arrow and back tested Im long a bunch of gold and miner related
11:18 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY just rejected hard off of the 9 day on the 5′. Been under that all day
11:33 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY got a little bounce. Looking for break of 116.225 there which chould give Gold the boost over 1170-1180 range
11:40 am Cara R : I was in at quad break 🙂
11:41 am lenore l : I was in 3 mins before but I see why ur waiting Curt
11:41 am lenore l : Mathew hit it perfect
11:42 am Curtis M : Yeah Mathew what a fricken great trade whoot whoot
11:42 am Mathew Waterfall : That premarket buying was the tip off for me.
11:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Will keep my $IAG and $AUY positions on a short leash and likely have the main gold screens up all day to keep an eye on things. I like Silver here as well $USLV working as well
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Buy was 11.68 when I noted it earlier this morning. Will add over HOD likely
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : /SI needs to stay >16 or I’m out of that one
11:47 am Curtis M : 20 min break
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Indexes going red here. Should help the metals get boost. I expect some tax selling coming up with a mix of bond buying and gold/silver buying if this trend continues. We see 1180-1200 on gold and 22.1 on $GDX and I will get fully behind it
11:56 am Tyler H : Holy sh@t batman indicator dashboard there!!! bahaha whoa
11:56 am Curtis M : lol
11:57 am Curtis M : u can code it all too
11:58 am Curtis M : back in 10
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : $USLV HOD and $TLT also working. I’m really expecting some heavy bond buying next week as big money does a little rebalancing.
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : 122.4 first level I’m looking for in $TLT. 50% fib and 5o day confluence if we get there next weekish
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $OPXA on the rise. I’ve been waiting for this thing to break out. Sooner or later I will get my pop
12:15 pm Cara R : Here comes $OPXA
12:16 pm Paul M : $KATE crazy
12:18 pm John M : $TLT in good shape imo
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Took a rung out of $OPXA at 1.07X. Hit it from mid 90;s and it’s bounced like this only to fall back this week. Will reload again in mi 90’s if it falls back
12:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IPCI also seeing some OK action today for another non metals name. Flood looks to be at 2.8 with a big buy there all morning
12:20 pm John M : $IPCI I have small position. I think it will explode eventually.
12:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Same here. It doesn’t seem to be in a hurry but I like it long term
12:23 pm Cara R : $CBAK guys
12:24 pm Cara R : $GRBN $TBIO too
12:25 pm coji j : I would confirm $IPCI too – its going to go north soon
12:26 pm Curtis M : Hey guys – looks lke a good afternoon setting up – back from lunch but…
12:27 pm Curtis M : Mathew – I’ll be here watching but getting ready for media stuff that starts tomorrow and runs all Jan – of course I left it to last second lol – but I’ll be hre
12:27 pm Carol B : Post a list of stuff your booked on Curt
12:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds good. Just remember to smile and picture them naked or something like that
12:27 pm Curtis M : Ya ok Twitter and here Iw ill
12:28 pm Curtis M : I think Im only doing first one then Sartaj hopefully dong rest lololol
12:28 pm Curtis M : Socially deficit
12:32 pm Cara R : $NVDA more moves wow
12:33 pm Greg L : $XGTI vol
12:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m also watching $MU and $AMD but can’t get too excited about going long here. I think they bounce but I’m not playing
12:33 pm lenore l : Big block on $SPY
12:34 pm Kipp W : $XGTI thats the PR deal done
12:35 pm Jack D : $DRAM r/g boys
12:36 pm Sammy T : $FNCX in some long for swing
12:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AUY add on this little pullback. Swing position holding for a month + unless we make new lows
12:45 pm Paul M : $NDEV loooking good
12:49 pm Jack D : In small $TLOG $NVDA $XGTI
12:51 pm coji j : $XGTI 19%
12:51 pm coji j : pop
12:52 pm coji j : $NVDA HOD
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : $KSS short looks nice here. Bear flag alerted to me. Also hate retail right now with everyone else failing
12:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rounded bottom into a bull flag look right there/cup and handle. $JNUG has the look
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Bonds getting jiggy let’s do this!
01:05 pm Frank T : Your charting is creepy in a cool way curt
01:06 pm Curtis M : Ha hope creepy works
01:06 pm Curtis M : Interesting descrip Frank
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : MY GF started out calling me creepy now she’s stuck with me some sometimes it works out
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Of course the one before her started the same way and ended with a restraining order so YMMV. /not serious
01:08 pm Paul M : good one! I think frank means curt has a way of knowing:)
01:08 pm Curtis M : its all in the moons hahaha
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : I kid you not, I saw some BS about trading with moon phases. Like this BS doesn’t stop. Moon phases tell you how to position yourself? Really?
01:11 pm Curtis M : ha
01:18 pm Cindy L : My $CETX gonna hit any moment
01:21 pm lenore l : $CETX looks really good
01:30 pm Frank T : Wow $XGTI
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : $XGTI with gaps on both sides I was just looking at that
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Could fill up to 1.73, or keep going down lol
01:31 pm Frank T : Bonds James Bonds up
01:32 pm Curtis M : Royal family news chatter
01:34 pm Paul M : moar $XGTI here in again
01:36 pm lenore l : $IBTX Paul thats where you want moar
01:37 pm coji j : $OVAS waking
01:38 pm Curtis M : Too much winning
01:39 pm Curtis M : $AUY $IAG surprised no pull back of any consequence
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Same here. I wanted to add more and was waiting for mid 80’s on both
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : that’s why I added at .945 on $AUY
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will still add more on a pullback though. Some with $USLV
01:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : In a couple thousand og $XGTI at 1.579 for a gap fill. tight trailer, not getting bruned on this
01:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha good timing!
01:44 pm Curtis M : https://twitter.com/topdowncharts/status/814536212404785156 bonds
01:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp I like it. We’re all seeing similar spreads it looks like. I love bonds here
01:46 pm Curtis M : I hate to be the guy…. but we’ve been spot on in here – the whole room has been actually for a few weeks
01:46 pm Frank T : Stupid on hehe
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Of course things turn quickly but yea we are doing alright as of late lol
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Stop at flat on $XGTI FYI
01:48 pm Curtis M : Sartaj publishing my PL tonight – hopefully Dec was ok – choppy
01:48 pm Curtis M : Jan gong to be massive tho
01:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : This whole month felt directionless and like I was chasing my tail for the trade of the day. I hate trading that way. new year should give some direction and trends
01:54 pm Curtis M : yup
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m short $KSS here against last swing high. Target is down gap fill x2. Chart is something only a mother could love
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Expect it to take a few weeks to get my target
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Short at 49.8009 to be exact
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : End of year ramp starting a bit early. I’m basically striking tomorrow’s action form my memory and likely won’t be trading it
02:15 pm Jack D : BLOCK TRADE: $SPY 502,596 shares @ $224.38 [14:14:25]
02:17 pm Paul M : Long $OPK
02:18 pm Frank T : We banking on $CETX
02:19 pm Curtis M : $CETX great call guys
02:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nicely done on $CETX. My focus was elsewhere like playing $XGTI for a scratch lol
02:20 pm Curtis M : Lots of $SPY blocks
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : End of year positioning probably
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Or Yellen trying like hell for once last ramp. Very possible
02:23 pm Curtis M : Plunge team for sure
02:23 pm Curtis M : When this USDKPY run is over that should be it imo
02:23 pm Curtis M : USDJPY
02:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : When you see thos huge buys and the huge green bars, you know what’s going on back there
02:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold actually holding up werll in the face of it
02:25 pm Curtis M : 8 pm tonight 7am tomorrow 2:30 PM tomorrow 9 PM on the 1st take your pick
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : So start the new years partying today is what I hear you saying
02:25 pm Curtis M : lol hope Im right
02:28 pm Curtis M : Gold is saying tomorrow early afternoon IMO
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Couldn’t crack it with that ramp and the miners still seeing bid support. All good IMO
02:30 pm Curtis M : Or Gold and miners could just go early too lol
02:31 pm Curtis M : Gold bulls could very easily front run
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : There’s a lot of pent up agrresion there and likely some late to the party shorts as usual. Plenty of stops to hit just above around 1200 I would think
02:32 pm Curtis M : $CDNX chart is lovely
02:37 pm Curtis M : If I wasn’t gong to hammer down wth everything I have and more on this turn in markets I’d buy and hold $CDNX – thats just me tho not an official call trade your plan lol
02:45 pm Jack D : Long some $VCEL
02:53 pm Curtis M : Guess if USDJPY gets one last pop I’ll pop outta $DUST ugh
02:59 pm lenore l : Long moar $NVDA
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NVDA play working nicely for those hwo took it. I pulled up the chart this morning and passed on my way to metals. Can’t win them all I guess
03:32 pm Curtis M : Well, calliing it a day – Ill leave room open until 4 pm – just doing homework. I will be on the @Benzinga #PreMarket Prep show tomorrow at 8:15 a.m. ET! Tune in here. if u wish u can DM me cheat note answers lol http://bit.ly/13QlghE
03:33 pm Frank T : cool k
03:33 pm coji j : fun! u will b fine
03:33 pm Curtis M : Thanks:) catcha in morning all
03:34 pm Sammy T : bye bye
03:34 pm Cara R : will check it out!
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good night all! See you tomorrow to cap of 2016
03:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Goodluck tomorrow Curt. Wear black, I hear it’s slimming lol
03:39 pm Curtis M : 🙂
03:40 pm Curtis M : Im doing this one cause its only voice nobody will see me
03:40 pm Curtis M : Sartaj doing the others hahahaha
03:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Ahh that’s easy then
03:40 pm Curtis M : yup

Article Topics: $IAG, $AUY, $JNUG, $NUGT, $KOOL, $MDSY, $FBIO, $TBIO, $CETX, $TRX, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, S&P 500

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PreMarket Newsletter Thurs Dec 29 $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1 Comment on PreMarket Newsletter Thurs Dec 29 $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 29, 2016 in Trading Chat room.   $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

REVIEW: If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will often be information in that report that is applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

Reporting Status: Another quickie guys and gals! Until all year-end algos are reset this week you can expect these premarket reports to be quick for now!

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Room Settings: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST(definitely looking for a way out on $DUST)

Market Outlook:

Today for me is all about metal equities (building list now) and ETF’s confirming and possible entries, watching volatility and the oil report (off a day because of holiday).

As mentioned previous, all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out before Jan 2017 trade.

EPIC the Oil Algo results from yesterday – Called target zone hit 1030 AM Wed. Crude algo intra work sheet 410 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude, Oil, Algo, Target, Hit
Called target zone hit 1030 AM Wed. Crude algo intra work sheet 410 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo  $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD

Time to watch the metals close and crude is on the move again! $UWT $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $SLV, $USLV, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK

#FDA rejects $CEMP #solithromycin NDAs
$CEMP DOWN Premarket Cempra Receives Complete Response Letter From FDA For Solithromycin NDAs http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cempra-receives-complete-response-letter-115500254.html #antibiotics #pharma #biotech

Amazon wins patent for flying warehouse http://seekingalpha.com/news/3232751-amazon-wins-patent-flying-warehouse.

Cheniere Energy executes contract with BG Shell http://seekingalpha.com/news/3232754-cheniere-energy-executes-contract-bg-shell

Before the Bell
Sprint in spotlight; Toshiba tanks again; Russia braces for U.S. sanctions http://money.cnn.com/2016/12/29/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html?section=money_markets&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_markets+%28CNNMoney%3A+Markets%29

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $SSL $JNUG $AU $NUGT $SDRL $AUY $NG $USLV $TAHO $RBS $NOK $NVS  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 227.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Per previous:

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Crude overnight is trading right below a major resistance.

Per Previous:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: Watching.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Per Previous:

NA – I nailed the alerts in recent weeks with lift but didn’t trade t and don’t expect to anytime soon. Watching.

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $FBIO, $ETRM, $CBK, $SHLD, $NAK, $PBMD, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $SLV, $USLV, $UWT, $USDJPY, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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