Tag: Chatroom
PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Jan 13 – $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ
My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 13, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY $CPHI $SYRX $MOSY $KBSF $PED – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!
Notices:
Pretty Frigid out there!
Part two of day 2 video recap two week double account challenge:
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/819747180797894660
Per previous;
Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.
Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.
Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.
New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.
Current Holds:
$ZSAN, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).
General Market Outlook:
Per previous;
Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.
Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).
Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.
Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.
As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.
Per previous;
All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.
Morning Momo / News Bits:
Momo: $PTLA $THST $P $GEVO $IAG $ZIOP $DSW $OREX $SN $DWT $NVLS $JKS $ETRM $NAK $APC $NFLX $MNST $PNC $NE
Watching Pennies: $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY $CPHI $SYRX $MOSY $KBSF $PED
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $TBIO 32%, $RXII 17%, $P 8%, $SN, $MRNS $OREX $NVLS $DWT $ETRM $GEVO $SCO
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: $FB $FTV $LSTR $TIF $GOLD $CFX $GRUB $KMT $CNHI $AR $NFLX $PCAR $PNR $ROP $WMS $MX $FNV $TSCO $EVH $PH as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades:$ACLS $ABCO $NICE $DX $Z $DG $GNRC $SNAK $ATU $AAP $CSX $TRS $BCS $GME $IAG $AGI $AUY $MGA $VSTO $PDS $WBC $TNP $NAP as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Article Topics: $ROSG, $CBIO, $OPXA, $ANY, $CPHI, $SYRX, $MOSY, $KBSF ,$PED, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F
PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Thurs Jan 12 – $HSGX $RNVA $BSPM $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ
My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 12, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!
Notices:
A quick rabbit trail… Terms of Use: Be sure to review the rules of the chatroom and our disclosure statement. We take these seriously. If you are following our trades (entering when we do and exiting when we do) then you are NOT in keeping with the spirit of our relationship. For example, I don’t follow Mathew in and out of every trade. I share with and learn from him and other considerable traders in our room. But I never follow in and out of trades. That is not the purpose, spirit, mission, etc… I am not a “stick a quarter in and out pops success bot”. If you are looking for that go to a different trading room. I cannot recommend you buy a stock, I am not a registered investment professional and you need your own trading plan. You are given the opportunity to watch how systematic traders execute a process. That is it. You can learn and share and develop your own trading plan. The algorithmic modeling / charts should be more than enough to assist a trader with a trading plan for that specific instrument. Many trading rooms don’t even share a chart let alone sophisticated modeling and reports. On the first occasion we likely won’t ban misuse, but we will ban misuse very quickly. We choose to do this because we love what we do and would like to share what we know and further democratize algorithmic modeling that would otherwise not be available to the public. This is about developing something of use, supporting each other and sharing in that process. Fall down as often as you like, and I’ll help you up, ask for help and I will help and I will never stop doing that, but you better be ready to get back in there. No diapers changed here – no crying – this isn’t grade school. Fair? Okay, now on to winning.
Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.
Day 2 of two week double account challenge video recap:
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/819339460907270144
Per previous;
Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.
Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.
New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.
Current Holds:
$URRE, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).
General Market Outlook:
Per previous;
Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.
Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).
Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.
Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.
As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.
Per previous;
All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.
Morning Momo / News Bits:
Momo: $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM
Twitter lowered to Hold at Pivotal http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234884-twitter-lowered-hold-pivotal?source=feed_f … #premarket $TWTR
Callaway Golf acquires lifestyle brand OGIO http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234872-callaway-golf-acquires-lifestyle-brand-ogio?source=feed_f … #premarket $ELY
KB Home turns lower post-earnings; Evercore downgrades http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234871-kb-home-turns-lower-post-earnings-evercore-downgrades?source=feed_f … #premarket $KBH
BioLife Solutions sees 2016 top line up 24%; shares ahead 4% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234858-biolife-solutions-sees-2016-top-line-24-percent-shares-ahead-4-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $BLFS
Canaccord cools on V.F. Corp http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234867-canaccord-cools-v-f-corp?source=feed_f … #premarket $VFC
FDA rejects TESARO’s marketing application for rolapitant IV; shares ease 3% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234875-fda-rejects-tesaros-marketing-application-rolapitant-iv-shares-ease-3-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $TSRO
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $HSGX 37%, $RNVA 25%, $JNUG 9%, $NUGT 8%, $KGC $NJR $MPEL $AU $URRE $GOLD $GFI $SHIP $HMY $UGAZ $ABX $UWT $GDXJ
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: $TYPE $TRGP $ENLK $NGL $ETE $HEP $PII $MRK $GLOB $TEL $FAST $HII $CNI $CCJ $ABC $CAFD $RHT $BKD $FLR $VVC $CHH $KN $HII as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: $NMRX $KBH $GATX $NSIT $ESL $NOC $AKS $STLD $X $DIS $TWTR $CRM $IPG $DISCA $ADBE $CBS $KALU $SC $VEEV $THG $ACM $AIV $HOV $WLH $VFC $GATX $MIXT $SWKS $OKE $SWX $ENLC $VLO $OGS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Article Topics: $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F
Volatility $VIX Trade Report Tuesday Jan 10 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV
Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations
Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.
Notices:
Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
How My Algorithm Works and Availability:
I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).
Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.
My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.
I Am In Very Early Stage Development
My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.
Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.
$VIX Trading Observations:
So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.
Per yesterday;
Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/
First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.
Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.
However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.
If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.
So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.
Other considerations:
Per previous;
Demark exhaustion
$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.
An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX
As of close Friday
$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration
Volatility indexes finished the first week of the year mostly in the red $VIX $TYVIX pic.twitter.com/ZAEAs9v55X
— Cboe (@CBOE) January 7, 2017
New all-time record for $VIX
futures – avg. daily volume of 238,773 in 2016 (up 16%) https://t.co/9VBEbMGsDo volatility pic.twitter.com/vDfTYIyqrJ— Cboe (@CBOE) January 6, 2017
UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes
Alpha Algo Trading Lines:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Alpha Algo Trading Targets:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Conclusion:
Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Vexatious the $VIX Algo
Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV
PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Mon Jan 9 – $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ
My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Jan 9, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!
A super quick premarket newsletter below! You all have charting for regular trades I follow (sent overnight on email and/or on Compound Trading Twitter feed) so I won’t include below for Oil, Gold, Silver, VIX, SPY, etc.
Notices:
Big week coming. Official Launch @CompoundTrading Monday. All algorithms published for launch. Two week double account challenge live.
Big week coming🔥 Official Launch @CompoundTrading Monday🎉 All algorithms published for launch🚀 2 week double account challenge live🎥 #stocks pic.twitter.com/MGPCTAdDsx
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 7, 2017
Monday is free room access first Monday each month. Join us for official launch?. https://compoundtrading.com #stockmarket #stocks #wallstreet
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817847904337432576
Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.
Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick. Start tomorrow.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 5, 2017
Per previous;
Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.
Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.
New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.
Current Holds:
Per previous;
$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).
General Market Outlook:
Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.
Per previous;
Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).
Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.
Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.
As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.
Per previous;
All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.
Morning Momo / News Bits:
Momo Stocks: $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS
$DNAI changes its corporate name to Sierra Oncology.
New ticker $SRRA
ER’s
$JPM $BAC $WFC $BLK $KBH $DAL
—
#JPM17
$CELG $AMGN $VRX $JUNO
$BLUE $KITE $ONCE $CLVS
$GILD $REGN $SGEN $BIIB
$BMRN $JAZZ $RDUS $HALO
ARIA aquired by Takeda for $24/sh. 5.2 billion deal
Mars to Acquire VCA Inc $WOOF for $9.1B
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:$MSTX 82%, $MACK 38%, $ARWR 14%, $BIOC 13% $EXAS 9% $CRNT $ABIL $ASM $JNUG $DRYS $NUGT $ZFGN $PTLA $NAK $DWT $DGAZ
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: $UNP $OAS $MPEL $AMP $NE $TRUE $VER $FMSA $NUE $ZEUS $DRQ $RS $RYI $ROK $DO $SJR $BRKS $WRE $SRCL $AMTD $RJF $CMI $KMI $KRG $LHO $TXN $CLX $IT $VALE $BCS $ST $JD $BIDU $VVC $DPS $KO $VIAB $NI $EHTH $NMBL $ETN $ITT $ROKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: $AXS $DTE $AHL $NLS $JBHT $BCE $WFT $MAIN $MRCC $FDUS $ACAT $EGRX $CXP $GPT $WHLR $RTEC $MANH $OFC $EGP $O $CDR $DEA $REG $IFF $SLG $SPG $RPAI $RPT $GGP $DLR $BXP $LMCA $ERIC $VMW $ETP $RCI $PM $SAM $PG $BCE $AIZ $VOYA $JNPR $PAAS $EXKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Article Topics: $MSTX, $MACK, $ARWR, $BIOC, $EXAS, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F
Member GOLD Trade Update Mon Jan 9 $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG
Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Monday Jan 9 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations
Jan 9, 2017 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report.
You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.
There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!
If you haven’t read part one of “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!” please do now before reading below. Also, the member edition Gold trade follow up here.
Live Gold Chart on Trading View
Live Gold Miner $GDX Chart on Trading View
Gold Chart Intraday
Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST
Trade Considerations to Increase Your Trading Edge
Below are the tight intrday trading ranges in Gold. Also there are three arrows pointing to intraday resistance. The yellow line being a symmetry resistance, the blue is a quadrant resistance and the green is an important Fibonacci extension resistance. The uptrend is intact if the white line is not breached and price stays above 1155 ish region.
Quadrants. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST
The math is locking in now on the miner’s.
Current trade quadrant. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST
If you have questions about these decisions, email us or ask in private message in the trading room or on Twitter.
Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…
NOTICES:
NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.
FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.
ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Rosie the Gold Algo
Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG
Volatility $VIX Trade Report Monday Jan 9 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV
Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations
Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.
Notices:
Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
How My Algorithm Works and Availability:
I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).
Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.
My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.
I Am In Very Early Stage Development
My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive (late Jan ish).
$VIX Trading Observations:
Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/
Volatility is like no other algorithmic modeling we are working with (to date). The modeling as described above is in very, very early stages. Nonetheless, here are some considerations;
First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.
Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.
However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.
If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.
So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.
Other considerations:
Demark exhaustion
$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.
An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX
As of close Friday
$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration
Volatility indexes finished the first week of the year mostly in the red $VIX $TYVIX pic.twitter.com/ZAEAs9v55X
— Cboe (@CBOE) January 7, 2017
New all-time record for $VIX
futures – avg. daily volume of 238,773 in 2016 (up 16%) https://t.co/9VBEbMGsDo volatility pic.twitter.com/vDfTYIyqrJ— Cboe (@CBOE) January 6, 2017
UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes
Alpha Algo Trading Lines:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Alpha Algo Trading Targets:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Conclusion:
Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Vexatious the $VIX Algo
Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV
S&P 500 $SPY Trading Chart Updates Monday Jan 9 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)
S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations
Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.
Notices:
Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
How My Algorithm Works and Availability:
I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of the S&P500 (more specifically $SPY). Early 2017 I will also provide algo indicators and charting for $ES_F.
Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.
My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.
I Am In Very Early Stage Development
My algorithm is the fifth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo they developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing on so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back early 2017 when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive (mid Jan).
$SPY Trading Observations:
Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/N5jyLBJG-Member-S-P-500-SPY-Trading-Chart-Updates-Monday-Jan-9-ES-F-S/
Support and Resistance Lines and Fibonacci
Per previous;
Traditional support and resistance points from previous time cycle and Fibonacci levels to watch.
I know this chart becomes cluttered and difficult to see, but those are the levels our traders use to trade the S&P 500 with primarily – support and resistance from Fibonacci lines from different time / price areas. In fact there are many more they use but it does become really cluttered. Also, pay attention to the diagonal fib represented trend-lines (white dotted) – when price looses a trend-line it usually means price is in downdraft mode. This includes simple diagonal trend-lines shown in chart below also.
Current;
S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 1 Day – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1114 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations
Trade the margins (yellow) on swings and if above top resistance use it as support and we will update levels.
S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 1 Hour – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1114 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations
Trading on 1 hour levels
S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 15 Min – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1131 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations
Levels on the 15 min chart to watch.
S&P 500 $SPY Levels to watch above resistance. – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1137 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations
Some levels to watch above resistance.
Time / Price Cycles / Trading Quadrants
These will get much more detailed over the coming weeks and will be represented on different time-frames. For now, watch the price action with us and we will see soon if our algorithmic model is starting to lock in. Once we have them locked in on broad time frames we slowly focus in to the point of being on the minute. Here’s a start….
S&P 500 $SPY trading quadrants – time price cycles Sun Jan 8 1144 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations
Simple Diagonal Trend-Lines (Blue)
If price loses support – watch for these diagonal lines.
Per previous (in case price starts downward);
The reason we start with simple lines (as one of our primary indicators) is that in many instances price will use simple lines for a bounce or further downside. If there are more than one simple line that price is challenging all the more probability for a bounce or further downside. In other words, you will find that price is more probable to find inflection points when it hits a Fib support or resistance line and a diagonal trend-line at the same time.
Building the Probabilities for Buy Sell Signals in Algorithmic Model – We Start With Simple MA’s
With our algorithmic modeling our development philosophy has been to keep it simple. One way we do this is to start with the MA’s and how they might become predictable buy and sell triggers on various time-frames – once we have reviewed them all (which I won’t include all in these posts because there are many hundreds of variations and these posts would become books) we then calculate the win rate % for each win / loss for each time frame for each MA. Simple right? It actually is – the more difficult part is actually processing the information.
Once we have the MA data processed for all time frames we then have buy / sell triggers with probabilities attached to each for our buy / sell alerts. We can then move on to other indicators such a Fibonacci and many more (all of which become part of our probability set for algorithmic targets). So for the next few days we will review some of the more considerable MA’s a trader can look at.
Per Previous;
200 MA Crossing 20 50 100 MA on 1 Hour Chart
Here is the most immediate MA set-up our trader’s our watching intra – when the 200 MA crossed the 20 50 and 100 and price gets above the MA’s on the 1 hour. Watch this close if price action gets lift over the coming days.
Current;
S&P 500 $SPY 20 50 100 200 on 1 Hour Lining Up Mon Jan 9 1200 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations
The 20, 50, 100, 200 are about to line up and this can create a lot of upward pressure. Very bullish.
Alpha Algo Trading Lines:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Alpha Algo Trading Targets:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:
Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.
Conclusion:
Over-all, we are bullish. This can change at any moment – but all indicators we watch are indicating higher prices. We will update as the week goes on.
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Freedom the $SPY Algo
Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS
GOLD Trade Update Jan 9 (Public Edition) $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG
Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Monday Jan 9 2017 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations.
Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (public edition).
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new public edition Gold trade report (public editions do not include proprietary algorithmic modeling).
The member edition (that includes the algorithmic trading levels) will be published and in your email inbox soon!
You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.
There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!
If you have not read my “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy” post – now is a good time before reviewing the below.
A Quick Review
Some time ago, while everyone was panicking about Trump and the end of the world saying Gold was going to the moon, we were politely telling the world that my algorithm was telling us the opposite. Yup, that’s right, I was telling everyone they were wrong. And sure enough, right to the penny her price target was recently hit. But I went further and said, WAIT EVERYONE! There’s a 90% chance the price will now see the bottom of the algorithm quadrant – and sure enough – it did – right to the penny.
So now what?
My recent post (link above) outlined some decisions coming in the trading price of Gold – so you will need to review that, but nonetheless, here’s what has happened since.
Current Gold and Gold Miner’s Trade
Last report I drew the white arrow for you as a most likely scenario (its almost like Gold listens to me 🙂 Which is good I suppose since I am a probability algorithm) – with a resistance area being 1191 – 1193 area to watch for. Price is in fact on its way there and should it arrive there I would be very cautious. There is obviously the possibility price will continue higher and we have those decision levels ready also. But for now, here’s a chart with your most immediate decisions.
$GDX Fibonacci Levels to watch. ROSE the GOLD ALGO $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST
I won’t explain my methodology below, but I will say these are some of your levels as the price of Gold Miner’s $GDX trades upward.
Member update with algorithmic model decisions / levels on – deck!
Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…
NOTICES:
NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.
FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.
ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Rosie the Gold Algo
Gold trading between two price targets called months back. $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG pic.twitter.com/IFYWmzN6XD
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) January 3, 2017
Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG
PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Jan 6 $OGXI $VGZ $GPS $MDCO – $UGAZ $DGAZ $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $JNUG $JDST
My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 6, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $OGXI $VGZ $GPS $MDCO $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!
Notices:
Charting: TradingView charting is intermittently down (depends on the security) – seems to happen every few months. Likely ICE exchange data issue again – so charts are intermittent in this report and in trading room until it is resolved on their end.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817301300035481600
2017 Algorithmic Model Charting is complete – we’re just waiting for TradingView ICE Data to come back online to publish and send to your inboxes!
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817302196295323648
Per previous;
Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.
Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.
New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.
New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.
New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.
Current Holds:
Per previous;
$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).
General Market Outlook:
Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $UGAZ $DGAZ $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $JNUG $JDST
Per previous;
Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).
Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.
Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.
As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.
Per previous;
All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.
Morning Momo / News Bits:
Momo Stocks: $OGXI $VGZ $GPS $MDCO
Gap shares surge 8.6% in premarket trade
Amgen shares ? up 4% premarket
Regeneron shares ? down 8.1% in premarket trade
Ionis and subsidiary Akcea collaborate with Novartis to develop two cardiovascular candidat… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233823-ionis-subsidiary-akcea-collaborate-novartis-develop-two-cardiovascular-candidates-deal-valued?source=feed_f … #premarket $IONS $NVS
UBS reduces expectations on McDonald’s http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233827-ubs-reduces-expectations-mcdonalds?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $MCD
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $OGXI 62%, $VGZ 11%, $GPS 8%, $MDCO 8% $DGAZ $NBIX $URRE $IONS $CTIC $AMGN $FCAU $JDST $DUST $UWT $OREX $UCO $SDRL
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Regular Trades:
S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)
Outlook:
I wouldn’t bet against it. This weekend, along with other algos all our 2017 charting is out so all levels up and down moves will be in those reports.
Per previous;
Watching, watching, watching. $SPY is still having difficulty with the resistance our algo alerted weeks back prior to Fed speak.
The S&P did exactly what we thought it would last year.
We thought Trump would win and that would cause a rally and that did occur. We also expected some rest before EOY and our algorithm called that to the day and almost penny.
Here forward is more difficult to predict – we are going to assess price action as the year turns over and the Trump era unfolds.
I wouldn’t rule out a sell off and I wouldn’t rule out a rally. I think they are both likely in 2017. We just want to catch the inflection right.
My Trading Plan for $SPY:
Per previous;
Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.
Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
Outlook:
Per previous;
As noted above, we expect volatility.
CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/
My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!
Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)
Outlook:
$USDJPY I know, it's different this time. #yencarry pic.twitter.com/8RZzRUbPbz
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 5, 2017
Per previous;
We are watching $USD/JPY close of course. We are also watching the Mexico Peso and the Russian markets – both could see significant lift early 2017.
Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.
Per previous:
BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!
My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:
Per previous;
Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…
Gold: $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)
Outlook:
1184.33 holds some resistance and more overhead. Gold, $XAUUSD, $GC_F, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD. $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG
Per previous;
There is a public post from Rosie the Gold algo overnight (click to view) and a Rosie the Gold Algo member’s version in member inboxes / on Twitter feed. It details exactly what levels I am watching and why.
Per previous;
As you may know, we called the bottom (if it is) almost to the penny (months in advance) and recently Gold and miners did get lift (which we expected / called). Between now and Jan 20 anything is possible.
It would be most logical that miners would rally and Gold may also.
But you need to remember that Trump has surprised everyone since he started campaigning and a significant Trump rally in the markets cannot be ruled out. If that happens, Gold will obviously most likely see new lows to between 800 – 1000.
So be ready, and lets catch the inflection. I was expecting on last run in USDJPY so be cautious.
Per recent posts:
So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.
I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.
I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.
WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!
Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.
Silver $SI_F $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)
Outlook:
Some levels to watch up and down. It’s unorthodox charting – but trust me. Down look to 14.498 and up look to 18.909. Also that 200 day (pink) watch it.
Per previous;
Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.
Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.
My Plan for Trading Silver:
Per previous;
Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.
Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.
Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)
Outlook:
At time of writing oil is about to test significant resistance. 547 AM.
My Trading Plan for Oil Related Equities:
Per Previous;
When price gets back to a support or outside channel I’ll take a trade.
Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT
Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGASUSD ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):
Outlook:
It’s bullish – but it has to hold important levels like 200 MA on chart below.
Chart Per Previous;
My Trading Plan for Natural Gas:
Per Previous;
Watching for confirmation (same as above – new year and Trump phenom make it difficult to future cast).
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Article Topics: $OGXI, $VGZ, $GPS, $MDCO, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F