Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Monday September 24, 2018.
In this edition: $ARMN, $ACST, $XON, $OSIS, $BLDP, $LEBV, $CRON, $NBEV, $NFLX, $FB, $SHOP, OIL, $EDIT, $BABA, $GTHX, $AGN, $ROKU, $CVM, $XXII, $MOMO, $SPY, $DIS, $SSW, $DXY, $BOX, $CARA, $PROQR, $XBIO, $AAPL, $ARWR, $VIX, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Sept 24 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- September Live Trading Room Challenge, Coaching, News, Events, Q & A and More: information for existing members, those asking about our services and new on-boarding members
- The main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, special Trading Webinars or when the lead trader is not available.
- In final edits for release;
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced in part (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
As I expected, the trade set-ups from Trading Boot Camp alarmed and we’ve had some great trades since. The markets have some really decent setups still, today may be soft but a turn out of that softness is likely early week or at latest mid next week (see video reports the last few days for set-ups).
We are working on a tonne of charting / trade set-ups right now that will be sent this week to members as ready, here’s the theme;
Trading Theme this Week "inflections":
1. Many charts need rest = target select opportunities, they're there.
2. Range bound, coils etc breaking near break = bigger opportunity.
3. Time cycles = knowing what should be on high watch.
All reports out b4 market open Monday.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 23, 2018
Below are trade position notes from late last week if you didn’t catch them;
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
The videos this week and the boot camp trade set-up reviews have been right in the flow of the market. We’re working on the rest of the equities we follow now and will have them all out over the next few days. Today in mid-day review I will tackle some more of the set-ups.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:08 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.11, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 7187, Gold $GLD trading 1199.03, Silver $SLV trading 14.30, $SPY 291.56 (previous close), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6595.00 and $VIX trading 12.4.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Amarin’s stock rockets nearly 4-fold after positive trial results https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amarins-stock-rockets-nearly-4-fold-after-positive-trial-results-2018-09-24?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
ACASTI PHARMA (ACST) premarket trading 1.16 up 95% sympathy play to $AMRN positive trial news $ACST #premarket #daytrading
ACASTI PHARMA (ACST) premarket trading 1.16 up 95% sympathy play to $AMRN positive trial news $ACST #premarket #daytrading pic.twitter.com/fhZo5qwrcR
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 24, 2018
News:
Pandora’s stock soars after SiriusXM buyout deal valued at $3.5 billion
BioXcel Therapeutics, Nektar expand research #collaboration into clinical partnership $BTAI $NKTR https://bit.ly/2NDoRv9
Intrexon up 22% premarket on advancement of medical cannabis production https://seekingalpha.com/news/3392365-intrexon-22-percent-premarket-advancement-medical-cannabis-production?source=feed_f … #premarket $XON
Sarepta stock rises after FDA lifts clinical hold on gene therapy program
ymantec’s stock jumps after audit committee completes probe; restatement not expected
Epizyme’s stock soars after FDA lifts hold on trial enrollments
$TSLA Q3 Deliveries Likely to Beat Consensus says Goldman
$ALNY Receives Priority Review in Canada for Patisiran, for the Treatment of Hereditary Transthyretin-mediated Amyloidosis (hATTR Amyloidosis) With Polyneuropathy
$SGYP Synergy Pharmaceuticals Strengthens Coverage for TRULANCE® (plecanatide) with Key New Market Access Wins
AnaptysBio down 8% premarket on mid-stage etokimab data in eosinophilic asthma https://seekingalpha.com/news/3392359-anaptysbio-8-percent-premarket-mid-stage-etokimab-data-eosinophilic-asthma?source=feed_f … #premarket $ANAB
$EIGR Announces FDA Guidance on HDV Phase 3 Study Design: Primary Endpoint Established; D-LIVR Study Initiating Q4’18
Comcast’s $39 Billion Sky Win Extends Media Empire to Europe https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/2018/09/22/comcast-muscles-fox-aside-with-39-billion-offer-for-sky#gs.6zgY0ek
$XON Intrexon Announces Advances in Development of its Microbial Platform to Produce Cannabinoids for Medical Uses
#UPDATE Brent oil soared Monday close to $81 a barrel, reaching the highest level since November 2014 after OPEC and other global producers snubbed pressure from US President Trump to dampen prices http://u.afp.com/ounF #BrentOil
#UPDATE Brent oil soared Monday close to $81 a barrel, reaching the highest level since November 2014 after OPEC and other global producers snubbed pressure from US President Trump to dampen prices https://t.co/G8PLVOKw0S #BrentOil
— AFP News Agency (@AFP) September 24, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Elastic sets IPO terms to raise up to $203 million, to be valued at up to $2 billion
$BNGO REMINDER: Analyst IPO Quiet Period Expiration Today for BioNano Genomics
Ticketing company Eventbrite prices IPO at $23 to raise $230 million
Gritstone Oncology sets terms for IPO to raise up to $91.1 million
Qutoutiao prices IPO at $7 per ADS, raising $84 million
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$NKE $BB $KMX $RAD $KBH $JBL $ACET $FDS $MANU $BBBY $NEOG $ACN $CCL $INFO $ATU $MTN $WOR $CTAS $MKC $CAG $ASNA $AIR $OMN $CMD $FGP $PRGS $ESNC $ANGO $CAMP $FUL $DAC $ISR $SCHL
#earnings for the week$NKE $BB $KMX $RAD $KBH $JBL $ACET $FDS $MANU $BBBY $NEOG $ACN $CCL $INFO $ATU $MTN $WOR $CTAS $MKC $CAG $ASNA $AIR $OMN $CMD $FGP $PRGS $ESNC $ANGO $CAMP $FUL $DAC $ISR $SCHL https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/pVka1Ud3QD
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 24, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade any charting set-up decision to decision, when the set-up fails be sure to cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart).
AMARIN (AMRN) trading 12.29 Amarin’s stock rockets nearly 4-fold after positive trial results $AMRN #premarket #daytrading
Best Oil Stocks to Buy Now https://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-oil-stocks-buy-now-012433429.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw …
Best Oil Stocks to Buy Now https://t.co/mh3568k1o0 via @YahooFinance
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 24, 2018
APPLE (AAPL) premarket bullish momentum with 20 MA test and 224.60 range buy sell trigger above $AAPL #swingtrading #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key support and bounced, targets 33.62 Oct 2 or sell off 28.87, watch structure uoutlined on chart #swingtrading #tradealerts
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) trading 6.54 premarket long in to 8.09 price target, 6.16 area support. $LEVB #daytrading #swingtrade
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
CRONOS – per yesterday’s trade alert and review video over trendline on way to resistance test in premarket $CRONO #tradealert #premarket
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
CVM Looking to break recent highs out of bullish bowl targets 5.00 then 6.00. $CVM #swingtrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) continues bullish pressing upper FIB trendline, trading 159.25 targeting 166 Oct 10 $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
SP500 (SPY) near break upside test, above signals targets 293, 294.20, 295.50, 297 resistance Sept 21 ish $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #Swingtrade #tradingalerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PRQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to trade XBIO charting set-up number 1. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
DISNEY (DIS) From this target above 110.50 targets 118.00 area and below targets 103.00 area. $DIS #swingtrading #daytrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-China won’t talk under threat
-Oil highest since Nov. 2014
-More Brexit challenges
-Markets slip
-Kavanaugh’s accusers
https://bloom.bg/2O8IFG8
#5things
-China won't talk under threat
-Oil highest since Nov. 2014
-More Brexit challenges
-Markets slip
-Kavanaugh's accusers https://t.co/Z7k1axIYEx pic.twitter.com/YW051ln3Hh— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) September 24, 2018
US Stocks Weaken, Oil Surges, as China and OPEC Defy Trump on Trade and Energy https://www.thestreet.com/markets/us-stocks-weaken-oil-surges-as-china-and-opec-defy-trump-on-trade-and-energy-14720563 … via @TheStreet
US Stocks Weaken, Oil Surges, as China and OPEC Defy Trump on Trade and Energy https://t.co/8qRLlEU01M via @TheStreet
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) September 24, 2018
Zombies crowd the S&P 1500:
Zombies crowd the S&P 1500: pic.twitter.com/JY827OAebS
— Greg Gaylor (@SMUMustangAlum) September 23, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $AMRN $ACST $OGEN $EPZM $AGTC $NVCN $CAPR $XON $P $IDXG $ALXN $GOLD $DTEA $UWT
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $AWSM $NBEV $TLRY $ANAB $NTNX $DWT $BILI $JD $CMCSA $SCO $CZR $IQ $CRON
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $KVHI $UNFI $ASML $HTHT $HIG $RELX $PAA $PAGP $AGTC $AVP $MD $MIDD
$ABT Wells Fargo Maintains Outperform on Abbott Laboratories, Raises Price Target to $80 $ABT
Jefferies on $AMRN Model U.S.peak sales could reach $2B, ~$15/share (upside scenario). See M&A potential. Share could trade up into AHA Meeting and sNDA approval.
(6) Recent Downgrades: $SFM $KTWO $PF $COR $BILI $CMCSA $DRI $EAT $CHUY $TXRH $BLMN $PPG $CEQP $NTNX
Nutanix stock falls after Susquehanna downgrade
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, $ARMN, $ACST, $XON, $CARA, $OSIS, $BLDP, $NFLX, $AAPL, $FB, $BABA, OIL, OPEC