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Tag Archives: $UWT

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  2. Tag Archives: $UWT

Tag: $UWT

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Mon Jan 9 – $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

January 9, 2017January 17, 2017 Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan$ARWR, $BIOC, $DSLV, $DUST, $EXAS, $JDST, $JNUG, $MACK, $MSTX, $NUGT, $USLV, $UWT, Chatroom, Day-trading, DGAZ, DWT, Pre-Market, Stockmarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, UGAZ, Wall Street, Watchlist

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Jan 9, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

A super quick premarket newsletter below! You all have charting for regular trades I follow (sent overnight on email and/or on Compound Trading Twitter feed) so I won’t include below for Oil, Gold, Silver, VIX, SPY, etc.

Notices:

Big week coming. Official Launch @CompoundTrading Monday. All algorithms published for launch. Two week double account challenge live.

Big week coming🔥 Official Launch @CompoundTrading Monday🎉 All algorithms published for launch🚀 2 week double account challenge live🎥 #stocks pic.twitter.com/MGPCTAdDsx

— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 7, 2017

Monday is free room access first Monday each month. Join us for official launch?. https://compoundtrading.com #stockmarket #stocks #wallstreet

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817847904337432576

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick. Start tomorrow.

— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 5, 2017

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks: $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS

$DNAI changes its corporate name to Sierra Oncology.
New ticker $SRRA

ER’s
$JPM $BAC $WFC $BLK $KBH $DAL
—
#JPM17
$CELG $AMGN $VRX $JUNO
$BLUE $KITE $ONCE $CLVS
$GILD $REGN $SGEN $BIIB
$BMRN $JAZZ $RDUS $HALO

ARIA aquired by Takeda for $24/sh. 5.2 billion deal

Mars to Acquire VCA Inc $WOOF for $9.1B

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:$MSTX 82%, $MACK 38%, $ARWR 14%, $BIOC 13% $EXAS 9% $CRNT $ABIL $ASM $JNUG $DRYS $NUGT $ZFGN $PTLA $NAK $DWT $DGAZ

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $UNP $OAS $MPEL $AMP $NE $TRUE $VER $FMSA $NUE $ZEUS $DRQ $RS $RYI $ROK $DO $SJR $BRKS $WRE $SRCL $AMTD $RJF $CMI $KMI $KRG $LHO $TXN $CLX $IT $VALE $BCS $ST $JD $BIDU $VVC $DPS $KO $VIAB $NI $EHTH $NMBL $ETN $ITT $ROKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  $AXS $DTE $AHL $NLS $JBHT $BCE $WFT $MAIN $MRCC $FDUS $ACAT $EGRX $CXP $GPT $WHLR $RTEC $MANH $OFC $EGP $O $CDR $DEA $REG $IFF $SLG $SPG $RPAI $RPT $GGP $DLR $BXP $LMCA $ERIC $VMW $ETP $RCI $PM $SAM $PG $BCE $AIZ $VOYA $JNPR $PAAS $EXKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $MSTX, $MACK, $ARWR, $BIOC, $EXAS, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

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Member Oil Trade Update Mon Jan 9 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Member Oil Trade Update Mon Jan 9 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

January 8, 2017January 17, 2017 Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC)$CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Targets, Trading Room

Mon Jan 9, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

CHARTING: Per previous – There is a significant decision in price coming – watch notices close over coming days! And see below a very important diagonal trend-line resistance is on deck also!

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday Jan 9, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/G5GjIwdI-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-USOIL-WTI-Member-Chart/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at  ET 6:04 Jan 8, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

Trading, Oil, $USOIL
Current trade 53.77 Crude algo intra work sheet 604 PM Jan 8 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

The trading range is still intact, however, BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS OIL IS TRADING VERY NEAR KEY RESISTANCE, THE OUTSIDE OF THE UPWARD TRENDING CHANNEL AND THE END OF NUMEROUS TIME PRICE CYCLES.

Per Previous;

The trading price is getting really close to having to make a decision now. Either up over significant resistance or sideways or drop out of the upward trending channel. Our bias is up over resistance because a. the trend is your friend and b. until we reach the incoming down-trending diagonal trend-lines (blue) from previous time – cycles, you will see on charting below. However, you need to be ready for both scenarios.

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart (show on previous posts) are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Per previous;

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle – a significant trend-line. Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow). If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these diagonal trendlines lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart
56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

With the trading price of oil up at key resistance the 20 MA has been challenged more and more. Red arrow below shows an example of what can occur when 20 MA lost with crude oil. As of time of writing 20 MA intact.

Crude oil, 20 MA, Chart
20 MA vs price. Crude algo intra work sheet 442 PM Jan 8 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so our fib charts may look at times more like mad science than anything.

When you get a feel for how the fib levels reflect intra trading (which we cannot explain in short here) you will always have them on your chart in a similar manner.

Fibonacci, Oil, $USOIL
Fibonacci. Crude algo intra work sheet 610 PM Jan 8 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Between now and Jan 15 there are a series (cluster) of time price cycles terminating – so much that we see a significant move in the price of crude oil either up or down very soon. Any moment.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

The targets below are VERY LIKELY to change as we are expecting a volatile move in oil within days (before Jan 15, 2017). WE WILL UPDATE MEMBERS WHEN THIS OCCURS.

So what is your most probable algo target for Tuesday 4:30 PM EST etc? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): 

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 53.07 (53%), 55.75 (24%), 57.01 (3%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 53.20 (41%), 55.95 (21%), 57.23 (1%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 53.62 (15%), 56.52 (9%), 57.81 (0.5%)

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811327478845218816

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets

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PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Jan 6 $OGXI $VGZ $GPS $MDCO – $UGAZ $DGAZ $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $JNUG $JDST

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Jan 6 $OGXI $VGZ $GPS $MDCO – $UGAZ $DGAZ $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $JNUG $JDST

January 6, 2017January 8, 2017 Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan$DSLV, $DUST, $GPS, $JDST, $JNUG, $MDCO, $NUGT, $OGXI, $USLV, $UWT, $VGZ, Chatroom, Day-trading, DGAZ, DWT, Pre-Market, Stocks, Trading Plan, UGAZ, Watchlist

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 6, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $OGXI $VGZ $GPS $MDCO $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Charting: TradingView charting is intermittently down (depends on the security) – seems to happen every few months. Likely ICE exchange data issue again – so charts are intermittent in this report and in trading room until it is resolved on their end.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817301300035481600

2017 Algorithmic Model Charting is complete – we’re just waiting for TradingView ICE Data to come back online to publish and send to your inboxes!

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/817302196295323648

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $UGAZ $DGAZ $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $JNUG $JDST

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks: $OGXI $VGZ $GPS $MDCO

Gap shares surge 8.6% in premarket trade

Amgen shares ? up 4% premarket

Regeneron shares ? down 8.1% in premarket trade

Ionis and subsidiary Akcea collaborate with Novartis to develop two cardiovascular candidat… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233823-ionis-subsidiary-akcea-collaborate-novartis-develop-two-cardiovascular-candidates-deal-valued?source=feed_f … #premarket $IONS $NVS

UBS reduces expectations on McDonald’s http://seekingalpha.com/news/3233827-ubs-reduces-expectations-mcdonalds?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $MCD

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $OGXI 62%, $VGZ 11%, $GPS 8%, $MDCO 8% $DGAZ $NBIX $URRE $IONS $CTIC $AMGN $FCAU $JDST $DUST $UWT $OREX $UCO $SDRL

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  As time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook:

I wouldn’t bet against it. This weekend, along with other algos all our 2017 charting is out so all levels up and down moves will be in those reports.

$SPY, Chart
$SPY Jan 6 614 AM

Per previous;

Watching, watching, watching. $SPY is still having difficulty with the resistance our algo alerted weeks back prior to Fed speak.

The S&P did exactly what we thought it would last year.

We thought Trump would win and that would cause a rally and that did occur. We also expected some rest before EOY and our algorithm called that to the day and almost penny.

Here forward is more difficult to predict – we are going to assess price action as the year turns over and the Trump era unfolds.

I wouldn’t rule out a sell off and I wouldn’t rule out a rally. I think they are both likely in 2017. We just want to catch the inflection right.

My Trading Plan for $SPY:

Per previous;

Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook:

Per previous;

As noted above, we expect volatility.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Outlook:

$USDJPY I know, it's different this time. #yencarry pic.twitter.com/8RZzRUbPbz

— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 5, 2017

$USDJPY
$USDJPY Jan 6 604AM

Per previous;

We are watching $USD/JPY close of course. We are also watching the Mexico Peso and the Russian markets – both could see significant lift early 2017.

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Per previous;

Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $XAUUSD $GC_F $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Outlook:

1184.33 holds some resistance and more overhead. Gold, $XAUUSD, $GC_F, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD. $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

Gold, Chart
1184.33 holds some resistance and more overhead. Gold, $XAUUSD, $GC_F, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD. $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

Per previous;

There is a public post from Rosie the Gold algo overnight (click to view) and a Rosie the Gold Algo member’s version in member inboxes / on Twitter feed. It details exactly what levels I am watching and why.

Gold, Chart
There’s Gold in them thar hills boy! Rosie algo report ondeck! $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Per previous;

As you may know, we called the bottom (if it is) almost to the penny (months in advance) and recently Gold and miners did get lift (which we expected / called). Between now and Jan 20 anything is possible.

It would be most logical that miners would rally and Gold may also.

But you need to remember that Trump has surprised everyone since he started campaigning and a significant Trump rally in the markets cannot be ruled out. If that happens, Gold will obviously most likely see new lows to between 800 – 1000.

So be ready, and lets catch the inflection. I was expecting on last run in USDJPY so be cautious.

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Outlook:

Some levels to watch up and down. It’s unorthodox charting – but trust me. Down look to 14.498 and up look to 18.909. Also that 200 day (pink) watch it.

SILVER, Chart
Silver $SI_F $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ) Jan 6 717 AM

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

At time of writing oil is about to test significant resistance. 547 AM.

$USOIL, OIL, Chart
Crude algo intra work sheet 543 AM Jan 6 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

My Trading Plan for Oil Related Equities:

Per Previous;

When price gets back to a support or outside channel I’ll take a trade.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGASUSD ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Outlook:

It’s bullish – but it has to hold important levels like 200 MA on chart below.

$NATGASUSD, Natural Gas, Chart
Watching 200 MA on 1 Day (pink) Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGASUSD ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Chart Per Previous;

Natural Gas, Chart
$NATGASUSD KISS Chart of the day. Natural Gas.

My Trading Plan for Natural Gas:

Per Previous;

Watching for confirmation (same as above – new year and Trump phenom make it difficult to future cast).

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $OGXI, $VGZ, $GPS, $MDCO, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

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Member Oil Trade Update Fri Jan 6 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

January 6, 2017January 17, 2017 Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC)$CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Targets, Trading Room

Friday Jan 6, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

Today is a mini report – all decisions remain the same as yesterday and day prior – please review if you have not.

With expiration of the algo targets as of Friday at 13:00 ET there will be a requirement to recommence full reporting for this coming Monday.

See you in the trading room!

Below is the updated chart and link to live chart on Trading View (they are by the way experiencing intermittent issues we expect resolved soon).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/4T1JmaOO-EPIC-the-OIL-Algo-Member-Chart/

Oil, Chart, $USOIL
Crude algo intra work sheet 409 AM Jan 6 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

 

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811327478845218816

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets

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Member Oil Trade Update Thur Jan 5 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

January 5, 2017January 17, 2017 Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC)$CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Targets, Trading Room

Thursday Jan 5, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

Today is a mini report – all decisions remain the same as yesterday – please review if you have not.

The only change is that the lower alpha algo line has been adjusted up and as such there is a live chart link below for you. We had suspected it needed adjustment but we were waiting for confirmation.

See you in the trading room!

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/2FIxzu9g-EPIC-the-OIL-ALGO-Member-Chart-USOIL/

Crude Oil, Chart, $USOIL
Crude algo intra work sheet 646 AM Jan 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811327478845218816

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets

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Member Oil Trade Update Wed Jan 4 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Member Oil Trade Update Wed Jan 4 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

January 4, 2017January 8, 2017 Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC)$CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Targets, Trading Room

Wed Jan 4, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

CHARTING: Per previous – There is a significant decision in price coming – watch notices close over coming days! And see below a very important diagonal trend-line resistance is on deck also!

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

CHARTING: Charts will be cluttered for a number of days with technicians processing multiple calculations for 2017 algorithmic models.  

ALERTS: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Wednesday Jan 4, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/xGqtTgnw-EPIC-MEMBER-CHART-USOL/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.49 652 AM ET Jan 4, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:



EPIC MEMBER CHART $USOL by curtmelonopoly on TradingView.com

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

As per yesterday:

The trading price is getting really close to having to make a decision now. Either up over significant resistance or sideways or drop out of the upward trending channel. Our bias is up over resistance because a. the trend is your friend and b. until we reach the incoming down-trending diagonal trend-lines (blue) from previous time – cycles, you will see on charting below. However, you need to be ready for both scenarios.

Per Previous;

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart (show on previous posts) are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Current;

Price action did get up over resistance yesterday as we thought it would, but it did not hold as we warned could happen. When price came off it almost returned to an important support at diagonal outer wall of uptrending channel and horizontal support. Both are important. If price fails the channel wall watch-out! So this are is a good place for a long as long as it holds.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The comments below are now not as timely as price did not get up in to this region today – so I am going to leave it in here so that all are aware that if price action gets to these levels you are vividly aware of this serious resistance area.

Per yesterday;

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle that is a significant trend-line.

Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow).

If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart
56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

Crude is currently trading below the 20 MA on the chart – advantage shorts. However, price action is still in the upward trending channel – be cautious shorting while price is in the channel.

Crude trading well below 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 702 AM Jan 4 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, 20 MA, Chart
Crude trading well below 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 702 AM Jan 4 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so our fib charts may look at times more like mad science than anything.

When you get a feel for how the fib levels reflect intra trading (which we cannot explain in short here) you will always have them on your chart in a similar manner.

Fibonacci. Crude algo intra work sheet 717 AM Jan 4 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci, $USOIL, OIL, Chart
Fibonacci. Crude algo intra work sheet 717 AM Jan 4 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Per previous;

There is a chance of a time / price cycle change to the downside coming here. Especially be cautious around Tuesday 4:30 Wednesday 10:30 and Friday 1:00 reporting time-frames for changes in price. If price terminates to upside watch for support to hold (previous resistance). Also remember the diagonal trend-line (shown above in chart) that is going to come if price trades to upside.

Price Cycle, Crude, Oil, Chart
Time price cycle coming to end. Crude oil trade chart. Crude algo intra work sheet 833 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Per previous;

Weekly algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 740 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Algo, Targets, Oil, Chart
Weekly algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 740 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

So what is your most probable algo target for Tuesday 4:30 PM EST etc? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): 

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 51.80 (9%) 54.44 (39%) 55.86 (21%) 56.71 (6%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 51.90 (8%) 54.61 (38%) 56.05 (20%) 56.99 (5%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 52.58 (6%) 55.21 (35%) 56.65 (17%) 57.82 (3%)

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

ALSO VERY IMPORTANT, algo targets and algo trend-lines are not near as predictable in and around weeks where the holidays change the reporting dates such as last week and this week.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811327478845218816

 

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets

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Member Oil Trade Update Tues Jan 3 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Member Oil Trade Update Tues Jan 3 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

January 2, 2017January 8, 2017 Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC)$CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Targets, Trading Room

Tues Jan 3, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

CHARTING: There is a significant decision in price coming – watch notices close over coming days! And see below a very important diagonal trend-line resistance is on deck also!

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

CHARTING: Charts will be cluttered for a number of days with technicians processing multiple calculations for 2017 algorithmic models.  

ALERTS: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday Jan 3, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/9edDLvui-EPIC-the-OIL-ALGO-MEMBER-CHART/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 54.00 755 PM ET Jan 2, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

OIL, Chart
Oil trading chart intra. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

The trading price is getting really close to having to make a decision now. Either up over significant resistance or sideways or drop out of the upward trending channel. Our bias is up over resistance because a. the trend is your friend and b. until we reach the incoming down-trending diagonal trend-lines (blue) from previous time – cycles, you will see on charting below. However, you need to be ready for both scenarios.

Per Previous;

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart (show on previous posts) are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle that is a significant trend-line.

Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow).

If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart
56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

20 MA, 4 Hour, Chart, Oil
20 MA on 4 hour crude oil chart. Crude algo intra work sheet 825 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so our fib charts may look at times more like mad science than anything.

When you get a feel for how the fib levels reflect intra trading (which we cannot explain in short here) you will always have them on your chart in a similar manner.

Fibonacci. Crude oil trade chart. Crude algo intra work sheet 833 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Crude, Oil, Fibonacci, Chart
Fibonacci. Crude oil trade chart. Crude algo intra work sheet 833 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

There is a chance of a time / price cycle change to the downside coming here. Especially be cautious around Tuesday 4:30 Wednesday 10:30 and Friday 1:00 reporting time-frames for changes in price. If price terminates to upside watch for support to hold (previous resistance). Also remember the diagonal trend-line (shown above in chart) that is going to come if price trades to upside.

Price Cycle, Crude, Oil, Chart
Time price cycle coming to end. Crude oil trade chart. Crude algo intra work sheet 833 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Weekly algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 740 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Algo, Targets, Oil, Chart
Weekly algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 740 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

So what is your most probable algo target for Tuesday 4:30 PM EST etc? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): 

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 51.80 (9%) 54.44 (39%) 55.86 (21%) 56.71 (6%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 51.90 (8%) 54.61 (38%) 56.05 (20%) 56.99 (5%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 52.58 (6%) 55.21 (35%) 56.65 (17%) 57.82 (3%)

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

ALSO VERY IMPORTANT, algo targets and algo trend-lines are not near as predictable in and around weeks where the holidays change the reporting dates such as last week and this week.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811327478845218816

 

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets

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PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Dec 30  $MRNS $XLNX $IAG $AUY $GLD $GDX $JNUG $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Dec 30 $MRNS $XLNX $IAG $AUY $GLD $GDX $JNUG $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

December 30, 2016January 2, 2017 Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan$AUY, $GDX, $IAG, $JNUG, $MRNS, $NUGT, $USLV, $UWT, $XLNX, Day-trading, GLD, Pre-Market, SLV, Stocks, Trading Plan, USD/JPY, Watchlist

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Dec 30, 2016 in Trading Chat room.  $MRNS $XLNX $IAG $AUY $GLD $GDX $NUGT $JNUG $USLV $SLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

REVIEW: If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will often be information in that report that is applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

Reporting Status: Another quickie guys and gals! Until all year-end algos are reset this week you can expect these premarket reports to be quick for now!

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Room Settings: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST(definitely looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop but I may not get it)

Market Outlook:

Per yesterday’s Premarket

Today for me is all about metal equities (building list now) and ETF’s confirming and possible entries, watching volatility and the oil report (off a day because of holiday).

As mentioned previous, all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out before Jan 2017 trade.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo:  Early Publication (will update in room)

Per yesterday:

Time to watch the metals close and crude is on the move again! $UWT $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $SLV, $USLV, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK. $IAG, $AUY

Innocoll shares tumble 49% after FDA seeks further data on treatment for post-surgical pain

$INNL downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/innocoll-shares-tumble-49-after-fda-seeks-further-data-on-treatment-for-post-surgical-pain-2016-12-30

$CEMP upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley. PT $3

Friday – U.S. bond market set to close at 2 p.m.

Nevada casinos report drop in Nov. revenue http://seekingalpha.com/news/3232866-nevada-casinos-report-drop-nov-revenue?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $CZR $CACQ $BYD $FLL

$MRNS granted ODD for Ganaxolone for the treatment of Fragile X Syndrome

Xilinx $XLNX PT Raised to $70 at Argus http://streetinsider.com/r/12380126

Premarket: 5 things to know before the bell http://ift.tt/2hvF9Bm #money #market

http://money.cnn.com/2016/12/30/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html?section=money_markets&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_markets+%28CNNMoney%3A+Markets%29

EPIC the Oil Algo firing on all cylinders.

Algo, Target, Oil
Algorithm target in site. Crude algo intra work sheet 154 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:  Early Publication I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 227.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

USDJPY
USDJPY Ignore Fib Calcs – Green arrows significant support and resistance.

Per previous:

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Try and ignore the fib marker’s / mad science calcs we are in the middle of and focus on the green arrows – we see those as significant support and resistance.

Major support and resistance (green arrows) – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Support, Resistance, Gold, Chart
Major support and resistance (green arrows) – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $IAG, $AUY, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Crude overnight is trading right below a major resistance and right near a MAJOR time/price cycle termination decision.

Per Previous:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: Watching.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Per Previous:

NA – I nailed the alerts in recent weeks with lift but didn’t trade t and don’t expect to anytime soon. Watching.

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $MRNS, $XLNX, $IAG, $AUY, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $SLV, $USLV, $UWT, $USDJPY, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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Member Oil Trade Update Fri Dec 30 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Member Oil Trade Update Fri Dec 30 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

December 30, 2016January 8, 2017 Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC)$CL_F, $DRIP, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $UCO, $USO, $UWT, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWT, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Targets, Trading Edge, Trading Room

Fri Dec 30, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

CHARTING: There is a significant decision in price coming – watch notices close over coming days!

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: My algorithmic modeling daily oil reports are now available separate of the 24 hour oil trade room / oil reports bundle.

CHARTING: Charts will be cluttered for a number of days with technicians processing multiple calculations for 2017 algorithmic models.  

ALERTS: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

PRICING: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Friday Dec 30, 2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/qFh94QBD-EPIC-the-OIL-ALGO-MEMBER-LIVE-CHART/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 53.96 3:29 AM ET Dec 30, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

Trading at 53.96 intra. Crude algo intra work sheet 327 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude Oil, $USOIL, Chart, Algo
Trading at 53.96 intra. Crude algo intra work sheet 327 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

There is one right under and another a tad further under where crude is trading intra and they have been holding well in recent trade.

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

Crude trading above 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 337 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

20 MA, Crude Oil, Chart
Crude trading above 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 337 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below – but they may just confuse you more than anything. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so the chart below is more mad science than anything because this is simply a live shot of work we are in the middle of – and we understand the levels can be difficult to make out.

When you get a feel for how the fib levels reflect intra trading (which we cannot explain in short here) you will always have them on your chart in a similar manner.

Fibonacci. Crude algo intra work sheet 339 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci, Oil, Crude, Chart
Fibonacci. Crude algo intra work sheet 339 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

There is a HIGH PROBABILITY of a time / price cycle change to the downside here. If it terminates to upside watch for support to hold.

Time Price Cycle Termination Possible Here. Crude algo intra work sheet 400 AM Dec 30 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Time, Price, Cyle, Termination, Crude, Oil
Time Price Cycle Termination Possible Here. Crude algo intra work sheet 400 AM Dec 30 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

Per previous

There is a new alpha algo line on this chart and new algo targets for Tues, Wed and Friday this week.

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Due to multiple requests we will start publishing our targets weekly not only on the charts (with circles and algo lines) but also as numeric listed targets with associated probabilities for each target on each day again (we recently stopped doing this but a number of traders have requested we do this again so we will start again next week). You can see how I used to do this on my Twitter feed.

At Wednesday at 10:30 we had a target hit! Not right to center but in target zone.

Crude, Oil, Algo, Target, Hit
Called target zone hit 1030 AM Wed. Crude algo intra work sheet 410 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

So what is your most probable algo target for Friday 1:30 PM EST etc? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): FRI TARGETS ADJUSTED!

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 50.87 (3%), 53.53 (45%), 54.72 (56%), 55.22 (37%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 51.23 (2%), 54.06 (41%), 55.35 (32%), 56.32 (19%) 

Friday’s algo targets have not been near as predictable as Tues and Wed (shy of 80% now vs 90%+) and this Friday looks no different so be cautious with this Friday’s targets!

Algo, Target, Oil
Algorthm target in site. Crude algo intra work sheet 154 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811327478845218816

 

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets

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PreMarket Newsletter Thurs Dec 29  $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

PreMarket Newsletter Thurs Dec 29 $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

December 29, 2016January 8, 2017 Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan$CBMX, $DUST, $GDX, $JUNO, $NUGT, $USLV, $UWT, Chatroom, Day-trading, GLD, Pre-Market, SLV, Stocks, Trading Plan, USD/JPY, Wall Street, Watchlist1 Comment on PreMarket Newsletter Thurs Dec 29 $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 29, 2016 in Trading Chat room.   $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $GLD $GDX $NUGT $SLV $USLV $UWT, $DWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

REVIEW: If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will often be information in that report that is applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

Reporting Status: Another quickie guys and gals! Until all year-end algos are reset this week you can expect these premarket reports to be quick for now!

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Room Settings: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST(definitely looking for a way out on $DUST)

Market Outlook:

Today for me is all about metal equities (building list now) and ETF’s confirming and possible entries, watching volatility and the oil report (off a day because of holiday).

As mentioned previous, all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out before Jan 2017 trade.

EPIC the Oil Algo results from yesterday – Called target zone hit 1030 AM Wed. Crude algo intra work sheet 410 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude, Oil, Algo, Target, Hit
Called target zone hit 1030 AM Wed. Crude algo intra work sheet 410 AM Dec 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo  $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD

Time to watch the metals close and crude is on the move again! $UWT $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $SLV, $USLV, $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK

#FDA rejects $CEMP #solithromycin NDAs
$CEMP DOWN Premarket Cempra Receives Complete Response Letter From FDA For Solithromycin NDAs http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cempra-receives-complete-response-letter-115500254.html #antibiotics #pharma #biotech

Amazon wins patent for flying warehouse http://seekingalpha.com/news/3232751-amazon-wins-patent-flying-warehouse.

Cheniere Energy executes contract with BG Shell http://seekingalpha.com/news/3232754-cheniere-energy-executes-contract-bg-shell

Before the Bell
Sprint in spotlight; Toshiba tanks again; Russia braces for U.S. sanctions http://money.cnn.com/2016/12/29/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html?section=money_markets&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_markets+%28CNNMoney%3A+Markets%29

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $FBIO $ETRM $CBK $SHLD $NAK $PBMD $SSL $JNUG $AU $NUGT $SDRL $AUY $NG $USLV $TAHO $RBS $NOK $NVS  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 227.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Per previous:

Watching $USDJPY now close for a top. Symmetry is in play on the chart, there is some divergence (although not broke) and metals are starting to front-run.

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Per recent posts:

So we have started to see some action in Gold and Miners so it these are on high watch with me right now.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV, $SILJ $SLX $EPU $EWZ)

Per previous;

Same with Gold and miners – on high watch.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Gold, Miners, Silver Trade: $AUMN, $ASM, $GRL, $VGZ, $NAK – building more complete list now.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Crude overnight is trading right below a major resistance.

Per Previous:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: Watching.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Per Previous:

NA – I nailed the alerts in recent weeks with lift but didn’t trade t and don’t expect to anytime soon. Watching.

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $FBIO, $ETRM, $CBK, $SHLD, $NAK, $PBMD, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $SLV, $USLV, $UWT, $USDJPY, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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