Part Six b) of the “Freedom Traders” Series:  Trading Set-ups. Video Explains Predictable Winning Process.

This post is the video / blog companion to “Trading Set-ups. How-To Develop a Systematic – Predictable Process. Part 6 a) “Freedom Traders” Series”. It is a $STUDY for Traders Endeavoring to Trade With a High Degree of Probability.

Introduction.

The video below will provide overview explanations of the various trade set-ups I use with different types of trading I do (Swing Trading, Day Trading and Algorithmic Model Trading).

I endeavor in this series of posts to first provide an overview of my trading systems and through subsequent posts I will break-out the details of each trade set-up I use.

Check back to the posts in this section (section 6 of the Freedom Traders series) because 6 a. and 6 b. will be updated regularly with new set-ups added to the overview lists and the subsequent posts in section 6 will have more and more specific trade set-up videos and blog posts included in the series.

The Purpose.

As explained in the introduction to this series (in Part 6 a), the purpose of this part of the series is to assist traders in developing their own predictable trading systems.

A large part of a successful trading plan is having a predictable trading system that you can rely on – a “rules-based trading process”.

Finding at least one trading system that will work the majority of the time, that is easy to use, fits your personality, is predictable and easily reproducible is key.

Trading Set-Ups Overview: Overview Video Number One.

This video touches on a number of chart set-ups / indicators / disciplines specific to day trading and swing trading and not so much algorithmic chart modeling. It is approximately 30 minutes in length and it provides a working foundation (overview) of the type of trading I execute.

You won’t find high flying ideas, hot new stocks of the week or some other high flying idea here.

You will however find systematic trading principles that will return 80% + win rates. Very predictable set-ups that can be duplicated with a high degree of success. Below the video are some itemized notes reflecting the content of the video.

Topics in Trade Set-ups Video 1:

  • Description of types of trading I do.
    • Day Trading, Swing Trading, Algorithmic Model Trading.
  • Chart Example Used for Video.
    • $FSLR.
  • Indicators Used on Video.
    • Wide Time Frame Moving Averages: 20 MA, 50 MA, 100 MA, 200 MA.
    • Stochastic RSI.
    • MACD.
    • Squeeze Momentum Indicator.
    • Short Time Frames I Use 8 ema, 21 ema, VWAP.
  • Explanation of Mid Day Chart Reviews and Trade Set Ups in Trading Room.
    • Provides repetition for our traders in executing trade set-ups.
    • Provides new chart and trade set-up ideas daily to members.
    • Provides opportunity for members to ask questions about their own chart and trade set-ups.
  • Trading Set-Up # 1 – Price Breach of 200 MA on Daily Chart.
    • The predictable trade is at the breach of the 200 MA.
    • The 20 MA breaches the 50 MA, the 20 MA breaches the 100 MA, the 20 MA breaches the 200 MA.
    • Entering long based on the daily chart and taking sell triggers on lower chart time-frames (opposite action of moving averages with price below instead of price above).
    • Trading the bowl and break-out above the 200 MA.
    • Confirming the bottom play with the early indicator of MACD.
    • I rely heavily on MACD for swing trading platform.
    • Stoch RSI started to rise at same time MACD started to signal bottom.
    • Stoch RSI helps time trade.
    • Increasing volume is critical.
    • SQZMOM confirmed bottom with trend up.
  • Trading Set-up # 2 – Bottom Play Prior to Breach of 200 MA on Daily Chart.
    • MACD crosses, Stoch RSI crosses up, SQZMOM trends up.
    • Test of price to 20 MA and indicators cross back up then test of 50 MA etc.
    • Trading and testing through the moving averages until trade gets above 200 MA and then you’re in to trading set-up #1.
  • Chart Time-Frames and MA Action are Critical for Trading the Stock (Timing entries and exits).
    • Confirming your trade bias through looking at the different time frames including weekly, daily, hourly, 30 minute, 15 minute, 5 minute, 3 minute and 1 minute charts depending on your time-frame.
    • Fibonacci should confirm the moving averages as support and resistance points on the chart.
    • Moving averages are a modern representation of the tape.
    • Timing entries and exits based on indicators.
    • Price above MA’s is critical in bullish bias trade and opposite is true for bearish outlook on various time frames and exits can be timed in trade.
    • Example Long Set-Up at 52.05 on chart culminating in sell signal at 70.35 – a 40% increase before you get sell signal on chart.
    • Trading through the MA’s before the 200 MA breach is possible (bottom play – trade set-up #2).
  • Chart Resistance and Support Levels.
    • Fibonacci, Natural Horizontal Chart Resistance and Moving Averages.
  • Trading Earnings.
    • I rarely hold through earnings. I sell in to and re-enter after earnings.
    • Low risk trading is my goal.
  • Algorithmic Modeling and Fibonacci.
    • Basic algorithm quadrants and diagonal resistance.
  • $FSLR Chart Examined for a Day-Trade.
    • Moving through the time-frames and various places to enter your trade – what quantifies bullish and bearish and timing your trade.
    • A day trade hopefully becomes a swing or trend trade. 14% ROI on monthly trade example.
    • Enter on tight time-frame (after confirming your wide time-frames set-up).
    • Confirming your entry with “power”. Avoiding getting cut up with fast exits. Timing trades with power.
    • Price, Trigger, Power, Trade, Risk, Reward. PTPTRR. Being ready for the power trade with the moving average set-ups.
    • Legging in 20% at a time. Five leg principle in a move.
    • Knowing where your most likely resistance is in the move and exiting the trade.

Closing.

That concludes the video / blog portion of the trade set ups overview that accompanies “Trading Set-ups. How-To Develop a Systematic – Predictable Process. Part 6 a) “Freedom Traders” Series. Hopefully this series will assist you in building a rules based trading process.

As I mentioned at the outset, I will next post a series of articles to explain the fine details of each trade set-up I use. The videos will also detail many other indicators I use. I will also be explaining more in future about how our algorithmic model trading indicators are used.

Remember to check back to this specific post and part a because the list of indicators and the overview of each will grow with time.

As mentioned in Part A I also highly recommend taking in our regular trading webinars and most specifically the mid day trade and chart set-up reviews.

Repetition breads success. Repetition provides laser focused trading skills that only comes from practice, practice, practice.

Our team time in the mid day chart and trade set-ups is a training ground for success through repetition and fresh trade ideas.

Click here for the link to sign on to any of our services. https://compoundtrading.com/shop/

Message me anytime with your story or questions. And if you follow me on Twitter and I don’t follow back so you can DM then send us an email to info@compoundtrading.com with your Twitter handle.

Also in closing, I will mention again that I have had a number of people message me to get involved in our various launch initiatives – with moderating, coding and various other levels of interest. I will be writing back to those inquiries early June (in advance of our 24 Hour Oil Trading Room Launch).

Cheers!

Curtis

Previous Freedom Trader Post Links: 

Part 1 : My Personal Stock Trading Story. How I Blew up Two Accounts and then Learned How to Trade.

Part 2: Trading Checklist (Rules) I Follow Before Triggering a Stock Trade.

Part 3: Now I’m Inspired. A Struggling Trader That Inspired Change. 

Part 4: We Want (Need) You! Apply to Nearest Recruiting Station.

Part 5: Learn How to Trade Stocks (Build a Small Account) Following my Journey. 

Part 6 a: Trading Set-ups. How-To Develop a Systematic – Predictable Process.

 

Article Topics; Compound, Trading, Freedom, Traders, Learn, How to, Set-Ups, Process, Moving Averages, Fibonacci, MACD, Video, Indicators, Day Trading, Swing Trading.


EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Tuesday May 23, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

This Oil Algorithm Report Includes three scenarios of trade. One for lower channel trade, one for continues upward trend trade and another for OPEC driven upward trending channel trade.

I have left the most recent reporting in this post for context.

OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Update – This may be moved up to June 12! Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/ 

As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.

Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.

There is a Webinar in the trading room scheduled for 10:00 AM ET for the EIA report FYI.

Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar is important for members to review.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday May 23, 2017 (You will be able to clock on lower right share button beside thumbs up button and then click on “make it mine”):

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/oW3GkCBK-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-May-23-2017-446-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

May 23, 2017

The new charting includes a change to color for the arrows that depict the channels. We have changed the color from orange arrows to purple as many were thinking the old channel arrows could be support or resistance. They are simply to note where the channels are.

The static charts show three potential channel trades. The one is a lower trending channel, which is the most natural for the machines because trade should have come off at the resistance (grey thick line) but did not and traded the last 24 hours or so in an anomaly pattern (you will notice the machines did not turn on and trade languished). This scenario is unlikely with OPEC on deck but would be the favored scenario if OPEC wasn’t manipulating trade scenarios.

The other scenario is a continued uptrending channel (essentially continuing the existing channel trend upward). This scenario is possible with OPEC on deck.

And the final scenario is another uptrending channel scenario that is just higher on the chart or more bullish and this would be the channel that OPEC will be attempting to manipulate.

Remember the significant cluster above that was noted in yesterday’s reporting – it is not noted on the current chart.

The algo targets are simply best guesses because trade is not in a natural state this week.

Current trade. Downward channel scenario (most natural but OPEC likely anomaly) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 23, 2017 438 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Second scenario. Trade continues in uptrend in current channel (less anomalies) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 23, 2017 443 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Third scenario – OPEC driven momentum in upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 23, 2017 446 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Previous Reporting (for context):

We are testing new chart security so if the charts below do not load the algorithm please let us know.

Below is the link for the live viewer only version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday May 22, 2017 (You will only be able to view in viewer – hit play to bring up to minute. You will not be able to edit this chart):

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/GlnSaeNJ-Current-trading-range-with-option-for-upward-channel-and-downwar/

Below is the live link to the live charting that if it works you will be able to edit. If it does not work please let us know and we will send you another link:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/oUGqSvbc/

Below are the static charts for this reporting period:

Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Oil, Chart, Main, Resistance

Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Considerations for trade on May 22, 2017:

OPEC is meeting this week. Be very cautious. There will be anomalies in the charting.

There is a long weekend coming. Holidays can create problems with the algorithms (agreement between). It can take a day or two either side of a holiday for the machines to sort out alpha.

At time of publication trade is right at support and resistance (grey line).

Not far above (thick blue line with blue arrow) is the start of the resistance area that seen oil come off very hard last time it tested this resistance cluster. Remember, the goal of OPEC is to get trade above the resistance area.

There is a choice on the chart for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. They are marked with orange arrows.

Here is the email sent to members earlier today;

Oil Traders

There is a complete report coming out around 2 am ET (approx), until then the following;

– The upper resistance of broad quadrant trading range is being tested (thick grey line). Remember there is a variance, a testing area of about .22 – .25 cents on upside of that resistance.

– When our traders short at resistance it is with tight stops. Especially when trade is in upward trending channel. Upward trending channel = highest probability trade is long at channel support and/or horizontal support. Highest probability is not short. Highest probability short is at top of channel or horizontal resistance in a downward trending channel. So when you trading against highest probability we keep our stops tight. When trading with probability we loosen up our stops a bit.

– The cluster we ran in to at prior highs is once again also approaching. Major resistance starts at 52.70.

– Between current quadrant resistance and the resistance cluster that starts around 52.70 we would not be surprised if market takes trade to underside of cluster (around 52.70 on FX $USOIL $WTI

– OPEC meetings are very likely to create any number of anomalies in trade. The complete report tonight will assist.

– The main resistance points of cluster are approximately on intra 52.70, 53.70, 54.80, 55.15, 59.78.

– When we short at res and trade fails we flip long and stay in it until next res is hit (in an uptrending channel). Your profit is being on right side of the trade in uptrending channels and downtrending channels. So profit is in long at bottom of channel in uptrending channel and short at resistance in downtrending channel. Contrary trades have to be with very tight stops.

– Trade is currently bullish – do not fight the trend.

– Full report out tonight.

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Oil, Chart, 100 MA

Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Monday May 22, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

This Report will include recent emails sent to members and recent reports because there are many new members and many won’t have had access to especially those emails for context. 

The algorithm took an unusual amount of time to lock in tonight – there is a possible divergence of up to .12 cents on any horizontal support and resistance and any diagonal lines (basically any line on the chart). It happens sometimes, it is very unusual, but it does occur. Either way, it will be locked in over the next day or two. Until it is re-locked in you will find some of the lines to be sloppy and not match up.

When we estimate a time of publishing, be cautious to not plan your life around our ETA. The algorithm can take between 1 hour and 12 hours to lock in and we do not know how long it will take before starting each night.

OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/ 

As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.

Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.

Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar is important for members to review.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

We are testing new chart security so if the charts below do not load the algorithm please let us know.

Below is the link for the live viewer only version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday May 22, 2017 (You will only be able to view in viewer – hit play to bring up to minute. You will not be able to edit this chart):

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/GlnSaeNJ-Current-trading-range-with-option-for-upward-channel-and-downwar/

Below is the live link to the live charting that if it works you will be able to edit. If it does not work please let us know and we will send you another link:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/oUGqSvbc/

Below are the static charts for this reporting period:

Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Oil, Chart, Main, Resistance

Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Considerations for trade on May 22, 2017:

OPEC is meeting this week. Be very cautious. There will be anomalies in the charting.

There is a long weekend coming. Holidays can create problems with the algorithms (agreement between). It can take a day or two either side of a holiday for the machines to sort out alpha.

At time of publication trade is right at support and resistance (grey line).

Not far above (thick blue line with blue arrow) is the start of the resistance area that seen oil come off very hard last time it tested this resistance cluster. Remember, the goal of OPEC is to get trade above the resistance area.

There is a choice on the chart for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. They are marked with orange arrows.

Here is the email sent to members earlier today;

Oil Traders

There is a complete report coming out around 2 am ET (approx), until then the following;

– The upper resistance of broad quadrant trading range is being tested (thick grey line). Remember there is a variance, a testing area of about .22 – .25 cents on upside of that resistance.

– When our traders short at resistance it is with tight stops. Especially when trade is in upward trending channel. Upward trending channel = highest probability trade is long at channel support and/or horizontal support. Highest probability is not short. Highest probability short is at top of channel or horizontal resistance in a downward trending channel. So when you trading against highest probability we keep our stops tight. When trading with probability we loosen up our stops a bit.

– The cluster we ran in to at prior highs is once again also approaching. Major resistance starts at 52.70.

– Between current quadrant resistance and the resistance cluster that starts around 52.70 we would not be surprised if market takes trade to underside of cluster (around 52.70 on FX $USOIL $WTI

– OPEC meetings are very likely to create any number of anomalies in trade. The complete report tonight will assist.

– The main resistance points of cluster are approximately on intra 52.70, 53.70, 54.80, 55.15, 59.78.

– When we short at res and trade fails we flip long and stay in it until next res is hit (in an uptrending channel). Your profit is being on right side of the trade in uptrending channels and downtrending channels. So profit is in long at bottom of channel in uptrending channel and short at resistance in downtrending channel. Contrary trades have to be with very tight stops.

– Trade is currently bullish – do not fight the trend.

– Full report out tonight.

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Oil, Chart, 100 MA

Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Friday May 19, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

This Report will include recent emails sent to members and recent reports because there are many new members and many won’t have had access to especially those emails for context. So it is a bulky report below.

OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/ 

As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.

Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.

Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar is important for members to review.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Today is the last report for the week and it will be a quick chart update with the complete charting model updated this weekend in advance of Monday morning.

I have left the reports for this week and recent emails embedded below also for context.

There is a live chart link below and two static charts. The upper resistance is shown for this broad quadrant (grey line) and the upper resistance of the current trading channel is shown (orange dotted). Our traders will be shorting with caution at each and long at bottom of the channel.

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Friday May 19, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/7kQG8Qeo-Upper-channel-resistance-orange-dotted-50-06-intra-EPIC-the-O/

Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.

Upper resistance 50.98 (grey arrow and line) to 51.18 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 501 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm

Upper resistance 50.98 (grey arrow and line) to 51.18 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 501 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Upper channel resistance (orange dotted 50.06 intra) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 504 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm

Upper channel resistance (orange dotted 50.06 intra) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 504 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Caution Email Sent to Members Between Release of Thursday Report and Today’s Report

From:
<info@compoundtrading.com> (Add as Preferred Sender)
Date: Thu, May 18, 2017 1:57 am

Caution as trade nears end of intra-time cycle (triangle) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 456 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Static chart attached.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/vlfaQ9ft-Caution-as-trade-nears-end-of-intra-time-cycle-triangle-EPIC-t/

Charts included in caution email to members:

$USOIL, $WTI, #OIL

Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

What occurred in trade within 30 minutes of the caution email sent to our traders:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/zT77Fftc-See-Example-of-what-happens-at-termination-of-time-cycles-EPIC/

Thursday midday chart review raw video footage explains what happened and various other details about current trade.

Recent Reports for Context

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday May 18, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/HetBoXlr-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-May-18-2017-422-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.

Alternate chart test link (all our charting is undergoing a security lock down over the next few weeks so this is a test link): In other words, the general public (non members) won’t be able to access any of the charting at all soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/QTsHJiyV/

Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

$USOIL, $WTI, #OIL

Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Trade notes for May 18, 2017

Above is the EPIC midday review on video. For today’s report please review. It explains current trade (in context with more detail below from recent posts and emails).

Below I have pasted some recent emails to members for context for new members.

Also below I have left recent posts in for context.

Bottom line is you have main support and resistance and thick horizontal grey lines – our traders primarily trade short and long off those.

On a tighter timeframe (in between grey lines) our traders use the channels as points to short and long – they are represent as orange dotted lines.

And on even tighter timeframes our traders use the horizontal fib lines etc on the charting as support and resistance.

The algo targets in red circles are simply an added signal. Remember FRIDAY TARGETS are not predictable relative to Tuesday and Wednesday’s.

The other signal that is important are the time price clusters that are significant, however, there is not one that is significant near current trade.

The levels are discussed in recent posts for support and resistance areas.

Below is the other recent data.

Tue, May 16, 2017 7:16 pm

Evening,

A quick intra report for crude trade.

Trade returned to the previous channel as we expected it would. There is now a choice for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. The two are marked with thick dotted orange lines. Be sure you understand the channels and if not ask. They are support and resistance.

Speaking of support, not far below is your most important support (the thick grey horizontal line) and the yellow line right under it (review last 3 or 4 posts if you do not know). That is your primary support and the channel walls (orange are secondary to that). Our traders will trade off both or either.

Wed morning 10:30 report will be key to whether oil trade holds the lower support (grey line) or does not. If it does not hold the grey line and yellow line our traders will be short. If it does our traders will be long with a short term bias toward down.

Also very important, Wednesday mid day chart review time in the trading room will be dedicated to EPIC the Oil algorithm and associated trade – it will be a detailed webinar. If you cannot be in the room the trading room is recorded daily and you can get the raw footage on the YouTube channel for the day and review.

Also, the lower target was hit dead center today.

Attached static chart.

Live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/0p1SOJt8-Downward-and-upward-channel-choices-orange-lines-outside-channe/

Thank you.

Tue, May 16, 2017 2:17 am

Good morning

An intra week update and complete report this evening:

Attached are three static charts and below the updated live chart link:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/EztCXIEQ-New-channel-if-trade-stays-in-new-range-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm/

The attached static charts show the new upward trading channel if trade stays in new range (and upward). Also shown is the previous upward trending channel if trade returns to that range. New targets are shown for the new upward trading channel if channel is confirmed. Upper resistance that our traders will short at is 50.98 the grey line. Intra day our traders will trade the channel trade is in.

Any questions, as usual let me know.

Tuesday 4:30 and Wednesday 10:30 will tell us everything we need to know going forward at least near term.

Thanks

Curtis

Crude is above light resistance but still below 200 MA and under significant resistance.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/E1C7G0wh-Crude-Oil-Test-under-200-MA-over-simple-light-TL-resistance/

Notes that Correspond With Static Charts Below

Trade now has the price above FX $USOIL $WTI the significant resistance (thick grey lines) in the 47.60 area previously reported.

At time of writing trade has also broke to the upside of the uptrending channel (uptrending channel is marked with orange arrows) and is testing a horizontal Fibonacci resistance at 48.86.

Saudi Arabia and Russia agree to oil output cuts until March 2018 in overnight news.

Saudi Arabia, Russia agree oil output cuts until March 2018

The next significant resistance (thick grey horizontal lines) above is in the area of 51.00 and the next broad quadrant below at 44.15. All values have a +- of about .25.

The orange dotted uptrending lines in the more uppper range are early prospective upward trending channel lines should trade continue upside of current channel. They can be considered extremely soft support and resistance in upward channel trade until confirmed.

The algo targets (if trade is to upside of existing channel) will have to be reset when trade is confirmed in new channel.

OPEC continues to release news so our traders will simply trade between support and resistance lines (horizontal) until a new channel is determined.

There is a conventional chart also lower below in report of crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance.

The cluster of resistance that we previously reported on that sent oil tumbling from recent highs is also overhead should oil trade to the top of this current range at 51.00 (we are currently running the algorithm model on this cluster and it should be ready within a few hours – it in the range of 53.00 approximately. This cluster is the most significant cluster of resistance in recent time – going back at minimum ten years of trade.

Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 237 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Upper resistance 51.98. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 240 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Lower support. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 245 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Fibonacci Support and Resistance lines. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 247 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Attempted break of upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 251 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

If uptrend continues – possible new channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 320 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Crude oil testing 200 MA https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/GZZmnoe6-Crude-Oil-Test-200-MA-over-simple-TL-resistance-USOIL-WTI/

$USOIL, $WTI, Oil

Crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance. $USOIL $WTI

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Thursday May 18, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

This Report will include recent emails sent to members and recent reports because there are many new members and many wo’t have had access to especially those emails for context. So it is a bulky report below.

OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/ 

As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.

Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.

Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday May 18, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/HetBoXlr-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-May-18-2017-422-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.

Alternate chart test link (all our charting is undergoing a security lock down over the next few weeks so this is a test link): In other words, the general public (non members) won’t be able to access any of the charting at all soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/QTsHJiyV/

Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

$USOIL, $WTI, #OIL

Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Trade notes for May 18, 2017

Above is the EPIC midday review on video. For today’s report please review. It explains current trade (in context with more detail below from recent posts and emails).

Below I have pasted some recent emails to members for context for new members.

Also below I have left recent posts in for context.

Bottom line is you have main support and resistance and thick horizontal grey lines – our traders primarily trade short and long off those.

On a tighter timeframe (in between grey lines) our traders use the channels as points to short and long – they are represent as orange dotted lines.

And on even tighter timeframes our traders use the horizontal fib lines etc on the charting as support and resistance.

The algo targets in red circles are simply an added signal. Remember FRIDAY TARGETS are not predictable relative to Tuesday and Wednesday’s.

The other signal that is important are the time price clusters that are significant, however, there is not one that is significant near current trade.

The levels are discussed in recent posts for support and resistance areas.

Below is the other recent data.

Tue, May 16, 2017 7:16 pm

Evening,

A quick intra report for crude trade.

Trade returned to the previous channel as we expected it would. There is now a choice for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. The two are marked with thick dotted orange lines. Be sure you understand the channels and if not ask. They are support and resistance.

Speaking of support, not far below is your most important support (the thick grey horizontal line) and the yellow line right under it (review last 3 or 4 posts if you do not know). That is your primary support and the channel walls (orange are secondary to that). Our traders will trade off both or either.

Wed morning 10:30 report will be key to whether oil trade holds the lower support (grey line) or does not. If it does not hold the grey line and yellow line our traders will be short. If it does our traders will be long with a short term bias toward down.

Also very important, Wednesday mid day chart review time in the trading room will be dedicated to EPIC the Oil algorithm and associated trade – it will be a detailed webinar. If you cannot be in the room the trading room is recorded daily and you can get the raw footage on the YouTube channel for the day and review.

Also, the lower target was hit dead center today.

Attached static chart.

Live chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/0p1SOJt8-Downward-and-upward-channel-choices-orange-lines-outside-channe/

Thank you.

Tue, May 16, 2017 2:17 am

Good morning

An intra week update and complete report this evening:

Attached are three static charts and below the updated live chart link:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/EztCXIEQ-New-channel-if-trade-stays-in-new-range-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm/

The attached static charts show the new upward trading channel if trade stays in new range (and upward). Also shown is the previous upward trending channel if trade returns to that range. New targets are shown for the new upward trading channel if channel is confirmed. Upper resistance that our traders will short at is 50.98 the grey line. Intra day our traders will trade the channel trade is in.

Any questions, as usual let me know.

Tuesday 4:30 and Wednesday 10:30 will tell us everything we need to know going forward at least near term.

Thanks

Curtis

Crude is above light resistance but still below 200 MA and under significant resistance.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/E1C7G0wh-Crude-Oil-Test-under-200-MA-over-simple-light-TL-resistance/

Notes that Correspond With Static Charts Below

Trade now has the price above FX $USOIL $WTI the significant resistance (thick grey lines) in the 47.60 area previously reported.

At time of writing trade has also broke to the upside of the uptrending channel (uptrending channel is marked with orange arrows) and is testing a horizontal Fibonacci resistance at 48.86.

Saudi Arabia and Russia agree to oil output cuts until March 2018 in overnight news.

Saudi Arabia, Russia agree oil output cuts until March 2018

The next significant resistance (thick grey horizontal lines) above is in the area of 51.00 and the next broad quadrant below at 44.15. All values have a +- of about .25.

The orange dotted uptrending lines in the more uppper range are early prospective upward trending channel lines should trade continue upside of current channel. They can be considered extremely soft support and resistance in upward channel trade until confirmed.

The algo targets (if trade is to upside of existing channel) will have to be reset when trade is confirmed in new channel.

OPEC continues to release news so our traders will simply trade between support and resistance lines (horizontal) until a new channel is determined.

There is a conventional chart also lower below in report of crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance.

The cluster of resistance that we previously reported on that sent oil tumbling from recent highs is also overhead should oil trade to the top of this current range at 51.00 (we are currently running the algorithm model on this cluster and it should be ready within a few hours – it in the range of 53.00 approximately. This cluster is the most significant cluster of resistance in recent time – going back at minimum ten years of trade.

Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 237 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Upper resistance 51.98. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 240 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Lower support. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 245 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Fibonacci Support and Resistance lines. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 247 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Attempted break of upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 251 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

If uptrend continues – possible new channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 320 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Crude oil testing 200 MA https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/GZZmnoe6-Crude-Oil-Test-200-MA-over-simple-TL-resistance-USOIL-WTI/

$USOIL, $WTI, Oil

Crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance. $USOIL $WTI

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Monday May 15, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/ 

As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.

Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday May 15, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/o5VYAe3I-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-May-15-2017-237-AM-FX-USOIL-WTI/

Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.

Alternate chart test link (all our charting is undergoing a security lock down over the next few weeks so this is a test link):

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SSkaZTY7/

Notes that Correspond With Static Charts Below

Trade now has the price above FX $USOIL $WTI the significant resistance (thick grey lines) in the 47.60 area previously reported.

At time of writing trade has also broke to the upside of the uptrending channel (uptrending channel is marked with orange arrows) and is testing a horizontal Fibonacci resistance at 48.86.

Saudi Arabia and Russia agree to oil output cuts until March 2018 in overnight news.

Saudi Arabia, Russia agree oil output cuts until March 2018

The next significant resistance (thick grey horizontal lines) above is in the area of 51.00 and the next broad quadrant below at 44.15. All values have a +- of about .25.

The orange dotted uptrending lines in the more uppper range are early prospective upward trending channel lines should trade continue upside of current channel. They can be considered extremely soft support and resistance in upward channel trade until confirmed.

The algo targets (if trade is to upside of existing channel) will have to be reset when trade is confirmed in new channel.

OPEC continues to release news so our traders will simply trade between support and resistance lines (horizontal) until a new channel is determined.

There is a conventional chart also lower below in report of crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance.

The cluster of resistance that we previously reported on that sent oil tumbling from recent highs is also overhead should oil trade to the top of this current range at 51.00 (we are currently running the algorithm model on this cluster and it should be ready within a few hours – it in the range of 53.00 approximately. This cluster is the most significant cluster of resistance in recent time – going back at minimum ten years of trade.

Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 237 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Upper resistance 51.98. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 240 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Lower support. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 245 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Fibonacci Support and Resistance lines. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 247 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Attempted break of upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 251 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

If uptrend continues – possible new channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 320 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Crude oil testing 200 MA https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/GZZmnoe6-Crude-Oil-Test-200-MA-over-simple-TL-resistance-USOIL-WTI/

$USOIL, $WTI, Oil

Crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance. $USOIL $WTI

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci

 


Thursday May 11, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Chart Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

There is an announcement on deck with respect to my 24 hour oil trading room and my transition to crude oil futures charting. The beta launch will have limited subscriber availability to ensure quality. https://compoundtrading.com/members-big-news-oil-swing-trading-spy-gold-alerts-packages/ 

Be sure if you are a current member that does want to register that you do because the limit will be set at 50 members until beta phase is complete.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday May 11, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/w6PSMbU9-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-May-11-2017-FX-USOIL-WTI-OIL/

Chart will come up in viewer. Click share button bottom right side near thumbs up and then click make it mine to adjust.

Because this is an intra-week short update report I will leave the prior reports below for context.

Trade now has the price above FX $USOIL $WTI the significant resistance at 47.60 (that while price is above will become support). The next resistance above is in the area of 51.00 and below at 44.15. All values have a +- of about .25.

The orange dotted uptrending lines are early prospective upward trending channel lines. They can be considered extremely soft support and resistance in upward channel trade. The thin orange lines (arrows) show the channel.

The algo targets (because this is now a new broad trading range / quadrant) are soft targets.

The OPEC news re: Saudi Arabia on Wednesday played a large role (as did the EIA report) in trade becoming bullish and breaching the resistance – so our traders will be very cautious in this current support and resistance range. Our traders are still short biased even though trade is above resistance.

The cluster of resistance that we previously reported on that sent oil tumbling from recent highs is also overhead should oil trade to the top of this current range at 51.00 so our weekend report will include details as to the exact location of this resistance cluster. This cluster is the most significant cluster of resistance in recent time – going back at minimum ten years of trade.

Complete update on the weekend or as trade progresses. 

Below is the static chart for EPIC the Oil Algorithm intra-day.

Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 11, 2017 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 11, 2017 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

PER PREVIOUS:

Support hit perfect, target hit, on way to next target. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

EPIC, OIL, Algorithm

Support hit perfect, target hit, on way to next target. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

PER PREVIOUS:

The Static EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Above Shows the Following;

Epic called the support and it held! Days in advance with 100% algorthmic model math – NO conventional charting could do that. That’s a big deal for us. Also, the lower target hit and now price on it’s way to next.

Other than that, all previous signals and algorithm model details are intact from yesterday’s report that I left below.

The orange dotted lines with the orange arrows are probable channels and direction of trade. There is a probable channel upward and a probable channel downward.

Because oil is now in a new trading broad quadrant it will take a day or two for the algorithm to completely lock in to trade probabilities. In future, now that the 24 hour oil room is opening soon, there will be no delay (or limited delay at most) in obtaining the most recent charts (as with what occurred last week when oil dropped below the main support in to a new broad quadrant – soon, you will have immediate access).

The algo targets for Tues, Wed, Fri are also represented. Be cautious because again this is a new trading range so the targets are unofficial and are soft – although trade is currently trending toward a target at time of publication.

The white diagonal dotted lines are the tighter time frame intra day trade support and resistance (30 minute chart intra-day trading quadrants), they act as light support and resistance.

The primary resistance now is in the area of 47.60 on the FX: $USOIL $WTI charting. Thick grey line and arrow.

The primary support area is now 43.88 – 44.12. This grey line and arrow. Along with yellow line and arrow.

The primary support in the next broad quadrant below (should oil lose the support described above) is in the 40.40 – 40.66 range.

Our traders will be using the upper resistance of the channel (diagonal orange lines) to short oil and if that doesn’t hold the upper thick grey line to short oil. If that doesn’t hold with tight stop then trade is in next trading range above again. And likewise our traders will use the grey line below as support and the orange lines as support below for intra day long trades.

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Also note… below I have left some older chart posts of conventional charting that I will update this week.

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 627 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 627 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Be very careful here. oil regained bottom of the channel. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 642 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart

Be very careful here. oil regained bottom of the channel. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 642 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Below is recent reporting excerpts for context:

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, $USOIL, $CL_F, $WTI

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/peFBBm6b-Simple-lines-Channels-Support-and-resistance-200-MA-bounce-C/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/vwjo1iuM/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Support, Resistance, 200 MA

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Wedneday May 10, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Chart Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

There is an announcement to be released in the next 48 hours with respect to my 24 hour oil trading room and my transition to crude oil futures charting. The beta launch will have limited subscriber availability to ensure quality. https://compoundtrading.com/members-big-news-oil-swing-trading-spy-gold-alerts-packages/

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Wednesday May 10, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/L6NzClNo-EPIC-the-Oil-Algorithm-Charting-Support-and-target-hit-perfect/

Chart will come up in viewer. Click share button bottom right side near thumbs up and then click make it mine to adjust.

Support hit perfect, target hit, on way to next target. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

EPIC, OIL, Algorithm

Support hit perfect, target hit, on way to next target. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

The Static EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Above Shows the Following;

Epic called the support and it held! Days in advance with 100% algorthmic model math – NO conventional charting could do that. That’s a big deal for us. Also, the lower target hit and now price on it’s way to next.

Other than that, all previous signals and algorithm model details are intact from yesterday’s report that I left below.

PER PREVIOUS:

The orange dotted lines with the orange arrows are probable channels and direction of trade. There is a probable channel upward and a probable channel downward.

Because oil is now in a new trading broad quadrant it will take a day or two for the algorithm to completely lock in to trade probabilities. In future, now that the 24 hour oil room is opening soon, there will be no delay (or limited delay at most) in obtaining the most recent charts (as with what occurred last week when oil dropped below the main support in to a new broad quadrant – soon, you will have immediate access).

The algo targets for Tues, Wed, Fri are also represented. Be cautious because again this is a new trading range so the targets are unofficial and are soft – although trade is currently trending toward a target at time of publication.

The white diagonal dotted lines are the tighter time frame intra day trade support and resistance (30 minute chart intra-day trading quadrants), they act as light support and resistance.

The primary resistance now is in the area of 47.60 on the FX: $USOIL $WTI charting. Thick grey line and arrow.

The primary support area is now 43.88 – 44.12. This grey line and arrow. Along with yellow line and arrow.

The primary support in the next broad quadrant below (should oil lose the support described above) is in the 40.40 – 40.66 range.

Our traders will be using the upper resistance of the channel (diagonal orange lines) to short oil and if that doesn’t hold the upper thick grey line to short oil. If that doesn’t hold with tight stop then trade is in next trading range above again. And likewise our traders will use the grey line below as support and the orange lines as support below for intra day long trades.

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Also note… below I have left some older chart posts of conventional charting that I will update this week.

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 627 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 627 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Be very careful here. oil regained bottom of the channel. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 642 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart

Be very careful here. oil regained bottom of the channel. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 642 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Below is recent reporting excerpts for context:

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, $USOIL, $CL_F, $WTI

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/peFBBm6b-Simple-lines-Channels-Support-and-resistance-200-MA-bounce-C/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/vwjo1iuM/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Support, Resistance, 200 MA

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Tuesday May 9, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Chart Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

There is an announcement to be released in the next 48 hours with respect to my 24 hour oil trading room and my transition to crude oil futures charting. The beta launch will have limited subscriber availability to ensure quality. https://compoundtrading.com/members-big-news-oil-swing-trading-spy-gold-alerts-packages/

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday May 9, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/uTCGcGwC-EPIC-Oil-Algorithm-charting-May-9-627-AM-FX-USOIL-WTIC-OIL/

Chart will come up in viewer. Click share button bottom right side near thumbs up and then click make it mine to adjust.

The static EPIC Oil Algorithm chart below shows the following;

The orange dotted lines with the orange arrows are probable channels and direction of trade. There is a probable channel upward and a probable channel downward.

Because oil is now in a new trading broad quadrant it will take a day or two for the algorithm to completely lock in to trade probabilities. In future, now that the 24 hour oil room is opening soon, there will be no delay (or limited delay at most) in obtaining the most recent charts (as with what occurred last week when oil dropped below the main support in to a new broad quadrant – soon, you will have immediate access).

The algo targets for Tues, Wed, Fri are also represented. Be cautious because again this is a new trading range so the targets are unofficial and are soft – although trade is currently trending toward a target at time of publication.

The white diagonal dotted lines are the tighter time frame intra day trade support and resistance (30 minute chart intra-day trading quadrants), they act as light support and resistance.

The primary resistance now is in the area of 47.60 on the FX: $USOIL $WTI charting. Thick grey line and arrow.

The primary support area is now 43.88 – 44.12. This grey line and arrow. Along with yellow line and arrow.

The primary support in the next broad quadrant below (should oil lose the support described above) is in the 40.40 – 40.66 range.

Our traders will be using the upper resistance of the channel (diagonal orange lines) to short oil and if that doesn’t hold the upper thick grey line to short oil. If that doesn’t hold with tight stop then trade is in next trading range above again. And likewise our traders will use the grey line below as support and the orange lines as support below for intra day long trades.

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Also note… below I have left some older chart posts of conventional charting that I will update this week.

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 627 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 627 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Be very careful here. oil regained bottom of the channel. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 642 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart

Be very careful here. oil regained bottom of the channel. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 9 642 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Below is recent reporting excerpts for context:

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, $USOIL, $CL_F, $WTI

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/peFBBm6b-Simple-lines-Channels-Support-and-resistance-200-MA-bounce-C/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/vwjo1iuM/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Support, Resistance, 200 MA

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Monday May 8, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

There is an announcement to be released in the next 48 hours with respect to my 24 hour oil trading room and my transition to crude oil futures charting. The beta launch will have limited subscriber availability to ensure quality.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday May 8, 2017:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/TkqhdfHT-EPIC-Oil-Algorithm-charting-May-8-454-AM-FX-USOIL-WTIC-OIL/

The link above should bring up a chart in “viewer” that you cannot change.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XfVmTCR8/

The link above should bring up a chart that you can change as you see fit. If this does not occur, please let us know.

The static charts show the following;

The orange dotted lines with the orange arrows are probable channels and direction of trade. There is a probable channel upward and a probable channel downward.

Because oil is now in a new trading broad quadrant it will take a day or two for the algorithm to completely lock in to trade probabilities. In future, now that the 24 hour oil room is opening soon, there will be no delay (or limited delay at most) in obtaining the most recent charts (as with what occurred last week when oil dropped below the main support in to a new broad quadrant – soon, you will have immediate access).

The algo targets for Tues, Wed, Fri are also represented. Be cautious because again this is a new trading range so the targets are unofficial and are very soft.

The white diagonal dotted lines are the tighter time frame intra day trade support and resistance (30 minute chart intra-day trading quadrants), they act as light support and resistance.

The primary resistance now is in the area of 47.60 on the FX: $USOIL $WTI charting. Thick grey line and arrow.

The primary support area is now 43.88 – 44.12. This grey line and arrow. Along with yellow line and arrow.

The primary support in the next broad quadrant below (should oil lose the support described above) is in the 40.40 – 40.66 range.

The static charts below show the indicators as I have described above.

If you are a new member it is highly recommended that you spend some time reviewing the history of this work and how you can use it most to your advantage.

Also note… below I have left some older chart posts of conventional charting that I will update this week.

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Oil, Algorithm, Chart

Current area of trade. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 448 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, $USOIL, $CL_F, $WTI

Lower wall of possible channel and lower support area. EPIC Oil Algorithm charting May 8 454 AM FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/peFBBm6b-Simple-lines-Channels-Support-and-resistance-200-MA-bounce-C/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/vwjo1iuM/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Support, Resistance, 200 MA

Simple lines. Channels. Support and resistance. 200 MA bounce. Crude algo intra work sheet 144 AM Apr 24 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per recent reports:

There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mOQxIWO7-USOIL-WTI-Simple-Lines-Expose-Areas-of-Resistance/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Magnified

Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/MVJk9YCm-Careful-50-MA-pinch-on-100-MA-SQZMOM-up-as-is-MACD-but-Stock-RS/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, MA, MACD

Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci

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