Tag: $UWT

Post Market Report Wed Dec 21 $MRUS $ESEA $CALA $INVN $OPGN $DUST $GLD $UWT $USOIL $WTIC $JUNO $CBMX

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Dec 21 – $MRUS, $ESEA, $CALA, $INVN, $OPGN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $UWT, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Today was very calm. Some trades in the group. For me quiet – study day mostly. We were on top of every move though and there were some big plays and nice wins I discovered when talking to members later in day after market close.

My Personal Trades:

I took a long swing position in $DUST (1000 shares) – watching $USDJPY very close. Looking at inflection in many other areas (with reference to our algos). Called the natural gas move but didn’t take the recent trade opportunities. Momentum stocks weren’t acting well for my trading style. Looked at possible oil related trades $UWT $DWT but didn’t trigger. Holding $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST. EPIC the Oil Algo 10:30 AM target missed by 5 cents – called two weeks ago:) Green arrow is when I entered $UWT, red arrow my exit and white arrow was today’s algo target at 10:30 AM.

Crude, Oil, Chart, Algo, $USOIL
Wed Dec 21 1030 AM Target Status. Crude algo intra work sheet 354 AM Dec 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:55 am Curtis M : Gainers: $INVN 16%25, $TIG 5%25, $CLLS 4%25, $BCEI 3%25 $UGAZ $NKE $NUGT $SDRL $CANF $JNUG $STO $UWT $TWLO $FRO $AU $UCO $GDXJ $BP

09:28 am Curtis M : $MRUS +55
$ESEA +32
$CALA +26
$INVN +17
$OPGN +12

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:33 am Michael P : Short $SGY
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Legging into a small position in next Friday $SPY calls. Starting smallish 228’s at .54
09:34 am Curtis M : NATGAS Rees closer to 3.75 area
09:35 am Curtis M : NATHGAS res 3.55 3.75 areas
09:36 am Curtis M : USDJPY symmetry calls for move up or down two to four market days from now
09:37 am Curtis M : Market vol low
09:40 am MarketMaven M : Out $TSLA swing for vacation break
09:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Yea not much. Small position in weekly NFLX calls but not much going on
09:41 am Mathew Waterfall : Thinking the rest of this week will be pretty chill. Next week maybe a melt up but expect low volume there as well
09:42 am Mathew Waterfall : $RAS on clear of 3.4 looks decent for swing
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Not many alerts popping and not much going on over here
09:45 am Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX friday 129’s at .43. This is for a day trade or hold ON at most
09:48 am Curtis M : Scaling in 1000 $DUST 67.60 area
09:49 am Mathew Waterfall : $SPWR year end lotto shor squeeze play. Dec30 8’s at .09
09:49 am Curtis M : Will add up to 2000 more on any dips $DUST – swing
09:49 am Curtis M : Looks like avg 67.51
09:54 am Curtis M : $XIV ATH
09:55 am Curtis M : A lot of failing momos
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Not much confidence across the board this morning
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Volume dropping by the looks of things
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : BUT….$CHK lotto’s ITM!
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : haha sometimes it’s the small things
09:58 am Curtis M : nice
09:58 am Curtis M : lol
09:59 am Darnel T : Like $NVDA for a bounce
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : 9.39 Dec 2006 on $VIX lox per my 20 year chart
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : you had me curious
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : 12/15/06
10:04 am Mathew Waterfall : Lot of selling after the last huge run up. also bearish MACD cross if you care about such things. This is on $nvda
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : Strong home sales: Existing home sales hit 5.61 million units in November, vs. expectations of 5.5 million
10:11 am Mathew Waterfall : $CHK lotto’s now at .155 from .11. Decent 50% gain, I’m holding until tomorrow or an 8 handle whichever comes first
10:11 am Cara R : sweeeet
10:13 am Curtis M : Transports break out test on deeck
10:20 am Dani M : wtf lol
10:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Out $NFLX calls at .61 from .43. Keeping a small runner but in the green if they go to 0. Playing tight here
10:48 am Rob D : how will you decide which tgt to go after?
10:58 am Rob D : amazing stuff Curt, thanks for explaining
11:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Still quiet over here. Taking a quick break to scan and see if I can find anything interesting going on. Likely just an extended coffee break haha
11:01 am Curtis M : back soon
11:01 am Curtis M : Internet jam here
11:11 am Rob D : is chart frozen?
11:21 am MarketMaven M : $C blocks
11:24 am Darnel T : $TWLO rumors Amazon partnership
11:26 am Mathew Waterfall : I think I hit a time warp on my coffee break. Nothing seems to have moved the whole time that i was gone
11:28 am Darnel T : ha
11:28 am OILQ K : casinos look great imo
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : I like $MGM here OilQ K. Have a few 31’s for next week thanks to a roll a while back. Those won’t see action unless it really gets going though
11:31 am Curtis M : $CHK very bullish
11:32 am Mathew Waterfall : I still think 8 bucks this week on $CHK is realistic
11:33 am Curtis M : Very aggresive looking
11:36 am Curtis M : Internet spikes bad here for last week
11:42 am Curtis M : Thers’ casino for ya
11:42 am Curtis M : a baby size one
11:44 am Tyler H : $TSLA bull power
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA has been playing games all day but yea nice moves f you can catch it
11:45 am Tyler H : Bull dog maybe they’re hard to catch
11:45 am Mathew Waterfall : $AMD Jan20 13.5’s. Swing play following some big hitters through on this
11:49 am Curtis M : $LIVE low float manip?
11:50 am Curtis M : going to take an early lunch and hop I get an afternoon play
11:51 am Curtis M : back in 30
11:52 am Darnel T : GOOD PLAN
11:54 am Darnel T : Dead out there
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : While we’re not doing much I am thinking up ideas to blog about. If you guys/gals want to see anything in particular let me know
11:55 am Darnel T : $MGM looking good today
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ll probably write something up this weekend about using spreads to take profits or something like that but can always go into something else
11:56 am Curtis M : Ya do a Options for Dummies 101 for me plz – ok buy gone for lunch
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Option 101 check. That might be a multi part series but I can start on that
11:57 am John M : hahaha
11:57 am MarketMaven M : critique cramer
11:57 am MarketMaven M : his calls of recent
11:58 am Mathew Waterfall : Come on, that’s not even hard most of the time
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : I actually don’t watch any financial media. My head hurts enough as it is but I’m sure I could find his picks and poke holes in them easy enough
12:00 pm MarketMaven M : haha
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : I see there pics on twitter and they’re always good for a chuckle but that’s about it. Any media is there for your eyeballs, not to make you money
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : *picks I should see. or pics of picks lol
12:02 pm Cara R : manipulation everywhere
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : End of year can see some funky stuff, kind of like into a quad witch as there are games to be played with book values, tax loss selling, holding to the next tax year before taking gains ect
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : I typically just makes for some weird dislocations
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX working on new highs. $TWLo beasting
12:12 pm Curtis M : stupid ass internet lately lol
12:14 pm Curtis M : thanks mathew
12:20 pm Michael P : $HDS rumors
12:20 pm Michael P : And casinos look bullish IMO
12:22 pm Tyler H : Oil down
12:23 pm Tyler H : LOD
12:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Still feels like this market wants to finish out the day green. VIX down, TICKs trying to break out to the upside
12:35 pm OILK K : Agree
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wish $SGY had options to play here. Downside looks very promising
12:39 pm MarketMaven M : $IPCI momentum
12:39 pm MarketMaven M : micro
12:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tight range there. A swing against 2.65 doesn’t look horrible
12:42 pm MarketMaven M : meh
12:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : 25% of float short as of nov31
12:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not enough volume for me to want to play that name though
12:43 pm MarketMaven M : thats the problem yaa
12:44 pm Dani M : eastern libya blackout no power – oil
12:46 pm Curtis M : enjoying extended lunch while market quiet
12:46 pm Curtis M : oil got 5 cent pop lol
12:47 pm Curtis M : seems folks don’t care about Libya oil
12:49 pm Dani M : Study for me till something happens
12:50 pm OILQ K : yupp
01:02 pm Curtis M : watching oil
01:04 pm Curtis M : 52.35 buy decision $USOIL
01:04 pm Curtis M : 52.59 now
01:06 pm Curtis M : stopped falling
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have to restart my charts here, super laggy
01:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : More coffee for me. Flow is super quiet, scans not giving me much. Guess it’s nap time
01:13 pm Darni T : ya
01:13 pm Drew M : zzz
01:14 pm Adam Gwyn : thoughts on CL?
01:14 pm Curtis M : extended lunch
01:15 pm Curtis M : yes buy trigger considered at 5235 usoil
01:19 pm Adam Gwyn : I have .42 as 618
01:39 pm Tyler H : everybody sleepinng
01:42 pm Curtis M : odd action
01:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : VXX next week 23 puts. Play into the end of the week this week
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : $HIIQ HOD and steam behind it. Nice breakout
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IPCI always moving along well
01:57 pm Curtis M : can’t take trade there without volume last round it failed and we hit it at that point
02:04 pm Curtis M : Not a bad scalp but not my type of set up with out vol
02:06 pm Tyler H : Not the normal momo
02:06 pm Cara R : dead
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not a whole lot really. All of the exciting moves have come off here in the last hour or two
02:07 pm Darni T : Still like $TSLA
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA and $NFLX came off
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA now seeing large put buying
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SHAK died if anyone was in that trade and hung on longer than I did
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m thinking we pause today, continue higher into the end of the week
02:08 pm Ma Ka : Grreetings Mathew
02:08 pm Ma Ka : Do we have a trade on NFLX ? is it going down ?
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES could see north of 2300 according to a friend who is right much more often than wrong but take that with a grain of salt
02:09 pm Curtis M : If you see any setups go ahead and steel screen Mat I’m gonna just stalk oil for machine buying – oil a good trade just not great
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : I hit $NFLX calls this morning. Weekly 129’s but that move fizzled. I got out and left a small trailer
02:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : I wouldn’t enter now
02:10 pm Ma Ka : thanks
02:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will do Curt, nothing is jumping out at me but if I see anything I will
02:16 pm Drew M : Pennies momo $RGSE $TNXP $HTBX $SSH $ONTX
02:18 pm OILK K : $INUV pop
02:21 pm John M : $NFLX and $TSLA are my calls for after Christmas – looking at them close.
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWTR puts into next week. Will screen share after 2:30 NYMEX close
02:25 pm Curtis M : k
02:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWTR Dec30 16.5 puts @.17
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : No hurry, nothing else is moving anyway
02:36 pm Curtis M : no trade go nut mat
02:37 pm Curtis M : sorry internet crapped lol wow best commercial pkg too fark
02:38 pm Curtis M : crank your mic 4 me pls
02:39 pm Curtis M : Perfect
02:40 pm Tyler H : Learning a lot from you guys. Just wanted to say.
02:41 pm Dani M : Mathew your mic cuts out sometimes – it might just be my internet though
02:43 pm John M : u thinking market up tomorrow?
02:45 pm John M : thanks
02:46 pm Curtis M : Great I need a big hit day b4 Xmas ha
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO going big here
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a couple lotto’s from a while back. Doubt they hit but it looks interesting into EOY
02:58 pm Curtis M : $RGSE 25%
02:58 pm Curtis M : 35%
02:58 pm Curtis M : Not playing it but morning momo candidate
02:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SGY headed for the 5 zone IMO
02:59 pm Adam Gwyn : I had some obligations this morning, but did you guys capter any of the retrace in CL this morning?
03:00 pm Tyler H : No I don’t thnk anyone played it Adam. Not Sure tho.
03:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : I don’t think so either. I haven’t been watching OIL too close.
03:00 pm Tyler H : We’ve been hitting the long side all rhe way up the channel almost every turn tho.
03:01 pm Tyler H : I’ve hit harder than Curt but I’m half his age lololol
03:02 pm Cara R : We should compare Tyler ha holday bet for a bottle of jack
03:02 pm Cara R : Curt! U there?
03:02 pm Curtis M : ya sorry looking at momos
03:03 pm Curtis M : EOD days for tomorrow runs look ok actually
03:04 pm Curtis M : Yaa Adam I think we all took longs on way up every turn – its been good – I know Gerry who isn’t here has hit them hard too and I got some other thanks – good Christmas timing
03:04 pm Curtis M : All meaning all that did play it
03:05 pm Curtis M : It would be nice to see oil back down at bottom of channel for one big hit
03:06 pm Curtis M : $TWLO vertical – who called that earlier?
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I had the lotto’s but didn’t call it here until it was already into the 32’s
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : This will be over the 50 day tomorrow IMO
03:07 pm Curtis M : nice
03:10 pm Curtis M : $S Bulls sweeping
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY 226 pin for wednesday OPEX befoe higher tomorrow
03:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IPCI nHOD at 2.94. Decent squeeze candidate into tomorrow
03:14 pm Curtis M : $RGSE, $IPCI, $DUST, $DGAZ looking interesting for tomorrow
03:15 pm Curtis M : Oil we’ll see what pyjama crew does
03:15 pm Jack D : $TWLO $CC Nice
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : Natty gas has been a monster lately. $DGAZ/$UGAZ should see plenty of action
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO 46% short lolol
03:16 pm Jack D : $DGAZ got wacked haha likely bounce
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : 21 million share float
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : 40’s EOY
03:17 pm MarketMaven M : Ya $TWLO I like too – we have some good set-ups for tomorrow I agree
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : I took a few next week 37’s in TWLO for a 35-36 test this week
03:21 pm OILQ K : Anyone like $HTBX?
03:22 pm OILQ K : I’m going to ht oil hard on turn but looking at $HTBX for morning – likely wait and see maybe
03:23 pm Curtis M : I would just looking at $HTBX in morning too –
03:23 pm Curtis M : $HTBX DD not best
03:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not the prettiest chart but it’s got a gap to fill and should get some bullish crossovers shortly with any upward momo
03:24 pm Curtis M : yep
03:24 pm Curtis M : Insider buying last 6 mos
03:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Decent earnings as well
03:27 pm Curtis M : $DUST coming back to life FYI
03:28 pm Tyler H : I’m swinging it – hopefully full gold algo report out tonight
03:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : 3 screens of death for Gold right there lol
03:28 pm Curtis M : Might be ready tonight Ty
03:28 pm Curtis M : Within next few days anyway
03:29 pm Curtis M : A lot of data sorry almost there
03:30 pm Curtis M : It will be nice when whole team full time on 1st lololol
03:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : You mean it will be nice to get some sleep for once?
03:31 pm Curtis M : OMG yes
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sell off into the close here
03:32 pm Curtis M : Sartaj back to full time in lab today, Tyler in a week, Shawn Jan sometime – getting readu for EOY algo reports and media things starting 30th almost killing us hahahaha but… done soon 28th at latest everything
03:33 pm Curtis M : ya noticed
03:33 pm Curtis M : I think next week will be fire power – thur and fri I’m unclear
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think now until next Thursday it’s game on. Next Thursday/Friday a bit more unclear IMO
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : This is going off of last years pattern a bit and momentum
03:35 pm Curtis M : ya
03:36 pm Darnel T : have a good night guys and girlz
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : See ya in the AM
03:37 pm Cara R : peace
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY 226 pin in progress
03:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : $BBBY and $MU seeing earnings calls. I hate playing earnings and it’s so hard to win with options. I don’t know how people consistantly make money doing that
03:41 pm Jack D : $BBBY dud IMO
03:41 pm Jack D : nite all!!!
03:45 pm John M : Checking out everyone – thanks Curt and Mathew once again! Later.
03:46 pm OILK K : Ya John been awesome guys – I’m finally being disciplined!!! Making it back now.
03:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good night all. I’m just over here doing some random charting. Done trading for the day
03:47 pm OILK K : Quiet day but did lots of study ready for tomorrow. GN
03:49 pm OILQ K : I concure!!! If you guys need a recomend for the media programs you are doing let me know. I look good on TV too:):)
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : May cut some $TWLO calls here for a quick gain. The juice in this one coule get nasty. 44 isn’t out of the question before the year is out when shorts get scared
03:59 pm Curtis M : Thanks all have a good night! $DUST jiggy:)
03:59 pm OILK K : good one cheers!

 

Article Topics: $DUST, $MRUS, $ESEA, $CALA, $INVN, $OPGN, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $DWT, S&P 500

 

 

Read More

Pre-Market Newsletter Wed Dec 21 $INVN $TIG $CLLS $BCEI $UGAZ $USOIL $WTIC $UWT $SPY $GLD $GDX $SLV…

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Dec 21, 2016 in Chat room. Gainers: $INVN, $TIG, $CLLS, $BCEI, $UGAZ, $NK, $NUGT, $UWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will be information often in that report that is applicable and not in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING: Another quickie guys and gals! VERY QUICK. SO SORRY but this is quickest one yet – WE ARE RUNNING AROUND CLOCK RESETTING ALL ALGOS for the year end market inflection. So ya – that’s the excuse (true one lol). So much data ugh. BUT I CAN REPORT WE HAVE THEM LOCKED HARD. CHECK OUT EPIC’s HITS WOW.

And I have to admit the prep we are doing for all these media programs we are doing starting on Dec 30 is getting to be a bit much but we’re almost there too.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO – $UWT Out

Market Outlook:

I AM STALKING COPPER LONG FYI

As mentioned above; all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out VERY SOON – EPIC had HUGE NEWS again last night so we got a tad distracted running his math but we’re on it. WE SEE INFLECTION HERE – it may last a while – a pause – but it is either here right now or VERY VERY close. The reason EPIC is so important BTW is that our math for all the other algos is based on same principles – so when he hits we can transfer that specific are of math to the other algos – so if you can imagine doing that for every time cycle (ten) for each algo for fifty indicators on each. Serious data. But we’ll be ready for the 1st.

Oil Algorithm, Chart
Trending toward 1030 AM target. Crude algo intra work sheet 817 AM Dec 21 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momentum stocks: Gainers: $INVN 16%, $TIG 5%, $CLLS 4%, $BCEI 3% $UGAZ $NKE $NUGT $SDRL $CANF $JNUG $STO $UWT $TWLO $FRO $AU $UCO $GDXJ $BP

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $INVN 16%, $TIG 5%, $CLLS 4%, $BCEI 3% $UGAZ $NKE $NUGT $SDRL $CANF $JNUG $STO $UWT $TWLO $FRO $AU $UCO $GDXJ $BP I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AKAO (momentum play last week), $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA – Getting some action though.

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this week:

Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

NA

Per previous:

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

THIS IS STILL SUPER BULLISH!!!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

NA

Per recent posts:

Rosie the Gold Algo target call HIT!

My Trading Plan for Gold: Short term there could be a pretty good pop around the Fed, but I don’t expect it would last. It could pop to the top of the algo quadrant but I don’t think it would run past – NOT YET ANYWAY. So who know’s I may play a short term scenario – Fed / market reaction dependent.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

NA

Per previous;

Yesterday Silver tanked real hard! Good thing we’ve been sitting on our hands awaiting inflection point here.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Please review EPIC’s twitter feed from last evening – trading at top of range and hitting all kinds of algo targets overnight.

HITTING TARGETS LIKE MAD. EVERYONE GOT EPICs NEWSLETTER THIS MORNING FOR OIL TRADE SECTION INFO.

Outlook:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 looks great. Friday targets on charting.

EPIC the ALGO, Target Hit, Oil
Direct Algo Target Hit! Called 12 days ago. Crude algo intra work sheet 436 PM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Trading Plan: NA

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

NA

Per last week:

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted.

Natural Gas hit heavy resistance, came off, now at a Fibonacci support. $NG_F $UGAZ $DGAZ

ON WATCH!!! This could get a considerable pop in to late Wednesday and even as far as in to late Monday next week is possible!!!

Natural gas lost that Fib support yesterday so now I am watching lower supports. I still think there is a possibility for a pop just after Fed speak!

ON CLOSE WATCH!

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $INVN, $TIG, $CLLS, $BCEI, $UGAZ, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $UWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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Member Oil Trade Update Wed Dec 21 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP)

Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Wed Dec 21, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP)

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

NEW: MEMBER ALERT: Price hit Tues 4:30 target perfect and overnight trade is trending toward Wednesday 10:30 target!

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811325062259187712

NEW: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

NEW: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

PRICING: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and to be used as with a traditional trading chart as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. If you need assistance email your questions to info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Wednesday Dec 21, 2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/JoCKAuka-EPIC-OIL-MEMBER-CHART/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 53.14 6:25 AM ET Dec 21, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance you trading edge: (the white arrows are algo points we will review below)

Crude Oil, Intraday, Trade, Chart
Intra day 53.53. Coincidences abound. Crude algo intra work sheet 625 AM Dec 21 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Because we are pressed for time you will need to review recent posts or the link above with live chart for the diagonal trend lines.

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

Because I review various MA’s on various time frames on daily posts it is a good idea to go back and review previous posts so your buy – sell triggers are known.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers.

20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 547 AM Dec 21 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

20 MA, 4 HR Chart, Crude Oil, $USOIL
20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 547 AM Dec 21 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Fibonacci levels on crude oil chart for tight intra trading.

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

Fibonacci, Crude oil, chart, $USOIL
Fibonacci levels. Crude algo intra work sheet 714 AM Dec 21 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

The chart below has a number of white arrows. They point to algo lines (red dotted), algo targets (red circles), trading price interaction with lines, center of algo target, round part of targets with price action (white curved lines around targets), intra-day algo lines (white dotted), mid channel algo line (yellow dotted), time / price cycles (white solid geometric shapes) – the point is every line or symbol means something to our calculations. We use at least fifty indicators (not all shown) in various time frames to calculate our targets. The dotted red lines are not MA’s or any other traditional indicator as are the circles and the yellow line. Traditional indicators are the Fib levels (not shown), horizontal support and resistance (purple), diagonal trend lines (blue not shown) etc.

Crude Oil, Intraday, Trade, Chart
Intra day 53.53. Coincidences abound. Crude algo intra work sheet 625 AM Dec 21 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

I wrote last:

THE CHART ABOVE SHOWS CRUDE TRADING IN A TRIANGLE (in white). If the price stays in the triangle price is 99% going to spike significantly to the upside or downside before it leaves the triangle at or near the end (usually well before the end). In this instance if price is still in triangle at 1:00 Friday (red dotted vertical line) this could very well be when price will spike or drop out of that triangle.

And that is exactly what happened – the price did get close to the vertical dotted red line representing the Friday 1:00 time for rig count and as I wrote above the price did get volatile as it left the triangle.

The next time cycle is represented on the chart above – it is the triangle price is currently trading. It is highly probable that trade will leave this time / price cycle (represented as a triangle) prior to Tuesday 4:30.

Watch these triangles for entries because price can get violent as price enters or leaves the triangle.

We will update you in the trading room or by email notice if any other significant time / price cycles occur intra day.

There is not enough time available to explain all current time cycles coming due. BUT THERE IS a significant one to be aware of terminating at latest Dec 23 at 3:00 and another not quite as significant expiring same day at 1:00 which coincides with rig report weekly – expect volatility between now and then when and if price leaves that white triangle it is trading within now.  There is no way to tell you up or down.

Time, Price, Cycles, Oil, Chart
Time price cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 727 AM Dec 21 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trendlines are on the chart above (red dotted diagonals) – there is one far below price and two above.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Per recent posts:

Price missed the alpha target on Friday at 1:00 PM – but I did warn you that it was low probability and for those in the trading room we knew intra day exactly where crude was going to trade (live video available) – we did an intra day algo line set-up because we knew crude was unlikely to hit the targets on the chart – and crude followed the lines we set up for the day exactly.

So what is your most probable algo target for Wednesday 10:30 AM EST? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart above. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release any moment (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/811327478845218816

 

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets

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Post Market Report Tues Dec 20 $CNAT $FRED $GLF $AKBA $GALT $UWT $USOIL $WTIC $JUNO $CBMX

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Tuesday Dec 20 – $CNAT, $FRED, $GLF, $AKBA, $GALT, $JUNO, $CBMX, $UWT, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION AND TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS EITHER VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM) OR TIME-STAMPED IN WRITING FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

 

Primary Lessons That May Help You With Your Trades:

The $UWT (crude oil trade) I was in was about trusting the algorithm @EPICtheAlgo (which took me about 6 months to fully trust). I would be a lot further ahead has I just trusted the math process earlier. But I did this time – and I went big and we won.

Buy alert to our members last week (green arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 429 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

We bought at the bottom (green arrow) and we sold at the top (today’s top not shown)

Buy alert, trading room, crude oi
Buy alert to our members last week (green arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 429 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

We are currently processing the reset calls for all algos for Q1 2017 over Christmas season because the have all now completed their calls from Q3 and Q3 2016 with 90% or better accuracy. All in writing, called in advance and fully documented.

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:18 am Curtis M : Good morning! I will be back 2 mins b4 bell. Wll do morning momo incl oil and then move on to regular charting after (oil is momo today). $CNAT, $AKBA $ACAD $ABIO $TRCH, $BCEI $RAD $JDST $AUPH $DUST $WTI $IMMY $REXX $UWT

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:20 am Curtis M : $KLRE Halt – News Released. Halt time: 09:14:18.
09:23 am Curtis M : Morning Mat
09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Morning guys. Looking to exit some positions if this rally gets some legs. $CLF showing good strength off of Chinese steel report which is nice
09:24 am Curtis M : Yup in your words some jiggy
09:24 am Curtis M : I will be looking to scale out 2/3 of my $UWT in morning momo FYI
09:24 am Mathew Waterfall : haha yes, would like to see more jiggy
09:25 am Curtis M : My words too lol
09:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Also looking to exit $XOM small position and see what $IWM does. Will let those 139s ride most likely until tomorrow or so
09:26 am Curtis M : I won’t even be watching other stocks at open – I have a large $UWT to traverse FYI ALL
09:28 am Curtis M : Just emailed Sell Alert on 2/3 $UWT of 10000 shares
09:28 am Curtis M : Will chip out 2/3 after bell sometime VERY LIKELY (just t be clear so nobody yells at me)
09:39 am Curtis M : Chipped out most now holding 3000 $UWT
09:40 am Curtis M : Watching $FRED for wash out then snap back
09:43 am Curtis M : Calculating new targets for crude if it gets up over resistance areas
09:43 am Curtis M : $FRED is a real deal on real news – could go again
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : $IWM flying. Lets keep the juice on here please
09:49 am Curtis M : Long $FRED small 1000 share 17.65
09:49 am Curtis M : Real tight I dont plan on losses b4 xmas
09:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Posted my levels yesterday but $WYNN still looking horrible. Will watch for reentry around 88 but likely not until after the first
09:53 am Curtis M : Out $FRED 17.96
09:53 am Curtis M : $FRED
09:54 am Curtis M : Shoot lol
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Hate that. But it could have gone the other direction. That’s what I tell myself at least lol
09:54 am Curtis M : haha
09:56 am OILQ K : Out $UWT Thanks!
09:57 am Curtis M : NP I got some other yehaws on email and DM I’ll share later – it worked out:)
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Here comes the early fade
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF great strength. Shooting for 10’s mid term
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : Calls bought yesterdat at .295 from .24 and working higher here
10:03 am Curtis M : so much winning
10:04 am Curtis M : lol sorry
10:04 am Carol B : yup win away
10:04 am Michael P : thanks for the calls peeps excellent
10:05 am Mathew Waterfall : Morning flurry looks to be about over for me. Market feels like it wants a breather here
10:06 am Curtis M : OIl could be a gusher yet – its held up really well
10:07 am Curtis M : Machines have it right now
10:10 am Dani M : I saw the convo on Stocktwits lolololol you should a let him have it – what MA IS THAT THEN LOLOLOL LMAO
10:10 am Curtis M : ha
10:11 am gary y : $JUNO up
10:11 am Mathew Waterfall : I would just screw with those people. “Hey you caught me. It’s the 134.5 square root multi average SMA. Really basic stuff”
10:11 am Curtis M : lolol
10:12 am Curtis M : It was actually Sartaj talking to him I cant do it – and Sartaj just like whatever lol doesn’t pay attention and I’m like hit em haha
10:13 am Curtis M : Chipping out last 3000 $UWT
10:14 am Curtis M : Sorry if youre getting 2x emails
10:16 am Tyler H : new dress haha
10:17 am Curtis M : Yes! Thanks Ty you got that right. Momma be happy.
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Out of those $IWM weekly 139’s @ .30 from .285. Really just want to lighten up a bit here so basically a scratch. Holding into tomorrow would do these well of continued strength so I’ll keep an eye on reentry
10:23 am Drew M : $IONS momo
10:30 am Tyler H : thinking ss $FRED
10:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Steel names in play. $CLF and $AKS on my board getting with the program also $X looking decent. $FCX holding up well in the face of this copper weakness
10:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking to buy pullbacks in $FCX and $CLF potentially
10:33 am Curtis M : Yes X was my 2nd choice right after bell – didn’t take it – actually looking at Copper – I know wierd
10:33 am MarketMaven M : im in $X
10:37 am Mathew Waterfall : $X bull sweep just came through. That’s on top of ton of buying in $CLF right off of the open
10:42 am Curtis M : Those soldiers should be the handle
10:42 am Curtis M : Messy but bullish
10:44 am Drew M : Sold $BLTD win
10:47 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $ARC $AWH $KBAL
10:47 am Curtis M : Nice Drew we talked about that yesterday
10:48 am Jack D : Long $SHAK f
10:49 am Carol B : I like $OCLR here
10:50 am Curtis M : $SHAK takeover rumor
10:50 am Mathew Waterfall : The $SHAK! Lik the name, high short interest but that thing acts like a turd whenever i play it
10:51 am Curtis M : $SHAK terrible chart
10:51 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m gonna do some scanning. Things on my end have quieted down a bit
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : I just hit weekly 38 puts for a flyer after they deny the rumor
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : small could go either way but this sees 36s fast if rumor goes out the window
10:52 am Curtis M : lol 🙂
10:52 am Curtis M : yup
10:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Alright now some scanning
11:02 am Drew M : $VXX new all time low
11:03 am Michael P : in $htbx some
11:03 am MarketMaven M : $WTI whoo hoo strong bull
11:04 am MarketMaven M : $DE strong too
11:22 am Mathew Waterfall : $SHAk out half of my 38 puts at .75 from .4. will keep the rest for additional dumpage here
11:22 am Curtis M : Wow on $HTBX 🙂 Interesting TOD
11:23 am Curtis M : Large bolcks $FXI
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : All out of $AKS this week calls. First 2/3rds was big win into the fed last week. This sell was flat so overall decent gains on this trade
11:28 am Rob D : sounds good Matt
11:29 am Darni T : $PI ATH
11:32 am Curtis M : $SEAC block
11:34 am Curtis M : https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/949428/000129673416000006/0001296734-16-000006-index.htm CFO 10000 share buy $CDTI
11:36 am Curtis M : Leader board $CNAT 126% $FRED $GLF $AKBA $GALT $VLTC $BCEI $CVGW $ABIO $PBMD $GLMD $KNDI $HIL $WTI $HTBX $CRR $SGY $PI
11:43 am Darni T : $WLL vol
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Huge sweepers in $WLL all day
11:51 am Mathew Waterfall : LIBYA’S NOC SAYS FIELDS REOPENING TO ADD 175K B/D IN ONE MONTH
11:56 am Curtis M : Leaderboard $CNAT $FRED $GLF $AKBA $GALT
12:09 pm OILQ K : $KLREW momo
12:12 pm Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $MSFG
12:13 pm Dani M : $SWRM up 138%
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out half $clf Jan13 10c’s at .39 from .24. Keeping other half as I think it goes higher, just not trustin grally in steel a whole lot so playing tight and ringing the cash register
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Think we see fib at 9.62 tomorrow/thursday on $CLF will likely roll to 11’s at that pint
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : *point
12:15 pm Curtis M : On lunch till 1245
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SHAK dying as well. delicious
12:16 pm Curtis M : lol
12:36 pm Curtis M : $FRED back on scan for a possible bounce
12:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : 6108 calls traded for $FRED 93% mid or above meaning lots of buying. 31% ask or above meaning urgency
12:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s against 4665 outs 51% traded mid or below so likely some selling
12:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : *puts
01:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dr J talking his book as always just spat out $CLF. Might be rocket fuel to my target over next day or so
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Right on schedule nHOD for $CLF. Calls almost a 2 bagger
01:05 pm Curtis M : nce
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Long bomb. $CRM Feb17 80c’s at .35
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Today’s 1 hour bars on $CLF. Doesn’t get much better than that http://tos.mx/jnjjhP
01:18 pm Curtis M : $VLTC tank
01:24 pm OILK K : $HD here os volume
01:26 pm Curtis M : $SI_F Momo
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : looking at end of year short covering lotto’s. some ripe names out there
01:31 pm Darni T : $CNAT looks like rocket time
01:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : I usually try to let moves like that play out for a day or so. The close is always inportant to me to see if it dumps with all of the profit taking
01:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : Of course I haven’t looked at short interest which can fuel a rally big time from here in a pro gap type move
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolled rest of my $CLF Jan calls into 12’s. Big jump yes but I wanted to take out profits. Basically 2 bagger right here at .47 from .24 entry. .33 credit to roll to 12’s
01:44 pm Curtis M : $CLF denying takeover
01:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp good exit on that one. Held 50 on the 5′ though so still not horrible. $AKS and $X going so this should remain strong
01:46 pm Curtis M : nice
01:47 pm Curtis M : $USB momo too bank
01:48 pm Darni T : Banks are from that CNBC interview yesterday
01:49 pm Curtis M : $CLF block sell yuge
01:50 pm Dani M : $VKTX small L
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Watching $GPRO. With a little push this could see the other side of 10. End of year short covering candidate
02:01 pm Curtis M : Long $CNAT 1000
02:02 pm Curtis M : 5.02
02:05 pm Curtis M : add 3000 $CNAT
02:08 pm Curtis M : add $CNET 6000
02:09 pm Curtis M : 4.96 then 5.01
02:19 pm Curtis M : chpping out $CNAT
02:20 pm Curtis M : 3k 5.08
02:21 pm Curtis M : 3k 5.65
02:21 pm Curtis M : rest out 5.06 overall avg out
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice man. Quick little kill
02:26 pm Curtis M : hotdogs beer tip lol
02:29 pm Curtis M : usdjpy bears got me to look
02:29 pm Curtis M : lets see
02:34 pm Curtis M : USDJPY I wouldnt call it broke tll 100 crosses 20 on 2 hr w price under but thats me I tend t o mis first 10% – 15% catch middle
02:35 pm Curtis M : fark $CNAT
02:36 pm Curtis M : I always play those momos chicken ugh
02:37 pm Dani M : I stayed in it Curt thank YOU I know that about you I gamble some
02:38 pm Curtis M : nice
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT next week 7’s at .2. Small size, otpions on leveraged ETF’s will have you drinking champagne or vodka from a plastic bottle so I keep it extra small on these
02:40 pm Curtis M : haha
02:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $PI just won’t stop today. Flying
02:51 pm Darni T : Was just going to say that. HOD
02:52 pm Curtis M : People calling bottom in Gold and Miners all over social
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wanted to buy a dip around the 50 on the 5′ for a quick play and it didn’t even get there. I’m not chasing at this point but it looks super strong
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : Come on $NUGT! Get me some of the good stuff
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : But if course if people are tlaking abot itthat likely means we have another flush before the real move
02:53 pm Curtis M : ugh
02:58 pm jetcom b : done – see you gus tom
02:59 pm jeff g : Yes have gifts to buy later! Thanks!
03:09 pm OILQ K : $EVOK consistent up
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Good continuation off ofthe intial pop and drop
03:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m done for the day unless something crazy jumps out at me. Good wins today with $CLF and $AKS. Lotto $CHK looking like a dud but there’s 3 days to go for a Christmas miracle
03:11 pm OILQ K : cya
03:11 pm Curtis M : Thanks Mathew
03:12 pm Sammy T : bye everyone
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll be hanging out it anyone has any weird questions for me like what i think of $WYNN(looks horrible atm) or what is the meaning of life
03:14 pm Drew M : 10-4
03:28 pm Curtis M : $CNAT long 1000 5.11
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : $ALXN takeover pop. Puts have a crazy b/a spread though so nothing for me
03:34 pm Curtis M : $CNAT stop at flat
03:34 pm Curtis M : we’ll see
03:35 pm Curtis M : out flat
03:35 pm Curtis M : .1c gain lol broker fee
03:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Don’t spend it all in one place!
03:36 pm Curtis M : ha
03:36 pm Josh S : I read some of that chatterr on StockTwits.. did those people even read the site?
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Stocktwits is easily 99% people who have no clue what they are tlaking about.
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SHAK puking continues. 38 outs now .825 from .40. I’ll probably step off the rollercoaster here
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : *puts. I can’t type that word today for some reason
03:39 pm Darni T : agreed
03:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : There’s a ton of noise on stocktwits, twitter, whatever. Some is helpful, but a lot of it is either distracting or straight up misinformation
03:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : I know traders who will post the opposite of what they are doing on purpose. I’m not sure what they think that they get out of that strategy but it definately goes on
03:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Focus on your own strategy and use the rest for laughs unless it’s coming from a verified source
03:43 pm Darni T : omg
03:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : We’re lucky with a room like this that we can share and learn. On twitter and others that’s not always the case
03:43 pm Josh S : I just thought it was interesting, because their trading room also purported to be “crowd sourced”..
03:44 pm Josh S : anyway you’re right, no business doing trading if a person can’t do their own research
03:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : They probably also advertise using supercars trying to lure you into to sme BS service
03:45 pm Curtis M : aesomw
03:45 pm Curtis M : awesome
03:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m not saying you can’t use others for help, this room is a great example of that. But when you’re out filtering through unreliable advice it needs to be taken with a giant grain of salt
03:47 pm Curtis M : That news knocked algos off with EPIC lol
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha
03:48 pm Curtis M : It was techically perfect 🙂
03:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : MOC 30 for sale. These numbers have been bouncing around leaning a bit to the sell side. Not much of a trend but it looks like fin heavy on the sell side
03:52 pm Curtis M : hmm
03:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Saw some put buying there in the afternoon as well. GS mostly for whatever reason
03:54 pm Curtis M : interesting
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Watching $GPRO and $TWLO for possible end of year short squeezes/short covering rallies
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO just hit with a $45 price target
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good afternoon/evening. Catch ya in the AM
04:00 pm OILQ K : wa
04:01 pm Curtis M : catcha
04:01 pm Cara R : cya

I will post the picture with me rolling around in the bathtub with my money later on instagram – stay tuned!

You can follow along with public calls our algorithms post on Twitter here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

 

Article Topics: $CNAT, $FRED, $GLF, $AKBA, $GALT, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $DWT, S&P 500

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Pre-Market Newsletter Tues Dec 20 $UWT $CNAT $ACAD $TNXP $USOIL $WTIC $GLD $GDX $SPY $SLV $DXY $UGAZ $VIX …

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Dec 20, 2016 in Chat room.  $UWT, $CNAT, $ACAD, $TNXP, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will be information often in that report that is applicable and not in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING: Another quickie guys and gals! SO SORRY but this is quickest one yet – WE ARE RUNNING AROUND CLOCK RESETTING ALL ALGOS for the year end market inflection. So ya – that’s the excuse (true one lol). So much data ugh.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT (deep dive)

Market Outlook:

As mentioned above; all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out VERY SOON – EPIC had HUGE NEWS last night so we got a tad distracted running his math but we’re on it. WE SEE INFLECTION HERE – it may last a while – a pause – but it is either here right now or VERY VERY close.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

8:00 AM Gainers: $CNAT 134%, $ACAD 37%, $TNXP 8%, $BCEI 6%, $JDST 5%, $VIP $AUPH $DUST $DGAZ $UWT

7:34 am $CNAT $5.00 154% 205K vol pre-market

Lots of news:

BlackBerry shares rally in premarket after profit surprise http://on.mktw.net/2hmtwxe

PX, DRI, BBRY, GIS, GM, FB, AAPL & more
CNBC.com
Check out which companies are making headlines before the bell:
Praxair — After weeks of talks, Praxair and rival industrial gas maker Linde have signed a non-binding term sheet for a merger of equals. Linde shareholders would get about a share and a half for each share they now hold, while Praxair holders would get one share.
Darden Restaurants — The parent of Olive Garden and other chains matched estimates with profit of 64 cents per share, while revenue was also in line with forecasts. Darden did post better-than-expected comparable-restaurant sales.
BlackBerry — The formerly dominant smartphone company — now largely a software provider — reported adjusted quarterly profit of 2 cents per share, compared to estimates of a 1 cent per share loss. Revenue was below Street forecasts, but BlackBerry did raise its full-year outlook.
General Mills — The foodmaker missed estimates by one cent a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of 85 cents per share. Revenue missed the mark, as well, on weaker sales of brands like Yoplait yogurt and Progresso soup.
General Motors — The automaker will temporarily shut down five plants in January for one to three weeks, as well as laying off nearly 1,300 workers at a Detroit assembly plant beginning in March. GM is trying to adjust to a slowdown in auto sales following seven years of growth.
Fiat Chrysler — U.S. officials are investigating about one million Fiat Chrysler pickup trucks and SUVs following reports of rollaway crashes that occurred after the vehicles were parked. NHTSA said it had reports of 25 related crashes and nine injuries allegedly related to the issue.
Facebook — European Union antitrust regulators are charging Facebook with providing misleading information about its takeover of WhatsApp. The objection involves Facebook’s sharing of WhatsApp user data.
Biogen — Biogen named Executive Vice President Michel Vounatsos as its next chief executive officer, effective January 6. He’ll replace George Scangos, who had led the drugmaker since 2010 and had previously announced he would step down as soon as a successor was found.
Apple — Apple has discussed setting up manufacturing facilities in India with the government, according to The Wall Street Journal. Making its products locally would allow Apple to open its own stores in India.
Philip Morris, Altria — These and other tobacco producers are on watch today after the California Public Employees’ Retirement System voted to broaden its ban on tobacco investments. That move went against a staff recommendation that the 16-year old ban be removed.
Destination Maternity — Destination Maternity agreed to be bought by French child care clothing and products retailer Orchestra Prémaman in a stock swap deal worth $7.05 per share. Shareholders in the maternity apparel retailer will receive a little more than half of an Orchestra Prémaman share for each share they now hold.
Ericsson — Ericsson will reportedly cut about a quarter of its workforce in Italy, according to a Bloomberg report. That comes after the telecom company lost the contract to manage the country’s largest wireless network.
Deutsche Bank — Deutsche Bank remains on our watch list amid reports that a settlement with the U.S. Justice Department will be announced this week, and that the penalty for the bank in a mortgage backed securities case will be far less than the $14 billion first proposed by U.S. officials.
Bank of America — The bank sold its U.K. credit card business MBNA to Lloyds Banking Group for $2.35 billion.
Square — Instinet began coverage on the mobile payments company with a “buy” rating, noting the growth of the overall market and Square’s consistent gain in market share.
Salesforce.com — Drexel Hamilton initiated coverage on the company with a “buy” rating, noting that Salesforce continues to be a leader in customer relations management while expanding its cloud software offerings.
Alcoa — The aluminum producer was upgraded to “outperform” from “neutral” at Maquarie, citing expectations of improved demand and pricing.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $CNAT 134%, $ACAD 37%, $TNXP 8%, $BCEI 6%, $JDST 5%, $VIP $AUPH $DUST $DGAZ $UWT $MTL $SID $LABU $GGB $BBRY $NVDA I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AKAO (momentum play last week), $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $AA $KOS $HBAN $VSAR $WDC $AWK $AMD $PEG $ES $DAN $AXL $TECK $NVDA $FNB $ZION $PBCT $FRC $CLVS $REGN I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $CBOE $CEMP $SBGL $OAK $CELP $EXR $FE $DYN $FNV $AYI $GRP $INOV $PB $HMST $FFWM $BUSE $MITL $NLY $AI $AMGN  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this week:

Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

 

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

THIS IS STILL SUPER BULLISH!!!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

NA

Per recent posts:

Rosie the Gold Algo target call HIT!

My Trading Plan for Gold: Short term there could be a pretty good pop around the Fed, but I don’t expect it would last. It could pop to the top of the algo quadrant but I don’t think it would run past – NOT YET ANYWAY. So who know’s I may play a short term scenario – Fed / market reaction dependent.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

NA

Per previous;

Yesterday Silver tanked real hard! Good thing we’ve been sitting on our hands awaiting inflection point here.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Please review EPIC’s twitter feed from last evening – trading at top of range and hitting all kinds of algo targets overnight.

Outlook:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a miss.

Trading Plan: I am in here on three entries – 10000 shares deep $UWT.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

NA

Per last week:

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted.

Natural Gas hit heavy resistance, came off, now at a Fibonacci support. $NG_F $UGAZ $DGAZ

ON WATCH!!! This could get a considerable pop in to late Wednesday and even as far as in to late Monday next week is possible!!!

Natural gas lost that Fib support yesterday so now I am watching lower supports. I still think there is a possibility for a pop just after Fed speak!

ON CLOSE WATCH!

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $UWT, $CNAT, $ACAD, $TNXP, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $UWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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Member Oil Trade Update Tues Dec 20 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP)

Curt MelonopolyCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Tues Dec 20, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP)

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report.

NOTICES:

NEW: MEMBER ALERT: Price held mid channel algo line and intra day algo line support in overnight trade. See chart below.

NEW: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

NEW: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available for multi-users.

PATENT PHASE: As I mentioned I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

PRICING: My proprietary services transitioned recently from free inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators – weighted, with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional trading chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. If you need assistance email your questions to info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday Dec 20, 2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/lY5WAtSM-EPC-the-Algo-Member-Chart/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 53.14 5:30 AM ET Dec 20, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance you trading edge:

Crude, oil, trading, chart, algo
MEMBER ALERT: Price held mid channel algo line and intra day algo line support in overnight trade. Crude algo intra. $USOIL $WTIC $CL_F $USO

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support.

Member Alert Price held mid channel algo line and intra day algo line support in overnight trade. Crude algo intra work sheet 513 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude oil, support, algo, chart
Member Alert Price held mid channel algo line and intra day algo line support in overnight trade. Crude algo intra work sheet 513 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If you have any questions email info@compoundtrading.com with direct questions for direct answers. Or ask in the trade room in a private message to the lead trader.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Besides the blue diagonal trend lines you see on the chart above – the two trend lines (the intra day diagonal algo line the lead trader set up live in room today and the mid channel trend-line) are very important to note also!

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

Because I review various MA’s on various time frames on daily posts it is a good idea to go back and review previous posts so your buy – sell triggers are known.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers.

20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 542 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

20 MA, 4 Hour, Chart, Oil, $USOIL
20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 542 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Fibonacci levels on crude oil chart for tight intra trading.

Fibonacci Levels. Crude algo intra work sheet 548 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels, Crude oil, chart
Fibonacci Levels. Crude algo intra work sheet 548 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines:

If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

I wrote last:

THE CHART ABOVE SHOWS CRUDE TRADING IN A TRIANGLE (in white). If the price stays in the triangle price is 99% going to spike significantly to the upside or downside before it leaves the triangle at or near the end (usually well before the end). In this instance if price is still in triangle at 1:00 Friday (red dotted vertical line) this could very well be when price will spike or drop out of that triangle.

And that is exactly what happened – the price did get close to the vertical dotted red line representing the Friday 1:00 time for rig count and as I wrote above the price did get volatile as it left the triangle.

The next time cycle is represented on the chart above – it is the triangle price is currently trading. It is highly probable that trade will leave this time / price cycle (represented as a triangle) prior to Tuesday 4:30.

Watch these triangles for entries because price can get violent as price enters or leaves the triangle.

REVIEW THE CHART ABOVE – PRICE INTRA IN OVERNIGHT TRADE IS TRADING AT TOP OF PRICE CYCLE TRIANGLE! IT MAY NOT BREACH IT TO UPSIDE! IF IT DOES NOT PRICE WILL NOT HIT TARGET FOR 4:30 TUESDAY – BUT OBVIOUSLY AN AWESOME CALL ON THAT TARGET EITHER WAY – ESPECIALLY FROM OUR BUY ALERT LAST WEEK! (BELOW).

We will update you in the trading room or by email notice if any other significant time / price cycles occur intra day.

Buy alert to our members last week (green arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 429 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Buy alert, trading room, crude oi
Buy alert to our members last week (green arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 429 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trendlines are on the chart above (red dotted diagonals) – there is one far below price and two above.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Per yesterday:

Price missed the alpha target on Friday at 1:00 PM – but I did warn you that it was low probability and for those in the trading room we knew intra day exactly where crude was going to trade (live video available) – we did an intra day algo line set-up because we knew crude was unlikely to hit the targets on the chart – and crude followed the lines we set up for the day exactly.

So what is your most probable algo target for Tuesday 4:30 EST? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart above. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Also from yesterday:

I am currently watching the math on two other possible algo lines developing that I will report on soon – SO THE TARGETS FOR THIS WEEK ARE NOT CONSIDERED HIGH PROBABILITY – THEY ARE SOFT TARGETS AT THIS POINT.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release any moment – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” within a day or so, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading.

 

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets

 

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Post Market Mon Dec 19 $XGTI $SGY $GSAT $TNXP $UWT $USOIL $WTIC $JUNO $CBMX

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Monday Dec 19 –  $XGTI, $SGY, $GSAT, $JUNO, $CBMX, $UWT, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION AND TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS EITHER RECORDED OR TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Mellow day – market calm – nailed a runner in morning $XGTI and still holding deep dive crude related $UWT from last week. $SGY is rocking from my Trading Room Newsletter alerts and Swing Trading set-up newsletters.

My Personal Trades:

Monday for me was mostly $STUDY and watching my Oil related $UWT trade – I am 10,000 shares deep from earlier in the week (1000, 3000, 6000 entries) – so that is setting up to be a great win. I see oil is up big overnight – would have never known:) Other traders in the room have been on winning side and have been regularly so that is great. Still hold $CBMX and $JUNO.

Primary Lessons That May Help You With Your Trades:

The $UWT (crude oil trade) I am in is completely about trusting the proven algorithm @EPICtheAlgo (which took me about 6 months to fully trust). I would be a lot further ahead has I just trusted the math process earlier. But I did this time – and I WENT BIG – REAL BIG FOR ME.

Buy alert, trading room, crude oi
Buy alert to our members last week (green arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 429 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos (Oil, Gold, Silver, US Dollar, VIX, SPY).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:42 am Curtis M : Momo $TNXP, $GSAT, $XGTI, $ELGT, $APTO.

08:54 am Curtis M : Good Morning! Momo $TNXP, $GSAT, $XGTI, $ELGT, $APTO. At the bell I will focus on momentum stocks and then move over to Oil, Gold, Silver etc…

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:05 am Curtis M : $JUNO Defeats Kite Pharma’s Challenge to CAR T-Cell Patent. $KITE https://finance.yahoo.com/news/juno-therapeutics-defeats-kite-pharma-140000298.html
09:20 am Curtis M : Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TNXP $GSAT $XGTI $CUR $APHB $BCLI $AWH $RGSE $PLX $PSTI $NVCN $GGB $JNUG $CBIO $OCLR $DRYS
09:31 am Curtis M : Long $XGTI small
09:32 am Curtis M : 3.51 1000 shares
09:33 am Curtis M : Out 3.60
09:41 am Curtis M : In Play: $XGTI, $BCLI, $EVOK, $LOXO, $DRYS, $GOGO, $JNUG, $WR
09:42 am Curtis M : 52wk Highs: $GTT $INN $MASI $ORA $RICK $UVE
09:44 am OILK K : $ACTS Halt – Additional Information Requested by NASDAQ. Halt time: 09:40:22.
09:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Quiet morning for me so far. Letting my positions work. Stalking the weak FANG names but no trigger pull so far
09:47 am MarketMaven M : $SPX spike
09:48 am Dani M : $HMNY vol halt
09:49 am Carol B : Copper serously off
09:51 am Curtis M : HMNY Google Play Shows Availability of Zone Technologies’ RedZone Map[+]
09:53 am Curtis M : 52wk Highs: $NVLN $UMH
10:02 am Curtis M : Looks like morning momos are done for me – gong to run scans and come back and review oil, gold, etc
10:02 am Curtis M : 10 mins
10:17 am Curtis M : Very quiet out there
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp. $VIX getting smoked but not much movement to the upside which is kind of odd. Likely we just drift/chop around next 2 weeks
10:50 am Curtis M : Not much to review at all – market just flatenned – oil may move a bit and of course some select stocks – but currency and commodities and indices blah
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Sounds like we are both in the same camp. I’m gonna do some scans and grab some coffee. Back in a bit
11:11 am Curtis M : $AKAO pop
11:11 am Curtis M : $CLVS pop
11:12 am Curtis M : $CLVS Halt
11:14 am Curtis M : CLVSClovis Shares to Resume Trade at 11:15:59 a.m. EST
11:24 am Curtis M : Experiencing internet spikes expect service to resume shortly
11:31 am Darnel T : $NKE wth jeez
11:38 am Mathew Waterfall : $NKE seeing some decent call buying here as well
11:48 am OILK K : Curl on $HMY tempting but soft day
11:50 am Mathew Waterfall : Not much doing today. Might be my only open all day: $WYNN Jan20 95/97 call spread at .57. Out if it slips past 90
11:54 am Curtis M : $CLVS 4 mins
12:19 pm Dani M : $OCLR vol
12:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Any knife catchers out there? Dust looks about ready. High risk options play with some rewards if you get a bounce
12:35 pm Sammy T : Market stall Mat
12:36 pm Sammy T : Pause time or something
12:36 pm Curtis M : $DUST likely gonna pop
12:51 pm Carol B : Man $CLVS when?
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : $XOM looking sickly here. Still in the channel I have drawn in, would touch bottom of said cahnnel at 89.8
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : And now making lows lol. This should be rallying with oil and the overall market, I guess people are spooked by recent tillerson news or something
12:57 pm Curtis M : I think the market is off in a number of ways – just my opinion thos
12:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Some weird divergences that don’t make sense to me here. Another reason I’m not in a rush to trade today
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $MNKD gettin frisky
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trimming some of my position
01:10 pm Curtis M : $CLVS PT Stifel raise to 52
01:14 pm Curtis M : $CLVS 1:20 EST estimate for open
01:23 pm Dani M : $TAC halted news
01:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWM trying. Higher high would confirm. Failure of that not pretty IMO
01:37 pm Carol B : Looking at $CLVS here
01:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWM loses 136.81 and I’m out small call position. It will be for a small loss but price action isn’t great. Will come back to it later
01:48 pm Carol B : Long $DUST for a start
01:51 pm Slav O : $MNKD HOD
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CLF eyes on long term fib at 8.61. Liking jan calls there if it gets there. Currently showing some small signs of life
01:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Legging in. First rounf $CLF jan13 10c’s @.24. These are buy and forget just like 11’s I am already holding
02:00 pm Curtis M : Grabbing coffee back in 10
02:18 pm John M : I think i fell asleep
02:18 pm Curtis M : $STUDY
02:21 pm Curtis M : Buy Christmas presents 🙂
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thanks for reminding me. I’m now scanning amazon for something last minute for the lady lol
02:29 pm Curtis M : ha
02:29 pm Drew M : Terrorist attacks seem to be up.
02:30 pm Curtis M : oh my ya true
02:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : Only thing I’m really watching now is $CLF for another possible add at 8.65-8.61. Would like to see how it handles the close so not in a big hurry.
02:45 pm Dani M : $ENPH alive
02:58 pm Darnel T : $MNKD strong afternoon
03:02 pm Drew M : Done for day!
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : Quiet day for me as well. Don’t expect any more trades into the close, and realy don’t feel rushed to put many trades on before the end of the year. Hoping to keep melting up a bit here but I’m pretty small overall
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : It’s easy to get chopped up in sideways markets especially trading options
03:14 pm Curtis M : Yep I’m just doing paperwork
03:14 pm Michael P : Cya guys!
03:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY bounce into the close? Any guesses?
03:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : 225.45 is my no position guess
03:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Damn $SGY! Didn’t they go BK a while back? Just noticed that one on the watch list
03:39 pm Curtis M : lol i think so
03:49 pm MarketMaven M : See ya all tomorrow!!!
03:49 pm Jack D : catcha
04:00 pm Curtis M : Well have a great night folks I’m gonna shut er down and go decorate a tree lol – best!

You can follow along with public calls our algorithms post on Twitter here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Article Topics: $TNXP, $XGTI, $SGY, $GSAT, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT,  $GLD $GDX $USOIL $WTIC $SPY $DXY $VIX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $GC_F $USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP $SPY S&P 500

 

 

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Pre-Market Newsletter Mon Dec 19 $XGTI $GSAT $TNXP $USOIL $WTIC $GLD $GDX $SPY $SLV $DXY $UGAZ $VIX …

Curt MelonopolyTrading Plan, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Dec 19, 2016 in Chat room. $XGTI, $GSAT, $TNXP, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

If you have reviewed the morning swing trade newsletter much of it is contained herein this week.

If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will be information often in that report that is applicable and not in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING: This will be another quick report. The market is settling in now from an algorithmic modelling perspective and we expect all charting for all algorithms to be done and published again through-out day today and published prior to tomorrow market open.

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT (deep dive)

Market Outlook:

As mentioned above; all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out today and before market open tomorrow (we’re running them right now). WE SEE INFLECTION HERE – it may last a while – a pause – but it is either here right now or VERY VERY close.

Morning Momo:

$XGTI $GSAT $TNXP $EGO $BCLI $ORIG $SDRL $TRVG $DRYS $JNUG $GFI $NUGT

$TNXP +39% TNX-102 SL BTD PTSD Phase 3-Ready Drug Candidate, TNX-102 SL, Granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA
$APHB +29% P1 Data
$LOXO +15% LOXO-101 Update
$OCUL +9% Insider Buy
$CBIO +6% Mfg Agmt

$JUNO Defeats Kite Pharma’s Challenge to CAR T-Cell Patent. $KITE
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/juno-therapeutics-defeats-kite-pharma-140000298.html

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TNXP $GSAT $XGTI $CUR $APHB $BCLI $AWH $RGSE $PLX $PSTI $NVCN $GGB $JNUG $CBIO $OCLR $DRYS I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:$JAKK, $TVIX, $AMAT, $VIIX, $BBRY, $ZNGA, $SQQQ, $ABUS, $MAR, $NVDA I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AKAO (momentum play last week), $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Running algos today. Basic trading range – the 20 MA is turning up through 50 MA on the 5 Minute – Fibonacci levels to watch. 614 AM Dec 19 $ES_F $SPXS $SPXL :

Fibonacci, $SPY, Chart
$SPY The 20 MA is turning up through 50 MA on the 5 Minute – Fibonacci levels to watch. 614 AM Dec 19 $ES_F $SPXS $SPXL

Outlook:

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

$VIX Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 50 MA cross 200 MA to upsaide buy and when it turns under 20 MA sell short. $TVIX $UVXY $XIV

$VIX, Swing Trade, Chart
$VIX Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 50 MA cross 200 MA to upsaide buy and when it turns under 20 MA sell short. $TVIX $UVXY $XIV

Outlook:

As I wrote this week:

Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

$DXY Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 200 MA and 50 MA 1 Day Cross Buy Sell Trigger $UUP

$DXY, US Dollar, $UUP, Chart, Swing Trading
$DXY Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 200 MA and 50 MA 1 Day Cross Buy Sell Trigger $UUP

As I wrote over and over again since July 2016 when our algo locked the math in:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

THIS IS STILL SUPER BULLISH!!!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 100 MA 1 WK Buy Sell Trigger. Gold algo intra work sheet 1022 PM Dec 18 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Gold, Chart, Swing Trade
Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 100 MA 1 WK Buy Sell Trigger. Gold algo intra work sheet 1022 PM Dec 18 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Per recent posts:

Rosie the Gold Algo target call HIT!

My Trading Plan for Gold: Short term there could be a pretty good pop around the Fed, but I don’t expect it would last. It could pop to the top of the algo quadrant but I don’t think it would run past – NOT YET ANYWAY. So who know’s I may play a short term scenario – Fed / market reaction dependent.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

SILVER Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 1 Week Buy over 200 and 20 MA Sell Under 20 MA $SL_F $SLV $USLV, $DSLV

Silver, Swing Trade, Chart
SILVER Keep it Simple Chart of Day. 1 Week Buy over 200 and 20 MA Sell Under 20 MA $SL_F $SLV $USLV, $DSLV

Per previous;

Yesterday Silver tanked real hard! Good thing we’ve been sitting on our hands awaiting inflection point here.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

20 MA on 4 Hour Buy – Sell Trigger. Crude algo intra work sheet 407 AM Dec 19 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

20 MA on 4 Hour Buy - Sell Trigger, Crude, Oil
20 MA on 4 Hour Buy – Sell Trigger. Crude algo intra work sheet 407 AM Dec 19 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Outlook:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a miss.

Trading Plan: I am in here on three entries – deep.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Per last week:

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted.

Natural Gas hit heavy resistance, came off, now at a Fibonacci support. $NG_F $UGAZ $DGAZ

ON WATCH!!! This could get a considerable pop in to late Wednesday and even as far as in to late Monday next week is possible!!!

Natural gas lost that Fib support yesterday so now I am watching lower supports. I still think there is a possibility for a pop just after Fed speak!

ON CLOSE WATCH!

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $XGTI, $GSAT, $TNXP, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $UWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY

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Member Oil Trade Update Mon Dec 19 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP)

Epic the AlgoCrude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Monday Dec 19, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP)

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report.

NOTICES:

NEW: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

NEW: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most” If you are using our algorithms it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available for multi-users – pricing and product information will be posted to website soon.

PATENT PHASE: As I mentioned I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

PRICING: My proprietary services transitioned recently from free inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators – weighted, with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional trading chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. If you need assistance email your questions to info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday Dec 19, 2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/YFftFHyG-EPIC-the-OIL-ALGO-Member-chart/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.29 3:47 AM ET Dec 19, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance you trading edge:

Crude, Oil, $USOIL, Chart
Crude algo intra work sheet 355 AM Dec 19 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo
Crude, Oil, $USOIL, Chart
Monday Dec 19, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP)

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support.

If you have any questions email info@compoundtrading.com with direct questions for direct answers. Or ask in the trade room in a private message to the lead trader.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Some of the diagonal trend-lines are marked with a green arrow on the chart above. The bottom of that triangle time price cycle also has a diagonal trend-line right there.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

Because I review various MA’s on various time frames on daily posts it is a good idea to go back and review previous posts so your bu – sell triggers are known.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers.

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/810679472588525568

20 MA on 4 Hour Buy – Sell Trigger. Crude algo intra work sheet 407 AM Dec 19 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Price is currently (434 AM) above the 20 MA – a buy signal relative to this indicator.

20 MA on 4 Hour Buy - Sell Trigger, Crude, Oil
20 MA on 4 Hour Buy – Sell Trigger. Crude algo intra work sheet 407 AM Dec 19 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Fibonacci Levels:

Fibonacci levels on crude oil chart for tight intra trading.

Fibonacci, Chart, Crude, Oil
20 MA on 4 Hour Buy – Sell Trigger. Crude algo intra work sheet 407 AM Dec 19 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines:

If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

Intra day (415 AM) crude is trading just above one and in overnight trade it hit a diagonal yellow line (on chart pink arrow – mid channel line in upward trend) and that is its current resistance.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

I wrote last:

THE CHART ABOVE SHOWS CRUDE TRADING IN A TRIANGLE (in white). If the price stays in the triangle price is 99% going to spike significantly to the upside or downside before it leaves the triangle at or near the end (usually well before the end). In this instance if price is still in triangle at 1:00 Friday (red dotted vertical line) this could very well be when price will spike or drop out of that triangle.

And that is exactly what happened – the price did get close to the vertical dotted red line representing the Friday 1:00 time for rig count and as I wrote above the price did get volatile as it left the triangle.

The next time cycle is represented on the chart above – it is the triangle price is currently trading. It is highly probable that trade will leave this time / price cycle (represented as a triangle) prior to Tuesday 4:30.

Watch these triangles for entries because price can get violent as price enters or leaves the triangle.

We will update you in the trading room or by email notice if any other significant time / price cycles occur intra day.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trendlines are on the chart above (red dotted diagonals) – there is one far below price and two above.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Price missed the alpha target on Friday at 1:00 PM – but I did warn you that it was low probability and for those in the trading room we knew intra day exactly where crude was going to trade (live video available) – we did an intra day algo line set-up because we knew crude was unlikely to hit the targets on the chart – and crude followed the lines we set up for the day exactly.

So what is your most probable algo target for Tuesday 4:30 EST? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart above. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

I am currently watching the math on two other possible algo lines developing that I will report on soon – SO THE TARGETS FOR THIS WEEK ARE NOT CONSIDERED HIGH PROBABILITY – THEY ARE SOFT TARGETS AT THIS POINT.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

We expect to publish the updated ones at latest Tuesday – we are currently running the charts.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” within a day or so, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading.
Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets

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Post Market Fri Dec 16 $UWT $USOIL $WTIC $JUNO $CBMX $EVOK

Curt MelonopolyPost Market Report (Trade Results), , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Dec 16 – $EVOK, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

NA

My Personal Trades:

Friday for me was $STUDY and watching my Oil related $UWT trade – I am 10,000 shares deep from earlier in the week (1000, 3000, 6000 entries) – so that is setting up to be a great win. I didn’t take any morning momentum trades. Other traders in the room were on winning side and have been regularly so that was good. Still hold $CBMX and $JUNO. $EVOK was the big runner but  didn’t trade it.

Primary Lessons That May Help You With Your Trades:

The $UWT (crude oil trade) I am in is completely about trusting the proven algorithm @EPICtheAlgo (which took me about 6 months to fully trust). I would be a lot further ahead has I just trusted the math process earlier. The chart below shows our buy alert.

$USOIL, Oil, Buy Alert, Chart
Buy trigger alerted to members last week (green arrow) Crude algo intra work sheet 935PM Dec 18 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

 

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos (Oil, Gold, Silver, US Dollar, VIX, SPY).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:03 am Curtis M : Good Morning! $DRYS $EVOK $ESEA $DCIX $TIG $CANF $TOPS $EGLE $SINO $JBL $HZNP $RGLS $TXMD $OCLR $ITCI $GOGL $MU $PACB

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:24 am Curtis M : $TOPS $ESEA $SHIP $GLBS $EGLE $DRYS
09:26 am Curtis M : At the bell i will look at the momos for a trade and then move to our standard plays.
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Will likely be doing some selling here in the AM expecting chop/slide after lunch
09:29 am Cal O : $EVOK looks good for oprn
09:32 am Curtis M : OPEX day
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Out half $XOM next week 92.5c’s @.5 from yesterdays .28
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Keep other half into next week for almost free ride here
09:34 am Tyler H : $MTL short
09:36 am Jack D : Long $EVOK
09:37 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $ADP $ALGN $AQXP $BRO $CDEV $FUN $ON $TRMB
09:39 am Jack D : Sold $EVOK win
09:43 am Curtis M : $USEG OFFERING
09:44 am Michael P : uck
09:44 am OILQ K : evok gonna go again HOD
09:47 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $REN $SWM
09:48 am Mathew Waterfall : Watching $AKS. Will likely roll out on a bounce or sell what I have left of next weeks 11s
09:52 am Sammy T : $DVAX bull
09:54 am Curtis M : 52wk Highs: $NDSN
09:57 am gary y : $UWT hod
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : Out other half on my $ON Jan 13 at .85 from .51. Still holding the rolled 14s. This was a larger position and wanted to pair some risk on this pop. Still believe it goes higher hense holding the 14
10:04 am Curtis M : I would look at $APVO over 3 for a scalp our a snap back
10:04 am Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT trying. Yesterday had big block at 6, if it can get over it may see some buying
10:06 am Ronny D : $DCIX!
10:11 am darni t : I took some $REN on ur alert curt
10:11 am Curtis M : nice
10:11 am Jack D : Like exxon play
10:13 am Mathew Waterfall : Me to! Easy to say after some quick profits but $XOM has been great around its supports. I think we see quick 92 shot today which will likely be my exit for the other half of my position
10:16 am Sammy T : OPEX boredom haha
10:16 am Sammy T : study time
10:16 am Curtis M : yes!
10:17 am Curtis M : Im watching important resistance on oil coming
10:19 am Curtis M : After oil I will go on to gold etc – but have to watch close here oil
10:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $AST HOD low vol but acting right
10:55 am Ronny D : I feel like were stalking lol
11:03 am Sandy S : $EOK going to run again
11:04 am Sandy S : $EVOK
11:04 am Sandy S : $XGTI news halt
11:05 am Curtis M : I think $XGTI is a TSLA contract
11:09 am Mathew Waterfall : Gonna take an early lunch aka breakfast on the west coast. Thought the quad witch would bring some more action this AM so looking for some in to the close
11:29 am OILQ K : another school session incredible lol
11:30 am phil d : what i cant figure out is how you learned all this
11:41 am OILK. K : stupd cool learning in here lately apprecate it
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Legging into $IWM next week 139c’s on this weakness. Small starter at .28. Will add if it can hold the 10 day on the daily
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Don’t want to see this under 134.92
11:57 am Rob D : Curt, is the NUGT (gold) trade gone?
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : $XOM Dec23 93c’s at .15. Looking for a bounce here, concerning weakness on oil strength
12:10 pm Curtis M : Mat your mike vol may be low – it could just be me
12:11 pm Cal O : better
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sorry about that guys. Had to crank the mic level for some reason
12:22 pm Sandy S : was looking at miners too and didnt gp long
12:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Second add on $XOM next week 93’s. Still a small position and will sit on these over the weekend. Lotto type place that will boom or bust but should get moving with oil here shortly. Might be held by by quad witch effect on overall market
12:25 pm OILK. K : just crank the volume Mat next time we can always turn down 🙂
12:28 pm Tyler H : Anybody looking at $XGTI?
12:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tried to buy puts on it earlier Tyler and it doesn’t have any options. That gap to the downside would have me nervous if going long
12:36 pm phil d : me too
12:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : $JWN post earnings dump. Looking at longer term calls. Have done well on this play in the past, plus just donated a chunk of money to them buying a suit so there’s got to be at least a few other suckers out there buying from them
12:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : Support around $50. Will add APR calls then if I take any
12:46 pm OILQ K : Love oleary call on DIS
12:46 pm Curtis M : oleary nut hahaha
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Lots of action in $WFM here. Calls into Jan. I picked up a few Jan13 34’s to see what this is all about. In at .33. Playing for a take over rumor so small size
12:55 pm Curtis M : back for rig count oil looks weak intra strong mid range tho
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dollar coming off should help here as well
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feel like the market just wants to melt away premium today so I’m unlikely to barge into any more trades. Have my eye on a few if they set up right, but doubtful as of now
01:08 pm Curtis M : A lot of $JWN bears out there
01:08 pm Curtis M : y a mellow day
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Easy to hate that stock and sector. Showing some bottoming interday but I still wouldn’t hit long quite yet
01:11 pm Curtis M : Im going to do some $STUDY but I’ll be here
01:12 pm Curtis M : Note to self: video on intra algo crossing lines day average
01:13 pm Tyler H : $DIS I agree with O leary
01:13 pm Sammy T : I watched that too – he had some good points actually.
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES and $SPY LOD here. $IWM holding up but coming off as well. Not a good sign
01:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : I am opperating under the premise that pullbacks are too be bought, and the trend is our friend until in proves otherwise. It’s hard to get bearish quite yet though some consolidation between now and the new year is certainly a possibility
01:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trades do what works until it doesn’t and that set up has been working very well for me in the last couple of weeks sense the election
01:26 pm Curtis M : Ya the train isn’t off the tracks yet technically speaking
01:29 pm OILQ K : $EVOK n trouble
01:30 pm OILK. K : $EVOK wll getting shredded OILQ
01:31 pm Curtis M : U guys are awesome pair
01:32 pm darni t : $BREW looks god on the board and n about an hour
01:32 pm Sandy S : $EVOK dying
01:32 pm Jack D : $GNBC strong like bull and 52 wk high
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Like that look in $BREW darni
01:36 pm Curtis M : I was looking at it to $BREW nice
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GNBC has been seeing a ton of chatter as well. Haven’t looked too closely but ibviously it has a lot of steam
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : $BREW NHOD. And I want a Kona brew. Thanks darni lol
01:41 pm Curtis M : Lol
01:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWM nice wedge on the 10′ chart. A break to the upside would be lovely
01:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : MACD says we can do it
01:42 pm Curtis M : Oil getting there again
01:42 pm Curtis M : Back at critical resistance
01:48 pm Curtis M : Man would it just blow thru please lol
01:58 pm Curtis M : ok now please
01:58 pm OILQ K : lolz
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Like this for confirmation $XOM 90 Calls BUYING Activity expiring on 20th Jan, Vol 11000
01:58 pm Curtis M : interesting
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might be a stock replacement purchase into end of year to hedge risk or something
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : That would replace 1,100,000 shares basically
02:00 pm Curtis M : Talking to a algo type guy respected that has a crazy bullish call on $FNMA fyi
02:01 pm Curtis M : My gut says oil goes very soon if not today soon
02:02 pm Tyler H : Maybe were just hungry:) $DIS is my focus right right now but oil looks good IMO
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DIS puts into next week IMO are the play here. I didn’t hear what Oleary said but that’s my read which I assume is basically what others are also thinking
02:04 pm Curtis M : Oleary was large on their content machine
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : O funny. Well the chart says double tops and over bought on the daily to me
02:07 pm Curtis M : ya that and other things are my challenge with it
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : They’ve also been getting slammed with the loss of ESPN subscribers. I’m not diving in to this much but the upside seems not so great here
02:10 pm Curtis M : Oil is coiling – technically bullish action
02:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Selling $WFM Jan 34.5’s against my 34’s for .29. Original purchase of 34’s was 33 so I now have a .50 spread for .4 per contract. Will buy back the 34.5’s if appropriate. I do this on trades like this that I’m not super confident in
02:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Max gain here is now .46 per contract with max loss then being .04 not .4. Sorry typo on that above
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : So that spread costs .04 and has.46 upside. Great r/r if $WFM can get going
02:25 pm Tyler H : eyes on crude 4 mins
02:26 pm Curtis M : coiling could be over soon lol
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now just give some mojo to my $XOM calls please. That would be great
02:28 pm Curtis M : 🙂
02:31 pm phil d : gotta ditch early GL! and thanks guys awesome!
02:31 pm Curtis M : thx phil
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY 60′ bombed out. Let’s see some rally here
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend Phil
02:32 pm Tyler H : b nice to see crude hold this
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Anyone play $QHC? NHOD thing looks like it wants to drift into the sky
02:36 pm OILK. K : Watching it thats all
02:36 pm Curtis M : I looked at it a couple days ago with hmm
02:36 pm Curtis M : Lots of bullish chatter
02:37 pm Curtis M : We’re letting 20 – 30 more n to this room Monday FYI and likely same week after – just wanted to get my groove
02:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Working on it’s 8th green day in a row. Not too shabby
02:37 pm Tyler H : I kinda liked it cozy 🙂
02:38 pm Curtis M : Thats what your woman is for
02:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol
02:38 pm Curtis M : We’re here to kill and hunt and pound the table lol
02:40 pm gary y : curtis are you still in $JUNO, $CBMX?
02:41 pm Curtis M : hey gary yes
02:41 pm Curtis M : sorry i was daydreaming about the beach
02:42 pm Curtis M : I like $CBMX a lot mid term and $JUNO long term
02:42 pm Curtis M : My swing account has a lot of tolerence FYI – so careful with my swing plays
02:42 pm Curtis M : u in?
02:43 pm gary y : yeah but small
02:43 pm Curtis M : $CBMX is impresive
02:43 pm Curtis M : $JUNO is a big money magnet
02:44 pm Curtis M : but caution on both
02:44 pm Curtis M : I have an extremely aggressive trader bias to bullish side of market 2nd quarter next year and fwd
02:44 pm Curtis M : Q1 could be rocky
02:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : $JUNO’s daily today looks nice
02:45 pm gary y : nice yesterday too
02:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think we see all of the pent up selling released in Jan after people wait until we are into 17 and trumps new taxes
02:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Jan 2016 round 2 is my thesis
02:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Another reason I am keeping things smaller and tighter
02:46 pm Curtis M : TRUMP is going to change reality – we called every single step right from July dead on – I hate to nbe the bragger but people on average didn’t see what was coming and there is going to be a huge boom in economy by mid next year globally IMO
02:47 pm Curtis M : Trump and Putin and I believe YES China are going to get together and clean house – do some global sweeping
02:48 pm Curtis M : lol yes China
02:48 pm Curtis M : With Trump its all business – the deal
02:48 pm Curtis M : Ok I’ll stop but watch its coming
02:49 pm Curtis M : OIL!!!
02:49 pm Curtis M : Looking jiggy
02:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like your version of reality. I also like that the use of jiggy is catching on. We’re bringing it back!
02:49 pm Curtis M : lol
02:50 pm Curtis M : Ok last comment – Trump will run the world like a business – like a public company. That’s his plan. Ok done.
02:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : What I’m watching in $IWM http://tos.mx/ZiNawW
02:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looking for MACD cross over and 10/20 cross.
02:51 pm Curtis M : Nice – did Sartaj set you up to be able to screen share in here too? Or no?
02:51 pm Curtis M : That would be cool if not
02:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea I can, didn’t want to take over the screen with the oil watch going on
02:52 pm Curtis M : Take it over any time – we’ll let you know
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : OK cool
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : If I have anything exciting I will lol
02:53 pm Sandy S : ya mat take over! i think curt wants to go to the beach – i read his biography on website today haha
02:53 pm Curtis M : 🙂
02:53 pm Curtis M : awesome action in oil
02:54 pm Curtis M : that intra day algo line I set up has been support and resistance all day
02:54 pm Curtis M : Thats a machine line not a traditional charting line
02:55 pm Curtis M : I set that up before the day got there – traditional charting cant do that
02:55 pm Curtis M : just though Id claridy
02:55 pm Curtis M : clarify
02:56 pm Curtis M : in fact I think I’ll take a quick screen shot
02:56 pm Curtis M : Ill do it on other monitor
02:57 pm OILK. K : Very excited to learn your toolkit Curt and Mats
02:57 pm OILK. K : Good combo
02:58 pm Curtis M : Algorithmic modeling is just using traditional charting in a different way – wth pure math
03:01 pm Curtis M : oh my USDJPY they’re back
03:01 pm Curtis M : USD/JPY that my friends is the Trump effect pure Trump they’re panicked
03:02 pm Curtis M : If USD/JPY gets gong agan and Gold loses its recent lows the basement it will fall in to is so extreme from a math perspective wow
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Relentless with that thing. I have an interesting thesis on that and why we are leting it happen with regards to them being our largest dedt holder
03:03 pm Curtis M : for sure i already get it
03:03 pm Ronny D : You Guys are right
03:03 pm Ronny D : Its obvious
03:04 pm Ronny D : Media just doesn’t want to admit how wrong they were and this is an example
03:04 pm Ronny D : I’m long UWT too btw thanks Curtis for that!
03:06 pm Sandy S : I read through every call you guys have made just to be sure and every one has completed positive . Thought you guys might want to know that because I see the social things. They were not popular calls :):):)
03:06 pm Curtis M : Wow good group in here… hope we all bank hard next week.
03:07 pm Curtis M : Thats the market different views keeps it fun
03:09 pm phil d : $VALE has big blocks at play
03:09 pm phil d : I stayed
03:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Next week should be fun
03:09 pm Curtis M : agree
03:14 pm Curtis M : $TXMD blocks too
03:22 pm Curtis M : well thats it for mee guys and gals! room open until 4:( have a great weekend and thanks for the kind words! best
03:23 pm Paul M : 🙂 cya
03:23 pm gary y : thanks curtis and mathew
03:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend Curt.I’m also done trading for the day but will still be hanging out until 4 or so
03:23 pm Sammy T : Great week Curt thanks
03:24 pm Curtis M : u bet guys bye bye – bank hard next week
03:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Alright shutting it down for the week. Sitting on the $XOM and the small position in $IWM through the weekend. Looking for a bounce early in the week next week as the market is now working off some of the overbought signals and consolidating a bit. Everyone loves a Christmas rally
03:39 pm phil d : bye mat!
03:39 pm Tyler H : later
03:40 pm darni t : Thanks Mathew

You can follow along with public calls our algorithms post on Twitter here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $EVOK, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT,  $GLD $GDX $USOIL $WTIC $SPY $DXY $VIX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $GC_F $USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP $SPY S&P 500

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