Tag: Algorithm
Oil Algorithm Trading Report (EPIC) Sun Aug 12 FX: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm Chart Report (EPIC) Sunday Aug 12, 2018.
FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are near 300 in total in development at various stages for all markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting model are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for profit.
Visit my Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent oil algorithm blog posts, our You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website (it explains how the oil algorithm was developed). Reviewing those important points of reference will increase your probability of success considerably. This report includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – Users of this algorithmic oil charting model may opt for private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader and / or an experienced trader that has worked under our lead trader. On our website standard one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a customized package (reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning). To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm;
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech).
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is planned to go to developer coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil.
Below you will find simplified levels represented on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work (and associated trade) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader in the private Discord oil trade room server.
Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algorithm. The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published Aug 12, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Current trade. Aug 12 909 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Aug 12, 2018
New: The new trade signals are the machine trading lower / tighter day-trading time frames (overlay charting versions we are beginning to share).
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.92 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 65.32 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades). Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
The lower trading range is 61.71 to 65.31. The upper trading range 68.93 to 72.54.
Trading Bias / Forward Guidance: As with previous report, range bound. Slightly bearish to range support at 65.32 for the week.
Current (as of Aug 12, 2018) MACD is down on the daily oil chart.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound in recent downtrend.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is short – based on wide range resistance at top of quad.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54 and 72.54 to 76.15. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Up trend channel chart. Aug 12 920 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Down trend channel chart. Aug 12 922 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Machine Trading Algorithm Charting Overlay.
Below is the first of many time-frames we will be sharing with our members that our algorithm software coding team is using to develop our intelligent assisted oil trader platform.
Please note: It is not advisable to trade these chart overlays until you have had some experience with them. How to trade the machine trading day trade chart videos will be forthcoming. The shorter time fram overlays on the chart below also cause the chart to be considerably more “noisy” so please use caution.
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Machine trading daytrade time-frame. Aug 12 929 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #MachineTrading
Oil Swing Trade Charting.
Monthly Oil Chart:
Oil Monthly Chart. Price above 200 MA below pivot MACD trend up, Stoch RSI down. Aug 12 936 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Monthly Chart. Price above 200 MA at pivot under 100 MA MACD trending up. Aug 7 523 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Weekly Oil Chart:
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Highlighted trend structure seems bearish on this weekly chart. Aug 12 942 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil Continues bullish structure on weekly chart. Aug 7 536 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
May 21 – A feature post was published this week to review time cycles, retrace possibilities on the other side of time cycles on the weekly charts. Below is the post link:
Feature Post: 12 of Last 13 Oil Chart Time-Cycles Have Trend Reversal. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UCO $UWT $DWT #OIL #OOTT
Daily Oil Chart:
Oil Daily Chart. MACD cross up failed, trade under 50 MA. Bearish trend continues. Aug 12 947 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Monthly Chart. Oil has a bounce at 50 MA with MACD pinch possible cross up . Aug 7 551 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (samples):
The most recent trades are found in this recent report:
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed. Win rate high 90% – ask for a tour. Time stamped, recorded, live alerts.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1026287786113081344
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed.
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (Part 2).
Machine trading 🙂
Machine trading 🙂 $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #Algorithmic #trading #alerts pic.twitter.com/Hja5Tbgmob
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 3, 2018
A scalp to start the day. Multi-month winning streak continues. Ask for a tour of the feed if you need proof.
A scalp to start the day. Multi-month winning streak continues. Ask for a tour of the feed if you need proof. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #CL $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #Oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/JTHCMp58Cv
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 27, 2018
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back).
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back). EPIC the Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT #OIl #OOTT #Trading @EPICtheAlgo pic.twitter.com/pKL1iKE5T1
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 25, 2018
Live oil trade alert. Long 69.06 US OIL WTI 1 5th sizing EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Trim 50 percent 69.30. EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Long 68.93 add 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent.
Overnight oil trade: short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s-72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues (for months). Guidance detail in oil trading room (to expect heat). Live alerts, time stamped, recorded.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1015202909041102849
Overnight oil trade short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues
Member guidance in oil chat room this morning “i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work – the larger more obvious i’ll alert against downtrend upper channel orange dotted etc”
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1014943645974323204
Member guidance this morning i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work
Scalp day. 100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1014938308961595393
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded.
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example ‘70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop”.
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see”.
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Machines defending the retrace intra day”.
Trims / close longs 71.39 to 71.71 oil trade alert.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1011981290051129346
Long 71.21 oil trade alert with the one add.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1011980052198719488
Today’s #EIA oil trade with Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Live alert entries (green) exits (red).
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1011977209442177026
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow.
Screen shot of alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance.
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Final crude oil trade alert to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
Winning streak continues. 100% live oil trade alert win rate for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1010004212950843392
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
Boom “3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
Boom "3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1148 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT " pic.twitter.com/WAl4N9n2yH
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) June 20, 2018
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up.
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot.
Close up of intra day trading battle.
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did.
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level.
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key).
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTThttps://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1024665109338222592
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report.
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit, as published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1024447086102827011
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
EPIC the Oil Algo
Subscribe to my Service here:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Temporary Discount Offers (New members only):
30% Off Oil Newsletter: Use Promo Coupon Code “epic30” When Subscribing to our Weekly Oil Newsletter Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-epic-newsletter/ (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
30% Off Oil Alerts: Use Promo Coupon Code “oilalerts30” for Real-Time Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed @OilAlerts_CT Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/live-oil-trading-alerts/?attribute_plan=One+Month (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Trading, Alerts, Crude, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, Chart
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Last week I was involved in a friendly oil trading challenge. The live alert trading challenge was between myself and our coding team (the team coding our oil algorithm charting models to a machine trading software platform).
The results are mind-boggling – learn to trade oil with the one or two set-ups explained below and you will realize returns so significant that you will likely never turn back.
This (and the follow-up) are the most significant trade reviews and analysis we have done since our inception. Take the time you need to study this report if you want to be profitable trading crude oil.
In this challenge we both used exactly the same charting – conventional crude oil charts and algorithm oil charts (courtesy of EPIC Oil Algorithm).
The coding team realized oil trading profit was hundreds of percent greater than mine. We both won – but they won big.
The coding team won big – with less time invested, less stress and they used a simple, absolute, rigid rules based oil trading system.
How they did it is explained in detail below.
This report could easily have been titled, “How to Trade Crude Oil in Today’s Market – With Intelligent Assisted Technology (EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm).” However, it was a friendly competition between myself (lead trader) and our coding team, hence the title I used.
As you will see below, the results are absolutely astounding.
Allow me to explain who this article is suitable for, what data is reviewed in this report, the charting used and what trading rules were used.
This report is suitable for the following reader(s);
- If you want to learn to trade crude oil,
- If you already trade oil, are struggling to be profitable, and in need of a proper rules based trading process to be sure you win,
- If you are a pro oil trader exploring other profitable oil trading systems that may assist your ROI / ROE objectives,
- If you are researching what the future of the best oil trading systems will look like,
- And of course this report is a great study guide for current EPIC the Oil Algorithm clients.
Below I review in detail the following (with real chart examples, copies of our trading alerts and more);
- The surprising final results of our oil trading challenge between man and machine algorithm (both using the same information),
- The rules based trading process used,
- My personal learning experience after last week’s trading challenge.
How Trades Were Executed and the Information Used by The Traders (charts, algorithms).
As I explained above, this was a competition between our algorithm coding technicians trading crude oil with EPIC the Oil Algorithm chart models (algorithmic oil charting) vs. myself (lead trader at Compound Trading Group) using the exact same algorithmic charting and conventional charts. We both had access to the identical charting – algorithmic oil charting and conventional charting on various time frames.
In fact, the coding team executed their trades manually (as did I, of course). They were not executing their trades automatically (machine trading).
The massive difference in the trading results (the profit achieved) after the week of trading is directly a result of
- How the charts were used (interpretation),
- What charts were used and why (which charts were given more or less weight in decisions), and
- How trades were executed within the charting time-frames and structure.
In other words, we both had exactly the same information at our disposal, we both executed our trades manually, but we executed our trades on a slightly different rule-set within the same structured rules based trading system.
I was executing trades manually and intuitively (as a pro trader- in my mind) using EPIC the Oil Algorithm Charting Models (even on different time frames) and I also used conventional crude oil charting.
The coding team used the exact same oil charts, but the difference was that they executed their crude oil trades under a very strict system – using only the rules as prescribed by and under the reporting that is distributed to our clients in the weekly EPIC Oil Algorithm newsletter reports (the reports for those unaware include a rules based system along with various charting for the week).
The system of trading oil the coding team implemented was rigid to the rules of our algorithm model and my system was more pro trader intuitive – I flexed the rules as I felt I needed to. That was the simple and only difference.
Learning to trade crude oil successfully is not an easy task because conventional charting rules do not apply in many instances. Crude oil trading can be very volatile and as a result oil trading can be very profitable if you are on the winning side in most trades. If you loose as an oil trader it can be very punishing.
To trade oil successfully you need to know the structure of oil trade – the rules book and the playing field. Understanding the structure of oil trading charts, how to execute trades properly within that structure and when to cut losses and trim gains is critical to your return on investment (ROI) or return on equity (ROE).
Specifically how the coding team beat me so bad last week.
Lets review real life examples of the price of crude oil over the last week, how we each traded it, the conventional charting we used, the intelligent assisted algorithm charting we used, the trade alerts sent out, when and how each of us executed crude oil trades for excellent winning side returns, but with significantly different results.
The week prior to this challenge something interesting happened, our coding team foreman was allowed to start alerting oil trade alerts to our Twitter alert feed and wouldn’t you know it, in his first two alerts he lost big (I think he had a few small wins also). I on the other hand have been on the winning side of my trade alerts for months now. Of course our members enjoy that predictability… but there is a much bigger story here.
When our coding foreman lost, he was on the losing side of his first two alerts of his career because he didn’t follow one simple rule:
He did not close the trade when it went against him and as a result he lost big.
He alerted the trade entry properly, but when the trade of oil went against him he didn’t alert to close the losing trade.
This caused significant stress, challenged our team and much discussion ensued. We rolled around our work, the charting, the algorithm models, machine trading software scenarios, alerts, trading rules and more – over and over and over.
On my side of the story, I am alerting winning oil trades for months now with-out fail, but my trades are quick and only on the winning side of 10 cents to approximately 40 cents… about 20 cents on average. Now in oil futures a 20 cent or 30 cent win consistently is a fantastic living and in my thinking that’s great because I near always win and if you near always win that’s just fine…
but it doesn’t nearly take advantage of the power of the trading algorithm model charting I have at my disposal.
So before our challenge last week we both had a problem, I was leaving the majority of the obvious profit on the table even though my trade alerts were winners every time and he was not following the rule of closing a losing trade side alert that goes against you, and closing it fast.
We were both breaking the rules and we both would have much higher ROE if we adjusted some very simple things… our coding foreman adjusted perfectly – me, not so perfect – but this week is a new week so watch out!
Anyway, so we agreed to a challenge, he would not alert to the client oil alert feed for now and he would show me that he could trade explicitly to the rules as set out in the EPIC Oil Algorithm reports. And I would also do the same, but alert my trades and with a caveat that I could use my pro trader bias to over-rule the algorithm charting rules at will (my error).
A detailed account of our recent oil trades / alerts;
New traders should know that EPIC the Oil Algorithm chart models are charted on FX $USOIL $WTI but can be used to trade oil futures contracts $CL_F or leveraged oil derivative market products such as $USO, $UCO, $UWT, $DWT, $UWTI, $DWTI and more. I typically use CL contracts and will daytrade at times $UWT or $DWT if I am confident that I won’t be holding over-night.
Okay, first lets look at my trades / alerts (this is almost embarrassing to review – humility engaged).
In the examples below and the follow up report you will see actual screen shots of the live twitter oil trade alert feed (time stamped, real-time), screen shots of the private oil chat room and screen shots of EPIC the Oil Algorithm charting we were using (with notes).
Also it is important that the profit / loss represented are approximate as our team is trading various environments (read our disclosure) – we are testing and trading many platform scenarios, instruments (oil contracts, market derivatives, etc), with various traders, various accounts (real world and/or model platforms for testing purposes) in the team (as our work is toward achieving a machine trading environment and intelligent assisted trader platform – read about our mandates on our website) that it would take days to explain. Additionally, there are trades executed for win or loss that are never alerted to our members.
So for the purpose of this exercise I keep the analysis below simple and to what applies specifically to this exercise ensuring that we cover what the public (our member clients) would have had opportunity to act on in their own trading environment (actionable trading alerts) and if one did in fact act on the alerts what the expected returns may be vs. trading what the rules-based trading system of EPIC the Oil Algorithm reports prescribe to our members in the weekly reporting they receive from Compound Trading Group.
There will be a member only follow-up to this report published within 7 days that will show the 1 minute conventional charting used with exact entry and exit areas detailed on the charting with the thought process by the trader in each trade and this report will also include the machine trading charting that influenced our trade.
Oil Trade Alert # 1
The first trade that was marked as a tech trade was, but it was alerted internally by me and authorized to the tech to alert. So for the purpose of our competition it was my trade by origin (we’ve decided this in team discussion). So I’ll take it as I need all the help I can get here.
The first trade was 24 cent win at 2 oil contracts (avg) so it was a gain of about 510.00.
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (the initial alert).
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (the closing alert on #1 for the week).
Oil Trade Alert # 2
The second trade of the week was a timing cycle issue, price didn’t react soon enough so I closed the trade for a small profit.
A 5 cent win with two contracts for 100.00 win (approx).
Long 69.19 lead trader test size.
Closed 69.24 not holding in to time cycle when it is this soft.
Oil Trade Alert #3
The third trade alert has a type o that was obvious, but more important than that is that this is where the difference in the fine details put the coding team way ahead of me. At this point the trading was so intense that I had to generalize the tweet alerts, but you will get the point with what was alerted. There is more explanation below that clarifies the calculations here;
66.49 to 55.57 with contract sizing average of 3 contracts on about 3 times = 800.00 profit approx.
Long test 66.49 lead trader will cut fast as needed and trade chop.
This was obviously 66.57 and there were various type o’s, it should have read something like this…
Chipping out some 55.57 and waiting for next leg to go again.
At this point I alerted the member private Twitter feed that we would for the time alert in the live trading room (where I can speak on live mic broadcast to our oil traders) – this is specifically in a Click Meeting conference room (it is our main trading room that our EPIC Oil Algorithm bundle members can access as they like). We also have a private oil chat room in Discord and a public side on Discord.
At this point there were a number of trades, I will only include screen shots in this report specifically of what was alerted to only the Twitter feed (there isn’t time to get the audio from live trading room right now for the various occasions I was in that room last week – that will all be in a reconciled report from Jen in our offices). It won’t make a difference to the main point of this report – I was beat by the coding team so badly it doesn’t matter.
The real point of this exercise (this report) is to help oil traders with a rules based system to win and win with the highest return.
We’re trading possible turn in live oil trading room isn’t time to alert on feed.
Oil Trade Alert #4
The fourth oil trade of the week was a win. Short from 67.17 and cover at 66.80 for a 37 cent win at 3 contracts.
Win side 1100.00 approx.
Short test lead trader.
Short oil trade alert at 67.17.
Covered 66.80 lead trader – nice quick win on that alert.
Oil Trade Alert #5.
Oil trade number five was a decent trade from 67.13 (average) to 67.29 with trims starting at 67.27.
8 contracts at approx 14 cent profit = 1200.00 gain (approx).
Long lead trader break out test 67.09 – 67.18 4/10 sizing.
Trimming long positions 67.27.
Oil Trade Alert #6
There we many trades here and the range was .30 cents to the win side on the original alert. For simplicity it was 5 trades at an average size of 2 contracts at an average win of .10 cents.
Oil trade number six approx. profit = 1200.00
Long oil trade again here.
Trimming long oil positions here.
Too busy to alert all legs in and trims but we got a nice break up there 67.20s to 67.50s.
Summary of Lead Trader Alerted Trades to Live Twitter Feed P/L
So specific to only what was alerted as trade alerts on the live feed and the contract sizing for those trade alerts the total gains for the week = approximately 4900.00 for this account scenario.
Now lets look at what our coding team foreman was able to do with the exact same charting information (that I and our members can use).
In his instance he traded specifically to the rule-based system as prescribed to our members in the weekly EPIC Oil Algorithm reporting.
There were many trades in each leg. He started trades at 2/10 sizing then as the trade progressed he trimmed 1/10 size at resistance and if it failed would exit the other 1/10 at about have the trade range. As trade got above the key resistance he would add above key resistance 1 size and continue. And if the trade went against him right away he would cut fast. So he had a number of losses, but his losses were small and the wins far outweighed the gains.
The week started with an uptrend so he traded the key range support and resistance as prescribed in EPIC the Algorithm reports (gray horizontal line you see on chart below). As trade failed or at key resistance he would trim as noted above.
The key to his trading process was using the key range support and resistance as the launch area for longs, the short area for shorting oil and if the trade went against him he closed the trade for a loss.
The EPIC Algorithm Chart he was using (the gray horizontal line is the main support and resistance pivot prescribed to members and the other indications on the charting). How to trade crude oil applying the rules based process in this report can be reviewed in detail on our web site blog under EPIC Oil Algorithm and scroll down to unlocked historical charting – the more recent reports are locked to the general public. The EPIC reports explain specifically the rules based process in point form.
The first chart is the initial trading range for the week that our tech was using. The day and time is noted at the bottom of the chart. You can see how is bias for trade direction was specific to the main pivot area as provided on the algorithm charting.
Charting used by technician (EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm Charting). Bias for trades is noted with green and red arrows.
You can see in the charting below that each time trade breached the main pivot on the charting model that his trading was to the long side bias until trade hit a significant resistance in the model (at which point he trimmed).
The first two on the chart are green arrow long side trades were off the main pivot and trimmed at the quad wall resistance area.
The the third is a red arrow on the chart as a short side trade bias because trade was already at the marked target price for the Tuesday 430 algorithmic target. In other words, there was a low probability of further upside gain prior to Tuesday at 430 so his short term bias was short.
Then the fourth arrow (green) and fifth (red) were a rinse and repeat of the bias explained above.
The sixth arrow (or trading bias area) was long in to the Wednesday 10:30 AM EPIC Oil Algorithm price target (for the up channel scenario) but trade turned and when it turned and lost the main pivot (gray) and the trading quadrant (orange dotted) he turned short bias in a significant way. There were many failures to the long side in the algorithmic model at this time in the trading week.
The short side bias was solidified with the expiry of the main time cycle in trade (purple arrows that separate the up channel scenario or lower channel scenario in the oil algorithm weekly reports).
The next time frame of the week (second) charting used by technician in his trading system with noted areas of trading bias with red and green arrows.
As trade moved to either side of the main pivot his bias is represented (per the process prescibed in the EPIC Oil Algorithm weekly reports) and then in to the bottom of a trading quadrant (he used the rules for trading quadrants) after oil selling off to extreme levels on the week.
As oil sold off the tech simply trimmed at support areas on the algorithm charting and added to short side bias as trade lost each support.
On the way down oil trade hit the Wednesday 10:30 AM EIA price target as published in the previous weekend EPIC report for the lower channel scenario.
The final chart time cycle used by technician in his trading system for week.
The last time frame was text book how to trade crude oil class. For this the tech moved to the prescribed trading process rules in the trading quadrant (the orange dotted lines that form a diamond). He simply took long side positions at the support of the quadrant and trimmed at the main resistance areas. Trade got in to the Friday 1:00 PM target but did not perfectly hit the center.
Trade ended the week at the top of the trading quadrant – near the quadrant basket where he assumed with trade direction and historical algorithmic chart from EPIC that trade was most likely to complete the week.
It’s obvious the technician using the rules based system prescribed to our members had significantly higher returns last week than I did. Our members will be receiving the full report.
As explained above;
There will be a member only follow-up to this report published soon that will show / explain the 1 minute conventional charting used with exact entry and exit areas detailed on the charting with the thought process by each trader in each trade and this report will also include the machine trading charting that influenced each trade.
The follow-up report will provide our members and our team staff opportunity to learn in great detail how to time the entries and exits of the trades. It will hopefully bring members in to the mind of each trader. This is a member only report because proprietary machine coding charting and various other proprietary information will be shared.
Also, please note that over the coming weeks in to the fall season that our techs will be alerting more and more to the live alert feed under and will be doing such exclusively under the rules based system as prescribed in the EPIC Oil Algorithm weekly reports to members.
Some Important Final Thoughts.
It is easy to look back and criticize your trades – especially when the trade direction is so obviously apparent on an algorithmic charting model such as EPIC’s as in this report.
I personally won’t be hard on myself (as you should not also) because it is impossible to be a machine and if I am on the winning side more than losing and my accounts are consistently green that is what matters most.
However, in my continuing quest to learn how to trade crude oil to my best ability I will be adjusting my oil trading style this week to more reflect the prescribed rules based system as prescribed in the EPIC Oil Algorithm weekly reporting. It obviously works and the science proves that – so I need to adjust to continue to get better as an oil trader and coach that teaches others how to trade oil.
I look forward to the follow-up report that Jen is writing now for our members that will provide in detail how last week trades were decided. She just finished interviewing me about each of my trades and is interviewing our tech team later today for the report.
Best with your trading and if there is anything you need from me reach out anytime on any of my personal social feeds or by email [email protected].
Thanks
Curtis (Lead Trader at Compound Trading Group).
To Learn More About Trading Oil:
Learning to Trade Links on our Site and/or YouTube.
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
No Crystal Ball? Watch this… EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Oil Trading Room – How to Use EPIC the Oil Algorithm June 21, 2017 (video).
Oil Trading Room – How to Use Oil Algorithm Chart & Recent Trades June 29, 2017 (video).
Here we unlock historical member reports at intervals after time cycles have expired for traders that are learning to trade oil. When you clock on link scroll down at landing page on blog section you will be transferred to so that you can get to reports that are unlocked over time: https://compoundtrading.com/category/epic-the-oil-algo-chart-report/
Off-site Learning Site Links:
Learn how to trade crude oil in 5 steps https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/100515/learn-how-trade-crude-oil-5-steps.asp
How to Trade Oil on Stock Exchange https://finance.zacks.com/trade-oil-stock-exchange-4532.html
How to trade oil. Learn everything you need to know about speculating on oil and gas markets. We explain how oil trading works, with a step-by-step guide to trading oil. https://www.ig.com/au/commodities/oil/how-to-trade-oil
Subscribe Here:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Temporary Discount Offers (New members only – ending Aug 14, 2018):
30% Off Oil Newsletter: Use Promo Coupon Code “epic30” When Subscribing to our Weekly Oil Newsletter Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-epic-newsletter/ (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
30% Off Oil Alerts: Use Promo Coupon Code “oilalerts30” for Real-Time Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed @OilAlerts_CT Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/live-oil-trading-alerts/?attribute_plan=One+Month (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Follow:
SP500 Algorithm (SPY). Thurs Aug 9 Report. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS #SPY #Algorithm
S&P 500 SPY Trading Algorithm Update Thursday August 9, 2018.
$SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Chart Observations
My name is Freedom the SPY Algo ($SPY). Welcome to my S&P 500 trade report for Compound Trading Group.
Below you will find algorithmic model charting based on Fibonacci extensions, timing and various other principles. This is a very early stage development model (generation 2 – 5 modeling rolls out in 2018 and as a result the reporting frequency increase significantly – our more advanced algorithm chart models are 4th and 5th generation, such as EPIC the Oil Algo that is graduating to #IA coding).
Notices:
NA
How to use this charting model:
This S&P 500 (SPY) algorithm report includes a 1 minute model and a 60 minute model with buy sell triggers and reports in near future will include other time-frames for different styles / time-frames of trade.
The simplest way to use the charting is to consider all lines support and resistance decisions with the horizontal grey lines (marked with grey arrows) to be significant trading ranges in the model. The thicker the line the more important. And please consider that all support and resistance lines are approximate as this is a working chart model (a work-sheet). Horizontal and diagonal dotted lines are consider support and resistance.
This chart model is best weighed against conventional charting and used in conjunction with a conventional chart.
If you have questions about the best use of the chart model or private coaching options email our developers anytime at [email protected].
SP500 Algorithm (SPY). 1 Min Chart (Intra-Day Trading) $SPY.
Current Buy / Sell Triggers for $SPY SP500:
292.29
290.70
289.15
287.58
286.00
284.45
282.88
281.30
279.74
278.17
276.61
275.02
273.46
271.89
270.33
268.75
267.20
265.62
264.04
262.47
260.92
When you open the live chart below in “viewer” mode you can then click on the share button at bottom right and then click on “make it mine” to open real-time chart. Double click the body of the chart to remove or institute indicators at bottom of chart (MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM).
SP500 Algorithm (SPY). 1 Min chart. Current trade. Buy sell triggers, fibs, quads, MA’s. Aug 9 1046 PM. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #Algorithm #SPY
SP500 Algorithm (SPY). 1 Min chart. Current trade. Buy sell triggers, fibs, quads, MA’s. July 26 137 AM. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #Algorithm #SPY
SP500 Algorithm (SPY). 60 Minute Chart (Swing Trading) $SPY:
SP500 Algorithm (SPY). 60 Min chart. Current trade above mid quad support. Aug 9 1100 PM $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #Algorithm #SPY
SP500 Algorithm (SPY). 60 Min Gen 1. Current trade above pivot. Buy sell triggers, fibs, quads, MA’s. July 26 148 AM. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #Algorithm #SPY
SP500 (SPY) Conventional Charting Considerations $SPY:
SP500 (SPY) Chart continues trend with MACD flat on high side about to test previous highs. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS
July 26, 2018 – Structure from previous still intact.
SP500 (SPY) Chart – MACD still turned down, messy structure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #Chart
SPY chart with bearish (or at best indecisive) overtones in its structure.
Recent Real-Time Alerts, Trading, Model Price Target hits etc.
Aug 9 – Alert and price target examples will be updated soon.
Per recent;
9:56 AM – 19 Apr 2018 $SPY Divergent trade returning to target area it tried to pass in the fast lane. See previous recent posts.
$SPY Divergent trade returning to target area it tried to pass in the fast lane. See previous recent posts. pic.twitter.com/3vo4sgNXKH
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 19, 2018
5:18 AM – 18 Apr 2018 That 273.20 mark that comes due in a time cycle peak for $SPY at around 2:00 EST today…. that’s the start of a double extension getting really stretched on the models – corresponds with everything that moved. There ain’t much room available above that short term. Rest on deck.
That 273.20 mark that comes due in a time cycle peak for $SPY at around 2:00 EST today…. that's the start of a double extension getting really stretched on the models – corresponds with everything that moved. There ain't much room available above that short term. Rest on deck. pic.twitter.com/wKfBQ9njDc
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 18, 2018
4:48 AM – 18 Apr 2018 $SPY long side trade cleared mid quad and quad wall. Closed 270.19, next res trims 270.22, 270.45, 271.99, 273.25
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/986526884790927360
3:37 PM – 13 Apr 2018 The resistance dump after the alert and the 50 MA support may become your buy area Mon morning. $SPY #swingtrading https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/H375XWXb-The-resistance-dump-after-the-alert-and-the-50-MA-support-may-be/ …
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/984878380284858369
11:05 AM – 13 Apr 2018 $SPY trim quad resistance alert worked well.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/984809783768346624
9:31 AM – 13 Apr 2018 $SPY upside resistance trim alert to long side as it approaches 268.00 mid quad res
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/984786277189988352
$SPY at upside resistance pivot and structured trade worked out. Trim longs add above.
$SPY building structure near the buy trigger and channel bottom we expected. It’s long while it holds area. Trading 261.23 intra day.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/981571557771350018
$SPY Time cycle peak on this simple model is now. If its going to follow channel up it will be soon that it starts. If not, it could be another channel down yet.
https://twitter.com/DayAlerts_CT/status/978990333278253056/photo/1pic.twitter.com/50zcoPctuv
Best with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Freedom the $SPY Algo
Article Topics: SP500, Algorithm, SPY, $SPY, Chart, Model, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS
Oil Algorithm Trading Report (EPIC) Tues Aug 7 FX: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm Chart Report (EPIC) Tuesday Aug 7, 2018.
FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are near 300 in total in development at various stages for all markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting model are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for profit.
Visit my Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent oil algorithm blog posts, our You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website (it explains how the oil algorithm was developed). Reviewing those important points of reference will increase your probability of success considerably. This report includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – Users of this algorithmic oil charting model may opt for private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader and / or an experienced trader that has worked under our lead trader. On our website standard one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a customized package (reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning). To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
A recent article from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm, “The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is planned to go to developer coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil.
Below you will find simplified levels represented on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work (and associated trade) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader in the private Discord oil trade room server.
Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algorithm. The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published Aug 7, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Current trade. Aug 7 430 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Aug 7, 2018
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 72.54 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades). Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
The lower trading range is 65.32 to 68.92. The upper trading range 72.54 to 76.15.
Trading Bias / Forward Guidance: As with previous report, range bound. Slightly bullish based on MACD pinch and cross up possible on daily, but very slight.
Current (as of Aug 7, 2018) MACD is starting to pinch up on the daily oil chart.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound with moderate uptrend.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is long based on wide range support.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54 and 72.54 to 76.15. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Up trend channel chart. Aug 7 435 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Down trend channel chart. Aug 7 436 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Swing Trade Charting.
Monthly Oil Chart:
Oil Monthly Chart. Price above 200 MA at pivot under 200 MA MACD trending up. Aug 7 523 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
Oil Chart (Monthly). Trade still working range between 100 MA and 200 MA. July 30 334 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/1A0isCoe-Oil-Chart-Monthly-Trade-still-working-range-between-100-MA-an/
Weekly Oil Chart:
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil Continues bullish structure on weekly chart. Aug 7 536 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil still in bullish structure on the weekly chart. July 30 346 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil still in bullish structure on the weekly chart. July 23 1224 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
May 21 – A feature post was published this week to review time cycles, retrace possibilities on the other side of time cycles on the weekly charts. Below is the post link:
Feature Post: 12 of Last 13 Oil Chart Time-Cycles Have Trend Reversal. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UCO $UWT $DWT #OIL #OOTT
Daily Oil Chart:
Oil Monthly Chart. Oil has a bounce at 50 MA with MACD pinch possible cross up . Aug 7 551 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #chart
MACD trend down on daily oil chart with price above 100 MA under 20 and 50. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
July 30 – No significant change to chart below.
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. July 2 212 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (samples):
Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed. Win rate high 90% – ask for a tour. Time stamped, recorded, live alerts.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1026287786113081344
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed.
Oil trade alert to start the week 68.61 long, 68.85 closed (Part 2).
Machine trading 🙂
Machine trading 🙂 $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #Algorithmic #trading #alerts pic.twitter.com/Hja5Tbgmob
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) August 3, 2018
A scalp to start the day. Multi-month winning streak continues. Ask for a tour of the feed if you need proof.
A scalp to start the day. Multi-month winning streak continues. Ask for a tour of the feed if you need proof. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #CL $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #Oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/JTHCMp58Cv
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 27, 2018
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back).
100% personal alerted oil trade win rate documented, recorded, alerted real time to feed continues for months (we did have one loss alert by a tech a few weeks back). EPIC the Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT #OIl #OOTT #Trading @EPICtheAlgo pic.twitter.com/pKL1iKE5T1
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 25, 2018
Live oil trade alert. Long 69.06 US OIL WTI 1 5th sizing EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Trim 50 percent 69.30. EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Long 68.93 add 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent.
Overnight oil trade: short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s-72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues (for months). Guidance detail in oil trading room (to expect heat). Live alerts, time stamped, recorded.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1015202909041102849
Overnight oil trade short 72.79 add 72.71 cover 72.27s to 72.35s. Not cleanest trade but HUGE win. 100% win rate continues
Member guidance in oil chat room this morning “i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work – the larger more obvious i’ll alert against downtrend upper channel orange dotted etc”
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1014943645974323204
Member guidance this morning i’ll be selling spikes in to resistance until it doesn’t work
Scalp day. 100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1014938308961595393
100 percent win rate for months continues. Time stamped, live alerted, recorded.
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example ‘70.02 would be the swing retrace. So the thesis is sound but you may have pain before potential drop”.
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Target is in 70.70 area so I will likely give this lots of room swing if I have to. We’ll see”.
Oil trading chat room member guidance and intra day daytrading charting example “Machines defending the retrace intra day”.
Trims / close longs 71.39 to 71.71 oil trade alert.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1011981290051129346
Long 71.21 oil trade alert with the one add.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1011980052198719488
Today’s #EIA oil trade with Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Live alert entries (green) exits (red).
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1011977209442177026
Screen shot member oil chat room first oil trade alert of day – Long 71.21 hoping we squeeze in to EIA
One minute algorithmic on the fly chart trade came off after initial long side oil trade alert- see green arrow.
Screen shot of alert to trim half at 71.39 place stop 71.26 on remaining half and resistance guidance.
Oil chat room screen shot of next trade alert to trim long at 71.52 25 percent and hold 25 percent.
Final crude oil trade alert to close final 12.5 percent at 71.74 and hold 0 percent at chart resistance.
And then the post EIA 1030 Wed trade alert with trading plan price targets were posted – usually wait 2nd 5 min candle
And then this happened, oil shot up right through the price targets from the alert.
Winning streak continues. 100% live oil trade alert win rate for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1010004212950843392
EPIC Oil Algorithm trade alert wins continue for many weeks now. Time stamped real time.
Boom “3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
Boom "3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). June 20 1148 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT " pic.twitter.com/WAl4N9n2yH
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) June 20, 2018
First 3 targets intra if long side trade alert holds. Trim in add above or on pull back and turns up.
Trade is using our 50% retrace on daytrade coding level intra as pivot.
Close up of intra day trading battle.
1st of 3 targets hit. Curt didn’t get it but coding team did.
Up over 1st target longs want to trim in to 2nd target level.
3rd target hit. Trade thesis complete for #EIA. Next levels to follow.
Daytrading support and resistance fractals (white arrows key).
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTThttps://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1024665109338222592
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report.
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit, as published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1024447086102827011
Tues 430 lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
EPIC the Oil Algo
Subscribe to my Service here:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Temporary Discount Offers (New members only):
30% Off Oil Newsletter: Use Promo Coupon Code “epic30” When Subscribing to our Weekly Oil Newsletter Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-epic-newsletter/ (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
30% Off Oil Alerts: Use Promo Coupon Code “oilalerts30” for Real-Time Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed @OilAlerts_CT Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/live-oil-trading-alerts/?attribute_plan=One+Month (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Trading, Alerts, Crude, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, Chart
Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F
Trading Crude Oil Live Alerts with EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #CL
Want to learn how to trade crude oil or need to learn how to trade with our crude oil algorithmic charting? This video shows our lead trader in a trade alerting our members live during the weekly EIA report.
Feature Post:
10:28 AM July 25, 2018: Oil trading room live trading coverage with lead trader.
Trade almost right in between the upper and lower channel price targets 68.84. First five minutes after #EIA weekly oil report I tend to not trade – I usually watch.
Long side oil trade alert triggered 69.06 at 7:00 on video FX $USOIL $WTI. Price had breached the upside main resistance on EPIC Oil Trading Algorithm charting so I took the long trade (which also put trade in th upper channel). Price spiked significantly right after the entry.
In addition to the algorithm charting I am using a 1 minute standard oil chart.
Trimmed the long oil trade position at 69.32 at 8:49 on video as price was nearing a hidden pivot resistance on the algorithm model. Oil chart pivot / resistance shown at 10:16 on video (first quarter of quadrant). I highlighted the pivot with the orange horizontal line on the algorithm.
Video shows the various indicators I am watching (algorithmic oil trading and conventional charting) when trading oil. Some decent lessons for those that are wanting to learn how to trade oil.
View the video here:
Screen Images of EPIC Trade Alert Feed on Twitter
Live oil trade alert. Long 69.06 US OIL WTI 1 5th sizing EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO
Live oil trade alert. Trim 50 percent 69.30. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Live oil trade alert. Long 68.93 add 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Live oil trade alert. Trim other 50 percent 69.26 50 percent. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO #trading #alerts
Chart link to Algorithmic Crude Oil Charting used on video here:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/AVFOuOhy-oil-intra-mcmachine/
Below is a Screen Shot (magnified) of EPIC Oil Algorithm.
An article from CNBC about crude oil algorithmic trading:
Oil trading ‘god’ Andy Hall says he’s met his match in robots https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/14/oil-trading-god-andy-hall-says-hes-met-his-match-robots.html
The rise of machine-based algorithmic trading is injecting so much volatility into oil markets, it’s now difficult to produce returns by doing the type of fundamental analysis for which Hall is known, he told investors in a letter obtained by Bloomberg News. Hall confirmed in the letter he was shuttering his main hedge fund at Astenbeck after it reportedly tanked nearly 30 percent, Bloomberg reported.
“Algorithmic trading systems have increasingly come to dominate,” Hall wrote. “Investing in oil under current market conditions using an approach based primarily on fundamentals has therefore become increasingly challenging. It seems quite likely this will continue to be the case for some time to come.”
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
EPIC the Oil Algo
Subscribe to my Service here:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Temporary Discount Offers (New members only – ending soon):
30% Off Oil Newsletter: Use Promo Coupon Code “epic30” When Subscribing to our Weekly Oil Newsletter Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-epic-newsletter/ (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
30% Off Oil Alerts: Use Promo Coupon Code “oilalerts30” for Real-Time Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed @OilAlerts_CT Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/live-oil-trading-alerts/?attribute_plan=One+Month (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Trading, Alerts, Crude, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, Chart, Video
Oil Algorithm Trading Report (EPIC) Mon July 30 FX: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Oil Trading Algorithm Chart Report (EPIC) Monday July 30, 2018.
FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are near 300 in total in development at various stages for all markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting model are encouraged to on-board in a way that will best equip you as an oil trader for profit.
Visit my Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent oil algorithm blog posts, our You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website (it explains how the oil algorithm was developed). Reviewing those important points of reference will increase your probability of success considerably. This report includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – Users of this algorithmic oil charting model may opt for private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader and / or an experienced trader that has worked under our lead trader. On our website standard one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a customized package (reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning). To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Charting
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is planned to go to developer coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil.
Below you will find simplified levels represented on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work (and associated trade) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader in the private Discord oil trade room server.
Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algorithm. The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published July 30, 2018.
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Current trading. July 30 319 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
July 30, 2018
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 72.54 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 68.93 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades). Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
The lower trading range is 65.32 to 68,92. The upper trading range 72.54 to 76.15.
Trading Bias / Forward Guidance: As with previous report, range bound. Slightly bearish based on MACD on daily, but very slight.
Current (as of July 30, 2018) MACD is turned down on the daily oil chart but appears to be turning up.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound with moderate uptrend.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is long based on wide range support, but down channel for the week is very possible considering MACD.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Oil:
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54 and 72.54 to 76.15. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Up channel scenario. July 30 329 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm (EPIC). Down channel scenario. July 30 329 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Swing Trade Considerations.
Monthly Oil Chart:
Oil Chart (Monthly). Trade still working range between 100 MA and 200 MA. July 30 334 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Oil Chart (Monthly). Trade still working the range between 100 MA and 200 MA on monthly. July 23 1219 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Weekly Oil Chart:
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil still in bullish structure on the weekly chart. July 30 346 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil still in bullish structure on the weekly chart. July 23 1224 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
Oil Algorithm Simple Weekly Gen 1 Model. Oil has been working resistance 4 weeks now. July 15 723 FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
May 21 – A feature post was published this week to review time cycles, retrace possibilities on the other side of time cycles on the weekly charts. Below is the post link:
Feature Post: 12 of Last 13 Oil Chart Time-Cycles Have Trend Reversal. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UCO $UWT $DWT #OIL #OOTT
Daily Oil Chart:
MACD trend down on daily oil chart with price above 100 MA under 20 and 50. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
July 23 – MACD still trending down on daily oil chart with price above 100 MA under 20 and 50. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
July 30 – No significant change to chart below.
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. July 2 212 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Oil Trade Alerts:
July 30 – Alerts section will be updated soon.
Anyone remember this tweet from last September. Last time oil had 200 MA w 20 MA breach, price ripped 39.80s to 51.50s fast (6 weeks). $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT
Oil Chart (Daily) Price took a double upside rip extension since. FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #OOTT
May 29 – Will update the alerts section soon.
May 21 – Will update the alerts section soon.
May 13 – Will update the alerts section soon.
April 29 – I will update the trade alerts on the next report when there is more time. The bottom line is that since last report the trades have been fantastic winners.
EPIC on fire, not quite 100% win rate, but close. Oil hit all 5 price targets from Friday alert. I left early so only got a piece of it. Alert- Long 67.73 scalp intra on FX $USOIL $WTI with 67.43 stop. PT 68.49. Trim at and add over res 67.85 68.07 68.14 @OilAlerts_CT
EPIC on fire, not quite 100% win rate, but close. Oil hit all 5 price targets from Friday alert. I left early so only got a piece of it. Alert- Long 67.73 scalp intra on FX $USOIL $WTI with 67.43 stop. PT 68.49. Trim at and add over res 67.85 68.07 68.14 @OilAlerts_CT pic.twitter.com/PJuxQw9nqZ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) April 22, 2018
Oil hit all 5 price targets from Friday alert. I left early so only got a piece of it.
Just noticed I accidentally put the short side trade alert on my personal twitter feed https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/986147196658647040 … “Oil short side bias trade setup intra trading 66.47 with 66.20 target expiring btwn 230 and 630 AM ET. Tight stop SS initial alert. Unclear at this point.”
https://twitter.com/OilAlerts_CT/status/986152086806192128
Trading 66.30 from 66.47 entry nearing 66.20 SS target – trim short bias
https://twitter.com/OilAlerts_CT/status/986151044949381121
Trading 66.24 cover trim on way to target
https://twitter.com/OilAlerts_CT/status/986156872729350144
There it is – 66.20 intra day short target reached – bias to all or near all cover here from 66.47 intra scalp alert.
https://twitter.com/OilAlerts_CT/status/986159824491696128
Per recent;
“Oil is very near a quad trading range support area (gray) and lower quad time cycle peak. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT”
https://twitter.com/OilAlerts_CT/status/981524847703490560
Fantastic #EIA trade near quad support, buy side steps in, first resistance hits, boom. Near perfect. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Oil is very near a quad trading range support area (gray) and lower quad time cycle peak. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
The alert detail as it was posted on feed. Short side trade alert. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
The alert detail as it was posted on feed. Short side trade alert. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo pic.twitter.com/kTZZEvi9MX
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) March 22, 2018
Summary of short side trade alert. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/yi9JI683-Summary-of-short-side-trade-alert-EPIC-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-Model/ …
Summary of short side trade alert. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart Model FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo https://t.co/wOjTLdGph2 pic.twitter.com/GwCWlGMiR9
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) March 22, 2018
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
July 30 – Target hits section will be updated soon.
Perfect price target hit Wed 1030 as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo #EIA
Trade moving in to Wed 1030 PT as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Trade fell in to Tues 430 price target (early) and on track to Wed 1030 PT as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Keep in mind that there are three price targets per week for down channel and up channel scenarios. Below are examples of targets hit to upside channel or down channel.
Price target hit for Tues 1030 #EIA as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Tues 430 price target hit as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm $USOIL $WTI #OIL #OOTT $UWT $DWT $USO
Tues Mar 13 430 #OIL perfect hit to price predict target as provided on prior wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Wed 1030 Mar 14 #EIA #OIL perfect hit to price predict target as provided on prior wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Per recent;
Tues Mar 6 price target perfect hit to minute and penny as provided on prior weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Private Member Server Screen shot of #EIA #OIL targets in play from wknd report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL price target in play as provided on wknd report (Tues hit perfect). EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL upper price target touch only and dumped in to lower target as provided on prior wknd report . EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
#EIA #OIL in to lower target as provided on prior wknd report . EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Screen shot of price and time target hit as provided on report 5 days prior. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Wed #EIA 1030 Feb 28 perfect hit to target at exact cent and minute as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Tues 430 Feb 27 price time target perfect hit as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Fri Feb 23 price time target perfect hit as provided on report 5 days prior. EPIC Oil Algorithm FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Per recent;
Oil Wed 1030 AM EIA report price target perfect hit, as provided on weekend report. EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
EPIC the Oil Algo
Subscribe to my Service here:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Temporary Discount Offers (New members only):
30% Off Oil Newsletter: Use Promo Coupon Code “epic30” When Subscribing to our Weekly Oil Newsletter Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-epic-newsletter/ (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
30% Off Oil Alerts: Use Promo Coupon Code “oilalerts30” for Real-Time Oil Trade Alerts via Private Twitter Feed @OilAlerts_CT Here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/live-oil-trading-alerts/?attribute_plan=One+Month (cancel anytime, for new members only to trial the service).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algorithm, Trading, Crude, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, Chart
Bitcoin Algorithm (Crypto). Thurs July 26. $BTC $XBTUSD $XBT $ETH $LTC $XRP #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Bitcoin Algorithm Report (Crypto). Thursday July 26, 2018. Includes Time Cycles, Price Targets and Buy / Sell Triggers.
$BTC $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $XBT $BTC.X $ETH $LTC $XRP #Bitcoin #Crypto
Hello, my name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.
Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders. My algorithm charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD, Bitcoin related equities and you will find additional preliminary algorithmic modeling for $ETH, $LTC and $XRP in this report.
Note: The $XBTUSD (Bitcoin swaps) model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.
Notices:
- More extensive chart models for $BTCUSD, $ETHUSD, $XRPUSD, $LTCUSD and others (such as a few bitcoin related equities) will be featured in future reporting.
- Join us in our private Crypto Trading room server on discord!
- For newer users – read the blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here.
Primary Methods of Bitcoin Trade:
The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange, blue or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker lines are more significant as they represent wider time-frames) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the mid-line of the upper quadrant – over the mid-line you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant (time cycle peak range for a specific time-frame) gives you the widest trading range probability.
This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the mid-line of the quadrant – under the mid-line you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the highest probability of the widest trading range.
Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.
Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 Fibonacci levels (mid-lines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.
Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long.
Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the most likely price targets in time cycles / trends relative to quads. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are typically provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets. Also, at times the mid quad support / resistance line is highlighted with a target if trade is not extremely bullish or bearish.
Natural / Historical Support/Resistance: Natural / historical support and resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines.
Conventional Charting: Conventional charting should be weighed against the model(s) with all trade decisions.
In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate):
- Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue dotted lines)
- Trading range between buy/sell trigger levels (grey/green arrows and solid lines)
- Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
- Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
- Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
- Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
- Conventional MA’s
Bitcoin Algorithm – Daily Chart (Suitable for Swing Trading):
Click link to open initial chart viewer screen, then share button at bottom right of screen, then make it mine, then double click on chart body to hide or reveal indicators at bottom of chart (MACD etc).
Bitcoin Algorithm. Daily chart model testing 50 MA resistance in possible turn up channel. 207 AM July 26 $BTC $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Bitcoin Algorithm. Daily chart model testing 50 MA resistance in possible turn. 302 AM July 17 $BTC $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Bitcoin Trading Plan (Observations / Chart Indicators):
July 26 – As with the last two previous reports, it is a 50 MA resistance test but the trajectory of downdraft is changing and a turn is possible soon. Watching.
July 17 – As with previous, it is a 50 MA test but the trajectory of downdraft is changing and a turn is possible soon. Patiently watching.
July 9 – Trading just under 50 MA, watching for a decision at the 50 MA test for direction.
June 26 – Range bound trade – waiting for a direction.
June 19 – My current bias and trading plan is exactly what it was last report (range bound trade)
June 11 – If Bitcoin $XBTUSD dumps lower than 5900.00 then high probability it continues in down channel (illustrated down channel with yellow arrows). It holds and up channel is in play (also illustrated on charting).
On the daytrading chart below it seems too early to comment on a bias… looking for structure to build.
My personal bias is it should turn up channel, conventionally that makes sense in trading after a dump, however, the 5900.00 is key as a mid quad area.
A few tweets / comments in private Bitcoin member serve recently reflecting my bias:
And we’re there 🙂 Bitcoin $BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Charting #crypto
And we're there 🙂 Bitcoin $BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Charting #crypto pic.twitter.com/fK3u1dM7mx
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) June 10, 2018
Bitcoin Algorithm. 30 Minute Charting (Suitable for Daytrading BTC).
Bitcoin Algorithm. Daytrading 30 min chart with buy sell triggers (white arrows) 324 AM July 26 $BTC $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Bitcoin Algorithm. Daytrading 30 min chart with buy sell triggers (white arrows) 327 AM July 17 $BTC $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Bitcoin Algorithm. Daytrading 30 min chart with buy sell triggers (white arrows) 136 AM July 9 $BTC $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Algorithm
Recent Bitcoin Real-Time Trade Alerts / Charting Set-up Alerts
If you are reviewing this newsletter (as a historical unlocked post) and not a member of our service and would like a tour of our private discord server (trading chat / alerts etc) or our private Twitter member $BTC alert feed let us know. You can check out our call rate for yourself. Transparent trading is important to us.
July 26 – Alert examples will be updated soon.
Intra bottom call. White arrow – alert sent. Green arrow – buy trigger. Red arrow – resistance (mid quad) on chart per alert sent. $BTC $XTUSD #Bitcoin #Cryptotrading
Intra bottom call. White arrow – alert sent. Green arrow – buy trigger. Red arrow – resistance (mid quad) on chart per alert sent. $BTC $XTUSD #Bitcoin #Cryptotrading pic.twitter.com/RM68yktgur
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 20, 2018
May 13 – Will post recent alerts soon when time allows.
Per recent;
April 29 – There have been many calls since bottom on our private server and private twitter feed… I’m not going to take the time to post them here right now but I will post this rant of tweets… the private member alerts I’ll post next report if time (they were all spot on alerts).
I even told ya how I knew where the bottom was. $BTC #Bitcoin #algorithm
Next should be insane trading in crypto space. Could be wrong… but I’m feelin it. #crypto $BTC $XBT $ETH $LTC #trading screenshot
Next should be insane trading in crypto space. Could be wrong… but I’m feelin it. #crypto $BTC $XBT $ETH $LTC #trading
$BTC near HOD and some bullish action on intra. Tweet screen shot.
$BTC near HOD and some bullish action on intra. $BTC #bitcoin #calls
Technical precision trading. Price target hit perfect on daytrading algorithm model charting. $BTC $XBT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
Technical precision trading. Price target hit perfect on daytrading algorithm model charting. $BTC $XBT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading pic.twitter.com/l1pafs56QD
— Crypto the BTC Algo (@CryptotheAlgo) April 18, 2018
Bitcoin coming in to a possible buy trigger zone on daytrading chart. $BTC #Bitcoin
https://twitter.com/BTCAlerts_CT/status/978317583987429376
$BTC Bitcoin popped now 400 points since alert of support. Not a bad RR here for long test. If nothing else a day trade.
https://twitter.com/BTCAlerts_CT/status/978397655796801538
Bitcoin time price cycle peak coming April 7 – path of least resistance down target but my bias is to up. Trade price. We start trading live again Monday so I’ll broadcast our trading group moves live for this setup. $BTC #Bitcoin #trading #crypto (alerted in private member Discord server)
And the result…. price is dumping in to lower target identified on trade alert…. intrad-day getting close. Charting wins. Trader bias not so good on this one.
Ethereum Algorithm. Basic Charting Model on Daily Time Frame:
Ethereum Algorithm. Daily Chart. Price testing 50 MA resistance, in channel. On watch. July 26 26 332 AM $ETH $ETHUSD #Ethereum #Algorithm
Ethereum Algorithm. Daily Chart. 625 resistance 418 support July 9 316 AM $ETH $ETHUSD #Ethereum #Algorithm
Ethereum Algorithm. Daily Chart. Price in channel, with weak trade. On watch. June 26 434 AM $ETH $ETHUSD #Ethereum #Algorithm
Litecoin Algorithm. Basic Charting Model.
Primary buy sell triggers on Litecoin daily chart:
475.00
381.00
287.00
192.00
98.00
July 26 – No significant change to below;
Litecoin Algorithm. LTC showing signs of possible bottom turn reversal. July 17 332 AM $LTCUSD #Litecoin #Algorithm
Litecoin Algorithm. LTC still in down trend channel. July 9 324 AM $LTCUSD #Litecoin #Algorithm
Ripple Basic Algorithm Charting Model $XRP
July 26 – No noteworthy change.
July 17 – No noteworthy change.
July 9 – No noteworthy change.
May 13 – Ripple needs .932 for a chance for a bullish structured run. $XRP $XRPUSD.
I put some tighter time from Fib structure in the model for those that asked for daytrading signals.
Per recent;
May 10 – Nothing to report. Flat.
April 29 – $XRP flat but over 200 MA on daily.
BUT still great returns from 40s to near 90s WOW.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XRPUSD/0aDABOJz-XRP-flat-but-over-200-MA-on-daily/
Per recent;
April 22 – $XRP over .888 targets 1.31 then 1.65 mid term. Daytrading model on -deck. #ripple
Crypto News:
Crypto Markets Recover After Weekend Losses Saw Bitcoin at Lowest 2018 Level
< End of report >
Any questions give us a shout anytime!
Follow Me:
Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trade Set-ups: @BTCAlerts_CT, Public Feed: @cryptothealgo
To Subscribe to our Crypto Services:
Link to Services and Pricing Overview (master list).
Link to Standalone $BTC Crypto Newsletter.
Link to Real-Time Live Bitcoin Alerts (Twitter).
Link to Crypto Bundle (Alerts, Private Trading Discord Server, Newsletter).
Review historical (unlocked to public) Weekly Bitcoin Newsletter Algorithm Reporting. Scroll down landing page to get to historical reports.
Post topics; Crypto, Algorithm, BTC, Bitcoin, chart, $BTC, $BTCUSD, $XBTUSD, $BTC.X, $ETH, $LTC, $XRP, trade, price targets, time cycles