Tag: $NATGAS
Swing Trade | Current Positions $GOOGL, $NKE, $ARWR, $XOM, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, NatGas …
Trade Set Up Reviews for Swing Trading Earnings Thursday Feb 14, 2019.
Swing Trading Signals in this Report: $GOOGL, $NKE, $ARWR, $XOM, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, NatGas.
Email us at [email protected] anytime with questions about any of the swing trade set ups covered in this video. Market hours can be difficult to respond but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Earnings Season Calendars.
Bloomberg Earnings Season Reporting Calendar List: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/earnings-calendar/us
Investing.com Earnings Calendar: https://www.investing.com/earnings-calendar/
Earnings Whispers #earnings for the Week:
#earnings for the week
$NVDA $CGC $SHOP $ATVI $TWLO $GOOS $UAA $AMAT $CSCO $TEVA $KO $L $KMPR $CTL $GRPN $CNA $MPAA $NGL $QSR $CHGG $DO $AVYA $WM $ANET $CYBR $PEP $EXEL $NSP $YELP $MCY $GOLD $MRO $RNG $DGX $NTAP $ICBK $DE $NRZ $YETI $JLL $MOH $AKAM $OHI
#earnings for the week$NVDA $CGC $SHOP $ATVI $TWLO $GOOS $UAA $AMAT $CSCO $TEVA $KO $L $KMPR $CTL $GRPN $CNA $MPAA $NGL $QSR $CHGG $DO $AVYA $WM $ANET $CYBR $PEP $EXEL $NSP $YELP $MCY $GOLD $MRO $RNG $DGX $NTAP $ICBK $DE $NRZ $YETI $JLL $MOH $AKAM $OHIhttps://t.co/lObOE0dgsr pic.twitter.com/cTAZxWC37n
— Earnings Whispers (@eWhispers) February 9, 2019
Earnings Season Special Reports Thus Far:
Jan 29 – Protected: Swing Trading. Earnings. Video. $AMZN, $AMD, $TSLA, $FB, $NFLX, $MSFT, $AAPL, $DAL, $BAC, $C…
Jan 28 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AMZN, $MSFT, $FB, $BABA, $TSLA
Jan 24 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AAPL, $AKS, $AMD, $AGN, $EXP
Jan 17 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Video: Trade Set-Ups | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX, $SPY, $VIX
Jan 16 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX
Jan 14 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, NFLX
Swing Trading Set-Ups:
ALPHABET (GOOGL):
Google (GOOGL) swing long starter 1135.56 PT 1158 1210 1266 1319. Will add as trade improves. #swingtrading $GOOGL
I entered this trade early Wednesday because broad market conditions appear to be improving (geopolitical etc). It’s a probability play. My position is 1/5 size because I am not ready to leg in to swing trades yet. But I am close.
My downside tolerance is more on this trade than my other new entry in Nike long. Under 1078.00 would cause concern. It closed at 1128.63 and my entry was long 1135.56.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1095697800023732224
NIKE (NKE):
NIKE (NKE) swing long 84.84 is a break-out play with tight stops price target 1 is 88.65 then 91.39 and so on. #swingtrading $NKE https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NKE/Ddrfhb9k-NIKE-NKE-swing-long-84-84-is-a-break-out-play-with-tight-stops/ …
Nike long early today is momentum trade for me with specific targets. My downside threshold is minimal. Trade is on the right side right now and I will watch this one close. I am in long 1/5 size and don’t expect to size in more but that is yet to be seen. It closed the day 85.40 and my entry was 84.84 long.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1095699317887852544
ARROW PHARMACEUTICALS (ARWR):
Arrow Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Long from mid 15s looking for adds long at channel support pull back $ARWR #swingtrading
I am long on a long term swing mid 15’s, trading 17’s and looking to add soon – preferably at channel support (or near).
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1048151441704214528
EXXON (XOM):
EXXON (XOM) holding initial position, near first price target, will trim in to that and add above #swingtrading #earnings
I am long from 72.60 as an earnings play. Close Wednesday 76.25. Long term swing in to late 2019.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1090997581897961473
CRUDE OIL SHORT (DWT):
I’m holding this small starter swing trade position a bit longer, at minimum I’m thinking I close it for a small loss if oil swings down a bit. I’m watching a chart structure per below.
I’m long 10.59 1/20 size and it closed at 9.21 Wednesday.
Below is the original trade alert:
Long DWT 1/20 size 10.59, will build position as it develops. Moderately tight stops. Target 50.42 1st price target on FX USOIL WTI.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1094969929974145025
DWT long (short oil) swing trade position needs to hold here, if it does follow the trendline up. #Oil #Short #swingtrade
Crude oil has two choices here, up and down trajectory shown with arrows on the daily chart.
GOLD (XAUUSD, GC_F):
Gold short trade 1/20 size 1319.78 entry holding and looking for adds. Gold trading 1308.55 intra-day at time of report.
Probability is for a pull back in Gold trade at resistance on this chart. If price gets above I will add short.
The original trade alert is below:
Starting Gold short position 1319.78 with initial price target 1186.00. 20 % sizing will add to 100% when it confirms. See Gold report for trading plan including dates and price targets due soon.
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1090810500001210368
BITCOIN (BTC):
Bitcoin has a decision to make soon at red trend line. Position long is assuming next is up in trade from base. BTC.
Long 1/5 size 3449.50 trading 3583.00 intra-day.
Original trade alert is below:
Starting a swing trade BTC Bitcoin on XBTUSD long 3449.50 price target 4200.00. 20% sizing. When it confirms will add to 100% – see Bitcoin report due soon. #swingtrading $BTC $XBTUSD
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1090809528633962496
NATURAL GAS (NG_F):
I am searching for a new trade in natural gas. The last one paid well.
Possible bounce on Natural Gas here. NATUSD NG_F $UGAZ
Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!
Cheers!
Curtis
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Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stocks, Signals, Earnings, $GOOGL, $NKE, $ARWR, $XOM, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, NatGas
PreMarket Trading Report Fri Dec 28: TSLA, APHA, ABIL, OPK, EIA, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Friday December 28, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: TSLA, APHA, ABIL, OPK, EIA, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 28 – Still recovering from brutal food poisoning last 36 hours, trading room open today but likely trade will be really light until we are past Jan 1. Markets are not structured last number of days. Last Friday was completion of large time cycle in markets with a week either way as caution. Next week the new time cycles will be in play and our reporting and trading will reflect that (beyond Jan 1, 2019). Team is in session this weekend processing WIP completion for 2018 in to 2019.
- Dec 19 – The Trading View data issue overnight slowed us down, however, reports will be approved and emailed out as soon as intermittent issues resolve (most are resolved it seems now, but some are not at time of writing). Also, all work in progress from 2018 is scheduled to be complete before Jan 1 so we will be quieter than usual with a final push to complete. Caution in to the time cycle peak and step on accelerator on the way out the other side.
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Friday Dec 28 –
Closed DGAZ trade in premarket long 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade.
Per premarket note above: Still recovering from brutal food poisoning last 36 hours, trading room open today but likely trade will be really light until we are past Jan 1. Markets are not structured last number of days. Last Friday was completion of large time cycle in markets with a week either way as caution. Next week the new time cycles will be in play and our reporting and trading will reflect that (beyond Jan 1, 2019). Team is in session this weekend processing WIP completion for 2018 in to 2019.
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot is below in trades section. Will be more active now that I’m recovering from sick and Jan 1 near.
Near end of June we signaled to lighten up on equity longs and we brought our long trades in for a landing over the next 90 days (check our feeds). Since then we’ve consistently signaled caution in to end of time cycle in to end of Dec 2018. First two quarters 2019 we expect to be extremely active. Watch all reporting closely from recent forward.
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:19 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.57, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 46.16, Gold $GLD trading 1278.20, Silver $SLV trading 15.30, $SPY 249.71 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3600.00 and $VIX trading 29.5.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
$APHA (+12.2% pre) Pot Producer Aphria Rejects $2.1 Billion Green Growth Hostile Bid – BBG
$TSLA (+4.5% pre) Tesla names Larry Ellison and Kathleen Wilson-Thompson to board after SEC settlement – CNBC
$ABIL (+36.2% pre) Ability’s Line of Credit to be Repaid and Converted into Equity – SI
$OPK (+13.0% pre) OPKO Health and CEO and Chairman, Dr. Phillip Frost, Announce Proposed Resolution of SEC – SI
News:
Transocean wins $830 million five-year drilling contract from Chevron USA
$EW (+0.4% pre) Edwards Lifesciences Reports FDA Approval for SAPIEN 3 Ultra Transcatheter Heart Valve – SI
‘Completely Bizarre’ Stock Moves Leave Traders Scratching Heads https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-28/powell-has-lot-to-lose-and-little-to-gain-in-sit-down-with-trump
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/1078645667302653952
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Aphria Receives $2.1B Hostile Takeover Bid From Green Growth Brands https://benzinga.com/z/12907199 $APHA $GGBXF
Earnings:
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket
Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading
Gold (Daily) Trade testing TL resistance intra. Other noteable resistance marked (gray arrows). #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtradealerts
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Top 5 Things to Know in the Market on Friday “stocks were on track to register their worst month of December since 1931”
Top 5 Things to Know in the Market on Friday "stocks were on track to register their worst month of December since 1931"
https://t.co/IvXJgw1MeZ— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 28, 2018
The world’s biggest banks are reckoning on a rebound in oil prices next year as fears of a recession prove misplaced.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1078643754020626433
To have even a basic view on markets, you should have a clear view on two variables:
-next year’s PE ratio
-next year’s earnings
To have a view on multiples you a need a view on growth & inflation
To have a view on earnings you need to have a view on revenues & margins
To have even a basic view on markets, you should have a clear view on two variables:
-next year’s PE ratio
-next year’s earningsTo have a view on multiples you a need a view on growth & inflation
To have a view on earnings you need to have a view on revenues & margins
— The Long View (@HayekAndKeynes) December 28, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Wingstop shares up 2% premarket after Wedbush upgrades stock to outperform
$SRPT recent weakness is potential buying opportunity – BTIG. Reiterates Buy, PT $190
(6) Recent Downgrades:
$BHVN PT lowered to $54 from $63 at Oppenheimer
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading,Time Cycles, TSLA, APHA, EIA, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
PreMarket Trading Report Wed Dec 19: EIA, FOMC, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 19, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, FOMC, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 19 – The Trading View data issue overnight slowed us down, however, reports will be approved and emailed out as soon as intermittent issues resolve (most are resolved it seems now, but some are not at time of writing). Also, all work in progress from 2018 is scheduled to be complete before Jan 1 so we will be quieter than usual with a final push to complete. Caution in to the time cycle peak and step on accelerator on the way out the other side.
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:03 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.98, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 46.53, Gold $GLD trading 1247.43, Silver $SLV trading 14.64, $SPY 255.98 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3826.00 and $VIX trading 25.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
$WGO $DPW $AVGR $JBL $RIOT $AXON $ZIOP $RCII $TLRY $GSK $DGAZ $GOL $NGG $HMY $HIIQ $GUSH $RACE $APHA $GE
22 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12873168 $WGO $JBL $ZIOP $RCII $GSK $TLRY $ACB $MU $SRNE $FDX $EVFM
News:
$FDX $UPS – FedEx’s ‘jarring’ guidance cut
Rent-A-Center’s stock surges after B. Riley says termination of Vintage merger is ‘invalid’
$KRYS Completes Dosing in the GEM-Phase 2 Study in Pediatric Patients for the Treatment of Dystrophic Epidermolysis Bullosa. Topline Data 1H’19
$SVRA Announces Interim Results for OPTIMA Clinical Study of Molgradex for the Treatment of NTM
$EIGR Announces Breakthrough Therapy Designation For Lonafarnib In Progeria And Progeroid Laminopathies
Criminal justice bill puts prison stocks on watch
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3418068-criminal-justice-bill-puts-prison-stocks-watch
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Cannabis company Aleafia to buy Emblem for 27% premium, in a C$173.2 million deal
Rent-A-Center’s stock surges after B. Riley says termination of Vintage merger is ‘invalid’
GE’s stock surges after report of IPO plans for health-care business #swingtrading #premarket #IPO
GE's stock surges after report of IPO plans for health-care business #swingtrading #premarket #IPO https://t.co/fD4Ab95gGP
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) December 19, 2018
DPW to pursue IPO of its technology and defense businesses
Olive Garden parent Darden Restaurants tops profit and same-store sales expectations
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
Micron downgraded to hold at Needham after earnings
Winnebago’s stock soars after profit and revenue rise above expectations
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Lost a personal oil trade yesterday and late last week. Machine trading in oil doing well (t will outperform my returns now) so I will let our software handle the oil trading for now on. I’ll still trade oil but only based on machine trading alert signals.
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Futures Rise Ahead Of Fed; Europe Jumps On Italy Budget Deal
Futures Rise Ahead Of Fed; Europe Jumps On Italy Budget Deal https://t.co/8LFdHzKBDn
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 19, 2018
A ‘dirty’ rally is taking shape as the stock market is heavily oversold https://on.mktw.net/2Locu1C
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $WGO $DPW $AVGR $JBL $RIOT $AXON $ZIOP $RCII $TLRY $GSK $DGAZ $GOL $NGG $HMY $HIIQ $GUSH $RACE $APHA $GE
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$ULTA – Citi says Buy to Ulta
JPMorgan Upgrades Medtronic, Inc. $MDT to Overweight
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Antero Resources $AR PT Lowered to $20 at TD Securities
Schlumberger: Credit Suisse Cuts To Neutral From Outperform $SLB
-Cuts PT To $44 From $65
NCS Multistage Holdings $NCSM PT Lowered to $8 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse Downgrades Kinross Gold $KGC to Underperform
Bristow Group $BRS PT Lowered to $3.50 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse Downgrades Superior Energy Services $SPN to Neutral
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading,Time Cycles,
PreMarket Trading Report Tues Dec 18: Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday December 18, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: GS, SBUX, FB, GOOGL, TWTR, Analysts, Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you'll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 18, 2018
Per Recent:
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 6:51 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.12, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 48.41, Gold $GLD trading 1249.43, Silver $SLV trading 14.67, $SPY 256.71 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3472.00 and $VIX trading 24.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $MRIN
$MRIN (+54.7% pre) Marin Software’s stock rockets 60% on Google revenue pact – MW
News:
$EIGR Announces PRIME Designation Granted by EMA for Lonafarnib for Treatment of Hepatitis Delta Virus Infection
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
DPW to pursue IPO of its technology and defense businesses
Olive Garden parent Darden Restaurants tops profit and same-store sales expectations
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
Navistar beats profit and revenue expectations, provides upbeat outlook
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Lost a personal oil trade yesterday and late last week. Machine trading in oil doing well (t will outperform my returns now) so I will let our software handle the oil trading for now on. I’ll still trade oil but only based on machine trading alert signals.
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Stock slump continues
-Oil plunges
-Xi stands his ground
-Fed meeting begins
-EU plays hardball on Brexit
https://bloom.bg/2S8FvBh
Facebook, Twitter and Google are so biased toward the Dems it is ridiculous! Twitter, in fact, has made it much more difficult for people to join @realDonaldTrump. They have removed many names & greatly slowed the level and speed of increase. They have acknowledged-done NOTHING!
Facebook, Twitter and Google are so biased toward the Dems it is ridiculous! Twitter, in fact, has made it much more difficult for people to join @realDonaldTrump. They have removed many names & greatly slowed the level and speed of increase. They have acknowledged-done NOTHING!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 18, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $MRIN $AETI $BIOC $UGAZ $ACHV $NAV $ACHN $SPRX $ACRX $ORCL $CRH $STM $SBGL $UNG $TLRY
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $DGAZ $RCII $TVIX $UVXY $UWT $SQQQ $VXX $SPXU $SPXS $UCO $QID $SHPG $PM
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Desjardins Upgrades Shaw Communications (SJR/B:CN) $SJRWF to Buy
$TTWO – Buckingham starts Take-Two at Buy
$GILD initiated at Buy at Guggenheim. PT $86
$ORCL Raised @ RBC to $55.00 PT after Earnings
$AMD Reiterated Outperform @ RBC PT $34.00 Joins Nasdaq 100 on Dec 24th
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Inter Piperline Ltd. (IPL:CN) PT Lowered to Cdn$25 at Desjardins
H.C. Wainwright Downgrades Advaxis $ADXS to Neutral
$OSTK DA davidson lowers PT to $58 from $11
$DOVA Lowered @ Landenberg to $32.00 from $65.00 PT
$TSLA Maintained Sell @ GS $225.00 PT
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 17: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 17, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note: This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Per Recent:
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:30 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.09, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.73, Gold $GLD trading 1239.83, Silver $SLV trading 14.61, $SPY 260.34 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3361.00 and $VIX trading 22.6.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Jack in the Box exploring potential sale of the company
Proteostasis’s stock jumps after license deal with Genentech
20 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12858013 $EVFM $PTI $PER $AXON $FRSX $ERJ $BBY $ALQA $QFIN $BZH
News:
Embraer: Deal With Boeing Expected To Be Concluded At End 2019 $BA
$INNT Plans to Commence the First Ever Phase 3 Registration Trial in Celiac Disease in 1H 2019 and Announce Top-line NASH Data with Drug Combinations by EASL 2019
EVIO Labs Receives Provisional License from Massachusetts Cannabis Control Commission
$RHHBY $PTCT $BIIB – EMA grants Prime status for Roche’s risdiplam for SMA
$TLC $ARGX $AXON – Jefferies sees three-bagger in Axovant Sciences in premarket analyst action
#5things
-Goldman 1MDB charges
-Shutdown standoff
-May to reject referendum calls
-Markets quiet
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2S5Cz8r
Top 5 Things to Know in The Market on Monday –
Top 5 Things to Know in The Market on Monday – https://t.co/5cU75qXf70
— Investing.com News (@newsinvesting) December 17, 2018
The Charts Bulls And Bears Are Obsessing Over For 2019
The Charts Bulls And Bears Are Obsessing Over For 2019 https://t.co/BXkjapHzkg
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 16, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
The speculative COMEX #gold position flipped to a net-long for the first time in five months. This after funds cut longs by 8k lots and shorts by 20k lots. In the two weeks to December 11 funds bought 62k lots, mostly above $1230/oz. S/t challenged on a break below.
The speculative COMEX #gold position flipped to a net-long for the first time in five months. This after funds cut longs by 8k lots and shorts by 20k lots. In the two weeks to December 11 funds bought 62k lots, mostly above $1230/oz. S/t challenged on a break below. pic.twitter.com/M41pZFNBDO
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) December 16, 2018
The combined net-long (+256k lots) in Brent and WTI crude #oil is now more than 20% below the previous two lows in Aug-16 and June-17 from where it rallied strongly on both occasions. #OOTT
The combined net-long (+256k lots) in Brent and WTI crude #oil is now more than 20% below the previous two lows in Aug-16 and June-17 from where it rallied strongly on both occasions. #OOTT pic.twitter.com/N2QOoMIcdh
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) December 16, 2018
“Bearish bets against the S&P 500 are at their second-highest levels all year”
"Bearish bets against the S&P 500 are at their second-highest levels all year" https://t.co/vllRACDNIt pic.twitter.com/tIFNlw68Vz
— Trevor Noren (@trevornoren) December 16, 2018
Low-Volatility Stocks Are Shining as Investors Search for More Certainty #swingtrading https://www.barrons.com/articles/low-volatility-stocks-shine-in-this-stock-market-51544702401 … via @BarronsOnline
Low-Volatility Stocks Are Shining as Investors Search for More Certainty #swingtrading https://t.co/NDo0uUAoeR via @BarronsOnline
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
JPM says that investors’ concerns about credit markets are justified. The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio for the IG and HY universe has been rising steeply over past decade to levels that are much higher than those seen at the peaks of the previous two cycles.
JPM says that investors’ concerns about credit markets are justified. The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio for the IG and HY universe has been rising steeply over past decade to levels that are much higher than those seen at the peaks of the previous two cycles. pic.twitter.com/xNuMlK6glK
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) December 16, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $LULU $AXON $MFA $CSL $SMG $TGI $LYB $ORTX $SHW $GIII $CLXT $CSL $BKS $G
Lululemon’s stock rallies after Stifel analyst says it’s time to buy
MCDONALD’S: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $182 FROM $180
$MCD
STARBUCKS CORP: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $70 FROM $69
$SBUX
(6) Recent Downgrades: $SCG $THC $EMR $ITW $BBY $EMR $MSEX $CPK $THC $BXMT
BEST BUY CO INC: BOFA MERRILL CUTS TO UNDERPERFORM FROM NEUTRAL
$BBY
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
PreMarket Trading Report Wed Nov 21: EIA, Oil, $WTI, NatGas, $DGAZ, Equities Bounce, Low Float, Penny Momo …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday November 21, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, Oil, $WTI, Natgas, $DGAZ, Equities Bounce, Low Float, Penny Momo and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- Nov 21 – Lead trader in attendance to live trading room at open, EIA, mid day review and as required through the day.
- Nov 12 Member Update (click) Trade Service Updates: Machine Trade, Trade Alerts, Live Trading, Reporting, Coaching etc.
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- Live Trading Room (as lead trader is available) is a 24 hour trading room (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room.
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November / December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Watching time-cycle expiry / inflection for a direction in to next late Dec and then late Dec in to first quarter time cycle 2019.
Nov 21 – Looking at possible retrace to .5 on oil (per last move), possible short in Natural Gas (DGAZ) and watching equities very close for supports to bounce and hold.
Per previous;
If you’re a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You’ll learn a lot and you’ll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won’t get many opportunities like this. #premarket
If you're a newbie…. now is not the time to turn off…. now is the time to get in to your $STUDY sharpen your pencil and get to work. You'll learn a lot and you'll possibly catch a turn and change your financial life soon. You won't get many opportunities like this. #premarket
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 20, 2018
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 6:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.81, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 54.37, Gold $GLD trading 1223.40, Silver $SLV trading 14.41, $SPY 265.53 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 4518.00 and $VIX trading 21.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
FAANG STOCKS EXTEND GAINS, NOW UP BETWEEN 1.2 PCT AND 3 PCT PREMARKET
FAANG STOCKS EXTEND GAINS, NOW UP BETWEEN 1.2 PCT AND 3 PCT PREMARKET
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) November 21, 2018
Low float on watch $ANY $INPX $GLBS $PXS
Momos on watch $ICTY $MDIN $NHPI $KRFG $PGUS $LCLP $WWIO $INKW
20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12737960 $FL $ABIL $BZUN $ADSK $BJ $LTM $HTBX $XRF $ANY $DE $CAL $BILI
News:
Equity contagion spreads to credit, deepening worries on growth. GE woes, rising Fed rates are weighing on bonds. Spreads probably haven’t widened enough, Goldman says. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-21/equity-contagion-spreads-to-credit-deepening-worries-on-growth …
Equity contagion spreads to credit, deepening worries on growth. GE woes, rising Fed rates are weighing on bonds. Spreads probably haven’t widened enough, Goldman says. https://t.co/HU22R0Ivfz pic.twitter.com/xvYFskWv9W
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) November 21, 2018
iPhone $AAPL Assembler Foxconn Warns of Difficult and Competitive Year, to Eliminate 10% of Non-Technical Staff – Bloomberg
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Deere’s stock drops after earnings and revenue rose less than expected
#earnings for the week
$JD $TGT $BBY $LOW $KSS $TJX $BZUN $LB $GWGH $DE $INTU $URBN $$ROST $MDT $SPB $ADSK $CPB $PSTG $JT $A $ADI $LEJU $JEC $SOL $JACK $HRL $BILI $FL $GPS $GHG $BJ $BECN $QD $KEYS $DY $BRKS $NUAN $VBLT $SSI $NM $SFL $NJR $MMS $KLIC
#earnings for the week $JD $TGT $BBY $LOW $KSS $TJX $BZUN $LB $GWGH $DE $INTU $URBN $$ROST $MDT $SPB $ADSK $CPB $PSTG $JT $A $ADI $LEJU $JEC $SOL $JACK $HRL $BILI $FL $GPS $GHG $BJ $BECN $QD $KEYS $DY $BRKS $NUAN $VBLT $SSI $NM $SFL $NJR $MMS $KLIC https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/Cb4X0ukwMC
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 19, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
There have been a few paper cuts executed on machine trading side in oil trade last few days – report will detail when released.
VIX MACD on close watch today, could cross up and we could see escalation quick $VIX $TVIX $UVXY
SP500 (SPY) Daily Chart MACD turned up but structure under pressure. $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade pic.twitter.com/M4NDXkdoMi
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 29, 2018
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5Things
-U.S. accuses China of IP theft
-OPEC’s Texas headache
-Markets rise
-Calls for fiscal coordination
-Data due…
https://bloom.bg/2DCiCBP
Morgan Stanley says bear market starting. GS says economy won’t go into a recession, but its research says bear market risks highest in decades. Wells Fargo says if you got cash use it.
“…the only place that people with Rolls Royce get advice from those who take the subway.”
https://twitter.com/TihoBrkan/status/1065229468166434816
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SYN $ABIL $FL $QD $UGAZ $BRZU $BZUN $MBT $FIVE $UWT $YINN $UCO $VIPS $DB $NVDA $SNAP $AMD $SQ
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$FL Raised to $63 at Citi
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Jacobs Engineering $JEC PT Lowered to $90 Credit Suisse
Kohl’s $KSS PT Lowered to $67 Credit Suisse
$TGT Lowered to $79 Credit Suisse
$LOW Lowered to $101 Deutsche Bank
$JACK Lowered to $103 SunTrust Robinson
$CRM Lowered to $160 Piper Jaffray
$TJX Lowered to $58 Citi
$KSS Lowered to $67 Credit Suisse
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Oil, $WTI, Natgas, $DGAZ, Equities Bounce, Low Float, Penny Momo
PreMarket Trading Plan Wed July 5 $MTBC, $MORE, $CARA, $USOIL, $WTI, $SOXL, $NATGAS, GOLD
Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Wedneday July 5, 2017; $MTBC, $MORE, $CARA, $USOIL, $WTI, $SOXL, $NATGAS, GOLD – $XIV, $WMT, $NFLX, $UUP, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!
Notices:
Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.
Today’s Live Trading Room Link:
http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
Live Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it. Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.
Reporting and Algorithms:
All next phase algorithms are complete but we had a minor earthquake / tremor here this morning which delayed release. We were in the middle of publishing / sending reports at the time and the “issue” has caused a three hour unexpected delay. Anyway the reboot on everything takes some time and with market open coming fast any not published before market open will be published this evening after market at some point through the evening / night.
Connect with me on Discord and lets take this up a notch!
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Recent lead trader blog / video posts:
Oil trading session with EPIC the Oil Algorithm in oil trading room. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #CL $USO $UWT $DWT #OIL #OOTT #IA #EPICEDGE
Oil trading session with EPIC the Oil Algorithm in oil trading room. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #CL $USO $UWT $DWT #OIL #OOTT #IA #EPICEDGE pic.twitter.com/tddfB6fhAH
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 3, 2017
Oil Trading Room – How to Use Oil Algorithm Chart & Recent Trades $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #OOTT
Oil Trading Room – How to Use Oil Algorithm Chart & Recent Trades $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #OOTT https://t.co/LCzv9RisxI
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) June 30, 2017
Master Webinar Schedule. All events listed here are subscriber access only unless otherwise specified.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/874160073685188608
The Quarterly Daytrading Performance Review P/L with Charting:
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/846494014635429888
The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/841078264537993218
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.
Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $MORE, $MTBC
Bias toward / on watch: Watching $SOXL very close, Continued watch on $CARA for a possible bounce (it worked well on Monday), Natural Gas should get a bounce soon, Oil should come off soon, Dollar should get moving soon, and Gold should get wacked soon. Soon being in next 30 days inflection on watch.
OTC on watch:
Gapping Premarket:
Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch:
Stocks with News: $MORE, $MTBC
Recent SEC Filings to Watch: $PSTG Jun 22, CFO Sells 8255 Shrs; Net: -108.43k; Acq’d: 0; Disp’d: 8255 13.14/s https://is.gd/cQHEjO
Earnings On Deck:
Holds (specifically on day trading side): $WMT, $XIV, $UUP test starter swings. All other holds are small size (less than 5% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including my swing trading or algorithm charting trades).
Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch: $TRCH, $ESPR, $FEYE, $SLX, $CLLS, $IMDZ, $VRX, $HIIQ, $FSLR, $JUNO, $CELG, $VFC and many more on the mid day reviews on You Tube. We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day.
Market Outlook:
U.S. stock index #futures mixed after holiday, Nasdaq pressured – https://t.co/zJuZX5ZVrh
— Investing.com News (@newsinvesting) July 5, 2017
Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
10am
Factory Orders
2pm
FOMC meeting minutes
Economic Data Scheduled For Wednesday
Economic Data Scheduled For Wednesday pic.twitter.com/QBdwjjwbOU
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) July 5, 2017
Oil’s longest winning streak this year slows as Russia opposes more cuts
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-05/oil-slows-longest-win-streak-in-2016-as-russia-opposes-more-cuts
$TRIL Provides Update on Small Molecule Programs
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trillium-provides-update-on-small-molecule-programs-2017-07-05 …
Athenex submits IND application of Oraxol to Chinese FDA https://seekingalpha.com/news/3276951-athenex-submits-ind-application-oraxol-chinese-fda?source=feed_f … #premarket $ATNX
$TSLA pt lowered to 180 from 190 @ GS, Raised to 430 from 380 at Guggenheim
$ARRY Submits New Drug Applications To FDA For Binimetinib And Encorafenib In Advanced Melanoma
Worldpay and Vantiv reach agreement on merger terms http://on.mktw.net/2sp5lnL
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $MDSI 34%, $MTBC 33%, $MORE 21%, $DRYS $OPXA $DSLV $BIDU $BHP $DB $BBL $P $DWT $CS $TZA $MT $DGAZ $CAB $NOK $HMY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $SPEX -14%, $PZC -6%, $BAA $AMZA $GUSH $CHFS $USLV $CYRN $FTI $UWT $CHK $STO $LYG $CHL $SLV $TNA $UGAZ $UVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Recent Upgrades: $ORCL $OKE $TER $CEO $CC $NEM $ECA $SFNC $OKSB $MATW $BHP $TDY $BLFS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Recent Downgrades: $NVS $GSK $BWLD $EQT $WY $PGH $IMO $CVE $BTE $COF $RATE as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.
Article Topics: $MTBC, $MORE, $CARA, $USOIL, $WTI, $SOXL, $NATGAS, GOLD – $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD