Category Archives: Trading Plan

Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Feb 22, 2017 in Compound Trading Chat room. $ONCS, $OWCP, $GRMN, $DCTH, $UGAZ, $FNMA, $BSTG – $UWT, $ONTX, $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Member newsletters for algos, swing trades and post market reports will not be sent this morning (I got wacked with a winter fly bug and Sartaj is deep in developer land) so we’ve booked off time this evening to update them all for distribution prior to Thursday market open.

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

All small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $UWT, $BSTG, $ONTX, $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop – didn’t get it so hoping for a pull back in miners soon – if not I’ll have to take the loss). $CBMX is a hold till late spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the company and make your own determination).

I entered $RNVA AM the other day small position and exited yesterday. I haven’t alerted $RNVA and $BSTG trades because I expect to be in and out of them and a few other micros lots over the next while… also have $BLPH, $OWCP, $TENX, $ACST and others on this micro watchlist.

As noted before I may exit $VRX and $UWT.

I was asked by a member last night whether I alert my swing trades in the room or on SMS and Email from our swing trade subscription side and the answer is no, I keep them separate. The swing trading service isn’t a live alert service.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

My outlook is very similar to yesterday. It seems Crude Oil $WTI has pushed its trade range right up near resistance to parallel $Gold, $Silver, and the $DXY US Dollar – they are all at decisions. Interesting scenario. $VIX is still dead and $SPY has another leg forming. The markets seem pensive but bullish at the same time. Again, interesting IMO.

Many of our regulars in the room were killing momos yesterday… which by the way is interesting how these can sneak up on you… I reviewed a number of them and the follow through was definitely better in these on Wednesday – there were a number of them. When I seen some of our members in $EYEG right out of the gate at market open I thought oh no… but it worked out for them – in conversations I had with members through the day and after market it seems the group did really well. I missed the momos because I was expecting the follow through to be light – but I was wrong on that.

I am really interested in where the bottom is for natural gas, so I am watching $UGAZ close. I think Mathew tagged 2.54 as a possible bounce area in the room yesterday and this morning it did tag that area and has bounced a bit. Also watching the resistance in oil as you know to possibly exit the $UWT swing soon. Also really curious to see what Gold and Silver and the Dollar do here with the Trump trade follow through.

$FNMA is my shoulda from yesterday, I was all over it when it came off hard and was going to take an entry on the snap back and its up 23% in premarket trading at 3.32.

$ONCS is up 32% trading at 1.85 premarket.

Morning Momo / News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Momo Watch: $ONCS, $OWCP, $GRMN, $DCTH, $UGAZ, $FNMA, $BSTG

7am
Mortgage Apps

8:55
Chain Store Sales

10am
Home Sales

11:30
2-Year Auction

1pm
5-Year Note Auction
Fed Powell speaks

2pm
FOMC

Futures lower ahead of Fed minutes http://seekingalpha.com/news/3245184-futures-lower-ahead-fed-minutes?source=feed_f … #premarket

US Dollar – closed at the 50 DMA – Fed’s Minutes at 2 pm.

GPS maker Garmin shares jump 6% premarket as earnings blow past estimates.

United Therapeutics revenues up 9%; non-GAAP EPS up 30% in FY16 http://seekingalpha.com/news/3245172-united-therapeutics-revenues-9-percent-non-gaap-eps-30-percent-fy16?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $UTHR

Shares of $MBLY climbed 4.8% in premarket trade Wednesday after the company reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings.

#Mobileye Q4 EPS of 22c beats by 2c. Revenue of $104.6m beats by $8.2m.
$MBLY +5.16% at 48.50 premarket.

Red-hot Russia ETF has first outflow since November http://seekingalpha.com/news/3245154-red-hot-russia-etf-first-outflow-since-november?source=feed_f … #premarket $RSX.

Premarket: Global stocks top 2016 gains, U.S. dollar up before Fed minutes http://trib.al/TfVngg2 from @GlobeBusiness

$SRPT Janney Capital reiterated Buy rating and a $65 price target.

$SRRA Wedbush initiated Sierra Oncology coverage with an Outperform rating and $4 price target.

$JUNO Initiating at OUTPERFORM on Potential Best-In-Class CAR-T.

Toll Brothers up 4% after beat, raised guidance, dividend initiation http://seekingalpha.com/news/3245199-toll-brothers-4-percent-beat-raised-guidance-dividend-initiation?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $TOL

Neuralstem gets U.S. patent covering the use of NSI-189 in MDD; shares up 3% premarket.

Aetna announces $3.3B accelerated share repurchase $AET http://dlvr.it/NRn86L.

$IMDZ Receives Orphan Drug Designation for G100 Intratumoral Pdt Candidate

$GBT offering. 5.1M shares at $24.50 per share.

$ARGS stock resumes trade, plunges 73% premarket after disappointing trial news

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:  $ONCS 32%, $JAGX 21%, $NVDQ 20%, $SRRA 9%, $PIP $MBOT $GRMN $GNC $CNAT $MBLY $SPWH $STNG $LYG $SBLK $TOL $UVXY

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $DCP $CXP $STM $ECL $EXAS $PH $WMT $STNG as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $TEP $ENT $DISCA $ENTL $MNTA $AU $IHG $ECL $VFC $AAT $FSLR $HAR $OMC $RL $CSIQ $TRVG $TRIP $TVPT $UPS $AUY $SAGE $LMAT as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $ONCS, $OWCP, $GRMN, $DCTH, $UGAZ, $FNMA, $BSTG – $UWT, $BSTG, $ONTX, $VRX, $SSH, $ASM, $CBMX, $DUST, $TRCH, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F