Category Archives: Trading Plan

Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Mar 30, 2017;  $IDXG $LULU $VRX $TNXP $JDST $UWT $WTI $USOIL $SPY $VIX – $ONTX, $DUST, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://compoundtrading.clickmeeting.com/livetrading 

Monday Stock Trading Results (Tuesday and Wednesday stock trading results are delayed until this evening)

The Quarterly Daytrading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published.

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing Charting Post (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Results of Gold trade vote are in!

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

While we had a day off yesterday (internet outages in area now fixed) I Scaled in rest of full long position $UWT and trimmed 50% EOD. Add again on pullbacks or b/o. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F

Long oil related trade quick review on periscope. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $UWT $UWTI #oil #trading #commodities

Oil is running north in that channel – I am adding to $UWT above support. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $UWT $UWTIF $DWT $DWTF #OIL #premarket

Per last report:

We have yesterday’s inflection of Gold and Silver resistance, the US Dollar support, Oil at support, $SPY support and volatility $VIX starting to come alive. None of which broke through support or resistance and $VIX started to come back down.

Even though my holds are small in size I would like to start focusing on trading out of some of these, if not all. With the current downdraft in market I may not be able to get out of these for a while – VERY SMALL part of my portfolio now – I am 95% or more cash.

All small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $ONTX, $DUST, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI.

Per recent;

$DUST I will close for a loss if Gold holds 1260 – sucks, but it was a relatively small position (to portfolio size) but I didn’t follow the golden rule… when a trade goes against your plan cut fast and I didn’t so I will likely pay the price. And I guess what has become the second golden rule… listen to the algos… they haven’t been wrong yet – so yes, I didn’t listen to my own invention ROSIE the Gold Algo (give Rosie a little plug there she deserves it lol). Embarrassing, especially because ROSIE nailed the bottom many weeks in advance of the bottom – all I had to do was listen and boom new house. Sad.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

There is significant resistance clusters just above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I will also be wanting to move out of my significant swing trading side holdings and pick more closely. The daytrading side I am 95% cash so I am fine. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

$LULU and $VRX I am watching for possible bounces – seem over done in both instances. $JDST is on high watch considering the resistance in Gold and miners of late. And $SPY has strong resistance above (as far as our algorithm is concerned) so $VIX is on high watch again also.

Might be time to look at retail (select names) for a bounce.

Reversal on select energy names interesting also.

Our algorithms have been nailing it so the machines are in heavy right now:

Perfect hit to middle of Tues 430 algo target call. Crude algo intra work sheet. FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Perfect hit to Wed 10:30 target call. Crude algo intra work sheet 1053 AM Mar 29 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Even the machines are on mainstream regularly now, and Black Rock has accepted the machines:

And this on CNBC about the algorithmic modeling and machines assisting human traders.

Come on baby let the good times roll

Per recent reports:

Swing trades on watch for me again (in addition to our algorithm models because everything is either at resistance or support) today (some are same as from our swing trading platform side) are $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $XME, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $ABX and considering adding $LIT to the list. Also recently added to watch $CEW, $MYL, $TZA, $TREE and today added are $NVDA, $SOXS, $KBH, $BCOR. Also on OTC side new are $USRM, $PLSB, $LIGA and $ASCK.

Morning Momentum Stocks / News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Premarket momentum stocks to watch: $IDXG

$IDXG Premarket Live Charting https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USO/EX7L4TgM-IDXG-Premarket-up-30/

$IDXG Premarket up 36%

Gaps on these plays: 

News on these plays: 

Chart Set-Ups: Our algos – support and resistance everywhere. Oil and SPY have come off of support and Gold and Silver have respeced resistance – but you will want to watch closely going forward.

Previous Day Momentum Stocks to watch: 

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead tech developer @hundalSHS, and associate trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $IDXG 43%, $BVXV 16%, $CRBP 10%, $PGNX $DFFN $COP $RGLS $SGMO $HTGM $DRYS $FCEL $HPJ $JDST $DGAZ $GRFS $TS $DUST

 I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: Per above

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $NLNK $APPS $GRFS $RRC $EOG $COP $GPN $CYBR $ALV $GALT $FDX as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $LULU $EXAR $SCWX $CY $FSC $GT $GWW $RH as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $IDXG $LULU $VRX $TNXP $JDST $UWT $WTI $USOIL $SPY $VIX  – $MGTI, $NE, $XOM, $ONTX, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F