Category Archives: Trading Plan

Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Mar 16, 2017 in Compound Trading Chat room; $GLD, $GDX, $WTIC, $GPRO, $OCRL, $HTBX, $MICT, $SKLN, $CLRB, $GALE – $ONTX, $DUST, $USRM, $XOM, $NE, $BLKG, $DRYS, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OA0T_srGJKY 

Morning email note re: updates in case you missed it:

Morning Folks,

First, sorry if you get this email more than once – some day we’ll get that sorted.

Anyway, just got in to the office. It was a much longer trip than expected.

When I hit stop on the Wed trading room broadcast video (just now) YouTube is telling me it is processing. Due to extra length of video (normally we would hit stop right at end of market day) it seems to be taking some time for YouTube to “process” so I won’t be able to access the transcript until YouTube is done “processing” is my point.

So the trading room video and the transcript from Wed will not be ready until later and then we will publish it.

As far as the algorithm charting models and swing trading updates, we are starting processing now and will release them as they are available premarket today and some may not be ready until premarket Friday and possibly the odd one on weekend depending on data that comes back over the next few hours (trading status).

And really, considering the events of Wednesday… this isn’t so bad because the market is going to take a day or three to settle in to what just happened anyway.

Any questions let me know.

Curtis

Yesterday’s EPIC subscriber email note in case you missed it (it’s important):

“I would like to say however, I have spoken to a number of the EPIC traders the last few days about the recent action and trading oil in general. We have an updated EPIC performance report coming out soon that I have already seen and the results were staggering for me as a trader because the report was clear in that if a trader trades the outside widths of support and resistance only that EPIC provides they achieve an easy 50 – 100% return per year backtested. And then, if when the algo targets are reported as predictable by EPIC the trader uses them the ROI annually goes through the roof – all back-tested.

So in short, for any of you struggling (and I found a few that weren’t being disciplined) I encourage you to only trade the widths of resistance and support and only the targets when EPIC reports high predictability. It works. Report will be out over the coming days. As a trader is was humbling for me to see because of course I also struggle with that discipline and it is so easy.

Expect a detailed EPIC report tonight.

Curt”

Trading Room Attendance: With our commercial multi-user algorithm chart modeling client platform launch, upcoming 24 hour oil trading room and coding for our algorithm models for our trader’s cockpit (you’d have to read our story on our website to understand our build-out plans)… I won’t be in the trading room as much starting Tuesday March 14, 2017. I expect to be in the room most days the first hour or two and then I have to turn my attention to the platform development daily and assistance our software developers require of me. I will still have my monitors on and will likely comment and/or run intra-day review broadcasts etc – I just won’t be in the room minute by minute.

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published. The Algorithms and Daytrading Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Yesterday’s trading results are not available yet – Tuesday’s are here:

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing Charting Post (MACD focus):

Results of Gold trade vote are in!

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

Even though my holds are small in size I would like to start focusing on trading out of some of these, if not all.

All small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $ONTX, $DUST, $USRM, $XOM, $NE, $BLKG, $DRYS, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI.

Per recent’ $DUST I will close for a loss if Gold holds 1260 – sucks, but it was a relatively small position (to portfolio size) but I didn’t follow the golden rule… when a trade goes against your plan cut fast and I didn’t so I will likely pay the price. And I guess what has become the second golden rule… listen to the algos… they haven’t been wrong yet – so yes, I didn’t listen to my own invention ROSIE the Gold Algo (give Rosie a little plug there she deserves it lol). Embarrassing, especially because ROSIE nailed the bottom many weeks in advance of the bottom – all I had to do was listen and boom new house. Sad.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

Markets are on fire after FOMC. $GC_F Gold has got some new life but still within range (under) our algo upside target (1251.11) so caution is still warranted, crude oil $WTI $UWOIL $CL_F is trading well within the algo range published to members in advance of recent trade so they knew where to trade resistance and support – there is resistance at 49.60 and 50.95, Silver is in same category as Gold generally and is under the upside extension target so same thing applies, the $DXY US Dollar remains to be seen – of course there is significant pressure on it but it is the wild card in my opinion still yet (I know many think they have it pinned), $SPY is trading just under our  algo upside interim extension target, and well $VIX is dead still.

Swing Trading watchlist per previous:

My main newest watches for swing trading long are other than momentum stocks are $GSIT (possible semiconductor break-out), $AXP, $ABX, $RIG (higher lows), $XLE, $NFLX (turned long possible over 146.11), $URRE (wedge pattern), $TAN, $ABX, $WYNN (needs to confirm), $SLX, $TWLO, $X, $XME, $AKS, $TSLA over 262.20 and a few others.

Morning Momentum Stocks / News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

Morning momo stocks / watchlist: $GPRO, $OCRL, $HTBX, $MICT, $SKLN, $CLRB, $GALE more.

News on these on my watchlist  $HTBX, $MICT, $SKLN, $CLRB, $GALE

There are gaps on these: $WSM $NOAH $GBT $ALRM $ORCL $TSLA $GPRO $GES $BIIB 

Noteables: GPRO +9%, JBL +1%, ORCL +6%, WSM +3%, TSLA +2%, FRSH +11%, MCRB +8%

$ORCL up 7.08% Premarket

8:30am
-Housing Starts
-Jobless Claims
-Philadelphia Fed Business -Outlook Survey

10am
JOLTS

10:30am
Nat Gas #

Housing starts top estimates in February http://seekingalpha.com/news/3251643-housing-starts-top-estimates-february?source=feed_f … #premarket

Two shops downgrade Biogen to neutral on dearth of near-term catalysts; shares ease 2% premarket http://dlvr.it/NdwV2d #BIIB

Goldman Sachs reduces Ciena to Neutral http://seekingalpha.com/news/3251648-goldman-sachs-reduces-ciena-neutral?source=feed_f … #premarket $CIEN

Intrepid Potash -12% after pricing 43.5M share offering http://seekingalpha.com/news/3251639-intrepid-potash-minus-12-percent-pricing-43_5m-share-offering?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $IPI

Infinera upgraded to Buy at Goldman Sachs; +3.96% http://seekingalpha.com/news/3251636-infinera-upgraded-buy-goldman-sachs-plus-3_96-percent?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $INFN

GoPro stock soars 11% premarket after job cuts, adjusted profitability reported

Pound moves higher after BOE thanks to one dissenter http://seekingalpha.com/news/3251633-pound-moves-higher-boe-thanks-one-dissenter?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $FXB $EWU $GBB $EWUS

Dollar General Stock Climbs Premarket on 4Q Beat $DG http://dlvr.it/Ndvg54

Guess shares down 12.5% in premarket trading after late-Wednesday earnings http://ift.tt/1mwkxpg

Heat Biologics gets delisting notice from Nasdaq related to low bid price, investors do their pa… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3251604-heat-biologics-gets-delisting-notice-nasdaq-related-low-bid-price-investors-part-shares-19?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $HTBX

$ORCL stock surges 6.85% premarket after profit beat and dividend raise late Wednesday

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: see above  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $GSIT, $AXP, $ABX, $RIG, $XLE, $NFLX, $URRE, $TAN, $ABX, $WYNN, $SLX, $TWLO, $X, $XME, $AKS, $TSLA

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:Upgrades $ETR $INST $NCR $GPRO $ORCL $LITE $INFN $OAS $LC $AR $DAL $LRCX $GG $ABX $OXM $GOGL $COLB $PFGC $TJX $ATI $JBL $GG $SYNA $THRM  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $EWBC $RUBI $CIEN $TROV $MASI $GARS $CNP $DBVT $TCBI $NEM $WSM $BIIB $UAL $TSN as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $GLD, $GDX, $WTIC, $GPRO, $OCRL, $HTBX, $MICT, $SKLN, $CLRB, $GALE  – $MGTI, $NE, $XOM, $USRM, $ONTX, $VRX, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $DRYS – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F