Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List for Wednesday August 2, 2017 #EIA, $FEYE, $AAPL, $AGIO, $IBB, $XBI, $LABU – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

Starting Tuesday I will be trading for our private fund (as mentioned in the trading room and on recent Master Class video) which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years they will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been very positive and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of intelligent assistance algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress may continue the legacy fund thereafter in some form or another.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY and $DXY are entering Generation 2 modeling in August.

New GOLD alerts Twitter feed is @GoldAlerts_CT

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about thirty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Quarterly PL’s are in process.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

Master Class 2:00 PM every Tues, Wed, Thur, Fri from 2 PM to 3:30 PM until complete. All members receive a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members (anyone to date as of Tuesday when it starts) receives it free.

If you are a member that has received the video series and you ask me questions in the trading room, on DM, email etc that has the answer contained in the Master Class Series I will defer you to the training videos going forward:) That actually goes for any of the published reporting FYI.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

Master Class Video 7 has been sent to member email inboxes. It is published “unlisted” so please respect that.

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

Aug 1 Mid Day Trade Chart Set-Ups $USOIL, $CCJ, $LQMT, $FSLR, $LL, $ONVS, $UBNT, $DDS, $PLSE, $CMCO

July 31 Mid Day Trade Chart Set-Up Review $NATGAS, $FSLR, $OMVS, $CYTR, $DVAX, $XXII, $SBBP …

July 28 Chart / Trade Set-Ups $SBUX, $WIX, $CCJ, $GLD, $XXII, $UCTT, $FSLR, $IGMN, $BIDU, $ALGN …

July 27 Mid day chart set up review $DVAX, $MBRX, $GNC, $PDLI, $LPSN, $ESPR, $SENS, $R, $SNAP

Master Webinar Schedule. All events listed here are subscriber access only unless otherwise specified (confirm time and attendance in advance).
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/874160073685188608

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum Stocks on Watch: $RWLK, $PMC, $CLSN, $AMRN

Other Gaps of Note Premarket: $AGIO with these on watch $IBB $XBI $LABU

Short term bias toward / on watch:Oil $USOIL $WTI came off overnight, $DXY US Dollar flat, Gold / Silver moderate,. $SPY moderate / up and $VIX moderate – there is a general time / price cycle terminating now-ish and a serious one early to mid Sept… so I am watching closer as summer rolls on. 

OTC on watch: $OMVS

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $ALIM $AYX $BMRN $BREW $CAKE $CLVS $DATA $DDD $EXEL $FIT $HABT $MRO $NXPI $OAS $OCLR $QLYS $QRVO $RIG $STMP $TSLA $TTWO $WMB

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades: $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $UGLD. All other holds are small size (less than 5% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

$HIIQ closed yesterday 28.95 from 23.90 long.

$IPXL closed yesterday 19.30 from 18.87.

$WMT closed yesterday 78.76 from 74.81.

$AKCA closed yesterday 14.53 from 12.53 entry.

$MCRB Opened long 14.00 closed 14.16 didn’t act right #swingtrading

$AAOI That was a nice $3000.00 win – again decent ROI. 9 days to ER and it’s scraping the ceiling again! wow! trading 95.63 #swingtrading

$SPWR Open 10.52 closed 11.30 1000 for $800.00. Nice ROI. Trading 11.06 with ER in 7 days and in the bowl. #swingtrading

$SRG Swing trade went well. 46.06 entry 1000 closed 49.94 and 48.18 from 46.06 (error in other alert) for near $3000.00 gain. #swingtrading

$NFLX NetFlix 159.35 entry closed 188.40 200 for near $6000.00 gain. Trading 187.91 and may go again here. Watching. #swingtrading

$FEYE closed 15.76 fr 14.40 entry up $650.00 on 500. ER in 7 days and scraping a break-out level. #swingtrading

Down about 400.00 on that swing trade test of $DXY support area in $UUP. We’ll see how it handles next support. #swingtrading

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch: $FSLR, $COTY, $CCJ, $PDLI, $DVAX, $GNC, $MBRX, $LPSN, $ESPR, $SENS and others. See mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube (member only on email also FYI).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

$CCJ I will look at if it gets up over 100 MA on weekly and proves itself in bowl on daily. #tradingprocess

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CCJ/XseNaiRa-CCJ-I-will-look-at-if-it-gets-up-over-100-MA-on-weekly-and-prov/

Market Outlook:

Bullish:)

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

7:00
Mortgage Apps

8:15
ADP Jobs Report

8:30
Job Creation Index

10:30
#EIA Crude Inventories

3:30
Fed’s Williams: Monetary Policy

$MEIP – Helsinn Group and MEIP Announce First Patient Dosed in Pivotal Ph 3 Study of Pracinostat and Azacitidine in Acute Myeloid Leukemia

$CTIC CTI Biopharma says completed enrollment in phase 3 

$AAPL up 5+% after hours, and earnings just got a lot juicier http://cnb.cx/2u1IbbM

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $RWLK 19%, $PMC 15% $CLSN $AMRN $ILMN $ONCE $KEM $FEYE $GNW $AAPL $GRMN $CLDX $MTW $TAP $CRTO $GOGL $QUOT $STM $MU I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $UGAZ $XIV $SPY $MTSI $BGFV $COHR $ULTI $FSLR $SPWR $JWN $RMD $JNUG $NUGT $GLD $AU $OCLR $RIO $RACE $HSBC $SQQQ I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Recent Upgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Recent Downgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: #EIA, $FEYE, $AAPL, $AGIO, $IBB, $XBI, $LABU, $USOIL, $WTI, $GLD, $GDX, $SPY, $DXY  – $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Monday Dec 5. $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Monday morning I sold off my $SGY swing position from last Thursday average 7.09 cost basis at 8.295 for a tidy profit (it was a larger swing entry). I also scalped $AGIO wash-out that I expected a snap back in. I took a late day $JDST long entry (which is tough because they’re buying the dips in $GOLD now but I see $USD/JPY not quite done – we’ll see – likely overtrading) and I am still holding $JUNO and $CBMX.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

$SGY I sold a tad early in the morning run-rup… but a profit is just that. My original entries did not give me a 4 to 1 minimum risk reward. They are starting to buy the $GOLD dips instead of selling the rips so my $JDST risk-reward potential IS NOT 4 to 1 which breaks a primary trading rule for sure.

Looking Forward:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Bios coiled hard this morning. Emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT and others are setting up. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS is getting close to resistance. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY will do.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:24 am Curtis M : Risk Disclaimer https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/

09:21 am Curtis M : Gainers: HTBX +10%25. SGY +10%25. FGP +10%25. INO +9%25. ORIG +8%25. GMED +6%25. FCAU +5%25. BAK +5%25. SDRL +5%25.

Losers: CERC -39%25. GPL -9%25. HMY -6%25.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:04 am Curtis M : Gainers Watch-List: $CGIX $FRP $BLCM $UGAZ $HTBX $TRIL $LBIO $FGP $CHMA $VNR $BOIL $NAK $KEM $CEMP $BAK
09:07 am GSCT . : Nice move SGY this a.m.
09:11 am Sami T : $SGY should come along today – we’ll see how oil does
09:12 am Curtis M : $SGY high risk but I’m in t to win it:)
09:35 am Curtis M : Out $SGY swing 8.295
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Exiting some of the CLD Dec9 10c’s opened last week. .7 from .26
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : *CLF
09:44 am Curtis M : Decent wash out $AGIO
09:46 am Curtis M : Long $AGIO 49.09 500 swing
09:47 am Curtis M : Out 49.46 looking for reentry
10:05 am AW H : Leaderboard $SGY $FRP $FGP $LGCY $OPTT $HTBX $WTI $EYEG $EMES
10:05 am Curtis M : Appreciate that Andrew
10:14 am Curtis M : I doubt anyone listened to @ROSIEtheAlgo warnings about Gold – I’m assuming of course
10:17 am Curtis M : $NDRM 29% move seems a little aggressive
10:18 am Curtis M : wow
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Following a sweep back into some BAC calls. Dec16 22.5’s. Fins took a breather late last week, expecting more movement and the price is cheap enough
10:20 am Curtis M : Bios are getting really fired up – a lot of coiling on the board
10:26 am Curtis M : Looking for 115.80 – 116.00 ish USD/JPY to start scaling in to miner’s long
10:27 am Curtis M : May get a pull back at 144.78 but waiting
10:37 am Curtis M : NATGAS should pull back soon
10:50 am Curtis M : $EEM setting up bullish
11:14 am Curtis M : On lunch until 12:15 EST
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : In some Jan HOV 2.5’s. Clear breakout mode but this think needs to juice quickly for a decent chance at a gain.
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : In @.10
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : In a few JNUG calls as well. Sweepers have been active there. Low risk lotto style weeklies. Won’t play this heavy until we actually get the trend reversal underway and the USD/JPY plays nice
12:37 pm Curtis M : back
12:37 pm Curtis M : lunch a little longer than expected
12:49 pm Curtis M : $EGO revving up
12:54 pm Curtis M : $NVCN $VNR $BCEI $TDW $SGY $UGAZ $AMMJ $LGCY $FGP $FRP $OPTT $HOS $CBEO $WTI $ORIG $KITE
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Miners on the move. Dollar coming off, USD/JPY finally chilling
01:03 pm Curtis M : Looking at $JDST long
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like it. Those JNUG calls already working for me
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : May pick up some long term GDX calls as well if move confirms over next day or two
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Biggest surprise to me here is the lack of action in OIL given the dollar fall
01:16 pm GSCT . : Why JDST and not DUST?
01:18 pm Curtis M : Oversold relative
01:45 pm Curtis M : Scaling in 2000 $JDST long
02:11 pm Curtis M : Scaling in another 2000 $JDST
02:53 pm Sami T : $LAZ jumpy
02:55 pm Sami T : $EEM risk off
02:57 pm Ralph H : $DVAX Setting up gap fill soon
02:59 pm Curtis M : $DVAX looks great
03:18 pm Curtis M : $NVCN surprising
03:23 pm Jack T : $NVCN peeps buying high of day
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Signing off early today, meetings later. Have a good night all. See ya in the AM
03:32 pm Curtis M : Bye Mathew
03:32 pm AW H : ttyl Mat
03:33 pm Curtis M : Im at my avg buy lol $JDST 33.45
03:56 pm Curtis M : Well I’m calling it a night – thanks for coming out folks! TTYL

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC