S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Wednesday May 17, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Fibonacci Charting

Yesterday, we produced the first step in the new charting model that will be complete by Monday. If you missed the report yesterday please read it here first: Freedom S&P 500 $SPY (Complete Algorithm Charting Process Commences) Tues May 16 $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

With algorithmic modeling and associated trading, we first “root” our trading in simple charts (as with the report yesterday) and then we move on to Fibonacci related work. Much of what we do with Fib work is conventional, but some you will find is outside convention.

Below is the first 60 minute time frame trading quadrant set in to the chart. The diagonal dotted lines will act as intra-day support and resistance when trading interacts. The red circle is the technical time and price target – but it is only a target – price will often fail the target – but more often than not trend toward it. The upper resistance decision on this chart is in the 241.33 – .50 range as with previous price extension pricing.

These “quadrants” can be used on various time frames and will be invaluable when you learn how to use them for trade on different time frames.

Also the horizontal Fib lines naturally act as support and resistance.

Our oil algo uses these quadrants primarily on the 30 minute chart.

So in the next report we will start to add in these quadrants on shorter time frames and build out the quadrant map so to speak. Then the next report after that we will work with various price extensions, algo targets, intra-day trading quadrants and time / price cycles.

If you review an EPIC the OIL chart you will see these quadrants in action.

For now, I am going to leave it here.

I have left recent report notes and charts below also for context.

First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY, Fibonacci, Chart, 60 Min

First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Per Previous Reporting (for context)

New Charting

Well, it has been a long road, but we have finally confidently locked in the algorithmic model charting for $SPY. an exciting day for us in the lab.

Trading Range Extensions (wide time-frame price targets – the main turns). In short, we have been publishing price predicts for the main price extensions on $SPY trade and for about four months now we have been hitting them. The price extension price targets are the most important. If you can catch the main turns in trade then this of course is where the money is. So that was the primary priority and it has proven out. Reviewing historical reports this is represented by the red dotted line extensions and was also in writing (the price predicts of trading extensions).

Trading Quadrants (shorter time frame trading ranges). The second priority was to lock in the natural trading range on shorter time frames, we call these quadrants and they have been represented on the charts as geometric shapes (boxes, or as some refer to them as diamonds). These also have proven out.

Trading Time Cycles / Main Resistance Areas (clusters of resistance). You would have to go back in the historical reporting some time to confirm that our algorithm has actually called these consistently, but it has. The more recent is the area $SPY is struggling to breach right now and the significant one prior to Christmas last year. The purpose of knowing where the primary time cycle resistance areas (or clusters) are, is for traders to know where and when it is bets to let off the gas to speak.

Specific Time / Price Targets. This area of work in the algorithm we are still working with (in development) and as such you will know begin to see our best guess of specific time / price targets weekly. You would have to review EPIC the Oil Algo posts or Twitter feed to understand what I am referring to (they are represented on EPIC’s feed as red circles and EPIC has been undeniably accurate). Now, IT IS CRITICAL to know that we may never be able to lock in these “cyrstal ball” specific time and price targets with $SPY like we have with EPIC. But that doesn’t make the work we are doing ineffective, actually quite the opposite.

If you have been a member for a while you will have known the basics of the process, if not, you may want to review at least the last ten or so posts (if you do not have the passwords you can request from Sartaj by email at [email protected]). It isn’t required to review the historical of course, just something that is available to you.

So what does this mean going forward?

Going forward we will be representing the work we do over the next three or four days in a build-out (a release process) of the most basic simple charting to most extensive algorithmic model charting we have now (based on the model completed) – representing the points / signals I explained above.

This is exactly the same process that EPIC the Oil Algo undertook when we were preparing / training our traders to use the model. This is the process for us to train our traders with $SPY also and so you will also be the recipients of that process over the next few days.

So in short, your report today will start with the most basic charting and over the next few days completing at latest Monday you will have the full model of charting and it will be very similar to EPIC the Oil Algorithm’s charting.

If over the next few days you have any questions (or going forward of course), please let us know by Twitter DM or email [email protected]. And also quick, with the new model building out you will of course see the monthly subscription rate rise over time (appropriate to work involved for maintenance of model charting) but existing members are grandfathered without increase if subscription does not lapse).

Reporting Rotation, Futures, $ES_F, $VIX, 24 Hour Trading Room

The next steps (after the full model is published prior to Monday) are as follows’

  • The rotations for $SPY newsletters will increase to multiple times per week (updating the model).
  • The $VIX newsletter will be updated, published, and the reporting rotations will also increase although not to the same frequency and not to the same model build-out level as Oil or SPY. It is still in early development.
  • New charting will be release in 2017 representing future / $ES_F and as with Oil there will be a 24 hour trading room. Do not expect this until later in 2017.

So Let’s Start the Process of the Chart Build-Out

This process will take three or four days of reporting. It will start with the most basic conventional charting for our traders to be “grounded in” and will culminate in the full model. Even when the full model is published, our reporting will still often include as part of the reporting the basic charting for our trader’s reference.

So bear with us for just a few days here…

Today we are going to publish the simple charts, next day the Fibonacci based charts and then the next two days roll-out the algorithmic model charting with signals on charts as explained above.

Live Charts

When we provide a link to a live chart and the chart viewer opens (after you click on link) you can click the share button in the bottom right corner (beside the thumbs up symbol) and then click “make it mine”.

Simple Charts

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/ROD7Pvvd-15-Min-Price-above-with-100-MA-to-breach-200-MA-SQZMOM-red-but/

Watch that 100 MA for a breach thru 200 MA. Could be the pop it needs.

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/NGupBbKi-Hourly-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trending-up-M/

The Stoch RSI on the hourly is indicating downward price pressure but the 20 MA breaching the 50 MA is bullish. The SQZMOM is bullish on the hourly as is the MACD.

$SPY, Hourly

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/BKemGzVf-Daily-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trend-down-gree/

As with above, the indicators are indecisive on daily. Most important consideration would be the Stoch RSI trending down.

$SPY, Daily

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2jPsid8T-Weekly-Indecision-Price-extended-well-above-200-MA-SQZMOM-tr/

Weekly chart shows a Stoch RSI trending up, which is bullish but advantage bears is price way over extended over 200 MA and SQMOM trending down and MACD pinch. And don’t forget the resistance cluster above – it isn’t an absolute wall, but price action was challenged last time it attempted to breach it and price did come off to 20 MA.

$SPY, Weekly, Chart

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Most Recent (Old Version) Charting and Text in Old Reports for Easy Reference of New Members (for context)

Price as we predicted has been in a rest mode since most recent upside price target predicted was hit. Price is trading at or near the mid range pivot (dark grey horizontal line).

Live $SPY Chart representing current extensions:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/PmozIbII-SPY-Worksheet/

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon May 1 439 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Trading just the price extension targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.

Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.

Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 233.33 area before a decision.

Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 241.50 area before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.

Warning per recent reports;

This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Tuesday May 16, 2017; $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA, $WB, $SINA, $PGPM, $PBR, $EWZ, $JASO – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Swing Trading Service Registrants and Day Trading side are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of that I spoke to myself are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that choose that.

Two Week Trading Challenge is Over (34% vs. double up) and I Start a New One Yesterday. Only this time the trading challenge is six months!

Likely it now for two week 20k double small account trading challenge +6772.00. No double but 30%+ is okay ROI #tradingchallenge

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Learn How to Trade Stocks (Build a Small Account) Following my Journey. Part 5 “Freedom Traders” Series.

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $XGTI $XTNT $AKBA

Bias toward / on watch: 

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX trending sideways but also toward upward price extension of our SPY algo, $GLD, $GDX Gold Miners catching up to Gold yesterday, $SLV Getting some lift here. $USOIL, $WTI is up over one important resistance on OPEC Russia and Saudi news and will be getting in to some serious resistance soon if it continues. $DXY is testing critical support area again and $VIX is in lowest range in decades.

OTC on watch: $PGPM I traded yesterday. Randoms I’ve noticed over last few weeks… $BRNE, $ELED, $PVCT, $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH, $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: 

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $PGPM (OTC)

Stocks with News: $MIRN, $LCI, $SGMO,$PSID, $ETSY

SEC Filings to Watch: 

Short Term Trader’s Edge: 

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of day trading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $SNDX Golden Cross, $PCRX, $PBR, $CTSH, $FEYE, $TSLA, $NVO, $EWZ, $AMBA, $EOG, $COTY, $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $JASO Golden Cross, $VIPS – We are working on these and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to Youtube of each trading day.

Market Outlook :

Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change. And don’t forget our $SPY algo warned about recent highs.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
Housing Starts

8:55am
Redbook

9:15am
Industrial Production

10am
E-Commerce Retail Sales

$MIRN Synlogic and Mirna Therapeutics Agree to Merger http://investor.mirnarx.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=1026554 …

$LCI Lannett Announces Approval For Levocetirizine Dihydrochloride Oral Solution, 2.5 mg/5 mL (0.5 mg/mL)

$SGMO $PFE Sangamo granted Fast Track designation for SB-525 gene therapy by FDA

Ransomware attack again thrusts U.S. spy agency into unwanted spotlight http://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyber-attack-blame-idUSKCN18C02D?il=0 … $FEYE $PANW $BBRY

PositiveID reports Q1 results https://seekingalpha.com/news/3267745-positiveid-reports-q1-results?source=twitter_salphatech … #premarket $PSID

Etsy’s stock soars 10% premarket after private-equity firms disclose stakes late Monday

Snap’s stock rallies 1.5% in premarket trade

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $XGTI $XTNT $AKBA $BDSI $WB $GILT $SINA $VOD $DB $VIPS $HD $FIT $NUGT $TOT $FEYE $LOGI $BP $SNAP $RIO $MOMO I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $JDST $DWT $EDIT $PTX $YNDX $DKS $ETRM $SSTS $HTGM $IDXG $SBGL $$UGAZ $DDD $DUST $TAL $DRYS $TVIX $UVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $LGIH $CR $DK $FET $AIG $DPS $RGC $TGI $WRI $CUZ $YUM $RPM  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $MDC $FRTA $PTHN $NK $VLO $MELI $PFE $CHD as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $XGTI, $XTNT, $AKBA, $WB, $SINA, $PGPM, $PBR, $EWZ, $JASO – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Tuesday May 16, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

New Charting

Well, it has been a long road, but we have finally confidently locked in the algorithmic model charting for $SPY. an exciting day for us in the lab.

Trading Range Extensions (wide time-frame price targets – the main turns). In short, we have been publishing price predicts for the main price extensions on $SPY trade and for about four months now we have been hitting them. The price extension price targets are the most important. If you can catch the main turns in trade then this of course is where the money is. So that was the primary priority and it has proven out. Reviewing historical reports this is represented by the red dotted line extensions and was also in writing (the price predicts of trading extensions).

Trading Quadrants (shorter time frame trading ranges). The second priority was to lock in the natural trading range on shorter time frames, we call these quadrants and they have been represented on the charts as geometric shapes (boxes, or as some refer to them as diamonds). These also have proven out.

Trading Time Cycles / Main Resistance Areas (clusters of resistance). You would have to go back in the historical reporting some time to confirm that our algorithm has actually called these consistently, but it has. The more recent is the area $SPY is struggling to breach right now and the significant one prior to Christmas last year. The purpose of knowing where the primary time cycle resistance areas (or clusters) are, is for traders to know where and when it is bets to let off the gas to speak.

Specific Time / Price Targets. This area of work in the algorithm we are still working with (in development) and as such you will know begin to see our best guess of specific time / price targets weekly. You would have to review EPIC the Oil Algo posts or Twitter feed to understand what I am referring to (they are represented on EPIC’s feed as red circles and EPIC has been undeniably accurate). Now, IT IS CRITICAL to know that we may never be able to lock in these “cyrstal ball” specific time and price targets with $SPY like we have with EPIC. But that doesn’t make the work we are doing ineffective, actually quite the opposite.

If you have been a member for a while you will have known the basics of the process, if not, you may want to review at least the last ten or so posts (if you do not have the passwords you can request from Sartaj by email at [email protected]). It isn’t required to review the historical of course, just something that is available to you.

So what does this mean going forward?

Going forward we will be representing the work we do over the next three or four days in a build-out (a release process) of the most basic simple charting to most extensive algorithmic model charting we have now (based on the model completed) – representing the points / signals I explained above.

This is exactly the same process that EPIC the Oil Algo undertook when we were preparing / training our traders to use the model. This is the process for us to train our traders with $SPY also and so you will also be the recipients of that process over the next few days.

So in short, your report today will start with the most basic charting and over the next few days completing at latest Monday you will have the full model of charting and it will be very similar to EPIC the Oil Algorithm’s charting.

If over the next few days you have any questions (or going forward of course), please let us know by Twitter DM or email [email protected]. And also quick, with the new model building out you will of course see the monthly subscription rate rise over time (appropriate to work involved for maintenance of model charting) but existing members are grandfathered without increase if subscription does not lapse).

Reporting Rotation, Futures, $ES_F, $VIX, 24 Hour Trading Room

The next steps (after the full model is published prior to Monday) are as follows’

  • The rotations for $SPY newsletters will increase to multiple times per week (updating the model).
  • The $VIX newsletter will be updated, published, and the reporting rotations will also increase although not to the same frequency and not to the same model build-out level as Oil or SPY. It is still in early development.
  • New charting will be release in 2017 representing future / $ES_F and as with Oil there will be a 24 hour trading room. Do not expect this until later in 2017.

So Let’s Start the Process of the Chart Build-Out

This process will take three or four days of reporting. It will start with the most basic conventional charting for our traders to be “grounded in” and will culminate in the full model. Even when the full model is published, our reporting will still often include as part of the reporting the basic charting for our trader’s reference.

So bear with us for just a few days here…

Today we are going to publish the simple charts, next day the Fibonacci based charts and then the next two days roll-out the algorithmic model charting with signals on charts as explained above.

Live Charts

When we provide a link to a live chart and the chart viewer opens (after you click on link) you can click the share button in the bottom right corner (beside the thumbs up symbol) and then click “make it mine”.

Simple Charts

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/ROD7Pvvd-15-Min-Price-above-with-100-MA-to-breach-200-MA-SQZMOM-red-but/

Watch that 100 MA for a breach thru 200 MA. Could be the pop it needs.

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/NGupBbKi-Hourly-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trending-up-M/

The Stoch RSI on the hourly is indicating downward price pressure but the 20 MA breaching the 50 MA is bullish. The SQZMOM is bullish on the hourly as is the MACD.

$SPY, Hourly

Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/BKemGzVf-Daily-Indecision-20-MA-breached-50-MA-SQZMOM-trend-down-gree/

As with above, the indicators are indecisive on daily. Most important consideration would be the Stoch RSI trending down.

$SPY, Daily

Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/2jPsid8T-Weekly-Indecision-Price-extended-well-above-200-MA-SQZMOM-tr/

Weekly chart shows a Stoch RSI trending up, which is bullish but advantage bears is price way over extended over 200 MA and SQMOM trending down and MACD pinch. And don’t forget the resistance cluster above – it isn’t an absolute wall, but price action was challenged last time it attempted to breach it and price did come off to 20 MA.

$SPY, Weekly, Chart

Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.

 

Most Recent (Old Version) Charting and Text in Old Reports for Easy Reference of New Members (for context)

Price as we predicted has been in a rest mode since most recent upside price target predicted was hit. Price is trading at or near the mid range pivot (dark grey horizontal line).

Live $SPY Chart representing current extensions:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/PmozIbII-SPY-Worksheet/

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon May 1 439 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Trading just the price extension targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.

Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.

Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 233.33 area before a decision.

Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 241.50 area before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.

Warning per recent reports;

This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Thursday May 11, 2017; $MSLI, $UVXY, $NUGT, $USLV, $BRNE, $AMBA, $EOG, $COTY, $FSLR, $JASO  – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Midway thru day 8 of two week 20k double small account trading challenge +6750.00 ?? 2.5 days left, runway real short #tradingchallenge

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $MSLI, $SGMO, $PED

Bias toward / on watch: Swings, Gold, Silver, Volatility, etc.  $UVXY, $NUGT, $USLV, $BRNE, $AMBA, $EOG, $COTY, $FSLR, $JASO

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX trending sideways but also toward upward price extension of our SPY algo, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV Getting some lift here. $USOIL, $WTI is up over one important resistance and testing another now. $DXY is testing critical support area $VIX is continuing with a hard time with a heart beat.

OTC on watch: $BRNE (I hold), $ELED, $PVCT and $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH and $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: 

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $MTBC

Stocks with News: 

SEC Filings to Watch: 

Short Term Trader’s Edge: $JASO Golden Cross, $NVDA, $TRIP, $YELP (earnings action)

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of daytrading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $AMBA, $EOG, $COTY, $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $TSLA, $NVO, $CTSH, $LACDF (will cover in mid day review)

$MSLI Premarket trading 1.38 +80% on news

$MSLI, premarket, trading, plan, stocks

$MSLI Premarket trading 1.38 +80% on news

Market Outlook :

Looks like clear skies on deck .Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change. And don’t forget our $SPY algo warned about recent highs.

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

6:25am

William Dudley Speaks

8:30am
-Jobless Claims
-Core PPI (Apr)

10:30am
NatGas #’s

$MNKD Piper reiterates Underweight. PT 54c

Verizon Outbids AT&T for 5G Tech Firm Straight Path $STRP $VZ $T

Cisco buying AI company for $125M https://seekingalpha.com/news/3266411-cisco-buying-ai-company-125m?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $CSCO

$STRP shares plunging premarket 20.4%

Synthetic Bio’s ribaxamase a Breakthrough Therapy for prevention of C. diff infection; shares ahead 30% premarket

MACY’S DROPS 4.9% AFTER 1Q COMP. SALES MISS ESTIMATES

Merck stock rises 2% premarket after new Keytruda lung cancer approval

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $MSLI, $SGMO, $PED, $SYMX $APRI $LPSN $IPFI $HPJ $FOXA $NTES $TVIX $UWT $JNUG $UVXY $UGAZ $NUGT $USLV  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :$SPY $XIV $DGAZ $DWT $JDST $DUST $M $SNAP $ITUS $STRP $HOLX $CTRP $SYMC $MNKD $NYRT $PIRS $KSS I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:    as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $MSLI, $UVXY, $NUGT, $USLV, $BRNE, $AMBA, $EOG, $COTY, $FSLR, $JASO – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Wednesday May 10, 2017;  $JASO, $ARGS, $PRTO, $MTBC, $NVDA, $TRIP, $YELP, $FSLR – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

End of day 7 of two week 20k double account trading challenge +6250.00 ?? Three days left ugh runway getting real short #tradingchallenge

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: Premarket Action Jackson: $PRTO $MNKD $ONCS $ARRY $AMF $NVDA

$PRTO Premarket up 57% on FDA approval #premarket

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX trending sideways but also toward upward price extension of our SPY algo, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV maybe getting some lift here. $USOIL, $WTI hit the algo support line yesterday per EPIC the Oil algo and is trading up a bit since. $DXY is testing critical support area $VIX is continuing in having a hard time with a heart beat.

OTC on watch: $ELED, $PVCT and $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH and $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: $PRTO $MTBC $MNKD $CROX $ANF $NVDA

Stocks with News: $PRTO, $ONCS, $ATOS

SEC Filings to Watch: $CAPR $3.7m private placement at $3.10/share

Short Term Trader’s Edge: $JASO Golden Cross, $NVDA, $TRIP, $YELP (earnings action)

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of daytrading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $FSLR, $AAOI, $HIIQ, $TSLA, $NVO, $CTSH, $LACDF (will cover in mid day review)

Market Outlook :

Looks like clear skies on deck .Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change. And don’t forget our $SPY algo warned about recent highs.

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

NVIDIA surges more than 12% in premarket trading on bullish outlook

$PRTO Premarket Proteon Therapeutics Receives FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for Vonapanitase

$ONCS $MRK OncoSec Announces Clinical Collaboration with Merck http://ir.oncosec.com/press-releases/detail/1905/oncosec-announces-clinical-collaboration-with-merck-to …

$ATOS Atossa receives second positive safety committee decision in tamoxifen study.

$SVRA Savara Announces Expedited U.S. Molgradex Development Strategy

Abercrombie & Fitch’s stock soars toward 5-month high after report of fielding buyout interest http://on.mktw.net/2q2cqeT

Bond traders are pricing in a nearly 80% chance of a June rate hike. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-09/bond-traders-ramp-up-bets-on-september-for-a-third-2017-fed-hike … @BChappatta

Mall names on watch with Abercrombie & Fitch shopping offers https://seekingalpha.com/news/3265767-mall-names-watch-abercrombie-and-fitch-shopping-offers?source=feed_f … #premarket $ANF $COH $KATE $GPS

Mylan stock up 3% premarket following first-quarter profit beat, revenue miss https://bankinformer.com/748145/mylan-stock-up-3-premarket-following-first-quarter-profit-beat-revenue-miss/ …

Natera $NTRA PT Raised to $16 at Canaccord Genuity Following 1Q

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $PRTO $MTBC $MNKD $CROX $ANF $NVDA  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :$YELP, $CXRX, $FOSL $VSI $DEPO $ACIA $EGLT $CLNT $GV $SPWR $ZAYO $BLPH $EARN $OPK $WSTC $INN I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:    as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $JASO, $ARGS, $PRTO, $MTBC, $NVDA, $TRIP, $YELP, $FSLR – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Monday May 8, 2017;  $STRP, $ARRY, $MRK, $COH, $KATE, $CRSP, $FCSC, $ITCI, $AXSM, $REGN, $INO – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

5th day two week 20k double account trading challenge?? @Quarry_Rock +4700 and me +3900. Need to pick up pace next week. #tradingchallenge

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports will be out soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: 

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX trending toward upward price extension of our SPY algo, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV are technically on the edge to disaster still. $USOIL, $WTI lost critical support last week as EPIC the Algo warned hit the bottom of the next algorithm broad quadrant and bounced – trading in downward with predictability. $DXY is testing critical support area $VIX having a hard time with a heart beat.

OTC on watch: $ELED, $PVCT and $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH and $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: 

Stocks with News: $STRP, $ARRY, $MRK, $COH, $KATE, $CRSP, $FCSC, $ITCI, $AXSM, $REGN, $INO

SEC Filings to Watch: $CAPR $3.7m private placement at $3.10/share

Short Term Trader’s Edge: 

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of daytrading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $AGN, $CTSH, $IBB, $FEYE, $SNAP, $LACDF (will cover in mid day review)

Market Outlook :

Looks like clear skies on deck .Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change.

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:35am
James Bullard Speaks

8:45am
Loretta Mester Speaks

10am
Labor Market Conditions Index

$STRP Straight Path’s stock rockets 26% premarket after receiving ‘superior’ buyout bid http://twib.in/l/oae6zgoGXLXz

$ARRY $MRK Array BioPharma Announces Strategic Collaboration with Merck http://investor.arraybiopharma.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=123810&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=2270726 …

Coach Will Buy Kate Spade For $2.4 Billion https://benzinga.com/z/9418411 $COH $KATE

$CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics Announces Exclusive License of Lipid Nanoparticle Technologies Developed at MIT

$FCSC DSMB recommends continuation of Phase 1/2 Clinical Trial of FCX-007

$ITCI Intra-Cellular Presents Data ‘Supporting’ the Potential for Potent and Rapid Antidepressant Activity with LumateperoneIntra-C

$AXSM – Axsome Therapeutics Gets Fast Track Designation for AXS-05

$REGN $INO Inovio & Regeneron Enter Immuno-Oncology Clinical Study Agreement for Glioblastoma Combination Therapy

$IRWD Q1 LINZESS U.S. net sales $148 million

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List :  $HSGX, $FNCX, $JD, $KATE $NWL $TSEM $CCP $SGYP $CATM $AUY $GOGL $VTTI $DGAZ $JNUG $DGAZ $NUGT $SVXY $XIV I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $HZNP – 30% PM I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:    as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $STRP, $ARRY, $MRK, $COH, $KATE, $CRSP, $FCSC, $ITCI, $AXSM, $REGN, $INO – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Thursday May 4, 2017; $TRLD, $SCON, $BVDL, $AMLH, $BUDZ, $FIT, $EXP, $LITE – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Last week Thursday, Friday and Monday post market reports will be out soon (we’re a little behind with processing reports).

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Looks like I’m up about 2100 on 20k acct after three days in two week double account challenge? Need to pick up the pace #tradingchallenge

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $TRLD, $SCON

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX looks hot, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV are technically on the edge to disaster. $USOIL, $WTI lost critical support as EPIC the Algo warned (see EPIC’s twitter feed – EPIC predicted this many days ago and gave the exact timing for the end of the price time cycle). $DXY is testing critical resistance $VIX trading near 10 year low (as of Monday)

Active OTC on watch: $ELED, $PVCT and $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH and $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: $APTO $SCON $SGMO $CNAT $FIT

Stocks with News:  $CRTV $NVS

SEC Filings to Watch: 

Short Term Trader’s Edge: 

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of daytrading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $GSIT, $TAN $IBB, $UNP, $LL, $MACK, $AGN, $CRM, $BRE, $RARE

Break-out Chart Set-Ups: $ALNY, $YNDX Buy on dips, $SSW has a resistance break-out, $HF, $CRY, $NOK.

Moving Averages Chart Set-Ups: $EXP, $LITE, $RTIX, $BLMN, $SNAP, $JUNO, $GREK, $UAA (20 MA about to cross up 50 MA)

$LITE Earnings day. Holding 200 MA, MACD at bottom, SQZMOM trending up, decent vol. #watchlist #premarket

$EXP SQZMOM green, MACD turned up good vol, 50 MA support test. #watchlist #swingtrading #premarket

$FIT premarket up 8.27%

Market Outlook :

Looks like clear skies on deck .Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change.

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

-Chain Store Sales

7:30am
Challenger Job-Cut Report

8:30am
-International Trade
-Jobless Claims

10am
Factory Orders

10:30am
Nat Gas #

$CTRV breaking news: ContraVir to Advance Second-Generation Formulation of Tenofovir Exalidex for Treatment of Hepatitis B Virus (HBV)

$NVS $CNAT Novartis exercises exclusive option agreement with Conatus for the treatment of NASH https://www.novartis.com/news/media-releases/novartis-exercises-exclusive-option-agreement-conatus-treatment-nash …

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS EXP: 247K ACTUAL: 238K TRADE BALANCE EXP: -$44.5b ACTUAL: -$43.7B

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $TLRD, $SCON, $MNKD $CNAT $HIIQ $APTO $CLSN $HTGM $TGB $CLMT $BCOR $WTI $DATA $FNBC $FIT $GLBS $RXDX $SQ  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :$TSLA $FIZZ $CAKE $UVXY $DWT $GLD $NUGT $GDX $LITE $WLL $CLF $PIRS $UWT $DGAZ $DDD I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  $FOGO $SYY $EMES $MMP $NSIT $BSMX $BG $FOGO $SYY $DLPH $HIIQ $FSLR $CG $GMED $JWN $KSS $HIVE  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $TSCO $HFC $GRMN $SRC $NGG $TSCO $HEP $QRVO $FSP $SQ $ZEUS $BANC $PMTS $TAP as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $TRLD, $SCON, $BVDL, $AMLH, $BUDZ, $FIT, $EXP, $LITE – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch list for Wednesday May 3, 2017; $PIRS, $PHMD, $ESES, $BLDV, $BVTK, $VRX, $TAN, $GSIT – $UWT, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Last week Thursday, Friday and Monday post market reports will be out soon (we’re a little behind with processing reports).

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:  http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: $PIRS $PHMD $ESES

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX mid range floating, $GLD Gold on its second day sitting right at that magic support area, $GDX, $SLV are in no man’s land lost still. $USOIL, $WTIC hit that resistance I talked about yesterday and kaboom and landed on support and bounced a tad and I’m long for a quick trade. $DXY has been flat just under 200 MA for seven days as is $VIX trading near 10 year low (as of Monday)

Active OTC on watch: $ELED, $PVCT and $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH and $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

Gaps to Watch: 

Stocks with News:  $PIRS, $OPHT, $SNGX

SEC Filings to Watch: 

Short Term Trader’s Edge: 

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size (less than 5% of daytrading account) holds in this order according to sizing: $UWT, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $GSIT, $TAN $IBB, $UNP, $LL, $MACK, $AGN, $CRM, $BRE, $RARE

Break-out Chart Set-Ups: $ALNY, $YNDX Buy on dips, $SSW has a resistance break-out, $HF, $CRY, $NOK.

Moving Averages Chart Set-Ups: $RTIX, $BLMN, $SNAP, $JUNO, $GREK, $UAA (20 MA about to cross up 50 MA)

Market Outlook :

Looks like clear skies on deck .Watch those large and mega caps – when they stall things could change. Apple earnings today.

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

S&P -0.14%.

10-yr -0.05%.

Euro -0.15% vs. dollar.

Crude +0.38% to $47.84.

Gold -0.14% to $1,255.23.

7am
Mortgage Apps

8:15am
Employment Report

8:30am
U.S. Job Creation Index

10am
Non-Mfg Index

10:30am
CRUDE Report

2pm
FOMC

Futures dip ahead of Fed decision https://seekingalpha.com/news/3262681-futures-dip-ahead-fed-decision?source=feed_f … #premarket $SPY $QQQ $DIA $SH

$OPHT Ophthotech Reports First Quarter 2017 Financial and Operating Results http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/AMDA-25HR8L/4405728326x0x940569/cfd3cab0-fd71-4202-a57c-60c7e9d565ad/OPHT_News_2017_5_3_General_Releases.pdf … Cash Position 227M market cap 102M

$PIRS +52% here is the news http://www.pieris.com/news-and-events/press-releases/detail/562/pieris-pharmaceuticals-and-astrazeneca-collaborate-to …

$SNGX Soligenix receives FDA protocol clearance of SGX942 Phase 3 clinical trial

Sprint shares gain 4% premarket after Q4 revenue beats expectations #stocknews

The Oprah effect is paying off big for Weight Watchers. $WTW posts surprise profit & jump in subscribers. $WTW up nearly 15% #premarket.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $PIRS $PHMD $ESES $STRP $FEYE $OB $WTW $APOP $PSTI $LLNW $FSLR $DLPH $NVO $CTXS $VRX $OCN $MDLZ $TVIX I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :$TWLO $ETSY $AKAM $CRAY $FTR $OCLR $FCX $RIO $AAOI $ACIA $GILD $DXCM $XIV $SPY $QCOM $SHOP $APC $PRGO $SYF $STM $ERIC $BDSI $AAPL $USLV $GLD I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  $FEYE $ARRY $FSLR $HP $MCD $KGC $STE $KAI $MDLZ $OAS $BMY as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $PBPB $AKAM $QTS $VRSK $XOG $SRCI $APC $CHTR $TWLO $COR $BLKB $GHDX $FIS $APC $BMY $SYF $SHOP $DXCM as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $PIRS, $PHMD, $ESES, $BLDV, $BVTK, $VRX, $TAN, $GSIT – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD


S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday May 1, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Price as we predicted has been in a rest mode since most recent upside price target predicted was hit. Price is trading at or near the mid range pivot (dark grey horizontal line).

Live $SPY Chart representing current extensions:

 

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/PmozIbII-SPY-Worksheet/

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon May 1 439 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets

Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.

Trading just the price extension targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.

Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.

Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.

Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 233.33 area before a decision.

Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 241.50 area before a decision.

Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.

Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.

Warning per recent reports;

This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watchlist for Friday April 28, 2017;  $SLV, $USLV, $AMLH, $RTIX, $BLMN, $SNAP, $JUNO, $GREK, $UAA – $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Notices:

Last week Thursday, Friday and Monday post market reports will be out soon (we’re a little behind with processing reports).

Today’s Live Trading Room Link: https://compoundtrading.clickmeeting.com/livetrading 

I just might take another crack at 2 week double my account trading challenge ?Live in room recorded ? Slay that dragon finally?? #trading

Most recent lead trader blog posts:

Now I’m Inspired! My Guarantee to Struggling Traders (and Yours). Part 3 “Freedom Traders” Series.

The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L. The Algorithms Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.

Most recent Keep it Simple Swing trade Charting (MACD, MA, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM focus):

Most recent Market Open Momentum Stock Trades Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):

Market Opening: $BLMN $SNAP $RTW $JUNO $GREK $CLWT $SSKN $MDGS

Most recent Mid Day Chart Set-Up Review Video (most recent available to public – there may be others in member’s newsletters):

Midday Chart Setup Review: $USOIL $WTI $SPY #GOLD $GDX $DXY $MSL $CVI

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watchlists:

Morning momentum stocks on watch so far: End of month flows today…watch your stops!

Markets: $SPY $ES_F $SPX mid range floating, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV are getting a bump in overnight trade. $USOIL, $WTIC is getting a bit of a bump like I expected in yesterday’s report but it is still under significant pressure and continues in a downward channel. $DXY under continued pressure as is $VIX.

Our futures

Commodities

Active OTC on watch: $PVCT and $LIGA (I hold),$AMLH vol picking back up and EOD action Thursday was awesome and it has filings on top of that near close could get explosive again.  and $BLDV $UPZS $OPMZ $MMEX $AMLH $ACOL $BVTK $USRM $ORRV $JAMN $PFSD

$AMLH Premarket. Closed strong yesterday and recent filings. OTC #trading

Gaps to Watch: $UAA – major down pressure with upside gap to fill.  

Stocks with News: $BMRN

SEC Filings to Watch: NASDAQ | SEC Filing $RXII “not less than 1-for-2 and not greater than 1-for-40,” http://secfilings.nasdaq.com/filingFrameset.asp?FilingID=12019637&RcvdDate=4/27/2017&CoName=RXI%20PHARMACEUTICALS%20CORP&FormType=DEFA14A&View=html …

Short Term Trader’s Edge: #SILVER $SLV $USLV Silver I am thinking runs in to early next week.

Holds: Most holds are small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI, $LIGA, $PVCT

Various Chart Set-ups on Watch: $UNP, $LL, $MACK, $AGN, $CRM, $BRE, $RARE

Break-out Chart Set-Ups: $YNDX Buy on dips, $SSW has a resistance break-out, $HF, $CRY, $NOK.

Moving Averages Chart Set-Ups: $RTIX, $BLMN, $SNAP, $JUNO, $GREK, $UAA (20 MA about to cross up 50 MA)

Market Outlook :

S&P 500 – Failure at the swing (RSI), if they go after 2400 today – 401K distribution Monday, Apple buy backs on Tues and Wed. Fed decision.

Per recent reports:

There are significant resistance clusters above recent highs in oil and the S&P so I will be very cautious to upside going forward until recent highs are taken out and confirmed. I see significant upside challenges in Oil and SPY with most recent highs being taken out.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
-GDP

9:45am
Chicago PMI

10am
Consumer Sentiment

1pm
BHI Rig #

1:15pm
Fed Brainard Speaks

2:30pm
Fed Harker Speaks

Royal Caribbean’s stock climbs 1% premarket after Q1 results

Ford’s stock gains premarket as recalls ding earnings that still beat fo.. Related Articles: http://bit.ly/2pFUCqW

ExxonMobil shares up 1.1% premarket

Exxon Mobil beats by $0.08, misses on revenue https://seekingalpha.com/news/3261234-exxon-mobil-beats-0_08-misses-revenue?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $XOM

$WDC – Wells Fargo downgrades Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC) from Outperform to Market Perform.

$BMRN receives FDA approval,

Qualcomm -4% on Apple-related profit warning https://seekingalpha.com/news/3261214-qualcomm-minus-4-percent-apple-related-profit-warning?source=feed_f … #premarket $QCOM

$SBUX down 5% #premarket

Oof. Time Inc. says it isn’t for sale. Many thought it would be bought. $TIME plunges 20% #premarket.

Ouch! Qualcomm cuts Q3 fiscal guidance as Apple holds back royalties – http://cnbc.com/id/104427517

$GM ?? +2.35% 41.2B vs 40.752B Est. 1.72 adj vs. 1.48 #premarket #earnings

Premarket: Global stocks pause near record highs on Trump policies http://trib.al/omB6HJj From @GlobeInvestor

#5things
-GDP day
-Trump’s North Korea warning
-Britain unites EU
-Markets flat
-Oil earnings due
https://bloom.bg/2pt4ZgU

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List : $WDC, $SWN, $GOOGL, $MTL $GOOG $SPH $UBS $AMZN $RBS $CNHI $JNUG $MT $GM $SAN $NUGT $VALE $MU $RIO $RIG I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  $BIDU $ATHN $GIMO $SBUX $JDST $QCOM $SYF $FCEL $TIME $STAY $DUST $SNCR $SWKS $EXPE $DWT I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $CHKP $IVC $BOKF $LPLA $ALGN $WDC $URI $SAM  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $GWB $AOS $AAWW $BMS $AMZN $EFX $GIMO $MMLP $ALLE $CHDN $ZBH $TEX $COLM $EXPE $AVT $ENTG $X as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $SLV, $USLV, $AMLH, $RTIX, $BLMN, $SNAP, $JUNO, $GREK, $UAA  – $PVCT, $LIGA, $MGTI, $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD

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