Tag: Silver
PreMarket Trading Report Fri Dec 28: TSLA, APHA, ABIL, OPK, EIA, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Friday December 28, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: TSLA, APHA, ABIL, OPK, EIA, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 28 – Still recovering from brutal food poisoning last 36 hours, trading room open today but likely trade will be really light until we are past Jan 1. Markets are not structured last number of days. Last Friday was completion of large time cycle in markets with a week either way as caution. Next week the new time cycles will be in play and our reporting and trading will reflect that (beyond Jan 1, 2019). Team is in session this weekend processing WIP completion for 2018 in to 2019.
- Dec 19 – The Trading View data issue overnight slowed us down, however, reports will be approved and emailed out as soon as intermittent issues resolve (most are resolved it seems now, but some are not at time of writing). Also, all work in progress from 2018 is scheduled to be complete before Jan 1 so we will be quieter than usual with a final push to complete. Caution in to the time cycle peak and step on accelerator on the way out the other side.
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Friday Dec 28 –
Closed DGAZ trade in premarket long 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade.
Per premarket note above: Still recovering from brutal food poisoning last 36 hours, trading room open today but likely trade will be really light until we are past Jan 1. Markets are not structured last number of days. Last Friday was completion of large time cycle in markets with a week either way as caution. Next week the new time cycles will be in play and our reporting and trading will reflect that (beyond Jan 1, 2019). Team is in session this weekend processing WIP completion for 2018 in to 2019.
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot is below in trades section. Will be more active now that I’m recovering from sick and Jan 1 near.
Near end of June we signaled to lighten up on equity longs and we brought our long trades in for a landing over the next 90 days (check our feeds). Since then we’ve consistently signaled caution in to end of time cycle in to end of Dec 2018. First two quarters 2019 we expect to be extremely active. Watch all reporting closely from recent forward.
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:19 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.57, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 46.16, Gold $GLD trading 1278.20, Silver $SLV trading 15.30, $SPY 249.71 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3600.00 and $VIX trading 29.5.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
$APHA (+12.2% pre) Pot Producer Aphria Rejects $2.1 Billion Green Growth Hostile Bid – BBG
$TSLA (+4.5% pre) Tesla names Larry Ellison and Kathleen Wilson-Thompson to board after SEC settlement – CNBC
$ABIL (+36.2% pre) Ability’s Line of Credit to be Repaid and Converted into Equity – SI
$OPK (+13.0% pre) OPKO Health and CEO and Chairman, Dr. Phillip Frost, Announce Proposed Resolution of SEC – SI
News:
Transocean wins $830 million five-year drilling contract from Chevron USA
$EW (+0.4% pre) Edwards Lifesciences Reports FDA Approval for SAPIEN 3 Ultra Transcatheter Heart Valve – SI
‘Completely Bizarre’ Stock Moves Leave Traders Scratching Heads https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-28/powell-has-lot-to-lose-and-little-to-gain-in-sit-down-with-trump
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/1078645667302653952
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Aphria Receives $2.1B Hostile Takeover Bid From Green Growth Brands https://benzinga.com/z/12907199 $APHA $GGBXF
Earnings:
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket
Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading
Gold (Daily) Trade testing TL resistance intra. Other noteable resistance marked (gray arrows). #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtradealerts
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Top 5 Things to Know in the Market on Friday “stocks were on track to register their worst month of December since 1931”
Top 5 Things to Know in the Market on Friday "stocks were on track to register their worst month of December since 1931"
https://t.co/IvXJgw1MeZ— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 28, 2018
The world’s biggest banks are reckoning on a rebound in oil prices next year as fears of a recession prove misplaced.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1078643754020626433
To have even a basic view on markets, you should have a clear view on two variables:
-next year’s PE ratio
-next year’s earnings
To have a view on multiples you a need a view on growth & inflation
To have a view on earnings you need to have a view on revenues & margins
To have even a basic view on markets, you should have a clear view on two variables:
-next year’s PE ratio
-next year’s earningsTo have a view on multiples you a need a view on growth & inflation
To have a view on earnings you need to have a view on revenues & margins
— The Long View (@HayekAndKeynes) December 28, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Wingstop shares up 2% premarket after Wedbush upgrades stock to outperform
$SRPT recent weakness is potential buying opportunity – BTIG. Reiterates Buy, PT $190
(6) Recent Downgrades:
$BHVN PT lowered to $54 from $63 at Oppenheimer
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading,Time Cycles, TSLA, APHA, EIA, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
PreMarket Trading Report Wed Dec 19: EIA, FOMC, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 19, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: EIA, FOMC, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 19 – The Trading View data issue overnight slowed us down, however, reports will be approved and emailed out as soon as intermittent issues resolve (most are resolved it seems now, but some are not at time of writing). Also, all work in progress from 2018 is scheduled to be complete before Jan 1 so we will be quieter than usual with a final push to complete. Caution in to the time cycle peak and step on accelerator on the way out the other side.
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:03 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.98, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 46.53, Gold $GLD trading 1247.43, Silver $SLV trading 14.64, $SPY 255.98 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3826.00 and $VIX trading 25.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
$WGO $DPW $AVGR $JBL $RIOT $AXON $ZIOP $RCII $TLRY $GSK $DGAZ $GOL $NGG $HMY $HIIQ $GUSH $RACE $APHA $GE
22 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12873168 $WGO $JBL $ZIOP $RCII $GSK $TLRY $ACB $MU $SRNE $FDX $EVFM
News:
$FDX $UPS – FedEx’s ‘jarring’ guidance cut
Rent-A-Center’s stock surges after B. Riley says termination of Vintage merger is ‘invalid’
$KRYS Completes Dosing in the GEM-Phase 2 Study in Pediatric Patients for the Treatment of Dystrophic Epidermolysis Bullosa. Topline Data 1H’19
$SVRA Announces Interim Results for OPTIMA Clinical Study of Molgradex for the Treatment of NTM
$EIGR Announces Breakthrough Therapy Designation For Lonafarnib In Progeria And Progeroid Laminopathies
Criminal justice bill puts prison stocks on watch
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3418068-criminal-justice-bill-puts-prison-stocks-watch
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Cannabis company Aleafia to buy Emblem for 27% premium, in a C$173.2 million deal
Rent-A-Center’s stock surges after B. Riley says termination of Vintage merger is ‘invalid’
GE’s stock surges after report of IPO plans for health-care business #swingtrading #premarket #IPO
GE's stock surges after report of IPO plans for health-care business #swingtrading #premarket #IPO https://t.co/fD4Ab95gGP
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) December 19, 2018
DPW to pursue IPO of its technology and defense businesses
Olive Garden parent Darden Restaurants tops profit and same-store sales expectations
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
Micron downgraded to hold at Needham after earnings
Winnebago’s stock soars after profit and revenue rise above expectations
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Lost a personal oil trade yesterday and late last week. Machine trading in oil doing well (t will outperform my returns now) so I will let our software handle the oil trading for now on. I’ll still trade oil but only based on machine trading alert signals.
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Futures Rise Ahead Of Fed; Europe Jumps On Italy Budget Deal
Futures Rise Ahead Of Fed; Europe Jumps On Italy Budget Deal https://t.co/8LFdHzKBDn
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 19, 2018
A ‘dirty’ rally is taking shape as the stock market is heavily oversold https://on.mktw.net/2Locu1C
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $WGO $DPW $AVGR $JBL $RIOT $AXON $ZIOP $RCII $TLRY $GSK $DGAZ $GOL $NGG $HMY $HIIQ $GUSH $RACE $APHA $GE
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$ULTA – Citi says Buy to Ulta
JPMorgan Upgrades Medtronic, Inc. $MDT to Overweight
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Antero Resources $AR PT Lowered to $20 at TD Securities
Schlumberger: Credit Suisse Cuts To Neutral From Outperform $SLB
-Cuts PT To $44 From $65
NCS Multistage Holdings $NCSM PT Lowered to $8 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse Downgrades Kinross Gold $KGC to Underperform
Bristow Group $BRS PT Lowered to $3.50 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse Downgrades Superior Energy Services $SPN to Neutral
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading,Time Cycles,
PreMarket Trading Report Tues Dec 18: Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday December 18, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: GS, SBUX, FB, GOOGL, TWTR, Analysts, Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Dec 18 – We are updating all algorithm models and swing trade reporting. All will be distributed before start of new time cycle Friday. On other side of time cycle peak the reporting will be intense as the trends develop post time cycle peak. The associated private discord server and alert feeds will be more active as a result also. We nailed the time cycles before the election, post election and in to this peak we backed off considerably, out the other side of this peak we will be extremely active for 6 months.
- Dec 17 – This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you'll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 18, 2018
Per Recent:
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 6:51 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.12, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 48.41, Gold $GLD trading 1249.43, Silver $SLV trading 14.67, $SPY 256.71 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3472.00 and $VIX trading 24.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $MRIN
$MRIN (+54.7% pre) Marin Software’s stock rockets 60% on Google revenue pact – MW
News:
$EIGR Announces PRIME Designation Granted by EMA for Lonafarnib for Treatment of Hepatitis Delta Virus Infection
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
DPW to pursue IPO of its technology and defense businesses
Olive Garden parent Darden Restaurants tops profit and same-store sales expectations
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
Navistar beats profit and revenue expectations, provides upbeat outlook
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Lost a personal oil trade yesterday and late last week. Machine trading in oil doing well (t will outperform my returns now) so I will let our software handle the oil trading for now on. I’ll still trade oil but only based on machine trading alert signals.
This simple structure our coders are using to code support resistance sizing remains in play #Oil #trading
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Stock slump continues
-Oil plunges
-Xi stands his ground
-Fed meeting begins
-EU plays hardball on Brexit
https://bloom.bg/2S8FvBh
Facebook, Twitter and Google are so biased toward the Dems it is ridiculous! Twitter, in fact, has made it much more difficult for people to join @realDonaldTrump. They have removed many names & greatly slowed the level and speed of increase. They have acknowledged-done NOTHING!
Facebook, Twitter and Google are so biased toward the Dems it is ridiculous! Twitter, in fact, has made it much more difficult for people to join @realDonaldTrump. They have removed many names & greatly slowed the level and speed of increase. They have acknowledged-done NOTHING!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 18, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $MRIN $AETI $BIOC $UGAZ $ACHV $NAV $ACHN $SPRX $ACRX $ORCL $CRH $STM $SBGL $UNG $TLRY
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $DGAZ $RCII $TVIX $UVXY $UWT $SQQQ $VXX $SPXU $SPXS $UCO $QID $SHPG $PM
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Desjardins Upgrades Shaw Communications (SJR/B:CN) $SJRWF to Buy
$TTWO – Buckingham starts Take-Two at Buy
$GILD initiated at Buy at Guggenheim. PT $86
$ORCL Raised @ RBC to $55.00 PT after Earnings
$AMD Reiterated Outperform @ RBC PT $34.00 Joins Nasdaq 100 on Dec 24th
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Inter Piperline Ltd. (IPL:CN) PT Lowered to Cdn$25 at Desjardins
H.C. Wainwright Downgrades Advaxis $ADXS to Neutral
$OSTK DA davidson lowers PT to $58 from $11
$DOVA Lowered @ Landenberg to $32.00 from $65.00 PT
$TSLA Maintained Sell @ GS $225.00 PT
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Fed, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
PreMarket Trading Report Mon Dec 17: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday December 17, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Lead Trader Premarket Note: This Friday is the time cycle peak in global markets. That makes this week and next the inflection. Member / client reporting over next two weeks will be intense. I will be in trading room most days over next 6 months. Public sharing of calls in this massive cycle next will be minimal. We’re locking down for the cycle. Explained on my Twitter account tonight. My goal is to back off front lines to back office when time cycle complete. Massive time cycle next and we intend to hit it. Hope y’all bank.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Per Recent:
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:30 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.09, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 51.73, Gold $GLD trading 1239.83, Silver $SLV trading 14.61, $SPY 260.34 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3361.00 and $VIX trading 22.6.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Jack in the Box exploring potential sale of the company
Proteostasis’s stock jumps after license deal with Genentech
20 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12858013 $EVFM $PTI $PER $AXON $FRSX $ERJ $BBY $ALQA $QFIN $BZH
News:
Embraer: Deal With Boeing Expected To Be Concluded At End 2019 $BA
$INNT Plans to Commence the First Ever Phase 3 Registration Trial in Celiac Disease in 1H 2019 and Announce Top-line NASH Data with Drug Combinations by EASL 2019
EVIO Labs Receives Provisional License from Massachusetts Cannabis Control Commission
$RHHBY $PTCT $BIIB – EMA grants Prime status for Roche’s risdiplam for SMA
$TLC $ARGX $AXON – Jefferies sees three-bagger in Axovant Sciences in premarket analyst action
#5things
-Goldman 1MDB charges
-Shutdown standoff
-May to reject referendum calls
-Markets quiet
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2S5Cz8r
Top 5 Things to Know in The Market on Monday –
Top 5 Things to Know in The Market on Monday – https://t.co/5cU75qXf70
— Investing.com News (@newsinvesting) December 17, 2018
The Charts Bulls And Bears Are Obsessing Over For 2019
The Charts Bulls And Bears Are Obsessing Over For 2019 https://t.co/BXkjapHzkg
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 16, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
$AME – AMETEK completes private placement offering
$CGIX terminates merger
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST
#earnings for the week $MU $FDX $NKE $BB $ORCL $RHT $GIS $DRI $RAD $PAYX $NCS $FDS $NAV $WOR $ACN $HEI $CSBR $WBA $KMX $SCS $LOVE $CAG $JBL $WGO $CCL $APOG $MLHR $NEOG $CTAS $PIR $SAFM $ABM $AIR $CAMP $ATU $REVG $SCHL $LAKE $TWST https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/VUgTdva6Tj
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
The $DGAZ trade. Short Natural Gas. #natgas $UGAZ $UNG
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
The speculative COMEX #gold position flipped to a net-long for the first time in five months. This after funds cut longs by 8k lots and shorts by 20k lots. In the two weeks to December 11 funds bought 62k lots, mostly above $1230/oz. S/t challenged on a break below.
The speculative COMEX #gold position flipped to a net-long for the first time in five months. This after funds cut longs by 8k lots and shorts by 20k lots. In the two weeks to December 11 funds bought 62k lots, mostly above $1230/oz. S/t challenged on a break below. pic.twitter.com/M41pZFNBDO
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) December 16, 2018
The combined net-long (+256k lots) in Brent and WTI crude #oil is now more than 20% below the previous two lows in Aug-16 and June-17 from where it rallied strongly on both occasions. #OOTT
The combined net-long (+256k lots) in Brent and WTI crude #oil is now more than 20% below the previous two lows in Aug-16 and June-17 from where it rallied strongly on both occasions. #OOTT pic.twitter.com/N2QOoMIcdh
— Ole S Hansen (@Ole_S_Hansen) December 16, 2018
“Bearish bets against the S&P 500 are at their second-highest levels all year”
"Bearish bets against the S&P 500 are at their second-highest levels all year" https://t.co/vllRACDNIt pic.twitter.com/tIFNlw68Vz
— Trevor Noren (@trevornoren) December 16, 2018
Low-Volatility Stocks Are Shining as Investors Search for More Certainty #swingtrading https://www.barrons.com/articles/low-volatility-stocks-shine-in-this-stock-market-51544702401 … via @BarronsOnline
Low-Volatility Stocks Are Shining as Investors Search for More Certainty #swingtrading https://t.co/NDo0uUAoeR via @BarronsOnline
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 17, 2018
JPM says that investors’ concerns about credit markets are justified. The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio for the IG and HY universe has been rising steeply over past decade to levels that are much higher than those seen at the peaks of the previous two cycles.
JPM says that investors’ concerns about credit markets are justified. The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio for the IG and HY universe has been rising steeply over past decade to levels that are much higher than those seen at the peaks of the previous two cycles. pic.twitter.com/xNuMlK6glK
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) December 16, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $LULU $AXON $MFA $CSL $SMG $TGI $LYB $ORTX $SHW $GIII $CLXT $CSL $BKS $G
Lululemon’s stock rallies after Stifel analyst says it’s time to buy
MCDONALD’S: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $182 FROM $180
$MCD
STARBUCKS CORP: JP MORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $70 FROM $69
$SBUX
(6) Recent Downgrades: $SCG $THC $EMR $ITW $BBY $EMR $MSEX $CPK $THC $BXMT
BEST BUY CO INC: BOFA MERRILL CUTS TO UNDERPERFORM FROM NEUTRAL
$BBY
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Time Cycles, NatGas, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY
PreMarket Trading Report Wed Dec 12 : Firsts Far From Over, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday December 12, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Firsts Far From Over, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. - Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December / January 2019 for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Report: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 12, 2018
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. We have majority of weekly reporting due out Mon – Wed evening.
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Reminder: The live trading room is partitioned in to 25 attendees per room each viewing the same charting. If you are moved room to room you will be down for at most 20 secs at a time.
Reminder: The live trading room is attended by mostly full time traders and funds. We appreciate interaction to be as actionable as possible for attendees. Chatter can be directed to Discord server specific to instrument. If you need a link to private discord server for chat let us know [email protected].
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas. Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
I may be off on Friday for a vet hospital operation (bulldog) YTBD.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:00 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 97.45, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 52.61, Gold $GLD trading 1244.75, Silver $SLV trading 14.63, $SPY 266.77 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3394.00 and $VIX trading 21.1.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:$ABIL $LX $WPP $DBVT
Stocks – Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Aphria Gain in Premarket; American Eagle Plunges – https://twitter.com/newsinvesting/status/1072847307484348416
News:
Dow set to jump 250 points as Wall Street’s wild swings in reaction to the trade battle continue https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/12/stock-markets-dow-cheered-by-trumps-upbeat-trade-war-comments.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.PostToTwitter
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Ride-hailing startup Lyft files confidentially for U.S. IPO.
Read: https://goo.gl/jxpnxi
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$ADBE $AEO $SFIX $COST $DSW $PLAY $CIEN $PVTL $ASNA $INSE $FRAN $GTIM $CDMO $ASPU $ARWR $DLHC $CASY $PLAB $VRA $NCS $NX $TLRD $SEAC $ROAD $CHKE $IRET $OXM $NDSN $FTI $VERU $PHX $CIVI $SKIS $SMMT $PURE $STRM $MMMB $AXNX
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
USOIL MACD turned up on daily testing 20 MA resistance area. Holding after recent sell-off. #oil #Chart #crude
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility lower but we’re watching in to Dec 5 and lower supports near bollinger for possible bounce $VIX #volatility
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
TVIX premarket trading down. We are short Volatility from last Wednesday in 49s #premarket #volatility $VIX
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
The crude oil trade on the 1 minute chart, continue to watch the support levels signaled earlier. #crude #oiltradealerts
if crude lets go here watch out…. yet again
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
$TSLA #premarket jam. Closed 263.75 – 338.75 was a good one. Next! #swingtrade
Machine trade in oil top tick hit perfect 67.62 to penny HOD, trimmed added numerous all win side and closed 90% 66.83. Nice trade.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
A Peek Into The Markets: US Stock Futures Higher Ahead Of Consumer Price Index https://benzinga.com/z/12836854 $AEO$BAC$PLAY$MRNS$SPY$DJIA$USO
Yields on 3-month Treasury bills match those on global bonds for the first time since the financial crisis. https://www.ft.com/content/2a6a0ccc-fd2d-11e8-aebf-99e208d3e521 …
Trump admin seeks to severely limit all biotech interactions with China involving joint ventures, investments into US companies, and manufacturing. Public comments are due by Dec 18 2018! Universities are already planning to curtail graduate programs/students. This is HUGE 🤯
Nice one: A flatter yield curve tends to boost volatility as we move into the later phase of the economic cycle.
Kremlin tells Russian banks to prepare for disconnection from international payment systems #Russia
The market’s biggest problem: Everyone Is Bearish But No-One Is Short
Don’t get too scared by flattening yield curve: S&P 500 didn’t peak for >19mths, on avg, after yield curve inverted. On avg, it gained >22% before reaching its high point. Time between inversion & recession arriving can be as long as 765 days.
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, EIA, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY, NatGas
PreMarket Trading Plan Wed Oct 24: Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 24, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 24 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 24 Trading Plan: It’s all about oil $WTI $CL_F today, then it will be about GOLD $GLD, SILVER $SLV, VIX $VIX and SP500 $SPY for me thereafter. Watching the TESLA $TSLA play and MCDONALDS $MCD very close. Everything else will be reviewed on swing trading report due out today.
October 23: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).
Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.
$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:55 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.95, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 66.90, Gold $GLD trading 1229.05, Silver $SLV trading 14.69, $SPY 273.40 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6435.00 and $VIX trading 20.7.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $ESEA $PLAG $VBIV $TRVG
20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12556095 $PLAG $TRVG $NEO $ALXN $TRPX $STM $IRBT $TXN $SIX $OC $T
News:
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Your Wednesday morning Wake Up Call:
IPO lockup expirations today for:
– Goosehead Insurance $GSHD
– Smartsheet $SMAR
– DocuSign $DOCU
What will insiders do? How will the market respond? 🤔
Your Wednesday morning Wake Up Call:
IPO lockup expirations today for:
– Goosehead Insurance $GSHD
– Smartsheet $SMAR
– DocuSign $DOCUWhat will insiders do? How will the market respond? 🤔
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) October 24, 2018
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI
#earnings for the week$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/4ZnvQ7L3g5
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 20, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
MCDONALDS (MCD) Daily Chart. Break-out test in play $MCD #premarket #swingtrading
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Check my feed history when I scream from rooftops since I came on Twitter. That’s all I’ll say. They stealin’ from ur mind. You gotta know how that part works to make a living at it. Take the lumps but conquer your mind and get back up. #nevergiveup #freedomtraders Back to work.
Check my feed history when I scream from rooftops since I came on Twitter. That's all I'll say. They stealin' from ur mind. You gotta know how that part works to make a living at it. Take the lumps but conquer your mind and get back up. #nevergiveup #freedomtraders Back to work.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 24, 2018
Stock/Bond Indicator Testing 36-Year Support!
Stock/Bond Indicator Testing 36-Year Support! https://t.co/qlDiDR22PR pic.twitter.com/ArkDLgyegA
— Chris Kimble (@KimbleCharting) October 24, 2018
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-prices-edge-amidst-weakening-082100216.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw …
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://t.co/ZZeOGHrP1q via @YahooFinance
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 23, 2018
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility pic.twitter.com/lKOJwGSALd
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ESEA $PLAG $TRVG $TTNP $GLBS $TRPX $SLS $DCIX $TROV $TOPS $BA $DDD $FCX $SIRI $TSLA $P
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Earnings, #EIA, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $TSLA, $MCD
PreMarket Trading Plan Tues Oct 23: WOW. Bears, Saudi, Earnings Misses, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $MCD …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 23, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Bears, Saudi, Earnings Misses, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, VIX, $MCD Cat, Harley, Lockheed, 3M and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 23 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 23 Trading Plan: Notes per below remain in play. New position long in Silver is working from 14.63’s as a swing trade, oil short in to open yesterday worked, watching for an intra-day bounce possible in to open in oil and then down likely. Gold has a bounce as does VIX as I expected in to this time cycle. Momentum daytrading is very dangerous right now. Watching some swing trades in equities (forming a report right now and I’ll release it today).
Considering a long term (6 months or more) swing trade in $MCD soon. Long.
$VIX up more than double since we were alerting time cycle run #premarket.
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:06 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.02, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 68.06, Gold $GLD trading 1238.14, Silver $SLV trading 14.77, $SPY 271.40 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6379.00 and $VIX trading 23.7.
Crude oil futures overnight session look like… $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OIL #Trading #OOTT.
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1054713902527864832
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
21 Stocks Moving In Tuesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12548153 $TRPX $RGLS $NVCN $SENS $CDNS $CZR $VTVT $NBEV $TLRY $LOGI
News:
Biting bears sink world shares to 1-year low https://reut.rs/2z0Xjpk
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/1054711090171596801
$PFE and Bain Capital Create New CNS Company, Cerevel Therapeutics
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20181023005648/en/Bain-Capital-Pfizer-Create-Cerevel-Therapeutics-New …
https://www.cerevel.com/.
Bombshell: Khashoggi Remains Discovered In Garden Of Saudi Consul General’s Home: Sky News.
Sky Sources: body parts of journalist Jamal Khashoggi who was killed in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul have been found.
Sky Sources: body parts of journalist Jamal Khashoggi who was killed in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul have been found
— Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) October 23, 2018
#UPDATE Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan calls for the trial in Istanbul of the Saudi suspects in the murder of journalist Jamal #Khashoggi, a crime that he said was intricately planned days in advance
#UPDATE Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan calls for the trial in Istanbul of the Saudi suspects in the murder of journalist Jamal #Khashoggi, a crime that he said was intricately planned days in advance https://t.co/X3y2kVBIUX
— AFP News Agency (@AFP) October 23, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
$AXNX Axonics to offer 6.7 million shares in IPO, priced at $14 to $16 each. #premarket https://www.marketwatch.com/story/axonics-to-offer-67-million-shares-in-ipo-priced-at-14-to-16-each-2018-10-22?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
Analyst IPO quiet periods expiring this week for:
– Survey Money $SVMK
– Capital Bancorp $CBNK
– Arco Platform $ARCE
Earnings:
McDonald’s shares rise after earnings and same-store sales beat. #swingtrading $MCD #McDonalds
McDonald's shares rise after earnings and same-store sales beat. #swingtrading $MCD #McDonalds https://t.co/N4JeAQD4qs
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 23, 2018
Caterpillar tops profit estimates, flags rising materials costs.
Harley’s U.S. sales plunge 13%, steepest quarterly drop in eight years https://bloom.bg/2EHDWYB
Lockheed Martin profit rises 17 percent in third quarter.
3M stock drops 7.5% after Q3 misses, downbeat guidance.
#earnings for the week
$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI
#earnings for the week$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/4ZnvQ7L3g5
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 20, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Crude oil trade in to open yesterday: Nailed the Crude Oil Short in Trading Room at Open.
Trade alert this morning to trim Silver and add above: Trimming Silver 14.78 per price target will add above.
Trade alert yesterday : Long Silver 14.63 target 14.78 tight stops.
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-prices-edge-amidst-weakening-082100216.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw …
Gold Prices Edge Up Amidst Weakening Asian Shares https://t.co/ZZeOGHrP1q via @YahooFinance
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 23, 2018
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility
Volatility time cycle coming in to peak July 23, 2018. May be time to have a look on the regular $TVIX $UVXY $VIX #volatility pic.twitter.com/lKOJwGSALd
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
Long term investors should be re-balancing risk soon imo #economy #investing #eyesontheroad
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 23, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TRPX $RGLS $NVCN $PLAG $TVIX $CREG $UVXY $TTNP $CRMD $YANG $JNUG $NUGT $VXX
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $NXPI $AMD $PBR $TEAM $TCBI $FVCB $ZION $MTB $SNPS $CDNS $VIAB $BWA $DLPH $KALU $VFC $NEWR $CMG $BSRR
(6) Recent Downgrades: $EBAY $ENLK $ANDX $DISH $LBRT $STX $NTAP $MU $STAY $INN $AMAT $LRCX $ASML
Trevali Mining (TV:CN) $TREVF PT Lowered to Cdn$1.10 at TD Securities
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bears, Saudi, Earnings Misses, Oil, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, Silver, $SLV, Volatility, $VIX, $MCD
PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Oct 22: Market Chop, Oil Pressure, Silver, China, $BABA, $SLS, $JTPY, $TOPS, $NETE, $SLS, $NDRA …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday October 22, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Market Chop, Oil Pressure, Silver, China, $BABA, $SLS, $JTPY, $TOPS, $NETE, $SLS, $NDRA and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 22 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open 9:30 AM, 12:00 PM mid day review and futures trading this evening 6:00 PM (as available and as market demands).
- Trade Coaching Boot Camp Cabarete Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2018 Winter Sessions Sell Out Fast (it is warm here after-all) so act fast if you plan to be here with us! https://compoundtrading.com/trade-coaching-boot-camp-cabarete-nov-30-dec-2-2018/.
- https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/1054318666878238720
- Main live trading room – 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars and when Lead Trader is not available.
- What’s New / Work in Progress:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps in November for each of the seven trading models and swing and daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 25 – Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Sept 17 – Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 12 – XENETIC BIOSCIENCES INC How to Trade XBIO Snap-back Swing Trade. $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealert
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
October 22: I have a new position in Silver in 14.63’s long that may get some pressure but there is a plan to add at support below. Earnings season may help equities some here near term – but it is dubious.
General outlook remains unchanged from running comments from previous posts below.
Notes per recent remain:
I will continue chewing around the edges of this crude oil sell-off at support areas for a reversal to the retracement and try and get a decent short position also when I can at upside resistance. Serious, serious pressure here in oil trade BUT support areas for possible reversal are starting to hit now on various charting time-frames and structures – BUT that doesn’t mean it will reverse. It reverses when it reverses, trade the indicators not bias.
Watching NFLX, SQ, ROKU, SHOP, FEYE very close right now and swinging them all. TSLA trade yesterday went great, still holding 25% on the swing side. Today is all about OIL with EIA.
PSTG has an upgrade I’m watching also.
I am leaning toward equity markets possibly holding up in to end of Oct early Nov, Gold Silver Crypto likely pressure in to that time frame, Oil likely pressure in to that time frame and VIX also. And then end of Oct early Nov that should switch.
This is a leaning bias – a general outlook. However, I do see significant risk that could trigger volatility at any time here. But generally equity markets should hold to that late Oct early Nov with VIX GOLD SILVER OIL under pressure and then the opposite should turn toward mid Dec time cycle peak. See the most recent oil trading strategies video.
I know I’ve been promising the remaining model reports for some time, last night we ran the machine trading tests on EPIC and it is working so I can leave the staff to that and now start getting the reporting out. The software development part of our biz I have to admit has been a challenge to our time.
It’s difficult to explain in short how complicated software development is with machine trading launch. But we’re learning to manage it. We’re in it to win it – we won’t give up and we’re making serious progress, that’s the bottom line.
Looking for possible short term sell off in oil with a spike in VIX, Gold, Silver and then markets should levitate for short term bringing VIX Gold Silver Crypto soft and then reversal again and again and rinse and repeat to mid December 2018 minimum.
Notes per recent…. this remains.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It’s big, watch.
Further to that public Twitter post, over next two quarters I expect the equity markets to continue under serious pressure in to rates, after a technical retracement oil to skyrocket unless Trump can get a handle on the price somehow (trying with Saudi’s now), Dollar likely to spike hard for some time then fall off a cliff, volatility to increase, Gold and Silver get up and going soon and Crypto to fly. That’s my bias, thesis, trading plan in to next two quarters. Timing will be key. All of our reporting will reflect this near term and will also focus on key swing trading set-ups within themes.
Time cycle dates expiring in markets for big moves…. started end of July, next Oct 10, Nov 11, mid Dec big in to Q1 19. Distributing trading models starting tonight for time frames in expectation for #Oil, #Gold, #Silver, #Bitcoin, #SP500, #Volatility, #USD It's big, watch.
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 8, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:23 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.64, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 69.34, Gold $GLD trading 1223.90, Silver $SLV trading 14.62, $SPY 277.17 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6397.00 and $VIX trading 19.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $TOPS $NETE $SLS $NDRA
30 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12540486 $TOPS $GLBS $ARII $LCGN $DVAX $SEED $MRTX $AVEO $YECO $PHG $CZR
News:
Bristol-Myers Squibb stock drops 3% premarket after FDA delays approval deadline for cancer drug
$JTPY JetPay to be Acquired by NCR for $5.05/Share Cash #Benzinga
$BABA Alibaba’s stock surges as part of broad rally in China-based companies
Mirati Therapeutics stock drops 30% premarket after cancer trial results
American Railcar to be bought in a $1.75 billion deal by ITE, giving Icahn a $757 million profit
$SLS Announces Positive Final Data in Triple Negative Breast Cancer Patients from Phase 2b Clinical Trial of Nelipepimut-S in Combination with Trastuzumab Presented at #ESMO18.
Intec Pharma completes enrollment in Phase 3 trial of AP-CD/LD for the treatment of advanced PD https://seekingalpha.com/news/3399216-intec-pharma-completes-enrollment-phase-3-trial-ap-cd-ld-treatment-advanced-pd?source=feed_f … #premarket $NTEC.
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
$AXNX Axonics to offer 6.7 million shares in IPO, priced at $14 to $16 each. #premarket https://www.marketwatch.com/story/axonics-to-offer-67-million-shares-in-ipo-priced-at-14-to-16-each-2018-10-22?mod=BreakingNewsSecondary
Analyst IPO quiet periods expiring this week for:
– Survey Money $SVMK
– Capital Bancorp $CBNK
– Arco Platform $ARCE
Earnings:
Kimberly-Clark rise after earnings and revenue beat expectations.
Halliburton tops profit and revenue estimates for third quarter.
Hasbro’s stock set for selloff after profit and revenue fall, miss expectations.
#earnings for the week
$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI
#earnings for the week$AMD $AMZN $MSFT $GE $SNAP $TWTR $GOOGL $T $INTC $BA $CAT $V $HAL $SHOP $F $MCD $LMT $HAS $CELG $VZ $AAL $UPS $MMM $NOK $KMB $LAGN $CMG $PETS $FCX $CY $GRUB $GILD $WDC $BIIB $PII $STM $RTN $NOW $IRBT $AMTD $SALT $TXN $UTX $SIRI https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/4ZnvQ7L3g5
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 20, 2018
#earningsseason calendar
$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAY
#earningsseason calendar$AMD $AMZN $FB $AAPL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $SQ $BABA $GE $SNAP $CLF $INTC $T $GOOGL $CGC $TWTR $BA $V $IQ $CAT $F $ROKU $SHOP $CRON $SLB $PG $BIDU $CELG $JD $HON $MA $DBX $HEAR $AMAT $TEVA $HAL $NOK $DIS $AAL $EA $TNDM $CMG $EBAYhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/exPTAW20yW
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
Silver Weekly Chart has a MACD turn up possible, watching for a possible run up Oct 21 756 PM #Silver #Algorithm $SLV $USLV $DSLV
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold (Daily) With MACD turn back up price above pivot near 200 MA resistance test – this trade is on high watch #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD pic.twitter.com/JNfF5U9u7L
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) October 21, 2018
Crude oil lines on 4 hour chart $CL_F $USO $UWTI $DWTI $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT#Oil #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1052900369003622401
Daytrading Crude Oil – Screen Shot of Oil Trade Alerts Feed with signals for long oil trade and closing trade.
Our swing trade that started in premarket yesterday couldn’t have been better timing with SEC mins after then this… $TSLA Tesla’s stock jumps after Elon Musk discloses plan to buy $20 million worth of shares
Our swing trade that started in premarket yesterday couldn't have been better timing with SEC mins after then this… $TSLA Tesla's stock jumps after Elon Musk discloses plan to buy $20 million worth of shares https://t.co/lvBf2QhYTm
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 17, 2018
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading
TESLA (TSLA) daytrade with swing trade possible here to higher, we got some of that move at open. $TSLA #trading pic.twitter.com/6Kjglgconf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
NETFLIX (NFLX) up premarket on earnings, key resistance points to watch if trading this move $NFLX #swingtrading #earnings #upgrades
SQUARE (SQ) blowing through resistance points in move, over 81.40 targets 83.40 85.40. $SQ #swingtrade #tradealerts
FIREEYE (FEYE) long bounce working toward upper price targets in to earnings, watch resistance points for trims #swingtrade $FEYE
SHOPIFY (SHOP) bounced at top of trading box, resistance 154.00 earnings 8 days, over 156 long targets 166 then 177 $SHOP #swingtrading #earnings
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT
That spike in Sunday night oil futures open was interesting (on Saudi Trump news flow), caught me off guard but I got a piece of it $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OilTradeAlerts #OOTT pic.twitter.com/vlOAl0ze6A
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 16, 2018
Crude Oil Trading Strategy with Trend-Lines on Weekly Chart.
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD crossed down with trade testing mid pivot Oct 15 1244 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
TESLA (TSLA) At trading box range support EOD Friday, in a bounce it targets 280.34 Nov 20, 2018 $TSLA #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) MACD turned down but over 200 MA and channel support. On watch for adds to trade. $ARWR #swingtrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts
Working the daytrade edges on SP500 $SPY #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/tcbGIESXQF
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading
Working the edges of volatility on daytrading time-frames today also $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #tradealerts #daytrading pic.twitter.com/1on7qS3aYJ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm
Example of knowing probability of time cycles (intra-day example). Look at the guidance in the oil trading room…. exact time of day and price of oil hit per guidance many hours earlier. Power of time cycles. FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #oil #trading #algorithm pic.twitter.com/qa0HueviTl
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don’t. It is that simple.
This was an intra-day time cycle trade. I win when I respect time cycles, lose when I don't. It is that simple. https://t.co/k4HO2izAT7
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 9, 2018
Crude oil trade alert entry and exit shown on an oil chart.
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-China shares surge
-Italian asset rise
-Trump’s tax-cut promise
-May faces lawmakers
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2PcQXxo
Here is that same chart, with the SP500 overlaid, to reveal how this low reading is a bottoming condition, and not a sign of impending doom.
Here is that same chart, with the SP500 overlaid, to reveal how this low reading is a bottoming condition, and not a sign of impending doom. pic.twitter.com/5brnpsRV2A
— Tom McClellan (@McClellanOsc) October 19, 2018
Net speculative futures positioning behind the $VIX has swung by over 100,000 contracts in the favor of bulls the past two weeks:
Net speculative futures positioning behind the $VIX has swung by over 100,000 contracts in the favor of bulls the past two weeks: pic.twitter.com/DbkEYTbing
— John Kicklighter (@JohnKicklighter) October 20, 2018
Net speculative gold futures positioning posted its biggest swing away from a net short position since March 1999
Net speculative gold futures positioning posted its biggest swing away from a net short position since March 1999 pic.twitter.com/jeF5pzLIpi
— John Kicklighter (@JohnKicklighter) October 20, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TOPS $CLGN $ARII $DCIX $SINO $AYTU $SEED $NDRA $PXS $GLBS $SLS $FTFT $ESEA $DVAX $YINN $IGC $CHAU $NVIV $YNDX $MOMO $PDD
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Chipotle upgraded on same-store sales growth potential though earnings expected to be ‘lackluster’.
$AYTU – initiated with a Outperform and $10 price tgt at Northland.
Aetna $AET PT Raised to $207 at Credit Suisse.
Jefferies Upgrades Ophir Energy Plc. (OPHR:LN) $OPHRY to Buy.
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Accor SA (AC:FP) $ACCYY PT Lowered to EUR49 at UBS.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Market Chop, Oil Pressure, Silver, China, $BABA, $SLS, $JTPY, $TOPS, $NETE, $SLS, $NDRA