Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Friday September 22, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The model for $BTCUSD is built on a chart from the Bitstamp exchange. The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • If you have had trouble running the model on your computer, I have good news for you! I have created a “lite” version of the model that should run on almost any computer. I will attach the link below the regular updated charting.
  • There are some changes to the most predictable trades this week. These changes will be highlighted in red.  
  • We have found that adding our “B Theme” indicators (Stoch RSI, MACD and SQZMOM) to the model is very helpful. If you aren’t familiar with these indicators, there are tons of videos on our YouTube channel that explain them in detail.
  • Our model for BitMEX: XBTUSD (perpetual swaps) is here! We will mainly be trading on BitMEX from here on out.
  • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • Welcome our lead trader to the platform! You will now be receiving alerts from Curt as well as myself.
  • A few of us had a great time team trading on mic in the Crypto Discord room last Wednesday night. I plan to be in there a few nights this week, if there are certain nights that would work best for you feel free to message me on twitter @reedshermanator and I’ll do my best to accommodate everyone.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room will be up and running very soon – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • Curt, Sartaj and I will be #TeamTrading this in a very serious way.
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • We will have a private Discord room for Cryptocurrency trading as well. I plan to use the voice channel to enhance our #TeamTrading and I hope many of you will join me in there.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT


The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Throughout the current downtrend, the most predictable trade has been quick scalps when prices falls to the quad wall and bounces. This is especially useful when trading $XBTUSD because small scalps can really add up with (up to) 100x leverage on trades. An example of this is shown at the bottom of this week’s updates.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long. The most recent cluster corresponded with the run over $3,000 to all time highs.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history, and Bitcoin lacks that history over $3,000. The recent pullback has helped solidify natural support/resistance lines in the model. There are some significant natural resistance areas forming in the chart. Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: All decisions should be weighed against conventional charting (which is generally provided as well).

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

$BTCUSD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/NW2hDynp-Crypto-Updated-Charting-21-19-EST-22-Sept-2017/

$XBTUSDhttps://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/lRjKVC3v-XBTUSD-Updated-Charting-22-01-31-EST-22-Sept-2017/

$BTCUSD (Lite Version): https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/sgXBZOw9-Crypto-Lite-Version-22-Sept-2017/

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (orange dotted lines)
  2. Trading range created by short term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (grey dotted lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s and MACD

Observations in the current area of trade:

$BTCUSD currently at a decision point. The most likely up and down channels are highlighted below:

Upcoming time/price cycle and targets/decision points:

$BTCUSD model has been very precise of late:

Pay attention to the conventional trend line above, it has worked as significant resistance in the recent past: 

There is a resistance cluster coming up on September 28. Expected added volatility around this time:

Conventional charting shows $BTCUSD current area of trade, including resistance cluster. Also, MACD on the daily chart is pinching and could cross any day: 

$XBTUSD upcoming time/price cycle targets. A bit of a wider range here to compensate for increased volatility:

$XBTUSD resistance cluster in the model:

Conventional charting shows $XBTUSD upcoming resistance cluster: 

 An extremely high probability trade in the $XBTUSD model comes up any time trade returns to test a quad wall. These are almost always good for a $20-$30 quick scalp or more. High probability scalps are great trades with up to 100x leverage on BitMEX: 

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Thursday Sept 21, 2017 $ITUS $HMNY $BLDP $AMD, $VERI, $ARRY, $AAOI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

I will start broadcasting my live oil trading platform in oil trading room soon because I am trading higher frequency and it is hard to alert when frequency gets high. Still setting this up FYI. We’re on it.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

I am now also trading for our private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You will see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they are connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because I am also trading for the private fund, there will be trades I cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

New Crypto alert Twitter feed, regular public Crypto Twitter feed and Crypto trading room on-deck. Crypto subscription details on shopping page.

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about fifty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

Sept 11 Red Day Review $SNAP, $ARRY, $TVIX, #Oil $WTI Trade Review, Mid Day Trade Set Up Review: http://youtu.be/lpoT4j5e8Ww?a via @YouTube

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts.

Trading Red or need to learn? Live Trading Footage – Why I Win and have 100% – 500% ROI per year 

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvtMmsETa70&t=3913s … #trading #premarket #rulesbasedtrading

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: $ITUS $HMNY $BLDP $AMD – I like also the $AAOI chart and am considering it to 72 ish and then maybe gap fill after. Also like $ARRY and $VERI, OIL, Gold, and Bitcoin are all on my monitors also.

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY moderate. Oil $USOIL $WTI continues in a very tight range – down in overnight trade), Gold / Silver under pressure (as I have been warning in the room was very possible), $SPY moderately up and at continued important test area of model, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD in chart reconstruction / bull mode after Jamie Dimon sell off but up against chart resistance, and $VIX under continued pressure.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch:

OTC on watch: $GBTC (with China outlawing Bitcoin trade but not OTC this may run big)

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: $LXRX CEO bought 30K shares at ~ $12.5

Some Earnings On Deck: 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Previous recent notes:

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Adding $GBTC, $AAOI to list along with $FIT and $FSLR from Monday $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. I am extremely disappointed in the number of members that review those videos. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading). So if I get a tear in the bear DM from folks that will be the first thing I’ll ask you… #fairwarning 🙂 All in love.

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderately bullish – $SPY algorithm model chart shows a significant test here as noted last few days.

$ITUS premarket up 16%

$ITUS premarket up 16%

$ITUS premarket up 16%

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ITUS, $CCC $ESNC $BCRX $DMPI $GBT $AMD $FOLD $ITUS $NLNK $BSTI $AAOI $BIDU $RADA $RAD

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $NVDA $XLRN $RIG $FCX $WLL $SHOP $CLF $SWN $X

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $ITUS, $VERI, $ARRY, $AAOI, $WTI, Oil, $GLD, Gold, $XBTUSD, $BTCUSD, Bitcoin, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI – $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, BITCOIN, $BTCUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Sept 18, 2017 $AAPL, $ARRY, $AAOI, $SPY, $OIL, $GOLD, $XBTUSD, $GBTC, $BTCUSD, Bitcoin – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

I will start broadcasting my live oil trading platform in oil trading room soon because I am trading higher frequency and it is hard to alert when frequency gets high. Still setting this up FYI. We’re on it.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

I am now also trading for our private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You will see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they are connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because I am also trading for the private fund, there will be trades I cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

New Crypto alert Twitter feed, regular public Crypto Twitter feed and Crypto trading room on-deck. Crypto subscription details on shopping page.

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about fifty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

Sept 11 Red Day Review $SNAP, $ARRY, $TVIX, #Oil $WTI Trade Review, Mid Day Trade Set Up Review: http://youtu.be/lpoT4j5e8Ww?a via @YouTube

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts.

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Aug 31 Mid Day Trade Set Ups $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, $DXY, $VIX, $AKS, $MNKD….

Aug 30 Trade Set Ups #EIA Oil EPIC Oil Algo, $WTI, $SPY. $OMVS, $MSFT, $MNKD, $VCEL, $ITCI …

Aug 29 Trade Set-ups $IMGN, $SPY, $EDIT, $KTOS, $JUNO, $XIV, $ACOR, $VIX…

Aug 28 Trade Set Ups Gold, $HTZ, $USOIL, $WTI, $BLUE, $CLLS, $CDNA, $IMDZ….

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: I like the $AAOI chart and am considering it to 72 ish and then maybe gap fill after. It’s up in premarket.

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY moderate and under continued pressure. Oil $USOIL $WTI continues in a very tight range (historically) and nearing algorithm model resistance (was up in overnight trade), Gold / Silver moderately under pressure, $SPY is in bull mode and at continued important test area of model, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD started trading in it yesterday and it’s in bull mode after Jamie Dimon sell off but up against chart resistance, and $VIX under continued pressure.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $NBRV, $SSNI

OTC on watch: $GBTC (with China outlawing Bitcoin trade but not OTC this may run big)

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: $LXRX CEO bought 30K shares at ~ $12.5

Some Earnings On Deck: $ADBE, $AIR, $ALOG, $BBBY, $CPRT, $FDX

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Previous recent notes:

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Adding $GBTC, $AAOI to list along with $FIT and $FSLR from Monday $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

$XBTUSD MACD near a curl up $BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC $GBTC

$XBTUSD, premarket, trading plan

$XBTUSD MACD near a curl up $BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC $GBTC

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. I am extremely disappointed in the number of members that review those videos. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading). So if I get a tear in the bear DM from folks that will be the first thing I’ll ask you… #fairwarning 🙂 All in love.

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderately bullish – $SPY algorithm model chart shows a significant test here. Apple has an upgrade so watch $SPY close here.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

 

FOMC meeting begins

8:30am
-Housing Starts
-Current Account
-Import/Export Prices

8:55am
Chain Store Sales

Apple $AAPL PT Raised to $194 at Morgan Stanley, Weaker USD Allows Co To Raise iPhone Prices Without Hurting Demand

$BLFS BioLife Solutions CryoStor® Cell Freeze Media Embedded in Cellular Biomedicine Group Clinical Trial of AlloJoin™

$CVS Upgrade RBC Capital Initiates Coverage On CVS Health with Outperform Rating, Announces $95.00 Price Target

$MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Announces Positive Outcome from Pre-Planned DSMB Safety Review and ….

$MRK $ZYME Merck to Advance Bispecific Antibody Drug Candidate Developed Using Zymeworks’ Azymetric Platform

$RAD – Rite Aid Secures Regulatory Clearance to Sell 1,932 Stores & Related Assets for $4.375 Billion to

Synchronoss down 18.8% after buyout offer snag https://seekingalpha.com/news/3296268-synchronoss-18_8-percent-buyout-offer-snag?source=feed_f … #premarket $SNCR

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $MOMO $AAOI $MRTX $BZUN $AMD $AAPL $FOLD $PLUG $BABA $FB $BP $MFGP $ACIA $AAP $CAPR $BIDU $KORS

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $DGAZ $DWT $ALDX $SUPN $TSLA $SNCR $SBGL $PTLA $GSK $NVDA $DUST $JDST

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $IMMU, $APPL

(6) Recent Downgrades: $EAT, $EFX

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $AAPL, $ARRY, $AAOI, $SPY, $OIL, $GOLD, $XBTUSD, $GBTC, $BTCUSD, Bitcoin, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI – $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, BITCOIN, $BTCUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Sept 18, 2017 $NBRV, $SSNI, $FSLR, $FIT – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

I will start broadcasting my live oil trading platform in oil trading room soon because I am trading higher frequency and it is hard to alert when frequency gets high. Still setting this up FYI. We’re on it.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

I am now also trading for our private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You will see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they are connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because I am also trading for the private fund, there will be trades I cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

New Crypto alert Twitter feed, regular public Crypto Twitter feed and Crypto trading room on-deck. Crypto subscription details on shopping page.

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about fifty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

Sept 11 Red Day Review $SNAP, $ARRY, $TVIX, #Oil $WTI Trade Review, Mid Day Trade Set Up Review: http://youtu.be/lpoT4j5e8Ww?a via @YouTube

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts.

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Aug 31 Mid Day Trade Set Ups $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, $DXY, $VIX, $AKS, $MNKD….

Aug 30 Trade Set Ups #EIA Oil EPIC Oil Algo, $WTI, $SPY. $OMVS, $MSFT, $MNKD, $VCEL, $ITCI …

Aug 29 Trade Set-ups $IMGN, $SPY, $EDIT, $KTOS, $JUNO, $XIV, $ACOR, $VIX…

Aug 28 Trade Set Ups Gold, $HTZ, $USOIL, $WTI, $BLUE, $CLLS, $CDNA, $IMDZ….

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: $NBRV, $SSNI, $FSLR, $FIT, $OIL, $Gold, $Bitcoin

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY moderate. Oil $USOIL $WTI continues in a very tight range (historically) and nearing algorithm model resistance, Gold / Silver came off overnight and under pressure, $SPY is in bull mode and at important test area of model, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD started trading in it and it’s in bull mode after Jamie Dimon sell off, and $VIX under pressure – a general time / price cycle terminated Sept 9 generally in markets so this could be a turn – and it looks bullish on the surface.

OTC on watch: $SUNEQ, $LTRE, $RMRK, $OMVS, $BSTG, $AMMJ, $HEMP, $BITCF, $BTCS, $BTSC, $GAHC

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: $LXRX CEO bought 30K shares at ~ $12.5 

Some Earnings On Deck: $SCS

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Previous recent notes:

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Adding $FIT and $FSLR to existing recent ads $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. I am extremely disappointed in the number of members that review those videos. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading). So if I get a tear in the bear DM from folks that will be the first thing I’ll ask you… #fairwarning 🙂 All in love.

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderately bullish – there is a significant chart test coming up on the $SPY algorithm model chart.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

10am
Housing Market Index

11am
4-Week Bill Announcement

11:30am
3 and 6 Month Bill Announcement

$TEVA – Teva Reports Sale of Remaining Assets in Specialty Global Women’s Health Portfolio for $1.38B To CVC Capital Partners Fund VI –

$HTGM – HTG Molecular Diagnostics Receives ISO 13485 Certification for Health Canada CMDCAS Requirements

Itron $ITRI Announces Acquisition of Silver Spring Networks $SSNI at $16.25/Sh

$NOC $OA Northrop Grumman to acquire Orbital ATK for $134.50 per share.

$BLDP Ballard Power receives purchase order from Nisshinbo

$RARE $DMTX Ultragenyx Proposes to Acquire Dimension Therapeutics for $5.50 Per Share in Cash

$BTX BioTime Awarded Grant from the NIH

$NBRV premarket up 100% on positive results

$NBRV, Premarket, Trading Plan

$NBRV premarket up 100% on positive results.png

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $NBRV 100%, $SSNI 24%, $OA $PSTI $PTIE $CLSN $WWR $ARWR $UGAZ $IMUC $BIOA $BLDP $BTX $BVXV $JDST $DUST $NTNX $NLNX

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $HMNY $NEOS $TEVA $RH $MAT

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $MD $AMAT $INFY $CAT $PDS $CMPR $ARWR $COHU $BP $INST $PAH $ASML

(6) Recent Downgrades: $FINL $WIT $SN $SMCI $REN $TDOC $BRKS $TCO $UAL $PNM $SJI

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $NBRV, $SSNI, $FSLR, $FIT, $OIL, $Gold, $Bitcoin, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI – $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, BITCOIN, $BTCUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Thursday Sept 14, 2017 $XXII, $JKS, $FEYE, $CTSH, $AAMJ – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

I will start broadcasting my live oil trading platform in oil trading room soon because I am trading higher frequency and it is hard to alert when frequency gets high. Still setting this up FYI. We’re on it.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

I am now also trading for our private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You will see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they are connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because I am also trading for the private fund, there will be trades I cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

New Crypto alert Twitter feed, regular public Crypto Twitter feed and Crypto trading room on-deck. Crypto subscription details on shopping page.

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about fifty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

Sept 11 Red Day Review $SNAP, $ARRY, $TVIX, #Oil $WTI Trade Review, Mid Day Trade Set Up Review: http://youtu.be/lpoT4j5e8Ww?a via @YouTube

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts.

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted – Excellent chart set-ups in this video.

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Aug 31 Mid Day Trade Set Ups $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, $DXY, $VIX, $AKS, $MNKD….

Aug 30 Trade Set Ups #EIA Oil EPIC Oil Algo, $WTI, $SPY. $OMVS, $MSFT, $MNKD, $VCEL, $ITCI …

Aug 29 Trade Set-ups $IMGN, $SPY, $EDIT, $KTOS, $JUNO, $XIV, $ACOR, $VIX…

Aug 28 Trade Set Ups Gold, $HTZ, $USOIL, $WTI, $BLUE, $CLLS, $CDNA, $IMDZ….

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: $XXII, $JKS, $FEYE, $CTSH, $AAMJ, $VIX, OIL, Gold, Bitcoin. Watching $XXII, $JKS, $FEYE, $CTSH bullish charts. $AAMJ for a bounce and add, Oil for a possible long and Gold for a short (after NK settles down). $VIX could pop.

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY moderate. Oil $USOIL $WTI continues in a very tight range (historically) and up overnight, Gold / Silver came off overnight, $SPY is in bull mode yesterday but likely pressure today from North Korea banter, $BTCUSD love it and service is launched and I will be trading it anytime now (they are letting me know when my accounts are set up), and $VIX under pressure – a general time / price cycle terminated Sept 9 generally in markets so this could be a turn – and it looks bullish on the surface.

OTC on watch: $SUNEQ, $LTRE, $RMRK, $OMVS, $BSTG, $AMMJ, $HEMP, $BITCF, $BTCS, $BTSC, $GAHC

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $CSBR, $LPTH, $ORCL, $SANW, $UWN

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

I didn’t trade yesterday.

Previous recent notes:

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Adding $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ to current watchlist. $NLNK, $AAOI, and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. I am extremely disappointed in the number of members that review those videos. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading). So if I get a tear in the bear DM from folks that will be the first thing I’ll ask you… #fairwarning 🙂 All in love.

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderate – there is a significant chart test coming up on the $SPY algorithm model chart.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

8:30am
-Initial Jobless Claims
-Consumer Price Index

9:45am
Consumer Comfort Index

10:30am
NatGas Inventory

USA Initial Jobless Claims for Sep 8 284.0K vs 300.0K Est; Prior 298.0K

$PFE NEWS Astellas Announce Phase 3 Prosper Trial of Xtandi in Patients with Non-Metastatic Castration-….

$GKOS cuts Q3 and FY outlook at Investor Day… stock down 15% early

Pfizer shares rise 1.4% after news of positive late-stage cancer trial http://on.mktw.net/2eWoZly

22 Stocks Moving In Thursday’s PreMarket https://benzinga.com/z/10056699 $HTGM $HALO $ALV $THC $UNFI $TSEM $TTM $BVXV $ARRY $HTZ $INSM $OPK $EPZM

 

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $HALO $TOPS $EKSO $ATOS $ALV $SHIP $AEMD $THC $UNFI $AGEN $RWLK $NLNK $RETA $ALDX $RGLS $BLDP $UWT $LYG $CHK $IRBT $GLPG $FTI $PLSE $EFX

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $JD $ARRY $M $MU $MT $FCX $FDC $FIT $FTR $HTZ $BVXV $BZUN $NVDA $CUK $FB $SBGL

(3) Other Watch-List: $DDS Gap fill on watch

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $VMW $BZH $SO $CCS $R $BMRN $RJF $BRFS $RARE $KEY $CFG $HBAN $TOO $NUE

(6) Recent Downgrades: $TOL $IMO $APA $OPK $HES $HTZ $HES $ABC $MCK

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $XXII, $JKS, $FEYE, $CTSH, $AAMJ, $VIX, OIL, Gold, Bitcoin, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI – $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, BITCOIN, $BTCUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List for Wednesday Sept 13, 2017 $DDS, $AAOI, $PI ,$NLNK, $ARRY, $SNAP, Gold, $GLD, $WTI, Oil EIA – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

I will start broadcasting my live oil trading platform in oil trading room soon because I am trading higher frequency and it is hard to alert when frequency gets high. Still setting this up FYI. We’re on it.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

I am now also trading for our private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You will see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they are connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because I am also trading for the private fund, there will be trades I cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

New Crypto alert Twitter feed, regular public Crypto Twitter feed and Crypto trading room on-deck. Crypto subscription details on shopping page.

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about fifty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

Sept 11 Red Day Review $SNAP, $ARRY, $TVIX, #Oil $WTI Trade Review, Mid Day Trade Set Up Review: http://youtu.be/lpoT4j5e8Ww?a via @YouTube

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts.

Sept 12 Trade Set-ups Review $CVS, $PI, $XXII, $TTOO, $ARWR, $HCN, $SHOP, $ABEO …
Unlisted – Excellent chart set-ups in this video.

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Aug 31 Mid Day Trade Set Ups $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, $DXY, $VIX, $AKS, $MNKD….

Aug 30 Trade Set Ups #EIA Oil EPIC Oil Algo, $WTI, $SPY. $OMVS, $MSFT, $MNKD, $VCEL, $ITCI …

Aug 29 Trade Set-ups $IMGN, $SPY, $EDIT, $KTOS, $JUNO, $XIV, $ACOR, $VIX…

Aug 28 Trade Set Ups Gold, $HTZ, $USOIL, $WTI, $BLUE, $CLLS, $CDNA, $IMDZ….

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: $DDS on Gap, Charts focus $AAOI, $PI ,$NLNK, $ARRY, $SNAP, Gold decision area, Oil EIA report because of compression in oil charting. After-hours buzz: JWN, M, HD & more 

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY moderate. Oil $USOIL $WTI continues in a very tight range (historically) but up in premarket, Gold / Silver moderate (came off yesterday and up some now), $SPY is in bull mode but moderating now, $BTCUSD love it and service is launched and I will be trading it anytime now (they are letting me know when my accounts are set up), and $VIX under pressure – a general time / price cycle terminated Sept 9 generally in markets so this could be a turn – and it looks bullish on the surface.

OTC on watch: $SUNEQ, $LTRE, $RMRK, $OMVS, $BSTG, $AMMJ, $HEMP, $BITCF, $BTCS, $BTSC, $GAHC

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck:

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Previous recent notes:

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Added $NLNK, $AAOI, and $PI to immediate watch for daytrading chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. I am extremely disappointed in the number of members that review those videos. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading). So if I get a tear in the bear DM from folks that will be the first thing I’ll ask you… #fairwarning 🙂 All in love.

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderate

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

 

https://twitter.com/Benzinga/status/907934387085361152

After-hours buzz: JWN, M, HD & more 

$OTIC All Development Activities for OTIVIDEX Have Been Suspended.
Reduces Non-Commercial Workforce by One-Third

Genomic Health teams up with Biocartis to develop IVD version of Oncotype DX breast cancer test https://seekingalpha.com/news/3295075-genomic-health-teams-biocartis-develop-ivd-version-oncotype-dx-breast-cancer-test?source=feed_f … #premarket $GHDX

$ALDX stock gains 12.4% in premarket VWAP (1 minute interval) Hi 6.55 – Low 5.90 http://tinyurl.com/yayeb87s

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $SNAK, $BVXV, $XRT $JWN $FOLD $CLVS $ALDX $CNC $TEX $BRCX $M $AVEO $OTIC $FINL $GLD $SQM $FGEN

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $AUPH $WDC $TEVA $WATT $FCX $BBL $AGNC $PTLA $CLF $MNK $VRX $SHPG $CCL $X

(3) Other Watch-List: $DDS Gap fill on watch

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $TSLA, $SQ, $MU, $ALXN, $DWDP

(6) Recent Downgrades:

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $DDS, $AAOI, $PI ,$NLNK, $ARRY, $SNAP, Gold, $GLD, $WTI, Oil EIA, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI – $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, BITCOIN, $BTCUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List for Monday Sept 12, 2017 $ALDX, $GRPO, $CDI, $AEMD, $ICPT, $ARRY, $SNAP – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Crypto trading room very near. I start trading crypto Wednesday at latest – I was delayed with account set-ups… and the hurricane didn’t help.

I will start broadcasting my live oil trading platform in oil trading room soon because I am trading higher frequency and it is hard to alert when frequency gets high. Still setting this up FYI. We’re on it.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

I am now also trading for our private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You will see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they are connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because I am also trading for the private fund, there will be trades I cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

New Crypto alert Twitter feed, regular public Crypto Twitter feed and Crypto trading room on-deck. Crypto subscription details on shopping page.

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about fifty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

Sept 11 Red Day Review $SNAP, $ARRY, $TVIX, #Oil $WTI Trade Review, Mid Day Trade Set Up Review: http://youtu.be/lpoT4j5e8Ww?a via @YouTube

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for more recent ones.

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Aug 31 Mid Day Trade Set Ups $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, $DXY, $VIX, $AKS, $MNKD….

Aug 30 Trade Set Ups #EIA Oil EPIC Oil Algo, $WTI, $SPY. $OMVS, $MSFT, $MNKD, $VCEL, $ITCI …

Aug 29 Trade Set-ups $IMGN, $SPY, $EDIT, $KTOS, $JUNO, $XIV, $ACOR, $VIX…

Aug 28 Trade Set Ups Gold, $HTZ, $USOIL, $WTI, $BLUE, $CLLS, $CDNA, $IMDZ….

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: 

Market observation / on watch: US Dollar $DXY moderate. Oil $USOIL $WTI continues in a very tight range (historcally), Gold / Silver moderate, $SPY is in bull mode, $BTCUSD love it and service is launched and I will be trading it this Wednesday at latest, and $VIX under pressure – a general time / price cycle terminated Sept 9 generally in markets so this could be a turn – and it looks bullish on the surface.

OTC on watch: $SUNEQ, $LTRE, $RMRK, $OMVS, $BSTG, $AMMJ, $HEMP, $BITCF, $BTCS, $BTSC, $GAHC

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck:

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in video above. 

Previous recent notes:

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Added $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. I am extremely disappointed in the number of members that review those videos. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading). So if I get a tear in the bear DM from folks that will be the first thing I’ll ask you… #fairwarning 🙂 All in love.

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

Bullish turn on Monday so we will see if there is continuation.

$ALDX premarket up 47% trading 6.20 on positive results.

$ALDX, premarket, trading plan

$ALDX premarket up 47% trading 6.20 on positive results.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

6am
Small Business Optimism Index

8:55am
Chain Store Sales

10am
Job Openings/ Labor Turnover Survey

$AEMD Aethlon Medical Announces Expedited Access Pathway Designation from the FDA to Accelerate US Access to Hemopurifier

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ALDX 41%, $AEMD 27% $RADA $HTBX $TEVA $CTIC $TA $ZFGN $ARTX $LPTH $DB $BCS $BYDDY $UGAZ $LIT $AEG $DWDP $AA $EYES

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $HIIQ $SAGE $EFX $MRNS $OPK

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades:  $INOV $AA $TAHO $KR $MTZ $ESNT $CMA $ABEV $CMCSA

(6) Recent Downgrades: $AIXG $STLD $NUE $AAP $PDS $TTI $EGO $LSI $NUE

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $ALDX, $GPRO, $CDI, $AEMD, $ICPT, $ARRY, $SNAP, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI – $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, BITCOIN, $BTCUSD


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List for Monday Sept 11, 2017 $RNN, $CTRV, $ARRY, $SNAP – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Crypto trading room very near. I start trading crypto Wednesday at latest – I was delayed with account set-ups… and the hurricane didn’t help.

I will start broadcasting my live oil trading platform in oil trading room soon because I am trading higher frequency and it is hard to alert when frequency gets high. Still setting this up FYI. We’re on it.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading and Day Trading are now available only on either email and/or by following alert Twitter feed. If you did not get an email send an email to [email protected] and ask Sartaj to get you info. Most of those I spoke to are opting for email only, but the Twitter alert system is available for those that want it.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

I am now also trading for our private capital fund which will bring some slight changes.

The financing or our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of our private fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will considerably increase.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. I will be trading the algorithm models (the six we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade for our private fund will not be disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. I will be trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month (which is near impossible, especially for the 24 month period I will be trading). 50% would be very good and 25% is my minimum goal. So at minimum I am looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others I train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You will see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they are connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because I am also trading for the private fund, there will be trades I cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

New Crypto alert Twitter feed, regular public Crypto Twitter feed and Crypto trading room on-deck. Crypto subscription details on shopping page.

Post market catch up posts still on to do list (we have about fifty from last quarter to post for transparency). Hopefully going forward now that we aren’t releasing any new algorithm models etc I’ll be able to get the rhythm of reporting cycle fluent / regular. It was the development / math etc of the models that took most of the energy so it should be good going forward. Between now and Christmas we’re just locking in what we have tighter and tighter so it sounds like a good plan:)

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts:

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for more recent ones.

Sept 6 Trade Setup Review $ATHX, $GIII, $LFVN, $NDLS, $ZKIN, $SPY, $VIX, $USOIL, $WTI and more…

Aug 31 Mid Day Trade Set Ups $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, Gold, $GLD, $DXY, $VIX, $AKS, $MNKD….

Aug 30 Trade Set Ups #EIA Oil EPIC Oil Algo, $WTI, $SPY. $OMVS, $MSFT, $MNKD, $VCEL, $ITCI …

Aug 29 Trade Set-ups $IMGN, $SPY, $EDIT, $KTOS, $JUNO, $XIV, $ACOR, $VIX…

Aug 28 Trade Set Ups Gold, $HTZ, $USOIL, $WTI, $BLUE, $CLLS, $CDNA, $IMDZ….

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: $ARRY

Market observation / on watch: US Dollar $DXY still under pressure. Oil $USOIL $WTI is in a very tight range after late week sell off last week (called on alerts feed btw), Gold / Silver are off a bit in recent trade but still bullish on wider time frame, $SPY is in tight range lately and holding up with PPT taking care of business, $BTCUSD love it and service is launched and I will be trading it this Wednesday at latest, and $VIX is down in premarket  – a general time / price cycle terminated Sept 9… so I am watching volatility very close.

OTC on watch: $SUNEQ, $LTRE, $RMRK, $OMVS, $BSTG, $AMMJ, $HEMP, $BITCF, $BTCS, $BTSC, $GAHC

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $IRET, $LAYN. $LMNR, $PPHM

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Previous recent notes:

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

New is $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. I am extremely disappointed in the number of members that review those videos. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading). So if I get a tear in the bear DM from folks that will be the first thing I’ll ask you… #fairwarning 🙂 All in love.

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook / Trading Plan:

Markets look bullish but credit markets are slowly breaking down so caution is urged.

$RNN for long, $CTRV for short, $ARRY for continuation long, $SNAP for continuation long.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

11am
4-Week Bill Announcement

11:30am
3 & 6-Month Bill Auction

Xero to Offer Cross-Border Payments Through Bitcoin Partnership With Veem http://ift.tt/2eR4UNQ #Bitcoin

https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/907198102708408320

$CTRV news is nothingburger and it’s a piece of sh*t… but okay… you go. #premarket

 

$CBIO Catalyst Biosciences Announces Issuance of Asia Patents Covering Factor IX Hemophilia Program

$APHB AmpliPhi Biosciences Treats First Patient with AB-SA01, Says was Well Tolerated

$INO – Reports INO-5150 Slowed PSA Rise, Significantly Increased PSA Doubling Times In Patients With Recurrent Prostate Cancer

$UVE stock gains 13.2% in premarket

$RNN Presents Preliminary Efficacy Data from the Ongoing Phase IIa Clinical Trial of RX-3117 in Advanced Bladder Cancer

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TAHO 43%, $CTRV 18%, $MRNS $HRTG $UVE $TEVA $RIC $HCI $CRNT $RXDX $ARRY $CBIO $RNN $BVXV $RE $DUST $OTIC $KURA will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $ARRY from 11 – 14 at JPM (long on it Friday). $BSMX $MDRX $INCY $WEX $QUIK $LSI $SBRA $ABM $MBUU $BBD $TXT $ATI $TEVA $Y $FEYE $MA $MBWM $EPR $NNN I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Recent Downgrades: $GRUB $SABR $EXR $STX $NWL $SNAP $KR $SNE $BMA $MGM $NEO

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics:  $RNN, $CTRV, $ARRY, $SNAP, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI – $DXY, US Dollar, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, BITCOIN, $BTCUSD


A quick post storm update before I leave my beach home in Sosua today. I’m going to see if I can get a quick recreational free-dive in today, check on neighbors and look toward settling in to my work before the week starts.

The last few days have been filled with “getting back to normal” activities – cleaning up the area and getting my office reinstated for work.

The Hurricane

Hurricane Irma hit the north shore Dominican Republic on Thursday, causing damage to north coast homes and flooding in some areas.

Reuter’s images below shows how some local area fared (credit to UK Express). There is also a link to an Express article below and also a tweet of satellite imagery that shows how close the eye came to our beach community (our location was just south of the eye of the storm in that image on the shore of the Dominican).

Images of our area.

Hurricane Irma, Dominican Republic

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/851444/Hurricane-Irma-damage-pictures-Dominican-Republic-Haiti-storm-path-track-model

UK Express Article about the storm:

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/851444/Hurricane-Irma-damage-pictures-Dominican-Republic-Haiti-storm-path-track-model

Satellite image of just how lucky we were that they eye of the storm stayed just north of us off the coast.

Among towns hit by Irma were Sosua (where my beach residence / home office is) and neighboring communities Cabaret and Puerto Plata.

“More than 5,500 people in the country were evacuated in the run-up to the storm”, officials said.

Prior to the eye of the storm approaching (Wed evening) I had hunkered down in my beach residence with Monkey (the bulldog) thinking that if it got “too bad” we would retreat to higher ground. Well, I accidentally fell asleep and Monkey woke me up around 4 am and it was serious.

So I contacted local friends (we still had internet) and off we went (a few miles inland). Cathy and Richard (local friends and owners of Wildefire Properties) once again were the angels that saved my butt (there have been previous near death experiences I won’t go in to hahaha).

At 11:47 AM I posted this video from their home thinking that the eye of the storm was as close to us as it would get… I thought that’s not so bad. I even got my temporary office set up and started to broadcast in to our main trading room. But then communications went down and the storm got more serious.

So yes, my communications went down (trading room broadcast ended) and we sat and waited out the storm – fortunate to be inland, up high, in a modern home. The trees breaking around us like twigs was intimidating but all in all we fared well considering.

Later that afternoon Rich delivered Monkey and I back to the beach house and our beach wasn’t calm anymore and much of Playa Alicia beach had changed. Other locals on the beach fared well but it was obvious (with the downed trees everywhere and local building damage) that it was better to be away from the shoreline.

Interestingly enough, I was one of the only folks in the Sosua beach area with internet because the primary source locals use was down, cell networks were down etc so locals asked if they could use my internet to communicate with family etc. So I had a number of visitors in among the damage strewn in my yard.

Note: when I first got to Sosua about 3 months ago, because local internet was not stable enough for our trading room broadcasting and uploading requirements, I had arranged for fiber internet be brought in from near 2 miles away on a small cable line that literally runs from downtown over and with power lines through trees down the beach edge through the restaurant property behind all my neighbors homes (in their yards) and in to my home (i have actually walked the line in amazement).

I cleaned up my yard Thursday evening and helped neighbors get cleaned up, unpacked my office, mopped the floors, took all the tape off the windows and started broadcasting in to oil trading room by midnight Thursday night. Friday was a normal day in the trading rooms – broadcasting was only interrupted once in premarket with a quick power outage.

Post Storm – a plea for aid and thank-you!

Today I am going to try and get a quick swim (rec dive) and see if any neighbors need any final clean up help and post this personal update and plea for aid.

There are many ways folks that can help those less fortunate than my story. In my most humble opinion, with storms like Irma, Harvey, Jose, the earthquake in Mexico and others raging it seems… please reach out as you are able. On a personal level I am doing my best as time allows to help folks in my community, but I intend to take that a step further and formalize our contribution (corporately) – I encourage anyone that can please do so.

I now will go and do that dive, dig in with the community and then turn my focus on getting our reporting and systems ready for futures market open Sunday evening.

My best and peace (and from everyone here) to all those supporting from out there in the world. Prayers for Florida, Cuba in the path of Irma, those now in the path of Jose and all affected:) And remember to take your pet!

Curt


Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Friday September 8, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The model for $BTCUSD is built on a chart from the Bitstamp exchange. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • Our model for BitMEX: XBTUSD (perpetual swaps) is here! Starting tonight I will be trading $XBTUSD on our BitMEX account. 
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room will be up and running very soon – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • Curt, Sartaj and I will be #TeamTrading this in a very serious way.
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • We will have a private Discord room for Cryptocurrency trading as well. I plan to use the voice channel to enhance our #TeamTrading and I hope many of you will join me in there.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long. The most recent cluster corresponded with the run over $3,000 to all time highs.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history, and Bitcoin lacks that history over $3,000.

Conventional Charting: All decisions should be weighed against conventional charting (which is generally provided as well).

 

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (orange dotted lines)
  2. Trading range created by short term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (grey dotted lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Long term classic trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  5. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  6. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s and MACD

Observations in the current area of trade:

$BTCUSD has moved into a downward trending channel. However, I suspect it will move into a new upward trending channel if it reaches the low end of the current quadrant (represented by the purple arrows below) :

Upcoming time/price cycle and targets:

There is a resistance cluster very close to the current area of trade. Expect added volatility as trade approaches this area:

 

Conventional charting shows current area of trade 19:00 EST. 8 Sept. 2017: 

I am currently watching the highlighted areas below for a trade:

Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 

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