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Premarket Note
Morning,
In trading room at open, mid day, during active trade and in evening session.
Swing Members: If you haven’t reviewed the swing trade report from last night (or at all this quarter) you missed out because near if not all the trade alerts were winners (Q1 2019). Next round in the works now.
Have a great day.
Curt
Trade Set Ups / Current Swing Trade Positions March 19, 2019.
Stocks Covered in this Report: AAPL, GOOGL, NFLX, GOLD, OIL, BABA, ARWR, FB, TWTR, TSLA, MSFT and more. .
Email us at [email protected] anytime with questions about any of the swing trade set ups covered in this video. Market hours can be difficult to respond but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Special swing trade client note:
When this time cycle was starting I was screaming from the rooftops the importance of getting in to play with the trades that were coming, the first leg of the move from Dec 24, 2018 to now has been great and the next COULD BE better in to mid May 2019. Don’t miss out.
Trade Set Ups and Current Swing Trade Positions March 19, 2019.
Anadarko Petroleum (APC) –
Per March 5 Report “this is a symmetry play (see recent special report and alert that went out), trading 44.35 and watching for the support level on video to hold and we’re looking for the 76.00 area for February of 2020 for a price target”.
ALSO, the is a link to a special report below (at bottom of this post) that explains exactly how to trade Anadarko Petroleum.
ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORP (APC) MACD turning up on Weekly Chart, should be ready to go soon. #swingtrade $APC
TerraForm (TERP) –
Per March 5 report “trading 12.60 with earnings in days, algorithmic channel outlined in video and on recent report, trade the channel if it gets bullish on the other side of earnings. This is on high watch with recent trade trajectory and 200 MA near above. Price target on the weekly chart for TERP shown in video is 25.17 range May of next year”.
THERE IS ALSO A LINK TO A SPECIAL REPORT BELOW FOR TERP AT BOTTOM OF THIS POST.
TerraForm Power Caps a Transformational Year With Solid Q4 Results #swingtrading $TERP https://finance.yahoo.com/news/terraform-power-caps-transformational-solid-173600840.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw
TERRAFORM POWER (TERP) This is about to test 200 MA on Weekly Chart, you will want to watch close now. #swingtrade $TERP
Home Depot (HD) –
Per March 5 Report, “240 minute chart is reviewed in video with time cycle completion Mar 26, 2019. This play is on watch with Maven expecting decent upside return. All the price targets and timing are reviewed in the video”.
Home Depot’s Solid 2018 in 3 Charts https://finance.yahoo.com/news/home-depot-solid-2018-3-210500199.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw #swingtrading $HD
HOME DEPOT (HD) holding top of trading box with indicators turning up, looking for a pop here $HD #swingtrading
Gold (XAUUSD, GLD, GC_F) –
Per March 5 report, “Monthly chart reviewed, sideways action is seen on chart, for traders that do trade it I have it shorted and it is going well, price has come off the first resistance in my trade plan (I was expecting to have to average my trade), support is at the red trend line shown. There’s a potential down side 718.00 if it breaks down, it’s very possible it breaks down. I like this trade so far”.
GOLD remains in structure on monthly chart. Watching. $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
EXXON (XOM) –
Per March 5 report, “this trade has been going very well, we gt in 73s with 77.13 Feb that hit early, over 200 MA on daily, we have a price target in the 85’s. Details of this trade set up are on the chart in the video and explained by voice. Really really successful trade and it has been going exceptionally well. What a swing trade.
I also explain my sizing and trims and adds to my swing positions in this part of the video (during XOM)”.
EXXON (XOM) This swing trade just keeps giving $XOM #swingtrade #energy
I will be trimming this position in to the red trading box (underside) resistance tomorrow and considering re-entering above the blue line when price is in trading box.
Nike (NKE) –
Per March 5 Report, “this is a break out trade that I alerted as a cautionary set up, the levels and signals for the trade are reviewed in the video. As I’ve said before hold this one tight”.
Breaking Down Nike’s Q3 Earnings Outlook Ahead of March Madness https://finance.yahoo.com/news/breaking-down-nikes-q3-earnings-192407481.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw #swingtrading $NKE #earnings
NIKE (NKE) Will be closing in morning in to earnings, this swing long from 84.84 went well. #swingtrade #earnings $NKE
Alphabet / Google (GOOGL) –
Per March 5 Report, “algorithmic calculated channel is reviewed and price has hit the price target and the trajectory has been very bullish since our alert on GOOGL. The price targets for this swing trade are reviewed in detail on the video”.
Tech giants will have to be regulated in future – EU’s Timmermans https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tech-giants-regulated-future-eus-145838975.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw #swingtrading $GOOGL
Google (GOOGL) Exceptional trajectory (upper scenario) on this swing trade, no reason to liquidate any time soon. $GOOGL
This is another fantastic swing trade. If anything just remember to take profit along the way.
Advanced Micro (AMD) –
Per March 5 Report, “when I alerted this I knew it was going to be a great ROI trade, I don’t like how it trades but I was confident in the price target. It hit the price target early. Resistance and support are reviewed on the video along with future price targets with time cycle completion dates. Another really strong alerted swing trade for 2019”.
AI Stocks to Watch, Including One Under-The-Radar Gem https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ai-stocks-watch-including-one-120000581.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw Gopher Protocol Inc. (GOPH), Five9, Inc. (FIVN), Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT), Advanced Micro Systems (AMD), and Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) #swingtrading #AI
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) does have symmetry in price targets hit with a channel, upper target may hit #swingtrade $AMD
I don’t like the way this stock trades, however, it has held the channel structure and the price targets are hitting on the model. The upper price target on the chart below could be in play.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMD/w5sN14u2-ADVANCED-MICRO-AMD-does-have-symmetry-in-price-targets-hit-wit/
Twitter (TWTR) –
Per March 5 Report, “didn’t like this one when I put the alert out. I don’t like the way it trades, its crazy. But there is a chart model reviewed on the video. If it functions like a normal equity your price targets are on the video for your review”.
TWITTER (TWTR) continues to struggle in the cluster of support and resistance areas, no trade for me. #swingtrade $TWTR
Facebook (FB) –
Per March 5 Report, “the model has done really well, we will be updatnig the model soon, 175.66 price target March 7 is in play on the 4 hour chart, Maven is in this swing trade and doing well with it. It has been a very successful swing trading structure for us many times in past”.
For now I will leave this one alone considering the mosque attacks. A structured trade just isn’t possible at this point, I will re-look at it the near future.
BP –
Per March 5 Report, “bullish over 43.31 price target 47.99 in to October 2019, we haven’t triggered a swing trade position yet, it may be a decent trade but not the best”.
BP I didn’t execute on this but it does look like a decent trade setting up. #swingtrading $BP #chart
FireEye (FEYE) –
Per March 5 Report, “tagging the down side scenario from our swing report, we haven’t triggered on the trade, 14.80 is in play for April 2019. It’s a good trader when it’s trading well and we’ve done well many time with it”.
FIREEYE (FEYE) Fireeye stuck in a range, watching for now. #swingtrade $FEYE
Arrowhead Pharma ARWR –
Per March 5 Report, “This has been a fantastic long term swing trade, the returns are very high and we are looking for much more in this trade. The trading channel is reviewed on the video”.
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Looking for top of trading box resistance to break for a move to next, great swing trade. $ARWR
TESLA (TSLA) –
Per March 5 Report, “I have been bearish on it since the recent report and it has come off on the chart significantly since, 281.47 is the main pivot and anything over is bullish and under bearish. The trade scenarios are reviewed on video”.
TESLA (TSLA) hasn’t hit my 231.00 price target yet but it has come off really hard so far. $TSLA #stock
Alibaba (BABA) – the bullish thesis I laid out has transpired but not complete, watch the video for all the signals on this swing trade. This is a great set-up.
ALIBABA (BABA) This couldn’t be a better swing trade, hasn’t hit 206.00 price target yet but it is in play $BABA #swingtrade
Microsoft (MSFT) –
Per March 5 Report, “per my previous guidance I am not really exited about it but I am watching for a potential break out trade in Microsoft so at this point it is only on watch”.
This stock has done really well, but I missed taking the trade, so I won’t review the chart at this time.
Eagle Materials (EXP) –
Per March 5 Report, “was looking for a trade entry long trigger in the support line reviewed on the video, price got away on me before I took the trade, I was trying to get a too perfect entry. Support and resistance reviewed on the video.
I missed my execution on this one so I won’t review the chart set-up at this time.
APPLE (AAPL) –
Per March 5 Report, “direction of trade per alert has been near perfect, it has the full range of the price extension and is at the test area, if it gets above resistance noted you can go long again, price targets reviewed on the video”.
APPLE (AAPL) The gift that keeps giving, take profit at each gray and green and add above. Simple. $AAPL #swingtrading
Allergan (AGN) –
Per March 5 Report, “has not done as well as I wanted, made money on the trade but had to trim out in its down turn, I still like it to a point but its a tough set up now”.
ALLERGAN (AGN) Bounce off key support after sell-off, working its way up channel. $AGN #swingtrade #chart
AK Steel (AKS) –
March 5 Report, “potential trajectory on video and it isn’t my favorite type of set-up. Just on watch”.
AKS isn’t doing much of anything, not trading it anytime soon.
Netflix (NFLX) –
March 5 Report, “very structured model, hitting price targets no problem, but right now on daily chart in support area. Price targets reviewed with trajectory of swing trade reviewed on video”.
NETFLIX (NFLX) Continues to trend towared price target for late May. Take profit along the way. $NFLX #stock #chart
American Express (AXP) –
Per March 5 Report, “great trade alert set up from swing trade service, hit price targets early, really strong trade structure”,
AMERICAN EXPRESS (AXP) great trade set-up and above current resistance it has lots of room to run $AXP
The 3 below I am not interested in trading any time soon.
Morgan Stanley (MS) – trading at support channel and if you like the set-up now is the time to trigger long in this trade, it has a 75.00 range price target in 2021.
Delta Airlines – hasn’t been a great trade set-up. Early on in the trade it provided an excellent return for our clients but it fell apart later.
Bank of America (BAC) – really took off at our trigger point from the special report, but its in to resistance and not trading the best but a swing trade thesis is outlined in the video.
Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!
Cheers!
Curtis
Other Recent Reports:
If you are a current swing trade bundle (or newsletter) member and you need an access code for any of the below (that may be locked) please email us at [email protected] for the password(s).
Feb 26 – Protected: The Home Depot Stock Trade | Earnings Sell-Off | Trade Set-Up Alert
Feb 14 – Protected: Swing Trade | Current Positions $GOOGL, $NKE, $ARWR, $XOM, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, NatGas …
Jan 29 – Protected: Swing Trading. Earnings. Video. $AMZN, $AMD, $TSLA, $FB, $NFLX, $MSFT, $AAPL, $DAL, $BAC, $C…
Jan 28 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AMZN, $MSFT, $FB, $BABA, $TSLA
Jan 24 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AAPL, $AKS, $AMD, $AGN, $EXP
Jan 17 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Video: Trade Set-Ups | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX, $SPY, $VIX
Jan 16 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX
Jan 14 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, NFLX
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Article Topics; Swing, Trading, Stocks, AAPL, GOOGL, NFLX, GOLD, OIL, BABA, ARWR, FB, TWTR, TSLA, MSFT
Good morning traders,
Last night we spent the majority of our session trouble shooting the load issues with the 1 min oil model, it’s fixed, loads fast.
The EPIC 30 Min model was also revised and sent to bundle members.
The next on our list is getting the hours of trading vid / blog posts done AND yes, the oil machine trade protocols (review recent premarket notes if you’re not sure what I’m on about).
Swing trade updates are in the pipeline next also.
To the oil trading (which also affects other areas of markets)…. the machine trade in markets is becoming increasingly sophisticated (we have a post coming soon on that, some articles I have posted to my Twitter feed in last week also reference this), anyway…. the time frames the machine trade is operating on is frequently moving to a half and a quarter of the regular time frame traders are used to using on any given chart (they are flipping down and up time frames so it becomes important to know when and what time frame the machines are in so that our software triggers to the right time frame and human traders can trigger to the current time frame also). I mention this to say 1) We’ve back tested this now and we’ve got it nailed down (this will affect frequency of alerts) 2) We will provide more detail soon in special posts to explain how to trade the 1/2 and 1/4 time frames 3) This of course affects the protocol documents, hence the delay. Bottom line, we’ve got it nailed down and now we can start moving along again.
So the WIP will start flowing out to clients as a result.
Have a great day.
Thanks
Curt
Premarket Note and Important Client Updates March 8, 2019.
Good morning traders!
Our Schedule.
Last night we were in coding / trade protocol publication conference all night so there was no live trading for me in the overnight session.
I am scheduled in main live trading room (voice / chart broadcast room) at US regular market open (9:30 EST) and during active trade today. Mid day trade setups review in live trading room will be set off until Monday as we are working on completion of the oil trade protocols (yes, still grinding through it).
Sunday we will return to active trade attendance in overnight trade (12:00 midnight EST).
For those unaware, our trading team is on a daily scheduled break from 2:30 PM to 12:00 midnight EST. We are in attendance from 12:00 midnight to 2:30 PM EST. I am typically in the main live broadcast trading room at regular US market open (9:30 AM EST), mid day review (12:00 PM – 1:00 PM EST), during any active trading and for special events (weekly EIA, webinars, etc).
Link to live broadcast trading room: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
The team will also be in the Discord chat rooms today as usual. If you need a link to access Discord please email us.
Current Work In Progress.
Crude Oil Machine Trade Protocol Document Set:
For those unaware (and for the sake of updating everyone), as noted above we were at it again last night working through the code detail and oil trade protocol publications.
Again, my apologies for being behind on our schedule with this task, unfortunately it happens. The coding work and associated protocols are VERY detailed. With over 8000 instructions in the code it is taking some time to condense those instructions to an easy to reference set of protocol documents for our clients.
We’re close now, while I write this Jeremy has advised me that his final edits are done so I’ll do my last review and send the protocols out to clients this weekend.
The written protocols (rule-set) are a document series intended to assist our clients with being able to reference the trading rule-set (instructions / protocol) our machine trading software is executing trades to.
In other words, when oil trade alerts are sent to alert feeds (private client Twitter feed & client private Discord server chat) marked with an “M” for machine trade, our member will then be able to reference the trade rule-set / set-up specific to that alert. The goal is for our member to know what the trading plan is for each type of alert.
One protocol document (rule-set) for each type of trade set-up alerted to the feeds.
This is another step toward our goal of an intelligent assisted trading platform for our traders / clients. The broadcast trading rooms, Discord chat, newsletter publications, live alerts etc are a start toward that and the protocol documents are the next step. Moving forward near future our developers will be automating the machine trade alerts to the alert feeds, trading rooms etc.
Current Trades.
Oil Trading:
In January we posted over 60% account gains in crude oil trade, February profit and loss statement is above 30% (depending on the account – some less some more, yet to be released – Jen has that on her WIP) and we’re shooting for 100% in March. To get 100% in this environment (see below) is a challenge, but we’re in it to win it. Read on.
Personal Oil Trades – Choppy week for me (personal oil trades) and the machine trading. Yesterday was my first red day in a while.
I AM RETURNING to ONLY THE HIGHEST PROBABLE TRADE SET-UPS after the chop I was in yesterday. You will see less trades from me over the coming days, but the oil trades I do alert will be the highest probable wins and they will be trades I will want to be able to execute in SIZE.
The smaller the account the more chop I experienced yesterday. The larger the account the easier it was to navigate the chop.
Crude Oil Machine Trading – Specific to the machine trading, the protocol document flow due out soon will help our clients understand this better, but for now I will say that the machine trade liquidity in the markets has become extremely advanced, very quickly. And I wouldn’t doubt sophisticated AI manifesting near term.
Machine trade in crude oil liquidity is becoming more advanced literally by the day (we have noticed a substantial recent increase in change). Our timing in this endeavor is really interesting in my opinion.
What am I saying? Well, for example most recently we have noticed the machine traded liquidity in the markets has moved down one and sometimes two time-frames. This means that the machine driven liquidity in crude oil trade is executing trade on half or a quarter minute charting time-frames. Imagine that.
If you can imagine having coded the software (with over 8000 instructions) and written the protocol document rule – sets for over forty set-ups only to find that in sideways consolidated oil trade action that the machine liquidity is now moving from a one minute time-frame in executions to a half or even a quarter minute time-frame. Human traders don’t even have charting for that!
Anyway, that’s what we have found the last ten days in the sideways trade in crude oil (look at a daily crude oil chart).
This has caused us to re-code appropriately, trim our throttle down and down and down again the time-frame that our software will fire trades at and re-do and re-do and re-do the trading protocol documents that our clients will use to reference the trade set-up at each oil trade alert.
I have spoken to our most experienced oil traders (we have some serious veterans in our midst) and all of them had a tough week – and these folks rarely are challenged with trading green.
It was a tough week, but we responded and re-coded, and we’re throttling down the software appropriately so it fires on lower time frames and I am personally adjusting my personal trades to only take the best set-ups with a preference to those that I will be able to size in to.
Swing / Day Trading:
Review all current / swing trades thus far in 2019 and current here (if you need an access code email us):
In addition to the trades in the document above I am also now in a starter swing trade position in $HIIQ (per yesterday’s alert).
2019 has been really positive in our swing trading platform, the returns have been great and I expect the next time cycle to continue as such. We should see near 100% return on the year if things continue as they are. The first quarter P/L will be out end of month for review.
Just remember to take profits along the way with the winning swing trades and use stops to protect your account equity.
We expect to start the next round of swing trades between now and Tuesday morning of next week.
New Client On-boarding.
Legacy Members:
The only outstanding new client on-boarding are our newest Legacy Members. All new Legacy All Access Members should have received a conference time with myself for this Sunday afternoon or evening. Look forward to connecting with each of you.
New Members:
Before you start executing trades as a client of Compound Trading Group I highly recommend you study and even take a few hours of private trade coaching to be sure you are best set for success in your trading. Too many newer clients to our group start trading way to early in the process.
Study the historical blog posts specific to your trading focus. Examples are the oil algorithm historical posts on the blog, the crude oil trading special articles listed on the Oil Trading Academy page on our website or the Swing Trading historical posts on the blog. Many posts are unlocked over time for public view and if you are a member that needs an access code to a specific post please email us.
You can also study the videos on our YouTube channel. They are raw video feed (so they aren’t packaged for quick consumption sound bites) but if you’re willing to put in the time they will be of great benefit to your trading.
Also of great benefit are the private Discord servers, especially the crude oil server. You can review historical chat and trade set-ups – many new clients have told me this has been of great benefit.
Attendance to the live trading room when I am broadcasting my live trades (or reviewing historical raw video on You Tube) also helps.
And lastly, if you want to take your technical analysis / charting etc to the next level, there is a 20 hour video series available (the Master Class Series recorded last year) for 1499.00. Email Jen at [email protected] if interested. We cover much of the content at each trading boot camp, but only about 20% of the Master Class Series for Technical Analysis, Charting and Trade Set-Ups.
Upcoming Events.
Special Trade Coaching Webinar Series:
Oil Traders Special Webinar Everything I Know About Trading Crude Oil | Special Webinar Event Series | March 24: 10 AM – 6 PM.
Swing Traders Special Webinar: Stay tuned, to be announced. It will be held in April 2019.
Trade Coaching Boot Camp (in-person or online):
Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next Trade Coaching Boot Camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic April 19 – 21, 2019.
Recent Press:
News Release: SOVORON™ Selects Compound Trading Group Machine Learning Data | Media Release.
Be sure to reach out if you need any help with your trading.
Have a great day!
Curtis
Premarket Note
Good morning traders,
I will be in main trading room at open, for EIA, mid day review, during active trade and then overnight at midnight.
Jeremy and Kate completed the oil alert trade protocols last evening and I will review and distribute them today. Thanks for your patience.
For those not aware, the protocols include the specific crude oil trade signals (set-up) for each type of alert members receive on the alert feed so that you can understand the trade structure (support, resistance etc).
Overnight session crude oil was very quiet in advance of EIA (price had very little movement overnight) and likely to be so until the report is released at 10:30 AM today. The oil trade alert feed has been quiet as a result, but that will change post EIA also.
Extended until midnight tonight for last minute parties that have asked:
“Price Increase Mar 4: Oil Trade Services (Bundle, Newsletter, Alerts, Trading Room) w/ Promo Codes”
Be sure to catch the review of all swing trades thus far in 2019 here:
We expect to start the next round of swing trades between post EIA and Tuesday morning of next week.
Be sure to reach out if you need any help with your trading.
Have a great day!
Curtis
Trade Set Ups and Current Swing Trade Positions March 5, 2019.
Stocks Covered in this Special Report: AAPL, GOOGL, NFLX, GOLD, OIL, BABA, ARWR, FB, TWTR, TSLA, MSFT and more. .
Email us at [email protected] anytime with questions about any of the swing trade set ups covered in this video. Market hours can be difficult to respond but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.
Special swing trade client note:
When this time cycle was starting I was screaming from the rooftops the importance of getting in to play with the trades that were coming, this report reviews how great this time-cycle has been and is going to get better around the next corner. These trades have gone extremely well so please do study the video, go in to the previous reports, study the charts and time cycle price targets and BE READY FOR THE NEXT TRADE SET-UPS on deck!
Swing Trading Set-Up VIDEO:
#Swingtrading
Voice broadcast starts at 4:25 on video.
Trade Set Ups and Current Swing Trade Positions March 5, 2019.
The beginning of this video discusses the team work in progress, trade alert protocols, coding, alerts, machine trading developments, changes in my personal trading schedule etc.
This is an important trade set-up video for all stocks we have been swing trading in 2019 so far, so it is an important review for our clients prior to the next round of swing trade entries coming.
Crude Oil ($WTI, $USOIL, $USO) – Tonight the protocols for the alerts will be distributed to members so that our clients know which set up is in play when we send out alerts. The EIA down channel target 55.23 and top uptrend channel 57.25 – the mid pivot (mid quad) for indecisive trade is at 56.25 on FX USOIL WTI. Our bias is toward up channel and we are hoping to get up in to 58.07 range this week to top of swing area of the EPIC Algorithm model (30 minute). The video outlines a scenario for between API Tuesday afternoon at 4:30 and EIA report Wednesday at 10:30.
Anadarko Petroleum (APC) – this is a symmetry play (see recent special report and alert that went out), trading 44.35 and watching for the support level on video to hold and we’re looking for the 76.00 area for February of 2020 for a price target.
TerraForm (TERP) – trading 12.60 with earnings in days, algorithmic channel outlined in video and on recent report, trade the channel if it gets bullish on the other side of earnings. This is on high watch with recent trade trajectory and 200 MA near above. Price target on the weekly chart for TERP shown in video is 25.17 range May of next year.
Home Depot (HOM) – 240 minute chart is reviewed in video with time cycle completion Mar 26, 2019. This play is on watch with Maven expecting decent upside return. All the price targets and timing are reviewed in the video.
Gold (XAUUSD, GLD, GC_F) – Monthly chart reviewed, sideways action is seen on chart, for traders that do trade it I have it shorted and it is going well, price has come off the first resistance in my trade plan (I was expecting to have to average my trade), support is at the red trend line shown. There’s a potential down side 718.00 if it breaks down, it’s very possible it breaks down. I like this trade so far.
EXXON (XOM) – this trade has been going very well, we gt in 73s with 77.13 Feb that hit early, over 200 MA on daily, we have a price target in the 85’s. Details of this trade set up are on the chart in the video and explained by voice. Really really successful trade and it has been going exceptionally well. What a swing trade.
I also explain my sizing and trims and adds to my swing positions in this part of the video (during XOM).
Nike (NKE) – this is a break out trade that I alerted as a cautionary set up, the levels and signals for the trade are reviewed in the video. As I’ve said before hold this one tight.
Alphabet / Google (GOOGL) – algorithmic calculated channel is reviewed and price has hit the price target and the trajectory has been very bullish since our alert on GOOGL. The price targets for this swing trade are reviewed in detail on the video.
Advanced Micro (AMD) – when I alerted this I knew it was going to be a great ROI trade, I don’t like how it trades but I was confident in the price target. It hit the price target early. Resistance and support are reviewed on the video along with future price targets with time cycle completion dates. Another really strong alerted swing trade for 2019.
Twitter (TWTR) – didn’t like this one when I put the alert out. I don’t like the way it trades, its crazy. But there is a chart model reviewed on the video. If it functions like a normal equity your price targets are on the video for your review.
Facebook (FB) – the model has done really well, we will be updated the model soon, 175.66 price target March 7 is in play on the 4 hour chart, Maven is in this swing trade and doing well with it. It has been a very successful swing trading structure for us many times in past.
BP – bullish over 43.31 price target 47.99 in to October 2019, we haven’t triggered a swing trade position yet, it may be a decent trade but not the best.
FireEye (FEYE) – tagging the down side scenario from our swing report, we haven’t triggered on the trade, 14.80 is in play for April 2019. It’s a good trader when it’s trading well and we’ve done well many time with it.
Arrowhead Pharma ARWR – This has been a fantastic long term swing trade, the returns are very high and we are looking for much more in this trade. The trading channel is reviewed on the video.
TESLA (TSLA) – I have been bearish on it since the recent report and it has come off on the chart significantly since, 281.47 is the main pivot and anything over is bullish and under bearish. The trade scenarios are reviewed on video.
Alibaba (BABA) – the bullish thesis I laid out has transpired but not complete, watch the video for all the signals on this swing trade. This is a great set-up.
Microsoft (MSFT) – per my previous guidance I am not really exited about it but I am watching for a potential break out trade in Microsoft so at this point it is only on watch.
Eagle Materials (EXP) – was looking for a trade entry long trigger in the support line reviewed on the video, price got away on me before I took the trade, I was trying to get a too perfect entry. Support and resistance reviewed on the video.
APPLE (AAPL) – direction of trade per alert has been near perfect, it has the full range of the price extension and is at the test area, if it gets above resistance noted you can go long again, price targets reviewed on the video.
Allergan (AGN) – has not done as well as I wanted, made money on the trade but had to trim out in its down turn, I still like it to a point but its a tough set up now.
AK Steel (AKS) – potential trajectory on video and it isn’t my favorite type of set-up. Just on watch.
Netflix (NFLX) – very structured model, hitting price targets no problem, but right now on daily chart in support area. Price targets reviewed with trajectory of swing trade reviewed on video.
American Express (AXP) – great trade alert set up from swing trade service, hit price targets early, really strong trade structure,
Morgan Stanley (MS) – trading at support channel and if you like the set-up now is the time to trigger long in this trade, it has a 75.00 range price target in 2021.
Delta Airlines – hasn’t been a great trade set-up. Early on in the trade it provided an excellent return for our clients but it fell apart later.
Bank of America (BAC) – really took off at our trigger point from the special report, but its in to resistance and not trading the best but a swing trade thesis is outlined in the video.
Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!
Cheers!
Curtis
Other Recent Reports:
If you are a current swing trade bundle (or newsletter) member and you need an access code for any of the below (that may be locked) please email us at [email protected] for the password(s).
Feb 26 – Protected: The Home Depot Stock Trade | Earnings Sell-Off | Trade Set-Up Alert
Feb 14 – Protected: Swing Trade | Current Positions $GOOGL, $NKE, $ARWR, $XOM, Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, NatGas …
Jan 29 – Protected: Swing Trading. Earnings. Video. $AMZN, $AMD, $TSLA, $FB, $NFLX, $MSFT, $AAPL, $DAL, $BAC, $C…
Jan 28 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AMZN, $MSFT, $FB, $BABA, $TSLA
Jan 24 – Protected: Swing Trading: Earnings Special Report | $AAPL, $AKS, $AMD, $AGN, $EXP
Jan 17 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Video: Trade Set-Ups | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX, $SPY, $VIX
Jan 16 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $MS, $AXP, $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, $NFLX
Jan 14 – Protected: Swing Trading Earnings | Feature Report | $C, $SJR, $BAC, $DAL, NFLX
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Article Topics; Swing, Trading, Stocks, AAPL, GOOGL, NFLX, GOLD, OIL, BABA, ARWR, FB, TWTR, TSLA, MSFT
New Personal Schedule to Accommodate Peak Trading Times:
Jeremy and I have resigned ourselves to perform daily oil machine trade code updates until only weekly updates are needed (weekly wasn’t going to do it).
Until now we have found ourselves doing the code updates early morning between 3 am and 7 am (then I prep for premarket).
This time slot for updates doesn’t work.
It doesn’t work because the machine trading (and my personal trading) needs to be firing during this time. The overnight session after midnight and in to early morning are important as the global regular markets are opening – many of the daily moves start there and if we’re updating code there is no trading. It also interferes with my equity day trades in to open because I am not prepared properly and swing trade positioning as needed in the premarket session.
So we’re moving the oil machine trade code updates to the time-slot between 8 pm to 12 Midnight each night because futures are normally quiet in that time slot.
We will always be in the trading room daily from regular USA open at 9:30 AM to 2:30 PM.
From 2:30 PM – 8:00 PM we will be on our personal time break daily.
Mid day trade set-ups will normally take place in the main trading room from Noon to 1 PM daily.
Reporting:
The mid day review today went over all the swing trades for 2019 this year so far. We have done exceptionally well with our 2019 swing trades considering the funky markets. This will be an important video (mid day from today) to review when we send it out. It will include a written report. We will next be adding more swing trade set-ups we are watching over the next few days to our swing trade portfolio for 2019.
The crude oil machine trading protocols will be emailed this evening. Early morning today we completed the code updates for all the protocols and now staff are completing the client documents for review of the protocols.
Machine Trade in Oil Alerts Profit / Loss:
The February P&L will be out soon for those that have asked.
January Oil Trade Profit and Loss is here:
Trade Alerts:
As of the next session (midnight tonight) you can expect the frequency to increase (up to 200 per month) for the oil trade alerts. The last few days have been riddled with updates (including today) specifically because we’re tying the actual code to the public side protocol documents – they have to match so that when you the trader see an oil alert you can the reference the trade set-up protocol that the machine or myself are trading with. This will help our clients plan their own trade. Anyway, it was a large undertaking (like most others) than we expected. We’re wrapping it all up right now and the trade alerts will reflect completion and higher frequency in to this evening’s session forward. Thanks for your patience.
Onboarding New Clients:
Most commercial and private new clients have been onboarded as I am writing this. However, specific to the newest Legacy Member Clients we have not done the onboarding. I am working on my schedule two weeks out right now and will contact each of you over the next few days to get you scheduled for the onboarding conference call I need to do with each of you. Because it is a 24 access to my trading station it requires more instruction / preparation than most onboarding scenarios. Your fees will not start until after you are successfully onboarded.
Events: Special Webinar Series and Trade Coaching Boot Camp
We have a Special Webinar Event Series starting March 24 running in to April and May of 2019.
The first webinar up is for crude oil traders, the next will be Swing Trading and then so on. Don’t miss out, it may be the only webinar series we do of this kind.
Everything I Know About Trading Crude Oil | Special Webinar Event Series | March 24: 10 AM – 6 PM
Intensive Crude Oil Trade Training Webinar.
Spend a Day With Me March 24, 2019 – I will be hosting a crude oil trading webinar. I will cover everything I know about crude oil trade in a one-time 8 hour special webinar event.
The webinar will cover my strategies for conventional and algorithmic oil trade and charting, intra-day trading, short term swing trading, longer term swing trading, trade sizing, time cycles, key set-ups and much more.
I will explain in detail how I maintain a win rate of better than 90% in crude oil trade (live recorded in our oil trading room and live alerted to our members).
Limited attendance of 25 persons to allow me to take questions and converse as needed to be sure we cover the trading concepts in detail.
Current member clients of Compound Trading Group receive 50% off. Use promo code: member
Early bird registrants prior to March 11, 2019 receive 30% off (cannot be used in conjunction with other offers). Use promo code: early.
To Register for the Crude Oil Trading Webinar Click Here.
Trade Coaching Boot Camp:
Take your trading to the next level with our lead trader at our next trade coaching boot camp at Cabarete Beach, Dominican Republic April 19 – 21, 2019.
If you can’t attend in person you can attend the class online virtually and take part in question and answer as if you were in the boot camp live.
Register Here: Trade Coaching Boot Camp April 19, 20, 21 2019.
Crude Oil Trade Software Advisory:
This advisory is a follow up / adjustment to the advisory at this link:
Machine Learning Trade Software Advisory | Crude Oil: (1) Frequency (2) IDENT Program
Trade Frequency.
This is to advise that the crude oil machine trade software will now trigger all active protocols at a higher frequency as of 6:00 PM Monday March 4, 2019.
For example, on most occasions it will now fire trades at the majority of 1 minute model support and resistance and at most EPIC 30 Min Model support and resistance (quads, channels, mid channel, mid quad).
The various software trading protocols (based on specific models) will be distributed in 24 – 28 hours to stakeholders. There are a total of 42 and approximately 16 that we are currently running (on time-frames from 1 minute to 1 week charting models).
This adjustment to the software “throttle” will increase frequency considerably (approximately 160 – 200 executions or more possible per month).
The win rate will be lower than the previous two months but a higher return monthly is expected.
The minimum bar is an 80% win rate and a progressive increase in monthly return as software is tweaked, and an average draw down less than 12 ticks (3 – 16 ticks depending on the protocol). Average win greater than 12 ticks.
Staff will (when time allows) alert the trade protocol details to the trade alert feeds on Twitter and Discord private oil server.
Thank you.
Swing Trading the Anadarko Petroleum (APC) Chart Set-Up.
Anadarko has sold off considerably, but it has sold off to a predictable support area on the weekly chart.
It is highly probable that the support area of the chart holds for an excellent reversal in trade.
The historical symmetry of trade on the weekly chart agrees, as does the MACD and Stochastic RSI.
There is even some time-cycle symmetry, albeit a bit loose, but it is there.
About Anadarko Petroleum:
Website http://www.anadarko.com/
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:APC), Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ.) (OM:SEB A) Stock Valuation & Investor Review https://hawthorncaller.com/anadarko-petroleum-corporation-nyseapc-skandinaviska-enskilda-banken-ab-publ-omseb-a-stock-valuation-investor-review/
Anadarko Petroleum Earnings: APC Stock Dips on Q4 Profit Miss https://investorplace.com/2019/02/anadarko-petroleum-earnings-apc-stock/
How to trade it?
Wait for the MACD to turn up (it is pinching up now on the weekly chart), the Stochastic RSI was high every other occasion the stock reversed for a bullish run (like it is now). take a long entry with tight stops on a lower time frame (15 minute or even 5 minute) and if you get stopped re-try each time it looks like it will start to run.
If it doesn’t reverse for a nice bullish run up with excellent historical returns you know your risk reward was well within a rule-based process.
This is a very attractive set-up that is high on my watch-list this week.
It closed the regular trading session on Friday at 44.40 and could easily run in to mid 75.00 area Feb of 2020 (next year).
This is a very attractive set-up that is high on my watch-list this week.
See the trade set up in Anadarko Petroleum below: The symmetry (green), the time-cycle inflections (green vertical lines), the chart indicators being Stochastic RSI and MACD (marked with white arrows).
Below I charted the price target for March of 2020 for Anadarko and marked it with red circle on the chart and trajectory arrow (green) for a possible bullish reversal set up from historical support on this trade. Very structured trade set up with high probability of excellent return with very low downside risk if you manage your stops properly.
TERRAFORM POWER (TERP) How to trade TerraForm Power earnings and swing trade it to next time cycle. #swingtrading $TERP #earnings
The trade set-up in TerraForm is hard to ignore. For a structured swing trade / investment, this one is hard to beat (on other side of earnings) in my opinion. Sure, it may not be the return some traders are looking for, but if it plays like the chart structure is indicating, there’s a 50% or better upside over the next two years and much of that move could be on the other side of this coming earnings or the next.
To trade it, I will wait for earnings. I won’t wait long however. The move is likely to see a decent return in the early time-frame and then play out over the next 12 – 24 months. If it doesn’t transpire this earnings season then I will watch each earnings season forward because a bullish run should occur in this stock based on the time cycle structure of the weekly TerraForm chart.
The move is likely to see a decent return in the early time-frame and then play out over the next 12 – 24 months.
The most likely scenario I have charted below. The two yellow lines are the expected bullish swing trade channel and the red circle is the price target and date that the price target comes in. If the channel does not transpire then simply move the channel over to the next earnings period reporting and watch if the trend transpires at that juncture.
TerraForm reports earnings in just over a week – it’s on high watch for me here.
TERP Earnings Date
Earnings announcement* for TERP: Mar 14, 2019
https://www.nasdaq.com/earnings/report/terp
TerraForm Website: http://www.terraform.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=253464&p=irol-home
3 Top Energy Stocks to Buy Right Now
Energy stocks can be painfully cyclical and subject to big commodity price swings, but here are three we really like right now — including one great “buy on the dip” opportunity.
Jason Hall, Travis Hoium, And Matthew DiLallo (TMFVelvetHammer)
Feb 5, 2019 at 6:02AM
https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/02/05/3-top-energy-stocks-to-buy-right-now.aspx
TerraForm Power uses 80% to 85% of its cash flow to pay a dividend, which has a current yield of 6.7%, with the additional funds going to pay down debt or fund growth projects. Long term, management aims to grow the dividend by 5% to 8% annually, which is a conservative target, and could be done with organic growth for the foreseeable future.
Investors who don’t know where to turn in energy today should consider yieldcos like TerraForm Power. The company is stable, pays a great dividend, and avoids a lot of the commodity risks that will make the energy industry a volatile sector in 2019.
TerraForm Earnings Chart Swing Trade Set-Up.
Below is the weekly chart for TerraForm going in to earnings in a week. The structure of this stock chart implies a significant move up in to May 20, 2020 (next year). If the move does not occur as the channel below is drawn then simply move the channel over to the next time TerrForm reports earnings.
The structure of this stock chart implies a significant move up in to May 20, 2020 (next year).
Each horizontal Fibonacci resistance is an area to possibly trim and add above (or you can use the channel support to add and channel resistance to trim your position).
The key horizontal support and resistance marks are at 12.37, 16.76, 21.17 and 25.41 areas.
The key moving average is the 200 MA over head near term on the chart (pink).
It traded last at 12.59 during the regular session on Friday and was up .64% on the day.
