13
Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Jan 13 – $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 13, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY $CPHI $SYRX $MOSY $KBSF $PED – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Pretty Frigid out there!

Part two of day 2 video recap two week double account challenge:

Per previous;

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$ZSAN, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Per previous;

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $PTLA $THST $P $GEVO $IAG $ZIOP $DSW $OREX $SN $DWT $NVLS $JKS $ETRM $NAK $APC $NFLX $MNST $PNC $NE

Watching Pennies: $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY $CPHI $SYRX $MOSY $KBSF $PED

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $TBIO 32%, $RXII 17%, $P 8%, $SN, $MRNS $OREX $NVLS $DWT $ETRM $GEVO $SCO

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $FB $FTV $LSTR $TIF $GOLD $CFX $GRUB $KMT $CNHI $AR $NFLX $PCAR $PNR $ROP $WMS $MX $FNV $TSCO $EVH $PH as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:$ACLS $ABCO $NICE $DX $Z $DG $GNRC $SNAK $ATU $AAP $CSX $TRS $BCS $GME $IAG $AGI $AUY $MGA $VSTO $PDS $WBC $TNP $NAP  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $ROSG, $CBIO, $OPXA, $ANY, $CPHI, $SYRX, $MOSY, $KBSF ,$PED, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

13
Jan 2017
$TBIO, Stock, Trading, Results

Post-Market Thurs Jan 12 $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Jan 12, 2017

Post-Market Thurs Jan 12 $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Jan 12, 2017 $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE –  $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Official Launch: Four days down and on to day five! This Monday was our official launch!  If you want to watch a thirty year trading veteran in action with a 2 week challenge – to double his trading account in two weeks, come on in and take a look at how its done.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

So much happening this week I can’t possibly review every trade. Watch videos as Sartaj releases them for detailed account. I was in $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE and more. Wasn’t as good as other days this week but still profitable and worth it. Choppy. Overtraded. Was hoping to increase my sizing as week went on but I’ve had to decrease sizing as week progresses. Hoping Friday is the big day of the week. I’m ready to be aggressive if window opens.

We’re winning.

$TBIO, Stock, Trading, Results

$TBIO – Chatroom Stock Trading Results

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
IOTS 2.85 42.50% 2084554 Top Gainers
VPCO 0.00 40.00% 107262084 Top Gainers
AAOI 29.86 31.43% 4413227 Top Gainers
STRP 41.13 30.95% 1928136 Top Gainers
MRNS 1.40 26.13% 3985262 Top Gainers
ZSAN 1.29 20.56% 1628871 Top Gainers
MPET 13.20 10.92% 530559 New High
AAOI 29.86 31.43% 4413227 New High
TBIO 1.12 287.01% 60337584 New High
URG 0.73 -4.66% 2568207 New High
WOOF 91.00 0.11% 4859450 Overbought
GPT 27.37 0.40% 1001677 Overbought
THST 1.93 -2.53% 4243734 Unusual Volume
HSGX 1.65 8.56% 6309678 Unusual Volume
TBIO 1.12 287.01% 60337584 Unusual Volume
GWL 26.51 0.26% 6783294 Unusual Volume
CAFD 14.09 0.71% 255382 Upgrades
DAL 50.89 -1.07% 14281451 Earnings Before
CNBKA 59.75 -0.91% 4107 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO, $TCCO, $ZSAN

Looking Forward:

Winning. Double account in two weeks.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

na

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

Sartaj buy / sell alerts below are for Curtis.

08:34 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HSGX/zmF6o3o6-HSGX-One-Minute/
08:36 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/RNVA/PcTglpZ4-RNVA/
08:36 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BSPM/0IqtwGDP-BSPM/
09:09 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TBIO/0q4ULBD9-tbio/
09:10 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OPGN/IavMkwL3-opgn/
09:10 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUMN/rIbjEby3-aumn/
09:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking at $BIOC for a quick bounce here.
09:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Also $ETRM
09:33 am Sartaj Hundal : OR WAS THAT “OUT”?
09:34 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT $URRE 3.82 500 SHARES
09:39 am Carol B : $CIEN L
09:39 am Sartaj Hundal : Correction: Out 1/2 would be 4500
09:39 am Sartaj Hundal : Scaling in 2000 shares $APOP avg 5.14
09:40 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG 1000 SHARES 5.54 $APOP
09:41 am Sartaj Hundal : Scaling out 5.86, all shares $APOP
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : out some $jnug at 9.17 for a pullback. into some $USLV at .59
09:45 am Sartaj Hundal : SCALING OUT $URRE 3.90
09:46 am MarketMaven M : Long$APOP
09:48 am John M : Wow $APOP halts again holding 1000
09:50 am darnel p : $AMD a bit off a short
09:51 am OILQ K : Like $XGTI looking for entries
10:00 am Surf T : In som $THST
10:00 am Surf T : Curt u still bullsh $GDX?
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Picked the wrong horse this AM playing $BIOC instead of $ETRM it looks like
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : hate that
10:01 am Curtis M : ugh
10:01 am Curtis M : yup $GDX till next tues wed
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : Still like it, expect a fade as has been the usual to buy more on a dip. will be watching both $NUGT and $JNUG. Plan on holding $USLV for a while
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : Meanwhile $TLT still killing it. Love that
10:03 am Curtis M : yup
10:05 am darnel p : I have a stop on at 2.47 $TCCO – small play I’ll take the loss if need be
10:05 am Curtis M : Darnel – I am gonna follow that lol
10:05 am Curtis M : Mine small too
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : wow $gdx strong like bull. wondering if we see the daily pullback today or not
10:06 am Curtis M : ya like my alarm huh lol
10:06 am Curtis M : GDX great play should have executed on my conviction bahahaha shite
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ve learned just to go with my gut on those plays. my gut also said sell my $JNUG for the daily puillback so it’s not always right lol
10:07 am Curtis M : yeah
10:08 am Sartaj Hundal : back
10:15 am Sartaj Hundal : Was in a call, what was the order size and price?
10:15 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG $TBIO 5000 SHARES 0.78
10:17 am Curtis M : I have a stop to sell TBIO at .73 – going to get a coffee back in 20 to take a look at oil gold etc
10:18 am Curtis M : Lol Out TBIO small loss .73
10:18 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT $TBIO SMALL LOSS 0.73 5000 SHARES
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : looks like a ton of inventory at .8 for $tbio
10:25 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG $ZSAN 3000 SHARES 1.43
10:28 am Carol B : In some $ZSAn w ya
10:32 am John M : $KOS blocks guys
10:32 am John M : $CNHI blocks too
10:33 am Mathew Waterfall : Scanners almost empty here and market internals pointing to the downside. Not much on my board that Im too excited about
10:35 am Mathew Waterfall : GDX Feb 25 Call Buyer +23k for $0.64
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : here’s the miners fase. will start to pick up some shares here and know that we are likely to see some more downside
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : *fade
10:36 am Curtis M : On ph w broker re TCCO stop didnt trigger – $ZSAN holding so far
10:41 am Curtis M : So $TCCO stop didnt trigger Darnel and took t off flying with out – also on ZSAN its a hold for me – so both holding – rehit later or sell at loss we’ll see – but I think market will keep taking these for rides
10:41 am Curtis M : Wack a mole
10:44 am Flash G : $AAOI momo
10:57 am Curtis M : Thanks Mat!
10:57 am Rob D : thanks Matt good overview
11:09 am Surf T : market looking very dangerous but it will likely pop again late day
11:10 am Flash G : Curt you holding $ZSAN and $TCCO?
11:10 am Curtis M : Yes small positions hold for aft pop
11:15 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG 200 5.02 $BGXV
11:15 am Sartaj Hundal : 2000*
11:16 am Sartaj Hundal : $BVXV
11:16 am Curtis M : Hopefully I can get on right side of one of these – choppy very choppy
11:18 am Curtis M : Problem is if you’re going to play them you gotta chew around the edges till they take hold or you miss them – so u either play or dont but chew small size
11:19 am Curtis M : Correction: $BVXV 5.05 fill
11:21 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT 5.80 $BVXV
11:22 am Sartaj Hundal : 1000 SHARES
11:27 am Curtis M : looks lke low float mania for a while – dont see me in Oil Gold charts etc for some ime until it slows down
11:31 am Curtis M : On Hold w broker for 17 mins
11:31 am Curtis M : worst ever
11:33 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG 6000 SHARES $BVXV
11:38 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT 6000 SHARES $BVXV 7.17
11:39 am Sartaj Hundal : Very interesting
11:41 am Sartaj Hundal : How many shares of TCCO?
11:43 am Sartaj Hundal : Okay
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : /GC holding steady over 1200 is a good sign. USD/JPY still on a downtrend. $GDX couldn’t make a higher high but I’m looking for a bounce play
11:50 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY 113’s. Getting smoked
11:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Thought you actually went long spy here lol
11:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Not horrible against 225 but not my play
11:54 am Sartaj Hundal : My mistake
12:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : PLaying $OPXA range today for small scalps. Unloaded some at .94. Reentry around .85. This is one that will have legs sooner or later. Not a Curt play but a mellow grinder
12:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Final target is 1.05 then 1.15 if it can get going.
12:05 pm Curtis M : thats awesome – whats a Curt play bahaha? super nova or super crash? in 14 seconds or less? 🙂
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Basically lol. I wasn’t considering super crash, those have been rare
12:06 pm Curtis M : haha ya these low floats i ride em when they’r’e rolling late 2015 early 2016 same story
12:06 pm Curtis M : then market correction lol
12:06 pm Curtis M : last time I was on beach – oh yes right i need to go to the beach
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : I will say you have many tools at your disposal so smoke em if you got em
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Playing Costa RIca trip for next winter already lol
12:07 pm Curtis M : lol
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : *planning
12:07 pm Curtis M : ya ionly thing holding me back is my adopted Bull dog – trying to sort it
12:08 pm Curtis M : $IBB green boys
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWN breaking out of bull flag to the downside. Was leader on the way up
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will be watching the close closeley here
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also losing fib support
12:19 pm Curtis M : $IBB action decent
12:23 pm Curtis M : Big volatility coming next 5 market days imo
12:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : There’s gotta be. The closer we get to Trump sitting in the oval office the more nervous people will be
12:24 pm Curtis M : yup
12:25 pm Curtis M : is it wrong for me to look forward to that? ha
12:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : I call that making lemonade
12:26 pm Curtis M : haha
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DUST scalps against downtrend in $GDX working nicely
12:57 pm Curtis M : After 3 calls to broker… I still own $TCCO yay fark
01:03 pm MarketMaven M : nce call on the bonds guys… still slowly on the move
01:05 pm Curtis M : back in 5 for the ramp
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thanks. Over todays high is importnant. Stopped just short of the 09 crash high at 123.15
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Need over that for more
01:09 pm Curtis M : $MYCC halt news
01:23 pm Surf T : $HMNY looking good here
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : $OPXA. Boom
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sold some at 1.05. Seen this movie before lol
01:52 pm Curtis M : nice took a bit but u go it
01:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp. I like the set it and forget it plays every now and then. Buy order for more at .85 if it retraces
01:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Still scalping $DUST here and htere. Not much else attractice ATM
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWM back into support here and over crucial fibs. Impressive market strength, this market still needs a flush here IMO
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Q’s making a bit of a double top set up on the day. put tweezers as they say on the second ascent
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX ugly on the 5′. Guess I was right earlier about the fade today
02:04 pm Curtis M : likely run aain tomorrow or late today
02:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea they are ramping jpy as usual. I expect this pattern to play out over the next week. Gap up/run the miners and flush the market, ramp usd/jpy and reverse
02:06 pm Carol B : some waking up
02:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : I feel like I need to wake up. Today has been a grinder
02:14 pm Curtis M : ya i made that mistake yesterday i think it was then i was late to party
02:18 pm Curtis M : I have a certain type of market person telling me full moon was at noon today thats why it slowed and thats why it will start to wake up again here
02:18 pm Curtis M : interesteing dude actually
02:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Is that why I am growing hair and turning into a werewolf?
02:19 pm Curtis M : he said we are mostly water and like the tide it affects us
02:20 pm Curtis M : he’s oddly rght very often … interesting but not my thing – but find it curious how right this guy is
02:20 pm Curtis M : mssed my buy trigger on KALV
02:20 pm Curtis M : talking about tides and moons instead haha
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol I missed mine on $DUST as well. o well just wait for another opp
02:23 pm Curtis M : $TBIO got its pop
02:23 pm Curtis M : so were poppin
02:26 pm Curtis M : its like fishing when they just nibble
02:29 pm Curtis M : $ROSG may go after $TBIO fyi
02:34 pm Curtis M : wake up
02:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Market waking up to the upside. TICKS trending up no 1000+ but going positive
02:36 pm Curtis M : $TROV and $ROSG high watch
02:49 pm Curtis M : This market is gong to rip after inauguration
02:49 pm Curtis M : or b4 but def after
02:50 pm Curtis M : just my humble opinion lol
02:51 pm Curtis M : $TBIO could get snaky
02:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : I still think we’re in for a dump sooner or later. I don’t see this keeping up through the next month or so. Last coupl days seems like cracks starting to show to me
02:56 pm Curtis M : ya dump then rip then dump then rip plz
02:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : That would be great
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold getting smashed here and I exited $DUST way too early. NEaring buy zone for a $GDX bounce
02:59 pm Curtis M : other side of the moon baby
02:59 pm Curtis M : lol
03:00 pm Surf T : money time guys coming up
03:01 pm Curtis M : $MRNS perky
03:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT for a bounce
03:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : wrong under .5 on $GDX
03:02 pm Curtis M : Chart bot likes $TROV here
03:06 pm Curtis M : $TBIO leg in 500 shares 1.217
03:09 pm Curtis M : $TBIO could rip 50 – 70 cents
03:09 pm Curtis M : or not
03:10 pm Curtis M : risking 5 cents
03:12 pm Curtis M : I guess Im risking 7 cents
03:21 pm Curtis M : Sorry Sartaj that was 5000 not 500 $TBIO
03:26 pm Tyler H : $TBO on its way to 4 times float traded today
03:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Miners moving like junk. Im done for the day I think. Tried a couple scalps in NUGT. NO nounce so a couple scratches
03:26 pm Tyler H : $MRNS is my pick
03:26 pm Curtis M : enjoy your evening
03:26 pm Sammy T : bye Mathew!
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll hang around until close but sitting on my hands basically
03:27 pm Jack D : $MRNS great candidate for tomorrow
03:29 pm darnel p : $ROKA flow here
03:30 pm Curtis M : Out at 1.182 small loss
03:30 pm Curtis M : $TBIO
03:30 pm Curtis M : Sartaj corrction 1.181
03:31 pm Curtis M : choppy day fo me but still up lol
03:31 pm Curtis M : but chop chop
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seriously same here
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : So choppy
03:35 pm Curtis M : It was worth it – but barely
03:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : OPXA flying 1.30. OUt of everything. Will buy more on a pullback if and when that happens
03:36 pm Curtis M : I hate to be that way – but I dont just lke to get by – just not my thing
03:36 pm Curtis M : some people take offence to that is what Im saying
03:36 pm John M : NOT ME
03:37 pm darnel p : Meee either haha
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : This isn’t a good game for people who accept average.
03:37 pm darnel p : good one!
03:38 pm Curtis M : If $TBIO goes I am going to hammer down so hard – sad but true even if theres 10 mins
03:52 pm Curtis M : Holding $ZSAN $TCCO on
03:52 pm Carol B : my only hold $NUGT
03:53 pm Sammy T : nght
03:54 pm Curtis M : Cya Sammy
03:54 pm Curtis M : I should prbs hold $NUGT too but just but
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good night all. I’m going to practice my axe skills to make it through this chop tomorrow
03:55 pm Sandy S : Buy guys – still learning everyday with you guys.
03:55 pm Curtis M : Nice catch Mathew
03:56 pm Curtis M : Gonna shut er down 4 mins early. Over and out.

Article Topics: $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

12
Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Thurs Jan 12 – $HSGX $RNVA $BSPM $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 12, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM  – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

A quick rabbit trail… Terms of Use: Be sure to review the rules of the chatroom and our disclosure statement. We take these seriously. If you are following our trades (entering when we do and exiting when we do) then you are NOT in keeping with the spirit of our relationship. For example, I don’t follow Mathew in and out of every trade. I share with and learn from him and other considerable traders in our room. But I never follow in and out of trades. That is not the purpose, spirit, mission, etc… I am not a “stick a quarter in and out pops success bot”. If you are looking for that go to a different trading room. I cannot recommend you buy a stock, I am not a registered investment professional and you need your own trading plan. You are given the opportunity to watch how systematic traders execute a process. That is it. You can learn and share and develop your own trading plan. The algorithmic modeling / charts should be more than enough to assist a trader with a trading plan for that specific instrument. Many trading rooms don’t even share a chart let alone sophisticated modeling and reports. On the first occasion we likely won’t ban misuse, but we will ban misuse very quickly. We choose to do this because we love what we do and would like to share what we know and further democratize algorithmic modeling that would otherwise not be available to the public. This is about developing something of use, supporting each other and sharing in that process. Fall down as often as you like, and I’ll help you up, ask for help and I will help and I will never stop doing that, but you better be ready to get back in there. No diapers changed here – no crying – this isn’t grade school. Fair? Okay, now on to winning.

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Day 2 of two week double account challenge video recap:

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$URRE, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Per previous;

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM

Twitter lowered to Hold at Pivotal http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234884-twitter-lowered-hold-pivotal?source=feed_f … #premarket $TWTR

Callaway Golf acquires lifestyle brand OGIO http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234872-callaway-golf-acquires-lifestyle-brand-ogio?source=feed_f … #premarket $ELY

KB Home turns lower post-earnings; Evercore downgrades http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234871-kb-home-turns-lower-post-earnings-evercore-downgrades?source=feed_f … #premarket $KBH

BioLife Solutions sees 2016 top line up 24%; shares ahead 4% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234858-biolife-solutions-sees-2016-top-line-24-percent-shares-ahead-4-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $BLFS 

Canaccord cools on V.F. Corp http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234867-canaccord-cools-v-f-corp?source=feed_f … #premarket $VFC

FDA rejects TESARO’s marketing application for rolapitant IV; shares ease 3% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234875-fda-rejects-tesaros-marketing-application-rolapitant-iv-shares-ease-3-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $TSRO

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $HSGX 37%, $RNVA 25%, $JNUG 9%, $NUGT 8%, $KGC $NJR $MPEL $AU $URRE $GOLD $GFI $SHIP $HMY $UGAZ $ABX $UWT $GDXJ

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $TYPE $TRGP $ENLK $NGL $ETE $HEP $PII $MRK $GLOB $TEL $FAST $HII $CNI $CCJ $ABC $CAFD $RHT $BKD $FLR $VVC $CHH $KN $HII as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $NMRX $KBH $GATX $NSIT $ESL $NOC $AKS $STLD $X $DIS $TWTR $CRM $IPG $DISCA $ADBE $CBS $KALU $SC $VEEV $THG $ACM $AIV $HOV $WLH $VFC $GATX $MIXT $SWKS $OKE $SWX $ENLC $VLO $OGS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

12
Jan 2017
$TCCO, Stock, Trading, Results

Post-Market Wed Jan 11 $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Jan 11, 2017

Post-Market Wed Jan 11 $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Jan 11, 2017 – $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE –  $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Official Launch: Three days down and on to day four! This Monday was our official launch! We’re out of beta phase and all algorithms published. If you want to watch a thirty year trading veteran in action with a 2 week challenge – to double his trading account in two weeks, come on in and take a look at how its done.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

So much happening this week I can’t possibly review every trade. Watch videos as Sartaj releases them for detailed account. I was in $URRE, $TCCO and more.

We’re winning.

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Top Gainers
FFHL 3.72 103.28% 665139 Top Gainers
BIOC 2.71 49.72% 62916599 Top Gainers
URRE 3.19 41.78% 25526100 Top Gainers
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 Top Gainers
ENPH 1.44 27.43% 3776300 Top Gainers
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 New High
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 New High
KRNT 16.80 20.43% 1760600 New High
DNN 0.78 13.04% 5179200 New High
WOOF 90.90 0.08% 6896700 Overbought
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Overbought
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Unusual Volume
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 Unusual Volume
BIOC 2.71 49.72% 62916599 Unusual Volume
ABE 11.50 0.79% 314200 Unusual Volume
AEG 5.58 2.01% 1691900 Upgrades
ISRG 678.16 2.41% 631900 Earnings Before
MDSY 1.02 -0.97% 156600 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO, $URRE, $TCCO

Looking Forward:

Winning. Double account in two weeks.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:00 am Curtis M : Gainers: $DSCI 40%25, $BIOC 35%25, $TGTX 10%25, $AKAO 8%25, $ARWR 6%25, $UEC $URRE $GSS $RAD $MRK….. $UGAZ jiggy as with airlines.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

Sartaj buy / sell alerts below are for Curtis.

09:22 am Curtis M : $KBH reports aft close
09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : $BIOC explosion. Think this will be the daily runner
09:25 am Curtis M : $BIOC +45$DSCI +40$ENPH +18$TGTX +12$SGMO +9$AKAO +8$ETRM -19$NVDQ -18$TRCO -16$IMUC -14$GNVC -9$XGTI -9$ROKA$BRG
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : $GNVC also watching close
09:34 am darnel p : $BMY long
09:35 am MarketMaven M : $GNVC shorting
09:36 am Sartaj Hundal : $BIOC LONG 1000 SHARES 3.16
09:37 am Mathew Waterfall : Dumpster diving some $USLV here
09:39 am Sartaj Hundal : That charting bot isn’t bad at all
09:40 am Curtis M : Stoppd $BIOC 2.95 loss 1000 shares
09:42 am Curtis M : That $BIOC stop I had sent over mic far before text in case anyone wondering
09:42 am Curtis M : I think its like minus 500 here outside
09:43 am Curtis M : Mathew Im lost – any ideas? Mic or on text fine lol
09:44 am Curtis M : $URRE wow I was in that ha
09:48 am Curtis M : Thanks Mat
09:48 am Curtis M : $BRG halt
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF red/green showing some strength
09:53 am Curtis M : $TECK what a champ
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Seriously strong
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Feels like the big morning moves only last 15′ today instead on the usual 30-45 but I could be proven wrong
09:55 am Curtis M : $BIOC going on to 3x float ha
09:56 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1000 SHARES 3.13
09:59 am Curtis M : Going to hold 1000 shares $URRE through wash-out veyr likely because small order then rehit it
10:00 am Curtis M : Gold downdraft
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp gold is getting smoked right now
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : Ramping usd/jpy like it’s going out of style
10:02 am Curtis M : Funny Gold touched exactly Rosie resistance and backed off – good algo
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : Trimming some $MIRN here at 2.15 from 2. the other day
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : Will keep a portion as a runner with a trialing stop
10:12 am Mathew Waterfall : $OLN trim/trail here. Watching $ON with stop raised as well
10:19 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1000 SHARES 3.05
10:20 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF jan20 10c’s out half at .26 from .13. Keeping half for the run with a stop at entry
10:25 am Cara R : Long $ONTX
10:26 am Sartaj Hundal : Bit of mic echo, Curt
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Just a bit better
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Try option B
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Yes
10:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Oil didn’t seem to like the pre numbers there lol downdraft right before the report
10:32 am Sartaj Hundal : Looks like a lot of people are exiting their positions in anticipation of the Trump speech
10:41 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE OUT 1000 SHARES 3.33
10:41 am Sartaj Hundal : CORRECTION 2000
10:43 am Rob D : too bad no oil trades today nice crude pop
10:45 am Mathew Waterfall : Gonna run some scans and get ready for this speach. Back in a few
10:45 am Curtis M : Im not trading that cluster f
10:57 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 3000 SHARES 3.86
10:59 am Dan Clarke : $urre long 6000 shares 3.84
11:01 am Curtis M : Thanks Dan appreciate the help
11:10 am Curtis M : going for coffee back in 15 min stops set in $URRE but doesn’t matter cause its going to 8.00
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : $GDX at some important levels here. Waiting for it to firm before I think about adding
11:26 am Mathew Waterfall : And just like that lol
11:28 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF fire
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT rampage. Let’s go bonds next week 124’s need some juice
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Out a portion of $JNUG 8.5 from 8.11 looking for some pull
11:32 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF stop hit on common 9.77 from 9.0X. Still holding half the 10c’s
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $SLV watching for 16 level. Important here
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking for a pullback in gold and silver here. Not sure if we get it but I expect this pop to keep fading
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Right on time. Will look at $JNUG and $USLV around LOD
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : /ES run waek, I expect another short run or liquidation break
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : *weak
12:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Small order $JNUG 7.99 entry. Expect more weakness would be surprised if up from here
12:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX defending 22.1 as expected. Was hoping for a quick flush to lows
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $USLV 12.86 again starter. Metals showing more strength here than I planned on but still think we are more likely to see a dump than a rocket from here
12:10 pm Curtis M : Long $URRE 6000 3.38
12:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CBMX pull. I’ll grab a few shares to join ya there Curt
12:38 pm Tyler H : $OPGN HOD
12:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPX flush, metals bounce. $CLF holding strong and $AKS looking well. I guess we have our roatation for the time being
12:49 pm Curtis M : Assets compressed – pop coming market wide imo – looking at $VIX
12:50 pm Curtis M : PPT has to be on high watch next 9 days
12:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SLV HOD
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : I agree with compression, I’m not so sure about a pop up here though
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feels heavy to me
12:51 pm Curtis M : pop or drop ya either way lol
12:51 pm Curtis M : $SLV I missed was going to enter yesterday
12:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ve been playing that through $USLV. Working well
12:52 pm Flash G : in $MYOS small
12:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will actually look for $USLV exit here. Still looking for a pull. Would reenter $USLV on $SLV clear and backtest of 16 or retest of LOD. I’m not in love with this range that we’re in
12:54 pm greg l : $TLT holding up excellent
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp Greg I’m a huge bond bull right now.
12:56 pm Michael P : $SNX 52 week highs
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : 12.86 to 13.15 on $USLV
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looking for reentry across the metals and miners trying not to be blinded by my bias here and hold all day
12:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out $JNUG as well
12:58 pm Curtis M : %JNUG jig
12:58 pm Curtis M : $JNUG flashed on scanner – wierd action there
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea, couldn’t make a new high there though, either could $GDX which makes me think we go south
12:59 pm Curtis M : Heavy Res on seck for Gold
12:59 pm Curtis M : $OPGN tank
12:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : usd/jpy flush as well though. Assume it gets bought up we’ll see
01:01 pm Curtis M : Going to likely scap $TVIX $UVXY between now and Wed next week – we’ll see if thesis holds water
01:02 pm Curtis M : Gold res
01:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like that play. Should see plenty of vol in the coming weeks
01:03 pm Curtis M : If anyone in crude it is at apex of quadrant on daily which translates as serious resistance
01:04 pm Curtis M : If $USOIL gest thru apex next res is at 52.80
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well crap, wring about that metals and miners pullback
01:04 pm Curtis M : Gold thru symmetry res and at top of algo quadrant and fib res just above
01:07 pm Curtis M : If Gold gets thru here that is very bullish on back test or continuation – thesis for lift until next Tues Wed ish may play out
01:07 pm Curtis M : It sure looks angry
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea it doesnt and usd/jpy has no parachute
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Karoda will come along shortly I’m sure
01:08 pm Curtis M : Abe knows Trump angry too bahahaha
01:08 pm Curtis M : Kuroda yeah lol
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha couldn’t remember how to spell his name
01:09 pm Curtis M : Trump gonna have a goon squad – they all lawyered up today haha
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : He’s a smart guy, let the lawyer do the talking
01:09 pm Curtis M : oh my here goes Gold
01:09 pm Dan Clarke : Except Tillerson
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : WOW. $GDX major r/g move
01:09 pm Curtis M : Thesis in good order
01:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tillerson doesn’t care, he got a fat payout from $XOM
01:10 pm Curtis M : My $URRE ugh fark … kick truck
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just needed a Trump nuke comment to give it a push
01:11 pm Curtis M : lol
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT Jan20 124’s now over a 3 bagger
01:16 pm Curtis M : Yup Im actually holding
01:17 pm Sartaj Hundal : $TVIX LONG 7.07 1000 SHARES
01:17 pm Sartaj Hundal : oKAY
01:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : Sounds good
01:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : Will do
01:23 pm Curtis M : Not picking the right spots today jeez paying dues lol – u never stop paying entry
01:27 pm Curtis M : Wow Gold bounced off the top of that quad
01:28 pm Curtis M : This could get snakyyyy
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea that thing is scary strong. And I am now looking for reentry
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY bouncing off of lower band here
01:30 pm Curtis M : wow
01:30 pm Curtis M : I was thinking Silver would be better but it hasnt cleared res
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nope. Still watching my $SLV levels and just sitting right under the 16 res
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m looking for a backtest of 22.52-22.55 on $GDX. Not chasing right now
01:31 pm Curtis M : Silver gets up over 16.90 its gone
01:32 pm Curtis M : I might clear outta VIX play and go Gold or Silver snipes
01:33 pm Curtis M : $SPY sup 225.40
01:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : Be right back
01:36 pm Curtis M : You may not be able to see it on your monitor but there is a white dotted lne that green arrow is pinting too – $SPY is using that for drection / support intra
01:37 pm Curtis M : $SPY has a Fib res coming overhead
01:37 pm Curtis M : Thanks Sartaj enjoy lunch take your time
01:38 pm Curtis M : $SPY res here
01:43 pm Sartaj Hundal : Back for room alerts. Thanks
01:44 pm Curtis M : The trade that turns in to a swing lol fark
01:46 pm Curtis M : Quick lunch – its calm if you got “stuff” go at it u dont ned to be in here ts super slowww
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea this is kind of boring. Rule number 1-Don’t trade out of boredom. Easy way to get chopped up and lose money. Preserve capital over everything else
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds simple but somethng many newer traders don’t fully grasp, I know I didn’t
02:01 pm Cara R : truth there
02:01 pm Curtis M : $GDX price target – possible
02:01 pm Curtis M : White arrow
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX trapped between the 9 and the 15 on the 5′. aSqueeze play
02:02 pm Curtis M : yup
02:03 pm Curtis M : Had someone just ask me why I allow some trades to become swings – I always have a plan or I would never do that – a plan going in critical
02:03 pm Curtis M : for example TVIX I will cut there is no plan beyond a trade ever
02:04 pm Curtis M : $URRE $CBMX $JUNO all have a plan
02:05 pm Curtis M : $TVIX there is no hold plan beyond 3 or 4 days max that can make sense – even one day is tight
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Holding a levered Vix product is suicide
02:07 pm Curtis M : $JUNO I know what the plans for the company are – its undervalued. $URRE is a psychology play with a 6.67 PT and over shoot of 8 possible. And $CBMX has a nature. It spikes.
02:07 pm Curtis M : yup
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : You need such an outsized move to get profits over any medium-long duration
02:07 pm Jack D : Thank you guys I was wondering too.
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : By that I mean a couple days max though I don’t even like holding ON
02:07 pm Curtis M : yup
02:09 pm Curtis M : Fundamental 101 stufff but peeps need to kow – had someone admot to having no plan when coming in to room just following my trades – uh…. nope that happens and banned – one warning – you have to have a plan we can’t be responsible for your losses
02:10 pm Curtis M : If your a new trader and you don’t know how to develop a trade plan you have to know before trading real money – no ifs
02:12 pm Curtis M : out TVIX 6.89
02:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice wedge in $GDX. May make a stab here
02:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG small 8.58 against .48 stop
02:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : well that was quick lol no dice
02:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here’s my $GDX backtest I was expecting. Do or die
02:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Like the respnse so far so I’m legging back in to $JNUG slowly
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice call out of $MYOS flash. Thing is a ripper
02:25 pm Curtis M : ripper lol love that term
02:28 pm Curtis M : $SPY halt
02:28 pm Curtis M : Flash got skill
02:28 pm Curtis M : Trading view charts lol
02:31 pm Curtis M : Watching $MYOS and $SPU on my other monitor sorry cant get it in here
02:32 pm Curtis M : Unless Mat you can get $MYOS in here – dont worry about it tho if busy
02:37 pm greg l : In some $MDGS
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sorry don’t have a free screen for that
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m down to two this week with computer issues
02:44 pm Curtis M : hey no prob lol
02:44 pm Curtis M : wow market rockin in some areas now scanners flashing everywhere
02:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea I’m surprised after the lul we had this morning.
02:49 pm darnel p : $FFHL long here
02:52 pm Curtis M : Long $FFHL
02:53 pm Curtis M : Scaling in hard
02:54 pm Curtis M : Blocks of 1000 255 258 and 5000 average 259
02:54 pm Curtis M : Sartaj Ill confirm fills later
02:58 pm Curtis M : So Sartaj Im holding 7000 $FFHL and Ill have to wait until TD report after midnight for fills or call them in a bit
03:01 pm Curtis M : $MYOS could really gap in morning folks
03:02 pm Curtis M : Sorry $FFHL I mean
03:10 pm Curtis M : FFHL scaling out 7000
03:10 pm Curtis M : Looks like average 3.98 Sartaj will confirm
03:11 pm Curtis M : Free version $FFHL on tradingview works lol
03:12 pm Curtis M : But not pro
03:12 pm Curtis M : Gong to have to reset systems toight with alternate for broadcasting
03:13 pm Curtis M : Free chart delayed tho
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Guess they don’t want you to spend any money with them
03:16 pm Curtis M : Strangest thing – oh well I’ll set alternate monitors to another back up service tonight for tomorrow
03:17 pm Curtis M : TD fills on these low floats wow complicated and not clear at all and the cue seems fd
03:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was seeing a crazy spread on $FFHL so I didn’t pull the trigger
03:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m likely done for the day here. Watching the close in metals and miners as usual. No late momo plays as I don’t feel like donating any money this late in the day
03:24 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MYOS/e19qbtDa-myos-one-day-one-minute/
03:24 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FFHL/AJ5gT2Xc-FFHL-One-Day-One-Minute/
03:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TCCO/2ywwOkRr-tcco-one-minute/
03:38 pm Curtis M : Long $TCCO
03:39 pm Curtis M : 3.14 small scaliing in 500
03:39 pm Curtis M : having fill issues again
03:41 pm Curtis M : L2 on $TCCO is my catalyst for HOD EOD buy – so just small
03:42 pm Curtis M : $URRE holding tilil next Wed if I have too
03:44 pm Curtis M : $$GEVO Form SC 13C
03:50 pm Curtis M : $TCCO adding small again here 500
03:54 pm Curtis M : 2.80 sorry sartaj
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Would like a close over .53 here in $GDX. Would be very bullish IMO
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : North of .4 is fine though
03:56 pm Curtis M : I just discovered this fancy internet I have that’s lke 4 x cost may be chart prob
03:57 pm Curtis M : $GDX is not broken – nowhere near – bull imo
03:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp agreed.
04:00 pm greg l : peace kiddos
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not bad. Hope everyone killed it today. Back at it in the AM for more
04:00 pm Curtis M : Thanks for the help Mat Sartaj and others!
04:00 pm Curtis M : yup
04:00 pm Curtis M : night

Article Topics:  $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

 

 

10
Jan 2017
$ETRM, Trading, Results

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Tues Jan 10 $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Tues Jan 10 $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

A super quick premarket newsletter..

Notices:

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM

Pluristem gains premarket as FDA OKs trial for critical limb ischemia therapy.

Ascena Retail’s stock plunges 19% premarket after earnings outlook slashed.

DexCom sees 2016 top line up 42% to $570M.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $GNVC 41%, $DFFN 21%, $XGTI 21%, $ROKA 18%, $ETRM 15%, $NSPR $ILMN $MSTX $VRX $UGAZ $CUDA $VICL $ARRY $VALE $RIO

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

10
Jan 2017
$VIX, Chart

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Tuesday Jan 10 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Tuesday Jan 10 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

$VIX Trading Observations:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

09
Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Mon Jan 9 – $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Jan 9, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

A super quick premarket newsletter below! You all have charting for regular trades I follow (sent overnight on email and/or on Compound Trading Twitter feed) so I won’t include below for Oil, Gold, Silver, VIX, SPY, etc.

Notices:

Big week coming. Official Launch @CompoundTrading Monday. All algorithms published for launch. Two week double account challenge live.

Monday is free room access first Monday each month. Join us for official launch?. https://compoundtrading.com #stockmarket #stocks #wallstreet

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo Stocks: $MSTX $MACK $ARWR $BIOC $EXAS

$DNAI changes its corporate name to Sierra Oncology.
New ticker $SRRA

ER’s
$JPM $BAC $WFC $BLK $KBH $DAL
—
#JPM17
$CELG $AMGN $VRX $JUNO
$BLUE $KITE $ONCE $CLVS
$GILD $REGN $SGEN $BIIB
$BMRN $JAZZ $RDUS $HALO

ARIA aquired by Takeda for $24/sh. 5.2 billion deal

Mars to Acquire VCA Inc $WOOF for $9.1B

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers:$MSTX 82%, $MACK 38%, $ARWR 14%, $BIOC 13% $EXAS 9% $CRNT $ABIL $ASM $JNUG $DRYS $NUGT $ZFGN $PTLA $NAK $DWT $DGAZ

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $UNP $OAS $MPEL $AMP $NE $TRUE $VER $FMSA $NUE $ZEUS $DRQ $RS $RYI $ROK $DO $SJR $BRKS $WRE $SRCL $AMTD $RJF $CMI $KMI $KRG $LHO $TXN $CLX $IT $VALE $BCS $ST $JD $BIDU $VVC $DPS $KO $VIAB $NI $EHTH $NMBL $ETN $ITT $ROKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  $AXS $DTE $AHL $NLS $JBHT $BCE $WFT $MAIN $MRCC $FDUS $ACAT $EGRX $CXP $GPT $WHLR $RTEC $MANH $OFC $EGP $O $CDR $DEA $REG $IFF $SLG $SPG $RPAI $RPT $GGP $DLR $BXP $LMCA $ERIC $VMW $ETP $RCI $PM $SAM $PG $BCE $AIZ $VOYA $JNPR $PAAS $EXKA as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $MSTX, $MACK, $ARWR, $BIOC, $EXAS, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GDX, $NUGT, $JNUG, $USLV, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

09
Jan 2017
$GDX, Chart

Member GOLD Trade Update Mon Jan 9 $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Monday Jan 9 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST,

Member GOLD Trade Update Mon Jan 9 $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Rosie the Gold Algo Chart Report , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , RosietheAlgo GLD

Gold Trading Algorithmic Charting Update Monday Jan 9 GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Jan 9, 2017 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report.

You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!

If you haven’t read part one of “There’s Gold in them thar hills boy!” please do now before reading below. Also, the member edition Gold trade follow up here.

Live Gold Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/FTSeGLEF-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX-NUGT-DUST-JDST/

Live Gold Miner $GDX Chart on Trading View

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/2VZ2qqbo-GDX-trade-chart-ROSIE-the-GOLD-Algo-GLD-UGLD-DGLD-GDX/

Gold Chart Intraday

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Gold, Chart

Gold trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Trade Considerations to Increase Your Trading Edge

Below are the tight intrday trading ranges in Gold. Also there are three arrows pointing to intraday resistance. The yellow line being a symmetry resistance, the blue is a quadrant resistance and the green is an important Fibonacci extension resistance. The uptrend is intact if the white line is not breached and price stays above 1155 ish region.

Gold, Chart

Gold resistance. Symmetry, quadrant, fibonacci. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Quadrants. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

The math is locking in now on the miner’s.

$GDX, Chart

Quadrants. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

Current trade quadrant. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

$GDX, Chart, Quadrant, Algo

Current trade quadrant. $GDX trade chart. ROSIE the GOLD Algo $GLD – $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST

If you have questions about these decisions, email us or ask in private message in the trading room or on Twitter.

Below are some of our regular info…. notices etc…

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here. Plans from $2.04 per day with promo code. 200 limit.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

09
Jan 2017
$VIX

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Monday Jan 9 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Monday Jan 9 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive (late Jan ish).

$VIX Trading Observations:

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

Volatility is like no other algorithmic modeling we are working with (to date). The modeling as described above is in very, very early stages. Nonetheless, here are some considerations;

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

 

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

08
Jan 2017
20 50 100 200, MA, $SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Trading Chart Updates Monday Jan 9 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning!

S&P 500 $SPY Trading Chart Updates Monday Jan 9 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

SP500 (SPY) Algorithm , , , , , , , , , , , FREEDOM SPY

S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report.

Notices:

Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of the S&P500 (more specifically $SPY). Early 2017 I will also provide algo indicators and charting for $ES_F.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the fifth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo they developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing on so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back early 2017 when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive (mid Jan).

$SPY Trading Observations:

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/N5jyLBJG-Member-S-P-500-SPY-Trading-Chart-Updates-Monday-Jan-9-ES-F-S/

Support and Resistance Lines and Fibonacci

Per previous;

Traditional support and resistance points from previous time cycle and Fibonacci levels to watch.

I know this chart becomes cluttered and difficult to see, but those are the levels our traders use to trade the S&P 500 with primarily – support and resistance from Fibonacci lines from different time / price areas. In fact there are many more they use but it does become really cluttered. Also, pay attention to the diagonal fib represented trend-lines (white dotted) – when price looses a trend-line it usually means price is in downdraft mode. This includes simple diagonal trend-lines shown in chart below also.

$SPY, Fibonacci, Chart

Fibonacci $SPY 358 Jan 3 S&P 500 Trading Chart Update $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Current;

S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 1 Day – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1114 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Trade the margins (yellow) on swings and if above top resistance use it as support and we will update levels.

$SPY chart, Fibonacci

S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 1 Day – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1114 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 1 Hour – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1114 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Trading on 1 hour levels

$SPY. 1 Hour, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 1 Hour – Fibonacci Tues Jan 8 1114 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 15 Min – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1131 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Levels on the 15 min chart to watch.

$SPY, 15 Min, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Support and Resistance on 15 Min – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1131 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

S&P 500 $SPY Levels to watch above resistance. – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1137 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Some levels to watch above resistance.

$SPY, Chart, Fibonacci

S&P 500 $SPY Levels to watch above resistance. – Fibonacci Sun Jan 8 1137 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Time / Price Cycles / Trading Quadrants

These will get much more detailed over the coming weeks and will be represented on different time-frames. For now, watch the price action with us and we will see soon if our algorithmic model is starting to lock in. Once we have them locked in on broad time frames we slowly focus in to the point of being on the minute. Here’s a start….

S&P 500 $SPY trading quadrants – time price cycles Sun Jan 8 1144 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

$SPY, Chart, Time Cycles

S&P 500 $SPY trading quadrants – time price cycles Sun Jan 8 1144 PM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Simple Diagonal Trend-Lines (Blue)

If price loses support – watch for these diagonal lines.

Per previous (in case price starts downward);

The reason we start with simple lines (as one of our primary indicators) is that in many instances price will use simple lines for a bounce or further downside. If there are more than one simple line that price is challenging all the more probability for a bounce or further downside. In other words, you will find that price is more probable to find inflection points when it hits a Fib support or resistance line and a diagonal trend-line at the same time.

Trendlines, $SPY, Chart

Simple Diagonal Trend-Lines $SPY 507 Jan 3 S&P 500 Trading Chart Update $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Building the Probabilities for Buy Sell Signals in Algorithmic Model – We Start With Simple MA’s

With our algorithmic modeling our development philosophy has been to keep it simple. One way we do this is to start with the MA’s and how they might become predictable buy and sell triggers on various time-frames – once we have reviewed them all (which I won’t include all in these posts because there are many hundreds of variations and these posts would become books) we then calculate the win rate % for each win / loss for each time frame for each MA. Simple right? It actually is – the more difficult part is actually processing the information.

Once we have the MA data processed for all time frames we then have buy / sell triggers with probabilities attached to each for our buy / sell alerts. We can then move on to other indicators such a Fibonacci and many more (all of which become part of our probability set for algorithmic targets). So for the next few days we will review some of the more considerable MA’s a trader can look at.

Per Previous;

200 MA Crossing 20 50 100 MA on 1 Hour Chart

Here is the most immediate MA set-up our trader’s our watching intra – when the 200 MA crossed the 20 50 and 100 and price gets above the MA’s on the 1 hour. Watch this close if price action gets lift over the coming days.

$SPY, Chart, 200 MA

200 MA crossing 20 50 100 $SPY 446 Jan 3 S&P 500 Trading Chart Update $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Current;

S&P 500 $SPY 20 50 100 200 on 1 Hour Lining Up Mon Jan 9 1200 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

The 20, 50, 100, 200 are about to line up and this can create a lot of upward pressure. Very bullish.

20 50 100 200, MA, $SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY 20 50 100 200 on 1 Hour Lining Up Mon Jan 9 1200 AM $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Charting – Algo Model Observations

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Conclusion:

Over-all, we are bullish. This can change at any moment – but all indicators we watch are indicating higher prices. We will update as the week goes on.

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom $SPY Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

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