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PreMarket Trading Report Mon Jan 7: AXSM, LOXO, LXFT, LLY, AAPL, TSLA, AMZN, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday Jan 7, 2019.
In this premarket trading edition: AXSM, LOXO, LXFT, LLY, AAPL, TSLA, AMZN, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- Main Trading Room
- Jan 7 – I am in session in main trading room today for market open, mid day review, during active trading and overnight futures.
- Team Work in Progress:
- Jan 6 – Members please review Lead Trader 2019 Trading Guidance Report (Time Cycles) & Trading Platform Updates
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Jan 6 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | 240 Min Simple Chart Model Structure & Trade Plan
Jan 3 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | Oil Trading Room | Trade Oil Review
Jan 3 – Protected: Gold Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review
Jan 3 – Protected: SP500 SPY Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Monday Jan 7 – Two days to let market structure settle and the report flow for the next six month time cycles starts. #patience #caution.
Fri Jan 4 – If Fed pauses hikes and US-China trade relations improve oil should run in to May targets oil bundle members have (especially if OPEC cuts remain in play), the markets should run up in to May. Gold, Silver, VIX, DXY and Bitcoin may (are likely) to get soft and equities will be a stock pickers environment (traded properly within instrument structure) during that period (Q1 2019). Generally this is how it looks currently. But yet to be seen in to next week forward – this is one scenario. Reporting and alerts (either way) will become very active as next week rolls out and in to next 6 months. We will have the structure of trade for our coverage (the algorithm models and swing platform) so that we can trade either scenarios (up or down in each, including swing trading).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:48 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.86, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 48.87, Gold $GLD trading 1292.00, Silver $SLV trading 15.73, $SPY 252.29 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 4015.00 and $VIX trading 22.4.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
$TSLA (+1.4% pre) Tesla CEO Musk breaks ground at Shanghai Gigafactory to launch China push – Reuters
$LXFT (+82.5% pre) Luxoft’s stock soars after DXC $DXC buyout deal valued at $2 billion, or 86% premium – MW
$LOXO (+65.4% pre) Lilly to buy Loxo Oncology in a $8 billion deal, for a 68% premium – MW
$SAGE (+39.5% pre) SAGE Therapeutics (SAGE) Surges on Positive SAGE-217 Phase 3 Data – SI
$KMPH (+19.8% pre) KemPharm (KMPH) Announces FDA Approval of sNDA for Two Additional Strengths of APADAZ – SI
$HCLP (-14.7% pre) Reports prelim Q4 volumes 2.0M v 2.8M q/q; Board suspends quarterly distribution
$EXAS (+10.4% pre) Exact Sciences to report $454-455M in total revenue, 71-percent growth for 2018 – PRN
$CFRX (+6.2% pre) ContraFect Reports Positive Topline Results from Phase 2 Clinical Trial of Exebacase (CF-301)
21 Stocks Moving In Monday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12942028 $AXSM $LOXO $SAGE $NEPT $EXAS $GE $PCG $HCLP $NHTC $CMC $MOGU $BDC
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: LLY, AAPL, TSLA, AMZN & more –
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: LLY, AAPL, TSLA, AMZN & more – https://t.co/F4Ioq8ujYO
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 7, 2019
News:
Tesla $TSLA CEO Musk breaks ground at Shanghai Gigafactory to launch China push #swingtrading https://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/Tesla+CEO+Musk+breaks+ground+at+Shanghai+Gigafactory+to+launch+China+push/14979166.html
Tesla $TSLA CEO Musk breaks ground at Shanghai Gigafactory to launch China push #swingtrading https://t.co/WONmZDWWAw
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) January 7, 2019
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
$LXFT To be acquired by DXC for $59.00/shr in cash valued at ~$2B (Luxoft Holdings)
Earnings:
Abiomed’s stock climbs after preliminary revenue reported above expectations.
#earnings scheduled for the week
$STZ $BBBY $SGH $LEN $KBH $CMC $FCEL $HELE $AYI $AZZ $LNN $SCHN $SNX $MSM $PLUG $WDFC $EXFO $GBX $PSMT $SAR $INFY $FC $NTIC $KSHB $VOXX $SLP $MPAA
#earnings scheduled for the week$STZ $BBBY $SGH $LEN $KBH $CMC $FCEL $HELE $AYI $AZZ $LNN $SCHN $SNX $MSM $PLUG $WDFC $EXFO $GBX $PSMT $SAR $INFY $FC $NTIC $KSHB $VOXX $SLP $MPAAhttps://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/CdQw0J0oUi
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 7, 2019
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.
$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN
http://eps.sh/cal
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rBfBzOCeAu
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 2, 2019
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Crude oil resistance points, trade technically should come under pressure in to the 10th and then possibly bounce to target.
Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket
Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Some interesting stats on fund flows
Some interesting stats on fund flows pic.twitter.com/oj2ud9g8eL
— Ronnie Stoeferle (@RonStoeferle) January 7, 2019
1/ Summary of major asset classes and their 2018 calendar performance. Treasuries made a super late comeback, but it was really a “cash outperformed all” kind of a year.
Export-dependent countries like China, Germany & Frontier Markets performed the worse due to trade tariffs.
1/ Summary of major asset classes and their 2018 calendar performance. Treasuries made a super late comeback, but it was really a "cash outperformed all" kind of a year.
Export-dependent countries like China, Germany & Frontier Markets performed the worse due to trade tariffs. pic.twitter.com/jhqX5ImjB4
— Tiho Brkan (@TihoBrkan) January 5, 2019
‘Geopol environment is most dangerous it’s been in decades,’ is first sentence of this year’s Eurasia Risk Report: ‘2019 could turn out to be the year the world falls apart.’ Tail risks higher than they’ve been at any point since launch of Eurasia in 1998. https://www.eurasiagroup.net/files/upload/Top_Risks_2019_Report.pdf …
'Geopol environment is most dangerous it’s been in decades,' is first sentence of this year's Eurasia Risk Report: '2019 could turn out to be the year the world falls apart.' Tail risks higher than they’ve been at any point since launch of Eurasia in 1998. https://t.co/NNSwmEHYkM pic.twitter.com/Ge9x8KWLGm
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) January 7, 2019
Hedge funds dump crude and diesel as economic outlook darkens: Kemp
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1082265019956502533
Goldman sounds the China alarm and cuts metals outlook.
Read: https://goo.gl/bcbPB1
Goldman sounds the China alarm and cuts metals outlook.
Read: https://t.co/YSrIta6eg3
— Rosie the Gold Algo (@ROSIEtheAlgo) January 7, 2019
Gold: An unexpected story to start the week:
China end-December #gold reserves rise 0.32Moz to 59.56Moz
First increase since October 2016.
(h/t @JGCCrawley )
Gold: An unexpected story to start the week:
China end-December #gold reserves rise 0.32Moz to 59.56Moz
First increase since October 2016.
(h/t @JGCCrawley ) pic.twitter.com/yckmTzOUob
— John Reade (@JReade_WGC) January 7, 2019
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $AXSM $LOXO $MYND $INSM $NEPT $AXON $EPZM $UWT $DGAZ $GE $CHK $APHA $KTOV $VALE $USO $NBEV $X $JNUG $TSLA
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $BOOT $IPG $CRM $ADBE $GOOGL $DG $ECA $PDCE $TPX $MU $CNP $NI $EPZM $LGIH $C $GM $FANG $CLR $FIVN $ANET $ROCK $PHM $LEN $AGCO $EOG $EAT $BJRI $MAS $ALVR $LABL $STZ $DDS $WP
(6) Recent Downgrades: $SNAP $SWKS $RH $KIRK $OAS $CRZO $RRC $ALV $SPOT $MSGN $NJR $AEP $SR $OGE $CWEN $INN $RES $SPN $BAC $THRM $BIG $DK $EQT $WEN $GEF $GG $QTRH $PNC $EVR $MO $BTI $OI $POWI
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, AXSM, LOXO, LXFT, LLY, AAPL, TSLA, AMZN
Crude Oil Trading Strategies | 240 Min Simple Chart Model Structure & Trade Plan
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Jan 6, 2019 – Jan 15, 2019.
One plausible scenario I am watching.
Crude oil resistance points, trade technically should come under pressure in to the 10th and then possibly bounce to target.
If bullish scenario plays out then a timed long at a bounce over the trading box noted would yield an excellent return over next ten days or so.
Lead Trader 2019 Trading Guidance Report (Time Cycles) & Trading Platform Updates
In an effort to provide trading guidance to our members on a regular basis and in the spirit of operating a transparent trading service, my letter to members below should provide clarity on our goals for 2019 and how we see the markets shaping up for trade.
2017 and 2018 Market Guidance Review.
Prior to the election we signaled bullish on equities and had a fantastic six months post election with huge returns. Then consistently our returns have softened and the last quarter returns have been less than 40% (if calculated on an annual basis) – specific to no algorithm trades. So we went from 400% to 40% since the election (again, if you calculated various time frames based on annual basis).
Late June of 2018 we started signalling a slow down in equities and our alerts and swing trading publications slowed, the market did in fact turn down. However, the end of that time cycle is here now.
Our time cycle work with instrument structure has been by far our highest probability guidance.
2019 Market Guidance Overview.
The list below coincides with our algorithm models and swing trading.
At this point, the time cycle inflection looks as follows;
SPY / equity markets bullish in to early May 2019 (some sectors will do better than others – hence our theme based approach to swing trade reporting and alerts in to 2019) with possibility for more frequent volatility spikes.
Oil bullish in to early May 2019.
VIX bearish in to early May 2019 however (as above) we see probability of VIX spikes very high.
Gold and Silver to hold moderate with likely pressured trade to bearish side.
Bitcoin as with Gold and Silver.
US Dollar DXY to come under bearish pressure.
If the above plays out as we expect then come mid May 2019 there is a high likelihood that the opposite for everything listed above (with possibly the exception being DXY) will be in play.
HOWEVER, IT IS CRITICAL to be aware that the guidance above can flip with the markets. Geopolitical risk is rampant right now. Our reporting depth will be significant for this reason. The instrument structure will be the focus and time frame of trade key to each structure. Stay flexible to the market inflections and trade the instrument structure (support and resistance therein) to your chosen time frame.
Reporting and Trade Alerts in the Next Time Cycle.
The algorithm and swing trading reports will all be updated and distributed between Tuesday Jan 8 – 15 2019 to allow for two days of market action (this Monday and Tuesday) in to this new time cycle (post holiday).
There will be follow up reporting to approximately Jan 23rd that will focus on instrument structure (trading ranges on different time frames) for the algorithm models and swing trade equities we follow and then intensive thereafter through six month time cycle.
The deep dive we will be doing is for our trading on different time frames (swing trade and day trading) – you will find our trading to be significantly more active than the previous six months. This will include the machine trading in oil.
I should point out here also that the swing trade reporting and trades will be selective / theme based as we see a stock pickers six months next.
2018 / 2019 Work in Progress List.
We do have some team WIP left over from 2018 that will be cleaned up in January (it is nominal clerical type stuff for the most part). Some of the list is below:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon. This has been difficult to publish because our learning curve has been parabolic (the more you know about how an instrument trades the more you know that you didn’t know prior).
- Our learning curve is starting to level out now so this will be released soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when API integration complete).
- For now I will be verbally feeding these in to the live trading room, however, Jeremy is working on the API soon for automation.
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Early in 2019 there will be a price increase on all services (when everything is updated).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- This will occur with the deep dive we are doing over next month in reporting initiative.
- Trading Profit Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Boot Camps for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- We wanted to do this late 2018 but time didn’t allow, we’re targeting Feb 2019.
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for Feb / Mar ish 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
2019 Platform Normalization (copied from last member update)
In year one our goal was to simply get lift to our basic trading service platform and that was accomplished.
In year two (2018) our goal was to develop the software for machine trading to the oil model and bring forward various other development and that has been accomplished (it has been much more work than we expected and we are just there).
In year three (2019) our focus will be to normalizing our trading services platform in the first 6 months. Our focus also will be toward trading for profit and building our learning centers for our trading community. In the latter 6 months we will turn our focus back to software development with coding BTC and SPY at minimum. The difference will be that we expect to have staff in each area of the platform so that areas of service are not interrupted (stretched) with a start up staff size.
In summary, this means that we are cleaning up our work in progress from 2018 and going in to 2019 our service will be hyper focused on trading, reporting, trade alerts and the development of learning systems for our membership base.
The time cycle starting in to the new year is significant in size in global markets and we intend to capitalize on the opportunity this brings.
Remaining Discount Codes Expire Tuesday Midnight.
- Holiday Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
- Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading. https://compoundtrading.com/exclusive-member-christmas-discounts-trade-alerts-swing-reports-algorithm-reporting-trade-coaching-live-trading/
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use.
PreMarket Trading Report Fri Jan 4: Trade Talks, China RRR,Tesla, Intel, GameStop, Flex Pharma, LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC, #EIA, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Friday Jan 4, 2019.
In this premarket trading edition: Trade Talks, China RRR,Tesla, Intel, GameStop, Flex Pharma, LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC, #EIA, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- Remaining Discount Codes to be released to Public Today:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
- Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Jan 4 – I will be in attendance in main trading room at market open, EIA at 11:00, mid day review, and futures overnight Sunday. The markets have been a mess over holiday season with completion of this massive time cycle and it was a short week. Early in our first full week of regular trade next week the reporting will be significant and trade alerts will ramp up. We expect an epic six months of trading here forward. Stay on top of it and lets catch the turns in to 2019!
- #EIA for week ending December 28, 2018 alternate release day January 4, 2019 Friday 11:00 a.m. due to New Year’s holiday. #OOTT $CLF $USOIL $USO #Oil #OOTT https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php …
- https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1080419058573631488
- Jan 4 – I will be in attendance in main trading room at market open, EIA at 11:00, mid day review, and futures overnight Sunday. The markets have been a mess over holiday season with completion of this massive time cycle and it was a short week. Early in our first full week of regular trade next week the reporting will be significant and trade alerts will ramp up. We expect an epic six months of trading here forward. Stay on top of it and lets catch the turns in to 2019!
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when API integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Jan 3 – Protected: Crude Oil Trading Strategies | Oil Trading Room | Trade Oil Review
Jan 3 – Protected: Gold Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review
Jan 3 – Protected: SP500 SPY Trading Strategies | Live Trading Room | Chart Review
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Fri Jan 4 – If Fed pauses hikes and US-China trade relations improve oil should run in to May targets oil bundle members have (especially if OPEC cuts remain in play), the markets should run up in to May. Gold, Silver, VIX, DXY and Bitcoin may (are likely) to get soft and equities will be a stock pickers environment (traded properly within instrument structure) during that period (Q1 2019). Generally this is how it looks currently. But yet to be seen in to next week forward – this is one scenario. Reporting and alerts (either way) will become very active as next week rolls out and in to next 6 months. We will have the structure of trade for our coverage (the algorithm models and swing platform) so that we can trade either scenarios (up or down in each, including swing trading).
Thurs Jan 3 – Stay calm, only today and Friday left in this holiday / time cycle completion phase. Our trading alerts will be very active in to next week.
A note from Jeremy yesterday posted to oil server in Discord;
I have received a few questions about why our machine trade is quiet. Trade through holidays was not structured at all and not within our rule set. When structured trade returns (it always does), we will be higher frequency than last month (about 5 – 10 x). At latest we expect structure next week but it could be earlier.
Wed Jan 2 – Remaining cautious and patient, short week, post holiday in to first full trading week of year next week.
#EIA for week ending December 28, 2018 alternate release day January 4, 2019 Friday 11:00 a.m. due to New Year’s holiday. #OOTT $CLF $USOIL $USO #Oil #OOTT https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php …
Friday Dec 28 –
Closed DGAZ trade in premarket long 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade.
Per premarket note above: Still recovering from brutal food poisoning last 36 hours, trading room open today but likely trade will be really light until we are past Jan 1. Markets are not structured last number of days. Last Friday was completion of large time cycle in markets with a week either way as caution. Next week the new time cycles will be in play and our reporting and trading will reflect that (beyond Jan 1, 2019). Team is in session this weekend processing WIP completion for 2018 in to 2019.
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot is below in trades section. Will be more active now that I’m recovering from sick and Jan 1 near.
Near end of June we signaled to lighten up on equity longs and we brought our long trades in for a landing over the next 90 days (check our feeds). Since then we’ve consistently signaled caution in to end of time cycle in to end of Dec 2018. First two quarters 2019 we expect to be extremely active. Watch all reporting closely from recent forward.
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:01 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.27, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 48.16, Gold $GLD trading 1290.90, Silver $SLV trading 15.70, $SPY 247.61 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3783.00 and $VIX trading 23.9.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
Esperion to receive $300 million in upfront payments in deal with Daiichi Sankyo #swingtrading $ESPR https://on.mktw.net/2GScYyB
Stocks – Tesla, Intel Gain in Premarket, GameStop, Flex Pharma Soar – https://invst.ly/9ox9g
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC & more –
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC & more – https://t.co/bjSequmXIs
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 4, 2019
News:
Flex Pharma to merge with Salarius to accelerate development of cancer treatments.
$MBVX and Oncotelic Enter into Merger Discussions.
Dow is set to rise more than 300 points on US-China trade talks –
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/1081155432587104259
China Cuts Bank’s Reserve Require Ratios $ES_F $USDCNY
-Cuts Reserve Ratio By Overall 100Bps
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 15
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 25
China Cuts Bank's Reserve Require Ratios $ES_F $USDCNY
-Cuts Reserve Ratio By Overall 100Bps
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 15
– Cuts Reserve Ratio By 50 Bps Jan 25— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) January 4, 2019
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Earnings:
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.
$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN
http://eps.sh/cal
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rBfBzOCeAu
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 2, 2019
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
Crude Oil. 240 Min Chart – we got the move up over trading box overnight. Jan 4 602 AM FX USOIL WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #trading
If oil breaches top of this trading box today on simple model it should hit topside white arrow in today’s trade.
Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket
Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading
Gold (Daily) Trade testing TL resistance intra. Other noteable resistance marked (gray arrows). #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtradealerts
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
China’s central bank moves to support growth with a 1 percentage point reserve ratio cut https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-04/pboc-cuts-banks-reserve-ratio-to-ratchet-up-support-for-2019 …
Here’s what will lead the new growth cycle after correction according to Alchemy’s Hiren Ved. #swingtrading #timecycles https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/alpha-moguls-alchemys-hiren-ved-predicts-the-winners-of-next-growth-cycle
Here’s what will lead the new growth cycle after correction according to Alchemy’s Hiren Ved. #swingtrading #timecycles https://t.co/s68ZPvTyaX
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) January 4, 2019
Dallas Fed Energy Survey
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1081168296861487104
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $FLKS $HSGX $PTN $INFI $NVAX $ASNS $NBRV $DPW $DBVT $GME $YINN $UGAZ $GLPG $UXIN $UWT $KTOV
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $COTY $IEX $OFC $GDOT $HON $NOK $CPT $OHI $INTC $IMO $REGN $VAR $SFLY $IEX $KOS $CELG $QLYS $MYGN $SNDR $MAS $AWI $FBHS $NFLX $ETSY$EXPE $CBOE $AERS $VIRT $CG $AZPN $LEA $DAN $AZPN $SHW $CC $KOS
$NFLX upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at $GS (Malaysia division) w/ $400 PT.
BofA/Merrill prefers cloud and 5G exposure in semis, upgrades Intel to Buy $INTC $AMD http://dlvr.it/Qvy59y
(6) Recent Downgrades: $SWKS $AVNS $EMR $UTX $FLOW $COO $DEO $ADI $CYBR $VC $FTNT $ALV $VNE $ADNT $TXN $FTSI $EVRG $RES $PACB $EXC $HOLX $EBAY $CRTO $SNAP $TROW $FLXN $KKR $ICE $MRT $SESN
BofA downgrades TI, Analog Devices, Maxim Integrated in semi ratings shake-up $TXN $ADI $MXIM $INTC http://dlvr.it/Qvy5B6
BofA/Merrill Lynch Downgrades California Resources $CRC to Neutral
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Trade Talks, China RRR,Tesla, Intel, GameStop, Flex Pharma, LUV, TSLA, NFLX, INTC, #EIA,
Crude Oil Trading Strategies | Oil Trading Room | Trade Oil Review
January 3, 2018 Crude Oil Trading Strategies from mid day review in the oil trading room with lead trader.
Voice starts at 3:58 on video. My apologies for the construction workers in background, there are a couple short intermissions in video to discuss noise with renovators 🙂
Crude oil trading strategies reviewed in our oil trading room from today. Crude oil trade set-ups on oil charting for Jan 3, 2019.
We don’t expect trade to normalize until next week in crude oil.
Sideways trade since December 20th 2018. Price of crude sold off near 41.00 price target.
On 240 Minute oil chart trading box (trading range) 47.14 resistance 42.18 support (FX USOIL WTI). Simplified EPIC Oil Algorithm model for sizing in swing trades. Time cycle conclusion today on the charting.
Bullish price target 50.00 in time frame, bearish price target unlikely mid quad 44.63 and lower most bearish 42.20 area 39.45 area lower quad support. EIA tomorrow these will be main levels to watch.
Machine trading protocol reviewed at 7:30 reviewed on video. Timing, structure, price on model, order flow etc explained. Order flow is still missing from holiday trade and we don’t expect the machine trade to be active until next week – explained on video. Also explained on video are the large block order flows in crude oil trade that triggers the machine trading oil trade alerts. We expect alerts to be 5 – 10 x in January of what was alerted in Dec for example. All explained on video.
EPIC Oil Algorithm model discussed at 9:00 on video – how structure etc is sloppy through holiday trade.
15:30 machine trade sizing spigot chart reviewed, sloppy holiday trade or consolidation – possible retrace bottom.
Weekly trendline oil chart 16:20 is reviewed and support is discussed. Also the retrace fib targets are discussed.
At 17:00 on daily oil chart are discussed. A bit on structured charting is also discussed. Daily chart price targets in to future reviewed on video.
At 20:00 minutes on video the primary resistance and support areas are discussed for intra day trade, futures and EIA tomorrow.
#Crudeoil #Trading #Strategies
PreMarket Trading Report Thurs Jan 3: Fed, Apple, TLT, Yen, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Thursday Jan 3, 2019.
In this premarket trading edition: Fed, Apple, TLT, Yen, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events / Platform Development / Team Work in Progress:
- Remaining Discount Codes to be released to Public Today:
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
Exclusive Member Christmas Discounts: Trade Alerts, Swing Reports, Algorithm Reporting, Trade Coaching, Live Trading.
- December Special 40% Discounts (limited promo discounts per):
- Lead Trader Premarket Note:
- Jan 3 – I will be in attendance in main trading room at market open, for mid day review, and in futures overnight. The markets are in a mess with completion of this massive cycle, it’s a short week, caution warranted in to early next week. Leading in to our first full week of regular trade next week after holiday season and time cycle completion the reporting will be significant – stay on top of it and lets catch the turns in to 2019!
- Team Work in Progress:
- Rules based machine trading protocol for oil to be published soon.
- Machine trading signals to be fed in to main trading room (initially manually then auto when api integration complete).
- New pricing to be published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss to be Published for Q1, Q2, Q3 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Previously recorded Trading Boot Camp Event videos to become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Bootcamps December/ January for each of the seven trading models and swing / daytrading – 8 in total to be announced (online only).
- 3 day Cabarete trading boot camp to be announced for early Feb 2019.
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members (new members inquire for copy).
Premarket Reporting: Per lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day – they are a way for our team to communicate with our member clients and update market conditions when time allows).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Dec 11 – Current Trades Reviewed: Oil, SPY, VIX, NatGas, Time Cycles, Gold, Silver, DXY… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mWMFTprLqQ
Nov 7 – Swing Trading Special Report Series (Part C) Nov 7 AAPL, BABA, AMD, EDIT, CARA, OSIS, BZUN, NIHD…
Oct 28 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy | Technical Analysis & Guidance.
Oct 23 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy: Career Trade Set-Up. Technical Analysis Trading Room w/ Video.
Oct 20 – Crude Oil Algorithmic Trading: A Simple Strategy That Wins – Real Life Example.
Oct 17 – Daytrading Crude Oil: Buy Sell Signals Strategy for Intra-day Sell Off Reversal.
Oct 15 – Crude Oil Trading Strategies: This Is It. How To Trade Crude Oil’s Next Move.
Oct 8 – Crude Oil Trading Strategy – How I Will be Trading Oil in to Time Cycles.
Oct 7 – How I Will Be Trading Bitcoin in to Increased Volatility (We Expect) Next Two Quarters.
Oct 4 – Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Oct 2 – Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Oct 3 – Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Questions on How to Trade our Structured Chart Models, this video has 5 min starter explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fibonacci Trend-lines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Thurs Jan 3 – Stay calm, only today and Friday left in this holiday / time cycle completion phase. Our trading alerts will be very active in to next week.
A note from Jeremy yesterday posted to oil server in Discord;
I have received a few questions about why our machine trade is quiet. Trade through holidays was not structured at all and not within our rule set. When structured trade returns (it always does), we will be higher frequency than last month (about 5 – 10 x). At latest we expect structure next week but it could be earlier.
Wed Jan 2 – Remaining cautious and patient, short week, post holiday in to first full trading week of year next week.
#EIA for week ending December 28, 2018 alternate release day January 4, 2019 Friday 11:00 a.m. due to New Year’s holiday. #OOTT $CLF $USOIL $USO #Oil #OOTT https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php …
Friday Dec 28 –
Closed DGAZ trade in premarket long 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade.
Per premarket note above: Still recovering from brutal food poisoning last 36 hours, trading room open today but likely trade will be really light until we are past Jan 1. Markets are not structured last number of days. Last Friday was completion of large time cycle in markets with a week either way as caution. Next week the new time cycles will be in play and our reporting and trading will reflect that (beyond Jan 1, 2019). Team is in session this weekend processing WIP completion for 2018 in to 2019.
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot is below in trades section. Will be more active now that I’m recovering from sick and Jan 1 near.
Near end of June we signaled to lighten up on equity longs and we brought our long trades in for a landing over the next 90 days (check our feeds). Since then we’ve consistently signaled caution in to end of time cycle in to end of Dec 2018. First two quarters 2019 we expect to be extremely active. Watch all reporting closely from recent forward.
Wednesday Dec 19 –
Still holding DGAZ (Natgas short) and will add to it if oil gets a leg up post EIA and FOMC.
Still holding the others per recent reports.
Time cycle completing and with FOMC and EIA today it makes sense.
Some of our favorite daytrading and swing trading equities are bullish premarket so that is a good sign and many market leaders have a jump in their step this morning, FB is an exception – it isn’t looking great at time of writing.
Machine trade in oil yesterday worked, small but it worked fine. Per dms, the reason it didn’t trade in to 230 EST when it was an obvious trade after giving guidance of price pressure in to the close is that the software is programmed not to trade between 210 – 230 EST in to close with oil. Same with post close until futures open, right before regular market open and around EIA or other special events. We will shorten this duration next updates and have a goal to completely eliminate the black out period for events and low volume periods – will advise.
Patience, we’re almost done this cycle.
Per Recent:
Tuesday Dec 18 –
DO NOT MISS the lead trader premarket note at start of this report.
I am watching GS, MCD, SBUX and SPY today, as well as Oil and obviously VIX with the two day Fed meetings. The other watches are in recent lists in premarket (equities etc). Also, Trump after Googl, FB, and TWTR again – watch your long bias.
If oil doesn’t regain yesterday’s price drop I will close my DGAZ long position soon.
Everything in recent reports remains in to time cycle peak. Use extreme caution.
We’re close to the other side of this cycle now. Lots of reporting on deck.
In to and out of this massive time cycle peak $STUDY and you’ll never regret it. Forget trading for a week.
Monday Dec 17 –
Global markets are calmer. Out of the VIX short trade last week but still in the others.
Equities on watch listed below all remain on my list.
Dec 13 – Markets are mixed (not surprising considering time cycle completion on 20 th ish). Extreme caution between here and 20th ish.
Current Trades:
Looking for a pull back on DGAZ to size next leg above starter.
Holding VIX starter short in TVIX – HIGH RISK TRADE, extreme caution. Likely reverse bias after Dec 20 ish.
Holding SPY long starter. Likely reverse to short after Dec 20 ish.
Holding DWT short starter (however, it looks like oil may take another leg down here, it will either hold here or down another floor). Will size in next leg after a pull back in oil.
Holding ARWR swing starter long (missed my next leg size).
Looking for a possible BTC long swing other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible Silver and Gold long other side of Dec 20 ish.
Looking for a possible DXY short other side of Dec 20 ish.
Expect next 6 months to be trading career huge. Massive range. Equity swings will increase as we come out of this time cycle peak – it will be a stock pickers year in 2019 with technical analysis rooting the trade action. My goal is to retire off front lines in 6 months (still here, but off the front lines), to do that my personal trading and machine trading has to be massive to win side.
Dec 12 – Per trade status video emailed last night; trades in oil going well (personal and machine trading did well yesterday), we’re short starter TVIX (VIX ETN), short starter DWT (short Oil ETN), long DWT (short NatGas ETN), long SPY. Looking at other equity, currency, indices trades per the video posted Dec 11 to YouTube and emailed. Unclear on Gold, Silver and BTC however, we are bias to a bullish run after Dec 20 time cycle peaks. Yet to be seen. Slightly bearish in to new year DXY. But everything is on the table and the trend after Dec 20 time cycle in to new year trading is key for positioning – KEEP AN OPEN MIND.
the firsts are far from over . careful with bias
We’re watching for long SRRK, CMG, Yen, AES, KT, NEM, XLE, QQQ, DIA, IWM, IBB…
We’re watching for short XLK, WYNN, adding to DWT short, adding to long DGAZ (natgas short ETN)
Also on watch Gold, Silver, DXY, ARWR, …
Dec 10 – Good morning. Global markets continue under pressure. It is Monday, extreme caution at open. Let the trades come to you. W
I will be in trading room for open, mid day and at other times when we are trading.
Weekly guidance is pensive at this point, I am likely to let Monday open and will look toward the reporting. I am bias to oil turning up in to new year, VIX will be a considerable trading instrument for us also, Gold and Silver looking for advance bullish, US Dollar unsure, moderately bullish Yen, BTC should bottom near Dec 20, SPY and other indices I expect continued pressure. Moderately bearish NatGas.
Swing trade guidance in reporting due out this week. Also moderately bullish NEM at this point. Moderately bearish Tech and Bio in to new year. All tentative in to turn of Dec 20 time-cycle. More in reports.
Some guidance / confluence contradictory at this juncture, those are our views at this point in to Dec 20 time cycle completion, all yet to be seen and positions to be determined.
Looking for significant moves over next 6 months (post Dec 20 time cycle).
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:10 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 96.66, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 46.94, Gold $GLD trading 1288.80, Silver $SLV trading 15.60, $SPY 247.53 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 3845.00 and $VIX trading 25.5.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
A Peek Into The Markets: US Stock Futures Drop, Apple Cuts Q1 Sales Guidance https://benzinga.com/z/12924269 $AAPL $ANTM $BMY $CELG $IZEA $OHRP $SPY $DJIA $USO
Drugmaker Bristol-Myers to buy Celgene for $74 billion https://reut.rs/2Tt2kjl .
Havens are back, baby: Yen, gold and bonds rediscover their mojo https://bloom.bg/2SAYfcA
News:
Currencies flash crash recap: Where are we now? https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/currencies-flash-crash-recap-where-are-we-now-20190103
Fed’s Kaplan says he favours taking no rate action in first couple of quarters.
Yesterday there was a record one-day inflow of $1.1 billion into $TLT, the $9.9 billion 20+ year Treasury ETF.
Apple warning a double-edged sword for risk sentiment? https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/apple-warning-a-double-edged-sword-for-risk-sentiment-20190103
Yen soars after ‘flash crash’, China worries. https://twitter.com/newsinvesting/status/1080749364467978246.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Bets Big On Celgene In $74B Cash And Stock Deal https://benzinga.com/z/12924561 $BMY $CELG
Saudi state media reports a prosecutor is seeking the death sentence against five of 11 people who have appeared in court in relation to the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi
Saudi state media reports a prosecutor is seeking the death sentence against five of 11 people who have appeared in court in relation to the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi
— Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) January 3, 2019
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s, Private Placements, Mergers:
Earnings:
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.
$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN
http://eps.sh/cal
A look at Jan #earnings calendar.$NFLX $BAC $BA $BBBY $KBH $SGH $STZ $MA $JPM $C $GS $JNJ $UNH $WFC $AA $LRCX $CJPRY $SLB $ABT $LEN $UNF $AKS $BMY $LW $VLO $RPM $AXP $SMPL $SNX $MSM $WYI $CMC $HELE $FAST $PHM $CSX $INFO $CALM $LNN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rBfBzOCeAu
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) January 2, 2019
Trade Set-ups, Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Refer to date at top left of each chart (charts can be carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded decision to decision process – when trade set-up fails cut position fast. Leg in to winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide a framework to trade (chart structure enables a trader to set stops where a trade has failed or leg in to winners and trim winners). Purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of a trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy (which should be harnessed in your rules based process).
If oil breaches top of this trading box today on simple model it should hit topside white arrow in today’s trade.
Closed $DGAZ long at 86.79 (NatGas short) from 52.30. Nice trade. #swingtrading #premarket
Gold (Monthly) Structure seems to suggest near term resistance at diagonal FIB TL, yet to be seen. #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtrading
Gold (Daily) Trade testing TL resistance intra. Other noteable resistance marked (gray arrows). #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD #swingtradealerts
Last trading session in crude oil trade alerts screen shot. Will be more active now that not sick and Jan 1 near. #oiltradealerts
Short Natural Gas trade in DGAZ – looking for add today post EIA if oil jumps. #NaturalGas #trading #alerts
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading
Chewing around the edges of volatility $VIX $TVIX $UVXY Short #tradealerts #swingtrading pic.twitter.com/tbbunu8VGB
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT
I love EPIC FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #alerts #algorithm #OOTT pic.twitter.com/s84TakajSQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 13, 2018
Machine trading crude oil with EPIC Oil Algorithm at premarket open. Tues 4:30 price target hit perfect also from weekend reporting #Oil #TradingAlerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1072722068075102209
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT
Machine trading day today FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #trading #premarket #OOTT pic.twitter.com/FCj73Q40wQ
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 11, 2018
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
Our machine trading was making money today, but as a human trader that was no easy trading session in oil. Even the machine trading had some cuts (small) but won over no problem. #oil #machinetrading $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/tE6JDg8hZS
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2018
Machine trading screen shots from oil alert feed tonight. FX USOIL WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Alerts #OOTT #machinetrading
We are short DWT (short oil ETN) from last week $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO $UWT #oil #trade #alerts
Volatility short TVIX trade went well. $VIX $TVIX Looking for a bounce in to Dec 5 #volatility #trading
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO
To catch a knife 🙂 Daytrading crude oil #OOTT #oiltradealerts $CL_F FX USOIL WTI $USO pic.twitter.com/R8n63CV72i
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) November 13, 2018
Where can you find a trading setup that executes for a 150+ tick day trade in crude oil with back tested win side probability 90%. Test it and tell us we’re wrong. Member report below. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OIL #trading #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1057464025750138881
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
US weekly jobless claims total 231,000, vs 220,000 expected
US weekly jobless claims total 231,000, vs 220,000 expectedhttps://t.co/9PSpEHCggB
— CNBC Now (@CNBCnow) January 3, 2019
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $OHRP $KTOV $CELG $IZEA $ALQA $DBVT $SBS $EBR $TECS $SOXS $RESN $TVIX $UVXY $JNUG $GILD
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $ILMN $CI $BDC $EMR $HON $CCK $FSLR $CSIQ $MLCO $BIO $FLDM $INCY $TEVA $ANTM $CTAS $PDCO $HLTH $WAT $KPTI $QTWO $GOOS $SYF $CACC
(6) Recent Downgrades: $AAPL $AEP $GNMX $ALB $USAC $EQBK $LL $PBYI $MTD $HSIC $NLNK $JLL $CBRE $RHI $USAC $ILPT $LH $DGX $ABBV $GWR $RCII $FDC $CIG
$AAPL PT LOWERED TO $160 FROM $212.00 AT MAXIM GROUP
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Fed, Apple, TLT, Yen, Time Cycles, Oil, SPY, VIX, BTC, Gold, Silver, DXY