Rosie the Gold Algorithm Charting Update Friday July 28, 2017 #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD with Miners: $GDX, $GDXJ ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Observations
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.
Like EPIC our Oil Algorithm chart model, I am an algorithm chart model in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of Gold and Gold Miner related.
The charting models are best used decision to decision. In other words, each line on the algorithmic model charts are support and resistance related. As trade progresses, weighing algorithmic charting model against conventional charting observations will provide an edge over using only conventional chart driven trade.
If you need assistance at anytime contact my developers at [email protected].
Updates:
There is a 30 min model advancement in the works for the Gold component of charting. The Miner charting below also has lower time-frames in development and further indicators for all time frames in development.
How to Use the Charting Model:
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Primary Trade Indications:
Live Twitter Alert Feed for Gold / Miner Trades: @GoldAlerts_CT
The primary method of trade our traders are reporting works with the most predictability is to wait for Gold to breach the trading range (grey lines) up or down and then have it confirm as it leaves the corresponding trading quadrant to the up or downside. See video above.
As it is a model in development if you find more predictable methods please report same.
Resistance and Support Clusters: Blue and Yellow horizontal (may be sloped) lines. The thicker they are the more significant they are. Blue are conventional indicators and Yellow are calculated historical algorithmic points of significance.
Trading Range: Grey Lines (marked with grey arrows). Trade above or below creates bias and bias is confirmed to a high probability when trade then leaves a quadrant (geometric diamond shape formed with diagonal Fib trend lines for time – frame) after gaining or losing a trading range horizontal support / resistance line.
Quadrants: Diagonal Orange Lines that form diamond shapes. Based on diagonal Fibonacci trend lines act as important support and resistance.
Fibonacci Support and Resistance: Horizontal lines on charting (various colors).
Targets: Red circles on charting. The least of the indicators and should be used for observation purpose only. The targets are in very early stage development / testing. Two are provided for each day provided – the upper scenario targets should be considered if trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only either are expected to hit (if at all – very low probability of a hit is expected at this point).
Conventional Charting: All decisions should be weighed with conventional charting (as provided below).
Gold Algorithm Live Charting Link:
Click on share button bottom right (beside flag) and then click on “Make it Mine”.
Current trading range. Rosie Gold Algorithm Charting July 28 608 AM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD
Per recent reporting:
$GDX Gold Miner support and resistance fibs and quads for test. $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
The Gold miner charting is in very early development but we do expect considerable improvement over coming weeks and not months. Our target date is Sept 1 2017. For now the quadrants have produced some indication for trading and the fibs have been useful.
$GDX Gold Miner support and resistance fibs and quads for test. $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Conventional Charting to Consider
Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 23 $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading
Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 23 $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading
Recent / Historical Reporting for Perspective:
Let’s Review.
The chart below was used to guide our traders through symmetrical trade extensions (white arrows) assisted by Fibonacci levels (various horizontal), previous conventional support and resistance points of reference (purple) and algorithmic model quadrants support and resistance (blue) and algorithm calculated support and resistance key points (yellow). The chart also includes some notes. This charting called the low months in advance and the recent high months in advance. It was integral to our traders success.
So in summary, our first generation Gold algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate):
Algorithmic prediction of wide time frame lows and highs (proprietary algorithmic calculations).
Algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue horizontal lines)
Algorithmic calculated support and resistance based on historical trade (yellow horizontal lines).
Current day. Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
The Second Generation Chart Modeling Uses a More Advanced Algorithmic Quadrant Model (based on Fibonacci) and Weighed Against Historical Trade.
You will notice on the chart below diamond shaped patterns. Theses represent lower time-frames than the blue support and resistance lines above represent for wider time-frame quadrants. The way trade reacts to the tighter time-frames is critical and takes some understanding and experience. Our traders will be publishing videos on the subject for our members going forward. Please note, if you are familiar with how oil trades between the same type of quadrants on EPIC’s charting… this is identical. The bottom line… all lines are support and resistance decisions and the time-cycles are when each quadrant area expires. The quadrants are available on all time-frames but the represented time-frames below are most widely used.
The chart below adds;
1: 60 min time cycle quadrants represented in orange diagonal dotted lines. These are critical to trade and you will find they will act as significant support and resistance decisions.
Also, 2: along with them are the horizontal grey lines – they, as with EPIC charting become significant support and resistance.
If you consider the seven indicators above plus the two below there are then nine indicators of support and resistance decisions that each will act as support and resistance in their own manner. This is where time, experience and training come in. Our lead trader will (as noted above) provide regular webinars / videos on the subject.
Although many inflections of trade occur within each quadrant, one of the main to consider is that price regularly moves toward the quadrant apex, inverse apex and either side apex. Also of importance is that trade often becomes more volatile when leaving / entering a quadrant and also as trade nears the middle (widest range) part of a quadrant.
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
Our plan going forward is to provide low frame quadrant charting for our traders. We first want to provide training for the charting to date and give our traders a few weeks with this development. Expect regular training webinars to be announced over the coming days.
Also of note, we have a model for $GDX we will add to this report in the coming weeks.
For now, the obvious trade considering the quadrant above is for price to chase the lower inverse apex on the chart terminating July 18, 2017 at approximately 1184.00 on the chart (your attention should be given to the 1071.00 approximate figure below in the conventional charting). This is not however absolute. The regular reporting will keep you up to date with our bias considering model trade.
Your short term overhead resistance is 1220.29 (grey horizontal) and your support is 1204.79 (blue horizontal fib) and then of course the quadrant wall (diagonal orange dotted).
Wider range there is significant resistance at 1228.14 (blue) and significant support at 1185.58 (yellow). These are areas our traders take advantage of trade support and resistance (blue and yellow horizontal support and resistance). You will find these two indicators to provide your best ROI because of predictability. The quadrants add a dynamic that otherwise would not be there, but the wider time frame critical support and resistance are where a trader can size in considerably.
Below are some conventional Gold and $GDX charting considerations also for consideration and should be given weight to your trade.
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Charting Update July 23, 2017 #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD with Miners: $GDX, $GDXJ ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Observations
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.
Like EPIC our Oil Algorithm chart model, I am an algorithm chart model in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of Gold and Gold Miner related.
The charting models are best used decision to decision. In other words, each line on the algorithmic model charts are support and resistance related. As trade progresses, weighing algorithmic charting model against conventional charting observations will provide an edge over using only conventional chart driven trade.
If you need assistance at anytime contact my developers at [email protected].
Updates:
There is a 30 min model advancement in the works for the Gold component of charting. The Miner charting below also has lower time-frames in development and further indicators for all time frames in development.
How to Use the Charting Model:
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Primary Trade Indications:
Live Twitter Alert Feed for Gold / Miner Trades: @GoldAlerts_CT
The primary method of trade our traders are reporting works with the most predictability is to wait for Gold to breach the trading range (grey lines) up or down and then have it confirm as it leaves the corresponding trading quadrant to the up or downside. See video above.
As it is a model in development if you find more predictable methods please report same.
Resistance and Support Clusters: Blue and Yellow horizontal (may be sloped) lines. The thicker they are the more significant they are. Blue are conventional indicators and Yellow are calculated historical algorithmic points of significance.
Trading Range: Grey Lines (marked with grey arrows). Trade above or below creates bias and bias is confirmed to a high probability when trade then leaves a quadrant after gaining or losing a trading range horizontal support / resistance line.
Quadrants: Diagonal Orange Lines that form diamond shapes. Based on diagonal Fibonacci trend lines act as important support and resistance.
Fibonacci Support and Resistance: Horizontal lines on charting (various colors).
Targets: Red circles on charting. The least of the indicators and should be used for observation purpose only. These are in very early stage development / testing. Two are provided for each day provided – the upper scenario targets should be considered if trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only either are expected to hit (if at all – very low probability of a hit is expected at this point).
Conventional Charting: All decisions should be weighed with conventional charting (as provided below).
Click on share button bottom right (beside flag) and then click on Make it Mine.
Current trading range decisions. Rosie Gold Algorithm Charting July 23 216 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD
Current trading range decisions. Rosie Gold Algorithm Charting July 23 216 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD
Upper trading range decisions. Rosie Gold Algorithm Charting July 23 219 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD
Upper trading range decisions. Rosie Gold Algorithm Charting July 23 219 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $UGLD $DGLD
$GDX Gold Miner support and resistance fibs and quads for test. $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
The Gold miner charting is in very early development but we do expect considerable improvement over coming weeks and not months. Our target date is Sept 1 2017. For now the quadrants have produced some indication for trading and the fibs have been useful.
$GDX Gold Miner support and resistance fibs and quads for test. $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Conventional Charting to Consider
Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 23 $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading
Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 23 $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading
Recent / Historical Reporting for Perspective:
Let’s Review.
The chart below was used to guide our traders through symmetrical trade extensions (white arrows) assisted by Fibonacci levels (various horizontal), previous conventional support and resistance points of reference (purple) and algorithmic model quadrants support and resistance (blue) and algorithm calculated support and resistance key points (yellow). The chart also includes some notes. This charting called the low months in advance and the recent high months in advance. It was integral to our traders success.
So in summary, our first generation Gold algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate):
Algorithmic prediction of wide time frame lows and highs (proprietary algorithmic calculations).
Algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue horizontal lines)
Algorithmic calculated support and resistance based on historical trade (yellow horizontal lines).
Current day. Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
The Second Generation Chart Modeling Uses a More Advanced Algorithmic Quadrant Model (based on Fibonacci) and Weighed Against Historical Trade.
You will notice on the chart below diamond shaped patterns. Theses represent lower time-frames than the blue support and resistance lines above represent for wider time-frame quadrants. The way trade reacts to the tighter time-frames is critical and takes some understanding and experience. Our traders will be publishing videos on the subject for our members going forward. Please note, if you are familiar with how oil trades between the same type of quadrants on EPIC’s charting… this is identical. The bottom line… all lines are support and resistance decisions and the time-cycles are when each quadrant area expires. The quadrants are available on all time-frames but the represented time-frames below are most widely used.
The chart below adds;
1: 60 min time cycle quadrants represented in orange diagonal dotted lines. These are critical to trade and you will find they will act as significant support and resistance decisions.
Also, 2: along with them are the horizontal grey lines – they, as with EPIC charting become significant support and resistance.
If you consider the seven indicators above plus the two below there are then nine indicators of support and resistance decisions that each will act as support and resistance in their own manner. This is where time, experience and training come in. Our lead trader will (as noted above) provide regular webinars / videos on the subject.
Although many inflections of trade occur within each quadrant, one of the main to consider is that price regularly moves toward the quadrant apex, inverse apex and either side apex. Also of importance is that trade often becomes more volatile when leaving / entering a quadrant and also as trade nears the middle (widest range) part of a quadrant.
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
Our plan going forward is to provide low frame quadrant charting for our traders. We first want to provide training for the charting to date and give our traders a few weeks with this development. Expect regular training webinars to be announced over the coming days.
Also of note, we have a model for $GDX we will add to this report in the coming weeks.
For now, the obvious trade considering the quadrant above is for price to chase the lower inverse apex on the chart terminating July 18, 2017 at approximately 1184.00 on the chart (your attention should be given to the 1071.00 approximate figure below in the conventional charting). This is not however absolute. The regular reporting will keep you up to date with our bias considering model trade.
Your short term overhead resistance is 1220.29 (grey horizontal) and your support is 1204.79 (blue horizontal fib) and then of course the quadrant wall (diagonal orange dotted).
Wider range there is significant resistance at 1228.14 (blue) and significant support at 1185.58 (yellow). These are areas our traders take advantage of trade support and resistance (blue and yellow horizontal support and resistance). You will find these two indicators to provide your best ROI because of predictability. The quadrants add a dynamic that otherwise would not be there, but the wider time frame critical support and resistance are where a trader can size in considerably.
Below are some conventional Gold and $GDX charting considerations also for consideration and should be given weight to your trade.
US Dollar Trading Chart Update Monday July 10 $DXY ($UUP) Chart and Algorithm Observations
My name is $DXY the US Dollar algorithm charting model. Welcome to my algorithmic model trade report for Compound Trading.
I am an early development model – one of six in development at Compound Trading. This work is early stage (phase I) and will eventually be coded to a digital dashboard for our traders to use as an intelligent assistant.
$DXY US Dollar Algorithm Charting Model July 10 537 AM $UUP
The chart below (and at the link above) is a wide view look at the charting model. Each line is considered support and resistance in the model. Our traders use the support and resistance as indicators (along with conventional charting) to trade.
$DXY US Dollar Algorithm Model July 10 537 AM $UUP
Close up view. $DXY US Dollar Algorithm Charting Model July 10 542 AM $UUP
Close up view. $DXY US Dollar Algorithm Charting Model July 10 542 AM $UUP
Areas of close consideration for support and resistance. $DXY US Dollar Algorithm Charting Model July 10 626 AM $UUP
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Charting Update July 9, 2017 #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD with Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Observations
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.
Like EPIC our Oil Algorithm chart model, I am an algorithm chart model in development and testing to eventually go to coding phase and be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders. My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of Gold related issues. I also provide conventional charting observations for both Gold and Miner’s.
The charting model is best used decision to decision. In other words, each line on my algorithmic model charts are support and resistance related. As trade progresses, weighing my algorithmic charting model with / against against conventional charting observations will provide an edge over using only conventional chart driven trade.
The charting below is second generation (EPIC the Oil Algorithm as an example is in fourth generation).
If you need assistance at anytime contact my developers at [email protected].
Let’s Review.
The chart below was used to guide our traders through symmetrical trade extensions (white arrows) assisted by Fibonacci levels (various horizontal), previous conventional support and resistance points of reference (purple) and algorithmic model quadrants support and resistance (blue) and algorithm calculated support and resistance key points (yellow). The chart also includes some notes. This charting called the low months in advance and the recent high months in advance. It was integral to our traders success.
So in summary, our first generation Gold algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate):
Algorithmic prediction of wide time frame lows and highs (proprietary algorithmic calculations).
Algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue horizontal lines)
Algorithmic calculated support and resistance based on historical trade (yellow horizontal lines).
Current day. Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
The Second Generation Chart Modeling Uses a More Advanced Algorithmic Quadrant Model (based on Fibonacci) and Weighed Against Historical Trade.
You will notice on the chart below diamond shaped patterns. Theses represent lower time-frames than the blue support and resistance lines above represent for wider time-frame quadrants. The way trade reacts to the tighter time-frames is critical and takes some understanding and experience. Our traders will be publishing videos on the subject for our members going forward. Please note, if you are familiar with how oil trades between the same type of quadrants on EPIC’s charting… this is identical. The bottom line… all lines are support and resistance decisions and the time-cycles are when each quadrant area expires. The quadrants are available on all time-frames but the represented time-frames below are most widely used.
The chart below adds;
1: 60 min time cycle quadrants represented in orange diagonal dotted lines. These are critical to trade and you will find they will act as significant support and resistance decisions.
Also, 2: along with them are the horizontal grey lines – they, as with EPIC charting become significant support and resistance.
If you consider the seven indicators above plus the two below there are then nine indicators of support and resistance decisions that each will act as support and resistance in their own manner. This is where time, experience and training come in. Our lead trader will (as noted above) provide regular webinars / videos on the subject.
Although many inflections of trade occur within each quadrant, one of the main to consider is that price regularly moves toward the quadrant apex, inverse apex and either side apex. Also of importance is that trade often becomes more volatile when leaving / entering a quadrant and also as trade nears the middle (widest range) part of a quadrant.
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD
Our plan going forward is to provide low frame quadrant charting for our traders. We first want to provide training for the charting to date and give our traders a few weeks with this development. Expect regular training webinars to be announced over the coming days.
Also of note, we have a model for $GDX we will add to this report in the coming weeks.
For now, the obvious trade considering the quadrant above is for price to chase the lower inverse apex on the chart terminating July 18, 2017 at approximately 1184.00 on the chart (your attention should be given to the 1071.00 approximate figure below in the conventional charting). This is not however absolute. The regular reporting will keep you up to date with our bias considering model trade.
Your short term overhead resistance is 1220.29 (grey horizontal) and your support is 1204.79 (blue horizontal fib) and then of course the quadrant wall (diagonal orange dotted).
Wider range there is significant resistance at 1228.14 (blue) and significant support at 1185.58 (yellow). These are areas our traders take advantage of trade support and resistance (blue and yellow horizontal support and resistance). You will find these two indicators to provide your best ROI because of predictability. The quadrants add a dynamic that otherwise would not be there, but the wider time frame critical support and resistance are where a trader can size in considerably.
Below are some conventional Gold and $GDX charting considerations also for consideration and should be given weight to your trade.
Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.
NOTICES:
This Oil Algorithm Report Includes three scenarios of trade. One for lower channel trade, one for continues upward trend trade and another for OPEC driven upward trending channel trade.
I have left the most recent reporting in this post for context.
OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Update – This may be moved up to June 12! Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/
As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.
Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.
There is a Webinar in the trading room scheduled for 10:00 AM ET for the EIA report FYI.
Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar is important for members to review.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.
24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).
Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:
Below is the link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday May 23, 2017 (You will be able to clock on lower right share button beside thumbs up button and then click on “make it mine”):
The new charting includes a change to color for the arrows that depict the channels. We have changed the color from orange arrows to purple as many were thinking the old channel arrows could be support or resistance. They are simply to note where the channels are.
The static charts show three potential channel trades. The one is a lower trending channel, which is the most natural for the machines because trade should have come off at the resistance (grey thick line) but did not and traded the last 24 hours or so in an anomaly pattern (you will notice the machines did not turn on and trade languished). This scenario is unlikely with OPEC on deck but would be the favored scenario if OPEC wasn’t manipulating trade scenarios.
The other scenario is a continued uptrending channel (essentially continuing the existing channel trend upward). This scenario is possible with OPEC on deck.
And the final scenario is another uptrending channel scenario that is just higher on the chart or more bullish and this would be the channel that OPEC will be attempting to manipulate.
Remember the significant cluster above that was noted in yesterday’s reporting – it is not noted on the current chart.
The algo targets are simply best guesses because trade is not in a natural state this week.
Current trade. Downward channel scenario (most natural but OPEC likely anomaly) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 23, 2017 438 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Second scenario. Trade continues in uptrend in current channel (less anomalies) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 23, 2017 443 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Third scenario – OPEC driven momentum in upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 23, 2017 446 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Previous Reporting (for context):
We are testing new chart security so if the charts below do not load the algorithm please let us know.
Below is the link for the live viewer only version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday May 22, 2017 (You will only be able to view in viewer – hit play to bring up to minute. You will not be able to edit this chart):
Below is the live link to the live charting that if it works you will be able to edit. If it does not work please let us know and we will send you another link:
Below are the static charts for this reporting period:
Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Considerations for trade on May 22, 2017:
OPEC is meeting this week. Be very cautious. There will be anomalies in the charting.
There is a long weekend coming. Holidays can create problems with the algorithms (agreement between). It can take a day or two either side of a holiday for the machines to sort out alpha.
At time of publication trade is right at support and resistance (grey line).
Not far above (thick blue line with blue arrow) is the start of the resistance area that seen oil come off very hard last time it tested this resistance cluster. Remember, the goal of OPEC is to get trade above the resistance area.
There is a choice on the chart for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. They are marked with orange arrows.
Here is the email sent to members earlier today;
Oil Traders
There is a complete report coming out around 2 am ET (approx), until then the following;
– The upper resistance of broad quadrant trading range is being tested (thick grey line). Remember there is a variance, a testing area of about .22 – .25 cents on upside of that resistance.
– When our traders short at resistance it is with tight stops. Especially when trade is in upward trending channel. Upward trending channel = highest probability trade is long at channel support and/or horizontal support. Highest probability is not short. Highest probability short is at top of channel or horizontal resistance in a downward trending channel. So when you trading against highest probability we keep our stops tight. When trading with probability we loosen up our stops a bit.
– The cluster we ran in to at prior highs is once again also approaching. Major resistance starts at 52.70.
– Between current quadrant resistance and the resistance cluster that starts around 52.70 we would not be surprised if market takes trade to underside of cluster (around 52.70 on FX $USOIL $WTI
– OPEC meetings are very likely to create any number of anomalies in trade. The complete report tonight will assist.
– The main resistance points of cluster are approximately on intra 52.70, 53.70, 54.80, 55.15, 59.78.
– When we short at res and trade fails we flip long and stay in it until next res is hit (in an uptrending channel). Your profit is being on right side of the trade in uptrending channels and downtrending channels. So profit is in long at bottom of channel in uptrending channel and short at resistance in downtrending channel. Contrary trades have to be with very tight stops.
– Trade is currently bullish – do not fight the trend.
– Full report out tonight.
Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:
Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).
Trade the ranges noted above.
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.
Conventional Charting Observations:
Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Per recent reports:
There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.
Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.
Below is the first algorithmic quadrant chart you will see of many over the coming days. The horizontal support and resistance lines are standard Fibonacci that you can trade against and the diagonals are quadrant support and resistance – the thicker the line the better the support or resistance.
The next report will refine these and price targets. For now, we will see how this model performs. This is by the way the model our traders have been using for months and it has worked. I will add much more detail to it as this week progresses.
Support and resistance horizontal and diagonal. S&P 500 $SPY May 22 607 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Support and resistance horizontal and diagonal. S&P 500 $SPY May 22 607 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Trading Range Extensions (wide time-frame price targets – the main turns). In short, we have been publishing price predicts for the main price extensions on $SPY trade and for about four months now we have been hitting them. The price extension price targets are the most important. If you can catch the main turns in trade then this of course is where the money is. So that was the primary priority and it has proven out. Reviewing historical reports this is represented by the red dotted line extensions and was also in writing (the price predicts of trading extensions).
Trading Quadrants (shorter time frame trading ranges). The second priority was to lock in the natural trading range on shorter time frames, we call these quadrants and they have been represented on the charts as geometric shapes (boxes, or as some refer to them as diamonds). These also have proven out.
Trading Time Cycles / Main Resistance Areas (clusters of resistance). You would have to go back in the historical reporting some time to confirm that our algorithm has actually called these consistently, but it has. The more recent is the area $SPY is struggling to breach right now and the significant one prior to Christmas last year. The purpose of knowing where the primary time cycle resistance areas (or clusters) are, is for traders to know where and when it is bets to let off the gas to speak.
Specific Time / Price Targets. This area of work in the algorithm we are still working with (in development) and as such you will know begin to see our best guess of specific time / price targets weekly. You would have to review EPIC the Oil Algo posts or Twitter feed to understand what I am referring to (they are represented on EPIC’s feed as red circles and EPIC has been undeniably accurate). Now, IT IS CRITICAL to know that we may never be able to lock in these “cyrstal ball” specific time and price targets with $SPY like we have with EPIC. But that doesn’t make the work we are doing ineffective, actually quite the opposite.
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.
NOTICES:
This Report will include recent emails sent to members and recent reports because there are many new members and many won’t have had access to especially those emails for context.
The algorithm took an unusual amount of time to lock in tonight – there is a possible divergence of up to .12 cents on any horizontal support and resistance and any diagonal lines (basically any line on the chart). It happens sometimes, it is very unusual, but it does occur. Either way, it will be locked in over the next day or two. Until it is re-locked in you will find some of the lines to be sloppy and not match up.
When we estimate a time of publishing, be cautious to not plan your life around our ETA. The algorithm can take between 1 hour and 12 hours to lock in and we do not know how long it will take before starting each night.
OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/
As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.
Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.
Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar is important for members to review.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.
24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).
Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:
We are testing new chart security so if the charts below do not load the algorithm please let us know.
Below is the link for the live viewer only version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday May 22, 2017 (You will only be able to view in viewer – hit play to bring up to minute. You will not be able to edit this chart):
Below is the live link to the live charting that if it works you will be able to edit. If it does not work please let us know and we will send you another link:
Below are the static charts for this reporting period:
Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Current trading range with option for upward channel and downward channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 227 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upward channel option with blue arrow representing start of resistance cluster 52.70 intra. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 22, 2017 229 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Considerations for trade on May 22, 2017:
OPEC is meeting this week. Be very cautious. There will be anomalies in the charting.
There is a long weekend coming. Holidays can create problems with the algorithms (agreement between). It can take a day or two either side of a holiday for the machines to sort out alpha.
At time of publication trade is right at support and resistance (grey line).
Not far above (thick blue line with blue arrow) is the start of the resistance area that seen oil come off very hard last time it tested this resistance cluster. Remember, the goal of OPEC is to get trade above the resistance area.
There is a choice on the chart for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. They are marked with orange arrows.
Here is the email sent to members earlier today;
Oil Traders
There is a complete report coming out around 2 am ET (approx), until then the following;
– The upper resistance of broad quadrant trading range is being tested (thick grey line). Remember there is a variance, a testing area of about .22 – .25 cents on upside of that resistance.
– When our traders short at resistance it is with tight stops. Especially when trade is in upward trending channel. Upward trending channel = highest probability trade is long at channel support and/or horizontal support. Highest probability is not short. Highest probability short is at top of channel or horizontal resistance in a downward trending channel. So when you trading against highest probability we keep our stops tight. When trading with probability we loosen up our stops a bit.
– The cluster we ran in to at prior highs is once again also approaching. Major resistance starts at 52.70.
– Between current quadrant resistance and the resistance cluster that starts around 52.70 we would not be surprised if market takes trade to underside of cluster (around 52.70 on FX $USOIL $WTI
– OPEC meetings are very likely to create any number of anomalies in trade. The complete report tonight will assist.
– The main resistance points of cluster are approximately on intra 52.70, 53.70, 54.80, 55.15, 59.78.
– When we short at res and trade fails we flip long and stay in it until next res is hit (in an uptrending channel). Your profit is being on right side of the trade in uptrending channels and downtrending channels. So profit is in long at bottom of channel in uptrending channel and short at resistance in downtrending channel. Contrary trades have to be with very tight stops.
– Trade is currently bullish – do not fight the trend.
– Full report out tonight.
Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:
Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).
Trade the ranges noted above.
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.
Conventional Charting Observations:
Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Conventional Oil Chart – testing 100 MA with red resistance line overhead. May 22, 256 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Per recent reports:
There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.
Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.
NOTICES:
This Report will include recent emails sent to members and recent reports because there are many new members and many won’t have had access to especially those emails for context. So it is a bulky report below.
OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/
As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.
Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.
Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar is important for members to review.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.
24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).
Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:
Today is the last report for the week and it will be a quick chart update with the complete charting model updated this weekend in advance of Monday morning.
I have left the reports for this week and recent emails embedded below also for context.
There is a live chart link below and two static charts. The upper resistance is shown for this broad quadrant (grey line) and the upper resistance of the current trading channel is shown (orange dotted). Our traders will be shorting with caution at each and long at bottom of the channel.
Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Friday May 19, 2017:
Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.
Upper resistance 50.98 (grey arrow and line) to 51.18 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 501 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upper resistance 50.98 (grey arrow and line) to 51.18 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 501 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upper channel resistance (orange dotted 50.06 intra) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 504 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upper channel resistance (orange dotted 50.06 intra) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 19, 2017 504 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Caution Email Sent to Members Between Release of Thursday Report and Today’s Report
From:
<[email protected]> (Add as Preferred Sender)
Date: Thu, May 18, 2017 1:57 am
Caution as trade nears end of intra-time cycle (triangle) EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 456 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.
Alternate chart test link (all our charting is undergoing a security lock down over the next few weeks so this is a test link): In other words, the general public (non members) won’t be able to access any of the charting at all soon.
Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Trade notes for May 18, 2017
Above is the EPIC midday review on video. For today’s report please review. It explains current trade (in context with more detail below from recent posts and emails).
Below I have pasted some recent emails to members for context for new members.
Also below I have left recent posts in for context.
Bottom line is you have main support and resistance and thick horizontal grey lines – our traders primarily trade short and long off those.
On a tighter timeframe (in between grey lines) our traders use the channels as points to short and long – they are represent as orange dotted lines.
And on even tighter timeframes our traders use the horizontal fib lines etc on the charting as support and resistance.
The algo targets in red circles are simply an added signal. Remember FRIDAY TARGETS are not predictable relative to Tuesday and Wednesday’s.
The other signal that is important are the time price clusters that are significant, however, there is not one that is significant near current trade.
The levels are discussed in recent posts for support and resistance areas.
Below is the other recent data.
Tue, May 16, 2017 7:16 pm
Evening,
A quick intra report for crude trade.
Trade returned to the previous channel as we expected it would. There is now a choice for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. The two are marked with thick dotted orange lines. Be sure you understand the channels and if not ask. They are support and resistance.
Speaking of support, not far below is your most important support (the thick grey horizontal line) and the yellow line right under it (review last 3 or 4 posts if you do not know). That is your primary support and the channel walls (orange are secondary to that). Our traders will trade off both or either.
Wed morning 10:30 report will be key to whether oil trade holds the lower support (grey line) or does not. If it does not hold the grey line and yellow line our traders will be short. If it does our traders will be long with a short term bias toward down.
Also very important, Wednesday mid day chart review time in the trading room will be dedicated to EPIC the Oil algorithm and associated trade – it will be a detailed webinar. If you cannot be in the room the trading room is recorded daily and you can get the raw footage on the YouTube channel for the day and review.
The attached static charts show the new upward trading channel if trade stays in new range (and upward). Also shown is the previous upward trending channel if trade returns to that range. New targets are shown for the new upward trading channel if channel is confirmed. Upper resistance that our traders will short at is 50.98 the grey line. Intra day our traders will trade the channel trade is in.
Any questions, as usual let me know.
Tuesday 4:30 and Wednesday 10:30 will tell us everything we need to know going forward at least near term.
Thanks
Curtis
Crude is above light resistance but still below 200 MA and under significant resistance.
Trade now has the price above FX $USOIL $WTI the significant resistance (thick grey lines) in the 47.60 area previously reported.
At time of writing trade has also broke to the upside of the uptrending channel (uptrending channel is marked with orange arrows) and is testing a horizontal Fibonacci resistance at 48.86.
Saudi Arabia and Russia agree to oil output cuts until March 2018 in overnight news.
The next significant resistance (thick grey horizontal lines) above is in the area of 51.00 and the next broad quadrant below at 44.15. All values have a +- of about .25.
The orange dotted uptrending lines in the more uppper range are early prospective upward trending channel lines should trade continue upside of current channel. They can be considered extremely soft support and resistance in upward channel trade until confirmed.
The algo targets (if trade is to upside of existing channel) will have to be reset when trade is confirmed in new channel.
OPEC continues to release news so our traders will simply trade between support and resistance lines (horizontal) until a new channel is determined.
There is a conventional chart also lower below in report of crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance.
The cluster of resistance that we previously reported on that sent oil tumbling from recent highs is also overhead should oil trade to the top of this current range at 51.00 (we are currently running the algorithm model on this cluster and it should be ready within a few hours – it in the range of 53.00 approximately. This cluster is the most significant cluster of resistance in recent time – going back at minimum ten years of trade.
Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 237 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upper resistance 51.98. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 240 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Lower support. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 245 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Fibonacci Support and Resistance lines. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 247 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Attempted break of upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 251 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
If uptrend continues – possible new channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 320 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:
Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).
Trade the ranges noted above.
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.
Crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance. $USOIL $WTI
Per recent reports:
There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.
Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.
Because trade came off so aggressively on Wednesday, we are going to set over any algorithmic modeling until Thurs night because anomolies are not friendly to charting models. So below are some items to watch for in Thursday trade on conventional charting and below that is an updated quadrant and Fib retracement chart.
This delay won’t put the release of the full model publication planned for Monday back at all – it will be released this Monday.
Trade respecting Fibs perfect. Two possible support levels with arrows. S&P 500 $SPY May 18 613 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
With algorithmic modeling and associated trading, we first “root” our trading in simple charts (as with the report yesterday) and then we move on to Fibonacci related work. Much of what we do with Fib work is conventional, but some you will find is outside convention.
Below is the first 60 minute time frame trading quadrant set in to the chart. The diagonal dotted lines will act as intra-day support and resistance when trading interacts. The red circle is the technical time and price target – but it is only a target – price will often fail the target – but more often than not trend toward it. The upper resistance decision on this chart is in the 241.33 – .50 range as with previous price extension pricing.
These “quadrants” can be used on various time frames and will be invaluable when you learn how to use them for trade on different time frames.
Also the horizontal Fib lines naturally act as support and resistance.
Our oil algo uses these quadrants primarily on the 30 minute chart.
So in the next report we will start to add in these quadrants on shorter time frames and build out the quadrant map so to speak. Then the next report after that we will work with various price extensions, algo targets, intra-day trading quadrants and time / price cycles.
If you review an EPIC the OIL chart you will see these quadrants in action.
For now, I am going to leave it here.
I have left recent report notes and charts below also for context.
First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
First 60 min time frame quadrants set in chart with diagonal support and resistance. S&P 500 $SPY May 17 532 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Per Previous Reporting (for context)
New Charting
Well, it has been a long road, but we have finally confidently locked in the algorithmic model charting for $SPY. an exciting day for us in the lab.
Trading Range Extensions (wide time-frame price targets – the main turns). In short, we have been publishing price predicts for the main price extensions on $SPY trade and for about four months now we have been hitting them. The price extension price targets are the most important. If you can catch the main turns in trade then this of course is where the money is. So that was the primary priority and it has proven out. Reviewing historical reports this is represented by the red dotted line extensions and was also in writing (the price predicts of trading extensions).
Trading Quadrants (shorter time frame trading ranges). The second priority was to lock in the natural trading range on shorter time frames, we call these quadrants and they have been represented on the charts as geometric shapes (boxes, or as some refer to them as diamonds). These also have proven out.
Trading Time Cycles / Main Resistance Areas (clusters of resistance). You would have to go back in the historical reporting some time to confirm that our algorithm has actually called these consistently, but it has. The more recent is the area $SPY is struggling to breach right now and the significant one prior to Christmas last year. The purpose of knowing where the primary time cycle resistance areas (or clusters) are, is for traders to know where and when it is bets to let off the gas to speak.
Specific Time / Price Targets. This area of work in the algorithm we are still working with (in development) and as such you will know begin to see our best guess of specific time / price targets weekly. You would have to review EPIC the Oil Algo posts or Twitter feed to understand what I am referring to (they are represented on EPIC’s feed as red circles and EPIC has been undeniably accurate). Now, IT IS CRITICAL to know that we may never be able to lock in these “cyrstal ball” specific time and price targets with $SPY like we have with EPIC. But that doesn’t make the work we are doing ineffective, actually quite the opposite.
If you have been a member for a while you will have known the basics of the process, if not, you may want to review at least the last ten or so posts (if you do not have the passwords you can request from Sartaj by email at [email protected]). It isn’t required to review the historical of course, just something that is available to you.
So what does this mean going forward?
Going forward we will be representing the work we do over the next three or four days in a build-out (a release process) of the most basic simple charting to most extensive algorithmic model charting we have now (based on the model completed) – representing the points / signals I explained above.
This is exactly the same process that EPIC the Oil Algo undertook when we were preparing / training our traders to use the model. This is the process for us to train our traders with $SPY also and so you will also be the recipients of that process over the next few days.
So in short, your report today will start with the most basic charting and over the next few days completing at latest Monday you will have the full model of charting and it will be very similar to EPIC the Oil Algorithm’s charting.
If over the next few days you have any questions (or going forward of course), please let us know by Twitter DM or email [email protected]. And also quick, with the new model building out you will of course see the monthly subscription rate rise over time (appropriate to work involved for maintenance of model charting) but existing members are grandfathered without increase if subscription does not lapse).
The next steps (after the full model is published prior to Monday) are as follows’
The rotations for $SPY newsletters will increase to multiple times per week (updating the model).
The $VIX newsletter will be updated, published, and the reporting rotations will also increase although not to the same frequency and not to the same model build-out level as Oil or SPY. It is still in early development.
New charting will be release in 2017 representing future / $ES_F and as with Oil there will be a 24 hour trading room. Do not expect this until later in 2017.
So Let’s Start the Process of the Chart Build-Out
This process will take three or four days of reporting. It will start with the most basic conventional charting for our traders to be “grounded in” and will culminate in the full model. Even when the full model is published, our reporting will still often include as part of the reporting the basic charting for our trader’s reference.
So bear with us for just a few days here…
Today we are going to publish the simple charts, next day the Fibonacci based charts and then the next two days roll-out the algorithmic model charting with signals on charts as explained above.
Live Charts
When we provide a link to a live chart and the chart viewer opens (after you click on link) you can click the share button in the bottom right corner (beside the thumbs up symbol) and then click “make it mine”.
Simple Charts
15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Watch that 100 MA for a breach thru 200 MA. Could be the pop it needs.
15 Min. Price above with 100 MA to breach 200 MA. SQZMOM red but trend up, MACD trend down but curl up, Stoch RSI down but curl up. S&P 500 $SPY May 16 706 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
The Stoch RSI on the hourly is indicating downward price pressure but the 20 MA breaching the 50 MA is bullish. The SQZMOM is bullish on the hourly as is the MACD.
Hourly. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trending up, MACD mid range turned up, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 556 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Daily. Indecision. 20 MA breached 50 MA. SQZMOM trend down green, MACD mid range pinch, Stoch RSI trend down. Price extended above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting May 16 603 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Weekly chart shows a Stoch RSI trending up, which is bullish but advantage bears is price way over extended over 200 MA and SQMOM trending down and MACD pinch. And don’t forget the resistance cluster above – it isn’t an absolute wall, but price action was challenged last time it attempted to breach it and price did come off to 20 MA.
Weekly. Indecision. Price ext well above 200 MA. SQZMOM trend down, MACD high range pinch, Stoch RSI trend up. Price ext above MA’s. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Chart May 16 605 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS.
Most Recent (Old Version) Charting and Text in Old Reports for Easy Reference of New Members (for context)
Price as we predicted has been in a rest mode since most recent upside price target predicted was hit. Price is trading at or near the mid range pivot (dark grey horizontal line).
S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Mon May 1 439 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS
Notes with respect to $SPY Price Extensions and Targets
Recent Trade – $SPY price action has been hitting our upside price extension targets for months now. The chart above includes the price extension targets for upward and downward trade.
Trading just the price extension targets we have provided on the upside and downside has proven a very profitable signal.
Also of importance, in addition to trading the price extensions, our traders have found the Fib resistance and support on the chart and the algorithmic quadrants excellent signals intra-day for support and resistance.
Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.
Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants have become predictable – we are leaving them as they are.
Symmetry Extension Targets – The extension price targets we have published the last number of months now have hit the price targets to upside and downside near perfect so they are becoming very predictable! Trade the outside ranges for optimum return and predictability.
Most probable downside price target if trade is in a downtrend is in 233.33 area before a decision.
Most probable upside price target if trade is in an uptrend is in 241.50 area before a decision.
Time / Price Cycles – There are currently no significant cycles in the charting.
Trading Bias – Although the warning below is still in place, our traders do have considerable high expectations that previous highs will be tested and / or taken out soon. Unless of course a geo political situation arises to derail the market.
Warning per recent reports;
This is a considerable warning because price has not traded above previous high since we alerted members to this divergence in the algorithm: Current bias is to the upside target, however, there is a divergence in the upward trade extension makes the target a double topped target, which is divergent from recent trade, which does cause us to pause.
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.
NOTICES:
This Report will include recent emails sent to members and recent reports because there are many new members and many wo’t have had access to especially those emails for context. So it is a bulky report below.
OFFICIAL LAUNCH JULY 1: Limited beta subscriptions capped at fifty members. 24-Hr Oil Trading Room $USOIL $WTI #Oil (EPIC THE OIL ALGORITHM). Member beta discount until subscriptions sold out only. If room is ready prior to July 1 (and it likely will – it will open early). Unfortunately no holds – first come, first serve. To register click here: https://compoundtrading.com/product/fx-usoil-epic-oil-algorithm/
As a result of the new room opening soon, you can expect significant changes to my charting over the coming near weeks.
Also, we are currently testing charting security so if a chart does not come up for you please let us know.
Wednesday May 17, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algorithm Webinar
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.
24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures in 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in our new 24 hour oil trading room).
Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:
Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday May 18, 2017:
Click on share button at bottom right of chart near thumbs up button and then click on make it mine.
Alternate chart test link (all our charting is undergoing a security lock down over the next few weeks so this is a test link): In other words, the general public (non members) won’t be able to access any of the charting at all soon.
Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Current area of trade. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 18, 2017 422 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Trade notes for May 18, 2017
Above is the EPIC midday review on video. For today’s report please review. It explains current trade (in context with more detail below from recent posts and emails).
Below I have pasted some recent emails to members for context for new members.
Also below I have left recent posts in for context.
Bottom line is you have main support and resistance and thick horizontal grey lines – our traders primarily trade short and long off those.
On a tighter timeframe (in between grey lines) our traders use the channels as points to short and long – they are represent as orange dotted lines.
And on even tighter timeframes our traders use the horizontal fib lines etc on the charting as support and resistance.
The algo targets in red circles are simply an added signal. Remember FRIDAY TARGETS are not predictable relative to Tuesday and Wednesday’s.
The other signal that is important are the time price clusters that are significant, however, there is not one that is significant near current trade.
The levels are discussed in recent posts for support and resistance areas.
Below is the other recent data.
Tue, May 16, 2017 7:16 pm
Evening,
A quick intra report for crude trade.
Trade returned to the previous channel as we expected it would. There is now a choice for an upward trending channel and a downward trending channel. The two are marked with thick dotted orange lines. Be sure you understand the channels and if not ask. They are support and resistance.
Speaking of support, not far below is your most important support (the thick grey horizontal line) and the yellow line right under it (review last 3 or 4 posts if you do not know). That is your primary support and the channel walls (orange are secondary to that). Our traders will trade off both or either.
Wed morning 10:30 report will be key to whether oil trade holds the lower support (grey line) or does not. If it does not hold the grey line and yellow line our traders will be short. If it does our traders will be long with a short term bias toward down.
Also very important, Wednesday mid day chart review time in the trading room will be dedicated to EPIC the Oil algorithm and associated trade – it will be a detailed webinar. If you cannot be in the room the trading room is recorded daily and you can get the raw footage on the YouTube channel for the day and review.
The attached static charts show the new upward trading channel if trade stays in new range (and upward). Also shown is the previous upward trending channel if trade returns to that range. New targets are shown for the new upward trading channel if channel is confirmed. Upper resistance that our traders will short at is 50.98 the grey line. Intra day our traders will trade the channel trade is in.
Any questions, as usual let me know.
Tuesday 4:30 and Wednesday 10:30 will tell us everything we need to know going forward at least near term.
Thanks
Curtis
Crude is above light resistance but still below 200 MA and under significant resistance.
Trade now has the price above FX $USOIL $WTI the significant resistance (thick grey lines) in the 47.60 area previously reported.
At time of writing trade has also broke to the upside of the uptrending channel (uptrending channel is marked with orange arrows) and is testing a horizontal Fibonacci resistance at 48.86.
Saudi Arabia and Russia agree to oil output cuts until March 2018 in overnight news.
The next significant resistance (thick grey horizontal lines) above is in the area of 51.00 and the next broad quadrant below at 44.15. All values have a +- of about .25.
The orange dotted uptrending lines in the more uppper range are early prospective upward trending channel lines should trade continue upside of current channel. They can be considered extremely soft support and resistance in upward channel trade until confirmed.
The algo targets (if trade is to upside of existing channel) will have to be reset when trade is confirmed in new channel.
OPEC continues to release news so our traders will simply trade between support and resistance lines (horizontal) until a new channel is determined.
There is a conventional chart also lower below in report of crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance.
The cluster of resistance that we previously reported on that sent oil tumbling from recent highs is also overhead should oil trade to the top of this current range at 51.00 (we are currently running the algorithm model on this cluster and it should be ready within a few hours – it in the range of 53.00 approximately. This cluster is the most significant cluster of resistance in recent time – going back at minimum ten years of trade.
Current trading range. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 237 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Upper resistance 51.98. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 240 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Lower support. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 245 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Fibonacci Support and Resistance lines. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 247 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Attempted break of upward trending channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 251 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
If uptrend continues – possible new channel. EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart May 15, 2017 320 AM FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:
Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).
Trade the ranges noted above.
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.
Crude oil testing 200 MA and up over simple trendline resistance. $USOIL $WTI
Per recent reports:
There are a cluster of resistance points in oil overhead and the charts below show this best:
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Daily chart view magnified. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
If this occurs, the white arrow shows top of downtrending channel forming and lower white arrow show possible support to channel (but not as strong as the others because it is from current time cycle unlike the others) and if price loses lower white arrow the channel downward could continue. Pink arrow shows the end of the pinch should price trade between the two white arrows to end of wedge.
Possible downtrending channel due to trendlines from extending from previous time cycles. Crude algo intra work sheet 226 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Careful with that 50 MA crosses the 100 MA – you want those opposite to be bullish. Careful price stays above them also. Price above 200 MA. Stoch RSI at top so it would make sense for it to come off soon.
Careful 50 MA pinch on 100 MA. SQZMOM up as is MACD but Stock RSI at top. Crude algo intra work sheet 233 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and all of them are not detailed on this charting. The charting above represents the 30 minute trading quadrants. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.
