08
Dec 2016

Post Market Wed Dec 7 $UCO, $JUNO, $CBMX, $INPH, $EEM, $GOLD, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SILVER, $SPY and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algo Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Dec 7 $JUNO, $CBMX, $UCO, $INPH, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $SPY, $WTIC, $NATGAS, $VIX, $SILVER, and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algos, Trades and Alerts:

I look to oil related trades as my bread and butter. Now that our other algos are starting to perform like EPIC I’ll be trading with the other five over the coming next few weeks. I mention that because oil of course has lost $UWTI and $DWTI and they were wayyyy better for my style than $UCO (as it relates to oil related).

The market as a whole continues on our pre-election call (that came from FREEDOM the $SPY Algo) of all time highs and a face ripping rally.

Gold and Silver are still in the price target called by our algos months ago (ROSIE the Gold Algo and SuperNova Silver Algo).

Waiting for confirmation for long trades – there’s a warning of a possible downdraft from ROSIE before a rally to bottom of quadrant so I’m waiting patiently).

Volatility $VIX came per our Vexatious $VIX Algo alert yesterday – shoulda lol. Nailing it all the time like the other algos.

$VIX

Vexatious $VIX Algo Alert for increased volatility yesterday

$USD/JPY our algo $DXY_USDindex has been all over hitting the move perfect for months – so here also waiting for the inflection point.

Other than my quick oil trade and the algos nailing it – I was pretty quiet. The market is on fire no doubt.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

There were pockets on fire in the market and $SPY per above and $VIX moved per algo call so I missed those. Crude I played a tight play – should really only play the margins of the trading width as they relate also to the algo targets.

Looking Forward:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Still on my watch are emerging markets $EEM and others mentioned in previous. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS hit resistance and it showed so watching $DGAZ and $UGAZ on the break-out side. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since mid November break-out.

$NATGAS – we’re working on an algo for natural gas but it’s still not there – but it is starting to hit calls – just not 80 – 93% like the others.

$NATGAS, $UGAZ, $DGAZ

$NATGAS Down draft came. $UGAZ $DGAZ

$EEM

$EEM I should trade my own alerts more 🙂 Nice move. Could be in to some turbulence here.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:41 am Curtis M : Gainers $IMNP, $ANTH $PLAY, $PPHM $UGAZ, $NVCN $VKTX $ENPH $WDC $ECR $BOIL $JNUG $RIO $NUGT $VALE $PLX

09:06 am Curtis M : Rooms are split today in groups – seeing same thing. If you get moved don\’t sweat it. Gainers $IMNP, $ANTH $PLAY, $PPHM $UGAZ, $NVCN $VKTX $ENPH $WDC $ECR $BOIL $JNUG $RIO $NUGT $VALE $PLX

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

All the chatter removed.

09:17 am Curtis M : S&P -0.05%.10-yr +0.12%.Euro +0.16% vs. dollar.Crude -1.04% to $50.41.Gold +0.74% to $1,178.95
09:19 am Curtis M : Decliners $SIGM $VRA $LADR $PES $LABU $ESV $DGAZ $JDST $DUST $BBG $BLUE $GFI $VKTX
09:20 am Curtis M : Momo: $PLAY $ECR $WDC $EMKR $WEN $CONN $MU $FRSH $ZNGA $STX
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Scaling out of some of the MGM calls opened yesterday on morning strength. Also looking at closing/rolling a portion of the CLF calls
09:42 am Wendel T : Pharma incredible all over.
10:17 am Curtis M : 52wk Highs: $KEM $ORN $TITN $TMUSP $TX
10:21 am Curtis M : Here we go…. very soon
10:33 am Curtis M : #EIA #OOTTCrude: -2.389MCushing: 3.783MGasoline: 3.425MDistillates: 2.501MImports: 0.730M
11:10 am Curtis M : Long $UCO
11:11 am Curtis M : 10.667 avg 2000 shares
11:24 am Curtis M : Great trade so far
11:27 am Curtis M : Running scans before lunch break
12:02 pm paul m : $RNVA Active
12:03 pm Herman T : $VIX looking cheap
01:28 pm Curtis M : Lunch longer than expected
01:36 pm Marie M : $ATW
02:09 pm Curtis M : Getting booked for a number of program appearances. Interesting.
02:11 pm Curtis M : Out of $UCO for small gain
02:14 pm Curtis M : Leader board $ANTH $IPI $EMKR $PLAY $CVI $PI $PMHD
02:17 pm Curtis M : Gold getting hammered again
03:34 pm Curtis M : $TWTR short covering
03:37 pm Shafique R : $TWTR squeezing for sure
04:00 pm Curtis M : Well that was a crazy day – tyl
04:00 pm Wendel T : cya curt
04:00 pm Carol B : bye guys
04:00 pm Jack D : peace

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UCO, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $NATGAS, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $VIX, $IMNP, $ANTH

07
Dec 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Wednesday Dec 7. $NVCN $DRYS $NVAX $VKTX $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTIC $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX … more.

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Dec 7, 2016 in Chatroom. $ECR, $NVCN, $NVAX, $VKTX, $DRYS, $SHIP, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL, $WTI, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $VIX, $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Wednesday Wall Street trading short day session!

Market Outlook:

Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS is playing wth important resistance. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY has continued its upward trend as we posted predicts on since before election. Watching markets for a pull back (as noted previous) sometime near or just after Christmas (it seems we have a Santa Claus rally). And that brings me to momo stocks and rotation therein, looks like a fun two weeks setting up here.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ECR, $ANTH, $IMNP, $PLAY, $NVCN, $UGAZ, $VKTX, $ENPH, $SQ, $WDC, $NCAX, $TXMD, $RIO, $VALE, $FCN, $MU, $PLX I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $XGTI $NVAX (momo potential), $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

From last night’s post market:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Still on my watch are; emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:$AV $RIO $BMO $EC $AZO $AVY $GPK $JNPR $MMM $PTEN $OIS $DFS $EVHC $MPC $CVRR $BWS $UNH $CAL $VALE I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:$MGP $BHP $IEX $STFC $SIGM $OXM $HELE $MIK $K $VA $MPSX $LPX $BMS $ATR $NTAP $JBL $SYF $HUM $GLT $ALOG $AMCX I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: As pre previous…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

$SPY The Christmas Fibonacci Express. Keep Christmas Merry and don’t stand on the tracks

$SPY, Stock, Chart

$SPY The Christmas Fibonacci Express.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Was looking for an entry a full levels down 12.2 long 🙂 Watching very close now.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

$VIX Early Christmas present perhaps?

$VIX Trading Chart

$VIX Early Christmas present perhaps?

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

US Dollar may come off in to downtrend soon – seeing some areas of global markets that are becoming interesting here. Watch emerging markets close too!

Pre previous: Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting.

$DXY Here it is at the price target our algorithm posted last July. 100.50. Interesting.

$DXY, US Dollar Index, Chart

$DXY Here it is at the price target our algorithm posted last July. 100.50. Interesting.

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

$USD/JPY Caution Gold bulls. Not broken yet. Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

$USDJPY, Chart

$USD/JPY Caution Gold bulls. Not broken yet. Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

 

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Waiting for a long trade confirmation in Gold.

Price has hit the price target predict @RosietheAlgo published from last July and now waiting for bottom of algo quad confirmation to take a long position Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG).

GOLD, Stock, Chart

Hit price target predict @RosietheAlgo fr July waiting for algo quad confirm long. $Gold $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD $GDX $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

Per previous;

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

$AUMN, Stock, Chart

$AUMN Bulls may be running ahead of the real move – we’ll see.

Silver $SL_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock).

$Silver Hit our algorithm PT from July and bounced. $SL_F $SLV $USLV, $DSLV @SuperNovaAlgo

$SILVER, $SL_F, $SLV, Stock, Chart

$Silver Hit our algorithm PT from July and bounced. $SL_F $SLV $USLV, $DSLV @SuperNovaAlgo

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Crude is trading within its range. Until it breaks its recent highs it isn’t bullish and until it breaks its recent lows – same thing. So I will trade the range if at all.

Outlook: Per previous – trading range.

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F : $NATGAS (, $UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Resistance? $NG_F In Sept 09 it ran from this price base for seven weeks tho – 4 weeks now here. $UGAZ $DGAZ

$NG_F, Natural Gas, Chart

$NG_F

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

06
Dec 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Tuesday Dec 6. $TXMD $NVCN $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX … more.

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Dec 6, 2016 in Chatroom. $TXMD, $NVCN, $EEM $LPCN $DVAX $DNAI $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Tueday Wall Street trading short day session!

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TXMD $NVCN $UGAZ $DEPO $REXX $DRYS $BOIL $ENPH $SAGE $ESEA $P $UNG $HSBC $RBS $EYEG $DB I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

From last night’s trading results:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Bios coiled hard this morning. Emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT and others are setting up. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS is getting close to resistance. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY will do.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: As pre previous…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Looking for an entry a full levels down 12.2 long.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

US Dollar may come off in to downtrend soon – seeing some areas of global markets that are becoming interesting here. Watch emerging markets close too!

Pre previous: Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Waiting for a long trade confirmation. I am currently in $JDST which wasn’t the best idea considering the are buying the dips in Gold and selling the rips (per post market blog post yesterday).

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Per previous;

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Crude is trading within its range. Until it breaks its recent highs it isn’t bullish and until it breaks its recent lows – same thing. So I will trade the range if at all.

Outlook: Per previous – trading range.

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

I put out a tweet yesterday and mentioned in room it was getting in to resistance and it has come off a bit here – it will be interesting to see if it gets up and over.

$NATGAS Resistance

$NATGAS Resistance

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $TXMD, $NVCN, $EEM ,$LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

06
Dec 2016

Post Market Mon Dec 5 $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Monday Dec 5. $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Monday morning I sold off my $SGY swing position from last Thursday average 7.09 cost basis at 8.295 for a tidy profit (it was a larger swing entry). I also scalped $AGIO wash-out that I expected a snap back in. I took a late day $JDST long entry (which is tough because they’re buying the dips in $GOLD now but I see $USD/JPY not quite done – we’ll see – likely overtrading) and I am still holding $JUNO and $CBMX.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

$SGY I sold a tad early in the morning run-rup… but a profit is just that. My original entries did not give me a 4 to 1 minimum risk reward. They are starting to buy the $GOLD dips instead of selling the rips so my $JDST risk-reward potential IS NOT 4 to 1 which breaks a primary trading rule for sure.

Looking Forward:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Bios coiled hard this morning. Emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT and others are setting up. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS is getting close to resistance. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY will do.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:24 am Curtis M : Risk Disclaimer https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/

09:21 am Curtis M : Gainers: HTBX +10%25. SGY +10%25. FGP +10%25. INO +9%25. ORIG +8%25. GMED +6%25. FCAU +5%25. BAK +5%25. SDRL +5%25.

Losers: CERC -39%25. GPL -9%25. HMY -6%25.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:04 am Curtis M : Gainers Watch-List: $CGIX $FRP $BLCM $UGAZ $HTBX $TRIL $LBIO $FGP $CHMA $VNR $BOIL $NAK $KEM $CEMP $BAK
09:07 am GSCT . : Nice move SGY this a.m.
09:11 am Sami T : $SGY should come along today – we’ll see how oil does
09:12 am Curtis M : $SGY high risk but I’m in t to win it:)
09:35 am Curtis M : Out $SGY swing 8.295
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Exiting some of the CLD Dec9 10c’s opened last week. .7 from .26
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : *CLF
09:44 am Curtis M : Decent wash out $AGIO
09:46 am Curtis M : Long $AGIO 49.09 500 swing
09:47 am Curtis M : Out 49.46 looking for reentry
10:05 am AW H : Leaderboard $SGY $FRP $FGP $LGCY $OPTT $HTBX $WTI $EYEG $EMES
10:05 am Curtis M : Appreciate that Andrew
10:14 am Curtis M : I doubt anyone listened to @ROSIEtheAlgo warnings about Gold – I’m assuming of course
10:17 am Curtis M : $NDRM 29% move seems a little aggressive
10:18 am Curtis M : wow
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Following a sweep back into some BAC calls. Dec16 22.5’s. Fins took a breather late last week, expecting more movement and the price is cheap enough
10:20 am Curtis M : Bios are getting really fired up – a lot of coiling on the board
10:26 am Curtis M : Looking for 115.80 – 116.00 ish USD/JPY to start scaling in to miner’s long
10:27 am Curtis M : May get a pull back at 144.78 but waiting
10:37 am Curtis M : NATGAS should pull back soon
10:50 am Curtis M : $EEM setting up bullish
11:14 am Curtis M : On lunch until 12:15 EST
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : In some Jan HOV 2.5’s. Clear breakout mode but this think needs to juice quickly for a decent chance at a gain.
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : In @.10
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : In a few JNUG calls as well. Sweepers have been active there. Low risk lotto style weeklies. Won’t play this heavy until we actually get the trend reversal underway and the USD/JPY plays nice
12:37 pm Curtis M : back
12:37 pm Curtis M : lunch a little longer than expected
12:49 pm Curtis M : $EGO revving up
12:54 pm Curtis M : $NVCN $VNR $BCEI $TDW $SGY $UGAZ $AMMJ $LGCY $FGP $FRP $OPTT $HOS $CBEO $WTI $ORIG $KITE
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Miners on the move. Dollar coming off, USD/JPY finally chilling
01:03 pm Curtis M : Looking at $JDST long
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like it. Those JNUG calls already working for me
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : May pick up some long term GDX calls as well if move confirms over next day or two
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Biggest surprise to me here is the lack of action in OIL given the dollar fall
01:16 pm GSCT . : Why JDST and not DUST?
01:18 pm Curtis M : Oversold relative
01:45 pm Curtis M : Scaling in 2000 $JDST long
02:11 pm Curtis M : Scaling in another 2000 $JDST
02:53 pm Sami T : $LAZ jumpy
02:55 pm Sami T : $EEM risk off
02:57 pm Ralph H : $DVAX Setting up gap fill soon
02:59 pm Curtis M : $DVAX looks great
03:18 pm Curtis M : $NVCN surprising
03:23 pm Jack T : $NVCN peeps buying high of day
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Signing off early today, meetings later. Have a good night all. See ya in the AM
03:32 pm Curtis M : Bye Mathew
03:32 pm AW H : ttyl Mat
03:33 pm Curtis M : Im at my avg buy lol $JDST 33.45
03:56 pm Curtis M : Well I’m calling it a night – thanks for coming out folks! TTYL

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC 

 

05
Dec 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Monday Dec 5. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX … more.

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Dec 5, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Monday Wall Street trading short day session! This is a complimentary premarket newsletter along with our first Monday of the month free trading room access!

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CGIX $FRP $BLCM $UGAZ $HTBX $TRIL $LBIO $FGP $CHMA $VNR $BOIL $NAK $KEM $CEMP $BAK I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $SGY (current swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Looking for an entry a full levels down 12.2 long.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Waiting for a long trade confirmation.

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Per previous;

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Refer to EPIC’s Twitter feed.

Outlook: Per previous

We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Pre previous;

As I said, was waiting for 3.10 with back test. I was also waiting for it to get up over 200 on 1 week and back test. Looks like it could be a break-out!

$NATGAS

$NATGAS

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $SGY, $SKLN, $ANF, $JUNO, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

 

05
Dec 2016

Post Market Fri Dec 2 $JUNO $CBMX $SGY $EVHC $VTNR $ASNA and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Friday Dec 2, 2016. $JUNO, $CBMX $SGY, $EVHC, $VTNR, $ASNA, $USOIL, $WTI and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was very quiet for me. The Italy referendum was on deck, $USOIL $WTI Oil was at it’s Fib and algo resistance and $GOLD $SILVER were in holding patterns (getting jiggy), $GDX miner’s were starting to get jumpy and the morning momo’s were not set-up extremely well (although some morning momo traders I know did get some scalps – most of those specific traders seen red momo morning).

I am still holding $CBMX, $JUNO and $SGY.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

No lessons Friday from my trades as I was waiting for trend confirmations (inflection point in markets). I did have one trader DM me and challenge me on my sitting on hands with $SILVER and $GOLD etc…. I simply responded that when it’s time to hammer down I will stay in the trend and add at pull-backs and that time is easily made up for.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:50 am Curtis M : Gainers and Losers http://thestockmarketwatch.com/markets/pre-market/today.aspx

10:51 am Curtis M : Taking an early lunch back at 11:30 EST for what I think will be a fun afternoon $VIX $NUGT

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:23 am Curtis M : Gainers: $NVCN $NVFY $FIVE $HTBX $SGY $BAK $VNR $SEMI $BNSO $ULTA $MTU $BCEI $GOGL $JCP $ARWR $DGAZ $TLK $BIG $IM $RICE
09:42 am mathew w : Early day for me so not many moves. Just hit CRM dec9 70’s for a bounce back after last night’s flush
09:52 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $EPM $SLM $VASC $WBS
10:04 am Curtis M : Watching $VIX $NUGT $$USD/JPY
10:12 am GS CT : What could? Gold?
10:12 am GS CT : Thanks.
10:18 am GS CT : What is your preferred Gold ticker to play? NUGT GDX ??
10:20 am mathew w : JUNO moving for you guys who took the trade and got underwater
10:20 am mathew w : I’m out for the weeked. Have a good trading day and weekend all
10:20 am GS CT : Me too. it can have erratic price moves though.
10:21 am susan woo : Curtis, you interested in buying AUMN? I’m in already
10:21 am susan woo : Steady Eddy, wish it would go
10:23 am susan woo : NAK another good one
10:32 am susan woo : The gold reversion time is around early January? I missed what you were saying ealrlier
10:38 am susan woo : thanks
10:44 am GS CT : Before it goes higher or lower?
10:44 am GS CT : SPY
10:51 am Curtis M : Taking an early lunch back at 11:30 EST for what I think will be a fun afternoon $VIX $NUGT
10:54 am Curtis M : If oil blows thru 51.77 it could really run FYI
10:56 am Curtis M : OIl has lots of room above 51.77
11:52 am Curtis M : Just runniing scans until it picks up
01:52 pm Curtis M : Next stop for Oill 51.77 and lots of room above
02:05 pm Curtis M : Leaders $EVHC 211% $VTNR 22.86% $ASNA 21.01%
02:47 pm GSCT . : Think oil will backtest here. Has tht look.
02:48 pm GSCT . : That was actually a question.
03:04 pm Curtis M : $SGY pinch 20 and 100 on the 3
03:05 pm Curtis M : oil = bull
03:56 pm Curtis M : A little $VIX insurance not a bad thing here #Italy if you’re holding large over weekend FYI
03:56 pm Curtis M : OIL bulls not letting go
04:00 pm Curtis M : Well… lackluster day but excellent set up for Monday IMO
04:00 pm Curtis M : over and out have a great weekend!

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $SILVER, $GDX

02
Dec 2016

Post Market Thurs Dec 1 $SGY, $JUNO, $USOIL, $UCO, $APPY, $TLYS and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Thursday Dec 1, 2016.  $JUNO, $SGY, $USOIL, $UCO, $APPY, $TLYS and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Today was for me was $UCO long earlier in day that went well and $SGY entry that is a bag. I looked up my bad holding from last 12 months and I got out of 13 of 15 so hopefully this is the case with $SGY. I now have $JUNO, $CBMX and $SGY (3 current bags).

 

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

The $UCO trade was executed well – just wish it was larger. The $SGY trade was executed poorly – I went in to FOMO mode right at high of day because the tape was squeezing and oil was close to another break-out and to add to it I didn’t cut fast. But I did hold because I have traded it before – it does spike and I think oil early next year has a high probability of 60+. I have other reasons for holding too – but I should have cut. My $JUNO trade is a bottom trade that I’m comfortable with holding. All in all a fairly undisciplined day – not my style normally.

 

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:57 am Curtis Melonopoly : Not much new / updated here but here it is https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-thursday-dec-1-gold-silver-usoil-wti-usdjpy-spy-vix/

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Shippers, Energy, $BLUE $CLRB $BSTG $CBK $CLC $DRYS $GLBS, $DCIX
08:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : $BLUE $COTV $LEI $DRYS $SDRL $SKX $UGAZ $UWTI $QIWI $WLL $CS $CHK $OAS $JDST $UCO
08:56 am Curtis Melonopoly : https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-thursday-dec-1-gold-silver-usoil-wti-usdjpy-spy-vix/
09:10 am Curtis M : http://thestockmarketwatch.com/markets/pre-market/today.aspx
09:18 am Curtis M : downgrades $QUAD $TRGP $USB $ZION $RF $WFC $CERN $CMI $AJG $Q $WEN $MCD
09:19 am Curtis M : upgrades $WLL $SM $LNN $EOG $APC $NGG $SMTC $INST $SKX $DRI $DE $TRV
09:19 am Curtis M : Wll review algos after open settles down.
09:25 am Curtis M : $TWTR Disney chatter
09:35 am Curtis M : Lng $JUNO 2000 20.13
09:46 am GSCT . : SKLN pop
09:50 am Sandra T : $GEVO good action
09:59 am Sam E : $DRYS should go
10:00 am Curtis M : Watching $NATGAS for reversal $USOIL for break out $GOLD for bottom of quad $SILVER to confirm reversal $SDRL for squeeze $TWTR rumor Disney
10:03 am mathew w : Just entered Sdrl above previous resistance. Watching below the 2.9 level
10:04 am Curtis M : .
10:05 am Curtis M : Long $UCO 3000 10.905
10:06 am Curtis M : Going to have to reset charts already opera slow
10:06 am GSCT . : Why not Chrome?
10:08 am Curtis M : opera better for averting hacks – we’re getting hacked
10:08 am Curtis M : been constant last 3 weeks
10:09 am GSCT . : Wow. Jeez.
10:10 am Curtis M : I thouhgt it was Panama but nope
10:11 am Curtis M : Sartaj thinks its because of the financial footprint – stocks
10:13 am mathew w : Upper target 51.25 on /cl
10:13 am mathew w : I have both futures and UCO targeting that level
10:14 am mathew w : Also back in some CLF Dec9 9.5 calls
10:15 am mathew w : Reload for me after selling last wek
10:25 am Curtis M : So as I go thru algo charts today go ahead and post questions and I’ll try and get to them thru day
10:35 am mathew w : OIL!
10:38 am mathew w : Just trimmed some of my position for a quick drop to reenter
10:48 am Curtis M : Order for 6000 shares $UCO long 51.20 and abover 1000 at each penny
10:57 am mathew w : Im out. Hit my .25 level
11:14 am Curtis M : $WLL 29% $NOG 20% $ATW 19% $RIG 16%

11:20 am Curtis M : Scaled out 11.20 ish for decent win on 9000 shares
11:24 am Curtis M : Fib 51.77 full extension and 52.05 ish full measure moved lots of air above 51.77 tho $FX $USOIL $WTI
11:36 am Curtis M : Watching $GOLD for $NUGT play
11:36 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ve had a JNUG and USD/JPY split screen on one of my screens all week. JPY is just relentless
11:36 am Curtis M : ya
11:53 am GSCT . : /CL may retest HOD
11:59 am dan o : Pit close may get right out of control today
11:59 am Curtis M : lol
12:01 pm GSCT . : /CL HOD
12:02 pm GSCT . : What was the Fib level you expected here?
12:02 pm GSCT . : 51.77
12:02 pm GSCT . : ?
12:03 pm GSCT . : Here we are.
12:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m back long against the 10 day on the 1′
12:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : frontrunning a bit
12:06 pm GSCT . : /NG 3.5
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just heard 3.87 from a guy I follow who is right way more than wrong
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Said it was a long term hit though
12:12 pm GSCT . : Think a backtest is imminent /CL today?
12:14 pm GSCT . : Usually there is after this kind of up move.
12:15 pm GSCT . : This may be it now.
12:15 pm GSCT . : For 1 or 2 %
12:18 pm GSCT . : That won’t end well
12:43 pm Curtis M : Long $SGY 7000 8.03 avg
12:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolling and selling RIG calls opened yesterday
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sold half, rolled hald to DEC30 14.5s. I’m in the green so free trade from ehre for further squeeze
01:11 pm Curtis M : If $SGY comes off I’ll hit t again at 7.00
01:12 pm Curtis M : I’m in long swing if needed through to spring with 12 – 14 target on $SGY
01:12 pm Curtis M : Running scans
01:13 pm Curtis M : If Ol comes off today I’d peg it at 51.09 ish for a bounce
01:14 pm Curtis M : Going for coffee back in 20 mins
02:07 pm Curtis M : Running scans
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : BTO TLT Jan17 124/126 call spread. Will trade against this if need be
02:23 pm Curtis M : Long $SGY scaling in 7000 we’ll see
02:24 pm Curtis M : If price doesn’t go north I’ll cut on these entries but hold and swing oriiginal entries
02:25 pm Curtis M : In 1 of 7 now
02:25 pm Curtis M : 3 of 7
02:29 pm Curtis M : 7 of 7
02:41 pm Curtis M : $SKLN looking good today
02:41 pm Curtis M : out 7k
02:48 pm Curtis M : $SKLN popped
02:54 pm Curtis M : scaling back in $SGY – yes I’ll do this until grip
02:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like your call long term. Short term support seems to be around 4.9
02:56 pm Curtis M : I hate pain trades lol but when i get aggresive I seem to end up in them
02:56 pm Curtis M : I just checked last year 15 bags out of 13 positive
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tis the season I suppose. It would owrry me if it makes another run into that overhead gap and fails and filling it again
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice!
02:57 pm Curtis M : Long holds tho
02:57 pm Curtis M : Months
02:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s the thing with the low floats. As long as you get the entry right, you’ll get a spike sooner or later
02:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just depends on how long and how much pain you sit through on the way
02:58 pm Sam E : I like $SGY play
03:00 pm Curtis M : Scaling out 7 k
03:00 pm Curtis M : oops nope
03:00 pm Curtis M : sorry
03:00 pm Curtis M : lol
03:00 pm Curtis M : Sending my wife off here set stop on 7 of 14 back at 330 at latest
03:21 pm Curtis M : stop got hit for the record 6 cent loss
03:22 pm Curtis M : still in 7k
03:22 pm Curtis M : sorry 3 cent loss
03:25 pm Curtis M : back in 6.29 avg
03:25 pm Curtis M : tight stop
03:32 pm GSCT . : But you added more to you rposition then sold? Not sure I understand what you did SGY.
03:33 pm Curtis M : out tiny loss im holding 7k
03:33 pm Curtis M : sorry confusing myself
03:33 pm Curtis M : holding 14 k 7 k with tight stop
03:34 pm Curtis M : nope sorry stop got hit only holding 7 lol geesh
03:35 pm Curtis M : im getting on a conference – u guys have a great night – if i get a re-entry ill post it
03:35 pm Ronny D : night
03:43 pm Curtis M : back in for another try scaling here
03:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Followed a sweeper through on some dec 2 MGM calls. Japan ruling should give this a boost. lotto 29
03:48 pm Curtis M : having a hard time getting fill here
03:50 pm Curtis M : I am going to just watch after hours for a good fill dont want to leave it for morning
03:50 pm Curtis M : oh there got it lol
03:50 pm Curtis M : in for 7k total 14 k hold overnight 2nd fill avg looks like 6.265
03:51 pm Curtis M : no stops im in
03:51 pm Curtis M : have a good night all!
03:57 pm GSCT . : IS that your overall position average?
03:57 pm GSCT . : Or your second lot of 7k?

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SGY, $JUNO, $USOIL, $UCO, $APPY, $TLYS

01
Dec 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Thursday Dec 1. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX … more.

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 1, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Thursday Wall Street trading short day session! There isn’t much new here – we’ve been unusually busy with algos! When free time allows today we will be reviewing algos in the room etc.

Algo work – EPIC is going to Patent this Monday – expect significant price increases this weekend. We will grandfather existing subs – yes. EPIC also is going to have 24 hour room of his own and futures trading starting sometime Jan. GOLD and SILVER algo price increases this weekend also. DXY SPY VIX beta algos published over coming days not weeks.

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Shippers, Energy, $BLUE $CLRB $BSTG $CBK $CLC $DRYS $GLBS, $DCIX $COTV $LEI $SDRL $SKX $UGAZ $UWTI $QIWI $WLL $CS $CHK $OAS $JDST $UCO I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $ARDM I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $JUNO (previous wash-out on news) $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – I warned Friday of a pull-back and it could be here and Monday morning and it came. I’m looking for a long entry soon. I’m thinking we don’t see it cool again until near Christmas – we’ll see.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: As warned Friday volatility was getting cheap and a pop was imminent and we got it. I expect volatility to get crushed between now and Christmas. Again, we’ll see.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Inflection point. No clear direction. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Per previous;

$UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Review Rosie the Gold Algo posts. We’re waiting for a market direction and then algo will calculate targets.

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Per previous;

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

 

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

 

Refer to EPIC’s Twitter feed.

Outlook: Per previous

We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Pre previous;

As I said, was waiting for 3.10 with back test.

BUT there is the 200 day on the 1 week chart – omminous! It could be resistance.

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $SKLN, $ANF, $JUNO, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

 

29
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Tuesday Nov 29. $CYTR, $CBMX, $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX … more.

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Nov 29, 2016 in Chatroom. $SKLN, $JUNO, $ANF, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Tuesday Wall Street trading short day session!

Algo work – As of right now our algorithms are calculating and we have posted updates for EPIC the Oil Algo, Rosie the Gold Algo and SuperNova Silver on this blog this morning.

We are working on $SPY, $VIX, $DXY algo blog posts now and will be ready for release this week.

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

I posted a video series this weekend on wash-out snap-backs.

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CYTR $CBMX $OCUL $MIME $DWTI $HTBX $P $JDST $TIF $DUST $SCO $ZTO $PZRX $FBR $DGAZ $AMD $BCS $DB I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $JUNO (previous wash-out on news) $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – I warned Friday of a pull-back and it could be here and Monday morning and it came.

$SPY

$SPY Intra Day Trading – White arrow was alert on blog of imminent pull back.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: As warned Friday volatility was getting cheap and a pop was imminent and we got it.

$VIX

$VIX White arrow was blog post warning of imminent elevation in price.

I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed. Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Outlook: From yesterday blog

“As I warned last week “Be careful here now because the $USD/JPY chart (although not broken and still bullish) is showing a rounded top forming. So the chart is changing now – caution IMO. It did also hit a Fib extension and bounced off a Fib support and is sitting between two Fib points”.

Watch it close – I expected a pull-back but expect it to run again.”

It’s running again.

$USD/JPY

$USDJPY Blog at first arrow warned of pull-back and at second arrow that it could take off again.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: $UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Emerging markets should be watched close now very closely IMO ($EEM, $EEV, $EDZ)

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

There is a full blog post this morning Nov 29 so I’ll ask you to refer to it – read it closely. Take a look at Rosie the Gold Algo Twitter feed and Gold blog post update from this morning (and if you haven’t seen the recent ones it’s best to review them too if you’re trading Gold).

My Trading Plan for Gold: I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold, there is a full blog post this morning Nov 29 so I will ask you to refer to it and you can also check out SuperNova algo Twitter feed if you like.

Read the post carefully before trading Silver please!

My Plan for Trading Silver: Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

As with Gold and Silver, there is a complete blog this morning Nov 29 that I will ask you to refer to.

IMPORTANT: Watch out for OPEC! Decision to come at latest tomorrow Nov 30 they say!

Outlook: We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: Of course I am waiting for OPEC decision but am in long $UWTI on small position in swing account. I commented on this in trading review from last night.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

As I said, was waiting for 3.10 with back test.

BUT there is the 200 day on the 1 week chart – omminous!

$NATGAS

$NATGAS Looks like a possible short at 200 day on 1 week to me.

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CYTR, $CBMX, $SKLN, $ANF, $JUNO, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

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