Yesterday’s Stock Trading Results (the $SNAP momo trade may help some early traders)
Per recent;
We are going to try another trading room platform – yes, but we gotta try and get what will work best, we’ll get you details. The YouTube platform we are having difficulty with outages, transcripts and delays / lags.
The Quarterly Swing Trading Performance Review P/L with Charting is Published. The Algorithms and Daytrading Quarterly Performance Reports are being compiled as I write and will be posted soon.
Even though my holds are small in size I would like to start focusing on trading out of some of these, if not all. With the current downdraft in market I may not be able to get out of these for a while – VERY SMALL part of my portfolio now – I am 93% or more cash.
All small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $ONTX, $DUST, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI.
$DUST I will close for a loss if Gold holds 1260 – sucks, but it was a relatively small position (to portfolio size) but I didn’t follow the golden rule… when a trade goes against your plan cut fast and I didn’t so I will likely pay the price. And I guess what has become the second golden rule… listen to the algos… they haven’t been wrong yet – so yes, I didn’t listen to my own invention ROSIE the Gold Algo (give Rosie a little plug there she deserves it lol). Embarrassing, especially because ROSIE nailed the bottom many weeks in advance of the bottom – all I had to do was listen and boom new house. Sad.
Market Outlook / Trading Plan:
Swing trades on watch for me again (in addition to our algorithm models because everything is either at resistance or suport) today (some are same as from our swing trading platform side) are $BABA, $VRX, $NFLX, $WYNN, $XME, $URRE, $TAN, $TWLO, $GSIT, $ABX and considering adding $LIT to the list. Also recently added to watch $CEW, $MYL, $TZA, $TREE and today added are $NVDA, $SOXS, $KBH, $BCOR. Also on OTC side new are $USRM, $PLSB, $LIGA and $ASCK.
Previous Day Momentum Stocks to watch: $USRM OTC, $PLSB OTC, $HTGM,
$PLSB Look at the liquidity that rolled in to this OTC stock yesterday wow #stocks #watchlist
$PLSB Look at the liquidity that rolled in to this OTC stock yesterday wow #stocks #watchlist
8am
Evans Speaks
8:05am
Bullard Speaks
8:30am
-Durable Goods Orders
-Williams Speaks
9:45am
Composite Flash
1pm
BHI Rig #
$TWTR Twitter explores subscription-based option for first time http://in.reuters.com/article/twitter-subscription-idINKBN16U389 …
$ATOS Atossa Genetics Opens Enrollment in Study of Endoxifen
$MU – Shares of #Micron surging +10% post earnings
$MU Q2 Adj.EPS $0.90 and Sales $4.648B – Beat
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades:as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Charting Calls and Live Stock Alerts for Tuesday March 21, 2017; $ESPR, $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $UGAZ, $GC_F, $JNUG, $DUST – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI etc…
Intro:
Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.
In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .
Overview and Summary Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:
In play today in chat room; $ESPR, $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $UGAZ, $GC_F, $JNUG, $DUST
$PULM was a decent runner on the day but I didn’t trade it because we were in $ESPR and watching the market movements. Some were cleaning up there risk and those type of things.
Our traders continue to do well with Natural Gas on the turn with $UGAZ and the Gold turn in $JNUG. I am still sitting in a small $DUST position that I will either add to or pivot to long Gold or miner’s in $JNUG or $NUGT if Gold confirms to upside – but it has been mostly sideways the last few months and Gold is struggling with the resistance identified by our algo some weeks back (long before Gold was anywhere near where it is).
$NAK is also on a turn here and our room has been all over it.
My morning momentum play was in $EPSR and it was a near perfectly executed trade. The video explains the chart indicators I use that got me out of the trade right on time very near the top – and there is video for it below. I got in because the market was weak but $ESPR had run the day before aggressively and in premarket it was aggressive coming in to the open. So I entered and sent an alert to our members right before open and added a few times and exited right before it turned back down. Awesome momentum trade – test book.
$ESPR Entered 44.52 premarket 1350 shares closed 934 47.63 Live on trading video with explanations will be in postmarket post for today.
$ESPR Entered 44.52 premarket 1350 shares closed 934 47.63 Live on trading video with explanations will be in postmarket post for today. pic.twitter.com/4MGT6tlh5I
$PTIE was up 66% premarket so this and $HTBX were where most trader’s were focused when I looked around (we have most rooms on our monitors and social etc).
Through the evening and early morning in the algo lab I was tweeting a storm of tweets about how the market looked bearish and had been for a few days and sure enough Tuesday was the day. Nailed it to the day but we did know it was coming. Our $SPY algo nailed the interim top AGAIN and we were sending messages in our reporting to members on different services (even on these post market trading results posts). So we were more than ready.
The interesting thing I find about our algorithmic model charting is that they always keep us on top of not just trading ranges and the like but they have all been hitting the important turns like our Gold algo hitting the top last year and the most recent bottom turn, our dollar algo is all over it and our SPY algo had us ready for this top and on and on.Or even our oil algo, always nailing it. It has added an element to my trading that I couldn’t do without – becoming used to it for sure when originally I struggled with it (like anyone would I suppose).
I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small size to micro sizing) – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.
The markets to me look toppy (as I’ve noticed previous). So last weekend we produced some simple swing charting that keeps me level when looking at the markets (examples below). Simple charting I find grounds you to simple trades which in turn keeps you profitable in toppy or sideways markets. So I find the practice crucial even though our algorithmic modeling can cut up a chart on any time-frame and I can trade scalping like nobody’s business with them… but I have businesses etc and I can’t be a minute by minute trader (right now anyway). So keeping it simple helps me and many on our swing trading side of the platform really appreciate the simple view because they have day jobs or businesses etc.
The Markets Looking Forward:
$DUST$GC_F 1251 – 1256 and I'll start loading. You only live once.
The quarterly performance report link is above in the intro to this post – we have been killing and below are some of the recent simple swing trading charts.
Natural gas on fire… I’ll try and get some time to start covering it more closely. On a side note we’re going to start covering emerging markets and USDJPY closer too soon hopefully.
Live Trading Chat Room Transcript: (on YouTube Live):
Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:
Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Also, times areCentral Mountain below (we’re working on the fix now), so for New York ET time add two hours to all times. Also, most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades).
Important note: There are a few pieces of the transcript missing from Tuesday. We’re learning that when there’s an interruption in service that we have to restart the room and reset transcripts and it is a bit cumbersome so we are thinking of trying a different service next week. We’ll get on the right platform and we’ll get the transcripts etc sorted.
There is a morning momentum trade that I did right before open and during open that has live voice broadcast that early traders would likely benefit from (with additional comments earlier in this post). I will try and get a detailed trade explanation video done (we’re in studio for 3 days this weekend doing nothing but educational videos – yes we booked 3 days wow).
6:50 AM
Compound TradingTrading Plan Mar 21 $HTBX, $PTIE, $NAK, $NG_F, $KALY, $USRM, $BLKG LINK: https://compoundtrading.com/premarket… PASSWORD: PRE0321
7:01 AM Curtis Melonopoly I will be traveling today again by 10:15 but I’ll still be in room on my phone.
7:07 AM MarketMaven M The $HTBX news is decent
7:08 AM MarketMaven M Nick’s nakity $NAK looks good
7:10 AM Curtis Melonopoly y a watching $NAK close
7:12 AM MarketMaven M Apple unveils new 9.7-inch iPad, (RED) edition iPhone 7 and 7 Plus
7:15 AM wintonresearch ha hey guys
7:15 AMCurtis Melonopoly long $ESPR 44.52
7:16 AM Curtis Melonopoly 1/5 size tester 450 shares
7:17 AM MarketMaven M hey Nicholas
7:18 AM Flash G My swing trading list is solidly in play – looking at a few others too.
7:18 AM Flash G morning!
7:20 AM Mathew w metals on a ripper here right before open. looking like rampage mode will begin shortly
7:22 AM MarketMaven M $AXSM offering through Ladenburg
7:28 AM MarketMaven M $ESPR long 44.64 lol
7:31 AM MarketMaven M $ESPR whooo hoo oh lol maybe not
7:31 AM MarketMaven M come on
7:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly $ESPR add 46.31 450
7:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly $ESPR lol
7:33 AM MarketMaven M Add 46.45
7:34 AM Curtis Melonopoly add 47.42 $ESPR
7:34 AM Curtis Melonopoly in 3 of 5 sizing
7:35 AM Curtis Melonopoly closed 1350 shares 47.63 nice win
7:35 AM Curtis Melonopoly out completely
7:35 AM MarketMaven M I’m still in
7:35 AM MarketMaven M opps now I’m out
7:36 AM MarketMaven M 47.45
7:36 AM MarketMaven M nice trade curt
7:37 AM Curtis Melonopoly on the mic for that trade BTW forgot to mention
7:37 AM Curtis Melonopoly explanation on mic of why I exited where I did
7:38 AM MarketMaven M ya thanks curt caught that on speakers
7:43 AM MarketMaven M snap back entry?
7:45 AM Curtis Melonopoly $SCON on scanner but I don’t like the stock
7:46 AM Flash G Bonds on high alert here folks.
7:47 AM wintonresearch $SCON has been a penny stock for like 15 years
7:48 AM wintonresearch $URRE moving up again
7:48 AM wintonresearch i like it
7:50 AM Curtis Melonopoly $HTBX approaching VWAP
7:50 AM Curtis Melonopoly $URRE going to go parabolic soon imo
7:50 AM wintonresearch i agree Curtis
7:54 AM wintonresearch$ UGAZ continuing up
7:55 AM Curtis Melonopoly $ESPR 42.68 lol
8:00 AM Flash G My $CMG swing doing well here but watching closely
8:04 AM Curtis Melonopoly $BLKG almost half what I sold it for yesterday lol really entry soon maybe
8:04 AM MarketMaven M that’s almost sad lol
8:05 AM wintonresearch $JNUG perky
8:05 AM Curtis Melonopoly ya this could be the trend break our algos looking for here soon
8:06 AM Curtis Melonopoly if it ends up confirming I’ll flip long hard… but it keeps messing with resistance etc
8:06 AM Curtis Melonopoly $GC_F I’m referring to
8:08 AM wintonresearch would like to see GDX:GLD above 0.2 for rally to be confirmed
8:08 AM Curtis Melonopoly see there it is at the algorithm line again (yellow)
8:09 AM Curtis Melonopoly Gold really sticks to the math it’s interesting. Back tested math.
8:10 AM MarketMaven M ya you’ve had that algo line on there for many months
8:10 AM MarketMaven M i think before Christmas
8:13 AM MarketMaven M $SNAP is my watch today now
8:13 AM MarketMaven M looks like a good long here soon
8:14 AM MarketMaven M up 2.8% and looking beastly
8:15 AM MarketMaven M It’s working on the third 5 min soldier as Curt calls em
8:16 AM Curtis Melonopoly probably a better EOD or early play tomorrow IMO
8:16 AM Curtis Melonopoly that last 5 min candle not the best at top there 20.50 range
8:16 AM MarketMaven M I see
8:17 AM Curtis Melonopoly but don’t let me discourage it
8:17 AM MarketMaven M ya I’ll watch it
8:19 AM Flash G $IBB is on a test of LOD
8:19 AM Scott Ryan gm
8:21 AM Curtis Melonopoly hey scott
8:21 AM Curtis Melonopoly Gold looks more real than it has in a while
8:22 AM MarketMaven M GM Scott!
8:22 AM Flash G $IBB wow could get interesting
8:23 AM wintonresearch $MUX a good play on both gold and silver
8:23 AM MarketMaven M Have never traded it
8:26 AM MarketMaven M The only reason I’m not going long miner’s is that stupid yellow algo line curt wtf lol
8:26 AM Curtis Melonopoly tell us how u really feel ?
8:27 AM Curtis Melonopoly $SSH at 52 week lows so I may wack it hard for a test soon long
8:28 AM Flash G $ES_F looking sickly today
8:29 AM Flash G ”Risk-off” feelings here
8:30 AM wintonresearch $URRE getting that look
8:32 AM Curtis Melonopoly looks like $STUDY time for me and some travel here soon. Bears are coming out to play I think.
8:32 AM wintonresearch speaking of weak SPY $FAZ chart looks strong
8:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly I’ll be in the room but travel prep time for me. and I’ll be in here while traveling FYI.
8:33 AM Flash G looks mucky for sure – we’ll see
8:34 AM Curtis Melonopoly you called it yesterday flash
There is missing transcript here… with an outage.
9:03 AM MarketMaven M $SGDH my micro play now entering here
9:04 AM MarketMaven M $SDGH
9:04 AM MarketMaven M pot
9:18 AM wintonresearch $FAZ
9:18 AM MarketMaven M time to btd?
9:18 AM MarketMaven M ya Nich
9:47 AM Flash G via @bespokeinvest Financials getting hit the most today by wide margin. Down 2.25%. Remaining sectors down 0.75%-1.25%. Utilities, Staples up on the day.
9:51 AM Scott Ryan trend days dont usually bounce … looking short
Inline image 1
9:58 AM Mathew w XLE actually decently strong here along with most of the miners, juniors seem to be lagging a bit
10:15 AM Flash G I’m watching with great interest
10:18 AM Mathew w Added to SWN and ECR swings. ECR avg 2.2 and SWN about 7.6. Looking late spring time frame on both of these
10:24 AM Flash G $SWN was on my watch – that looks really good $ECR I haven’t looked at yet.
10:25 AM Mathew w ECR similar play. Both in the ng space. I’m also in CRK as well. All 3 should see higher in coming weeks with nice set ups off of bottoms and hammers yesterday
10:32 AM Flash G I’ll have to look.
10:48 AM MarketMaven M $RGSE chatter about CEo buying shares
10:48 AM MarketMaven M Been watching the stock lately
11:07 AM MarketMaven M.
11:13 AM Curtis Melonopoly had oil come off just a tad more I’d be long
11:37 AM Curtis Melonopoly gold anywhere near 1251 to 1256 I’m loading dust
11:37 AM MarketMaven M lololol
11:43 AM Mathew w loading dust for a reversal in gold? Man, with these currency moves that’
11:43 AM Curtis Melonopoly $BEBE wrecked wow
11:43 AM Mathew w that’s a bold bet
11:43 AM Mathew w Im still just in a few juniors and SLW for e’s today but shorting here seems tough
11:43 AM Curtis Melonopoly loading is not totally committed ?
11:44 AM Mathew w fair enough.
11:50 AM Curtis Melonopoly long 5.07 $BEBE
11:51 AMCurtis Melonopoly1 / 5 size 2800
11:51 AM MarketMaven Mholy risky man today
11:53 AM Chat disconnected. Please wait while we try to reconnect you.
11:53 AM Successfully connected.
11:53 AM MarketMaven M okay fine I will 1 / 10 size it haha 5.12 600
11:53 AM MarketMaven M.
12:10 PM wintonresearch FAZ still rockin
There is 20 minutes missing here because of another outage.
12:32 PM Curtis Melonopoly sold be be small loss 4.80 .32 cents on 600 or 190.00 ish
12:33 PM Curtis Melonopoly $BEBE
12:41 PM MarketMaven M I’m back lol
12:41 PM Flash G Yup me also
12:46 PM Curtis Melonopoly sorry about the outage lol
12:49 PM Flash G I was just thinking about Gold
12:50 PM Flash G After looking at Curt’s comments
12:50 PM Flash G its been sideways pretty much for 2 months!
12:50 PM Curtis Melonopoly yup
12:54 PM MarketMaven M $ONCS HOD was watching this all day
12:54 PM MarketMaven M I see your point on Gold flash I’ve stayed out of it completely
12:54 PM MarketMaven M I couldn’t reconcile Trump and Gold trade and all that comes with it clearly
12:55 PM MarketMaven M I remember last year Curt’s DXY algo telling everyone it was going to break out and he people didn’t believe it and look what happened
12:57 PM Flash G Yes I recall and I also know that the algo has it in a quadrant Curt and I talked about – it’s still in play until it isn’t as far as the algo is concerned – its all a complicated play
1:09 PM Curtis Melonopoly Gold will be interesting if it gets up over resistance could be a huge trade
1:10 PM Flash G Seems to be a big if lately
1:10 PM Flash G Miners have been a difficult trade.
1:12 PM MarketMaven M $FUEL- Rocket Fuel Expands Partnership with IBM by Embedding Watson Cognitive Capabilities into Its Predictive Marketing Platform
1:14 PM MarketMaven M VRX NHOD
1:14 PM MarketMaven M $VRX – I’m in it I am going to win
1:32 PM MarketMaven M |Really liking the $SNAP set-up likely a long tomorrow if market settles down
Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Charting Calls and Live Stock Alerts for Tuesday March 14, 2017; $MGI, $DRWI, $ETRM, $DRYS, $TGTX, $OAKS, $JNUG, $DUST, $GOOGL, $COKE – $NE, $XOM, $BSTG, $ONTX, $DUST, $MGTI, $TRCH, $LGCY, $DRYS, $SSH, $ASM etc…
Intro:
Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.
In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .
Notices:
Trade Room attendance – I will be traveling Wednesday so in trading room for an hour in the morning and then intermittently as I have service through the day.
Posts to Members sent direct vs. posting to blog – One of the most common DM questions I am getting is from folks asking questions surrounding member algo our post unlocks (the one’s members get and we unlock after some time)…. We do not post all member updates to the blog, in other words many of the posts are direct email updates that never get to the blog. Theses can be daily updates or intra-day updates of various types. The only reason we post to the blog at all is for transparency and a public historical record of our work (if it’s good work it should show and if not we should go do something else). So if you are a member to a specific algo charting service or our swing trading service you will receive intra updates and memos etc relating to that service that nonpaying public will never see. Hope that helps.
Gotta say thanks to the traders in the community coming out to share your insights in the room – really appreciate it! And the kind notes!
Trading Room Open House: We continue running open house – which will end soon (we just want to get this new platform settled first).
Trading Room Attendance: With our commercial multi-user algorithm chart modeling client platform launch, upcoming 24 hour oil trading room and coding for our algorithm models for our trader’s cockpit (you’d have to read our story on our website to understand our build-out plans)… I won’t be in the trading room as much starting Tuesday March 14, 2017. I expect to be in the room most days the first hour or two and then I have to turn my attention to the platform development daily and assistance our software developers require of me. I will still have my monitors on and will likely comment and/or run intra-day review broadcasts etc – I just won’t be in the room minute by minute.
We’re in middle of creating and editing a swath of educational videos – out soon.
The ability for members to access transcripts on demand we are working on – should have that done soon.
The Compound Trading YouTube Channel now has the daily trading chat room full length video uploaded daily with all stock trades for the day.
Members are reporting that they like the mobile service ability of YouTube Live better than Webinato but members need to know that they need to have a Google+ / Gmail account and sign in to YouTube and activate a channel to use the service. We have had many not understand that so if you aren’t sure about procedure let us know and we will assist.
The live charts we share, to make them live you need to open the chart and click on the share button at bottom right of any of the charts and then click “make it mine”. This will enable the live chart in your browser in TradingView whether a member or or not of TradingView.
Overview Perspective & Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:
In play today in chat room; $DRWI, $ETRM, $DRYS, $TGTX, $OAKS, $JNUG, $DUST, $GOOGL, $COKE
$ETRM was traded by Market Maven in morning momo for a small loss, I got out of last 25% of $DRYS position and that was a nice swing that started last Thursday with adds along the way, Flash got out of a nice $COKE swing and a big $OAKS swing exit (which was his largest play from our January swings), Mathew and Flash continued in $JNUG I believe, I held on $DUST, my $GOOGL swing is rocking and the $TGTX play was big – that was alerted in the premarket chatroom newsletter as one of my watches. Also watching $NKE $X among others you can find on premarket newsletter or swing newsletters (depending on your sub).
I see that @EpictheAlgo nailed the bottom trading range of the current downdraft in oil trade. Nice to see the math works in that scenario. Our $SPY algo has been hitting extensions for weeks so that’s awesome and our Gold and Silver algos have big updates on deck (big in terms of maybe two or three of that significance would go out a year).
I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderate small size to micro sizing) – $DUST, $ONTX, $XOM, $NE, $BLKG, $DRYS, $USRM, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI (this is the daytrading portfolio and does not represent swing trading service portfolio): Looking at moving out of all these small positions over the next month or so.
It’s FOMC day Wednesday so everything’s a tad stalled. If I had to guess, and this is completely a guess, Gold and Silver will tank a but more, the dollar will get a lift, $SPY will get a lift, Oil will get lift and things will go back to normal. Could be wrong of course but I’m wondering. Banks may come off too. But that’s all a wild guess. That’s not what the algos say necessarily and not what the charts say necessarily either.
The markets are looking a little toppy – we’ll see. As you will see below, with our new Swing Trading KISS post – I am paying close attention to the MACD on main charting I follow – at time of possible turn I find it simple.
Per recent, “Our swing trading side continues to outperform all my expectations for 2017 (you can find the most recent unlocked swing trading newsletter on our blog) – I had a feeling it was going to do well, just didn’t quite expect a grandslam. We’re in the middle of compiling our next set of stock picks for the swing trading members and will have them out over next few days – hopefully that batch will bring the same type of returns as the new year batch did and continue to in most instances.
Pre previous’ $VIX has been flat for some time, however, our algorithmic modeling suggests a possible time / price cycle coming due soon. It is possible the oil sell off was the time-price cycle of note. Here again will await weekend algo charting updates before I do much.
Live Trading Chat Room Transcript: (on YouTube Live):
Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:
Please note: Miscellaneous chatter removed from transcript and some discussions I will add notes with information I’ve gleaned in discussions online with traders on DM etc also for further explanation (noted with *). Also, times are Central Mountain below (we’re working on the fix now), so for New York ET time add two hours to all times. Also, most days at 9:30 ET market open there is moderator live broadcast explaining trades and at times during the day there is also live broadcast market updates and trade set-up explanations (so you have to scroll through video feed to market open etc to catch live broadcast portions – in future we will note in in transcript when we are on the mic so viewers can correlate time with transcript with video feed when reviewing trades).
6:52 AM Flash G Curt’s on mic at 9:30 correct?
6:53 AM MarketMaven MY epp. Morning @Flash G
6:53 AM MarketMaven M $ETRM is up +21.5% in premarket
6:58 AM MarketMaven M $WOR $ZEUS $RS $DGX $GDOT $DIS $TXRH $OXY $CTB $LADR $ETH $MAA $ARRS $TDG
6:58 AM MarketMaven M Upgrades
6:59 AM MarketMaven M Premarket Leaderboard: $DRWI $MGI $ETRM $GALT $RT $BIOC $EDIT $RLJE $GOGL $BCEI $DWT $ONCS
7:05 AM MarketMaven M So $RNN and $RXII have been FANTASTIC Flash! Babies.
7:05 AM Flash G yeah thanks for the poke on em
7:06 AM Curtis Melonopoly Grabbing a coffee… back for open broadcast ?
7:06 AM MarketMaven M kk
7:08 AM MarketMaven M congrats on $GOOGL Curt!
7:09 AM Curtis Melonopoly thanks catcha in 15
7:10 AM MarketMaven M Ouch! #Oil plunges as Saudis tell #OPEC Kingdom reverses one-third of cuts made at outset of OPEC deal.
7:14 AM Curtis Melonopoly quite the storm rolling in to NY
7:14 AM Curtis Melonopoly?
7:25 AM Flash G $CBR gonna get run today
7:26 AM MarketMaven M In Play: $AUPH, $MGI, $LNTH, $VRX, $DWT, $DSW, $UWT, $SCO
7:26 AM MarketMaven M $CALA on close watch again for me
7:27 AM Mathew w Morning all. Likely in wait and see mode today but I don’t hate the action so far in CAT lol
7:27 AM MarketMaven M $LIGA on news also
7:27 AM MarketMaven M Hey Mathew!
7:27 AM Flash G hey mat mornin
7:28 AM Curtis Melonopoly on mic
7:29 AM Curtis Melonopoly $DRWI $ETRM $MGI
7:30 AM MarketMaven M Long $MGI small
7:31 AM Flash G oil lol wow
7:31 AM MarketMaven M nice
7:32 AM MarketMaven M Nibbling on $VRX too very small
7:34 AM Curtis Melonopoly $DRYS stop 1.69 on 26% held was a good play
7:34 AM MarketMaven M argh shit stupid open
7:34 AM MarketMaven M sorry
7:35 AM Flash G haha sassy
7:35 AM Mathew w GLA mentioned yesterday nice open. Still long and strong that guy.
7:35 AM MarketMaven M in $ETRM heavy dyty
7:35 AM MarketMaven M 7.04 3000
7:36 AM Curtis Melonopoly careful
7:36 AM Flash G in with ya hre small $ETRM
7:36 AM MarketMaven M $VRX 52 week lows so a good place to try too
7:37 AM Curtis Melonopoly good calls
7:38 AM Curtis Melonopoly watching 5 min candle $ETRM
7:38 AM MarketMaven M it will go Curt
7:39 AM MarketMaven M In $DIS on the break
7:39 AM Flash G ya my swing has been great gong back weeks now
7:40 AM Flash G $WYNN off your watchlist CUrt jig
7:40 AM MarketMaven M Stop on $ETRM at 200 MA 3 min just south
7:41 AM MarketMaven M will add there for a snap
7:41 AM MarketMaven M love $WYNN here but too much to early to manage
7:42 AM Curtis Melonopoly long $DRWI 1.62
7:45 AM Curtis Melonopoly stop 1.54
7:47 AM MarketMaven Madd $ETRM 6.77 tight now
7:48 AM Curtis Melonopoly add $DRWI 2.01 another 5000
7:49 AM Eric Lunianga Good morning to all, what a time to be alive!
7:49 AM Curtis Melonopoly expiring 5 min candle test on deck
7:49 AM MarketMaven M hey eric!
7:49 AM Flash G peace eic
7:49 AM Flash G eric
7:50 AM Curtis Melonopoly stop 2.01
7:52 AM MarketMaven M nice trade curt 7:53 AM Curtis Melonopoly trailing out 10000 shares $DRWI
7:54 AM wintonresearch hey all
7:54 AM MarketMaven M fantastic trade
7:54 AM MarketMaven M hey nich
7:54 AM MarketMaven M school in session with curt’s $DRWI trade wow
7:54 AM Curtis Melonopoly out $DRWI 2.14 average decent win
7:55 AM Flash G ?
7:55 AM Curtis Melonopoly ugh too early
7:55 AM Curtis Melonopoly hey Nicholas
7:56 AM MarketMaven M $ETRM riding 200MA 3 min
7:57 AM wintonresearch fyi- FNMA moving up
7:57 AM wintonresearch great swing fanny imo
7:58 AM Flash G profit is profit
7:58 AM wintonresearch amen Flash
7:58 AM MarketMaven M stopped on $ETRM btw
7:59 AM Flash G holding small $ETRM will play wash out snap with 3x
7:59 AM MarketMaven M not a bad exit point curt
7:59 AM Curtis Melonopoly ya
8:00 AM Curtis Melonopol y✌
8:00 AM wintonresearch $MJTK chart continues to look like it will rip
8:00 AM wintonresearch quietly setting up for weeks 8:01 AM Curtis Melonopolystopped $DRYS 1.69 last 25%
8:01 AM MarketMaven M luv $MJTK chart
8:02 AM wintonresearch agree MM
8:02 AM wintonresearch i think it could multibag given chart and mkt cap of 1M
8:02 AM MarketMaven M $VRTU jiggy
8:03 AM MarketMaven M Out $MGI loss
8:03 AM Curtis Melonopoly unusual for u maven
8:03 AM Curtis Melonopoly usually watching your school session
8:04 AM MarketMaven M ya smaller losses
8:04 AM MarketMaven M happy way up this month
8:05 AM MarketMaven M really glad I followed Curt in to $GOOGL and $AMZN when I did they have helped muchly
8:05 AM MarketMaven M $AMDA I thought they would run today
8:06 AM Flash G $NKE on watch with me also here – was there any news? cant find it
8:06 AM MarketMaven M $WAC popping
8:08 AM MarketMaven M Mathew…. what do you think of $UGAZ entry today long?
8:08 AM Flash G i thnk ur late MM
8:09 AM Mathew w I was actually just thinking of adding a bit after trimming some yesterday. I like it if it can reclaim 3 in short order
8:09 AM Curtis Melonopoly $SINO interesting
8:11 AM Curtis Melonopoly I think Nicholas u were alerting $SINO
8:11 AM MarketMaven M ummm $UGAZ on watch I will wait
8:11 AM MarketMaven M thanks guys for opinions
8:12 AM Mathew w /NG 9 day down a 2.921 FYI and 200 at 2.959
8:13 AM Flash G $HYG phew
8:13 AM Flash G Trailing out my $COKE swing for decent roi
8:14 AM Flash G Trailing out of $OAKS – THANKS CURT! Fantastic win on that one! Swing
8:14 AM MarketMaven M $OAKS such a great swing holy congrats guys really nice
8:15 AM Curtis Melonopoly np flash welcome
8:15 AM MarketMaven M thanks Mathew
8:17 AM MarketMaven M u know curt… i should have taken all your January swings haha
8:17 AM Curtis Melonopoly hindsight
8:17 AM Flash Gs oooo GoldCorp… wathcing very close now $GC
8:26 AM MarketMaven M got quiet quick
8:26 AM Curtis Melonopoly watching $CATB over 2
8:27 AM MarketMaven M $GENE action
8:28 AM Flash G $CATB clears that 200 day there and it could be gone for a while
8:28 AM wintonresearch yes Curt, SINO is interesting- all the shippers going forward
8:28 AM Curtis Melonopoly $SINO chart especially IMO
8:28 AM wintonresearch but SINO has a nice curl on MACD and has that look- plus it had that crazy move months ago
8:29 AM wintonresearch i think we are going back to the glory days
8:29 AM Curtis Melonopoly yup
8:29 AM wintonresearch i love me some Springsteen
8:29 AM Curtis Melonopoly yup
8:30 AM Flash G I guess Natty may be decent MM I just looked through it again
8:31 AM wintonresearch Curt what do you think of MJTK
8:31 AM wintonresearch fwiw- my signals are suggesting a really powerful move is coming over the next month in that one
8:32 AM Mathew w JNUG small starter after quick scalp off of the open lows. Will give this one more leash
8:32 AM Curtis Melonopoly I don’t know neigh about it
8:33 AM Curtis Melonopoly I’ll research tonight but my guess if you’re catching the right energy it’s a watch!
8:33 AM Flash G $JNUG is my main play right now Mathew
8:38 AM wintonresearch also I’m getting – do not forget about $DRYS
8:39 AM wintonresearch i still think it’s going to turn up and run
8:39 AM wintonresearch over the next few weeks
8:40 AM wintonresearch most of this is from some proprietary forecasts i’ve completed in the last day or two
8:41 AM Curtis Melonopoly looking at $TGTX for swing here
8:41 AM MarketMaven M $DRYS can be really aggressive lol
8:43 AM Curtis Melonopoly would like to see OA at bottom there turn green on 15 min and stich RSI turn up and chart bot buy signal all on 15 min $TGTX for a large swing play
8:44 AM Curtis Melonopol yso I’ll watch it
8:45 AM MarketMaven M $CATB likely rocket yet today
8:46 AM Flash G $WLL blocks
8:46 AM Flash G $WG pops
8:51 AM MarketMaven MBTD on $SPY?
8:52 AM Flash G yolo
8:53 AM Curtis Melonopoly going on early lunch catchya in a bit
8:53 AM Flash G k
8:55 AM Flash G $NYMO crush
8:57 AMMarketMaven M$NYMO suggests your $JNUG might be offside?
8:57 AM Flash G iffy
9:02 AM Mathew w JNUG is a swing for me from here off of GDX levels. GDX needs to clear and close above 22.2 to let me know that we should be moving up from here
9:02 AM Mathew w I went super small and gave it a wide margin but won’t be afraid to close it if things look crappy
9:02 AM MarketMaven M Starting to $BTD here
9:03 AM MarketMaven M Thanks Mat I may follow you guys soon
9:04 AM Mathew w I really don’t want to take any new large positions right before FOMC tomorrow so if you’re on the fence keep that in mind
9:04 AM MarketMaven M Thats my thoughts too and the markets I think
9:10 AM MarketMaven M $AVGO serious pressure here – watching wash-out now for a possible play
9:13 AM MarketMaven M $CLRB jiggy
9:19 AM Curtis Melonopoly. crude on watch
9:20 AM Curtis Melonopoly3 0 min candle bullish
9:20 AM Curtis Melonopoly serious volume
9:22 AM Curtis Melonopoly FX $USOIL $WTI Needs to hold 47.70 market though and if it loses 47.30 then down another leg. 47.30 to 47.70 the test for this leg.
9:29 AM Curtis Melonopoly last 4 1 min candles sitting right on 47.70 lol
9:44 AM MarketMaven M that grey line is the magic line curt?
9:44 AM Curtis Melonopoly lol yup
9:45 AM Curtis Melonopoly math
9:45 AM MarketMaven M magic math
9:45 AM Curtis Melonopoly ok
9:53 AM MarketMaven M Looks like crude chart may repair at least intra
9:54 AM Curtis Melonopoly so much pressure on it but that’s the mark as you say at least intra
9:55 AM Flash G wactching $FATE $CUR $GOOGL here
9:57 AM MarketMaven M zzz
10:37 AM Mathew w Bumping stops on UEC and HL swings. Fairly tight on both.
10:41 AM Curtis Melonopoly $SBUX down again today?
10:47 AM Curtis Melonopoly $MGM NHOD $WYNN watching resistance for break or fail
10:48 AM wintonresearch watch $TGB here
10:48 AM wintonresearch at 50 dma
10:56 AM Mathew w APVO making a nice move here
11:01 AM Mathew w $PLG a mathew most hated pain trade showing up on the scanners. Im back in from the 1.4’s, this thing can run then kick you in the face all in the same day so careful if diving in
11:01 AM Mathew w that said, I like it for a run into the 2’s
11:12 AM Curtis Melonopoly a number of plays waking up here let’s hope for some follow through
11:21 AM Curtis Melonopoly Gold may start popping soon here
11:24 AM Mathew w Im really expecting some dollar weakness tomorrow after the fed releases their statement. I expect a hike with language that they will raise when appropriate but delayed and not in June
11:35 AM MarketMaven M ?
11:36 AM Curtis Melonopoly $TGXT at its extension ratchet if long
11:39 AMCurtis Melonopoly wow $TGXT may go for a double extension ??
11:42 AM Mathew w Nice play on that
11:44 AM MarketMaven M how’d you call that one?
11:45 AM Curtis Melonopoly just a feeling
11:47 AM MarketMaven M ?
11:52 AM MarketMaven M $RAD popping on rumours
12:05 PM MarketMaven M $TSLA bullish signals
12:13 PM MarketMaven M $XGTI
12:16 PM Flash G quiet
12:24 PM Mathew w fed lock up in progress I guess.
12:29 PM MarketMaven M yepp
12:33 PM Curtis Melonopoly watching $X $TGXT and the others from watch list on premarket report
12:33 PM MarketMaven M $NVCN on scanner
12:41 PM MarketMaven M $TSRO kicked hard
12:48 PM Curtis Melonopoly $MGTI up
1:18 PM MarketMaven M?
1:19 PM Curtis Melonopoly.bear is getting emotional in twitter ????
1:23 PM Curtis Melonopoly they might run crude up tonight for a gap fill
1:24 PM Curtis Melonopoly If Gild failed I will add to $DUST swing
1:24 PM Curtis Melonopoly If $GOOGL holds may add to swing.
1:26 PM Curtis Melonopoly $X divergent to bull side… over 200 on 15 min is a long
1:30 PM Mathew w gold looks horrible here with rest of the metals
1:35 PM MarketMaven M $RTK bounce
1:58 PM Curtis Melonopoly WELL THAT’S ALL. have a great night!
1:59 PM MarketMaven M see ya curt n all
1:59 PM Flash G,bye guys
All small to mid size holds in this order according to sizing – $ONTX, $DUST, $USRM, $XOM, $NE, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $MGTI.
Per recent’ $DUST I will close for a loss if Gold holds 1260 – sucks, but it was a relatively small position (to portfolio size) but I didn’t follow the golden rule… when a trade goes against your plan cut fast and I didn’t so I will likely pay the price. And I guess what has become the second golden rule… listen to the algos… they haven’t been wrong yet – so yes, I didn’t listen to my own invention ROSIE the Gold Algo (give Rosie a little plug there she deserves it lol). Embarrassing, especially because ROSIE nailed the bottom many weeks in advance of the bottom – all I had to do was listen and boom new house. Sad.
Ten-year yield back at top of range http://seekingalpha.com/news/3249490-ten-year-yield-back-top-range?source=feed_f … #premarket $TLT $TBT
Health Insurance Innovations down 13% premarket on pending stock sales by shareholders http://seekingalpha.com/news/3249489-health-insurance-innovations-13-percent-premarket-pending-stock-sales-shareholders?source=feed_f … #premarket $HIIQ
Vera Bradley’s stock plunges 14% premarket after Q4 results.
Express Stock Drops Premarket on Weak Guidance $EXPR
Retailers Express and Urban Outfitters each issued weak outlooks. $EXPR down 10% #premarket. $URBN down 7%.
The Children’s Place +7% after doubling dividend, adding buybacks http://seekingalpha.com/news/3249467-childrens-place-plus-7-percent-doubling-dividend-adding-buybacks?source=feed_f … #premarket $PLCE
$CAT-astrophe? Caterpillar down 3% #premarket after NYT reports about last week’s probe by feds. Cites accusations of tax/accounting fraud.
PetroQuest Energy -9% premarket after wide Q4 earnings miss http://seekingalpha.com/news/3249497-petroquest-energy-minus-9-percent-premarket-wide-q4-earnings-miss?source=feed_f … #premarket $PQ
$ABEO Receives Orphan Drug Designation in the European Union for EB-101 Gene Therapy Clinical Trial for Epidermolysis Bullosa[+]
FDA to review Keryx Bio’s application for expanded use of Auryxia; shares ahead 5% premarket
Ladder Capital down 5% as backers sell http://seekingalpha.com/news/3249505-ladder-capital-5-percent-backers-sell?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $LADR
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $HIIQ $URBN $LAND $AUPH and $FMBI. I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: $IPXL $WFT $OMC $EVH $NAV $BXE $SWKS $CCI $MIK $UDR $AVB $VOD as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: $GOLD $BT $URBN $NMBL $FIG $AF $NSM $TV as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.
Mid-Week Gold Trade Update
The last blog report (vs. direct email reports) I explained the upside targets and lower targets to watch for to confirm uptrend break-out or downtrend break-down.
In overnight trade Gold is just under the break-down point!!!
I will explain in more detail what I am looking for below to confirm the trend reversal to the upside (bullish).
1260.64 – 1261.16 has to hold as a low on the daily and not be breached at any point during trade on any day going forward (pick a number between those numbers if you like – to be safe 1261.16). 1261.57 is the 200 MA on the daily 1 year chart – as above, trade needs to be above it and not breach it to the downside at any point intra-day going forward. When those two things occur, then the broad trend reversal is in place as far as our modeling is concerned.
What confirms a bearish trend?
A continuation to the downside (broad trend) is highly probable if Gold trade loses 1216.80 and trade at no point intra-day breaches that point to the upside.
Rosie Gold Algorithm Chart Model Worksheet Mar 8 615 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Rosie Gold Algorithm Chart Model Worksheet Mar 8 615 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
If you review the chart you will see that trade intra-day (at time of writing) is just below the bearish sentiment price outlined in my previous post. You will also notice this corresponds with a trading quadrant (they are the blue lines).
If price stays below this mark for one complete trading day and closes below it there is a VERY HIGH PROBABILITY OF LOWER TARGETS.
For now, I will leave it at that and wait for confirmation and update you as soon as the confirmation is in place with the specific upward or downward targets to trade according to which occurs.
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.
Mid-Week Gold Trade Update
The last blog report (vs. direct email reports) I explained that Gold had 3 primary decisions to make, this quick report will review whether those decisions have resolved in trade.
Here they come! Three critical decisions on deck for Gold traders! The double-down algorithm symmetry extension (yellow line on chart), the algorithmic chart model quadrant edge (blue line) and in classic charting the 200 MA currently at about 1263.50 ish.
If Gold clears those three levels and holds them, in our algorithmic modeling discipline this signals a significant reversal. To this point, if you refer back to my posts when Gold first turned, I explained this scenario was very possible (the double-down extension). BUT, the continued upward trend possibility beyond the double-down was not considered.
Let me put it this way, if you review far enough back you will find that I CALLED THE BOTTOM BEFORE THE TURN AND I CALLED IT MANY WEEKS IN ADVANCE LAST YEAR WHEN EVERYONE WAS B U L L I S H GOLD!
Imagine that, everyone is bullish and you call the turn and not only the turn but the exact (or near to) penny of the turn nobody knows is coming yet. Guess what? That could, COULD, happen again. But first! Lets see how the last three tests go!
Excited? I am, and I’m an algo.
Gold Algorithmic Model Charting Worksheet Mar 2 608 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Gold Algorithmic Model Charting Worksheet Mar 2 608 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Bottom line, the chart has not concluded whether trade will trade up or down. In other words, there is a divergence in the overall downward trend (which I called many weeks in advance), but the broad trend reversal to the upside is not confirmed (as it applies to our algorithmic modeling work).
I will explain in more detail what I am looking for below to confirm the trend reversal to the upside (bullish).
1260.64 – 1261.16 has to hold as a low on the daily and not be breached at any point during trade on any day going forward (pick a number between those numbers if you like – to be safe 1261.16).
1261.57 is the 200 MA on the daily 1 year chart – as above, trade needs to be above it and not breach it to the downside at any point intra-day going forward.
When those two things occur, then the broad trend reversal is in place as far as our modeling is concerned.
What confirms a bearish trend?
A continuation to the downside (broad trend) is highly probable if Gold trade loses 1216.80 and trade at no point intra-day breaches that point to the upside.
Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!
Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Stock Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Feb 10, 2017; $JDST, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $VRX, $JUNO, $CBMX, $TRCH, $LGCY etc…
Intro:
Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.
In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.
Text highlighted in red below is new to today’s commentary.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .
Notices:
Free Public Webinar Schedule: Set over to Sunday Feb 12, 2017 Same Times!
Webinars are scheduled for this Sunday afternoon. For general public interested in understanding our services and algorithmic chart modeling. Also for existing members that wish to ask more detailed questions about the charting and trading our algorithmic charts.
Date: Sunday Feb 12, 2017
Location: Visit our website www.compoundtrading.com and click link to enter trading room and sign in as guest.
2:00 Epic the Oil Algorithm
2:30 Rosie the Gold Algorithm
3:00 SuperNova Silver Algorithm
3:30 US Dollar $DXY Algorithm
4:00 S&P and VIX (in development) models.
4:30 Swing Trading – What our service includes and success to date.
5:00 Trading Room – Introduction to our Trading Room
New article on our blog: Keep it simple charting (amazing how you make consistent and predictable returns trading the simplicity of some charts).
Trading Room News Memo – There is a new member memo out that updates our members on trading room news and upcoming events. It also discusses our upcoming announcement of weekly webinars for existing members that wish to use our work in a more in depth manner and prospective members that would like to understand more about what we do. These webinars will be weekly for all six algorithmic charting models, our swing trading service and our trade room – each being 30 minutes in length. You will find the memo here:
Overview Perspective & Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:
It was a quieter day for the room – Trump was meeting with Abe so there was some pensiveness in the market. My $JDST swing came off (in after market Thursday it was looking decent) – I ended up a tad up / basically flat.
All in all its been really positive for our algo charting newsletter subscribers and trading room – checking in with our members regularly reminds me of their success on our platform so that’s awesome.
Swing trading members have enjoyed consistent success wince the start of the year and this week just got better. Hopefully our swing trading calls continue like that!
I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small to small sizing) $DUST, $VRX, $CBMX, $JUNO, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM
Looking Forward:
I am watching our standards that apply to our algorithmic charting, as follows;
US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP:
Per recent, “US Dollar $DXY is at important support so I will watch for a bounce (my personal bias)”. Today it did in fact bounce. The algorithmic model had noted a minor divergence as did the classic charting so I took a late day trade in $JDST (going well).
Friday was the Trump and Abe meeting day and the dollar is still sitting at support at end of day but charting is divergent so the jury is out.
Per recent,” $GOLD, Miners and $SILVER blew through resistance but have a series of very significant algorithmic chart modeling and classic charting decisions on deck soon so I will watch for a pull-back (my personal bias but I do know there is a significant possibility my bias is wrong and if so I will really hammer down on the move through resistance long if it occurs – AND I’ll be ready for the small and micro caps that would likely light fight in that scenario)”.
Per recent, “Gold struggled at the second last resistance decision (at the algorithms symmetry extension on Rosie the Gold Algo charts – yellow line) and came off. And then when it failed the diagonal Fib based algorithm trendline (white dotted on Rosie’s charts) I took my trade in $JDST. In overnight trading this hasn’t been regained so there are 3 important resistance levels in Gold on our algorithm has before our algo considers the uptrend continued – so I will watch. Also of consideration for this trade is the announcement from Trump and Japan’s Abe expected Friday at 1:00 EST.”
So on Friday Gold jumped around like the $DXY US Dollar and $USDJPY. My guess is Sunday night trade or Monday trade will tell us a lot in the Dollar.
Silver $SLV:
Silver is trading much Gold in that it is near resistance and seems to be awaiting decisions or market reaction to Trump / Abe weekend and $USDJPY.
Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:
Crude oil is trading very aggressive but completed the day right under the resistance Epic the Oil Algo has identified as key for many weeks. I suspect traders are awaiting OPEC meeting news and Trump and Abe weekend news bits before committing.
Per recent, “$OIL was broke and it magically repaired and is back in its multi-week range – trade the range until really broke.” On Thursday oil continued to trade within the sideways range it has been in for weeks – so yes, magically repaired chart. I believe there was evidence Wed and Thur of how our markets are “managed” – even oil.
Per recent, “There are OPEC meetings this weekend so that is in the mix also.”
So $SPY did break out Thursday – our algo did predict this before the election so that wasn’t a big surprise but the interesting thing to myself and some of the traders in our membership was that price action hit the symmetry extension to the high side our algo Freedom the $SPY Algo had charted perfectly. Trade also continued Friday predictably in our modeling. So our fifth of six algos is starting to hit consistently also.
Per recent, “$SPY continues in its range but I will be looking for a break to higher (my personal bias)”. $SPY did break out on Thursday as expected so I am studying opportunity.
Momentum Trades:
Momentum trades on Friday I found to be with-out follow through volume (as did other traders in the room and many others I communicate with in the community).
Per recent, “Still playing morning momos but the last 15 sessions follow-through momo (where I bank) has been difficult because volume goes poof”. This still the case but this morning premarket was a bit stronger but follow through wasn’t great (even though it was better).
Swing Trading:
The swing trading side just continues to do exceptionally well off the calls. Here’s one example of the many in the current pipeline:
$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017
$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017
Per recent, “Swing trading – continuing to bank on that side of our platform and don’t expect that to slow down in 2017 (until a change in market conditions of course)”. And of course this only got better today for our swing traders with $SPY break-out and related equities. There are a host of stocks in the service being traded such as $AAPL, $FB, $GOOGL, $BABA, $NFLX, $OAK and more.
Weekend Webinars (Member and General Public):
Webinars are a chance to review (for existing members and the general public interested in how our services and charting works) all of our algorithmic stock chart modeling, swing trading and what we do in our trading room. It will be as good for me as it will be for attendees because it will be a refresh of all the charting and a good way to get ready for next week’s trading. Follow our Compound Trading Twitter feed for schedule / updates (each are 30 minutes starting at 2:00 PM Sunday and cover our six algorithms, trading room, and swing trading). Visit the Compound Trading website and click on the trading room link on the home page for admittance.
09:26 am Curtis M : Watch $BIOC $SHLD $GENE $BLPH $AMDA morning momo watch
Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:
Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.
08:17 am Flash G : Morning !
08:19 am Sandy S : mornin flash
08:30 am MarketMaven M : hey i c curt didnt dump $JDST
08:31 am MarketMaven M : gonna give me lip about that 🙂 zeeeez
08:31 am GReg L : haha
08:34 am MarketMaven M : decent scalps in pre here
08:35 am MarketMaven M : $SNOA for ex worked
09:08 am OILK K : USD gonna go nuts soon I think up up up
09:08 am MarketMaven M : meh
09:17 am MarketMaven M : OILK ? no mojo left in it or it will wait for ABE!
09:23 am OILK K : there it is mm
09:23 am MarketMaven M : there it went
09:25 am Mathew Waterfall : gold, usd, and usd/jpy all coming into important levels here. I may actually give $JNUG a try as we are very close to support and would be a quick out if it keeps falling. On;y thing on my radar so far today
09:26 am Curtis M : Watch $BIOC $SHLD $GENE $BLPH $AMDA morning momo watch
09:30 am Mathew Waterfall : $UAA add. into the gap here, assuming it can remain I will add that is wil watch for a second
09:31 am OILQ K : Long $SHLD
09:31 am OILQ K : whtf
09:32 am MarketMaven M : l $BIOC hammeerrr
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $UAA couldn’t hold in the gap. 22.16 level Im watching for solidly over and add. I think it’ll get there sooner or later
09:35 am MAck M : $BLPH
09:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Out my $RGSE flat BTW. not worth the management currenly
09:39 am Curtis M : $KBSF 100%
09:43 am GReg L : $DXY curling back up
09:47 am MarketMaven M : Add $XOM
09:48 am Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG first trim from day trade entered earlier. Will take the quic and easy profits here. Still in half
09:50 am MAck M : Long $GENE for a day swipe
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : $TRQ monster today. Will likely trim some there as well. Lightening up a bit as I usually do. Still in $TRQ 3/4ths
09:53 am Cara R : $IMMU $MDGS on watch here
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Did pick up a bi tmore $ASM here thoughl Like I’ve said I like Silver long term, may sit on most of that position for a long while
09:55 am Davd Z : $GENE good spike good call
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : Trailer put on the rest of my $JNUG. Dont need to overplay this position as it’s not my only in the space. Gold does look angry today though
10:08 am MarketMaven M : out $GENE small daytrade
10:10 am Sandy S : $DRAM soike
10:14 am GReg L : Trying $AMDA for a quck one
10:26 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic
10:27 am OILK K : hey mat good trades tehre
10:27 am MarketMaven M : yup ewe hear
10:28 am MAck M : My husband doesnt
10:30 am MarketMaven M : Your husband Macenzie 🙂 its select hearing
10:31 am OILQ K : Long $JDST test
10:31 am OILQ K : Women Geesh Mack u and MM bad
10:33 am GReg L : Trump thing will be good rading
10:34 am Mathew Waterfall : I hate binary events like that but it should get some action flowing. I just look forward to the entertainment factor lol
10:35 am OILK K : I think there wa sjust like a 3 min delay in the room from Mats voice to get to me something happened there
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Weird. The input screen on my end seemed to be tracking. Did you get the majority of it?
10:37 am Curtis M : y athere wa s adelay for some reason correct
10:40 am Curtis M : y a t all came through just really delayed lol
10:40 am MAck M : I thought that was woerd too
10:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Funny. Maybe I’ve opened up a time travel window
10:41 am MAck M : ha
10:42 am Mathew Waterfall : If I figure it out I’ll let you guys know. We’ll own those twitter scalpers haha
10:43 am Curtis M : I think its sorting now cause text was delayed too
10:46 am Mathew Waterfall : i have that happen every once in a while. I’ll push enter on a message and it’ll take a bit to post
10:46 am MarketMaven M : seems better now\
10:49 am Mathew Waterfall : Break time, back in a few
10:55 am Jack D : $PLUG momo
11:01 am Trent P : Prob sit and wait for trump now
11:02 am Shafique M : Hope it brings a decent aftrnoon:)
11:02 am Shafique M : Study time for me
11:10 am Edward Johansson : Hi guys, got the pre-market report email
11:10 am Edward Johansson : but the password doesn’t work
11:12 am Curtis M : ok we will resend
11:12 am Curtis M : sorry there is a delay in chat this mrning techs are working on t
11:12 am Edward Johansson : ok, thanks
11:13 am Edward Johansson : will log off for now and await the email – thanks
11:13 am John M : ya I had that prblem the date wasnt in it it is PREMARKET0210PREM
11:16 am OILQ K : sassy marketmaven gave it to us – smart one
11:17 am MarketMaven M : pretty quiet now
11:27 am Mathew Waterfall : Did a quick scan and review, not much pulling at me here. The set ups have to be pretty solid for me to trade intra day momo thus me usually staying away. Eyeing $NAK though showing strength after the downgrasde talk yesterday
11:28 am Curtis M : Got stopped flat JDST on break
11:31 am Jeff G : Curt, did you get stopped while we were on lunch?
11:31 am Curtis M : Ya just chaos wth other stuff lol but ya thanks for the coffee
11:32 am Jeff G : no prob I sold too 3 cent loss
11:33 am Jeff G : but trump announcement with Gold and OIl too should be interesting trading
11:33 am Mathew Waterfall : $NAk through res should go. $GVZ mentioned earlier on the mic up nicely as well
11:34 am Curtis M : nice play Mat back in 5
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT also wanting to go r/g
11:37 am Curtis M : back wow never thought this would be that much work 🙂 keeping me young
11:38 am Jeff G : ya you were busy there:) lets settle in and get some here
11:39 am Curtis M : 10 4 follow Mat he and crew on a heater – good traders in here
11:40 am Jeff G : okay well lets settle in and get em
11:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Don’t jynx me! Playing this next leg pretty cautious should clear up after trump this afternoon
11:40 am Curtis M : Mat Jeff’s a shart fyi Jeff met Mat
11:40 am Curtis M : shark lol
11:41 am Mathew Waterfall : lol that makes more sense
11:41 am Mathew Waterfall : My typos are rubbing off
11:41 am Curtis M : ok ready
11:41 am Jeff G : whats on the hot list?
11:42 am Curtis M : me – UWT DWT JNUG JDST and the ones we could run maybe are AMDA GENE BLPH
11:43 am Curtis M : <at has a god list too
11:43 am Curtis M : Mat
11:43 am Jeff G : ok lets do this – Ill bring em up
11:43 am Jeff G : Trump 1:00 Eastern correct?
11:43 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m looking at miners(duh) and some small cap oil. $NE, $SDRL, $BCEI in particular. Looking at options plays
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Yes I believe 1 est
11:44 am Jeff G : ready, I like the oil micro small play idea if oil breaks ceiling here
11:45 am Jeff G : also, we could run that AMDA up to 50 in a heartbeat if we want later
11:45 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp watching oil and some of the larger names to confirm upside
11:47 am Jeff G : $JDST really came off relative – that’s a gift if they’re on wrong side and that $AMDA theres guys in there that will run it fyi
11:48 am Jeff G : At 1 it should be who is offside
11:48 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m in $AMDA from earlier this week so pump away lol
11:49 am Jeff G : I wasn’t thinking pump… just know the guys that are in there they’ll run it or drop it – I betcha they run it today or Monday at latest
11:50 am Jeff G : I just search the ticker on Twitter and guys I know ya know kind of thing.
11:51 am Jeff G : I dont pump and advertise and tweet or anything, just buy or sell heavy
11:51 am Curtis M : heavy lol duty
11:51 am Mathew Waterfall : I know I was being scarcastic. It’s a good play for me with that low so close. Either it gets some lift or Im stopped
11:51 am Jeff G : whats your cost basis?
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : .38x
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Stop under that low at .35
11:52 am Jeff G : nice it looks like a 50 – 60 to me guessing where they’re in at based on chart
11:53 am Jeff G : $JDST just got buy side flow
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m playing for a gap fill but that may be optimistic
11:53 am Jeff G : Might happen
11:54 am Sartaj Hundal : Welcome to our new subscribers
11:55 am MarketMaven M : Thanks
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Maybe it runs back to its ATH at 140 lol wouldn’t that be grand. Impossible IMO
11:55 am OILK K : sassy
11:55 am Jeff G : 210!
11:55 am Jeff G : $DRYS $LEI etc
11:56 am Curtis M : Hey Sartaj hope all is well
11:56 am Sartaj Hundal : Are you taking a lunch break in a few, Curt?
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : hey even better. New house money as Curt would say if that happens
11:56 am Curtis M : omg I can take 3 mins now lol
11:57 am Jeff G : Curt and his down a house up a house hahahahahaha
11:59 am Curtis M : back
12:00 pm Curtis M : $JDST flat
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ZB getting real jiggy. Bonds looking like they want to blast off
12:08 pm MarketMaven M : c that
12:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : 152’15 is the launch pad. Over that things get going in a hurry
12:12 pm Jeff G : could b a lot of chop in the waves here hopefully the fish keep it safe
12:12 pm Curtis M : lol actually…
12:12 pm Curtis M : room full of full grown I think
12:13 pm Curtis M : good crew we haven’t got the kids not sure why
12:13 pm Curtis M : guru gets em
12:13 pm Jeff G : ya i read the transcripts good job
12:13 pm Jeff G : ok so I like your lists
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Assuming we stay status quo for the rest of the day, no +/- 1000 TICKs all week. zzzzzz
12:15 pm MarketMaven M : abe and trump are spending weekend together 🙂
12:15 pm MarketMaven M : or at least tonight
12:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : O man so many ways I could take that hahaha
12:16 pm MarketMaven M : They are happy happy so what does each get from the deal? We need to figure that out and we will know what announcement is then nbefore.
12:16 pm MarketMaven M : haha
12:17 pm MarketMaven M : Lets spend the night together… now I need you more than ever… hehe
12:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Next thing we know there’s rumors of another video
12:17 pm MarketMaven M : Abe needs low currency for economy
12:17 pm Jeff G : tough image
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : We need Japan to keep buyign our debt. We don’t really have a ton of leverage on that front but Trump doesn’t seen to care about that
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : My guess is Trump spins it more about new jobs in the US then currency. Something like they are working together to grow jops on both sides of the pacific together
12:19 pm Jeff G : But does the dollar go up or down?
12:19 pm MarketMaven M : They have to address currency or USD flies
12:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think they don’t ay anything about it which is what makes me nervous
12:20 pm MarketMaven M : if they say nothing it flies imo
12:20 pm Curtis M : good chat
12:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp agreed.
12:21 pm Davd Z : I think they try and keep currency right where it is. Not sure how.
12:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Long term USD wants to go down, IMO
12:23 pm Jeff G : $BLPH slithering to 80
12:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DUST large put buyers on the board
12:24 pm Jeff G : going to be fun
12:26 pm Jeff G : i thought you were nuts when you posted that SPY chart but hats off
12:26 pm Davd Z : lol
12:26 pm Davd Z : me too
12:26 pm Curtis M : thanks for the confidence lol
12:27 pm Jeff G : good call though
12:27 pm Jeff G : u play it?
12:27 pm Curtis M : no
12:27 pm Curtis M : better at models lol
12:28 pm Jeff G : truest statement today
12:28 pm Jeff G : dollar likely to rally and dive next week – but look at oil – its like they no something
12:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TGB flying today, Nich’s call out earlier in the week up yuge
12:29 pm Jeff G : i heard about nich where is he?
12:29 pm Curtis M : not sure
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : /zb just put in a really weird move. Don’t see that often still watching for $TLT positions but not doing much after seeing that big break
12:39 pm Curtis M : $VIX down 2.48% 10.6
12:39 pm Curtis M : $VIX LOD
12:39 pm Curtis M : $TVIX LOD
12:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might be time for a $TVIX weekend play
12:40 pm Curtis M : interesting times
12:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : will wiat for press conference, I assume things will go higher as usual on any kind of news
12:44 pm Curtis M : yup
12:54 pm Jeff G : testers in $AMDA see how it goes
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : I would add if it can get into that gap on $AMDA
12:58 pm MarketMaven M : $DXY r gr
01:00 pm Jeff G : gollar lifting
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Waiting on Trump and Abe get to the mic please
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trump on the mic
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : trump; free, fair, recipricol trade relationship. IE stop screwing us
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : wow not even close on spelling there lol
01:12 pm Shafique M : haha
01:13 pm Flash G : VIX calm
01:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Abe talking about abe lincoln. ok then
01:16 pm Davd Z : Thanks Mathew I am wihout TV here
01:16 pm Davd Z : In office
01:17 pm Davd Z : Listening to sales pitches
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Abe now tlaking about highspeed trains
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol this guy really is crazy
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Talking about jobs and the partnership between JPN and US. Nothing crazy
01:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Abe also uses the word fair, or his translater does anyway. slamming state owned companies, throwing shade at china
01:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : wow, really going after China. That’s going to make them happy Im sure lol
01:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now talking terrorism directly after tlaking about US armed forces in asian pacific and mention without name of south china sea conflict
01:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : This is more like it!
01:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now abe saying his gold game isn’t up to Trumps standard, but his policies always aim for the cup hahaha awesome
01:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Questions so far lame. Trump asked about the travel abn, Abe and TPP pull out.
01:29 pm Shafique M : $SINA flow
01:34 pm Ted E : $VIX internals near sleep mode
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Finally talks currency. says he wants a level playing field
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : trump that is
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : again uses fair. What we’ve all been waiting for
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well got a little action but not much. Cool with me
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just bought a little TVIX for the weekend. Will ditch if it slips too far
01:39 pm Ted E : wow
01:42 pm Jeff G : ghost town market
01:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp, more grinding it appears
01:45 pm MarketMaven M : $DXY moving
01:54 pm Curtis M : no herds
01:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Man, these momo plays have been THIN this week. Traders i talk to either getting chopped up or tradsing super small. tough market
01:59 pm Curtis M : $VIX 10.9
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TVIX not moving for me, no one buying. If and when we ever get a correction, it will be fought tooth and nail by BTFD’ers until it’s too late making it accelerate into the hole
02:01 pm Curtis M : yup
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : To be clear, I don’t think that is coming today or anything, but we have the perfect storm brewing if we ever get there
02:01 pm Curtis M : yup
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : But $TVIX is cheap and I like a reason to stay up at night wondering how my positions will gap so I buy some lol
02:03 pm Jeff G : funny
02:03 pm MarketMaven M : i do that
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Keeps us sharp I figure. Or that’s what I tell myself
02:03 pm Curtis M : lol
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NAK first trim. +5% from original entry this morning. somehow got out at 3.22 there form 3.07
02:13 pm Curtis M : $DXY its fair:)
02:14 pm Jeff G : might get rippy curt
02:24 pm Cara R : $PLUG again
02:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trailer on the rest of the $NAK position. Doesn’t look like Im going to do much else today
02:26 pm MAck M : Friday too
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp cuper light week, Friday afteroon. Recipe for a lul but every once in a while these boring afternoons get crazy so you never know
02:28 pm Jeff G : true that
02:29 pm Jeff G : north korea maybe?
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : O man ole Kim over there is probably about ready to fly to DC to meet with Trump any minute
02:31 pm Cara R : $GEBNE
02:32 pm Curtis M : y abeat me to it
02:41 pm Cara R : I like $AMDA $DWT for weekend swing so I will enter before close.
02:42 pm Cara R : The OPEC thing is sell the news.
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : I want to see who is actually in complaince. I read it’s 69% which makes me wonder if that means 69% of the members are complying or if they are twisting overall production figures and saying they are within 69% of the goal or something
02:43 pm Curtis M : OPEC a difficult call.
02:44 pm Curtis M : You’re likely right Cara but I have to sit out
02:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m not trading it either. Want to see it break the range one way or another
03:04 pm Curtis M : thesis: Abe has his time with Trump and when Sunday night comes boom
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : What do you think he will signal to the market? Tell Kuroda that they need to ramp jpy as much as possible before the jig is up?
03:07 pm Curtis M : ramp to the moon
03:07 pm Curtis M : just a theory
03:07 pm Curtis M : not a great thesis
03:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Bold move on their part
03:07 pm Curtis M : theyre all nuts
03:08 pm Curtis M : server crashed lol sorry
03:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now that I don’t disagree with. they’re crazy the whole lot of them
03:08 pm Nick I : yup
03:09 pm Curtis M : theroies
03:09 pm Curtis M : half of ya are on one side and othe r on other side of partition now – see same screen tho… servers lol
03:09 pm Nicholas Winton : greets all 🙂
03:10 pm Curtis M : hey nich
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : I see you were talking $NAK and $GENE
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : don’t forget $TGB
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : for copper
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NAK smoke show for me today
03:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : I posted $TGB and referenced you with it lol I didn’t play it but it’s up bigly
03:11 pm Nicholas Winton : yep- i mentioned it bottomed at 50c in 2008 crash
03:11 pm Nicholas Winton : and then rebounded to $7 in under 2 years
03:11 pm Nicholas Winton : as copper rose
03:13 pm Nicholas Winton : CPO.V for Canadian traders has been a beast- cobalt stock
03:13 pm Curtis M : $JNUG HOD
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m also in $TRQ which should get some lift as well
03:14 pm Nicholas Winton : agree Mat on $TRQ! btw just got home- any news on $PLUG?
03:16 pm Curtis M : THats it
03:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : First large $GDX call sweeps seen all day. Finally big money getting back behind the move
03:38 pm Jeff G : theyre in there
03:44 pm MarketMaven M : $PTCO dunked bad
03:45 pm OILK K : Closing out week with an entry in ….
03:45 pm OILK K : $TWTR!!!
03:46 pm Curtis M : low price
03:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Long? Goodluck
03:47 pm MarketMaven M : Make Twitter Great AGain
03:47 pm OILK K : Haha have a great weekend folks!
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : ciao guys and go TWTR
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : ha
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : Trump will save Twitter
03:48 pm MarketMaven M : exactly tremendously yuge
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : TWTR is like the enquirer with all its Trump leaks
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : lol
03:48 pm MarketMaven M : ya
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : except unlike Enquirer probably all true
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : ha
03:49 pm MarketMaven M : plug!
03:49 pm MarketMaven M : short covering
03:51 pm MarketMaven M : whoa
03:52 pm MarketMaven M : on that note have a good one – later craters
03:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hope it works for ya and there’s a nice bottom to use there.
03:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend all!
03:53 pm OILQ K : bye
03:53 pm Curtis M : cya guys
03:53 pm Nicholas Winton : someone pulled the plug on the shorts
03:53 pm Jeff G : I’ll say
03:54 pm Nicholas Winton : small stocks= big profits long in this bubble phase
03:54 pm Jeff G : looks like the momo top pick for monday
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : $nak continuation as well. Love that
03:56 pm Jeff G : $NAK a great play
03:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : $ASM also trying to close on highs
04:00 pm OILQ K : PLUG POWER!
04:00 pm OILQ K : Buy guys
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : hope you had a good week. See ya later
04:00 pm Curtis M : later peeps
Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.
Mid-Week Gold Trade Update
Here they come! Three critical decisions on deck for Gold traders! The double-down algorithm symmetry extension (yellow line on chart), the algorithmic chart model quadrant edge (blue line) and in classic charting the 200 MA currently at about 1263.50 ish.
If Gold clears those three levels and holds them, in our algorithmic modeling discipline this signals a significant reversal. To this point, if you refer back to my posts when Gold first turned, I explained this scenario was very possible (the double-down extension). BUT, the continued upward trend possibility beyond the double-down was not considered.
Let me put it this way, if you review far enough back you will find that I CALLED THE BOTTOM BEFORE THE TURN AND I CALLED IT MANY WEEKS IN ADVANCE LAST YEAR WHEN EVERYONE WAS B U L L I S H GOLD!
Imagine that, everyone is bullish and you call the turn and not only the turn but the exact (or near to) penny of the turn nobody knows is coming yet. Guess what? That could, COULD, happen again. But first! Lets see how the last three tests go!
Excited? I am, and I’m an algo.
Three Critical Decisions. Gold Algorithmic Model Charting Worksheet Feb 7 646 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Three Critical Decisions. Gold Algorithmic Model Charting Worksheet Feb 7 646 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Per previous;
Gold Algorithmic Model Charting Worksheet Jan 31 515 AM $GC_F $GLD $XAUUSD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST
Important levels our traders will be watching; the blue arrows are the algorithm quadrants, the white dotted lines are the diagonal algo support and resistance lines based on Fibonacci levels, the yellow arrow is an important symmetry extension from the previous low in Gold trade, the green arrows are important Fibonacci support and resistance, and the other horizontal lines are Fibonacci levels of interest for intra-day trade.
Between the two blue algo lines on this chart (which represent the algo trading quadrant), we consider this a decision zone. Above the top blue line is considered bullish and below is considered bearish – ultimately the battle for Gold continues.
To understand the story behind my charting visit our blog and review recent posts for a better understanding.
Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Monday Feb 6, 2017; $DRYS, $GALT, $AMD, $VRX, $GLDBS, $TOPS, $OPXA, $JUNO, $CBMX, $TRCH, $LGCY, $DUST etc…
Intro:
Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.
In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .
Notices:
Public Webinar Schedule:
Webinars are scheduled for this Saturday afternoon. For general public interested in understanding our services and algorithmic chart modeling. Also for existing members that wish to ask more detailed questions about the charting and trading our algorithmic charts.
Date: Saturday Feb 11, 2107
Location: Visit our website www.compoundtrading.com and click link to enter trading room and sign in as guest.
2:00 Epic the Oil Algorithm
2:30 Rosie the Gold Algorithm
3:00 SuperNova Silver Algorithm
3:30 US Dollar $DXY Algorithm
4:00 S&P and VIX (in development) models.
4:30 Swing Trading – What our service includes and success to date.
5:00 Trading Room – Introduction to our Trading Room
Trading Room News Memo – There is a new member memo out that updates our members on trading room news and upcoming events. It also discusses our upcoming announcement of weekly webinars for existing members that wish to use our work in a more in depth manner and prospective members that would like to understand more about what we do. These webinars will be weekly for all six algorithmic charting models, our swing trading service and our trade room – each being 30 minutes in length. You will find the memo here:
Overview Perspective & Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:
Traded out of my $OPXA weekend for small gain, scalped $DRYS seven times, scalped $VRX, and flat on a few others. Eleven trades with an average 300.00 profit – a day in the office to say the least. All of which I couldn’t alert outside of room because they were all minutes / scalps.
The real story of the day was Mathew killing with our members (being on the right side of the metals trade and others) and a visit from Hedge Hog trader in our room – he spent the day as a guest and served up some insight to our members about stocks he’s watching. If you aren’t following our associate trader Mathew and Nicholas (HedgeHog Trader) on Twitter you should be. They’re both masters of the game.
Speaking of master peeps in the game, Quarry who was gracious enough to give me a respectable shout out on the weekend – give him a follow! He’s an exciting trader, a good man and tapped in folks.
Also (per previous), I’m still on the wrong side of that Gold / Miners / Silver trade and I have absolutely no excuse because I knew months in advance the bottom call from Rosie the Gold Algo and SuperNova Silver Algo – and I even doubled down on $DUST the other day. HOWEVER, Gold does have two very significant hurdles coming overhead that have low probabilities of price action clearing (with-out a pull back) – unless of course geopolitical reasons change that.
I am of course watching our standards that apply to our algorithmic charting.
US Dollar $DXY and $USDJPY failed support and tanked Monday – will be interesting to see what BOJ does next.
$GOLD, Miners and $SILVER blew through resistance but have a series of very significant algorithmic chart modeling and classic charting decisions on deck soon.
$OIL was near / at decision resistance and backed off Monday.
$VIX is still near dead.
$SPY came off a bit Monday but nothing to consider.
Still playing morning momos and expect it to be active Tuesday.
Also watching some new plays talked about in room below today, and $ZAIS, $FNMA (Trump play – not currently in but have been trading them), $OPXA (out Monday morning as noted but I like the chart), $ASM (great story referred by HedgeHog Trader, watching very close), $DUST (looking for intermin Gold reversal as I am in 2/5 size so I may hammer other 3/5 and play a turn for a flat goal), $JUNO and $CBMX (will hold in to late spring if needed and may add), $TRCH and $LGCY (oil and Trump play).
And Epic the Oil Algo nailed the Friday target area – so the machines are still in it – that’s good – looking for a hit on target for Tuesday 10:30 AM now.
09:00 am Curtis M : Momo: $GALE, $NAKD, $PULM, $MYOS, $HAS
Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:
Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.
09:02 am Sandra Q : $GALE all out now
09:08 am Sammy T : $KIN Halt
09:18 am darnel t : Wwatching $OPXA and $RCON here now
09:19 am Carol B : $RCCON looks decent for open
09:21 am Carol B : $FNMA from Curts list consistent too lately
09:22 am Carol B : $ZAIS up from Curts lst too on Fri
09:27 am OILK K : $OPXA can go today
09:29 am OILK K : $MYOS
09:32 am Sammy T : $MYOS
09:33 am Frank R : $OPTT short
09:35 am Flash G : $HEAR HOD
09:36 am John M : $SEV strong
09:39 am Frank R : Getting some $GS here
09:42 am Trent P : $DRYS going to fly
09:44 am Jack D : $SDRL on the move
09:46 am Trent P : Long some $TSLA
09:47 am Trent P : Nice price
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Better late than never back in action now that the power came back on
09:47 am Trent P : haha
09:47 am Curtis M : morning
09:57 am Greg L : Curt your $CBMX looks great 10:04 am Curtis M : Sold $OPXA 1.11 avg tiny profit – from Friday weekend hold.
10:06 am Trent P : $WYNN
10:08 am Curtis M : Franks short on $OPTT play of the morning lol nice
10:11 am MarketMaven M : $TTPH HOD
10:12 am Sammy T : $WYNN long here for ull back try
10:15 am Sammy T : $PETX downgrade
10:16 am Mathew Waterfall : Power just cut out on me again. Just for the heads up I likely won’t be trading this morning in fear of another outage
10:16 am Curtis M : Looks like thats t for morning momo – I’ll keep a watch on other screens and scanners
10:16 am Curtis M : Loading standard issue charting now to take a look at oil Gold etc
10:41 am Curtis M : Quiet open
10:42 am Curtis M : Anything your watching Mathew?
10:42 am Mathew Waterfall : can you hear me?
10:45 am Curtis M : My quick recap for those that can’t listen to audio – Gold Silver Miners near interim resistance watching, watching oil for a god pull back for a long, $SPY concerned about MACD but watching for afternon run, not much else on my end.
10:46 am Rick M : Looks like a study morning and then maybe afternoon plays
10:47 am Curtis M : Oil coming off hard
10:48 am Mathew Waterfall : Yea not much really mving too hard outside of the metals and oil here. QUiet mornig overall with low volume on most everything that I’m looking at. I do expect to see the dollar come off and bonds to get with it though that may be a day or two away. I also am keeping an eye on some of the material stocks as $X and $AKS are fiving up their early gains which would be an indicator we may be going south
10:49 am Curtis M : I see a lot of GURUS got chopped up at open also Mathew – very choppy open
10:49 am Rick M : no doubt lol
10:49 am Curtis M : sorry left mic on
10:50 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp head fakes and false breakouts across the baord pretty much. Like you always say number one thing is preserve capital
10:50 am Slim L : $EBIO decent
10:51 am David Z : $OPTT sss was bank for me – thanks Frank!
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Love it to see members suggesting winners in here. Well done guys
10:54 am Slim L : EPIC saved my ass this morning – just saying Curt thanks
10:54 am Curtis M : ha
10:55 am OILK K : $ZGNX nhod
10:56 am Curtis M : Watching oil indicators close
10:57 am Curtis M : I think the buy zone is lkely 52.65 – .70 on $USOL we’ll see
11:03 am MarketMaven M : $DRYS VWAP
11:08 am Mathew Waterfall : market feels a bit weak here. TICKs are middling but closing on the downside of 0 and $SPY looks to be struggling tohold 229
11:10 am Rick M : Morning after Superbowl
11:11 am Mathew Waterfall : Traders are hung over I guess lol
11:11 am Rick M : I am
11:13 am Nicholas Winton : morning everyone! Hedgehog Trader here 🙂
11:13 am Mathew Waterfall : haha Rick. Pats or ATL fan?
11:14 am Mathew Waterfall : Nice to see you Hedgehog
11:14 am Rick M : ATL
11:15 am Mathew Waterfall : Damn. I was pulling for you guys. I’m from Seattle area. Not a huge Hawks fan but you alsways root for the team that kicks you out of the playoffs
11:16 am OILQ K : My $EBIO from Fri decent
11:17 am OILQ K : Think Curts rght on wating on oil here
11:17 am Curtis M : 50 50
11:17 am Mathew Waterfall : Back in some $NGD here long rope swing trade
11:17 am Mathew Waterfall : 2.6 stop
11:18 am Curtis M : $GDX intra res not far away
11:19 am Nicholas Winton : small cap gold miner Primero $PPP closing on 50 dma
11:20 am Nicholas Winton : after basing for 3 months
11:21 am Trent P : $MCD nHOD
11:25 am Mathew Waterfall : $PPP looks like a nice play. Quick stop right below at the .7 low as well
11:28 am Nicholas Winton : another slow boil i like is $FNMA
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ve heard that name recently a few differnet places. Not sure I will jump in but a lot of people seem to be
11:31 am Sammy T : $AMD hod
11:35 am Curtis M : Gonna go make coffee – back in 15
11:35 am David Z : $AMD complete beast
11:36 am Mathew Waterfall : $AKS swing against todays LOD. Add over 8.5
11:37 am Eddie D : Like it
11:37 am Nicholas Winton : nice
11:39 am Stephen T : I’ll have to ask Curt when he’s back but I think he’s looking for a break out over that diagonal trendline in Silver
11:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Thats just the fib trendline. A break would be great or it can just keep riding it up as well
11:40 am Stephen T : ok thanks
11:42 am Slim L : Likely quiet next hour $STUDY lunch for me
11:49 am CrazzzyCam R : Santelli drawing his puctures again on CNBC:)
11:50 am Mathew Waterfall : while I don’t hate his levles, those carts are rediculous
11:50 am CrazzzyCam R : yup
11:50 am CrazzzyCam R : I dont think he has Twitter or anything like that either haha
11:50 am CrazzzyCam R : Good rants though
11:53 am David Z : $FNMA hasn’t stopped is slow grind up
12:02 pm Eddie D : Looks like you may get your buy zone met in oil Curt
12:02 pm Curtis M : ya
12:04 pm Curtis M : Its quiet out there
12:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : My volume scanner has one ticker on it currently lol
12:06 pm Nicholas Winton : a nanocap I’m watching is $MJTK
12:07 pm Nicholas Winton : looks like a flag
12:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : DO you trade mostly the pennies and micros Nicholas?
12:13 pm Nicholas Winton : mostly stocks under $10
12:13 pm Nicholas Winton : but follow commodities and some larger stocks like Cameco
12:14 pm Nicholas Winton : i think we’re at the start of a big markt bubble
12:14 pm Curtis M : Loks like hes not with us
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : I agree. I need to take a look at those smaller names more often
12:15 pm Curtis M : Sorry that was supposed to be a prvate message lol
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Turned into just a message apparently lol
12:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Option flow is light today. Heavy $AAPL calls being bought righ off of the open but those have lightened up. Some metals/miners plays but nothing too huge. $GOGO also seeing a ton of put flow. Not much to remark in the indeces either way
12:20 pm Stephen T : Curts pulling a Tim S***** on his Twitter lolol
12:20 pm Curtis M : hey shhh
12:20 pm Curtis M : jeez
12:20 pm Curtis M : edit!
12:21 pm Larry A : funny
12:22 pm Curtis M : thought picture of money would get me followers was all
12:22 pm Nicholas Winton : ha 🙂
12:23 pm Curtis M : hes going to file a lawsuit i know it bahahaha
12:24 pm David Z : curts bored
12:24 pm Curtis M : look at that gold
12:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold/silver in honey badger mode today
12:25 pm David Z : ya wow
12:25 pm Curtis M : ill say
12:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Bought some $SLW down here. It will play catch up to the others shortly
12:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : $Ag and $SSRI similar names Im in and killing it today
12:26 pm Curtis M : Way to go Mat
12:26 pm Curtis M : If I listened to my own algos Id be banking with you
12:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea those algos were on point. nice confirmation for the move most of the way
12:27 pm Curtis M : Silver looks mean I gotta say
12:27 pm Curtis M : I like that $MJTK chart
12:29 pm Curtis M : nobody like my money pc ;lol
12:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha to get the real attention it’s got to be money on top of a ferrari or lambo with a half naked girl
12:30 pm Curtis M : have to kill somethng here this afternoon just one stupd lowsy penny runner please something plz
12:30 pm Nicholas Winton : SIL:SLV ratio very bullish looking
12:30 pm Nicholas Winton : for silver stocks
12:31 pm Curtis M : My wife has a load of candidates from poker world for that pic like Liv B***** or whatever her name is and a list as long as my arm they’re always over here
12:31 pm Curtis M : Great idea Mat
12:31 pm Curtis M : lol joke not doing it
12:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : hahaha
12:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AVXL VWAP test. Chart looks so-so
12:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : indicators turning on the 1′
12:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : Had volume then poof. So goes the market today
12:34 pm Curtis M : decent chart
12:34 pm Nicholas Winton : for silver watching small cap silver miners AXU ASM
12:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like $ASM. Opened a small position Friday in that name
12:35 pm Curtis M : ya is hedgehog around?
12:35 pm Curtis M : he was in here earlier?
12:36 pm Curtis M : jig on $NAKD
12:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : I thought Nicholas was hedgehog?
12:36 pm Curtis M : oh lol
12:37 pm Curtis M : thought nich was another nich
12:37 pm Curtis M : sorry nich and nich
12:41 pm Nicholas Winton : next time I’ll sign in as Hedgehog Trader
12:41 pm Nicholas Winton : no worries
12:42 pm Nicholas Winton : or add a Hedgehog avatar
12:42 pm David Z : ha
12:43 pm Nicholas Winton : i’m now wondering if we’re being lulled and everything rallies at day end
12:43 pm David Z : hope
12:43 pm Curtis M : better lol
12:43 pm Nicholas Winton : ha
12:43 pm Eddie D : coming
12:45 pm Nicholas Winton : i posted a cobalt play this morning for cdn traders CPO.V
12:45 pm Nicholas Winton : those are doing so well- and CPO is tiny and saw a lot of volume last week
12:46 pm Nicholas Winton : these niche sectors are doing well with the bubble environment
12:46 pm Nicholas Winton : worth watching
12:46 pm Eddie D : nice
12:47 pm Eddie D : those micros can double in a blonk
12:47 pm Eddie D : blink lol
12:47 pm Eddie D : blink blonk
12:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AVXL buys finally thoguh volume still light
12:48 pm Nicholas Winton : cobalt is up 70% this year because the Congo has been cut off as a supplier
12:48 pm Nicholas Winton : for using child slaves to mine.
12:48 pm Nicholas Winton : so suddenly a cobalt rush
12:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : Interesting. Macros swings there
12:49 pm Eddie D : looks like peeps getting back from lunch scanner perking up
12:49 pm Eddie D : get curt one of his double ups yet
12:50 pm Curtis M : YES
12:50 pm Nicholas Winton : another interesting metal is platinum
12:51 pm Curtis M : watching it close
12:51 pm Nicholas Winton : 2 producers have slashed production
12:51 pm Nicholas Winton : and plat usually trades at 20% prem to gold
12:51 pm Nicholas Winton : but right now gold is trading at 20% premium
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like and have a small position in $PLG there though looking for others
12:51 pm Nicholas Winton : yes PLG- going into commercial production in 3 months or less
12:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s the word and should rocket
12:52 pm Nicholas Winton : so good catalyst
12:52 pm Nicholas Winton : last Feb iirc $PLG went up huge
12:52 pm Nicholas Winton : not sure on the seasonality of it but interesting
12:54 pm Eddie D : sound of my ears listening very closely
12:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : All of the metals/miners were mving large last spring but it seems like it was just a bit late to the party which is what Im looking for this year
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : usd/jpy getting slammed here
12:56 pm Nicholas Winton : last Feb $PLG went from $1.15 or so to $2
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im shooting for 2.4 as the first target from here
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : $4 would be after that with a couple resistance areas in between
12:59 pm Larry A : Which equity Mathew?
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $plg
01:00 pm David Z : I was just thinking of those Lambo pics with Liv B***** hmmm
01:00 pm David Z : sorry buut true
01:01 pm Curtis M : edit!
01:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : TICKs starting to try to make some much lower lows here
01:01 pm Stephen T : Gold up and over it seems
01:02 pm Curtis M : that yellow line is a serious double down extension point but yu should be good to go until then stephen – should
01:02 pm Curtis M : even after who knows but its a serious symmetry crossroads
01:03 pm Curtis M : Mat you researched $ASM?
01:05 pm Nicholas Winton : my note: $ASM 1.6M oz silver production this year and 1.7-2.1 next year plus gold production starting late 2017
01:05 pm Stephen T : Mat likes it
01:06 pm Curtis M : best Silver play?
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AVXL getting it
01:07 pm Nicholas Winton : $ASM it’s my silver fav- 50M shares and great CEO
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea I like $ASM and $NGD in gold should get some nice rebound as well
01:07 pm Nicholas Winton : small stocks should do v well in this bubble
01:08 pm Curtis M : i might hit one really hard
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Let me know so I can front run you lol but chances are Im already in it I’m in a few names across the baord
01:11 pm Curtis M : Mat – Gold over res on your charts?
01:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp
01:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Aiming for 1250.9 fib at this point
01:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : 1227.5 swing high was my last breka out point
01:15 pm CrazzzyCam R : sounds right
01:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have some heavy reisstance with that fib and some other support/res lines from 1250.9-1253ish
01:19 pm Curtis M : Sorry I hit $AMD at 13.47 long … distracted with Silver
01:19 pm Curtis M : Small order 2000
01:22 pm darnel t : $DRYS NHOD break out
01:22 pm darnel t : $DRYS
01:24 pm Larry A : $CBMX add
01:26 pm Slim L : $DRYS ER tomorrow lol
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : O lord holding into $DRYS earnings? That takes some fortitude right there
01:28 pm David Z : Its at a new hi too
01:29 pm David Z : In $SINA for strength test
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have no clue. That thing has split and reverse split so many times. I know it’s like a million below where it was 10 years ago
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : 2007 high 1516947.8 lolol
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Worse than $VXX!
01:31 pm CrazzzyCam R : Its a short interest play – only thing that makes sense
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : yea
01:31 pm darnel t : Stopped on $AMD flat
01:32 pm Curtis M : My stop a cent below yours then
01:33 pm Curtis M : Maybe I should have left w ya
01:34 pm Larry A : No traction yet stalled out here scans quiet
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out a portion of this week $TLT 121c’s at .29 form .14
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Still holing some for amore higher but trade is greem even if left over finsh as doughnuts
01:36 pm Rick M : Double top $DRYS indicators up vol coming 01:38 pm Curtis M : Out $AMD flat
01:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : usd/jpy getting monkey hammered hard ehre holy ish
01:39 pm Rick M : monkey time 🙂
01:40 pm Curtis M : Oil almost in buy zone 01:43 pm Curtis M : In the $DRYS casino at 4.88
01:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out some of the next week $NUGT 12.5c’s at .89 from .5. Only a few left wanted to roll but none of the rolls made sense so will readd on any dips
01:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out some more of those $TLT calls at .34 from .14
01:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will set a stop in the .20’s and let them cruise
01:47 pm Sammy T : $SCIX long
01:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looking at $FCX here
01:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : Weekly 16c’s at .29
01:49 pm MarketMaven M : Why is $DRYS running lol?
01:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : Why is water wet?
01:49 pm Carol B : hahaha
01:50 pm Carol B : $DCIX
01:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Other shippers might see some play here. $ESEA, $SALT etc
01:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not my plays though 01:55 pm Curtis M : $DRYS out 4.99
01:55 pm Nicholas Winton : ESEA is nice 19M mkt cap can move
01:56 pm John M : $TSLA nice play
01:56 pm John M : $DRYS u nailed that exit haha
01:57 pm Curtis M : mised top
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDXJ lotto’s for friday. 42.5c’s at .19
02:04 pm Flash G : don’t do it curt
02:05 pm Curtis M : Good call on $TSLA guys
02:05 pm John M : ss $PULM
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : $PUL looks ready for a rollover
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : $PULM 02:07 pm Curtis M : Long $DRYS 02:09 pm Curtis M : Long $VRX
Didn’t alert in room I entered and exited within 10 mins for a small .20 win – it was a very, very busy day with 11 trades.
02:10 pm Curtis M : nice
02:10 pm Curtis M : lol
02:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : $HL swing against 6.4. Will add another rung over 7.25 02:12 pm Curtis M : Out $DRYS in $GLBS 02:16 pm Curtis M : Out $GLBS nice little win 02:17 pm Curtis M : in $TOPS 02:17 pm Curtis M : Got $TOPS at pull back so hoping it pops
02:17 pm Curtis M : wack a mole
02:19 pm Eddie D : $GLNS squeeze time 02:20 pm Curtis M : Out $TOPS flat
02:21 pm Curtis M : Those were too quick to alert
02:21 pm Flash G : I’ll say
02:22 pm Flash G : $CXRX squeezing last 20 mins
02:24 pm Curtis M : Oil getting close
02:24 pm Curtis M : Pit in 5
02:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : Is there even a pit anymore? I knolw they mark commodities at 2:30 but didn’t they close the NYMEX pit?
02:26 pm Curtis M : $GALT vol 02:27 pm Curtis M : Long $GALT
02:27 pm Curtis M : Yes two months ago
02:27 pm Nicholas Winton : micro mj $NWGFF
02:27 pm Curtis M : Still action – I call it pit I shouldn;t
02:27 pm Curtis M : its like a mgic time I’ll call it that
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : I still call it pit close as well
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : What I saw abou it closing was barely a footnote
02:29 pm Curtis M : Man I thought $GALT might go at that pull back
02:30 pm Curtis M : The Nymex xlosed end of Dec but crude still settles at 230
02:30 pm Nicholas Winton : Novagold $NG popped above 200dma
02:31 pm Nicholas Winton : hasnt been there since Sept 02:31 pm Curtis M : Out $GALT flat
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : scanners fers. $GORO, $NG, $GPL
02:32 pm Curtis M : No oil trade for me
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : $PVG, $FSM, $AGI
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : all seeing expanding colume chasing this move
02:34 pm Rick M : Well I like Pit its bas azz
02:34 pm Curtis M : What a day for miners and gold
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp they are all seeing a ton of call buying here all day as well
02:36 pm Curtis M : Way to go longs
02:36 pm Curtis M : I don’t think I;ve ever sat through the wrong side of a turn for this long my whole life
02:37 pm Curtis M : Daily reminded lolol
02:37 pm Curtis M : Literally missed a new house
02:37 pm Larry A : whoa
02:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Good thing about this game is there are alway smore opportunities
02:37 pm Curtis M : cards never end
02:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : exactly 02:40 pm Curtis M : Long $DRYS
02:42 pm Curtis M : scalp scalp scalp
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Ultimate lotto $GPL Mar 2.5c’s at .05. This will need the 2.25 level in the next week or so to pay well on these
02:45 pm Curtis M : Sweet play on metals wow
02:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Crazy statement: Some of these smaller miners have some catching up to do and will blast off if gold keeps going. Like the small cap oil plays some of them have a bit of lag built in at times
02:47 pm Curtis M : BOJ void
02:47 pm Curtis M : ok ready
02:48 pm Curtis M : u throw the ball and Ill hit it lol
02:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NGD, $TRQ, and $PLG a couple I scopped up more shares in today
02:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : If new entries waiting to see what gold does tomorrow isn’t a horrible idea. We got a similar move albeit to lower hioghs 2 weeks ago only to sell off pretty hard. That move peaked on a tuesday or wednesday I believe and sold off after
02:50 pm Curtis M : DO NOT SHORT DRYS YET
02:51 pm Curtis M : Something going on with that earnings – something odd
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDXJ calls at .31 from .19 already. Im holding into tomorrow but not a bad place to trim a bit Im thinking
02:53 pm Curtis M : great plays Mat
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thanks!
02:53 pm Rick M : agree
02:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Whoa. $SHLD not looking so hot https://twitter.com/felixsalmon/status/828692700635475970
02:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sorry article link https://www.wsj.com/articles/warning-signs-mount-on-sears-turnaround-bid-1486406699 03:01 pm Curtis M : Out $DRYS another scalp
03:01 pm Nicholas Winton : dry scalp
03:01 pm Nicholas Winton : use a moisturizer
03:02 pm Nicholas Winton : *crickets*
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : badum tiss
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : More than just trade ideas in here today folks
03:03 pm Nicholas Winton : good folks, bad jokes?
03:03 pm CrazzzyCam R : lol nicholas theyre just fine
03:05 pm Nicholas Winton : watch smallcap miner $THM
03:05 pm Larry A : $GLBS turning up
03:05 pm Nicholas Winton : closing in on 200dma and it does tend to run when there’s room
03:05 pm Nicholas Winton : $THM that is
03:05 pm Nicholas Winton : look at all the Alaska gold plays all benefit from Trump
03:06 pm Nicholas Winton : $THM $NAK $NG
03:06 pm Nicholas Winton : i think they are all going to soar this year
03:06 pm Sammy T : $TOPS crapped out
03:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was in $NG and sold to move to another position. Should have stayed in. I like $THM
03:07 pm Nicholas Winton : THM mkt cap 100M and has 12M oz gold
03:08 pm Nicholas Winton : and a wide following
03:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : wow. In the ground but damn that’s impressive
03:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looks like over .75 it shold have some legs
03:08 pm OILK K : looks good
03:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : possibly inverse H&S look as well
03:09 pm Greg L : Just noticed the Dry scalp funny:)
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : lots of puns available for rent
03:12 pm Greg L : tough action today except metals and a few others i gues
03:12 pm Nicholas Winton : my tiny cobalt explorer seeing volume again today CPO.V
03:13 pm Cara R : nice chart too Nich
03:13 pm Nicholas Winton : one of the last few cobalt stocks to be discovered
03:14 pm Nicholas Winton : CUZ.V is another nice one but CPO much smaller and i like that
03:15 pm Cara R : Study time on that one for me thanks Nich!
03:16 pm Nicholas Winton : you’re welcome, i like it
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT holding up into the close is a good sign there. Still want to nail that move round two outside of thse small call plays. Over 120.4 and Im back in
03:17 pm Curtis M : Nicholas has lots of ideas you would like Cara 03:18 pm Curtis M : I’m long that $DRYS break in case you didn’t gues lol
03:19 pm Nicholas Winton : this month should be interesting- shippers often move with miners
03:20 pm Curtis M : 5 or 6 scalps at 300 paid for my ass sitting here all day
03:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Had to do it. Sold some of those $GDXJ calls at .35 from .19. Too easy to pass up on a weekly exp
03:20 pm Stephen T : go one
03:20 pm Stephen T : good
03:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Still have about half left for the continuation but that sell basically paid for the originall entry
03:21 pm Curtis M : bank nice
03:21 pm Nicholas Winton : anyone else think NUGT is headed to 17+?
03:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now stop at originak entry and let it do its thing
03:21 pm Curtis M : sleeping with his green
03:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : In a box that says Fragile on it. I think it’s pronounced fra-G-lay. Must be italian 03:23 pm Curtis M : I sold flat
03:23 pm CrazzzyCam R : ha
03:26 pm Curtis M : hard to say Nicholas – I think Gold in for a few bumps soon but who knows – you thinking yes?
03:26 pm Eddie D : likely more
03:28 pm Curtis M : $DRYS didnt sell off
03:28 pm Curtis M : In on that break again
03:31 pm Curtis M : Ill tell ya $DRYS with right report tomorrow could be super nova time
03:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Small $THM starter
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Those $GDXJ calls now at .475 lol sold a bit early good thing I held some
03:33 pm David Z : wow
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : They’ll see some premium decay here late in the day but I have a order to close at a tripple tomorrow if we get follow through
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : More sweeps for $GDX, $GLD, $SLV etc all afternoon. Crazy steam in those names across the board
03:38 pm CrazzzyCam R : what a day
03:43 pm Curtis M : I might hold on lol
03:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : for earnings? I will say a prayer for you
03:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out some more $GDXJ calls right here for a cent or 3 shy or a 3 bagger. Just a couple left for a move higher. I’m a sucker for easy money
03:47 pm Lou Ramone : Mathew Curt All
03:47 pm Stephen T : awesome
03:47 pm Lou Ramone : hola
03:48 pm Stephen T : hola
03:48 pm Lou Ramone : I’m long nugt: any suggestion?
03:48 pm Stephen T : i think curts deep in a trade
03:48 pm Lou Ramone : k will wait
03:48 pm Stephen T : Mat knows nugt 03:49 pm Curtis M : out of course 03:49 pm Curtis M : scalp #7
03:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : Where are you long from and what’s your timeline? I think these miners to get some continuation into tomorrow with gold strength
03:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold hasn’t hit my levels yet so I’m still hanging in
03:50 pm Curtis M : gold looks like a long to me too lou
03:50 pm Lou Ramone : since fri … 1usd by 100 . 700 in total
03:50 pm Nicholas Winton : silver looks great
03:50 pm Lou Ramone : will wait then
03:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : If you’re in options like I have been playing intraday it’s a different scenario
03:50 pm Nicholas Winton : $ASM closing in on 200dma
03:50 pm CrazzzyCam R : silver i agree
03:50 pm Nicholas Winton : a lot of small miners could erupt
03:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp. Im banking on it
03:51 pm CrazzzyCam R : tomorrow might be curts kind of day
03:51 pm Lou Ramone : swing trade I will say
03:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT calls now 1.33 from .5. Im holding the rest if that tells yo anything about my view Lou
03:52 pm Lou Ramone : perfect!!!
03:52 pm Curtis M : lol funny ya true I make all my money in like 20 – 30 days a year thats it lol the rest is scalps
03:52 pm Curtis M : but when i do lol
03:52 pm Curtis M : $ASM nice chart
03:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : $PPP running as well. Nice call Hedgehog. This crew in here today is straight killing it. Scalps, swings, analysis. Well done everyone
03:53 pm Nicholas Winton : sweet
03:54 pm Nicholas Winton : note a couple of weeks ago, we heard $ASM is ramping silver processing capacity 70%
03:55 pm Nicholas Winton : and announced go ahead of a past-producing gold mine
03:55 pm Nicholas Winton : in BC
03:55 pm Curtis M : trpled last time
03:55 pm Nicholas Winton : if you think we’re in a bubble for assets, ASM not a bad little play
03:57 pm OILQ K : $NFLX jiggggy
03:58 pm OILQ K : shippers and maybe small cap metals tomorrow it appears
03:58 pm OILQ K : appears
03:58 pm Lou Ramone : when metals is over I wanted to ask about oil
03:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX saw some call action right into the close
03:59 pm Curtis M : we have a webinar this weekend
03:59 pm Curtis M : schedule comes out tonight
03:59 pm Curtis M : perfect opp
04:00 pm CrazzzyCam R : cya tomorrow
04:00 pm Eddie D : cheers all
04:00 pm Slim L : peaca!!!!
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good night all. hope you banked some today. Im off to clear some downed trees and limbs
04:00 pm Curtis M : bye guys
04:00 pm Nicholas Winton : cheers everyone, thanks Curtis
04:00 pm Lou Ramone : bye
04:00 pm Nicholas Winton : great room
04:00 pm Curtis M : 🙂
Stock Trading Plan for Monday Feb 6, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $GALE, $NAKD, $PULM, $MYOS, $HAS – $OPXA $TRCH, $LGCY, $CBMX, $JUNO $DUST – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!
Notices:
NA
Current Holds:
$OPXA, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO (all very small), $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).
General Market Outlook:
With Gold $GLD, Silver $SLV, Miners $GDX, Oil $WTI coming to areas of resistance, $DXY near support, will be a series of decisions soon.
With Gold $GLD, Silver $SLV, Miners $GDX, Oil $WTI coming to areas of resistance, $DXY near support, will be a series of decisions soon.
Tyson Foods shares up some 7% premarket after earnings beat, raised guidance
Aratana says ENTYCE will not be commercially available until Q4; shares down 18% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3240724-aratana-says-entyce-will-commercially-available-q4-shares-18-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $PETX #sitif…
Aratana says ENTYCE will not be commercially available until Q4; shares down 18% premarket
Israel’s Delek offers $524M for Ithaca Energy http://seekingalpha.com/news/3240722-israels-delek-offers-524m-ithaca-energy?source=feed_f … #premarket $DGRLY $IACAF
Gallup US Consumer Spending averaged $88 in November http://seekingalpha.com/news/3240721-gallup-us-consumer-spending-averaged-88-november?source=feed_f … #premarket
Chipotle’s stock slumps 1.9% premarket after downbeat report in Barron’s
Hasbro’s stock jumps further, soars 11% premarket after Q4 results
$GALE PREMARKET up 78% Trading Plan Chat Room Stocks
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(3) Other Watch-List: $ZAIS, $OPXA, $IMFI, $FNMA, $ASM
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)
(5) Upgrades: $APO $COG $PRAH $TOT $TRUE $DRE $RRC $DAL $AAL $XOG $PGNX $FDX $CRR $CYTK $COG $XOG $DRE $X as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
(6) Downgrades: $VSTO $LGIH $CPN $PRXL $TIF $VR $LH $GALE $TIF $AN as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
