Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday Nov 9, 2016.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted) .

Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Today’s Trades And Alerts: $THC, $XIV, $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $X, $VXX, $TVT, $MDCA, $XLF, $CXW, $GEO, $TRIP

We had the snap-back lined up even before the election. Recently the $HTZ low in the room was a big call and then now the election call. Things are good!

I knew all along Trump would win (see Twitter feed – I warned repeatedly)

and I knew markets would rally (again with many warnings).

Why is this important? It’s to brag of course… no actually… it’s called being a good trader. That’s what we do and the idiots leading the sheep around with all their bullsh*t really start to piss me off lol. Time to say it straight – if you’re going to be a good trader you need to see around the corner (this GPS instead of what you see out your windshield). Very important for the newer traders to think on that – beyond getting tooled up with technicals and indicators and knowing how to size trades and cutting fast and actually studying and learning and reviewing previou trades etc… knowing what markets are going to do in advance is critical to your survival.

I’m not going to spend much time review the below…. the premarket today is really active and I want to be prepared for the next week of trading – big opportunities here. And I’ll try and get Tuesday’s Post Market done sometime soon too (lots of lessons to reveiw there). We start on intensive charting and algo trading Monday so I’ll try and get caught up this weekend.

 

Today’s Live Trading Room Text Transcript

09:03 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching: $X $XIV $CXW $GEO $THC $TRIP $USOIL … more to come
09:17 am GSCT . : You’re good.
09:17 am Curtis Melonopoly : thanks!
09:24 am Curtis Melonopoly : back in 3
09:30 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching open – no pennies – long $XIV likely soon
09:30 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV right out of gate
09:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out at 37.09 and back in
09:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Going to hold $XIV thru downdraft and add with swing account
09:38 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $THC 15.57 avg swing
09:44 am Curtis Melonopoly : Sorry guys our onboarding kicked everyone out lol – oh well – 2 rooms going today. Stay put.
09:50 am Curtis Melonopoly : Out $XIV 37.94 looking for pull back then re-enter
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at renter on $XIV $SPY is testing resistance from yesterday
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : $THC holdling until late day
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : OIL and STEEL I’m looking at entries lunch hour
09:54 am GSCT . : You’re talking $SPY?
09:54 am GSCT . : re all time highs
09:56 am GSCT . : Best way to play $SPY with smaller account? $XIV?
10:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : Yes $XIV with this move – opposite volatitily
10:04 am GSCT . : Can you point to the pink and blue lines. Hard to see your cursor with the lag.
10:04 am GSCT . : And thank you.
10:08 am GSCT . : Sweet.
10:11 am Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 20 mins watching for $SPY resistance break 214.57 whil gone
10:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : PS get yourself tradingview.com it’s cheap get the PRO version and appropriate add-ons less than 50 a month
10:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : back in 20
10:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : I’m not getting aggressive this morning – waiting till afternoon or tomorrow – expect this move to go on for 9 calendar days or so
10:49 am Curtis Melonopoly : back – screening for plays
10:51 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for break of resistance on $SPY to enter long in swing account
10:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Or if I get enough downdraft on $SPY I’ll play $XIV for width – need width – margin
10:58 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for long in oil once machines kick in
11:00 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for break of high in US Steel $X and expect it to run
11:00 am Curtis Melonopoly : $CXW looking for run this afternoon
11:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : $THC is swing in sing account small position target 17.06… will hold unless 3% downdraft on low of day – stop out
11:04 am GSCT . : I hope you’re hard wired and not on WiFi.
11:06 am Curtis Melonopoly : I won’t be hard wired for a week or so lol
11:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : Running screens on plays – back in 5
11:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : get your buy orders ready on $XIV
11:28 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV
11:28 am Curtis Melonopoly : Early but whatever
11:33 am GSCT . : What was your $XIV entry
11:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV 38.48 entry
11:34 am GSCT . : Nice.
11:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV 38.50 stop and if needed re-enter
11:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Small account so far waiting for pull back on my swing account to enter because I’m early I think
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : I like to vol play here as well. Put some wood into VXX puts again earlier today
11:35 am GSCT . : Oil spiking
11:36 am Mathew Waterfall : /CL also just went vertical
11:42 am Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV stopped 38.58
11:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 38.79 going to sit thru pain if I have to on small account order
11:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Swing account large buy in about an hour ish
12:00 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Holding $THC and $XIV – will hold both or either through pain trade – taking early lunch and back in 30 or so for afternoon fireworks!!! Gonna be a good afternoon.
12:01 pm Curtis Melonopoly : No stop on $XIV and it’s on small acoount… will enter after lunch large swing position likely
12:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : /NG finally catching some action. Play in your dare
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : *if
12:53 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Back for afternoon session.. back in a few running scans
01:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $TBT, $MDCA, $XLF, $XIV, $USOIL $WTI, $$CXW, $THC, $X
01:20 pm Curtis Melonopoly : If u ask question in room I may not see it – better to DM my twitter or email info@compoundtrading.com
01:24 pm Robert Norman : Hi! I’m all new here,is there something special I should know here when I’m looking at the charts?
01:35 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 38.395 in large swing acct
01:36 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Robert – just email and we’ll respond info@compoundtrading.com or DM twitter mine
01:38 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Stopped $XIV looking for re-entry flat
02:02 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $UWTI 19.44 1/3 size will cut fast
02:14 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $UWTI out 19.26 loss
02:31 pm GSCT . : Can see that. Volume not easy to see on the chart. You need lighter colors for that.
02:31 pm GSCT . : Video now blank fo rme.
02:33 pm Robert Norman : Did you switch from Screen Sharing?
02:44 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Loooking at size in $XIV in 5ths 1/5 today
02:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 1/10 size 39.27 scale over next 24 hours the rest
02:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $XIV is 500 shares of 1/10 39.27
02:50 pm GSCT . : The room is still on beta.
02:50 pm GSCT . : in
02:53 pm Curtis Melonopoly : sorry bout the charts obvious computer start challenges lol – charts coming
02:53 pm Curtis Melonopoly : any better?
02:58 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Back in 10
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : back for EOD
03:31 pm Curtis Melonopoly : If your bearish I would reconsider FYI
03:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Holding positions overnight and looking at scaling $XIV in the morning. Should be lots on the watchlist tomorrow.
03:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hope everyone killed it today. I’m still in VXX puts, UWTI, some small bios, and very small gdx left
03:47 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Thinking Tech, Bio, and maybe oil big plays tomorrow
03:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Have a great night Mathew!
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : I trimmed a lot premarket on the large pop. I’m expectin gmore long term but it might take a while to catch up
03:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : We’ll start on algo charting Fri or Mon
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds good. Have a good night, get some sun for un in the dark north
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : /NG got a pop and I got the f out
03:49 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Night all.

Topics: $THC, $XIV, $SPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $X, $VXX, $TVT, $MDCA, $XLF, $CXW, Stockmarket, Wallstreet, Daytrading, Stocks, Trading Room, Chat Room


My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday November 8, 2016.

Election Day!

Two big things today… it is election day… but more importantly (for my trading at least)… EPIC the Oil Algo has locked in his math on time / price cycles and that means BIG TRADING coming there very soon (it’s exciting for me anyway – it means bank on top of bank cometh).

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after election.

As with recent… I’m sitting tight and trading scalps until after election – yesterday portfolio +3.5% increase and Friday +6.3% so that’s just fine for now.

Post election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades with goal to compound accounts 10k to 1MM in 26 mos (however, as in last nights post market report, I may kick that up a notch to a 6 month curve – stay tuned).

So for now so detailed pre-market trade plan – after election however very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development. Also, refer to pre and post market reports for last week or so if you wish to view my bias with any specific sector etc.

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I explained my position on morning momo stocks in detail in yesterday’s premarket if you’re interested (bottom line they carry risk so I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk).

Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV) FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), more to come in trading room before market open.  

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatitility. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win everytime here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades until after election.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

Per yesterday’s post… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators and algo indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Per yesterday “There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open.”

EPIC published algorithmic updates with alpha algo targets and time / price cycle terminations and traditional charting trendlines representing support and resistance! REVIEW THOSE POSTS IN DETAIL!!! This I have learned is critical. Yesterday’s trade I got that increased my small account portfolio 3.5% was all because I actually listened to the algo and took that trade yesterday.

EPIC expects a big move up or down before end of this Friday so BE SURE TO KNOW YOUR LINES!!!

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Per yesterday and last few weeks (I haven’t done much here because I rely on the algo targets and we don’t expect anything predictable until after election) “Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.”

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV and Copper

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Watching for a snap back and how price handles a snap back. Risky still – until otherwise. 2.90 area looks critical to me.

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compoound predictability shortly after election (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/, https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday Nov 7, 2016.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat is deleted for this post) .

Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade evidence (also in permanent archive – I’ll start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list lol).

In addition to chat (per below), this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Today’s Trades

Today was a very frustrating day!!! I didn’t want to stress on it while in chat room but my exchange data problem from ICE (see post earlier) almost sent me over the edge because of course I thought IN PART it was our fault or something… so we ran test after test on our software and hardware almost until 2 PM lol!!! Then, we find out it wasn’t our problem at all ha ha ha.

WHICH, that reminds me…. we have so much to do around here getting set-up that I can’t say exactly when this is going to start but I am going to test my ability to compound small accounts and shoot for either a 3 month or more likely a 6 month 10k to 1.14 MM compound on a small account – we just need a few days to form our plan and then we’ll start posting daily on it. 6 months BTW would be about 4 times as fast so instead of 1% per day that would be 4% per day compound (or 4 successful 1% trades per day and with 1 or 2 not working that’s basically a trade an hour – NOT EASY BUT POSSIBLE). If you are wondering what this “compound stock trading” is and how my goal is to take 10k accounts from 10k to 1MM in 26 months or less follow the link.

Chat Room Log / Trades

09:18 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $CTB $WATT
09:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $LIVE $CTB $WATT $LC $TROV

Above was my morning watchlist for morning momo plays… I try to get them out sooner but the stocks develop as the morning progresses… anyway, the reason I am commenting on this is that over time we will have a much more comprehensive pre-market session for prep for these plays… it isn’t our current core, but we will have this developed over next few months.

09:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching market open for momentum stocks.
09:23 am Curtis Melonopoly : Trading view charting lag is actually from tradingview itself this morning – they say it will be fixed soon. There is a notice on each chart when loading.
09:24 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $LIVE $CTB $WATT $TXMD $LC
09:29 am Curtis Melonopoly : Here we go – strap in – GL!
09:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching oil for a bounce and momos right now
09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UWTI long

I had the FX: $USOIL $WTI play pegged early in day because I knew the market was in bull mode and oil has been depressed – so in other words it had a catalyst and I have indicators and technical tooling most traders don’t… so I just need it to move (up or down).
09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : That alpha algo TL line (red) is in play
09:45 am Curtis Melonopoly : No morning momos for me this morning.

There actually were some morning momentum stocks I likely would have entered (especially as the morning progressed – but the charts and my tilting because of it left me no logical option – trading while tilted is not good).
09:46 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching for standard play in oil, Gold, silver, VIX, SPY or continued momentum’s – back in a few mins.
09:51 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching oil for bounce for entry…. not convinced
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Also watching for follow-through with some gainers and momentum’s https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
09:54 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I’m going to contact a few larger oil traders I know and see what they see the oil market doing over next 48 hours – back in 10 or so – I don’t like where it bounced here or the volume
10:03 am Curtis Melonopoly : Here’s crude oil first test to upside
10:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : Very weak – but it can go
10:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : So here comes support test
10:05 am Curtis Melonopoly : Thin purple line is traditional support trend line and red algo TL
10:11 am Curtis Melonopoly : On phone with oil trader I know… back in 15 min at most.
10:12 am Curtis Melonopoly : Upper arrow upside potential intra, lower arrow is low potential intra and mid arrow algo line – tough play mid range with oil
10:31 am george d : Curtis almost done calls back in 5 …
10:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : No conviction in oil buying… only way I can take a trade long is at the lower diagonal trendline (blue)
10:38 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I will set alarms for oil and then look at trending stocks intra for entries
10:38 am susan woo : Curtis, how do your gold/silver/miners algo look?
10:39 am susan woo : I recall you saying you were interested in AUMN last week
10:39 am susan woo : Tnanks:)
10:41 am Curtis Melonopoly : Hey Susan… sory about not seeing your question last week… my pre and post newsletters kind of touch on it… we’re waiting for election… without election consideration I was looking for downdraft then long… tough call till election – Hillary Trump war unpredictable
10:41 am Curtis Melonopoly : Ok going to look at trending intra stocks for entries – back soon
11:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : A lot of chasing here… still running screens… likely won’t be in any plays until lunch / afternoon session with trending solid indicators only for now.
11:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : Guys and gals… if you’re concerned with public posts be sure you sign in anonymous – like now lol – it’s a public room
11:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I’m running screeners on trending stocks for afternoon session. Also checking our algos for Oil, Gold, Silver, VIX, SPY for aft session.
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Just popped in to say I’m all out of those VXX puts. Worked very nicely holding over the weekend. Reloading a bit in JNUG and GDX calls that I got out of last week for another pop. Won’t trade much between now and Wednesday with clown show going on
11:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Also to note, interesting call spread options in GLD for those looking for a play there. Calls are pretty juiced on the high end making spreads attractive
11:32 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $FCX, $TWTR (rumors again), $DRNA, $IMPV, Crude for 43.40 ish $UWTI entry, $VIX , and rumors with NATO re: Russia… still running scans for afternoon
11:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Grabbing quick lunch back in 30 to get some wins in bag
12:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX starting to curl up
12:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback here. This is a lot of short covering to me and looks to have stalled a bit. Went flat on my /ES plays
12:39 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Ok back from lunch – running scans for aft plays
01:02 pm Curtis Melonopoly : SO… tradingview.com experiencing data issues today from exchanges – we get ours fixed and theirs goes stupid lol – so I’m on stockcharts.com for the remainder of day – not ideal to say the least
01:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : So much noise today. I’m closing positions from this point I think. Got out of $USLV early but that’s what I get for being cautious
01:15 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UUP for possible long pending chart
01:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UUP (not sure if that alert posted)
01:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Ah yes it did lol
01:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Waiting for a decision on dollar, VIX and some other indicators before I start trading longs in market – chicken today
01:38 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $NUGT for a pullback and intra entry but… it could b too late
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : GDX and GLD seeing lots of love today, might not get another huge pullback in the miners
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : GDX BULLISH WISEGUY ACTION: Fri 11/11 24.5 CALLS (Wkly) $83k BET SWEEP / OPENING MULTI SWEEP GDX=24.01 Ref 1.1x Usual Vo
01:43 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $UWTI
01:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Filled at 18.20 in small account $UWTI
01:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : 18.40 target in $UWTI but i
01:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m holding for a pull back and run
01:52 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at a strong pit close play – hoping for 2 – 3%
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Lots of sellers coming in >44.57 in /CL
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Those need to get eaten up
01:57 pm Curtis Melonopoly : So 44.70 is my test area but I’m holding likely closer to pit close
02:14 pm Curtis Melonopoly : http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Oil-Major-Chief-Calls-Upon-Non-OPEC-Producers-To-Join-Cuts.html
02:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for expanding volume really soon with pit close near – if no then cut and take some profit $UWTI #OIL
02:23 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I am going to sell in to spike before pit close if I get it $UWTI
02:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out
02:29 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $UWTI 18.20 buy with a 18.80 exit on $UWTI intra 3% er
02:30 pm Curtis Melonopoly : That was a nice trade

02:45 pm Curtis Melonopoly : back for another 🙂
02:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Running screens back in a few
02:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Missed the volatility trade distracted with oil – but oil better trade 3% vs 1.5% on my entry
02:57 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m going to watch for $SPY failure at 212.65 ish range and consider $VIX trade w $TVIX for EOD
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $TVIX – risky
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Very short leash if I do
03:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $TVIX not responding well to $VIX IMO – you want that to frontrun so you’re on right side of possible error
03:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : That’s the benefit of scalping 3 x 2 x ETF and ETN’s – you can get a buffer for error if you’re on right side but extra pain if you are on wrong.
03:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Well I’m gonna call it… lotsa fun coming with election and then we get in to tight technical trading with proper indicators and algorithmic trading after election… so ready for that! And I’m gonna do a 10k to 1MM in 6 mos instead of 24 mos module (4 trades a day at 1%).
03:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Take care:) Be Blessed!
03:42 pm GSCT . : Thanks Curtis.

Best:)

Curt

Topics: Daytrading, Wallstreet, Chatroom, Trading Room, Daily Results


My Stock Trading Plan for Monday November 7, 2016.

Election Trading

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after elextion.

I’m sitting tight and will trade scalps until after election. After election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades. So for now I’m not going to get to detailed with pre-market trade plans but after election you will see very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development.

Momentum Stocks

I will at times take first 30 min momo plays if and only if I think I can secure a stop that is tight and get immediate momentum on my side… I know a lot of rooms will take these plays regularly… but they aren’t normally my style because I want clear risk reward on my side and a predictable exit on my side. Compound trading works well if disciplined (and it mitigates unnecessary risk). Nonetheless, I watch morning momo plays not only for the first 30 mins but also, and more importantly, they are often the stocks I trade later in the day when they snap back after a downdraft or they continue to trend (I am looking for technical indicators such as a trending moving average, increased volume, continued trend, and more). 1 snap back or continued trend per day at 1% (or .20 cents on a 20.00 stock) over 26 months is 10k to 1.14 MM or it can be done in 6 months with 4 of these trades a day…. but it has to be low risk so you can execute stops or manual exits with-out stress and undo risk.

So just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time). These I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Well…. Hillary isn’t guilty they say… so everyone is happy… so we have a $VIX GAP DOWN of 12.5% at time of writing… which in my thinking is awesome… A $VIX in the 19’s is closer to the 13’s or 14’s I’d like to get an entry at and is much better than reaching for 22’s and 23’s… had I only held $XIV over weekend…. but I wasn’t prepared to take the risk… I want 1% a day for 10k to 1MM in 2 years… that’s it… simple… focus.

So the snap back I was all about last week is obviously here…. but I’d be careful with holds Monday and Tuesday night… you never know… things a fucky to say the least.

I’m looking for entries on either side of the range for scalps.. for me that’s it for now with $VIX.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

From last Thursday’s trading plan…

The US Dollar was close to a Fib at 97.07 earlier so this is an interesting watch for possible long in $UUP (long) and watching $UDN close (short a basket of currencies including British Pound).

Well… it got a little better downdraft than 97.07 and snap – back happened – overnight as I write it has snapped back from 96.89 – 97.70… I trade I should not have missed – I had it set-up.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

I will be watching other currency relationships also for Fib and Pivots and will post as opportunities / time arise.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

I don’t have much to say other than… there’s the snap back and remember to watch the pivots… same here… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI #OOTT #Algo)

There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open. Generally speaking it was in a downdraft near some support but at significant risk… but likely a tad over-sold.. and I see at time of writing it is up in over-night trading. I’d be very cautious though – but that’s just an opinion. We’ll see what EPIC’s calculations look like.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

I continue to watch per previous.

So it’s really all about our current rally, staying nimble through election and then on to charting and trading thereafter with detailed set-ups.

Good luck!

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 4, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! The election is near, it Payroll day… and will the market continue to sell-off? Even more importantly… can I get to the pool before the rain comes – soooo beautiful during trading hours and then lightening thunder and rain right when I get there – EVERYDAY.

My trading plan today (like my post market report last night) will be very brief… both because we were up all night with equipment and software upgrades and because from now until the election not much has changed….

EXCEPT…

I pivoted late day to a contrarian play and put my money where my mouth is on it and took $XIV trades with BOTH my small day trade account and large swing account. I may or may not move in and out of that position! Stay nimble!

THE MARKET CAN STAY….. you know the rest.

Morning Momentum / Yesterday Gainers:

Prior to election I doubt I will take a morning momo play… after election yes most days I do… but morning momo is going to be a tough play IMO – that is was I have mostly sat on my hands in the morning.

IF YOU WANT TO BLOW UP YOUR ACCOUNT… MESS UP MORNING MOMO!!!

It is a bit early to post momo plays so I will post them as I see them of interest in the room and on my Twitter feed as time allows.

Anyway, from yesterday I am following:

$IQNT, $MPG, $TCCO, $EVI, $ENOC, $DRYS – Shippers and Twitter and others…

Crude Oil – FX $USOIL, $WTI | $USO $DWTI $UWTI $CL_F Etc….

EPIC the Oil Algo new algorithmic calculations are not published yet for the new price / time zone… I wouldn’t expect them until before market open Monday because the price has done NOTHING since it dropped in to it’s new zone… it did slice right through a target on Wed at 10:30 AM (red circles) and looks like it will do the same for today’s 1:00 PM algo target. You can see on the chart how the algos are trading up to the algo trendline (red dotted line) and it has done not much else – but it is UNDER that red dotted line – caution IMO.

Gold, Silver, Miners, Metals… ($JNUG, $JDST, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $GLD, $SLV, $USLV etc…)

My position is intact… prior to election downdraft I was looking for downdraft (one) in Gold and Silver (if you go back to my posts you will see consistency there) and I also am prepared for Gold and Silver among others to take off… I am watching. Watch $FXY.

Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ… etc)

No clue – no clue at all – it should be running. Just like silver should be IMO.

Volatility $VIX ($UVXY, $XIV, $TVIX etc)

I think $VIX insurance was a tad over-done yesterday… but of course I have been wrong before – so I took a contrarian trade in $XIV and we’ll see. RR was good and I have room in my win rate to fail once in a while:)

US Dollar Index $DXY $UUP and $HYG, $TLT etc..

It is threatening support – I would be cautious. You never know what kind of manipulation is coming over next few trading days – I AM WATCHING IT like a hawk. The dollar, credit, $HYG, $TLT, $DXY, China $CNY and other currencies etc…. I am watching very close.

Twitter

This is such an interesting play for me now – I was interested until recently – but now I am ESPECIALLY with some big name tech companies TANKING.

In Summary… between now and the election it is all about being nimble for me.

The trade room could get really exciting or be the most boring few trading days on record!

Watch the room alerts and my Twitter feed for updates!

Good luck and stay blessed! And please… bank bank bank.

Curt

 

 


My Stock Trading Plan for November 2, 2016.

Good morning Wall Street traders! Trade them well!

I have to admit, my trading plan today is a near carbon copy of yesterday with the exception of momentum stocks (of course have changed) and oil. So this will be short!

Most days this will be out much earlier – but our war room is bustling to say the least with algorithmic alarms firing off like never before (especially with time / price cycles terminating and proving that out in market trade in crude) and the election etc… and getting our trade room up bla bla. Yup busy – so soooon I’ll be more on top of it.

Below is a link to yesterday’s trading plan (recommended read ha) and if you haven’t visited EPIC the Oil Algo’s twitter feed you should – and try and listen better than I have to it lol.

Pre-Market Newsletter ($SPY, $VIX, Oil, $DXY, $JNUG, Gold, Silver, $UGAZ…more)

Today’s Momentum Stocks

I am looking at follow through possible with $VRX and watch my twitter feed or be in room for other momo’s.

Main Focus

My main focus will be to crude (finding a bottom for new time / price cycle)… so I will be very busy on my phone FYI with crude oil traders getting a feel for their positions (not that that has helped the last few days because they have taken a beating trying to catch the knife – EPIC laughs) and I will also be watching small cap metal stocks.

Of course we have the election and FOMC to watch out for too and the oil reports this morning and rigs on Friday.

FOMC is due at 2:00 EST http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/02/fomc-statement-earnings-deluge-in-the-spotlight-for-wall-street-us-election-eyed.html

Mortgage applications dropped and the ADP employment report wasn’t stellar to say the least.

And most importantly IMO is that (and I don’t know how many of you noticed) many YUGE traders on Wall Street (at least those in the public eye and online) had YUGE losses yesterday – so don’t buy the hype.

Watch the election momo – read my previous posts… I stand firm in that the dollar is strong but if Trump looks like he is going to win it could tank but against the MXN it will crush it… metals should rally… oil needs to find a bottom… natural gas needs to find a bottom soo and the market isn’t free (so watch out for the Fed WATCH CLOSE – oh and ya volatility – if you’re shorting (which is normally a decent play) I would think twice doing that soon – shorting volatility right now is a gamble (baccarat anyone? – BANKER!).

Ok, enough have a great day, review yesterday’s post and I’ll see you in the room. And don’t forget many of our technical issues will be sorted by Monday (read the daily room memo that updates that).

Stay blessed and bank and cut fast.

Curt

 


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday October 31, 2016.

A quick review of trades in our chat room…

Metals were up in pre-market and $DXY US Dollar was in downdraft. Crude was looking to test traditional neckline and previous support (both horizontal and diagonal supports) and I was also considering EPIC the Oil Algo’s targets (albeit I didn’t recall the numerous warnings about time / price cycles).

So I took trades in $JNUG.

I also took a $UWTI trade that was a small win – but only by luck.

My big should have for the day was $VRX – of course my scanners caught it (and very quick – so they are firing perfect) but I just didn’t pull the trigger. $NSPR I didn’t take a trade on that super-nova (next move on IMO).

Our pre-launch for chat trade room can be distracting, especially with technology that we’re dealing with – but we’re getting there.

Anyway, HERE ARE THE QUICK LESSONS:

$JNUG trade – It was a winner but I should have got in earlier… it was an easy call… days earlier actually… but with my compound discipline I won’t beat myself up because it is safe – very safe and obviously works.

FX: $USOIL $WTI trade –  It was a lucky winner because there was a massive futures buy right before pit close. Very lucky – especially considering what trading looks like in overnight session. Mistakes were that I did not cut losses quick – I went in on 1/3 trades expecting to get a bounce at supports and the neckline at worst. Second mistake (and the biggest one I am learning) is that EPIC the oil Algo TOLD ME AND THE WORLD that the time / price cycles HAD IN FACT CHANGED – SO THERE WAS NO REASON TO EXPECT A BOUNCE! Really bad mistake and I was lucky to get out.

$VRX – The lesson there is simple…. it was a simple news bounce on that play. Pure and simple. Don’t be distracted.

Look forward to seeing you in the trading chat room!

Best to you.

Curtis

 


Review of my Stock DayTrades for Monday October 31, 2016.

My day online with wallstreet started about 8 hours before market open… getting my Pre Market Report ready… because of course it was our first day in our new chat room!

 

And ohhhh it was a good one (the premarket report)… and then WHAM! we were given our first opportunities in patience this morning when the internet throttled everything … I mean everything we were doing (my mobile couldn’t even run my twitter feed for the first hour let alone bandwidth intensive software), we couldn’t onboard many guests and more lol… so it will be nice when our permanent offices here are set-up soon. Until then we will continue on (with some minor aggravations like limited screen share but most issues we have arranged temporary solutions to get by).

Anyway… it actually worked out ok anyway because the market was really quite in the morning – especially the momentum plays… they did come alive but faded and there was no power hour to speak of. I did have the miners set for a possible buy and they did run – but I would have been light because I am pensive about running too far with them too fast – but soon I think they’re gone along with metals…. so it is a balance.

Momentum Stocks

The stock scanners are working really well (here’s a free stock scanner from Finviz if you’d like), that was proven in the room this morning. I looked on my Twitter feed (did symbol searches to see who was on it first) and our alerts with momentum stocks were within seconds of the first alerts – which considering that is not our primary trading thing… not bad I suppose.

$BCRD was the first momentum stock with a halt. I took an entry at 10.46 (missed the initial spike after halt – it really hit unusually hard there)… then added at 10.61 looking for follow through to 10.94.

$BRCD Stock Trade

$BRCD Stock Trade

brcd-stock-trade

Of course in the chat room the folks in there knew in advance of my Twitter stream what I was doing and where I added and where I was trimming. The voice broadcasting in the trade room seems to be an asset for sure – I think I and the other traders will find it useful (very quick and efficient and right on top of the action).

Then $NVCN was on a rocket ship…

And there were other plays – so we shared the charts, some  voice broadcast and plays on $INTX, $HMNY, $NTD, $TWTR, $CETX, $BRCD, $NVCN, $ATOS, $AUY and my favorite miss of the day YUP because I was distracted $JNUG and I guess $TVIX or $UVXY.

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI

Crude had an awful day but it gave me a chance to trail out of my large swing position in $DWTI from a few weeks back in 1/3 chunks so that worked really for me – for my second win of the day.

Through-out the day in the room I was looking for a bounce in crude over and over again because of course it normally bounces at trend-line support, Fibonacci retracements, or algorithmic trend-lines…. but nope it did not so I did not take a day-trade on $UWTI or any oil small cap stocks etc.

I see this evening it did get lift and IT GOT LIFT RIGHT WHERE I WAS GOING TO TAKE A TRADE EOD in the chat-room but decided against it.

Crude Oil FX $USOIL $WTI Worksheet

Crude Oil FX $USOIL $WTI Worksheet

The mornings pre-market report will be YUGE!

Best!

Curtis


A review of my daytrades Friday October 28, 2016.

Friday for me (actually all week)… was a tad distracting, which is not what a technical daytrader wants obviously (travelling and trade room set-up etc).

Nonetheless, there was one trade executed (should have been three or four) – and the one was moderately green. BUT! I’m looking forward to next week and I’ve promised myself to keep lazer focused.

The in-depth daily chart / algo reporting with each instrument I’m trading will not only assist the trader’s in the trade room this week – but myself also…. it’s nice to have super lazer focused preparation work to trade from (instead of on the fly – on the fly is not where I personally function best.

Ok, on to what happened today – hopefully my errors will help you avoid the same mistakes or lost opportunities.

The FX: $USOIL $WTI long trade using $UWTI

So we started the day off with the #OPEC shenanigan continuance in Vienna (the birth place of my grandfather BTW), which ended in a no oil deal Saturday and a promise to return to discussions Nov 25, 26 2017.

http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/3820.htm

This I was considering as a possible catalyst for a long trade in crude oil, especially considering that the price of oil was below 50.00 and the oil producers have an amazing knack of timing their announcements right at critical points in the oil chart – even down to the termination of time / price cycles in oil. I’m convinced they are no slouches because they’re releasing announcements or chatter at points EPIC the oil algo has even identified as critical – time and time again. So knowing that EPIC had identified time / price cycle terminations and the fact that critical support was being tested AND that the price of oil was sub 50.00 was opportune timing for an announcement – but we didn’t get one – which was WAY OUT OF PATTERN for the oil producers.

$DXY was testing support… but crude was at a support that I wanted to take a trade from (it wasn’t preferable to take a crude trade when $DXY was testing support – you want $DXY to fail resistance preferably and crude to bounce and confirm off support ideally)… but I took the trade anyway because the chances of a bounce were considerable (probabilities were on my side with support bounce for sure). The other consideration was EPIC the oil Algo’s primary alpha algo targets. THE MISTAKE I MADE was that I was dealing with phone calls and various service people for the set-up of our trade room and I set a stop – and it triggered. I hate stops and usually don’t use them. Anyway, there was a small gain. Crude did take off for a nice trade after my stop was triggered but tanked to EPIC’s primary alpha algo target zone when news hit about Anthony Wiener. Which blew my mind because that was EPIC’s primary target – funny in my thinking. Epic is Epic and I should just surrender to it.

Anyway, here is that time period on Friday…

$DXY US Dollar testing support (not ideal for a long crude oil trade – I use $UWTI specifically)

My $UWTI long execution.

$DXY now at low of day… not the best scenario (I didn’t know at the time that the dollar was going to tank and breach shortly thereafter).

My distracted stop for small gain – ugh… especially when you consider what happened next…

So to throw fuel on my wounded supertrader spirit $DXY then breached a diagonal support… and I was awe man seriously? Weak dollar… strong oil (in a normal world).

So here’s the spike in oil after my stop exit… (BTW – the lower alpha algo target on this chart was actually misplace in accordance to EPIC’s call – EPIC’s target was much lower – which funny enough got a hit in the target zone – not perfect but in the zone).

So crude $USOIL $WTI got a really decent bounce before it tanked and would have been a fantastic trade (likely 4% on $UWTI – I didn’t actually look yet lol – painful) and then the price tanked right in to the target zone (not a perfect hit) but holy price tank thanks to Anthony Weiner news. If you look through EPIC the oil algo’s history on our website and on Epic the Oil Algo’s Twitter Feed you will see time and time again how right before the alpha target call the price of oil magically spikes or drops (and many times dramatically) right in to the target zone or very very close. It’s really interesting if you look at it over time.

The price of crude oil tanking right in to the primary alpha algo target zone EPIC had identified.

Below is EPIC’s call on it earlier in the week… the percentage represents how many times out of 100 EPIC has calculated that exact target will hit – and yup… the primary target zone hit – crazy IMO… I’m his inventor and I still struggle to understand how pure math can determine primary targets days in advance 92% or so of the time… and that’s not even the best way to use EPIC – the best way is intraday (which we will be doing lots of in the room). The intraday quadrants aren’t even represented on these recent charts – you can go back in to EPIC’s story to see the intra-day quadrant work sheet (which doesn’t do anyone any good now for trading because the time/price cycle has changed since, but it will show you what I mean – they look like diamonds – they’re pink)… anyway those quadrants allow for precise intra-day trading success easily over 90% scalping all day long (we had to remove them from the current charts because we’re in the process of patent applications).

Then on to the $VIX trade I missed lol – what a day…

So at this point $VIX was at resistance (if you can really say it has support and resistance)… but anyway – it is an indicator of sorts… so I was watching close for it to take off.. and then yup – you guessed it – I got distracted with other details in my business life lol and then WIENER presented the BEST TRADE OPPORTUNITY OF THE WEEK!!! Ugh… anyway I would have been all over $TVIX trade but nope… SO STAY FOCUSED! That’s Lesson #2 so far in this post (Lesson #1 was follow your trade plan unlike I did with oil above).

Here’s the Anthony Weiner announcement…

So the $TVIX trade was worth an easy 10% gain…

$TVIX trade

$TVIX trade

I guess the only other main daytrade miss I had was $JNUG, and my trade-plan with it was simply based on the fact that the day before $JDST got a serious lift (at one point it was +8.18%)… so I was watching for a natural pull-back and a bounce in $JNUG. SO the opportunity came just before lunch and at the double-bottom that would have been an excellent place to enter.

$JUNG Trade

$JUNG Trade

There were other miscellaneous things… but that’s the bulk of lessons from my errors of the day as I see it.

BE SURE TO READ THE PRE-MARKET REPORT BEFORE MONDAY OPEN!!! Oil and metals are VERY LIKELY going to have a big week. Not to mention the market in general considering the election turmoil.

Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

Curtis


Good morning stock traders!

$SPY $ES_F

I don’t expect any $SPY related trading until election unless there is some unexpected “width” in trade.

$VIX – $TVIX $UVXY $XIV

I do expect to be trading $VIX related instruments between now and election… however, with current chart I would like an entry when $VIX closer to 13. It is currently 15.2.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP) – $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW

$DXY is far from broken – break-out still intact. Upside resistance levels. Currently at 98.84. Look for further run in $DXY ($UUP), $FXY (Japan Yen) continued pressure,  $CNY (China Renminbi/USD ETN) continued deval, possible continued run with $TZA (small cap bear), and $SMK / $EWW (Mexico) I am watching for an election play.

FX $USOIL $WTI – $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Crude #Oil

Crude is well above its traditional charting diagonal and horizontal trend line supports and within its trading range. EPIC the Oil algorithm published targets for 1:00 today and current price action is almost perfectly between the two main alpha algo targets published. There is a significant time / price cycle terminating no later than Tuesday Nov 1 at 9:00 PM ET and normally price will move in or out of current trading range before the termination. In this case my bet is a movement before 4:30 PM Tuesday but it could be anytime now.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

I was looking for an entry in $GLD at the 114.00 / 115.00 area (intra-day price 120.98) – but I don’t think now I will get that before the election (that was the plan so I will watch). Gold at 1266.65 is still one level up from my target.

Even with the pressure on the miner’s yesterday (even though a pull-back is likely short-term), I am looking for that move to continue over next week – again with election things are more difficult to future cast.

Going in to election however, I am very bullish most commodities. WITHIN DAYS I WILL BE HUNTING DOWN company equities specific to a strong move I see coming very very SOON.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

My position with Silver ($SLV) is similar as that with Gold ($GLD) in that I am waiting for one more downdraft – here again I may not get that.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ $DGAZ

My thesis was the recent run-up (which we got and I miss timed) – but short term as with Gold I expect on level down in the elevator (again, could be wrong) so that is what I will watch for.

Summary

With all of the charts relating to the above I will be watching for support and resistance levels that make sense to trade (trying to only take trades on major pivots is important). Next week our charting and algo charting publications will become very detailed (in separate reports) which will make this discussion and trade planning more clear as a result of the detail (and the chat room / broadcasting will be going live – that will help clarity and intra-trading too).

Have a great day! May you bank and bank more! Freedom is calling your name!

Curt

PS: Other…

US GDP on deck as I write – looks like a small increase..

Rig count today 13:00 EST

Premarket: http://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/16/10/8616695/a-peek-into-the-markets-u-s-stock-futures-edge-higher-alphabet-posts-upb

12 Stocks To Watch:
AMGN, AMZN, CVX, Data Processing & Outsourced Services, Earnings, EXPE, GOOGL, Health Care.

http://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/16/10/8616065/12-stocks-to-watch-for-october-28-2016