Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Tuesday October 31, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The model for $BTCUSD is built on a chart from the Bitstamp exchange. The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • Sorry for the delay in reporting this week – I have been sick the last few days but feeling better now. Thanks everyone for the patience and well wishes. 
  • Our team has been killing it in the discord room! Awesome to see that coming together. 
  • There is some significant resistance above the current area of trade. I am expecting either a breakout or pullback coming up soon. Details listed below. 
  • Join us in our private Crypto Trading room on discord! Curt, Sartaj and I have been team trading as well as posting TONS of supplemental charting in there. 
  • We have been trading $XBTUSD (BTC/USD Inverse perpetual swap contracts) on BitMEX.
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • Welcome our lead trader to the platform! You will now be receiving alerts from Curt as well as myself.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room on discord is gaining traction – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • Curt, Sartaj and I will be #TeamTrading this in a very serious way.
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • We will have a private Discord room for Cryptocurrency trading as well. I plan to use the voice channel to enhance our #TeamTrading and I hope many of you will join me in there.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long. The most recent cluster corresponded with the run over $3,000 to all time highs.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history, and Bitcoin lacks that history over $3,000. The recent pullback has helped solidify natural support/resistance lines in the model. There are some significant natural resistance areas forming in the chart. Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: In the last newsletter, I said that we have had success using some of our conventional indicators. That has not changed – however, we have refined our system and cut out most of the lagging indicators. The conventional indicators we have been using are:

  • The 20, 50, 100 and 200 MA’s on all timeframes
  • Conventional trendlines
  • Conventional natural support/resistance

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

$BTCUSD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/CkZlmvRM-Crypto-the-BTC-algo-updated-charting-18-47-17-EST-31-Oct-2017/

$XBTUSDhttps://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/Ej07wUry-Crypto-XBT-updated-charting-18-49-15-31-Oct-2017/ 

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (orange dotted lines)
  2. Trading range created by short term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (grey dotted lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s 

Observations in the current area of trade:

$BTCUSD has established quad wall support on the daily chart. Over the next quad wall I would expect it to start gapping up:

$BTCUSD appears to have found a new upchannel following last week’s correction: 

$BTCUSD upcoming time/price cycle and targets/decision points:

$BTCUSD up against conventional trendline resistance – last time it failed at this resistance we saw a somewhat significant correction:

$XBTUSD conventional charting shows current area of trade:

$XBTUSD appears to have established a new upchannel following last week’s correction: 

$XBTUSD daily quadrants show quad wall and midline established as support: 

$XBTUSD up against significant conventional trendline resistance. I am expecting either a breakout or pullback very soon. My bias is still long for the time being:

$XBTUSD last time this trendline was tested a correction followed:

 

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 


Welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading Stocks for Tuesday Oct 31, 2017. $TAN, $WYNN, $NFLX, $AXP, $TWLO, $VRX, $GSIT. $ABX, $XME, $URRE, $RIG, $XLE, $SLX, $X. 

Email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

This report is 1 of 5 in rotation..

We will categorize our coverage soon as we are following more stocks weekly than we expected when we first started the service.

When managing your trades with the weekly reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.

Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case rely heavily on MACD on daily or weekly (or Stoch RSI and Moving averages) but indicators we are basing our trade entry and exits on are listed with each trade so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade.

Intra-week you can always DM myself on Twitter (@curtmelonopoly), visit me on Discord (http://discord.gg/2HRTk6n) or email me (info@compoundtrading.com) with specific questions regarding trades you are considering for assistance.

It is critical however that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter or exit. If nothing else you can always book some coaching time and I’ll assist also (although we are at a point of waiting list for the coaching, at minimum you can get on list or for immediate help as I said please DM or email).

IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with deadlines or are trading.

Also, as live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.

Newer updates in red for ease.

Recent Compound Trading Videos for Swing Traders / Charting Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Oct 23 Trade Set-Ups: $TSLA, $FB, $SHOP, $HMNY, $SNAP, $XBTUSD, Bitcoin, $AAOI …

Oct 20 Trade Set-Ups Gold, Bitcoin, $DGLY, $MNKD, $ABEO, $TACO, $SNAP, $SHOP, $SKX, $AAOI …

Oct 19 Trade Set-Ups: OIL, $WTI, Gold, Bitcoin, $QURE, $OSTK, $SBUX, $GRVY, $ABDE, $PPHM, $BTC …

Oct 18 Trade Set-Ups $OCN, $SPPI, $OPTT, $VERI, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $FB, $AAOI…

Oct 13 Trade Set-ups $RGSE, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $NETE, $CLF, $FSRX, $SOHU, $GROW, $CYCC, $RNN…

Oct 10 Trade Set-ups Review $BTC $XBTUSD, $SHOP, $HMNY, $ANAB, $MNKD, $ARDM and more

Oct 9 Trade Set-Ups $SNAP, $AAOI, $SHOP, $ROKU, $VERI, $BTC, $XBTUSD, $BABA, $TSLA, $BLUE, $HMNY…

Oct 6 Trade set-ups $USOIL, $WTI, $BTC, $ROKU, $LINU, $KONE, $JP, $XXII, $HLF, $CATB, $IPI …

Profit and Loss Statements:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month).

July 2017 Trading Challenge P/L Report $NFLX, $XIV, $AAOI, $AKCA, $BWA, $SRG, $MCRB, $UGLD, $IPXL, $HIIQ and more

 

Stock Pick Coverage:

$NFLX – Netflix

Oct 31 – Trading 198.10 with MACD turned down above all MA’s on daily. On watch for MACD turn up and decision.

Sept 13 – Trading 185.40 bounced off 50 MA on daily since last report. MACD is now up, SQZMOM up but Stoch RSI peaking. Will assess when Stoch RSI bottoms and turns again.

Aug 18 – Trading 166.10. Indicators all pointing down and sitting on natural support. Waiting for indicators to turn.

Aug 7 – Trading 180.46 after its post earning’s break out. MACD turned down and will wait for it and other indicators to turn up before considering an entry.

July 24 – Closed premarket 188.40 from 158.20. Will watch for a re-enter pending some ER considerations early this week. Sentiment is pensive imo. Could go either way in market – generally speaking.

July 12 – Trading 158.20. Will watch here over its 50 ma and if 20 ma is about to breach 50 with price above and other indicators line up I will alert an add.

July 5 – Trading 146.17. Long from 159.35 200 shares on the 26th of June. Unfortunately thats where it turned down and now MACD is near bottom. 200 MA however is at 135.35 and that is possible. Understand that when I take an entry it is normally no more than 1/5 sizing until a trade proves itself out so I can usually take the down draft if required.

June 26 – Trading 158.33.

$NFLX pull back may be over MACD could cross up with SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trend up.On watch and I may take a long entry in premarket today.

$NFLX, Chart

$NFLX pull back may be over MACD could cross up with SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trend up.

June 18 – Trading 152.38. $NFLX They say exit timing is as important or more so than the entry. That worked. #swingtrading All indicators trending down now so will wait on the MACD on daily before considering a long position.

$NFLX, Swingtrading, Chart

$NFLX They say exit timing is as important or more so than the entry. That worked. #swingtrading

June 8 – $NFLX Opened long 148.40 closing in premarket 165.88 range #swingtrading

$NFLX, Swing, Trading

$NFLX Opened long 148.40 closing in premarket 165.88 range #swingtrading

June 6 – Trading 165.06 from 148.40 entry. All indicators pointing up on weekly and daily but we will likely roll out of this long soon.

May 31 – Trading 163.20. 148.40 entry. Stop set at 158.00 now. If price tests 20 MA on daily but doesn’t take out stop I will add and alert live.

$NFLX swing trade going wll. Trading 163.20 premarket from 148.40 entry. #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/GXeXSXUo-NFLX-swing-trade-going-well-Trading-163-20-premarket-fr-148-40/

$NFLX, Chart, Swing, Trade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/GXeXSXUo-NFLX-swing-trade-going-well-Trading-163-20-premarket-fr-148-40/

May 23 – Trading 157.32. Stop set at 153.10 to protect equity. Holding otherwise. MACD turned down on daily and may add if it turns up.

May 17 – $NFLX Swing trade going well. Trading 158.50 from 148.40 entry. SQZMOM may turn down as with MACD and Stoch RSI truned down may exit soon and re-enter when indicators turn back up.

$NFLX, Hourly, Chart

$NFLX Swing trade going well. Trading 158.50 from 148.80 entry. SQZMOM may turn down as with MACD and Stoch RSI truned down may exit soon.

May 9 – $NFLX Swing trade going well. Long at 148.40 trading 156.08. SQZMOM and MACD trending but Stoch RSI may cool soon, vol decent. Will add per below.

$NFLX Live Chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/rjcjiVBz-NFLX-Swing-trade-going-well-Long-at-148-40-trading-156-08-SQ/

$NFLX, Swing, Trade

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/rjcjiVBz-NFLX-Swing-trade-going-well-Long-at-148-40-trading-156-08-SQ/

May 3 – April 25 148.40 Long 500 shares April 25 when MACD turned up per below. Trading 156.28. MACD trending up, SQZMOM trending up and Stoch RSI at top and may come off short term – so a short term turn down is possible here. Will likely re-add when STOCH RSI comes off and turns back up as long as MACD is trending up still and has room to top.

April 24 – Trading 142.87. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 143.75 – waiting for MACD to turn up.

April 10 – We closed flat 145.50. Trading 142.80. Waiting for MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM to turn green for entry long.

April 4 – March 29 we entered 145.50 500 shares when MACD turned up per watch trigger below. Stop is at flat at entry and we will re-enter if we have to. Will look at adding pending triggers – will advise.

$NFLX Live chart with indicators https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/ozKJQ8t4-NFLX-March-29-we-entered-swing-trade-145-50-when-MACD-turned-t/

March 27 – MACD has been flat or turned down since last post. Looking close at MACD turn up and entry this week.

March 20 – The only thing that concerns me is the price staying above approximately 145.05 as a low on any given day. I may also look for that in addition to indicators lists below. Same thing with this one, exit when MACD turning down. Chances are high I will enter long early week.

Live $NFLX Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NFLX/4RQP5P9P-NFLX-Daily-abover-20-MA-Stoch-RSI-Revved-MACD-turning-up-SQZMOM/

$NFLX Daily abover 20 MA Stoch RSI Revved MACD turning up SQZMOM watch close for green. Long on MACD and QZMOM confirmation.

$GSIT

Oct 31 – Trading 6.86 under all MA’s and MACD trending down. Very poor performance of late and if anything a short.

Sept 13 – Trading 6.88 trending toward a 200 MA test from underside. If it regains 200 MA will re-assess entry.

Aug 18 – Trading 6.26 with all indicators trending down. Waiting on indicator turn for possible long.

Aug 7 – Trading 7.12 and sitting right on 200 MA with MACD trend down and other indicators poor. Waiting.

$AXP – American Express

Oct 31 – Trading 95.07 post earnings and outperforming by far. Above all MA’s, trending, and MCD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM trending up. The only play for me here now is to wait for Stoch RSI to return to bottom and curl up and watch for an MA bounce on downdraft for long.

Sept 13 – Trading 86.55 and in a box sideways for weeks. Watching.

Aug 18 – Trading 86.75 with indicators indecisive. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 85.77.  Trading in trend above ma’s with MACD trending down. Will wait on MACD turn and assess at that time.

July 24 – Trading 85.59.

July 14 – Trading 85.33. Earnings in 5 days. On high watch for after earnings.

July 5 – Trading 85.10. Trading in 52 week break out straight price action with no end in site so I can’t justify an entry, however, if I was managing trades on a minute by minute basis these are good to try and keep a short leash on. Anyway, waiting for a pullback to assess.

June 26 – Trading 82.22. Indicators are starting to cool a bit on daily – waiting for a pull back turn.

June 18 – $AXP Testing 52 week highs near break out stoch RSI peaking MACD trend up and SQZMOM trend up. Bullish. This is a break out play and I may enter a 1/5 size and add at pull back. Watching the 20 MA breaching 50 and 100 ma’s and vol spike. Very bullish.

$AXP, Swing trading, chart

$AXP Testing 52 week highs near break out stoch RSI peaking MACD trend up and SQZMOM trend up. Bullish.

June 9 – $AXP SQZMOM green MACD up Stoch RSI high Waiting on MA’s to sort out with price above. Vol up. On High Watch.

$AXP, Chart

$AXP SQZMOM green MACD up Stoch RSI high Waiting on MA’s to sort out with price above. Vol up.

May 31 – Trading 77.05. Same.

May 23 – Watching. Indicators indecisive.

May 17 – Trading 78. Sitting on 200 MA on weekly. On daily price is under 20 and 50 MA with MACD turned down. Watching.

May 9 – Trading 78.27. Closed 78.74 May 4 when MACD crossed down from 78.01 long. We still like this stock so we are watching close for indicators to turn back up.

May 3 – Trading 79.54. Holding long while MACD trends up and price above entry and 20 MA is above 50 MA. Stoch RSI is coming off so we expect some downward pressure short term.

April 24 – Trading 79.63. Long 78.01 500 shares April 20 when MACD turned up. Watching for MACD, Stoch RSI to remain, and SQZMOM to turn green for possible add.

$AXP, Swing, Trading, Stock, Chart

$AXP Swing Trade Going Well. MACD turned up for long 78.01 test.

$ABX – Barrick Gold

Oct 31 – Trading 14.67 under all MAs with all indicators bearish. Will assess at a turn.

Sept 13 – Trading 17.44 above 200 MA on weekly but sideways for weeks. Watching.

Aug 18 – Trading 17.06 with indicators indecisive. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 16.64. Same.

$TAN

Oct 31 – Trading 24.13 above ma’s and starting to trend. Resistance points at 25.31 and 31.53. Looking for a pull back and bounce off MA’s. On watch now.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TAN/HIfJQ7Us-TAN-Trading-24-13-above-ma-s-and-starting-to-trend-Resistance/

$TAN, Sing Trade, Trending, On Watch

$TAN Trading 24.13 above ma’s and starting to trend. Resistance points at 25.31 and 31.53. Looking for a pull back and bounce off MA’s. On watch now.

Sept 13 – Trading 21.84 with indicators indecisive. Watching.

Aug 18 – Trading 21.24 with indicators trending down. Waiting on a turn.

Aug 7 – Trading 21.83. Break-out may be slowing. MACD, Stoch RSI and SQZMOM trending down. Will wait on pullback to an MA that it bounces off with MACD turn and assess.

$VRX

Oct 31 – Trading 11.44 has earnings on the 13th. Under all MA’s and all indicators trending down. BUT, price is getting in to an area with historical support. Watching very close for a bounce in to or post earnings. This one is on high watch.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VRX/0xUQU6f0-VRX-on-high-watch-for-historical-support-bounce-in-to-or-post-e/

$VRX, watchlist, swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VRX/0xUQU6f0-VRX-on-high-watch-for-historical-support-bounce-in-to-or-post-e/

Sept 13 – Trading 14.39 and has regained its 200 MA with indicators showing bullish action – watching close now.

Aug 18 – Trading 14.40 and indicators look to be close to turning up. On Watch.

Aug 7 – Trading 15.13. Earnings in 1 day. Waiting.

$TWLO

Oct 31 – Trading 31.88 with natural historical resistance near above and all indicators indecisive.

Sept 13 – Trading 30.20 with regained 200 MA and indicators look bullish as with $VRX – on high watch here.

Aug 18 – Trading 30.20 with indicators indecisive. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 29.20. Under 200 MA and 20 MA with MACD trending down. Will wait for MACD to turn up before considering a long position.

July 25 – Trading 30.99 testing 200 MA from underside with ER in 23 days. Very interesting set-up developing here now. On Watch.

July 14 – Trading 28.16 and 200 MA is getting near overhead so it could be ready sometime moderately soon.

July 5 – Trading 28.97. Now indicators pointing down. Not an easy stock to read. Watching.

June 26 – Trading 30.00 in premarket. All indicators are turned up but I just don’t trust the chart without historical. The alert below on June 9 turned out positive I just couldn’t execute.

June 18 – Trading 26.87 With MACD on daily turned up and testing natural resistance. Turns out per below it was a decent short term long. Unsure.

June 9 – Trading 25.49 The indicators on the 60 min say you could go long with a decently strong thesis (not enough chart history for Daily or Weekly chart), however, considering the short history price action I will wait – I think it is accumulating and the chart possibly repairing.

May 31 – Trading 24.48. Watching.

May 23 – Trading 25.00. Watching for bottom bounce to form. MACD up on daily right now.

May 17 –  Trading 24.53. Waiting on MACD turn cross up on daily before anything.

May 9 – Trading 23.50. See below. Not ready.

May 3 – Trading 23.70. Closed 33.57 1000 shares before earnings on a 29.60 buy. Never hold through earnings unless you are unusually confident (yes we did recently with $GOOGL and $AMZN but very unusual for us to do that). Anyway, watching now. Downdraft was intense from forward guidance.

April 24 – Trading 30.82. Holding 1000 shares 29.60.

April 19 – Trading 30.51. April 12 MACD turned up opened long 29.60 1000 shares.

$TWLO, Swing, Trading

$TWLO Swing Trade going well. Trading 30.51. April 12 MACD turned up opened long 29.60 tight stop.

$WYNN

Oct 31 – Trading 141.21 under 20 and 50 MA and about to retest 100 MA. It bounced at 100 MA previous so this is on high watch now also for a bounce. Post earnings with surprise upside.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WYNN/E4xMG7AH-Trading-141-21-under-20-50-MA-and-about-to-retest-100-MA-It-b/

$WYNN, Chart

Trading 141.21 under 20 & 50 MA and about to retest 100 MA. It bounced at 100 MA previous on high watch now for bounce. Post earnings surprise.

Sept 13 – Trading 145.90 and threatening another leg up – on high watch now.

Aug 18 – Trading 134.70. Indicators trending up with price near previous high break-out. On watch for break-out.

$WYNN, Swing Trading

$WYNN Trading 134.70. Indicators trending up with price near previous high break-out. On watch for break-out.

Aug 7 – Trading 127.60. MACD trending down. Watching.

July 25 – Trading 138.53 testing highs. Looks like it’s going to break higher (high probability anyway). On watch now for confirmation and power.

July 5 – Trading 131.01. Indicators all pointing down. Waiting for a turn to assess.

June 26 – Trading 138.30. $WYNN just got its 200 MA on weekly. Stoch RSI on weekly is crossed down with other indicators a buy. Will wait for Stoch RSI to cross up before assessing a long.

June 9 – Trading 134.73. MACD turned up on 7th and it got the pop we were thinking would come. Watching for follow through and possible long today. On high watch also.

May 31 – Trading 126.30  Watching for MACD to turn up.

May 23 – Trading 125.11. Watching for set up.

May 17 – Trading 126.91 coming up on underside of 200 MA test on weekly. MACD on daily is about to cross up. Will wait for MACD on daily and assess.

May 9 – Stopped flat on May 5, 2017. Watching SQZMOM, Stoch RSI, MACD, volume indicators now for a turn.

May 3 – Trading 125.55. Long 122.56 April 25 when MACD turned up (per below) and watching for continuation in MACD and price. Will exit if MACD turns down or price hits our entry. We may even add. It looks good.

April 24 – Trading 114.89. Watching.

April 19 – Trading 115.95. MACD trending down. Waiting for bottom and turn up. It has a ways to go.

April 10 – Closed 500 shares Friday 117.20. Trading 116.50. Watching MACD, Stoch RSI, SQZMOM for reset at bottom and turn for re-entry.

April 4 – We triggered a stop at flat March 27 and had a re-entry at 111.04 when we looked at it again for 500 shares. Currently trading at 116.00 and we are watching MACD.  Which is currently at top. We may exit as MACD turns down and re-enter when MACD turns back up. Alternatively we may ride the MACD turn down as long as our original entry isn’t triggered as stop and when MACD turns back up add to position. Both are valid and we are undecided.

March 26 – We took a long position at 110.93 for 500 share start on March 21. HOWEVER, we have a stop at our entry price (due to current market sentiment) and it is currently trading at 111.92. Careful with this one.

$XME

Oct 31 – Trading 32.02 with price and all indicators trending down. Looks like a 200 MA test on daily is in store.

Sept 13 – Trading 32.41 with indecisive indicators.

Aug 18 – Trading 29.84 with indicators trending down. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 30.54. Testing 200 MA support with MACD trending down. Will wait for MACD to turn up.

$WWR – Westwater Resources (Previously known as $URRE)

Oct 31 – Trading .81 and all indicators tanking.

$WWR chart

$WWR previously known as $URRE – total tank fest

Sept 13 – Trading 1.52 setting up for 200 MA test from underside. Watching.

Aug 18 – Trading 1.32 with indicators trending down. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 1.36 with earnings in 3 days. Same.

$RIG

Oct 31 – Trading 10.33 and testing underside of 200 ma and it may get going again. Watching for MACD turn up.

Sept 13 – Trading 8.79 bottom play that has regained 20 MA and 50 MA and is currently setting up to test underside of 100 MA and then possibly 200 MA. On Watch.

Aug 18 – Trading 7.28 with all indicators trending down. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 9.12 on earnings surprise above 20 and 50 MA’s and under 200 and 100 MA’s. MACD trending up. Waiting for a 200 MA test.

$XLE

Oct 31 – $XLE Trading 67.69 and like $RIG and testing underside of 200 ma and it may get going again. Watching for MACD turn up.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/M7w3iHaA-XLE-Trading-67-69-and-like-RIG-and-testing-underside-of-200-ma/

$XLE, Swing Trade, Chart

$XLE Trading 67.69 & like $RIG testing 200 ma and it may get going again. Watch for MACD turn up. #premarket https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/M7w3iHaA-XLE-Trading-67-69-and-like-RIG-and-testing-underside-of-200-ma/

Sept 13 – Trading 65.41 bottom play that has regained 20 MA and 50 MA and is currently setting up to test underside of 100 MA and then possibly 200 MA. On Watch.

Aug 18 – Trading 62.01 with all indicators trending down. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 65.64. Watching for indicators to become positive.

$SLX – Vaneck Vectors Steel

Oct 31 – Trading 42.79 with MACD just crossing down now on daily.

Sept 13 – Trading 43.77 with all indicators on daily up except Stoch RSI – watching for the bottom turn and previous high break.

Aug 18 – Trading 39.76 with indicators trending down. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 40.82. Above 200 MA with MACD trending down. Indecisive at best. Watching.

$X – United States Steel Corp.

Oct 31 – Trading 26.50 and just dropped below 200 ma with MACD just turning down now.

Sept 13 – Trading 26.37 with indicators turned down after 200 MA underside breach test setting up. On watch.

Aug 18 – Trading 23.78. Indecisive. Watching.

Aug 7 – Trading 23.87 Same.

$AKS – Iron Steel Mills Foundry

Sept 13 – Discontinued coverage.

 

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics; $TAN, $WYNN, $NFLX, $AXP, $TWLO, $VRX, $GSIT. $ABX, $XME, $URRE, $RIG, $XLE, $SLX, $X, Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Oct 30, 2017 $JCP, $SPPI, $FB, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Oct 23 Trade Set-Ups: $TSLA, $FB, $SHOP, $HMNY, $SNAP, $XBTUSD, Bitcoin, $AAOI …

Oct 20 Trade Set-Ups Gold, Bitcoin, $DGLY, $MNKD, $ABEO, $TACO, $SNAP, $SHOP, $SKX, $AAOI …

Oct 19 Trade Set-Ups: OIL, $WTI, Gold, Bitcoin, $QURE, $OSTK, $SBUX, $GRVY, $ABDE, $PPHM, $BTC …

Oct 18 Trade Set-Ups $OCN, $SPPI, $OPTT, $VERI, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $FB, $AAOI…

Oct 13 Trade Set-ups $RGSE, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $NETE, $CLF, $FSRX, $SOHU, $GROW, $CYCC, $RNN…

Oct 10 Trade Set-ups Review $BTC $XBTUSD, $SHOP, $HMNY, $ANAB, $MNKD, $ARDM and more

Oct 9 Trade Set-Ups $SNAP, $AAOI, $SHOP, $ROKU, $VERI, $BTC, $XBTUSD, $BABA, $TSLA, $BLUE, $HMNY…

Oct 6 Trade set-ups $USOIL, $WTI, $BTC, $ROKU, $LINU, $KONE, $JP, $XXII, $HLF, $CATB, $IPI …

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch: $JCP wash out

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat / up ish lately. Oil $USOIL $WTI has lift in recent days but in multi month sideways action and currently very near an important resistance in model, Gold / Silver continuation moderately to the sell side but likely to bounce soon (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY as always in Fed fix mode with a bit of a squeeze on Friday, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD off a bit over night but up big yesterday to new all time highs and $VIX up a bit and moderate (ready for the Fed smash down).

Last time Gold did this- near never! See notes on Trading View chart. XAUUSD GLD GC_F https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/dVnFELUt-Last-time-Gold-did-this-near-never-See-notes-XAUUSD-GLD-GC-F/ …

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch:

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Trades have been light with the exception of $XBTUSD…. but I expect that to change this week with the setups in play.

Previous recent notes:

No trades Tuesday other than $XTBUSD.

Hold small $SNAP (win), holding $SPPI (YTBD), hold some $FB (win), $XBTUSD many trades & all wins (only thing we can claim that – we don’t lose), $AAOI underwater and holding waiting for a bounce for a double down, $SHOP holding and trimmed some (winning), Gold closed my short for a win, and oil no new position as of yet.

Out 99% of $SNAP for win, new swing in $SPPI in to earnings. Hold most of $FB swing for winning exits, $XBTUSD Bitcoin we have been winning of course and especially with most recent downturn and spiking yesterday (we bought all the way down and sniped off some on bounces) and $AAOI holding, $SHOP holding. In a tight oil trade premarket long and a swing in Gold short.

Yesterday killed Bitcoin and an oil scalp. Holding $AAOI, $SNAP, $SHOP.

Holding everything still… trimmed some $SNAP and keep winning on Bitcoin 100 x leverage 24 hours a day 7 days a week.

As above, Bitcoin has been an incredible trade for members and continues to be -100 x leveraged accts having huge gains in $XBTUSD, We have members knocking on the 1 Million door that will be interviewed on our podcasts soon. $AAOI is off 20% and I am holding, $SNAP and $SHOP I continue to hold. $SNAP has been great recently also.

On Monday I entered $SHOP wash-out set-up long near HOD (but I needed a confirmed strength so that’s the way it is) and I held overnight for a swing. Still holding $AAOI and $SNAP.

In overnight trade I got a really good trade long in Bitcoin related $XBTUSD 100x leverage swaps and called the pop in oil (expecting EPIC the Algo weekly target hits) just in time in the oil trading room but missed my personal entry because we are retooling (the new machines are here and being set-up).

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

Review You Tube posts and all new swing set-ups to swing members tonight!

Per recent;

$OCN is added to my watchlist thanks to JDee in the room on mid day chart review and $SPPI which I am in.

From Monday in the room $LCI (thanks to Sean) and $HIIQ are on my watchlist.

I am adding $ONTX to my short term watch… it has its 200 MA and is in a bull formation. $BABA, $BBRY. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Soft at start and likely revs up as week progresses.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

 

GM shares slide 3% premarket after Goldman downgrades stock to sell

Craig-Hallum Upgrades $SITO Mobile to Buy – bz

Paul Manafort turns himself into US authorities — media reports

$NEOS Board of Directors Unanimously Rejects Unsolicited Proposal from $PDLI

$INSY trading will remain halted till further notice

$JCP J.C. Penney downgraded after profit warning

$PTIE guidance meeting with FDA to discuss NDA re-submission for REMOXY ER on Nov 14th. NDA re-submission on track for Q1’18

Morgan Stanley cuts AMD to Underweight as cryptocurrency gains seen fading $AMD http://dlvr.it/PyJwWT

$NVS to buy $AAAP for $3.9 Billion
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/novartis-buy-frances-advanced-accelerator-071454614.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … #M&A

Diamond Offshore +9% after Q3 earnings beat –

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:   $MICT, $CAA, $ADMS $DYN $ENDP $ANY $AAAP $JAKK $TOCA $SMI $IMDZ $XXII $SRRA $MRNS $XNET $IBN $OSTK $UVXY

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $TRXC $GM $JCP $M $AMD $FDC $PSTI $MRK $QD $UA $AXTA

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $CAG $BMY $ORI $INTC $CW $ORAN $CYOU $PJC $IBN $PX $JD $INN $CXP $BMY

(6) Recent Downgrades: $IART $PHC $M $JCP $LHO $ODP $UUA $CENX $GM $TRU $MRK $AMD $LEG $SOHU $ISBC $GT $BTE $PCRX $DIOD

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $SPPI, $FB, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Rosie the Gold Algorithm Model Charting Update Sunday October 29, 2017 #GOLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD with Miners Observations: $GDX, $GDXJ ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report for Compound Trading.

Like EPIC our Oil Algorithm chart model, I am an algorithm chart model in development and trader testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of Gold and Gold Miner related.

The charting models are best used decision to decision. In other words, each line on the algorithmic model charts are support and resistance related. As trade progresses, weighing algorithmic charting model against conventional charting observations provides an edge over using only conventional charts.

If you need assistance at anytime contact my developers at info@compoundtrading.com.

Updates:

The charting below for Gold now has prospective channel support and resistance, considerable wider time frame quad walls highlighted (thicker orange dotted lines) and key channel decision areas noted with purple arrows.

How to Use the Charting Model:

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Primary Trade Indications:

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Gold / Miner Trades: @GoldAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade our traders are reporting works with the most predictability is to wait for Gold to breach the trading range (grey lines marked with arrows) up or down and then have it confirm as it leaves the corresponding trading quadrant to the up or downside. See video above.

As it is a model in development, if you find more predictable methods please report same.

Resistance and Support Clusters: Blue and Yellow horizontal (may be sloped) lines (marked with arrows). The thicker they are the more significant they are. Blue are conventional indicators and Yellow are calculated historical algorithmic points of significance. If the cluster is significant our charting techs will shade the area in white to bring this to your attention. The most recent cluster has proven to be significant resistance in recent trade.

Trading Range: Grey Lines (marked with grey arrows). Trade above or below creates bias and bias is confirmed to a high probability when trade then leaves a quadrant (geometric diamond shape formed with diagonal Fib trend lines for time – frame) after gaining or losing a trading range horizontal support / resistance line (grey horizontal line).

Quadrants: Diagonal Orange Lines that form diamond shapes. Based on diagonal Fibonacci trend lines act as important support and resistance. The wider the time frame the thicker the line.

Channel Decisions: Purple arrows note critical uptrend and downtrend channel decisions.

Fibonacci Support and Resistance: Horizontal lines on charting (various colors).

Targets: Red circles on charting. The least of the indicators and should be used for observation purpose only. The targets are in very early stage development / testing. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only either are expected to hit (if at all – very low probability of a hit is expected at this point).

Conventional Charting: All decisions should be weighed against conventional charting (as may be provided below also).

Gold Algorithm Live Charting Link:

Live chart link below for Oct 29, 2017.

Click on share button bottom right (beside flag) and then click on “Make it Mine”.

Rosie Gold Algorithm Chart Model – Current trade. Oct 29 1137 PM

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/H7uWrZNQ-Rosie-Gold-Algorithm-Chart-Model-Current-trade-Oct-29-1137-PM/

Gold, Chart

Rosie Gold Algorithm Chart Model – Current trade. Oct 29 1137 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

Conventional Charting Considerations:

Last time Gold did this- near never! See notes. XAUUSD GLD GC_F

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/dVnFELUt-Last-time-Gold-did-this-near-never-See-notes-XAUUSD-GLD-GC-F/

MACD on Gold -0.22% daily chart was an excellent buy sell trigger until just recently.

Check out the chart… the MACD has been for a long time an excellent buy and sell trigger. It has returned an excellent ROI -1.52% .

Price discover in Gold -0.22% has all but disappeared on the last year and now the MACD turns up and then what’s new is it turned right back down at the bottom of the range.

That is as we call it in technical land… totally divergent and a very bad sign.

Gold -0.22% is still above 200 MA but I wouldn’t want to be bullish and all in here. It could bounce but I wouldn’t bet the farm folks. Go easy long here. Run the test on the 200 ma with caution long.

$XAUUSD $GLD $GC_F #GOLD

Gold, MACD, Chart, 200 MA

Last time Gold did this- near never! See notes on Trading View chart. XAUUSD GLD GC_F

Gold Miner $GDX:

The Gold miner charting is in very early development but we do expect considerable improvement over coming weeks and not months. Our target date sometime late 2017. For now the quadrants have produced some indication for trading and the fibs have been useful.

For this report there is no note-able change in the charting below.

Live $GDX charting:

$GDX Gold Miner fibs and quadrants. 1145 PM Nov 29 $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/MZYGQiGY-GDX-Gold-Miner-fibs-and-quadrants-1145-PM-Oct-29-GDX-GDXJ-N/

GDX, Chart

$GDX Gold Miner fibs and quadrants. 605 AM Oct 16 $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST

Recent / Historical Reporting for Perspective:

Let’s Review.

The chart below was used to guide our traders through symmetrical trade extensions (white arrows) assisted by Fibonacci levels (various horizontal), previous conventional support and resistance points of reference (purple) and algorithmic model quadrants support and resistance (blue) and algorithm calculated support and resistance key points (yellow). The chart also includes some notes. This charting called the low months in advance and the recent high months in advance. It was integral to our traders success.

So in summary, our first generation Gold algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate):

  1. Algorithmic prediction of wide time frame lows and highs (proprietary algorithmic calculations).
  2. Algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (blue horizontal lines)
  3. Algorithmic calculated support and resistance based on historical trade (yellow horizontal lines).
  4. Symmetrical extension expectations (white arrows).
  5. Conventional Fibonacci support and resistance (various horizontal lines).
  6. Conventional historical support and resistance (purple horizontal lines).
  7. Conventional moving averages. 20, 50, 100 and 200 MA.

Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

Gold, chart, symmetry, quads, support, resistance

Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

The static chart below shows current day trading range with the same indicators.

Current day. Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/5bRqnOtR-Current-day-Gold-chart-notes-with-symmetry-white-arrows-quad/

Gold, charting, current, trade

Current day. Gold chart notes with symmetry (white arrows), quadrants (blue), important support and resistance (yellow) #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

The Second Generation Chart Modeling Uses a More Advanced Algorithmic Quadrant Model (based on Fibonacci) and Weighed Against Historical Trade.

You will notice on the chart below diamond shaped patterns. Theses represent lower time-frames than the blue support and resistance lines above represent for wider time-frame quadrants. The way trade reacts to the tighter time-frames is critical and takes some understanding and experience. Our traders will be publishing videos on the subject for our members going forward. Please note, if you are familiar with how oil trades between the same type of quadrants on EPIC’s charting… this is identical. The bottom line… all lines are support and resistance decisions and the time-cycles are when each quadrant area expires. The quadrants are available on all time-frames but the represented time-frames below are most widely used.

The chart below adds;

1: 60 min time cycle quadrants represented in orange diagonal dotted lines. These are critical to trade and you will find they will act as significant support and resistance decisions.

Also, 2: along with them are the horizontal grey lines – they, as with EPIC charting become significant support and resistance.

If you consider the seven indicators above plus the two below there are then nine indicators of support and resistance decisions that each will act as support and resistance in their own manner. This is where time, experience and training come in. Our lead trader will (as noted above) provide regular webinars / videos on the subject.

Although many inflections of trade occur within each quadrant, one of the main to consider is that price regularly moves toward the quadrant apex, inverse apex and either side apex. Also of importance is that trade often becomes more volatile when leaving / entering a quadrant and also as trade nears the middle (widest range) part of a quadrant.

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/fKsoBHcc-Gold-algorithm-model-charting-60-min/

Rosie, Algorithm, Gold

Rosie the Gold Algorithm Chart Model with 60 Min Quadrants (orange dotted) July 9 1105 PM #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD

Our plan going forward is to provide low frame quadrant charting for our traders. We first want to provide training for the charting to date and give our traders a few weeks with this development. Expect regular training webinars to be announced over the coming days.

Also of note, we have a model for $GDX we will add to this report in the coming weeks.

For now, the obvious trade considering the quadrant above is for price to chase the lower inverse apex on the chart terminating July 18, 2017 at approximately 1184.00 on the chart (your attention should be given to the 1071.00 approximate figure below in the conventional charting). This is not however absolute. The regular reporting will keep you up to date with our bias considering model trade.

Your short term overhead resistance is 1220.29 (grey horizontal) and your support is 1204.79 (blue horizontal fib) and then of course the quadrant wall (diagonal orange dotted).

Wider range there is significant resistance at 1228.14 (blue) and significant support at 1185.58 (yellow). These are areas our traders take advantage of trade support and resistance (blue and yellow horizontal support and resistance). You will find these two indicators to provide your best ROI because of predictability. The quadrants add a dynamic that otherwise would not be there, but the wider time frame critical support and resistance are where a trader can size in considerably.

Below are some conventional Gold and $GDX charting considerations also for consideration and should be given weight to your trade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/E9M8SpNi-Trading-Gold-KISS-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Nets-Decent-Annual-ROI/

Gold, KISS, MACD

Trading #Gold KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 9 $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

Gold, Daily, Chart, Indicators

Gold Daily. Stoch RSI trend down, MACD trend down, SQZMOM red flat, lost MA’s. #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/zNO98VFe-Will-basic-chart-history-in-Gold-repeat/

Gold, Chart, Historical, Target

Gold Target if history repeats. Stoch RSI trend down, MACD trend down, SQZMOM red flat, lost MA’s. #Gold $GLD $GC_F $XAUUSD $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/VgUNfesO-Trading-GDX-Gold-Miners-KISS-Keep-it-Simple-MACD-Nets-Decent-A/

$GDX, KISS, MACD

Trading $GDX #Gold Miners KISS Keep it Simple MACD Nets Decent Annual ROI July 7 $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/mGlvNB6Q-Bull-trap-or-launch-pad-GDX-Gold-Miners-GDXJ-NUGT-DUST/

GDX, Chart, Bull trap

Bull trap or launch pad $GDX #Gold Miners July 7 $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/4UteIQzb-Bull-trap-or-launch-pad-In-2014-similar-set-up-was-a-bull-trap/

$GDX, bull, trap, charting

Bull trap or launch pad. In 2014 similar set-up was a bull trap. $GDX #Gold Miners July 7 $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #SwingTrading

All the best with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie, Gold, Algorithm, Algo, Chart, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, $XAUUSD, $GOLD, $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


EPIC the Oil Algorithm Chart Report Sunday October 29, 2017 (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES: 

New members to the oil room – please onboard in a way that best equips you to be profitable. Visit my Twitter feed (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months (there are posts on there such as my profit and loss ledger, time cycle expiry, target hits, links to important videos and more), visit our blog and review my recent blog posts, our you tube channel has “how my algorithm works”, “how to use my charting” and weekly EIA report videos and our website explains how I was developed. Review of those points of reference will increase your chance of success considerably. Some recent examples are below:

Oil Trading Room – How to Use My Oil Algorithm

Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithm Charting

Most Recent P/L Link:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2018 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and associated trade, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live chart version of EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for October 29, 2017. If you click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens you can click on make it mine to make edits etc:

Oil current trading area. Oct 29 7:16 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Live chart link below:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/x1S9Af22-Current-trading-area-Oct-29-716-PM-EPIC-Oil-Algorithm-Chart-FX/

Chart below shows current area of trade with up channel and down channel decisions. Top and bottom of up and down channels show in diagonal orange dotted lines. Yellow and grey lines (as may be shown) represent algorithm model trading range support and resistance decisions.

OIl, chart, Current, Trading

Current trading area. Oct 29 716 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

October 29, 2017

The first most predictable trade are the significant resistance clusters formed by red trend lines (see previous posts and supplemental conventional charting below).

The second most predictable trade (Wide trading range primary resistance and support). Upper algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 54.56 in the current trading range. Lower algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 50.97 in the current trading range – these areas are general support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades).

Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as mad available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).

Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes.

Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below).

Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.

Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.

Current and more recent trade is not conducive to target predictability. Oil trade has been in a sideways trading range for months and as a result the targets on Tues, Wed and Fri are not as predictable as they would be in strong uptrends or downtrends.

The Tues, Wed and Fri algo targets for the next week of trade are represented on the chart and are considered a moderately LOW probability hit. There are targets represented in the upward and downward channel choices (representing scenarios for up or down channels).

The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).

Wide Trading Range – Swing Trading:

Trade the ranges noted above (47.40 – 50.97 or 50.97 – 54.46 and above 54.56 – 57.13) between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades.

Oil, Chart, $WTI, $USOIL, EPIC, Algorithm

Up channel scenario. Oct 29 727 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Oil, $USOIL, $WTI, Chart

Down channel scenario. Oct 29 729 PM EPIC Oil Algorithm Chart FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Conventional Charting Observations: 

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).

Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:

Conventional Oil Chart Considerations 817 PM Oct 29 MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT.png

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ot68dmpj-Conventional-Oil-Chart-Considerations-USOIL-WTI-OOTT/

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Indicators

Conventional Oil Chart Considerations 813 PM Oct 29 MACD SQZMOM Stoch RSI FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT

Recent post for perspective;

$USOIL, $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 201 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Notice how when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Daily, $USOIL $WTI, Chart, Trendlines

Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):

Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.

You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Trading Room, Crude, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm


Morning all,

We’re about 60 days away from completing our first year – the start up. I thought I’d give you a quick update.

We just finished the code break on Bitcoin… it’s done, done, done. Finished. It was a process. But it is now done. The existing newsletters have excellent model(s) and those will continue from Reed’s desk. This model (the one we just completed) is a black box model… and we aren’t sure yet if and whether it will be shared. We’ll keep you up to date.

Now that we are done that model… we can clean up the rest of our models, newsletters etc… shine everything up for the completion of our start up year. Get the reports out on time… get the alerts out regular etc. I know I’ve been promising since we started ten months ago that we’d get caught up… I know. But in truth the process of breaking the code on these models is…. well… it takes a lot of a person to do it. Anyway…. as of this weekend we start polishing up everything so they get on regular rotation properly. If there’s any concern with value or delays or anything just contact Sartaj direct for discussion.

In terms of pricing and grandfathering… yes… our grandfather prices will always remain intact. No price raise for legacy clients. Period. When everything is shined up and presented to public and on regular rotation…. as we near the new year (the completion of our start-up) we will raise some pricing going forward (for new folks). They’ll be getting a polished version on regular rotation etc etc so they should pay for that.

Sartaj will be doing a promo going in to the turn of the completion of our first year too fyi… kind of a last call as we close out our first year.

Next year, 2018 we start coding our models for machine trading and intelligent assisted trading. Bitcoin will be going to coding first by the end of January, and then EPIC for Oil and so on.

Our private capital fund is now completing its regulatory requirements for various platforms in various jurisdictions and will also be in growth mode in 2018.

I have had much discussion with stakeholders about my role going forward as it relates to the trading rooms / reporting etc etc… I’ll be around and trading and available for legacy members (those that start in first year).

I really appreciate all the support we got through this start up. Much grace has been extended and many of you have really got behind our mission and for that I am truly grateful.

Thanks much! Peace and best.

Curt

 

 


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Wednesday Oct 25, 2017 $APOP, EIA, $AIMT, $EVOK, $SPPI, $FB, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Oct 23 Trade Set-Ups: $TSLA, $FB, $SHOP, $HMNY, $SNAP, $XBTUSD, Bitcoin, $AAOI …

Oct 20 Trade Set-Ups Gold, Bitcoin, $DGLY, $MNKD, $ABEO, $TACO, $SNAP, $SHOP, $SKX, $AAOI …

Oct 19 Trade Set-Ups: OIL, $WTI, Gold, Bitcoin, $QURE, $OSTK, $SBUX, $GRVY, $ABDE, $PPHM, $BTC …

Oct 18 Trade Set-Ups $OCN, $SPPI, $OPTT, $VERI, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $FB, $AAOI…

Oct 13 Trade Set-ups $RGSE, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $NETE, $CLF, $FSRX, $SOHU, $GROW, $CYCC, $RNN…

Oct 10 Trade Set-ups Review $BTC $XBTUSD, $SHOP, $HMNY, $ANAB, $MNKD, $ARDM and more

Oct 9 Trade Set-Ups $SNAP, $AAOI, $SHOP, $ROKU, $VERI, $BTC, $XBTUSD, $BABA, $TSLA, $BLUE, $HMNY…

Oct 6 Trade set-ups $USOIL, $WTI, $BTC, $ROKU, $LINU, $KONE, $JP, $XXII, $HLF, $CATB, $IPI …

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch:  $APOP

$APOP premarket up 32% on positive results.

$APOP, premarket, trading, plan

$APOP premarket up 32% on positive results.

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat / up ish. Oil $USOIL $WTI has lift in recent sessions but in multi month sideways action, Gold / Silver continuation moderately to the sell side (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY moderately zippy, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD off a bit over night and $VIX up a bit and moderate.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: $VERI

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: 

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

No trades Tuesday other than $XTBUSD.

Previous recent notes:

Hold small $SNAP (win), holding $SPPI (YTBD), hold some $FB (win), $XBTUSD many trades & all wins (only thing we can claim that – we don’t lose), $AAOI underwater and holding waiting for a bounce for a double down, $SHOP holding and trimmed some (winning), Gold closed my short for a win, and oil no new position as of yet.

Out 99% of $SNAP for win, new swing in $SPPI in to earnings. Hold most of $FB swing for winning exits, $XBTUSD Bitcoin we have been winning of course and especially with most recent downturn and spiking yesterday (we bought all the way down and sniped off some on bounces) and $AAOI holding, $SHOP holding. In a tight oil trade premarket long and a swing in Gold short.

Yesterday killed Bitcoin and an oil scalp. Holding $AAOI, $SNAP, $SHOP.

Holding everything still… trimmed some $SNAP and keep winning on Bitcoin 100 x leverage 24 hours a day 7 days a week.

As above, Bitcoin has been an incredible trade for members and continues to be -100 x leveraged accts having huge gains in $XBTUSD, We have members knocking on the 1 Million door that will be interviewed on our podcasts soon. $AAOI is off 20% and I am holding, $SNAP and $SHOP I continue to hold. $SNAP has been great recently also.

On Monday I entered $SHOP wash-out set-up long near HOD (but I needed a confirmed strength so that’s the way it is) and I held overnight for a swing. Still holding $AAOI and $SNAP.

In overnight trade I got a really good trade long in Bitcoin related $XBTUSD 100x leverage swaps and called the pop in oil (expecting EPIC the Algo weekly target hits) just in time in the oil trading room but missed my personal entry because we are retooling (the new machines are here and being set-up).

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

$OCN is added to my watchlist thanks to JDee in the room on mid day chart review and $SPPI which I am in.

Per recent;

From Monday in the room $LCI (thanks to Sean) and $HIIQ are on my watchlist.

I am adding $ONTX to my short term watch… it has its 200 MA and is in a bull formation. $BABA, $BBRY. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Markets are ripping through earnings it seems. I do like the look of many charts in to earnings. This is a big week for earnings.

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket $BA, $KO, $V, $NOC, $ANTM, $CG, $WBA, $T & more https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/25/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-premarket-ba-ko-v-noc-antm-cg-wba-t-more.html

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

 

7am
MBA Mortgage Apps

8:30am
Durable Goods

9am
House Price Index

10am
New Home Sales

10:30am
EIA crude inventories

General Motors downgraded to Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley $GM http://dlvr.it/PxVmdN

Cara Therapeutics doses first patient in Phase 1 study of oral CR845 in non-hemodialysis CKD pat… https://seekingalpha.com/news/3303768-cara-therapeutics-doses-first-patient-phase-1-study-oral-cr845-non-hemodialysis-ckd-patients?source=feed_f … #premarket $CARA

3M $MMM PT Raised to $209 at RBC Capital Following 3Q Beat

Texas Instruments $TXN PT Raised to $100 at Baird Following Solid 3Q

Pentair $PNR PT Raised to $80 at Seaport Global Securities

Wells Fargo upgrades Leidos https://seekingalpha.com/news/3303761-wells-fargo-upgrades-leidos?source=feed_f … #premarket $LDOS

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:   $APOP 21% $BONT 21%, $CAPR $VSAR $DELT $AKAM $IBN $MTBC $WLL $IRBT $TRXC $OSTK $XNET $WBA $HMY $BTI $PSTI $HMNY

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $EC $YPF $MMM $STWD $CLB $SAIC $LDOS $CACI $BIIB $SNPS $COF $ILMN $UAL $SNPS $TU

(6) Recent Downgrades: $SABR $ACHC $MAS $PII $RCII $GM $DFS $HBI $HSTM $CMG

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $APOP, EIA, $SPPI, $FB, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY


Welcome to the Compound Trading Weekly Swing Trading Stocks for Wednesday October 25, 2017.  Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $SNAP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $SSW, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $SOHN, $PDLI, $LPSN, $LTRX

Email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

Good morning!

There are a few at the end of the report not complete – a revised version will be sent later today.

This swing trading report is one in five in rotation.

When managing your trades with the reports keep in mind that you will have to invest an hour or two a week to check the indicators mentioned for buy and sell triggers. I was asked recently why we do not usually (although we do sometimes) include precise entry and exit points. The reason is simple, they don’t work – those services have terrible results.

Swing trading success, even with a service, does require “some” maintenance on the part of the user, although the new live alert service will take much of that burden off the user as we know many of our users have busy lives. It is the indicators lining up that signal a trade long entry or an exit. In our case rely heavily on MACD on daily or weekly (or Stoch RSI and Moving averages) but indicators we are basing our trade entry and exits on are listed with each trade so any user that does even moderate trade management will know when the indicator(s) have turn with or against the trade.

Intra-week you can always DM myself on Twitter or email with specific questions regarding trades you are considering for assistance. But it is critical that you attend to the maintenance of your signals at least once a week if not twice and set stops and preferably alarms so that intra-week you can enter or exit. If nothing else you can always book some coaching time and I’ll assist also (although we are at a point of waiting list for the coaching, at minimum you can get on list or for immediate help as I said please DM or email).

IF WE DON’T GET BACK TO YOU RIGHT AWAY it is usually because we are pressured with deadlines or are trading.

Also, as live charts are made available below, click on link and open viewer. Then to use chart yourself click on share button at bottom right (near thumbs up) and then click “make it mine”.

Newer updates below in red for ease.

Recent Compound Trading Videos for Swing Traders / Charting Set-Ups:

Visit our You Tube channel for other recent videos.

Oct 23 Trade Set-Ups: $TSLA, $FB, $SHOP, $HMNY, $SNAP, $XBTUSD, Bitcoin, $AAOI …

Oct 20 Trade Set-Ups Gold, Bitcoin, $DGLY, $MNKD, $ABEO, $TACO, $SNAP, $SHOP, $SKX, $AAOI …

Oct 19 Trade Set-Ups: OIL, $WTI, Gold, Bitcoin, $QURE, $OSTK, $SBUX, $GRVY, $ABDE, $PPHM, $BTC …

Oct 18 Trade Set-Ups $OCN, $SPPI, $OPTT, $VERI, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $FB, $AAOI…

Oct 13 Trade Set-ups $RGSE, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $NETE, $CLF, $FSRX, $SOHU, $GROW, $CYCC, $RNN…

Oct 10 Trade Set-ups Review $BTC $XBTUSD, $SHOP, $HMNY, $ANAB, $MNKD, $ARDM and more

Oct 9 Trade Set-Ups $SNAP, $AAOI, $SHOP, $ROKU, $VERI, $BTC, $XBTUSD, $BABA, $TSLA, $BLUE, $HMNY…

Oct 6 Trade set-ups $USOIL, $WTI, $BTC, $ROKU, $LINU, $KONE, $JP, $XXII, $HLF, $CATB, $IPI …

Email us at info@compoundtrading.com anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Profit and Loss Statements:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month).

July 2017 Trading Challenge P/L Report $NFLX, $XIV, $AAOI, $AKCA, $BWA, $SRG, $MCRB, $UGLD, $IPXL, $HIIQ and more

Stock Pick Coverage

 

$SNAP Inc. (transferred over from another swing report to report on current long position).

Oct 25 – Trading 14.62 sitting on 50 ma with earnings in 15 days. We exited most accts long as it was rising to its recent high at 16.89. Waiting for earnings likely before making a decision.

Sept 11 – $SNAP Trading 15.10 premarket above 50 MA all indicators on daily bullish. Long from Friday session. Holding position.

$SNAP, Swing Trading

$SNAP Trading 15.10 premarket above 50 MA all indicators on daily bullish.

$ARRY – ARRY Biopharma

Oct 25 – $ARRY trading 10.45 and we exited long position near recent highs. All indicator pointing down with earnings in 13 days. Will very likely wait for earnings to consider a position.

Sept 11 – $ARRY Trading 10.90 premarket with all indicators bullish. Long Swing trade Fri.

$ARRY, swing, trade

$ARRY Trading 10.90 premarket with all indicators bullish. Long Swing trade Fri.

$ARWR – Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals

Oct 25 $ARWR Trading 3.82 with all indicators pointing down, price lost 20 MA on daily and earnings in 49 days. Watching for an indicator rerversal.

Sept 11 – Trading 3.11 and expect pull back for an MA bounce at 20 or otherwise. Watching for that set-up.

Sept 5 – Trading 2.86. Good follow-through since last report. Over 200 MA with all MA’s in bull form, post ER, MACD SQZMOM up against resistance soon at just above 3.00. Will watch how it handles resistance or catch a long on a pull back prior.

$ARWR, Chart

$ARWR Over 200 MA with all MA’s in bull form, post ER, MACD SQZMOM up against resistance soon.

Aug 28 – Trading 2.58. $ARWR Over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up. #swingtrading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ARWR/7GYmLwsD-ARWR-Over-200-MA-watching-for-follow-through-MACD-SQZMOM-and-S/

$ARWR, swing, trading, watchlist

$ARWR Over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up. #swingtrading

$CDNA – Caradex

Oct 25 – Trading 5.69 with earnings in 15 days. Many of our traders contacted me with thanks on this one and I didn’t enter ugh. But good our traders got it. For now I am watching consolidation.

Sept 11 – $CDNA 50 MA about to breach 200 MA. Watching for price action confirmation for long.

$CDNA, Swing, Trading

$CDNA 50 MA about to breach 200 MA. Watching for price action confirmation for long.

Sept 5 – $CDNA Trading 2.80 after 20 MA thru 200 MA with price above and pullback on watch. #swingtrading

$CDNA, chart, swingtrading

$CDNA Trading 2.80 after 20 MA thru 200 MA with price above and pullback on watch. #swingtrading

Aug 28 – Trading 2.98. Over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up.

$NAK – Northern Dynasty Minerals

Oct 25 – Trading 1.91 and up over all its ma’s except the 20 ma. Watching and studying this one some.

Sept 11 – Trading 1.82. 20 MA approaching underside test of 200 MA with price above. Watching for possible entry.

Sept 5 – Trading 1.81 May be a decent long over recent highs and confirmation of indicators with tight stop.

$NAK, Chart

Trading 1.81 May be a decent long over recent highs and confirmation of indicators with tight stop. $NAK

Aug 28 – Trading 1.78. Regained and over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up.

$XXII – 22nd Century Group

Oct 25 – Trading 2.62 with indicators pointing down. Watching for a turn of indicators for a long

Sept 11 – Bounced off 20 MA test – watch for follow thru – it may be extended. We will see.

Sept 5 – $XXII Trading 2.29 trending well above 200 MA and up against natural resistance. On watch.

$XXII, Chart

$XXII Trading 2.29 trending well above 200 MA and up against natural resistance. On watch.

Aug 28 – Trading 2.23 over 200 MA watching for follow through. Waiting for MACD to curl back up.

$SHOP – Shopify

Oct 25 – Trading 106.51 MACD on daily is up, earnings in 7 days. Since last report it washed out and we bought near bottom and it has since turned up. We are holding 70% of our position currently. 

$SHOP, swingtrading

$SHOP Trading 106.51 MACD on daily is up, earnings in 7 days. Testing 50 MA on daily.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SHOP/lU3rL5RY-SHOP-Trading-106-51-MACD-on-daily-is-up-earnings-in-7-days/

Sept 11 – Trading 113.61. Waiting on a Stoch RSI pull back to possibly long it (or a pull back to MA’s)

Sept 5 – $SHOP trading 110.86 trending with all indicators bullish and continued break out. Wait for pull back.

$SHOP, chart

$SHOP trading 110.86 trending with all indicators bullish and continued break out. Wait for pull back.

Aug 28 – Trading 103.74 This is a break out – over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up. Watching for break out follow-through.

$SSW – Seaspan

Oct 25 – Trading 7.12 testing 200 MA support with earnings in five days. All indicators are rolling over to bearish. Will watch earnings.

Sept 11 – Trading 6.85. Failed 200 MA upside breach. On watch.

Sept 5 – Trading 7.00 in premarket and is still testing underside resistance of 200 MA. On watch for break.

Aug 28 – Trading 7.34 Test the 200 MA watching for a break.  MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up.

$ITCI – Intra Cellular Therapies

Oct 25 – Trading 15.77 over 200 ma but under 20 and 50 ma’s. A break to upside of MA’s may be a long. Watching.

Sept 11 – Trading 21.39 against natural resistance with MA’s and indicators in bullish formation. Watching for res break.

Sept 5 – $ITCI Significant upside since last report – trading 18.67 in to gap over 200 MA – wait for intra-day pull back timing for entry long – on high alert and will likely trade early this week.

$ITCI, Chart

$ITCI Trading 18.67 in to gap over 200 MA – wait for pull back timing for entry long.

Aug 28 – Trading 15.02. Over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up.

$SENS – Senseonics Holdings

Oct 25 – Trading 2.76 with earnings in 8 days. Popping off 20 ma support test with 20 and 50 ma’s above. On high watch here.

Sept 11 – Trading 3.18 against natural resistance with MA’s and indicators in bullish formation. Watching for res break.

Sept 5 – $SENS trading 3.11 with continued follow through since last report – above 200 MA w SQZMOM Stoch RSI MACD truned up. On Watch.

$SENS, Chart, Swing Trading

$SENS trading 3.11 above 200 MA w SQZMOM Stoch RSI MACD truned up. On Watch.

$SENS, Chart, Swing Trading

$SENS trading 3.11 above 200 MA w SQZMOM Stoch RSI MACD truned up. On Watch.

Aug 28 – Trading 2.70. Over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up.

$HCN – Welltower

Oct 25 – Trading 66.85 with all indicators down and price under all MA’s. May see considerable downside still before a bounce.

Sept 11 – Trading 74.50 against natural resistance with MA’s and indicators in bullish formation. Watching for res break.

Sept 5 – $HCN Trading 73.67 with all indicators trending up. Watching 20 MA possible breach to upside with price above.

$HCN, Chart

$HCN Trading 73.67 with all indicators trending up. Watching 20 MA possible breach to upside with price above.

Aug 28 – Trading 71.92. Over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up but under 50 and 100 Ma’s – on watch.

$GTHX – GT1 Therapuetics

Oct 25 – Trading 21.40 with earnings in 14 days and all indicators bearish. Will wait for earnings.

Sept 11 – Trading 26.51, up considerably since last report and on continued break out. High probability of continued break-out.

Sept 5 – $GTHX A close over 20.63 previous high may get a sustained break out over. On watch.

Aug 28 – Trading Over what would be 200 MA and a relative new issue (IPO) watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up.

$EXTR – Extreme Networks

Oct 25 – Trading 11.68 with earnings in 23 days and MA’s and indicators indecisive. Will watch earnings.

Sept 11 – Trading 11.48 threatening previous highs – on watch for the break.

Sept 5 – $EXTR After a 30% Aug run it is still in break – out. Watching very close.

$EXTR, Stock

$EXTR After a 30% AUg run it is still in break – out. Watching very close.

Aug 28 – Trading 10.87 in premarket. This is a break out – over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up. Watching for break out follow-through.

$EDIT – EDITAS

Oct 25 – Trading 23.33 with earnings in 12 days and MA’s and indicators indecisive. Will watch earnings.

Sept 11 – Trading 20.09 – watching price action over 200 MA per below.

Sept 5 – $EDIT Trading 20.59 trading through MA’s on Daily – on watch.

$EDIT, chart

$EDIT Trading 20.59 trading through MA”s on Daily – on watch.

Aug 28 – Trading 19.30 premarket. Waiting for MACD and SQZMOM to turn back up and run.

$IPI – Intrepid Potash

Oct 25 – Trading 3.92 with earnings in 7 days. All indicators and MA’s indecisive. Will watch earnings.

Sept 11 – Trading 3.66 – same indications as previous.

Sept 5 – Trading 3.72 threatening a break out of 52 week high of 3.93 – on watch.

Aug 28 – Trading 3.54. This is a trending stock over 200 MA retesting 20 MA on pull back. Watching bounce and indicators like MACD for a turn.

$MBRX – Moleculin Biotech

Oct 25 – Trading 1.93 and about to test 200 MA support on daily. Will watch 200 MA test.

Sept 11 – Trading 2.68 – same indications as below.

Sept 5 – $MBRX Over 200 MA set up and on pullback watch 100 MA breach for long.

$MBRX, On watch, Swing Trading, Chart

$MBRX Over 200 MA set up and on pullback watch 100 MA breach.

Aug 28 – Trading 2.36. Over 200 MA on pull back waiting for MACD and SQZMOM to turn back up.

$SOHU – SOHU.COM

Sept 11 – Trading 54.22 – same indications as below – watching for MACD.

Sept 5 – Trading 53.93 – pulled back since last report. Watching.

Aug 28 – Trading 54.66. This is a trending stock over 200 MA and on pull back to 20 MA. Watching MACD and SQZMOM to turn back up.

$PDLI – PDL BIO Pharma

Sept 11 – Trading 3.17 same indications as below. On close watch now.

Sept 5 – Trading 3.07 and against chart resistance. Watching.

Aug 28 – Trading 3.00. Over 200 MA with all indicators trending and filling a gap with natural resistance on deck. Watching for follow through.

$ESPR – Esperion Therapeutics

Sept 11 – Trading 49.46 with same indications as below. On watch.

Sept 5 – Trading 52.80 premarket with all indicators bullish – on high watch here.

Aug 28 – Trading 48.27. Over 200 MA trending and waiting for MACD and SQZMOM to curl up.

$LPSN – LivePerson

Sept 11 – Trading 13.00 with same indications as below. Watching.

Sept 5 – Trading 13.60 premarket and MACD turned down. Watching when MACD turns back up for long.

Aug 28 – Trading 12.65. Over 200 MA trending and on pull back waiting for MACD and SQZMOM to curl up. Recently hit natural resistance so it is on test.

$XOMA – XOMA Corp

Sept 11 – Trading 18.10 with considerable upside since last report. On watch.

Sept 5 – Trading 11.50 premarket with good follow through since last report. Over 11.73 on watch for long.

Aug 28 – Trading 10.71. Had a large pop last week. Over 200 MA watching for follow through. MACD SQZMOM and Stoch RSI trending up. Daily volume is the main issue. Watching.

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

Cheers!

Curtis

Article Topics;  Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $SNAP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $NAK, $SHOP, $SSW, $ITCI, $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EXTR, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $SOHN, $PDLI, $LPSN


Crypto the Bitcoin Algorithm Newsletter Monday October 23, 2017  #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC $BITCF $BTCS $BTSC $GBTC

Hello! My name is Crypto the Bitcoin Algo. Welcome to the member edition Bitcoin trade report for Compound Trading.

Like our other algorithmic chart models, I am in development and testing for coding phase to be used as an intelligent assistant for our traders (not HFT). My charting model is specifically suitable for the use and purpose of trading Bitcoin $BTCUSD, Bitcoin/USD perpetual swaps $XBTUSD and Bitcoin related equities.

Note: The model for $BTCUSD is built on a chart from the Bitstamp exchange. The $XBTUSD model is built on a chart from BitMEX. Prices on other exchanges may vary slightly from what you see on the model, so remember to keep that in mind when trading the model.

Notices: 

  • There is a relatively significant update to our most predictable trades this week. The specific changes will be outlined below. 
  • I have decided to exclude the second generation beta model from the newsletter for the time being. We want to provide our members with only the most reliable and tested models and that model has not been testing to our preferred standards. However, a true next gen model is in the works. 
  • Join us in our private Crypto Trading room on discord! Curt, Sartaj and I have been team trading as well as posting TONS of supplemental charting in there. 
  • We have been trading $XBTUSD (BTC/USD Inverse perpetual swap contracts) on BitMEX.
    • $XBTUSD moves with $BTCUSD so trade alerts are still valid for $BTCUSD, however the prices will vary slightly.
  • Welcome our lead trader to the platform! You will now be receiving alerts from Curt as well as myself.
  • You can read my blog post about how to trade Bitcoin here. I will post an update with more information about BitMEX as soon as I can.
  • 24 hour trade room on discord is gaining traction – A few things to keep in mind going in:
    • Curt, Sartaj and I will be #TeamTrading this in a very serious way.
    • #TeamTrading is key in a 24-hour room like this. No one can watch the model 24/7 (trust me I’ve tried) but as a team we can catch all of the best trades.
    • To make this work we need an orderly chat room, full of highly functioning people, all trading together.
    • In Curt’s words, the accuracy of the model plus the margins on Bitcoin combined with #TeamTrading will take this thing from Compound Trading to “uber quantum leap compound trading.” If done right, our ROI will be absolutely astronomical.
    • We will have a private Discord room for Cryptocurrency trading as well. I plan to use the voice channel to enhance our #TeamTrading and I hope many of you will join me in there.
    • As always, don’t hesitate to DM me on twitter (@reedshermanator) if you have any questions, comments, concerns, etc.

Primary Methods of Trade: 

Live Twitter Alert Feed for Bitcoin Trades: @BTCAlerts_CT

The primary method of trade we have found works with the most predictability is to wait for bitcoin to breach the upper right wall of a quadrant (the orange or grey diagonal dotted lines – the thicker orange lines are more significant) and confirm over the next horizontal Fibonacci resistance. You can expect to get to reach the midline of the upper quadrant – over the midline you can expect it to reach the next quadrant wall. Entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

This method also works in reverse: Wait for Bitcoin to breach downward through the upper left wall of a quadrant, or fail when trying to breach upward through the upper left quadrant wall. Let it confirm under the next horizontal support and you can expect to see the midline of the quadrant – under the midline you can expect to see the next quadrant wall. Same as above, entering this trade near the apex of a quadrant gives you the widest trading range.

Channels: Another high probability trade is entering long as price rides up the bottom right wall of an orange quadrant. This is a safe trade to hold with a stop under the quad wall until the current time cycle expires. This trade works in reverse as well. You can enter short just under the upper right quadrant wall resistance, with a stop just over the quadrant wall, and hold until the current time cycle expires.

Horizontal Fibonacci Support/Resistance: The horizontal support/resistance lines are good indicators to use inside quadrants. The light green 0.5 Fibonacci line and the grey 1.0 or 0 fibonacci levels (midlines) are the most significant. Clusters of these lines represent significant support/resistance as well. Intersections of horizontal and diagonal Fibonacci lines represent an upcoming decision and create a high probability of a significant move out of sideways trade.

Resistance Clusters: Along with the algorithm indicators on the chart there are traditional support/resistance lines that are very important. When these lines converge volatility tends to increase. Under the cluster is a high probability short. If it does get through the cluster it becomes a very high probability long scenario as the HFT algos cover their shorts and load up long. The most recent cluster corresponded with the run over $3,000 to all time highs.

Targets: Red circles on charting. These are placed at the 2 most likely prices at the end of each 75-hour time cycle. These are still in very early stage of development/testing and should be used for observation only at this point. Two are provided for each quadrant time frame – the upper scenario targets should be considered if the trend is up and likewise for the lower. Only one is expected to hit on each time cycle. These targets have been less predictable with the recent market volatility. I do not recommend entering trades based on these targets.

Natural Support/Resistance: Natural support/resistance is represented on the chart by purple horizontal lines. Although generally reliable, these are not a great indicator in the current area of trade because they rely on history, and Bitcoin lacks that history over $3,000. The recent pullback has helped solidify natural support/resistance lines in the model. There are some significant natural resistance areas forming in the chart. Thicker natural resistance lines on the chart are the most significant. 

Conventional Charting: In the last newsletter, I said that we have had success using some of our conventional indicators. That has not changed – however, we have refined our system and cut out most of the lagging indicators. The conventional indicators we have been using are:

  • The 20, 50, 100 and 200 MA’s on all timeframes
  • Conventional trendlines
  • Conventional natural support/resistance

Bitcoin Algorithm Live Charting Link:

$BTCUSD: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/5KFSec1t-BTCUSD-Updated-Charting-19-36-41-EST-23-Oct-2017/

$XBTUSDhttps://www.tradingview.com/chart/XBTUSD/ycjKHpzi-XBTUSD-Updated-Charting-19-33-18-EST-23-Oct-2017/

In summary, our first generation Bitcoin algorithm chart model uses the following indicators (listed from most predictable to least in terms of win rate): 

  1. Trading range created by long term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (orange dotted lines)
  2. Trading range created by short term algorithmic modeled quadrant support and resistance (grey dotted lines)
  3. Directional channels formed by long term algorithmic modeled support and resistance
  4. Horizontal Fibonacci support and resistance (multi-colored horizontal lines)
  5. Conventional Natural support and resistance (purple horizontal lines)
  6. Long term conventional trend lines (red diagonal lines)
  7. Conventional MA’s 

A little recap of this past week:

We had another great week team trading in discord! We took advantage of the increased volatility in the area of all time highs and banked big time, again. 

 

Observations in the current area of trade:

$BTCUSD daily quadrants show a decision coming soon. After coming off both a conventional trend line and quadrant wall, establishing that quad wall as support is crucial:

$BTCUSD Falling out of the upward trending channel it has traded in since mid September. Important decision point coming up at tonight’s time cycle expiry – the picture below shows possible channel options:

$BTCUSD upcoming time/price cycle and targets/decision points:

$XBTUSD conventional charting shows current area of trade:

$XBTUSD has reached an important decision point as it attempts to regain the channel it has traded in since mid September – Possible up and down channel options are shown below: 

$XBTUSD daily quadrants show imminent decision point: 

  • The 50% extension level at 6070 area is key. Once that level can be established as support, price should continue its’ upward trend.
  • Quadrant walls here are also very important. I would be very cautious anytime 

$XBTUSD imminent decision point scenarios:

  • If price does not make it through the apex here (red arrow) back into it’s up channel, the most likely scenario is that it will continue into the down channel, shown by the purple arrows on the chart.

$XBTUSD hit a wall when at a cluster of conventional trend lines from the daily chart:

 

 

 

 

More Examples of High Probability Trades in the Model: 

  • Below is a textbook example of the highest probability trade in the model (break of the upper right quad wall). Trades like this are repeatable and extremely predictable in the model.

  • Below is an example of a trade over a resistance cluster (and break of the quad wall). Notice the huge volume when the resistance cluster is breached. I went long on new candle over the quad wall/resistance cluster, added over the midline and exited at the upper quad wall.

  • Below is a trade using both the large orange quadrants and the smaller grey quadrants. First trigger is breach of the (shared) quad wall, then confirmed over the midline in the small quad. Struggled a bit with the next quad wall (I use tight stops when playing the smaller quadrants) but eventually got to my target at the midline.

 

  • Although the targets are still in very early development phase, we did get a direct target hit down to the second on August 22. Also a good example of a short opportunity as it enters the quadrant from the upper left and loses its mid line. Then another good long opportunity as it enters the small quadrant through the lower left wall, shown by the white arrows:

  • I’m not on the short side too often, but I will do it when the upper left quad wall is breached to the downside. Another high probability trade in the model, this one live tweeted:

 

  • The best ROI comes when trade moves between quadrants, but we can do some intraday scalping off the quad wall too.

  • And another live tweeted win on the break of a quad wall:

 

 


Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading Plan and Watch List Monday Oct 23, 2017 $AIMT, $EVOK, $SPPI, $FB, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI – BITCOIN, $BTCUSD, Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading!

Notices:

Notes in red text below are new comments entered specifically today.

Today’s Live Trading Room Link:

http://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading

Live Alerts for Oil, Gold, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are now available by following specific alert Twitter feeds.

Disclaimer / disclosure: Every subscriber must read this disclaimer.

Private Capital Fund / Personal Trading Going Forward:

The private capital fund will bring slight changes.

The financing of our business build-out was planned to occur by way of either retail memberships, institutional memberships or private fund trading. The retail market is still early and slow on the uptake of the requirement toward #IA intelligent assisted trade (within six years our estimation is that most retails traders will all need it, but until then we’re not waiting and we’ll just be ready on the other side of that awareness curve). The institutional membership growth has been strong and to be sure we meet our growth trajectory goals (development completion timeline targets for launch of digital “intelligent assistance” #AI algorithm models) we are engaging the implementation of a private capital fund.

A few things of consideration:

  1. Following my trades is never condoned. Trade alerts are for the purpose of alerting awareness to something important occurring so that a member can form a thesis of trade and they are also for the purpose of learning when I win and win I fail. This (following trades) will be more difficult going forward because my frequency of trade will increase also.
  2. Trade Alerts. The trade alerts (swing and day) are not guaranteed at any time (in and/or out) however, it is important to note that with a much higher frequency of trade I will be alerting only those trades I expect to last a few hours or longer. If you ask me for targets or thesis type questions on the alert feeds or otherwise it is unlikely you will receive a response. Trade review videos will be posted for that purpose as required.
  3. Type of Trades. We will be trading the algorithm models (the seven we have), day trading and swing trading for the fund.
  4. Trade Sizing. When I alert to the trading room or on a feed I will be alerting the size only specific to the membership base trading. In other words, the size of trade in our private fund is not disclosed.
  5. ROI Objective. We are trading under the goal / target of returning 100% per month. 50% would be very good and 25% is the minimum goal. So at minimum we are looking for 25% ROI per month compounded over 24 months. The fund size and/ or members will not be disclosed.
  6. Term of Project. The term is 24 months (as mentioned above). It is a personal & stakeholder legacy fund / goal retirement project. Others we train as we progress will continue the legacy fund thereafter (as will they continue with our trading services at large).
  7. Trading Platform on Screen. You may see at times (when I am trading my small daytrading account) my actual IB trading platform on the screen. When I trade my accounts (any of them) they may or may not be connected to various other private fund accounts (at different percentages etc).
  8. Sizing Considerations. Because we are also trading a private fund, there will be trades we cannot take that I may otherwise take because the fund trade size will make it difficult for me to chip in and out of and other related liquidity issues.

Reporting and Next Gen Algorithms:

EPIC Oil $USOIL $WTI algorithm is now considered complete and ready for coding phase, Rosie Gold $GLD $GDX algorithm model is complete Gen 3 and has entered Generation 4 modeling (that is EPIC the Oil Algo level), $SPY, $SILVER and $DXY Generation 2 models and $VIX Gen 1 are delivered. $Bitcoin $BTCUSD #crypto was released Sept 1.

Master Class Charting Series Webinars:

All members received a copy in their email inbox as we progress. Full series will be posted to website at a cost of 2999.99. Early adopter members receive it free.

Attendees to next Master Classes being held in Dominican, Columbia and Panama attendees will receive 50% credit to off-set travel costs. Limited space FYI. Looks like a master class will happen in Columbia Jan 2018 – will advise.

Connect with me on Discord.

Recent lead trader blog / video / social posts

Part 2 of Episode 4 Podcast – Data Scientist

How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube

How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST

Recent Mid Day Chart / Trade Set-Ups:

See You Tube for other recent video posts. 

Oct 18 Trade Set-Ups $OCN, $SPPI, $OPTT, $VERI, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $FB, $AAOI…

Oct 13 Trade Set-ups $RGSE, $BTC, $SHOP, $SNAP, $NETE, $CLF, $FSRX, $SOHU, $GROW, $CYCC, $RNN…

Oct 10 Trade Set-ups Review $BTC $XBTUSD, $SHOP, $HMNY, $ANAB, $MNKD, $ARDM and more

Oct 9 Trade Set-Ups $SNAP, $AAOI, $SHOP, $ROKU, $VERI, $BTC, $XBTUSD, $BABA, $TSLA, $BLUE, $HMNY…

Oct 6 Trade set-ups $USOIL, $WTI, $BTC, $ROKU, $LINU, $KONE, $JP, $XXII, $HLF, $CATB, $IPI …

Sept 19 Trade Set Ups $ARRY, $AAOI, $HMNY, $VERI, $SPY, $EPZM, $XBTUSD, $BTC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvtMmsETa70&t=3913s … #trading #premarket #rulesbasedtrading

Sept 15 Trade Set-Ups $PI, $SNAP, $ARRY, $VERI, $TTOO, $MRTX, $HMNY…

Sept 14 Trade Set-ups Review $NATGAS, $HTZ, $FENG, $WTI, $JKS, $VERI…

Recent Profit and Loss Performance:

Q2 2017 Swing Trading Results are available here: P/L Realized Gains: $99,452.00 Percentage Portfolio Gain 105.74% (~35% per month)

https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895889454212108289
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/895492181699571712

Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) and Watch Lists.

Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR Stocks on Watch:  

Market observation / on watch:

US Dollar $DXY flat / up ish. Oil $USOIL $WTI has lift in recent sessions but in multi month sideways action, Gold / Silver continuation moderately to the sell side (I continue to warn that Gold especially is vulnerable), $SPY moderate / flat, $BTCUSD $XBTUSD off a bit over the weekend and $VIX 10.1 and moderate.

Recent Momentum Stocks to Watch: 

OTC on watch: 

Recent SEC Filings to Watch: 

Some Earnings On Deck: $ACC, $ADC, $CLB, $CR, $HNI, $HSTM, $IBTX, $JBT, $KNL, $LOGI, $OI, $PCH, $PEB, $RMBS, $SPN, $SUI, $WHR, $WSFS, $ZION

Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:

Hold small $SNAP (win), holding $SPPI (YTBD), hold some $FB (win), $XBTUSD many trades & all wins (only thing we can claim that – we don’t lose), $AAOI underwater and holding waiting for a bounce for a double down, $SHOP holding and trimmed some (winning), Gold closed my short for a win, and oil no new position as of yet.

Previous recent notes:

Out 99% of $SNAP for win, new swing in $SPPI in to earnings. Hold most of $FB swing for winning exits, $XBTUSD Bitcoin we have been winning of course and especially with most recent downturn and spiking yesterday (we bought all the way down and sniped off some on bounces) and $AAOI holding, $SHOP holding. In a tight oil trade premarket long and a swing in Gold short.

Yesterday killed Bitcoin and an oil scalp. Holding $AAOI, $SNAP, $SHOP.

Holding everything still… trimmed some $SNAP and keep winning on Bitcoin 100 x leverage 24 hours a day 7 days a week.

As above, Bitcoin has been an incredible trade for members and continues to be -100 x leveraged accts having huge gains in $XBTUSD, We have members knocking on the 1 Million door that will be interviewed on our podcasts soon. $AAOI is off 20% and I am holding, $SNAP and $SHOP I continue to hold. $SNAP has been great recently also.

On Monday I entered $SHOP wash-out set-up long near HOD (but I needed a confirmed strength so that’s the way it is) and I held overnight for a swing. Still holding $AAOI and $SNAP.

In overnight trade I got a really good trade long in Bitcoin related $XBTUSD 100x leverage swaps and called the pop in oil (expecting EPIC the Algo weekly target hits) just in time in the oil trading room but missed my personal entry because we are retooling (the new machines are here and being set-up).

$ROKU I closed near the top Friday for decent gains on that swing and hold $AAOI and $SNAP yet. I am also ina $XBTUSD (Bitcoin) swing from weekend trade.

My $ROKU play looks very strong in premarket – I have been warning shorts publicly and in room very specifically told members a number of times Friday could be very active to upside. I continue to hold $AAOI and it may be a loser that I will cut if it fails 200 MA on daily.

Yesterday I closed $ATEC flatish after scalping a win previous day and $VERI I closed at a loss. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI and tiny $OMVS position.

First quarter was easy set-up trading, second quarter got a tad tighter and by third quarter many if not most charts were extended and now the rotation is like wack a mole so I am consolidating a master list of the best most predictable structurally sound charts and will just trade them until market sorts itself.

Recently closed off $ARRY decent and entered $ATEC and $VERI yesterday. Still holding $SNAP, $AAOI, and a tiny $OMVS position.

A tad concerned about $AAOI as Applied Optoelectronics $AAOI Stock Rose, Cardinal Capital Management Lowered Its Stake by $2.73 Million …

Yesterday was good. Re entered $ARRY and it looks good. Added to $AAOI and took some off later in day for a profit. Lots of plays in and out of now – market is in much better shape.

I trimmed some positions yesterday and added some ($CUR, $ARRY, $VERI, $AAOI) and I’m active in Bitcoin $XBTUSD right now and looking at oil bias short and Gold trading soon (and miners). Review video when posted for details.

Last week on the Bitcoin dump we entered the Bitcoin fray with a buy of Bitcoin, since then on Monday I entered $XBTUSD (am looking for a move up and adds over time – it has an area of resistance to work through – but the MACD on the daily may be about to turn up here and that would be big – $GBTC on OTC play I am considering with China scenario) and trimmed some $ARRY. Still holding $ARRY and $SNAP and have some very small other positions.

Friday was an excellent trading day. Accounts all up on the day about 5%.

Review on $WTI, $SNAP, $ARRY and $TVIX trade in Mon and Tues mid day videos. Last night I took a quick oil scalp small and got a paper cut in a Gold short.

Friday I went long $ARRY $SNAP and hedged with $TVIX (which is getting hammered premarket). Also in Oil in overnight trade with the smaller position accts flat at time of post and large account positions a tad underwater on it. But the chart is on my side (risk – reward).

Closed that $AMBA trade for a small loss and the most recent oil trade from last report for a win.

Thursday no trades other than closing $MSFT overnight for small profit.

Yesterday was choppy and I nailed an oil scalp in overnight trading. In $MSFT yesterday on daytrade and swing side, in $CUR on daytrade side still and holding $UUP on swing trading side still.

Yesterday I had wins intra in $XIV and shorting $TVIX. also had an overnight hold in $CUR that is yet to be determined.

$XIV, $ARWR, $PETS wins on Thursday. On Wednesday oil $WTI big win and $PETS and $AMD on daytrade small account build yesterday.

Yesterday I closed $UWT daytrade for small win, large oil trade for win, small Gold trade for win and small loss in $TVIX. Recently $XIV I closed in premarket for small gain, still holding some position from previous, $UGLD (closed in premarket July 31 small gain), $FEYE (closed for nice gain), $SRG (closed for nice gain), $NFLX (closed for huge gain), $IPXL (closed for gain), $AKCA (closed nice gain), $MCRB (closed small gain), $WMT (closed excellent gains), $UUP (closed small loss), $BWA (closed tiny loss), Holding: $XIV and new entry $AMMJ. All other holds are small size (less than 4% of day trading account on total) holds in this order according to sizing: $ONTX, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $LIGA (all not including select swing trading or algorithm charting trades).

Recent Chart Set-ups on Watch:

$OCN is added to my watchlist thanks to JDee in the room on mid day chart review and $SPPI which I am in.

Per recent;

From Monday in the room $LCI (thanks to Sean) and $HIIQ are on my watchlist.

I am adding $ONTX to my short term watch… it has its 200 MA and is in a bull formation. $BABA, $BBRY. $GBTC, $AAOI, $FIT, $FSLR, $JKS, $FEYE $LACDF, $CTSH, $NVO, $TSLA, and $AAMJ. $NLNK and $PI are recent chart set ups – $GPRO for possible break out on chart and recent new includes $SNAP and $ARRY – $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SHOP (wash-out), $SENS, $HCN, $GTHX, $EDIT, $IPI, $XOMO, $MBRX, $PDLI, $LPSN and more that can be reviewed on You Tube videos or on weekly Swing Trading reports.

See other mid day charting trade set-up reviews on You Tube. The set-ups are key to success if you’re swing trading (even daytrading).

We are working on these (if listed) and others in Mid Day Review in trading room. If you can’t be in there you can catch the review on the raw video feed we post to You Tube of each trading day. Many of the mid day reviews are published “private” for members only so be sure to watch your email inbox for these among other member only videos.

Market Outlook:

Moderate. But as I mentioned previous, I do like the look of many charts in to earnings. This is a big week for earnings.

Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:

$NVDA pt to 230 @ Jefferies was 180

$MULE – Canaccord Genuity upgrades MuleSoft (NYSE:MULE) from Hold to Buy.

$NITE – BMO Capital Initiates Coverage On $NITE – American Depositary Shares with Outperform Rating, Announces $30.00 Price Target

$ZKIN ZK International Wins Contract to Assist with Shenzen Water Group’s Pipeline Upgrade

$MRK $AZN AstraZeneca and Merck Rapidly Advance LYNPARZA® (olaparib) in Japan With a Second Regulatory Submission

$WYY WidePoint Corporation Announces New Telecom Lifecycle Management Contracts

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: HAS, HIG, HAL, ROKU, VFC, GE, CSCO & more

#earnings $AMD $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $V $BA $INTC $MCD $CAT $HAL $CMG $STX $LMT $T $HAS $GM $F $BIDU $TWTR $GILD $CELG #premarket

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $AIMT 45%, $EVOK 17%, $ENRJ $AGEN $ACRX $XNET $TEUM $STX $UGAZ $RENN $LYL $PETS $MARK $PSTI $BOIL $VFC $HMNY $ARNC

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :  $UVXY $TVIX $GLD $NUGT $JNUG $DGAZ $QD $HAS $CLF $ETSY $DBVT $ATRS $GBT $ROKU $GE $FL

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.

(5) Recent Upgrades: $ATHN $DPS $MULE $TERP $GE $SM $SRRA $JBHT $ILMN $SAIC $CX

(6) Recent Downgrades: $RIO $CELG $TSRO $AJRD $IBKC $WHF $MELI $GE $CLF $RRC $EGP $STI $FL $EFX $BIIB

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct.  Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly and lead tech developer @hundalSHS.

Article Topics: $AIMT, $EVOK, $SPPI, $FB, $AAOI, $SHOP, $SNAP, Bitcoin, $XTBUSD, $BTC, Gold, Oil, $WTI Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, $BTCUSD, BITCOIN, $XBTUSD, #Gold, $GLD, #OIL, $USOIL, $WTI, $DXY, US Dollar, $SILVER, $VIX, $SPY