16
Jan 2017

Post-Market Fri Jan 13 $GLBS, $NAKD, $DRYS, $PHMD – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Jan 13, 2017

Post-Market Fri Jan 13 $GLBS, $NAKD, $DRYS, $PHMD – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Jan 13, 2017 $GLBS, $NAKD, $DRYS, $PHMD – $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Official Launch: Five days down and on to day six on Tuesday! Last Monday was our official launch! If you want to watch a thirty year trading veteran in action with a 2 week challenge – to double his trading account in two weeks, come on in and take a look at how its done.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

$GLBS, $NAKD, $DRYS, $PHMD – Very quiet for me. $GLBS was the big mover and I just didn’t catch it. Caught momo $NAKD for moderate scalp. Chewed around edges of $DRYS and $PHMD. Dumped a couple small starter bags from earlier in week I didn’t want to hold over long weekend. All in all a good week up 47% on account so for the first of two weeks of the challenge I can’t complain. Looking forward to next 2 weeks in markets – Brexit and Trump theme.

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

GLBS 7.24 135.83% 2501733 Top Gainers
SN 11.24 29.20% 16993449 Top Gainers
DXCM 85.13 25.91% 9316095 Top Gainers
PME 2.35 25.67% 1724368 Top Gainers
CAI 13.00 17.65% 286577 Top Gainers
PHMD 2.42 16.35% 961433 Top Gainers
CAI 13.00 17.65% 286577 New High
TNAV 8.05 15.00% 1653045 New High
SN 11.24 29.20% 16993449 New High
KIN 6.30 9.57% 2092565 New High
WOOF 91.25 0.27% 2482182 Overbought
GPT 27.43 0.22% 543073 Overbought
ESGN 26.49 0.68% 131376 Unusual Volume
DEZU 24.41 0.70% 28265 Unusual Volume
BNTC 1.85 12.12% 361113 Unusual Volume
OPHC 3.81 6.42% 95899 Unusual Volume
WMS 23.80 2.15% 1216322 Upgrades
AEPI 119.10 0.68% 124275 Earnings Before
CALX 7.35 6.52% 127838 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO

Looking Forward:

Winning. Double account in two weeks.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:19 am Curtis M : On the fly today. Be ready. Looks skinny but could go volatile. Lots of moving parts. Movers on screen.

09:27 am Curtis M : $APHB $TBIO $RXII $ETRM then very early looking at $VIX $GOLD

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:27 am Curtis M : $APHB $TBIO $RXII $ETRM then very early looking at $VIX $GOLD
09:40 am Curtis M : 2.14 Long 2000 $NAKD
09:47 am Curtis M : Fill 2.44 sold $NAKD looking again
09:47 am darnel p : I’m Holding
09:48 am Mathew Waterfall : no mic today curt? or is that an issue on my end?
09:48 am Curtis M : i will check
09:48 am Curtis M : yup i was yacking away i will fix it
09:50 am MarketMaven M : works curt
09:50 am Sartaj Hundal : It works
09:56 am Curtis M : Mathew – whats shaking in Gold etc?
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : Im having issues on my end here my mic/speakers wont work for the site it looks like
10:02 am Curtis M : ok
10:02 am Curtis M : message sartaj he me have a fix:)
10:03 am Curtis M : Long $DRYS 2.01 tight stop 3000
10:09 am Curtis M : out 2.08 $DRYS 3000
10:09 am Sal Q : its gonna fly curt! maybe not
10:13 am Cara R : in $ESEA
10:16 am Curtis M : $GLBS on second halt
10:17 am Curtis M : Shipper flavor of the day
10:18 am Curtis M : Last Nov Dec all over again
10:20 am Sammy T : $CBIO long small tester
10:21 am Mathew Waterfall : Well not sure what the deal is with my mic so I’ll type here until that gets resolved
10:21 am Mathew Waterfall : Gold and the miners/$GDX are holding important levels. Tried to get pushed down off of th open and held up like a boss
10:21 am Mathew Waterfall : Overall market is choppy with $TICKS a bit to the downside but a narrow range so far
10:22 am Mathew Waterfall : Hopeing we get some expansion in the /ES but we are up against some resistance right now so it doesn’t look like that will be to the upside
10:23 am Curtis M : tough
10:24 am Mathew Waterfall : YEa overall very narrow in the general market. VIX is down as usual as of late, looking for some expansion there in the coming days
10:24 am Curtis M : banks r coming off too
10:26 am Curtis M : $RENN chart interesting – bullish indicators
10:26 am Curtis M : My $CBMX swing swinging again
10:32 am Curtis M : $GLBS vol halt
10:32 am Curtis M : $TBIO perky
10:33 am Curtis M : Watching $DSLV
10:45 am Flash G : Looking at $TBIO short with patience
10:49 am Mathew Waterfall : Short against HOD looks decent for $TBIO
10:49 am Mathew Waterfall : if it can get back close to that
10:51 am Curtis M : Tough morning I think I got out lucky with broker donation and two hotdogs and beers
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Yea choppy seas out here for sure
10:52 am Curtis M : SEAS:)
10:53 am Cara R : NQ time
10:54 am Curtis M : $TBIO cloud test
10:54 am Curtis M : pop or drop
10:54 am Curtis M : indicators not good
10:55 am Curtis M : VWAP WACKD maybe
11:00 am Curtis M : Long $DRYS 2.07 small starter 1000
11:01 am Curtis M : Stop set at 1.90
11:11 am Curtis M : moderate block on $DRYS just shy of 50,000 shares
11:11 am Curtis M : so fluid tho
11:12 am Mathew Waterfall : Im gonna take a break and reset everything in hopes of being able to get on the mic
11:12 am Mathew Waterfall : Be back shortly
11:12 am Curtis M : kk
11:46 am Curtis M : $RUBI halt violation
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic in a second
11:47 am Sammy T : Perfect
11:53 am Carol B : Thanks Mathew
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : I can hear you!
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Finally
11:53 am Curtis M : ol
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : $NM looking to make a run. over 1.75 would be looking for 2
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Sympathy play to $DRYS if it can get going
11:58 am Mathew Waterfall : Also watching $BCEI on highs here
11:59 am Flash G : $AMZN NHOD
12:05 pm Cara R : Grabbing lunch before plays start for afternoon.
12:05 pm Curtis M : Great plan – me too- back in 20.
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hopefully something plays this afternoon. Might be 3.5 day weekend for a lot of people
12:36 pm Curtis M : $DRYS out 2.06
12:37 pm Curtis M : $PHMD ln 2.36
12:37 pm Curtis M : 1000
12:40 pm Curtis M : Correction avg fill 2.38
12:51 pm Curtis M : Looking to add over 3.57 w indicators on right side – if that occurs
12:51 pm Curtis M : 2.57
12:57 pm Curtis M : Just chew around edges of these till I hookj the right fish is my plan:)
12:57 pm Curtis M : f no big ones thin
12:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp pretty quiet out here. Added some $NUGT a bit earlier but not doing much sense
01:03 pm Curtis M : Cyber may go for a spin soon
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rig count down 7, interesting
01:04 pm Curtis M : ya
01:04 pm Curtis M : cause trump gonna gush the planet lol
01:05 pm Curtis M : trump gonna take out saudis watch
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha drill baby drill
01:06 pm Curtis M : him and putin and yup china buying it bahaha
01:08 pm Curtis M : A lot of people dont know they have to run a certan number of the rigs or it costs too much to restart – that inflectoin point likely at hand
01:09 pm Curtis M : we service the oil industry
01:09 pm Curtis M : ur family business
01:09 pm Curtis M : our
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : When will they start adding more wells, that’s my question
01:10 pm Curtis M : the industry will only grow in us shale area all other will be mantenance runs thats it so rgs will level off until trump takes over the world
01:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : so t minus 18 months, got it lol
01:11 pm Curtis M : trump wants to turn world n to a corporation – its gonna be fun to watch
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT on the come back trail today. Strong action though I think that will be a grinder towards 127/130’s
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hell that might as well happen but it might make too much sense
01:14 pm Curtis M : gold trade going to be tricky with him in power
01:15 pm Curtis M : lol I just retweeted an article that came accross my feed re us oil
01:15 pm Curtis M : timing
01:16 pm Carol B : $MNGA JIGGY GUYS
01:17 pm Curtis M : $PHMD ugh fart
01:17 pm Curtis M : fark i mean fark
01:20 pm Curtis M : Guys on Twitter rigs down cause ts cold – ummmm nope
01:21 pm Curtis M : never seen a rig shut down cause t was cold in 20 years
01:21 pm Curtis M : to warm yes
01:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha too cold? They realize where they drill right? Mostly the cold places in the continental americas
01:21 pm Curtis M : unless maybe mexicans?
01:21 pm Curtis M : yup
01:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : $MNGA looking a little low vol for me. Not a huge fan of those illiquid names
01:24 pm Curtis M : ya i only like em when everyone jumps in lol
01:24 pm Curtis M : this is painful
01:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha the whole day has been painful. I’m about to go on a boredom rant here just because I have nothing else to do
01:25 pm Flash G : ready
01:30 pm Flash G : Go on a major rant so sartaj can do a special video lol
01:30 pm Cara R : ya hahaha!
01:36 pm Jack D : cuts lots of cuts
01:37 pm Cara R : Scream and yell next time.
01:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Was that quiet? I had my mic cranked up
01:38 pm Rob D : thanks Mat
01:38 pm Curtis M : Out
01:39 pm Curtis M : $PHMD broker donation and up 2 hotdogs no beer
01:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : chop chop day. Brokers and market makers are usually the winners on these types
01:47 pm Curtis M : broker made more than me today i think lol but i’m gonna get 1 here yet
01:48 pm darnel p : My opinion… you two have skill – lots of rooms I have looked at they get chopped up real time. Not you guys as far as I can tell. Thought you should know.
01:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : $BIOS on the board
01:49 pm Curtis M : darnel… i been watching i hink ou’re account healthy too
01:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thanks Darnel. It’s a learning process and we can all get better. Hope explaining some of my thoughts helps
01:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GLD up, $GDX down. hmmm
01:50 pm Curtis M : secret capital preservation imo
01:51 pm Curtis M : just my style we all have a style i guess
01:52 pm Curtis M : oil should be a great trade next week fyi
01:53 pm Curtis M : this $JDST bullish
01:53 pm Curtis M : inaugaration week might kill gold
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Watching usd/jpy for gold direction here. boucning around par for the day
01:54 pm Curtis M : its a new market
01:56 pm Curtis M : short Canada is a good play too
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : OIl strength should help though right?
01:57 pm Curtis M : nope
01:57 pm Curtis M : US can pump oil 10 – 20 brrl less
01:58 pm Curtis M : NAFTA will unwind
01:58 pm Curtis M : seen all ths happen in 80s
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Interesting. Hey, I like visiting and don’t mind a weak currency up there
01:58 pm Curtis M : lol ya
01:59 pm Curtis M : last round in 80s banks gave me houses every morning signed on dotted line and asked me to do my best to pay
01:59 pm Curtis M : over 1000 over them
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : hahahaha wow
01:59 pm Curtis M : coming soon
01:59 pm Curtis M : sad but true Canada got a free ride
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have been expecting a housing market crash up there for a while. Pushing out the chinese money might be the start
02:01 pm Curtis M : Canada oil one of the most expensve to produce in world
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : So the break even numbers of 55ish are a bit low?
02:01 pm Curtis M : and ts dirty and it has major transportation issues – natives / land
02:01 pm Curtis M : Canada needs 65 barrel
02:02 pm Curtis M : break even average some less many need more
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : wow. Knew most of it was dirty but 65 is gonna be tough in the coming year at least if not longer
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Especially sense they;ve been pumping and apparently losing money the last 18 months
02:03 pm Curtis M : and other manufacturing – trump not gonna be friendly to canada with manufacturing no way
02:03 pm Curtis M : that leaves marry jane grow ops lol
02:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Booming industry might as well hitch a ride
02:04 pm Curtis M : buy canadian weed stocks short the country
02:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’d laugh if that shows up on MSNBC. PLAY OF THE DECADE
02:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : $BAC green to red as I had talked about earlier. Banks not a great play here afterall
02:05 pm Curtis M : it will be lol I’ll mention it on next interviews coming up – we have a dtring of them coming – holding them off for about 3 weeks but I will say it lol
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice. I guess now it’s not really that taboo but would still get some weird looks I bet
02:07 pm Curtis M : Sartaj better not be watching this lol or Ill never do another interview – hes very polite
02:07 pm Curtis M : Next week – I am going to be more aggressive than literally 27 years
02:07 pm Curtis M : this is torture
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : so boring, and right in front of a 3 day weekend. Even worse
02:08 pm Curtis M : ya thats my point fark
02:08 pm Curtis M : 1 play
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Fringe benefit of this room. It gives us all something to do instead of boredom trade to lose money
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hey side not, I just got my fees down to a flat $4 a trade. Booyah
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : *side note
02:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Like $SN short
02:21 pm Curtis M : they were buying snow an hour and a half before news
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : somebody always knows somethin
02:23 pm Curtis M : $ZSAN out took my bumps small loss but still a loss
02:23 pm Curtis M : 1.19 out $ZSAN
02:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Options activity all over the board. Highe call/put blocks in the same indexes. No one knows from the ugly flow today
02:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT saw some hitters though
02:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : call side
02:24 pm Curtis M : got 1 more bag to dump small $TCCO
02:26 pm Curtis M : $TCCO dumping at 2.525 again small but a loss
02:26 pm Curtis M : NOt holding bags even small ones
02:27 pm Curtis M : Holding $DUST $CBMX $JUNO tho
02:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Shield your eyes from $GDX then
02:27 pm Curtis M : hahaha
02:28 pm Curtis M : I’ll get out of $DUST with a profit lol – none of them are big posotions anyway just starters – but think Trump gonna kill gold then spike then kill then spike – I believe it wll be the best volatile trading in a long time – specfically gold
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well if i know one thing about you you’re right more often than wrong. I just unloaded a bit of $NUGT on that spike. will reload if we get a pullback
02:30 pm Curtis M : had a great week – if I’m reading this PL right up 47% – but I could be wrong but think thats it
02:30 pm Curtis M : sartaj will confirm hes doing a pl video
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not too shabby lolol. You were straight killing those momo scalps
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : $ETRM and $SGNL bought some new shoes for momma x1000
02:31 pm Curtis M : u know – i looked back on Monday and Tuesday – had i hammered down wow
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : In hindsight we’re all billionaires
02:32 pm Curtis M : im goiong to have to have two charting systems lol
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GS new lows. Banks getting beat so far
02:33 pm Curtis M : yup
02:34 pm Curtis M : was actually gonna short when CNBC was promo them
02:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Would have been a good fade
02:34 pm Curtis M : back in 5 bulldog woke
02:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SN short here vs .4 kind of attractive. I see this giving up some gains with a good r/r if I’m right
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sold some $JNUG on this pop as well picked up yesterday at the dump
02:43 pm Curtis M : nice
02:44 pm Curtis M : I think I was trading $XIV around Brexit for 28.50 ish
02:44 pm Curtis M : maybe less
02:44 pm Curtis M : ya 23.50
02:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : I remember trading that in the spring in that low 30’s range all the time
02:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : AThat was like 2 $UXVY splits ago hahahahaha
02:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Went short $SN here small vs .4. Target 10.5
02:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Knowing that it gapped hard and could reverse on me over the long weekend so keeping it small
02:48 pm Curtis M : tweeting to piss off some trolls
02:49 pm OILK K : Seen that!
02:49 pm Cara R : I get them too.
02:50 pm Cara R : $SN might be a bg dump.
02:51 pm Curtis M : Man I would have lost that one – I was looking at long
02:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Need to get past 11.07 for more dumpage
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : When you originally posted it was iffy. The fact that it came up and couldn’t get close to the high said short to me but we will see. Not over yet
02:53 pm Curtis M : ya but i would have entered and biled so i owe u drinks on the beach – which needs to be farly soon
02:53 pm Curtis M : longest ive been home for a long time
02:53 pm Curtis M : home is nice but
02:54 pm Curtis M : wow bama pumped about gold
02:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Beach sounds nice after being in Iceland last week
02:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : That guys is hilarious. Very intelligent I think but holy hell he goes off and gets locked into his thinking
02:55 pm Curtis M : passion
02:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : bias
02:55 pm Curtis M : i will happily dump dust for a gold rally
02:56 pm Curtis M : Just retweeted a bad predictoin for my dust trade
02:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : If we can get up and over 1200 on gold with a backtest I’ll go full bama
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : That bear flag look on $DUST is not so encouraging
02:57 pm Curtis M : i can tell u where to go full in
03:00 pm Curtis M : talk about precise algo
03:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seriously. Maybe you’re on to something here afterall
03:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol
03:02 pm Curtis M : red arrows are the walls
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : $30 range between 1210-1240 would be a nice alley to take advantage of
03:03 pm Curtis M : price followed that arrow perfect
03:03 pm Curtis M : stopped perfect too and used support perfect lol
03:04 pm Curtis M : Gold needs over 1241.91 for 90% confirmation and over 1255.93 for like high 99% confirmation
03:04 pm Curtis M : between here and there its all fluff
03:05 pm Curtis M : Actually 1260.23 is the bg number
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : That would roughly line up with 24-25 $GDX I would think which I have as big levels in the miners
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Would probably need dollar sub 100
03:07 pm Curtis M : the thing the math has taught me is dont f around with it lol
03:07 pm Curtis M : something about it – like a natural order type thing
03:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : At this point I’ve learned to trust the algo work
03:08 pm Curtis M : so the top of that yellow rectangle is the target
03:09 pm Curtis M : you see how each box price nails the apex of the box?
03:09 pm Curtis M : or tries
03:09 pm Curtis M : doesnt always
03:09 pm Curtis M : anyway miners should hit top of box
03:10 pm Curtis M : 25.50
03:10 pm Curtis M : ish
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Until we fall out that says clearly risk is to the upside if downside is ~21
03:10 pm Curtis M : ya right now 21.44 is support intra
03:11 pm Curtis M : very detailed stuff coming out monday on gold and oil and silver fyi
03:11 pm Flash G : I like that!
03:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m looking forward to that after lightening up this afternoon
03:12 pm Jack D : Makes a lot of sense.
03:13 pm Curtis M : $NFLX winners!
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX and $FB both put in strong weeks
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just saw a large $APPL order for feb 130 calls go by as well
03:14 pm Curtis M : Im going to swing Amazon and Google in 2017
03:15 pm Curtis M : $XGTI soooo hard to trade
03:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea I saw that chatter. Sitting that one out
03:16 pm Curtis M : pos
03:16 pm Curtis M : ts like fishing for pickerel and snagging a jack
03:17 pm Curtis M : ugh tempting
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looks at clock…
03:17 pm Curtis M : ya
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ve see a few set ups bit I don’t like late friday movers. Never seem to work for me
03:19 pm Curtis M : chart bot nailed the buy
03:28 pm Curtis M : whoa
03:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : There’s the late firday dump for ya. $TBIO got the same treatment
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Unfortunately $SN can’t get on board here
03:30 pm Curtis M : got ya
03:32 pm Curtis M : all by my self
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sleeping in at least!
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : No early wake up for us west coasters
03:32 pm Sal Q : hahaha yes!
03:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : aca repeal step 1 passed
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : interesting to see what this does to ibb
03:35 pm Curtis M : ya
03:35 pm Curtis M : hmmm
03:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend all. Holding on to my short book through the long weekend. See ya Tuesday
03:50 pm Curtis M : ya shuttinh er down u too1
03:51 pm darnel p : night guys!
03:51 pm Sal Q : thanks!!!!!!!
03:51 pm Hedge H : see you all Tuesday

Article Topics:  $GLBS, $NAKD, $DRYS, $PHMD, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

13
Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Fri Jan 13 – $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Jan 13, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY $CPHI $SYRX $MOSY $KBSF $PED – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Pretty Frigid out there!

Part two of day 2 video recap two week double account challenge:

Per previous;

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$ZSAN, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Per previous;

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $PTLA $THST $P $GEVO $IAG $ZIOP $DSW $OREX $SN $DWT $NVLS $JKS $ETRM $NAK $APC $NFLX $MNST $PNC $NE

Watching Pennies: $ROSG $CBIO $OPXA $ANY $CPHI $SYRX $MOSY $KBSF $PED

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $TBIO 32%, $RXII 17%, $P 8%, $SN, $MRNS $OREX $NVLS $DWT $ETRM $GEVO $SCO

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $FB $FTV $LSTR $TIF $GOLD $CFX $GRUB $KMT $CNHI $AR $NFLX $PCAR $PNR $ROP $WMS $MX $FNV $TSCO $EVH $PH as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:$ACLS $ABCO $NICE $DX $Z $DG $GNRC $SNAK $ATU $AAP $CSX $TRS $BCS $GME $IAG $AGI $AUY $MGA $VSTO $PDS $WBC $TNP $NAP  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $ROSG, $CBIO, $OPXA, $ANY, $CPHI, $SYRX, $MOSY, $KBSF ,$PED, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

13
Jan 2017
$TBIO, Stock, Trading, Results

Post-Market Thurs Jan 12 $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Jan 12, 2017

Post-Market Thurs Jan 12 $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Jan 12, 2017 $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE –  $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Official Launch: Four days down and on to day five! This Monday was our official launch!  If you want to watch a thirty year trading veteran in action with a 2 week challenge – to double his trading account in two weeks, come on in and take a look at how its done.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

So much happening this week I can’t possibly review every trade. Watch videos as Sartaj releases them for detailed account. I was in $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE and more. Wasn’t as good as other days this week but still profitable and worth it. Choppy. Overtraded. Was hoping to increase my sizing as week went on but I’ve had to decrease sizing as week progresses. Hoping Friday is the big day of the week. I’m ready to be aggressive if window opens.

We’re winning.

$TBIO, Stock, Trading, Results

$TBIO – Chatroom Stock Trading Results

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
IOTS 2.85 42.50% 2084554 Top Gainers
VPCO 0.00 40.00% 107262084 Top Gainers
AAOI 29.86 31.43% 4413227 Top Gainers
STRP 41.13 30.95% 1928136 Top Gainers
MRNS 1.40 26.13% 3985262 Top Gainers
ZSAN 1.29 20.56% 1628871 Top Gainers
MPET 13.20 10.92% 530559 New High
AAOI 29.86 31.43% 4413227 New High
TBIO 1.12 287.01% 60337584 New High
URG 0.73 -4.66% 2568207 New High
WOOF 91.00 0.11% 4859450 Overbought
GPT 27.37 0.40% 1001677 Overbought
THST 1.93 -2.53% 4243734 Unusual Volume
HSGX 1.65 8.56% 6309678 Unusual Volume
TBIO 1.12 287.01% 60337584 Unusual Volume
GWL 26.51 0.26% 6783294 Unusual Volume
CAFD 14.09 0.71% 255382 Upgrades
DAL 50.89 -1.07% 14281451 Earnings Before
CNBKA 59.75 -0.91% 4107 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO, $TCCO, $ZSAN

Looking Forward:

Winning. Double account in two weeks.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

na

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

Sartaj buy / sell alerts below are for Curtis.

08:34 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HSGX/zmF6o3o6-HSGX-One-Minute/
08:36 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/RNVA/PcTglpZ4-RNVA/
08:36 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BSPM/0IqtwGDP-BSPM/
09:09 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TBIO/0q4ULBD9-tbio/
09:10 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OPGN/IavMkwL3-opgn/
09:10 am Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUMN/rIbjEby3-aumn/
09:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking at $BIOC for a quick bounce here.
09:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Also $ETRM
09:33 am Sartaj Hundal : OR WAS THAT “OUT”?
09:34 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT $URRE 3.82 500 SHARES
09:39 am Carol B : $CIEN L
09:39 am Sartaj Hundal : Correction: Out 1/2 would be 4500
09:39 am Sartaj Hundal : Scaling in 2000 shares $APOP avg 5.14
09:40 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG 1000 SHARES 5.54 $APOP
09:41 am Sartaj Hundal : Scaling out 5.86, all shares $APOP
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : out some $jnug at 9.17 for a pullback. into some $USLV at .59
09:45 am Sartaj Hundal : SCALING OUT $URRE 3.90
09:46 am MarketMaven M : Long$APOP
09:48 am John M : Wow $APOP halts again holding 1000
09:50 am darnel p : $AMD a bit off a short
09:51 am OILQ K : Like $XGTI looking for entries
10:00 am Surf T : In som $THST
10:00 am Surf T : Curt u still bullsh $GDX?
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Picked the wrong horse this AM playing $BIOC instead of $ETRM it looks like
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : hate that
10:01 am Curtis M : ugh
10:01 am Curtis M : yup $GDX till next tues wed
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : Still like it, expect a fade as has been the usual to buy more on a dip. will be watching both $NUGT and $JNUG. Plan on holding $USLV for a while
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : Meanwhile $TLT still killing it. Love that
10:03 am Curtis M : yup
10:05 am darnel p : I have a stop on at 2.47 $TCCO – small play I’ll take the loss if need be
10:05 am Curtis M : Darnel – I am gonna follow that lol
10:05 am Curtis M : Mine small too
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : wow $gdx strong like bull. wondering if we see the daily pullback today or not
10:06 am Curtis M : ya like my alarm huh lol
10:06 am Curtis M : GDX great play should have executed on my conviction bahahaha shite
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ve learned just to go with my gut on those plays. my gut also said sell my $JNUG for the daily puillback so it’s not always right lol
10:07 am Curtis M : yeah
10:08 am Sartaj Hundal : back
10:15 am Sartaj Hundal : Was in a call, what was the order size and price?
10:15 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG $TBIO 5000 SHARES 0.78
10:17 am Curtis M : I have a stop to sell TBIO at .73 – going to get a coffee back in 20 to take a look at oil gold etc
10:18 am Curtis M : Lol Out TBIO small loss .73
10:18 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT $TBIO SMALL LOSS 0.73 5000 SHARES
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : looks like a ton of inventory at .8 for $tbio
10:25 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG $ZSAN 3000 SHARES 1.43
10:28 am Carol B : In some $ZSAn w ya
10:32 am John M : $KOS blocks guys
10:32 am John M : $CNHI blocks too
10:33 am Mathew Waterfall : Scanners almost empty here and market internals pointing to the downside. Not much on my board that Im too excited about
10:35 am Mathew Waterfall : GDX Feb 25 Call Buyer +23k for $0.64
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : here’s the miners fase. will start to pick up some shares here and know that we are likely to see some more downside
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : *fade
10:36 am Curtis M : On ph w broker re TCCO stop didnt trigger – $ZSAN holding so far
10:41 am Curtis M : So $TCCO stop didnt trigger Darnel and took t off flying with out – also on ZSAN its a hold for me – so both holding – rehit later or sell at loss we’ll see – but I think market will keep taking these for rides
10:41 am Curtis M : Wack a mole
10:44 am Flash G : $AAOI momo
10:57 am Curtis M : Thanks Mat!
10:57 am Rob D : thanks Matt good overview
11:09 am Surf T : market looking very dangerous but it will likely pop again late day
11:10 am Flash G : Curt you holding $ZSAN and $TCCO?
11:10 am Curtis M : Yes small positions hold for aft pop
11:15 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG 200 5.02 $BGXV
11:15 am Sartaj Hundal : 2000*
11:16 am Sartaj Hundal : $BVXV
11:16 am Curtis M : Hopefully I can get on right side of one of these – choppy very choppy
11:18 am Curtis M : Problem is if you’re going to play them you gotta chew around the edges till they take hold or you miss them – so u either play or dont but chew small size
11:19 am Curtis M : Correction: $BVXV 5.05 fill
11:21 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT 5.80 $BVXV
11:22 am Sartaj Hundal : 1000 SHARES
11:27 am Curtis M : looks lke low float mania for a while – dont see me in Oil Gold charts etc for some ime until it slows down
11:31 am Curtis M : On Hold w broker for 17 mins
11:31 am Curtis M : worst ever
11:33 am Sartaj Hundal : LONG 6000 SHARES $BVXV
11:38 am Sartaj Hundal : OUT 6000 SHARES $BVXV 7.17
11:39 am Sartaj Hundal : Very interesting
11:41 am Sartaj Hundal : How many shares of TCCO?
11:43 am Sartaj Hundal : Okay
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : /GC holding steady over 1200 is a good sign. USD/JPY still on a downtrend. $GDX couldn’t make a higher high but I’m looking for a bounce play
11:50 am Mathew Waterfall : USD/JPY 113’s. Getting smoked
11:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Thought you actually went long spy here lol
11:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Not horrible against 225 but not my play
11:54 am Sartaj Hundal : My mistake
12:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : PLaying $OPXA range today for small scalps. Unloaded some at .94. Reentry around .85. This is one that will have legs sooner or later. Not a Curt play but a mellow grinder
12:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Final target is 1.05 then 1.15 if it can get going.
12:05 pm Curtis M : thats awesome – whats a Curt play bahaha? super nova or super crash? in 14 seconds or less? 🙂
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Basically lol. I wasn’t considering super crash, those have been rare
12:06 pm Curtis M : haha ya these low floats i ride em when they’r’e rolling late 2015 early 2016 same story
12:06 pm Curtis M : then market correction lol
12:06 pm Curtis M : last time I was on beach – oh yes right i need to go to the beach
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : I will say you have many tools at your disposal so smoke em if you got em
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Playing Costa RIca trip for next winter already lol
12:07 pm Curtis M : lol
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : *planning
12:07 pm Curtis M : ya ionly thing holding me back is my adopted Bull dog – trying to sort it
12:08 pm Curtis M : $IBB green boys
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWN breaking out of bull flag to the downside. Was leader on the way up
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will be watching the close closeley here
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also losing fib support
12:19 pm Curtis M : $IBB action decent
12:23 pm Curtis M : Big volatility coming next 5 market days imo
12:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : There’s gotta be. The closer we get to Trump sitting in the oval office the more nervous people will be
12:24 pm Curtis M : yup
12:25 pm Curtis M : is it wrong for me to look forward to that? ha
12:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : I call that making lemonade
12:26 pm Curtis M : haha
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DUST scalps against downtrend in $GDX working nicely
12:57 pm Curtis M : After 3 calls to broker… I still own $TCCO yay fark
01:03 pm MarketMaven M : nce call on the bonds guys… still slowly on the move
01:05 pm Curtis M : back in 5 for the ramp
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Thanks. Over todays high is importnant. Stopped just short of the 09 crash high at 123.15
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Need over that for more
01:09 pm Curtis M : $MYCC halt news
01:23 pm Surf T : $HMNY looking good here
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : $OPXA. Boom
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sold some at 1.05. Seen this movie before lol
01:52 pm Curtis M : nice took a bit but u go it
01:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp. I like the set it and forget it plays every now and then. Buy order for more at .85 if it retraces
01:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Still scalping $DUST here and htere. Not much else attractice ATM
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWM back into support here and over crucial fibs. Impressive market strength, this market still needs a flush here IMO
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Q’s making a bit of a double top set up on the day. put tweezers as they say on the second ascent
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX ugly on the 5′. Guess I was right earlier about the fade today
02:04 pm Curtis M : likely run aain tomorrow or late today
02:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea they are ramping jpy as usual. I expect this pattern to play out over the next week. Gap up/run the miners and flush the market, ramp usd/jpy and reverse
02:06 pm Carol B : some waking up
02:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : I feel like I need to wake up. Today has been a grinder
02:14 pm Curtis M : ya i made that mistake yesterday i think it was then i was late to party
02:18 pm Curtis M : I have a certain type of market person telling me full moon was at noon today thats why it slowed and thats why it will start to wake up again here
02:18 pm Curtis M : interesteing dude actually
02:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Is that why I am growing hair and turning into a werewolf?
02:19 pm Curtis M : he said we are mostly water and like the tide it affects us
02:20 pm Curtis M : he’s oddly rght very often … interesting but not my thing – but find it curious how right this guy is
02:20 pm Curtis M : mssed my buy trigger on KALV
02:20 pm Curtis M : talking about tides and moons instead haha
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol I missed mine on $DUST as well. o well just wait for another opp
02:23 pm Curtis M : $TBIO got its pop
02:23 pm Curtis M : so were poppin
02:26 pm Curtis M : its like fishing when they just nibble
02:29 pm Curtis M : $ROSG may go after $TBIO fyi
02:34 pm Curtis M : wake up
02:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Market waking up to the upside. TICKS trending up no 1000+ but going positive
02:36 pm Curtis M : $TROV and $ROSG high watch
02:49 pm Curtis M : This market is gong to rip after inauguration
02:49 pm Curtis M : or b4 but def after
02:50 pm Curtis M : just my humble opinion lol
02:51 pm Curtis M : $TBIO could get snaky
02:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : I still think we’re in for a dump sooner or later. I don’t see this keeping up through the next month or so. Last coupl days seems like cracks starting to show to me
02:56 pm Curtis M : ya dump then rip then dump then rip plz
02:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : That would be great
02:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold getting smashed here and I exited $DUST way too early. NEaring buy zone for a $GDX bounce
02:59 pm Curtis M : other side of the moon baby
02:59 pm Curtis M : lol
03:00 pm Surf T : money time guys coming up
03:01 pm Curtis M : $MRNS perky
03:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT for a bounce
03:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : wrong under .5 on $GDX
03:02 pm Curtis M : Chart bot likes $TROV here
03:06 pm Curtis M : $TBIO leg in 500 shares 1.217
03:09 pm Curtis M : $TBIO could rip 50 – 70 cents
03:09 pm Curtis M : or not
03:10 pm Curtis M : risking 5 cents
03:12 pm Curtis M : I guess Im risking 7 cents
03:21 pm Curtis M : Sorry Sartaj that was 5000 not 500 $TBIO
03:26 pm Tyler H : $TBO on its way to 4 times float traded today
03:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Miners moving like junk. Im done for the day I think. Tried a couple scalps in NUGT. NO nounce so a couple scratches
03:26 pm Tyler H : $MRNS is my pick
03:26 pm Curtis M : enjoy your evening
03:26 pm Sammy T : bye Mathew!
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll hang around until close but sitting on my hands basically
03:27 pm Jack D : $MRNS great candidate for tomorrow
03:29 pm darnel p : $ROKA flow here
03:30 pm Curtis M : Out at 1.182 small loss
03:30 pm Curtis M : $TBIO
03:30 pm Curtis M : Sartaj corrction 1.181
03:31 pm Curtis M : choppy day fo me but still up lol
03:31 pm Curtis M : but chop chop
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seriously same here
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : So choppy
03:35 pm Curtis M : It was worth it – but barely
03:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : OPXA flying 1.30. OUt of everything. Will buy more on a pullback if and when that happens
03:36 pm Curtis M : I hate to be that way – but I dont just lke to get by – just not my thing
03:36 pm Curtis M : some people take offence to that is what Im saying
03:36 pm John M : NOT ME
03:37 pm darnel p : Meee either haha
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : This isn’t a good game for people who accept average.
03:37 pm darnel p : good one!
03:38 pm Curtis M : If $TBIO goes I am going to hammer down so hard – sad but true even if theres 10 mins
03:52 pm Curtis M : Holding $ZSAN $TCCO on
03:52 pm Carol B : my only hold $NUGT
03:53 pm Sammy T : nght
03:54 pm Curtis M : Cya Sammy
03:54 pm Curtis M : I should prbs hold $NUGT too but just but
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good night all. I’m going to practice my axe skills to make it through this chop tomorrow
03:55 pm Sandy S : Buy guys – still learning everyday with you guys.
03:55 pm Curtis M : Nice catch Mathew
03:56 pm Curtis M : Gonna shut er down 4 mins early. Over and out.

Article Topics: $TBIO, $BVXV, $ZSAN, $TCCO, $URRE – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

12
Jan 2017

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Thurs Jan 12 – $HSGX $RNVA $BSPM $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Jan 12, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM  – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

A quick rabbit trail… Terms of Use: Be sure to review the rules of the chatroom and our disclosure statement. We take these seriously. If you are following our trades (entering when we do and exiting when we do) then you are NOT in keeping with the spirit of our relationship. For example, I don’t follow Mathew in and out of every trade. I share with and learn from him and other considerable traders in our room. But I never follow in and out of trades. That is not the purpose, spirit, mission, etc… I am not a “stick a quarter in and out pops success bot”. If you are looking for that go to a different trading room. I cannot recommend you buy a stock, I am not a registered investment professional and you need your own trading plan. You are given the opportunity to watch how systematic traders execute a process. That is it. You can learn and share and develop your own trading plan. The algorithmic modeling / charts should be more than enough to assist a trader with a trading plan for that specific instrument. Many trading rooms don’t even share a chart let alone sophisticated modeling and reports. On the first occasion we likely won’t ban misuse, but we will ban misuse very quickly. We choose to do this because we love what we do and would like to share what we know and further democratize algorithmic modeling that would otherwise not be available to the public. This is about developing something of use, supporting each other and sharing in that process. Fall down as often as you like, and I’ll help you up, ask for help and I will help and I will never stop doing that, but you better be ready to get back in there. No diapers changed here – no crying – this isn’t grade school. Fair? Okay, now on to winning.

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Day 2 of two week double account challenge video recap:

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

$URRE, $TCCO, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Per previous;

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM

Twitter lowered to Hold at Pivotal http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234884-twitter-lowered-hold-pivotal?source=feed_f … #premarket $TWTR

Callaway Golf acquires lifestyle brand OGIO http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234872-callaway-golf-acquires-lifestyle-brand-ogio?source=feed_f … #premarket $ELY

KB Home turns lower post-earnings; Evercore downgrades http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234871-kb-home-turns-lower-post-earnings-evercore-downgrades?source=feed_f … #premarket $KBH

BioLife Solutions sees 2016 top line up 24%; shares ahead 4% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234858-biolife-solutions-sees-2016-top-line-24-percent-shares-ahead-4-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $BLFS 

Canaccord cools on V.F. Corp http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234867-canaccord-cools-v-f-corp?source=feed_f … #premarket $VFC

FDA rejects TESARO’s marketing application for rolapitant IV; shares ease 3% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3234875-fda-rejects-tesaros-marketing-application-rolapitant-iv-shares-ease-3-percent-premarket?source=feed_f … #premarket $TSRO

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $HSGX 37%, $RNVA 25%, $JNUG 9%, $NUGT 8%, $KGC $NJR $MPEL $AU $URRE $GOLD $GFI $SHIP $HMY $UGAZ $ABX $UWT $GDXJ

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $TYPE $TRGP $ENLK $NGL $ETE $HEP $PII $MRK $GLOB $TEL $FAST $HII $CNI $CCJ $ABC $CAFD $RHT $BKD $FLR $VVC $CHH $KN $HII as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $NMRX $KBH $GATX $NSIT $ESL $NOC $AKS $STLD $X $DIS $TWTR $CRM $IPG $DISCA $ADBE $CBS $KALU $SC $VEEV $THG $ACM $AIV $HOV $WLH $VFC $GATX $MIXT $SWKS $OKE $SWX $ENLC $VLO $OGS as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics:  $HSGX, $RNVA, $JNUG, $NUGT, $BSPM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

12
Jan 2017

Member Oil Trade Update Thursday Jan 12 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Thursday Jan 12, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

Member Oil Trade Update Thursday Jan 12 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Thursday Jan 12, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday Jan 12, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/f8rbIkUk-Crude-algo-intra-work-sheet-325-AM-Jan-10-FX-USOIL-WTIC-OIL/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.28 at 3:25 AM ET Jan 12, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

The trading price of oil has fallen out to downside of upward trending channel. This is bearish, however, it seems geo is moderately bullish. Your trading ranges / indicators are marked on chart below. Trade between your margins. Long at supports and short at resistance. Arrows: Yellow – algo targets (although not currently in play – recalculating with recent price action). Aqua blue – red dotted algo trend-lines (same status as algo targets until updates). White – significant support and resistance. Orange – blue diagonal trend-lines. Light blue – quadrants (light dotted white lines).

EPIC, OIL< ALGO, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 325 AM Jan 12 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

As warned, the price has dropped out of the channel – trade the ranges per above.

Per yesterday;

The trading range is still intact, however, BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS OIL IS TRADING VERY NEAR KEY RESISTANCE, THE OUTSIDE OF THE UPWARD TRENDING CHANNEL AND THE END OF NUMEROUS TIME PRICE CYCLES.

Per Previous;

The trading price is getting really close to having to make a decision now. Either up over significant resistance or sideways or drop out of the upward trending channel. Our bias is up over resistance because a. the trend is your friend and b. until we reach the incoming down-trending diagonal trend-lines (blue) from previous time – cycles, you will see on charting below. However, you need to be ready for both scenarios.

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart (show on previous posts) are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

I am going to leave the commentary below in my reports for the short-term to show and be sure (if crude price rises) that traders are aware of the significant resistance over-head, but it also serves as a reminder (lesson) that when price is getting within significant resistance such as below that significant downdrafts in price action are likely as we say in Monday trade.

Per previous;

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle – a significant trend-line. Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow). If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these diagonal trendlines lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

Chart below shows what happened when 20 MA was lost in Monday trade. Previous reports have examined other MA’s for buy and sell triggers FYI.

Per previous;

With the trading price of oil up at key resistance the 20 MA has been challenged more and more. Red arrow below shows an example of what can occur when 20 MA lost with crude oil. As of time of writing 20 MA intact.

Crude oil, 20 MA, Chart

20 MA vs price. Crude algo intra work sheet 442 PM Jan 8 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

 

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Per warning in recent reports;

Between now and Jan 15 there are a series (cluster) of time price cycles terminating – so much that we see a significant move in the price of crude oil either up or down very soon. Any moment.

New time / price cycle calculations are underway and will take a day or two analyzing intraday trade now that price is outside of the upward trending channel.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

THE TARGETS BELOW ARE NOW VOID – as explained above it will take a few days of calculating to reset algorithm with new targets and trading ranges.

Per yesterday warning;

The targets below are VERY LIKELY to change as we are expecting a volatile move in oil within days (before Jan 15, 2017). WE WILL UPDATE MEMBERS WHEN THIS OCCURS.

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): 

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 53.07 (53%), 55.75 (24%), 57.01 (3%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 53.20 (41%), 55.95 (21%), 57.23 (1%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 53.62 (15%), 56.52 (9%), 57.81 (0.5%)

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

For now, trade the ranges described above and new algorithmic modeling will be out in the next few days.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets

12
Jan 2017
$TCCO, Stock, Trading, Results

Post-Market Wed Jan 11 $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Jan 11, 2017

Post-Market Wed Jan 11 $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE – $NUGT $DUST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $JNUG $JDST

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Jan 11, 2017 – $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE –  $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Official Launch: Three days down and on to day four! This Monday was our official launch! We’re out of beta phase and all algorithms published. If you want to watch a thirty year trading veteran in action with a 2 week challenge – to double his trading account in two weeks, come on in and take a look at how its done.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

So much happening this week I can’t possibly review every trade. Watch videos as Sartaj releases them for detailed account. I was in $URRE, $TCCO and more.

We’re winning.

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Top Gainers
FFHL 3.72 103.28% 665139 Top Gainers
BIOC 2.71 49.72% 62916599 Top Gainers
URRE 3.19 41.78% 25526100 Top Gainers
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 Top Gainers
ENPH 1.44 27.43% 3776300 Top Gainers
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 New High
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 New High
KRNT 16.80 20.43% 1760600 New High
DNN 0.78 13.04% 5179200 New High
WOOF 90.90 0.08% 6896700 Overbought
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Overbought
MYOS 6.82 424.62% 16118400 Unusual Volume
DSCI 6.95 39.00% 21029441 Unusual Volume
BIOC 2.71 49.72% 62916599 Unusual Volume
ABE 11.50 0.79% 314200 Unusual Volume
AEG 5.58 2.01% 1691900 Upgrades
ISRG 678.16 2.41% 631900 Earnings Before
MDSY 1.02 -0.97% 156600 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO, $URRE, $TCCO

Looking Forward:

Winning. Double account in two weeks.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:00 am Curtis M : Gainers: $DSCI 40%25, $BIOC 35%25, $TGTX 10%25, $AKAO 8%25, $ARWR 6%25, $UEC $URRE $GSS $RAD $MRK….. $UGAZ jiggy as with airlines.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

Sartaj buy / sell alerts below are for Curtis.

09:22 am Curtis M : $KBH reports aft close
09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : $BIOC explosion. Think this will be the daily runner
09:25 am Curtis M : $BIOC +45$DSCI +40$ENPH +18$TGTX +12$SGMO +9$AKAO +8$ETRM -19$NVDQ -18$TRCO -16$IMUC -14$GNVC -9$XGTI -9$ROKA$BRG
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : $GNVC also watching close
09:34 am darnel p : $BMY long
09:35 am MarketMaven M : $GNVC shorting
09:36 am Sartaj Hundal : $BIOC LONG 1000 SHARES 3.16
09:37 am Mathew Waterfall : Dumpster diving some $USLV here
09:39 am Sartaj Hundal : That charting bot isn’t bad at all
09:40 am Curtis M : Stoppd $BIOC 2.95 loss 1000 shares
09:42 am Curtis M : That $BIOC stop I had sent over mic far before text in case anyone wondering
09:42 am Curtis M : I think its like minus 500 here outside
09:43 am Curtis M : Mathew Im lost – any ideas? Mic or on text fine lol
09:44 am Curtis M : $URRE wow I was in that ha
09:48 am Curtis M : Thanks Mat
09:48 am Curtis M : $BRG halt
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF red/green showing some strength
09:53 am Curtis M : $TECK what a champ
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Seriously strong
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Feels like the big morning moves only last 15′ today instead on the usual 30-45 but I could be proven wrong
09:55 am Curtis M : $BIOC going on to 3x float ha
09:56 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1000 SHARES 3.13
09:59 am Curtis M : Going to hold 1000 shares $URRE through wash-out veyr likely because small order then rehit it
10:00 am Curtis M : Gold downdraft
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp gold is getting smoked right now
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : Ramping usd/jpy like it’s going out of style
10:02 am Curtis M : Funny Gold touched exactly Rosie resistance and backed off – good algo
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : Trimming some $MIRN here at 2.15 from 2. the other day
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : Will keep a portion as a runner with a trialing stop
10:12 am Mathew Waterfall : $OLN trim/trail here. Watching $ON with stop raised as well
10:19 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1000 SHARES 3.05
10:20 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF jan20 10c’s out half at .26 from .13. Keeping half for the run with a stop at entry
10:25 am Cara R : Long $ONTX
10:26 am Sartaj Hundal : Bit of mic echo, Curt
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Just a bit better
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Try option B
10:27 am Sartaj Hundal : Yes
10:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Oil didn’t seem to like the pre numbers there lol downdraft right before the report
10:32 am Sartaj Hundal : Looks like a lot of people are exiting their positions in anticipation of the Trump speech
10:41 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE OUT 1000 SHARES 3.33
10:41 am Sartaj Hundal : CORRECTION 2000
10:43 am Rob D : too bad no oil trades today nice crude pop
10:45 am Mathew Waterfall : Gonna run some scans and get ready for this speach. Back in a few
10:45 am Curtis M : Im not trading that cluster f
10:57 am Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 3000 SHARES 3.86
10:59 am Dan Clarke : $urre long 6000 shares 3.84
11:01 am Curtis M : Thanks Dan appreciate the help
11:10 am Curtis M : going for coffee back in 15 min stops set in $URRE but doesn’t matter cause its going to 8.00
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : $GDX at some important levels here. Waiting for it to firm before I think about adding
11:26 am Mathew Waterfall : And just like that lol
11:28 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF fire
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT rampage. Let’s go bonds next week 124’s need some juice
11:31 am Mathew Waterfall : Out a portion of $JNUG 8.5 from 8.11 looking for some pull
11:32 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF stop hit on common 9.77 from 9.0X. Still holding half the 10c’s
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $SLV watching for 16 level. Important here
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking for a pullback in gold and silver here. Not sure if we get it but I expect this pop to keep fading
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Right on time. Will look at $JNUG and $USLV around LOD
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : /ES run waek, I expect another short run or liquidation break
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : *weak
12:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Small order $JNUG 7.99 entry. Expect more weakness would be surprised if up from here
12:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX defending 22.1 as expected. Was hoping for a quick flush to lows
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $USLV 12.86 again starter. Metals showing more strength here than I planned on but still think we are more likely to see a dump than a rocket from here
12:10 pm Curtis M : Long $URRE 6000 3.38
12:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CBMX pull. I’ll grab a few shares to join ya there Curt
12:38 pm Tyler H : $OPGN HOD
12:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPX flush, metals bounce. $CLF holding strong and $AKS looking well. I guess we have our roatation for the time being
12:49 pm Curtis M : Assets compressed – pop coming market wide imo – looking at $VIX
12:50 pm Curtis M : PPT has to be on high watch next 9 days
12:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SLV HOD
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : I agree with compression, I’m not so sure about a pop up here though
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feels heavy to me
12:51 pm Curtis M : pop or drop ya either way lol
12:51 pm Curtis M : $SLV I missed was going to enter yesterday
12:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ve been playing that through $USLV. Working well
12:52 pm Flash G : in $MYOS small
12:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will actually look for $USLV exit here. Still looking for a pull. Would reenter $USLV on $SLV clear and backtest of 16 or retest of LOD. I’m not in love with this range that we’re in
12:54 pm greg l : $TLT holding up excellent
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp Greg I’m a huge bond bull right now.
12:56 pm Michael P : $SNX 52 week highs
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : 12.86 to 13.15 on $USLV
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looking for reentry across the metals and miners trying not to be blinded by my bias here and hold all day
12:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out $JNUG as well
12:58 pm Curtis M : %JNUG jig
12:58 pm Curtis M : $JNUG flashed on scanner – wierd action there
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea, couldn’t make a new high there though, either could $GDX which makes me think we go south
12:59 pm Curtis M : Heavy Res on seck for Gold
12:59 pm Curtis M : $OPGN tank
12:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : usd/jpy flush as well though. Assume it gets bought up we’ll see
01:01 pm Curtis M : Going to likely scap $TVIX $UVXY between now and Wed next week – we’ll see if thesis holds water
01:02 pm Curtis M : Gold res
01:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like that play. Should see plenty of vol in the coming weeks
01:03 pm Curtis M : If anyone in crude it is at apex of quadrant on daily which translates as serious resistance
01:04 pm Curtis M : If $USOIL gest thru apex next res is at 52.80
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well crap, wring about that metals and miners pullback
01:04 pm Curtis M : Gold thru symmetry res and at top of algo quadrant and fib res just above
01:07 pm Curtis M : If Gold gets thru here that is very bullish on back test or continuation – thesis for lift until next Tues Wed ish may play out
01:07 pm Curtis M : It sure looks angry
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea it doesnt and usd/jpy has no parachute
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Karoda will come along shortly I’m sure
01:08 pm Curtis M : Abe knows Trump angry too bahahaha
01:08 pm Curtis M : Kuroda yeah lol
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha couldn’t remember how to spell his name
01:09 pm Curtis M : Trump gonna have a goon squad – they all lawyered up today haha
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : He’s a smart guy, let the lawyer do the talking
01:09 pm Curtis M : oh my here goes Gold
01:09 pm Dan Clarke : Except Tillerson
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : WOW. $GDX major r/g move
01:09 pm Curtis M : Thesis in good order
01:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tillerson doesn’t care, he got a fat payout from $XOM
01:10 pm Curtis M : My $URRE ugh fark … kick truck
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just needed a Trump nuke comment to give it a push
01:11 pm Curtis M : lol
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TLT Jan20 124’s now over a 3 bagger
01:16 pm Curtis M : Yup Im actually holding
01:17 pm Sartaj Hundal : $TVIX LONG 7.07 1000 SHARES
01:17 pm Sartaj Hundal : oKAY
01:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : Sounds good
01:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : Will do
01:23 pm Curtis M : Not picking the right spots today jeez paying dues lol – u never stop paying entry
01:27 pm Curtis M : Wow Gold bounced off the top of that quad
01:28 pm Curtis M : This could get snakyyyy
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea that thing is scary strong. And I am now looking for reentry
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY bouncing off of lower band here
01:30 pm Curtis M : wow
01:30 pm Curtis M : I was thinking Silver would be better but it hasnt cleared res
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nope. Still watching my $SLV levels and just sitting right under the 16 res
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m looking for a backtest of 22.52-22.55 on $GDX. Not chasing right now
01:31 pm Curtis M : Silver gets up over 16.90 its gone
01:32 pm Curtis M : I might clear outta VIX play and go Gold or Silver snipes
01:33 pm Curtis M : $SPY sup 225.40
01:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : Be right back
01:36 pm Curtis M : You may not be able to see it on your monitor but there is a white dotted lne that green arrow is pinting too – $SPY is using that for drection / support intra
01:37 pm Curtis M : $SPY has a Fib res coming overhead
01:37 pm Curtis M : Thanks Sartaj enjoy lunch take your time
01:38 pm Curtis M : $SPY res here
01:43 pm Sartaj Hundal : Back for room alerts. Thanks
01:44 pm Curtis M : The trade that turns in to a swing lol fark
01:46 pm Curtis M : Quick lunch – its calm if you got “stuff” go at it u dont ned to be in here ts super slowww
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea this is kind of boring. Rule number 1-Don’t trade out of boredom. Easy way to get chopped up and lose money. Preserve capital over everything else
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds simple but somethng many newer traders don’t fully grasp, I know I didn’t
02:01 pm Cara R : truth there
02:01 pm Curtis M : $GDX price target – possible
02:01 pm Curtis M : White arrow
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GDX trapped between the 9 and the 15 on the 5′. aSqueeze play
02:02 pm Curtis M : yup
02:03 pm Curtis M : Had someone just ask me why I allow some trades to become swings – I always have a plan or I would never do that – a plan going in critical
02:03 pm Curtis M : for example TVIX I will cut there is no plan beyond a trade ever
02:04 pm Curtis M : $URRE $CBMX $JUNO all have a plan
02:05 pm Curtis M : $TVIX there is no hold plan beyond 3 or 4 days max that can make sense – even one day is tight
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Holding a levered Vix product is suicide
02:07 pm Curtis M : $JUNO I know what the plans for the company are – its undervalued. $URRE is a psychology play with a 6.67 PT and over shoot of 8 possible. And $CBMX has a nature. It spikes.
02:07 pm Curtis M : yup
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : You need such an outsized move to get profits over any medium-long duration
02:07 pm Jack D : Thank you guys I was wondering too.
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : By that I mean a couple days max though I don’t even like holding ON
02:07 pm Curtis M : yup
02:09 pm Curtis M : Fundamental 101 stufff but peeps need to kow – had someone admot to having no plan when coming in to room just following my trades – uh…. nope that happens and banned – one warning – you have to have a plan we can’t be responsible for your losses
02:10 pm Curtis M : If your a new trader and you don’t know how to develop a trade plan you have to know before trading real money – no ifs
02:12 pm Curtis M : out TVIX 6.89
02:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice wedge in $GDX. May make a stab here
02:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG small 8.58 against .48 stop
02:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : well that was quick lol no dice
02:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here’s my $GDX backtest I was expecting. Do or die
02:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Like the respnse so far so I’m legging back in to $JNUG slowly
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice call out of $MYOS flash. Thing is a ripper
02:25 pm Curtis M : ripper lol love that term
02:28 pm Curtis M : $SPY halt
02:28 pm Curtis M : Flash got skill
02:28 pm Curtis M : Trading view charts lol
02:31 pm Curtis M : Watching $MYOS and $SPU on my other monitor sorry cant get it in here
02:32 pm Curtis M : Unless Mat you can get $MYOS in here – dont worry about it tho if busy
02:37 pm greg l : In some $MDGS
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sorry don’t have a free screen for that
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m down to two this week with computer issues
02:44 pm Curtis M : hey no prob lol
02:44 pm Curtis M : wow market rockin in some areas now scanners flashing everywhere
02:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea I’m surprised after the lul we had this morning.
02:49 pm darnel p : $FFHL long here
02:52 pm Curtis M : Long $FFHL
02:53 pm Curtis M : Scaling in hard
02:54 pm Curtis M : Blocks of 1000 255 258 and 5000 average 259
02:54 pm Curtis M : Sartaj Ill confirm fills later
02:58 pm Curtis M : So Sartaj Im holding 7000 $FFHL and Ill have to wait until TD report after midnight for fills or call them in a bit
03:01 pm Curtis M : $MYOS could really gap in morning folks
03:02 pm Curtis M : Sorry $FFHL I mean
03:10 pm Curtis M : FFHL scaling out 7000
03:10 pm Curtis M : Looks like average 3.98 Sartaj will confirm
03:11 pm Curtis M : Free version $FFHL on tradingview works lol
03:12 pm Curtis M : But not pro
03:12 pm Curtis M : Gong to have to reset systems toight with alternate for broadcasting
03:13 pm Curtis M : Free chart delayed tho
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Guess they don’t want you to spend any money with them
03:16 pm Curtis M : Strangest thing – oh well I’ll set alternate monitors to another back up service tonight for tomorrow
03:17 pm Curtis M : TD fills on these low floats wow complicated and not clear at all and the cue seems fd
03:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was seeing a crazy spread on $FFHL so I didn’t pull the trigger
03:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m likely done for the day here. Watching the close in metals and miners as usual. No late momo plays as I don’t feel like donating any money this late in the day
03:24 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/MYOS/e19qbtDa-myos-one-day-one-minute/
03:24 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/FFHL/AJ5gT2Xc-FFHL-One-Day-One-Minute/
03:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TCCO/2ywwOkRr-tcco-one-minute/
03:38 pm Curtis M : Long $TCCO
03:39 pm Curtis M : 3.14 small scaliing in 500
03:39 pm Curtis M : having fill issues again
03:41 pm Curtis M : L2 on $TCCO is my catalyst for HOD EOD buy – so just small
03:42 pm Curtis M : $URRE holding tilil next Wed if I have too
03:44 pm Curtis M : $$GEVO Form SC 13C
03:50 pm Curtis M : $TCCO adding small again here 500
03:54 pm Curtis M : 2.80 sorry sartaj
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Would like a close over .53 here in $GDX. Would be very bullish IMO
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : North of .4 is fine though
03:56 pm Curtis M : I just discovered this fancy internet I have that’s lke 4 x cost may be chart prob
03:57 pm Curtis M : $GDX is not broken – nowhere near – bull imo
03:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp agreed.
04:00 pm greg l : peace kiddos
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not bad. Hope everyone killed it today. Back at it in the AM for more
04:00 pm Curtis M : Thanks for the help Mat Sartaj and others!
04:00 pm Curtis M : yup
04:00 pm Curtis M : night

Article Topics:  $MYOS, $FFHL, $TCCO, $URRE – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

 

 

10
Jan 2017
$ETRM, Trading, Results

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Tues Jan 10 $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM

PreMarket Trading Plan Newsletter Tues Jan 10 $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM – $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room.  $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

A super quick premarket newsletter..

Notices:

Goal: Double accounts between now and when Trump sworn in. Range opening in our focus areas for scalps that will add quick.

Per previous;

Feature Post: “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

Review: If you are not reviewing the post market trading results along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers review it everyday. There is often information applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market trading result reports on our blog daily.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

New Service Options: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

New Service Options: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Current Holds:

Per previous;

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

Lots of width in what we are trading between now and Jan 20, 2017 (and likely at least short-term thereafter) IMO. Should be really active. My focus will be toward morning momentum plays and scalping range in $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $USLV $DSLV $UWT $DWT $UGAZ $DGAZ $TVIX $UVXY $XIV.

Per previous;

Early in 2017 I will be watching very closely bonds, $USDJPY, markets in general for direction (of course there are hundreds of variables).

Generally speaking I am looking for some volatility between now and late January. My instinct tells me that even if there is some downdraft in the markets that the Trump train will sweep them up in positive momentum at some point.

Metals, energy and financials are three areas I am looking to for 2017 for trading margin – with bio in fourth place on my list. And per previous we’re expecting some action in bonds to the upside a high probability.

As a trader, it is the margin / volatility I am focused toward and getting on the right side of a market / sector turn and scaling in to that.

Per previous;

All algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out first week of January 2017.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momo: $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM

Pluristem gains premarket as FDA OKs trial for critical limb ischemia therapy.

Ascena Retail’s stock plunges 19% premarket after earnings outlook slashed.

DexCom sees 2016 top line up 42% to $570M.

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $GNVC 41%, $DFFN 21%, $XGTI 21%, $ROKA 18%, $ETRM 15%, $NSPR $ILMN $MSTX $VRX $UGAZ $CUDA $VICL $ARRY $VALE $RIO

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: Losers:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades:  as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $GNVC, $DFFN, $XGTI, $ROKA, $ETRM, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F

10
Jan 2017
$ETRM, Trading, Results

Post-Market Mon Jan 9 $ETRM $JNUG $URRE

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Overview

Morning Momentum

First win of the day: morning momentum play on $ETRM

Intraday Scalping

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:18 am   Mathew Waterfall : Back at it and ready to rock. in some $NUGT premarket and looking to close a protion of my $TLT Jan20 124 calls. Entered those at .13. Will look for exit on half this morning
09:19 am   Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT is small size at 9.91 to see what direction we get off the open. Will add depending on price action
09:27 am   Sartaj Hundal : $USOIL within range of outside channel
09:28 am   Curtis M : $ETRM
09:31 am   Sartaj Hundal : LONG $ETRM 11.90 1000 SHARES
09:32 am   Mathew Waterfall : Out half $TLT Jan20 124’s at .45 from .13
09:32 am   Sartaj Hundal : OUT $ETRM 12.10 1000 SHARES
09:33 am   Mathew Waterfall : Think this goes higher but easy winner there and riding rest for free
09:36 am   Sartaj Hundal : $USOIL in outside channel
09:37 am   Mathew Waterfall : out $NUGT. Small loss. Will revisit. Price action was horrible off the open
09:41 am   Mathew Waterfall : $BCEI another gapper. looking for a pull to enter
09:44 am   MarketMaven M : $BIOC ready
09:48 am   Mathew Waterfall : $MIRN for a swing. Trailing stop to ride 15 day on the way up. This will be a grinder
09:48 am   John M : $CVM expanding volume
09:55 am   Mathew Waterfall : $CTXS short cover. Cover at 90.17 from 91.25. Wanted to get it off the screen, not a great win but still a win
10:00 am   Sartaj Hundal : There is a stat holiday in Japan right now
10:06 am   Curtis M : 3000 shares $JNUG 7.967 avg long
10:11 am   Cara R : In some $CLF
10:13 am   Flash G : $CYBE 52 week highs
10:18 am   Flash G : $BIOS poppin
10:19 am   OILK K : $NG and $CL moving in unison
10:21 am   Mathew Waterfall : Back in $NUGT 9.39
10:23 am   Curtis M : Out $JNUG 3000 avg 7.99
10:24 am   Mathew Waterfall : I’m stopped out at LOD. Not super confident here in the miners
10:27 am   david z : $ARIA 500k block
10:28 am   Michael P : $NLNK jiggy
10:30 am   david z : $NFLX HOD
10:32 am   Mathew Waterfall : Not really in love with much right here. Might be mid morning lul or might be some rotation
10:37 am   Mathew Waterfall : And just like that $NUGT is back on the upswing
10:44 am   david z : 16.50 res $ETRM
11:22 am   OILK K : $EXEL HOD
11:23 am   Mathew Waterfall : Not much jumping out at me here. Looks like a lot of names pulling back a bit. $USLV getting some lift so I’ll trim a bit from adds last week
11:52 am   Curtis M : Long $ETRM 1000 shares
11:52 am   Curtis M : 17.00
11:54 am   Curtis M : Long $ETRM 3000 17.12
12:03 pm   Curtis M : Out 3000 18.04 1000 18.08
12:25 pm   Curtis M : $EGLT Halt news pending
12:25 pm   Mathew Waterfall : hearing drug approval
12:27 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Weird that the news was already out and now the halt
12:34 pm   greg l : $CF
12:36 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Trying to find an unhlat time for $EGLT. no luck
12:37 pm   Flash G : $ROKA jiggy!
12:38 pm   Curtis M : Benzinga released news b4 they were supposed to is the story I’m getting – or somehing lke that
12:38 pm   Mathew Waterfall : That makes sense. No wonder news came out then it was halted
12:41 pm   Curtis M : Oils in trouble – they’ll need an intervention or its down
12:41 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Should see unhalf at 12:54 in $EGLT assuming the standard 30′ applies. Thought it might be quicker with the early news issues
12:56 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 17.69 3000 SHARES
01:10 pm   Flash G : $BCEI looking better today.
01:17 pm   Sartaj Hundal : (01:16 pm) Sartaj Hundal: $ETRM LONG 17.83 1000 SHARES
01:18 pm   Sartaj Hundal : LONG $ETRM 17.93 3000 SHARES
01:21 pm   Mathew Waterfall : No clue what’s going on with $EGLT. hasn’t reached t2 status and we went right on by th 30′ mark for the half. Keeping an eye on it
01:38 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Looking for $JNUG entry here
01:38 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Watching to see if it makes a higher low and I will lag in
01:39 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Juniors look to be the play here. Starting small
01:46 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM 4000 SHARES 17.64
01:46 pm   Sartaj Hundal : SOLD
01:46 pm   Mathew Waterfall : In some $JNUG here at 8.66. Feels like chasing so small size. Playing for gap up into tomorrow on continued dollar weakness
01:52 pm   greg l : Block trades $ARIA
01:56 pm   Flash G : Mu $AAPL long hold is doing well – looks great for 2017 imo
02:00 pm   Curtis M : $BIOC in to the gap w unusual vol
02:02 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $USOIL Crossing 52.25
02:05 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $URRE LONG 1.81 3000 SHARES
02:14 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $URRE OUT 1.81 3000 SHARES
02:14 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 18.09 3000 SHARES
02:17 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM OUT 18.72 3000 SHARES
02:17 pm   Sartaj Hundal : CORRECTION: 18.69
02:18 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Bull miners flow wiht some $AUY calls being hit
02:18 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $etrm long 18.84 3000 shares
02:19 pm   Sartaj Hundal : Correction: 18.70. Live alert was 18.84. Note to self: consider fills
02:20 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 19.02 6000 SHARES
02:23 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM out 19.13 9000 SHARes
02:40 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 17.63 3000 SHARES
02:48 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM OUT 17.91 3000 SHARES
03:02 pm   Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG add at 8.54 on that smack down. Still not even half size here
03:04 pm   Curtis M : $EGLT resumes 3:20 PM
03:06 pm   Curtis M : $DFFN $NSPR $WPCS money bags from $ETRM they say
03:08 pm   darnel p : $NVAX breaking out guys
03:11 pm   Sartaj Hundal : 20-30 minute run near EOD, maybe
03:11 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM LONG 17.71 AVG 1000 SHARES
03:21 pm   Sartaj Hundal : $ETRM OUT 17.75 1000 SHARES
03:31 pm   John M : $ARIA blocks continue
03:32 pm   Mathew Waterfall : Horrible close for the miners here. $GDX over .20 and I’m still bullish
03:44 pm   Mathew Waterfall : usd/jpy getting smashed right here. I like that
03:45 pm   Sartaj Hundal : Stat holiday in Japan

 

10
Jan 2017
$VIX, Chart

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Tuesday Jan 10 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Tuesday Jan 10 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

$VIX Trading Observations:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

10
Jan 2017
$USOIL, Chart

Member Oil Trade Update Tues Jan 10 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F

Member Oil Trade Update Tues Jan 10 Charting Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Epic the Algo

Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

CHARTING: The last number of posts  have been warning of an imminent price decision – it came today – more information below.

Per previous – There is a significant decision in price coming – watch notices close over coming days! And see below a very important diagonal trend-line resistance is on deck also!

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/promo code.

NEW SERVICE OPTIONS: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room. Plans from $4.10 per day w/promo code.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday Jan 10, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/FHlK0G4T-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Oil-Chart-Member-Edition-FX-USOIL-WTIC/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.16 at 414 AM ET Jan 10, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

Crude has fallen outside of the uptrend channel and in overnight trade has bounced off a horizontal support. While we recalculate based on new trading price action do your best to ignore the varoius Fibonacci levels etc on these charts and focus on the main support and resistance areas (yellow lines and blue diagonal trendlines) and trade against those margins (white arrows). More specific algorithmic modeling to follow over the next few days.

$USOIL, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 414 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

As mentioned above and warned, the price has dropped out of the channel – trade the ranges per above.

Per yesterday;

The trading range is still intact, however, BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS OIL IS TRADING VERY NEAR KEY RESISTANCE, THE OUTSIDE OF THE UPWARD TRENDING CHANNEL AND THE END OF NUMEROUS TIME PRICE CYCLES.

Per Previous;

The trading price is getting really close to having to make a decision now. Either up over significant resistance or sideways or drop out of the upward trending channel. Our bias is up over resistance because a. the trend is your friend and b. until we reach the incoming down-trending diagonal trend-lines (blue) from previous time – cycles, you will see on charting below. However, you need to be ready for both scenarios.

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous posts re: Green arrows on chart (show on previous posts) are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

I am going to leave the commentary below in my reports for the short-term to show and be sure (if crude price rises) that traders are aware of the significant resistance over-head, but it also serves as a reminder (lesson) that when price is getting within significant resistance such as below that significant downdrafts in price action are likely as we say in Monday trade.

Per previous;

The diagonal trend-line in this chart is very important. In fact, so much so that our traders will aggressively short at these trend-lines (with tight stops of course) – because this is a trend-line from another time-cycle – a significant trend-line. Keep in mind, that with charting, especially when bringing trend-lines in from many previous time-cycles such as this that it won’t be exactly on the penny – so watch close here.

There is also a symmetrical resistance and support line below it (yellow). If crude trade rises above this trend-line you can expect at least nine times out of ten a new break-out in crude oil trading price.

All recent major up-trends in crude trading (last two years) have used these diagonal trendlines lines as support (or alternatively as resistance sending crude down in a new trading trend lower). Very, very important line to watch.

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Resistance, Oil , Chart

56.93 is significant resistance with diagonal trend-line. Crude algo intra work sheet 758 PM Jan 2, 17 FX $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

Chart below shows what happened when 20 MA was lost in Monday trade. Previous reports have examined other MA’s for buy and sell triggers FYI.

Crude trading well below 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 430 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

20 MA, $USOIL,, Chart

Crude trading well below 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 430 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Per previous;

With the trading price of oil up at key resistance the 20 MA has been challenged more and more. Red arrow below shows an example of what can occur when 20 MA lost with crude oil. As of time of writing 20 MA intact.

Crude oil, 20 MA, Chart

20 MA vs price. Crude algo intra work sheet 442 PM Jan 8 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so our fib charts may look at times more like mad science than anything.

When you get a feel for how the fib levels reflect intra trading (which we cannot explain in short here) you will always have them on your chart in a similar manner.

$USOIL, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 414 AM Jan 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Per warning in yesterday report;

Between now and Jan 15 there are a series (cluster) of time price cycles terminating – so much that we see a significant move in the price of crude oil either up or down very soon. Any moment.

New time / price cycle calculations are underway and will take a day or two analyzing intraday trade now that price is outside of the upward trending channel.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

THE TARGETS BELOW ARE NOW VOID – as explained above it will take a few days of calculating to reset algorithm with new targets and trading ranges.

Per yesterday warning;

The targets below are VERY LIKELY to change as we are expecting a volatile move in oil within days (before Jan 15, 2017). WE WILL UPDATE MEMBERS WHEN THIS OCCURS.

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated hit probability – how many times out of 100 a hit is expected): 

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 53.07 (53%), 55.75 (24%), 57.01 (3%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 53.20 (41%), 55.95 (21%), 57.23 (1%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 53.62 (15%), 56.52 (9%), 57.81 (0.5%)

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

For now, trade the ranges described above and new algorithmic modeling will be out in the next few days.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets

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