Gold Trading Update Monday Dec 26 – GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Dec 26, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report (public editions do not include proprietary algorithmic modeling).

These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

NEW TRADING ROOM OPTION: There is now an option for trading room only – non-bundled version https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-live-trading/ at 59.00 a month (vs bundled version with morning newsletter and alerts at 119.00). There are limited orders available at 38.2% discount (200 max) FYI.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

Please read the public version of this Gold trade report first and then view Member Edition add-ons below:

Algorithmic Modeling Member Section

Primary Algorithmic Model Support and Resistance:

Current trading at time of writing is at 1139.26. Following are your support and resistance calculated from previous time / price cycles and various other calculations that coincide with Fibonacci levels:

Resistance:

Moderate 1141.90, 1144.19, 1145.19, 1146.29. Significant 1150.69, 1156.12, 1157.40, 1164.91, 1196.08, 1217.91, 1239.75, 1310.44

Support:

1136.97, 1135.65, 1134.74, 1132.51, 1129.34, 1127.68, 1125.44, 1122.82, 1120.77

Support, Resistance, Gold, Chart

Support and Resistance. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

The primary algo support and resistance lines are at the following levels – trade above is bullish intraday to next primary line and trade below is bearish intraday to next primary line.

1122.82 – a break below has high probability of further downtrend in Gold

1144.19

1150.69

1164.94 – a break above has high probability of a trend reversal in Gold taking place to upside.

Alpha Algo Trading Price Targets:

Gold has been trading in a confirmed downtrend since early Oct 2016, as such, the lower targets are more probable than the upper targets. The closer to price of current trade the more probable the targets are to hit prior to expiry Jan 1 2017. The one consideration is that Gold is getting an intraday bounce as this is being written.

Here are the targets for this week (the further from current price the less likely a hit):

Upper:

1150.69

1164.91

1217.91

1239.75

1266. 71

1310.44

Lower:

1120.77

1119.37

1117.89

1116.11

1113.27

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

The blue lines represent the outside lines (perimeter) of algorithmic modeling quadrants (as they apply to this time-frame). Watch them closely – they very often act as support and resistance.

Algo, Quadrants, Gold, Chart

Algo Quadrant Lines (Blue). Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

The nearest time / price cycle terminates at latest Dec 28 at 7:00 AM – it is moderate, but plan for intraday trend reversal nonetheless anytime prior.

The next significant time / price cycle termination is Jan 10, 2017 at 10:00 AM.

As new time / price cycle terminations present themselves we will notify members by alert or new posts.

Gold News:

Gold Copper Ratio tells us difficult days ahead. http://seekingalpha.com/article/4032727-gold-copper-ratio-tells-us-difficult-days-ahead-gold

Gold and Gold Miner Equities on Watch:

Which Gold Miners Could Provide a Valuation Upside in 2017? A complete listing in early Jan 2017 member editions.

Resource Stock Seasonality:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Gold Miners Trade Study:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Algorithmic Modeling Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consolidation of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “consolidation” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets / algo lines / algo quadrants / time and price cycles).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


Gold Trading Update Monday Dec 26 – GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Dec 26, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (public edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new public edition Gold trade report (public editions do not include proprietary algorithmic modeling).

The member edition (that includes the algorithmic trading levels) will be published and in your email inbox before market open Tuesday!

These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

NEW TRADING ROOM OPTION: There is now an option for trading room only – non-bundled version https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-live-trading/ at 59.00 a month (vs bundled version with morning newsletter and alerts at 119.00). There are limited orders available at 38.2% discount (200 max) FYI.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

PRICING: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

Gold Trading Observations:

A Review:

Through-out summer and fall 2016 we were warning against a bullish bias to gold and by early Oct 2016 we were giving specific price targets – one price target for 1163.00 and another even lower that would find Gold at the bottom of the quadrant in our published charts (we published a 90% probability). As of writing (Dec 26, 2016) both of these price targets have been hit. Here are a few examples of our alerts / tweets;

1163 Gold Price Target

Gold trade hitting price target.

Warning that there was a 90% probability that Gold would have to visit bottom of quadrant on chart (representing further downside).

Gold, Price Target, Hit, Algo

Dec 15 perfect touch to PT alert Nov 25. Gold Algo Model Chart Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miner $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Alerting members to watch for the 100 day to be regained:

As of Dec 26 the 100 day MA has not been regained.

100 MA, 1 Week, Chart, Gold

100 Day MA on 1 Week Chart – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Nov 25 I alert that when the 200 MA crosses the 100 MA on the 5 min that could be an area for a pop in price (for scalping daytrade):

Below is what happened the next time the 200 MA crossed the 100 MA on the 5 min. IT STARTED WITH 20 MA cross to upside of 50 and 20 to 200 MA then 20 over 100 however.

200 MA Crossing 100 MA on 5 Min Chart – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

100 MA, 100 MA, Gold, Chart

200 MA Crossing 100 MA on 5 Min Chart – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

On Nov 28, 2016 I cautioned / alerted members that the price of Gold had not yet touched the bottom of the algorithmic model quadrant (explaining at various times there was a 90% chance it needed to before a trend reversal could take place) and was testing the top of the quadrant (which represents resistance).

Gold trading price since alert (above) – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold, Alert, Chart

Gold trading price since alert – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Alerting again to wait for bottom of quadrant before considering long position in Gold:

Dec 18, 2016 published a Keep It Simple Gold chart to watch 100 MA on 1 Week for buy / sell triggers:

Trading under 100 MA on 1 Wk – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

100 MA, Trading, Price, Gold, Chart

Trading under 100 MA on 1 Wk – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Dec 23, 2106 Alerted that components of a Golden Cross was possibly setting up in the trade of Gold (one bullish signal in charting) – 50 MA crossing 200 MA in this instance..

And of course along the way we watched the USDJPY

Current Trading:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1133.17. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

Trading at 1133.17 – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold, Stock, Chart

Trading at 1133.17 – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

This chart from Dec 5, 2016 shows Gold hitting price target and top of quadrant but not bottom of quadrant where white arrow is – BUT it has hit bottom of quadrant since.

Gold, Chart

Hit my PT from July call but not lower quad. Gold algo intra work sheet 558 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Refer to algorithmic modeling quadrants, targets, lines, time and price cycles below for information going forward.

Golden Cross:

The elements of a Golden Cross are setting up in Gold. The 50 MA crossing the 200 MA.

Golden Cross, Set-up, Gold, Chart

Golden Cross setup 50 MA crossing 200 MA. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Applications of the Golden Cross
The most commonly used moving averages are the 50-period and the 200-period moving average. The period represents a specific time increment. Generally, larger time periods tend to form stronger lasting breakouts. For example, the daily 50-day moving average crossover up through the 200-day moving average on an index like the S&P 500 is one of the most popular bullish market signals. With a bell weather index, the motto “A rising tide lifts all boats” applies when a golden cross forms as the buying resonates throughout the index components and sectors. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldencross.asp

Moving Averages:

100 MA on 1 week. A very predictable indicator of longer range trading trend.

Price still trading under 100 MA on 1 Week. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

100 MA, Gold, Chart,

Price still trading under 100 MA on 1 Week. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Intra-day, 20MA crossing 50, 100, 200 example om 1 minute. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

MA, Gold, Chart

Intra-day, 20MA crossing 50, 100, 200 example. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

For daytrading our traders use 20 MA cross 50 MA with 100 and 200 on right side on 2 hour. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

So basically the set-up is on the 2 hour chart – the MA’s need to be on opposite side of chart below. This set-up has proven effective if you back-test it.

Daytrading, Gold, Chart, 20, 50, 100, 200, MA

For daytrading our traders use 20 MA cross 50 MA with 100 and 200 on right side. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Using 50 MA crossing upside 20 MA as sell signal. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Then you can use the 50 crossing up over 20 as your sell signal – or as our traders often do they turn to tighter time-frames, but I think you get the idea.

50 MA, 20 MA, Sell Signal, Gold

Using 50 MA crossing upside 20 MA as sell signal. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Fibonacci:

Fibonacci Levels to watch. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

The chart below is literally a work sheet our trader’s are using while this post is being written – so don’t use this at home – in a way that you would typically use Fib levels. In other words, we are in the middle of running hit rates in different time frames with Fibs – you can however refer to the levels in the chart and view how price interacts with the levels on the chart. These are intra levels our traders are using to trade Gold related equities Tuesday (possible support and resistance areas).

Fibonacci, Gold, Chart

Fibonacci Levels to watch. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Seasonality:

Gold, Seasonality

GOLD Seasonality over 32 years peaks in Jan

 

Gold, Spot

GOLD Seasonal Average Spot

Gold, Volatility

GOLD Volatility Peaks in Jan 37 Years

Gold, Intraday, 10 Year

Gold Intraday Average 10 Year chart

Gold and the US Dollar:

Algorithmic Modeling Member Section

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Alpha Algo Trading Price Targets:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Gold News:

Gold Copper Ratio tells us difficult days ahead. http://seekingalpha.com/article/4032727-gold-copper-ratio-tells-us-difficult-days-ahead-gold

Gold and Gold Miner Equities on Watch:

Which Gold Miners Could Provide a Valuation Upside in 2017? A complete listing in early Jan 2017 member editions.

Resource Stock Seasonality:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Gold Miners Trade Study:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Algorithmic Modeling Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consolidation of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “consolidation” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets / algo lines / algo quadrants / time and price cycles).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Dec 23, 2016 in Trading Chat room.  $DPRX, $URRE, $UEC, $GSAT, $SGYP, $DWT $UWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Merry Christmas everyone! May you have a very happy holiday with your family.

Important Notices:

REVIEW: If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will often be information in that report that is applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING STATUS: Another quickie guys and gals!

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST

Market Outlook:

I AM STALKING VOLATILITY, COPPER LONG AND OIL LONG AT SUPPORT. SOON GOLD and miners and maybe bio.

As mentioned previous, all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out VERY SOON.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momentum stocks: $DPRX $URRE $UEC $GSAT $SGYP – $URRE up 53% on 80K volume premarket 7:47 AM.

S&P -0.09%.

10-yr +0.08%.

Euro +0.12% vs. dollar.

Crude -0.96% to $52.44.

Gold +0.16% to $1,132.55.

Small Bio M&A on watch. Today $DPRX gap. $OPHT $DNAI $DVAX $IPCI $TKAI

Futures quiet in pre-holiday trade.

EnteroMedics to reverse split shares 1:70 December 28 #premarket $ETRM

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $DPRX $URRE $UEC $GSAT $SGYP $GOGL $NUGT, $FCAU $ERIC $EWZ $UGAZ $RACE $SCO $DB $UVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA – Getting some action though.

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

NA

Per previous:

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

THIS IS STILL SUPER BULLISH!!!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

NA 

Per recent posts:

Rosie the Gold Algo target call HIT!

My Trading Plan for Gold: Short term there could be a pretty good pop around the Fed, but I don’t expect it would last. It could pop to the top of the algo quadrant but I don’t think it would run past – NOT YET ANYWAY. So who know’s I may play a short term scenario – Fed / market reaction dependent.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

NA

Per previous;

Yesterday Silver tanked real hard! Good thing we’ve been sitting on our hands awaiting inflection point here.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Per Previous:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: WE ARE RIGHT NEAR SUPPORT AT TIME OF WRITING! 51.93 is the support test and I will take a long position there and see if we get the turn. 

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

NA

Per last week:

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted.

Natural Gas hit heavy resistance, came off, now at a Fibonacci support. $NG_F $UGAZ $DGAZ

ON WATCH!!! This could get a considerable pop in to late Wednesday and even as far as in to late Monday next week is possible!!!

Natural gas lost that Fib support yesterday so now I am watching lower supports. I still think there is a possibility for a pop just after Fed speak!

ON CLOSE WATCH!

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $DPRX, $URRE, $UEC, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Dec 22 – $CMTX, $UWT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GSAT, $TKAI, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Today was very calm. Some trades in the group. For me quiet with two small trades – study day mostly.

My Personal Trades:

Two small trades and wins – $CMTX was my morning momentum stock trade and $UWT later in day. Holding $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST.

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

 

Announcements in Trading Room:

 

08:48 am Curtis M : Morning! Gainers: $TKAI $GSAT $XOMA $ANY $MU $RGSE $RENN $HTBX $DGAZ $TWLO $SCMP I will look at momo stock trades at open and our regular watches after.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

9:02 am Curtis M : $FRED down 8% in premarket
09:05 am Curtis M : Watching $TKAI $GSAT $EYES $CETX $MU
09:26 am Mathew Waterfall : $TKAI hitter from early last month. Out this AM after buying in at .88. Nice surprise to wake up to
09:26 am Mathew Waterfall : Expecting a similar move from $DNAI sooner or later
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Also will be looking to exit $TWTR puts and $TWLO calls likely half of each as they are both into next week
09:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Morning guys!
09:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Out this week $TWTR 17 puts at .4 from .17
09:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Out half next week $TWLO 37 c’s at .6 from .38
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Out half next week $TWTR 16.5 puts at .38 from .3
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : sorry from .2
09:44 am Curtis M : $CETX L 500 5.695 L 1000 5.79 Sold 5.801
09:45 am Cindy L : I’m still n $CETX from pre
09:46 am OILQ K : Long ACNV
09:47 am John M : $TWLO long at every dip
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : $VXX outs for next week. 23’s at .14
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : *pus
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : jesus I can’t type this morning. You know what I mean. PUTS
09:47 am Sammy T : lol
09:47 am Jonny M : edit!
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : I need to figure out how to make this typing text box bigger so I can review my posts easier
09:58 am Ma Ka : gm all
09:59 am Cindy L : $DNAI gonna go
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : $RENN looks like it wants to squeeze
10:03 am Curtis M : Long $UWT 26.386 avg 1000
10:05 am OILQ K : LOng Some UWT TOO
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : long $WATT 18.14 for a swing. Stop at 17.45\
10:06 am Cindy L : Im in small UWT
10:07 am Sammy T : $REN going to sq if oil goes
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : $GPRO going. Still in my next week 10 lotto calls
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Also all out of $TWTR puts
10:13 am Mathew Waterfall : Following sweeper through for some $MU Jan 6 24c’s at .32. Looking for some post earnings continuation and the chart looks great
10:14 am Mathew Waterfall : Also out half of $GPRO next week 10 lotto’s at .09 from .04. @ bagger covering cost so rest will ride free
10:16 am Curtis M : nice man
10:19 am Michael P : School in session bang
10:20 am Mathew Waterfall : Sentiment mild, TICKs middling, VIX dropping. All addes up to a market that is just floating along IMO.
10:34 am Sammy T : In $PTIE
10:34 am Mathew Waterfall : $WATT monster move already. Great momo in this one
10:35 am Drew M : In some $SRNE looking gooood
10:36 am Drew M : $LABD strong
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : $KNDI on the move. I’ve been stalking for a short squeeze. If it gets outside of the triangle and over .65 it’s a buy on my end
10:37 am MarketMaven M : $UGAZ down
10:38 am Sammy T : $BIG looks like $BIG move comin
10:39 am OILK K : $BBBY we called that!
10:40 am Curtis M : away for 3 mins
10:51 am Rob D : Curt would consider rebuy at one of those MA’s?
10:51 am Rob D : *you
10:52 am Curtis M : when it breaches aud white up
10:58 am Rob D : interesting how it stopped at quadrant line to the tick
11:06 am Mathew Waterfall : coffee and scanning time. Maybe a nap if nothing moves. Back in a bit
11:16 am Tyler H : Thaanks Curt – not much out there
11:18 am Sammy T : nap good idea – like how i have learned to bank monthly from ya curt! have a great holiday
11:19 am Curtis M : np guys and gals when u learn t you’ll do way better than me
11:20 am Curtis M : Sartaj! Please check video from start today to now for technical training on crude videos and maybe for your pres kit FYI
11:21 am Curtis M : Out $UWT 26.42 blah lol
11:22 am Adam G : Curt does the chart not look better with regard to contrast with a darker black background? I don’t find it very easy to view as is
11:23 am Cindy L : I just like how consistent it is. Pretty awesome. I hope this afternoon goes good with some momo.
11:23 am Adam G : Ohhhhh
11:23 am Adam G : my bad
11:25 am Adam G : will I be able to load to TradeStation?
11:25 am Adam G : ok
11:26 am Adam G : I already use two buddy 😉
11:31 am Cindy L : Early lunch for me back after lunch for aft sessoin
11:32 am Jack D : $SPY looks sick
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Going to trim some $WATT here at 18.95. Keeping half. It’s run a long way so I’ll take the easy gains
11:35 am Curtis M : $IWM test here IMO
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Out another slice of $WATT at 19.24
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Will let the rest ride on a trailer
11:48 am Adam G : 2250 breaches, 2247 should see responsive buyers. ES_F
11:49 am Adam G : Sorrry 2252
11:51 am Curtis M : 20 min lunch
11:51 am Mathew Waterfall : 10-4
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Anyone else seeing anything fun out there? Pretty quiet overall as we drift a bit lower on the day. Luckily I caught those overnight plays and $WATT because not much else is going on here
11:53 am MarketMaven M : BTFD haha
11:54 am Cindy L : crappy
11:57 am OILQ K : $TSLA I still like for new year swing – have not bit yet
11:58 am Drew M : Market going to crap its pants 🙂
12:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Never say never but people are trying to get bearish on a .35% $SPY flush and VIX up just 3%
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nothing else looks bad enough to convince me we are going down in a hurry. Breadth is mild, TICKs fine, still seeing a ton of call flow
12:02 pm Cara R : Expecting action in $GPRO $WATT $ACAI this afternoon
12:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CCJ runner on Trump tweet
12:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tweeting about more nuke power
12:03 pm Jack D : Trump wow
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feels like we are trying to find a bottom here. Maybe it’s just the light flow but we couldn’t punch through last weeks low on $SPY
12:15 pm Rob D : speaking of nukes…..check out $URRE
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea, not my kind of play but nice action in a few names there
12:20 pm Curtis M : Icahn interview on cnbc making me laugh
12:22 pm Curtis M : he’s like I just wanna give back

Transcript cut-off by provider (requested remaining and will post when they provide record to us).

Article Topics: $CMTX, $UWT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX ,$GSAT, $TKAI ,Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $DWT, S&P 500


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 22, 2016 in Chat room. $GSAT $XOMA $ANY $MU $RGSE $RENN $HTBX $DGAZ $TWLO $SCMP $DWT $UWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will be information often in that report that is applicable and not in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING: Another quickie guys and gals! 

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO – New swing $DUST

$DUST

$DUST Stock Chart

Market Outlook:

I AM STALKING COPPER LONG AND OIL LONG AT SUPPORT.

As mentioned above; all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out VERY SOON.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momentum stocks:  $GSAT 32%, $XOMA 16%, $ANY 13%, $MU 11%, $RGSE

Futures little changed ahead of economic data.

Insider Purchases $MCC $HOTR $REXR $GROW $VIRT $MNGA $MD $ARCC $CCP $GTE $LMRK $GLYC $IMMY $XBKS $LPTH $ASRV $CDZI $TICC $REED $IO

$CATB HC Wainwright initiates Overweight $14 pt

$FIT Citigroup analyst Kovler lowered his price target to $8

$EYES UK Government Announces Funding for Second Sight’s Argus II “Bionic Eye” http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20161222005013/en/UK-Government-Announces-Funding-Sight%E2%80%99s-Argus-II …

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $GSAT 32%, $XOMA 16%, $ANY 13%, $MU 11%, $RGSE 8%, $RENN $HTBX $DGAZ $TWLO $SCMP $DWT $TKC $YNDX $TVIX $SCO $UVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AKAO (momentum play last week), $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA – Getting some action though.

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

NA

Per previous:

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

THIS IS STILL SUPER BULLISH!!!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

NA – I took a short term $DUST swing yesterday (small position)

Per recent posts:

Rosie the Gold Algo target call HIT!

My Trading Plan for Gold: Short term there could be a pretty good pop around the Fed, but I don’t expect it would last. It could pop to the top of the algo quadrant but I don’t think it would run past – NOT YET ANYWAY. So who know’s I may play a short term scenario – Fed / market reaction dependent.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

NA

Per previous;

Yesterday Silver tanked real hard! Good thing we’ve been sitting on our hands awaiting inflection point here.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Please review EPIC’s twitter feed from last evening.

Outlook:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: WE ARE RIGHT NEAR SUPPORT AT TIME OF WRITING! 51.93 is the support test and I will take a long position there and see if we get the turn. It is at 52.23 $USOIL at time of writing.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

NA

Per last week:

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted.

Natural Gas hit heavy resistance, came off, now at a Fibonacci support. $NG_F $UGAZ $DGAZ

ON WATCH!!! This could get a considerable pop in to late Wednesday and even as far as in to late Monday next week is possible!!!

Natural gas lost that Fib support yesterday so now I am watching lower supports. I still think there is a possibility for a pop just after Fed speak!

ON CLOSE WATCH!

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $GSAT, $XOMA, $ANY, $MU, $RGSE, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $UWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Dec 21 – $MRUS, $ESEA, $CALA, $INVN, $OPGN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $UWT, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Today was very calm. Some trades in the group. For me quiet – study day mostly. We were on top of every move though and there were some big plays and nice wins I discovered when talking to members later in day after market close.

My Personal Trades:

I took a long swing position in $DUST (1000 shares) – watching $USDJPY very close. Looking at inflection in many other areas (with reference to our algos). Called the natural gas move but didn’t take the recent trade opportunities. Momentum stocks weren’t acting well for my trading style. Looked at possible oil related trades $UWT $DWT but didn’t trigger. Holding $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST. EPIC the Oil Algo 10:30 AM target missed by 5 cents – called two weeks ago:) Green arrow is when I entered $UWT, red arrow my exit and white arrow was today’s algo target at 10:30 AM.

Crude, Oil, Chart, Algo, $USOIL

Wed Dec 21 1030 AM Target Status. Crude algo intra work sheet 354 AM Dec 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:55 am Curtis M : Gainers: $INVN 16%25, $TIG 5%25, $CLLS 4%25, $BCEI 3%25 $UGAZ $NKE $NUGT $SDRL $CANF $JNUG $STO $UWT $TWLO $FRO $AU $UCO $GDXJ $BP

09:28 am Curtis M : $MRUS +55
$ESEA +32
$CALA +26
$INVN +17
$OPGN +12

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:33 am Michael P : Short $SGY
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Legging into a small position in next Friday $SPY calls. Starting smallish 228’s at .54
09:34 am Curtis M : NATGAS Rees closer to 3.75 area
09:35 am Curtis M : NATHGAS res 3.55 3.75 areas
09:36 am Curtis M : USDJPY symmetry calls for move up or down two to four market days from now
09:37 am Curtis M : Market vol low
09:40 am MarketMaven M : Out $TSLA swing for vacation break
09:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Yea not much. Small position in weekly NFLX calls but not much going on
09:41 am Mathew Waterfall : Thinking the rest of this week will be pretty chill. Next week maybe a melt up but expect low volume there as well
09:42 am Mathew Waterfall : $RAS on clear of 3.4 looks decent for swing
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Not many alerts popping and not much going on over here
09:45 am Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX friday 129’s at .43. This is for a day trade or hold ON at most
09:48 am Curtis M : Scaling in 1000 $DUST 67.60 area
09:49 am Mathew Waterfall : $SPWR year end lotto shor squeeze play. Dec30 8’s at .09
09:49 am Curtis M : Will add up to 2000 more on any dips $DUST – swing
09:49 am Curtis M : Looks like avg 67.51
09:54 am Curtis M : $XIV ATH
09:55 am Curtis M : A lot of failing momos
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Not much confidence across the board this morning
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Volume dropping by the looks of things
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : BUT….$CHK lotto’s ITM!
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : haha sometimes it’s the small things
09:58 am Curtis M : nice
09:58 am Curtis M : lol
09:59 am Darnel T : Like $NVDA for a bounce
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : 9.39 Dec 2006 on $VIX lox per my 20 year chart
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : you had me curious
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : 12/15/06
10:04 am Mathew Waterfall : Lot of selling after the last huge run up. also bearish MACD cross if you care about such things. This is on $nvda
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : Strong home sales: Existing home sales hit 5.61 million units in November, vs. expectations of 5.5 million
10:11 am Mathew Waterfall : $CHK lotto’s now at .155 from .11. Decent 50% gain, I’m holding until tomorrow or an 8 handle whichever comes first
10:11 am Cara R : sweeeet
10:13 am Curtis M : Transports break out test on deeck
10:20 am Dani M : wtf lol
10:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Out $NFLX calls at .61 from .43. Keeping a small runner but in the green if they go to 0. Playing tight here
10:48 am Rob D : how will you decide which tgt to go after?
10:58 am Rob D : amazing stuff Curt, thanks for explaining
11:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Still quiet over here. Taking a quick break to scan and see if I can find anything interesting going on. Likely just an extended coffee break haha
11:01 am Curtis M : back soon
11:01 am Curtis M : Internet jam here
11:11 am Rob D : is chart frozen?
11:21 am MarketMaven M : $C blocks
11:24 am Darnel T : $TWLO rumors Amazon partnership
11:26 am Mathew Waterfall : I think I hit a time warp on my coffee break. Nothing seems to have moved the whole time that i was gone
11:28 am Darnel T : ha
11:28 am OILQ K : casinos look great imo
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : I like $MGM here OilQ K. Have a few 31’s for next week thanks to a roll a while back. Those won’t see action unless it really gets going though
11:31 am Curtis M : $CHK very bullish
11:32 am Mathew Waterfall : I still think 8 bucks this week on $CHK is realistic
11:33 am Curtis M : Very aggresive looking
11:36 am Curtis M : Internet spikes bad here for last week
11:42 am Curtis M : Thers’ casino for ya
11:42 am Curtis M : a baby size one
11:44 am Tyler H : $TSLA bull power
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA has been playing games all day but yea nice moves f you can catch it
11:45 am Tyler H : Bull dog maybe they’re hard to catch
11:45 am Mathew Waterfall : $AMD Jan20 13.5’s. Swing play following some big hitters through on this
11:49 am Curtis M : $LIVE low float manip?
11:50 am Curtis M : going to take an early lunch and hop I get an afternoon play
11:51 am Curtis M : back in 30
11:52 am Darnel T : GOOD PLAN
11:54 am Darnel T : Dead out there
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : While we’re not doing much I am thinking up ideas to blog about. If you guys/gals want to see anything in particular let me know
11:55 am Darnel T : $MGM looking good today
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ll probably write something up this weekend about using spreads to take profits or something like that but can always go into something else
11:56 am Curtis M : Ya do a Options for Dummies 101 for me plz – ok buy gone for lunch
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Option 101 check. That might be a multi part series but I can start on that
11:57 am John M : hahaha
11:57 am MarketMaven M : critique cramer
11:57 am MarketMaven M : his calls of recent
11:58 am Mathew Waterfall : Come on, that’s not even hard most of the time
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : I actually don’t watch any financial media. My head hurts enough as it is but I’m sure I could find his picks and poke holes in them easy enough
12:00 pm MarketMaven M : haha
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : I see there pics on twitter and they’re always good for a chuckle but that’s about it. Any media is there for your eyeballs, not to make you money
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : *picks I should see. or pics of picks lol
12:02 pm Cara R : manipulation everywhere
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : End of year can see some funky stuff, kind of like into a quad witch as there are games to be played with book values, tax loss selling, holding to the next tax year before taking gains ect
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : I typically just makes for some weird dislocations
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX working on new highs. $TWLo beasting
12:12 pm Curtis M : stupid ass internet lately lol
12:14 pm Curtis M : thanks mathew
12:20 pm Michael P : $HDS rumors
12:20 pm Michael P : And casinos look bullish IMO
12:22 pm Tyler H : Oil down
12:23 pm Tyler H : LOD
12:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Still feels like this market wants to finish out the day green. VIX down, TICKs trying to break out to the upside
12:35 pm OILK K : Agree
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wish $SGY had options to play here. Downside looks very promising
12:39 pm MarketMaven M : $IPCI momentum
12:39 pm MarketMaven M : micro
12:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tight range there. A swing against 2.65 doesn’t look horrible
12:42 pm MarketMaven M : meh
12:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : 25% of float short as of nov31
12:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not enough volume for me to want to play that name though
12:43 pm MarketMaven M : thats the problem yaa
12:44 pm Dani M : eastern libya blackout no power – oil
12:46 pm Curtis M : enjoying extended lunch while market quiet
12:46 pm Curtis M : oil got 5 cent pop lol
12:47 pm Curtis M : seems folks don’t care about Libya oil
12:49 pm Dani M : Study for me till something happens
12:50 pm OILQ K : yupp
01:02 pm Curtis M : watching oil
01:04 pm Curtis M : 52.35 buy decision $USOIL
01:04 pm Curtis M : 52.59 now
01:06 pm Curtis M : stopped falling
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have to restart my charts here, super laggy
01:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : More coffee for me. Flow is super quiet, scans not giving me much. Guess it’s nap time
01:13 pm Darni T : ya
01:13 pm Drew M : zzz
01:14 pm Adam Gwyn : thoughts on CL?
01:14 pm Curtis M : extended lunch
01:15 pm Curtis M : yes buy trigger considered at 5235 usoil
01:19 pm Adam Gwyn : I have .42 as 618
01:39 pm Tyler H : everybody sleepinng
01:42 pm Curtis M : odd action
01:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : VXX next week 23 puts. Play into the end of the week this week
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : $HIIQ HOD and steam behind it. Nice breakout
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IPCI always moving along well
01:57 pm Curtis M : can’t take trade there without volume last round it failed and we hit it at that point
02:04 pm Curtis M : Not a bad scalp but not my type of set up with out vol
02:06 pm Tyler H : Not the normal momo
02:06 pm Cara R : dead
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not a whole lot really. All of the exciting moves have come off here in the last hour or two
02:07 pm Darni T : Still like $TSLA
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA and $NFLX came off
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA now seeing large put buying
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SHAK died if anyone was in that trade and hung on longer than I did
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m thinking we pause today, continue higher into the end of the week
02:08 pm Ma Ka : Grreetings Mathew
02:08 pm Ma Ka : Do we have a trade on NFLX ? is it going down ?
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES could see north of 2300 according to a friend who is right much more often than wrong but take that with a grain of salt
02:09 pm Curtis M : If you see any setups go ahead and steel screen Mat I’m gonna just stalk oil for machine buying – oil a good trade just not great
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : I hit $NFLX calls this morning. Weekly 129’s but that move fizzled. I got out and left a small trailer
02:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : I wouldn’t enter now
02:10 pm Ma Ka : thanks
02:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will do Curt, nothing is jumping out at me but if I see anything I will
02:16 pm Drew M : Pennies momo $RGSE $TNXP $HTBX $SSH $ONTX
02:18 pm OILK K : $INUV pop
02:21 pm John M : $NFLX and $TSLA are my calls for after Christmas – looking at them close.
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWTR puts into next week. Will screen share after 2:30 NYMEX close
02:25 pm Curtis M : k
02:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWTR Dec30 16.5 puts @.17
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : No hurry, nothing else is moving anyway
02:36 pm Curtis M : no trade go nut mat
02:37 pm Curtis M : sorry internet crapped lol wow best commercial pkg too fark
02:38 pm Curtis M : crank your mic 4 me pls
02:39 pm Curtis M : Perfect
02:40 pm Tyler H : Learning a lot from you guys. Just wanted to say.
02:41 pm Dani M : Mathew your mic cuts out sometimes – it might just be my internet though
02:43 pm John M : u thinking market up tomorrow?
02:45 pm John M : thanks
02:46 pm Curtis M : Great I need a big hit day b4 Xmas ha
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO going big here
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a couple lotto’s from a while back. Doubt they hit but it looks interesting into EOY
02:58 pm Curtis M : $RGSE 25%
02:58 pm Curtis M : 35%
02:58 pm Curtis M : Not playing it but morning momo candidate
02:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SGY headed for the 5 zone IMO
02:59 pm Adam Gwyn : I had some obligations this morning, but did you guys capter any of the retrace in CL this morning?
03:00 pm Tyler H : No I don’t thnk anyone played it Adam. Not Sure tho.
03:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : I don’t think so either. I haven’t been watching OIL too close.
03:00 pm Tyler H : We’ve been hitting the long side all rhe way up the channel almost every turn tho.
03:01 pm Tyler H : I’ve hit harder than Curt but I’m half his age lololol
03:02 pm Cara R : We should compare Tyler ha holday bet for a bottle of jack
03:02 pm Cara R : Curt! U there?
03:02 pm Curtis M : ya sorry looking at momos
03:03 pm Curtis M : EOD days for tomorrow runs look ok actually
03:04 pm Curtis M : Yaa Adam I think we all took longs on way up every turn – its been good – I know Gerry who isn’t here has hit them hard too and I got some other thanks – good Christmas timing
03:04 pm Curtis M : All meaning all that did play it
03:05 pm Curtis M : It would be nice to see oil back down at bottom of channel for one big hit
03:06 pm Curtis M : $TWLO vertical – who called that earlier?
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I had the lotto’s but didn’t call it here until it was already into the 32’s
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : This will be over the 50 day tomorrow IMO
03:07 pm Curtis M : nice
03:10 pm Curtis M : $S Bulls sweeping
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY 226 pin for wednesday OPEX befoe higher tomorrow
03:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IPCI nHOD at 2.94. Decent squeeze candidate into tomorrow
03:14 pm Curtis M : $RGSE, $IPCI, $DUST, $DGAZ looking interesting for tomorrow
03:15 pm Curtis M : Oil we’ll see what pyjama crew does
03:15 pm Jack D : $TWLO $CC Nice
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : Natty gas has been a monster lately. $DGAZ/$UGAZ should see plenty of action
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO 46% short lolol
03:16 pm Jack D : $DGAZ got wacked haha likely bounce
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : 21 million share float
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : 40’s EOY
03:17 pm MarketMaven M : Ya $TWLO I like too – we have some good set-ups for tomorrow I agree
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : I took a few next week 37’s in TWLO for a 35-36 test this week
03:21 pm OILQ K : Anyone like $HTBX?
03:22 pm OILQ K : I’m going to ht oil hard on turn but looking at $HTBX for morning – likely wait and see maybe
03:23 pm Curtis M : I would just looking at $HTBX in morning too –
03:23 pm Curtis M : $HTBX DD not best
03:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not the prettiest chart but it’s got a gap to fill and should get some bullish crossovers shortly with any upward momo
03:24 pm Curtis M : yep
03:24 pm Curtis M : Insider buying last 6 mos
03:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Decent earnings as well
03:27 pm Curtis M : $DUST coming back to life FYI
03:28 pm Tyler H : I’m swinging it – hopefully full gold algo report out tonight
03:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : 3 screens of death for Gold right there lol
03:28 pm Curtis M : Might be ready tonight Ty
03:28 pm Curtis M : Within next few days anyway
03:29 pm Curtis M : A lot of data sorry almost there
03:30 pm Curtis M : It will be nice when whole team full time on 1st lololol
03:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : You mean it will be nice to get some sleep for once?
03:31 pm Curtis M : OMG yes
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sell off into the close here
03:32 pm Curtis M : Sartaj back to full time in lab today, Tyler in a week, Shawn Jan sometime – getting readu for EOY algo reports and media things starting 30th almost killing us hahahaha but… done soon 28th at latest everything
03:33 pm Curtis M : ya noticed
03:33 pm Curtis M : I think next week will be fire power – thur and fri I’m unclear
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think now until next Thursday it’s game on. Next Thursday/Friday a bit more unclear IMO
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : This is going off of last years pattern a bit and momentum
03:35 pm Curtis M : ya
03:36 pm Darnel T : have a good night guys and girlz
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : See ya in the AM
03:37 pm Cara R : peace
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY 226 pin in progress
03:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : $BBBY and $MU seeing earnings calls. I hate playing earnings and it’s so hard to win with options. I don’t know how people consistantly make money doing that
03:41 pm Jack D : $BBBY dud IMO
03:41 pm Jack D : nite all!!!
03:45 pm John M : Checking out everyone – thanks Curt and Mathew once again! Later.
03:46 pm OILK K : Ya John been awesome guys – I’m finally being disciplined!!! Making it back now.
03:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good night all. I’m just over here doing some random charting. Done trading for the day
03:47 pm OILK K : Quiet day but did lots of study ready for tomorrow. GN
03:49 pm OILQ K : I concure!!! If you guys need a recomend for the media programs you are doing let me know. I look good on TV too:):)
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : May cut some $TWLO calls here for a quick gain. The juice in this one coule get nasty. 44 isn’t out of the question before the year is out when shorts get scared
03:59 pm Curtis M : Thanks all have a good night! $DUST jiggy:)
03:59 pm OILK K : good one cheers!

 

Article Topics: $DUST, $MRUS, $ESEA, $CALA, $INVN, $OPGN, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $DWT, S&P 500

 

 


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Tuesday Dec 20 – $CNAT, $FRED, $GLF, $AKBA, $GALT, $JUNO, $CBMX, $UWT, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION AND TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS EITHER VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM) OR TIME-STAMPED IN WRITING FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

 

Primary Lessons That May Help You With Your Trades:

The $UWT (crude oil trade) I was in was about trusting the algorithm @EPICtheAlgo (which took me about 6 months to fully trust). I would be a lot further ahead has I just trusted the math process earlier. But I did this time – and I went big and we won.

Buy alert to our members last week (green arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 429 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

We bought at the bottom (green arrow) and we sold at the top (today’s top not shown)

Buy alert, trading room, crude oi

Buy alert to our members last week (green arrow). Crude algo intra work sheet 429 AM Dec 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT #algo

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

We are currently processing the reset calls for all algos for Q1 2017 over Christmas season because the have all now completed their calls from Q3 and Q3 2016 with 90% or better accuracy. All in writing, called in advance and fully documented.

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:18 am Curtis M : Good morning! I will be back 2 mins b4 bell. Wll do morning momo incl oil and then move on to regular charting after (oil is momo today). $CNAT, $AKBA $ACAD $ABIO $TRCH, $BCEI $RAD $JDST $AUPH $DUST $WTI $IMMY $REXX $UWT

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:20 am Curtis M : $KLRE Halt – News Released. Halt time: 09:14:18.
09:23 am Curtis M : Morning Mat
09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Morning guys. Looking to exit some positions if this rally gets some legs. $CLF showing good strength off of Chinese steel report which is nice
09:24 am Curtis M : Yup in your words some jiggy
09:24 am Curtis M : I will be looking to scale out 2/3 of my $UWT in morning momo FYI
09:24 am Mathew Waterfall : haha yes, would like to see more jiggy
09:25 am Curtis M : My words too lol
09:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Also looking to exit $XOM small position and see what $IWM does. Will let those 139s ride most likely until tomorrow or so
09:26 am Curtis M : I won’t even be watching other stocks at open – I have a large $UWT to traverse FYI ALL
09:28 am Curtis M : Just emailed Sell Alert on 2/3 $UWT of 10000 shares
09:28 am Curtis M : Will chip out 2/3 after bell sometime VERY LIKELY (just t be clear so nobody yells at me)
09:39 am Curtis M : Chipped out most now holding 3000 $UWT
09:40 am Curtis M : Watching $FRED for wash out then snap back
09:43 am Curtis M : Calculating new targets for crude if it gets up over resistance areas
09:43 am Curtis M : $FRED is a real deal on real news – could go again
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : $IWM flying. Lets keep the juice on here please
09:49 am Curtis M : Long $FRED small 1000 share 17.65
09:49 am Curtis M : Real tight I dont plan on losses b4 xmas
09:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Posted my levels yesterday but $WYNN still looking horrible. Will watch for reentry around 88 but likely not until after the first
09:53 am Curtis M : Out $FRED 17.96
09:53 am Curtis M : $FRED
09:54 am Curtis M : Shoot lol
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Hate that. But it could have gone the other direction. That’s what I tell myself at least lol
09:54 am Curtis M : haha
09:56 am OILQ K : Out $UWT Thanks!
09:57 am Curtis M : NP I got some other yehaws on email and DM I’ll share later – it worked out:)
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Here comes the early fade
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF great strength. Shooting for 10’s mid term
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : Calls bought yesterdat at .295 from .24 and working higher here
10:03 am Curtis M : so much winning
10:04 am Curtis M : lol sorry
10:04 am Carol B : yup win away
10:04 am Michael P : thanks for the calls peeps excellent
10:05 am Mathew Waterfall : Morning flurry looks to be about over for me. Market feels like it wants a breather here
10:06 am Curtis M : OIl could be a gusher yet – its held up really well
10:07 am Curtis M : Machines have it right now
10:10 am Dani M : I saw the convo on Stocktwits lolololol you should a let him have it – what MA IS THAT THEN LOLOLOL LMAO
10:10 am Curtis M : ha
10:11 am gary y : $JUNO up
10:11 am Mathew Waterfall : I would just screw with those people. “Hey you caught me. It’s the 134.5 square root multi average SMA. Really basic stuff”
10:11 am Curtis M : lolol
10:12 am Curtis M : It was actually Sartaj talking to him I cant do it – and Sartaj just like whatever lol doesn’t pay attention and I’m like hit em haha
10:13 am Curtis M : Chipping out last 3000 $UWT
10:14 am Curtis M : Sorry if youre getting 2x emails
10:16 am Tyler H : new dress haha
10:17 am Curtis M : Yes! Thanks Ty you got that right. Momma be happy.
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Out of those $IWM weekly 139’s @ .30 from .285. Really just want to lighten up a bit here so basically a scratch. Holding into tomorrow would do these well of continued strength so I’ll keep an eye on reentry
10:23 am Drew M : $IONS momo
10:30 am Tyler H : thinking ss $FRED
10:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Steel names in play. $CLF and $AKS on my board getting with the program also $X looking decent. $FCX holding up well in the face of this copper weakness
10:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking to buy pullbacks in $FCX and $CLF potentially
10:33 am Curtis M : Yes X was my 2nd choice right after bell – didn’t take it – actually looking at Copper – I know wierd
10:33 am MarketMaven M : im in $X
10:37 am Mathew Waterfall : $X bull sweep just came through. That’s on top of ton of buying in $CLF right off of the open
10:42 am Curtis M : Those soldiers should be the handle
10:42 am Curtis M : Messy but bullish
10:44 am Drew M : Sold $BLTD win
10:47 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $ARC $AWH $KBAL
10:47 am Curtis M : Nice Drew we talked about that yesterday
10:48 am Jack D : Long $SHAK f
10:49 am Carol B : I like $OCLR here
10:50 am Curtis M : $SHAK takeover rumor
10:50 am Mathew Waterfall : The $SHAK! Lik the name, high short interest but that thing acts like a turd whenever i play it
10:51 am Curtis M : $SHAK terrible chart
10:51 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m gonna do some scanning. Things on my end have quieted down a bit
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : I just hit weekly 38 puts for a flyer after they deny the rumor
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : small could go either way but this sees 36s fast if rumor goes out the window
10:52 am Curtis M : lol 🙂
10:52 am Curtis M : yup
10:53 am Mathew Waterfall : Alright now some scanning
11:02 am Drew M : $VXX new all time low
11:03 am Michael P : in $htbx some
11:03 am MarketMaven M : $WTI whoo hoo strong bull
11:04 am MarketMaven M : $DE strong too
11:22 am Mathew Waterfall : $SHAk out half of my 38 puts at .75 from .4. will keep the rest for additional dumpage here
11:22 am Curtis M : Wow on $HTBX 🙂 Interesting TOD
11:23 am Curtis M : Large bolcks $FXI
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : All out of $AKS this week calls. First 2/3rds was big win into the fed last week. This sell was flat so overall decent gains on this trade
11:28 am Rob D : sounds good Matt
11:29 am Darni T : $PI ATH
11:32 am Curtis M : $SEAC block
11:34 am Curtis M : https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/949428/000129673416000006/0001296734-16-000006-index.htm CFO 10000 share buy $CDTI
11:36 am Curtis M : Leader board $CNAT 126% $FRED $GLF $AKBA $GALT $VLTC $BCEI $CVGW $ABIO $PBMD $GLMD $KNDI $HIL $WTI $HTBX $CRR $SGY $PI
11:43 am Darni T : $WLL vol
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Huge sweepers in $WLL all day
11:51 am Mathew Waterfall : LIBYA’S NOC SAYS FIELDS REOPENING TO ADD 175K B/D IN ONE MONTH
11:56 am Curtis M : Leaderboard $CNAT $FRED $GLF $AKBA $GALT
12:09 pm OILQ K : $KLREW momo
12:12 pm Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $MSFG
12:13 pm Dani M : $SWRM up 138%
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out half $clf Jan13 10c’s at .39 from .24. Keeping other half as I think it goes higher, just not trustin grally in steel a whole lot so playing tight and ringing the cash register
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Think we see fib at 9.62 tomorrow/thursday on $CLF will likely roll to 11’s at that pint
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : *point
12:15 pm Curtis M : On lunch till 1245
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SHAK dying as well. delicious
12:16 pm Curtis M : lol
12:36 pm Curtis M : $FRED back on scan for a possible bounce
12:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : 6108 calls traded for $FRED 93% mid or above meaning lots of buying. 31% ask or above meaning urgency
12:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s against 4665 outs 51% traded mid or below so likely some selling
12:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : *puts
01:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dr J talking his book as always just spat out $CLF. Might be rocket fuel to my target over next day or so
01:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Right on schedule nHOD for $CLF. Calls almost a 2 bagger
01:05 pm Curtis M : nce
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Long bomb. $CRM Feb17 80c’s at .35
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Today’s 1 hour bars on $CLF. Doesn’t get much better than that http://tos.mx/jnjjhP
01:18 pm Curtis M : $VLTC tank
01:24 pm OILK K : $HD here os volume
01:26 pm Curtis M : $SI_F Momo
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : looking at end of year short covering lotto’s. some ripe names out there
01:31 pm Darni T : $CNAT looks like rocket time
01:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : I usually try to let moves like that play out for a day or so. The close is always inportant to me to see if it dumps with all of the profit taking
01:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : Of course I haven’t looked at short interest which can fuel a rally big time from here in a pro gap type move
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolled rest of my $CLF Jan calls into 12’s. Big jump yes but I wanted to take out profits. Basically 2 bagger right here at .47 from .24 entry. .33 credit to roll to 12’s
01:44 pm Curtis M : $CLF denying takeover
01:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp good exit on that one. Held 50 on the 5′ though so still not horrible. $AKS and $X going so this should remain strong
01:46 pm Curtis M : nice
01:47 pm Curtis M : $USB momo too bank
01:48 pm Darni T : Banks are from that CNBC interview yesterday
01:49 pm Curtis M : $CLF block sell yuge
01:50 pm Dani M : $VKTX small L
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : Watching $GPRO. With a little push this could see the other side of 10. End of year short covering candidate
02:01 pm Curtis M : Long $CNAT 1000
02:02 pm Curtis M : 5.02
02:05 pm Curtis M : add 3000 $CNAT
02:08 pm Curtis M : add $CNET 6000
02:09 pm Curtis M : 4.96 then 5.01
02:19 pm Curtis M : chpping out $CNAT
02:20 pm Curtis M : 3k 5.08
02:21 pm Curtis M : 3k 5.65
02:21 pm Curtis M : rest out 5.06 overall avg out
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice man. Quick little kill
02:26 pm Curtis M : hotdogs beer tip lol
02:29 pm Curtis M : usdjpy bears got me to look
02:29 pm Curtis M : lets see
02:34 pm Curtis M : USDJPY I wouldnt call it broke tll 100 crosses 20 on 2 hr w price under but thats me I tend t o mis first 10% – 15% catch middle
02:35 pm Curtis M : fark $CNAT
02:36 pm Curtis M : I always play those momos chicken ugh
02:37 pm Dani M : I stayed in it Curt thank YOU I know that about you I gamble some
02:38 pm Curtis M : nice
02:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT next week 7’s at .2. Small size, otpions on leveraged ETF’s will have you drinking champagne or vodka from a plastic bottle so I keep it extra small on these
02:40 pm Curtis M : haha
02:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $PI just won’t stop today. Flying
02:51 pm Darni T : Was just going to say that. HOD
02:52 pm Curtis M : People calling bottom in Gold and Miners all over social
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wanted to buy a dip around the 50 on the 5′ for a quick play and it didn’t even get there. I’m not chasing at this point but it looks super strong
02:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : Come on $NUGT! Get me some of the good stuff
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : But if course if people are tlaking abot itthat likely means we have another flush before the real move
02:53 pm Curtis M : ugh
02:58 pm jetcom b : done – see you gus tom
02:59 pm jeff g : Yes have gifts to buy later! Thanks!
03:09 pm OILQ K : $EVOK consistent up
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Good continuation off ofthe intial pop and drop
03:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m done for the day unless something crazy jumps out at me. Good wins today with $CLF and $AKS. Lotto $CHK looking like a dud but there’s 3 days to go for a Christmas miracle
03:11 pm OILQ K : cya
03:11 pm Curtis M : Thanks Mathew
03:12 pm Sammy T : bye everyone
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll be hanging out it anyone has any weird questions for me like what i think of $WYNN(looks horrible atm) or what is the meaning of life
03:14 pm Drew M : 10-4
03:28 pm Curtis M : $CNAT long 1000 5.11
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : $ALXN takeover pop. Puts have a crazy b/a spread though so nothing for me
03:34 pm Curtis M : $CNAT stop at flat
03:34 pm Curtis M : we’ll see
03:35 pm Curtis M : out flat
03:35 pm Curtis M : .1c gain lol broker fee
03:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Don’t spend it all in one place!
03:36 pm Curtis M : ha
03:36 pm Josh S : I read some of that chatterr on StockTwits.. did those people even read the site?
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Stocktwits is easily 99% people who have no clue what they are tlaking about.
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SHAK puking continues. 38 outs now .825 from .40. I’ll probably step off the rollercoaster here
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : *puts. I can’t type that word today for some reason
03:39 pm Darni T : agreed
03:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : There’s a ton of noise on stocktwits, twitter, whatever. Some is helpful, but a lot of it is either distracting or straight up misinformation
03:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : I know traders who will post the opposite of what they are doing on purpose. I’m not sure what they think that they get out of that strategy but it definately goes on
03:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Focus on your own strategy and use the rest for laughs unless it’s coming from a verified source
03:43 pm Darni T : omg
03:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : We’re lucky with a room like this that we can share and learn. On twitter and others that’s not always the case
03:43 pm Josh S : I just thought it was interesting, because their trading room also purported to be “crowd sourced”..
03:44 pm Josh S : anyway you’re right, no business doing trading if a person can’t do their own research
03:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : They probably also advertise using supercars trying to lure you into to sme BS service
03:45 pm Curtis M : aesomw
03:45 pm Curtis M : awesome
03:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m not saying you can’t use others for help, this room is a great example of that. But when you’re out filtering through unreliable advice it needs to be taken with a giant grain of salt
03:47 pm Curtis M : That news knocked algos off with EPIC lol
03:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : haha
03:48 pm Curtis M : It was techically perfect 🙂
03:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : MOC 30 for sale. These numbers have been bouncing around leaning a bit to the sell side. Not much of a trend but it looks like fin heavy on the sell side
03:52 pm Curtis M : hmm
03:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Saw some put buying there in the afternoon as well. GS mostly for whatever reason
03:54 pm Curtis M : interesting
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Watching $GPRO and $TWLO for possible end of year short squeezes/short covering rallies
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO just hit with a $45 price target
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good afternoon/evening. Catch ya in the AM
04:00 pm OILQ K : wa
04:01 pm Curtis M : catcha
04:01 pm Cara R : cya

I will post the picture with me rolling around in the bathtub with my money later on instagram – stay tuned!

You can follow along with public calls our algorithms post on Twitter here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

 

Article Topics: $CNAT, $FRED, $GLF, $AKBA, $GALT, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $DWT, S&P 500


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Dec 15 – $UWT, $CBIO, $PIR, $SPY, $VIX, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $NG_F, $UGAZ and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

From my post market report Monday and follow-ups since,

Well, we have Fed talk Wednesday so yes the market may oompff a bit – but I expect it to run again until near Christmas or even closer to Preident Elect Donald Trump’s power transition.

I followed up with a warning in the member’s premarket with specific area of challenge in $SPY chart at 227.80.

Price action on $SPY struggled with that area all day and remained a challenge overnight, Wed Fed day challenged price action and overnght it is still struggling BUT THE CHART IS NOT BROKE and until otherwise our algo predicts are in play (new reports processing and available within a day or three).

$SPY Struggling with resistance overnight our algo alerted as resistance prior to Fed meeting. $ES_F $SPXS $SPXL S&P 500

$SPY, Resistance, Chart

$SPY Struggling with resistance overnight our algo alerted as resistance prior to Fed meeting. $ES_F $SPXS $SPXL S&P 500

 

Target Hit! Gold collapse in to our 1133.00 price target to bottom of algo quadrant. $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Gold, Algo, Prediction, Target, Hit

Target Hit! Gold collapse in to our 1133.00 price target to bottom of algo quadrant. $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

So that again leaves our inaugural algo EPIC!

From yesterday:

Epic the Oil Algo calls price and time for every Tuesday at 4:30, Wednesday at 10:30 and Friday at 1:00 (and much more than those calls) the week prior in his newsletter oil reports the week prior so that traders can plan their trades etc. Anyway… the Tuesday at 4:30 price and time target zone was hit yet once again! He’s firing at 93.3% call win rate (all published in advance like all over our algos).

And what do you know! Wednesday EPIC the Oil Algo HIT THE PRICE PREDICT TARGET TO THE EXACT CENT AT THE EXACT SECOND OF THE PREDICTION NINE DAYS PRIOR!

So were weren’t sure which target was going to hit – funny thing is primary target hit right to the cent at the second of the call and the secondary target hit about 2 seconds later right to the exact cent also. What a day for EPIC. Below is a shot of when price was on its way to targets and above is price of crude hitting both called targets within seconds of each other.

Targets for next week Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday 1:00 PM will be calculated by EPIC the Oil Algo and sent to members this weekend!

Friday 1:00 target for this week on deck!

My Personal Trades:

I only added to my long position in my swing account on $UWT and held overnight. There was an awesome set up (our code word for it in the lab is “right ear sidewinder” AND WOW DID IT PLAY OUT EXACTLY AS WE SAID IT WOULD to the second all the way through the trade. I will try and find time to a do a detailed video in this set-up this weekend – we hit that trade set-up at least 95% of the time and the price spike is violent so it is an awesome crude oil instrument related trade. Normally I would have sold right at the top of the spike (because of course knowing where that is in advance is key). But I am loading crude oil related plays in my swing account right now. Mid term play. Anyway, it was recorded live in detail in the trading room so I hope to get a video done on it.

Here’s generally what the oil related trade looked like on a chart along with some tweets and you will see in the log below of me alerting of the set-up and when it was complete (the details are more important and that is why I need to do the video, that set-up can be used over and over with oil related trade on intra-day trading with near 100% accuracy).

Right ear sidewinder oil play called right to the second in trading room. Entry – exit Crude algo intra work sheet 418 AM Dec 16 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DET #OOTT #algo – Green arrow entry alert, Red arrow exit alert – very detailed advance trade set-up explanation in the trading room and walked the traders through the whole process live second by second. The white line is the bottom of a time / price triangle trading quadrant the members were alerted to days ago that played out also – no traditional charting on earth provides that charting.

Crude oil, trade, trading room

Right ear sidewinder oil play called right to the second in trading room. Entry – exit Crude algo intra work sheet 418 AM Dec 16 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DET #OOTT #algo

The alert process on Twitter (room transcript below and video coming from live trading session)

$UWT is a long crude ETN day trading instrument that allows you to get magnified gains if you are on right side of the trade. Not for beginners.

I was confident because I had confirmation in the trading action that I was now again trading with the machines – makes it REALLY PREDICTABLE – to the second – watch the video – literally to the second. And that $USD/JPY from today – same thing – exactly to the cent to the second knowing in advance because when the machines are in they are in, in a way humans are not.

I alerted that there were large blocks trading in $USO – further confirmation.

I alerted prior to spike that I did accept tips (you never know a guy might get some love) – THEN IT SPIKED HARD! And of course I was broadcasting every step for our crew in the room.

Alerted to exit the trade.

A kind man thanked me.

 

Primary Lessons That May Help You With Your Trades:

Watch the two videos we’ll do on the oil trade and the USDJPY trade when ready.

Again, Mathew would have a book full of lessons with his trades lately (lots for folks to learn there) so it will be nice to have him on audio broadcasting in the room and I look forward to his watch lists and blog posts.

Looking Forward:

Now we are waiting for price action for our six algos to confirm targets etc and we’ll trade the other side of this inflection. IT IS GOING TO BE NUTS! Watch the algos on this inflection trade!

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:00 am Curtis M : PREMARKET MOMENTUM $CBIO $BOSC $PIR $ATHN $DSLV $JDST $ARWR $DUST $ONVO $DGAZ $NMM $MDLZ $MTL $LLY $IDXG $KKR

09:07 am Curtis M : $CBIO $DRYS news PREMARKET MOMENTUM $CBIO $BOSC $PIR $ATHN $DSLV $JDST $ARWR $DUST $ONVO $DGAZ $NMM $MDLZ $MTL $LLY $IDXG $KKR

09:08 am Curtis M : $CBIO $BOSC $ATHN $PIT $DRYS $DSLV $DUST $JDST $ARWR $MVIX $DGAZ $DWT $ONVO $LLY

09:31 am Curtis M : Watching momos $CBIO $BOSC $ATHN $PIR $DRYS $DSLV $DUST $JDST $ARWR $MVIX $DGAZ $DWT $ONVO $LLY Then on to Gold Oil SPY etc

10:25 am Curtis M : Momo $CBIO $PTCO $ESEA $PIR $ATHN $BOSC $DRYS $DCIX $JDST $DUST $PTN $IDCC $MVIS $UHS $GRFS

11:37 am Curtis M : On Lunch until 12:15 EST

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:06 am Curtis M : $CBIO mania
09:15 am Carol B : premarket looks decent
09:26 am Mathew Waterfall : Made it in. I’m having some weird issues apparently with my computer this AM so if things are laggy sorry about that
09:26 am Curtis M : modern life:)
09:27 am Curtis M : Watching open plays and then I will move over to standard when open settles down
09:33 am Tyler H : $CBIO went wrong direction
09:33 am Tyler H : Sorry $BOSC
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : $AAPL pushing in to the gap. Watching to close out some of those calls
09:35 am OILQ K : I am staying long $AAPL in to Jan 1 in that time frame
09:36 am Curtis M : $CBIO and others not getting a great open yet
09:38 am MarketMaven M : $PIR bull
09:39 am Curtis M : $PIR squeeze is strong
09:45 am Joel O : Looking at $AMZN today on long bias
09:46 am Mathew Waterfall : $AAPL new highs. Losings the 10 on the 1′ and I’m cutting. Will let it run until 117 and get out around there
09:47 am Tyler H : Large spec on bid $ES_F we’re going hgher folks
09:49 am OILKING K : $VRX ss
09:50 am Mathew Waterfall : Out half of the $AAPL Dec16 118’s at .2 from .25. Will keep the other as a lotto play that will either double or go to zero, either way I’m fine. Didn’t buy enough time, looking at next weeks 118s
09:52 am Curtis M : This could it be it soon here on the sell side of $SPY
09:53 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic, let me know if you can hear me
09:53 am OILKING K : Nice!
09:54 am Carol B : Thanks Matt
09:55 am Tyler H : $ES_F blasat off time
09:57 am Curtis M : Good quality head gear there Matt – clear
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Seeing a lot of IWM call buying and some large put sellers here. Should be in good shape for at least a pop into the end of the week. $ON calls working, $MPEL has some work to do
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : Cool, glad that was easy lol
09:59 am Curtis M : The last time Iwent long and held ON and didnt check a stock was like 2 years ago – I did that with UWT – not sure if good or bad lol
09:59 am Mathew Waterfall : And right on time $IWM going vert. Looking for a hgher high over yesterday as first stop
10:01 am Curtis M : $SBPH halt
10:05 am Mathew Waterfall : Out half $IWM Dec23 138.5’s at .5 from .32. Keeping it tight. Will let the other half run
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : And if you’re late it’s now even further north which is always nice
10:06 am Curtis M : snap back gonna be mean
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Yea /ES looks angry right now. Stop run to the north for the Santa rally
10:10 am Mathew Waterfall : $ON consolidating over yesterdays HOD. Like the steam in this one
10:11 am Curtis M : Shippers running
10:17 am Michael P : Back in 3 mins
10:22 am Mathew Waterfall : $XOM in a fed Dec23 92.5c’s @.3. Small position to start. Looking to see if this can retain some strength today and get back into the 92/93 range. Wanted it lower but it held up well
10:26 am OILKING K : Oil looks good yet IMO Mat
10:26 am Mathew Waterfall : Agreed. I don’t expect a downdraft in OIL but $XOM is always a bit of a proxy for OIL so you have to take that into consideration
10:27 am Curtis M : true that
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Out rest of my dec23 $IWM 138.5c’s. .62 from .32. Think it goes higher but looking for a breather and will reload. If not $XOM will have to carry me home
10:40 am Curtis M : $OPKA great chart
10:40 am Curtis M : $OPK
10:42 am Tyler H : Shippers dropped
10:43 am Mathew Waterfall : $AAPL bouncing off of gap support. Slow melt in last hour concerning but should be good for a pop north
10:43 am Mathew Waterfall : $ON 13’s. Booyah. Final target is 4’s on this one
10:43 am Dani M : excellent
10:45 am DaytradeX X : $NFLX stalking here
10:45 am Mathew Waterfall : If you’re in the trade and want to play tight can set a stop right above entry. It shouldn’t slip back below 12.73. If it does I would consider cutting
10:48 am Curtis M : $NFLX – I dont see how that biz gonna stay afloat – just me
10:50 am Curtis M : Gold in a dangerous place – next quadrant right below – algos will rape it down there -they have been in control
11:02 am Curtis M : I wonder if the 200 on the 1 min matters lol funny
11:03 am Curtis M : here we go
11:07 am Curtis M : Scaling 6000 $UWT picking my places tho short leash at fib crooss
11:12 am MarketMaven M : With ya Curt and tight stops too
11:12 am MarketMaven M : Nice fn timing
11:12 am OILKING K : That was interesting
11:13 am OILKING K : Right ear sidewinder?
11:13 am Curtis M : Its an oil trading term from way back lol – maybe they dont use it anymore
11:21 am Mathew Waterfall : Coffee break. Back in 20 or so
11:22 am Curtis M : Running scans enjoy
11:22 am Curtis M : me too
11:32 am Curtis M : Well that sucked
11:32 am Curtis M : But Im holding
11:32 am MarketMaven M : I am too but small positoin
11:34 am Curtis M : Where’s sandeep?
11:34 am Curtis M : u must b away from your computer
11:34 am John M : oil looks risky but I see your method
11:34 am John M : Im long TSLA
11:36 am Curtis M : One more round of deval and $USDJPY takes flight and Gold wlil be in bot hell
11:56 am Curtis M : Huge technical resistance on $USDJPY
12:02 pm John M : Curt USDJPY should take a breather here i think u ar right
12:04 pm Curtis M : Crude on top of a number of micro technical challenges now
12:07 pm John M : Yahoo a dog
12:07 pm David Z : Oil looking good now haha
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Little lunchtime melt going on here. Expecting some more strength to come back into the market as bear haven’t been able to do much as of yet
12:08 pm DaytradeX X : Christmas rally will continue and trump train and gains tax train
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : USD is the thorn in our sides currently. Thanks Yellen
12:10 pm Dani M : Yellen seems out of touch
12:11 pm Curtis M : lol I will delete Yellen comments before publishing trading log bahahahah
12:11 pm Curtis M : She looks like she’d send the dogs of war
12:12 pm OILQ K : Long Spy or QQQ my think maybe
12:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : hahaha she will sick her horrible policy dogs on us
12:13 pm Curtis M : something yes she spooks me
12:13 pm Curtis M : its those collars
12:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol her outfits are like modern day chinese regime
12:14 pm Curtis M : haha
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just hit $NUGT for a bounc. 10 cent trailing stop, likely won’t net me much but it does like to bounce if the dollar yen can cooperate
12:15 pm Curtis M : Tempting trade with ths resistance
12:15 pm Curtis M : lol same time
12:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Small add to $XOM position. Again nice strength on the day and looks like a cup and handle formation in progress
12:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Only currently playing next weeks 92.5’s which are cheap
12:25 pm Michael P : what kinda magic was that wtf?
12:26 pm Curtis M : lilttle technical trick
12:26 pm Curtis M : did you watch how I did that?
12:26 pm Carol B : I DID
12:27 pm Drew M : That was sick
12:27 pm Curtis M : sick meaning good lol haha
12:27 pm Curtis M : mght still fail
12:29 pm Drew M : crazzy
12:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT trying here, with a trailer I’m not really actively managing this trade but let’s see some bounce in the step please
12:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CHK Dec23 7.5 lotto trade. in @ .1. If oil holds this should get a pop. # bagger or doughnut on this no other option really so play at your own risk
12:47 pm OILKING K : I was looking at chk too
12:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll explain my thoughts on these lottos later today post market if you guys want some background in my thinking on these
12:51 pm Curtis M : Curt – remember 12:24 $USDJPY video and Sidewinder play on oil noon (note to self)
12:52 pm Curtis M : Matt u should do a blog post on it I’ll get Sartaj to get you set up
12:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds good
12:52 pm MarketMaven M : great ideas boyz like
12:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NUGT trying for 6. thought this was dead in the water 15′ ago lol
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : stopped at 5.95. Good enough for 20 cents a share on no real trade management. I’ll take the small win
12:55 pm Curtis M : yes nice profit is proft
01:01 pm Dani M : SPY gonna go
01:01 pm Curtis M : You are likely right
01:07 pm Curtis M : so glad I hammerd down so hard
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice call Curt!
01:07 pm Curtis M : hey thanks Mat – truth is it was 50 50 but happy needed a hit
01:08 pm MarketMaven M : School today with you two guys. THANK YOU
01:08 pm Curtis M : 🙂
01:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : 50/50 with proper risk management can still pay the bills
01:09 pm Curtis M : Thats the secret right there
01:14 pm OILQ K : Anything look good Mathew?
01:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : No new positions for me, baybsitting what I have on the books
01:16 pm Curtis M : Not my skill
01:35 pm David Z : Pit close will be good or bad guys?
01:36 pm Curtis M : Tough call 50 50 with a little slant to good because of momo
01:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : I could see some profit taking here but I’m not playing it outside of my oil stock plays so YMMV
01:38 pm Curtis M : Ya you never go wrong taking profit
01:39 pm David Z : Good point
01:39 pm DaytradeX X : great day – lots of ed
02:09 pm OILKING K : what a cool play exactly like you said it would play too crazy neet
02:10 pm Dani M : Watching netflox again $NFLX
02:13 pm Darni P : Serious Mathew and Curtis best learning day and I have trade for 11 years. Looking forward to tomorrow. And Matts blog. I was thinking %DRYS for close thooughts?
02:20 pm OILKING K : Long $DRYS small
02:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Glad you learned a few things today. Never stop learning
02:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : $drys looks ok. It couldnm’t get above 4.75 and has a recent low at 4.4 to play against so not a great r/r set up IMO
02:23 pm Curtis M : pure momo play
02:34 pm Curtis M : $KALV on scan
02:37 pm Curtis M : Just ran all the background on $KALV decent outfit guys
02:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DFIN working on a breakout for a swing
02:43 pm Curtis M : $CBIO blocks
02:48 pm Curtis M : $DRYS looking jiggy
02:55 pm Curtis M : $DCIX pop
03:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $QHC HOD into the close here
03:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Volume is lackluster but the daily candle will be a beauty. I’ll watch for continuation tomorrow
03:03 pm Curtis M : yup
03:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : And firmly into a gap that closes around 9.75 so a good candle to play against. Long over stop at LOD or around $7
03:14 pm Curtis M : So with this snap back $DRYS NHOD sqeeze I would ratchet stops at 5
03:16 pm Curtis M : If you get thru 5 your next res is 5.30 – 5.40
03:22 pm Curtis M : $CBIO 110% is a bit much but the way ths market is 300% may happen tomorrow
03:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AKAO says it can keep going lol
03:23 pm Curtis M : $DRYS just entered warp
03:26 pm Tyler H : I am out on $DRYS 40 cent winner
03:27 pm Darni P : ME TOO! thanks curt
03:27 pm Curtis M : I just alerted I didn’t play wish I did
03:27 pm Curtis M : risky stuff
03:35 pm MarketMaven M : $DRYS surprises me all the time. I wouldn’t hold it.
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Debating $ORCL next week lottos for earnings. One of my favorite plays. recent strength with a sell off into the close right before earnings. ~1.50 move expected. Eyeing next week 43s but will likely just watch
03:37 pm Michael P : need to learn your moves mathew
03:37 pm Michael P : i will read your post
03:38 pm Dani M : see you tomorrow gyz!
03:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll work on it this weekend. It will have some technical stuff in there but be a decent primer for options with a slant towards lottos
03:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DFIN and $QHC looking strong into close. close eye on both$ON rallying to finish the day as well
03:40 pm Curtis M : All look good on that list
03:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolling half of my $ON jan 13’s to 14’s for .36 credit. Great way to take some profits and keep the trade on. This will move the effective cost of those 14’s to .16 a piece. Keeping the other half of the 13’s and will outright sell those in coming days
03:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : You could also sell against the 13’s to creat a spread if you wanted or straight sell to lock gains but I think this goes higher as my previously mentioned target is 14 if the market cooperates
03:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : I promise, on of these days I will also learn to type. Editing my blog post this weekend will take longer than writing it I’m sure
03:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : *one see lol
03:47 pm Curtis M : lol
03:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AKS and $CLF pushing to close at HOD as well. in $XOM could join that would be very constructive
03:50 pm John M : Like $CLF
03:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Same here John. 9.62 is an important level. Now that we’re over that I’m looking for a move back to the highs
03:53 pm Curtis M : $CLF makes sense
03:53 pm DaytradeX X : Im out good nite!!!
03:54 pm Joel O : in the morning peeps bye
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CLF was 121 in 08. Crazy
03:55 pm Darni P : YES TO $CLF – Catchya tmrw
03:57 pm Curtis M : Great day guys and gals thanks for the support!
03:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : See ya in the AM guys and gals
03:58 pm Carol B : see ya mat
03:58 pm Jack D : peace
04:01 pm Curtis M : out

You can follow along with public calls our algorithms post on Twitter here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD $GDX $USOIL $WTIC $SPY $DXY $VIX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $GC_F $USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP $SPY S&P 500


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Dec 14 – $UWT, $SPY, $VIX, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $NG_F, $UGAZ and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

$SPY: The S&P 500 Algorithm is starting to fire on all cylinders too (which is good – its 5th in development process so its newer than others).

From my post market report Monday,

Well, we have Fed talk Wednesday so yes the market may oompff a bit – but I expect it to run again until near Christmas or even closer to Preident Elect Donald Trump’s power transition.

I followed up with a warning in the member’s premarket with specific area of challenge in $SPY chart at 227.80.

Price action on $SPY struggled with that area all day and remained a challenge overnight, Wed Fed day challenged price action and overnght it is still struggling BUT THE CHART IS NOT BROKE and until otherwise our algo predicts are in play (new reports processing and available within a day or three).

And our $VIX algo been hitting it on intra calls too which is awesome to see.

Gold – $GLD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $GC_F

Per yesterday:

Our Gold and Silver algorithms have said wait on a buy because of the 90% chance of Gold going to lower quadrant (you’d have to see our Gold algo Twitter to get the whole story – but the calls have been in place for months while many were bullish on Gold prior to election in Summer and Fall 2016)… anyway so Gold did deflate more as called – so yes, Gold and Silver algos hitting perfect too. These are exact price calls BTW. And the $DXY algo has been nailing it.

So our Gold price target of 1163 from months back has hit and overnight it got down to 1151 which puts Gold very close to the 90% probability of a hit to bottom of quadrant from @RosietheAlgo with posts going way back.

Gold, Algo, Price Prediction

Gold algo price predict target 1133.00 in sight. Gold algo intra work sheet 522 AM Dec 15 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

$USOIL $WTIC $USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

So that leaves our inaugural algo EPIC!

From yesterday:

Epic the Oil Algo calls price and time for every Tuesday at 4:30, Wednesday at 10:30 and Friday at 1:00 (and much more than those calls) the week prior in his newsletter oil reports the week prior so that traders can plan their trades etc. Anyway… the Tuesday at 4:30 price and time target zone was hit yet once again! He’s firing at 93.3% call win rate (all published in advance like all over our algos).

And what do you know! Wednesday EPIC the Oil Algo HIT THE PRICE PREDICT TARGET TO THE EXACT CENT AT THE EXACT SECOND OF THE PREDICTION NINE DAYS PRIOR!

So were weren’t sure which target was going to hit – funny thing is primary target hit right to the cent at the second of the call and the secondary target hit about 2 seconds later right to the exact cent also. What a day for EPIC. Below is a shot of when price was on its way to targets and above is price of crude hitting both called targets within seconds of each other.

EPIC, Oil, Trading, Chart, Newsletter

Price on its way to highest probability targets identified for Wed 1030 AM. Crude algo intra work sheet 439 AM Dec 14 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Our Trades:

I only took a couple long positions in my swing account on $UWT and held overnight.

So the room was really quiet because of the Fed speak.

Mathew has BEEN NAILING his trades and his alerts in the room have been awesome. He’ll be in the broadcasting daily here soon with me alerting his trades too and posting results and a pre market watch list on blog soon also.

Primary Lessons That May Help You With Your Trades:

Nothing new here from me.

Again, Mathew would have a book full of lessons with his trades lately (lots for folks to learn there) so it will be nice to have him on audio broadcasting in the room and I look forward to his watch lists and blog posts.

Looking Forward:

Now we are waiting for price action for our six algos to confirm targets etc and we’ll trade the other side of this inflection. IT IS GOING TO BE NUTS! Watch the algos on this inflection trade!

Announcements in Trading Room:

09:02 am Curtis M : Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

09:09 am Curtis M : $VCEL $BCLI $NSR $IDXG $ADHD $GOL $RCON $RUSS $DWT $AMRS $PRTO $SCO $OPHT $JNUG $LYG $MTL

09:11 am Curtis M : Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

01:51 pm Curtis M : We are experiencing intermittent internet outages in our area – if we stop broadcasting we will re-enter after each outage.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:11 am Curtis M : On Watch: $VCEL $BCLI $NSR $IDXG $ADHD $GOL $RCON
09:27 am Mathew Waterfall : Wouldn’t be too surprised to see a bit of a shake and bake into the fed as we are all pretty nervous overall. I’ll be sitting on my hands unless something crazy happens
09:27 am Curtis M : Watching $VCEL over 4 and dont see a lot of action this side of Fed FYI likely sit
09:31 am Curtis M : 52 week highs $NSR $RACE
09:32 am John M : Short $AKAO
09:32 am Mathew Waterfall : $CRBP pop off open. I am putting a trailer on this
09:33 am MarketMaven M : $VRX long 14.75
09:34 am Sammy T : Was going to short $VCEl glad I didn’t POP
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : Out of $CRBP at 8.2. Didn’t get much out of that, want to lighten up before the fed. Small win
09:35 am Curtis M : $ADMP vol on scan
09:43 am Curtis M : 53 Week New highs $CDZI $DF $HOV $LIOX $MC $RICK
09:44 am MarketMaven M : Long $NWBO small
09:45 am Curtis M : Looking at oil related long near support post Fed and Natural Gas – likely sit on hands
09:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Couple $AAPL weekly 118’s @.25. Looking for some continuation afer breaking out of the bull flag pattern
09:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Fill at .23 it looks like
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : And $CRBP taking off after I’m out lol love that
09:50 am Ronny D : $AKAM looks decent long now.
09:52 am Curtis M : Crude support test here.
09:53 am Curtis M : If crude doesn’t hold this support and hits downdraft check your algo target below. Lots of air.
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : $ON Jan 13c’s. Bought a few at .55. If this slips I’m out, but just broke above resistance and saw soe good buying action this AM
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : IRAQ IS RAISING OIL EXPORTS, NOT CUTTING — SOMO SHIPPING DOCUMENT: DOW JONES
09:59 am Mathew Waterfall : FANG on th move. $AAPL and $FB moving north with $NFLX lagging
10:01 am Ronny D : Short $JPM
10:02 am Curtis M : Crude bulls have it over support
10:12 am MarketMaven M : Nice buys in CL
10:14 am Mathew Waterfall : Whoever had the $VRX long be careful. It looks pretty weak here and from now until the end of the year it’s a prime tax loss sell candidate
10:16 am Mathew Waterfall : $JPM and $GC trying to go green. $BAC already there. Rate hike already baked in but these might get an extra little pop off of the hike news
10:18 am Curtis M : $BAC Im sure I got wacked on Fed day last year too – cant recall who else brought that up
10:21 am Curtis M : EPIC target looking good for price and time predict for 10:30 AM today – in target zone
10:31 am Mathew Waterfall : $AKS and $CLF ripping. If you followed me in you can take small gains here, I’m holding but will consider dumping half of my position if they double to cover costs and let the rest ride free
10:54 am Curtis M : Sorry guys was just doing some high fives in the lab there
10:55 am Curtis M : So oil is bullish
10:56 am Curtis M : As long as oil holds the support lines (yellow) the next targets are up
10:57 am Curtis M : Keeop in mind Friday targets are less predictive than Tues and Wed but they are good too like 85%
11:02 am Carol B : Unbelievable EPIC call guys
11:03 am Curtis M : Epic the Oil Algo is my buddy lfor sure. Called that target to the penny and second.
11:23 am Mathew Waterfall : $FANG getting beat on here a bit. Still holding the $AAPL calls small position high R/R if it can fill that gap to the 118’s. $TSLA also looks interesting but calls are a little high with only 2 day sleft in the week here
11:24 am Curtis M : Sorry guys back – quick call there
11:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Casinos also looking lively here. They should get some mojo back shortly IMO
11:26 am Sammy T : I like the casinos but waiting until Fed too – we should all go on early lunch soon n come back for Fed
11:26 am Curtis M : Not a bad idea lol
11:27 am Mathew Waterfall : I debated sleeping in today thinking the morning would be slow. I was right but didn’t sleep in. I think you’re on to something Sammy
11:28 am Curtis M : Ya u guys arre prob right Ill be in lab anyway so Ill be 10 feet from monitors f anything shakes
11:28 am OILKING K : Will be quiet until after Fed for sure
11:48 am Mathew Waterfall : $ON continued call sweeps into this weakness. Interesting as it broke my chart levels, retraced, and is still getting big buys all morning
11:49 am Carol B : CL looks strong
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : $CLF $AKS strong. Also looks like I should have taken those $TSLA calls
11:53 am Curtis M : Fed might decide $TSLA direction
11:54 am Mathew Waterfall : I just hate trading that stock, so manipulated it’s not even funny
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Because I am scared I am putting a stop on the rest of my $LVS Dec30 60c’s. Currently trading.8, stop at my buy which was .53
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Already rolled the $MGM to take profit and sold against the $WYNN for those keeping track so not as worried about those positions
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : More $CLF sweepers coming through. Also seeing some $IWM play betting on a strong bounce post fed
12:13 pm Curtis M : Long $UWT
12:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not sure if or when we will get there but orders in on $AKS and $CLF calls. Selling half of both at the double mark to keep the other half of each for a longer term play
12:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : $LVS stopped raised a dime to .63. Will let this play out, but want to make sure I get some profits so likely last raise until stock hits 59.5-60
12:41 pm darni t : I’d like to follow you on that UWT long but I am going to wait for Fed
12:41 pm Curtis M : Ya I get it. Im in small. Waiting too.
01:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $LVS approaching 2 bagger. 1.015 flasshing from .53 entry. Not a horrible time to step off the ride but I am greedy and let my winners run
01:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : What I’m watching in $AKS http://tos.mx/cqcKoF
01:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : $LVS stop raise again. If we can hit the 59.5 monday premarkey high today, I’ll likely lock and sell. If not I’ll let it keep working as I think all of the casinos will see their Friday highs here before too long
01:17 pm OILKING K : I think market going to fly high soon. Very soon.
01:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : I hope you’re right OKK. Also, if you guys are looking at set ups post them up. Or if you think we can help break down a chart or something we can work on that as well
01:23 pm Sammy T : Thanks Matt!
01:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Shoot me a PM if you don’t want to post it here for some reason
01:23 pm Michael P : i will prepare some stuff this week for you to look at Matt
01:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sounds good
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out half $AKS Dec23 11’s. .41 from .23. Sold a bit earlier than planned but IV just cranked on these guys so I took to opportunity. Will hold the other half. Sticking to plan on $CLF as I have more time there with the Jan17 12c’s
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have an open order to sell half of those $CLF calls for .45 for anyone wondering. Again, not saying we get there but some of these fed decisions envoke a kneejerk reaction
01:42 pm Curtis M : Huge internet outages in our area right now – its fibre too
01:44 pm OILKING K : Ya it seemed to freeze on my end here
01:46 pm Carol B : Yellen show time soon.
01:46 pm stockman H : Looking long $SMRT right after Yellen
01:54 pm Curtis M : Yellen might just try and throw Trump under bus:)
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : I love the fed frontrunning. LEt’s see how excited the boys are today
01:58 pm Curtis M : lol
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : $VIX smash
02:04 pm Edward Johansson : why is the market going the opposite of the rake hike?
02:05 pm Edward Johansson : or is that just normal bouncing around?
02:05 pm Curtis M : Offside money
02:06 pm Curtis M : Institutions have to hold in to 2017 retail can cause some downdraft but not for long IMO
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp plus you always see big swings as people bet both sides
02:06 pm Curtis M : yup
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : 3 projected in 2017. Stupid if they do, they projected 4 last year though and we got 1 so who knows
02:08 pm Curtis M : Matt – u have chart on your screen? Were getting hammered by internet outages
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : $MPEL Dec 23 18.5’s. Sweepers all over this earlier with nice price action. Filled at .3 small position to start will add if it gets some juice
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : I can share mine hold on
02:12 pm Curtis M : Wierd – oh well it may go in and out all afternoon
02:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : Let me know if you want to switch to my front screen. I had to install the screen sharing program but it looks like Im set up
02:14 pm stockman H : I will be buying this dip – not sure when but I am buying it
02:14 pm Curtis M : not much of a dp yet
02:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Covered those $WYNN Dec23 102c’s that I sold against my 100’s. Covered at .25 from .49. Will resell another set if $wynn gets a pop as I expect
02:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AAPL handling this well. $IWM taking it on the chin here pretty hard
02:35 pm Carol B : I will be on long side of this soon I think
02:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : Added $AKS Dec30 11c’s at .42 for a bounce to preFOMC levels. Will watch this and cut if it doesn’t get going
02:42 pm Curtis M : Long $UWT scaling another 1000
02:42 pm Curtis M : 300 prior – small entries yet
03:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out of second $AKS position. Will revisit after this flush. Think the maket keeps grinding higher from here but I don’t want to sit through the pain. Still holding half of original position after selling half this AM preFOMC
03:14 pm Curtis M : I thought $WYNN would do better
03:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Same here. I don’t think it’s over for the casinos but if the market is selling off they will go along as well
03:19 pm Curtis M : I still dont think the market or oil going far – rubber band coming next 3 trading days at most IMO
03:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Agreed. Everything still looks mostly constructive
03:20 pm Curtis M : This aint last year totally different
03:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Most were looking for a reason to sell off. Should snap back and I would bet on another all time high before xmas
03:21 pm Curtis M : yup
03:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IWM Dec23 138.5c’s at .32 for the snap. Putting my money where my mouth is after it just got kicked
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Big $TICK’s coming through here and $VIX slam.
03:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : And now huge $TICKs to the downside. I’m sleeping on all of my positions. Snapback still in play IMO
03:51 pm Curtis M : yup
03:56 pm Curtis M : Well I am in $UWT hold overnight if more downdraft over nnight I wll hit it again soon – Have a great night guys and gals!
03:56 pm Carol B : you too curt
03:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : See ya in the AM guys
03:57 pm darni t : thanks for the good work Matt and Curtis

You can follow along with public calls our algorithms post on Twitter here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

 

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD $GDX $USOIL $WTIC $SPY $DXY $VIX $GLD $GDX $GDXJ $NUGT $DUST $JNUG $JDST $GC_F $USOIL $WTIC $USO $UCO $SCO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP $SPY S&P 500


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Monday Dec 12 – $AKAO, $APRI, $OPGN, $UCO, $DUST, $WMT, $XIV, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $SPY, $WTIC, $NATGAS, $VIX, $SILVER, and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most.” If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017. We have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

 

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

I should have got on the $AKAO train earlier in the day – it was on my watchlist as the number one watch but I got too distracted with a ntra-day slump in the S&P. Getting on the train earlier likely would have netted me at least ten times because I would have scaled in 1000 shares on the first, 3000 then 5000 and scaled out of 9000 shares on the way up. So it was an ideal news play that I just didn’t focus on – part of the challenge in setting up our room service too – we had a technical site host issue RIGHT WHEN THE MARKET WAS ABOUT TO OPEN ugh.

Looking Forward:

Well, we have Fed talk Wednesday so yes the market may oompff a bit – but I expect it to run again until near Christmas or even closer to Preident Elect Donald Trump’s power transition. Still watching $VIX close – there was a small play there today I called to the second but didn’t execute. And Gold and Silver I’m still waiting on a long confirmation from our algos – they called this price target from months ago that we are in now so I’ll trust their math on my long entries. The $USD/JPY chart (and our $DXY algo) still says not broken – at resistance, but not broken so I’m waiting on $GC_F $GLD Gold. And crude oil, our algo was firing off an intra short early in market open but I didn’t take that and waited for long position at support which didn’t hit until market end so I’m watching over night – may get a buy trigger there Tuesday. I will be watching fervently $AKAO and sympathy plays tomorrow ($APRI, $OPGN) and any other momentum stocks.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:52 am Curtis M : (1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $AKAO, $WTI, $VNR, $SGY, $REXX $MTL $CIE $ORIG $SDRL $ATW $DNR $PACD $AVXL $UWT $DGAZ $EPE $MEMP I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $HMY (chart), $AKAO Announces Positive Results in Phase 3 cUTI and CRE Clinical Trials of Plazomicin, $DVAX upgrade to “buy” by Cowen and $45 PT, $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo / Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD $GC_F, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SL_V ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S &P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: $ABB $AEG $MGIC $AIG $BCR $CXW $WEB $HBI $PES $LULU $BRO $TRV $AMD $AUY $TAHO $TCP $COO $COP $UBS $T $EGHT $RNG $NVR $REGN $HBI $HOLX $DGX $FSV $GRA $FMC $TSO I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $CF $ALGT $PHG $GFI $CDNS $CMC $OPHT $IRET $MCC $KRG $EOG $MOS $DEPO $TTC $PEI $FOXA $GFI $EZPW $FLS $SYNA $WBMD $UBSH $FINL $CVS $CMC $WOR $SGEN $CERC $FUL $TMO $HUN $CC I will update before market open or refer to chat room n

09:18 am Curtis M : Website is down. Host is reparing their issue. Premarket newsletter emailed to everyone.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:04 am Curtis M : Movers: $AKAO, $ORIG, $AKRX, $AREX, $CSOD, $MCEP, $IMMU, $CRZO, $REGN, $USLV
09:11 am Gurpreet Singh : Good morning all
09:11 am Curtis M : S&P -0.04%.10-yr -0.07%.Euro +0.51% vs. dollar.Crude +3.69% to $53.41.Gold -0.06% to $1,161.40.
09:21 am Curtis M : Sartaj emailing morning newsletter right now.
09:24 am Curtis M : Gappers- $AKAO $BCEI $SGY $WTI $ORIG $VNR $PACD $MTL $SDRL $LEI $TDW $NADL $CIE $NOG $AREX $CRC $AKRX $EPE $SDLP
09:24 am Curtis M : Watching oil for pull back as close to yellow line as possible
09:30 am Curtis M : watching gappers at open
09:33 am Curtis M : Wating for pull back in oil before I take a long in small cap oil
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Closing out $XOM calls. here. Waiting for $SDRL calls to juice and will clsoe a portion of those as well
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : Out some of the Dec16 4.5c’s at .35 from .1
09:38 am Mathew Waterfall : Out $SN Jan17 10c’s at .85 from .3. clearing the board a bit here
09:40 am Curtis M : Nice
09:41 am Curtis M : Leaderboard $AKAO 56% BCEI 34% $VNR 27% $ORIG 24% $NADL 23%$ PACD 19%
09:48 am Mathew Waterfall : Ask side to unload more SDRL Dec23 4.5’s at .45 from .15. I won’t chase for a fill on these
09:52 am Curtis M : $USDJPY important area IMO – looking at a snipe in miner’s if it stays under 100 MA on 15 possibly
09:58 am Curtis M : This looks like the intra battle for $USDJPY
09:58 am Curtis M : Also watching $VIX close because it should get a pop soon – within a few days
09:59 am Curtis M : This $SPY buying is gong to rest for a while soon IMO – the books are almost filled with quotas
10:00 am Curtis M : Wed mornng at latest IMO it rests
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : Crazy open here, giving most of my positions a chance to ven out a bit. Still holding the casinos and will do so through tomorrow unless we get a big pop there for some reason
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : *even out. Sorry on backup keyboard this AM
10:03 am Curtis M : $AKAO may be a decent short here IMO
10:06 am Curtis M : A short in $AKAO at 9.10 perfect seup
10:06 am Curtis M : Lol theres some test
10:11 am Mathew Waterfall : In some TZA dec23c’s at .34 as a hedge and play for a pullback. Small position to trade agaist witl good r/r if things juice
10:16 am GSCT . : TVIX nice move
10:20 am Curtis M : Watching $NADL for a pop
10:24 am Curtis M : Gold bugs are buying quick on $USDJPY weakness
10:26 am Mathew Waterfall : Twtr weekly puts look actractive here as wel. Watching those
10:27 am Mathew Waterfall : In some 18p’s at .06 for a lotto. Hero or zero play
10:51 am Curtis M : Retail should get a good pop here soon IMO – may take a few days… like Thur ish but between now and then per watchlist
10:51 am GSCT . : $AKAO new HOD
10:57 am Curtis M : $AKAO Could go a long ways
11:03 am GSCT . : No audio commentary today?
11:11 am Curtis M : Looking at possible Long in $DUST if $USD/JPY gets on the move and $NADL
11:18 am manish kant : greetings all
11:24 am Curtis M : Scaling in 1000 shares $DUST
11:26 am Curtis M : Welcome Manish
11:26 am manish kant : Thanks Curtis
11:27 am Curtis M : Looks like my fills will avg 53.45 on $DUST
11:30 am Curtis M : $GLF up 37% now
11:31 am Sammy T : $ORIG 20% also
11:33 am Curtis M : Leader board $AKAO $GLF $EVEP $ORIG $MTL
11:33 am manish kant : orig
11:40 am Dani M : Oil starting to look better
11:42 am Curtis M : Still defending $NADL 200 MA
11:49 am Curtis M : Long $UCO 1000 11.763 avg scale to 5000 with ex[ectation there may be one more leg down
11:50 am Mathew Waterfall : $DUST not looking so hot for the heads up
11:53 am Curtis M : Ya $DUST will be a swing past Fed
11:53 am Curtis M : My swings I look at 1000 3000 5000 share entries for example – scale on swings at supports / resistance
11:54 am Curtis M : Kiinda like $UCO right now I expect a leg down
11:54 am Curtis M : $DUST $SPY $OIL not done yet… they all gotta meet Santa lol
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Let’s hope so. I have some $DUST calls that need a bit of help here
11:58 am Curtis M : Oh ya $DUST has at least one more round – may be a few days tho
11:59 am Curtis M : I’m prepared for 3 – 4 weeks on that position $DUST
12:05 pm Shawn B : I like $SPY long here too soon – waiting and watching
12:09 pm Larry B : Bulls come soon – rally is on until Obama gone bye bye
12:10 pm Larry B : $VIX good call Curt
12:11 pm Curtis M : Back in 30 looks calm
12:14 pm Michael P : oil calls fresh too ha ha
12:14 pm Michael P : Mathew you in long Wallmart? Did Curt??
12:15 pm Curtis M : No I didn’t I’m in oil long and dust Michael – $Dust I might have some pain
12:15 pm Curtis M : ok bye back soon
12:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nope, no $WMT for me
12:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : That $WMT chart looks like it’s rangebound between fibs and could see some checkback to a quick trendline that I drew in from the yealry lows. If it can clear and firm above 71.65 then high of year would be in play
12:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Quick 30 second chart of $WMT http://tos.mx/ziGL6s

There was a technical data glitch at this point in the log (data centre truncated log) so here forward for rest of day it is only Curtis’ comments (which is unfortunate because the afternoon session was very active):

12:32 Crude going according to plan

12:41 I like the $WMT play but yes not much upside – slow move to profit

12:46 Fed Wed 2:00 PM FYI

12:54 Looks like a market pauce is possible until after Fed Speak

12:54 $USD/JPY

1:10 Selling my $UCO here for small gain – going to see what this afternoon brings – out 11.83

1:10 Hold $DUST though until at least next Tuesday 8 days min (unless I can get out earlier)

1:12 Thinking with oil we may test that lower support (yellow arrow) market is ooomfedish

1:15 I am in $STUDY until scanners hit

1:22 I may hit $AKAO on every wash-out here – this is carzy price action

1:27 $AKAO 1000 starter at 10.47 per share – tight

1:32 Out $AKAO 10.94 per share

1:34 Watching $AKAO 10.75 pull-back area

1:35 Likely 10.50 pull-back more likely

1:38 Long 1000 shares $AKAO 10.76

1:39 Out 11.025 per share $AKIO

1:43 Long $AKAO 11.46 1000 shares

1:46 Out $AKAO 11.62 1000 shares

2:11 $OPGN and $APRI could get action off $AKAO

2:13 All three are likely good candidates for morning momentum stocks tomorrow also.

2:30 Long $AKAO 12.76 1000 shares

2:52 Out 12.92 sold 1000 shares $AKAO

3:23 Out $DUST shares chipped out in three pieces aberage 53.70

3:31 $AKAO chart still not broke – holding resistance area still.

3:34 Here we go again.

3:49 $APRI should run momo tomorrow morning.

 

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $AKAO, $APRI, $OPGN, $UCO, $DUST, $WMT, $XIV, $ES_F, $SLV, $SILVER, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $NATGAS, $NG_F, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $VIX