Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan & Watch List Wednesday July 25, 2018.
In this edition: Earnings, #EIA, OIL, $WTI, $RIOT, $TORC, $HMNY, $NVRO, $IRBT, GOLD, Crypto, $BTC , US Dollar, $DXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
July 24 Member Memo: Trading Coaching Boot Camp Prep, Machine Trading, Next Gen Models, Trade Alerts, Reporting, Swing Trading Earnings
Scheduled Events:
- Wednesday July 25 – Live Trading Room with lead trader and/or other team members as follows and as available (constant change in the markets);
- 9:25 Market Open – access limited to live trading room members
- 10:30 EIA Report Oil Trading – access limited to live trading room / EPIC Oil Algorithm members
- 12:00 Mid Day Trade Review – access limited to live trading room members
- Any other live trading sessions will be notified by email.
- The above listed times are expected live trading time blocks only. Live voice broadcast will only occur if there is a trade set-up to discuss by the lead trader. Screen sharing will be active through-out each time frame.
- Link: https://compoundtrading1.clickmeeting.com/livetrading
- Password: **** (email for access if you do not have it, password changes will be emailed when changed only)
- For membership access, options here: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-features/
- Any questions send me an email [email protected]
- July 25-26 – Weekly newsletter reporting and invoicing distributed to members (delayed this week due to next gen algorithms being integrated in to our trading platforms).
- July 23-July 31 – Swing trading reports to include video chart analysis recaps for the 100 equities we cover (from mid day swing trading reviews) and sent to our subscribers daily in lieu of the weekly swing trading report (mailing list subscribers receive a complimentary version without algorithmic charting).
- End of July – Next generation algorithm models roll out in to August 14, 2018 (machine trading Gen 1).
- End of July – New pricing structure published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- End of July – Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- July 28 – 29, Santo Domingo – #IA Intelligent Assisted Platform (private, internship & staff training / development).
- Aug 25 – 26, Santo Domingo – Oil Algorithm (EPIC) Multi-User License Trade Execution & Integration (private invitational, institutional).
- Sept 14 – 16, Cabarete – Trade Coaching Event – Learn How to Trade or Take Your Trading to the Next Level (public, retail).
Machine Trading Coding Team Mandate: In current development and roll-out (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Run 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and near future (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the premarket reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds. Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure:
Subscribers must read disclaimer.
Recent Blog / Video / Social Posts:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
Recent Chart / Trade Set-Ups:
See You Tube for other recent video posts. Listed from most recent.
Password: AR, Protected: Swing Trading Report (Members): Earnings Season Charting July 24 $RIOT, $CELG, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA …
Password: WOW, Protected: Swing Trading Report (Members): Earnings Season Charting July 24 $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Unlisted Private Member Video – Swing Trading Special Report $CELG, $RIOT, $ARWR, $EXTR, $EDIT, $MBRX, $SOHU, $ESPR, $LPSN, $XOMA.
Unlisted Private Member Video – Swing Trading Special Report $SPY, OIL, $VIX, $DXY, $GOOGL, $HCLP, $ARRY, $ARWR, $CDNA, $XXII, $SSW
Unlisted Private Member Video – Swing Trading Set-ups Special Report; $VIX, $DXY, $SPY, $DIS, $RCL, $RKDA, $SQ, $HEAR, $TGTX, $SMIT
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
How to Swing Trade Like the Pros and Win Most Trades. #swingtrading #freedomtraders
Password: IC Protected: How to Trade Allergan (AGN) Stock Move (Exclusive) $AGN #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
Password: TRADEAAPL Protected: Trading Apple’s Stock Move (Member Exclusive) $AAPL #swingtrading
Password: SWINGDXY, Protected: Trading US Dollar Index (Part 2 – Member Exclusive) $DXY $UUP #USD #SwingTrading #Daytrading
Password: swing Protected: Trade Set-Ups w/ Video #EIA, Oil, $TSLA, $NFLX, $ESPR, $PG, $AAPL, $SPY, $CARA, $EGY, $GERN, $BPT more. #swingtrading
Feature Post with Charting: How to Trade the US Dollar Index Move (Part 1) $DXY $UUP #USD #trading #chart #algorithm https://compoundtrading.com/feature-post-with-charting-how-to-trade-the-us-dollar-index-move-part-1-dxy-uup-usd-trading-chart-algorithm/
Password: SET Protected: Swing Trade Set-Ups (May 15/16 Member Edition) $WTI, #OIL, $BTC, Bitcoin, $AMBA, $AMD, $BLNK, $ITCI,, $SPY, $DIS, $LAC, $BOX, $AAOI more.
Password: AI Protected: How to Trade Pure Storage Earnings in Six Days (Member Edition) $PSTG
Password: WOW Protected: How to Trade Box Earnings Move (Swing Trade Member Exclusive)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
I get a lot of Q's on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://t.co/oqezvVcn0y … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) May 13, 2018
Trading Plan (Buy, Hold, Sell) Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gap / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: KO, GM, BA, FCAU, UPS & more –
Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: KO, GM, BA, FCAU, UPS & more – https://t.co/NbxGklLWAH
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 25, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 8:14 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 94.49, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 68.57, Gold $GLD trading 1232.14, Silver $SLV trading 15.59, $SPY 281.18, Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 8227.00 and $VIX trading 12.6.
Momentum Stocks to Watch: $RIOT, $TORC, $HMNY, $NVRO, $IRBT
$TORC ResTORbio’s stocks rockets on positive trial results, just as post-IPO lock up expires https://on.mktw.net/2JQ23Sh
$TORC Short % of Float (Jun 14, 2018) 419.52%
ResTORbio’s stocks rockets on positive trial results, just as post-IPO lock up expires
News:
MoviePass parent Helios and Matheson implements 1-to-250 reverse stock split, boosting share price
$RUBY Rubius Therapeutics (RUBY) Agrees to Acquire Manufacturing Facility in Smithfield, Rhode Island
$TEUM: Pareteum Awarded $3 Million 5-Year Contract in North Africa
$CYTR CytRx Announces Centurion BioPharma Corporation’s Filing of a Provisional Patent Application.
$CHFS Department of Veterans Affairs Awards a $6.5 million Blanket Purchase Agreement to CHF Solutions to Supply Aquadex FlexFlow System for Outpatient Services in Tampa, Fla.
Recent SEC Filings:
Insider Buys Of The Week: BlackRock, Dish Network, Walgreens https://benzinga.com/z/12054592 $BLK $DISH $WBA
Recent IPO’s:
Biotech Allakos prices IPO at $18, above price range
$RUBY 10.3M shares at $23 and $CRNX 6m shares at $17
$CRNX Crinetics Pharmaceuticals prices IPO at $17 a share
The IPO Outlook For The Week: Tech & International Exposure https://benzinga.com/z/12052697 $AQST $BE $BRY $JG $CANG $FOCS $PDD $TENB $DAVA $OPRA
The IPO Outlook For The Week: Tech & International Exposure https://t.co/A0rfpmunIn $AQST $BE $BRY $JG $CANG $FOCS $PDD $TENB $DAVA $OPRA https://t.co/Hrc0OwWq24
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 22, 2018
Earnings:
Freeport-McMoRan’s stock jumps after earnings and revenue rose above expectations
Hawaiian Holdings +5% after earnings, upgrade https://seekingalpha.com/news/3373389-hawaiian-holdings-plus-5-percent-earnings-upgrade?source=feed_f … #premarket $HA
Norfolk Southern rides higher after earnings https://seekingalpha.com/news/3373399-norfolk-southern-rides-higher-earnings?source=feed_f … #premarket $NSC
StockTwits Earnings to Watch
Tue – $T $VZ $LMT $JBLU $BIIB $IRBT $MMM $LLY $TXN
Wed – $FB $AMD $F $GILD $PYPL $V $BA $HM $KO $ABX
Thu – $AMZN $INTC $SBUX $CMG $FSRL $SPOT $MCD
Fri – $TWTR $XOM $ABBV $CVX
Via @StockTwits
#earnings for the week
$AMZN $AMD $FB $TWTR $GOOGL $BA $T $V $INTC $LRCX $HAL $LMT $PYPL $MA $VZ $MMM $CELG $MCD $HAS $F $ABBV $XOM $SBUX $BIIB $KO $AAL $PETS $ALGN $CMG $GRUB $RTN $UAA $GILD $NTGR $UTX $HOG $WDC $AMTD $NOK $DGX $UPS $JBLU $GM $CVX
#earnings for the week$AMZN $AMD $FB $TWTR $GOOGL $BA $T $V $INTC $LRCX $HAL $LMT $PYPL $MA $VZ $MMM $CELG $MCD $HAS $F $ABBV $XOM $SBUX $BIIB $KO $AAL $PETS $ALGN $CMG $GRUB $RTN $UAA $GILD $NTGR $UTX $HOG $WDC $AMTD $NOK $DGX $UPS $JBLU $GM $CVX https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/rFjdIyBH0d
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 22, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for sometime).
$TORC Premarket up 142% trading 21.79 on lock up exp, results, short interest. $TORC #daytrading
$TORC Premarket up 142% trading 21.79 on lock up exp, results, short interest. $TORC #daytrading
The $RIOT daytrade from yesterday went well: 7.30s – 8.40s nice mover and returns.
Working well #daytrading #towin $RIOT #blockchain pic.twitter.com/CyaVAM35UB
— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) July 24, 2018
Arrow Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Over mid quad resistance. Long side bullish bias. $ARWR #swingtrading #earnings
Arrow Pharmaceuticals (ARWR) Over mid quad resistance. Long side bullish bias. $ARWR #swingtrading #earnings
ALPHABET (GOOGLE) Trading over main resistance pivot 1211.60 intra 1262.34 on earnings 1318.52 price target. $GOOGL #swingtrading
ALPHABET (GOOGLE) Trading over main resistance pivot 1211.60 intra 1262.34 on earnings 1318.52 price target. $GOOGL #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD Pharna (ARWR) Took first long side entry today on swing trade over mid quad pivot $ARWR
ARROWHEAD Pharna (ARWR) Took first long side entry today on swing trade over mid quad pivot $ARWR
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Keeps hitting mid channel targets on chart testing 200 MA $EDIT #pricetargets #chart
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Keeps hitting mid channel targets on chart testing 200 MA $EDIT #pricetargets #chart
Celgene (CELG) trading 86.81 with earnings in one day at quad wall resistance over mid quad support $CELG
Celgene (CELG) trading 86.81 with earnings in one day at quad wall resistance over mid quad support $CELG
RIOT BLOCKCHAIN (RIOT) over 200 MA on 240 Min chart closed 8.40 with trade entries 7.30s today. #trading $RIOT
RIOT BLOCKCHAIN (RIOT) over 200 MA on 240 Min chart closed 8.40 with trade entries 7.30s today. #trading $RIOT
Goldman warns of liquidity-fueled sell-off after ‘volmageddon’ https://bloom.bg/2v1ggWS
Goldman warns of liquidity-fueled sell-off after ‘volmageddon’ https://t.co/qtnhhrvPmk pic.twitter.com/jWDcwkA9O6
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) July 24, 2018
MACD still trending down on daily oil chart with price above 100 MA under 20 and 50. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
MACD still trending down on daily oil chart with price above 100 MA under 20 and 50. #OIL $USOIL $WTI
Bitcoin trading like a conventional equity now. Launched off 50 MA testing 100 MA resistance soon. $BTCUSD $BTC #Bitcoin #premarket https://twitter.com/CryptotheAlgo/status/1019561358600409088
Bitcoin trading like a conventional equity now. Launched off 50 MA testing 100 MA resistance soon. $BTCUSD $BTC #Bitcoin #premarket
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart. Perfect move from structure to structure at resistance now to next possible. $DXY $UUP #USD #swingtrading #dollar
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart (Daily) MACD may cross up here at previous December low support test. #GOLD #CHART $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
Gold chart monthly – trade sitting on 50 MA test and under bottom trendline. #Gold #Chart $GLD $XUAUSD $GC_F
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
SILVER likely to get a bounce at pivot area to test underside of diagonal trend line #onwatch
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN). Excellent swing trade in progress trading 177s targets 180.21 184.21 189.03 etc. $AGN #chart
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
NETFLIX (NFLX) Triggering long in premarket over 400.00 targets 412.00 then 422.00 a key range pivot resistance. $NFLX #swingtrading
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
CITIGROUP INC (C) Keeps working that support line. No bias here. Watching. $C #stock #chart
EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
May 20 – EAGLE BUILDING MATERIALS (EXP) Trading 111.05 trending toward 117.75 Nov 2, 2018 price target. $EXP #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) swing trade on schedule and target trading 201.15 – over 201.80 bullish targets 202.41 206.58 main 209.97 June 21 or July 6 $FB #swingtrading
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
Your Wednesday morning Speed Read:
– Former Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne has died $FCAU
– Thermo Fisher’s Q2 earnings and revenues top estimates, as the consultant raises its FY18 overlook $TMO
– Bitcoin takes a breather after breaching $8K psychological level $BTC
Stunning correlation between the 10-year and S&P 500 could point to new highs for stocks https://cnb.cx/2NIFSQ8
Stunning correlation between the 10-year and S&P 500 could point to new highs for stocks https://t.co/e6eashKEIe pic.twitter.com/hg6KAg16Rz
— CNBC International (@CNBCi) July 25, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TORC $CRMD $NVRO $CODX $IRBT $VICR $AUDC $RETA $TRVN $HA $TVIX $TKC $UVXY $CEI $GLW $DTE $VXX $USLV
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
$NBIX PT raised to $122 from $100 at Baird.
W.R. Berkley $WRB PT Raised to $78 at RBC Capital
TD Ameritrade $AMTD PT Lowered to $60 at Morgan Stanley
Texas Instruments $TXN PT Raised to $113 at Morgan Stanley
$BIIB PT raised to $348 at Baird.
$RETA PT raised to $185 from $95 at Citi, added to US Focus List.
IQVIA Holdings $IQV PT Raised to $143 at Baird
Needham & Company Remains Bullish on G-III Apparel Group $GIII As Ivanka Trump Closes Fashion …
Rockwell Automation +3.5% on guidance boost https://seekingalpha.com/news/3373390-rockwell-automation-plus-3_5-percent-guidance-boost?source=feed_f … #premarket $ROK
Centene $CNC PT Raised to $152 at Piper Jaffray
Kimbell Royalty Partners LP $KRP PT Raised to $26 at RBC Capital
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Watchlist, Stocks, Trading, Plan, Earnings, #EIA, OIL, $WTI, $RIOT, $TORC, $HMNY, $NVRO, $IRBT, GOLD, Crypto, $BTC , US Dollar, $DXY
