Month: October 2018
PreMarket Trading Plan Fri Oct 5: $ARWR, $GPRO, $TSLA, $FEYE, $SPY, $SHOP, $ROKU, OIL, $VIX, $BTC …
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Friday October 5, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: $ARWR, $GPRO, $TSLA, $FEYE, $SPY, $SHOP, $ROKU, OIL, $VIX, $BTC and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 5 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars or when Lead Trader is not available.
- Scheduled this week:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
TESLA on watch in lower area of recent range, likely take a short term swing trade in TSLA today – long.
Gold, Silver and others I have now and I’m doing final edits. To be distributed over next day or two. Letting the set-ups firm up and start trading them again possibly as of Sunday night futures.
Likely start trading Bitcoin XBTUSD and VIX in to next week now also in to mid Dec time cycle.
SPY got a bump in premarket with jobs numbers, as with others above likely trading that aggressive in to time cycle peak mid Dec also come next week.
Oil in a small pull back but expect bullish trend to continue next week.
GoPro (GPRO) Reports ‘Strongest Week-One Unit Sell-Thru in Company History’ for HERO7 Black #swingtrading $GPRO http://www.streetinsider.com/Management+Comments/GoPro+%28GPRO%29+Reports+Strongest+Week-One+Unit+Sell-Thru+in+Company+History+for+HERO7+Black/14677954.html … via @Street_Insider
GoPro (GPRO) Reports 'Strongest Week-One Unit Sell-Thru in Company History' for HERO7 Black #swingtrading $GPRO https://t.co/AartczY17f via @Street_Insider
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 5, 2018
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.76, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 74.63, Gold $GLD trading 1203.62, Silver $SLV trading 14.65, $SPY 289.66 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6544.00 and $VIX trading 14.3.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $INTC
23 Stocks Moving In Friday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12463981 $SGH $GPRO $EMKR $VSTM $TLRY $SNAP $GTXI $HSGX $KMPH $CUTR $TSLA $COST $IGC
News:
Delphi Technologies CEO steps down, cuts revenue and margin outlook
Snap rises on report of CEO’s profitability goal for 2019
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
OFS credit prices IPO at $20 a share to raise $50 million $OCCI #IPO https://on.mktw.net/2E0yJLa
Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO.
Blank check company Collier Creek prices IPO https://t.co/JUJYAiROWf
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 5, 2018
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN
#earnings for the week $COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PJ2ABTMR7h
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
ROKU (ROKU) in pull back could see 58.52, on bounce looking for 78.01 then 87.75 ON WATCH $ROKU #swingtrading #setups
FIREEYE (FEYE) trading 17.35 current trajectory implies 19.31 or 22.32 price target Dec 1 2018 time cycle peak #swingtrade #tradealerts $FEYE
SP500 (SPY) Under pressure, careful with trajectory inflection lines (red) when trading long $SPY $ES_F $SPXL $SPXS #SPY #SwingTrade #Daytrade
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Hit price target from last trade alert, coming off to mid quad 200 MA support, follow trajectory after Oct 9 time cycle $SHOP #swingtrading
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Long positions starting at channel trajectory support mid 15s. Solid range support near 13.14 $ARWR #swingtrading #chart
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-It’s jobs day
-Senate to vote on Kavanaugh
-Mixed fortunes for commodities
-Markets drop
-Brazil election
https://bloom.bg/2zUd2s7
J&J, Arrowhead in gene-silencing drug deal worth up to $3.7 billion $ARWR #swingtrading https://finance.yahoo.com/news/j-j-arrowhead-gene-silencing-115253968.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance
J&J, Arrowhead in gene-silencing drug deal worth up to $3.7 billion $ARWR #swingtrading https://t.co/DzGQNJTxnT via @YahooFinance
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 4, 2018
Analysts out positive on FireEye after summit, product launch https://seekingalpha.com/news/3395097-analysts-positive-fireeye-summit-product-launch?source=tweet … $FEYE #swingtrading
Analysts out positive on FireEye after summit, product launch https://t.co/jGKjbGbIwG $FEYE #swingtrading
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 4, 2018
The most influential endowment manager just jumped into crypto with bets on two Silicon Valley funds https://cnb.cx/2yk5zjQ
The most influential endowment manager just jumped into crypto with bets on two Silicon Valley funds https://t.co/pC7Rd3Ley1
— Crypto the BTC Algo (@CryptotheAlgo) October 5, 2018
Yale University has invested in everything from Puerto Rican bonds to New Hampshire timber. Now it’s getting into the market for cryptos https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-05/yale-is-said-to-invest-in-crypto-fund-that-raised-400-million … via @markets
Yale University has invested in everything from Puerto Rican bonds to New Hampshire timber. Now it's getting into the market for cryptos https://t.co/ahcawVK8Nx via @markets
— Crypto the BTC Algo (@CryptotheAlgo) October 5, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $GTXI $VTVT $DELT $SGH $EMKR $PTIE $PGNX $BRZU $HIMX $PLX $LCI $OGEN $PBR $GPRO $ATRC $NBEV $SNAP
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Wolfe Research Downgrades ArcBest Corp $ARCB to Underperform
Wolfe Research Downgrades Trucking Subsector to Market Underweight
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, $ARWR, $GPRO, $TSLA, $FEYE, $SPY, $SHOP, $ROKU, OIL, $VIX, $BTC
Day Trading: Trading Momentum Stocks With A Catalyst Using Technical Analysis. Case Example $ROKU.
Daytrading Stocks Isn’t Easy, But You Can Increase Your Win Rate When Trading Momentum Stocks Using Technical Analysis Along With A Catalyst Thesis.
In this post I use the market open trade in $ROKU as an example (live raw trading room footage is below) to teach you how to daytrade stocks that have a catalyst (in this case an upgrade in ROKU by a well known market analyst that morning) and using technical analysis to structure the trade (long trade entry point on chart, where to trim the position and where to close the position at key resistance).
My trade was clean, without stress, I alerted the trade live on the live trade alerts feed and traded it live in the trading room. When I alerted the trade I also gave our members a price target for closing the trade.
Hopefully my experience in using technical analysis while daytrading stocks will help you win more and lose less when you lose.
Live Trading Room Raw Video and Transcript Highlights Detailing Trade Entry, Price Target, Trims and Closing Trade.
The video below is the raw live trading room video feed that includes review of various trade set-ups in premarket and market open. The summary of the ROKU trade is below the video with points of reference on timing on video for easy reference.
At 5:55 on video: In premarket I explain to the trading room that ROKU is my primary watch (the others I also reviewed on the video) on the day on the analyst upgrade. ROKU trading up 2% at 74.63 premarket. Over 77.62 is an add (to those already in the swing trade). For the longer term than daytrading 93.93 is a possible price target in a bullish scenario and 87.58 is more likely and 78.00 most likely for the target date on the chart at the time cycle peak.
The points of support and resistance on the charting that I reference follow a process of technical analysis that we use on all of our algorithmic charting.
ROKU trade is following trajectory. Be sure to trim trade positioning in the resistance areas on the chart and add above (or alternatively add at pull backs).
I also how 5 minutes in to open is an important area to watch and how I am cautious Monday mornings, but on this Monday premarket trading was bullish.
At 9:12 on video: Market open at 9:30 Eastern time. ROKU trading 74.72 at open, over 77.62 is a buy / add to any existing swing trade position. Support on ROKU intra day is at 73.15 – 73.20. Buy side coming in at this point and 3 – 4 dollar day trade range possible prior to resistance over head.
At 13:44 on video: Watching the market open first 5 minute candle conclusion. Over high of day (HOD) ROKU could run in to 77.70 price target. At this point in the trading session I explain that I may run the trade with the market to the price target. Trading 75.65 intra-day looking for 76.00 for a long entry for daytrade now.
At 14:41 on video: At this point I alert that I am long ROKU at 76.00 with a tight stop bias with price target for ROKU daytrade of 77.50. I would trim heavy in to that price target and possibly add above.
At 17:28 on video: Just about triggered an add to my long position in ROKU at 75.82, probably should have. Watch next 5 minute candle completion.
At 18:40 on video: ROKU is strong in to 5 minute candle switch. Now I have a stop at entry 76.00. If it dumps (sells-off) beyond my entry price at 76.00 I may re-enter.
At 21:01 on video: Trimming my position at 50% size at 76.69. Decent little day trade. It’s strong. Nice buys there.
At 25:15 on video: We’re getting pretty close to my price target.
At 25:50 on video: Trimming 25% of position 77.16 – likely early but….
At 27:10 on video: This is going to be an important candle turn. If a daytrade is going to soften (fade) it is likely to do that in to 10:00 AM, so I am watching the 10 minute point candle prior to the turn at the top of the hour at 10:00 AM.
At 28:28 on video: In to the candle turn I am watching the bottom of the candle body close. At candle turn watch for bullish or bearish trade action for a clue of how the next candle is going to trade. At this point ROKU is trading bullish trading near high of day. Looking for trade in next candle to hold the top of the body of the previous candle.
At 29:38 on video: Getting close to price target now it trade 77.29 there. 77.16 closed last 25% of the daytrade in ROKU.
The Catalyst: Analyst Upgrade on ROKU:
“Shares of Roku Inc (NASDAQ:ROKU) gapped up prior to trading on Monday after Needham & Company LLC raised their price target on the stock from $60.00 to $85.00. The stock had previously closed at $71.24, but opened at $73.03. Needham & Company LLC currently has a buy rating on the stock. Roku shares last traded at $76.48, with a volume of 8448678 shares”.
Article Here: Shares of ROKU Gap Up After Analyst Upgrade.
The Original Alert That Put ROKU on Watch for a Trade for our Members:
Below is a screen shot of the original trade alert posted on the swing trading alert feed (a copy was also posted to our daytrading alert feed on Twitter) that ROKU was on watch with a time cycle peak nearing (if you need to learn how to chart and/or trade time cycles reach out for some trade coaching, get access to trade coaching boot camp videos or spend some time in our live trading room).
It is important to note here that with the alert we also posted the link to the live chart on Trading View. This is important when you are harnessing your trade thesis in technical analysis, our members do not have to do the charting on their own, we provide that service as part of the platform.
Another important note is that when we are alerting day trades or swing trades for equities or commodity, crypto or currency trades… in most instances our members already have the technical charting models from previous analysis done for members in previous trade alerts or newsletters etc.
ROKU (ROKU) near short term time cycle, on watch for a daytrade and possibly swing long in to timing $ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
https://twitter.com/SwingAlerts_CT/status/1044978728110100481
Day Trading Alert Feed.
Below are the screen shots for the actual trade entry, trimming the trade, where the stop on my trade was set and the price target for the trade on the day.
Day Trading Chat Room
And below is the screen shot of the trade alert in the daytrading chat room on Discord.
Long $ROKU starter tight 76.00
Stop set at entry, would likely re-enter if it hits $ROKU – PT on day is 77.50
trim half 76.69
Trim 25% 77.16 holding 25% yet $ROKU
Closed last 25% 77.16 $ROKU
If you have any questions about the trade alert detailed in this article reach out! You can get me on email [email protected] or private message me on any of my social media accounts.
Trade safe and cut losers fast!
Curt
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If you are serious about learning in depth technical analysis and algorithmic charting and how to trade with that knowledge for a much higher win rate we have a master class video series that is approximately 20 hours of in depth teaching by our lead trader that retails for 1499.00. The master class trade coaching series is only available at this point by request by emailing our office at [email protected]. The unedited raw master class videos are now available and the most recent trade coaching event videos are included as an added bonus (usually another twenty hours or so of teaching).
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Article Topics: daytrading, learn to trade, momentum, stocks, technical analysis, ROKU, trade alerts, catalyst
PreMarket Trading Plan Wed Oct 3: #EIA, Oil, WTI, USOIL, $BABA, $AAPL, $CGC, Gold more.
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Wednesday October 3, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: #EIA, Oil, WTI, USOIL, $BABA, $AAPL, $CGC, Gold and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 3 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars or when Lead Trader is not available.
- Scheduled this week:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Oct 3 – Protected: Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video).
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
$AAPL $BABA on watch with me.
Today is #EIA petroleum report at 10:30 looking for a large trade.
Gold, Silver and other reports out tonight likely trading them in to next week for a possible turn.
Per recent;
The $ROKU daytrade yesterday at market open went well.
Looking for a large long side oil entry at support on algorithm model.
That Square alert from yesterday went well. Nice trim area. I have it on watch with upgrade.
Volatility in to end of week on watch.
Other trading plan notes below.
SQUARE (SQ) swing trade is performing well in continuation of trajectory on chart – premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance from our 89.00 entry. Trim in to resistance add to trade above (if you are trimming at each resistance). The updated chart is below.
The Square $SQ trade from yesterday is going well, trading 96.30 in premarket today with a swing trade entry at 89.00 and looking for more legs in this trade (see Square $SQ feature post and video).
Oil trading plan is similar to last week, I am looking for a trade at / near bottom channel support. Last week it did hit near lower channel support at 71.85 FX USOIL WTI at around 8:30 AM Sept 28 and then took off (no execution), currently trading near upper channel resistance. I will do more day trading again also with oil.
Today is EIA Petroleum Report day at 10:30 AM. Looking for a large swing trade in oil (see feature report sent to members last night).
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance area pre-market 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS. Good timing on this trade.
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO. Will only consider a smaller size but will consider another trade. This could be a bottoming pattern setting up. Yet to be seen though.
Bitcoin, the bottoming pattern continues, convinced that 5800 area is most probable bottom (alerted numerous times prior to it trading anywhere near there). Bottom line is that we’re expecting to trade it actively soon going in to Dec 24 time cycle peak and in to 1st Q 2019 aggressive.
Below are some trade position notes from recent weeks if you didn’t catch them;
Still watching the week set-up, I expect a significant oil size trade (swing and intra-day) very near, in a new Disney $DIS trade, the $XBIO set-up was awesome and there’s a number of others we are working on.
BTW the Bitcoin $BTC trade will be big soon, the charting is setting up, we will be updating members on the inflection move prior. We expect up, but we will be alerting the BTC set-up for both scenarios.
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.48, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 75.25, Gold $GLD trading 1203.12, Silver $SLV trading 14.72, $SPY 292.59 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6453.00 and $VIX trading 11.5.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch: $INTC
Top Gainers in #Premarket Hours $TRI $AA $PBR $PRTK $TLRY $EWZ $CGC $WP $LEN $BUD $STM $BIDU $BABA $TEVA $TNA https://marketchameleon.com/Reports/PremarketTrading/ …
News:
USA ADP Employment Change for Sep 230.0K vs 187.0K Est; Prior 163.0K.
$GM shares up 5.1 percent premarket after Honda joins with Cruise and GM to build new autonomous vehicle.
Paratek announces FDA approval of NUZYRA https://seekingalpha.com/news/3394702-paratek-announces-fda-approval-nuzyra?source=feed_f … #premarket $PRTK.
$NVCN Reports Positive 12-Wk Follow-up Data from First U.S. Patient Implanted with Neovasc Reducer.
$CVNA-Carvana Co(CVNA) said pre-market Wednesday that it has expanded into Myrtle Beach, South Carolina with the launch of its as-soon-as-next-day vehicle delivery service.The company said that the service will enable customers to shop more than 10,000 vehicles next day service
J.C. Penney spikes after naming former Joann Stores chief as new CEO $JCP $LOW $AMZN $JWN $M http://dlvr.it/Qm8yvm.
VistaGen shares surge 13% after FDA grants fast track status to non-opioid pain treatment.
IGC’s stock tumbles after near 6-fold run up in 5 day as share offering completed.
Canopy Growth unit in pilot to test medical marijuana in treating senior pain, cognitive function #swingtraading $CGC.
Canopy Growth unit in pilot to test medical marijuana in treating senior pain, cognitive function #swingtraading $CGC https://t.co/l4RlraM921
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 3, 2018
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
Lennar’s stock jumps after profit, deliveries rise above expectations
#earnings for the week
$COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN
#earnings for the week $COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PJ2ABTMR7h
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
APPLE (AAPL) premarket testing highs, leading the charge. $AAPL #premarket #trading
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
SQUARE (SQ) premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance. Trim in to resistance add to trade above. Updated chart. $SQ #tradealerts
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance premarket 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealerts
CRONOS (CRON) MACD cross up on 240 Min Chart with decision near on chart timing, on watch $CRON #tradealert #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) trading 6.54 premarket long in to 8.09 price target, 6.16 area support. $LEVB #daytrading #swingtrade
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) continues bullish pressing upper FIB trendline, trading 159.25 targeting 166 Oct 10 $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PROQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
#5things
-Trump tax probe
-Italian asset rebound
-May speech
-Markets mixed
-More Fed speeches
https://bloom.bg/2zO2WZz
#5things
-Trump tax probe
-Italian asset rebound
-May speech
-Markets mixed
-More Fed speeches https://t.co/RRuQLNkxzl pic.twitter.com/NMErwTzKc1— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) October 3, 2018
This bull market run has echoes of the late 1920s, Nobel Prize-winning economist Shiller says
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $MNGA 76%, $VTVT 40%, $ELGX $NVCN $TRVN $PTIE $JCP $TRI $AA $PBR $PRTK $NIO $EWZ $TLRY
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
DavidsTea -19% after issuing statement https://seekingalpha.com/news/3394695-davidstea-minus-19-percent-issuing-statement?source=feed_f … #premarket $DTEA.
Kala Pharmaceuticals down 12% on pricing 7.5M-share stock offering https://seekingalpha.com/news/3394737-kala-pharmaceuticals-12-percent-pricing-7_5m-share-stock-offering?source=feed_f … #premarket $KALA.
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $WING $AMNB $AX $SF $WP $CHRA $TPX $WBS $FULT $TRGP $PSX $CI $SF $KORS $INTU
Eli Lilly $LLY PT Raised to $107 at BMO Capital.
Xilinx $XLNX PT Raised to $90 at BMO Capital.
21Vianet +1% as Jefferies starts at Buy https://seekingalpha.com/news/3394705-21vianet-plus-1-percent-jefferies-starts-buy?source=feed_f … #premarket $VNET.
Rosenblatt raises Ciena target, lowers Infinera’s on expected CenturyLink shift $CIEN $INFN $CTL http://dlvr.it/Qm97ZG.
Southwest Gas $SWX PT Raised to $80 at Citi Following Analyst Day
(6) Recent Downgrades: $CVIA $ORCL $HCLP $CVRR $HMC $VGR
Applied Materials $AMAT PT Lowered to $60 at Susquehanna
Amneal Pharmaceuticals $AMRX PT Lowered to $24 at Morgan Stanley
MercadoLibre $MELI PT Lowered to $340 at Susquehanna
Delta Air Lines $DAL PT Lowered to $67 at BofA/Merrill Lynch
Analog Devices $ADI PT Lowered to $108 at Morgan Stanley
Amphenol $APH PT Lowered to $100 at Morgan Stanley
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, #EIA, Oil, WTI, USOIL, $BABA, $AAPL, $CGC, Gold
Swing Trading Alerts (w / video) VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Swing Trade Alerts. #tradealerts #daytrading #swingtrading
Swing Trading Alerts with raw video footage from our Live Trading Room mid-day review webinar Oct 2, 2018. 12:12 PM.
Stocks Alerted for Trade: VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX and more.
Be sure to check the date on each chart (I’ve included some from previous posts).
Some discussion at the beginning of this video about time cycles over next two quarters expected to provide significant trading opportunity.
Volatility $VIX – Mid July 2018 time cycle changed and it lasts in to mid December 2018, 15.9 was upside bringing 50% ish since lows, 21’s are even possible soon. A spike if very likely at minimum in to 15’s. The time cycle after the end of this one in to mid December is significantly more aggressive than this current time cycle. The current time cycle is the start of the inflection and the next in to Q1 2019 is the inflection.
We see some opportunities in equities coming to the long side and many to down side that will be specific to themes that will surface in the inflection period. Crypto, Gold, Silver, VIX, various metals / commodities and select equities will all be on watch. There will be a series of reports to members as themes surface through the timing.
Gold $GC_F $XAUUSD $GLD – Over 50 MA, MACD turning back up, price spiked today and it is on watch. Algorithm report on deck. Silver is in the same scenario (algorithm report also within next couple days).
Bitcoin $BTC $XBTUSD – Wedge chart reviewed, trading mid range in wedge, we expect this to turn up in to Christmas and next year. Algorithm report on deck.
$PYX – has been on watch, trade got aggressive today to upside, expecting a move to the 41’s as very probable, very aggressive chart structure. We are working on a structured model.
$EDIT – last trade wasn’t easy but we got out with a profit after being under water on the trade and we added at bottom of channel and closed at 200 MA resistance test.
$TSLA – sloppy chart, best way to trade it is to trade the range of the chart, enter long at bottom of range in 280s and close near top of range.
$SQ – trading 99.32, 97.55 I was going to take the trade intra-day and I didn’t, it’s on watch but watching to see if it proves out. Specific price targets and dates reviewed on video.
$OGEN – it may be a bottom play for good day traders.
$IGC – find a good entry on 5 minute intra-day, take a long, with a stop, close your eyes. Don’t follow it down.
$SYN – watch out, not an easy trade
$EBR – could go, tough
$GOL – same as $EBR
$PBRA – same, aggressive
$EBRB – same
$SBS – same
$BSBR – same, a tad farther ahead than others
$LEVB – been watching and bullish on
$SBGL – no
$LW – trending chart, off theme for the day, mid way through bounce, no play
$MSB – aggressive, never trade it, high probability for a full extension upside.
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#tradealerts #swingtrading #daytrading
Article Topics; Trade, Alerts, Swing Trading, Trading Room, VIX, Gold, Silver, Tesla $TSLA, $LEVB, $BTC, $EDIT, $PYX
Oil Trading Room – Oil Trading Signals with Lead Trader (plus video)
Crude oil trading room video of lead trader reviewing oil trading signals / oil trading strategy for this week.
#OilTradingRoom #OilTradingSignals #OilTradeAlerts FX $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO
Transcript summary highlights:
October 2, 2018 12:02 PM Oil trading strategy for this week.
Voice broadcast doesn’t start until 6:00 on video.
Quick review for oil trading plan this week, first up is EPIC Oil Algorithm.
Price targets on EPIC Oil Algorithm model are in a cluster this week around API Tuesday 4:30 and Wednesday 10:30 and oil intra-day is trading within the price target cluster which doesn’t surprise me.
Last few weeks have been tough for me personally trading oil.
Oil is in parallel channel above where it was trading in the model. Oil is in bullish trend but I don’t trust trade divergent in a channel parallel to where it should be trading.
I have two different trading plans for trading oil this week – one for swing trading oil and one for intra-day trading oil.
Swing trading plan thesis is based on a long entry at or near the bottom of the channel in oil trade on the chart on video. Same thesis as last week and I missed my entry. I will be looking for a long with a stop and re-enter as I need to get positioning, it will be in size.
There are some comments at this point on the video to trading psychology reflecting on my own challenges getting positioning in oil trade.
The intra-day oil trading plan is simple and based on how oil has recently been squeezing, so if it squeezed again I’ll just go with it with stops and I won’t sit under pressure.
If I have to take some paper cuts I’ll take the paper cuts to get positioning (as with my swing trade plan also).
The second chart reviewed in the video is a weekly oil chart highlighting the wedge and some inlay Fibonacci quads with trend-lines. 74.23 Oct 22 is a downside scenario on that chart with 68.39 worst scenario same day, but when you weigh the recent trend up that isn’t likely. Upside trade resistance areas on FX USOIL WTI are at 76.84, 78.36, 79.64.
The charts below correspond to charts reviewed on the trading room video (previously published in weekly oil report).
Other Crude Oil Trading Reports & Videos:
Learning to Trade Oil Links on our Site and/or YouTube.
Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video).
Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
No Crystal Ball? Watch this… EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA $USOIL $WTI #OIL $USO $CL_F #OOTT #Algo
Oil Trading Room – How to Use EPIC the Oil Algorithm June 21, 2017 (video).
Oil Trading Room – How to Use Oil Algorithm Chart & Recent Trades June 29, 2017 (video).
Here we unlock historical member reports at intervals after time cycles have expired for traders that are learning to trade oil. When you clock on link scroll down at landing page on blog section you will be transferred to so that you can get to reports that are unlocked over time: https://compoundtrading.com/category/epic-the-oil-algo-chart-report/
Subscribe:
Standalone Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Oil Trading Room / Algorithm Newsletter / Alert Bundle (includes weekly newsletter, trading room, charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Click here to find all information and pricing on Oil Newsletter, Trading Chat Room, Oil Alerts and more.
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
Website: https://compoundtrading.com
Blog: https://compoundtrading.com/blog/
Free chat room: https://discord.gg/2HRTk6n
Subscribe: https://compoundtrading.com/overview-…
Twitter: https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading
Lead Trader: https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly
Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/curtmel…
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/compoundtrad…
StockTwits: https://stocktwits.com/compoundtrading
Email: https://[email protected]
Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
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Article Topics: Crude Oil, Trading Room, Oil Trading, Alerts, Signals, Crude, Oil, Trade, Strategy
PreMarket Trading Plan Tues Oct 2: Italy, Tesla (TSLA), Square (SQ), Allergan (AGN), Oil WTI USOIL, Volatility VIX more.
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Tuesday October 2, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: Italy, Tesla (TSLA), Square (SQ), Allergan (AGN), Oil WTI USOIL, Volatility VIX TVIX UVXY and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 1 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars or when Lead Trader is not available.
- Scheduled this week:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
The $ROKU daytrade yesterday at market open went well.
Looking for a large long side oil entry at support on algorithm model.
That Square alert from yesterday went well. Nice trim area. I have it on watch with upgrade.
Volatility in to end of week on watch.
Other trading plan notes below.
SQUARE (SQ) swing trade is performing well in continuation of trajectory on chart – premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance from our 89.00 entry. Trim in to resistance add to trade above (if you are trimming at each resistance). The updated chart is below.
Per last week: The Square $SQ trade from yesterday is going well, trading 96.30 in premarket today with a swing trade entry at 89.00 and looking for more legs in this trade (see Square $SQ feature post and video).
Oil trading plan is similar to last week, I am looking for a trade at / near bottom channel support. Last week it did hit near lower channel support at 71.85 FX USOIL WTI at around 8:30 AM Sept 28 and then took off (no execution), currently trading near upper channel resistance. I will do more day trading again also with oil.
Per last week: Today is EIA Petroleum Report day at 10:30 AM. Looking for a large swing trade in oil (see feature report sent to members last night).
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance area pre-market 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS. Good timing on this trade.
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO. Will only consider a smaller size but will consider another trade. This could be a bottoming pattern setting up. Yet to be seen though.
Bitcoin, the bottoming pattern continues, convinced that 5800 area is most probable bottom (alerted numerous times prior to it trading anywhere near there). Bottom line is that we’re expecting to trade it actively soon going in to Dec 24 time cycle peak and in to 1st Q 2019 aggressive.
Below are some trade position notes from recent weeks if you didn’t catch them;
Still watching the week set-up, I expect a significant oil size trade (swing and intra-day) very near, in a new Disney $DIS trade, the $XBIO set-up was awesome and there’s a number of others we are working on.
BTW the Bitcoin $BTC trade will be big soon, the charting is setting up, we will be updating members on the inflection move prior. We expect up, but we will be alerting the BTC set-up for both scenarios.
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.30, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 75.40, Gold $GLD trading 1192.12, Silver $SLV trading 14.55, $SPY 291.45 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6563.00 and $VIX trading 12.2.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
24 Stocks Moving In Tuesday’s Pre-Market Session https://benzinga.com/z/12440016 $DTEA $IGC $OMER $NNDM $EYEG $NBEV $TLRY $JAGX $SFIX $ACST $VNE
News:
Tesla $TSLA Q3 Total Vehicle Deliveries, 83,500 vs. 80,000 expected
Square stock gains after KeyBanc hikes target to $115
Canadian medical marijuana company Aleafia applies to list on Nasdaq
Clovis Oncology stock rises 10% premarket after ‘breakthrough’ designation from FDA
$PRTK FDA Approves SEYSARA™ (Sarecycline) for the Treatment of Moderate to Severe Acne
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
Earnings:
#earnings for the week
$COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN
#earnings for the week $COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PJ2ABTMR7h
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts
$ROKU #daytrading #tradealerts pic.twitter.com/RWXQcogTll
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
ALLERGAN (AGN) Looks like it may not be ready to retrace to bottom of channel in forecast, testing new highs.
The Cannabis Arbitrage Deal Of The Year $SCYB #pot #swingtrading #Cannabis
The Cannabis Arbitrage Deal Of The Year $SCYB #pot #swingtrading #Cannabis https://t.co/SEASQ0kFJW
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 1, 2018
3 of the Highest Growth Stocks in the Market Today #swingtrading $SQ https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-highest-growth-stocks-market-190200998.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance
3 of the Highest Growth Stocks in the Market Today #swingtrading $SQ https://t.co/6OaZlugwOd via @YahooFinance
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 1, 2018
SQUARE (SQ) premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance. Trim in to resistance add to trade above. Updated chart. $SQ #tradealerts
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance premarket 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealerts
CRONOS (CRON) MACD cross up on 240 Min Chart with decision near on chart timing, on watch $CRON #tradealert #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
APPLE (AAPL) premarket bullish momentum with 20 MA test and 224.60 range buy sell trigger above $AAPL #swingtrading #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) trading 6.54 premarket long in to 8.09 price target, 6.16 area support. $LEVB #daytrading #swingtrade
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) continues bullish pressing upper FIB trendline, trading 159.25 targeting 166 Oct 10 $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PROQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
“U.S. stocks are extremely expensive — and were more expensive only twice in the last hundred-plus years.” https://on.mktw.net/2NVFt1y
https://twitter.com/MarketWatch/status/1046992145310191616
“In the modern era from 1988 to 2018, every single US recession was preceded by the strong relative performance of defensive stocks” https://www.businessinsider.com/next-stock-market-crash-unusual-trading-trend-could-be-signaling-meltdown-2018-9?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_content=biPrimeSelect&utm_campaign=BI%20Prime%20Weekend%202018-10-01&utm_term=BI%20Prime%20Select …
Jim Paulsen, @LeutholdGroup: "In the modern era from 1988 to 2018, every single US recession was preceded by the strong relative performance of defensive stocks" https://t.co/DkIBV2aHnp pic.twitter.com/UaVKBsamO3
— Trevor Noren (@trevornoren) October 1, 2018
The only time we’ve seen anything close to this many classic top features was the week of March 24, 2000 [Corrected chart]. Please also read recent tweet-storms, esp on importance of market internals in this half-cycle (overextended syndromes alone were strikingly useless).
The only time we've seen anything close to this many classic top features was the week of March 24, 2000 [Corrected chart]. Please also read recent tweet-storms, esp on importance of market internals in this half-cycle (overextended syndromes alone were strikingly useless). pic.twitter.com/qvD8DJ5Oj0
— John P. Hussman, Ph.D. (@hussmanjp) October 1, 2018
Through the first six months, corporate buybacks stand at $379.7 billion, a 50 percent increase from the same period in 2017.
Through the first six months, corporate buybacks stand at $379.7 billion, a 50 percent increase from the same period in 2017. https://t.co/7H7tNuXW5T
— Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) October 1, 2018
“Eight of the 9 years since 2008 has given us a rally in the 4th quarter…and the only down year (2012) only gave us a loss of 1%.” – Miller Tabak
“Eight of the 9 years since 2008 has given us a rally in the 4th quarter…and the only down year (2012) only gave us a loss of 1%.” – Miller Tabak@CNBC pic.twitter.com/kTuAozwBQ5
— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) October 1, 2018
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $DTEA $OGEN $TRPX $IGC $OMER $CRMD $NNDM $LEVB $YANG $PYX $SBGL $UGAZ $GE $TRVN $TLRY
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List : $SFIX $NBEV $ACST $YINN
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades:
Wolfe Research Starts Visteon $VC at Peerperform
Wolfe Research Starts American Axle $AXL at Outperform
Johnson Rice Upgrades National-Oilwell Varco $NOV to Buy
(6) Recent Downgrades:
Nomura downgrades MongoDB to Reduce on ‘extreme valuation’ $MDB $MSFT http://dlvr.it/Qm3JTx
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Italy, Tesla (TSLA), Square (SQ), Allergan (AGN), Oil WTI USOIL, Volatility VIX
Crude Oil Algorithm Trading Report (EPIC) w/ Gen 2 Machine Trade Tues Oct 2 FX: $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm Chart Report (EPIC) Tuesday October 2, 2018.
FX: $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP
Welcome to the oil trading algorithm report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algorithm and I am one of the seven primary Algorithmic Chart Models in development at Compound Trading Group (there are over one hundred in total in development at various stages in various markets).
NOTICES:
New members to our oil algorithm charting models, oil trade alerts and oil trading room are encouraged to on-board in a way that equips you as an oil trader for consistent profit.
Visit my public Twitter feed EPIC Oil Algorithm Twitter (@EPICtheAlgo) and review tweets over the last few months, visit our blog and review the recent crude oil trading algorithm blog posts, our You Tube channel “how my oil algorithm works”, “how to use my charting”, weekly EIA oil report videos and our website explains how the oil algorithm was developed.
Invaluable are the crude oil trade alerts (available with or without the trading room / weekly report bundle) and the private member crude oil trading chat room on Discord (included in the bundle). The live alerts are important if you are not at your trading screens 24 hours a day and the chat room allows for interactive lead trader oil trade set-ups as each oil trade approaches.
Reviewing important points of reference and engaging the subscription resources will increase your probability of success considerably. This report also includes links to some recent example “how-to” videos.
Oil Trade Coaching – We strongly suggest users of this algorithmic crude oil trading strategy opt for some level of private one-on-one coaching with our lead trader. Our lead trader is currently maintaining a crude oil trading alert win-rate of over 90% (as of Sept 2, 2018 – time-stamped, live alert, recorded).
On our website one-on-one online coaching packages are made available (coaching via Skype) or you can request a custom package reflecting the time you wish to invest in learning. To request a custom package suited to your needs email [email protected] or click here for standard private trade coaching packages. Other options for coaching include online webinars, trade coaching bootcamps and private on location (in person) coaching sessions.
Oil Trading Room – How to Use the Oil Algorithm
Oil Trading Room – How to Trade Intra-day with my Algorithmic Oil Charting
Oil Trading Alerts. Live Lead Trader Video Trading w EPIC Oil Algorithm
Recent articles from our blog about how to trade crude oil with our oil trading algorithm:
Crude Oil Trading Room – Member Oil Trade Signals / Alerts for Trading the EIA Report (w/ video)
Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech).
Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report.
“The Nut Hand” Today’s Huge Oil Trade Win. Exactly How It Was Done. How I Knew & How You Can Too.
CRITICAL Oil Trade. Weekly Timing. EPIC Oil Algorithm Channel $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO.
MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.
SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is now also in the coding phase for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process, about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and/or this blog.
HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an oil algorithm model in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency robot type algorithm – I am presented on (and used on) a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator.
The goal is to provide oil traders with a signals edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil – first with the reporting format as below, then with machine trading functions and an integrated intelligent assisted traders platform that will provide the user with various settings of automation and personal trade execution.
In the weekly report below you will find simplified levels represented on conventional and algorithmic charting for intra-day (day-trading crude oil), swing trading and investing. You will also find below introduction of our Generation 2 machine trading models.
This work (and associated trading) should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.oil related financial instruments.
Forward questions to [email protected], private message our lead trader on Twitter or in the private Discord oil trading room.
For further information this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done, this YouTube video explains in summary how my algorithm works https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUNyxFoXJp8 this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.
EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE SIGNAL (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED, ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.
Oil Algorithm Observations:
Below is a link for the live algorithmic chart of EPIC the Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (Generation 1, Version 5 including black box modeling). The charting is a real-time trading chart represented on FX $USOIL $WTI published October 2, 2018.
Per member request we will continue to post both Gen 1 and Gen 2 models (we had previously planned to discontinue including Gen 1 in weekly reporting).
Click on share button (bottom right beside flag) and when that screen opens click on “make it mine” to view real-time, make edits etc:
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Intra-day crude oil trade. Oct 2 410 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Trading #Algorithm
October 2, 2018
Generation 1 Model Oil Trading Signals
The first most predictable trade are the resistance and support cluster areas formed by long term chart trend lines (see charts that have trend-lines represented in red as made available below near bottom of this report – conventional charting trend-lines).
The second most predictable trade (wide trading range primary resistance and support that become predictable buy and sell triggers). Current algorithmic model wide trading range resistance (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 76.14 in the current trading range. Current algorithmic model wide trading range support (grey arrow – grey horizontal line) at approximately 72.55 in the current trading range – these areas are general range support and resistance areas (our algorithm uses a .15 – .20 cent buffer on either side for these trades – if that is exceeded then trading price is likely to use the line as a pivot until a directional trending trade is established).
Trading between the resistance / support horizontal grey lines is extremely profitable risk – reward if one is disciplined to the patience required and follows the trend of trade.
More recently (as of September 2018) our back-testing has shown that the support and resistance areas noted are used in trade as a decision pivot – in other words, the price tends to pivot around these decision points on the chart and coil over a period of time and then spring out of the coil in an upward or downward trend.
The lower trading range is 68.92 – 72.54 and upper trading range 76.15 – 79.74.
Third most predictable trade (support and resistance of uptrend or down trend channels). On the chart an upward trending trade channel is presented and a downward option (channel support and resistance / trading range is represented as diagonal dotted orange lines and purple arrows – as made available, assist in displaying directional trade decision areas).
Fourth most predictable trade (support and resistance of 30 min quadrants). The diagonal lines make up quadrants (in this instance on a 30 min chart) and are represented as orange diagonal lines that make up geometric diamond shapes. These lines also assist in intra-day trade.
Fifth most predictable trade (support and resistance of most applicable Fibonacci) the Fib support and resistance lines are the horizontal lines in various colors with the exception of purple and yellow (see below). These horizontal lines become support and resistance for intra-day trade.
Sixth most predictable trade (support and resistance of historical support and resistance) Natural / historical support and resistance lines shown in purple or yellow – they represent historical support and resistance. The strongest of the historical support and resistance lines are shown in yellow horizontal and are typically accompanied by a yellow arrow marker.
Seventh most predictable trade signal we use are the time and price targets (red circles). When trade is in a significant uptrend or downtrend the targets become very precise and move up the indicator priority list quick.
Tues, Wed and Fri targets are most predictable in extended multi week uptrends or downtrends. In recent time, trade could be described as range-bound.
The Eighth most predictable trade is intra-day. You will notice on some of the charting geometric shapes in green on some of my charting (at times). They are charted live in the trading room and at times the lead trader will highlight these areas intra with white outlines (typically geometric shapes such as diamonds or triangles).
Intra-day Trading Bias
Intra day bias is up as the MACD is turned up on the daily chart and this indicator is usually a leading indicator for oil trade on this time-frame.
Wide Trading Range – Buy and Sell Triggers for Swing Trading Crude Oil:
Swing trading bias / forward guidance as of Sept 24, 2018 1:16 AM EST for the near term (two week swing trade) is bullish in uptrending channels as trade bounced off range support on up-trending wedge charting.
Trade the ranges noted above between the thick grey lines (grey arrows) for the most predictable swing trades between 58.13 to 61.72, 61.72 to 65.32, 65.32 to 68.92, 68.93 to 72.54, 72.55 to 76.14 and 76.15 to 79.74. This is a highly profitable risk-reward way to trade oil if you can be patient to trigger at only the break of the wide range charting areas and are disciplined to cut a losing trade that does not prove in your anticipated trend.
Or trade the range between the channel diagonal lines at support and resistance in up or down channel (orange dotted diagonals).
Significantly more advanced trading rules will be introduced over the coming weeks with the newer Generation 2 models per below in this report.
Also, the recent trade coaching boot camp provided for excellent trading on the Friday in oil and also many other charting set-ups.
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Downtrend channel oil scenario. Oct 2 509 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen1.V5 (EPIC). Uptrend channel oil scenario. Oct 2 508 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Generation 2 Model Oil Trading Signals.
October 2 – Generation 2 model is currently in back-testing and will be released to members when available. Below are a few versions of late.
Per recent;
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V2 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 17 552 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
This is an alternate machine trading model currently in development.
Per previous;
Crude Oil Trading Algorithm. Gen2.V1 (EPIC). Machine trading intra-day. Sept 11 1246 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #Crude #Oil #Algorithm #OOTT
Generation 1 Day-trading Crude Oil 1 Minute Chart Signals
Oct 2 – Currently in updating by technician, will be added to Discord room when available.
During a squeeze trade spikes upward through the highlighted area and then rests and works its way through the next area and spikes through the next highlighted area. This does not occur in regular trade. More on this chart in our special reporting for oil trading over the coming days.
Per recent;
7:58 AM update Sept 17:
Crude Oil Day-Trading Chart Signals. 1 minute time frame. Sept 17 723 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Chart
Crude Oil Swing Trade Charting.
Monthly Oil Chart:
Crude Oil Monthly Chart testing 100 MA resistance. Oct 2 517 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Weekly Crude Oil Chart:
Crude Oil Weekly Chart Wedge. Testing resistance points on chart intra-day. Oct 2 521 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F
Per previous for reference;
1 of … Crude Oil Weekly Chart Wedge. Very bullish oil trading signal here, lower trend line held w break to upside. Sept 24 1204 AM
2 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Over 71.76 suggests 74.20 – 79.00 in to Oct 22. Sept 24 1209 AM
3 of … Crude Oil Weekly. Resistance 71.76, 74.20, 78.17, 79.00, 79.34 ish. Sept 24 1211 AM
4 of 4 … Crude Oil Weekly. If it fails for some reason, it targets 68.58 – 69.21 Oct 22. Sept 24 1215 AM
Daily Oil Chart:
Crude Oil Daily Chart, MACD trend up with price above all MA’s Oct 2 548 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart
Crude Oil Daily basic algorithmic chart model. Oct 2 536 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $CL_F #OIL #chart #algorithm
Crude Oil Daily Chart. For symmetry to remain intact 67.18 Sept 28 would have to hit. Can’t imagine how. Sept 24 1229 AM
Diagonal Trend Lines:
Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points (currently represented in red below on our conventional charting).
Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.
Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!
The diagonal trend-lines are marked on chart below:
Sept 17: Previous remains signal;
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 12 951 PM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Significant probability oil hits 79.50 ish Dec 3, 2018 ish. But over that area unlikely unless there is a geo political event. Over 79.50 the shorts would get wrecked. Low 50s most probable by 2022. Early Dec 2018 is likely the highs. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F $USO #OOTT
Oil Chart (Weekly). Oil trend lines on weekly time-frame. Aug 7 605 AM FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL
Previous posts for perspective;
Oil has now cleared every trendline resistance provided on conventional charting I’ve posted last year. $USOIL $WTI $CL_F #OOTT #OIL $USO $UWT $DWT 233 PM Jan 1
Notice when the daily chart is opened, the simple lines extend to current day trade.
Daily chart view. Simple lines show expose clusters of resistance. Crude algo intra work sheet 213 AM Apr 10 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT
Fibonacci Levels:
Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.
The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.
Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):
Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.
Horizontal trend-lines are marked on charts above.
Oil Time / Price Cycles:
Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.
Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.
The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.
So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.
Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.
If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.
Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Primary – Red dotted lines. Secondary – White dotted lines):
To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.
Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):
Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable.Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).
The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.
Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.
Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.
Recent Live Crude Oil Trade Alerts (sample signals):
Oct 2 – Recent trade alerts will be updated soon.
Aug 12 2018 – Recent trades are found in this recent report:
Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Click on feature post for recent crude oil trading alerts blog post; Oil Trading Alerts Live Video w EPIC Oil Algorithm #EIA Report #Oil #Trading #Algorithm #Alerts $USOIL $WTI $CL_F
Recent Oil Algorithm Price Target Hits:
Oct 2 – Price Target Reporting will be updated soon.
Wed 1030 EIA report lower price target a perfect hit published on weekend report. Oil Algorithm (EPIC). FX $USOIL $WTI $USO $UWT $DWT $CL_F #OIL #Algorithm #OOTT
https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/1024665109338222592
Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants (white dotted lines):
Trading quadrants are simply support and resistance lines that can assist your intra-day trading – they are not alpha or primary support and resistance by any measure. Price action does however typically move more assertively when leaving a trading quadrant.
Indicator Methods:
As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).
Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes
Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.
You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.
We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.
Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).
Conclusion:
See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first.
You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.
Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.
EPIC the Oil Algo
Subscribe to Service Here:
Standalone Crude Oil Algorithm Newsletter (member charting sent out weekly).
Real-Time Crude Oil Trading Alerts (Private Twitter feed).
Crude Oil Trading Room Bundle (includes weekly newsletter charting and real-time trading alerts on Twitter).
Commercial / Institutional Multi User License (for professional trading groups).
One-on-One Trade Coaching (Via Skype or in person).
Connect:
Register to free email list for trade set-ups, webinars, special events: https://compoundtrading.com/contact/
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Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) is rated Top 250 Stock exchanges authority, covering also Mathematical finance and Economy of the United States
Article topics: EPIC, Crude, Oil, Algorithm, Trade, Alerts, Trading Room, Chat, Charts, Signals, $USOIL, $WTI, $USO, $CL_F
PreMarket Trading Plan Mon Oct 1: NAFTA, Cannabis, Elon SEC Deal, TSLA, NBEV, GE, SQ, DIS, XBIO, CRONO more.
Compound Trading Premarket Trading Plan (Trade Alerts, Stock Market News & Chart Set-Ups) Monday October 1, 2018.
In this premarket trading edition: NAFTA, Cannabis, Elon SEC Deal, TSLA, NBEV, GE, SQ, DIS, XBIO, CRONO and more.
Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session at Compound Trading Group.
Notices:
Notes in red text in this report are more recently important.
Scheduled Events:
- Oct 1 – Lead trader booked for main trading room for market open, mid day review and futures trading this evening (as available and as market demands).
- Main live trading room is open 24 hours a day (regular sessions and futures, with 1 hour breaks every 10 hours for server reboots) live recorded trading with Lead Trader. Exceptions include; Trade Coaching Boot Camps, Special Trading Webinars or when Lead Trader is not available.
- Scheduled this week:
- New pricing published representing next generation algorithm models (existing members no change).
- Next generation algorithm models roll out (machine trading Gen 1).
- Trading Profit and Loss Published for Q1 and Q2 2018 (a report detailing trading / alert performance of our team).
- Trading Boot Camp Event videos become available on Compound Trading website.
- Previously recorded Master Class Videos will become available for download on website.
- New Trading Boot Camp Events to be announced
- 1 day Oil Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 1 day Swing Trading Bootcamp (online only)
- 3 day Trading Bootcamp November 2018 (online or in person)
- Sept 18 – Raw Trading Boot Camp Videos were emailed to members.
- Sept 18 – Previously recorded Master Class Series were emailed to members.
- Sept 14-16 Cabarete Trade Coaching Boot Camp went well, there are a series of post links on this landing page that detail what our itinerary was each day etc.
- Machine Trade Coding Team Mandates: In current development and roll-out has commenced (1) Intelligent Assisted #IA Trading Platform (Code Algorithm Models), (2) Operate 24 Hour Crypto Trading Desk, (3) Alert Trade Set-ups to Member Alert Feeds (for all models) and (4) Machine Learning.
Premarket Report: On lead trader availability basis only (the pre-market reports are not published every market day).
Private Member Discord Server Chat Rooms: BE SURE to get in to each private Discord server specific to your specific subscription type (bundles) – many of the updates as we go forward will be posted in there and detailed trading plans for alerted trades are often discussed by our lead trader in the rooms. This includes the SWING TRADING platform also. IF YOU NEED A LINK / INVITE email us.
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/880670140454637569
Real-time Trade Alerts:
Real-time Trade Alerts for Oil, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Bitcoin are available to subscribers by following specific alert Twitter feeds.
Oil Trading Alerts, Swing Trading Alerts, Day Trading Alerts, Bitcoin Trading Alerts.
Disclaimer / Disclosure, Terms of Use:
Blog / Video / Social Posts / Learn to Trade:
#BitcoinTrading 101: A Beginner’s Guide to Getting Started $BTCUSD $XBTUSD $BTC https://compoundtrading.com/bitcointrading-101-beginners-guide-getting-started-btcusd-xbtusd-btc/ …
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/927397024315662336
How to Use EPIC Oil Algorithm: $USOIL, $WTI, $CL_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, #OIL, #OOTT: http://youtu.be/hawVV31G9bg?a via @YouTube
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889148655785177088
How to Use ROSIE Gold Algorithm: #GOLD, $GLD, $XAUUSD, $GDX, $GDXJ, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST
https://twitter.com/CompoundTrading/status/889147527278333952
Some Recent Chart / Trade Set-Up Reports:
See YouTube, member email direct reports and blog for other recent videos or blog posts. Listed from most recent. Much of the premium member reporting posted below is delayed and may or may not require password.
Sept 17 – Protected: Trade Alerts (w/ video): $VIX $WTI $CL_F $PROQR $CARA $BOX $BABA $SSW $SPY $FB $SENS
Sept 5 – Day Trading and Swing Trading CRONOS GROUP Inc. (CRON)
Aug 16 – Oil Trade Alerts: How We Knew Where Oil Sell-Off Bottom Was in Advance. Crude Oil Trading Strategy.
Aug 12 – Crude Oil Trading Face-Off Results “Pro Trader” (Man) vs. EPIC Oil Algorithm (Machine Trading Tech)
Recent Educational Articles / Videos:
I get a lot of Q’s on How to Trade our models, this vid has 5 min explanation at 1:00 min-6:00 min. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrXbE7lojAg&t=3s … – Fib Trendlines, Trading structure/quads, Price targets, Main support resistance (buy sell triggers), Time cycles, Moving averages, Trading trims/adds.
Trading Plan / Watch Lists. Morning Momentum / Gaps / News / PR / IPO / SEC Filings / Earnings Stocks on Watch:
SQUARE (SQ) swing trade is performing well in continuation of trajectory on chart – premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance from our 89.00 entry. Trim in to resistance add to trade above (if you are trimming at each resistance). The updated chart is below.
Per last week: The Square $SQ trade from yesterday is going well, trading 96.30 in premarket today with a swing trade entry at 89.00 and looking for more legs in this trade (see Square $SQ feature post and video).
Oil trading plan is similar to last week, I am looking for a trade at / near bottom channel support. Last week it did hit near lower channel support at 71.85 FX USOIL WTI at around 8:30 AM Sept 28 and then took off (no execution), currently trading near upper channel resistance. I will do more day trading again also with oil.
Per last week: Today is EIA Petroleum Report day at 10:30 AM. Looking for a large swing trade in oil (see feature report sent to members last night).
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance area pre-market 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS. Good timing on this trade.
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO. Will only consider a smaller size but will consider another trade. This could be a bottoming pattern setting up. Yet to be seen though.
Bitcoin, the bottoming pattern continues, convinced that 5800 area is most probable bottom (alerted numerous times prior to it trading anywhere near there). Bottom line is that we’re expecting to trade it actively soon going in to Dec 24 time cycle peak and in to 1st Q 2019 aggressive.
Below are some trade position notes from recent weeks if you didn’t catch them;
Still watching the week set-up, I expect a significant oil size trade (swing and intra-day) very near, in a new Disney $DIS trade, the $XBIO set-up was awesome and there’s a number of others we are working on.
BTW the Bitcoin $BTC trade will be big soon, the charting is setting up, we will be updating members on the inflection move prior. We expect up, but we will be alerting the BTC set-up for both scenarios.
Have a swing trade in $CRON that is going well, trimming and adding per chart model that has been a great help.
Have a swing trade in $BABA under water on 1 1/10 sizing entry, watching for adds.
Really like $FB snap-back set-up here, watching the 50 MA overhead on the chart model, it keeps paying every time we trade it.
Also really like $NFLX set-up here, it has been a regular and consistent pay day with the simple chart model dialed in.
Oil I’ve missed a few sweet spots this week but continue to watch, not every trader can be on top of every instrument 100% of the time (I keep telling myself haha). Anyway, I’ll start hitting it out of the park again with patience. Hopefully today a set-up on the EPIC model allows some size.
SHOPIFY $SHOP has been a great set-up for a possible break upside the quad time cycle peak, support has held well for traders that have taken longs on the set-up. It could blow through the top of that quad on the time cycle peak coming, if it does it will be a significant extension up.
$NBEV trade has been fantastic, paying the bills for sure. Chart resistance and support areas worked well. Trade alert was good on NBEV.
$GTHX is a tad wild but managed well it has been a good trade for us.
And $AGN of course continues to pay on large sizing with trims and adds from the charting and trade plans published over last number of weeks.
Watching $BKRS for a long, looks decent for a swing trade.
Market Observation:
Markets as of 7:18 AM: US Dollar $DXY trading 95.13, Oil FX $USOIL ($WTI) trading 73.42, Gold $GLD trading 1186.12, Silver $SLV trading 14.53, $SPY 292.48 (premarket trade), Bitcoin $BTC.X $BTCUSD $XBTUSD 6573.00 and $VIX trading 11.8.
Momentum Stocks / Gaps to Watch:
New Ages Beverages bid up 17% https://seekingalpha.com/news/3393975-new-ages-beverages-bid-17-percent?source=feed_f … #premarket $NBEV
Your Monday morning Wake Up Call:
#Tesla holders rejoice their CEO reached a settlement with the SEC, meanwhile, the company’s update on Q3 deliveries is due sometime early this week.
Consensus estimates are for 80K deliveries, including about 52K Model 3s. $TSLA
Your Monday morning Wake Up Call:#Tesla holders rejoice their CEO reached a settlement with the SEC, meanwhile, the company's update on Q3 deliveries is due sometime early this week.
Consensus estimates are for 80K deliveries, including about 52K Model 3s. $TSLA
— Benzinga (@Benzinga) October 1, 2018
Shares in Tesla rise more than $50, almost 19%, in pre-market trading https://bloom.bg/2DIinGQ $TSLA #premarket #swingtrading
Shares in Tesla rise more than $50, almost 19%, in pre-market trading https://t.co/dHZ2HFe5KU pic.twitter.com/4PyqE8FG8c
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) October 1, 2018
Shares in GE continue to surge in pre-market treading following the announcement of a new CEO https://bloom.bg/2DISeYz
Shares in GE continue to surge in pre-market treading following the announcement of a new CEO https://t.co/evehvFP8a8 pic.twitter.com/1iTdE24dGH
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) October 1, 2018
News:
Viking Therapeutics stock jumps 4.8% premarket on news of positive trial results
$AGLE FDA Grants Rare Pediatric Disease Designation to Pegzilarginase for Arginase 1 Deficiency
$CORT Receives Orphan Drug Designation for Relacorilant as Treatment for Pancreatic Cancer.
Recent SEC Filings / Insiders:
Recent IPO’s:
$SVMK SurveyMonkey IPO is bigger than expected https://www.marketwatch.com/story/surveymonkey-ipo-is-bigger-than-expected-2018-09-25?mod=mw_share_twitter
Elastic sets IPO terms to raise up to $203 million, to be valued at up to $2 billion
$BNGO REMINDER: Analyst IPO Quiet Period Expiration Today for BioNano Genomics
Ticketing company Eventbrite prices IPO at $23 to raise $230 million
Earnings:
Cal-Maine misses profit and sales expectations, dividend drops from previous quarter
#earnings for the week
$COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN
#earnings for the week $COST $SFIX $PEP $STZ $SGH $PAYX $LEN $CALM $AYI $LW $SNX $RPM $PIR $ISCA $NG $LNDC $RECN https://t.co/r57QUKKDXL https://t.co/PJ2ABTMR7h
— Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) October 1, 2018
Trade Set-up Alerts, Charts & Reports. Recent / Current Holds, Trade Alerts, Open and Closed Trades:
Please refer to the date at top left of each chart (charts are often carried forward for some time). Trade alerts and stock chart set-ups should be traded as decision to decision process – when the trade set-up fails cut your position fast. Leg in to the winners at key resistance and support (at retracement or breach) and exit the losers fast based on technical support and resistance. Not all set-ups work, the purpose of technical analysis is to provide the framework for your trade (the chart structure enables the trader to set stops where a trade is a failed trade and leg in to winners and trim winners per the chart). The purpose of trade alerts is to bring awareness of the trade set-up in play but you have to execute the trade based on your trading strategy that should be harnessed in your rules based process.
The Cannabis Arbitrage Deal Of The Year $SCYB #pot #swingtrading #Cannabis
The Cannabis Arbitrage Deal Of The Year $SCYB #pot #swingtrading #Cannabis https://t.co/SEASQ0kFJW
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 1, 2018
3 of the Highest Growth Stocks in the Market Today #swingtrading $SQ https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-highest-growth-stocks-market-190200998.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw … via @YahooFinance
3 of the Highest Growth Stocks in the Market Today #swingtrading $SQ https://t.co/6OaZlugwOd via @YahooFinance
— Swing Trading (@swingtrading_ct) October 1, 2018
SQUARE (SQ) premarket trading 101.20 near 102.00 resistance. Trim in to resistance add to trade above. Updated chart. $SQ #tradealerts
DISNEY (DIS) swing trade doing well, in to resistance premarket 117.17, trim in to add above $DIS #swingtrading #tradealerts
XENETIC BIOSCIENCES (XBIO) held a key support area on Friday. On watch for a trade over 3.25 $XBIO #swingtrading #tradealerts
CRONOS (CRON) MACD cross up on 240 Min Chart with decision near on chart timing, on watch $CRON #tradealert #swingtrading
TESLA (TSLA) Upper and lower price targets in to next time cycle nearing $TSLA #tradealerts #swingtrading
– Tesla’s faithful flood showrooms as carmaker pushes for profit.
– Elon Musk told employees that hectic weekend would end in victory.
– Tesla's faithful flood showrooms as carmaker pushes for profit.
– Elon Musk told employees that hectic weekend would end in victory.https://t.co/42zskaCK7W— NDTV Profit (@NDTVProfitIndia) October 1, 2018
ADVANCED MICRO (AMD) hit key resistance at mid quad and came off now near a support, some members in this play toward price target #swingtrading #tradealerts
APPLE (AAPL) premarket bullish momentum with 20 MA test and 224.60 range buy sell trigger above $AAPL #swingtrading #tradealerts
FACEBOOK (FB) premarket up over 50 MA on 240 min chart, watch 167.60 resistance overhead $FB #swingtrade #tradealerts
ALIBABA (BABA) bullish up 2% intra day, holding support of trading range well. Trim in to resistance add above. $BABA #tradealerts #swingtrade
CARA THERAPEUTICS (CARA) Nice swing trade from trading bootcamp in to next leg at resistance intra day $CARA #swingtrade #tradealert
OSI SYSTEMS (OSIS) Trading 77.55 testing 50 MA and key Fib resistance, over targets 84.21 Dec 28, 18 $OSIS #tradealerts #swingtrading
BALLARD POWER (BLDP) Five out of five of the last major time cycles price reversed, Oct 10 is next time cycle peak. $BLDP #swingtrading #tradealerts
LEVEL BRANDS (LEVB) trading 6.54 premarket long in to 8.09 price target, 6.16 area support. $LEVB #daytrading #swingtrade
EDITAS MEDICINE (EDIT) Bounce at 50 MA over mid quad resistance 200 MA res next Sept 24 price target in sight. $EDIT #swingtrade #tradingalert
NETFLIX (NFLX) perfect turn at previous alerted trendline support 309.54, cleared 313.52 res (red blue) 338.66 mid quad bounce $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) Part 2 – past 361.91 key resistance, over 200 MA 380 mid quad resistance on deck trading 372.11 $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealerts
NETFLIX (NFLX) PT 3 over 380 mid quad resistance, targets 395.57 trendline (gray dotted) 398.20 red blue key resistance $NFLX #swingtrading #tradealert
ROKU INC (ROKU) At resistance 73.55 area, above 73.70 targets 77.80 next. Trim in add above. $ROKU #swingtrde #daytrading
SHOPIFY (SHOP) continues bullish pressing upper FIB trendline, trading 159.25 targeting 166 Oct 10 $SHOP #tradealerts #swingtrading
22nd Century Group (XXII) over 2.85 targets 3.09 then 3.53 Nov 19 time cycle. $XXII #tradealerts #swingtrading
MOMO Inc. from Trading BootCamp over 48.50 targets 49.66 50.46 51.42 65.57 Feb 5 #swingtrading #tradealerts
G1 THERAPEUTICS (GTHX) at intra day model support, could bounce here targets near 70 first if so $GTHX #tradealerts
US Dollar Index (DXY) Algorithm support area test 94.50, 94.04 break bounce area $DXY $UUP #USD #tradingalerts
BOX INC (BOX) Box testing support, short under red box support, down side targets at arrows in sell-off $BOX #Swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
PROQR THERAPEUTICS (PROQR) Bounced at support range (box) now at key res, over 22.70 targets 24.85 fast then 27.55 $PRQR #swingtrading #daytrade #tradealerts
ALLERGAN (AGN) Chart structure reversal in to channel following call perfectly at this point. $AGN #swingtrading #chart
ARROWHEAD PHARMA (ARWR) Upper parallel trending channel per previoys clearly in play at this point. $ARWR #swingtrading #daytrading #chart
VOLATILITY (VIX) So we have a MACD turn up on weekly chart structure, Stoch RSI SQZMOM up, 20s possible Oct 1. $VIX $TVIX $UVXY #volatility #chart
BITCOIN (BTC) Wedge chart pattern on daily time-frame chart. $BTC $XBT $XBTUSD #Bitcoin #Chart
Market Outlook, Market News and Social Bits From Around the Internet:
our Monday morning Speed Read:
– Stock futures 🚀higher on news the U.S., Canada & Mexico reached a trade deal $SPY $EWW $EWC
– U.S. purchasing managers index (PMI) data at 10am ET
– Elon Musk reportedly banned from tweeting Tesla news w/out an ok from the company lawyer $TSLA
Your Monday morning Speed Read:
– Stock futures 🚀higher on news the U.S., Canada & Mexico reached a trade deal $SPY $EWW $EWC
– U.S. purchasing managers index (PMI) data at 10am ET
– Elon Musk reportedly banned from tweeting Tesla news w/out an ok from the company lawyer $TSLA— Benzinga (@Benzinga) October 1, 2018
#5things
-North America trade deal
-Musk settles
-Italian risk
-Markets rise
-Coming up…
https://bloom.bg/2DSHs26
U.S. and Canada forge a last-gasp deal to salvage NAFTA as a trilateral pact with Mexico https://reut.rs/2N9Q1os
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1046727441354563584
Gerald Celente – Economic Meltdown Worse Than Great Depression Coming
If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, the Compound Trading YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect the math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80%+ all publicly posted live trade alerts).
Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):
I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid much of the day trading risk (preferring to daytrade only what is structurally set-up also on the swing trade side and to my advantage in the algorithmic model charting). I often avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks or structured (per explanation in previous sentence) stocks later in day after a wash-out looking for a snap-back trade that can possibly also become a strong swing or longer term trade that I can leg in to. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).
Some of my Favorite Intra-day Trading Set-Ups:
(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Charting Model Set-Ups.
The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.
Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:
(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $ACST $SYN $MTNB $TSLA $LEVB $NBEV $OGEN $IRDM $GE $IGC $CRMD $MTSL $ALT $AMRN $TLRY
(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List :
(3) Other Watch-List:
(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWT, $DWT, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY), $BTCUSD Bitcoin.
(5) Recent Upgrades: $VIAV $BCS $ICPT $STOR $ALVR $BIIB $EWBC $MTB $UPS $LOGM $APO $TEVA $ENTG
BMO Capital Downgrades The Chefs’ Warehouse, Inc $CHEF to Market Perform
J.B. Hunt Transport Services $JBHT PT Raised to $151 at Credit Suisse
(6) Recent Downgrades: $INTC $TI $BUD $AMD $CIEN $ALV $MEI $TEL $CHEF $FFIV $REVG $WDC $LRCX $INFN $CMG $AMAT $SHLO $DLPH $VEEV $PAYC
RBC Capital Downgrades CAPREIT (CAR-U:CN) to Sector Perform
Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.
Study:
For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.
Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).
http://finviz.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
http://www.highshortinterest.com/
http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php
http://www.3xetf.com/all/
http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs
GL!
Curtis
Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $BTC (@CryptotheAlgo) $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our Swing Trading Twitter feed is found here: https://twitter.com/swingtrading_ct. Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly
Article Topics: Premarket, Stocks, Trading Plan, Trade Alerts, Trading Room, Swing Trading, Day Trading, NAFTA, Cannabis, Elon SEC Deal, TSLA, NBEV, GE, SQ, DIS, XBIO, CRONO