December 2016 - Page 7 of 8 - Compound Trading

Dec 2016

Oil Trading Chart Blog Update Wed Dec 7 Crude Oil Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL)

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) $CL_F, $UCO, $USO, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWTI, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Targets, Trading Edge, Trading Room, UWTI Epic the Algo

Wednesday Dec 7, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Public Edition).

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

NEW: The post below is the public edition (it includes some traditional charting) – members propreitary algorithm edition will be delivered to your emal inbox within one hour or see link at bottom of post (if available yet) for member only area that adds to this post which includes the proprietary components of my algorithm; 1. Alpha Algo price / time targets, 2. Alpha Algo trend-lines, 3. Oil Time / Price Cycle Terminations and 4. Intra-Day Trading Algo Quadrants (when available).

NEW: Starting mid December the Member Editions will become available (be unlocked to general public) within about ten days of original publication so folks that are considering subscriptions can evaluate my value.

NEW: Institutional platform now available for multi-users – pricing and product information will be posted to website soon.

NEW: Live charting for members of my algorithmic modelling is now available on Trading View. Links are now emailed to members regularly.

PATENT PHASE: As I mentioned in my last report this week is a big week for me – I am going to go to patent phase. I have six months of proven predictability of over 90%. My process is proprietary and qualifies for patent. The charting for members will become much more involved over the coming weeks (specific to proprietary details). Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADING ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures sometime in Jan 2017. My sub service w incl 24hr crude oil trade room.

PRICING: Myy proprietary services transitioned recently from free inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent roll-ver existing members wll be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators – weighted. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional trading chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered only one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

IMPORTANT NOTE: If you do not invest the time to review at least the last few of my oil reports on this blog, our website pages (as it applies to my algorithm) and my Twitter feed (which all-in will take you at most an hour to catch up and also understand how my algorithm works) this report will be of no good to you. The reports are a running story and just one post won’t do it – there is zero benefit.

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 50.67 (126 AM ET Dec 7, 2016). Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance you trading edge (advance algorithmic modeling in member edition);

Currently trading at 50.67 – crude held its current intra trading range.

Per yesterday:

Above 51.90 watch for a break-out (best to let it retest support at 51.75 before going long and best to let it test resistance at 50.44 or even 49.46 “the yellow lines” if it breaks down below that before going short). You can use your indicators below (on the charting) for intra snipes.

https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo/status/806389294151696384

Multi Week Trading Range / Swings:

Per yesterday:

Your primary pivot areas for swing trading crude are at the multi week low around 42.46 (bottom yellow line – be careful with misreading the white numbers on side of chart in purple they don’t represent price at that level) and the top side of your mutli week trading range is around 51.90. Shorting below 51.90 considering crude oil recent rally does not represent good probability. Long at the bottom of the range represents excellent probability.

Trade the outside range for highest probability. Crude algo intra work sheet 154 AM Dec 7 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

You can see how the price action in this chart is affected by the trend lines (algorithmic charting has considerable more detail for advance preparation – the trader’s edge is increased knowig where they are in advance and in relation to upcoming alpha algo targets and alpha algo trend-lines).

Diagonal Trend Lines, Crude Oil, Trading, Chart

Diagonal Trend-Lines are critical in oil trade. Crude algo intra work sheet 200 AM Dec 7 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Price Action With 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

How crude price reacts to 20 50 100 200 MA on 3 min. We work with members intensely in room on how to let the MA’s set-up properly on different time-frames to enter long positions and short.

How crude price reacts to 20 50 100 200 MA on 3 min. Crude algo intra work sheet 209 AM Dec 7 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Fibonacci Levels:

Per yesterday:

The fib level is important above 51.75 because that puts the trading price in to possible break-out territory. Your full extension above there is 55.99 on the fib. A break down of 50.44 and you would want to see if the next at 49.12 holds and so – on. In a break down you want to wait for next Fib level to hold and if triggering a long trade wait for price – trigger – power – trade. In other words, wait for a re-test of the support or if it doesn’t retest wait for the price to prove itself by being higher than the most recent high on the 1 min, 3 min, 5 min etc intra trading. If you do not know how to trigger trades based on price – trigger – power – trade disciplines it is best to research online or sign up here or somewhere for some private coaching. This discipline with intra-day trading is critical.

Intra fibonacci levels to watch. Crude algo intra work sheet 217 AM Dec 7 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple).

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Included in Member Edition (available within an hour of this public post).

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Edition.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Edition.

I can however report that the price action since Nov 30 break-out has been respecting the alpha algo trend-lines calculated and published over a week ago with precision.

Current Alpha Algo Targets:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Edition.

I can however report that the alpha algo primary probability target prediction from last week for Tuesday December 6 at 16:30 came within a few cents of price action for that time / price cycle. Very tradeable call to say the least.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Edition.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you undersatnd the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” within a day or so, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets

Dec 2016

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Tuesday Dec 6 $NVCN, $DRYS, $JDST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $UCO, $ATW, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

I got an exit on my $JDST swing from Monday.

From Monday:

I took a late day $JDST long entry (which is tough because they’re buying the dips in $GOLD now but I see $USD/JPY not quite done – we’ll see – likely overtrading).

$JDST Overnight worked in and out

I am still holding $JUNO and $CBMX. $JUNO I’ll likely re-hit. When I trade a wash-out as a swing I’m prepared for a 1000 then 3000 then 5000 ish entry as pull backs occur (you” see this if you follow my trades). My video series on our You Tube channel of the $SKLN trade covers it in detail (really raw). Which by the way I have $SKLN on watch again here too.

$CBMX Swing – conviction trade vs. snipe gets me 10% today – holding

$JUNO A washout swing I’m in that I just about hit for 3x today but didn’t. Holding.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

$JDST I sold a tad early (a habit I need to break and refine)… but a profit is just that (same story as $SGY on Monday). My original entries did not give me a 4 to 1 minimum risk reward. They are starting to buy the $GOLD dips instead of selling the rips so my $JDST risk-reward potential WAS NOT 4 to 1 (in a high probability way) which (as noted yesterday) breaks a primary trading rule.

$CBMX swing go a nice 10% pop today and $JUNO had some down draft but you’ll see the instutional guys hammer down.

My $UCO trade was tight – didn’t see the pop in Oil I though we’d see. And as was my $DRYS and $ATW entries.

Today was a day I should have caught the momos… ESPECIALLY $NVCN IT WAS ON MY PREMARKET WATCHLIST!!!

$NVCN Crazy momentum stock straight from the watchlist this morning! Wow.

Looking Forward:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Still on my watch are; emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT and others are setting up. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS hit resistance and it showed so watching $DGAZ and $UGAZ on the break-out side. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY will do.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:48 am Curtis M : Gainers: $TXMD 31%, $HTBX 23%, $IL 15%, $PPHM 10%, $MEMP $VKTX $NVCN $SAGE $UGAZ $IPDN $DEPO $BOIL $ENPH $NVLS $IMMU $COUP

10:06 am Curtis M : Sartaj is moving people between rooms so don’t sweat it if you\’re moved. All looks the same anyway. Were getting ready for multiple rooms.

11:59 am Curtis M : On lunch – back at 12:45 EST. Sartaj is moving blocks of people between rooms so don’t sweat it if you\’re moved. All looks the same anyway. Were getting ready for multiple rooms.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:03 am Curtis M : Active momo $TXMD $IL $DRYS $SAGE $IPDN $DEPO $COUP $CLNE $DB $IMMU $CLLS $CONE $GOGL
09:22 am Curtis M : $RCON $TXMD $HTBX $IL $NVCN $VKTX $DRYS $SAGE $IMMU $NVLS $COUP $ENPH $ESEA
09:25 am Curtis M : Not excited about premarket momos fyi I may focus on oil gold natgas spy etc at open
09:39 am Curtis M : running scans
09:49 am Mathew Waterfall : Out of my JNUG calls. small win but would rather take risk off there
09:52 am Curtis M : Long $UCO 10.79 starter 1000 shares swing
09:53 am Curtis M : I’ll scales in at 3000 then 6000 if trend is on my side $UCO
09:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Hitting next week MGM 30’s Breaking upside resistance
09:55 am Curtis M : Sartaj is moving people between rooms so don’t sweat it if you’re moved. All looks the same anyway. Were getting ready for multiple rooms.
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Also reloading a small position in CLF on daily weakness. Jan17 12c’s
10:25 am Curtis M : Sartaj is moving people between rooms so don’t sweat it if you’re moved. All looks the same anyway. Were getting ready for multiple rooms.
10:25 am Curtis M : I had a cuple people moved to another room DM me so thats why I will repost notice as the day goes on FYI
10:40 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $KLIC $MAR $PJT
10:40 am Curtis M : New 52wk Lows: $GALE
10:46 am Curtis M : JUST IN: European Union clears Microsoft’s $26B buyout of LinkedIn with conditions. $LNKD $MSFT
10:56 am Curtis M : Scaling in another 5000 $UCO off the $USOIL $WTIC intra OIL bottom – add to 1000 intra
11:00 am garreed e : .
11:00 am Curtis M : Looks like a back test
11:02 am Curtis M : Long $UCO 10.79 starter 1000 shares swing from earlier entry and looking to scale in another 5000 here soon
11:37 am Curtis M : $DRYS
11:37 am Curtis M : $DRYS 13%
11:48 am Mathew Waterfall : Pretty quiet day overall. I think between now and year end things will remain fairly calm barring some actionable event. Hopefully we can mix that with some year end window dressing and get a melt up going
11:49 am Curtis M : $DRYS HOD + 2.13%
11:51 am Curtis M : $SHP sorry
11:51 am Curtis M : $SHIP HOD
11:59 am Curtis M : Sartaj is moving people between rooms so don’t sweat it if you’re moved. All looks the same anyway. Were getting ready for multiple rooms.
12:57 pm Curtis M : back for afternon session
01:01 pm Curtis M : $JDST out 34.36 ish
01:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : MNKD Crushing it today. Picked up a few common’s to play against yearly low. A couple points of resistance between here and $1 but it should move
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : The yearly chart is nuts
01:08 pm Curtis M : Long $DRYS 5.026 1000 shares scale at 5k then 10k if it goes my way tight leash pray
01:12 pm Curtis M : Out 5.50 gonna re-enter $DRYS
01:13 pm Curtis M : 5.05 sorry
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : DNAI longer term hold IMO. I have a couple shares but looking for 2+ in the coming weeks
01:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : NFLX crushing
01:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : CLF also acting better along with XOM went red/green
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : MGM HOD. Calls working there nicely.
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : hahaha I’ve been told that I have a face for radio…
01:59 pm Curtis M : 133% $NVCN
02:14 pm Curtis M : Long $ATW 2000 at 11.339 – out flat
02:27 pm Curtis M : $NFLX
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looking for some rotation into tech and possibly let fins cool off a bit. Running hard into the rate hike might not leave much on the table for afterwards
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gotta run early again today. See ya tomorrow AM. Make some $$$
02:31 pm Curtis M : cya
02:31 pm Curtis M : thanks
02:32 pm HighTimes Now : bye Mathew
02:50 pm Curtis M : Leaderboard $NVCN +96% $RXII +53% $CRDS + 25% $FRBK 24% $IPI + 19%
03:25 pm Curtis M : Out $UCO small gain
03:25 pm Curtis M : Im done for day – se ya tomorrow – I’ll leave room open till market close at 4 EST

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SKLN, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DRYS, $JDST, $ATW, $UCO, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC

Dec 2016

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Dec 6, 2016 in Chatroom. $TXMD, $NVCN, $EEM $LPCN $DVAX $DNAI $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Tueday Wall Street trading short day session!

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $TXMD $NVCN $UGAZ $DEPO $REXX $DRYS $BOIL $ENPH $SAGE $ESEA $P $UNG $HSBC $RBS $EYEG $DB I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

From last night’s trading results:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Bios coiled hard this morning. Emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT and others are setting up. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS is getting close to resistance. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY will do.

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: As pre previous…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Looking for an entry a full levels down 12.2 long.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

US Dollar may come off in to downtrend soon – seeing some areas of global markets that are becoming interesting here. Watch emerging markets close too!

Pre previous: Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Waiting for a long trade confirmation. I am currently in $JDST which wasn’t the best idea considering the are buying the dips in Gold and selling the rips (per post market blog post yesterday).

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Per previous;

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Crude is trading within its range. Until it breaks its recent highs it isn’t bullish and until it breaks its recent lows – same thing. So I will trade the range if at all.

Outlook: Per previous – trading range.

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

I put out a tweet yesterday and mentioned in room it was getting in to resistance and it has come off a bit here – it will be interesting to see if it gets up and over.

$NATGAS Resistance

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $TXMD, $NVCN, $EEM ,$LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

Dec 2016

Member Edition – Oil Trading Update Tues Dec 6 Crude Oil Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL)

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) $CL_F, $UCO, $USO, Algo, Algorithm, Chart, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, DWTI, EPIC the Oil Algo, Fibonacci, Indicators, Member Edition, Targets, Trading Edge, Trading Room, UWTI Epic the Algo

Tuesday Dec 6, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition).

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI member edition oil trade report.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

NEW: The post below is the public version (it includes some traditional charting) – members propreitary algorithm edition will be delivered to your emal inbox within one hour or see link at bottom of post (if available yet) for member only area that adds to this post which includes the proprietary components of my algorithm; 1. Alpha Algo price / time targets, 2. Alpha Algo trend-lines, 3. Oil Time / Price Cycle Terminations and 4. Intra-Day Trading Algo Quadrants (when available).

NEW: Live charting for members of my algorithmic modelling is now available on TradingView. Links are now emailed to members regularly.

24 HOUR TRADING ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures sometime in Jan 2017. My sub service w incl 24hr crude oil trade room.

PRICING: Monday my proprietary services transitioned from free inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent roll-ver existing members wll be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators weighted. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional trading chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

IMPORTANT NOTE: If you do not invest the time to review at least the last few of my oil reports on this blog, our website (as it applies to my algorithm) and my Twitter feed (which all in will take you at most an hour to catch up and also understand how my algorithm works) this report will be of no good to you. The reports are a running story and just one post won’t do it – there is zero benefit.

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 51.40 (5:50 AM ET Dec 6, 2016). Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

Trading intra-day 51.40 up .89% Crude algo intra work sheet 550 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Currently trading at 51.40 – crude held its current intra trading range. Above 51.90 watch for a break-out (best to let it retest support at 51.75 before going long and best to let it test resistance at 50.44 or even 49.46 “the yellow lines” if it breaks down below that before going short). You can use your indicators below (on the charting) for intra snipes.

Multi Week Trading Range / Swings:

Your primary pivot areas for swing trading crude are at the multi week low around 42.46 (bottom yellow line – be careful with misreading the white numbers on side of chart in purple they don’t represent price at that level) and the top side of your mutli week trading range is around 51.90. Shorting below 51.90 considering crude oil recent rally does not represent good probability. Long at the bottom of the range represents excellent probability.

And then you have a diagonal up-trending wedge you can follow also swings – your probability of success goes way up taking long positions at bottom of this wedge (intra-day at 46.34 and rising refer to yesterdays chart) and short positions at top of wedge (however, depending on your time-frame considering oil is in a rally a short may not be the best play here). You as a trader have to determine your time-frame and trade accordingly.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal Trend-Line breach and next support (blue). Crude algo intra work sheet 609 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Diagonal Trend-Line breach and next support (blue). Crude algo intra work sheet 609 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Crude oil has reacted negatively to the 200 MA on the 1 HR in recent month trading. As long as it is above the 200 MA we consider it one of many bullish indicators.

It is currently trading just above it!!! Caution. Lost 200 MA for a while yesterday at 2 PM and regained it when price hit lower diagonal trend line. Barely above it now.

Above 200 MA on 1HR (purple – white arrows). Crude algo intra work sheet 620 AM Dec 6 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Fibonacci Levels:

See chart in yesterday’s member post.

The fib level is important above 51.75 because that puts the trading price in to possible break-out territory. Your full extension above there is 55.99 on the fib. A break down of 50.44 and you would want to see if the next at 49.12 holds and so – on. In a break down you want to wait for next Fib level to hold and if triggering a long trade wait for price – trigger – power – trade. In other words, wait for a re-test of the support or if it doesn’t retest wait for the price to prove itself by being higher than the most recent high on the 1 min, 3 min, 5 min etc intra trading. If you do not know how to trigger trades based on price – trigger – power – trade disciplines it is best to research online or sign up here or somewhere for some private coaching. This discipline with intra-day trading is critical.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple).

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come of previous time / price cycles). Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trendlines acting as support (purple – white arrows). Crude algo intra work sheet 620 AM Dec 6 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Advanced Charting:

Looking at this chart from a wider perspective…. it is important to understand that crude is not a long until those upper range resistance lines are broken (yellow lines diagonal and horizontal on the chart) and is not in a downtrend until the lower yellow support lines are broken. Until then you are trading in the range. The machines are respecting the lines and the alpha algo targets are in play. So trade the range – take longs at the bottom of the range and shorts at the top of the range (however, undertand that short positions are not as probable because the overall trend mid cycle is up). There is an alpha algo line (orange arrow) that extends almost straight up (parabolic) above resistance that should there be another price break-out that would be your alpha price trendline to follow. Notice how the current price is following the current alpha algo line that was calculated early in this time / price cycle.

Wide View. Crude algo intra work sheet 720 AM Dec 6 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

There are no new time / price cycles in play since the last post. However, this can change at any time and we will notify you of this if it occurs.

There is (I should mention) a small one terminating right now – but it is calculated as a 1 in 5 (so very low probability).

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines:

The current price action is proving that the current algo line is alpha – you will find price will return to this line regularly – if it vacates the line (red dotted ones) then look to next nearest line to become alpha and consider that where price is most lkely to trade near. Again, if this changes we will alert you. See your chart above for the current lines.

Current Alpha Algo Targets:

The highest probability target you have for Dec 6 at 51.34 IS IN PLAY!

From last member post:

All current targets are soft targets. In other words, when the price of crude changes trading ranges it takes time for the algorithm to calculate new targets. Early on in the price and time cycle you will find the probabilities much less and as time goes on in the time / price cycle the algorithm will give you much higher probabilities of targets being hit. There are usually a number of targets published and each is given a probability of a hit (how many times out of 100). You can use these targets to trade against and determine your risk -reward accordingly. Here again I recommend you review my Twitter feed, my story and my recent blog posts to see how I publish targets along with probabilities (more information below on algo targets).

Below are this weeks targets. They are extremely soft because the new alpha algo targets are in early progression in this new time / price cycle. Use extreme caution until the targets become more clear – Updates will follow as this time cycle progresses.

Dec 6 4:30 PM – 48.30 (17%), 51.34 (24%), 52.38 (15%)

Dec 7 10:30 AM – 48.34 (16%), 51.57 (22%), 52.86 (12%)

Dec 9 1:00 PM – 48.87 (14%), 52.30 (19%), 53.47 (8%)

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

We are waiting for the completion of Tues 4:30 Wed 10:30 at minimum before publishing these – they become locked in at certain points in time / price cycle – we expect after 10:30 AM Wed we will have them locked in to this time / price cycle so they are predictable for your intra day sniping (if you do that).

Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo algo and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and why they move from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading oil.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance and price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room and reviewing my Twitter feed posts and previous blogs will help you with how to use these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on You Tube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money. We also recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” within a day or so, but it will be simply be a revamp (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically.

I suppose also when the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets, Member Edition

Dec 2016

Oil Trading Chart Blog Update Tues Dec 6 Crude Oil Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL)

Tuesday Dec 6, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report.

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI Public Edition oil trade report.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

NEW: Starting Dec 16 ish the Member Only Editions will become available (be unlocked) within about ten days of original publication so folks that are considering subscriptions can evaluate my value.

NEW: Institutional platform now available for multi-users – pricing and product information will be posted to website soon.

NEW: Live charting for members of my algorithmic modelling is now available on TradingView. Links are now emailed to members regularly.

24 HOUR TRADING ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures sometime in Jan 2017. My sub service w incl 24hr crude oil trade room.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as t relates to traditional indicators weighted. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional trading chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

IMPORTANT NOTE: If you do not invest the time to review at least the last few of my oil reports on this blog, our website (as it applies to my algorithm) and my Twitter feed (which all in will take you at most an hour to catch up and also understand how my algorithm works) this report will be of no good to you. The reports are a running story and just one post won’t do it – there is zero benefit.

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 51.40 (5:50 AM ET Dec 6, 2016). Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

Trading intra-day 51.40 up .89% Crude algo intra work sheet 550 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Multi Week Trading Range / Swings:

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal Trend-Line breach and next support (blue). Crude algo intra work sheet 609 AM Dec 5 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Example of diagonal trendlines at work (see my Twitter feed or blog posts for more)

200 MA, 1HR, $USOIL, Chart, OIL

Crude oil has reacted negatively to the 200 MA on the 1 HR in recent month trading. As long as it is above the 200 MA we consider it one of many bullish indicators.

It is currently trading just above it!!! Caution. Lost 200 MA for a while yesterday at 2 PM and regained it when price hit lower diagonal trend line. Barely above it now.

Above 200 MA on 1HR (purple – white arrows). Crude algo intra work sheet 620 AM Dec 6 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO #OOTT #algo

Fibonacci Levels:

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple).

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come of previous time / price cycles). Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Included in Member Post (available within an hour of this public post)

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Post

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Post

Current Alpha Algo Targets:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Post

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Protected Proprietary Algorithm Content – See Member Post

Indicators:

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo algo and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and why they move from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading oil.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money. We also recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” within a day or so, but it will be simply be a revamp (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically.

I suppose also when the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets

Dec 2016

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Monday Dec 5. $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC and more.

Intro:

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Monday morning I sold off my $SGY swing position from last Thursday average 7.09 cost basis at 8.295 for a tidy profit (it was a larger swing entry). I also scalped $AGIO wash-out that I expected a snap back in. I took a late day $JDST long entry (which is tough because they’re buying the dips in $GOLD now but I see $USD/JPY not quite done – we’ll see – likely overtrading) and I am still holding $JUNO and $CBMX.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

$SGY I sold a tad early in the morning run-rup… but a profit is just that. My original entries did not give me a 4 to 1 minimum risk reward. They are starting to buy the $GOLD dips instead of selling the rips so my $JDST risk-reward potential IS NOT 4 to 1 which breaks a primary trading rule for sure.

Looking Forward:

There are a tonne of set-ups in the market right now. Bios coiled hard this morning. Emerging markets, $EEM, $LPCN, $DVAX, $DNAI and my buddy’s $SRPT and others are setting up. Dips on $GOLD are being bought vs.selling the rips (so this by default plays in to $SILVER) $NATGAS is getting close to resistance. $USOIL $WTI is dialed in with EPIC the Oil Algo perfect so machines have been on since Nov 30 break-out (so this makes trading oil related easier for me) and I’m not sure what $SPY will do.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:24 am Curtis M : Risk Disclaimer https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/

09:21 am Curtis M : Gainers: HTBX +10%25. SGY +10%25. FGP +10%25. INO +9%25. ORIG +8%25. GMED +6%25. FCAU +5%25. BAK +5%25. SDRL +5%25.

Losers: CERC -39%25. GPL -9%25. HMY -6%25.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:04 am Curtis M : Gainers Watch-List: $CGIX $FRP $BLCM $UGAZ $HTBX $TRIL $LBIO $FGP $CHMA $VNR $BOIL $NAK $KEM $CEMP $BAK
09:07 am GSCT . : Nice move SGY this a.m.
09:11 am Sami T : $SGY should come along today – we’ll see how oil does
09:12 am Curtis M : $SGY high risk but I’m in t to win it:)
09:35 am Curtis M : Out $SGY swing 8.295
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Exiting some of the CLD Dec9 10c’s opened last week. .7 from .26
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : *CLF
09:44 am Curtis M : Decent wash out $AGIO
09:46 am Curtis M : Long $AGIO 49.09 500 swing
09:47 am Curtis M : Out 49.46 looking for reentry
10:05 am AW H : Leaderboard $SGY $FRP $FGP $LGCY $OPTT $HTBX $WTI $EYEG $EMES
10:05 am Curtis M : Appreciate that Andrew
10:14 am Curtis M : I doubt anyone listened to @ROSIEtheAlgo warnings about Gold – I’m assuming of course
10:17 am Curtis M : $NDRM 29% move seems a little aggressive
10:18 am Curtis M : wow
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Following a sweep back into some BAC calls. Dec16 22.5’s. Fins took a breather late last week, expecting more movement and the price is cheap enough
10:20 am Curtis M : Bios are getting really fired up – a lot of coiling on the board
10:26 am Curtis M : Looking for 115.80 – 116.00 ish USD/JPY to start scaling in to miner’s long
10:27 am Curtis M : May get a pull back at 144.78 but waiting
10:37 am Curtis M : NATGAS should pull back soon
10:50 am Curtis M : $EEM setting up bullish
11:14 am Curtis M : On lunch until 12:15 EST
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : In some Jan HOV 2.5’s. Clear breakout mode but this think needs to juice quickly for a decent chance at a gain.
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : In @.10
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : In a few JNUG calls as well. Sweepers have been active there. Low risk lotto style weeklies. Won’t play this heavy until we actually get the trend reversal underway and the USD/JPY plays nice
12:37 pm Curtis M : back
12:37 pm Curtis M : lunch a little longer than expected
12:49 pm Curtis M : $EGO revving up
12:54 pm Curtis M : $NVCN $VNR $BCEI $TDW $SGY $UGAZ $AMMJ $LGCY $FGP $FRP $OPTT $HOS $CBEO $WTI $ORIG $KITE
12:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Miners on the move. Dollar coming off, USD/JPY finally chilling
01:03 pm Curtis M : Looking at $JDST long
01:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like it. Those JNUG calls already working for me
01:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : May pick up some long term GDX calls as well if move confirms over next day or two
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Biggest surprise to me here is the lack of action in OIL given the dollar fall
01:16 pm GSCT . : Why JDST and not DUST?
01:18 pm Curtis M : Oversold relative
01:45 pm Curtis M : Scaling in 2000 $JDST long
02:11 pm Curtis M : Scaling in another 2000 $JDST
02:53 pm Sami T : $LAZ jumpy
02:55 pm Sami T : $EEM risk off
02:57 pm Ralph H : $DVAX Setting up gap fill soon
02:59 pm Curtis M : $DVAX looks great
03:18 pm Curtis M : $NVCN surprising
03:23 pm Jack T : $NVCN peeps buying high of day
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Signing off early today, meetings later. Have a good night all. See ya in the AM
03:32 pm Curtis M : Bye Mathew
03:32 pm AW H : ttyl Mat
03:33 pm Curtis M : Im at my avg buy lol $JDST 33.45
03:56 pm Curtis M : Well I’m calling it a night – thanks for coming out folks! TTYL

Article Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC

Dec 2016

My Stock Trading Plan for Monday Dec 5, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Monday Wall Street trading short day session! This is a complimentary premarket newsletter along with our first Monday of the month free trading room access!

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $CGIX $FRP $BLCM $UGAZ $HTBX $TRIL $LBIO $FGP $CHMA $VNR $BOIL $NAK $KEM $CEMP $BAK I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $SGY (current swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Looking for an entry a full levels down 12.2 long.

Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Inflection point. No clear direction. $USD/JPY not backing off yet. Our $DXY algo had 100.50 as a PT so I’m watching. Lots of fundamentals at work here and geo.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets:

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Waiting for a long trade confirmation.

My Trading Plan for Gold:

Per previous;

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver:

Per previous;

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Refer to EPIC’s Twitter feed.

Outlook: Per previous

We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: Oil equities.

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

Pre previous;

As I said, was waiting for 3.10 with back test. I was also waiting for it to get up over 200 on 1 week and back test. Looks like it could be a break-out!

$NATGAS

Study:

Watch that $SKLN wash out snap back trade on YouTube I posted if you want to learn your indicators!

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $CBMX, $SGY, $SKLN, $ANF, $JUNO, $URBN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS

Dec 2016

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Friday Dec 2, 2016. $JUNO, $CBMX $SGY, $EVHC, $VTNR, $ASNA, $USOIL, $WTI and more.

Intro:

Overview Perspective & Review of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was very quiet for me. The Italy referendum was on deck, $USOIL $WTI Oil was at it’s Fib and algo resistance and $GOLD $SILVER were in holding patterns (getting jiggy), $GDX miner’s were starting to get jumpy and the morning momo’s were not set-up extremely well (although some morning momo traders I know did get some scalps – most of those specific traders seen red momo morning).

I am still holding $CBMX, $JUNO and $SGY.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

No lessons Friday from my trades as I was waiting for trend confirmations (inflection point in markets). I did have one trader DM me and challenge me on my sitting on hands with $SILVER and $GOLD etc…. I simply responded that when it’s time to hammer down I will stay in the trend and add at pull-backs and that time is easily made up for.

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:50 am Curtis M : Gainers and Losers http://thestockmarketwatch.com/markets/pre-market/today.aspx

10:51 am Curtis M : Taking an early lunch back at 11:30 EST for what I think will be a fun afternoon $VIX $NUGT

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

09:23 am Curtis M : Gainers: $NVCN $NVFY $FIVE $HTBX $SGY $BAK $VNR $SEMI $BNSO $ULTA $MTU $BCEI $GOGL $JCP $ARWR $DGAZ $TLK $BIG $IM $RICE
09:42 am mathew w : Early day for me so not many moves. Just hit CRM dec9 70’s for a bounce back after last night’s flush
09:52 am Curtis M : New 52wk Highs: $EPM $SLM $VASC $WBS
10:04 am Curtis M : Watching $VIX $NUGT $$USD/JPY
10:12 am GS CT : What could? Gold?
10:12 am GS CT : Thanks.
10:18 am GS CT : What is your preferred Gold ticker to play? NUGT GDX ??
10:20 am mathew w : JUNO moving for you guys who took the trade and got underwater
10:20 am mathew w : I’m out for the weeked. Have a good trading day and weekend all
10:20 am GS CT : Me too. it can have erratic price moves though.
10:21 am susan woo : Curtis, you interested in buying AUMN? I’m in already
10:21 am susan woo : Steady Eddy, wish it would go
10:23 am susan woo : NAK another good one
10:32 am susan woo : The gold reversion time is around early January? I missed what you were saying ealrlier
10:38 am susan woo : thanks
10:44 am GS CT : Before it goes higher or lower?
10:44 am GS CT : SPY
10:51 am Curtis M : Taking an early lunch back at 11:30 EST for what I think will be a fun afternoon $VIX $NUGT
10:54 am Curtis M : If oil blows thru 51.77 it could really run FYI
10:56 am Curtis M : OIl has lots of room above 51.77
11:52 am Curtis M : Just runniing scans until it picks up
01:52 pm Curtis M : Next stop for Oill 51.77 and lots of room above
02:05 pm Curtis M : Leaders $EVHC 211% $VTNR 22.86% $ASNA 21.01%
02:47 pm GSCT . : Think oil will backtest here. Has tht look.
02:48 pm GSCT . : That was actually a question.
03:04 pm Curtis M : $SGY pinch 20 and 100 on the 3
03:05 pm Curtis M : oil = bull
03:56 pm Curtis M : A little $VIX insurance not a bad thing here #Italy if you’re holding large over weekend FYI
03:56 pm Curtis M : OIL bulls not letting go
04:00 pm Curtis M : Well… lackluster day but excellent set up for Monday IMO
04:00 pm Curtis M : over and out have a great weekend!

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $SILVER, $GDX

Dec 2016

Protected: Weekly Swing Trade Member Newsletter – Dec 5, 2016

Swing Trading $CBMX, $JUNO, $SGY, $SILVER. $VIX. Swing Trading, $USOIL, Gold Curt Melonopoly

Dec 2016

Gold Trading Chart Update Monday Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Dec 5, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report.

Good morning! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new Gold trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

If this is your first time visiting, IT IS IMPORTANT that you review my recent Gold reports on this blog and my Twitter feed because one post will not do you any good. You need to know the time and price cycle we are currently in at any given time and what the primary alpha algo targets most recently are so you have perspective. These reports are a running story of price action (each one just being a piece of the story) that are designed with the intent to provide you the trader an edge. An edge is not possible unless you have the whole story.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

The charting for members will become much more involved over the coming weeks (proprietary details). Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

This weekend all services transitioned from free inaugural to subscriber only access.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process.

Gold Trading Observations:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1165.02. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

1165.02 Intra-day. Gold algo intra work sheet 537 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Price tested my price target from July. Gold tested top of algo quadrant but not lower of quad.

Hit my PT from July call but not lower quad. Gold algo intra work sheet 558 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Intra-day Fibonnaci Levels to Watch.

Intra Fib levels to watch – 5 day. Gold algo intra work sheet 509 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Fib levels to watch – 1 yr (on left). Gold algo intra work sheet 509 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

Watch 200 MA on 15 min close for possible resistance. Gold has used it often as support and resistance in past. Lots of room intra-day.

200 MA on 15 – lots of room. Gold algo intra work sheet 517 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG #algo

USDJPY is a problem – until it isn’t.

$USDJPY We did warn them.

USD/JPY intra Fibonacci levels to watch.

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Proprietary – exclusive to member only version.

Gold News:

India, not Trump, is the real reason behind the crash in gold prices https://t.co/gvWqEAfFs8

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2016

Potential gold-import ban by India could be biggest bombshell since Nixon https://t.co/9olfNRO0Xf

— Curtis Melonopoly (@curtmelonopoly) December 4, 2016

Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consolidation of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “consolidation” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets / algo lines / algo quadrants / time and price cycles).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG

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Member Edition – Oil Trading Update Tues Dec 6 Crude Oil Algo FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL)

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Post Market Mon Dec 5 $JDST, $AGIO, $SGY, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GOLD, $USDJPY, $USOIL, $WTIC and more.

Pre-Market Newsletter Monday Dec 5. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $SPY $VIX … more.

Post Market Fri Dec 2 $JUNO $CBMX $SGY $EVHC $VTNR $ASNA and more.

Protected: Weekly Swing Trade Member Newsletter – Dec 5, 2016

$Gold Trading Chart Update Dec 5 $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

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Monthly Archives: December 2016