28
Nov 2016

Post Market Friday Nov 25 $NAVB, $JUNO, $JNUG, $SKLN, $UWTI, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Friday Nov 25, 2016. $NAVB, $JUNO, $SKLN, $JNUG, $SKLN, $UWTI, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was a super calm day. Not a lot to report but there were some important trading lessons.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

I took a long trade on $UWTI (yes I know it is delisting). My play is a 6 to 1 risk reward (considering OPEC meetings) that as of writing (3:41 am Monday) my trade is going against me. I may enter again long or cut – I haven’t decided. I entered also thinking I may get a bounce at diagonal trend line (blue) just below my trade (chart below) but it didn’t bounce – but I held thinking I may re-enter another long early in week. Interestingly price did hit one of Epic the Oil Algo’s price targets. Anyway, looks like I’m on wrong side of it so we’ll see.

$JUNO (chart below) I got out of my swing trade for a profit and will watch for a possible re-enter. My pre market blog post will have technicals and what to watch for.

$SKLN – the 200 day got under stock price on the 3 minute AND I MISSED IT! A BIG MISTAKE! And what made it worse is GSCT in the room even alerted us…. ugh. YOU NEVER WANT TO MISS THE 200 Day on the 3 min 5 or 15 getting under price on these wash-outs – huge mistake.

And I completed my video uploads from my $SKLN trade last week – lots of indicator lessons packed in to these videos!

Announcements in Trading Room:

Room Alert: https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-friday-nov-25-gold-silver-usoil-wti-usdjpy-natgas/ Gainers: $NAVB 34%, $CTRP 9%, $IPCI 9%, $CXRX 8%, $DCIX $WPRT $SPEX $GSL $BZQ $JKS $INFY $DRYS $DWTI $GFI $NOK $AZN $AU $UN

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:51 am GSCT . : /CL downtrending
08:53 am GSCT . : A rejection of 47.57 anyway
09:13 am Curtis M : http://www.benzinga.com/news/16/11/8738781/20-stocks-moving-in-fridays-pre-market-session?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#/null
09:24 am Curtis M : Lkely going to exit $JUNO Swing here soon 3%
09:25 am Mathew Waterfall : Looking at JNUG and NUG T for plays today
09:25 am Curtis M : Gainers: CTRP +10%. CXRX +8%. IPCI +9%. GBR +5%. ESEA +5%.Losers: MTU -6%.
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : In JNUG 6.69 out new LOD
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Playing JNUG close here. Up to 6.85 looking for an exit for a quick pullback and reenter
09:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Out @.81
10:15 am Mathew Waterfall : Back in JNUG at 6.67
10:18 am Mathew Waterfall : Out. damnit
10:30 am Mathew Waterfall : Back in if gold breaks 1185
10:50 am Mathew Waterfall : All my usual suspects are way quiet today. Cleaning up some positions and thinking of reentering a /es short though Im not too excited about shorting a dull market here
10:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Taking off a portion of my CLF Jan 10c’s. .96 fomr .47. Keeping half
11:05 am GSCT . : /NG unreal today and hit 3.10s
11:05 am Curtis M : Loading $UWTI
11:05 am Curtis M : Yes IC
11:11 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.96 1200 shares

$USOIL, $WTI, $UWTI

FX $USOIL $WTI – entered $UWTI trade looking for bounce at diagonal trendline (blue) holding

11:14 am GSCT . : $SKLN breakout
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Filled the gap which should be some support here for /cl
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Gap was last sunday open gap up
12:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Gold acting a fool and nothing else exciting. I’m out to the gym before some rivalry college football. Have a good weekend all next week should be fireworks!
12:31 pm Curtis M : ok thanks Mathew
12:31 pm Curtis M : cya
12:37 pm GSCT . : $SKLN popping

$SKLN, 200 Day Moving Average

$SKLN 200 day on the 3 minute got under price last Friday and popped – I missed it.

12:54 pm Curtis M : Out $JUNO 24.925 avg from 22.31 buy

$JUNO Swing Trade

$JUNO Swing Trade closed 3000 shares 22.31 out at 22.945 today live in trading room

01:00 pm Curtis M : Have a great weekend!

Topics: Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $NAVB, $JUNO, $JNUG, $SKLN, $UWTI, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL

25
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Friday Nov 25. $GOLD $SILVER $USOIL $WTI $USD/JPY $NATGAS … more.

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Nov 25, 2016 in Chatroom. $GOLD, $SILVER, $USOIL $WTI, $USD/JPY $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Friday Wall Street trading short day session!

Algo work – As of right now our algorithms are calculating and we have posted updates for EPIC the Oil Algo and Rosie the Gold Algo on this blog and some updates on SuperNova Silver Twitter Feed (blog post in process) and we are working on $SPY, $VIX, $DXY algo blog posts over weekend. Sorry we’re running a little behind, but there’s been a massive to-do list getting room up and running properly and quite frankly these are not normal markets.

Market Outlook

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (wash-out on news), $SKLN (wash-out on news), $JUNO (wash-out on news) $URBN (wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – but a pull-back will come soon – so watch close now.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: Volatility is becoming a cheap insurance – so watch carefully now. I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed. Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Outlook: The real story here right now obviously is the $USD/JPY trade and various other currencies being pounded by the US Dollar. Be careful here now because the $USD/JPY chart (although not broken and still bullish) is showing a rounded top forming. So the chart is changing now – caution IMO. It did also hit a Fib extension and bounced off a Fib support and is sitting between two Fib points.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: $UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Emerging markets should be watched close now very closely IMO ($EEM, $EEV, $EDZ)

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

As you likely know Gold hit Rosie the Gold Algo price target she predicted months back! Yeehaw! So watch it close now. Take a look at her Gold Twitter feed and Gold blog post update from this morning.

My Trading Plan for Gold: I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely – very possibly today. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

$GOLD

$GOLD Algo intra work sheet charting. Nov 25 754 AM $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Gold Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold our Silver algo SuperNova the Silver Algo nailed the price target! Yeehaw x 2!

There are a number of posts on his Twitter feed and a full blog post will be out this weekend.

My Plan for Trading Silver: Same as Gold, I’m going to start chewing around the edges of stocks like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Outlook: We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: We have been successfully trading the range with various instruments in the trading room.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Natural gas IMO isn’t ready until it breaks 3.10 on back-test. So that’s what I’m watching for.

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

na

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $SKLN, $JUNE, $ANF, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS

25
Nov 2016

Oil Trading Chart Blog Update Nov 25. Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F)

Crude Oil Trading Algorithm (EPIC) , , , , , , , , , , , Epic the Algo

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F) Chart and Algorithm Observations

November 25, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report.

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX $USOIL $WTI).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. I am not an automated bot or high frequency type algorithm. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story.

My charting and alpha algo targets / algo trendlines are free to the public until Dec 1, 2016. After Dec 1, 2016 will only be made available to subscribers here.

Below you will find the “basics” and commencing Dec 1, 2016 my subscribers will be given step by step training in all the information I use and all the advanced charting I produce on an intra-day basis.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations

At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 47.40 (1227 AM ET Nov 25, 2016). Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

$USOIL $WTI #OIL

Crude algo intra work sheet 1224 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Crude has been trading in eradic ways the last few weeks. Normally we can lock in the alpha algo targets and algo trendlines with little difficulty – but the last two weeks have not been easy and continue to be difficult. The geo political sphere is obviously affecting the natural trading range. SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO CONSIDER THE GEO POLITICAL SITUATION when triggering trades based on our algorithm targets – CAUTION is warranted.

In intra-trade crude (referring to chart above) has fallen below two intra diagonal trendlines (blue) and bounced off the third. The three alpha algo targets are represented in the chart in red circles for tomorrow. Other targets for next week have now been published to my Twitter feed https://twitter.com/EPICtheAlgo.

So the primary observation in this post is more geo political – use caution. Nonetheless, below is some detail.

Indicators

As I explained above, my algorithm is a mash-up of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “mash-up” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Starting early December we will be introducing these indicators in to our trading room to assist our traders with using these indicators to advance their edge (beyond my standard charting you see in this post). We will also work with intra-day quadrants for the intra-day snipes.

However, for now, here are some indicators that stand out:

1. 200 day on 1 hour relationship. Crude algo intra work sheet 104 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

200 day on 1 hour relationship. $USOIL $WTI #OIL

200 day on 1 hour relationship. Crude algo intra work sheet 104 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

This is obviously a great BUY TRIGGER.

2. Crude is most recently beginning to respond to algo line and algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 110 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

Algo, Targets, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL

Recently responding to algo line and algo targets. Crude algo intra work sheet 110 AM ET Nov 25, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo

So being that crude has more recently (because for a time there when oil meetings were in the air so to speak it didn’t) this is good. It is also responding to simple lines (simple diagonal trend-lines and horizontal support lines). This makes trading much more predictable. Visit us in our trading room for more information on how to trade these charts or subscribe to my daily posts if you cannot be in front of a monitor all day.

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and why they move from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading oil.

We cover this in much more detail in the trading room and we will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on You Tube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Here are the most recent alpha algo targets published to Twitter:

Conclusion

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room!

EPIC the Oil Algo

 

Article Topics: Trading, Stocks, Wall Street, Chat Room, Algorithm, Charts, Indicators, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F

24
Nov 2016

Post Market Wednesday Nov 23 $JUNO, $ANF, $GOLD, $SILVER, $WTI, OIL and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades and Alerts for Wednesday Nov 23, 2016. $JUNO, $ANF, $SKLN, $GOLD, $SILVER, $XIV, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Kind of an odd day with Thanksgiving Day around the corner today. Market fade was heavy late day. Some small cap low floats were running a bit. Gold and Silver were the big watches for us because the price for both was either just entering the price target zone of our algos or really close.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

$ANF Abercrombie trade lessons were two… #1 being most important and that is that 200 day on the 5 – once that 200 on the 5 got under the price it was rocket time (classic snap-back and gap fill). So waiting would have paid dividends. It just gets tough to stay on top of them over days. There is a recent wash-out on $SKLN that I should watch closer for this.

$JUNO Therapeutics was my #2 lesson… waiting for the proper set-up in terms of moving averages would have likely been safer – I’m in this swing 22.31 and it closed at 22.56.

Announcements in Trading Room:

None

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

08:55 am GSCT . : DRYS ESEA moving

09:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : Premarket newsletter https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-wednesday-nov-23-lli-juno-ibb-labu-labd-axon-skln-usoil-wti-natgas/
09:06 am Curtis Melonopoly : Gainers: $REXX 19%, $DE 12%, $LABD 7%, $ZBIO $TXMD $AVXL $VEEV $JDST $CNHI $MRNS $GME $OPTT
09:09 am Curtis M : Mornin!
09:12 am GSCT . : Your call on /GC coming into play here
09:12 am GSCT . : Heading to your target
09:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : nice
09:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : Anyone have audio on that can check my mic volume?
09:14 am GSCT . : Could be a bit louder
09:14 am Dave D : Sounds ok
09:20 am GSCT . : Ticker more visiible on your chart. Thank you.
09:23 am Curtis M : Looks like a good day.
09:23 am Curtis M : Your welcome.
09:26 am Curtis M : Open on deck
09:28 am Curtis M : $AVXL $DRYS $MNKD $SINO $DGLD $SHIP $GLBS
09:29 am mathew w : Still monitoring my /es short
09:29 am mathew w : trimming positions today overall most likely before tomorrows break
09:31 am Curtis M : $MDGS +58%
09:32 am Curtis M : $ESEA +36%
09:32 am GSCT . : SKLN off lows
09:39 am Curtis M : $SINO 19%
09:40 am Curtis M : $DCIX 13%
09:41 am Curtis M : $SHIP 8%
09:42 am Curtis M : $ESEA Looking for 3.75 then 4
09:50 am Curtis M : $RLOG watching tape on bids
10:01 am Curtis M : $GOLD algo targets 1163 – 1167
10:01 am GSCT . : Ignore the Twitter trolls
10:02 am GSCT . : What’s the time frame on Gold /GC algo?
10:02 am GSCT . : SKLN some momo
10:09 am mathew w : Adding a few UCO calls. Stalking NE and WLL though Im still deep in the money in WLL and NE at this point. likely roll up and out
10:10 am susan woo : Curtis, why wouldn’t you wait until AFTER Yellen this afternoon before touching gold/silver?
10:10 am susan woo : Just curious
10:10 am mathew w : also closing out of DUST calls. Had weely 57s that exploded up ON
10:10 am mathew w : *weekly
10:12 am susan woo : Gotcha, thanks Curtis
10:14 am GSCT . : /GC new LOD
10:15 am mathew w : Like lol
10:18 am mathew w : Totally out of DUST calls. Might regret that but easy money
10:18 am mathew w : yea
10:18 am mathew w : dude is a GDX bull all day
10:18 am mathew w : Smart guy for sure
10:22 am mathew w : In some CLF jan 10 calls. Rolling up and out basically after closing a big portion of my Dec 8’s yesterday
10:22 am mathew w : Lots of flow in this name, lots of sweepers all week
10:24 am susan woo : I love your Canadian accent. Sounds like mine lol!
10:28 am GSCT . : SKLN may be reversing here
10:30 am GSCT . : Gold lower still
10:36 am GSCT . : Gold algo hit may happen today!
10:40 am mathew w : Oil has been a tough ride this AM. Small scalps but I’m gonna take a break and let it even out a bit I think. Back in 30
10:41 am mathew w : Big resistance at 8.3 area
10:57 am Curtis M : Watching $JUNO for snap back, $GOLD getting close to algo PT, $SILVER in algo $PT high range $USD/JPY, $SINO

11:01 am Curtis M : Long $JUNO for second attempt 22.31 3000 shares 

$JUNO stock

$JUNO Therapeutics 5 minute stock chart

juno-therapeutics-5-minute-stock-chart

11:03 am Curtis M : Out $ANF 3000 shares swing 15.57 14.96 buy here https://compoundtrading.com/stock-trading-results-green-portfolio-day-post-market-fri-nov-18-anf-wash-trch/

$ANF Stock trade

$ANF Stock Trade on Wash-out – Abercrombie

11:06 am GSCT . : SKLN flirting with the 20
11:19 am Curtis M : Low float Shippers Bio Drillers
11:19 am Mathew Waterfall : wanting a 20 touch on the 1′ to reenter /cl here
11:19 am Mathew Waterfall : being cautious after this am’s moves
11:20 am Mathew Waterfall : And that’s why lol
11:28 am susan woo : Curtis, this signal you have for gold/silver, is it as strong as the algo trigger you got before the January lows, right before gold/silver ran big?
11:30 am susan woo : thanks
11:36 am GSCT . : /GC rallying back
11:37 am Curtis M : back in 20
11:43 am GSCT . : Stalking SKLN on IBB XBI possible pivot
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : CLF calls working. May add to CHK here depending on OIL. Still bouncing around making me earn my money on the /cl trade today
11:54 am Mathew Waterfall : And I know im a broken record on this but WLL is still seeing a ton of buying. I will likely take jan calls shortly. Out 2/3rds of my Dec calls for a 3/4 bagger
11:57 am Mathew Waterfall : In WLL jan 11.5c’s at .57 to add to me dec2 10’s
11:57 am Curtis M : Thanks for posting your trades Mathew
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : No problem. I’m also open to share. I don’t post every little trade I do as I’m in/out of some futures pretty quickly at times like this AM with /cl
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : Also closed my /es short this AM. Looking to reopen that but the action off of the open seemed bullish and it was even if I covered at 2195 instead of 2198 where we are now
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : *always open to share
12:01 pm GSCT . : SKLN volume
12:03 pm GSCT . : Top of the hour
12:06 pm GSCT . : Natty Gas new highs
12:06 pm GSCT . : /NG broke 3
12:06 pm GSCT . : Curtis what was you buy signal # on that again?
12:09 pm GSCT . : It’s owned my trading
12:09 pm GSCT . : Avoiding for now
12:09 pm GSCT . : SKLN going here
12:12 pm GSCT . : Not going perse but some bump
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolling more dec8 to jan 10’s in CLF for me. Taking profits and taking a bit of risk off of the table
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Those went from .42 buy to 1.18 so solid win
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Using that cash for some lottos. FCX Dec2 18’s for more squeeze. Will have to be out of these buy mid next week
12:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : And Holy SH*t. 11000+ CLF Feb calls just BTO it looks like. Damn!
12:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out the rest of me NE Dec2 5.5. .57 from .21. Taking off risk and moving out
12:41 pm GSCT . : I can barely hear you. I got it ful volume.
12:41 pm GSCT . : full
12:45 pm Curtis M : Sorry I think I need to switch headsets
12:46 pm Curtis M : As soon as I get a break I’ll swtch headsets
12:46 pm GSCT . : Thanks boss.
12:49 pm Curtis M : can smell coffee gonna go get a refill
12:56 pm Curtis M : Rebooting headset so Ill be back
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : Took a small started in USLV at 12.9. Front running this trend a bit so starting small
12:59 pm GSCT . : Thank you.
01:00 pm GSCT . : SKLN slow and steady
01:09 pm Curtis M : $ESEA + 53% SINO +39% SPEX + 27% GLBS +19.43 %
01:27 pm Curtis M : $DRYS action intense
01:27 pm Curtis M : $GOLD and $SILVER at tipping point… could get fun soon
01:28 pm GSCT . : Thoughts on DRYS here Curtis
01:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Rolled the rest of my CLF Dec16 8’s to Dec23 10s. Thing is a monster. Targeting 11’s short term
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I got a .93 credit for that move BTW so taking some profits
01:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sorry .96 credit
01:31 pm Curtis M : nice
01:33 pm GSCT . : Missed it. Even 6.50 to 6.85 worked
01:34 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Resetting charts
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : In some JNUG. Looking for 6.8. Out under 6.40ish recent swing low
01:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : 6.6 needs to break for more to the upside. May add more over that if we get there
01:53 pm Curtis M : This is all lke a replay of this time last year – spooky almost
01:55 pm GSCT . : Good to know.
01:56 pm GSCT . : TVIX rmaped in early January
01:56 pm GSCT . : ramped
01:57 pm Curtis M : January was my best month this year and Brexit 2nd
01:57 pm Curtis M : Markets quiet right now
01:57 pm Curtis M : running scans but quiet
01:57 pm GSCT . : DId you play TVIX on Brexit?
01:58 pm GSCT . : FOMC in 2 min
02:02 pm Curtis M : FOMC Rate Hike Could Happen in Dec
02:03 pm GSCT . : Priced in to Gold’s move today maybe already
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out of JNUG for pennies overall. Will reenter if it can find footing over posted level
02:26 pm Curtis M : Very quiet
02:31 pm GSCT . : 0Do you have a link to access the room from an iPad. I’ve tried logging on 3x and it says ‘organizer has ended your session’.
02:31 pm Curtis M : interesting
02:31 pm Curtis M : Ill message Sartaj
02:32 pm GSCT . : The mobile version is awful btw.
02:32 pm Curtis M : ya i know
02:32 pm Curtis M : shopping
02:33 pm GSCT . : Good to know.
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : I may go take a nap or something. Not much on my board to play here into EOD
02:35 pm Sartaj Hundal : GCST: Try to rejoin the room on your iPad
02:36 pm Curtis M : Naps r awesome lol
02:36 pm GSCT . : Same result
02:36 pm GSCT . : Can you post a link I can try Sartaj?
02:42 pm GSCT . : Never mind. I’ve tried all possible links
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seeing if I can get a pop in XIV as they push SPY back green
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Boredom trade
02:45 pm Curtis M : ya m catching up on work until a scanner pops
02:45 pm Curtis M : if one pops
02:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES rejecting at 2201. Out shortly of my XIV trade ~.12 share so not much there unless another pop
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out of that trade for anyone wonder. Adding some FB Dec 125 calls as well. Still looking for a gap fill in next 2-3 weeks
02:53 pm Curtis M : $NAVB Halt news
02:55 pm GSCT . : SKLN maybe
02:55 pm GSCT . : A lot of selling this last candle though
02:57 pm GSCT . : SKLN VWAP pop
03:14 pm GSCT . : NTNX running
03:17 pm Curtis M : nice move
03:18 pm GSCT . : Mossed the meat of it
03:18 pm GSCT . : Feels late now
03:19 pm Curtis M : squeeze so who knows
03:22 pm GSCT . : NAVB our of halt
03:22 pm Curtis M : thx lol was in algo land
03:23 pm Jorge F : What is NAVB news?
03:23 pm GSCT . : I can Google it for you
03:23 pm GSCT . : DRYS perky
03:25 pm Curtis M : $NAVB News https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/801521806590910464
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : SN Jan 10’s. Bit of a stretch buy they’re cheap. Needs OIL to remain strong and they will pay nicely. Nice R/R
03:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : 6.6 is a big level for CHK #captainobvious
03:31 pm Curtis M : $CHK interesting but Im staying out
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Good call. I looked at adding more this AM and didn’t. I’m already in Dec2 6.5c’s so I’ll stick in those in to next week. Positive for me so I’m in no hurry to add more
03:38 pm GSCT . : Friday could be wacky
03:51 pm susan woo : So, how does in look in gold/silver land? Still waiiting for more algo confirmation?
03:53 pm susan woo : Yeah, that’s why I got a bit confused re: your technique
03:53 pm susan woo : No problem
03:53 pm susan woo : Thanks for explaining
03:53 pm susan woo : Ewave guys saying it could go lower too
03:54 pm susan woo : I’m not into ewave
03:54 pm GSCT . : LABU what a day
03:59 pm GSCT . : Me neither
03:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a great turkey day all. Will likely be around Friday if the room is open. Not holding any futures into this break, I’m way too cautious
04:00 pm GSCT . : Thanks Curtis
04:00 pm Curtis M : No problem your welcome enjoy!

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $JUNO, $ANF, $SKLN, $UCO, $XIV, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL

23
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Wednesday Nov 23. $LLI, $JUNO, $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON, $SKLN, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS … more.

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday Nov 23, 2016 in Chatroom. $LLI, $JUNO, $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON, $SKLN, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS … more.

Welcome to the Wednesday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of right now our algorithms are calculating and we are commencing publication of algo charting for the following charting starting this morning for: $SPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $DXY, $GOLD, $SILVER – any not completed before market open will be available prior to market open Thursday! Sorry we’re running a little behind, but there’s been a massive to-do list getting room up and running properly and quite frankly these are not normal markets.

Get ready for a huge day!

Market Outlook

$JUNO – 30 and $LLI Eli Lilly and others are getting smoked this morning – so the obvious watch is this basket / sector. $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON all on watch too.

EIA is at 10:30 EST

Gas as 12:00 EST

Urban outfitters down 10%

Durable goods higher than expected… treasury way up.

Weekly Jobless Claims as expected.

Generally speaking the markets obviously are in a Trump win rally (which we predicted and posted prior to the election – just keeping it real). BUT, now here’s the warning!

Our algorithms posted long time ago $DXY US Dollar price target of 100.50 (which it hit and continued to rally), $GOLD price target not far below where it is trading now, and a $SILVER price target not far below where it is trading now. Of course we published algo targets and various info for the others including $SPY, $VIX and FX: $USOIL $WTI – but for the purpose of this warning – this is about the dollar, gold, and silver.

The warning is that we fully expect a rip in Gold and Silver and for the $USD/JPY to back off. This will create a series of snap-back scenarios… too many to post right here right now. SO IN SHORT, I am saying that we don’t expect the broad global markets to continue on a bull train for much more than say about 10% ish at most more. NOW CAREFUL, I am not saying the S&P 500 for example only has 10% more to the upside – not at all (I posted long before the election we had targets for a face ripper rally in $SPY after the election). BUT WHAT I AM SAYING is that many sectors are going to have a snap-back.

So watch closely over the coming days and weeks for that in various areas of the market. We expect commodities like Gold and Silver to snap back, the $USD/JPY to back off, the price of oil to rally in to the spring and a number of other areas of markets.

SO THIS MEANS (for me) that I need to get on a complete exploratory of opportunities this will represent – I hope to have something consolidated this weekend.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $REXX $DE $LABD $ZBIO $TXMD $AVXL $VEEV $JDST $CNHI $MRNS $GME $OPTT – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:   – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room.

(3) Other Watch-List: $ANF (watching for exit on my swing), $SKLN for wash-out and snap-back, Steel $X, $AKS, $NUE, $CLF, .

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

Outlook: My bias is still to new highs – but a pull-back will come – so watch close now.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Outlook: I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed. Watch for volatility to rise on a trend – even if $SPY is still rising – volatility is a great indicator for what’s around the corner.

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

Outlook: The real story here right now obviously is the $USD/JPY trade and various other currencies being pounded by the US Dollar. Be careful here now because the $USD/JPY chart (although not broken and still bullish) is showing a rounded top forming. So the chart is changing now – caution IMO.

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: $UUP (long US Dollar) seems to be a bit extended obviously, so this opportunity is a tad long in the tooth if you ask me – same with $USD/JPY. So for $GOLD and the miners $GDX watch the $USD/JPY closedly.

Emerging markets should be watched close now very closely IMO ($EEM, $EEV, $EDZ)

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

On Friday I wrote and it still stands,

For me Gold and Silver is going to be the big story soon. It should start to get some lift if only for a short time and that process may go on for a while – so I will snipe as that occurs. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. The idea is to get on the winning side of the reverse when it occurs. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As I wrote on Friday,

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver – here again I will chew around the edges sniping until the reverse trend occurs.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

Outlook: We are bullish oil and have been for some time (since it bottomed in its most recent trading range).

Trading Plan: We have been successfully trading the range with various instruments in the trading room.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

Healthcare on watch. Treasuries on watch.

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $LLI, $JUNO, $IBB $LABU $LABD $AXON, $USOIL $WTI, $NATGAS

23
Nov 2016

Post Market Tuesday Nov 22 $SKLN, $UCO, $XIV, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Tuesday Nov 22, 2016.  $SKLN, $UCO, $XIV, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Well, today was the first day I slept in since high school… well maybe not quite that far back. I hadn’t reset my alarm for the new time zone (so I lost 2 hours lol). And worse yet, I missed a crazy good open. But we got in to the swing and had a great day.

Primary Lessons That May Help Your Trades:

The $SKLN trade I took later in the day for a snap-back after the wash-out literally has fifty lessons in it. It was about an hour and a half trade that we recorded the audio and video trade room screen share with charting. So we have started to break up the video in to ten to twelve smaller videos detailing all the indicators, psychology and technicals involved in the trade. I am hoping to have these videos ready for Thursday night. Tonight we are working on publishing the algorithm updates – so depending on how long those take will depend on how long the videos take to come out – but they are, if I may say so gold for learning traders… a really, really technical trade with lots of commentary on the minute as the trade progressed.

The other trades on the day were textbook scalps. The one main lesson (because I was on top of the momentum stocks – late, but on top of it once in room) – the main lesson beyond the $SKLN lesson filled trade was the $USOIL $WTI wash-out on OPEC news before pit close – but that lesson also is on (included as a part) of the $SKLN trade because that was happening at the same time in the trading room today.

Announcements in Trading Room:

None

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

10:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : Forgive me… my alarm on cell phone ws set to Panama time – I am two hours behind this morning! Geesh.
10:12 am susan woo : I’m in LABU swing
10:14 am Mathew Waterfall : Missed out on some good price action in oil
10:15 am Curtis M : ya embarrasing…geesh
10:16 am Curtis M : I’ll take a few mins and get screens done here
10:17 am GSCT . : You’re still in Beta! This is allowed.
10:18 am GSCT . : This is
10:18 am Curtis M : lol
10:19 am Curtis M : grabbing coffee back in 10 for biggest week in my life in market – revenge trading!
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : Out a chunk of my WLL calls today and likely trimming up NE calls as well
10:19 am Mathew Waterfall : WLL was .30 to .725
10:21 am GSCT . : Gold sliding hard
10:22 am Curtis M : wow
10:22 am Curtis M : Active morning
10:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Im gonna give this market some time to shake out before taking any more trades I think
10:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Need to see what kind of range we’re working with to be able to snipe any plays
10:26 am David Glenn : Morning!
10:30 am Curtis M : Many ranges today to work with
10:30 am Curtis M : scans will be ready in 5 mins
10:42 am Curtis M : $USD/JPY huge deflation issue $GOLD
10:43 am Curtis M : BTW All algo updates out tonight for all 6.
10:44 am Curtis M : Looking for bottom of range in creude for an entry.
10:51 am GSCT . : Holiday week though.
10:51 am GSCT . : Thanksgiving.
10:55 am GSCT . : Markets closing 1pm Friday.
10:57 am GSCT . : The red dotted one?
10:57 am GSCT . : Dashed
10:58 am GSCT . : That’s a busy chart.
11:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Long UWTI 21.3
11:24 am Curtis M : Long $UCO 9.77 200 share tight stop
11:31 am Curtis M : Out $UCO 9.67 loss looking fo re-entry
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : ouch
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : sold at 21.04
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : yikes
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : that was super weird
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just a heads up, on this move I got some really weird stuff from UWTI
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Orders not getting filled or delayed
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : liquidity seems to be drying up
12:20 pm Sartaj Hundal : We are performing more fault tolerance and load testing today. Currently splitting users into sub-rooms. Broadcasting will not be interrupted.
12:22 pm OIL K K : Watching Oli Close now… this may be bottom for a while $USOIL $WTI
12:30 pm Deb Clarin : Thank you
12:38 pm Dean P : .
12:40 pm David C : OIL LOD approaching
12:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : In UCO 9.6
12:56 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $XIV 43.28
01:03 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Sorry 800 shares
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : out of uco
01:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : looking for retest on 10/20 on 1′
01:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Or clear and hold of 200
01:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out $XIV 43.43
01:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $SKLN 4.77 3000 shares
01:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : oil getting nasty
02:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out $SKLN 4.54 loss
02:11 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SKLN Long 4.81 2000 shares
02:16 pm GSCT . : SCON similar set up right now
02:21 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $SKLN out 4.90 looking for reenter
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im all out of my oil position. Don’t want to hold ON
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have a few in and outs
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : UCO originally was 9.6. Just sold when oil was at 48
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also traded straight /cl contracts
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : I trade off of the /cl price more than the price of the other instraments
02:31 pm GSCT . : You were Tweeting in your sleep.
02:33 pm GSCT . : 🙂
02:34 pm GSCT . : LOL
02:40 pm GSCT . : REN what a pop
02:42 pm GSCT . : Oil rocking now
02:46 pm GSCT . : Gold going south
02:47 pm Curtis Melonopoly : LOng $SKLN 2000 4.82 late alert
02:59 pm GSCT . : This is awesome.
02:59 pm GSCT . : 5000 SKLN Long for Curtis
03:00 pm GSCT . : at 5.12
03:05 pm Curtis Melonopoly : OUt $SKLN 5000 5.11 and 2000 5.09
03:08 pm GSCT . : Great play by play though
03:08 pm GSCT . : WIll that be a regular feature of the room?
03:10 pm GSCT . : Will you all be on mic?
03:15 pm GSCT . : High relative volume now SKLN
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Taking some FB calls here Dec 9 126s for the gap fill
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Decent consolidation today
03:18 pm GSCT . : You don’t sound old enough for retirement
03:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also reloading FH commons right here for a trip back to the 3s
03:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also looking at DUST weeklies for this week and next
03:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m liking the low float bios here as well. In TKAI and ADHD
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Short /ES. Think we see lower before we blast off higher. Nothing crazy but want to be ready for it
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : And that’s it for my end of day position dump lol
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp
03:27 pm Mathew Waterfall : likely to take TZA calls as well
03:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : probably cheap weekly lottos
03:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think oil can move higher, but these outsized moves in names like X and AKS need to take a breather
03:45 pm GSCT . : What was the tell on the washout? So late?
03:45 pm GSCT . : SKLN
03:55 pm GSCT . : And waht originally caught youtr atention to enter it?
03:55 pm GSCT . : what originally
03:58 pm GSCT . : Thanks.
04:00 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Have a great night! Big morning on deck. Algos tonight come out.

 

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $SKLN, $UCO, $XIV, $USF/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL

23
Nov 2016

Post Market Fri Nov 18 $ANF Wash-Out, $TRCH and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Friday Nov 18, 2016. $ANF Abercrombie wash-out, $TRCH and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Friday was a really mellow day for me. Took two trades, one for a smal intra-day scalp and a swing on the downdraft in Abercrombie $ANF that is at time of writing three market days later going well. A favorite set-up of mine.

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

$TRCH was a momo stock that I took a scalp on that didn’t do much. And Abercrombie $ANF set-up is a simple one that I take over and over again in my swing account – morning wash-out on news with an institutional owned scenario and wham! The shippers I could have played and in hindsight didn’t – that’s the main lesson.

Announcements in Trading Room:

07:50 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DRYS 23%25, $SYUT 23%25, $DCIX 18%25, $OGXI 16%25, $SINO 15%25, $CBMX $ESEA $MRVL $URRE $PIP $FCEL $CRM $SCON $GLBS $ULTI

07:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Friday Premarket Newsletter Updated https://compoundtrading.com/pre-market-newsletter-wednesday-nov-16-gold-silver-usdjpy-iwm-rwm-faz-usoil-gdx/

07:53 am Curtis Melonopoly : $DRYS 23%25, $SYUT 23%25, $DCIX 18%25, $OGXI 16%25, $SINO 15%25, $CBMX $ESEA $MRVL $URRE $PIP $FCEL $CRM $SCON $GLBS $ULTI

 

Stock Chatroom Trading Transcript
09:01 am Curtis Melonopoly : Decliners $SYUT 23%, $SMRT 16%, $DCIX 14%, $URRE 12%, $MRVL 11%, $DRYS $PIP $SHIP $FCEL $ESEA $SINO $GLBS $CRM $CBMX $UGAZ
09:02 am Curtis Melonopoly : oops gainers lol
09:03 am Curtis M : Decliners $HIBB, $KTOS, $GOLD, $FSLR, $AMAT, $PAAS, $SSRI, $RYAAY, $MU, $UGLD
09:23 am Curtis M : Watching $NATGAS $SILVER Near algo price target $GOLD Near algo price target $USOIL
09:24 am Curtis M : I think i will stay out of morning momos we will see
09:26 am Curtis M : Gainers: EYEG +28%. SYUT +22%. DCIX +13%. DRYS +13%. SINO +11%. SHIP +9%. MRVL +8%. NUAN +7%. URRE +7%. PIP +8%. CRM +6%. ESEA +5%. GLBS +5%. FCEL +5%.
09:26 am Curtis M : APRI -25%. ANF -12%. SCON -9%. KTOS -8%. RLOG -8%. GPS -8%. NEWM -7%. EMES -5%. VRTV -5%. RGC -6%. ON -4%.
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : What do you think about the UWTI delisting? Makes trading oil a bit tougher if you don’t do futures
09:29 am Curtis M : morning newsletter
09:29 am Curtis M : lots of ways to trade oil
09:34 am Curtis M : $SGNL halt
09:35 am Curtis M : Hey Mathew as far as oil Ill update before Monday
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : I was just curious to your thoughts on that. No rush
09:44 am Mathew Waterfall : games games games
09:44 am Curtis M : no prob mathew
09:45 am GSCT . : UWTI delisting? Had not heard.
09:46 am GSCT . : Sounds good.
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : options contracts get you a ton of leverage anyway. Each contract is $10 per cent move in the /cl price
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : that sounds right
09:48 am GSCT . : GUSH and DRIP
09:54 am Curtis M : mathew what are you in today
09:55 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m just kind of sitting on my hands. Opened a new position in X with calls. Trimmed a large amount of the FH I picked up yesterday
09:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Watching and waiting on most everything else
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : May add to XOP and XOM positions
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Waiting to see what oil and silver do. I like silver over gold right here as I think it will play catch up if gold heads north
09:56 am Curtis M : inflection everywhere except specific equities
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : yea. It really seems like people have been buyig just to buy and are now set to take a small breather
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : Also watching AMD with small pos, PYPL, MU, CLF
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : those are all longer term swings that I’m alredy in
10:03 am Mathew Waterfall : Ive been saying that all week that the USD would pull back a bit soon lol it’s in crazy mode right now
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : CRMD getting some chatter to
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Some of those low float bios went straight up yesterday
10:08 am Mathew Waterfall : IE CYCC yesterday. crazy
10:28 am Curtis M : long 3000 $ANF swing

Because I am publishing this now… I can post how this is going 3 market days later…

$ANF, Trade

$ANF Swing Trade trading at 15.49 Tuesday Nov 22, 2016 – entered at 14.96 3000 shares last Friday.

10:28 am Curtis M : 14.96 avg

So this $ANF swing is one of my favorite set-ups – give me a morning wash-out on earnings or whatever the reason (the less valid the better – like the recent $HTZ trade we did in the room) that institutional investors own and I’ll scoop the bottom every-time!

10:32 am Curtis M : http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/anf/institutional-holdings
10:51 am Curtis M : I have an early luncheon here in Panama to prep folks before i Leave for a few weeks so I am going to go do that and be back inside and hour – not a lot happening so may as well set up for afternoon
10:51 am Curtis M : catch ya in less than 1 hr back here
12:01 pm Curtis M : Watching $TRCH and $USDJPY to back off and $NATGAS
12:06 pm Curtis M : $TRCH scaling in 1000 shares at a time here to see if I can get an afternoon pop
12:06 pm Curtis M : $TRCH is in my swing account
12:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Picked up a couple shares to join ya in the fun. The oil trade was slow so this will due to keep me busy
12:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : oil getting some nice lift
12:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : 1.35 or TRCH and I’m probably out
12:47 pm susan woo : How do gold/silver look to you, Curtis?
12:48 pm Curtis M : gold and silver close to our buy trigger
12:48 pm Curtis M : newsletter kinda explains but ya getting close
12:48 pm susan woo : yeah, tempting:)
12:48 pm Curtis M : the USDJPY move should be almost over IMO
12:48 pm susan woo : Maybe by next week so that they can have the fun of crashing silver/gold Sunday evening first?
12:49 pm Curtis M : Getting really really close we had those buy triggers since end of july so I expect them to hit or get close, we had dxy nailed and the others os well see
12:49 pm Curtis M : ya
12:49 pm susan woo : ok thanks
12:49 pm Curtis M : very close so close the inflection point is near
12:50 pm Curtis M : back in a bit running scans make a few calls to other traders
12:53 pm Curtis M : If I loose ya ill sign back in im moving to pool deck nice day here
01:00 pm Curtis Melonopoly : going back to my desk lol that didn’t work
01:09 pm Curtis Melonopoly : be right back resigning in
01:12 pm Curtis M : so im accumullating a bit more here and going to cut here if it doesn´t hold
01:16 pm Curtis M : tough time in the market… likely no fireworks until monday morning ‘ but well see here shortly if anything good for afternoon
01:23 pm Curtis M : This could be where USDJPY lets out some air…. but…
01:39 pm Curtis M : $TRCH I am selling for tiny gains
01:40 pm Curtis M : Gonna call it a day market gonna be quiet till Monday
01:40 pm Curtis M : Room will stay open till 4
01:40 pm Curtis M : Have a great weekend!!!
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend
01:41 pm Curtis M : thanks Mathew

 

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, $TRCH, $ANF, Abercrombie

18
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Friday Nov 18 ($GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $IWM, $RWM, $FAZ, $USOIL, $GDX… more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday November 18, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Friday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of this Monday our new equipment will be up and running full steam so I’ve scheduled next week in the room (when market is quiet) for algo work – we’re running the algo updates now for $SPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $DXY, $GOLD, $SILVER – lots of updates coming for next week!

Market Outlook

The world markets in my opinion are at an inflection point. Sure the S&P 500 may go to all time highs and the US Dollar may really rocket and the various indices and international markets such as Japan will all fly high and even the metals will get curb-stomped. All of that I’ve been tweeting for months anyway in advance – so no surprise. The question is how to navigate it, trade the pull-backs and then really PROFIT on the other side of the inflection.

$GOLD and $SILVER are almost at our algorithm’s price targets – so I will be watching these closely. Japan’s stock market is in break-out mode with currency etc. S&P 500 $SPY is in mode to break new all time highs (I called prior to election), $VIX looks like it will be much lower (per our calls), $DXY US Dollar is in break-out mode (our algorithm nailed that with calls that extend back months ago) and $USOIL $WTI is sitting a new up range but not in break out (I am sure it is waiting for meetings to conclude).

I will say that our algorithm calls for Crude Oil, the US Dollar, S&P 500, Gold and Silver all took significant heat at the time they were made over the last few months. Interesting times – but our algorithms were right in every scenario – so that’s very positive, as such we’re releasing the initial charting of the algorithms over the next week.

On the small cap equity side…. shippers have run their course it seems and China low float issues got jiggy yesterday as I expected they would. This play book isn’t new. Low float oil could be next.

On the ETF / ETN side $UWTI $DWTI will be de-listed soon… so I will be looking to other instruments to trade crude oil. More to come on that soon.

So my plan in general is to watch for pull-backs and turns as the inflection points hit outside ranges. More detail below.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  $HIBB, $KTOS, $GOLD, $FSLR, $AMAT, $PAAS, $SSRI, $RYAAY, $MU, $UGLD – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: $SYUT 23%, $SMRT 16%, $DCIX 14%, $URRE 12%, $MRVL 11%, $DRYS $PIP $SHIP $FCEL $ESEA $SINO $GLBS $CRM $CBMX $UGAZ – I Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): Indices: $IWM $RWM $TZA S&P 500 $SPY ATH, International: Japan Stocks $DBJP, Currencies: $DXY $UUP Break-out $USD/$JPY $FXY, Financials: $FAZ Inflection Point?

Other Watch-List(s): 

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs, I will be looking for long positions on pull-backs. I see a run in Gold, miners and Silver soon then a pull back and then a big run.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

I expect volatility at market inflection points and then continue to get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Currencies Etc: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally so I’m looking at $UUP on pull-backs. Also looking at how the $USD/JPY relates to possible long in Japan with $DBJP.

I am also watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY and $USD/$JPY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

For me Gold and Silver is going to be the big story soon. It should start to get some lift if only for a short time and that process may go on for a while – so I will snipe as that occurs. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. The idea is to get on the winning side of the reverse when it occurs. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

$GOLD

$GOLD 530 AM EST Nov 18, 2016

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver – here again I will chew around the edges sniping until the reverse trend occurs.

$SILVER

$SILVER 548 AM November 18, 2016

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI $GUSH $ERX, $DWTI, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F)

First things first, $UWTI $DWTI are being de-listed (on Dec 9 I think?), anyway, that will cause me to choose a new instrument. I liked the idea of the 3x leveraged – I have a sneaking suspicion someone else will fill the void in short order anyway – but in meantime I’ll find other instruments. I really think the big story soon is going to be Gold and Silver anyway – so my bias is turning in that direction for daytrades anyway – but I’ll always trade oil.

In the short term we do have to be ready for rumors or even real news out of the oil meetings so I’m ready for that.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas: ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Natural gas… I’m not comfortable with at this time… I want a trade with at least 4 to 1 probability.. at least thats the plan – and with natural gas it seems hard to get better than 50 50 – but we’ll see.

Other Sectors, Indices, International Etc:

Watching $RWM Russell 2000 Short

Watching $SPY Long to All Time Highs

Watching Japan Stocks $DPJP

Watching Aluminum Long $FOIL

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

 

 

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom

18
Nov 2016

Post Market Thur Nov 17 Low Float Shippers China, $USOIL, #OIL, $UWTI and more.

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades / Alerts for Thursday Nov 17, 2016. Low Float Shippers China, $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM, $ISNS, $UWTI, OIL, and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive (we start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list).

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Overview Perspective of Chart Room, Trades and Alerts:

Today for me was a scalping day… worked moderately well. With a goal of 1% minimum per day (preferably 3%) I’m easily on track since the beta start of our trading room a couple weeks back (1% per day 10k to 1.14MM in 26 mos compounded).

Primary lessons I learned that may help your trades…

Today wasn’t exciting… it was a process of me chewing around the edges of crude trades with $UWTI (which by the way is being delisted soon – see premarket report coming up). I was likely up 1% or better – haven’t had the time to see yet.

The reason I chew around the edges is that I am looking for a break-out entry scalping with my small account looking to build it at 1% a day compound and if a break-out occurs then I start hammering down with my larger swing account on every pull-back. Pretty simple strategy that works well. With oil, the break-out I’m looking for is due to not only the current OPEC meetings but also in the charting.

But soon, very soon we’re looking at Gold and Silver because the are getting really close to our algorithm’s projected lows. So I will start chewing around the edges of $GOLD $SILVER and miners $GDX. Right now $DXY is in break-out mode so I may trade $UUP on pull-backs for a bit (however we see it trailing off soon) – it’s an inflection point in markets – so it is about being cautious during inflection prior to next trends. Japan is also in break-out so I may start chewing around edges of $DBJP also and of course the S & P 500 $XIV same thing. $VIX is getting stomped as expected but inflection will come there too.

What I did miss was the shippers (was all over them before they started but elected not to play) and China low float stocks have started (was also all over that ahead of curve and I’m thinking on it) and semi conductors I didn’t play.

Stock Chatroom Trading Transcript

08:54 am Curtis M : Premarket Top % Gainers: $SINO 76%, $RLOG 70%, $GSL 36%, $DCIX 27%, $ESEA 27%, $TOPS, $NM $GLBS $IMNP $NMM $SB $SHIP $NTAP $PLUG $BBY $EGLE
08:55 am Curtis M : Upgrades $MSFT $NOA $RRC $TCK $KBR $FSLR $QVCA $T $MUSA $NTAP
09:05 am Curtis M : No morning newsletter… same as yesterday with premarket gainers and upgrades listed here.
09:20 am Curtis M : $RLOG 113%, $GSL 105%, $SINO 99%, $PSID 36%, $DCIX 29%, $NMM 28%, $NWBO $TOPS $WNR $NM $SB $ANW $GLBS $NTAP $HAIN
09:23 am Curtis M : “Risk control is the most important thing in trading.”
09:24 am GSCT . : /CL surge here
09:26 am Curtis M : Morning … back in a minute for open
09:32 am GSCT . : DRYS offering
09:49 am mathew w : Getting out of my ON UWTI position
09:49 am mathew w : Huge moves all over the board
09:52 am Curtis M : Looking for $UWTI long as oil settles through morning, oil companies starting to squeeze so Im running scans, expected entry long $UWTI at arrow gives me 46.20 – 47.28 width on crude for 3-6% in $UWTI potential
09:53 am GSCT . : Thanks for the detailed strategy
09:58 am Curtis M : RUnning screeners on oil companies and waiting for $UWTI entry on oil price target
10:00 am mathew w : WLL and NE working nicely here
10:00 am Curtis M : For those wondering why I will stalk an oil trade for hours …. https://compoundtrading.com/100000-turns-1-million-24-mths-1-per-day-compound-stock-trading/
10:00 am mathew w : Looking and JONE and EPE
10:04 am mathew w : LE? No NE. Noble energy
10:04 am mathew w : I’m in these calls from friday
10:04 am mathew w : haha close. Cows. Oil. whatever
10:13 am GSCT . : U or DWTI?
10:27 am Curtis M : http://finance.yahoo.com/news/janet-yellen-testifies-on-capitol-hill-150717531.html
10:53 am Curtis M : https://twitter.com/curtmelonopoly/status/799278889566662656 finally got some sun after 4 days of rain
10:57 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.60 800 shares small account – may have to sit through some pain… a little early but ya
11:13 am Curtis M : Out for now at 19.70 looking to renter $UWTI
11:22 am Curtis M : Lomg $UWTI 19.535 small account 1000 shares
11:24 am Curtis M : Out $UWTI flat
11:25 am Curtis M : chewing around edges trying to get lift
11:49 am Curtis M : Long $UWTI small account 1000 share 19.536
11:59 am Curtis M : OUt $UWTI 19.74
12:00 pm Curtis M : ugh
12:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice Kill Curtis. Well done
12:03 pm Curtis M : thanks
12:06 pm Curtis M : So going to get ready for EOD oil squeezes catcha in a few
12:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : AMD and MU going crazy today if you’re looking for other momo plays
12:06 pm Curtis M : thanks
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Repeated calls being bought in size in both this AM
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might be a little tired but still seeing flows coming across
12:09 pm Curtis M : ok thanks
12:10 pm Curtis M : going to be out of hotel for 20 mins
12:10 pm Curtis M : if it says im out of room or whatver no prob cya in 20
12:11 pm Curtis M : specifically im mainly looking at oil squueze small caps but will look at anything EOD
12:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : invernse h&s on /cl 1′ chart
01:20 pm Curtis M : $DHRM china loa float
01:21 pm Curtis M : Yup theyre gonna run the Chinas now for a while lol
01:27 pm Curtis M : $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM then likely $ISNS
01:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : In and out of /cl and UWTI for small wins. That price action is agrivating.
01:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Back in FH for a swing trade. Hit this for a win about a month ago. Back on the radar today so hoping to get back into the 3s shortly
01:42 pm Curtis M : crude has snipers in there till bots get it and go
01:45 pm Curtis M : Watching $BNSO $NFEC $ DHRM $ISNS and other China low float mania
01:51 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.26 1000 shares small acct
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im short FYI
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : once it broke .21 I went short
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was wrong on that one lol. Quick out
01:57 pm Curtis M : $UWTI small win beers and hotdogs
01:57 pm Curtis M : $CCCL
01:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m back short. This is going lower with the $DXY strength
01:58 pm GSCT . : When you talk about a ticker can you please say its name as I can’t always have your screen up and also can you make the ticker symbol more readable on your chart as it’s very hard to discern.
02:00 pm GSCT . : I mean the symbol name in light grey. Please make it more white.
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : The dollar moves make me very nervous right here RE oil
02:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : Im playing against last weeks high here
02:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : might go long /cl
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : long and wrong new LOD
02:13 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 1000 shares small account 19.05
02:19 pm Curtis M : $UWTI 18.88 loss 1000 shares
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Damn that price action is all over the place
02:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : I was trying to get out of my /cl contracts and it was jumping so bad I lost $$$ trying to chase it down
02:24 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 18.93 1000 shares small acct
02:25 pm Curtis M : out flat $UWTI no mojo
02:27 pm Curtis M : Long $UWTI 19.06 1000 shares small act
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Dude tough day for sure. I have 8 round trips in UWTI in one account and have probably half as many round trips for /cl contracts
02:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Broker making as much as I am today
02:30 pm Curtis M : Out $UWTI 19.07 flat
02:30 pm Curtis M : 3 w 1 L 1 F choppy cant get a trend easily
02:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might hit silver shortly for a swing. USLV looks appealing
02:52 pm Curtis M : looks like a lot of gold and silver trading coming up soon here
02:54 pm Curtis M : $DXY should back off… $GOLD and $SILVER gonna run… until then low float mania? And remember what happened last year same time…
03:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m still in TKAI for a low float pick lol. Things kind of a turd but I bought low enough it doesnt matter
03:15 pm Curtis M : Gonna call it a night guys. Were going to try and get all algo charts for all 6 up by Monday. Looks like Gold and Silver are near so lotsa work to do.
03:15 pm Curtis M : Room will stay open till 4 see ya n morning
03:18 pm GSCT . : Thanks CM

Topics: Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Chat Room, Trading Results, Low Float Stocks, Shippers, China, $UWTI, OIL, $SCON $BNSO, $DHRM, $ISNS, $GOLD, $SILVER, $DXY

16
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Wednesday Nov 16 ($USD/JPY, $IWM, $RWM, $IWM, $FAZ, $USOIL, $GDX… more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Wednesday November 16, 2016 in Chatroom.

Welcome to the Wednesday Wall Street trading session!

Algo work – As of this Monday our new equipment will be up and running full steam so I’ve scheduled next week in the room (when market is quiet) for algo work – I was going to start this week, and did a tad… but quickly realized all the machines need to be tied in for that.

Market Outlook – So yesterday the market inflection point started and continued over night and so the next few days will be interesting – there are battles in every corner… we’ll see. So I’ve started to chew around the edges of the inflection with instruments like $GDX but nothing is where you can really bite down on and go with yet. Obviously there’s anomolies like the shippers of late – but that’s intra anomoly plays I’m not really interested in but won’t disregard – and I know they’re all buying Lamborghinis today… I know. Oh and oil got up over important resistance during trade yesterday but lost it overnight so I’m looking for the 200 day on the 1 hour as possible long entry.

Rate Hike?

Things that make you go hmmm…

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists

Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $LOW Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List:  $SINO $OPTT $CRDS $CLLS $TOUR $SHIP $LPL $ESEA $TOPS $GOGL $NTNX $TGT $DCIX $YRD $SDRL Will Update Before Market Open or Refer to Chat Room

Other Watch-List(s): Inflection points with currencies $USD/$JPY $FXY, Financials $FAZ, Indices $IWM $RWM $TZA and more. Volatility $TVIX $UVXY

Other Watch-List(s): Shippers: $DRYS $EGLE $SHIP $SINO $TOPS $GNRT Oil: $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY Financials: $FAZ

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS)

My bias is still to all time highs – although it has struggled some and with this inflection point – it’s a wait and see – we may see a pullback here first. The US Dollar is going to cause issues IMO as will other global market / credit / bond and small cap issues and more over the horizon. In that, I see a run in Gold and Silver soon then a pull back and then a big run.

My trading plan with $SPY: I expect volatility could get some lift here at market inflection and then get crushed and I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events.

Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

I am still expecting it to get crushed – but it will likely get some lift here with the market inflection and short term pull back I’m seeing short term in indices etc.

My trading plan for $VIX is obviously $TVIX $UVXY $XIV day trade snipes.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar continues its rally at time of writing. I expect it to continue in its symmetry relative to last year before Christmas also. Anyway, my Twitter feed had me posting this run since early July. It should at least take a breather here. It is .2 cents off my price target.

May call from October 12, 2016 – Price Target Hit

Aug 3, 2016 I was tell the $DXY bulls they were going to have a good Christmas (our algo was launched in – house at that point and was hitting like mad – I was being a little cheeky).

I am also watching the Peso and Trump’s messaging… also watching $FXY and $USD/$JPY for clues with Gold and Miner’s.

$USD/JPY

$FXY

$TZA could get a bounce.

My trading plan with $DXY is that I’m sitting tight. WHEN IT DOES reach it’s full symmetrical extension I will look at plays for the downside. If $USD/$JPY comes off some I may look at Miner’s and I’m expecting Russell 2000 to come off a bit – BUT YOU NEVER KNOW.

Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

My plan with Gold and the miners remains the same – patience. I have started to chew around the edges with tight trades but nothing yet. Watching $USD/$JPY close and $DXY and $FXY for clues on Gold and miners movements.

My trading plan with Gold: Wait for the buy trigger to hit. If it doesn’t reassess range then.

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

As with Gold I’m awaiting buy trigger on Silver… I did try and take a $USLV trade on Monday as a tester but stopped out so I’ll continue to watch.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock)

Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F)

4:33 AM Update: EPIC the OIL Algo Blog Post Published.

If you are trading oil in the room be sure to always check EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter Feed for updates and recent reports etc.

Oil got up over resistance yesterday and lost it overnight (that thick blue line) – so I am hoping for the 200 day on the 1 Hour as a long entry.

In summary your trading ranges are as follows (as of 721 AM Nov 16, 2016):

Diagonal intra trend lines: Overhead Resistance 45.54. (change intra with diagonal blue lines).

Horizontal trend lines: Resistance – Many. Support – Many but one of note at 44.56. Refer to chart. (purple lines).

Moving average: Support at 200 MA on the 1 HR. Intra is at 44.51 (this will change intra)

Alpha algo lines: Refer to chart (red dotted diagonal).

Alpha algo targets for week: At time of writing EPIC has not released any updates.

Traditional chart pivots: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

Traditional Fibonacci: Next segment of publishing from EPIC coming soon.

My plan trading oil is to take a long position in $UWTI at the 200 day on the 1 hour (pink line on chart) in my small account if the support holds and there is corresponding price action / volume. I will sell in to strength and re-enter as needed and I will sell VERY FAST if support is breached. If oil gets proper lift then I will consider entering in size long with my large swing account.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Wowza

Other:

Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ)

Thinking the air is getting a little thin up here for $IWM

Watching $RWM Russell 200 Short

Thinking Aluminum for some reason

Study:

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

GL!

Curtis

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom

1 … 9 10 11 12 13 14