My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday Dec 27, 2016 in Trading Chat room.  $JNUG $IONS $NAK $NUGT $SDRL $DWT $UWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

REVIEW: If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will often be information in that report that is applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING STATUS: Another quickie guys and gals! Until all year-end algos are reset this week you can expect these premarket reports to be quick for now!

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST

Market Outlook:

As mentioned previous, all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out this week (Gold and oil out last night).

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momentum stocks:  $JNUG $IONS $NAK $NUGT $SDRL $NVCN, $USLV $UGAZ $AG $CNAT $SLW $GDXJ $ABX $MTL $GDX $UNG $NVDA

S&P +0.07%.

10-yr -0.1%.

Euro -0.11% vs. dollar.

Crude +0.26% to $53.16.

Gold +0.86% to $1,143.35.

Global stocks inch higher in holiday lull.

$SCMP gets rating upgrade, $IONS receives approval, $CAH settles suit.

Seattle Genetics announces clinical hold on Phase 1 trails of SGN-CD33A. $SGEN halted premarket. #biotech #stocks

Fred’s adopts poison pill http://seekingalpha.com/news/3232524-freds-adopts-poison-pill?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $FRED

$PAAS +2.4% premarket after acquiring ownership and control of an additional 10M common shares of Maverix Metals for $5.46M. 

Endologix shares tumble 14% in premarket trade.

$APRI Apricus Biosciences Announces the Launch of Vitaros® for the Treatment of Erectile Dysfunction.

$IONS SPINRAZA™ (nusinersen) Approved in U.S. to Treat Broad Range of Patients with Spinal Muscular Atrophy

$DRYS Enters Into $200 Million Common Stock Purchase Agreement With Kalani Investments Limited 

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $JNUG 7%, $IONS 7%, $NAK 5%, $NUGT 5%, $SDRL 5%, $NVCN, $USLV $UGAZ $AG $CNAT $SLW $GDXJ $ABX $MTL $GDX $UNG $NVDA I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA 

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

NA

Per previous:

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

NA

Per recent posts:

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

NA

Per previous;

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Per Previous:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: NA

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

NA

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $JNUG, $IONS, $NAK, $NUGT, $SDRL, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY


Tues Dec 27, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

TRADE NEWS: Crude is trading at 53.16 (at 4:45 EST) – THERE IS A NEW ALGO LINE AND ALGO TARGETS ON THIS CHART. ALSO A LIST OF ALGO TARGETS WITH PROBABILITIES ARE LISTED IN ALGO TARGET SECTION BELOW.

NEW OPTIONS: My algorithmic modeling daily oil reports are now available separate of the 24 hour oil trade room / oil reports bundle.

CHARTING: Charts will be cluttered for a number of days with technicians processing multiple calculations for 2017 algorithmic models.  

ALERTS: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday Dec 27, 2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/mQ1tJztl-EPIC-the-OIL-ALGO-MEMBER-CHART/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 53.15 4:50 AM ET Dec 27, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

New Algo Targets – Algo Line. Crude algo intra work sheet 443 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, Chart

New Algo Targets – Algo Line. Crude algo intra work sheet 443 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Refer to my previous post re: Green arrows on chart are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

There are two (at least at time of writing) diagonal trend – lines right under where crude is trading and one right at where crude is trading intra.

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

Crude trading just above 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 500 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude oil, $USOIL, 4 Hour, 20 MA

Crude trading just above 20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 500 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude trading just above 20 MA on 1 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 457 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Crude oil, 20 MA, 1 Hour

Crude trading just above 20 MA on 1 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 457 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

The 200 MA on the 1 day provides predictable entry and exit and good trend change indication (until it doesn’t). A review of historical time frames proves that you will want for price to come up through the 200 MA from the downside. There are some examples of failure over last number of years also.

200 MA on 1 Day. Crude algo intra work sheet 624 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

200 MA, 1 Day Chart, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL

200 MA on 1 Day. Crude algo intra work sheet 624 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below – but they may just confuse you more than anything. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so the chart below is more mad science than anything because this is simply a live shot of work we are in the middle of – and we understand the levels can be difficult to make out.

When you get a feel for how the fib levels reflect intra trading (which we cannot explain in short here) you will always have them on your chart in a similar manner.

Fibonacci Levels. Crude algo intra work sheet 514 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, Chart, Fibonacci

Fibonacci Levels. Crude algo intra work sheet 514 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Per the last few reports we reference a few time cycles and yes as usual crude moved aggressively out of those cycles as we thought.

Time price cycle terminations. Crude algo intra work sheet 527 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

There are many time price cycle terminations on every chart, it depends where price is trading with time to determine if there is a possible termination at hand. Below I have noted four prominent ones coming and terminating at approximately on or before Tues at 4:30 PM, Wed 5:15 AM, Fri 4:30 AM June 2 4:45 PM BUT IT DEPENDS ON WHAT PRICE CRUDE IS TRADING AT. So if you are in a trade and you want a lead trader to review what time / price cycle terminations apply to intra day levels let them know in the trading room or send an email over and they will respond for you. Over time, you will learn what to look for. There are no REAL SIGNIFICANT time price cycle terminations on this chart – all are moderate to weak.

Time, Price, $USOIL

Time price cycle terminations. Crude algo intra work sheet 527 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

There is a new alpha algo line on this chart and new algo targets for Tues, Wed and Friday this week.

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trend lines are on the chart above (red dotted diagonals) – there is one far below price, two above and one right where price is trading – the one nearest price is proving to be significant.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Due to multiple requests we will start publishing our targets weekly not only on the charts (with circles and algo lines) but also as numeric listed targets with associated probabilities for each target on each day again (we recently stopped doing this but a number of traders have requested we do this again so we will start again next week). You can see how I used to do this on my Twitter feed.

So what is your most probable algo target for Tuesday 4:40 PM EST? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

This week alpha algo targets are as follows (with associated ht probability):

Tuesday 4:30 PM EST – 50.74 (7%), 53.34 (56%), 54.56 (24%)

Wednesday 10:30 AM EST – 50.87 (6%), 53.53 (53%), 54.76 (21%)

Friday 1:00 PM EST – 51.23 (5%), 54.06 (47%), 55.78 (17%)

Friday’s algo targets have not been near as predictable as Tues and Wed (shy of 80% now vs 90%+) and this Friday looks no different so be cautious with this Friday’s targets!

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart above. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

$USOIL, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 605 AM Dec 27 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release soon (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

 
Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Fibonacci, Algo, Targets


Gold Trading Update Monday Dec 26 – GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Dec 26, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (member edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new member edition Gold trade report (public editions do not include proprietary algorithmic modeling).

These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

NEW TRADING ROOM OPTION: There is now an option for trading room only – non-bundled version https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-live-trading/ at 59.00 a month (vs bundled version with morning newsletter and alerts at 119.00). There are limited orders available at 38.2% discount (200 max) FYI.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

Please read the public version of this Gold trade report first and then view Member Edition add-ons below:

Algorithmic Modeling Member Section

Primary Algorithmic Model Support and Resistance:

Current trading at time of writing is at 1139.26. Following are your support and resistance calculated from previous time / price cycles and various other calculations that coincide with Fibonacci levels:

Resistance:

Moderate 1141.90, 1144.19, 1145.19, 1146.29. Significant 1150.69, 1156.12, 1157.40, 1164.91, 1196.08, 1217.91, 1239.75, 1310.44

Support:

1136.97, 1135.65, 1134.74, 1132.51, 1129.34, 1127.68, 1125.44, 1122.82, 1120.77

Support, Resistance, Gold, Chart

Support and Resistance. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

The primary algo support and resistance lines are at the following levels – trade above is bullish intraday to next primary line and trade below is bearish intraday to next primary line.

1122.82 – a break below has high probability of further downtrend in Gold

1144.19

1150.69

1164.94 – a break above has high probability of a trend reversal in Gold taking place to upside.

Alpha Algo Trading Price Targets:

Gold has been trading in a confirmed downtrend since early Oct 2016, as such, the lower targets are more probable than the upper targets. The closer to price of current trade the more probable the targets are to hit prior to expiry Jan 1 2017. The one consideration is that Gold is getting an intraday bounce as this is being written.

Here are the targets for this week (the further from current price the less likely a hit):

Upper:

1150.69

1164.91

1217.91

1239.75

1266. 71

1310.44

Lower:

1120.77

1119.37

1117.89

1116.11

1113.27

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

The blue lines represent the outside lines (perimeter) of algorithmic modeling quadrants (as they apply to this time-frame). Watch them closely – they very often act as support and resistance.

Algo, Quadrants, Gold, Chart

Algo Quadrant Lines (Blue). Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

The nearest time / price cycle terminates at latest Dec 28 at 7:00 AM – it is moderate, but plan for intraday trend reversal nonetheless anytime prior.

The next significant time / price cycle termination is Jan 10, 2017 at 10:00 AM.

As new time / price cycle terminations present themselves we will notify members by alert or new posts.

Gold News:

Gold Copper Ratio tells us difficult days ahead. http://seekingalpha.com/article/4032727-gold-copper-ratio-tells-us-difficult-days-ahead-gold

Gold and Gold Miner Equities on Watch:

Which Gold Miners Could Provide a Valuation Upside in 2017? A complete listing in early Jan 2017 member editions.

Resource Stock Seasonality:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Gold Miners Trade Study:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Algorithmic Modeling Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consolidation of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “consolidation” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets / algo lines / algo quadrants / time and price cycles).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


Gold Trading Update Monday Dec 26 – GOLD $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD) Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG) Chart and Algorithm Observations

Dec 26, 2016 Rosie the Gold Algo Trading Report (public edition).

Good day! My name is Rosie the Gold Algo. Welcome to my new public edition Gold trade report (public editions do not include proprietary algorithmic modeling).

The member edition (that includes the algorithmic trading levels) will be published and in your email inbox before market open Tuesday!

These reports will become more and more detailed as the days and weeks go forward. You can follow my intra day tweets here https://twitter.com/ROSIEtheAlgo.

IMPORTANT NOTICES:

NEW TRADING ROOM OPTION: There is now an option for trading room only – non-bundled version https://compoundtrading.com/product/standalone-live-trading/ at 59.00 a month (vs bundled version with morning newsletter and alerts at 119.00). There are limited orders available at 38.2% discount (200 max) FYI.

DEVELOPMENT PROCESS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical or geometric factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a traditional chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of Gold. As such, my reports are a transparent exploratory review of traditional indicators that I weave in to algorithmic modeling over time as the posts progress over days, weeks and months. Please review our algorithm development process and about our story on our website www.compoundtrading.com, my charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog. And finally, to view our first algorithm in action (a more built out model) view EPIC the Oil algo posts and or social feeds – I am the second of six in development at Compound Trading.

FEATURE POST: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

PRICING: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 I will have a rate increase as my model rolls over from early stage – but as with all our offerings, existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates. You can subscribe to the Gold algo member edition here.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is scheduled to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program.

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

Gold Trading Observations:

A Review:

Through-out summer and fall 2016 we were warning against a bullish bias to gold and by early Oct 2016 we were giving specific price targets – one price target for 1163.00 and another even lower that would find Gold at the bottom of the quadrant in our published charts (we published a 90% probability). As of writing (Dec 26, 2016) both of these price targets have been hit. Here are a few examples of our alerts / tweets;

1163 Gold Price Target

Gold trade hitting price target.

Warning that there was a 90% probability that Gold would have to visit bottom of quadrant on chart (representing further downside).

Gold, Price Target, Hit, Algo

Dec 15 perfect touch to PT alert Nov 25. Gold Algo Model Chart Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miner $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Alerting members to watch for the 100 day to be regained:

As of Dec 26 the 100 day MA has not been regained.

100 MA, 1 Week, Chart, Gold

100 Day MA on 1 Week Chart – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Nov 25 I alert that when the 200 MA crosses the 100 MA on the 5 min that could be an area for a pop in price (for scalping daytrade):

Below is what happened the next time the 200 MA crossed the 100 MA on the 5 min. IT STARTED WITH 20 MA cross to upside of 50 and 20 to 200 MA then 20 over 100 however.

200 MA Crossing 100 MA on 5 Min Chart – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

100 MA, 100 MA, Gold, Chart

200 MA Crossing 100 MA on 5 Min Chart – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

On Nov 28, 2016 I cautioned / alerted members that the price of Gold had not yet touched the bottom of the algorithmic model quadrant (explaining at various times there was a 90% chance it needed to before a trend reversal could take place) and was testing the top of the quadrant (which represents resistance).

Gold trading price since alert (above) – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold, Alert, Chart

Gold trading price since alert – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Alerting again to wait for bottom of quadrant before considering long position in Gold:

Dec 18, 2016 published a Keep It Simple Gold chart to watch 100 MA on 1 Week for buy / sell triggers:

Trading under 100 MA on 1 Wk – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

100 MA, Trading, Price, Gold, Chart

Trading under 100 MA on 1 Wk – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Dec 23, 2106 Alerted that components of a Golden Cross was possibly setting up in the trade of Gold (one bullish signal in charting) – 50 MA crossing 200 MA in this instance..

And of course along the way we watched the USDJPY

Current Trading:

At time of writing Gold is trading at 1133.17. Some thoughts that may help advance you trading edge;

Trading at 1133.17 – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Gold, Stock, Chart

Trading at 1133.17 – Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

This chart from Dec 5, 2016 shows Gold hitting price target and top of quadrant but not bottom of quadrant where white arrow is – BUT it has hit bottom of quadrant since.

Gold, Chart

Hit my PT from July call but not lower quad. Gold algo intra work sheet 558 AM Dec 5 $GOLD $GLD $UGLD $DGLD $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Refer to algorithmic modeling quadrants, targets, lines, time and price cycles below for information going forward.

Golden Cross:

The elements of a Golden Cross are setting up in Gold. The 50 MA crossing the 200 MA.

Golden Cross, Set-up, Gold, Chart

Golden Cross setup 50 MA crossing 200 MA. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Applications of the Golden Cross
The most commonly used moving averages are the 50-period and the 200-period moving average. The period represents a specific time increment. Generally, larger time periods tend to form stronger lasting breakouts. For example, the daily 50-day moving average crossover up through the 200-day moving average on an index like the S&P 500 is one of the most popular bullish market signals. With a bell weather index, the motto “A rising tide lifts all boats” applies when a golden cross forms as the buying resonates throughout the index components and sectors. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldencross.asp

Moving Averages:

100 MA on 1 week. A very predictable indicator of longer range trading trend.

Price still trading under 100 MA on 1 Week. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

100 MA, Gold, Chart,

Price still trading under 100 MA on 1 Week. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Intra-day, 20MA crossing 50, 100, 200 example om 1 minute. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

MA, Gold, Chart

Intra-day, 20MA crossing 50, 100, 200 example. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

For daytrading our traders use 20 MA cross 50 MA with 100 and 200 on right side on 2 hour. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

So basically the set-up is on the 2 hour chart – the MA’s need to be on opposite side of chart below. This set-up has proven effective if you back-test it.

Daytrading, Gold, Chart, 20, 50, 100, 200, MA

For daytrading our traders use 20 MA cross 50 MA with 100 and 200 on right side. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Using 50 MA crossing upside 20 MA as sell signal. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Then you can use the 50 crossing up over 20 as your sell signal – or as our traders often do they turn to tighter time-frames, but I think you get the idea.

50 MA, 20 MA, Sell Signal, Gold

Using 50 MA crossing upside 20 MA as sell signal. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Fibonacci:

Fibonacci Levels to watch. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

The chart below is literally a work sheet our trader’s are using while this post is being written – so don’t use this at home – in a way that you would typically use Fib levels. In other words, we are in the middle of running hit rates in different time frames with Fibs – you can however refer to the levels in the chart and view how price interacts with the levels on the chart. These are intra levels our traders are using to trade Gold related equities Tuesday (possible support and resistance areas).

Fibonacci, Gold, Chart

Fibonacci Levels to watch. Gold Algorithmic Model Chart Observation Work Sheet $GLD $UGLD, $DGLD Miners $GDX $NUGT $DUST $JDST $JNUG

Seasonality:

Gold, Seasonality

GOLD Seasonality over 32 years peaks in Jan

 

Gold, Spot

GOLD Seasonal Average Spot

Gold, Volatility

GOLD Volatility Peaks in Jan 37 Years

Gold, Intraday, 10 Year

Gold Intraday Average 10 Year chart

Gold and the US Dollar:

Algorithmic Modeling Member Section

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Alpha Algo Trading Price Targets:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Proprietary – exclusive to member edition (due before market open).

Gold News:

Gold Copper Ratio tells us difficult days ahead. http://seekingalpha.com/article/4032727-gold-copper-ratio-tells-us-difficult-days-ahead-gold

Gold and Gold Miner Equities on Watch:

Which Gold Miners Could Provide a Valuation Upside in 2017? A complete listing in early Jan 2017 member editions.

Resource Stock Seasonality:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Gold Miners Trade Study:

Included in upcoming issues early Jan 2017.

Algorithmic Modeling Indicators:

As I explained above, my algorithm is a consolidation of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This “consolidation” is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets / algo lines / algo quadrants / time and price cycles).

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Rosie the Gold Algo

Article Topics: Rosie Gold Algo, Chart, Stocks, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $GOLD $GLD, $UGLD, $DGLD, Miners, $GDX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG


My Stock Trading Plan for Friday Dec 23, 2016 in Trading Chat room.  $DPRX, $URRE, $UEC, $GSAT, $SGYP, $DWT $UWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Merry Christmas everyone! May you have a very happy holiday with your family.

Important Notices:

REVIEW: If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will often be information in that report that is applicable to and not included in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING STATUS: Another quickie guys and gals!

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST

Market Outlook:

I AM STALKING VOLATILITY, COPPER LONG AND OIL LONG AT SUPPORT. SOON GOLD and miners and maybe bio.

As mentioned previous, all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now (long term since July and short term) so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out VERY SOON.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momentum stocks: $DPRX $URRE $UEC $GSAT $SGYP – $URRE up 53% on 80K volume premarket 7:47 AM.

S&P -0.09%.

10-yr +0.08%.

Euro +0.12% vs. dollar.

Crude -0.96% to $52.44.

Gold +0.16% to $1,132.55.

Small Bio M&A on watch. Today $DPRX gap. $OPHT $DNAI $DVAX $IPCI $TKAI

Futures quiet in pre-holiday trade.

EnteroMedics to reverse split shares 1:70 December 28 #premarket $ETRM

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $DPRX $URRE $UEC $GSAT $SGYP $GOGL $NUGT, $FCAU $ERIC $EWZ $UGAZ $RACE $SCO $DB $UVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA – Getting some action though.

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

NA

Per previous:

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

THIS IS STILL SUPER BULLISH!!!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

NA 

Per recent posts:

Rosie the Gold Algo target call HIT!

My Trading Plan for Gold: Short term there could be a pretty good pop around the Fed, but I don’t expect it would last. It could pop to the top of the algo quadrant but I don’t think it would run past – NOT YET ANYWAY. So who know’s I may play a short term scenario – Fed / market reaction dependent.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

NA

Per previous;

Yesterday Silver tanked real hard! Good thing we’ve been sitting on our hands awaiting inflection point here.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Outlook:

Per Previous:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: WE ARE RIGHT NEAR SUPPORT AT TIME OF WRITING! 51.93 is the support test and I will take a long position there and see if we get the turn. 

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

NA

Per last week:

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted.

Natural Gas hit heavy resistance, came off, now at a Fibonacci support. $NG_F $UGAZ $DGAZ

ON WATCH!!! This could get a considerable pop in to late Wednesday and even as far as in to late Monday next week is possible!!!

Natural gas lost that Fib support yesterday so now I am watching lower supports. I still think there is a possibility for a pop just after Fed speak!

ON CLOSE WATCH!

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $DPRX, $URRE, $UEC, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $UWT, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY


Friday Dec 23, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

TRADE: Crude is trading at 52.56 which is very close to a major support (at 5:47 EST). We have traders looking at possible long positions at 51.95 area and crude $USOIL.

CHARTING: Charts will be cluttered for the next number of days with technicians processing multiple calculations for 2017 algorithmic models.  

ALERTS: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

MUST READ: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

ACCESS: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Friday Dec 23, 2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/ZqkVYdUL-EPIC-THE-OIL-ALGO-MEMBER-CHART/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.58 5:51 AM ET Dec 23, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

Trading 52.58 Crude algo intra work sheet 545 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, $WTI, Trading, Chart

Trading 52.58 Crude algo intra work sheet 545 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Green arrows on chart are highest probability trade entries for short or long positions – while crude is trading in upward channel (like it is) your probability is always higher going long until channel broken. Trading at outside of channel increases probability of success also.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

There are two (at least at time of writing) diagonal trend – lines right under where crude is trading.

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments. Below are a few examples.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers. It is preferable to sell at the top of the move if you can time it and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside. While crude is trading under 20 MA advantage is to short side and over advantage to long side. Keep in mind while trade remains in upward trending channel like it is now short side probability is lower than it would be otherwise.

$USOL, 20 MA, 4 Hour

20 MA on 4 Hour. Crude algo

The 200 MA on the 1 day provides predictable entry and exit and good trend change indication (until it doesn’t). A review of historical time frames proves that you will want for price to come up through the 200 MA from the downside. There are some examples of failure over last number of years also.

200 MA on 1 Day. Crude algo intra work sheet 624 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

200 MA, 1 Day Chart, $USOIL, $WTI, OIL

200 MA on 1 Day. Crude algo intra work sheet 624 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below – but they will just confuse you more than anything. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so the chart below is more mad science right now than anything because this simply a live shot of work we are in the middle of.

Fibonacci levels for oil. Crude algo intra work sheet 644 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

$USOIL, Fibonacci, Chart

Fibonacci levels for oil. Crude algo intra work sheet 644 AM Dec 23 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Specific to the charts above they are littered with Fib levels and if you look close you wil see geometric shapes in white or grey lines. Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Per the last few reports we reference a few time cycles and yes as usual crude moved aggressively out of those cycles as we thought.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trend lines are on the chart above (red dotted diagonals) – there is one far below price and two above.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Friday target in my opinion (upper or lower targets) are a low probability.

Next week targets will be published before market open Tuesday (Monday the market is closed).

Due to multiple requests we will start publishing our targets weekly not only on the charts (with circles and algo lines) but also as numeric listed targets with associated probabilities for each target on each day again (we recently stopped doing this but a number of traders have requested we do this again so we will start again next week). You can see how I used to do this on my Twitter feed.

So what is your most probable algo target for Friday 1:00 PM EST? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

Friday’s algo targets have not been near as predictable as Tues and Wed (shy of 80% now vs 90%+) and this Friday looks no different so be cautious with this Friday’s targets!

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart above. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release any moment (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Thursday Dec 22 – $CMTX, $UWT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX, $GSAT, $TKAI, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Today was very calm. Some trades in the group. For me quiet with two small trades – study day mostly.

My Personal Trades:

Two small trades and wins – $CMTX was my morning momentum stock trade and $UWT later in day. Holding $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST.

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

 

Announcements in Trading Room:

 

08:48 am Curtis M : Morning! Gainers: $TKAI $GSAT $XOMA $ANY $MU $RGSE $RENN $HTBX $DGAZ $TWLO $SCMP I will look at momo stock trades at open and our regular watches after.

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

9:02 am Curtis M : $FRED down 8% in premarket
09:05 am Curtis M : Watching $TKAI $GSAT $EYES $CETX $MU
09:26 am Mathew Waterfall : $TKAI hitter from early last month. Out this AM after buying in at .88. Nice surprise to wake up to
09:26 am Mathew Waterfall : Expecting a similar move from $DNAI sooner or later
09:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Also will be looking to exit $TWTR puts and $TWLO calls likely half of each as they are both into next week
09:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Morning guys!
09:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Out this week $TWTR 17 puts at .4 from .17
09:32 am Mathew Waterfall : Out half next week $TWLO 37 c’s at .6 from .38
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Out half next week $TWTR 16.5 puts at .38 from .3
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : sorry from .2
09:44 am Curtis M : $CETX L 500 5.695 L 1000 5.79 Sold 5.801
09:45 am Cindy L : I’m still n $CETX from pre
09:46 am OILQ K : Long ACNV
09:47 am John M : $TWLO long at every dip
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : $VXX outs for next week. 23’s at .14
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : *pus
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : jesus I can’t type this morning. You know what I mean. PUTS
09:47 am Sammy T : lol
09:47 am Jonny M : edit!
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : I need to figure out how to make this typing text box bigger so I can review my posts easier
09:58 am Ma Ka : gm all
09:59 am Cindy L : $DNAI gonna go
10:00 am Mathew Waterfall : $RENN looks like it wants to squeeze
10:03 am Curtis M : Long $UWT 26.386 avg 1000
10:05 am OILQ K : LOng Some UWT TOO
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : long $WATT 18.14 for a swing. Stop at 17.45\
10:06 am Cindy L : Im in small UWT
10:07 am Sammy T : $REN going to sq if oil goes
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : $GPRO going. Still in my next week 10 lotto calls
10:07 am Mathew Waterfall : Also all out of $TWTR puts
10:13 am Mathew Waterfall : Following sweeper through for some $MU Jan 6 24c’s at .32. Looking for some post earnings continuation and the chart looks great
10:14 am Mathew Waterfall : Also out half of $GPRO next week 10 lotto’s at .09 from .04. @ bagger covering cost so rest will ride free
10:16 am Curtis M : nice man
10:19 am Michael P : School in session bang
10:20 am Mathew Waterfall : Sentiment mild, TICKs middling, VIX dropping. All addes up to a market that is just floating along IMO.
10:34 am Sammy T : In $PTIE
10:34 am Mathew Waterfall : $WATT monster move already. Great momo in this one
10:35 am Drew M : In some $SRNE looking gooood
10:36 am Drew M : $LABD strong
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : $KNDI on the move. I’ve been stalking for a short squeeze. If it gets outside of the triangle and over .65 it’s a buy on my end
10:37 am MarketMaven M : $UGAZ down
10:38 am Sammy T : $BIG looks like $BIG move comin
10:39 am OILK K : $BBBY we called that!
10:40 am Curtis M : away for 3 mins
10:51 am Rob D : Curt would consider rebuy at one of those MA’s?
10:51 am Rob D : *you
10:52 am Curtis M : when it breaches aud white up
10:58 am Rob D : interesting how it stopped at quadrant line to the tick
11:06 am Mathew Waterfall : coffee and scanning time. Maybe a nap if nothing moves. Back in a bit
11:16 am Tyler H : Thaanks Curt – not much out there
11:18 am Sammy T : nap good idea – like how i have learned to bank monthly from ya curt! have a great holiday
11:19 am Curtis M : np guys and gals when u learn t you’ll do way better than me
11:20 am Curtis M : Sartaj! Please check video from start today to now for technical training on crude videos and maybe for your pres kit FYI
11:21 am Curtis M : Out $UWT 26.42 blah lol
11:22 am Adam G : Curt does the chart not look better with regard to contrast with a darker black background? I don’t find it very easy to view as is
11:23 am Cindy L : I just like how consistent it is. Pretty awesome. I hope this afternoon goes good with some momo.
11:23 am Adam G : Ohhhhh
11:23 am Adam G : my bad
11:25 am Adam G : will I be able to load to TradeStation?
11:25 am Adam G : ok
11:26 am Adam G : I already use two buddy 😉
11:31 am Cindy L : Early lunch for me back after lunch for aft sessoin
11:32 am Jack D : $SPY looks sick
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Going to trim some $WATT here at 18.95. Keeping half. It’s run a long way so I’ll take the easy gains
11:35 am Curtis M : $IWM test here IMO
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Out another slice of $WATT at 19.24
11:47 am Mathew Waterfall : Will let the rest ride on a trailer
11:48 am Adam G : 2250 breaches, 2247 should see responsive buyers. ES_F
11:49 am Adam G : Sorrry 2252
11:51 am Curtis M : 20 min lunch
11:51 am Mathew Waterfall : 10-4
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Anyone else seeing anything fun out there? Pretty quiet overall as we drift a bit lower on the day. Luckily I caught those overnight plays and $WATT because not much else is going on here
11:53 am MarketMaven M : BTFD haha
11:54 am Cindy L : crappy
11:57 am OILQ K : $TSLA I still like for new year swing – have not bit yet
11:58 am Drew M : Market going to crap its pants 🙂
12:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Never say never but people are trying to get bearish on a .35% $SPY flush and VIX up just 3%
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nothing else looks bad enough to convince me we are going down in a hurry. Breadth is mild, TICKs fine, still seeing a ton of call flow
12:02 pm Cara R : Expecting action in $GPRO $WATT $ACAI this afternoon
12:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : $CCJ runner on Trump tweet
12:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tweeting about more nuke power
12:03 pm Jack D : Trump wow
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feels like we are trying to find a bottom here. Maybe it’s just the light flow but we couldn’t punch through last weeks low on $SPY
12:15 pm Rob D : speaking of nukes…..check out $URRE
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea, not my kind of play but nice action in a few names there
12:20 pm Curtis M : Icahn interview on cnbc making me laugh
12:22 pm Curtis M : he’s like I just wanna give back

Transcript cut-off by provider (requested remaining and will post when they provide record to us).

Article Topics: $CMTX, $UWT, $DUST, $JUNO, $CBMX ,$GSAT, $TKAI ,Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $DWT, S&P 500


My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday Dec 22, 2016 in Chat room. $GSAT $XOMA $ANY $MU $RGSE $RENN $HTBX $DGAZ $TWLO $SCMP $DWT $UWT, $USOIL, $WTI, $GOLD, $GLD, $GDX, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $SILVER, $SLV, $SI_F, $VIX, $UVXY $TVIX $NG_F… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Important Notices:

If you are not reviewing the post market trade reports along with this please do so. We assume our trading room subscribers do review it everyday and as such there will be information often in that report that is applicable and not in this premarket report. You will find the post market reports on our blog daily before this one is published.

REPORTING: Another quickie guys and gals! 

Current Holds:

$CBMX, $JUNO – New swing $DUST

$DUST

$DUST Stock Chart

Market Outlook:

I AM STALKING COPPER LONG AND OIL LONG AT SUPPORT.

As mentioned above; all algos (Oil, SPY, Gold, Silver, Dollar, VIX) have hit their targets now so we are running calculation targets for all six algos for all time charting time-frames and expect these reports to start rolling out VERY SOON.

Morning Momo / News Bits:

Momentum stocks:  $GSAT 32%, $XOMA 16%, $ANY 13%, $MU 11%, $RGSE

Futures little changed ahead of economic data.

Insider Purchases $MCC $HOTR $REXR $GROW $VIRT $MNGA $MD $ARCC $CCP $GTE $LMRK $GLYC $IMMY $XBKS $LPTH $ASRV $CDZI $TICC $REED $IO

$CATB HC Wainwright initiates Overweight $14 pt

$FIT Citigroup analyst Kovler lowered his price target to $8

$EYES UK Government Announces Funding for Second Sight’s Argus II “Bionic Eye” http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20161222005013/en/UK-Government-Announces-Funding-Sight%E2%80%99s-Argus-II …

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts and at minimum of our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. And you will notice quickly that the algos have been undeniably accurate on many time-frames (intra-day and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades). A quick hour of review at most will bring you up to date.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks (at times), but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter ans Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $GSAT 32%, $XOMA 16%, $ANY 13%, $MU 11%, $RGSE 8%, $RENN $HTBX $DGAZ $TWLO $SCMP $DWT $TKC $YNDX $TVIX $SCO $UVXY I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $AKAO (momentum play last week), $AGIO (recent wash-out), $SGY (recent swing), $CBMX (current swing), $JUNO (current swing), $ANF (previous wash-out on news), $SKLN (previous wash-out on news), $URBN (previous wash-out on news).

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades: I will update before market open of refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Regular Trades:

S & P 500: $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS)

NA – Getting some action though.

As I wrote last week:

I wrote about resistance the algo alerted at 277.80. This is still in play FYI. However, the Fed will determine now naturally whether we trend up or down from where we are. My bias is up until new year BUT I WOULD BE READY because money could get caught offside. Who knows?

As pre previous and our algorithm call before election…. My bias is still to new highs but I am looking at a pull-back Christmas / Early 2017.

As above in my intro and previous, the chart ain’t broke till its broke. When its broke we’ll let you know.

My Trading Plan: Right now I am trading $XIV instead of $SPXL or $SPXS. I do this because we are in a trend of crushed volatility. Now, when that changes and volatility starts to rise again (even if $SPY is rising at the same time) then I’ll flip over to trading $SPXL and $SPXS instead of $XIV.

Volatility: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

NA

Outlook:

As I wrote this and last week:

Looking for possible record lows before Christmas.

As above, I am thinking opportunity comes between Christmas and Trump, and by the way, when $VIX spikes the easiest play is short short short. FYI.

CNN Fear and Greed Index: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

My Trading Plan for Volatility: I will likely follow that trend with $TVIX $UVXY $XIV buys at range pivots / pending price action, volume and other geo events. SHORT $VIX SPIKES!

Currencies and Other Global Markets: $DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $USD/JPY, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

NA

Per previous:

USDJPY is getting close to symmetry on the chart from the last run up about two years ago – charting on deck in coming reports!!!

Per previous:

BE VERY CAREFUL LISTENING TO THE $USD/JPY bears – they have been feeding misery to followers for many weeks – the chart is not broke – price is currently at support and there could easily be another leg up – nobody knows but the trend is your friend!

THIS IS STILL SUPER BULLISH!!!

My Trading Plan for Currencies / Global Markets: Waiting, waiting, waiting. $USDJPY CHART IS NOT BROKEN! IT IS A BULL UNTIL IT IS NOT…

Gold: $GLD ($UGLD, $DGLD). Miners: $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG)

NA – I took a short term $DUST swing yesterday (small position)

Per recent posts:

Rosie the Gold Algo target call HIT!

My Trading Plan for Gold: Short term there could be a pretty good pop around the Fed, but I don’t expect it would last. It could pop to the top of the algo quadrant but I don’t think it would run past – NOT YET ANYWAY. So who know’s I may play a short term scenario – Fed / market reaction dependent.

I am waiting for the trend reversal. We are very close to the price target at the bottom of that quadrant at 1133.00 ish. The initial wide frame target Rosie the algo nailed but there has been a wait and see for a reversal because of one more possible leg down. Getting very close IMO.

I haven’t started to take trades yet because I am waiting for “price – trigger – trade” set-ups. I will start chewing around the edges of stocks like $NUGT and $GLD likely. The idea is to get on the right side of the trade and trend.

WE SHOULD BE ALMOST THERE! GET READY! LIKELY BETWEEN CHRISTMAS AND TRUMP POWER TRANSFER! CHARTS COMING!

Other equities I like for Gold Trade: $AUMN (penny stock). When the trend reversal confirms I will post all the Gold equity picks here.

Silver $SI_F: $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV)

NA

Per previous;

Yesterday Silver tanked real hard! Good thing we’ve been sitting on our hands awaiting inflection point here.

Same as Gold – we’re waiting for a decision from market so we can get algo targets.

My Plan for Trading Silver: same

Same as Gold, I’m waiting for the “price – trigger – trade” set-ups… I am going to start chewing around the edges of stocks when set-up confirms like $USLV and $SLV attempting to get on right side of trend trade.

Other equities I like for Silver trade: $AUMN (penny stock). Same here, when trend reversal occurs I will post equity picks here.

Crude Oil FX : $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $GUSH, $ERX, $DRIP, $ERY, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $UWT, $DWT, $CL_F)

Please review EPIC’s twitter feed from last evening.

Outlook:

Last week Tuesday algo target at 4:30 hit and Wednesday 10:30 AM both targets hit to the cent and second and Friday Algo target was a near miss and this week Tuesday 4:30 hit and Wednesday just in to target but not a perfect hit (very tradeable though). Friday targets on charting BUT BE CAUTIOUS WITH FRIDAY TARGETS.

Trading Plan: WE ARE RIGHT NEAR SUPPORT AT TIME OF WRITING! 51.93 is the support test and I will take a long position there and see if we get the turn. It is at 52.23 $USOIL at time of writing.

Other Equities I like for Oil or Energy Trade: Tape / Chart – $ETE, $RIG. High Short Interest – $CRC, $EPE, $WLL, $RES, $JONE, $AREX, $REN, $CLR, $HP, $ATW, $SGY. Fundamentals: $EOG, Pipelines – $XLE: $HEP, $SXE, $KMI, $DPM, $TGS, $ENB, $EEP, $PTRC, $HGT

Natural Gas $NG_F $NATGAS ($UGAZ, $DGAZ):

NA

Per last week:

Hit resistance as I thought and alerted.

Natural Gas hit heavy resistance, came off, now at a Fibonacci support. $NG_F $UGAZ $DGAZ

ON WATCH!!! This could get a considerable pop in to late Wednesday and even as far as in to late Monday next week is possible!!!

Natural gas lost that Fib support yesterday so now I am watching lower supports. I still think there is a possibility for a pop just after Fed speak!

ON CLOSE WATCH!

Study:

Now that a number of blog posts are being unlocked, it wouldn’t be a bad idea for traders to review them (especially new traders).

If you are trading relying on our charting or algorithms as trade indicators you should read this recent article,

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $GSAT, $XOMA, $ANY, $MU, $RGSE, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, Small Cap Oil, $CBMX, $JUNO, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGAS, $DWT, $UWT, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY


Thursday Dec 22, 2016 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC ($USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, CL, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP)

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo.

NOTICES:

Algo Targets / Questions etc: Yesterday we had some great questions in the trading room. Ask all you like anytime (it was unfortunate we were experiencing internet spikes for about an hour right around this time). Anyway, a few quick notes about follow-up questions we received. When we reference calls made – we at originally published targets for Tues, Wed, Fri ea week at the specific times with a few targets for each with probabilities. More recently we have stopped doing that because we want to respect our members subscriptions so we do not as readily share information with the general public and will less and less over time. So currently we have been sharing specifics either in these reports, live in the room or in other communications (email etc) with members. Either way, it is easy to establish primary targets – simply follow the algo lines (red dotted) to the next vertical time on Tues, Wed or Fri time cycles. I should say also that when the 24 hour oil trading room is open then we can share freely in the room very specific information about our work because there will be no public access and all attendants will be under disclosure covenant. So bottom line until 24 hour secure room is launched, if you have questions about probabilities or calls ask one of the lead traders.

Trade: Crude is getting really close to a major support (at 7:16 EST). We have a number of traders looking at possible long positions at 51.95 area and crude $USOIL at time of writing is trading at 52.19.

NEW: We are having a technical coding issue with SMS text / email alert launch – will be resolved soon! For now we are emailing alerts as time allows.

NEW: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are viewing our algorithmic model charting it is a must read.

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

PRICING: My proprietary services transitioned recently from public inaugural to subscriber only access. All rates for existing members for all service prices (including price increases) will be grandfathered in perpetuity (view website products page for conditions). Early 2017 when my 24 hour futures trading room opens along with 24 hour live charting I will have a rate increase but as with recent the roll-over existing members will be grandfathered at locked-in current rates.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; info@compoundtrading.com, message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Thursday Dec 22, 2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/bMKkCV9p-EPIC-the-OIL-Algo-Member-Link/

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is trading at 52.24 5:52 AM ET Dec 22, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge: 

Crude, Oil, Trading, Chart

Current trade. Crude algo intra work sheet 556 AM Dec 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Pay attention to the upward trending channel – you can enter long and sell in between the channel yellow lines as it trends. If price stays below the resistance then you trade the channel under that and if above a major support line same thing (yellow lines).

Price is currently trading above a horizontal support at 51.93 (yellow line) – watch this for support. Resistance is at 54.39. Review charts over the previous week on my blog to see yellow support and resistance lines and channel that I refer to.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

Because I review various MA’s on various time frames on daily posts it is a good idea to go back and review previous posts so your buy – sell triggers are known.

Below is how oil has been trading with 20 MA on the 4 hour chart – fairly predictable buy / sell triggers.

Now, it is better to sell at the top of the move and not wait for the 20 MA to trigger to downside as our lead trader did shown as first arrow below vs. 20 MA fail where second arrow is on chart below. Current trading is well below 20 MA.

Crude, oil, 20 MA, 4 hour, chart

Current trade. Crude algo intra work sheet 556 AM Dec 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

The 200 MA on the 1 day provides predictable entry and exit and good trend change indication (until it doesn’t). A review of time cycles prior you will find that you will want for price to come up through the 200 MA from the downside. There are some examples of failure over last number of years if you research it.

200 Day, MA, 1 Day, Crude, Oil, Chart

200 MA on 1 Hour. Crude algo intra work sheet 615 AM Dec 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Fibonacci Levels:

Fibonacci levels on crude oil chart for tight intra trading.

Watch these lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

There are fib levels on the chart below – but they will just confuse you more than anything. We are currently running calculations with our modeling on how fib levels relate to our targets and trade levels – so the chart below is more mad science right now than anything because this simply a live shot of work we are in the middle of.

Crude oil Fibonacci

Fibonacci levels for oil. Crude algo intra work sheet 652 AM Dec 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

You will see a lot of noise on the charts over the next few weeks (algorithmic calculations of various types). Specific to the charts above they are littered with Fib levels and if you look close you wil see geometric shapes in white or grey lines. Try and ignore for now.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of things)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Per the last few reports we reference a few time cycle and yes as usual crude moved aggressively out of those cycles as we thought. Crude is at time of writing in a downdraft moving aggressively so we cannot give you specific expiration times here because they will be invalid by the time you read. We can update you as needed in the trade room. The one significant time cycle that stands out that won’t change is this Friday at 1:00 nonetheless. Also it is important to note that crude is getting really close to a major support (at 7:16 EST). We have a number of traders looking at possible long positions at 51.95 area and crude $USOIL at time of writing is trading at 52.19.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trendlines are on the chart above (red dotted diagonals) – there is one far below price and two above.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Here is a Twitter post / stream that has a number of tweets with reference to the Wed 4:30 targets.

So what is your most probable algo target for Friday 1:00 PM EST? Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

Friday’s have not been near as predictable as Tues and Wed (shy of 80% now vs 90%+) and this Friday looks no different so be cautious with this Friday’s targets!

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel or whatever – also difficult to explain – WE ARE DOING A VERY DETAILED VIDEO ON THESE INDICATORS SOON THAT WILL SHOW IN MORE DETAIL.

The targets for this week are represented on the chart above. Again, refer to the live charting I send you for this also or be in the trading room.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Processing now for release any moment (you are seeing the beginning of them above in charts now) – I don’t think there are any real tight crude related snipers beyond our lead trader right now anyway – but nonetheless, we are getting these out – they take a lot of data processing to say the least. We’re almost there.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room and if not stay tuned for our videos recapping what happens in the room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at info@compoundtrading.com – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.
Article topics: EPIC the Oil Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Trading Room, Trading Edge, Fibonacci, Indicators, Algo, Targets


Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Wednesday Dec 21 – $MRUS, $ESEA, $CALA, $INVN, $OPGN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $UWT, $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SLV, VIX, $NG_F and more.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

Notices:

Notice: There is a new feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Notice: We are testing fault settings for multiple trading rooms in 2017 (main room, momentum, options, swing, commodities, etc). We can have groups in different rooms all seeing same screen and announcements / broadcast – if you’re moved don’t sweat it – it won’t affect your experience.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Today was very calm. Some trades in the group. For me quiet – study day mostly. We were on top of every move though and there were some big plays and nice wins I discovered when talking to members later in day after market close.

My Personal Trades:

I took a long swing position in $DUST (1000 shares) – watching $USDJPY very close. Looking at inflection in many other areas (with reference to our algos). Called the natural gas move but didn’t take the recent trade opportunities. Momentum stocks weren’t acting well for my trading style. Looked at possible oil related trades $UWT $DWT but didn’t trigger. Holding $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST. EPIC the Oil Algo 10:30 AM target missed by 5 cents – called two weeks ago:) Green arrow is when I entered $UWT, red arrow my exit and white arrow was today’s algo target at 10:30 AM.

Crude, Oil, Chart, Algo, $USOIL

Wed Dec 21 1030 AM Target Status. Crude algo intra work sheet 354 AM Dec 22 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Looking Forward:

The market has a tonne of inflection points now so things should get interesting soon with our algos that you can find here:

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:55 am Curtis M : Gainers: $INVN 16%25, $TIG 5%25, $CLLS 4%25, $BCEI 3%25 $UGAZ $NKE $NUGT $SDRL $CANF $JNUG $STO $UWT $TWLO $FRO $AU $UCO $GDXJ $BP

09:28 am Curtis M : $MRUS +55
$ESEA +32
$CALA +26
$INVN +17
$OPGN +12

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter is removed.

09:33 am Michael P : Short $SGY
09:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Legging into a small position in next Friday $SPY calls. Starting smallish 228’s at .54
09:34 am Curtis M : NATGAS Rees closer to 3.75 area
09:35 am Curtis M : NATHGAS res 3.55 3.75 areas
09:36 am Curtis M : USDJPY symmetry calls for move up or down two to four market days from now
09:37 am Curtis M : Market vol low
09:40 am MarketMaven M : Out $TSLA swing for vacation break
09:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Yea not much. Small position in weekly NFLX calls but not much going on
09:41 am Mathew Waterfall : Thinking the rest of this week will be pretty chill. Next week maybe a melt up but expect low volume there as well
09:42 am Mathew Waterfall : $RAS on clear of 3.4 looks decent for swing
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Not many alerts popping and not much going on over here
09:45 am Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX friday 129’s at .43. This is for a day trade or hold ON at most
09:48 am Curtis M : Scaling in 1000 $DUST 67.60 area
09:49 am Mathew Waterfall : $SPWR year end lotto shor squeeze play. Dec30 8’s at .09
09:49 am Curtis M : Will add up to 2000 more on any dips $DUST – swing
09:49 am Curtis M : Looks like avg 67.51
09:54 am Curtis M : $XIV ATH
09:55 am Curtis M : A lot of failing momos
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Not much confidence across the board this morning
09:57 am Mathew Waterfall : Volume dropping by the looks of things
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : BUT….$CHK lotto’s ITM!
09:58 am Mathew Waterfall : haha sometimes it’s the small things
09:58 am Curtis M : nice
09:58 am Curtis M : lol
09:59 am Darnel T : Like $NVDA for a bounce
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : 9.39 Dec 2006 on $VIX lox per my 20 year chart
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : you had me curious
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : 12/15/06
10:04 am Mathew Waterfall : Lot of selling after the last huge run up. also bearish MACD cross if you care about such things. This is on $nvda
10:06 am Mathew Waterfall : Strong home sales: Existing home sales hit 5.61 million units in November, vs. expectations of 5.5 million
10:11 am Mathew Waterfall : $CHK lotto’s now at .155 from .11. Decent 50% gain, I’m holding until tomorrow or an 8 handle whichever comes first
10:11 am Cara R : sweeeet
10:13 am Curtis M : Transports break out test on deeck
10:20 am Dani M : wtf lol
10:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Out $NFLX calls at .61 from .43. Keeping a small runner but in the green if they go to 0. Playing tight here
10:48 am Rob D : how will you decide which tgt to go after?
10:58 am Rob D : amazing stuff Curt, thanks for explaining
11:00 am Mathew Waterfall : Still quiet over here. Taking a quick break to scan and see if I can find anything interesting going on. Likely just an extended coffee break haha
11:01 am Curtis M : back soon
11:01 am Curtis M : Internet jam here
11:11 am Rob D : is chart frozen?
11:21 am MarketMaven M : $C blocks
11:24 am Darnel T : $TWLO rumors Amazon partnership
11:26 am Mathew Waterfall : I think I hit a time warp on my coffee break. Nothing seems to have moved the whole time that i was gone
11:28 am Darnel T : ha
11:28 am OILQ K : casinos look great imo
11:30 am Mathew Waterfall : I like $MGM here OilQ K. Have a few 31’s for next week thanks to a roll a while back. Those won’t see action unless it really gets going though
11:31 am Curtis M : $CHK very bullish
11:32 am Mathew Waterfall : I still think 8 bucks this week on $CHK is realistic
11:33 am Curtis M : Very aggresive looking
11:36 am Curtis M : Internet spikes bad here for last week
11:42 am Curtis M : Thers’ casino for ya
11:42 am Curtis M : a baby size one
11:44 am Tyler H : $TSLA bull power
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA has been playing games all day but yea nice moves f you can catch it
11:45 am Tyler H : Bull dog maybe they’re hard to catch
11:45 am Mathew Waterfall : $AMD Jan20 13.5’s. Swing play following some big hitters through on this
11:49 am Curtis M : $LIVE low float manip?
11:50 am Curtis M : going to take an early lunch and hop I get an afternoon play
11:51 am Curtis M : back in 30
11:52 am Darnel T : GOOD PLAN
11:54 am Darnel T : Dead out there
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : While we’re not doing much I am thinking up ideas to blog about. If you guys/gals want to see anything in particular let me know
11:55 am Darnel T : $MGM looking good today
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : I’ll probably write something up this weekend about using spreads to take profits or something like that but can always go into something else
11:56 am Curtis M : Ya do a Options for Dummies 101 for me plz – ok buy gone for lunch
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Option 101 check. That might be a multi part series but I can start on that
11:57 am John M : hahaha
11:57 am MarketMaven M : critique cramer
11:57 am MarketMaven M : his calls of recent
11:58 am Mathew Waterfall : Come on, that’s not even hard most of the time
11:59 am Mathew Waterfall : I actually don’t watch any financial media. My head hurts enough as it is but I’m sure I could find his picks and poke holes in them easy enough
12:00 pm MarketMaven M : haha
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : I see there pics on twitter and they’re always good for a chuckle but that’s about it. Any media is there for your eyeballs, not to make you money
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : *picks I should see. or pics of picks lol
12:02 pm Cara R : manipulation everywhere
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : End of year can see some funky stuff, kind of like into a quad witch as there are games to be played with book values, tax loss selling, holding to the next tax year before taking gains ect
12:05 pm Mathew Waterfall : I typically just makes for some weird dislocations
12:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NFLX working on new highs. $TWLo beasting
12:12 pm Curtis M : stupid ass internet lately lol
12:14 pm Curtis M : thanks mathew
12:20 pm Michael P : $HDS rumors
12:20 pm Michael P : And casinos look bullish IMO
12:22 pm Tyler H : Oil down
12:23 pm Tyler H : LOD
12:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Still feels like this market wants to finish out the day green. VIX down, TICKs trying to break out to the upside
12:35 pm OILK K : Agree
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wish $SGY had options to play here. Downside looks very promising
12:39 pm MarketMaven M : $IPCI momentum
12:39 pm MarketMaven M : micro
12:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Tight range there. A swing against 2.65 doesn’t look horrible
12:42 pm MarketMaven M : meh
12:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : 25% of float short as of nov31
12:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not enough volume for me to want to play that name though
12:43 pm MarketMaven M : thats the problem yaa
12:44 pm Dani M : eastern libya blackout no power – oil
12:46 pm Curtis M : enjoying extended lunch while market quiet
12:46 pm Curtis M : oil got 5 cent pop lol
12:47 pm Curtis M : seems folks don’t care about Libya oil
12:49 pm Dani M : Study for me till something happens
12:50 pm OILQ K : yupp
01:02 pm Curtis M : watching oil
01:04 pm Curtis M : 52.35 buy decision $USOIL
01:04 pm Curtis M : 52.59 now
01:06 pm Curtis M : stopped falling
01:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : I have to restart my charts here, super laggy
01:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : More coffee for me. Flow is super quiet, scans not giving me much. Guess it’s nap time
01:13 pm Darni T : ya
01:13 pm Drew M : zzz
01:14 pm Adam Gwyn : thoughts on CL?
01:14 pm Curtis M : extended lunch
01:15 pm Curtis M : yes buy trigger considered at 5235 usoil
01:19 pm Adam Gwyn : I have .42 as 618
01:39 pm Tyler H : everybody sleepinng
01:42 pm Curtis M : odd action
01:50 pm Mathew Waterfall : VXX next week 23 puts. Play into the end of the week this week
01:51 pm Mathew Waterfall : $HIIQ HOD and steam behind it. Nice breakout
01:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IPCI always moving along well
01:57 pm Curtis M : can’t take trade there without volume last round it failed and we hit it at that point
02:04 pm Curtis M : Not a bad scalp but not my type of set up with out vol
02:06 pm Tyler H : Not the normal momo
02:06 pm Cara R : dead
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not a whole lot really. All of the exciting moves have come off here in the last hour or two
02:07 pm Darni T : Still like $TSLA
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA and $NFLX came off
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA now seeing large put buying
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SHAK died if anyone was in that trade and hung on longer than I did
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m thinking we pause today, continue higher into the end of the week
02:08 pm Ma Ka : Grreetings Mathew
02:08 pm Ma Ka : Do we have a trade on NFLX ? is it going down ?
02:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ES could see north of 2300 according to a friend who is right much more often than wrong but take that with a grain of salt
02:09 pm Curtis M : If you see any setups go ahead and steel screen Mat I’m gonna just stalk oil for machine buying – oil a good trade just not great
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : I hit $NFLX calls this morning. Weekly 129’s but that move fizzled. I got out and left a small trailer
02:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : I wouldn’t enter now
02:10 pm Ma Ka : thanks
02:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : Will do Curt, nothing is jumping out at me but if I see anything I will
02:16 pm Drew M : Pennies momo $RGSE $TNXP $HTBX $SSH $ONTX
02:18 pm OILK K : $INUV pop
02:21 pm John M : $NFLX and $TSLA are my calls for after Christmas – looking at them close.
02:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWTR puts into next week. Will screen share after 2:30 NYMEX close
02:25 pm Curtis M : k
02:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWTR Dec30 16.5 puts @.17
02:30 pm Mathew Waterfall : No hurry, nothing else is moving anyway
02:36 pm Curtis M : no trade go nut mat
02:37 pm Curtis M : sorry internet crapped lol wow best commercial pkg too fark
02:38 pm Curtis M : crank your mic 4 me pls
02:39 pm Curtis M : Perfect
02:40 pm Tyler H : Learning a lot from you guys. Just wanted to say.
02:41 pm Dani M : Mathew your mic cuts out sometimes – it might just be my internet though
02:43 pm John M : u thinking market up tomorrow?
02:45 pm John M : thanks
02:46 pm Curtis M : Great I need a big hit day b4 Xmas ha
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO going big here
02:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a couple lotto’s from a while back. Doubt they hit but it looks interesting into EOY
02:58 pm Curtis M : $RGSE 25%
02:58 pm Curtis M : 35%
02:58 pm Curtis M : Not playing it but morning momo candidate
02:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SGY headed for the 5 zone IMO
02:59 pm Adam Gwyn : I had some obligations this morning, but did you guys capter any of the retrace in CL this morning?
03:00 pm Tyler H : No I don’t thnk anyone played it Adam. Not Sure tho.
03:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : I don’t think so either. I haven’t been watching OIL too close.
03:00 pm Tyler H : We’ve been hitting the long side all rhe way up the channel almost every turn tho.
03:01 pm Tyler H : I’ve hit harder than Curt but I’m half his age lololol
03:02 pm Cara R : We should compare Tyler ha holday bet for a bottle of jack
03:02 pm Cara R : Curt! U there?
03:02 pm Curtis M : ya sorry looking at momos
03:03 pm Curtis M : EOD days for tomorrow runs look ok actually
03:04 pm Curtis M : Yaa Adam I think we all took longs on way up every turn – its been good – I know Gerry who isn’t here has hit them hard too and I got some other thanks – good Christmas timing
03:04 pm Curtis M : All meaning all that did play it
03:05 pm Curtis M : It would be nice to see oil back down at bottom of channel for one big hit
03:06 pm Curtis M : $TWLO vertical – who called that earlier?
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I had the lotto’s but didn’t call it here until it was already into the 32’s
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : This will be over the 50 day tomorrow IMO
03:07 pm Curtis M : nice
03:10 pm Curtis M : $S Bulls sweeping
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY 226 pin for wednesday OPEX befoe higher tomorrow
03:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IPCI nHOD at 2.94. Decent squeeze candidate into tomorrow
03:14 pm Curtis M : $RGSE, $IPCI, $DUST, $DGAZ looking interesting for tomorrow
03:15 pm Curtis M : Oil we’ll see what pyjama crew does
03:15 pm Jack D : $TWLO $CC Nice
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : Natty gas has been a monster lately. $DGAZ/$UGAZ should see plenty of action
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLO 46% short lolol
03:16 pm Jack D : $DGAZ got wacked haha likely bounce
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : 21 million share float
03:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : 40’s EOY
03:17 pm MarketMaven M : Ya $TWLO I like too – we have some good set-ups for tomorrow I agree
03:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : I took a few next week 37’s in TWLO for a 35-36 test this week
03:21 pm OILQ K : Anyone like $HTBX?
03:22 pm OILQ K : I’m going to ht oil hard on turn but looking at $HTBX for morning – likely wait and see maybe
03:23 pm Curtis M : I would just looking at $HTBX in morning too –
03:23 pm Curtis M : $HTBX DD not best
03:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not the prettiest chart but it’s got a gap to fill and should get some bullish crossovers shortly with any upward momo
03:24 pm Curtis M : yep
03:24 pm Curtis M : Insider buying last 6 mos
03:25 pm Mathew Waterfall : Decent earnings as well
03:27 pm Curtis M : $DUST coming back to life FYI
03:28 pm Tyler H : I’m swinging it – hopefully full gold algo report out tonight
03:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : 3 screens of death for Gold right there lol
03:28 pm Curtis M : Might be ready tonight Ty
03:28 pm Curtis M : Within next few days anyway
03:29 pm Curtis M : A lot of data sorry almost there
03:30 pm Curtis M : It will be nice when whole team full time on 1st lololol
03:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : You mean it will be nice to get some sleep for once?
03:31 pm Curtis M : OMG yes
03:32 pm Mathew Waterfall : Sell off into the close here
03:32 pm Curtis M : Sartaj back to full time in lab today, Tyler in a week, Shawn Jan sometime – getting readu for EOY algo reports and media things starting 30th almost killing us hahahaha but… done soon 28th at latest everything
03:33 pm Curtis M : ya noticed
03:33 pm Curtis M : I think next week will be fire power – thur and fri I’m unclear
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think now until next Thursday it’s game on. Next Thursday/Friday a bit more unclear IMO
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : This is going off of last years pattern a bit and momentum
03:35 pm Curtis M : ya
03:36 pm Darnel T : have a good night guys and girlz
03:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : See ya in the AM
03:37 pm Cara R : peace
03:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY 226 pin in progress
03:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : $BBBY and $MU seeing earnings calls. I hate playing earnings and it’s so hard to win with options. I don’t know how people consistantly make money doing that
03:41 pm Jack D : $BBBY dud IMO
03:41 pm Jack D : nite all!!!
03:45 pm John M : Checking out everyone – thanks Curt and Mathew once again! Later.
03:46 pm OILK K : Ya John been awesome guys – I’m finally being disciplined!!! Making it back now.
03:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good night all. I’m just over here doing some random charting. Done trading for the day
03:47 pm OILK K : Quiet day but did lots of study ready for tomorrow. GN
03:49 pm OILQ K : I concure!!! If you guys need a recomend for the media programs you are doing let me know. I look good on TV too:):)
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : May cut some $TWLO calls here for a quick gain. The juice in this one coule get nasty. 44 isn’t out of the question before the year is out when shorts get scared
03:59 pm Curtis M : Thanks all have a good night! $DUST jiggy:)
03:59 pm OILK K : good one cheers!

 

Article Topics: $DUST, $MRUS, $ESEA, $CALA, $INVN, $OPGN, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Stock Market, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $CBMX, $JUNO, $UWT, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $NUGT, $DUST, $JNUG, $JDST, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, $DWT, S&P 500