S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Tuesday Feb 14, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Current Trade in $SPY S & P 500.

Thursday and Friday last week and yesterday (Monday) were promising and in overnight futures it appears the market is moderately off or flat and will continue to be active at minimum in the short term.

The chart indicators we are working with (backtesting sixty months) are starting to play out, so this is good as it allows for our charting to become more and more predictable as market continues to be active.

As for the last report, I have to admit I misplaced the red dotted extension and have moved it on the chart below. Had I placed the extension where is was supposed to be (which wasn’t a difficult tech charting task I have to admit) our upside target for a second day in a row would have hit perfectly.

Nonetheless, it is moved now and where it should be.

Going forward we expect the market to either rest some here (sideways) or come off a bit before extending to upside. There are a few scenarios on the chart below.

Also, I have left the more recent charting in this post at the bottom for your reference.

My tweet from yesterday to members, I also emailed this;

https://twitter.com/FREEDOMtheAlgo/status/831207955366244353

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Tues Feb 14 656 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

 

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants for the time frame are also predictable, not perfect, but predictable.

Symmetry Extension – The new chart below provides you with the new intra-day upside symmetrical extension price target.

Time / Price Cycles – There are time / price cycles coming due between Friday 12:00 EST and Tuesday 4:00 EST – during time / price cycle terminations we advise our traders to use caution.

Trading Bias – Our trading bias is the possibility of an interim / moderate pull back.

$SPY Live Trading Chart with Symmetry Extensions, Fibonacci, and Trading Quadrants:  

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/76NwrgP7-S-P-500-SPY-Symmetry-price-target-extensions-trade-quadrants/

$SPY, Chart

S&P 500 $SPY Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. Trade Charting Tues Feb 14 656 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Below we have copied the applicable charting that is not being update today from the previous report for your reference and as trade plays out over next few days and we can get a better read we will update the below.

Intra-day trading ranges with Fibonacci, MAs, VWAP, Cloud, AO, TSI, Stoch RSI. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Feb 13 624 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Below are the levels our traders will be using for intra-day trade on Monday. The Fibonacci indicator settings have proven to be very precis in recent trade.

$SPY Intra-day Trading Levels Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/nCSO58xX-Intra-day-trading-ranges-with-Fibonacci-MAs-VWAP-Cloud-AO-T/

$SPY, Chart, Fibonacci

Intra-day trading ranges with Fibonacci, MAs, VWAP, Cloud, AO, TSI, Stoch RSI. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Feb 13 624 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY Bullish however MACD negative divergence look to 200 MA – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 708 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

In the event our bullish bias does not play out, consider / monitor the MACD divergence (down trend) and watch the 200 MA for support.

$SPY Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/g5LKVW0h-SPY-Bullish-however-MACD-negative-divergence-look-to-200-MA/

$SPY, Chart, 200 MA, MACD

$SPY Bullish however MACD negative divergence look to 200 MA – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 708 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Ascending Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 653 AM $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/1ou53bUE-Ascending-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Feb-6-6/

Price action in this model is intact. Per previous the 200 MA is support. More importantly the implied resistance is similar to the historical data above at 230.53.

$SPY, Chart, Ascending

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/1ou53bUE-Ascending-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Feb-6-6/

Sideways Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 658 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

This scenario is also intact. If price ascends above resistance look to it for support.

$SPY Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/oWsddcg8-Sideways-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Feb-6-65/

$SPY, Chart, Sideways

Sideways Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 658 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

The descending model below has a very low probability of remaining intact so there will be no update to it at this point.

Per previous…

Descending with Fib, Symmetry and Time Price Cycle Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 2 615 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live $SPY Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/dIJqIFq8-Descending-with-Fib-Symmetry-and-Time-Price-Cycle-Trade-Scenari/

This chart model is also intact. The important parts are not the general trade direction red dotted lines or that prospective black downward trendline – the downward channel and its associated trading width is the important indicator to watch on this chart.

$SPY, Chart

Descending with Fib, Symmetry and Time Price Cycle Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 2 615 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Most Recent Simple Charting Updates from Last Monday – Be Sure You Have These:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/w93cCMdg-SPY-So-simple-my-bulldog-could-do-it-Until-its-not-Long-at-th/

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/X9R5quZg-SPY-Long-at-the-green-arrow-short-at-the-red-arrow-Hows-the-MA/

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

 

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Tuesday Feb 14, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

WEBINAR: Below is a 20 minute webinar video that explains how my algorithmic charting is represented on a classic trading chart:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017 and will have 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done and this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Tuesday Feb 14, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/aJ7pH4q2-EPIC-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Charting-USOIL-WTI/

EPIC, Oil, Algo, Chart, $USOIL, $WTI

Trade on way to Tuesday 1030 Algo Target. Crude algo intra work sheet 528 AM Feb 14 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is closed trading at 53.35 at 5:28 AM EST Feb 13, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

At time of post oil is trading at 53.35 (closed)  – sideways range bound trade for weeks now.

Our traders took a trade yesterday long in oil related $UWT when trade was near diagonal trendline support I pointed out in recent reports (blue).

There is a diagonal trendline resistance (blue) intraday at 55.67 (trending down) that is considerable (thick line as it comes from previous time price cycles) and a diagonal trendline support below (blue) at 52.64 trending up that has been tested and has held in recent trade (price momentarily lost the line to the downside last week and recovered). Trade these widths with confidence.

There is a significant resistance (yellow) 54.33 and support (yellow) 51.93. Trade these widths with moderate confidence.

Between those primary support and resistance lines are horizontal support and resistance lines (purple) and Fibonacci levels (various other colors not listed – the other thin lines – I’ve marked one with a green arrow) that act as support and resistance.

Also, the Fibonacci based diagonal algo trend-lines lines (white dotted) act as intra support and resistance (very light – remember the thicker the line the more important it is). Price action will default to these when the red dotted alpha algo lines are abandoned for one reason or another (but remember the red dotted lines are alpha).

And also remember the alpha algo lines (red dotted) act as intra support and resistance.

The most important item on this chart is a diagonal trendline (blue) not shown that intra-day is at 55.67 on a downward trend (that I have mentioned in reports the past weeks) and the fact that the upcoming resistance at 54.33 area (yellow) has been a challenge for oil trade.

Because trade is getting so close to those two major resistance areas (the diagonal trendline – blue at 55.67 being the most important) be very careful until trade is above the resistance 54.33 area and the diagonal trendline (blue) at 55.93 on a downtrend. 

Also as with last week (which proved to be a wise warning), the algo targets for Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday this week are very difficult to predict – caution is warranted. Trade last week was not typical / consistent with my algorithmic model or backtesting sixty months of trade. Something, and I do not know what, is affecting the price action in crude oil.

There are targets above the important resistance area (54.33) that are in play if price action is above resistance, but if price action is below resistance there are no alpha targets in the sideways price action. 

There are however now secondary targets along the white dotted algo line – so they are not official calls but are targets noted because there are no alpha targets currently in range – and when there are none we default to the secondary algo lines (white dotted) and time of reports on Tues, Wed and Fri each week (see explanation below).

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Trade the ranges noted above.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments (see previous posts).

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trendlines are marked on charts above.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Current Algo Targets:

Per previous report on Monday and notes above; be very cautious of the targets this week – trade is very near very important resistance AND the price action of crude oil is not acting in its natural state. No target on the charting is considered an official call in any way – price action is going to have to return to a normal state (as I mentioned last week Monday, this is the first time this has occurred since my inception). If trade action sorts itself out mid week I will then re-chart and send members official calls. 

I have added secondary targets to the report as noted above and on chart – but these are not alpha targets so they are not official calls.

Tuesday Feb 14 – No official call, refer to chart.

Wednesday Feb 15 – No official call, refer to chart.

Friday Feb 17 – No official call, refer to chart.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and are not detailed on this charting. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Stock Charting Calls and Alerts for Monday Feb 13, 2017; $MYSZ, $SINO, $TOPS, $ONTX, $UWT – $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $VRX, $JUNO, $CBMX, $TRCH, $LGCY etc 

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Text highlighted in red below is new to today’s commentary.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

NA

Overview Perspective & Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

Monday was more active than Friday. I took a long in oil related $UWT and will add on dips while it is in its recent weeks trading range. Also took a long on $ONTX – they are presenting twice in February. Scalped trades on momentum stocks $MYSZ, $SINO for wins and $TOPS for small loss.

Trading, Results, Chat, Room, Stocks

$MYSF Momentum Trade Monday, Trading Results, Stocks, ChatRoom

Momentum / Note-able Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
SINO 4.70 72.79% 18832081 Top Gainers
ZSAN 1.70 41.67% 46584367 Top Gainers
RELV 5.80 31.22% 166200 Top Gainers
PLX 1.31 29.70% 20140200 Top Gainers
PLSE 11.84 26.63% 423200 Top Gainers
ELMD 4.95 21.92% 445795 Top Gainers
CBIO 9.50 1744.66% 425217 New High
PLX 1.31 29.70% 20140200 New High
PLSE 11.84 26.63% 423200 New High
BBGI 10.65 7.58% 51000 New High
PLX 1.31 29.70% 20140200 Overbought
PLSE 11.84 26.63% 423200 Overbought
ZSAN 1.70 41.67% 46584367 Unusual Volume
CARZ 36.28 1.48% 296524 Unusual Volume
TORM 6.35 4.10% 60600 Unusual Volume
DXKW 22.71 0.53% 105632 Unusual Volume
AGYS 9.42 7.29% 152500 Upgrades
AETI 1.85 -3.14% 16300 Earnings Before
GSB 3.88 -0.51% 20345 Insider Buying

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am Holding:

I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small to small sizing) $UWT, $ONTX, $DUST, $VRX, $CBMX, $JUNO, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM

Looking Forward:

I am watching our standard plays that apply to our algorithmic charting, as follows;

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP:

Since US Dollar entered this support range / divergence on downtrend it hasn’t done much and still potentially threatens.

Per recent, “US Dollar $DXY is at important support so I will watch for a bounce (my personal bias)”. Today it did in fact bounce. The algorithmic model had noted a minor divergence as did the classic charting so I took a late day trade in $JDST (going well).

Friday was the Trump and Abe meeting day and the dollar is still sitting at support at end of day but charting is divergent so the jury is out.

Per recent, “And there are the really important long term chart MA indicators that are not bearish the $DXY that should be in mind.”

Gold $GLD $XAUUSD / Gold Miner’s $GDX:

In overnight trade Gold is challenging its intra downtrending channel top  – but that may just ave something to do with Yellen Tuesday.

Per recent,” $GOLD, Miners and $SILVER blew through resistance but have a series of very significant algorithmic chart modeling and classic charting decisions on deck soon so I will watch for a pull-back (my personal bias but I do know there is a significant possibility my bias is wrong and if so I will really hammer down on the move through resistance long if it occurs – AND I’ll be ready for the small and micro caps that would likely light fight in that scenario)”.

Per recent, “Gold struggled at the second last resistance decision (at the algorithms symmetry extension on Rosie the Gold Algo charts – yellow line) and came off. And then when it failed the diagonal Fib based algorithm trendline (white dotted on Rosie’s charts) I took my trade in $JDST. In overnight trading this hasn’t been regained so there are 3 important resistance levels in Gold on our algorithm has before our algo considers the uptrend continued – so I will watch. Also of consideration for this trade is the announcement from Trump and Japan’s Abe expected Friday at 1:00 EST.”

So on Friday Gold jumped around like the $DXY US Dollar and $USDJPY. My guess is Sunday night trade or Monday trade will tell us a lot in the Dollar.

Silver $SLV:

Here, as with Gold, I suspect Yellen Tuesday will determine which trend continues.

Per Recent;

Silver is trading much like Gold in that it is near resistance and seems to be awaiting decisions or market reaction to Trump / Abe weekend and $USDJPY.

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

Oil trade is up a bit overnight, I am in oil related $UWT and will add on dips inside multi-week sideways trade or if it hits upside resistance I will close position.

Per recent; Crude oil is trading very aggressive but completed the day right under the resistance Epic the Oil Algo has identified as key for many weeks. I suspect traders are awaiting OPEC meeting news and Trump and Abe weekend news bits before committing. 

Per recent, “$OIL was broke and it magically repaired and is back in its multi-week range – trade the range until really broke.” On Thursday oil continued to trade within the sideways range it has been in for weeks – so yes, magically repaired chart. I believe there was evidence Wed and Thur of how our markets are “managed” – even oil.

Per recent, “There are OPEC meetings this weekend so that is in the mix also.”

Volatility $VIX:

Per recent; $VIX is still near dead – records are being set and/or are near being set daily.

$SPY S&P 500:

The next upside target in trade was hit Monday and our algo alerted members to ratchet stops – we expect a short-term pullback.

Per recent; So $SPY did break out Thursday – our algo did predict this before the election so that wasn’t a big surprise but the interesting thing to myself and some of the traders in our membership was that price action hit the symmetry extension to the high side our algo Freedom the $SPY Algo had charted perfectly. Trade also continued Friday predictably in our modeling. So our fifth of six algos is starting to hit consistently also.

Per recent, “$SPY continues in its range but I will be looking for a break to higher (my personal bias)”. $SPY did break out on Thursday as expected so I am studying opportunity.

Natural Gas:

It seems to be near a low IMO.

Momentum Trades:

Momentum trades on Friday I found to be with-out follow through volume (as did other traders in the room and many others I communicate with in the community).

Per recent, “Still playing morning momos but the last 15 sessions follow-through momo (where I bank) has been difficult because volume goes poof”. This still the case but this morning premarket was a bit stronger but follow through wasn’t great (even though it was better).

Swing Trading:

There have been a string of trading wins in 2017 on the Swing Trading side;

Per recent, “Swing trading – continuing to bank on that side of our platform and don’t expect that to slow down in 2017 (until a change in market conditions of course)”. And of course this only got better today for our swing traders with $SPY break-out and related equities. There are a host of stocks in the service being traded such as $AAPL, $FB, $GOOGL, $BABA, $NFLX, $OAK and more.

Earnings:

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Compound Trading Chat Room:

The weekend webinar series went very well! You will find the links to the videos of each 20 minute webinar on our Twitter feed! Such as with this;

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:26 am Flash G : Long $AEZS
09:29 am OILK K : Like $CNXR here
09:29 am Mathew Waterfall : Natty here is tempting bu man that stuff trades crazy
09:30 am OILK K : ha
09:32 am Flash G : Long $ZSAN starter
09:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Scalped $ZSAN out too early. $TGB putting in another beast open with copper flying
09:36 am Flash G : $RXII
09:38 am MarketMaven M : $RNN too on the move
09:39 am OILK K : Nice $TSLA
09:39 am Mathew Waterfall : My $TVIX swing from Friday is down a couple cents. Mondays are usually weak so I’m letting it work, stop is at 4.5. It’s a small position so if I get stopped it won’t be a big deal
09:42 am OILQ K : $CLF baby
09:43 am OILQ K : My $EBAY flying from last week sell soon
09:43 am Mathew Waterfall : Im still sitting in those $CLF weekly lotto’s. 12 calls. Hope for some more mojo to make up for Fridays dump
09:44 am MarketMaven M : $CRDS on the move
09:45 am MarketMaven M : My $XLF strong great hold IMO
09:47 am Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG weekly 13c’s at .25. Just a few. This metals weakness isn’t confidence inspiring but they’re cheap and will explode on strength
09:49 am Mathew Waterfall : I also bumped my stop on the $UAA play to right under Fridays LOD. This position is in the green for me but the action isn’t great. It needs to break into the gap ASAP or risk just chopping around down there for who knows how long
09:49 am MarketMaven M : ss $X
09:53 am Mathew Waterfall : The set up http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-1gDI2vcBCEI/Tg3FQaXoLUI/AAAAAAAABz0/KYxeKL7x6Wg/s1600/2011-07-01.png
09:53 am Sledge H : $MDGS on watch now
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : $TSLA beast mode. Guess I won’t be getting in those calls today lol
09:54 am Flash G : $VALE decent
09:56 am OILQ K : $MPEL jiggy
09:56 am Mathew Waterfall : Oil/gas seeing some action but oil still chopping. I’, on the sidelines until that clears up. In the past these moves only last a couple days without oil getting going as support
09:59 am Curtis M : $GILD Ichan chatter
10:01 am OILK K : Long $GILD small start on this
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : VIX way up and $TVIX not budging. No one wants to buy insurance
10:09 am OILK K : $GILD nice one
10:12 am MarketMaven M : $GILD forming great break out base
10:13 am MarketMaven M : and its gone
10:16 am MarketMaven M : Curt $CBMX up another 5% this morning
10:17 am Curtis M : y adecent swing 🙂
10:25 am MarketMaven M : Hold on $GILD for now but has come of a tad
10:25 am MarketMaven M : I have a small entry
10:31 am cynthia y : $SINO funny yippy trying a long
10:37 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic
10:41 am OILK K : $GLBS and $TOPS interesting action momo
10:42 am MarketMaven M : Thanks Mega Matta
10:43 am MarketMaven M : Shippers
10:43 am Mathew Waterfall : You got it
10:48 am Curtis M : Long $TOPS 2.24 starter size only
10:57 am Curtis M : Starting a positon in $UWT to swing add on dips for retest of resistanceon 54 $USOIL area
10:59 am OILK K : I’ll follow that $UWT play – get leggy if needed
10:59 am Curtis M : might have to
11:00 am Mathew Waterfall : back in a few
11:01 am Curtis M : LOmg $SINO small
11:09 am Curtis M : $SINO action surprised shorts is my thesis
11:09 am Curtis M : so we’ll see
11:09 am OILQ K : Well i thought you were niits:)
11:10 am Curtis M : small plays:)
11:19 am OILQ K : $X party
11:20 am Seth I : I am starting to sell after huge gains $X nice swing
11:20 am Curtis M : Nice play Seth
11:26 am Curtis M : Sold $SINO 4.92
11:28 am MarketMaven M : goin for lunch
11:29 am Curtis M : Holding $TOPS until this afternoon – tiny play will xit before end of day
11:30 am OILK K : lunch sounds great things slow
11:30 am Seth I : agree
11:30 am Burke J : STUDY lunch for me
11:33 am Curtis M : screen will black for a sec
11:35 am MarketMaven M : $GILD nice day
11:36 am OILQ K : enjoy
11:36 am Flash G : $HILD y agood plays there
11:36 am Flash G : $GILD
11:37 am MarketMaven M : ya curt enjoy lunch
11:38 am Curtis M : Thanks lol I’ll be around for ten or so delaing wth calls
11:47 am Curtis M : outta here catcha in 30
11:58 am MarketMaven M : $QBAK jumpy one
12:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : $ACUR breakout looks like it might have legs
12:00 pm MarketMaven M : Was watching that
12:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : looking for a 9 day touch on the 5′ for entry. Doesn’t look like it’ll make it all the way down to VWAp at this point
12:03 pm MarketMaven M : 10 4
12:08 pm Curtis M : back didn’t miss much:)
12:08 pm MarketMaven M : nope
12:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trying $acur off of that 9 day touch. Stop right under VWAP
12:12 pm MarketMaven M : GL im looking at $AMDA too
12:12 pm MarketMaven M : Can’t believe $SINO held up
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : I thought $SINO was a flush sooner or later. I’m still sitting in $AMDA hoping one of these days it’ll pop. Has been in he same couple cent range for a while
12:15 pm Flash G : $TWLO on my radar with current action
12:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TWLo saw some nice calls being bought right off of the open. Thing likes to whipsaw though so keep that in mind
12:16 pm Flash G : yeh $SINO!
12:18 pm Jack D : You were right abouth shorts on wrong side :):)
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AUPH on breakout watch as well over .50
12:19 pm Flash G : $AUPH has that look
12:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feels like it wants to rip.
12:24 pm Curtis M : Daytraders are frotrunning TOD on $TWLO $SINO I think and $AUPH interesting
12:25 pm Curtis M : in $SINO small and tight
12:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AUPH now seeing expanding valume. Im in it right at that break out of 3.5
12:26 pm Curtis M : Didnt get executed like I thouhgt
12:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looking at $DCIX for tomorrow if $SINO can hold on
12:27 pm Curtis M : In $SINO now
12:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out of $ACUR unless it heads north in a hurry
12:28 pm Curtis M : Flat like 26 sec late lol fark
12:28 pm Curtis M : fills are slow on lunch with TD
12:29 pm Curtis M : for some stocks for some reason
12:29 pm Jack D : Same prob
12:30 pm Jack D : $TWLO something going on
12:33 pm Fabian N : Tester in $OPS the shippers might run this afternoon low float
12:36 pm Flash G : Chewing at $AUPH now for break of 3.58 area should go
12:43 pm Flash G : $TWLO nice action
12:56 pm Curtis M : Long $ONTX
12:58 pm Curtis M : Add $TOPS
01:01 pm Jack D : $TWTR almost decent here
01:02 pm MarketMaven M : almost looool not yet
01:10 pm OILQ K : $RNN nhod some of these micros are crazy
01:11 pm MarketMaven M : ya wtf
01:13 pm Flash G : $AUPH getting ready
01:17 pm Blyne G : Curt I just looked at that $ONTX news on your Twitter I get it – gonna try a bit
01:17 pm Curtis M : 🙂
01:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NAK big call buy just went across. I got back in a bit earlier as mentioned on the mic and like the movement
01:19 pm MarketMaven M : $NAK could be great again
01:19 pm MarketMaven M : I have it on my short short list of 30
01:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : I liked it Friday, and wanted to watch to see if it would hold its breakout level of 3.10. Hasn’t made it that far south so I rebought. Would add if it keeps going towards that 3.1 area
01:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Feels like we might see some downside here right after I got stopped out of my $TVIX position lol
01:29 pm Curtis M : very possible
01:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : hah right as you sent that email lol
01:30 pm Curtis M : ya
01:31 pm MarketMaven M : what email?
01:31 pm Curtis M : $SPY subs email to ratchet
01:31 pm MarketMaven M : duh
01:32 pm Curtis M : sassy
01:37 pm Nicholas Winton : good day all
01:38 pm Nicholas Winton : watching $URRE
01:38 pm Curtis M : watch $SINO
01:39 pm Phun K : ya see that
01:40 pm Nicholas Winton : Nice Curtis, $DRYS too
01:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : The buyers here are crazy in $SPX/$SPY. Relentless
01:41 pm Phun K : action very curious
01:42 pm Nicholas Winton : Mathew, see $IWC to take temperature on speculation
01:43 pm Nicholas Winton : that index tracks microcaps across many sectors and is just heating up
01:43 pm Seth I : I think you guys are on right track with $AUPH $SINO $AMDA and $ONTX all of them
01:44 pm Nicholas Winton : small MJ stock setting up nicely $MJTK
01:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : I don’t know how much I value the micro caps as a leading indicator nich. Have you found they are consistently on the money?
01:45 pm Nicholas Winton : that IWC chart is damn bullish
01:45 pm Nicholas Winton : and you put it together with the action you are seeing in copper, very bullish for mkt as a whole
01:47 pm Nicholas Winton : anyway let’s see how things play out
01:47 pm Mathew Waterfall : Agreed. I also don’t use copper as an overall market indicator anymore so maybe that’s my trepidation there
01:48 pm Mathew Waterfall : Always interesting to hear how others look at the market overall, I love this type of conversation
01:48 pm MarketMaven M : $AUPH could go off here
01:48 pm Flash G : YES looking good
01:50 pm Fabian N : $AUPH very bullish intra – good time of day – about break resistance – good play there guys
01:53 pm John M : Whats your cost average on $ONTX Curt?
01:53 pm Curtis M : 2.87
01:53 pm Curtis M : only entry today
01:56 pm Nicholas Winton : yes Mat, copper stopped being a good tell a while back- but i find it is a good barometer of mkt strength once again
01:56 pm Nicholas Winton : when it rolls over then this mkt rally will be over- not until then- imho
01:57 pm Nicholas Winton : i think we are still going to see pwerful niche rallies in biotech, mj stocks, lithium, shippers, miners
01:57 pm Nicholas Winton : just a matter of when imo
01:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : Question is does that happen in overall market strength or weakness? Some of those plays could easily be in a bear market
01:58 pm Nicholas Winton : i think we’re seeing speculation returning to the market as SPY advances
01:59 pm Nicholas Winton : last Jan, penny stock volumes were at 16 year lows
01:59 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SPY is seeing a lot of retail buying yes. FOMO comes right before the fall though
02:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just trying to think of both sides here. Besides my VIX plays I’m not playing anything index wise
02:00 pm Nicholas Winton : of course- keeping my eyes open too 🙂
02:06 pm Victor G : man $AUPH looks angy
02:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : $AUPH needs a HOD break and it’s off to the races
02:07 pm Victor G : any sec maybe
02:12 pm Nicholas Winton : nice
02:12 pm Flash G : $DRYS not looking great intra day anyway
02:12 pm Nicholas Winton : maybe turnaround tuesday
02:17 pm Curtis M : $AUPH looks to be leaving station soon
02:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Be a nice guy and hit it with a 100k order for us 🙂
02:17 pm Curtis M : 3M shares turn today lol
02:18 pm Curtis M : its going
02:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : If it can’t go in the next 10-15 no dice. Everything seems to be turning up
02:23 pm Curtis M : buys in $DRYS
02:26 pm Curtis M : $MYSZ halt 268% today
02:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Here we go
02:29 pm Flash G : $AUPH looks great
02:34 pm Curtis M : $MYSZ in deep cant alert
02:35 pm Curtis M : scalping
02:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Out $AUPH. Stopped. Don’t like it couldn’t break out will look to readd
02:37 pm Mathew Waterfall : Couldn’t hold the break out I mean. Had a trailing stop that got nicked on that break down
02:40 pm Curtis M : lol that was fun I hit it las ttme stock rsi hit bottom around 14.30 ish survived
02:41 pm MarketMaven M : crazzzy
02:41 pm Curtis M : $AUPH kinda off action on the break there
02:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : I expected some follow through which is what made me put the stop on. It will probably go higher without me as usual
02:42 pm Curtis M : odd acton
02:47 pm Slate S : $TWTR long
02:52 pm Curtis M : Gonna get out of $TOPS for tiny loss sometime soon here
02:52 pm Curtis M : Holding $UWT overnight and will add on dps as long as support in range holds
02:54 pm OILQ K : Still hold $AUPH for another break HOD cross fingers
02:56 pm Mathew Waterfall : It held the 9 day nicely on the 5′. It doesn’t look horrible to me eye so over HOD I may jump back in
02:56 pm Curtis M : $AUPH looking like it will go again yes
02:57 pm Curtis M : off she goes
03:00 pm Nicholas Winton : $MJTK boom
03:02 pm MarketMaven M : $GALT on watch – presentation time
03:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : I love a nice bottom call Nich, I’m going to look into that one a bit AH
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : it has a nice curl
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : I like their business model, but holy low float this thing is mega micro 2.7m shares at .0095
03:20 pm Blyne G : $PLKI spike
03:24 pm Sledge H : $MYSZ tough to trade I would thnk
03:25 pm Nicholas Winton : yeah Mat- it could be an interesting ride
03:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ll continue to dig in a bit and report back in my mid morning report tomorrow. Combing through some 10q’s right now
03:32 pm Nicholas Winton : thanks, i would be interested in what you find Mat
03:33 pm Nicholas Winton : i’ve just been watching it as a momo
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : I want to see if I can size into this thing for a longer term play, answer currently is maybe. They are doing some OK stuff, some not so great
03:43 pm Slate S : $ROKA HOD
03:49 pm MarketMaven M : Nichs $URRE strong close fyi
03:54 pm Flash G : see ya tomrw
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : See ya in the AM. Im out of here shortly as well
03:55 pm Nicholas Winton : ciao Mat and everyone
03:56 pm Nicholas Winton : tomorrow a couple to watch $UEC and $LTBR
03:56 pm Curtis M : cya nich
04:00 pm Curtis M : Hav a great night all!

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

Article Topics: $MYSZ, $SINO, $TOPS, $ONTX, $UWT – $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $VRX, $JUNO, $CBMX, $TRCH, $LGCY  – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


Stock Trading Plan for Monday Feb 13, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $SINO, $ZLTQ, $ZINO, $ZSAN, $BCEI, $AEZS, $IMMU, $PLUG, $KBSF, $UGAZ, $JDST, $JNUG – $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

NA

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

All small size – $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

General Market Outlook:

$SPY has been active and markets continue to improve for daytrades a bit, $VIX dead so watching for spikes, $OIL in multi-week range (if they stop manipulating it will drop), $GOLD and $SILVER everyone has gone bull so we will see, $USDJPY $DXY most say is going down so we’ll see, and natural gas looks like its near an interim bottom. 

Morning Momo / News and Social Bits:

Momo Watch: $SINO, $ZLTQ, $ZINO, $ZSAN, $BCEI, $AEZS, $IMMU, $PLUG, $UGAZ, $JDST, $JNUG

$KBSF, Premarket, Trading, Plan, Stocks

$KBSF Premarket + 23%, Trading Plan, Stocks

 

8:00 AM:

S&P +0.17%.

10-yr -0.17%.

Euro -0.07% vs. dollar.

Crude -0.63% to $53.52.

Gold -0.46% to $1,230.25.

Goldman Sachs raising $AAPL price tgt to $150 from $133, says the iPhone8 will have 3D sensing, ie $LITE

Zeltiq shares leap 12% in premarket on news of takeover by Allergan http://on.mktw.net/2lBbehS

$TEAR – Osmolarity System Was Approved By Republic of Korea And Is Scheduled For Commercial Launch In India

Goldman Sachs sees Hasbro rally extending http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242801-goldman-sachs-sees-hasbro-rally-extending?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $HAS

Axovant’s nelotanserin shows treatment benefit in mid-stage dementia study; shares up 5% premarket http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242797-axovants-nelotanserin-shows-treatment-benefit-mid-stage-dementia-study-shares-5-percent?source=feed_f … #premarket $AXO…

At $43B+, #Tesla’s market cap is now over 85% of Ford.

Michael Kors to report Q4 results late due to technical glitch http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242795-michael-kors-report-q4-results-late-due-technical-glitch?source=feed_f … #premarket $KORS

Boeing -1.4% on downgrade http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242787-boeing-minus-1_4-percent-downgrade?source=feed_f … #premarket $BA…

$TEVA up 6% premarket after no new shoe drops in their press release.

Sage Therapeutics’s depression candidate SAGE-217 shows positive treatment effect in Part A of m… http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242779-sage-therapeuticss-depression-candidate-sageminus-217-shows-positive-treatment-effect-part?source=feed_f … #premarket $SA…

$KBSF running premarket.

Allergan takes out ZELTIQ for $2.47B http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242804-allergan-takes-zeltiq-2_47b?source=feed_f … #premarket $AGN $ZLTQ

$AEZS 16% PRE

CBRE Group buys Capstone Financial http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242806-cbre-group-buys-capstone-financial?source=feed_f … #premarket $CBG

Macy’s on the move after Barron’s tees it up http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242805-macys-move-barrons-tees?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $M

Global miners move higher alongside copper prices http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242807-global-miners-move-higher-alongside-copper-prices?source=twitter_sa_factset … #premarket $BHP $RIO $GLCNF $GLNCY

$ZSAN 3.8mg Dose of M207 Meets Both Co-primary Endpoints in the ZOTRIP Pivotal Efficacy Trial in Migraine

Flagstar Bancorp has almost 50% upside – Piper Jaffray http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242819-flagstar-bancorp-almost-50-percent-upside-piper-jaffray?source=feed_f … #premarket $FBC

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $PLX, $MDGS, $BLFS, $DGAZ, $PLUG, $SDRL $TEVA $TSEM $CMRE $ELOS $MT $IMMU $BBRY $JDST $VALE $FCX

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List:  I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List: $UGAZ, $JDST, $JNUG, $SINO, $ZLTQ, $ZINO, $ZSAN, $BCEI, $AEZS, $IMMU, $PLUG

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:  $MPEL $NUE $JCP $CMRE $FBC $PBR $TSU $REGN $SBCF $GTE $TWIN as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: $EVR $MASI $OXY $AKS $AUO $FSFR $TRV $AGU $WSM $CVA $INOV $RAI $TAC $LPT $CEB $BA $GCI $MDU as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $UGAZ, $JDST, $SINO, $ZLTQ, $ZINO, $ZSAN, $BCEI, $AEZS, $IMMU, $PLUG – $VRX, $SSH, $ASM, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $TRCH, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F


S&P 500 $SPY Trade Update Friday Feb 13, 2017 $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS) Algorithmic Charting Observations

Good morning! My name is Freedom the $SPY Algo. Welcome to my new S&P trade report for Compound Trading.

Current Trade in $SPY S & P 500.

Thursday and Friday last week were promising and in overnight futures it appears the market will continue to be active at minimum in the short term. The chart indicators we are working with (backtesting sixty months) are starting to play out, so this is good as it allows for our charting to become more and more predictable as market continues to be active.

Most Recent Simple Charting Updates from Last Monday – Be Sure You Have These:

 

Intra-day trading ranges with Fibonacci, MAs, VWAP, Cloud, AO, TSI, Stoch RSI. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Feb 13 624 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Below are the levels our traders will be using for intra-day trade on Monday. The Fibonacci indicator settings have proven to be very precis in recent trade.

$SPY Intra-day Trading Levels Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/nCSO58xX-Intra-day-trading-ranges-with-Fibonacci-MAs-VWAP-Cloud-AO-T/

$SPY, Chart, Fibonacci

Intra-day trading ranges with Fibonacci, MAs, VWAP, Cloud, AO, TSI, Stoch RSI. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Feb 13 624 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Symmetry extension, trading quadrants, Fibonacci. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Fri Feb10 700 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Fibonacci – The Fibonacci levels have been predictable so we are leaving them as they are.

Trading Quadrants – The trading quadrants for the time frame are also predictable, not perfect, but predictable.

Symmetry Extension – The new chart below provides you with the new intra-day upside symmetrical extension price target.

Time / Price Cycles – There are time / price cycles coming due between Friday 12:00 EST and Tuesday 4:00 EST – during time / price cycle terminations we advise our traders to use caution.

Trading Bias – Our trading bias is to the upside again with the possibility of an interim / moderate pull back.

$SPY Live Trading Chart with Symmetry Extensions, Fibonacci, and Trading Quadrants:  

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/GB7sk236-Symmetry-price-target-extensions-trade-quadrants-Fibonacci-S/

Symmetry price target extensions, trade quadrants, Fibonacci. S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Mon Feb 13 639 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Upside extension possible approx 232.38

Downside extension possible approx 229.42

Previous upside extension hit target at approx 230.72

Red dotted simply gives extension targets to upside and downside – not trade path.

Grey arrows give possible trade path.

$SPY, Chart, Trading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/GB7sk236-Symmetry-price-target-extensions-trade-quadrants-Fibonacci-S/

Below we have copied the applicable charting that is not being update today from the previous report for your reference and as trade plays out over next few days and we can get a better read we will update the below.

$SPY Bullish however MACD negative divergence look to 200 MA – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 708 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

In the event our bullish bias does not play out, consider / monitor the MACD divergence (down trend) and watch the 200 MA for support.

$SPY Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/g5LKVW0h-SPY-Bullish-however-MACD-negative-divergence-look-to-200-MA/

$SPY, Chart, 200 MA, MACD

$SPY Bullish however MACD negative divergence look to 200 MA – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 708 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Ascending Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 653 AM $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS

$SPY Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/1ou53bUE-Ascending-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Feb-6-6/

Price action in this model is intact. Per previous the 200 MA is support. More importantly the implied resistance is similar to the historical data above at 230.53.

$SPY, Chart, Ascending

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/1ou53bUE-Ascending-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Feb-6-6/

Sideways Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 658 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

This scenario is also intact. If price ascends above resistance look to it for support.

$SPY Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/oWsddcg8-Sideways-Trade-Scenario-1-S-P-500-SPY-Trade-Charting-Feb-6-65/

$SPY, Chart, Sideways

Sideways Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 6 658 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

The descending model below has a very low probability of remaining intact so there will be no update to it at this point.

Per previous…

Descending with Fib, Symmetry and Time Price Cycle Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 2 615 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Live $SPY Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/dIJqIFq8-Descending-with-Fib-Symmetry-and-Time-Price-Cycle-Trade-Scenari/

This chart model is also intact. The important parts are not the general trade direction red dotted lines or that prospective black downward trendline – the downward channel and its associated trading width is the important indicator to watch on this chart.

$SPY, Chart

Descending with Fib, Symmetry and Time Price Cycle Trade Scenario 1 – S&P 500 $SPY Trade Charting Feb 2 615 AM $ES_F $SPXL, $SPXS

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Freedom the $SPY Algo

Article Topics: Freedom, $SPY, Algo, Fibonacci, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Gold, Algorithms, $SPY, $ES_F, $SPXL, $SPXS


Public Stock Trading Webinar Schedule:

Want to know more about what we do and how it may assist your trading?

Webinars are scheduled for this Sunday afternoon. For general public interested in understanding our services and algorithmic chart modeling. Also for existing members that wish to ask more detailed questions about the charting and trading our algorithmic charts.

Date: Sunday Feb 12, 2017 (all times Eastern)

Location: Visit our website www.compoundtrading.com and click link on home page to enter trading room and sign in as guest. Or, try this link http://compoundtrading.webinato.com/livetrading.

The first 20 minutes of each session will be explaining what we do and the last 10 minutes we will take questions.

2:00 Epic the Oil Algorithm

2:30 Rosie the Gold Algorithm

3:00 SuperNova Silver Algorithm

3:30 US Dollar $DXY Algorithm

4:00 S&P and VIX (in development) models. Our most recent additions.

4:30 Swing Trading – What our service includes and success to date.

5:00 Trading Room – Introduction to our Trading Room and Mobile Alerts Services.

5:30 Coaching and Trading School Quick Review

Thanks!

Curtis

 

 


Good morning swing traders and welcome to the Compound Trading weekly swing trading stock picks memo for the week of Feb 12, 2017!

Don’t hesitate to email us at [email protected] anytime with any questions about any of the swing trades listed below. Or, if we get bogged down private message Curtis in trade room or direct message him on Twitter. Market hours are tough but we endeavor to get back to everyone after market each day.

Notices:

A big Congratulations Swing Trade Members! Wow what a start to 2017!!!

Things have been going extremely well in our Swing Trading service – I have received a lot of mail recently (and had various conversations with members), that’s great to hear!

We have absolutely murdered the stock picks since the beginning of 2017! So much so that we are having to scramble now for new picks! Well not really, remember at the beginning of the year I told you we actually had fifty we were working on:)

We didn’t expect that kind of result however! So this week we will be completely updating our stock picks for next Monday Feb 20, 2017 (we thought this would be quarterly) and we will share this success with the world (unlocking much of this post and re-locking the next update for our members).

We have surveyed many members about our weekly update formats, and it is obvious from the members we have spoken to that they like the “journal” method we’ve started in 2017, so we are going to keep this format. Basically it is a journal format where we simply update the picks as we go and leave previous comments. Members seem to appreciate the transparency and being able to follow along with the progression of each stock pick, the charts and more. It also makes it easier for new swing trade members as they come aboard to get up to speed quickly.

It is important to note the other charts below may or may not been updated since being first posted or post most recent report, so be sure to look up most recent trading ranges on a chart before considering trades.

Any updates below specific to this week are highlighted in red to simplify the process for you.

And finally (per previous) we are at an inflection point and we are waiting for test areas in metals to play out here soon – as soon as those decisions do we will have a number of recommendations we are going to add to this.

This Swing Report is in Development – But We’re Getting There.

Below you will find my top ten picks for swing trading in the first quarter of 2017 (plus a few bonus picks I will be swing trading). I am currently in the middle of compiling the due diligence and charting set-ups for publication for over fifty charts so this list may grow considerably – I am excited about 2017.

As mentioned previous, I will also include our regular algorithmic modeling equities relating to Oil, Gold, Miners, Silver, US Dollar, Volatility and SPY in my 2017 reports (in addition to the ten others listed below) FYI.

In my reports I will focus on both long term holds and swing trading these equities with an intent to try and time the highs and lows (pull-backs) as best as possible. I know many propose that picking the highs and lows isn’t the best method – but to be frank it has served me well over the years.

Also, I should mention, that any of the stocks below that do not trade well (or as planned) I will switch out with another choice as the weeks progress. But the intent is to hold ten investment / swing stocks (per below) and also swing trade in and out of the regular algorithmic modeling equities I mentioned also.

Oh, and the updates most often will be coming out more often than weekly also (thought I should mention that).

First step is to get charts out with levels I will be trading. Then I’ll put out more DD on each also.

I am going to start below with ones that are most timely and build this out from there (in order of priority for my personal trades and what I see going on in the market).

The Ten Swing Trades I am going to focus on in the First Quarter of 2017 are as follows:

1 – Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL, $GOOG

Feb 12, 2017 – We still like the $GOOGL stock / chart. Price recently broke to the upside of the triangle and didn’t hold but is threatening to trade above again at Friday close. We’re watching for an upside break that holds for an entry or a visit to the 200 MA (pink line) for an entry.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update: We expect a signal from the Trump camp soon (late this week), and if positive, this will be a very strong play – watch close! This needs to be high on your radar going forward!

We like this chart. Watch for an upside break out of the triangle. The principles apply the same to $GOOG and $GOOGL charts fyi. Also, watch the MACD close, it looks primed for a move. Earnings are Thursday. If price breaks to downside I will update with levels to watch. Also, the is a chart below that shows upside target.

$GOOGL, Chart

Fibonacci to watch, triangle, MACD, Break to upside possible in Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Link to live $GOOGL chart in TradingView.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOOGL/isvDnbTQ-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart-GOOGL/

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

Technically, the price target (should price break to upside) is 1003.17 before Jan 29 2018.

$GOOGL, Price Target

1003.17 Price Target in 2017 with upside break-out. Alphabet (Google) $GOOGL

2 – Amazon $AMZN

Feb 12, 2017 – Trade Alert! We entered a trade long at a cost average 822.72 for 100 shares as soon as price was upside the 20 MA. This is an aggressive trade (being that we didn’t wait for a pull-back to 50, 100 or 200). We have a tight stop on the trade at 804.00 (just below its recent low (this would be a broken trade in our opinion at that point). So we are hoping this week is a strong week for Amazon. If not our aggressive move will cost us.

Amazon Swing Trading Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AMZN/ZQt7CJMs-AMZN-Amazon-Swing-Trading-Member-Chart/

$AMZN, Amazon, Swing, Trading

$AMZN Amazon Swing Trading Member Chart – Compound Trading

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! We haven’t got a pull back to the 200 day and depending on how tech does with Trump we may or may not, however, in overnight trade (premarket) price is close to the 100 day and I may take a test long position. This is one of our favorite picks so we will be quite aggressive with our attempts to get in at an inflection – so we are thinking sometime in the next few days looks decent.

My fourth priority is Amazon. I don’t want to over simplify this trade – but the bottom line is I’m looking for a pull-back and an entry as close to that 200 day (pink line with green arrow) as possible. I don’t think this stock will stop anytime soon. DD to follow soon.

$AMZN, Swing

$AMZN Swing

3 – Juno $JUNO

Feb 12, 2017 – We have been long since late December at 18.32 (1000 shares) and it trades at 21.95 now – will be ratcheting up stops soon, the trade has done well but in the short term we don’t see a lot of upside for entries now, unless trade returns to the 50 day MA.

$JUNO Another Swing Trade Winner. Swing Trade Member Stock Pick is up 20%.

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $JUNO

$JUNO Another Swing Trade Winner. Swing Trade Member Stock Pick is up 20%.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update: $JUNO since my first entry mid December 2016 has consistently moved in an upward trend, and from that perspective has been a good stock pick. But it hasn’t been excellent like many of my other picks. It does have a gap fill coming soon so if you are long I would ratchet up your stops as you near 22.70 area.

$JUNO Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/JUNO/W0WEYDQJ-JUNO-Swing-Trade-Member-Stock-Pick/

$JUNO, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$JUNO Swing Trade Member Stock Pick

4 – CombiMatrix Corp $CBMX

Feb 12, 2017 – This stock hasn’t slowed down since our entry at 2.59 (10000 shares) and doesn’t seem to want to return to the trendline support so our swing trade members can get in. It is trading perfectly in our prescribed range (albeit at the top) and closed at 3.90 on Friday – we have a 5.57 PT on it so I don’t if it is best to enter now – I wouldn’t unless it returns to the support line but some of the more aggressive swing trading members may want to consider it. Also, we will be ratcheting stops before earnings and even though earnings are expected to be strong we likely will not hold through earnings (or if we do it will be with tight stops).

$CBMX news – http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cbmx-expect-record-revenue-profit-140000918.html

$CBMX Swing Trade Stock Pick Doing Well up 50% Now.

$CBMX, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$CBMX Swing Trade Stock Pick Doing Well up 50% Now.

My second priority is $CBMX. I am already in this swing and plan to enter in dips at the diagonal trend line (blue). Initial target area is around 5.57 with much greater potential upside. The Trump factor may cause this to come off a bit so my bias is toward late spring for first price target.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CBMX/qtdyUyY0-CBMX-Swing-Trade/

$CBMX, Swing Trade, Chart

$CBMX Swing Trade

5 – OakTree Capital $OAK

Feb 12, 2017 – This has been a fantastic swing trade and many of our members have profited from it. We are holding and have moved up stops to a 5% drop.

It is currently trading at 45.70 and is up considerably for our members – our 2017 price target was 49.58 and our short term price targets were easily met.

It is also currently trading just above its 200 MA so we are watching close – if it loses the 200 MA we will exit likely. So if you are thinking of adding or a long trade here you want to watch the 200 MA.

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $OAK

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (OAK) today announced that it will report fourth quarter and full year 2016 financial results prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday, February 7, 2017.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oaktree-schedules-fourth-quarter-full-133000267.html

Was trading at 37.57 – 38.00 when we originally started to look at it, currently trades at 41.65.

42.71 – 43.50 is our short term swing target (less than 3 months).

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! $OAK has met this swing trade target for our members – caution forward please!

49.58 is our 2017 target. No target date.

Our traders will be watching earnings (much like we did with Google last week and we will be doing with Amazon this week). Pending earnings and price action this will be when we enter a trade. Some of our swing traders have obviously seen decent gains since we first put this on our swing trading list a number of weeks back (good timing actually), but our traders have not taken a position yet.

$OAK, Swing Trading, Newsletter

$OAK – OakTree Capital Group

Oaktree Capital Trading View Live Charting:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OAK/w2CBerv2-Swing-Trading-Newsletter-Oaktree-Capital-OAK/

6 – VanEck Vectors Russia ETF $RSX

Feb 12, 2017 – Decided considering geo political sentiment that I will consider a long at 50 MA or a break to upside now.

Feb 7, 2017 Alert! Although this has done exceptionally well since my first entry late 2016 I am now out of my position and am awaiting a pull back to 100 day at minimum.

$RSX Swing Trade Stock Pick – Waiting for Test of 50 MA or break to upside.

$RSX Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/RSX/rjR7GATQ-RSX-Swing-Trade-Stock-Pick-Waiting-for-Test-of-50-MA-or-break/

$RSX, Swing, Trading, Stocks, Pick

$RSX Swing Trade Stock Pick – Waiting for Test of 50 MA or break to upside.

7 – BOFI Holdings $BOFI

Feb 12, 2017 – $BOFI Swing Trading Stock Pick After Dec Entry – Now Waiting for 200 MA PB test on 60 minute chart below or break out.

$BOFI Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BOFI/krBzI22u-BOFI-Swing-Trading-Stock-Pick-After-26-18-Dec-Entry-Waiting-for/

Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick, $BOFI

$BOFI Swing Trading Stock Pick After 26.18 Dec Entry Waiting for 200 MA PB test or break out

Feb 7, 2017 Member Update! Here is another I have done well since my first entry late 2016 and I am now waiting for another pullback to at least the 50 day if not 100 day to add. Holding full position and expect a return of 6% approximately (from today’s price) in 2017. If I can get a pullback I will be very happy.

$BOFI, Swing, Trading, Chart, Stock, Pick

$BOFI Swing Trading Member Stock Pick

8 – Sunoco Logistics Partners $SXL

Feb 12, 2017 – $SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position and Jan addition to this list. We are currently waiting for a test of the 200 MA on the 60 day for an add to 1000 shares or a sell. Excellent trade so far.

$SXL Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SXL/Zxq4BCtJ-SXL-Sunoco-Swing-Trading-Stock-Pick-is-Performing-Excellent-Sin/

$SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position

$SXL, Swing, TRade, Stock, Pick

$SXL Sunoco Swing Trading Stock Pick is Performing Excellent Since Late Dec Long Position

9 – US Silica Holdings $SLCA

Feb 12, 2017 – We have our first entry in $SLCA at the 50 day 55.77 500 shares. We are going to watch how it handles the 20 MA. If it returns to our buy at 55.77 area we may cut bait.

$SCLA Live Trading Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SLCA/kYwi9RAO-SLCA-Swing-Trade-Member-Stock-Pick-Entry-at-50-MA-long-for-a-t/

$SLCA, Swing, Trade, Stock, Pick

$SLCA Swing Trade Member Stock Pick. Entry at 50 MA long for a tester.

Feb 7, 2017 Member Alert! We never did get that pull back, and I appreciate the notes from members that have done well with this swing nonetheless! However, caution is warranted entering this play with-out a pull-back.

My fifth priority is $SLCA. Again, another simple chart and it will require some patience. I see a pull-back coming and huge upside under the Trump inertia in to summer. I am looking for a pull-back to the 50 day (yellow arrow) or the 100 day preferably (blue arrow). If it gets away on me I’ll likely chase it and scale in 1/5th at a time.

$SCLA, Swing, Trade

$SCLA Swing Trade

10 – EOG Resources $EOG

Feb 12, 2017 – New Entry! $EOG Resources Long entry 98.77 at 100 MA 300 shares starter. Swing Trade Stock Pick. If it fails at our entry price we will exit and re-evaluate.

$EOG Resources Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EOG/5pnQP44r-EOG-Resources-Long-entry-98-77-at-100-MA-Swing-Trade-Stock-Pic/

Sing, Trading, Stock, Pick, $EOG

$EOG Resources Long entry 98.77 at 100 MA. Swing Trade Stock Pick

The Bonus Picks for 2017 I will be Swing Trading also:

1 – $GREK Global Greece ETF

2 – $TRCH Torchlight Energy

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TRCH/xxpZ4uPM-TRCH-Swing-Trade/

$TRCH Swing Trade

$TRCH Swing Trade

3 – $NG Nova Gold

Feb 7, 2014 – $NG Nova Gold Swing trade members are pleased with stock pick 5.14 buy alert trade up to 6.21 (22% gain) at 5.98 now. 

$NG NovaGold Live Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/7sroM8Ai-NG-Nova-Gold-Swing-trade-members-are-pleased-with-stock-pick-5/

$NG, Stock, Pick, Swing, Trade

$NG Nova Gold Swing trade members are pleased with stock pick 5.14 buy alert trade up to 6.21 (22% gain) at 5.98 now.

The first swing of 2017 I will be entering (likely today) is NovaGold. First target is 6.46 area and second target is 7.30 area. It is currently trading at 5.10. It’s full extension is over 8.50.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NG/1Sz7RDKg-NG-Novagold-Swing-Trade/

$NG, NovaGold, SwingTrade, Chart

$NG Novagold Swing Trade

4 – New the week of Feb 6, 2017 is $ASM.

$ASM comes to us by reference of HedgeHog trader who has spent some time in our trading room lately and is a close friend of ours. His due diligence on this one is solid in our opinion and the chart is about to break out – it is just shy of the 200 day! Here’s the transcript of his attendance in our trading room yesterday if you wish to view. He also mentions in that transcript other picks he likes (such as $NG, $THM, $NAK, $CPO.V).

$ASM Chart Live on Trading View: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ASM/Wn17X1qn-ASM-Swing-Trade-Member-Chart/

$ASM, Swing, Trading, Chart

$ASM Swing Trade Member Chart

Our Standard Algorithmic Modeling Securities I will be providing Swing Trade levels for are:

1 – $SPY

Feb 12, 2017 – This is interesting, price action late last week was promising, we are watching indicators for a long position.

$SPY Live Trading Chart – https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/rwRqqh0q-SPY-Swing-trade-stock-pick-based-on-MACD-signals-Long-at-the-g/

$SPY, Swing Trade, Stock Picks

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/rwRqqh0q-SPY-Swing-trade-stock-pick-based-on-MACD-signals-Long-at-the-g/

2 – $VIX

Feb 12 – $VIX has done nothing. Watching.

My seventh priority is the VIX. I see a pull-back in the market coming and a lift in VIX. The primary trade I am looking for is actually a short in the VIX when it gets upside it’s bolllinger band (it’s a little more complicated than that – specifically with timing and I will be putting an alert out when I do it anyway) – I’ll also play some short term longs in $TVIX or $UVXY.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/t6YF7SQY-VIX-Short-Swing-Trade-Above-Bollinger-Band/

$VIX, Swing, Trade, Short

$VIX Short Swing Trade Above Bollinger Band

3 – $DXY

4 – $SLV

5 – $GLD – Gold (and miner’s $GDX)

Feb 14, 2017 $GDX trade went exactly as planned. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

$GDX Swing Trade Member Stock Pick went exactly as planned – a 13% gain. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

$GDX, Swing, Trade, Gain, Stock, Picks

$GDX Swing Trade Member Stock Pick went exactly as planned – a 13% gain. Waiting for trading this week for further trade decisions.

Feb 7, 2017 $GDX Alert – Members, this trade went exactly as planned and is now beyond our call so caution please!

My third priority on this list are the miner’s – $GDX and leveraged friends. This one is risky but comes with large gains if miner’s get moving and price breaks in to next quadrant above the yellow one outlined on the chart below. And for the risk taker it can be traded with leveraged ETN’s. There are inherent risks however; one is that price is not at bottom of the trading quadrant so an entry here is not ideal and the obvious issue is the Trump factor.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/8QOM4r5s/

$GDX, Swing, Trade

$GDX Swing Trade

6 – $USOIL / $WTI

Feb 12 – Crude oil traded at resistance on Friday, some may opt to short here but we are waiting to see if price breaks to upside. Will advise.

Feb 7, 2017 Update: In overnight trade $USOIL is trading at 52.19 and there is a diagonal support trendline intra-day below at approximately 52.28 – we will be looking at taking a long position in that area if we can get it – with a tight 1% stop.

In overnight lab work our developers established a diagonal trendline (blue line in chart that has a blue arrow pointing at it) that has established itself as strong support. If you take a swing trade against that support (as as close to it as possible) then look to the upside of that white dotted arrow line as your target long. Ratchet up stops there.

Epic, Oil, Algo, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 208 AM Jan 20 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Email or DM me on Twitter anytime with thoughts or questions!

 

Cheers!

Curtis

 

Article Topics; Compound Trading, Swing, Trading, Stock, Picks, $ASM, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $JUNO, $CBMX, $OAK, $RSX, $BOFI, $SXL, $SLCS, $EOG, $NG, $TRCH, $GREK, $USOIL, $GOLD, $GLD, $SILVER, $SLV, $SPY, S&P 500, $DXY, $VIX


Review of Compound Trading Chat Room Stock Trading, Algorithm Stock Charting Calls and Alerts for Friday Feb 10, 2017; $JDST, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $VRX, $JUNO, $CBMX, $TRCH, $LGCY etc 

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Text highlighted in red below is new to today’s commentary.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Free Public Webinar Schedule: Set over to Sunday Feb 12, 2017 Same Times!

Webinars are scheduled for this Sunday afternoon. For general public interested in understanding our services and algorithmic chart modeling. Also for existing members that wish to ask more detailed questions about the charting and trading our algorithmic charts.

Date: Sunday Feb 12, 2017

Location: Visit our website www.compoundtrading.com and click link to enter trading room and sign in as guest.

2:00 Epic the Oil Algorithm

2:30 Rosie the Gold Algorithm

3:00 SuperNova Silver Algorithm

3:30 US Dollar $DXY Algorithm

4:00 S&P and VIX (in development) models.

4:30 Swing Trading – What our service includes and success to date.

5:00 Trading Room – Introduction to our Trading Room

New article on our blog: Keep it simple charting (amazing how you make consistent and predictable returns trading the simplicity of some charts).

New article on our blog:

Per previous;

Trading Room News Memo – There is a new member memo out that updates our members on trading room news and upcoming events. It also discusses our upcoming announcement of weekly webinars for existing members that wish to use our work in a more in depth manner and prospective members that would like to understand more about what we do. These webinars will be weekly for all six algorithmic charting models, our swing trading service and our trade room – each being 30 minutes in length. You will find the memo here:

Compound Trading Stock Trading Room Member Memo Feb 3, 2017

Overview Perspective & Review of Markets, Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

It was a quieter day for the room – Trump was meeting with Abe so there was some pensiveness in the market. My $JDST swing came off (in after market Thursday it was looking decent) – I ended up a tad up / basically flat.

All in all its been really positive for our algo charting newsletter subscribers and trading room – checking in with our members regularly reminds me of their success on our platform so that’s awesome.

Swing trading members have enjoyed consistent success wince the start of the year and this week just got better. Hopefully our swing trading calls continue like that!

Momentum / Note-able Stocks Today (via FinViz):

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
SWIR 24.45 31.10% 3880370 Top Gainers
INFN 11.96 27.23% 16639335 Top Gainers
SHLD 6.96 25.63% 12051172 Top Gainers
PLSE 9.35 23.84% 438447 Top Gainers
IMMU 5.23 21.63% 54321506 Top Gainers
QUOT 13.20 21.10% 2175952 Top Gainers
XTLB 2.94 382.30% 31202 New High
SOL 3.10 404.15% 164821 New High
PLSE 9.35 23.84% 438447 New High
SWIR 24.45 31.10% 3880370 New High
SOL 3.10 404.15% 164821 Overbought
QUNR 32.53 4.73% 369172 Overbought
BSTG 0.30 -40.68% 11314410 Unusual Volume
HFXJ 19.09 0.69% 25742 Unusual Volume
BLFS 2.07 12.39% 888608 Unusual Volume
IMMU 5.23 21.63% 54321506 Unusual Volume
MT 8.76 6.31% 32834251 Upgrades
AON 115.59 0.36% 1213365 Earnings Before
MODN 10.10 1.00% 114765 Insider Buying

Stocks, ETN’s, ETF’s I am Holding:

I am holding (in order of sizing – all moderately small to small sizing) $DUST, $VRX, $CBMX, $JUNO, $TRCH, $LGCY, $SSH, $ASM

Looking Forward:

I am watching our standards that apply to our algorithmic charting, as follows;

US Dollar $DXY $USDJPY $UUP:

Per recent, “US Dollar $DXY is at important support so I will watch for a bounce (my personal bias)”. Today it did in fact bounce. The algorithmic model had noted a minor divergence as did the classic charting so I took a late day trade in $JDST (going well).

Friday was the Trump and Abe meeting day and the dollar is still sitting at support at end of day but charting is divergent so the jury is out.

Per recent, “And there are the really important long term chart MA indicators that are not bearish the $DXY that should be in mind.”

Gold $GLD $XAUUSD / Gold Miner’s $GDX:

Per recent,” $GOLD, Miners and $SILVER blew through resistance but have a series of very significant algorithmic chart modeling and classic charting decisions on deck soon so I will watch for a pull-back (my personal bias but I do know there is a significant possibility my bias is wrong and if so I will really hammer down on the move through resistance long if it occurs – AND I’ll be ready for the small and micro caps that would likely light fight in that scenario)”.

Per recent, “Gold struggled at the second last resistance decision (at the algorithms symmetry extension on Rosie the Gold Algo charts – yellow line) and came off. And then when it failed the diagonal Fib based algorithm trendline (white dotted on Rosie’s charts) I took my trade in $JDST. In overnight trading this hasn’t been regained so there are 3 important resistance levels in Gold on our algorithm has before our algo considers the uptrend continued – so I will watch. Also of consideration for this trade is the announcement from Trump and Japan’s Abe expected Friday at 1:00 EST.”

So on Friday Gold jumped around like the $DXY US Dollar and $USDJPY. My guess is Sunday night trade or Monday trade will tell us a lot in the Dollar.

Silver $SLV:

Silver is trading much Gold in that it is near resistance and seems to be awaiting decisions or market reaction to Trump / Abe weekend and $USDJPY.

Crude Oil $USOIL $WTI:

Crude oil is trading very aggressive but completed the day right under the resistance Epic the Oil Algo has identified as key for many weeks. I suspect traders are awaiting OPEC meeting news and Trump and Abe weekend news bits before committing. 

Per recent, “$OIL was broke and it magically repaired and is back in its multi-week range – trade the range until really broke.” On Thursday oil continued to trade within the sideways range it has been in for weeks – so yes, magically repaired chart. I believe there was evidence Wed and Thur of how our markets are “managed” – even oil.

Per recent, “There are OPEC meetings this weekend so that is in the mix also.”

Volatility $VIX:

$VIX is still near dead – records are being set and/or are near being set daily.

$SPY S&P 500:

So $SPY did break out Thursday – our algo did predict this before the election so that wasn’t a big surprise but the interesting thing to myself and some of the traders in our membership was that price action hit the symmetry extension to the high side our algo Freedom the $SPY Algo had charted perfectly. Trade also continued Friday predictably in our modeling. So our fifth of six algos is starting to hit consistently also.

Per recent, “$SPY continues in its range but I will be looking for a break to higher (my personal bias)”. $SPY did break out on Thursday as expected so I am studying opportunity.

Momentum Trades:

Momentum trades on Friday I found to be with-out follow through volume (as did other traders in the room and many others I communicate with in the community).

Per recent, “Still playing morning momos but the last 15 sessions follow-through momo (where I bank) has been difficult because volume goes poof”. This still the case but this morning premarket was a bit stronger but follow through wasn’t great (even though it was better).

Swing Trading:

The swing trading side just continues to do exceptionally well off the calls. Here’s one example of the many in the current pipeline:

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Swing, Trading, Results, Newsletter

$OAK OakTree Capital Group Swing Trading Alert for Members has done well with 25% gains in 2017

Per recent, “Swing trading – continuing to bank on that side of our platform and don’t expect that to slow down in 2017 (until a change in market conditions of course)”. And of course this only got better today for our swing traders with $SPY break-out and related equities. There are a host of stocks in the service being traded such as $AAPL, $FB, $GOOGL, $BABA, $NFLX, $OAK and more.

Weekend Webinars (Member and General Public):

Webinars are a chance to review (for existing members and the general public interested in how our services and charting works) all of our algorithmic stock chart modeling, swing trading and what we do in our trading room. It will be as good for me as it will be for attendees because it will be a refresh of all the charting and a good way to get ready for next week’s trading. Follow our Compound Trading Twitter feed for schedule / updates (each are 30 minutes starting at 2:00 PM Sunday and cover our six algorithms, trading room, and swing trading). Visit the Compound Trading website and click on the trading room link on the home page for admittance.

Earnings:

The Charting Algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Compound Trading Chat Room:

09:26 am Curtis M : Watch $BIOC $SHLD $GENE $BLPH $AMDA morning momo watch

Compound Trading Stock Chat-room Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

08:17 am Flash G : Morning !
08:19 am Sandy S : mornin flash
08:30 am MarketMaven M : hey i c curt didnt dump $JDST
08:31 am MarketMaven M : gonna give me lip about that 🙂 zeeeez
08:31 am GReg L : haha
08:34 am MarketMaven M : decent scalps in pre here
08:35 am MarketMaven M : $SNOA for ex worked
09:08 am OILK K : USD gonna go nuts soon I think up up up
09:08 am MarketMaven M : meh
09:17 am MarketMaven M : OILK ? no mojo left in it or it will wait for ABE!
09:23 am OILK K : there it is mm
09:23 am MarketMaven M : there it went
09:25 am Mathew Waterfall : gold, usd, and usd/jpy all coming into important levels here. I may actually give $JNUG a try as we are very close to support and would be a quick out if it keeps falling. On;y thing on my radar so far today
09:26 am Curtis M : Watch $BIOC $SHLD $GENE $BLPH $AMDA morning momo watch
09:30 am Mathew Waterfall : $UAA add. into the gap here, assuming it can remain I will add that is wil watch for a second
09:31 am OILQ K : Long $SHLD
09:31 am OILQ K : whtf
09:32 am MarketMaven M : l $BIOC hammeerrr
09:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $UAA couldn’t hold in the gap. 22.16 level Im watching for solidly over and add. I think it’ll get there sooner or later
09:35 am MAck M : $BLPH
09:39 am Mathew Waterfall : Out my $RGSE flat BTW. not worth the management currenly
09:39 am Curtis M : $KBSF 100%
09:43 am GReg L : $DXY curling back up
09:47 am MarketMaven M : Add $XOM
09:48 am Mathew Waterfall : $JNUG first trim from day trade entered earlier. Will take the quic and easy profits here. Still in half
09:50 am MAck M : Long $GENE for a day swipe
09:51 am Mathew Waterfall : $TRQ monster today. Will likely trim some there as well. Lightening up a bit as I usually do. Still in $TRQ 3/4ths
09:53 am Cara R : $IMMU $MDGS on watch here
09:54 am Mathew Waterfall : Did pick up a bi tmore $ASM here thoughl Like I’ve said I like Silver long term, may sit on most of that position for a long while
09:55 am Davd Z : $GENE good spike good call
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : Trailer put on the rest of my $JNUG. Dont need to overplay this position as it’s not my only in the space. Gold does look angry today though
10:08 am MarketMaven M : out $GENE small daytrade
10:10 am Sandy S : $DRAM soike
10:14 am GReg L : Trying $AMDA for a quck one
10:26 am Mathew Waterfall : On the mic
10:27 am OILK K : hey mat good trades tehre
10:27 am MarketMaven M : yup ewe hear
10:28 am MAck M : My husband doesnt
10:30 am MarketMaven M : Your husband Macenzie 🙂 its select hearing
10:31 am OILQ K : Long $JDST test
10:31 am OILQ K : Women Geesh Mack u and MM bad
10:33 am GReg L : Trump thing will be good rading
10:34 am Mathew Waterfall : I hate binary events like that but it should get some action flowing. I just look forward to the entertainment factor lol
10:35 am OILK K : I think there wa sjust like a 3 min delay in the room from Mats voice to get to me something happened there
10:36 am Mathew Waterfall : Weird. The input screen on my end seemed to be tracking. Did you get the majority of it?
10:37 am Curtis M : y athere wa s adelay for some reason correct
10:40 am Curtis M : y a t all came through just really delayed lol
10:40 am MAck M : I thought that was woerd too
10:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Funny. Maybe I’ve opened up a time travel window
10:41 am MAck M : ha
10:42 am Mathew Waterfall : If I figure it out I’ll let you guys know. We’ll own those twitter scalpers haha
10:43 am Curtis M : I think its sorting now cause text was delayed too
10:46 am Mathew Waterfall : i have that happen every once in a while. I’ll push enter on a message and it’ll take a bit to post
10:46 am MarketMaven M : seems better now\
10:49 am Mathew Waterfall : Break time, back in a few
10:55 am Jack D : $PLUG momo
11:01 am Trent P : Prob sit and wait for trump now
11:02 am Shafique M : Hope it brings a decent aftrnoon:)
11:02 am Shafique M : Study time for me
11:10 am Edward Johansson : Hi guys, got the pre-market report email
11:10 am Edward Johansson : but the password doesn’t work
11:12 am Curtis M : ok we will resend
11:12 am Curtis M : sorry there is a delay in chat this mrning techs are working on t
11:12 am Edward Johansson : ok, thanks
11:13 am Edward Johansson : will log off for now and await the email – thanks
11:13 am John M : ya I had that prblem the date wasnt in it it is PREMARKET0210PREM
11:16 am OILQ K : sassy marketmaven gave it to us – smart one
11:17 am MarketMaven M : pretty quiet now
11:27 am Mathew Waterfall : Did a quick scan and review, not much pulling at me here. The set ups have to be pretty solid for me to trade intra day momo thus me usually staying away. Eyeing $NAK though showing strength after the downgrasde talk yesterday
11:28 am Curtis M : Got stopped flat JDST on break
11:31 am Jeff G : Curt, did you get stopped while we were on lunch?
11:31 am Curtis M : Ya just chaos wth other stuff lol but ya thanks for the coffee
11:32 am Jeff G : no prob I sold too 3 cent loss
11:33 am Jeff G : but trump announcement with Gold and OIl too should be interesting trading
11:33 am Mathew Waterfall : $NAk through res should go. $GVZ mentioned earlier on the mic up nicely as well
11:34 am Curtis M : nice play Mat back in 5
11:35 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT also wanting to go r/g
11:37 am Curtis M : back wow never thought this would be that much work 🙂 keeping me young
11:38 am Jeff G : ya you were busy there:) lets settle in and get some here
11:39 am Curtis M : 10 4 follow Mat he and crew on a heater – good traders in here
11:40 am Jeff G : okay well lets settle in and get em
11:40 am Mathew Waterfall : Don’t jynx me! Playing this next leg pretty cautious should clear up after trump this afternoon
11:40 am Curtis M : Mat Jeff’s a shart fyi Jeff met Mat
11:40 am Curtis M : shark lol
11:41 am Mathew Waterfall : lol that makes more sense
11:41 am Mathew Waterfall : My typos are rubbing off
11:41 am Curtis M : ok ready
11:41 am Jeff G : whats on the hot list?
11:42 am Curtis M : me – UWT DWT JNUG JDST and the ones we could run maybe are AMDA GENE BLPH
11:43 am Curtis M : <at has a god list too
11:43 am Curtis M : Mat
11:43 am Jeff G : ok lets do this – Ill bring em up
11:43 am Jeff G : Trump 1:00 Eastern correct?
11:43 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m looking at miners(duh) and some small cap oil. $NE, $SDRL, $BCEI in particular. Looking at options plays
11:44 am Mathew Waterfall : Yes I believe 1 est
11:44 am Jeff G : ready, I like the oil micro small play idea if oil breaks ceiling here
11:45 am Jeff G : also, we could run that AMDA up to 50 in a heartbeat if we want later
11:45 am Mathew Waterfall : Yepp watching oil and some of the larger names to confirm upside
11:47 am Jeff G : $JDST really came off relative – that’s a gift if they’re on wrong side and that $AMDA theres guys in there that will run it fyi
11:48 am Jeff G : At 1 it should be who is offside
11:48 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m in $AMDA from earlier this week so pump away lol
11:49 am Jeff G : I wasn’t thinking pump… just know the guys that are in there they’ll run it or drop it – I betcha they run it today or Monday at latest
11:50 am Jeff G : I just search the ticker on Twitter and guys I know ya know kind of thing.
11:51 am Jeff G : I dont pump and advertise and tweet or anything, just buy or sell heavy
11:51 am Curtis M : heavy lol duty
11:51 am Mathew Waterfall : I know I was being scarcastic. It’s a good play for me with that low so close. Either it gets some lift or Im stopped
11:51 am Jeff G : whats your cost basis?
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : .38x
11:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Stop under that low at .35
11:52 am Jeff G : nice it looks like a 50 – 60 to me guessing where they’re in at based on chart
11:53 am Jeff G : $JDST just got buy side flow
11:53 am Mathew Waterfall : I’m playing for a gap fill but that may be optimistic
11:53 am Jeff G : Might happen
11:54 am Sartaj Hundal : Welcome to our new subscribers
11:55 am MarketMaven M : Thanks
11:55 am Mathew Waterfall : Maybe it runs back to its ATH at 140 lol wouldn’t that be grand. Impossible IMO
11:55 am OILK K : sassy
11:55 am Jeff G : 210!
11:55 am Jeff G : $DRYS $LEI etc
11:56 am Curtis M : Hey Sartaj hope all is well
11:56 am Sartaj Hundal : Are you taking a lunch break in a few, Curt?
11:56 am Mathew Waterfall : hey even better. New house money as Curt would say if that happens
11:56 am Curtis M : omg I can take 3 mins now lol
11:57 am Jeff G : Curt and his down a house up a house hahahahahaha
11:59 am Curtis M : back
12:00 pm Curtis M : $JDST flat
12:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : /ZB getting real jiggy. Bonds looking like they want to blast off
12:08 pm MarketMaven M : c that
12:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : 152’15 is the launch pad. Over that things get going in a hurry
12:12 pm Jeff G : could b a lot of chop in the waves here hopefully the fish keep it safe
12:12 pm Curtis M : lol actually…
12:12 pm Curtis M : room full of full grown I think
12:13 pm Curtis M : good crew we haven’t got the kids not sure why
12:13 pm Curtis M : guru gets em
12:13 pm Jeff G : ya i read the transcripts good job
12:13 pm Jeff G : ok so I like your lists
12:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Assuming we stay status quo for the rest of the day, no +/- 1000 TICKs all week. zzzzzz
12:15 pm MarketMaven M : abe and trump are spending weekend together 🙂
12:15 pm MarketMaven M : or at least tonight
12:16 pm Mathew Waterfall : O man so many ways I could take that hahaha
12:16 pm MarketMaven M : They are happy happy so what does each get from the deal? We need to figure that out and we will know what announcement is then nbefore.
12:16 pm MarketMaven M : haha
12:17 pm MarketMaven M : Lets spend the night together… now I need you more than ever… hehe
12:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Next thing we know there’s rumors of another video
12:17 pm MarketMaven M : Abe needs low currency for economy
12:17 pm Jeff G : tough image
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : We need Japan to keep buyign our debt. We don’t really have a ton of leverage on that front but Trump doesn’t seen to care about that
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : My guess is Trump spins it more about new jobs in the US then currency. Something like they are working together to grow jops on both sides of the pacific together
12:19 pm Jeff G : But does the dollar go up or down?
12:19 pm MarketMaven M : They have to address currency or USD flies
12:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think they don’t ay anything about it which is what makes me nervous
12:20 pm MarketMaven M : if they say nothing it flies imo
12:20 pm Curtis M : good chat
12:20 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp agreed.
12:21 pm Davd Z : I think they try and keep currency right where it is. Not sure how.
12:22 pm Mathew Waterfall : Long term USD wants to go down, IMO
12:23 pm Jeff G : $BLPH slithering to 80
12:24 pm Mathew Waterfall : $DUST large put buyers on the board
12:24 pm Jeff G : going to be fun
12:26 pm Jeff G : i thought you were nuts when you posted that SPY chart but hats off
12:26 pm Davd Z : lol
12:26 pm Davd Z : me too
12:26 pm Curtis M : thanks for the confidence lol
12:27 pm Jeff G : good call though
12:27 pm Jeff G : u play it?
12:27 pm Curtis M : no
12:27 pm Curtis M : better at models lol
12:28 pm Jeff G : truest statement today
12:28 pm Jeff G : dollar likely to rally and dive next week – but look at oil – its like they no something
12:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TGB flying today, Nich’s call out earlier in the week up yuge
12:29 pm Jeff G : i heard about nich where is he?
12:29 pm Curtis M : not sure
12:38 pm Mathew Waterfall : /zb just put in a really weird move. Don’t see that often still watching for $TLT positions but not doing much after seeing that big break
12:39 pm Curtis M : $VIX down 2.48% 10.6
12:39 pm Curtis M : $VIX LOD
12:39 pm Curtis M : $TVIX LOD
12:40 pm Mathew Waterfall : Might be time for a $TVIX weekend play
12:40 pm Curtis M : interesting times
12:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : will wiat for press conference, I assume things will go higher as usual on any kind of news
12:44 pm Curtis M : yup
12:54 pm Jeff G : testers in $AMDA see how it goes
12:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : I would add if it can get into that gap on $AMDA
12:58 pm MarketMaven M : $DXY r gr
01:00 pm Jeff G : gollar lifting
01:04 pm Mathew Waterfall : Waiting on Trump and Abe get to the mic please
01:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trump on the mic
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : trump; free, fair, recipricol trade relationship. IE stop screwing us
01:12 pm Mathew Waterfall : wow not even close on spelling there lol
01:12 pm Shafique M : haha
01:13 pm Flash G : VIX calm
01:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Abe talking about abe lincoln. ok then
01:16 pm Davd Z : Thanks Mathew I am wihout TV here
01:16 pm Davd Z : In office
01:17 pm Davd Z : Listening to sales pitches
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Abe now tlaking about highspeed trains
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol this guy really is crazy
01:17 pm Mathew Waterfall : Talking about jobs and the partnership between JPN and US. Nothing crazy
01:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : Abe also uses the word fair, or his translater does anyway. slamming state owned companies, throwing shade at china
01:19 pm Mathew Waterfall : wow, really going after China. That’s going to make them happy Im sure lol
01:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now talking terrorism directly after tlaking about US armed forces in asian pacific and mention without name of south china sea conflict
01:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : This is more like it!
01:23 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now abe saying his gold game isn’t up to Trumps standard, but his policies always aim for the cup hahaha awesome
01:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : Questions so far lame. Trump asked about the travel abn, Abe and TPP pull out.
01:29 pm Shafique M : $SINA flow
01:34 pm Ted E : $VIX internals near sleep mode
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : Finally talks currency. says he wants a level playing field
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : trump that is
01:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : again uses fair. What we’ve all been waiting for
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well got a little action but not much. Cool with me
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : Just bought a little TVIX for the weekend. Will ditch if it slips too far
01:39 pm Ted E : wow
01:42 pm Jeff G : ghost town market
01:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp, more grinding it appears
01:45 pm MarketMaven M : $DXY moving
01:54 pm Curtis M : no herds
01:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : Man, these momo plays have been THIN this week. Traders i talk to either getting chopped up or tradsing super small. tough market
01:59 pm Curtis M : $VIX 10.9
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : $TVIX not moving for me, no one buying. If and when we ever get a correction, it will be fought tooth and nail by BTFD’ers until it’s too late making it accelerate into the hole
02:01 pm Curtis M : yup
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : To be clear, I don’t think that is coming today or anything, but we have the perfect storm brewing if we ever get there
02:01 pm Curtis M : yup
02:02 pm Mathew Waterfall : But $TVIX is cheap and I like a reason to stay up at night wondering how my positions will gap so I buy some lol
02:03 pm Jeff G : funny
02:03 pm MarketMaven M : i do that
02:03 pm Mathew Waterfall : Keeps us sharp I figure. Or that’s what I tell myself
02:03 pm Curtis M : lol
02:09 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NAK first trim. +5% from original entry this morning. somehow got out at 3.22 there form 3.07
02:13 pm Curtis M : $DXY its fair:)
02:14 pm Jeff G : might get rippy curt
02:24 pm Cara R : $PLUG again
02:26 pm Mathew Waterfall : Trailer on the rest of the $NAK position. Doesn’t look like Im going to do much else today
02:26 pm MAck M : Friday too
02:28 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yepp cuper light week, Friday afteroon. Recipe for a lul but every once in a while these boring afternoons get crazy so you never know
02:28 pm Jeff G : true that
02:29 pm Jeff G : north korea maybe?
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : O man ole Kim over there is probably about ready to fly to DC to meet with Trump any minute
02:31 pm Cara R : $GEBNE
02:32 pm Curtis M : y abeat me to it
02:41 pm Cara R : I like $AMDA $DWT for weekend swing so I will enter before close.
02:42 pm Cara R : The OPEC thing is sell the news.
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : I want to see who is actually in complaince. I read it’s 69% which makes me wonder if that means 69% of the members are complying or if they are twisting overall production figures and saying they are within 69% of the goal or something
02:43 pm Curtis M : OPEC a difficult call.
02:44 pm Curtis M : You’re likely right Cara but I have to sit out
02:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m not trading it either. Want to see it break the range one way or another
03:04 pm Curtis M : thesis: Abe has his time with Trump and when Sunday night comes boom
03:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : What do you think he will signal to the market? Tell Kuroda that they need to ramp jpy as much as possible before the jig is up?
03:07 pm Curtis M : ramp to the moon
03:07 pm Curtis M : just a theory
03:07 pm Curtis M : not a great thesis
03:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Bold move on their part
03:07 pm Curtis M : theyre all nuts
03:08 pm Curtis M : server crashed lol sorry
03:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : Now that I don’t disagree with. they’re crazy the whole lot of them
03:08 pm Nick I : yup
03:09 pm Curtis M : theroies
03:09 pm Curtis M : half of ya are on one side and othe r on other side of partition now – see same screen tho… servers lol
03:09 pm Nicholas Winton : greets all 🙂
03:10 pm Curtis M : hey nich
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : I see you were talking $NAK and $GENE
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : don’t forget $TGB
03:10 pm Nicholas Winton : for copper
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : $NAK smoke show for me today
03:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : I posted $TGB and referenced you with it lol I didn’t play it but it’s up bigly
03:11 pm Nicholas Winton : yep- i mentioned it bottomed at 50c in 2008 crash
03:11 pm Nicholas Winton : and then rebounded to $7 in under 2 years
03:11 pm Nicholas Winton : as copper rose
03:13 pm Nicholas Winton : CPO.V for Canadian traders has been a beast- cobalt stock
03:13 pm Curtis M : $JNUG HOD
03:13 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’m also in $TRQ which should get some lift as well
03:14 pm Nicholas Winton : agree Mat on $TRQ! btw just got home- any news on $PLUG?
03:16 pm Curtis M : THats it
03:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : First large $GDX call sweeps seen all day. Finally big money getting back behind the move
03:38 pm Jeff G : theyre in there
03:44 pm MarketMaven M : $PTCO dunked bad
03:45 pm OILK K : Closing out week with an entry in ….
03:45 pm OILK K : $TWTR!!!
03:46 pm Curtis M : low price
03:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : Long? Goodluck
03:47 pm MarketMaven M : Make Twitter Great AGain
03:47 pm OILK K : Haha have a great weekend folks!
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : ciao guys and go TWTR
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : ha
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : Trump will save Twitter
03:48 pm MarketMaven M : exactly tremendously yuge
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : TWTR is like the enquirer with all its Trump leaks
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : lol
03:48 pm MarketMaven M : ya
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : except unlike Enquirer probably all true
03:48 pm Nicholas Winton : ha
03:49 pm MarketMaven M : plug!
03:49 pm MarketMaven M : short covering
03:51 pm MarketMaven M : whoa
03:52 pm MarketMaven M : on that note have a good one – later craters
03:52 pm Mathew Waterfall : Hope it works for ya and there’s a nice bottom to use there.
03:53 pm Mathew Waterfall : Have a good weekend all!
03:53 pm OILQ K : bye
03:53 pm Curtis M : cya guys
03:53 pm Nicholas Winton : someone pulled the plug on the shorts
03:53 pm Jeff G : I’ll say
03:54 pm Nicholas Winton : small stocks= big profits long in this bubble phase
03:54 pm Jeff G : looks like the momo top pick for monday
03:55 pm Mathew Waterfall : $nak continuation as well. Love that
03:56 pm Jeff G : $NAK a great play
03:57 pm Mathew Waterfall : $ASM also trying to close on highs
04:00 pm OILQ K : PLUG POWER!
04:00 pm OILQ K : Buy guys
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : hope you had a good week. See ya later
04:00 pm Curtis M : later peeps

Be safe out there!

Follow our lead trader on Twitter:

Article Topics: $JDST, $DUST, $ASM, $SSH, $VRX, $JUNO, $CBMX, $TRCH, $LGCY  – $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500


Monday Feb 13, 2017 EPIC the Oil Algo Oil Report (Member Edition). FX: $USOIL $WTIC – $USO $CL_F $UWT $DWT $UCO $SCO $ERX $ERY $GUSH $DRIP

Welcome to my new FX: $USOIL $WTI oil trade report. My name is EPIC the Oil Algo and I am one of six Algorithmic Charting services in development at Compound Trading.

NOTICES:

WEBINAR: Below is a 20 minute webinar video that explains how my algorithmic charting is represented on a classic trading chart:

MULTI-USERS: Institutional / commercial platform now available.

PATENT PHASE: I am now in patent application phase. Stay tuned for agreements concerning disclosure and use coming to members.

24 HOUR TRADE ROOM: My charting transitions from FX $USOIL $WTI to 24hr crude oil futures early 2017. My sub service w incl 24 hr crude oil trade room.

SOFTWARE: My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and about my oil algorithm story on our website www.compoundtrading.com and my oil algo charting posts on my Twitter feed and this blog.

HOW MY ALGORITHM WORKS: I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on win ratio merit – all not shown on chart at any given time) – such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and various other charting, geometric and mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo Political integration – only math as it relates to traditional indicators with the primary goal being probabilities. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am represented on and used on a traditional trading chart as one would normally use as a probability indicator. The goal is to provide our trader’s with an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price of crude oil (specifically FX: $USOIL $WTI and transitioning to futures in the new year in our new 24 hour oil trading room).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart (both intra-day and as a swing trader or investor). This work, and subsequent trading, should be considered one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on. Questions to; [email protected], message our lead trader on Twitter, or message a lead trader privately in the trade room.

Visit this link for more information about my oil algorithm development, this link explains how our algorithmic charting is done and this link for more information about our algorithmic stock charting models and what makes them different than most.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/.

FX: $USOIL $WTI Observations:

Below is the link for the live EPIC the Oil Algo Live Trading Chart for Monday Feb 13, 2017.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/kyY5ibr6-Epic-the-Oil-Algo-Member-Chart-USOIL-WTI-OIL/

Epic, Oil, Algo, Crude, Chart

Crude algo intra work sheet 744 AM Feb 12 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Intra-day Crude Oil Trading Range: At time of writing FX $USOIL $WTI is closed trading at 53.76 at 7:56 AM EST Feb 12, 2016. Some thoughts with respect to traditional charting that may help advance the trading edge:

At time of post oil is trading at 53.76 (closed) which is .20 cents lower than my report this time last week – sideways range bound trade. There is a diagonal trendline resistance (blue) intraday at 55.75 (trending down) that is considerable (thick line as it comes from previous time price cycles) and a diagonal trendline support below (blue) at 52.47 trending up that has been tested and has held in recent trade (price momentarily lost the line to the downside last week and recovered). Trade these widths with confidence.

There is a significant resistance (yellow) 54.33 and support (yellow) 51.93. Trade these widths with some confidence.

Between those primary support and resistance lines are horizontal support and resistance lines (purple) and Fibonacci levels (various other colors not listed – the other thin lines – I’ve marked one with a green arrow) that act as support and resistance.

Also, the Fibonacci based diagonal algo trend-lines lines (white dotted) act as intra support and resistance (very light – remember the thicker the line the more important it is). Price action will default to these when the red dotted alpha algo lines are abandoned for one reason or another (but remember the red dotted lines are alpha).

And also remember the alpha algo lines (red dotted) act as intra support and resistance.

The most important item on this chart is a diagonal trendline (blue) not shown that intra-day is at 55.75 (.20 cents lower than my report this time last week) on a downward trend (that I have mentioned in reports the past weeks) and the fact that the upcoming resistance at 54.33 area (yellow) has been a challenge for oil trade.

Because trade is getting so close to those two major resistance areas (the diagonal trendline – blue at 55.75 being the most important) be very careful until trade is above the resistance 54.33 area and the diagonal trendline (blue) at 55.93 on a downtrend. 

Also as with last week (which proved to be a wise warning), the algo targets for Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday this week are very difficult to predict – caution is warranted. Trade last week was not typical / consistent with my algorithmic model or backtesting sixty months of trade. Something, and I do not know what, is affecting the price action in crude oil.

There are targets above the important resistance area (54.33) that are in play if price action is above resistance, but if price action is below resistance there are no alpha targets in the sideways price action. 

If oil trades lower. Crude algo intra work sheet 754 AM Feb 12 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algo, Chart, $USOIL, $WTI

If oil trades lower. Crude algo intra work sheet 754 AM Feb 12 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

If oil trades higher. Crude algo intra work sheet 754 AM Feb 12 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

EPIC, Oil, Algo, $USOIL, $WTI

If oil trades higher. Crude algo intra work sheet 754 AM Feb 12 FX $USOIL $WTIC #OIL $CL_F CL $USO $UCO $SCO $UWT $DWT #OOTT

Multi Week Trading Range for Swing Trading:

Note: Be careful with the prices you see in the purple boxes on the right of the chart – they do not line up on chart for price action (they are for indicators).

Per above;

There is a diagonal trendline resistance (blue) intraday at 55.75 (trending down) that is considerable (thick line as it comes from previous time price cycles) and a diagonal trendline support below (blue) at 52.47 trending up. Trade these widths with confidence.

There is a significant resistance (yellow) 54.33 and support (yellow) 51.93. Trade these widths with some confidence.

Diagonal Trend Lines:

Diagonal trend-lines (blue). Diagonal trend-lines are critical inflection points. Please review many of my recent posts so you can learn about how important these diagonal trend-lines are. If one is breached you can look to pull-back to next diagonal blue trend line about 90% of the time. Also pay attention to how thick the lines are – the thicker the line the more important because they represent extensions from previous time / price cycles.

Remember you can come in to the chat room to message the trader and REMEMBER I have posted a live chart link earlier in this post so if you can’t see the lines well on this chart above you can go to the live chart link and watch for member live algo chart links through-out the day in your email inbox!

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Price Action with 20, 50, 100, 200 MA

It is wise to study how the 20, 50, 100, 200 MA trade on each time-frame before trading oil related instruments (see previous posts).

Fibonacci Levels:

Watch the lines for support and resistance. Careful using them as traditional retracement levels with crude because the algo lines etc are more dominant / predictable. But the Fib lines are excellent indicators for intra-day trade support and resistance.

The Fibonacci lines are marked on main chart above.

Horizontal Trend-Lines (purple):

Horizontal trend-lines are not as important as the other indicators reviewed above, however, they do serve as important resistance and support intra-day for tight trading and they are important if thick (in other words they come from previous time / price cycles). WE STARTED TO REPRESENT THE REALLY IMPORTANT LINES IN YELLOW FYI FOR EASE. Refer to chart for current applicable horizontal trend-lines.

Horizontal trendlines are marked on charts above.

Advanced Charting:

Respect support and resistance lines: If you can be patient and take your long and short positions against these yellow lines – that is your highest probability trading.

Oil Time / Price Cycles:

Watch your email and / or my Twitter feed for time price cycles they may start to terminate.

Time / price cycles are the single most important indicator and my record calling them is near 100% – since inception seven months ago. The reason they are so important is that a trader does not want to be holding a crude oil instrument at termination of a time cycle if not absolutely sure if price will go up or down. A trade may choose to enter a large position in advance of a time price cycle termination IF THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A DIRECTION IN PRICE and if the market is trading at a really important pivot area. In other words, if the market is trading at the bottom of the upward trending channel at a support (yellow lines) and we knew there was a significant probability of a time cycle about to terminate a trader may enter with a long position. The price really spikes or drops significantly when these important time cycles terminate.

The problem with time / price cycle terminations is they change from minute to minute (depending on where price is on the chart) so you have to be in the trade room to get the alert. Our lead traders will do everything they can in future to send these on SMS but we have to be careful because it can be difficult with so much going on in the room. The reason they (time cycles) change is because they are actually represented by or are geometric shapes in the chart – I know it sounds odd but I have (as I mentioned) hit these calls just shy of 100%. The oil political people know the same algorithmic modeling principles and they ALWAYS TIME THEIR BIG ANNOUNCEMENTS AROUND THE TIME PRICE CYCLE TERMINATIONS.

So if you can picture a triangle on the chart – and price is trading in the triangle – and price is going to come to the edge of the triangle and there is a significant support or resistance or an algo line terminating there too or a target (those type of indications)… then we know there is a high probability of a time and price change. In other words, it is where there are clusters of algorithm points that cross and when price is going to cross over that cluster is where they are. And these are represented on all the different time frames – the larger the time frame – the larger the time price cycle termination – the larger the spike or downdraft. This is where we establish our intra-day quadrants from for sniping trades (which we will put in to the room soon because it looks like the geo political rhetoric is over for a while making them more predictable). Difficult to explain in short. So we will do our best to SMS alert these in future.

Also, the real large or important time / price cycle terminations we know far in advance and they can be put in these newsletters.

If you review my Epic the Oil Algo Twitter feed, my blog posts and my story on our website you will get a feel for how accurate these calls are.

Alpha Algo Trading Trend-Lines (Red dotted lines):

To determine which algo line is most alpha (or probable) intra day, it is the nearest line to price action. This can also help you determine the trend of trade. If the algo line is trending up the price will follow it up until price is tested at an algorithm indicator (the main tests are diagonal trendlines, horizontal trendlines, time / price cycles etc – as I have shared with you). This is why it is important to watch all the lines because they are all support and resistance. To keep it simple trade the range (yellow lines) as I’ve mentioned but keep an eye on these indicators.

The alpha algo trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Current Alpha Algo Targets (Red circles):

Your closest target that crude is trending toward is always the most probable. Crude is currently trending toward a target (red circles on chart) Then, your second most probable is the one that is up or down trend depending on whether general price is in an upward or downtrend for the most recent week or so and what your other indicators look like (such as the MA’s I explained above).

The other way to determine which targets are in play is actually quite simple, you will notice that crude trades between the channel lines up and down and up and down and there are various support and resistance along the way. If it hits a target at the top of the channel you can bet most times (unless the next day like today) that the next target hit will be at the bottom of the channel.

Wait for the price to trend toward a target and take your position and watch as price gets closer and closer to the target. Remember, that the machines trade from decision to decision – or in other words from support to next resistance or resistance to next support or when the times come each week on Tuesday Wednesday and Friday they will trend toward the target that market price action determines they go to.

Our lead trader will explain more in the room and do not hesitate to ask our lead trader in the room by private message or on twitter to explain intra day decisions.

The diagonal trend-lines are marked on main chart above.

Current Algo Targets:

Per notes above, be very cautious of the targets this week – trade is very near very important resistance AND the price action of crude oil is not acting in its natural state. No target on the charting is considered an official call in ay way – price action is going to have to return to a normal state (as I mentioned last week Monday, this is the first time this has occurred since my inception). If trade action sorts itself out mid week I will then re-chart and send members official calls. 

Tuesday Feb 14 – No official call, refer to chart.

Wednesday Feb 15 – No official call, refer to chart.

Friday Feb 17 – No official call, refer to chart.

Oil Intra-Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Intra-day trading quadrants are available on all time – cycles and are not detailed on this charting. If you require tighter time-frames please email us and we will update charting for the time cycle you are looking for.

Indicator Methods:

As explained above, my algorithm is a consideration of up to fifty traditional indicators at any one time – each one given its own weight in accordance to its accuracy (win rate). This is how we establish the probability of specific targets hitting (we call them alpha algo targets).

Alpha Algo Targets, Algo Trend-lines, Algo Timing, Quadrants for Intra Snipes:

Algo targets are the red circles – they correspond with important times each week in oil reporting land. Tuesday 4:30 PM, Wednesday 10:30 AM and Friday at 1:00 PM. The red dotted diagonal lines are the algo trend-lines. And the vertical dotted (red or green) are marking the important times each week. You will find that the price of crude will hit one of the alpha algo targets about 90% of the time. In the absence of market direction the machines take price to the next algo line and/or target. Understanding how the price of crude reacts to the algos and how they move price from target to target is critical for intra-day and swing trading crude oil and associated instruments.

You will notice that price action of crude will use these algo trend-lines and act as support and resistance, and that price also often violently moves when an alpha algo line is breached either upward or downward.

We cover this in much more detail in the member updates, trading room. A review of my Twitter feed and previous blog posts will help you understand the relation of these indicators. We will start posting video blogs (for my subscribers) on YouTube (in addition to my daily blog posts) for swing traders that work during regular trading hours.

Also… we will cover how to establish algo trend-lines and price targets future forward (as you have seen me do on my Twitter feed for some time now).

Conclusion:

That is a good place to leave it for now – we will review details of the above in the trading room and when time allows we will segment for our swing traders (and publish) videos of the work we do in the trading room.

See you in the live trade room! And again, if you struggle to know how to use these indicators as a trader’s edge, it is recommended (if you have earnestly reviewed all of our documentation first) that you obtain private coaching prior to trading a real account with real money – we recommend you use a paper trading account at first. And finally, we will be publishing a “how to use guide” soon, but it will be simply be a recap (consolidation) of instructions in this post, from my Twitter feed, and previously published information on our blog and website. You can also send specific questions to our email inbox at [email protected] – if you do this be sure to ask a specific question so it can be answered specifically. When the 24 hour oil trading room opens you will have ample opportunity in that 24 hour room to ask questions also.

Watch my EPIC the Oil Algo Twitter feed for intra day notices and your email in box for member only material intra day also.

EPIC the Oil Algo

PS If you are not yet reviewing the daily post market trading results blog posts, please do so, they are on the blog daily and often there is information that also may assist your trading. Trade room transcripts (for example) may review topics pertinent to your trading.

Article topics: EPIC, Oil, Algo, Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT, $ERX, $ERY, $GUSH, $DRIP, Chart, Algorithm, Indicators, Fibonacci


Stock Trading Plan for Friday Feb 10, 2017 in Trading Chat room. $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC – $JDST, $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO – Gold $GLD, Gold Miners $GDX, Silver $SLV, Oil $USOIL $WTI, Natural Gas, US Dollar Index $USD/JPY $DXY, S&P 500 $SPY, Volatility $VIX… more.

Welcome to the morning Wall Street trading day session!

Notices:

Details You May Want to Review in Post Market Trading Report:

Public Webinar Schedule:

Webinars are scheduled for this Saturday afternoon. For general public interested in understanding our services and algorithmic chart modeling. Also for existing members that wish to ask more detailed questions about the charting and trading our algorithmic charts.

Date: Saturday Feb 11, 2107

Location: Visit our website www.compoundtrading.com and click link to enter trading room and sign in as guest.

2:00 Epic the Oil Algorithm

2:30 Rosie the Gold Algorithm

3:00 SuperNova Silver Algorithm

3:30 US Dollar $DXY Algorithm

4:00 S&P and VIX (in development) models.

4:30 Swing Trading – What our service includes and success to date.

5:00 Trading Room – Introduction to our Trading Room

Do Not Miss This Update!

It’s a good idea to refresh your chart outlook and keep it simple sometimes!

Current Holds / Trading Plan:

$JDST, $VRX, $ASM, $SSH, $LGCY, $TRCH, $ESEA, $CBMX, $JUNO (all very small), $DUST (looking for a way out on $DUST – was expecting one final significant spike in USDJPY before drop). $CBMX and $JUNO are holds till spring if necessary (you would have to do your own DD on the companies and make your own determination).

Oil, Gold and the VIX are high on my watch list. 

General Market Outlook:

US Dollar Index $DXY got a kick up as expected but Trump and Abe have an announcement today at 1:00. The Gold trade is holding up well considering IMO. Oil chart has repaired itself magically and it is near important resistance – with OPEC meetings I would use caution. $SPY got a kick up as expected and targets are being hit there now by our $SPY algorithm chart modeling. $VIX is dead as expected but I am watching. And Silver I see similar to Gold but a tad stronger mid term. 

Morning Momo / News and Social Bits:

Momo Watch:  $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC – Gold, the US Dollar and Oil related on high watch!

Big Week. #Earnings $NVDA $TWTR $GILD $DIS $TWLO $GM $ATVI $CLF $BP $CVS $ONVO $TSN $NWL $SKX $HAS $KO $WLTW $AGN $SYY $AXTA

8:30
Import/ Export Prices

10am
Consumer Sentiment

1pm
BH Rig Count

$FLR +3.3% premarket after issuing upbeat Q4 earnings guidance

Freeport +4% as Indonesia reportedly issues new mining permit $FCX.

Jefferies pulls Underperform rating on Ford http://seekingalpha.com/news/3242501-jefferies-pulls-underperform-rating-ford?source=feed_f … #premarket $F

Jack in the Box shares up 1.8% in Friday premarket trading

Evergreen? Sears shares soar premarket amid restructuring aimed to save $1 bln.

CNNMoney: Premarket:
– Trump speaks with Asia
– Stocks at record highs
– Oil prices pop http://cnnmon.ie/2kaxIWI

$ICPT down 12% premarket as investors await imminent trial update on NASH

$ATVI +10.62% An awesome move premarket after their ER however keep in mind much resistance at its all time high of $45.55.

#Twitter downgraded from hold to sell at Loop Capital.
Price target cut from $16 to $10.
$TWTR -2.13% at 16.06 premarket

$SHLD going insane on upside in premarket.

Fluor guides Q4 earnings above consensus, shares +3.3% premarket

OPEC Oil Supply Fell in January Led by Saudi, Iraq, U.A.E.: IEA

Oil Jumps as IEA Sees Record OPEC Cuts Compliance, Rising Demand

#opec beats #oil output cut expectations

If you are new to our trading service you should review recent blog posts, our YouTube Channel and at minimum our algorithm Twitter feeds because they do tell a story in terms of the market and how the inflections of the market determine our day to day trading. You will notice the algorithmic modelling has been undeniably accurate with many time-frames (intra-day, weeks and months out) so I myself have learned to respect their math (they have taken me from a 60% hit rate to 80% in my trading – all publicly posted live trades).

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here:$WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index). . Our lead trader Twitter feed is here @curtmelonopoly, lead developer @hundalSHS, and newest trader @quadzilla_jr.

Momentum Stocks (Market Open and Intra-Day):

I do trade morning momo stocks, but I do avoid risk – so often I avoid the first 30 minutes (gap and go) and trade momentum stocks later in the day after the wash-out looking for a snap-back. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter and Stocktwits if I have time).

Some of my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Momentum Stock Wash-Outs for Snap Back, (2) Bad News Wash-outs on Stocks with High Institutional Ownership, (3) Getting on the Right Side of a Trend Change and scaling in my position and (4) Our Algorithm Set-Ups.

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Morning Stock Watch-Lists for my Favorite Set-Ups:

(1) Pre-Market Gainers Watch-List: Gainers: $SHLD 40%, $INFN 14%, $BIOC 14% $ATVI $BIOL $SKX $SWIR $IMMU $ICPT $DGAZ $WRN $OCUL $SDRL $PLX $MJN $FCX $MT $NVDA

I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(2) Pre-market Decliners Watch-List: $SHLD $CTRL $INFN $SWIR and $ATVI I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(3) Other Watch-List:

(4) Regular Algo Charting Watch-List: Gold $GC_F $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV $SI_F ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI, $USO, $UCO, $CL_F, $UWT, $DWT), Natural Gas $NG_F ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY $ES_F ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

(5) Upgrades:   as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

(6) Downgrades: as time allows I will update before market open or refer to chat room notices.

Stay tuned in Stock Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch.

Study:

For new readers, a review of our unlocked posts on our blog would help you get in to the story we are following with the securities listed in this newsletter.

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open gap and go type plays (you need a good momentum scanner, level 2, and best to have hot-keys for the first 30 mins of gap and go trading)… but are very useful for intra day scalping and swing trading (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.gurufocus.com/short-stocks.php

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

http://www.etf.com/channels/gold-etfs

GL!

Curtis

Article Topics: $SHLD, $INFN, $BIOC –  $VRX, $SSH, $ASM, $CBMX, $JUNO, $DUST, $TRCH, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist, Chatroom, $GLD, $GOLD, $SILVER, $USD/JPY, $USOIL, $WTI, $VIX, $SPY, $NATGASUSD, $NG_F, $SLV, $GLD, $DXY, $XAUUSD, $GC_F