18
Jan 2017

Two-Week Stock Trading Challenge: Day 3 Chart Review, $BIOC $URRE $TVIX $FFHL $TCCO

Trading Challenge , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Welcome to the third day’s review of our two-week trading challenge, where our lead trader’s aim is to double his large account. Our lead trader’s record for January 11 was 2 wins, 2 losses, and 2 holds.

The first loss of the day was during a morning momentum play. Entry was a bit too late, going long at 3.16, 1000 shares on $BIOC (9:36 AM). Exit was four minutes later, at 2.95 for 1000 shares.

The first win of the day came from $URRE in the morning, going long for 1000 shares at 3.13 (9:56 AM), and adding another block at 10:19 AM at 3.05, 1000 more shares. This position was held for 22 minutes, and all 2000 shares were sold for 3.33 at 10:41 AM.

There was another set of block adds, the first at 10:57 AM for 3000 shares at 3.86, and then another 6000 for 3.38 at 12:10 PM. This set of 9000 shares entered an overnight hold position, given by the light blue arrow in the image below.

The second loss of the day was a volatility play in $TVIX. The lead trader entered in after lunch for 1000 shares at 7.07 (1:17 PM) and was out at 2:12 PM at 6.89.

The second win of today was a hold for 7000 shares in $FFH, where blocks of 1000 shares each were scaled in between 2:52 PM and 2:54 PM, with a final add for 5000 shares at 2:54 PM. By 3:10 PM, our lead trader scaled out the entire set of 7000 shares for 4.10.

There last overnight hold for today came right before end-of-day, with 1000 shares scaled in between 3:38 PM and 3:54 PM on $TCCO.

General market sentiment for January 11 was not as promising as the previous day, where many of our lead trader’s profits came from a series of intraday scalps. As such, no video recap was captured.

18
Jan 2017
$VIX, Chart

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Wed Jan 18 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Wednesday Jan 18, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Member Trade Charting Report Wed Jan 18 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Wednesday Jan 18, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

$VIX is trading within lower range still so this is just a quick chart update with Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intra-day! As soon as we get movement we will provide members with algorithmic modeling charts for targets in the move.

$VIX Trading Observations:

$VIX Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/77vGVfie-VIX-Fibonacci-levels-our-traders-are-watching-intraday-Jan-18/

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Fibonacci levels our traders are watching intraday Jan 18

 

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

18
Jan 2017
$REXX, Daytrading, ChatRoom, Results, Stocks

Post-Market Tues Jan 17 $PULM, $REXX, $BCEI, $TVIX

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Tuesday Jan 17, 2017

Post-Market Tues Jan 17 $PULM, $REXX, $BCEI, $TVIX

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades, Algorithm Charting Calls and Alerts for Tuesday Jan 17, 2017 $PULM, $REXX, $BCEI, $TVIX, – $SPY, $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, $USDJPY, $DXY, $USOIL, $WTIC, $VIX, $NG_F…

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat deleted). Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade archive.

In addition to chat, this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

EVERY CALL WE MAKE, EVERY PUBLIC INTERACTION, REPRESENTATION OF TRADE (ON EVERY VENUE) IS VIDEO RECORDED (TRADING ROOM), ON SOCIAL MEDIA OR ON BLOG / WEBSITE TIME-STAMPED FOR PERMANENT RECORD AND ABSOLUTE TRANSPARENCY. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO OUR PUBLIC DISCLOSURE https://compoundtrading.com/disclosure-disclaimer/ .

Notices:

Official Launch: Six days down and on to day seven on Wednesday! Last Monday was our official launch! If you want to watch a thirty year trading veteran in action with a 2 week challenge – to double his trading account in two weeks, come on in and take a look at how its done.

SMS / Email Alerts: Our system was upgraded so all members will now start receiving them for each trade (morning momo trades may not have time to process alerts outside room fyi).

New Service Option: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option (vs. bundle w/ trading room, premarket newsletter and alerts) at 59.00 /mth and w/ promo code is 1.22 per day.

New Service Option: EPIC the Oil Algo now has an Oil Report only option (vs. bundle w/ 24 hr trading room launching early 2017) at 199.00 and w/promo code works out to just over 4.00 day.

New Service Option: Entry-Level trader one-on-one trade coaching and entry-level trade academy options now available in addition to intermediate / advanced trading academy and coaching.

Feature Post: There is a feature blog post at this link, “Why our Stock Algorithms are Different than Most“. If you are using our algorithms or charting it is a must read.

Overview Perspective & Review of Chat Room, Algo Calls, Trades and Alerts:

$REXX, Daytrading, ChatRoom, Results, Stocks

$REXX Stock Trading Results Daytrading in Chat Room

$PULM, $REXX, $BCEI, $TVIX – I traded that group of four today and had a red day (first one in many days so it had to happen eventually). Small red day however, likely around 600.00 or so in red so that’s a win imo.

Market had a down day and I should know to be more careful in a red market day, however, I do like to stay in the chop on a small scale to keep me in the heartbeat – so small losses on days like today and large wins on green days I can live with.

I really have no excuse in missing the Gold trade lately considering our algo nailed the bottom and turn to the penny many weeks in advance – but I am waiting for inauguration. I’m looking for the meat of a major move in our algo stocks – the momo stocks and intra-day trading is simply sniping to stay in heatbeat and make some green at same time.

I should also note I’m very pumped about our swing trades this year – been hitting those calls like crazy and good to be back in to longer holds after two years sitting out.

Momentum / Noteable Stocks Today:

Ticker Last Change Volume Signal
BNTC 3.00 62.16% 8855841 Top Gainers
BCEI 3.00 50.75% 18224034 Top Gainers
FWP 27.20 48.23% 1742822 Top Gainers
CWEI 145.25 39.69% 4601037 Top Gainers
OASM 3.70 28.23% 80593 Top Gainers
CIDM 1.53 20.47% 1794083 Top Gainers
EDMC 0.02 137.50% 774993 New High
SN 13.20 17.44% 19241101 New High
CWEI 145.25 39.69% 4601037 New High
FWP 27.20 48.23% 1742822 New High
BNTC 3.00 62.16% 8855841 Overbought
WOOF 90.98 -0.30% 4044311 Overbought
BNTC 3.00 62.16% 8855841 Unusual Volume
PULM 1.55 127.97% 17411877 Unusual Volume
FWP 27.20 48.23% 1742822 Unusual Volume
FCAN 24.33 -0.15% 221509 Unusual Volume
VNET 7.16 -2.05% 823213 Upgrades
AEPI 119.00 -0.08% 128737 Earnings Before
ED 74.60 1.36% 1601855 Insider Buying

Holding:

$DUST, $CBMX, $JUNO

Looking Forward:

Its all about the market’s reaction to Trump inauguration – I’m getting ready for all scenarios.

Winning. Double account in two weeks.

The algorithm Twitter feeds can be found here: $WTI (@EPICtheAlgo), $VIX (@VexatiousVIX), $SPY (@FREEDOMtheAlgo), $GLD (@ROSIEtheAlgo), $SLV (@SuperNovaAlgo), $DXY (@DXYUSD_Index).

Announcements in Trading Room:

08:51 am Curtis M : Goldcorp +3.3%25 on 2016 production results, optimistic five-year guidance http://seekingalpha.com/news/3235428-goldcorp-plus-3_3-percent-2016-production-results-optimistic-five-year-guidance?source=feed_f …

11:08 am Curtis M : Early lunch – back at 11:30 EST to review oil gold etc and get ready for aft session

Stock Chat-room Trading Transcript:

Miscellaneous chatter may be removed.

09:15 am Mathew Waterfall : Unloading a bit of $JNUG before the open here. I don;t think this move is over, just want some profites here. $USLV also exploded which is nice
09:17 am Mathew Waterfall : I wouldn;t be surprsied to see a usd/jpy ramp attempt sometime today thus the caution on my end. Will keep things light overall this week heading in to friday
09:20 am Surinder S : NRG Energy +6.7% as Elliott Associates discloses large stake
09:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Going to add some $SPXS with stop at ATHS on the $SPY/SPX. Downside looks juicy if we can get going
09:25 am Deni E : Gainers: $CLSN 71%, $FWP 62%, $BCEI 36%, $CWEI 33%, $BVXV 23%, $GEVO $JNUG $XGTI $NAK $NUGT $BLRX $OPXA $RNVA $XBIT $NRG
09:32 am Mathew Waterfall : thanks Deni!
09:32 am Deni E : $bvxv halt
09:35 am David Z : $REXX looks good
09:37 am Mathew Waterfall : Stopped on $SN short BTW for a few pennies. No harm no foul on that poor attempt
09:37 am Mathew Waterfall : $TLT looking strong!
09:38 am David Z : $XLP strong too
09:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Playing against that low on $GDX looks like a nice r/r set up for a run back to highs
09:46 am Mathew Waterfall : Still expect a ramp in usd/jpy
09:46 am John S : Should short $BNTC
09:50 am Curtis M : Long $BCEI 301 1000 share
10:01 am Cam R : Smoked $BNTC short kapow
10:01 am Mathew Waterfall : Everything is just looking rangebound here early. Chop city if you didn’t catch the gappers
10:02 am adam c : L $GNC small starter bottom play
10:02 am Mathew Waterfall : Also got out a chunk of $USLV for about a buck a share profit. Will ighten up and look for some pull
10:14 am adam c : $THLD strong
10:14 am Surinder S : PULM FDA approval
10:20 am Kipp W : $PULM halted
10:20 am Cara R : $PULM missed short
10:22 am Curtis M : L $BCEI 282 3000
10:24 am John S : $REXX HOD
10:25 am John S : Out of $SN swing for a win
10:26 am Jordon H : Mary Jane stocks got positive momo
10:26 am Steve U : funny
10:27 am OILQ K : I hold a bunch
10:29 am Cam R : $AMS HOD one i am watching but didn’t trigger
10:30 am Carol B : $ETRM dying
10:36 am Curtis M : All momos getting wacked
10:41 am Cam R : $REXX still good
10:41 am Darnel P : Thanks Mathew
10:42 am Curtis M : Thanks for the update
10:42 am Mathew Waterfall : Wish there was more to update lol
10:46 am Cam R : $GLBS halt
10:52 am Mathew Waterfall : Break and scan time. Back in a bit
10:52 am Curtis M : k
10:56 am Curtis M : Stop set BCEI 2.75 4000
10:58 am John S : $REFR doing well too
11:23 am Mathew Waterfall : Still not a whole lot catchign my eye out here. Not pushing this week. Trying to practice patience for once
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Of note, $HYG large put buyer. Weakness in $HYG would lead me to a more bearish thesis
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Picking up a few shares of $NG down here. Going with a few select miner names as swings as I don’t like holding the levereaged ETN’s long term
11:34 am Mathew Waterfall : Currently just have AUY and $NG on the gold side
11:46 am Mathew Waterfall : If the dollar keeps heading south next support I have is 99.119
12:00 pm David Z : sleepy
12:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : No direction. $TICKs can’t even break 500 either way. Everything seems to be working itself into a tighter range
12:18 pm Mathew Waterfall : $SLW vwap and fib confluence here at 20.7. Like it for a swing against the lows or rising 9 day possibly if longer leash needed
12:21 pm Mathew Waterfall : Casinos also looking nice today. Missed that move. Friday WYNN 95’s look nice here
12:29 pm Mathew Waterfall : $JKS beast mode
12:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : $GPRo jan20 10 puts being sold it looks like. Some confidence in that move
12:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : $OPXA also back on watch. Coming in to my buy range here. Had quite the trip last week
01:55 pm Curtis M : in $REXX 77 3000
01:55 pm Curtis M : 3000 .77 sorry
01:55 pm Curtis M : lol 3000 76 sorry
01:56 pm Curtis M : add 3000 79
01:57 pm Curtis M : add 3000 80
02:00 pm Curtis M : add 3000 81
02:01 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nice grab on that entry. Thought it was just going to keep going sideways
02:01 pm Curtis M : it might lol
02:05 pm Curtis M : had a nap at my desk bahahha
02:05 pm Steve U : omg me too curt
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : I’ve been looking really hard at charts trying to use my jedi mind tricks to get them to move
02:06 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looks like I still don’t have the force
02:06 pm Curtis M : lol
02:12 pm Curtis M : $MRNS
02:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : $MRNS reject at premarket high it looks like
02:14 pm Curtis M : maasive vol at 2:07
02:15 pm Mathew Waterfall : Yea someone wants it
02:16 pm Curtis M : i bailed .83 small gain
02:17 pm Curtis M : .8250 correction
02:31 pm Mathew Waterfall : $YANG starter for more weakness
02:33 pm Mathew Waterfall : Also thinking about $TZA maybe some calls here
02:37 pm Curtis M : long tvix
02:41 pm Curtis M : drop u bastrd
02:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : Ticks trying to get back closer to 0. Will need some movement south for antoehr slam down
02:41 pm Mathew Waterfall : there we go
02:42 pm Curtis M : $$IBB VWAP Wacked
02:42 pm Mathew Waterfall : Nope /es getting bought down here so far it looks like
02:43 pm Mathew Waterfall : $IBB looks like such a mess to me
02:43 pm Curtis M : i had to cut flat
02:44 pm Mathew Waterfall : Short the pop. Made a new RTH low there but still didn’t get to the ON low
02:45 pm Mathew Waterfall : Meanwhile /TF aka $IWM futures looks like death
02:58 pm Curtis M : Long $PULM 1.78
03:02 pm Curtis M : In $PULM small – wll let it come off and hit it hard as t gets close to VWAP if that happens – just getting ready for tomorrow with it really
03:05 pm Curtis M : HIt $PULM again for 3x 1.78 in for 4000
03:06 pm Curtis M : small orders but bored
03:07 pm Steve U : Dont trade bored
03:07 pm Steve U : hahaha
03:07 pm Mathew Waterfall : Seriously, today feels like the Friday before christmas or something
03:08 pm Mathew Waterfall : lol that’s my feelings as well Steve but if it works it works $PLUM does look like a nice set up
03:10 pm Curtis M : ya not good to trade bored but small and tight keeps my mind active
03:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : If anyone traded my advice of shorting that bounce good job. Looks like it worked. I’m out here end of day ramp likely
03:11 pm Curtis M : i just about did lol
03:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : I took your play and went with $TVIX so thank you lol
03:11 pm Mathew Waterfall : Not a huge play but with this tight range gotta play the set ups
03:13 pm Curtis M : $PULM interesting action today
03:14 pm Mathew Waterfall : Looks to me like a lot of shorts from the last few months got squeezed to be met with longs who have been holding sense it was in the 2-3 range using this as a chance to get out
03:18 pm Curtis M : Im buying heavy in here
03:18 pm Curtis M : risky
03:29 pm Curtis M : $PULM may have to test VWAP
03:31 pm Kipp W : today not my day but i took that
03:34 pm Shae R : 10 – 4 mat
03:34 pm Curtis M : can i get a pop?
03:35 pm Curtis M : likely not
03:35 pm Mathew Waterfall : Volume is nowhere to be seen right now at least on my screens. Lot of people like me sitting on their hands.
03:36 pm Curtis M : hate when im reved to go and market isnt lol
03:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : I think the play for the rest of the week is hammer the open and look for vol plays throughout the day
03:36 pm Curtis M : yup
03:36 pm Mathew Waterfall : This mrket is such as tease like that lol
03:41 pm Curtis M : tease
03:42 pm Shafique M : 🙂
03:42 pm Bobby J : Edit!
03:43 pm Curtis M : might go yet
03:44 pm Curtis M : ugh i cut
03:44 pm Curtis M : 800 haircut
03:44 pm Curtis M : likely 500 or so haircut on day
03:45 pm Curtis M : VWAP
03:46 pm Mathew Waterfall : PULM is on watch for tomorrow for me. ON hold on these is dicey
03:46 pm Curtis M : yup
03:46 pm Curtis M : first red day in a whle but i can feel some grand slams coming this week and next
03:47 pm Curtis M : whoa
03:49 pm Mathew Waterfall : Well good cut on that if nothing else lol
03:50 pm Curtis M : fark haha
03:51 pm Curtis M : u know… i get like this when i know volatilty on horizon and get really aggressive then hibernate – like Brexit last Jan and last fall and in between small plays – just my nature
03:51 pm Darnel P : Yes – I have been following that pattern thats why I am here:)
03:52 pm OILQ K : Me also. So lets hope it comes this week.
03:53 pm Greg L : Bexit was funny Curtis – you were buying like a mad man I remember that right at bottom. I pay attention.
03:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : I find these periods of lower volatility are good practice. It almost seems like things move slower. Easier to read the tape and react almost like half speed. Will get you ready for when things are swinging like crazy
03:54 pm Greg L : btwn u and Mat and we have some good traders in here it should be great if we get it.
03:54 pm Greg L : I agree
03:58 pm Mathew Waterfall : It will come. One thing for sure with Trump in office we will have plenty of opportunity to harness vol
03:59 pm Curtis M : yup its coming
04:00 pm Mathew Waterfall : That’s it for me. Hope you guys had a good session and got the mind sharp after the long weekend.
04:05 pm Curtis M : night all
04:05 pm Cara R : catcha

Article Topics: $PULM, $REXX, $BCEI, $TVIX, $UGAZ, $DGAZ, $NUGT, $DUST, $USLV, $DSLV, $UWT, $DWT, $JNUG, $JDST, Compound Trading, Trading Lessons, Results, Wall Street, Stocks, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Chat Room, Trading Results, $GLD, $GDX, $USOIL, $WTIC, $USD/JPY, $SPY, $DXY, $VIX, $GC_F, $USO, $UCO, $SCO, $CL_F, S&P 500

10
Jan 2017
$VIX, Chart

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Tuesday Jan 10 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Tuesday Jan 10 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Tuesday Jan 10, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive.

Is should also note, that specific to the $VIX, this algorithmic modeling work is much different than an indices, a commodity or a currency – each come with their own challenges, but specific to volatility the challenges in modeling predictability are exceptional.

$VIX Trading Observations:

So yesterday we did see some lift in the $VIX and then it came off some. We do expect a volatility increase as we near Jan 20. As it rises we will post levels for intraday trading our traders will be using. Other than that, there are no new indicators to report intraday.

$VIX Chart

$VIX Chart

$VIX, Chart

$VIX Chart 510 AM Jan 10 2017

Per yesterday;

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Per previous;

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

09
Jan 2017
$VIX

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Monday Jan 9 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations Good morning! My name is

Volatility $VIX Trade Report Monday Jan 9 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Vexatious $VIX , , , , , , , , , Vexatious Vix

Volatility $VIX Trade Update Monday Jan 9, 2017 $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV Charting / Algorithm Observations

Good morning! My name is Vexatious $VIX the Algo. Welcome to my new $VIX trade report.

Notices:

Algorithmic Charting: Below you will find the first in a series of charting posts to come over 2017. Each post will bring more and more detailed indicators.

New Service Options: We now also offer a stand-alone trading room option now vs. bundle (incl. trading room, premarket newsletter, alerts). Plans from $1.22 per day w/ promo code.

How My Algorithm Works and Availability:

I am an algorithm in development. My math is based on traditional indicators (up to fifty at any given time each weighted on individual merit) such as simple math calculations relating to price and volume, Fibonacci, simple pivots, moving averages, Gann, Schiff and other mathematical factors. I do not yet have AI or Geo integration – only math. I am not a high frequency or bot type algorithm – I am to be used (represented on a chart) as a probability indicator to give our trader’s an edge when triggering entries and exits on trades with instruments that rely on the price movements of the volatility index (more specifically $VIX).

Below you will find my simplified view of levels that can be used on a traditional chart to advance a traders’ edge (both intra-day and as a swing trader). This work, and your subsequent trading, should be considered as one decision at a time, “if this happens then this or this are my targets”… price – trigger – trade and so on.

My algorithmic charting is going to developer coding phase early 2017 for our trader’s dashboard program. Please review my algorithm development process and a recent post by my developer that explains more about “Why Our Algorithms are Different than Most”.

I Am In Very Early Stage Development

My algorithm is the sixth in the line of six that my developers are working with – which means I am in the very early stages. So you will find my charting below to be very simple (relative to say the first algo developed EPIC the Oil algo). So if you find that my initial charting does not assist you with an edge in your trading please let the office know by emal [email protected] within 30 days of signing up so they can refund you. If you do chose that option, you can always check back as 2017 progresses when my algorithm processes / indicators for your trading edge will be very extensive (late Jan ish).

$VIX Trading Observations:

Live Chart Link: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/NagLpI9Y-Vexatious-VIX-Volatility-Algo-Algorithmic-Modeling-Jan-09-134-A/

Volatility is like no other algorithmic modeling we are working with (to date). The modeling as described above is in very, very early stages. Nonetheless, here are some considerations;

First, it seems volatility (based on probability calculations) is due for an increase – see red line on chart below for the most probable scenario short term.

Until volatility starts to rise this is the best we can do – provide the most probable scenario.

However, as soon as it starts to rise we can then provide historical averages / probabilities and indicators to move with the price action and trade in and out of volatility price action.

If you are shorting volatility, the trend-line in yellow has proven to be effective of the last number of months, however, we would caution relying on it.

So the bottom line with the $VIX as it is intra-day – our traders are waiting for the indicators to turn positive at which time we will be issuing posts relating to intra-day trading ranges – until then we wait.

$VIX, Chart

Vexatious $VIX Volatility Algo Algorithmic Modeling Jan 09 134 AM $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

Other considerations:

Demark exhaustion

$VIX Tom Demark exhaustion is at its 13th most in last 10 years. Average upside return at these levels is 97% within average thirty-five days on last twelve occasions.

An Average Year for $SPX and $VIX

$VIX

As of close Friday

$VIX 11.28 #Contango 13.62 %
$XIV gains 0.80% daily from contango
$VXX holds 35% VX1 and 65% VX2 futures
6 trading days to expiration

UVXY Reverse Split Ahead: How To Position When Volatility Spikes

http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/etfs/uvxy-reverse-split-ahead-how-to-position-when-volatility-spikes?post=118064

Alpha Algo Trading Lines:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Alpha Algo Trading Targets:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Intra Day Algo Trading Quadrants:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Time / Price Cycle Change Forecast:

Over the coming days we will establish these based on indicators intra-day price action.

Conclusion:

Our indicators all point toward an increase in volatility very soon – days and weeks at most, at which time we will publish intra-day trading ranges for our members

Good luck with your trades and look forward to seeing you in the room!

Vexatious the $VIX Algo

 

Article Topics: Vexatious $VIX Algo, Volatility, Stocks, Wallstreet, Trading, Chatroom, Algorithms, $TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV

11
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Nov 11 ($USOIL $WTI Oil, $DXY Dollar, $VIX, $GLD Gold, $NATGAS … more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Friday November 11, 2016.

Welcome to the Friday trading session!

I am not going to repost our standard line-up of the US Dollar, Gold, Miners, Silver, Copper, Natural Gas, Oil, S & P 500 and Volatility because my position is the same as yesterday (refer to pre-market stock watchlist Thursday).

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra-Day)

I do trade morning momo stocks at times, but I do avoid risk. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Stock Watch-Lists

Regular Watch-List: Gold $GLD, Miners $GDX ($NUGT, $DUST, $JDST, $JNUG), Silver $SLV ($USLV, $DSLV), Crude Oil FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), S & P 500 $SPY ($SPXL, $SPXS), US Dollar Index $DXY ($UUP, ), Volatility $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV)

Misc. Watch-list: $UGAZ (Chart), $C (Bank), $MNST (Bottom Play), $DRYS (Shipper), $THC (Bottom Play), $TPL (Trump Play), $JJC (Continued Copper Break-Out?), $AUMN (Favorite Penny play w / Gold and Silver break-out).

Pre-Market Gainers Watch-list: $PTCT $NVDA $MACK $JJC $RGSE $CWH $MACK $OMER $YANG $EDZ $BT $DGAZ $AMD $TVIX $DWTI $SRPT $UVXY $JNUG

Stay tuned in Chat Room for more pre-market stocks on watch. 

Study

Free scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

http://www.3xetf.com/all/

Algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading starts Monday!

GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre-Market, Trading Plan, Wall Street, Stocks, Day-trading, Watchlist

10
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Nov 10 ($USOIL $WTI Oil, $DXY Dollar, $VIX, $GLD Gold, $NATGAS … more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Thursday November 10, 2016.

Election is Over!

Sorry, no premarket yesterday – but we did bank in the room and the alerts have been dead on.

Futures were strong as were/are world markets.

A few big things today… obvious lift in $SPY (and we’re banking on $XIV), my $THC swing I may exit soon, $HTZ should of held (it was a decent call), BASE METALS as I’ve posted on my feed will be strong mid term with infrastructure spending (Trump) and coal will be strong mid term likely.Copper is flying and shippers may take off here. Oh, and Natural Gas looks like it’s getting close to a buy zone. And as alerted tech and bio. Also, I missed the $NIKKEI snapback trade (which I wanted to catch just forgot – and yup it snapped back)

Many sectors are getting lift as we expected so it is important to stay in the zone – focus – nimble. Oil should be the story soon being it is bouncing under ceiling resistance on 200 on the 1 hr and bouncing up off 50 on the 1 hr.

 

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk FYI. Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $TRP, $THC, $TPL, $WFT, $JJC #Copper, $AUMN, and more in chat b4 open.

If #Silver gets up over resistance and #Gold gets flight $AUMN can double fast.

$THX is up 6% or so in pre-market – so this swing is doing ok so far – I may exit this morning though.

$WFT I am watching for follow-thru.

Regular Watchlist: $GLD, $GDX, $SLV, FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), $SPY, $DXY, $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV), more to come in trading room before market open.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX)

Well I nailed that call… what can I say. We’re going to new highs. Next eight calendar days are critical. Stay awake.

Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

From Tuesday….

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatilty. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win every-time here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

So the $VIX is right at that diagonal trendline support – but you have to be careful putting too much consideration in to diagonal supports to beging with – but even moreso with the $VIX (it isn’t like a diagonal trendline with most equities).
$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

I missed the move in the Peso… had it lined up but you can’t get every play… WE SHOULD WATCH IT THOUGH for a bit of a snapback next week perhaps.

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

The actual charting with the $DXY US Dollar isn’t broken at all… if you chekc my Twitter feed long before it got lift here I was telling folks what the algorithmic symmetry was saying… but many didn’t listen. This was an easy set-up IMO.

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Get your charting up and watch this close for a break-out. They have meetings coming up too.

Watch your 200 day on the 1 hour for resistance and 50 day on the 1 hour for support (and more recently this morning off the 100 for support) – either breach and that’s a tell. If I miss it in the room send me a DM on twitter or an email to [email protected]. Also watch the blue diagonal trendlines on the chart for resistance and support. And the purple horizontal supports and resistance. If crude gets above the 200 Day on the 1 hour and above the blue trendline above it and the purple resistance in that same area then it’s in break-out mode. DONT MISS IT AND DONT LET ME MISS IT LOL.

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Obviously all base metals will be bullish, however, $GOLD is running in to some chart resistance that is wise to consider.

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV

Pay attention to that 17.92 resistance – if #Silver can get up and over that on back-test it could fly. This would be my preferred play in the metals category. Also watch $AUMN if #SILVER gets up over 17.92. LETS NOT MISS THAT ONE EITHER.

Copper $JJC

Copper should cool soon here IMO and get some downdraft and then run again IMO.
Natural Gas – $NATGASUSD, $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Per previous…

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

#NaturalGas IMO is almost at a floor, watch close!!! LETS CATCH THE TRAIN HERE TOO!

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compound predictability starts Monday (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute market open super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups – study scan study scan study scan).

http://finviz.com/

https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

http://www.highshortinterest.com/

GL GL!

Curtis

 

Topics: Stockmarket, Pre Market, Trading Plan, Wallstreet, Stocks, Daytrading

08
Nov 2016

Pre-Market Newsletter Nov 8, 2016 ($USOIL $WTI Oil, $DXY US Dollar, $VIX, $GLD Gold … more.)

Trading Plan , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

My Stock Trading Plan for Tuesday November 8, 2016.

Election Day!

Two big things today… it is election day… but more importantly (for my trading at least)… EPIC the Oil Algo has locked in his math on time / price cycles and that means BIG TRADING coming there very soon (it’s exciting for me anyway – it means bank on top of bank cometh).

Premarket reports will not be detailed until after election.

As with recent… I’m sitting tight and trading scalps until after election – yesterday portfolio +3.5% increase and Friday +6.3% so that’s just fine for now.

Post election we will start on algorithmic trading main targets and trendlines and work with traditional indicators that I use for my trades with goal to compound accounts 10k to 1MM in 26 mos (however, as in last nights post market report, I may kick that up a notch to a 6 month curve – stay tuned).

So for now so detailed pre-market trade plan – after election however very detailed trading plans for each algorithm we have in development. Also, refer to pre and post market reports for last week or so if you wish to view my bias with any specific sector etc.

Momentum Stocks (Market open and Intra)

I explained my position on morning momo stocks in detail in yesterday’s premarket if you’re interested (bottom line they carry risk so I do trade them at times, but I avoid risk).

Just prior to open and shortly after open I post momentum stocks to the trade chat room (and Twitter if I have time).

The momentum stocks (from previous days and morning trade) I continue to watch through the day for indicators that allow a trade.

Pre Market Watchlist: $VIX ($TVIX, $UVXY, $XIV) FX: $USOIL $WTI ($UWTI, $DWTI), Natural Gas ($UGAZ, $DGAZ), more to come in trading room before market open.  

Markets Today – Volatility $VIX ($XIV, $UVXY, $TVIX, $VXX etc)

Some obvious plays here… if Hillary gets last minute bad news I’l scalp $TVIX or $UVXY. If election goes well for her the obviously $XIV would be a decent scalp or swing. If THE Donald wins… watch out lol… volatitility. But either way I think the market gets a lift (if Donald wins market likely does a mini Brexit then lifts). I win everytime here (seriously almost). Brexit, last Jan, last Sept and Oil have been huge bonuses to my accts in addition to compound trading program – so I see the election as a bonus.

$DXY US Dollar Index ($UUP US Dollar Bull, $UDN British Pound, $FXY Japanese Yen Trust, $CNY China, $TZA, $SMK / $EWW Mexico Capped ETF)

The US Dollar index is the only one I’m really watching – if it gets flight there’s a good play in $TZA. But other than that I’m not interested in playing China or Britain or any other currency related trades until after election.

$TZA – 3x Small Cap Bear. Watch $DXY US Dollar Index – when it gets flight so does the small cap bear $TZA typically.

$SPY ($ES_F, $SPX etc)

Per yesterday’s post… buy the blood in the streets and buy the over extended pivots and Fib levels (for those that don’t understand pivots and Fib levels – we will be getting in to those indicators and algo indicators after election in detail in the room).

FX: $USOIL $WTI ($CL_F, $USO, $DWTI, $UWTI $XOP #OOTT #Algo)

Per yesterday “There was a recent time / price cycle change. @EPICtheAlgo is expected to have updates on his Twitter prior to open.”

EPIC published algorithmic updates with alpha algo targets and time / price cycle terminations and traditional charting trendlines representing support and resistance! REVIEW THOSE POSTS IN DETAIL!!! This I have learned is critical. Yesterday’s trade I got that increased my small account portfolio 3.5% was all because I actually listened to the algo and took that trade yesterday.

EPIC expects a big move up or down before end of this Friday so BE SURE TO KNOW YOUR LINES!!!

Gold / Gold Miners – $DUST $JDST (Bear) / $NUGT $JNUG $GDX $GDXJ (Bull) / #Gold $GLD

Per yesterday and last few weeks (I haven’t done much here because I rely on the algo targets and we don’t expect anything predictable until after election) “Gold, Miners, Silver I was looking for on floor down over last month per my posts and this now may do it. We will watch to election and then start putting out our algorithmic charting and traditional charting and trade it.”

Silver – $SLV, $USLV, $DSLV and Copper

As above.

Natural Gas – $UGAZ, $DGAZ

Watching for a snap back and how price handles a snap back. Risky still – until otherwise. 2.90 area looks critical to me.

I continue to watch per previous. I was expecting a floor down here (as with Gold and Silver not so much) and the downdraft this morning is significant (enough? not sure yet – ask me after election lol).

Good luck! And remember, we get in to nice predictable algorithmic trading / traditional charting trading with compoound predictability shortly after election (we will just need to let trading settle in to its “natural mathematical state” for each intrument).

Free Scanners to find momentum stocks that you can easily review charts of for indicators that bring probability of your trade being successful up considerably. These are not useful for first 30 minute super-nova type plays (you need a good momentum scanner for the first 30 mins of trade)… but are very useful for intra day scalping (start with trending stocks and then look at indicators intra for simple set-ups).

http://finviz.com/, https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6

Curtis

07
Nov 2016

Post Market Report Mon Nov 7, 2016

Post Market Report (Trade Results) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Curt Melonopoly

Review of my Chat Room Stock Day Trades for Monday Nov 7, 2016.

Intro:

Time stamped entries (in permanent archive) copied to this blog in italics (below) are direct live log chat from chat trade room as they occurred (random chat from myself not applicable or other misc chat is deleted for this post) .

Chat trade room is also video recorded daily for trade evidence (also in permanent archive – I’ll start sharing videos soon – just one more thing on the to-do list lol).

In addition to chat (per below), this trade-room has live voice broadcast (that covers in detail what indicators I am looking for in and out off each trade) and has live chart screen sharing right from my monitor to the room with all indicators I am looking at.

Today’s Trades

Today was a very frustrating day!!! I didn’t want to stress on it while in chat room but my exchange data problem from ICE (see post earlier) almost sent me over the edge because of course I thought IN PART it was our fault or something… so we ran test after test on our software and hardware almost until 2 PM lol!!! Then, we find out it wasn’t our problem at all ha ha ha.

WHICH, that reminds me…. we have so much to do around here getting set-up that I can’t say exactly when this is going to start but I am going to test my ability to compound small accounts and shoot for either a 3 month or more likely a 6 month 10k to 1.14 MM compound on a small account – we just need a few days to form our plan and then we’ll start posting daily on it. 6 months BTW would be about 4 times as fast so instead of 1% per day that would be 4% per day compound (or 4 successful 1% trades per day and with 1 or 2 not working that’s basically a trade an hour – NOT EASY BUT POSSIBLE). If you are wondering what this “compound stock trading” is and how my goal is to take 10k accounts from 10k to 1MM in 26 months or less follow the link.

Chat Room Log / Trades

09:18 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $CTB $WATT
09:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $LIVE $CTB $WATT $LC $TROV

Above was my morning watchlist for morning momo plays… I try to get them out sooner but the stocks develop as the morning progresses… anyway, the reason I am commenting on this is that over time we will have a much more comprehensive pre-market session for prep for these plays… it isn’t our current core, but we will have this developed over next few months.

09:22 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching market open for momentum stocks.
09:23 am Curtis Melonopoly : Trading view charting lag is actually from tradingview itself this morning – they say it will be fixed soon. There is a notice on each chart when loading.
09:24 am Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX $UWTI (oil for bounce) $NTEC $NILE $CEMP $BIIB $IONS $APVO $DTLK $LIVE $CTB $WATT $TXMD $LC
09:29 am Curtis Melonopoly : Here we go – strap in – GL!
09:34 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching oil for a bounce and momos right now
09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UWTI long

I had the FX: $USOIL $WTI play pegged early in day because I knew the market was in bull mode and oil has been depressed – so in other words it had a catalyst and I have indicators and technical tooling most traders don’t… so I just need it to move (up or down).
09:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : That alpha algo TL line (red) is in play
09:45 am Curtis Melonopoly : No morning momos for me this morning.

There actually were some morning momentum stocks I likely would have entered (especially as the morning progressed – but the charts and my tilting because of it left me no logical option – trading while tilted is not good).
09:46 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching for standard play in oil, Gold, silver, VIX, SPY or continued momentum’s – back in a few mins.
09:51 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching oil for bounce for entry…. not convinced
09:52 am Curtis Melonopoly : Also watching for follow-through with some gainers and momentum’s https://finance.yahoo.com/screener/predefined/ec5bebb9-b7b2-4474-9e5c-3e258b61cbe6
09:54 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I’m going to contact a few larger oil traders I know and see what they see the oil market doing over next 48 hours – back in 10 or so – I don’t like where it bounced here or the volume
10:03 am Curtis Melonopoly : Here’s crude oil first test to upside
10:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : Very weak – but it can go
10:04 am Curtis Melonopoly : So here comes support test
10:05 am Curtis Melonopoly : Thin purple line is traditional support trend line and red algo TL
10:11 am Curtis Melonopoly : On phone with oil trader I know… back in 15 min at most.
10:12 am Curtis Melonopoly : Upper arrow upside potential intra, lower arrow is low potential intra and mid arrow algo line – tough play mid range with oil
10:31 am george d : Curtis almost done calls back in 5 …
10:37 am Curtis Melonopoly : No conviction in oil buying… only way I can take a trade long is at the lower diagonal trendline (blue)
10:38 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I will set alarms for oil and then look at trending stocks intra for entries
10:38 am susan woo : Curtis, how do your gold/silver/miners algo look?
10:39 am susan woo : I recall you saying you were interested in AUMN last week
10:39 am susan woo : Tnanks:)
10:41 am Curtis Melonopoly : Hey Susan… sory about not seeing your question last week… my pre and post newsletters kind of touch on it… we’re waiting for election… without election consideration I was looking for downdraft then long… tough call till election – Hillary Trump war unpredictable
10:41 am Curtis Melonopoly : Ok going to look at trending intra stocks for entries – back soon
11:09 am Curtis Melonopoly : A lot of chasing here… still running screens… likely won’t be in any plays until lunch / afternoon session with trending solid indicators only for now.
11:13 am Curtis Melonopoly : Guys and gals… if you’re concerned with public posts be sure you sign in anonymous – like now lol – it’s a public room
11:14 am Curtis Melonopoly : So I’m running screeners on trending stocks for afternoon session. Also checking our algos for Oil, Gold, Silver, VIX, SPY for aft session.
11:24 am Mathew Waterfall : Just popped in to say I’m all out of those VXX puts. Worked very nicely holding over the weekend. Reloading a bit in JNUG and GDX calls that I got out of last week for another pop. Won’t trade much between now and Wednesday with clown show going on
11:28 am Mathew Waterfall : Also to note, interesting call spread options in GLD for those looking for a play there. Calls are pretty juiced on the high end making spreads attractive
11:32 am Curtis Melonopoly : Watching $FCX, $TWTR (rumors again), $DRNA, $IMPV, Crude for 43.40 ish $UWTI entry, $VIX , and rumors with NATO re: Russia… still running scans for afternoon
11:33 am Curtis Melonopoly : Grabbing quick lunch back in 30 to get some wins in bag
12:25 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $VIX starting to curl up
12:34 pm Mathew Waterfall : Wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback here. This is a lot of short covering to me and looks to have stalled a bit. Went flat on my /ES plays
12:39 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Ok back from lunch – running scans for aft plays
01:02 pm Curtis Melonopoly : SO… tradingview.com experiencing data issues today from exchanges – we get ours fixed and theirs goes stupid lol – so I’m on stockcharts.com for the remainder of day – not ideal to say the least
01:10 pm Mathew Waterfall : So much noise today. I’m closing positions from this point I think. Got out of $USLV early but that’s what I get for being cautious
01:15 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UUP for possible long pending chart
01:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $UUP (not sure if that alert posted)
01:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Ah yes it did lol
01:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Waiting for a decision on dollar, VIX and some other indicators before I start trading longs in market – chicken today
01:38 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $NUGT for a pullback and intra entry but… it could b too late
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : GDX and GLD seeing lots of love today, might not get another huge pullback in the miners
01:39 pm Mathew Waterfall : GDX BULLISH WISEGUY ACTION: Fri 11/11 24.5 CALLS (Wkly) $83k BET SWEEP / OPENING MULTI SWEEP GDX=24.01 Ref 1.1x Usual Vo
01:43 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Long $UWTI
01:48 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Filled at 18.20 in small account $UWTI
01:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : 18.40 target in $UWTI but i
01:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m holding for a pull back and run
01:52 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at a strong pit close play – hoping for 2 – 3%
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Lots of sellers coming in >44.57 in /CL
01:54 pm Mathew Waterfall : Those need to get eaten up
01:57 pm Curtis Melonopoly : So 44.70 is my test area but I’m holding likely closer to pit close
02:14 pm Curtis Melonopoly : http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Oil-Major-Chief-Calls-Upon-Non-OPEC-Producers-To-Join-Cuts.html
02:18 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking for expanding volume really soon with pit close near – if no then cut and take some profit $UWTI #OIL
02:23 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I am going to sell in to spike before pit close if I get it $UWTI
02:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Out
02:29 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $UWTI 18.20 buy with a 18.80 exit on $UWTI intra 3% er
02:30 pm Curtis Melonopoly : That was a nice trade

02:45 pm Curtis Melonopoly : back for another 🙂
02:46 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Running screens back in a few
02:51 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Missed the volatility trade distracted with oil – but oil better trade 3% vs 1.5% on my entry
02:57 pm Curtis Melonopoly : I’m going to watch for $SPY failure at 212.65 ish range and consider $VIX trade w $TVIX for EOD
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Looking at $TVIX – risky
03:16 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Very short leash if I do
03:27 pm Curtis Melonopoly : $TVIX not responding well to $VIX IMO – you want that to frontrun so you’re on right side of possible error
03:28 pm Curtis Melonopoly : That’s the benefit of scalping 3 x 2 x ETF and ETN’s – you can get a buffer for error if you’re on right side but extra pain if you are on wrong.
03:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Well I’m gonna call it… lotsa fun coming with election and then we get in to tight technical trading with proper indicators and algorithmic trading after election… so ready for that! And I’m gonna do a 10k to 1MM in 6 mos instead of 24 mos module (4 trades a day at 1%).
03:37 pm Curtis Melonopoly : Take care:) Be Blessed!
03:42 pm GSCT . : Thanks Curtis.

Best:)

Curt

Topics: Daytrading, Wallstreet, Chatroom, Trading Room, Daily Results

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